Mani Report 1
Mani Report 1
Mani Report 1
A thermal power station is a power plant in which the prime mover is steam driven.
Water is heated, turns into steam and spins a steam turbine which either drives an
electrical generator or does some other work, like ship propulsion. After it passes
through the turbine, the steam is condensed in a condenser and recycled to where it
was heated; this is known as a Rankine cycle.
Almost all coal, nuclear, geothermal, solar thermal electric, and waste incineration
plants, as well as many natural gas power plants are thermal. Natural gas is
frequently combusted in gas turbines as well as boilers.
Commercial electric utility power stations are most usually constructed on a very large
scale and designed for continuous operation. Electric power plants typically use threephase or individual-phase electrical generators to produce alternating current (AC)
electric power at a frequency of 50 Hz or 60 Hz (hertz, which is an AC sine wave per
second) depending on its location in the world.
CONTENTS
1.
2.
3.
4.
5.
6.
7.
8.
9.
Introduction.02
Need For thermal power generation..04
Classification..05
Basic definitions.07
Functioning of thermal power plant...11
ADVANTAGES...17
DISADVANTAGES18
Future Prospects19
BIBLIOGRAPHY21
CHAPTER 1
INTRODUCTION
Almost all coal, nuclear, geothermal, solar thermal electric, and waste incineration
plants, as well as many natural gas power plants are thermal. Natural gas is
frequently combusted in gas turbines as well as boilers. The waste heat from a gas
turbine can be used to raise steam, in a combined cycleplant that improves overall
efficiency. Power plants burning coal, oil, or natural gas are often referred to
collectively as fossil-fuel power plants. Some biomass-fueled thermal power plants
have appeared also. Non-nuclear thermal power plants, particularly fossil-fueled
plants, which do not usecogeneration, are sometimes referred to as conventional
power plants.
In thermal power stations, mechanical power is produced by a heat engine that
transforms thermal energy, often from combustion of a fuel, into rotational energy.
Most thermal power stations produce steam, and these are sometimes called steam
power stations. Not all thermal energy can be transformed into mechanical power,
according to the second law of thermodynamics. Therefore, there is always heat lost
to the environment. If this loss is employed as useful heat, for industrial processes or
district heating, the power plant is referred to as a cogeneration power plant or CHP
(combined heat-and-power) plant. In countries where district heating is common,
there are dedicated heat plants called heat-only boiler stations. An important class of
power stations in the Middle East uses by-product heat for the desalination of water.
Commercial electric utility power stations are most usually constructed on a very large
scale and designed for continuous operation. Electric power plants typically use threephase or individual-phase electrical generators to produce alternating current (AC)
electric power at a frequency of 50 Hz or 60 Hz (hertz, which is an AC sine wave per
second) depending on its location in the world. Other large companies or institutions
may have their own usually smaller power plants to supply heating or electricity to
their facilities, especially if heat or steam is created anyway for other purposes.
Shipboard steam-driven power plants have been used in various large ships in the
past, but these days are used most often in large naval ships. Such shipboard power
plants are general lower power capacity than full-size electric company plants, but
otherwise have many similarities except that typically the main steam turbines
mechanically turn the propulsion propellers, either through reduction gears or directly
by the same shaft. The steam power plants in such ships also provide steam to
separate smaller turbines driving electric generators to supply electricity in the ship.
Shipboard steam power plants can be either conventional or nuclear; the shipboard
nuclear plants are mostly in the navy. There have been perhaps about a dozen turboelectric ships in which a steam-driven turbine drives an electric generator which
powers an electric motor for propulsion.
Thermal power station is a power plant in which the prime mover is steam driven.
Water is heated, turns into steam and spins a steam turbine which either drives an
electrical generator or does some other work, like ship propulsion. After it passes
through the turbine, the steam is condensed in a condenser and recycled to where it
was heated; this is known as a Rankine cycle. The greatest variation in the design of
thermal power stations is due to the different fuel sources. Some prefer to use the
term energy center because such facilities convert forms of heat energy into electrical
energy.
History
Reciprocating steam engines have been used for mechanical power sources since the
18th Century, with notable improvements being made by James Watt. The very first
commercial central electrical generating stations in New York and London, in 1882,
also used reciprocating steam engines. As generator sizes increased, eventually
turbines took over they encres the hose power.
CHAPTER 2
NEED FOR THERMAL POWER GENERATION
Scarcity of water resources: Water resources are not abundantly available and are
geographically unevenly distributed. Thus hydel power plants cannot be installed with
ease and are limited to certain locations.
Widely available alternate flues: Many alternate fuels such as coal, diesel, nuclear
fuels, geo-thermal energy sources, solar-energy, biomass fuels can be used to
generate power using steam cycles.
Maintenance and lubrication cost is lower: Once installed, these require less
maintenance costs and on repairs. Lubrication is not a major problem compared to
hydel power plant.
Coal is abundant: Coal is available in excess quantities in India and is rich form of
energy available at relatively lower cost.
Working fluid remains within the system, and need not be replaced every time thus
simplifies the process.
CHAPTER 3
CLASSIFICATION
Thermal power plants are classified by the type of fuel and the type of prime mover
Installed.
By fuel
Nuclear power plants use a nuclear reactor's heat to operate a steam turbine
generator.
Fossil fuelled power plants may also use a steam turbine generator or in the case of
natural gas fired plants may use a combustion turbine. A coal-fired power station
produces electricity by burning coal to generate steam, and has the side-effect of
producing a large amount of carbon dioxide, which is released from burning coal and
contributes to global warming
Geothermal power plants use steam extracted from hot underground rocks.
Biomass Fuelled Power Plants may be fuelled by waste from sugar cane, municipal
solid waste, landfill methane, or other forms of biomass.
Solar thermal electric plants use sunlight to boil water, which turns the generator.
By prime mover
Steam turbine plants use the dynamic pressure generated by expanding steam to turn
the blades of a turbine
Gas turbine plants use the dynamic pressure from flowing gases (air and combustion
products) to directly operate the turbine.
Combined cycle plants have both a gas turbine fired by natural gas, and a steam
boiler and steam turbine which use the hot exhaust gas from the gas turbine to
produce electricity
Reciprocating engines are used to provide power for isolated communities and are
frequently used for small cogeneration plants. Hospitals, office buildings, industrial
plants, and other critical facilities also use them to provide backup power in case of a
power outage
Microturbines, Stirling engine and internal combustion reciprocating engines are lowcost solutions for using opportunity fuels, such as landfill gas, digester gas from water
treatment plants and waste gas from oil production
Efficiency
Power is energy per unit time. The power output or capacity of an electric plant can be
expressed in units of megawatts electric (MWe). The electric efficiency of a
conventional thermal power station, considered as saleable energy (in MWe) produced
at the plant busbars as a percent of the heating value of the fuel consumed, is
typically 33% to 48% efficient. This efficiency is limited as all heat engines are
governed by the laws of thermodynamics (See: Carnot cycle). The rest of the energy
must leave the plant in the form of heat. This waste heat can go through a condenser
and be disposed of with cooling water or in cooling towers. If the waste heat is instead
utilized for district heating, it is called cogeneration. An important class of thermal
power station is associated with desalination facilities; these are typically found in
desert countries with large supplies of natural gas and in these plants, freshwater
production and electricity are equally important co-products.
Since the efficiency of the plant is fundamentally limited by the ratio of the absolute
temperatures of the steam at turbine input and output, efficiency improvements
require use of higher temperature, and therefore higher pressure, steam. Historically,
other working fluids such as mercury have been experimentally used in a mercury
vapor turbine power plant, since these can attain higher temperatures than water at
lower working pressures. However, the obvious hazards of toxicity, and poor heat
transfer properties, have ruled out mercury as a working fluid.
CHAPTER 4
BASIC DEFINITIONS
Steam is vaporized water and can be produced at 100C at standard atmosphere.
In common speech, steam most often refers to the visible white mist that condenses
above boiling water as the hot vapor mixes with the cooler air.
Turbine A turbine is a rotary engine that extracts energy from a fluid or air flow and
converts it into useful work.
The simplest turbines have one moving part, a rotor assembly, which is a shaft or
drum, with blades attached. Moving fluid acts on the blades, or the blades react to the
flow, so that they move and impart rotational energy to the rotor. Early turbine exare
windmills and waterwheels.
Fig Typical turbine
Electric generator An electric generator is a device that converts mechanical energy to
electrical energy. A generator forces electrons in the windings to flow through the
external electrical circuit. It is somewhat analogous to a water pump, which creates a
flow of water but does not create the water inside.
A boiler or steam generator is used wherever a source of steam is required. The form
and size depends on the application: mobile steam engines such as steam
locomotives, portable engines and steam-powered road vehicles typically use a
smaller boiler that forms an integral part of the vehicle;
Second law of thermodynamics The second law of thermodynamics is an expression of
the universal principle of entropy, stating that the entropy of anisolated system which
is not in equilibrium will tend to increase over time, approaching a maximum value at
equilibrium; and that the entropy change dSof a system undergoing any infinitesimal
reversible process is given by dq / T, where dq is the heat supplied to the system and
T is the absolute temperature of the system.
CHAPTER 5
FUNCTIONING OF THERMAL POWER PLANT:
In a thermal power plant, one of coal, oil or natural gas is used to heat the boiler to
convert the water into steam. The steam is used to turn a turbine, which is connected
to a generator. When the turbine turns, electricity is generated and given as output by
the generator, which is then supplied to the consumers through high-voltage power
lines.
Fig steam power generation
Typical diagram of a coal-fired thermal power station
1. Cooling tower
10. Steam Control valve
19. Superheater
2. Cooling water pump
11. High pressure steam turbine
20.Forced draught (draft) fan
3. transmission line (3-phase)
12. Deaerator
21. Reheater
4. Step-up transformer (3-phase)
13. Feed water heater
22. Combustion air intake
5. Electrical generator (3-phase)
14. Coal conveyor
23. Economiser
6.Low pressure steam turbine
15. Coal hopper
24. Air preheater
7. Condensate pump
16. Coal pulverizer
25. Precipitator
8. Surface condenser
17. Boiler steam drum
26.Induced draught (draft) fan
9.Intermediate pressure steam turbine
18. Bottom ash hopper
27. Flue gas stack
Boiler heating: The boiler is heated with the help of oil, coal or natural gas. A furnace
is used to heat the fuel and supply the heat produced to the boiler. The increase in
temperature helps in the transformation of water into steam.
Steam Turbine: The steam generated in the boiler is sent through a steam turbine.
The turbine has blades that rotate when high velocity steam flows across them. This
rotation of turbine blades is used to generate electricity.
Generator: A generator is connected to the steam turbine. When the turbine rotates,
the generator produces electricity which is then passed on to the power distribution
systems.
Special mountings: There is some other equipment like the economizer and air preheater. An economizer uses the heat from the exhaust gases to heat the feed water.
An air pre-heater heats the air sent into the combustion chamber to improve the
efficiency of the combustion process.
Ash collection system: There is a separate residue and ash collection system in place
to collect all the waste materials from the combustion process and to prevent them
from escaping into the atmosphere.
Apart from this, there are various other monitoring systems and instruments in place
to keep track of the functioning of all the devices. This prevents any hazards from
taking place in the plant.
A Rankine cycle with a two-stage steam turbine and a single feedwater heater.
The second law of thermodynamics states that any closed-loop cycle can only convert
a fraction of the heat produced during combustion into mechanical work. The rest of
the heat, called waste heat, must be released into a cooler environment during the
return portion of the cycle. The fraction of heat released into a cooler medium must
be equal or larger than the ratio ofabsolute temperatures of the cooling system
(environment) and the heat source (combustion furnace). Raising the furnace
temperature improves the efficiency but also increases the steam pressure,
complicates the design and makes the furnace more expensive. The waste heat
cannot be converted into mechanical energy without an even cooler cooling system.
However, it may be used in cogeneration plants to heat buildings, produce hot water,
or to heat materials on an industrial scale, such as in some oil refineries, cement
plants, and chemical synthesis plants.
Typical thermal efficiency for electrical generators in the electricity industry is around
33% for coal and oil-fired plants, and up to 50% for combined-cycle gas-fired plants
CHAPTER 6
ADVANTAGES
The fuel used is quite cheap.
Less initial cost as compared to other generating plants.
It can be installed at any place irrespective of the existence of coal. The coal can be
transported to the site of the plant by rail or road.
It requires less space as compared to Hydro power plants.
CHAPTER 7
DISADVANTAGES
It pollutes the atmosphere due to production of large amount of smoke and fumes.
It is costlier in running cost as compared to Hydro electric plants.
well, stations always take up room for the environment which could be cultivated for
the use of growing food etc. which is a great disadvantage is our day and age, as food
is necessary to live.
However, this could create more jobs for a lot of people thus increasing in a good way
our current economic situation which by is failing miserably.
Over all capital investment is very high on account of turbines, condensers, boilers
reheaters etc .maintenance cost is also high on lubrication, fuel handling, fuel
processing.
It requires comparatively more space and more skilled operating staff as the
operations are complex and required precise execution
A large number of circuits makes the design complex
Starting of a thermal power plant takes fairly long time as the boiler operation and
steam generation process are not rapid and instantaneous
CHAPTER 8
FUTURE PROSPECTS
Effective Use of Fossil Fuels and Reduction in CO2 Emissions by Improving the
Efficiency of Thermal Power Generation
At present, thermal power generation accounts for approximately 70% of the total
amount of electricity produced around the world. However, thermal power generation,
which uses fossil fuels, causes more CO2 emissions than other power generation
methods. In order to reduce CO2emissions per unit power produced, Toshiba Group is
developing next-generation thermal power technologies aimed at improving plant
efficiency and commercializing the CCS*1 (CO2 capture and storage) system.
To improve the efficiency of thermal power generation, it is of vital importance that
the temperature of the steam or gas used to rotate the turbines is raised. Toshiba
Group is working on the development of ultra-high-temperature materials and cooling
technologies in order to commercialize an A-USC*2 system (Advanced Ultra-Super
Critical steam turbine system) more efficient than previous models, which is designed
to increase steam temperature from 600C to above the 700C mark. In the
area of combined cycle power generation using a combination of gas and steam
turbines, we are also engaged in jointly developing a power generation system
designed to increase gas temperature to the level of 1,500C with the U.S.
Company General Electric, which is starting commercial operation in July 2008 in
Japan.
BIBLIOGRAPHY
1. British Electricity International (1991).Modern Power Station Practice: incorporating
modern power system practice (3rd Edition (12 volume set) ed.). Pergamon. ISBN 008-040510-X.
2. Babcock & Wilcox Co. (2005).Steam: Its Generation and Use (41st edition ed.).
ISBN 0-9634570-0-4.
3. Thomas C. Elliott, Kao Chen, Robert Swanekamp (coauthors) (1997).Standard
Handbook of Powerplant Engineering (2nd edition ed.). McGraw-Hill Professional.ISBN
0-07-019435-1.
4. Air Pollution Control Orientation Coursefrom website of the Air Pollution Training
Reference:http://seminarprojects.com/Thread-thermal-power-generation-fullreport#ixzz3qDVaL7KN
Director, CAMPS, NPTI & Mrs. Priya Kumar, Senior Manager, Project Division,
Power Finance Corporation Limited At Power Finance Corporation, New Delhi
Submitted By Ankit Doveriyal Roll No. 15 MBA (POWER MANAGEMENT) (Under
ministry of Power, Govt. of India) Affiliated to MAHARSHI DAYANAND UNIVERSITY,
ROHTAK AUGUST 2013 i DECLARATION I, Ankit Doveriyal, Roll No 15, student of
MBA-Power Management (2012-14) at National Power Training Institute,
Faridabad hereby declare that the Summer Training Report entitled PROJECT
APPRAISIAL AND FINANCIAL MODELLING OF A THERMAL POWER PLANT is an
original work and the same has not been submitted to any other Institute for the
award of any other degree. A Seminar presentation of the Training Report was
made on ________________________ and the suggestions as approved by the faculty
were duly incorporated. Presentation In-Charge Signature of the Candidate
(Faculty) Countersigned Director/Principal of the Institute ii ACKNOWLEDGEMENT
It is often said that life is a mixture of achievements, failures, experiences,
exposures and efforts to make your dream come true. There are people around
you who help you realize your dream. I acquire this opportunity with much
pleasure to acknowledge the invaluable assistance of Power Finance Corporation
and all the people who have helped me through the course of my journey in
successful completion of this project. I wish to express my sincere gratitude to
my Company Guide, Mrs. Priya Kumar (Senior Manager, Project Appraisal
Division, PFC) for her guidance, help and motivation. Apart from the subject of
my study, I learnt a lot from her, which I am sure, will be useful in different
stages of my life. I would like to thank Mrs. Shweta Vithal (Dy Manager, Project
Appraisal Division) for her help in understanding and formulating the model
design and methodology as well as help me in acquitting to the Power Sector and
clearing my concepts and Mr. Natesh Sarma (Officer, Project Appraisal Division)
for his review and helpful comments. I would like to thank Mr. Rakesh Mohan,
Senior Manager (HR) for providing me with this wonderful opportunity to work at
Power Finance Corporation. I express my thanks to Mrs. Indu Maheshwari, Dy.
Director, Faculty guide, NPTI for her kind cooperation during the period of my
summer internship. I feel deep sense of gratitude towards Mr S.K.Chaudhary,
Principal Director, CAMPS(NPTI), NPTI and Mrs. Manju Mam, Director, Mrs. Indu
Maheshwari, Dy. Director, NPTI for arranging my internship at Power Finance
Corporation and being a constant source of motivation and guidance throughout
the course of my internship. I am grateful to my friends who gave me the moral
support in my times of difficulties. Last but not the least I would like to express
my special thanks to my family for their continuous motivation and support.
Regards, Ankit Doveriyal Class of 2012- 2014 (NPTI) iii EXECUTIVE SUMMARY
Rapid economic growth has increased the burden of Indias infrastructure, one of
the countrys week spots. An infrastructure deficit is widely considered to be one
of the factors that could severely affect the economic growth of the country. In
the past few years, policy makers have recognized the importance of
infrastructure in economic growth and have made concrete efforts to accelerate
infrastructure development. Power Sector continues to lag behind despite the
introduction of progressive measures. Power shortages, increased tariffs,
shortage of coal and dependence on imported fuel are on rise, while the poor
health of the distribution continues to inhibit the inflows of investments which
have possessed growth risk for the Indian Electricity Sector. India's demand for
electricity is likely to cross 300 GW, in few years earlier than most estimates.
Meeting this demand will require a fivefold to tenfold increase in the pace of
capacity addition. With the growing demand of power, there is huge potential of
investment in power sector of India. The power sector which is in the concurrent
list of the Indian Constitution is under the purview of both the central
government and the state government. The power sector which was earlier
dominated by public sector undertaking is now seeing effective participation of
the private sector which is now accountable for 28% of power generation in the
country. Power Finance Corporation Ltd. (PFC) a public financial institution
established In 1986 by the Ministry Of Power as a Financial Institution (FI) to
provide financing solution to large capital intensive power project across India
including generation, transmission, distribution and RM&U projects. My Summer
Internship Project is Project & Entity Appraisal of Thermal Power Plant. It
resolves around the appraisal of the power project promoted by the company
ABC Power Limited, which has come for financial assistance of its Capital
Expenditure and Working Capital Requirements. The project is being appraised
after evaluating it on the various parameters set by Central Electricity Regulatory
Commission (CERC) and the set parameters at PFC. My work also include
appraisal of Promoters of the project which is based on set parameters at PFC
.The aim of the appraisal is to finally arrive at the decision: whether PFC should
finance the project or not. As per the guidelines of PFC the project is evaluated
into two parts: Project Appraisal and Entity Appraisal. The format of the project
report will be in the form of Agenda Note as per PFC norms. Project Appraisal is
carried out by Project Appraisal Department which evaluate the financial and
technical viability of the project. iv Entity Appraisal is carried out by Entity
Electricity Act, 1910 which was the first basic legal framework for the electricity
sector in the country. Supply of energy was the main concept around which
various provisions were woven. The act talked about the Licence for generating
and supplying electricity, Competition in generation and supply areas,
Framework of wires and works, Licensee and Consumer relationship, Safety
Measures and Theft of electricity in the power sector. Post independence our
priorities changed, the supply of electricity which was limited to cities and towns
was to be spread across the country, especially in rural areas. This was seen as a
social responsibility of the Government to provide electricity to all. Thus The
Electricity Supply Act, 1948 was passed in the Central legislature to facilitate
the establishment of regional co-ordination in the development of electricity
which envisaged formation of State Electricity Boards (SEB) as an arm of State
Government to discharge their responsibility of providing electricity to all. The
act mandated that every State shall constitute a SEB. SEBs were entrusted with
the task of developing power generation, transmission as well as distribution
facilities. The Act also called for formation of Central Electricity Authority (CEA),
which was envisaged as the main technical arm of the Central Government. It
also had to perform the role of technical advisor to the State Government, SEB,
Generation Company or any other agency and form regulations on certain
aspects of which the most important was the technoeconomic clearance of
generation projects. However, in 1970s SEBs started making losses largely on
account of political interference, mismanagement and inefficiencies in
operations. Flat rate tariff (near zero usage charge) were introduced for the
agricultural connections and high tariff was imposed on industrial & commercial
users, such cross-subsidy led to increase in theft and the losses increased. As the
boards were not able to make money, they became increasingly dependent on
the government for funding. Because of the shortage of funds, SEBs were unable
to increase generation capacity and were not maintaining their assets. Therefore,
SEBs went into a vicious cycle that led to further drop in the performance of
their operations and subsequently increased their losses. In 1980s, the SEBs
were able to show about 3% of statutory returns with the help of flawed
accounting system but in practice the accruals were not sufficient for growth and
the boards sought assistance from state governments. In this situation, the
government decided to create central generating utilities i.e. National thermal
power corporation (NTPC) & National Hydro Power Corporation (NHPC) to improve
the condition of power sector. The government also tried to connect the
generating entities scattered all over the country non-uniformly
2 | Page
Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling by forming The National Grid and thus
trying to overcome generation demand supply gap prevalent in different states.
In response to the balance-of-payment crisis in 1991, the government of India
decided to open up various sectors in the economy including power sector. The
power generation sector was de-licensed and the private parties were allowed to
setup generating facilities. The change in notification gave numerous incentives
to private sector such as 16% return on equity for plants that operated at plant
load factor (PLF) of 68.5%, five year tax holiday, two part tariff, equity
requirements as low as 20% of project cost and selective guarantees from
central government for payment default by SEBs. This liberal set of policies
with 100% ment of Ru ring has bee s in provid 4 | P a s; tory approa ; nt in qualit
to accelera rty and hu was notifie tricity suppl electricity a his the Cen Gandhi
Gram st a 33/11 ne Distribu e. d through R fication of capital sub ural Distribu en
built into ding electr a g e aches ty of ating uman ed in ly in as an ntral meen KV
ution REC, f unbsidy ution o the ricity
5 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial
Modeling 1.3 INTRODUCTION TO INDIAN POWER SECTOR Electricity is one of the
most vital infrastructure inputs for economic development of a country. The
demand of electricity in India is enormous and is growing steadily. The vast
Indian electricity market, today offers one of the highest growth opportunities for
private developers. Since independence, the Indian electricity sector has grown
many folds in size and capacity. The generating capacity has increased from a
meagre 1,362 MW in 1947 to more than 225,113 MW by May 2013, a gain of
almost 200 times in capacity addition. India's per capita energy consumption is
778kWh in 2011 -- a rise of almost 400 percent since 1980. Although, India's
energy consumption per unit of output is still rising, but it is expected to level off
and to decline in the future. India consumes two-thirds more energy per dollar of
gross domestic product (GDP) as the world average. India consumes only about
18 percent of the energy per person as the world average. Over 65 per cent of
India's electricity is produced in thermal facilities using coal or petroleum
products. Almost 19 per cent electricity is generated by hydroelectric facilities. In
its quest for increasing availability of electricity, the country has adopted a blend
of thermal, hydro and nuclear sources. Out of these, coal based thermal power
plants and in some regions, hydro power plants have been the mainstay of
electricity generation. Of late, emphasis is also being laid on non-conventional
energy sources i.e. solar, wind and tidal which constitutes about 12 percent of
the total energy generation. Figure 2: Energy Production in Billion kWh (2010)
Source: wikipedia.org India is one of the main manufacturers and users of
energy. Globally, India is presently positioned as the fifth largest manufacturer of
energy, representing roughly 2.4% of the overall energy output per annum. It is
also the worlds fifth largest energy user, comprising about 3.3% of the overall
global energy expenditure per year. In spite of its 4,326 4,207 1,145 1,037 922
630 621 573 497 485 381 0 500 1,000 1,500 2,000 2,500 3,000 3,500 4,000
4,500 5,000
6 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling extensive yearly
energy output, Indian Power Sector is a regular importer of energy, because of
the huge disparity between oil production and utilization. Usually energy,
especially electricity, has a major contribution in speeding up the economic
development of the country. The existing production of per capita electricity in
India is above 778 kWh per annum. Ever since 1990s, Indias gross domestic
product (GDP) has been increasing very rapidly and it is estimated that it will
maintain the pace in couple of decades. The rise in GDP should be followed by an
increase in the expenditure of key energy other than electricity. The gross
electricity production capability of Indian Power Sector is placed at around
2,25,133 MW as on May 2013. Though, this is still not enough. All the Regions in
the Country namely Northern, Western, Southern, Eastern and NorthEastern
regions continued to experience energy as well as peak power shortage of
varying magnitude on an overall basis, although there were short-term surpluses
depending on the season or time of day. The energy shortage varied from 19.1%
in the Southern Region to 1.2% in the Western Region. As per CEAs forecast for
2013-2014 among the regions, only the Eastern region would have a surplus of
10.2%. Region-wise picture in regard to actual power supply position in the
country during the year 2013 -14 is given below: Table 1: All India Region wise
generation capacity Sl No. Region Coal Gas DSL Total Nuclear Hydro R.E.S Total 1
Northern 33073.50 5031.26 12.99 38117.75 1620.00 15467.75 5589.25
60794.75 2 Western 49584.51 8988.31 17.48 58590.30 1840.00 7447.50
8986.93 76864.73 3 Southern 25182.50 4962.78 939.32 31084.60 1320.00
11353.03 12251.85 56009.48 4 Eastern 23727.88 190.00 17.20 23935.08 0.00
4113.12 454.91 28503.11 5 N. Eastern 60.00 1187.50 142.74 1390.24 0.00
1242.00 252.68 2884.92 6 Islands 0.00 0.00 70.02 70.02 0.00 0.00 6.10 76.12 7
All India 131628.39 20359.85 1199.75 153187.99 4780.00 39623.40 27541.71
225133.10 Source: Power ministry as on 31-5-2013 In the past, the power sector
growth has not kept pace with the economic expansion and this has resulted in
India experiencing a 13 per cent shortage in peak capacity and 8 per cent in
energy terms, on an overall basis. Driven by the requirement to enhance the
budgetary allocations to social sectors to meet the emerging requirements of
sustainable growth, the Government has envisaged a manifold increase in the
role of the private sector in the financing and operations of the power sector.
Significant structural and regulatory reforms have paved the way for increased
private sector participation in all aspects of the sector. Many of the legal and
regulatory requirements to enable this are in place, while the operational
provisions are in different stages of implementation in different states. As per
CEAs forecast for 2013-14 18,432 MW of capacity is expected to be added,
comprising 15,234 MW of thermal power, 1,198 MW of hydropower and 2000 MW
of nuclear power. Capacity addition during 2012-13 stood at 20,502 MW.
7|
Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling 1.4 POWER SECTOR: KEY
DEVELOPMENTS AND CURRENT STATUS Indian government forecasted the
economic growth to be 6.1% - 6.7% for the year 2013- 2014 and to sustain this
growth it is imperative for the power sector to grow with the same pace.
Therefore, it becomes essential to assess the power sector by analysing its
current status, the key challenges faced by it, and its future growth drivers.
Power is considered to be a core industry as it facilitates development across
various sectors of the Indian economy, such as manufacturing, agriculture,
commercial enterprises and railways. Though India currently has the fifth largest
electricity generation capacity in the world pegged at 2,25,133 MW, the growth
of the economy is expected to boost electricity demand in coming years. Figure
3: All India Generation Capacity Source: powermin.gov.in India saw a total
capacity addition of approximately 54,000 MW during the 11th Five Year plan, of
which approximately 47 per cent was contributed by the central government, 34
per cent from the state government, and a little over 19 per cent from the
private sector. As per the Planning Commission report capacity addition of
88000MW is estimated in 12th five year plan. Some examples of top public
sector companies include National Thermal Power Corporation (NTPC), Damodar
Valley Corporation (DVC) and National Hydroelectric Power Corporation (NHPC).
Some key companies in the private sector include Tata Power and Reliance
Energy Limited. In India, power is primarily generated from thermal and nuclear
fuels, hydro energy and renewable sources. Indias power generation capacity
has significantly increased since 2008, and is also expected to show a strong
growth in the future. However, India faced a power deficit of approximately 8.5
per cent and a peak demand deficit of over 10 per cent in FY11 primarily due to
fuel shortage. This shortage can be attributed to aggregate technical and
commercial (AT&C) losses, which is about 30 per cent with a high variance across
various utilities. Therefore, it is essential for the government to work proactively
to increase the sectors generation capacity in a sustainable manner by
addressing key 153188 4780 39623 27542 225133.1 34444.12 0 50000 100000
150000 200000 250000 Thermal Nuclear Hydro RES Total Captive
8 | Page
Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling challenges, such as supply shortage and
distribution losses without damaging the environment, to attain a high growth
rate during the 12th Five Year Plan. To cope with the demand deficit, the Indian
government has implemented various progressive measures to maximise the
countrys power generation capacity and improve distribution. Some examples of
such measures include rural electrification programmes and ultra mega power
projects. In particular, the inflow of foreign direct investments is expected to step
up capacity addition significantly. The government has allowed FDI of up to 100
per cent through the automatic route in all segments of the power sector except
for nuclear energy. Consequently, the sector has drawn about US$ 4.6 billion
investment over the past decade, of which US$ 1.6 billion came in FY12 alone.
Hence, we can comfortably say that the Indian power sector has strong future
growth prospects. Consequently, we need to assess the various policy initiatives
that have had a positive impact on the sector, and capitalise upon them further
to ensure a strong future growth. 1.5 MAJOR ISSUES The most important sector in
infrastructure is the power sector. There is about 90 GW of capacity under
various stages of construction and attending to the outstanding issues facing
these projects must be given a high priority. However, given the time lag
involved in implementing power projects, it is necessary to ensure that projects
which will be commissioned only in the Thirteenth Plan can also move ahead
satisfactorily. Almost half the capacity in the Twelfth Plan is projected to come
from the private sector and the position is likely to be the same in the Thirteenth
Plan. Private sector investors in power generation have faced many problems in
recent times. They include (i) Inadequate supply of domestic coal and
unanticipated increase in prices of imported coal. (ii) Difficulties with clearances
for captive mines, as well as for generating stations. (iii) Land availability (iv)
Poor financial health of some state electricity distribution companies which are
the main customers and which suffer from insufficient tariff adjustment plus
inefficiencies in collection. (v) Inadequate availability of domestic natural gas.
(vi) Inadequate fuel supply agreements for coal. (vii) More recently, difficulties in
obtaining finance from both external and domestic sources. 1.6 INITIATIVES PPP
IN POWER To attract private sector participation, government has permitted the
private sector to set up coal, gas or liquid-based thermal, hydel, wind or solar
projects with foreign equity participation up to 100 per cent under the automatic
route. The government has also launched Ultra Mega Power Projects (UMPPs)
with an initial capacity of 4,000 MW to attract 160200 billion of private
investment. Out of the total nine UMPPs, four UMPPs at Mundra (Gujarat), Sasan
State make them nancial assi sure limit no rovide tech l reforms of ituted in PF
suitable res Figure 4: Bu Sourc URING IN Govt. to ini commercia istance to orms.
hnical/financ f the State P FC to advic structuring p usiness Stra ce: PFC We
NITIATIV itiate reform ally viable. reform-min cial assistan Power Secto ce and
assis programmes ategy of PF Website VES m and restru In this re nded States
nce to State or. sts the State s. C 13 | P a ucturing of t egard follow s under rela
Govts. / Po te Govt. /Po a g e their wing axed ower ower
14 | Page Project
Appraisal & Financial Modeling Table 3: Sanctions & Disbursements for the
respective financial years Particulars Financial Year 2007-08 2008-09 2009-10
2010-11 2011-12 Sanctions 69498 57030 65466 75197 69024 Disbursement
16211 21054 25808 34121 41418 Source: PFC website Table 4: Major Projects
Funded by PFC Name of the Project Capacity (MW) Cost (Crs) Amount funded
Malwa TPS 2x500 4054 2730 Khaperkheda TPS Extn. 1x500 2191 1753 Kameng
HEP 4x150 2485 1740 Koradi TPS 3x660 10019 6250 Mejia Extn. Unit 2x250
2800 1456 Sagardighi TPS PH1 2x300 2754 1925 Chandrapura Extn. Unit 7&8
2x250 2053 1435 Panipat TPS Stage V 2x250 1785 1428 Source: PFC website
Table 5: Financial Highlights for the year 2011-12 Profit after Tax Rs 3032 Crore
Loans and Grants Sanctioned Rs 69024 Crore Loans and Grants Disbursed Rs
41418 Crore Net Worth Rs 19493 Crore Reserves and Surplus Rs 19388 Crore No.
of Employees 379 Source: PFC website
15 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial
Modeling 2.8 SWOT Analysis Strengths Govt. of Indias undertaking. Good
quality management Well established, long standing relations in the power
industry Implementing agency for Mops schemes including AG &SP and APDRP
Highest credit rating (due to government ownership) Weaknesses Poor asset
quality with most of the lending to SEBs, whose loan repayment capabilities in
the long run is doubtful. Concentration risk attributed to lending in single
sector. Opportunities Power sector presents significant investment
opportunities. Providing investment gateways & consultancy for domestic and
external financial agencies. Having new business opportunities to cover the
entire range of activities in the Power sector. Threats PFC has significant
exposures entities which are loss making, financially weak an dare defaulting to
most of their creditors. Delinquencies by these entities to PFC could impair the
currently sound Balance Sheet of PFC. With increasing exposure to SEBs, their
weak balance sheet may affect PFCs creditworthiness.
16 | Page Project
Appraisal & Financial Modeling CHAPTER 3: OBJECTIVE AND SCOPE 3.1 OBJECTIVE
OF THE PROJECT The objective of the Project Report is: 1. Finding out the factors
affecting a projects capital and operational expenditure which in turn have an
impact on the cash outlay and revenue flow of the project and their study. Thus,
performing Project Appraisal of a 660 MW Coal Based Supercritical Thermal
Power Project. 2. A financial model of a 660 MW Coal Based Super-critical
Thermal Power Project so as to study the effect of above factors on tariff and
revenue flows. 3. To find out probable values of IRR, DSCR among other ratios
using the financial model to study the feasibility and attractiveness of a 660 MW
Coal Based Supercritical Thermal Project. 3.2 SCOPE Scope of project covers
installation, commissioning, operation and maintenance of 660 MW coal fired
Thermal Power Plant and associated systems. Indian power sector wants to ramp
up the installed capacity to meet the growing demand. Large Power Projects
enjoy economics of scale and help in lowering the tariff of supply. This project
helps to find out the factors that will affect the project cost and thus have an
impact on total investment and operational expenses of the project. The
assessment and analysis of these factors will help in determining the project
cost, the associated risks and ultimately the tariff for supply from the project and
thus the revenue and cash flows. Such information is vital in making financial
decisions and project appraisal. The study may also help in understanding of
ways to mitigate the risks.
17 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling
CHAPTER 4: LITERATURE REVIEW AND RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 4.1.
LITERATURE REVIEW The literature survey was carried out by reviewing various
journals on project appraisal and financial model of a power plant. Few journals
reviewed are: P.L.Kingston [1973] in IBM System Journals suggested, The use of
computers in financial planning has become an area of increasing interest to
financial management and data processing users. Computing systems facilitate
the use of financial models in that they allow for the storage and retrieval of a
representation of a financial plan and also for the evaluation of the
consequences of what if conditions. Thus a financial model is a tool that can
assist in the entire business planning process whether it be forecasting, cash
management, or projection of profits. This paper presents introductory concepts
that provide a basis for systems design and implementation of financial models.
Described are the terminology, the basic components of financial models, and
two general approaches to the construction of these models. W Wetekamp
[2011] suggests how Net Present Value (NPV) can be used as a proper tool to
ensure effective project management. The author proves that investment
project's appraisal methods, such as e.g. NPV, can and should be used as an
ongoing monitor of project health. What is more, even in case of project
turbulences Net Present Value can be used as a key instrument for finding the
most appropriate solutions. Robert Lundmark et al [2012] analyzed how market
and policy uncertainties affect the general profitability of new investments in the
power sector, and investigate the associated investment timing and technology
choices. They developed an economic model for new investments in three
competing energy technologies in the Swedish electric power sector. The model
takes into account the policy impacts of the EU ETS and the Swedish green
certificate scheme. By simulating and modeling policy effects through stochastic
prices the results suggest that bio-fuelled power is the most profitable
technology choice in the presence of existing policy instruments and under our
assumptions. The likelihood of choosing gas power increases over time at the
expense of wind power due to the relative capital requirement per unit of output
for these technologies. Overall the results indicate that the economic incentives
to postpone investments into the future are significant. Reports of similar
projects for thermal power plants were also reviewed. The reports of previous
batches on similar topic and the referenced data were helpful in determining
data for this project. The literature available within the company helped a lot in
understanding Project Finance and factors of project cost which are summarized
as:
18 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling 4.2 PROJECT FINANCE
Project financing is an innovative and timely financing technique that has been
a contractual network with each other that allocates risk in a way that allows
financing to take place. The various patterns of implementation are sometimes
referred to as "project delivery methods." The financing of these projects must
also be distributed among multiple parties, so as to distribute the risk associated
with the project while simultaneously ensuring profits for each party involved.
4.3 PROJECT APPRAISAL It is an assessment of a project in terms of its economic,
social and financial viability. A lending financial institution makes an independent
and objective assessment of various aspects of an investment proposition. It is
defined as taking a second look critically and carefully at a project by a person
who is in no way involved or connected with its preparation. He is able to take
independent, dispassionate and objective view of the project in totality, along
with its various components. There are some steps for Project appraisal.
Management Appraisal: Management appraisal is related to the technical and
managerial competence, integrity, knowledge of the project, managerial
competence of the promoters etc. The promoters should have the knowledge
and ability to plan, implement and operate the entire project effectively. The past
record of the promoters is to be appraised to clarify their ability in handling the
projects. Construction Contracts O&M Support Licenses Certification Zoning Local
Permits Tariff for such electricity Obligation to buy electricity Electricity Deliveries
Electricity Payments Debt Debt Service Dividend Sponser(s) Lenders Project
Company Equipment Provider Connections Civil Works Regulatory Authorities
Power Purchaser Equity
20 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling
Technical Feasibility: Technical feasibility analysis is the systematic gathering
and analysis of the data pertaining to the technical inputs required and
formation of conclusion there from. The availability of the raw materials, power,
sanitary and sewerage services, transportation facility, skilled man power,
engineering facilities, maintenance, local people etc are coming under technical
analysis. This feasibility analysis is very important since its significance lies in
planning the exercises, documentation process, and risk minimization process
and to get approval. Financial feasibility: One of the very important factors that
a project team should meticulously prepare is the financial viability of the entire
project. This involves the preparation of cost estimates, means of financing,
financial institutions, financial projections, break-even point, ratio analysis etc.
The cost of project includes the land and sight development, building, plant and
machinery, technical know-how fees, preoperative expenses, contingency
expenses etc. The means of finance includes the share capital, term loan, special
capital assistance, investment subsidy, margin money loan etc. The financial
projections include the profitability estimates, cash flow and projected balance
sheet. The ratio analysis will be made on debt equity ratio and current ratio.
Commercial Appraisal: In the commercial appraisal many factors are coming.
The scope of the project in market or the beneficiaries, customer friendly
process and preferences, future demand of the supply, effectiveness of the
selling arrangement, latest information availability an all areas, government
control measures, etc. The appraisal involves the assessment of the current
market scenario, which enables the project to get adequate demand. Estimation,
distribution and advertisement scenario also to be here considered into.
Economic Appraisal: How far the project contributes to the development of the
Geographic Items Details 1 Location Tamil Nadu State 2 Nearest Railway Station
Thoothukkudi 3 Road Approach Madurai Tiruchendur- Manapad 4 Altitude +12 m
above MSL 5 Nearest Airport Thoothukkudi
30 | Page Project Appraisal &
Financial Modeling 6 Nearest Port Thoothukkudi 7 Rainfall (Annual) 600 mm 8
Climatic Conditions Tropical Climate 9 Latitude / Longitude 8o48N / 78o10E 10
Soil bearing capacity 25 T/M There is no cultivation in the project site and
rehabilitation of resident population from the project site does not arise. Around
the project site there is no reserve forest within 15 Km radius. 6.2.2 LAND The
project is being implemented in Tamil Nadu. The company has already acquired
600 acres of land and site development works will commence shortly. The land is
currently not in use and there are no inhabitants requiring rehabilitation or
resettlement. Specifications Land area(Acres) Plant area 260 Ash disposal 130
Colony 10 Green belt others 100 Others 100 Total 600 The site identified for the
Project is generally plain requiring minimum efforts to grade them suitable for
construction of the project. . Around the project site there is no reserve forest
within 15 Km radius. The Company has paid Rs. 50 Crore towards allotment of
land and development works. The Company proposes to use the allotted land for
setting up Main Power Plant, colony and Ash Dyke requiring about 400 acres. The
remaining allotted land, about 100 acres, would be used for Green Belt
development. The balance land of about 100 acres would be acquired by the
Company in due course. The site development for the Proposed Project site,
covering levelling, boundary wall, internal and approach roads and other
miscellaneous requirements, is estimated to cost about Rs. 20 Crore. 6.2.3
WATER The requirement of water for the plant will be for meeting the
requirement of make up for the water system, dust suppression system in coal
handling plants, ash disposal
31 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling
system and the D.M. water plant which will be supplying the power cycle make
up requirements. In addition the water requirements will be for drinking and
service purposes. The total requirement of water for the plant will be around 150
m/hr for the project. Water requirement for the plant Sl No. Item Quantity
(m/hr) 1 ACW System make up 80 2 Power Cycle make up 45 3 Service Water
Requirement 15 4 Portable Water Requirement 10 Total 150 ABC Ltd. has made
an agreement of minimum SG portable water supply of 4000m3 /day of SG
portable water by SG. A raw water reservoir of 25200m3 capacity to hold 7 days
requirement for plant requirement of water will be constructed at the plant site.
Air cooled condenser for turbine is proposed. Water drawl approval has been
obtained by the company. The basic features of the sweet water system and
auxiliary cooling water for the proposed station will be proposed to buy from
prospective water suppliers. Air cooled condenser is proposed for condensing
steam. At the Plant, a water reservoir will be installed to meet 7 days
requirement of the plant. The overall cost of water arrangement as estimated by
the Company is about Rs. 90 Crore and has been considered in the Project cost.
6.2.4 SUPER CRITICAL TECHNOLOGY The Proposed Project is based on Super
Critical Boiler Technology instead of more prevalent Sub-Critical Boiler
Technology in India. The basic difference between the two technologies is the
steam pressure at which the boiler is operated. In case of Sub Critical Technology
the operating pressure in boiler is less than 19 MPa as against 24 MPa in typical
subcritical power plant. The supercritical power plant can achieve considerably
higher cycle efficiencies with resulting savings in fuel costs and reductions in
CO2 and other emissions. Plant costs are comparable for both the technologies.
However, overall economics for super critical technology are more favorable
because of the increase in cycle efficiency. Economic performance is also
influenced by other factors, including plant availability, flexibility of operation
and auxiliary power consumption. The once-through boiler design used in super
critical technology based plants is inherently more flexible than drum designs
used in subcritical technology based plant, due to fewer thick section
components allowing increased load change rates. Typical average availability of
super
32 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling critical technology
based power plants is about 85%. However, with appropriate design and
materials, a plant availability of >90% is achievable. Efficiencies of supercritical
power generation are also less affected by part load operation, with efficiency
reductions less than half those experienced in subcritical plant. The major
environmental benefit of supercritical power generation is from reduced coal
consumption per unit of electricity generated, leading to lower CO2 and other
emissions. CO2 emissions for supercritical plant would be 17% lower than for a
typical subcritical plant. Similarly, all other emissions e.g. NOx and SOx, would
also be reduced pro-rata with the reduction in coal consumption. However, for
optimum environmental performance, supercritical power generation technology
can benefit from advanced emissions-control technologies to minimize harmful
emissions. These include flue gas desulphurization (FGD), low-NOx combustion,
selective catalytic reduction (SCR), selective non-catalytic reduction (SNCR), air
staging and reburn technologies. The lower CO2 emissions from super critical
plants are quantifiable and the project can be registered as a CDM project for
accruing CERs which can be traded with international markets. This can
potentially work as an additional revenue stream for the project. 6.2.5
TECHNOLOGY Thermodynamic cycle Thermodynamic reheat cycle. The
thermodynamic reheat cycle consists of steam generator, steam turbine
generator with condenser, the Condensate extraction and boiler feed pumps
along with H.P & L.P feed water heaters & deaerator. Technical and performance
parameters This project is based on supercritical technology. The critical pressure
point of water and steam is 22.1 MPa, below this pressure it is called sub-critical
pressure and above this pressure it is called as supercritical pressure. In the
supercritical region, co-existence of water and steam is not present, therefore in
the absence of steam/water mixture, the recalculating boiler technology adopted
for subcritical pressure could not be used. This was the key to the advancement
of cycle efficiency through the adoption of economic and reliable once-through
supercritical boilers. The drive for enhancing the efficiency of generating plants
in and environmentally friendly manner has been realized mainly through
advancing the steam conditions, i.e. increasing pressure and temperature. This
led to the development of some new power generation technologies like
integrated gasification combined cycle (IGCC) and pressurized fluidized bed
boilers (PFB). Boiler Feed Pump Three nos., horizontal, multistage, centrifugal
type boiler feed pumps will be provided. Two nos. pumps will be turbine driven
with steam extracted from turbine & one no pump will be motor driven as
standby. Each boiler feed pump will have one matching capacity single stage
booster pump. The booster pump will take suction from feed water storage tank
and discharge into the suction of corresponding main boiler feed pump
33 |
Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling which in turn, will supply feed water
to boiler through the high pressure heaters and feed control station. Condensate
extraction pumps The condensate extraction pumps will be vertical, multi stage
enclosed canister type with flanged connection driven by electric motor. Two nos.
condensate extraction pumps are used in this system. Supercritical Boilers
Different boiler technology is used which is the critical requirement in the
adoption of supercritical pressure and temperature. With supercritical pressure
boiler need to increase the wall thickness of the pressure components and also
use advanced materials for its effective working. Super critical steam turbine
Steam turbine is of 3000rpm and is designed for main steam parameters of
247kg/cm2 & 540C before emergency stop. High pressure steam turbines must
be designed to withstand the higher pressure and temperature. Typical
feedwater temperatures are around 275C to 290C compared to around 235C
to 250C for sub-critical plants. With supercritical pressures, because of the
greater steam pressure range in the turbine from inlet through to the condenser,
there is greater scope for including an extra stage or stages of feedwater
heating. This will further increase the cycle efficiency. 6.2.6 PRIMARY FUEL The
primary fuel for the Proposed Project would be domestic coal. The Company
proposes to use coal available from CIL mines. Coal India Limited has made a LoA
with the company for use of coal in the Proposed Project. The Company has
approved the agreement. The average calorific value of the coal is expected to
be about 3400 kcal/kg. Considering this Gross Calorific Value and PLF of 85% the
coal requirement of the Project works out to be about 3771700 TPA. The
Company has estimated the capital investment of Rs. 900 per tonne at an
escalation of 5% p.a and the same has been incorporated in the overall Project
Cost. 6.2.7 SECONDARY FUEL HFO, which is the secondary fuel for pulverized
coal, will be used for flame stabilisation at low loads and for supporting purposes.
Heavy fuel oil will be supplied from oil depot by means of truck. Two HFO storage
tanks each of capacity 1000m with necessary heating arrangement within the
tank will be provided. The estimated maximum annual requirement of HFO is
4914 KL. Capital investment of Rs 50 per kg at an escalation of 4% p.a has been
estimated. LDO system will be designed for 7.5 % of BMCR, which will be
considered sufficient to introduce heavier grade fuel. The light diesel oil will have
provision for supply to the steam generator for startup purpose. The estimated
maximum annual requirement of LDO is 1000 KL.
34 | Page Project Appraisal
& Financial Modeling 6.2.8 TRANSPORTATION Coal will be transported from the
Indian Coal fields to the Paradeep Port by Rail and from the port to the
Manappadu Port located near to the project site by ship. Coal unloaded from ship
will be stored in a separate coal yard to be set up by prospective Coal sellers at
Manappadu port and coal will be supplied at the plant boundary by conveyors.
Calorific value of Indian F grade coal will be in the range of 3400 kcal/kg. Rail
route already exists upto Tiruchendur. About 12 km of rail route from Tiruchendur
to project site is under approval. For transportation of coal, the Company would
enter into Coal Transportation Arrangement (CTA) with the Indian Railways. Due
to the availability of port facilities for transportation of coal from the mines, it is
convenient and economical to unload and transport the coal to the plant. Coal
will be also be transported from the port to the Manappadu Port located near to
the project site by ship. Alternatively trucks will also be used for coal transfer
from port to plant. Company has made a logistic agreement with Aspinwall Co
Ltd for transportation of coal from port and railway station to the plant. 6.2.9 EPC
CONTRACT Under an EPC contract, the contractor designs the installation,
procures the necessary materials and builds the project, either directly or by
subcontracting part of the work. EPC contract for this project is been given to
Consolidated Construction Consortium Ltd. It is proposed to entrust the entire
work of project execution covering all civil works, electrical and mechanical
systems to a single EPC (Engineering, Procurement and Construction) Contractor
who will take overall responsibility for timely project execution and plant
performance and provide guarantees for the same. SCOPE The EPC Contractors
scope of work includes design, engineering, manufacture, supply, erection,
testing and commissioning within the Power Plant site. The EPC Contractor
would be responsible for all basic and conceptual engineering, detailed system
engineering, design & drawings for all mechanical and electrical systems,
detailed designs and construction drawings for all civil works, manufacture of
equipment as applicable, procurement of sub-contracted equipment and
materials, review of sub-contractors design and engineering, inspection and
expediting of sub- contracted equipment, transport of equipment and materials
to site, stores management at site, overall site management covering
construction, erection and commissioning activities and performance testing for
the complete Power Plant. The contractor agrees to provide all civil and
structural works including supplies of cement, reinforcement steel and
structural steel etc. The lump sum amount of Rs 524 crore represents the lump
sum fixed price towards the services to be provided by the contractor, pursuant
to the scope of work under this Agreement. The contractor shall complete all the
works as per project schedule approved by owner, pursuant to various conditions
of this agreement, within 30 months from the start of project commencement
date.
35 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling 6.2.10 OPERATION AND
MAINTENANCE In order to ensure a high level of performance of the power
station, it is proposed to entrust the operation and maintenance of the power
station to an experienced O&M Contractor. In order to ensure that the design and
construction of the power station incorporates all necessary features required for
easy and efficient operation and maintenance of the proposed power plant, the
proposed O&M Contractor will also be consulted during the review of EPC
contract documents, plant design features, operational and maintenance
features of plant systems and equipment. O&M Contractors general manager
would have primary responsibility for the operation & maintenance of the power
station. O&M Contractors site organisation is expected to comprise four broad
functional areas viz. operations, maintenance, engineering and administration.
Operation of Power Plant, coal and ash handling systems, water systems
including water treatment system, switchyard and other auxiliary plant.
Operations manager would be overall in charge of operations, all other operation
personnel would work on three - shift basis. Shift personnel manpower planning
for key areas has been generally done on (3+1) concept to take into account
leave taken by shift personnel. Maintenance of all mechanical and electrical
plant, control systems, buildings, roads, drainage and sewage systems, etc.,
operation of the plant workshop, planning for scheduled maintenance works and
deciding requirement of spare parts. The O&M team of the power station would
be headed by a Senior Vice President, under whom separate groups viz.
Operation, Mechanical, Electrical, Civil and C&I maintenance would operate. In
addition to these groups, operation and efficiency improvement group and
maintenance planning group would monitor the efficiency in operations and
maintenance management respectively and suggest continual improvements.
6.2.11 INFRASTRUCTURAL REQUIREMENTS Construction Power The company has
received approval for drawl of construction power from nearby substation of
Tamil Nadu Power Distribution Company Ltd. (TNPDCL). Construction Water The
total water requirement for the project is 2000 m3 /day. This water will be
sourced from nearby desalination plant. The requirement of construction water
for potable and service purposes will be met by the nearby desalination plant
located within the allotted land for the Project. The Company has taken over the
desalination plant along with the auxiliary and paid about Rs. 50 Crore for the
same. 6.2.12 EVACUATION OF POWER The power generated from the plant will
be evacuated at 400 KV through PGCIL / TNEB grid lines. Three / Four 400 KV
transmission line circuits are proposed from
36 | Page Project Appraisal &
Financial Modeling 400KV switch yard to Udangudi STPP Substation for further
connectivity to southern grid. Companys generation project shall implement,
maintain and operate dedicated transmission system for immediate evacuation
of power from their generation projects. a) Companys Power generation
switchyard-tuticorin pooling station 400kV D/c quad/high capacity line. b) Two
nos of 400kV bays each at Companys switchyard & Tuticorin Pooling
POWERGRID station. The cost of the transmission line is estimated by the
Company is about Rs. 52 Crore. 6.2.13 ENVIRONMENTAL ASPECTS The project
site is located at a distance of about 14 kms from the National High way and 15
kms from Trichendur town. There is no cultivation in the project site and
rehabilitation of resident population from the project site does not arise. Around
the project site there is no reserve forest within 15 Km radius. Since all necessary
pollution control measures to maintain the emission levels of dust particles and
sulphur dioxide within the permissible limits would be taken and necessary
treatment of effluents would be carried out, there would be no adverse impact on
either air or water quality in and around the power station site on account of
installation of the proposed plant. Ash Handling System The fly ash generated in
thermal power stations has commercial value because of its usage in cement
and construction industries in various forms. Fly ash generated from the
proposed power plant would be commercially utilized in one or more of the
following industries, to the extent possible a. Manufacture of fly ash bricks b.
Manufacture of aerated wall blocks and panels c. Fly ash Aggregate d. Land
reclamation e. Ready Mixed Fly Ash Concrete f. Utilisation in Roads/Paving g. Use
in cement manufacturing using fly ash in combination h. Manufacture of fly ash
bricks i. Export of Fly ash to countries like Bangladesh and Middle East. Water
Handling System Hydrochloric acid and caustic soda would be used as reagents
in the proposed water treatment plant. The acid and alkali effluents generated
during the regeneration process of the ion exchangers would be drained into an
underground neutralising pit. The effluent would be neutralised by the addition of
either acid or alkali to achieve the required pH.
37 | Page Project Appraisal &
Financial Modeling Waste water from the Coal yard suppression system and
leaching water is collected in the settling tank. The clear water will be disposed
to the nallah through CEMS. The Sludge will be dried in a Drying Pond and then
Reused. Sewage water from power plant and canteen will be collected in the
Anaerobic treatment pond and from there it will be sent to the clarifier. The
treated water will be used for horticulture purpose. The oily waste water will be
treated in an Oily Water Separator. The clear water is disposed through CEMS
and the Oily Sludge is disposed offsite. Air Handling System The height of the
stack which disperses the pollutants have been fixed based on the above
guidelines of the Indian Emission Regulations. The electrostatic precipitators
which remove most of the fly ash from the flue gas, thereby limiting the quantity
of fly ash emitted to atmosphere. By selecting a suitable furnace and burner for
the steam Generator, NOx formation has been avoided and no additional
equipment for NOx control is required. Although there is no statutory stipulation
for regulation of NOx emission, the boiler will be designed for maximum of 750
mg/Nm3 with provision of low NO burners. Dust nuisance due to Coal handling
would be minimised by providing suitable dust suppression/extraction systems at
crusher house, junction towers etc. For the coal stockyard, dust suppression
system would be provided. Boiler bunkers would be provided with ventilation
system with bag filters to trap the dust in the bunkers. Noise Handling System As
per State Pollution Control Board, Ambient noise level for Industrial area will be
Sl. No Time dB (A) 1. Day Time 6 AM to 9 PM 75 2. Night Time 9 PM to 6 AM 70
The above noise level at plant boundary during normal operation is ensured by
proper selection of the system. Controlled noise level from originating equipment
and green belts around the plant area. Project clearances received from statutory
authorities, Tamil Nadu State Pollution Control Board (TNPCB) and the concerned
agencies of the Government of Tamil Nadu and India. Statutory Clearances All
statutory clearances requires at Central/State level for the implementation of the
project are to be ensured. Depending on the cost of project, techno economic
clearances of CEA/SEB may be asked. Clearances/Agreements required for
implementation of project: 1. Land Acquisition 2. Water Availability 3. Stack
Height: Airport Authority of India 4. Forest Clearance: Such that no sanctuary,
reserve, national park within the project 5. No defense establishment
38 |
Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling 6. Ministry of environment and Forest
7. Fuel Supply Arrangement/Agreement through various coal linkages 8. Fuel
Transportation Arrangement 9. PPA for selling Electricity 10. Transmission
agreement with Transmission agency 11. Pollution Control Board Table 9:
Approval and Agreement Status Major Clearances/ Agreements S No
Requirement Agency Status 1 Consent to establish / NoC Tuticorin Airport
Certified 2 Environment Clearance MoEF The Company has applied for the
clearance. 3 Forest clearance MoEF The Company has applied for the clearance 4
Water Drawl SG Agreement made 5 Stack height Clearance Airport Authority of
India (AAI) Approved 6 Pollution control board NOC for power plant Tamil Nadu
Pollution control board (TNPCB) All the required standards of Pollution control
board are met 7 Land Availability State Government 600 acres has been acquired
8 Primary Fuel Coal India Limited Long term agreement made on 15 April 2010 9
Transportation of Fuel Aspinwall Co Ltd Fuel Transport Agreement made 10
Transmission Line PGCIL Open Access and Transmission Agreement made 11
EPC / package contract Consolidated Construction Consortium Ltd. Agreement
made on 18 June 2010 6.3 PROJECT COST 6.3.1 COMPONENTS OF PROJECT COST
The Project is estimated to be set up at an aggregate cost of Rs. 4251 Crore
comprising of expenditure towards Land, EPC Cost, Transmission Line, Coal
Transportation Arrangement, Water Arrangement, Preliminary & Preoperative
Expenditure, Contingencies, Interest During Construction Period and Margin
Money for Working Capital. A summary of the components of Project cost is
presented below:
39 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling Table 10:
Project Cost Details Sl No. Particulars Total Cost 1 Land & Site Development 50 2
Total Plant & Equipment 2038.48 3 Civil Works 545 4 Electric Works 135 5
Miscellaneous 146.5 Total Hard Cost 2914.98 6 Overhead & Pre-Op. Expenses
114.59 7 Interest During Construction 656.20 8 Working Capital Margin 565.43
Total Soft Cost 1336.22 (in crore) Total Project Cost 4251 6.3.2 FINANCING PLAN
The tentative financial plan for the proposed project is as follows: Particulars
Percentage Cost (Rs Crore) Debt Equity Ratio 3.00 Equity 25% 1062.80 Debt 75%
3188.40 Upfront Equity 51.5% 547.342 Total 100% 4251 6.3.3 DEMAND AND
SUPPLY Inspite of 18,382 MW of installed capacity the state of Tamil Nadu is
struggling to fulfil its electricity demand. The electricity demand in the State had
increased but the capacity of the generating facilities had dropped due to
inefficiencies resulting in shortfall. Most of the districts in Tamil Nadu face power
cuts lasting over six hours. Between April 2012 and February 2013, the energy
and peak shortage of power in Tamil Nadu were 17.4 % and 12.3 % respectively
of the demand.
40 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling Electricity
deficit in the state has increased from 1% in 2005-06 to 11% in 2011- 12.
Between 2005-06 and 2011-12, electricity requirement grew at CAGR of 9%,
while availability only grew at around 7% leading to increasing electricity deficits.
Source: CEA website Table 11: Power requirement and availability for year 20122013 for Tamil Nadu Period Peak Demand (MW) Peak Availabilit y (MW) Peak
Deficit/Surp lus (MW) Energy Requiremen t (MU) Energy Availabilit y (MU) Energy
Deficit/S urplus (MW Apr 12 12499 9841 -2658 7583 5817 -1766 May 12 11967
10182 -1785 6796 5840 -956 June 12 12296 11053 -1243 7868 6834 -1034 July
12 12269 10877 -1392 8043 7333 -710 Aug 12 12004 10566 -1438 7840 6763
-1077 Sep 12 12606 10348 -2258 7990 6606 -1384 Oct 12 12538 10269 -2269
8233 6574 -1659 Nov 12 11755 8306 -3449 7110 5254 -1856 Dec 12 12323
9409 -2914 7450 5831 -1619 Jan 13 12038 9698 -2340 7859 6668 -1191 47872
54194 61499 65780 69668 76293 80314 85685 47570 53853 60445 63954
64208 71568 75101 76705 1% 1% 2% 3% 8% 6% 7% 11% 0% 2% 4% 6% 8%
10% 12% 0 10000 20000 30000 40000 50000 60000 70000 80000 90000 FY
2005 FY 2006 FY 2007 FY 2008 FY 2009 FY 2010 FY 2011 FY 2012 MU Figure 6:
Actual power supply position in Tamil Nadu Requirement Availability % deficit
41 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling Feb 13 11803 10021 -1782 7288
5998 -1290 Mar 13 12736 10556 -2180 8242 6643 -1599 TOTAL 134565 121126
-13439 92302 76161 -16141 Source: CEA, Load Generation Balance Report
(2012-2013) 6.3.4 COST BENEFIT ANALYSIS Table 12: Project details sheet No. of
units 1 Capacity per unit 660 MW Total project capacity 660 MW Without IDC
3595 Rs Crore IDC 656 Rs Crore With IDC 4251 Rs Crore Equity (25%) 1062.80 Rs
Crore Debt (75%) 3188.40 Rs Crore Upfront Equity (51.5%) 547.34 Rs Crore
Interest Rate pre COD 13.25% p.a. Interest rate post COD 13.25% p.a. Working
Capital 13% p.a. Repayment Period 12 Years Moratorium Period 6 Months
Principle Repayment Start Date 01-Jul-14 Date Principle Repayment End Date 01Jan-26 Date Interest Repayment Start Date 01-Jan-14 Date Interest Repayment
End Date 01-Jan-26 Date MOU with PTC (including all units) % of total capacity
70% PPA Tariff As per CERC based tariff Rs/unit No. of years 25 years Selling
through Merchant Basis (including all units) % of total capacity 30% PPA Tariff 3.5
Rs/unit No. of years 25 years Escalation per year 5% Corporate Tax 33.99% MAT
20.96%
42 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling GSHR 2392 kCal/kwh
Auxiliary Consumption 7% % Plant Load Factor 85% % O&M Escalation 5.72% %
O&M Expense 0.155 crore/MW Fuel Price 900 Rs/tonne Price Escalation 5% p.a.
Gross Calorific Value 3400 kCal/kg Secondary Fuel Price 50 Rs/kg Gross Calorific
Value 10280 kCal/kg Secondary Fuel Consumption 1 ml/kwh Specific Gravity
value of Secondary Fuel 0.95 Price Escalation 4% p.a. Transportation & Handling
Charges Escalation Coal Stock 2 Months Secondary Fuel 2 Months O&M Expenses
1 Month Maintenance Spares (20% of O&M Expense) 1 Year Receivables from
Energy Sales 2 Months Rate For Tariff Calculation 5.28% Land 0% Civil Works &
Building 3.34% Plant & Machinery 5.28% Max Depreciable Value 90% Machinery
15% Building 10% Discount Rate 13.10% % Return on Equity 15.50% % Return
on Equity pre tax (first 12 years) 19.38% % Return on Equity pre tax (last 13
years) 22.95% % Project Life 25 years Total units generated 4914.36 MU
43 |
Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling 6.3.5 FINANCIAL MODELLING AND
PROJECTIONS After doing through study of the information Memorandum and all
the contracts and the agreements signed by ABC Ltd. the Financial Analysis is
performed. Various parameters that need to be calculated as a part of the
financials of the project are: INTEREST DURING CONSTRUCTION In the Interest
during construction phase is the period were the power plant is in the process of
making and during this time it generates no revenues. The complete infusion of
term loan and the equity by the financers and promoters respectively is done in
this phase. This period starts from the date when the sub debt and then the
upfront equity starts flowing into the project (upto 51.5 % of the total equity) by
the promoters, when the Upfront Equity part finishes Upfront Debt starts flowing
till the time Debt Equity ratio becomes 75:25. Once, the ratio is achieved the
Matching Debt and Matching Equity flows simultaneously in the ratio of 75:25.
During the construction period the project has to pay the interest on the debt
fused till that month. The interest rates depends on the Pre COD Rates and sub
debt rates are specified by the leading Financial Institution (FI), which is also the
syndicator of the project. (IDC Sheet Attached in Annexure III) DEBT PAYMENT
When the project is commissioned then the borrower company has to pay the
interest on the Term Loan. The interest rate used is the weighted average of Post
COD Rates and sub debt rates are specified by the leading Financial Institution
(FI), which is also the syndicator of the project. The First Six months after the
of PTC (long term) the levelised cost of electricity is Rs 2.475/kWh and that for
short term is Rs 3.5/kWh. The sale of electricity to PTC is done at the rate of Rs
2.475/kWh for aggregate cap of 70% and rest at variable cost of Rs 0.63/kWh.
(Detailed P&L is attached in Annexure IX) BALANCE SHEET This part accounts for
the assets and liabilities per year for the project for 25 years from COD. (Detailed
Balance sheet is attached in Annexure XI) RATIOS This part is used to calculate
the relevant ratios in order to determine the financial viability of the project. The
Minimum, average and maximum Debt Service Coverage Ratio is calculated
along with Internal Rate of Return and Net present Value are calculated. (Detailed
Ratios sheet is attached in Annexure XII) 6.3.6 SNAPSHOT OF FINANCIAL
PROJECTIONS The financial projections, based on the capital/project cost as
specified by the borrower, would be as below: Table 13: Snapshot of project
financial projections Particular Value Value Parameters DSCR Minimum 1.403
Average 2.106
46 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling Maximum
4.212 Project IRR, 25 years 18.54% Equity IRR, 25 years 21.41% Levelised cost of
generation 2.475 Rs/kwh 6.3.7 SENSITIVITY ANALYSIS A sensitivity analysis of the
Companys financial position has been carried to ascertain the robustness of its
financials. Various scenarios for which the sensitivities was carried out and the
results are as follows: Table 14: Sensitivity analysis sheet Scenario Min DSCR Avg
DSCR Project IRR (%) Equity IRR (%) Base Case 1.403 2.106 18.54 21.41 Case 1:
PLF at 65% 1.238 1.784 16.44 18.12 Case 2: Increase Fuel cost by 20% 1.371
2.043 18.20 20.81 Case 3: Increase project cost by 10% 1.332 1.974 17.70 20.35
Case 4: Decrease in calorific value of coal by 1000 kcal/kg 1.336 1.975 17.83
20.13 Case 5: Increase interest rate by 100 bps 1.373 2.068 18.73 21.25 It may
be observed from above mentioned results that project financials are quite
robust in various scenarios and the DSCR levels are above satisfactory.
47 |
Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling CHAPTER 7: RISK ANALYSIS AND
SWOT ANALYSIS 7.1 RISK ANALYSIS i) PRE CONSTRUCTION Sno Risk Mitigation /
Allocation 1 Grant of approvals / Clearances Obtain all statutory and non
statutory clearances including the MOEF clearance, Pollution Control Board NOC
and agree to comply with all the conditionality of these clearances. 2 Finalization
of Contracts The Company has already awarded the EPC Contract Project. The
service contract has also been awarded by the Company. The EPC contract has
provided for liquidated damages in case of delay in implementation and for
plants various performance parameters below stipulated level. 3 Procurement of
land Land has been already acquired which is sufficient for the main power block,
Ash Dyke and Raw Water Reservoir. ii) CONSTRUCTION Sno Risk
Mitigation/Allocation 1 Cost estimate Since the technology is based on super
critical parameters, it is difficult to fairly compare costs and to estimate the cost
precisely. 2 Cost increase and price Escalation Package contracts are expected to
have suitable safeguards and will be subject to LIE review. Also, any increment in
project cost would be met by the promoters without recourse to either the
project or its lenders. 3 Completion delay and Equipment Supply delay The
package contract is expected to have suitable provision for timely project
completion. Also, LDs have been stipulated for delay in equipment supply.
48
| Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling 4 Equity infusion The equity in
company will be infused by promoters Group as also by raising funds from
provisions will give credence to the concept of merchant power. With the advent
of the era of competitive bidding for tariff for procurement of power, the new
capacities would not be subject to regulated tariff and regulated return of equity
and thus provide investment opportunities to Developers in the power sector
where returns would be market determined. There is huge power deficit in the
country and the demand supply situation in the country is expected to remain
favourable to power generators for the next 8/10 years at least. This presents
huge opportunities in the power sector for power generators. THREATS A part of
power generated will be sold on Merchant basis and may get lower return than
the levelised cost of generation. Fuel supply agreement with Coal India Limited
may result in delay 7.3 LIMITATIONS This analysis is limited to an examination of
annualized expenses and revenue and represents a prototypical year of
operations. This analysis should examine alternative pay as- you-go and debt
financed scenarios, be conducted in year-of-expenditure, and address the
underlying uncertainties associated with inflation, interest rates, project cost
(exclusive of inflation), foreign exchange rate, grant funding levels and rates of
payment, and other factors over which the project sponsor will have no direct
control. The assumptions and sources of information underlying the development
of the capital and operating cost estimates are an integral part of the financial
analyses documented in this report. Uncertainties associated with fluctuating
economic conditions and other factors may result in the actual results of the
financial program varying from the projections in the financial analyses, and the
variations could be material. Some of the major limitations and issues regarding
the project appraisal are as follow: The rate of escalation is taken as constant
over the life of the project (about 25 years); being the life of project large it is
not easy to predict the actual cost and inflationary effect on the price of fuels
and other inputs with the change in market conditions. Cash flows not really
known until the project is in service no history of cash flows.
51 | Page
Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling Value of debt and equity driven by cash
flow. Measure the value of different securities supported by project cash flow.
Risk analysis depends on contracts used to allocate risk to different parties.
52 | Page Project Appraisal & Financial Modeling CHAPTER 8: CONCLUSION,
RECOMMENDATIONS AND LEARNING 8.1 CONCLUSION Company has proposed to
set-up 660 MW Coal fired Thermal Power Project based on Super Critical
Technology. State Government has supported this Project and has issued letter of
support to provide all kind of administrative support required. The Company has
already acquired the land required for the Main plant from Industrial
Development Corporation and has made the requisite payments. The remaining
required land has been identified and the process of acquisition is underway. The
Proposed Project will be implemented by way of a turnkey Engineering,
Procurement and Construction (EPC) contract to be awarded on Competitive
Bidding Process. The Project requires about 3771700 TPA coal based on average
GCV of 3400 kcal/kg and PLF of 85%. The company made an FSA with CIL for the
Proposed Project. Appropriate arrangements are proposed to be done. The
Project will require about 150 cubic meter per hour make-up water during
operation. A raw water reservoir of 25200m3 capacity to hold 7 days
requirement for plant requirement of water will be constructed at the plant site.
Of the total 462 MW of power is proposed to be sold as PPA as per CERC tariff.
Balance 198 MW will be sold on Merchant basis at Rs 3.5 per unit with an
escalation of 3% p.a. Considering the cost of generation of Rs. 2.475 per unit,
company does not envisage any difficulties in selling the power through
merchant route. Power Evacuation will be through two double circuit 400 KV
transmission lines connecting the Project to the PGCIL substation and State
TRANSCO substation. The Electricity Act 2003 and subsequent National
Electricity Policy and Tariff Policy have opened up several opportunities for the
power sector. The Act allows the IPPs and captive power producers open access
to transmission system, thus allowing them to bypass the SEBs and sell power
directly to bulk consumers. Slowly open access in distribution system is also
being allowed. Assessment of the financial feasibility of the Proposed Project,
delivers satisfactory financial parameters as per base financial model. It has also
assessed the viability of the Project under the impact of various scenarios, which
could be at variance with the base case scenario assumed. Subject to the
weaknesses and threats enumerated in the SWOT analysis and the impact of the
various scenarios as envisaged under the sensitivity analysis, the Proposed
Project is viewed as economically viable. Thus, loan amount should be granted
by PFC equal to the request of the borrower.
53 | Page Project Appraisal &
Financial Modeling 8.2 RECOMMENDATIONS To minimize the risk, the extent of
financing to a single project should be proportionate; it will also affect the
exposure limit for borrower or utilities and chance to fund in more projects rather
in some. With the deficit of electricity in our country, there is need of many
projects and the exposure limit should be increased to effectively assist the new
projects. The exposure limit of some utility is going to reached, which resist PFC
to fund. With the increasing IPPs in power generation the exposure to them
should be more and the portfolio size for IPPs should be increased. It will
increase the revenue because of higher interest rate and some extra charges.
Currently PFC has less % funding in renewable energy, PFC should also
concentrate to increase its share in renewable energy. With the changes in
project parameters, the re-rating of project should be done at an appropriate
time and linkages of interest rate, exposure limit and security to the new project
rating should be done. There should be more bifurcation in the linkages to
integrated project rating. A detailed and comprehensive model study should be
made for accordingly. 8.3 LEARNING The experience and know-how gained from
this internship, has left me in more compliant form and stature in order to fare
better in areas of similar interest. Now I here make it sort with few but most
important points what I have learned: A practical exposure of financial world.
Learnt about investment scenario in power generation. Know about various
complicacies in power generation and their mitigation. Know about project
implication and investment. Learnt financing aspect of various investment
related parameters. Learnt the formulation and analysis of various financials
sheets through model. Learnt corporate culture.
54 | Page Project Appraisal
& Financial Modeling BIBILIOGRAPHY 1. Chandra Prasanna, Project Management,
4th Edition, 2005 2. I.M.Pandey, Financial Management, 9th Edition, 2010 3. PFC
Effluent treatment system 2.38 Chemical laboratory equipment 1.5 Cranes and
hoists 2.23 Air compressors and accessories 2.05 Instrumentation and Control
system 5 Computers and software 1.05 Emergency D.G. Sets 3.05 Fuel
unloading, storage and forwarding system 6.2 Workshop Equipment 2.75 Cost of
Mechanical Spares 4 Freight and Insurance 15.95 Excise and Central Sales tax
199.53 Erection testing and commissioning 159.15 Transmission Line 52 Service
tax 16.39 TOTAL 2038.48 PROJECT COST BREAKUP iv) Particulars Amount (In
Crore) Start-up fuel 14.57 Design, engineering, construction supervision,
inspection and expediting and project management 56.3 Pre-operative Expenses
29.15 Insurance during construction 14.57 TOTAL 114.59 v) Electric Works
Expenses Particulars Amount (In Crore) Power transformers 21 GCB 8 Other
electric equipments 76.98 Cost of Electrical Spares 2.65 Miscellaneous 26.37
TOTAL 135 vi) Miscellaneous Particulars Amount (In Crore) Coal conveyor from
Port 12 Railway siding 55 Water intake 29.5 Desalination plant and auxiliaries 50
TOTAL 146.5 Date of Commencement 01-Apr-10 No. of quarters of construction
15 Period of Construction 45 months End of Construction 31-Dec-13 Commercial
operation period 01-Jan-14 Overheads & Preoperative Expenses Particulars
Amount Total Upfront Balance Project Cost without IDC 3595 Equity 25%
1062.801 547.34 515.46 IDC 656 Debt 75% 3188.402 1642.03 1546.38 Project
Cost with IDC 4251 Upfront 51.50% Interest Rate pre COD 13.25% Interest Rate
post COD 13.25% Month Apr-10 May-10 Jun-10 Jul-10 Aug-10 Sep-10 Oct-10 Nov10 Dec-10 Jan-11 Feb-11 Mar-11 Apr-11 May-11 Jun-11 Jul-11 Financial Year 2010
2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2010 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011 2011
2011 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 13 14 15 16 Total Percentage 100% 1.50%
1.50% 1.50% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 1.00% 1.00% 2.00% 2.00%
2.00% 2.00% 2.00% 2.00% Amount 4251 63.76804 63.76804 63.76804
85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 42.51203 42.51203 85.02406
85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 Upfront Equity 547.34
63.76804 63.76804 63.76804 85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 15.94
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Upfront Debt 1642.03 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 69.08205 42.51203 42.51203 85.02406
85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 Matching Equity 515.46 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 Matching Debt 1546.38 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Total Equity
1062.80 63.768 63.768 63.768 85.024 85.024 85.024 85.024 15.942 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 Total Debt 3188.40 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 69.08205 42.51203 42.51203 85.02406
85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 85.02406 Total Senior Debt 3188.402
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 69.082 42.512 42.512 85.024
85.024 85.024 85.024 85.024 85.024 Total Sub Debt 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 Opening Balance 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 69.082
111.594 154.106 239.130 324.154 409.178 494.202 579.226 Monthly
Disbursement 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 69.082 42.512 42.512
85.024 85.024 85.024 85.024 85.024 85.024 Closing Balance 0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 69.082 111.594 154.106 239.130 324.154 409.178
69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 124.42 122.12 119.83
117.53 115.23 112.94 110.64 108.35 106.05 103.75 101.46 99.16 Outstanding
Balance 1594.20 1524.89 1455.57 1386.26 1316.95 1247.64 1178.32 1109.01
1039.70 970.38 901.07 831.76 Year Quarters Loan Opening Balance Quarterly
Interest Principle Amount Loan Repayments ANNEXURE V: DEBT SERVICING
Outstanding Balance Year Quarters Loan Opening Balance Quarterly Interest
Principle Amount Loan Repayments Quarterly Interest Principle Amount Loan
Repayments Outstanding Balance Year Quarters Loan Opening Balance 4 5 6 7 8
9 2021 2022 2020 2017 1 2 3 2018 2019 2015 2016 2023 2023 9 Jan-Mar AprJun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept Oct-Dec Jan-Mar Apr-Jun Jul-Sept
Oct-Dec 831.76 762.44 693.13 623.82 554.50 485.19 415.88 346.57 277.25
207.94 138.63 69.31 27.55 25.26 22.96 20.66 18.37 16.07 13.78 11.48 9.18
6.89 4.59 2.30 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31 69.31
69.31 69.31 96.87 94.57 92.27 89.98 87.68 85.39 83.09 80.79 78.50 76.20
73.91 71.61 Outstanding Balance 762.44 693.13 623.82 554.50 485.19 415.88
346.57 277.25 207.94 138.63 69.31 0.0 Year Quarters Loan Opening Balance
Quarterly Interest Principle Amount Loan Repayments 10 11 12 2024 2025 2026
2392 10280 10.28 2381.72 3400 0.7005 0.9 0.63 0.001 0.95 0.00095 50 0.0475
23.34 0.63 7% 0.59 Year 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Total Coal cost per annum
(in crs) 77.457 325.320 341.586 358.665 376.598 395.428 415.200 435.960
457.758 480.646 504.678 529.912 556.407 Total secondary fuel oil cost per
annum (in crs) 5.84 24.277 25.248 26.258 27.308 28.401 29.537 30.718 31.947
33.225 34.554 35.936 37.373 13 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 584.2277
613.4391 644.111 676.3166 710.1324 745.639054 782.9210065 822.0671
863.1704 906.3289 951.6454 999.2276 786.8918 38.86816 40.42289 42.0398
43.72139 45.47025 47.2890603 49.18062275 51.14785 53.19376 55.32151
57.53437 59.83575 46.67188 Variable charges for single unit (Rs/kwh) Auxiliary
Consumption Rate of Energy delivered to Ex Bus Secondary Fuel Oil Consumption
(L/kwh) Specific gravity of Secondary Fuel Oil Secondary Fuel Oil Consumption
(kg/kwh) Secondary Fuel Oil cost (Rs/kg) Secondary Fuel Oil cost per unit of
electricity (Rs/kwh) Total Fuel Oil consumption per annum (Rs Crs) PRIMARY FUEL
(COAL) ANNEXURE VI: ENERGY CHARGE Gross Calorific value of Secondary Fuel
oil (kCal/L) Gross station heat rate (kCal/kwh) ENERGY CHARGE Coal price to
produce 1 unit of electricity (Rs/kwh) SECONDARY FUEL Heat contribution from
secondary fuel oil (kCal/kwh) Heat contribution from primary fuel oil (kCal/kwh)
Gross calorific value for coal (kCal/kg) Cost of Coal (Rs/kg) Coal required to
produce 1 unit of electricity (kg/kwh) 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
2021 2022 2023 2024 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 Primary Fuel 2 Months 12.910
54.220 56.931 59.778 62.766 65.905 69.200 72.660 76.293 80.108 84.113
Secondary Fuel 2 Months 0.973 4.046 4.208 4.376 4.551 4.733 4.923 5.120
5.324 5.537 5.759 O&M Expense 1 Month 8.498 8.984 9.498 10.042 10.616
11.223 11.865 12.544 13.261 14.020 14.822 Maintenance Spares 20% O&M
20.396 21.563 22.796 24.100 25.479 26.936 28.477 30.105 31.828 33.648
35.573 Receivables 2 Months 56.723 231.998 235.202 238.503 242.191 246.287
250.810 255.784 261.229 267.172 273.636 99.500 320.812 328.635 336.798
345.603 355.084 365.275 376.213 387.936 400.485 413.902 99.500 221.312
7.823 8.163 8.805 9.481 10.191 10.938 11.723 12.549 13.418 74.625 240.609
Total cash outflow 4369.68 510.13 372.34 393.82 418.05 440.90 462.67 483.58
503.85 523.67 543.19 562.55 514.06 Excess/Shortfall 86.718 168.338 176.516
187.454 196.933 208.873 223.101 239.373 257.598 277.617 299.345 322.720
418.791 Opening Balance 0.000 86.718 255.056 431.572 619.026 815.959
1024.832 1247.934 1487.306 1744.905 2022.522 2321.867 2644.587 Closing
Balance 86.718 255.056 431.572 619.026 815.959 1024.832 1247.934 1487.306
1744.905 2022.522 2321.867 2644.587 3063.378 ANNEXURE X: CASH FLOW 13
14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21 22 23 24 25 2027 2028 2029 2030 2031 2032 2033
2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 2039 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 15.20 17.28 18.16
19.11 20.11 21.15 22.24 23.40 24.61 25.89 27.24 28.64 -124.93 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0
0 0 0 0 0 15.20 17.28 18.16 19.11 20.11 21.15 22.24 23.40 24.61 25.89 27.24
28.64 -124.93 869.084 904.730 942.132 981.374 1022.549 1065.751 1111.080
1158.639 1208.539 1260.894 1315.824 1373.457 1160.053 89.186 89.186
89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186
66.889 973.47 1011.20 1049.48 1089.67 1131.85 1176.08 1222.51 1271.22
1322.34 1375.97 1432.25 1491.28 1102.01 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 0 1 19.011
21.699 22.817 23.992 25.228 26.528 27.895 29.333 30.845 32.435 34.108
35.868 -169.041 306.386 321.146 336.132 351.426 367.104 383.237 399.893
417.134 435.023 453.620 472.983 493.170 414.439 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 325.40 342.85 358.95
375.42 392.33 409.77 427.79 446.47 465.87 486.06 507.09 529.04 246.40
648.071 668.355 690.531 714.256 739.514 766.318 794.719 824.757 856.470
889.911 925.160 962.246 855.614 3063.378 3711.450 4379.805 5070.335
5784.591 6524.105 7290.423 8085.142 8909.899 9766.37 10656.28 11581.44
12543.69 3711.450 4379.805 5070.335 5784.591 6524.105 7290.423 8085.142
8909.899 9766.37 10656.28 11581.44 12543.69 13399.30 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10
11 Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
Liabilities Equity Capital 1062.801 1062.801 1062.801 1062.801 1062.801
1062.801 1062.801 1062.801 1062.801 1062.801 1062.801 1062.801 Reserve
and Surplus 71.558 376.544 705.609 1045.677 1395.344 1757.100 2133.213
2525.763 2936.685 3367.793 3820.805 4297.371 Loan Funds 3263.027
3221.072 2949.687 2678.557 2407.908 2137.767 1868.157 1599.108 1330.648
1062.808 795.618 529.114 Term Loan 3188.402 2980.463 2703.210 2425.958
2148.706 1871.453 1594.201 1316.949 1039.696 762.444 485.192 207.939
Working Capital loan 74.625 240.609 246.476 252.599 259.203 266.313 273.956
282.160 290.952 300.364 310.427 321.175 Total Liabilities 4397.39 4660.42
4718.10 4787.03 4866.05 4957.67 5064.17 5187.67 5330.13 5493.40 5679.22
5889.29 Assets Project Asset 4219.67 4093.53 3967.39 3841.25 3715.11
3588.97 3462.83 3336.69 3210.55 3084.41 2958.27 2832.14 Depreciation
31.535 126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139
126.139 126.139 126.139 Current Asset 91.001 311.827 319.137 326.756
334.987 343.861 353.410 363.669 374.674 386.465 399.080 412.564 Coal Stock
12.910 54.220 56.931 59.778 62.766 65.905 69.200 72.660 76.293 80.108
84.113 88.319 Secondary Fuel 0.973 4.046 4.208 4.376 4.551 4.733 4.923 5.120
5.324 5.537 5.759 5.989 Maintenance Spares 20.396 21.563 22.796 24.100
25.479 26.936 28.477 30.105 31.828 33.648 35.573 37.607 Receivables 56.723
231.998 235.202 238.503 242.191 246.287 250.810 255.784 261.229 267.172
to equity holder Equity IRR Cash Outflow 2024 2025 2026 2027 2028 2029 2030
2031 2032 2033 2034 2035 2036 2037 2038 453.013 476.565 540.591 562.698
583.584 605.999 629.948 655.445 682.514 711.187 741.505 773.515 807.274
842.841 880.287 126.139 126.139 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186
89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 89.186 87.248 50.512 13.776
0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000 0.000
40.355 41.753 43.292 45.145 47.261 49.486 51.825 54.285 56.871 59.591
62.451 65.458 68.621 71.946 75.443 252.517 270.970 290.340 306.386
321.146 336.132 351.426 367.104 383.237 399.893 417.134 435.023 453.620
472.983 493.170 959.273 965.940 977.185 1003.415 1041.177 1080.803
1122.385 1166.020 1211.808 1259.857 1310.276 1363.183 1418.700 1476.956
1538.086 959.273 965.940 977.185 1003.415 1041.177 1080.803 1122.385
1166.020 1211.808 1259.857 1310.276 1363.183 1418.700 1476.956 1538.086
453.013 476.565 540.591 562.698 583.584 605.999 629.948 655.445 682.514
711.187 741.505 773.515 807.274 842.841 880.287 453.01274 476.56532
540.59141 562.69847 583.58389 605.9992 629.94819 655.44518 682.51395
711.18699 741.50481 773.51537 807.27366 842.841393 880.286707 0 1 2 3 4
5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12 Year 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
2024 2025 2026 PAT 71.558 304.986 329.065 340.068 349.667 361.757 376.112
392.550 410.922 431.108 453.013 476.565 540.591 Add: Depreciation 31.535
126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139 126.139
126.139 126.139 89.186 Add: Interest on Term Loan 105.616 415.575 381.135
344.399 307.663 270.928 234.192 197.456 160.720 123.984 87.248 50.512
13.776 Add: Tax 18.976 80.877 87.262 108.406 131.989 154.169 175.222
195.389 214.876 233.866 252.517 270.970 290.340 Total 227.685 927.578
923.602 919.013 915.460 912.993 911.665 911.534 912.657 915.097 918.917
924.187 933.893 Principal Repayment 0.000 207.939 277.252 277.252 277.252
277.252 277.252 277.252 277.252 277.252 277.252 277.252 207.939 Interest
Payment 105.616 415.575 381.135 344.399 307.663 270.928 234.192 197.456
160.720 123.984 87.248 50.512 13.776 Total Debt Services 105.616 623.515
658.388 621.652 584.916 548.180 511.444 474.708 437.972 401.236 364.500
327.764 221.715 DSCR 2.156 1.488 1.403 1.478 1.565 1.665 1.783 1.920 2.084
2.281 2.521 2.820 4.212 Minimum DSCR 1.403 Average DSCR 2.106 Maximum
DSCR 4.212 ANNEXURE XIII: DSCR