Monsoon Theories
Monsoon Theories
Monsoon Theories
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Definition
Monsoon, derived from the Arabic word "Mawsim" meaning "season", although generally defined as a system of winds characterized by a seasonal reversal of its direction,[] lacks a consistent detailed definition. Some examples are given below: The American Meteorological Society defines it as a name for seasonal winds, first applied to the winds blowing over the Arabian Sea from northeast for six months and southwest for six months.[] Later it has been extended to similar winds in other parts of the world. Intergovernmental Panel on Climate Change (IPCC) describes Monsoon as a tropical and subtropical seasonal reversal in both the surface winds and associated precipitation, caused by differential heating between a continental-scale land mass and the adjacent ocean.[] Indian Meteorological Department defines it as the seasonal reversals of the wind direction along the shores of the Indian Ocean, especially in the Arabian Sea, that blow from the southwest during one half of the year and from the northeast during the other half.[] Colin Stokes Ramage in Monsoon Meteorology, International Geophysics Series, Vol. 15, defines Monsoon as a seasonal reversing wind accompanied by corresponding changes in precipitation.[] Monsoon of the subcontinent is primarily noted for its rain bearing ability and for the associated unpredictability of the weather. Consequently some definitions incorporate rain in its definition.[1]
Background
Observed initially by sailors in the Arabian sea[] traveling between Africa, India and South-East Asia, Monsoon is a major weather phenomenon in India (and the subcontinent) for the influence it casts on the lives of its inhabitants since centuries. Monsoon in India can be categorized into two branches based on their spatial spread over the sub-continent: Arabian Sea Branch Bay of Bengal Branch Alternatively, it can be categorized into two segments based on the direction of rain bearing winds: South-West Monsoon (SW Monsoon) North-East Monsoon (NE Monsoon)[2] Based on the time of the year that these winds bring rain to India, they can also be categorised in two rain periods called: the Summer monsoon (May to September) the Winter monsoon, (October to November) The complexity of Monsoon as a weather phenomenon of India is SW Monsoon clouds over Tamil Nadu not yet completely understood, making it difficult to accurately predict its behavior in terms of quantity, temporal and spatial distribution of the accompanying precipitation. These are the most monitored components of Monsoon determining the water availability in India for any given year.[]
Mechanism of Monsoon
Monsoon is a tropical phenomenon. Indian subcontinent, lying northwards of the equator up to the Himalayas and Hindukush, lies primarily in the tropical zone of the Northern Hemisphere. It involves winds blowing from the south-west direction (known as South-West Monsoon) from the Indian Ocean onto the Indian landmass during the months of June through September. These are generally rain-bearing winds, blowing from sea to land, and bring rains to most parts of the subcontinent. They split into two branches, the Arabian Sea Branch and the Bay of Bengal Branch near the southernmost end of the Indian Peninsula. They are eagerly awaited in most parts of India for their agricultural and economic importance.
Monsoon of Indian subcontinent Subsequently later in the year, around October, these winds reverse direction and start blowing from a north-easterly direction. Given their land to sea flow, from subcontinent onto the Indian Ocean, they have less moisture and bring rain to only limited parts of India like Kerala, Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu. This is known as the North-East Monsoon. However, this rain is responsible for the rice bowls of South India. This mechanism completes the annual Monsoon cycle of the Indian subcontinent.
Pink arrow: SW Monsoon wind direction; Green arrow: NE Monsoon wind direction.
Orographic precipitation.
Traditional Theory
Due to difference in the specific heat capacity of land and water, continents heat up faster than the seas. Consequently the air above the coastal lands heats up faster than air above seas. This creates areas of low air pressure above coastal lands compared to the air pressure over the seas causing winds to flow from the seas onto the neighboring lands. This is known as sea breeze Process of Monsoon creation Also known as the thermal theory or the Differential Heating of Sea and Land Theory, it portrays the Monsoon as a large-scale sea breeze. It states that during the hot sub-tropical summers, the massive landmass of Indian Peninsula heats up at a different rate than the surrounding seas resulting in a pressure gradient from South to North. This causes flow of moisture laden winds from sea to land. On reaching the land these winds rise up due to the geographical relief, cooling adiabatically and leading to orographic rains. This is the southwest monsoon. Reverse happens during winter when the landmass is colder than the sea establishing a pressure gradient from land to sea. This causes the winds to blow over Indian landmass towards Indian Ocean in a north-easterly direction causing the northeast monsoon. Since the SW monsoon is from sea to land, it has more moisture (therefore causing more rain) than the NE monsoon. Only a part of the NE monsoon passing over Bay of Bengal picks up moisture causing rain in Andhra Pradesh and Tamil Nadu during the winter months.
However many meteorologists argue that the Monsoon is not a local phenomenon as explained by the traditional theory but a general weather phenomenon along the entire tropical zone of earth. This criticism, does not deny the role of differential heating of sea and land in generating monsoon winds but merely restricts it to one of the several factors rather than the only one.
Dynamic Theory
The prevailing winds of the atmospheric circulation arise due to the difference in pressure at various latitudes of Earth and act as means for distribution of thermal energy on the planet. This pressure difference is due to the differences in Solar insolation received at different latitudes of Earth and the resulting uneven heating of the planet. Alternating belts of high-pressure and low-pressure develop along the equator, the two tropics, the Arctic and Antarctic circles and the two polar regions giving rise to the Trade winds, Westerlies and the Polar easterlies. However, the geophysical factors like revolution of earth, its rotation and axial tilt of the Earth result in gradual shifting of these belts northwards and southwards following the Sun's seasonal shifts. Process of Monsoon creation The dynamic theory of Monsoon explains monsoon on the basis of the annual shifts in the position of global belts of pressure and winds. According to it, Monsoon is the result of the shift of the Inter Tropical Convergence Zone (ITCZ) under the influence of the vertical sun. Though the mean position of the ITCZ is taken as the equator it keeps shifting northwards and southwards with the migration of the vertical sun towards the tropics (Tropic of Cancer and Tropic of Capricorn) during the summer of the respective hemispheres (Northern and Southern Hemisphere). As such, the theory states that during the northern Summer (months of May and June), the ITCZ moves northwards, along with the vertical sun, towards the Tropic of Cancer. The ITCZ being the zone of lowest pressure in the tropical region, is the target destination for the Trade winds of both the hemispheres. Consequentially, with ITCZ at the Tropic of cancer, the South East Trade winds of the Southern Hemisphere have to cross the equator to reach the ITCZ.[6] However, due to Coriolis effect, (Coriolis effect causes winds in northern hemisphere to turn to its right whereas winds of southern hemisphere to turn to its left) these South East trade winds are deflected eastwards in the Northern Hemisphere transforming into South West trades.[7] These pick up the moisture while traveling from sea to land and cause orographic rain once they hit the highlands of the Indian Peninsula. This results in the South-West Monsoon. The dynamic theory provides the explanation of the system of Monsoon as a circum-global weather phenomenon rather than just a local one. And when coupled with the Traditional Theory (based on heating of Sea and Land) it enhances the explanation of the differential intensity of precipitation impact of Monsoon along the coastal regions with orographic barriers.
The Atmospheric Circulation system with associated pressure belts and latitudes
Dynamic Theory
According to this theory, during the summer months of Northern Hemisphere, the ITCZ shifts northwards pulling the SW Monsoon winds onto the land from the sea. However the huge landmass of the Himalayas continue to restrict the low pressure zone onto the Himalayas itself. It is only when the Tibetan Plateau heats up a lot more than the Himalayas does the ITCZ abruptly and swiftly shift northwards leading to burst of Monsoon showers over the Indian subcontinent. The reverse shift takes place for the NE Monsoon winds leading to a second minor burst during the Northern Hemisphere winter Months of NE Monsoon rainfall over Eastern Indian peninsula.
Monsoon of Indian subcontinent that the quantity of rainfall in the Indian subcontinent was often negligible in the years of high pressure at Darwin (and low pressure at Tahiti). Conversely, low pressure at Darwin bode well for the precipitation quantity in India. Thus he established the relationship of Southern Oscillation with quantities of Monsoon rains in India.[] Ultimately, it was realized that the Southern Oscillation is just the corresponding atmospheric component of the El Nio/La Nia effect (which happens in the Ocean).[] Therefore in the context of the Monsoon, the two cumulatively came to be known as the ENSO. The ENSO is known to have a pronounced effect on the strength of SW Monsoon over India with the Monsoon being weak (causing droughts in India) during the El Nio years whereas La Nia years had particularly good Monsoon strength over India.[]
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Significance
Indian Monsoon is the primary delivery mechanism for fresh water in the Indian subcontinent. As such it impacts the environment (and associated flora, fauna and ecosystems), agriculture, society, hydro-power production and geography of the subcontinent (like availability of fresh water in water bodies, underground water table) with all these factors cumulatively contributing towards the health of the economy of affected countries.
The Indian Monsoon turns large parts Western Ghats on 28 August in rainy season of India litarraly from a kind of semi-desert into green grasslands. See photos only taken 3 months apart in the Western Ghats.
Agricultural
India, historically an agrarian economy primarily, has recently seen the services sector overtaking the farm sector in terms of GDP contribution. However, even today agriculture sector contributes 17-20% of GDP[] and is the largest employer in the country with about 60% of people dependent on it for employment and livelihood.[] The land use pattern of India indicates that 49% of land is under agriculture in India, it is 55% if associated wetlands agriculture, dryland farming areas, etc. are included. Since over half of these farmlands are rain-fed, Monsoon is critical to the food sufficiency and quality of life for the country. Despite progress in alternative forms of irrigation, agricultural dependency on monsoon is far from insignificant, even today. Therefore, the agricultural calendar of India is governed by Monsoon. Any fluctuations in the time distribution, spatial distribution or quantity of the monsoon rains may lead to conditions of floods or droughts causing the agricultural sector to adversely suffer. This has a cascading effect on the secondary economic sectors, the overall economy, food inflation and therefore the overall quality and cost of living for the general population in India.
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Economic
The economic significance of monsoon can be aptly summed up by Pranab Mukherjee's statement that monsoon is the real finance minister of India.[][] A good monsoon resulting in improved agricultural brings down prices of essential food commodities and reduces their imports overall reducing the food inflation.[] Further improved rains result in increased hydroelectric production.[] All these factors initiate positive ripple effects throughout the economy of India.[]
Social
D. Subbarao (Governor of Reserve Bank of India), during a quarterly review of the monetary policy, once highlighted that lives of Indians depends on the performance of Monsoon.[] His own personal career prospects, emotional well being and the performance of his monetary policy were all a hostage to monsoon like it was for most Indians.[] Additionally, farmers, rendered jobless due to failed Monsoon rains tend to migrate city-wards. This crowds the city slums and further aggravates the job, infrastructure and sustainability of city life.[] Such is the magnitude of effect that monsoon casts on the lives of Indians.
Travel
In past, people usually refrained from traveling during monsoons for practical as well as religious reasons. But with advent of globalization, travel during monsoons is gaining popularity. Places like Kerala, Western Ghats get a very large number of tourists, both local and foreigner during monsoon season. Kerala is one of the top destinations for tourists interested in Auyrvedic treatments and massage therapy. One major drawback of traveling during monsoons is the fact that most of wildlife sanctuaries are closed during this rainy season. Also, some mountainous areas, specially in Himalayan regions get cut off due to damaged roads caused by landslides and floods during heavy rains.
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Environmental
The Monsoon is the primary bearer of fresh water to bodies of water in the area. The peninsular/Deccan rivers of India are mostly rain-fed and non-perennial in nature depending primarily on the Monsoon for water supply.[] Similarly most of the coastal rivers of Western India are rain-fed and Monsoon dependent.[][] As such, obviously the flora, fauna and the entire ecosystem of these areas are heavily dependent on the Monsoon. it has its positive and negative effects also..
Notes
[2] The name of the wind is based on the direction that it blows from. Therefore, South-West winds imply that the winds are blowing onto the land from the South-West direction. Similarly North-East wind implies air flowing from north east towards south-west onto the land [3] The Aravalli Mountains also lay in the path of the SW Monsoon but do not result in much precipitation because they are in the direction of the path of the SW winds and not across them causing no orographic lift of the winds [4] Other major hihglands like Cardamom Hills, Anaimalai Hills and Nilgiri mountains) playing active roles in the Monsoon are considered major extensions of the Western Ghats and thus not discussed separately [5] Firstly, Himalayas serve as orographic barriers to the SW Monsoon Winds. Secondly, they help in the confinement of Monsoon within the subcontinent region, hampering their northward progress. Thirdly, they help in the convergence of the Bay of Bengal branch and Arabian Sea Branch of the SW Monsoon winds increasing the precipitation intensity over the northern part of the subcontinent. Fourthly they are a major factor in the bursting of Monsoon as per the Jet Stream Theory. Fifth, they assist in the determination of directionality of the Bay of Bengal branch for NE Monsoon. Their role is still a matter of active study and our understanding about them is evolving regularly [6] When the South East Trade winds cross the equator, in the northern hemisphere they are also perceived as equatorial westerlies since they seem to blowing from the equator towards the Tropic Of Cancer. Similarly, due to the ITCZ being at Tropic of Cancer, the North-East Trades are confined to the north of the Tropic of Cancer [7] Change of direction or origin of winds changes their nomenclature as noted above [8] Geostrophic winds blow parallel to the isobars and keep low-pressure zone to their left in the Northern Hemisphere and to the right in the Southern Hemisphere. The reversal is a result of the Coriolis effect.
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