South China Sea Study Guide
South China Sea Study Guide
South China Sea Study Guide
Background Information
The South China Sea is a body of water stretching from the
Malacca Straits to Taiwan, neighboring the coasts of eight sovereign
states: the People's Republic of China, the Republic of China (Taiwan),
the Philippines, Malaysia, Brunei, Indonesia, Singapore, and Vietnam. Six
countries lay overlapping claims to the East and South China Seas, an
area that is rich in hydrocarbons and natural gas and through which
trillions of dollars of global trade flow. As it seeks to expand its maritime
presence, China has been met by growing assertiveness from regional
claimants like Japan, Vietnam, and the Philippines. The increasingly
frequent standoffs from the Diaoyu/Senkaku Islands, on China's eastern
flank, to the long stretch of archipelagos in the South China Sea that
comprise of hundreds of islets. The U.S. pivot to Asia, involving renewed
diplomatic activity and military redeployment, could signal Washington's
heightened role in the disputes, which, if not managed wisely, could turn
part of Asia's maritime regions from thriving trade channels into arenas
of conflict.
What is at stake?
Resources: The immediate source of conflict are resources. There
are about 500 million people there who live within 100 miles of the
South China Sea coastline, and the volume of shipping through the
waters has skyrocketed since China and ASEAN nations have increased
trade and oil imports. The need for resources, especially fisheries and
hydrocarbon, also has influenced economic competition. According to
World Bank, the sea holds proven reserves of at least seven billion
barrels of oil and about 900 trillion cubic feet of natural gas, which offer
great opportunities for smaller nations and energy for China's large and
growing economy.
Military: Due to China's burgeoning power, the region has
increased militarization. Vietnam and Malaysia have led regional military
buildups and increased arms trade with countries like Russia and India,
while the Philippines doubled its military budget in 2011 and pledged
five-year joint military exercises with the US. It has also started a
program costing roughly USD 1 billion that will rely heavily on US sales
of cutters and potentially fighting jets.
Timeline
June 21, 1945: Diaoyu/Senkaku islands come under US control
September 8, 1951: Treaty of San Francisco. Japan renounces all claims
in the region, and becomes a military protectorate of the United States.
1969: UN reports finds a high probability of oil in East China Sea.
January 19, 1974: China claims Paracel Islands
March 11, 1976: Philippines discover oil field
February, 1979 - March 1979: Sino-Vietnamese War
March 14, 1988: China sinks Vietnamese ships over Spratly Archipelago
after decade of calm
Key Terms
ASEAN - a political and economic organization of ten countries located
in Southeast Asia which aims include accelerating economic growth,
social progress, sociocultural evolution among its members, protection
of regional peace and stability, and opportunities for member countries
to discuss differences peacefully. Does not include China. Combined GDP
is USD 2.6 trillion making it a force to be reckoned with.
Scarborough Shoal - a shoal located between the Macclesfield Bank
and Luzon island in the Philippines in the South China Sea. It is a
disputed territory claimed by the People's Republic of China, Republic of
China (Taiwan), and the Philippines.
Spratly Archipelago/Islands - a disputed group of more than 750
reefs, islets, atolls, cays, and islands in the South China Sea. No native
islanders inhabit the islands which offer rich fishing ground and may
contain significant oil and natural gas reserves. Currently occupied by a
number of military forces, including the People's Republic of China, the
Republic of China (Taiwan), Vietnam, the Philippines, and Malaysia.
Additionally, Brunei has claimed (but does not occupy) and exclusive
economic zone in the southeastern part of the Spratlys.
Paracel Islands - a group of islands, reefs, banks, and other maritime
features in the South China Sea. It is controlled (and occupied) by the
People's Republic of China, and also claimed by Taiwan (Republic of
China) and Vietnam.
United Nations Convention on the Law of the Sea - International
agreement that defines the rights and responsibilities of nations with
Guiding Questions
What economic variables need to be sorted out to scale
down the conflict?
What possible military solutions might insure peace?
How might China's policy and your resolution clash?
How do you maneuver a superpower?
Do you have American approval/support?
How might the United States react to your resolution?
How far is your country willing to go?
How can you determine which territorial claims are valid
Further Research
News reports
http://foreignpolicy.com/2015/10/02/in-south-china-sea-a-tougher-u-sstance/
Timeline
http://www.cnas.org/flashpoints/timeline