Product of BM

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Geometric Brownian Motion

Product of Geometric Brownian Motion Processes


(continued)

Consider the geometric Brownian motion process


Y (t) eX(t)
X(t) is a (, ) Brownian motion.

As Y /X = Y and 2 Y /X 2 = Y , Itos formula (51)


on p. 453 implies

dY
= + 2 /2 dt + dW.
Y

Note that
Y
Z

The annualized instantaneous rate of return is + 2 /2


not .

c
2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

The product of two (or more) correlated geometric


Brownian motion processes thus remains geometric
Brownian motion.

Page 459



a b2 /2 dt + b dWY ,



= exp f g 2 /2 dt + g dWZ ,

 

= exp a + f b2 + g 2 /2 dt + b dWY + g dWZ .

= exp

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2005
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Page 461

Product of Geometric Brownian Motion Processes


Let
dY /Y

= a dt + b dWY ,

dZ/Z

= f dt + g dWZ .

Product of Geometric Brownian Motion Processes


(concluded)
ln U is Brownian motion with a mean equal to the sum
of the means of ln Y and ln Z.

Consider the Ito process U Y Z.


Apply Itos lemma (Theorem 18 on p. 457):
dU

Z dY + Y dZ + dY dZ

ZY (a dt + b dWY ) + Y Z(f dt + g dWZ )

This holds even if Y and Z are correlated.


Finally, ln Y and ln Z have correlation .

+Y Z(a dt + b dWY )(f dt + g dWZ )


=

U (a + f + bg) dt + U b dWY + U g dWZ .

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Page 460

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Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Page 462

Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process
The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process:

Quotients of Geometric Brownian Motion Processes

dX = X dt + dW,

Suppose Y and Z are drawn from p. 460.

where , 0.

Let U Y /Z.

It is known that

We now show that

dU
= (a f + g 2 bg) dt + b dWY g dWZ .
U

E[ X(t) ]

Var[ X(t) ]

Cov[ X(s), X(t) ]

(52)

Keep in mind that dWY and dWZ have correlation .

(tt0 )

E[ x0 ],

2 
2(tt0 )
2(tt0 )
1e
+e
Var[ x0 ],
2
i
2 (ts) h
e
1 e2(st0 )
2

+e(t+s2t0 ) Var[ x0 ],

for t0 s t and X(t0 ) = x0 .

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2005
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Page 463

Quotients of Geometric Brownian Motion Processes


(concluded)

X(t) is normally distributed if x0 is a constant or


normally distributed.

dU
=
=

(1/Z) dY (Y /Z ) dZ (1/Z ) dY dZ + (Y /Z ) (dZ)

(1/Z)(aY dt + bY dWY ) (Y /Z 2 )(f Z dt + gZ dWZ )


(1/Z 2 )(bgY Z dt) + (Y /Z 3 )(g 2 Z 2 dt)

U (a dt + b dWY ) U (f dt + g dWZ )

E[ x0 ] = x0 and Var[ x0 ] = 0 if x0 is a constant.


The Ornstein-Uhlenbeck process has the following mean
reversion property.
When X < 0, it is pulled toward zero again.

U (a f + g 2 bg) dt + U b dWY U g dWZ .

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2005
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X is said to be a normal process.

When X > 0, X is pulled X toward zero.

U (bg dt) + U (g 2 dt)

Page 465

Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process (continued)

The multidimensional Itos lemma (Theorem 18 on


p. 457) can be employed to show that
2

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Page 464

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Page 466

Interest Rate Modelsa


Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process (continued)

Suppose the short rate r follows process


dr = (r, t) dt + (r, t) dW .

Another version:

Let P (r, t, T ) denote the price at time t of a


zero-coupon bond that pays one dollar at time T .

dX = ( X) dt + dW,
where 0.

Write its dynamics as

Given X(t0 ) = x0 , a constant, it is known that


E[ X(t) ] =
Var[ X(t) ] =

(tt0 )

+ (x0 ) e
,
i
2 h

1 e2(tt0 ) ,
2

dP
= p dt + p dW.
P

(53)

The expected instantaneous rate of return on a


(T t)-year zero-coupon bond is p .
The instantaneous variance is p2 .

for t0 t.

a Merton

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2005
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Page 467

(1970).

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2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Interest Rate Models (continued)

Ornstein-Uhlenbeck Process (concluded)

Surely P (r, T, T ) = 1 for any T .

The mean and standard deviation are roughly and

/ 2 , respectively.

By Itos lemma (Theorem 17 on p. 455),

For large t, the probability of X < 0 is extremely


unlikely in any finite time interval when > 0 is large

relative to / 2 (say > 4/ 2).

dP

=
=

The process is mean-reverting.

X tends to move toward .

Useful for modeling term structure, stock price


volatility, and stock price return.

c
2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Page 469

Page 468

P
P
1 2P
dT +
dr +
(dr)2
T
r
2 r2
P
P

dt +
[ (r, t) dt + (r, t) dW ]
T
r
1 2P
+
[ (r, t) dt + (r, t) dW ]2
2 r2


P
P
(r, t)2 2 P
dt

+ (r, t)
+
T
r
2
r2
P
+(r, t)
dW.
r

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2005
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Page 470

Interest Rate Models (concluded)


Hence,

P
P
(r, t)2 2 P
+ (r, t)
+
T
r
2
r 2
P
(r, t)
r

= P p , (54)
= P p .

I have hardly met a mathematician


who was capable of reasoning.
Plato (428 B.C.347 B.C.)

Models with the short rate as the only explanatory


variable are called short rate models.

c
2005
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Page 471

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2005
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Page 473

Toward the Black-Scholes Differential Equation


The price of any derivative on a non-dividend-paying
stock must satisfy a partial differential equation.
The key step is recognizing that the same random
process drives both securities.

Continuous-Time Derivatives Pricing

As their prices are perfectly correlated, we figure out the


amount of stock such that the gain from it offsets
exactly the loss from the derivative.
The removal of uncertainty forces the portfolios return
to be the riskless rate.

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2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Page 472

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Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Page 474

Assumptions

Black-Scholes Differential Equation (continued)

The stock price follows dS = S dt + S dW .

The change in the value of the portfolio at time dt is

There are no dividends.

d = dC +

Trading is continuous, and short selling is allowed.


There are no transactions costs or taxes.

Substitute the formulas for dC and dS into the partial


differential equation to yield


C
1
2C
dt.
d =
2 S 2
t
2
S 2

All securities are infinitely divisible.


The term structure of riskless rates is flat at r.
There is unlimited riskless borrowing and lending.

As this equation does not involve dW , the portfolio is


riskless during dt time: d = r dt.

t is the current time, T is the expiration time, and


T t.

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2005
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Page 475

Black-Scholes Differential Equation

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Page 477

Black-Scholes Differential Equation (concluded)

Let C be the price of a derivative on S.


From Itos lemma (p. 455),


C
C
C
1 2 2 2C
dt + S
dC = S
+
+ S
dW.
S
t
2
S 2
S
The same W drives both C and S.
Short one derivative and long C/S shares of stock
(call it ).
By construction,

So

C
1
2C
+ 2 S 2
t
2
S 2



C
dt = r C S
dt.
S

Equate the terms to finally obtain


C
C
1
2C
+ rS
+ 2 S 2
= rC.
t
S
2
S 2
When there is a dividend yield q,
C
C
1
2C
+ (r q) S
+ 2 S 2
= rC.
t
S
2
S 2

= C + S(C/S).

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2005
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C
dS.
S

Page 476

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2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Page 478

PDEs for Asian Options (continued)

Rephrase
The Black-Scholes differential equation can be expressed
in terms of sensitivity numbers,
+ rS +

1 2 2
S = rC.
2

(55)

Identity (55) leads to an alternative way of computing


numerically from and .
When a portfolio is delta-neutral,
+

1 2 2
S = rC.
2

The two-dimensional PDE produces algorithms similar


to that on pp. 316ff.
But one-dimensional PDEs are available for Asian
options.a
For example, Vecer (2001) derives the following PDE for
Asian calls:
2


1 Tt z 2 2 u
u
t
u
+r 1 z
+
=0
t
T
z
2
z 2
with the terminal condition u(T, z) = max(z, 0).

A definite relation thus exists between and .

c
2005
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a Rogers

Page 479

and Shi (1995), Ve


cer (2001), and Dubois and Leli`
evre (2005).

c
2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Page 481

PDEs for Asian Options


Add the new variable A(t)

Rt
0

S(u) du.

PDEs for Asian Options (concluded)

Then the value V of the Asian option satisfies this


two-dimensional PDE:a

For Asian puts:




u
t
u
+r
1z
+
t
T
z

V
V
1
2V
V
+ rS
+ 2 S 2
+S
= rV.
2
t
S
2
S
A
The terminal conditions are


A
V (T, S, A) = max
X, 0
T


A
V (T, S, A) = max X , 0
T
a Kemna

t
T

1z
2

2

2 2 u
=0
z 2

with the same terminal condition.


for call,

One-dimensional PDEs lead to highly efficient numerical


methods.

for put.

and Vorst (1990).

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2005
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Page 480

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2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Page 482

Exchange Optionsa
A correlation option has value dependent on multiple
assets.

Pricing of Exchange Options

An exchange option is a correlation option.


It gives the holder the right to exchange one asset for
another.

Assume that the two underlying assets do not pay


dividends and that their prices follow
dS1
S1
dS2
S2

Its value at expiration is thus


max(S2 (T ) S1 (T ), 0),
where S1 (T ) and S2 (T ) denote the prices of the two
assets at expiration.
a Margrabe

= 1 dt + 1 dW1 ,
= 2 dt + 2 dW2 ,

where is the correlation between dW1 and dW2 .

(1978).

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2005
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Page 483

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2005
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Page 485

Pricing of Exchange Options (concluded)


The option value at time t is

Exchange Options (concluded)

V (S1 , S2 , t) = S2 N (x) S1 N (x T t),

The payoff implies two ways of looking at the option.

It is a call on asset 2 with a strike price equal to the


future price of asset 1.
It is a put on asset 1 with a strike price equal to the
future value of asset 2.

where
x
2

ln(S2 /S1 ) + ( 2 /2)(T t)

,
T t
12 21 2 + 22 .

(56)

This is called Margrabes formula.

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2005
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Page 484

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Page 486

Derivation of Margrabes Formula


Observe first that V (x, y, t) is homogeneous of degree
one in x and y.
That is, V (S1 , S2 , t) = V (S1 , S2 , t).

Derivation of Margrabes Formula (continued)


The interest rate on a riskless loan denominated in asset
1 is zero in a perfect market.

An exchange option based on times the prices of


the two assets is thus equal in value to original
exchange options.
Intuitively, this is true because of
max(S2 (T ) S1 (T ), 0) = max(S2 (T ) S1 (T ), 0)

A lender of one unit of asset 1 demands one unit of


asset 1 back as repayment of principal.
The option to exchange asset 1 for asset 2 is a call on
asset 2 with a strike price equal to unity and the interest
rate equal to zero.

and the perfect market assumption.

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2005
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Page 487

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2005
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Derivation of Margrabes Formula (concluded)

Derivation of Margrabes Formula (continued)


The price of asset 2 relative to asset 1 is S S2 /S1 .
p
The diffusion of dS/S is 12 21 2 + 22 by Eq. (52)
on p. 463 (proving Eq. (56) on p. 486).
Hence, the option sells for

So the Black-Scholes formula applies:


V (S1 , S2 , t)
S1

= V (1, S, t)

= SN (x) 1 e0(T t) N (x T t),

where

V (S1 , S2 , t)/S1 = V (1, S2 /S1 , t)


x

with asset 1 as the numeraire.

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2005
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Page 489

Page 488

ln(S/1) + (0 + 2 /2)(T t)
ln(S2 /S1 ) + ( 2 /2)(T t)

=
.
T t
T t

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2005
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Page 490

Margrabes Formula with Dividends

Options on Foreign Currencies and Assets (concluded)

Margrabes formula is not much more complicated if Si


pays out a continuous dividend yield of qi , i = 1, 2.

So S(t) follows the geometric Brownian motion process,

Simply replace each occurrence of Si with Si eqi (T t)


to obtain
V (S1 , S2 , t)

S2 eq2 (T t) N (x)

(57)

S1 eq1 (T t) N (x T t),
x
2

dS
= (r rf ) dt + s dWs (t),
S
in a risk-neutral economy.
The foreign asset will be assumed to pay a continuous
dividend yield of qf , and its price follows
dGf
= (f qf ) dt + f dWf (t)
Gf

ln(S2 /S1 ) + (q1 q2 + 2 /2)(T t)

,
T t

12 21 2 + 22 .

in foreign currency.
is the correlation between dWs and dWf .

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2005
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Page 491

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Options on Foreign Currencies and Assets

Inverse Exchange Rates

Correlation options involving foreign currencies and


assets can be analyzed either take place in the domestic
market or the foreign market before being converted
back into the domestic currency.
In the following, S(t) denotes the spot exchange rate in
terms of the domestic value of one unit of foreign
currency.
We knew from p. 305 that foreign currency is analogous
to a stock paying a continuous dividend yield equal to
the foreign riskless interest rate rf in foreign currency.

c
2005
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Page 493

Page 492

Suppose we have to work with the inverse of the


exchange rate, Y 1/S, instead of S.

Because the option payoff is a function of Y ; or

Because the parameters for Y are quoted in the


markets but not S.
Y follows

dY
= (r rf s2 ) dt s dWs (t)
Y

by Eq. (52) on p. 463.

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2005
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Page 494

Inverse Exchange Rates (concluded)

Foreign Equity Options (concluded)

Hence the volatility of Y equals that of S.

If a simulation of S gives wildly different sample


volatilities for S and Y , you probably forgot to take
logarithms before calculating the standard deviations.

The correlation between Y and Gf equals

in foreign currency.

E[ (Y s dWs )(Gf f dWf ) ]


E[ (Y s dWs )2 ]E[ (Gf f dWf )2 ]

They will fetch SCf and SPf , respectively, in domestic


currency.

E[ dWs dWf ]
=
E[ dWs2 ]E[ dWf2 ]

These options are called foreign equity options struck in


foreign currency.

as the correlation between S and Gf is .

c
2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Similarly, a European option on the foreign asset Gf


with the terminal payoff S(T ) max(Xf Gf (T ), 0) is
worth

Pf = Xf erf N (x + f ) Gf eqf N (x)

Page 495

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2005
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Page 497

Foreign Domestic Options


Foreign Equity Options

Foreign equity options fundamentally involve values in


the foreign currency.

From Eq. (26) on p. 255, a European option on the


foreign asset Gf with the terminal payoff
S(T ) max(Gf (T ) Xf , 0) is worth

Cf = Gf eqf N (x) Xf erf N (x f )

A foreign equity call may allow the holder to participate


in a foreign market rally.
But the profits can be wiped out if the foreign currency
depreciates against the domestic currency.

in foreign currency.
Above,
x

What is really needed is a call in domestic currency with


a payoff of max(S(T ) Gf (T ) X, 0).

ln(Gf /Xf ) + (rf qf + f2 /2)

.
f

For foreign equity options, the strike price in


domestic currency is the uncertain S(T ) Xf .

Xf is the strike price in foreign currency.

This is called a foreign domestic option.

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2005
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Page 496

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Page 498

Pricing of Foreign Domestic Options

Cross-Currency Options

To foreign investors, this call is an option to exchange


X units of domestic currency (foreign currency to them)
for one share of foreign asset (domestic asset to them).
It is an exchange option, that is.
By Eq. (57) on p. 491, its price in foreign currency equals

An option to buy 100 yen at a strike price of 1.18


Canadian dollars provides one example.

X r
e
N (x ),
S
ln(Gf S/X) + (r qf + 2 /2)

Usually, a third currency, the U.S. dollar, is involved


because of the lack of relevant exchange-traded options
for the two currencies in question (yen and Canadian
dollars in the above example).

s2 + 2s f + f2 .

So the notations below will be slightly different.

Gf eqf N (x)
x

A cross-currency option is an option in which the


currency of the strike price is different from the currency
in which the underlying asset is denominated.

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2005
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Page 499

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2005
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Page 501

Cross-Currency Options (continued)


Pricing of Foreign Domestic Options (concluded)
The domestic price is therefore

Both SA and SC are in U.S. dollars, say.

C = SGf eqf N (x) Xer N (x ).

If S is the price of the foreign asset as measured in


currency C, then we have the triangular arbitrage
S = SA /SC .a

Similarly, a put has a price of

P = Xer N (x + ) SGf eqf N (x).

c
2005
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Let SA denote the price of the foreign asset and SC the


price of currency C that the strike price X is based on.

a Triangular

arbitrage had been known for centuries.


tesquieus The Spirit of Laws.

Page 500

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2005
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See Mon-

Page 502

Quanto Options (continued)

Cross-Currency Options (concluded)

b f in a risk-neutral economy follows


The process U SG

Assume SA and SC follow the geometric Brownian


motion processes dSA /SA = A dt + A dWA and
dSC /SC = C dt + C dWC , respectively.

dU
= (rf qf s f ) dt + f dW
U

in domestic currency.

Parameters A , C , and can be inferred from


exchange-traded options.

Hence, it can be treated as a stock paying a continuous


dividend yield of q r rf + qf + s f .

By an exercise in the text,


dS
2
= (A C + C
A C ) dt + A dWA C dWC ,
S
where is the correlation between dWA and dWC .
The volatility of dS/S is hence

2
(A

2A C +

Page 503

Quanto Options
Consider a call with a terminal payoff
Sb max(Gf (T ) Xf , 0) in domestic currency, where Sb
is a constant.
b
This amounts to fixing the exchange rate to S.

= Sb (Gf eq N (x) Xf er N (x f ))

= Sb (Xf er N (x + f ) Gf eq N (x))

where x

ln(Gf /Xf )+(rq+f2 /2)

.
f

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Page 505

Quanto Options (concluded)


In general, a quanto derivative has nominal payments in
the foreign currency which are converted into the
domestic currency at a fixed exchange rate.
A cross-rate swap, for example, is like a currency swap
except that the foreign currency payments are converted
into the domestic currency at a fixed exchange rate.

For instance, a call on the Nikkei 225 futures, if it


existed, fits this framework with Sb = 5 and Gf
denoting the futures price.

Quanto derivatives form a rapidly growing segment of


international financial markets.

A guaranteed exchange rate option is called a quanto


option or simply a quanto.

c
2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Apply Eq. (26) on p. 255 to obtain


P

2 1/2
C
) .

c
2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

(58)

Page 504

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2005
Prof. Yuh-Dauh Lyuu, National Taiwan University

Page 506

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