FR 11 66 ValuationOfAnIndianTelcomCompany
FR 11 66 ValuationOfAnIndianTelcomCompany
FR 11 66 ValuationOfAnIndianTelcomCompany
Parameters
MAR'10
MAR'11
MAR'12
MAR'13
Gross Sales
35,609.5
38,017.7
41,603.8
45,350.9
Net Sales
35,609.5
38,017.7
41,603.8
45,350.9
6.76%
9.43%
9.01%
-14.7
-7.2
2.3
30.0
35.0
23.3
16.0
-28.1
Growth Rate
EXPENDITURE:
Increase/Decrease in Stock
Raw Materials Consumed
Power & Fuel Cost
Employee Cost
Other Manufacturing Expenses
Administration Expenses
Selling and Distribution Expenses
Miscellaneous Expenses
0.10%
0.06%
0.04%
-0.06%
2,265.0
2,523.3
2,972.7
3,569.9
6.36%
6.64%
7.15%
7.87%
1,500.6
1,451.2
1,391.5
1,511.3
4.21%
3.82%
3.34%
3.33%
11,041.8
12,280.0
14,230.0
16,527.1
31.01%
32.30%
34.20%
36.44%
4,331.1
5,082.1
5,706.7
6,351.1
12.16%
13.37%
13.72%
14.00%
2,161.3
2,957.6
3,018.9
3,350.0
6.07%
7.78%
7.26%
7.39%
531.0
535.9
622.0
568.9
1.49%
1.41%
1.50%
1.25%
Total Expenditure
21,851.0
24,846.2
27,960.1
31,880.2
13,758.5
13,171.5
13,643.7
13,470.7
377.3
490.0
624.7
1,463.1
Other Income
% PBIT
2.74%
3.72%
4.58%
10.86%
14,135.8
13,661.5
14,268.4
14,933.8
-568.0
324.1
1,396.2
1,652.3
14,703.8
13,337.4
12,872.2
13,281.5
Depreciation
4,004.5
4,611.6
5,916.0
6,826.7
% of sales
11.25%
12.13%
14.22%
15.05%
10,699.3
8,725.8
6,956.2
6,454.8
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
Operating Profit
Interest
PBDT
10,699.3
8,725.8
6,956.2
6,454.8
1,273.1
1,008.9
1,226.2
1,358.5
Tax rate
11.90%
11.56%
17.63%
21.05%
9,426.2
7,716.9
5,730.0
5,096.3
PAT
MAR'14
MAR'15
MAR'16
MAR'17
MAR'18
MAR'19
49,918.5
54,946.1
60,480.1
66,571.5
73,276.4
80,656.5
49,918.5
54,946.1
60,480.1
66,571.5
73,276.4
80,656.5
10.07%
10.07%
10.07%
10.07%
10.07%
10.07%
1.0
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.3
2.3
1.2
9.5
9.5
9.5
9.5
9.5
0.00%
0.02%
0.02%
0.01%
0.01%
0.01%
4,169.7
4,395.7
4,838.4
5,325.7
5,862.1
6,452.5
8.35%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
8.00%
1,648.1
1,923.1
2,116.8
2,330.0
2,564.7
2,823.0
3.30%
3.50%
3.50%
3.50%
3.50%
3.50%
17,208.7
18,681.7
20,563.2
22,634.3
24,914.0
27,423.2
34.47%
34.00%
34.00%
34.00%
34.00%
34.00%
6,764.7
7,692.5
8,467.2
9,320.0
10,258.7
11,291.9
13.55%
14.00%
14.00%
14.00%
14.00%
14.00%
2,906.1
3,846.2
4,233.6
4,660.0
5,129.3
5,646.0
5.82%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
7.00%
920.2
817.0
899.3
989.8
1,089.5
1,199.3
1.84%
1.49%
1.49%
1.49%
1.49%
1.49%
33,619.7
37,367.9
41,130.3
45,271.6
49,830.1
54,847.6
16,298.8
17,578.2
19,349.8
21,299.9
23,446.3
25,808.9
853.4
1,406.3
1,741.5
2,130.0
2,579.1
3,097.1
5.24%
8.00%
9.00%
10.00%
11.00%
12.00%
17,152.2
18,984.5
21,091.3
23,429.9
26,025.4
28,906.0
1,336.4
1,336.4
1,336.4
1,336.4
1,336.4
1,336.4
15,815.8
17,648.1
19,754.9
22,093.5
24,689.0
27,569.6
7,231.3
8,241.9
9,072.0
10,651.4
11,724.2
12,098.5
14.49%
15.00%
15.00%
16.00%
16.00%
15.00%
8,584.5
9,406.2
10,682.9
11,442.0
12,964.8
15,471.1
-207.1
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
0.0
8,377.4
9,406.2
10,682.9
11,442.0
12,964.8
15,471.1
1,777.2
1,975.3
2,457.1
2,631.7
2,981.9
3,558.4
21.21%
21.00%
23.00%
23.00%
23.00%
23.00%
6,600.2
7,430.9
8,225.8
8,810.4
9,982.9
11,912.8
Year
Equities and Liabilities
Share Capital
Share Warrants & Outstandings
Shareholder's Funds
Secured Loans
Unsecured Loans
Deferred Tax Assets / Liabilities
Other Long Term Liabilities
Long Term Provisions
Total Non-Current Liabilities
Trade Payables
Current Liabilities
Other Current Liabilities
Short Term Borrowings
Short Term Provisions
Total Current Liabilities
Total Liabilities
ASSETS
Gross Block
Less: Accumulated Depreciation
Net Block
Capital Work in Progress
Intangible assets under development
Non Current Investments
Long Term Loans & Advances
Other Non Current Assets
Total Non-Current Assets
Total Reserves
Current Assets Loans & Advances
Currents Investments
Inventories
Cash and Bank
Other Current Assets
Short Term Loans and Advances
Total Current Assets
Net Current Assets (Including Current Investments)
Total Current Assets Excluding Current Investments
Total Assets
Mar'10
Mar'11
Mar'12
Mar'13
Mar'14
1,898.80
1,898.80
1,898.80
1,898.80
1,998.70
36,737.20
39.4
4,999.50
3.3
0
0
5,042.20
7,784.40
44,111.60
17.1
7,451.60
527.6
2,513.20
100.2
10,609.70
4,959.80
49,429.60
2.9
8,230.90
836.7
2,518.40
140.5
11,729.40
4,512.10
54,146.20
2
9,838.80
1,150.30
3,170.80
149.4
14,311.30
5,137.20
66,728.00
1.4
7,270.30
947.5
3,939.40
209.5
12,368.10
6,266.30
4,500.40
0
5,353.10
17,637.90
59,417.30
8,609.70
2,764.40
6,861.10
23,195.00
77,916.30
8,200.00
5,895.60
8,287.40
26,895.10
88,054.10
10,603.40
3,139.00
546.1
19,425.70
87,883.20
10,645.40
1,251.00
945.3
19,108.00
98,204.10
44,212.50
16,187.50
28,025.00
1,594.70
0
11,153.70
0
0
40,773.40
34,652.30
61,437.40
20,736.70
40,700.70
1,432.00
5,047.20
11,705.10
7,081.20
305.9
66,272.10
41,934.20
66,906.80
26,466.00
40,440.80
923
3,543.50
11,804.10
8,481.70
1,087.00
66,280.10
47,237.70
76,206.10
33,023.50
43,182.60
1,030.80
0
27,119.10
8,935.80
1,411.10
81,679.40
51,963.30
79,574.30
39,696.10
39,878.20
1,244.20
0
34,034.80
14,518.00
1,790.10
91,465.30
64,492.80
4,619.60
27.2
816.7
66.4
11,009.00
18,643.90
1,006.00
14,024.30
59,417.30
107.9
34.4
133.2
1,026.70
8,880.10
11,644.20
-11,550.80
11,536.30
77,916.30
533.7
32.1
481.2
1,052.00
17,540.50
21,774.00
-5,121.10
21,240.30
88,054.10
1,080.00
2.1
362.7
1,098.90
1,413.30
6,203.80
-13,221.90
5,123.80
87,883.20
489.1
1.1
446
1,215.30
2,421.80
6,738.80
-12,369.20
6,249.70
98,204.10
2010
2011
2012
2013
44,212.5
16,187.5
61,437.4
20,736.7
17,224.9
66,906.8
26,466.0
5,469.4
76,206.1
33,023.5
9,299.3
Rupees Crores)
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
79,574.3
39,696.1
3,368.2
86,081.7
34,650.1
6,507.4
93,121.2
38,200.9
7,039.5
100,576.4
42,900.8
7,455.2
107,591.2
46,590.4
7,014.8
116,001.8
50,225.1
8,410.6
Year
Gross block
% increase
Less : accumulated depreciation
% of gross block
2010
44,212.50
16,187.50
0.37
2013
76,206.10
0.14
33,023.50
0.43
2014
79,574.30
0.04
39,696.10
0.50
2015
86,081.65
0.08
34,650.08
0.40
2016
93,121.16
0.08
38,200.91
0.41
2017
100,576.40
0.08
42,900.78
0.43
2018
107,591.23
0.07
46,590.37
0.43
2019
116,001.81
0.08
50,225.15
0.43
Year
Current Assets Loans & Advances
Currents Investments
% of Expenses
2010
2011
2012
0.00
0.00
0.00
4619.60
107.90
533.70
21%
0%
2%
27.20
34.40
32.10
% of Expenses
0%
0%
0%
816.70
133.20
481.20
Inventories
% of Sales turnover
Other Current Assets
% of Sales turnover
Short Term Loans and Advances
2%
0%
1%
66.40
1026.70
1052.00
0%
3%
3%
11009.00
8880.10
17540.50
% of Sales turnover
31%
23%
42%
16538.90
10182.30
19639.50
0.00
0.00
0.00
7784.40
4959.80
4512.10
22%
13%
11%
4500.40
8609.70
8200.00
% of COGS
13%
23%
20%
0.00
2764.40
5895.60
0%
7%
14%
5353.10
6861.10
8287.40
15%
18%
20%
17637.90
23195.00
26895.10
Working Capital
-1099.00
-13012.70
-7255.60
-11913.70
5757.10
Current Liabilities
Trade Payables
% of COGS
Other Current Liabilities
% of COGS
Short Term Provisions
% of COGS
2014
2015
2016
2017
2018
2019
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
1080.00
489.10
671.27
738.86
813.25
895.14
985.28
3%
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2.10
1.10
1.80
1.98
2.18
2.40
2.64
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
0%
362.70
446.00
490.92
540.36
594.79
654.69
720.63
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1%
1098.90
1215.30
1337.70
1472.43
1620.73
1783.96
1963.64
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
1413.30
2421.80
2665.72
2934.20
3229.72
3555.01
3913.06
3%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
5%
3957.00
4573.30
5167.41
5687.83
6260.67
6891.20
7585.24
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
0.00
5137.20
6266.30
6348.18
7136.42
7962.78
8624.80
9552.48
11%
13%
12%
12%
12%
12%
12%
10603.40
10645.40
11934.32
12999.84
14622.61
15846.00
17502.86
23%
21%
22%
21%
22%
22%
22%
3139.00
1251.00
1377.00
1515.68
1668.34
1836.37
2021.32
7%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
3%
546.10
945.30
1040.51
1145.30
1260.66
1387.63
1527.38
1%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
2%
19425.70
19108.00
20700.01
22797.25
25514.38
27694.80
30604.04
-15468.70
-14534.70
-15532.60
-17109.41
-19253.71
-20803.60
-23018.80
-8213.10
934.00
-997.90
-1576.82
-2144.30
-1549.88
-2215.21
Cost of Equity
Capital Asset pricing Model
Risk free rate
Market Rate of Return
Beta
Cost of Debt=
=> Interest Rate=
Weight of Equity
Weight of Debt
8.64%
16.0%
0.97
8%
30%
90.2%
9.8%
15.8%
=>
=>
Cost of Capital=
Cost of Capital=
Year
Adjusted Net Profit
Interest(1-tax rate)
Depreciation
Capital Expenditure
Net Change in Working Capital
FCFF
2010
2011
2012
2013
2014
2015
9,426.2
-500.4
4,004.5
0.0
0.0
7,716.9
286.6
4,611.6
17,224.9
-11,913.7
5,730.0
1,150.1
5,916.0
5,469.4
5,757.1
5,096.3
1,304.6
6,826.7
9,299.3
-8,213.1
6,600.2
1,052.9
7,231.3
3,368.2
934.0
7,430.9
1,055.8
8,241.9
6,507.4
-997.9
12,930.3
7,303.9
Year
Discount Factor
DCF
Present Value
Perpetual growth rate
Terminal Value
Present Terminal Value
48,989.0
0.1
227,540.3
114,221.4
Enterprise Value
Cash
Debt
163,210.4
446.0
7,271.7
Equity Value
0.1
9,774.5
170,928.1
2018
2019
8,225.8 8,810.4
9,982.9
1,029.0 1,029.0
1,029.0
9,072.0 10,651.4 11,724.2
7,039.5 7,455.2
7,014.8
-1,576.8 -2,144.3 -1,549.9
11,912.8
1,029.0
12,098.5
8,410.6
-2,215.2
18,844.9
2017
9,764.7 10,038.8
9,951.2
9,459.8
Trading Comparables
Source: Bloomberg
Price/Sales
(in Rs crores)
Market Cap
368098.19
Company
BHARTI AIRTEL LTD
Firm Value
544971.19
2014
1.1x
Airtel Peers
RELIANCE COMMUNICATIONS LTD
1.2x
2.0x
0.5x
1.2x
1.2x
Mean
Median
Mar'14(in Rs crores)
Airtel's Sales
Airtel's EBITDA
Airtel's EPS
49918.5
16298.8
17.03
61,175
123,725
516,569
400
222,813
289,657
Weightage
30%
40%
30%
FV/EBITDA
P/E
2014
6.6x
2014
45.7x
8.9x
23.6x
7.1x
6.8x
7.6x
7.1x
26.2x
99.8x
49.9x
26.2x