HCLTech 3Q FY13
HCLTech 3Q FY13
HCLTech 3Q FY13
HCL Technologies
Performance Highlights
(` cr) Consl. Net revenue EBITDA EBITDA margin (%) PAT 3QFY13 6,425 1,276 19.9 1,040 2QFY13 6,274 1,244 19.8 965 % chg (qoq) 2.4 2.5 2bp 7.8 3QFY12 5,216 818 15.7 603 % chg (yoy) 23.2 56.0 418bp 72.5
BUY
CMP Target Price
Investment Period
Stock Info Sector Market Cap (` cr) Net debt (` cr) Beta 52 Week High / Low Avg. Daily Volume Face Value (`) BSE Sensex Nifty Reuters Code Bloomberg Code IT 51,379 (2,684) 0.8 807/454 120,859 2 18,731 5,689 HCLT.BO HCLT@IN
`751 `863
12 Months
For 3QFY2013, HCL Technologies (HCL Tech) reported yet another set of healthy results, beating our as well as market expectations on all fronts. HCL Tech won over US$1bn multi-year, multi-million dollar deals during the quarter, thus sustaining its momentum of signing ~US$1bn+ total contract value (TCV) worth of deals, over the past few quarters. The strong set of results from HCL Tech for 3QFY2013 shrug off any concerns regarding the health of the Indian IT industry, which were raised due to weak quarterly results by Infosys. HCL Techs Management sounded confident of sustaining revenue growth within the top-tier league. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock. Quarterly highlights: For 3QFY2013, HCL Tech reported revenue of US$1,191mn, up 3.2% qoq, on the back of a whopping 9.0% qoq USD revenue growth in constant currency (CC) terms in its infrastructure services business, though volume growth in core software services stood muted at 0.4% qoq. During the quarter, HCL Techs EBITDA margin declined by 18bp qoq to 22.4%, while the EBIT margin remained almost flat qoq at 19.9%. PAT stood tall at `1,040, up 7.8% qoq, aided by forex gain of `23cr vs a `13cr loss in 2QFY2013. Outlook and valuation: The company is witnessing a healthy demand environment and has been able to win over US$1bn multi-year, multi-million dollar deals this quarter, thus sustaining its momentum of signing ~US$1bn+ TCV worth of deals, over the past few quarters. The Management maintained that the deals are out of vendor-churn exercises rather than on any incremental spending. However, we believe, in such a competitive scenario where all the companies are eyeing the existing pool of deals, an aggressive company like HCL Tech with end-to-end IT capabilities, and a strong client mining ability, will emerge as a front runner. We expect HCL Tech to be the outperformer among tier-I IT companies, with USD and INR revenue CAGR of 12.8% and 15.3%, respectively, over FY201215. We value the company at 14x FY2014E EPS and give it a target price of `863. We maintain our Buy rating on the stock. Key financials (Consolidated, US GAAP)
Y/E June (` cr) Net sales % chg Net profit % chg EBITDA margin (%) EPS (`) P/E (x) P/BV (x) RoE (%) RoCE (%) EV/Sales (x) EV/EBITDA (x) FY2011 16,034 27.6 1,710 30.5 17.1 24.5 30.7 6.2 20.3 15.4 3.2 18.9 FY2012 21,031 31.2 2,526 47.8 19.1 36.0 20.8 4.9 23.5 18.3 2.4 12.8 FY2013E 25,444 21.0 3,845 52.2 22.3 54.6 13.8 3.8 28.1 23.9 1.9 8.6 FY2014E 28,633 12.5 4,033 4.9 21.5 57.3 13.1 3.1 24.0 22.2 1.6 7.6 FY2015E 32,216 12.5 4,343 7.7 20.7 61.7 12.2 2.6 21.5 20.6 1.4 6.7
Shareholding Pattern (%) Promoters MF / Banks / Indian Fls FII / NRIs / OCBs Indian Public / Others 62.1 8.4 21.8 7.7
3m (6.2) 6.8
Ankita Somani
+91 22 3935 7800 Ext: 6819 ankita.somani@angelbroking.com
3QFY13 6,425 4,113 2,312 872 1,439 163 1,276 66 1,342 325 1,017 23 1,040 14.8 36.0 22.4 19.9 16.0
2QFY13 6,274 4,026 2,248 831 1,417 172 1,244 28 1,272 295 977 (13) 965 13.7 35.8 22.6 19.8 15.3
% chg (qoq) 2.4 2.2 2.9 5.0 1.6 (5.1) 2.5 5.4 10.1 4.0 (284.8) 7.8 8.0 16bp (18)bp 2bp 71bp
3QFY12 5,216 3,518 1,698 739 959 141 818 23 841 202 639 (36) 603 8.6 32.5 18.4 15.7 11.5
% chg (yoy) 23.2 16.9 36.2 18.1 50.1 15.7 56.0 59.6 61.2 59.1 (163.6) 72.5 71.9 343bp 401bp 418bp 451bp
9MFY13 18,789 12,085 6,704 2,498 4,207 504 3,702 129 3,832 892 2,940 (50) 2,889 41.0 35.7 22.4 19.7 15.3
9MFY12 15,112 10,219 4,893 2,169 2,724 412 2,313 55 2,368 566 1,803 (130) 1,672 23.9 32.4 18.0 15.3 11.0
% chg (yoy) 24.3 18.3 37.0 15.2 54.4 22.6 60.1 61.8 57.7 63.1 (61.4) 72.8 71.7 330bp 436bp 440bp 425bp
5.4
5.7 3.8 2.9 1.8 0.5 0.4 0.4 0.4 1QFY13 (1.2) 2QFY13 0.4 0.3 0.4 2.5
3QFY13
(3.7)
Offshore
Onsite
Total
Core software services post modest revenue growth: During the quarter, core software services (contributed 65.8% to revenue) posted a 1.0% qoq revenue growth (USD terms) to US$783mn, led by 0.4% qoq volume growth. In CC terms, the revenue growth in core software services came in at 1.7% qoq. This was due to a decline and challenges seen in discretionary spending, which majorly impacted the engineering and R&D services (ERD; contributed 17.1% to revenue) and custom application services enterprise (contributed 29.7% to revenue) revenues, which grew merely by 0.8% and 0.6% qoq, respectively in CC terms. Enterprise application services (EAS), which has been witnessing a decline in revenues since the past couple of quarters, reported a 4.4% qoq growth in USD revenue in CC terms during 3QFY2013. The Management indicated that clients are taking decisions on discretionary spending on a quarterly basis, rather than giving a longer term visibility. Projects related to global consolidation and deployment remain the companys focus for core ERP implementation work. Infrastructure services emerges as the primary growth driver: The infrastructure management services (IMS) segment (contributed 29.9% to revenue) again reported a whopping 8.6% qoq increase in revenue (USD terms) to US$356mn. In CC terms, the revenue of IMS grew by 9.0% qoq. The Management indicated that IMS is doing well globally. Currently, the segment is witnessing continued demand traction from the re-bid market with more than 75% of the TCV coming from it. The Management attributes signing up of large multi-year transformational deals in the segment to changing customer business models, and to the trend of putting in place enterprise class infrastructures. BPO services posted tepid growth: The business process outsourcing (BPO) segment posted a mere 0.7% qoq increase in revenue to US$51mn. In CC terms, the segment reported a 2.4% qoq growth in revenue. Since 3QFY2012, the BPO business has entered the EBITDA and EBIT positive zone. The demand environment is heating up as clients are looking at globalization of delivery capabilities, which is enabling them in driving transformation and achieving enterprise-wide cost efficiency. The company is continuously investing in building platforms for non voice-based businesses in this segment. Demand is seen in areas of cloud, mobility, social media and multi-tower end-to-end process data.
9.0
(%)
4 2 0 (2) (4)
(2.0)
Custom application
Industry segment wise, the companys anchor industry vertical manufacturing (contributed 28.4% to revenue) maintained its growth momentum and reported a strong 7.8% qoq growth in revenues in CC terms. The demand in the manufacturing space is coming for business needs related to operational efficiency, cost reduction and product development. The energy and public utilities (EPU) industry vertical emerged as the primary growth driver for the company, posting a 14.8% qoq growth in revenues in CC terms. Financial services (contributed 25.0% to revenue) continued with its growth momentum and reported a 1.0% qoq growth in CC terms. In the financial services space, the company is witnessing tighter budgets from the US and European geographies with focus on cost reduction through RTB strategy. Some amount of discretionary spends in the financial services space are coming in directed towards customer experience management. Telecom, which is one of the non-performing industry vertical in terms of IT spending since the past two years, has been witnessing volatile revenue growth. During 3QFY2013, revenues from the telecom vertical grew by 4.7% qoq (CC terms). The media, publishing and entertainment (MPE) and healthcare industry verticals posted 1.4% and 1.6% qoq decline in USD revenue (CC terms), respectively.
During the quarter, HCL Tech reported growth in developed geographies with revenues from the US and Europe growing by 3.6% and 6.3% qoq (CC terms), respectively. The revenue from rest of the world (RoW) remained flat qoq. The Management indicated that since the past 5-6 quarters, the sales force of the company has increasingly been focused towards the US and Europe geographies.
(%)
3
The utilization level offshore, including as well as excluding trainees, improved substantially by 340bp and 240bp qoq to 79.0% and 80.0%, respectively, led by reduction in overall employee base. The onsite utilization level declined slightly, by 30bp qoq to 97.0%.
90
(%)
80
77.4
77.6 75.6
80.0 79.0
70
72.2
72.4
74.2
(%)
25 20 15 10 3QFY12 18.4
22.0
22.2
22.6
22.4
19.4
19.8
19.9
2QFY13
3QFY13
EBIT margin
(%)
18 12 6 0 5.6 0.5 3QFY12 9.2 2.3 1QFY13 EBITDA margin 11.5 11.6
5.7 2QFY13
5.9 3QFY13
EBIT margin
Client pyramid
During the quarter, HCL Tech enhanced its client pyramid with an addition of 37 new clients. The company added one client in the US$20mn-30mn revenue bracket. Nine clients were added in the US$5mn-10mn revenue bracket. The active client base of the company increased to 547 from 544 in 2QFY2013. The companys top clients registered a lower-than-companys average growth, with revenue from the top 5, top 10 and top 20 clients growing by 1.5%, 2.8% and 2.0% qoq (LTM basis, CC terms), respectively.
At the current market price of `751, the stock is trading at 13.1x FY2014E and 12.2x FY2015E EPS of `57.3 and `61.7, respectively. We value the company at 14x FY2014E EPS and give it a target price of `863. We maintain Buy rating on the stock.
(` )
10
Company Background
HCL Tech is India's fifth largest IT services company, with over 84,000 employees catering to more than 540 clients. The company's service offerings include enterprise application services (EAS), custom applications, engineering and research and development (ERD) and infrastructure management services (IMS). In December 2008, HCL Tech acquired UK-based SAP consulting company - Axon, which now contributes ~10% to its consolidated revenue.
11
12
14,624 18,928
13
14
Key ratios
Y/E June Valuation ratio (x) P/E (on FDEPS) P/CEPS P/BVPS Dividend yield (%) EV/Sales EV/EBITDA EV/Total assets Per share data (`) EPS (Fully diluted) Cash EPS Dividend Book value Dupont analysis Tax retention ratio (PAT/PBT) Cost of debt (PBT/EBIT) EBIT margin (EBIT/Sales) Asset turnover ratio (Sales/Assets) Leverage ratio (Assets/Equity) Operating ROE Return ratios (%) RoCE (pre-tax) Angel RoIC RoE Turnover ratios (x) Asset turnover (fixed assets) Receivables days 2.2 58 2.5 56 2.7 56 2.8 56 2.8 56 15.4 18.6 20.3 18.3 21.5 23.5 23.9 30.4 28.1 22.2 29.5 24.0 20.6 28.8 21.5 0.8 1.0 0.1 1.1 1.7 21.2 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.1 1.8 25.3 0.8 1.0 0.2 1.2 1.5 28.7 0.7 1.0 0.2 1.2 1.5 23.8 0.7 1.0 0.2 1.1 1.4 21.5 24.5 31.8 8.0 121 36.0 44.5 8.0 154 54.6 65.2 9.0 197 57.3 68.6 10.0 242 61.7 74.3 11.0 291 30.7 23.7 6.2 1.1 3.2 18.9 3.5 20.8 16.9 4.9 1.1 2.4 12.8 2.7 13.8 11.5 3.8 1.2 1.9 8.6 2.3 13.1 10.9 3.1 1.3 1.6 7.6 1.9 12.2 10.1 2.6 1.5 1.4 6.7 1.6 FY2011 FY2012 FY2013E FY2014E FY2015E
15
E-mail: research@angelbroking.com
Website: www.angelbroking.com
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Disclosure of Interest Statement 1. Analyst ownership of the stock 2. Angel and its Group companies ownership of the stock 3. Angel and its Group companies' Directors ownership of the stock 4. Broking relationship with company covered
HCL Tech No No No No
Note: We have not considered any Exposure below ` 1 lakh for Angel, its Group companies and Directors
Ratings (Returns):
16