Scribd Logo
Upload

Welcome to Scribd!

  • 7K views

    Delphi Cost Estimation

    Uploaded by

    VinayKumarSingh
    The Delphi technique was developed to gain expert consensus on estimates and forecasts without direct debate or discussion. It involves having experts anonymously give their estimates multiple times, with feedback provided between rounds on the estimates of other experts. This document describes how the Delphi technique can be adapted for software cost estimation, having experts anonymously provide multiple rounds of estimates for a project's cost based on its requirements documentation.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PPT or read online from Scribd

    Delphi Cost Estimation

    Uploaded by

    VinayKumarSingh
    7K views9 pages
    The Delphi technique was developed to gain expert consensus on estimates and forecasts without direct debate or discussion. It involves having experts anonymously give their estimates multiple times, with feedback provided between rounds on the estimates of other experts. This document describes how the Delphi technique can be adapted for software cost estimation, having experts anonymously provide multiple rounds of estimates for a project's cost based on its requirements documentation.

    Copyright

    © Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)

    Available Formats

    PPT or read online from Scribd

    Did you find this document useful?

    Is this content inappropriate?

    The Delphi technique was developed to gain expert consensus on estimates and forecasts without direct debate or discussion. It involves having experts anonymously give their estimates multiple times, with feedback provided between rounds on the estimates of other experts. This document describes how the Delphi technique can be adapted for software cost estimation, having experts anonymously provide multiple rounds of estimates for a project's cost based on its requirements documentation.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PPT or read online from Scribd
    Download as ppt
    7K views9 pages

    Delphi Cost Estimation

    Uploaded by

    VinayKumarSingh
    The Delphi technique was developed to gain expert consensus on estimates and forecasts without direct debate or discussion. It involves having experts anonymously give their estimates multiple times, with feedback provided between rounds on the estimates of other experts. This document describes how the Delphi technique can be adapted for software cost estimation, having experts anonymously provide multiple rounds of estimates for a project's cost based on its requirements documentation.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PPT or read online from Scribd
    Download as ppt
    You are on page 1of 9

    Delphi Cost

    Estimation

    P V KRISHNA KISHORE
    The Delphi technique was developed at
    the RAND corporation in 1948 to gain
    expert consensus without introducing the
    adverse side effects of group meetings.
    The Delphi technique can be adapted to
    software cost estimation in the following manner:

    • A coordinator provides each estimator with the System


    Definition document and form for recording a cost
    estimate.

    • Estimators study the definition and complete their


    estimates anonymously. They may ask questions of
    the coordinator, but they do not discuss their estimates
    with one another.
    • The coordinator prepares and distributes a summary of
    the estimators’ responses, and includes any unusual
    rationales noted by the estimators.

    • Estimators complete another estimate again


    anonymously using the results from the previous
    estimate. Estimators whose estimates differ sharply
    from the group may be asked, to provide justification
    for their estimates.
    • The process is iterated for as many rounds as
    required. No group discussion is allowed during the
    entire process.

    • The following approach is a variation on the standard


    Delphi technique that increases communication while
    preserving anonymity.
    • The coordinator provides each estimator with a
    system definition and an estimation form.

    • The estimators study the definition, and the


    coordinator calls a group meeting so that estimators
    can discuss estimation issues with the coordinator and
    one another.

    • Estimators complete their estimates anonymously.


    • The coordinator prepares a summary of the estimates
    but does not record any rationales.

    • The coordinator calls a group meeting to focus on


    issues where the estimates vary widely.

    • Estimators complete another estimate again


    anonymously. The process is iterated as many rounds
    as necessary.
    • It is possible that several rounds of estimates will not
    lead to a consensus estimate.

    • In this case the coordinator must discuss the issues


    involved with each estimator to determine the reasons
    for the differences.

    • The coordinator may have to gather additional


    information and present it to the estimators in order to
    resolve the differences.

    You might also like