Block 4 MEC 007 Unit 13
Block 4 MEC 007 Unit 13
Block 4 MEC 007 Unit 13
Structure
13.0 Objectives
13.1 Introduction
13.2 Growing Importance of Services
13.2.1 Structure of Production
13.3 Consequences of Inclusion of Services in Multilateral Trade Negotiations
13.4 Outcome of the Negotiations on Services
13.5 Service Negotiations since the UR
13.6 India and Trade in Services
13.7 Let Us Sum Up
1 3.8 Key Words
13.9 Some Useful References
13.10 AnswersJHints to Check Your Progress Exercises
OBJECTIVES
After reading this Unit, you will be able to
appreciate the growing importance of services in the trade;
discuss the consequences of inclusion of services in multilateral trade
negotiations;
learn the outcome of negotiation on services;
know the service negotiations since Uruguay Round; and
argue the case of India and trade in services.
13.1
INTRODUCTION
Globalisation, l k d e and
Developing Countries
High
Income
40
36
32
30
24
21
54
61
66
However, there is little dispute that technological change has changed the
nature of services. As Bhagwati (1984) notes, in earlier times a musical
performance was usually a non-tradeable service, and only people from the
area around where the performance was staged could attend it. Subsequently,
when music could be captured on records and tapes, a musical performance
became tradable through the medium of a good. Still later with the advent of
radio and TV the service could be traded without necessarily trading the
medium products such as radios and TVs. The service itself had become
tradable and did not have to be embodied in a good. Technical change has
made many services tradable without these being embodied. Furthermore, as
noted earlier, the service component attached to a good that is sold has
increased to make the good more accessible and convenient to consumers.
Services comprise 60%)of world GDP and provide 50% of the employment.
The share of services hap been rising in the 90s in all regions of the world. Of
course, it may be that sqme of the increase in services in developing countries
is of low productivity services, and reflects the prevalence of high levels of
Gradually, the issue of inclusion of services brought about a schism among the
developing countries. While India and Brazil and some other countries remained
opposed to the inclusion of services, others such as Colombia, South Korea,
Jamaica, etc. become more open to the idea of inclusion or at least to an
examination of the issues involved in services trade. They formed an informal
group, which included some developed countries to examine the issue of
services trade.
Motives for this change varied among developing countries. Some,
particularly the East and South East Asian countries, thought that they might
have a comparative advantage in some services. Others wished liberalisation
in other areas and believed that without some progress in services, trade in
their prefer* products would not be liberalised. Gradually this group gained
importance. Ultimately countries like Brazil and India were not able to keep
services out of the negotiating agenda that was decided at Punte del Este,
Uruguay in 1986. But they thought that they had managed to keep service
negotiations separate. There was a negotiating group for services separate fiom
the other negotiating groups. This separation was to prevent cross sector
retaliation. If a country did not fulfil its commitments in the services area then
a partner country could not take retaliatory action on its exports of goods. So
retaliation would be restricted to the country's service exports. Since
developing countries did not export much of services, only limited retaliation
could be carried out against their exports. However, the final Uruguay Round
agreements allowed such cross-sector retaliation.
lssues on Trade
in Services
Globalisation, b d e and
Developing ~ o u n t r ~ c s
1) Cross-Border Supply: Frop the territory of one member into the territory
of any other member. For instance a doctor located in India could provide
medical services to patients in the US by consultations over the phone or
through the internet.
2) Movement of Cansumer: Supply of the service in the temtory of one
member to the consumer of any other member. For instance, when a
foreign patient comes to India for medical treatment.
3) Commercial Presence: By a service supplier of one member, through the
commercial presence in the temtory of any other member. An Indian
company could establish a hospital in the US to provide medical services.
The people working in the hospital could be US citizens.
4) The Right of Natural Persons to Travel: By a service supplier of one
member through presence of natural persons of the member in the temtory
of any other member. Indian doctors could travel to the US to provide
medical services.
Technology may determine in which mode a service is delivered. Till a few
years ago medical serVices could not be provided across borders. But today
they can be provided, though imperfectly, over the internet. Another example
is outsourcing. Today these services are provided across borders without an
Indian company establishing branches abroad or Indian people moving abroad.
But till a few years ago this could not have been done.
Now it is clear from the examples that trade in services are controlled by
domestic laws. For instance, recall the attempts by some state legislatures and
even Congress in the US to prevent outsourcing of government contracts.
Domestic laws govern the qualifications of doctors or regulations that
hospitals have to follow. Whether foreign consumers can come to India for
medical treatment may depend on whether the patient's insurance company
will pay for such treatment. This, in turn, may depend on the regulations
governing operations of insurance companies. If a country allows entry of
foreign doctors it has to decide whether to accept foreign degrees or subject
them to additional tests or requirements. While this may be relatively easy to
do if the doctor comes to the country it might be very difficult to do if the
medical services are provided over the internet. Since trade in services is
Issues on Trade
in Services
Developing Countries
l m u a on l h d e
in Services
Globrlhatlon,l h d c md
Devcloplng Countries
2) Give a brief account of the service negotiations under UR (UruguayRound).
13.6
India had objected to the inclusion of trade in services in the agreement for the
UR negotiations. The Indian negotiations continued to raise objections to
libralisation in the subsequent negotiations. Few could have anticipated that
trade in services would be the dynamic sector in Indian export performance.
Trade in services has been dynamic growing at 6 per cent a year between 1990
and 2002. Undoubtedly, the developed countries have comparative advantages
as they have the lion's share of exports of commercial services (Table 13.2).
Furthennore their share in commercial services is higher than their share in
goods exports. However, developing countries, both low income and midd'leincome countries, increased their share of commercial services exports
between 1990 and 2002. But this better performance of developing countries
as a whole, hides the uncomfortable fact that this is mainly because of the
performance of the Asian countries. The share of other developing country
regions in exports of commercial services has declined (Table 13.3).
Table 13.2: Regional Share in Exports of Goods and of Services, 2001
Countries
North America
Western E u r o ~ e
Asia
India
Goods
16.6
41.5
Services
20.5
46.5
18.3
0.7
16.4
1.4
But when commercial services are broken into transport, travel and other
services such as banking, insurance, professional, data related, consumption
etc., developing.countrieshave made a substantial gain in travel services. All
regions except Latin America have increased their share. Small gains have also
been made by developing countries in both transport and other services.
But whereas only East Asia increased its share in transport services, all
regions, except SSA(Sub Saharan Afiica), increased their share of other
services. So developing countries are doing well in the dynamic services as
exports of travel services increased at an annual rate of 5.6% and other
services at 7.0%, whereas exports of transport services grew annually at only
I1 :
1.1%. But developing countries started off with a relatively low share of the
dynamic "other services" sector.
Table 13.3: Regional Shares in Exports of Commercial Services and Growth of Exports
1 1 . 4 ( 1.0
1.4
0.6
0.7
0.4
Source: World Bank (2004)
13.3
( 0.6
LAC
13.3
lndia
1.6
0.9
0.6
1
1
1.5
0.8
0.4
2.2
India has increased its share of all types of services, and particularly of other
services. India's share of exports of services at 1.4% is double its share of
world exports of goods. Furthermore, its share of the "other services" sector is
even higher at 2.2%. This points to the dangers of negotiating without
adequate analysis, though one should not be too harsh on the Indian
negotiators as little was known about services trade and the technological leap
in IT was difficult to predict.
I
i
t
t
The success of Indian service exports in the past decade points to the
difficulties in anticipating the benefits from liberalisation. Analysis is made
more difficult in the case of services (J.Whalley, 2003) by the difficulties of
defining services, measuring service trade and indicators of baniers to trade.
Services can range from purely intermediate goods, such as some back office
operations, to those that are partly intermediate and partly final consumer goods,
e.g., banking and telecommunications, to those that are basically final
consumer goods e.g., tourism. Lumping them together as services suggests
that the analysis may be seriously flawed. Data on the level and composition of
international trade in services is poor because there is no formal customs
clearance for services trade. Barriers to trade are sometimes measured by
price differences and sometimes by frequency data showing prevalence of
regulatory measures etc. But there are problems with all such measures. For
instance, regulatory measures may or may not be barriers to trade. Such
conceptual differences make difficult estimation of the benefits from
liberalisation. They also make the task of negotiations difficult.
India has demonstrated its competitiveness in a wide variety of services. In the
UR,Indian negotiators had to concentrate on getting concessions on the mode
4 form of trade in services namely movement of natural persons. Most of us
remember the issue of H visas for Indian IT workers. A few years ago the US
had increased the number of sucqvisas issued. But in the subsequent year, the
number of such visas issued had declined substantially. A WTO agreement on
movement of natural persons would prevent such large fluctuations. However,
visas are not the only problems. Germany had also liberalised the issuance of
visas. But Indian workers were much less enthusiastic about this liberalisation
and the number of the people availing of the facility was much smaller than the
number of visas available as the overall atmosphere in Germany was perceived
to be hostile to such workers. In the Doha Round, Indian negotiators are
Issues on Trade
in Services
Globalisation,Trade and
DevelopingCountries
provision of education and the purpose and effects of education can vary at
different levels of education. Most countries that have made requests and
offers have done so in the field of higher education. No country seems to be
willing to countenance liberalisation of primary education.
India is a major importer of educational services. Almost a 100,000 Indian
students go abroad every year for higher education. In recent years a number of
foreign organisations have set up facilities in India to provide educational
services. The debate on liberalisation of higher education has got vitiated by
the presence of many organisations in the field of education, which are not
recognised in their own countries and who have not received clearance from
the Indian authorities. Their presence is a failure on the part of the Indian
states and has nothing to do with the WTO.
It is not clear whether agreeing to liberalisation at the WTO would make such
illegal presence easier. It will in no way legalise it. Another fear that is often
expressed is that liberalisation will lead to greater outflow of Indian teachers.
This would aggravate the shortage of teachers in India. Also enrolments of
foreign students in larger numbers in Indian universities would aggravate the
competition for the limited number of seats.
While undoubtedly, liberalisation may create problems of short run adjusment,
there is no convincing argument that it would harm Indian interests.
Liberalisation may improve the higher education facilities in India, which are
facing a severe resources crunch. Similar fears had been expressed about the
ability of the Indian nationalised banking sector to survive when entry by
private bankers including private foreign banks, was permitted. It was feared
that Indian banks may not be able to face the competition. But the nationalised
banks have faced the competition and increased their efficiency. Similarly, one
should not be too pessimistic about the capacity of the Indian higher
educational system to face competition. The government of India has offered
to substantially liberalise educational services.
Another important aspect is that in many sectbrs Indian rules and regulations
are much more liberal than the commitments we have made. This is similar to
the case of trade in goods, where our applied tariffs are considerably lower
than our bound tariffs. This wedge between the actual position and our
cornmidents can be used in the negotiations.
In conclusion, one can say briefly that prospects for liberalisation of trades in
services are not very clear. India seems to have a comparative advantage in the
supply of many services and has expanded exports of such services. It is,
er, difficult to analyse the impact of liberalisation in the case of trade in
This makes negotiationsdifficult and so the negotiators proceed warily.
Check
bur Progress 3
lma on 'Ihde
in Servites
LET US S U M UP
This Unit has explained to you the growing importance of services in the world
trade. It exposes you to the consequences of inclusion of services in
multilateral trade negotiations and discusses the outcome of the negotiations
on service's. The Unit has tried to explore the history of service negotiations
since the Uruguay Round. It discusses the importance of India in negotiations
under trade in services.
13.8
KEY W O R D S
13.9
Issues on Trade
in Services
41