MassINC Polling Group Jan. 2013 Speical Election Survey
MassINC Polling Group Jan. 2013 Speical Election Survey
MassINC Polling Group Jan. 2013 Speical Election Survey
shown for 435 registered voters Field Dates: January 16-19, 2013 Overall, do you think things in Massachusetts are headed in the right direction or are they off on the wrong track? Right Direction Wrong Track Dont Know / Refused 48% 42% 10%
I'm going to read you the names of several people and groups who are active in public affairs. After I read each one please tell me if you have a generally favorable or generally unfavorable view of the person. If you have never heard of the person or if you are undecided, please just say so. READ FIRST NAME. How about READ NEXT NAME? REPEAT QUESTION TEXT ONLY IF NECESSARY, PROBE IF RESPONDENT SAYS DONT KNOW. Have you heard of READ NAME and are undecided about (him/her)? Or PAUSE have you never heard of (him/her)? Order Rotated a. Scott Brown b. Ed Markey c. Steve Lynch d. Mike Capuano e. The United States Congress Favorable 55% 24% 19% 18% 24% Unfavorable 32% 17% 14% 15% 55% Heard of / Undecided 11% 25% 27% 28% 18% Never heard of 2% 34% 39% 39% 1% Refused 0% 0% 1% 0% 1%
Are you currently registered to vote at your current address? Note: only those identifying themselves as registered voters are included in the figures shown in this document. Yes No Dont Know / Refused 100% 0% 0%
Recently, news reports have indicated that Massachusetts Senator John Kerry is likely be the next Secretary of State. If this were to happen, there would be a Special Election to elect a replacement Senator here in Massachusetts. What one word or short phrase would you use to describe your feelings about a potential Senate special election later this year? ___________________________________________ If this special election takes place, would you be more likely to vote in a Democratic primary election, Republican primary election, or neither? Order rotated. Democrat Republican Neither Dont Know / Refused 44% 25% 26% 5%
In the general election, what if the Republican partys candidate were Scott Brown? Would you vote for Republican Scott Brown or for the Democratic partys candidate? Order rotated, Scott Brown Democratic partys candidate Another candidate (not read) Wouldnt vote (not read) Dont Know / Refused 44% 36% 1% 1% 17%
In the general election, what if the Democratic partys candidate were Ed Markey and the Republican partys candidate were Scott Brown? Would you be more likely to vote for Republican Scott Brown or Democrat Ed Markey? Order rotated, Scott Brown Ed Markey Another candidate (not read) Wouldnt vote (not read) Dont Know / Refused 53% 31% 0% 3% 12%
Asked to those who said they would be more likely to vote in a Democratic Primary. Many leaders within the Democratic Party have given their support to Ed Markey for the open Senate seat, and discouraged other potential Democratic candidates from running. In your view, should Democratic Party leaders all get behind Ed Markey and encourage other Democratic candidates not to run? Or should voters be able to choose from among several candidates in a Democratic party primary? Order rotated. Party leaders get behind Markey Voters choose in a Democratic primary Some other way (not read) Dont Know / Refused 16% 71% 4% 10%
Demographics Race / ethnic background White, not Hispanic All others Dont Know / Refused 83% 17% <1%
Age 18 to 29 30 to 44 45 to 59 60+ Dont Know / Refused Gender Male Female Party registration Democrat Republican Independent / Unenrolled / Other Education High school or less Some college, no degree College graduate (BA/BS) Advanced degree Dont Know / Refused 34% 26% 23% 16% 1% 36% 11% 53% 48% 52% 16% 26% 29% 27% 2%