TowerXchange Issue 16
TowerXchange Issue 16
TowerXchange Issue 16
Xchange
TowerXchange CALA:
< Is it time to invest in Argentinian towers?
< Brazil tower industry facing its toughest year yet
< TowerXchange verdicts on Bolivia and Telesites
TowerXchange Asia:
< edotco, Indus Towers, Protelindo perspectives
< Cam Towerlinks project to connect Angkor Wat
< TowerXchanges guide to Chinese tower market
TowerXchange Europe:
< Cellnex CEO Tobias Martinez interviewed
< Transformation in Turkey, Germany, Russia & CIS
< UK, France, Poland and Greece market studies
Dont miss TowerXchange Meetups for CALA (16 -17 June) and Africa (19-20 October)!
Tower
Xchange
Contents
Regular and special features
5
131
168
202
261
About TowerXchange
Founded in 2012, TowerXchange is your
Chuck Green
Executive Chairman
Helios Towers Africa
Kurt Bagwell
President International
SBA Communications
Zhiyong Zhang
Chairman & President
Miteno
Suresh Sidhu
CEO
edotco
Jim Eisenstein
Chairman & CEO
Grupo TorreSur
Akhil Gupta
Chairman
Bharti Infratel
Malcolm Collins
Chief Executive
CTIL
Bimal Dayal
COO
Indus Towers
Michel Faivre
Directeur Programme Partage
dInfrastructure AMEA, Orange
Ted Zhong
CEO
Q Towers International
Inder Bajaj
CEO
HTN Towers
Nina Triantis
Managing Director, Global, Head of
Telecoms & Media
Standard Bank
Hal Hess
EVP, International Operations and
President, EMEA and Latin America
American Tower
Riana Donaldson
Manager: International Network
Operations Support
Vodacom
Terry Rhodes
CEO
Eaton Towers
Nobel Tanihaha
President Director
PT SOLUSI TUNAS PRATAMA (STP)
Tunde Titilayo
Vice Chairman
SWAP International
Marc Ganzi
President, Digital Bridge &
Mexico Tower Partners
Umang Das
Chief Mentor
Viom Networks
Jack Dessay
Managing Director
Macquarie Capital
Arun Kapur
Co-Founder
Irrawaddy Green Towers
Gilles Kuntz
CEO
TowerCo of Madagascar
Jeffrey Eldredge
Partner
Vinson & Elkins
James Maclaurin
formerly CEO
edotco
Maria Scotti
CEO
Torrecom
Enda Hardiman
Managing Partner
Hardiman Telecommunications Ltd.
Areef Kassam
Director of Infrastructure
GSMA Mobile for Development
David Meganck
Founder and COO
Acsys
Adeel Bajwa
Senior GM of Legal Affairs and
Contracts, Warid Telecom
Ayman Al Adl
Director - TMT
Standard Chartered Bank
Scott Coates
CEO
Wireless Infrastructure Group
Dagan Kasavana
CEO
Phoenix Tower International
Carlo Ramella
COO, EI Towers
and Chairman, Towertel
2016 Site Seven Media Ltd. All rights reserved. Neither the
whole nor any substantial part of this publication may be reproduced, stored in a retrieval system, or transmitted by any
means without the prior permission of Site Seven Media Ltd.
Short extracts may be quoted if TowerXchange is cited as the
source. TowerXchange is a trading name of Site Seven Media
Ltd, registered in the UK. Company number 8293930.
YOUR
SIGNAL
STARTS
HERE.
TOWER OWNERSHIP
LEASING
SITE MANAGEMENT
FLORIDA HEADQUARTERED.
INTERNATIONALLY CONNECTED.
Our clients depend on SBA to provide the wireless infrastructure that allows them to transmit the
signal to their customers. As their first choice provider of wireless infrastructure solutions, we are
continuously setting the standard for customer satisfaction by Building Better Wireless.
800.487.SITE sbasite.com
2016 SBA Communications Corporation. All Rights Reserved.
SITE DEVELOPMENT
CONSTRUCTION
TowerXchanges analysis
of the independent tower
market in CALA
Estimated
number of towers owned or managed
618 by towercos in CALA
**Telesites
618
*American Tower
3,765
18,851
484
Estimated
number of900 towers
owned or managed
by8,852
towercos
in CALA
13,350
Telxius 1,655
Estimated number of
328 towers owned or managed by towercos in CALA
1,212
12,874
*American Tower
*American
Tower1,655
Telxius
Grupo TorreSur
**Telesites 23
SBA Communications
1400
132
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
15,000
10,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
20,000
25,000
30,000
35,000
15,000
193
65
901
753
480
ic
o
Pa To
rt w
ne er
rs
1203
555
208
500
450
400
100
200
100
190
193
1203
650
650
200
200
500
500
450
450
208
208 100
100
400
400
105
60
51
40
40
100
100
200
200
190
190
150
150
105
105
60
60
51
51
M
ex
ic
ex P o T
ic ar ow
o tn e
Pa To e r
rt w rs
Ph ner er
oe s CS
I
Ph n n
S
t i
In oenern xCTSS
te ix at ow
rTn T io e
oart ow na r
To rioen er l
rr s aUl
es
ni
da
U
ni
s
**das
B*r *Q
*a*
M
Br
zQ
C
a C ilMT
**C zilom oCw
To pa e
o
*
m
** ** w n r
** Cpoa e y
*C
nn r
on tiyn
tin en
ta
e
** nta l
** ** l
** *N
*N M
T M S
To orr S
rr ec
o
e
C co m
Ce en m
Annt ten
An d en n
de ea ni ial
a n al
* nP T
** **P*a aTrot ow
** *r*t wne er
** Inne rs
I( nr
(T nTnoo osv
or rvr at
re eastt te
se eecl l
c) )
II IIM
M
H H T T
do diog igh
h
B
B l li
To To ra rinaes ne
rr rre sil il
e
I
In nt s s A
te el An n
lli li d d
Si Sit in in
te e a as
So So s
lu lu
tio tio
ns ns
Al Al
fa fa
Si Si
te te
To T
TO T
O
rrorr
es es CSACS
A
de d
e
Pa P
naan
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m am
rr or
a a
es re
Ons O
linnl
e ine
Sk S
ysky
Te T
itesi
le el
coec
s tes
mom
To T
rr o
esrr
es
600
600
65
193
65
901
901 753
194
753 690
600
194 400
555
690
600
400
555
150
de
Pa
na
To
m
rr
a
es
On
lin
e
Sk
ys
Te
ite
le
co
s
m
To
rr
es
480
400
600
ite
600
194
600
TO
CS
A
690
To
rr
es
650
200
ex
10,000
71
600
15,000
Ph
CS
In oen
S
te ix
rn T
at ow
i
on er
To
rr
al
es
U
ni
da
s
**
Br *Q
M
az
C
C il T
** om ow
p e
**
*C any r
on
tin
en
ta
l
**
**
*N
M
S
To
rr
ec
om
Ce
n
An ten
ni
de
al
an
** Pa To
** rt we
** ne r
r
I
(T nno s
or v
re att
se el
c)
II
M
T
H
do ig
Br hlin
To
as e
rr
il
es
In
An
te
lli
di
Si
na
te
s
So
lu
tio
ns
400
400
Source: TowerXchange
research, quarterly filings,
site lists
5,000
480
8001531
600
600
484
71132
400
1531
484
1203
600
1000
800
10,000
12,874
5,000
600
13223
1200
1000
8,852
Al
fa
S
1400
1200
1531
3,765
618
6,500
1000
800
8,852
1,212
13,350
12,874
328 5,000
7,032
6,500
Grupo TorreSur
1400
18,851
13,350
9006,500
7,032
SBA Communications71
Grupo
1200 TorreSur
23
328
Telxius 1,655
**Telesites
3,765
18,851
Year
Country
Seller
2014
Brazil
BR Towers
2014
Brazil
Oi
2013
Brazil
Nextel
2013
Brazil
2013
Brazil
Unknown
Buyer
Tower count
Deal structure
American Tower
4630
$978,000,000
$211,231
Company acquisition
SBA Communications
1641
$527,000,000
SLB
American Tower
1940
$349,000,000
www.towerxchange.com
$321146
Z-Sites
American Tower
236
$129,000,000
$546,610
Company acquisition
Oi
SBA Communications
2007
$645,000,000
$321,375
SLB
$179,897
SLB |
| TowerXchange
Issue 16
effectively
cost-efficient
energizing
communities
empowering
communication
www.edotcogroup.com
Name
Countries
Focus
Balesia
BTS
Golden Comunicaciones
Colombia
BTS
MX Towers
Mexico
Small cells/rooftops
Telecomm. Partners
Peru
BTS
Telxius
Carve out
Source: TowerXchange
Chile
8,511
Peru
9,118
Caribbean Central
10,550
America
11,489
Colombia
15,353
Argentina
16,000
Mexico
27,084
Brazil
54,425
Estimated total towers in rest of South America: 17,400 (Venezuela, Ecuador, Bolivia, Paraguay, Uruguay, Surinam, French Guiana and
Guyana)
Source: TowerXchange
REACHING
YOUR
GOALS
FPS TOWERS / FRANCE / WWW.FPSTOWERS.FR / +33 (0)1 45 36 50 80
*American Tower acquisition of 4,630 BR Towers includes2,530 towers plus 2,100 exclusive rights
**Totals and average exclude the GTP / American Tower deal as it was US-centric
Year
Country
Seller
Buyer
Tower count
2016
2016
2016
2016
2015
2015
2015
2015
2014
2014
2014
2014
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2013
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2012
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
2011
Dominican Republic
Peru
Chile
Brazil
Ecuador
Dominican Republic
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Panama
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Mexico
Brazil
USA, Panama & Costa Rica
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Mexico
Brazil
Peru
Chile
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Brazil
Chile
Mexico
Mexico
Colombia
Colombia
Brazil
Brazil
Viva
Telefnica
Telefnica
Telefnica
Torresec
Amzak/Teletower
Algar Telecom
T4U
TIM
American Tower
BR Towers*
Oi
Nextel
Z-Sites
Oi
Nextel
Nextel
Oi
GTP**
Oi
Oi
Telefnica
Axtel
Sitesharing
Telefnica
Telefnica
Telefnica
Oi
Telefnica
Telefnica
Telefnica
Telefnica
Telefnica
Telefnica
Telefnica
Millicom/Tigo
Telefnica
Sitesharing
Phoenix Tower
Telxius
Telxius
Telxius
SBA Communications
Phoenix Tower
Highline do Brasil
Phoenix Tower
American Tower
Phoenix Tower
American Tower
SBA Communications
American Tower
American Tower
SBA Communications
American Tower
American Tower
SBA Communications
American Tower
BR Towers
Grupo TorreSur
American Tower
American Tower
BR Towers
Torres Unidas
Torres Unidas
SBA Communications
Grupo TorreSur
American Tower
BR Towers
American Tower
American Tower
American Tower
American Tower
American Tower
American Tower
Grupo TorreSur
American Tower
545
900
328
1655
130
190
125
529
6480
60
4630
1641
1940
236
2007
2790
1666
2113
15700
2113
2113
93
883
100
350
400
800
1208
192
1912
1500
558
1554
584
125
2126
1358
666
Totals / average
42,822
$11,500,000
$214,000,000
$35,061
$129,305
$16,000,000
$128,000
$1,200,000,000
$185,185
$978,000,000
$527,000,000
$349,000,000
$129,000,000
$645,000,000
$413,000,000
$398,000,000
$343,000,000
$4,800,000,000
$251,000,000
$293,000,000
$18,000,000
$250,000,000
$211,231
$321146
$179,897
$546,610
$321,375
$148,029
$238,896
$162,328
$305,732
$118,788
$138,665
$193,548
$283,126
$178,000,000
$258,000,000
$33,000,000
$252,000,000
$225,000,000
$96,000,000
$323,000,000
$122,000,000
$18,000,000
$182,000,000
$206,000,000
$585,000,000
$222,500
$213,576
$171,875
$131,799
$150,000
$172,043
$207,851
$208,904
$144,000
$85,607
$151,694
$878,378
$8,288,000,000
$200,130
Deal structure
Portfolio acquisition
Portfolio acquisition
Portfolio acquisition
Portfolio acquisition
Portfolio acquisition
Company acquisition
SLB
Company acquisition
SLB
Subsidiary acquisition
Company acquisition
SLB
SLB
Company acquisition
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
Company acquisition
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
Partial acquisition
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
Partial acquisition
Andinas
Continental
Innovattel
QMC
SBA
Torrecom
Phoenix
Tower Int.
Torres
Unidas
Centennial
NMS
ATP
Balesia
Brazil
Mexico
El Salvador
Colombia
Jamaica
Chile
Honduras
Peru
Ecuador
Costa Rica
Panama
Puerto Rico
Nicaragua
Argentina
Guatemala
Dominican Republic
11
American Tower
Telesites
SBA Communications
Grupo TorreSur
Telxius
Other independent towercos
Operator-captive
12874
84971
9487
6500
14503
2883
Source: TowerXchange
Telesites
American Tower
Mexico Tower Partners
1450
IIMT
12874
Centennial
Torrecom
Intelli Site Solutions
Other independent towercos including Conex
8852
Source: TowerXchange
13
573
SBA
American Tower
Continental Towers
PTI
484
TOCSA
~1000
ICE
Claro
180
105 132
Source: TowerXchange
221
250
~25
SBA
Continental Towers
Tigo
Claro
Digicel
300
400
Telefnica
Source: TowerXchange
15
Colocation Management
Asset Register
to maintenance to decommission.
Business Intelligence
599
500
SBA
194
Torrecom
~100
Continental Towers
Tigo
Claro
Telefnica
~2000
Source: TowerXchange
~1000
Source: TowerXchange
17
SBA
Torrecom
NMS
Claro
Telefnica
75
193
Source: TowerXchange
SBA
Continental Towers
PTI
Torres de Panama
Cable & Wireless
550
Claro
~100
60
Telefnica
71
Source: TowerXchange
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
19
Economy
Population
Fitch rating
Mobile sector
98%
SIM penetration
(Q4 2015)
Connections 106mn
(Q4 2015)
$$$$$$$
$$$$$$$
$$$$$$$
Foreign investments
US$2.1bn (2014)
Carriers
23.1%
Entel
49.6%
30%
Tigo
Viva
21
tarantula
Leading telcos and towercos rely on Tarantula for centralised data management
American Tower
Centennial
3765
Torres Andinas
Phoenix Tower International
~1000
10300
65
200
23
900
2342
American Tower
618
600
1358
2500
600
Torres Andinas
NMS
Innovattel
Claro
Telefnica
Bitel
Entel
Source: TowerXchange
Torres Unidas
100
50
50
23
MANAGED
Services
TELECOM
Services
POWER
Products
& Solutions
ENGINEERED
Solutions
1212
American Tower
480
328
Torres Unidas
~120
6371
Telxius
Other independent towercos
Estimated MNO captive tower
Source: TowerXchange
25
1000
18851
American Tower
SBA Communications
Grupo TorreSur
Telxius
15000
7032
4387
6500
1655
Source: TowerXchange
CSS
150 51
40
40
650
400
Highline do Brasil
AlfaSite
Torres Online
1000
1203
Skysites
Telecom Torres
Allowance for other small towercos
Source: TowerXchange
27
Online
in
www.flexenclosure.com/eSite
Connections
7.7mn
Population
6.7mn
116%
SIM penetration
Connections
5.5mn
Population
3.4mn
159%
SIM penetration
29
35%
1,500-2,000
new sites needed
per year 2016-2018
US$7+
average
Income
tax rate
ARPU
active in
Argentina
(Innovattel)
VAT
1%
the market
of the three
top MNOs
1
the new
expected combined
MNOs investments
regulator
ENACOM
resulting
from the
merge of
AFSCA
Wealth and
tax
AFTIC
140%
share of each
$$$$
21%
1:
BTS firm
32-33%:
SIM penetration
US$9bn:
in the next five years
$$$$
16,000
existing towers
in Argentina
US$2.2bn:
Raised during the 2014
4G spectrum auction
Towers owned by
towercos
Towerco penetration
2013
140000
46011
32%
2014
148000
61729
41%
2015
156000
69850
44%
2016 to date
165000
80029
48.5%
Source: TowerXchange
31
Meetup
Americas 2016
16-17 June, Boca Raton
Resort and Club, Boca Raton
Legend
Towercos have acquired the majority of towers from carriers
Towercos have acquired a significant proportion of towers
from carriers, but the majority remain carrier-owned.
Significant BTS towerco activity also present
Less SLB activity, but plenty of BTS towerco activity
Early stage market for BTS and/or SLB
Negligible towerco activity
33
CALA news
A roundup of tower news across Central and Latin America
Argentina: Innovattel signed credit deal with
Albright Capital Management
Innovattel has signed a five-year credit facility with
Albright Capital Management for US$45mn. The
funds will be utilised for the deployment of build-tosuit projects in Argentina. Manuel Aviles, CEO and
Founder of Innovattel, commented that thanks to
this funding, the towerco is well positioned to make
history in the Southern Cone region.
Argentina, Brazil: Nextel Argentina sale
completed - Brazil up for sale?
XX
35
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22
37
Thursday 16 and Friday 17 June, Boca Raton Resort and Club, Boca Raton
TowerXchange is doing a tremendous job for the tower industry in Latin America. The opportunity to get together in one
location and exchange ideas over several days with all of the tower companies in our region is truly invaluable
- Jim Eisenstein, Chairman and CEO, Grupo TorreSur
To discuss your participation, contact Annabelle on +44 7423 512588 or email amayhew@towerxchange.com
Diamond sponsor:
Silver Sponsors:
Bronze Sponsors:
XX
< Country focus: Costa Rica - Federico Lorenzana, Country Manager - Costa
Rica, Continental Towers Corp.
< Country focus: Argentina - Guillermo Mulville, Head of TMT for Latin
America, IFC
< Country focus: Brazil I - Roberto Piazza, General Manager - Brazil, SBA
Communications
< Country focus: Brazil II - Jose Augusto Varela, VP Operations LatAm, Grupo
TorreSur
< Country focus: Peru - Eric Ensor, COO, Torres Andinas
< Country focus: Dominican Republic - Dagan Kasavana, CEO, Phoenix Towers
International
< Country focus: Guatemala and Nicaragua - Maria Scotti, CEO, Torrecom
< Country focus: Mexico - Carlos Tilac, COO, Torrecom
< Country focus: Bolivia - Edgar Geidans, Group CTO, Trilogy International
Partners
< Country focus: The role of the Ministry of Telecoms for the promotion
of the telecom and tower sectors in Argentina - Clarisa Estol, Secretary of
41
Law firms
Strategic consultancy
Independent Towercos
Due diligence
Demand modeling
Asset register audits
Sell co-locations
Generate amendment revenue
Build-to-suit
Achieve SLAs
Efficiency programmes
Optimise supplier contracts
Transfer assets to
Outsource
to
Tier 1 OEMs
Subcontract
Static assets
Outsource
to
Subcontract
or in-house
Monitoring &
management
RMS
Intelligence/analysis
Site management
Job ticketing
Asset lifecycle platform
Access control
0&M services
Maintenance
Staffing
Spare parts
Security
Refueling
Energy as a service
Dynamic assets
Energy equipment
Diesel genset
Solar
Wind
Fuel cell
Batteries
Rectifiers
Inverters
Line conditioning
PIUs
Air conditioning
Lightning protection
Controller
Voltage regulator
Alternator
ESCOs
Opex models
Vendor finance
Distributed generation
Community power
Active equipment
XX
What is a Meetup?
Proven over seven past events attended by over 1,000 decision makers, TowerXchange Meetups
are unique executive retreats for the most influential men and women in telecoms infrastructure.
Held annually in Africa, Asia, CALA and Europe, we use small group round table breakouts to give
participants unique access to the key stakeholders in the telecom tower industry in each country.
At other telecom events, a maximum of around 10-15% of the CXOs who lead tower strategy for MNOs and
towercos are in attendance. At TowerXchange we regularly attract multiple senior representatives from 8090% of the towercos active in any region, as well as the majority of MNOs. And thanks to our unique structured
networking round tables, everyone has access to these decision makers.
43
XX
201
202
203
204
205
106
206
305
105
304
104
303
103
102
302
101
301
Access to Main
Meetup room
Entrance / Camino Foyer
SBA Communications
SBA Communications Corporation is a first choice provider and leading owner and
operator of wireless communications infrastructure in North, Central and South America.
By Building Better Wireless, SBA generates revenue from two primary businesses - site
leasing and site development services.
In our site leasing business, SBA leases antenna space on our multi-tenant towers to a
variety of wireless service providers under long-term lease contracts. SBA owns and
operates over 24,000 towers across North, Central and South America. We build our
towers at the request of wireless carriers, leveraging our in-house experience in site
acquisition, zoning and construction. Our ability to offer carriers a comprehensive portfolio
of communication sites is complementary to our tower ownership business. Currently,
SBA manages approximately 5,000 communication site locations on behalf of third-party
landlords.
Through our site development services, SBA offers wireless service providers assistance
in developing their own networks. Our services include site identification and acquisition
as well as obtaining zoning approvals and permitting for networks representing all
technologies. SBA also provides a broad range of cell site equipment installation,
optimization and integration services. Our extensive site development experience includes
participation in the development of more than 45,000 communication sites.
45
Our sponsors
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Invendis
Acsys gives you the intel you need to offer your tenants a
infrastructures.
www.acsys.com
www.invendis.com
www.accruent.com
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
Our sponsors
Bronze Sponsor:
AUSONIA
infrastructure.
www.velaw.com
Bronze Sponsor:
www.nexsysone.com
Bronze Sponsor:
www.ausonia.net
Bronze Sponsor:
nexsysone
www.phoenixintnl.com
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
47
Ascot International
HYBRID GENERATORS DESIGNED FOR TELECOM and TOWER
OPERATORS that want to enter into a multi-tenancy agreement
CAPEX & OPEX PACKAGES from 5 to 60 kW load. More
than 30 years of experience in the power sector and 34,000
installations in the Telecom Market worldwide make Ascot
Industrial a leader for tailor made solution to meet customer
needs. A field-proven, modular, flexible, and scalable plug &
play solution designed to guarantee cost-effectiveness and
reduce maintenance expense - maximizing customer uptime
and satisfaction.
Product Portfolio:
< High Efficiency Diesel / LPG / Natural Gas AC Generators 5
kW up to 2 MW
< Variable Speed and Scalable DC Generators 5 to 60 KW
< Full Hybrid Solution (Generator + Battery + Renewable
Energy Integration + Remote Monitoring)
www.ascotinternational.com
Exhibitor:
GS Yuasa
GS Yuasa is a Japanese company formed in 2004 by the merger
of two large 100 year old battery manufacturers, Japan Storage
Battery and Yuasa. AtUS$3.6Bin sales, GS Yuasa is one of the
worlds largest battery manufacturers.
GS Yuasa manufactures a full line of technologies including
www.gs-yuasa.com
Exhibitor:
Abloy
ABLOY secures business operations on land, at sea, and in
the air in all circumstances. Abloy has a provenhistory of
telecommunication business for decades. Along with the new
technology in telecom business Abloyhas introduced new
methods and systems to create value and fast pay-back time
to telecom customers. Abloyprovides a complete solution
including project management. Combining mechanical and
electromechanicalfeatures ABLOY PROTEC2CLIQ offers
double security with wide internationally tested and approved
productrange. Remotely controlled PROTEC2CLIQ system
enables to control sub-contractors activities on sitesreducing
management costs and providing traceability. Several telecom
customers have chosen ABLOYsolutions to be leaders in fast
developing telecommunication world.
www.abloy.com
Exhibitor:
www.northstarbattery.com/1/2/3.php
Exhibitor:
Metalogalva
TELECOM TOWERS MANUFACTURER
Quality products at fair prices. Company with 42 years
experience. Young and flexible team. 400 employees; 30
engineers. 100 000 tons galvanizing capacity (year). 14 welding
and plasma robots. 6.6M Investment on new equipments.
Qualifications:
- QUALITY MANAGEMENT SYSTEM ISO 9001
- RDI MANAGEMENT SYSTEM CERTIFICATE NP 4457
- ENVIRONMENTAL MANAGEMENT SYSTEM ISO 14001
- MANAGEMENT SYSTEM CERTIFICATE
- OCCUPATIONAL HEALTH AND SAFETY OHSAS 18001
- SPECIAL CERTIFICATION FOR GALVANIZATION for German
- Norm DASt GUIDELINE 022
Verification:
- QUALIFICATION OFMANUFACTURES TO WELD STEEL
STRUCTURES according to DIN 18800-7 Level E <EC
NorthStar
NorthStar is an industry leader in designing and manufacturing
high performance lead-acid batteries and high efficiency
www.metalogalva.pt/pt/
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
Our exhibitors
Exhibitor:
Exhibitor:
Redflow
Meetup
Americas 2016
16-17 June, Boca Raton
Resort and Club, Boca Raton
http://www.cotechtowerservices.com
Exhibitor:
Mer Group
www.redflow.com
amayhew@towerxchange.com.
www.mer-group.com/solutions/wireless-infrastructure
XX | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
49
American Tower
2435
2408
2126
1927
1393
1400
1600
2000
500***
700
70
500
Helios Towers Africa
TowerCo of
Madagascar
1793**** 787
3582
1350**
4717
300
Eaton Towers
1964
15882*
394
Unknown Country
South Africa
DRC
Rwanda
Uganda
Nigeria
Cote dIvoire
Zambia
Tanzania
Ghana
Cameroon
Congo B
Kenya
Burkina Faso
Niger
Egypt
700
Madagascar
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Source: TowerXchange
XX
51
To w e r s a n d M o n o p o l e s
w w w. s e c c i o n a l . c o m . b r
sales@seccional.com.br
Te l . + 5 5 4 1 3 3 1 8 . 2 3 11
Country
Seller
DRC +
Airtel
Hotspot
Airtel ******
Nigeria
Tanzania +
Nigeria
Nigeria
Egypt
Rwanda & Zambia
Nigeria
Ghana, Burkina Faso, Kenya & Uganda ****
Nigeria
Nigeria
Congo B
Rwanda & Zambia
Tanzania
Kenya ***
Cameroon & Cote dIvoire
Cote dIvoire
Cameroon
Uganda
Uganda
Uganda
Tanzania **
DRC **
Ghana
South Africa *
Nigeria
Ghana
Nigeria
Nigeria
Ghana **
Source: TowerXchange
Buyer
HTA
IHS
American Tower
HTN Towers******
IHS
Etisalat
IHS
MobiNil
Eaton
Airtel
IHS
Airtel
American Tower
Airtel
Eaton
MTN
IHS
Etisalat
IHS
Airtel
Helios
MTN
IHS
Vodacom
Helios
Telkom Kenya
Eaton
Orange
IHS
MTN
IHS
MTN
IHS
Warid
Eaton
Orange
Eaton
MTN
American Tower
Millicom/Tigo
Helios
Millicom/Tigo
Helios
MTN
American Tower
Cell C
American Tower
Starcomms
SWAP
Vodafone
Eaton
Visafone
IHS
Multilinks
HTN
Millicom/Tigo
Helios
Totals / average
Tower
count
950
160
1,350
*****1,211
555
2,000
1,113
4,800
2,500
9,151
2,136
394
1,269
1,149
1,000
2,000
931
827
400
300
1,000
1,020
729
1,876
1,400
407
750
800
400
750
42,927
Cost per
tower US$
Deal value
US$
$179,000,000
$123,593
$131,150,000
$181,000,000
$1,050,000,000
$65,575
$162,624
$218,750
$882,000,000
$485,000,000
$196,700
$227,060
$75,000,000
$87,616
$141,000,000
$143,000,000
$151,450
$172,914
$89,000,000
$80,000,000
$45,000,000
$21,850,000
$200,000,000
$81,000,000
$174,510
$130,719
$102,881
$228,375
$142,857
$199,017
$67,000,000
$83,750
$54,000,000
$120,000
$3,945,000,000
$126,450
Deal structure
SLB
Portfolio acquisition
SLB
Company acquisition
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB
Joint venture (IHS 49%, MTN 51%)
SLB
SLB
SLB
SLB with direct investment in HTT*****
* Cell C deal included 1,400 existing towers plus the option to acquire up to 1,800 more to be constructed. Cost of original 1,400 towers only included here ** Millicom restructured their equity in Helios operations
into a 24% stake at group level, which Millicom is now seeking to monetise *** Telkom Kenya-Eaton deal subsequently cancelled ***** Vodacom sold 100% of equity in towers but subscribed to acquire a 24.5%
interest in HTT **** Plus Niger deal expected to be announced imminently, ***** Plus HTNs managed services agreement governing 702 SWAP towers transfered to Helios, + deal announced, not yet closed
53
Congo Brazzaville
DRC
Kenya
Niger
Burkina Faso
Egypt
Ghana
Tanzania
South Africa
Uganda
Nigeria
American Tower
IHS
Cameroon
Cote dIvoire
Rwanda
Zambia
Source: TowerXchange
55
Your safety
is our
mission
Tanzania 8,800
Kenya 6,600
Ghana 5,983
Mozambique
5,000
DRC 4,350
Uganda 3,485
Senegal 3,350
Zimbabwe
1,400
Source: TowerXchange
XX | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
57
150,000
120,000
90,000
60,000
30,000
10,932
(11%)
200 8,700
(<1%) (9%)
23,060
(27%)
16,661
(16%)
69,849
(54%)
49,149
(40%)
46,765
(39%)
Independent
towerco owned
towers
MNO-captive
towers
)
(f
15
Q
20
16
20
4
Q
14
20
Q
20
4
Q
13
12
20
4
Q
11
20
4
Q
10
20
4
Q
20
09
Source: TowerXchange
XX
Tunisia
Kuwait 7,000
Yemen
Lebanon 3,900 5,100
2,000
UAE
Qatar
8,500
1,100
Bahrain Oman
Libya
1,700
3,200
5,000 Jordan
5,900
UAE
8,500
Iraq
12,300
Morocco
17,000
Algeria
17,500
Egypt
20,000
Saudi Arabia
30,600
59
XX
2,970
6,000
200
500
700
8,850
4,716
160 702
1,211
2,691
Globacom
NATCOM
Source: TowerXchange
61
XX
63
XX
65
XX
MENA news
Egypt: MobiNil rebrands as Orange Egypt and
plans US$318mn network expansion and service
improvements
Following the completion of Oranges 99% buyout of
the Egyptian MNO, MobiNil has rebranded to Orange
Egypt. The company has announced plans to invest
US$318mn on improving its network and service
delivery in the country, with a heavy focus on mobile
broadband. The company has also announced plans
to bid for a 4G license. These investments could
be partly funded by the sale of additional towers;
Orange sold 2,000 Egyptian towers to Eaton in 2015,
raising US$131mn.
Algeria: VimpelCom tower monetisation could see
Algerian towers sold
VimpelComs global tower monetisation process
could soon expand to Algeria. VimpelComs Global
Telecom Holding owns 45.57% of market leader
Djezzy, with 51% owned by the government and
3.43% by Cevital. Meanwhile, Algeria Telecom are
seeking to upgrade 70% of infrastructure in 2016,
and considering an IPO to raise capital. There are an
estimated 17,500 towers in Algeria, serving 248.3mn
subscribers.
Algeria: ARPT names three operators for the
first phase of the Universal Telecommunications
Service programme
Algerie Telecom (AT), Algeria Telecom Mobile
(Mobilis) and Optimum Telecom Algerie (OTA,
XX | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
67
The first potential tower sale and leaseback in the Middle East
was mooted over a year ago, with Zain appointing Citigroup to
advise on a potential tower transaction in two Gulf countries
in early 2015. Mobily, Etisalats operation in Saudi Arabia was
next to come to follow suit, appointing TAP advisors to look
into a potential sale of their towers. Fast forward 12 months
and Saudi Telecom Company are now joining the party
potentially putting all operator owned towers in Saudi on the
market at the same time. TowerXchange take a look at the
portfolios potentially for sale, examine the latest developments
in the processes and explore who the likely bidders will be.
Keywords: Abraaj Group, Acquisition, Africa & ME, Africa & ME News, Al Rajhi Group, Al Zamil
Group, American Tower, ARPU, Carve Out, Co-locations, Country Risk, Cyan Capital, Digital Bridge,
Etisalat, First Mover Advantage, IHS, Infrastructure Sharing, Investment, Investors, Jordan, Kuwait,
Lawyers & Advisors, Masts & Towers, Middle East, MNOs, Mobily, Off-Grid, Ooredoo, Operator-Led JV,
Procurement, Providence Equity, Quippo International, Risk, Sale & Leaseback, Saudi Arabia, Saudi
Aramco, Saudi Telecom Company, TAP Advisors, TASC Towers, Tenancy Ratios, Tower Count, Towercos,
Towershare, Valuation, Viva, Zain
XX
Source: TowerXchange
Saudi Arabia
Kuwait
Population
31.8mn
3.9mn
GDP/ Capita
US$54.6k
US$72.2k
Connections
57.2mn
7.7mn
SIM penetration
180%
195%
Population coverage
98%
100%
30,600
5,100
30,600 (100-%)
1,600 (29%)
3 (+ multiple MVNOs)
Market share
20%
34%
Market share
STC
45%
18%
44%
Mobily
Zain
Zain
38%
Ooredoo
Viva
69
XX
Keywords: Acquisition, Africa, Africa & ME News, Airtel, Buildto-Suit, Change Management, Co-locations, Country Risk, DRC,
Energy, Energy Efficiency, Greenfield, Helios Towers Africa, HTA,
Infrastructure Sharing, Market Forecasts, Masts & Towers, MNOs,
Monitoring & Management, Network Rollout, News, Off-Grid,
Operational Excellence, Opex Reduction, Sale & Leaseback, Skilled
Workforces, SLA, Tower Count, Towercos, Unreliable Grid, Uptime
71
XX
To discuss your participation, contact Annabelle on +44 7423 512588 or email amayhew@towerxchange.com
Diamond
sponsors:
Silver Sponsors:
Bronze Sponsors:
Event at a glance
XX
< DRC
< Egypt
< Mozambique
< Cameroon
< Algeria
< Kuwait
< Nigeria
< Tanzania
< Uganda
< Angola
< Ghana
< Kenya
75
New
Zealand
4,000
Malaysia
22,000
South
Korea
30,000
Vietnam
55,000
Indonesia
76,739
Japan
220,000
India
453,500
China
1,180,000
Thailand
52,483
Source: TowerXchange
XX
Tower count
1393
2014-15
5897
1392
2013-14
5383
1391
2012-13
5005
1390
2011-12
4350
1389
2010-11
3977
1388
2009-10
3184
1387
2008-9
2736
1386
2007-8
2091
1385
2006-7
1067
1384
2005-6
567
1383
2004-5
311
1382
2003-4
89
1381
2002-3
Grameenphone
Banglalink
3,800
Axiata / edotco
Airtel
Teletalk, CityCell and non-traditional MNOS
6,000
6,000
77
Source: TowerXchange
Year
Country
Seller
Buyer
Tower count
Deal structure
2016
Indonesia
XL Axiata
Protelindo
2,500
$250,000,000
$100,000
SLB
2016
India
Viom Networks
American Tower
42,200
$1,180,000,000
$76,540
2015
Myanmar
Digicel MTC
edotco
1,250
$221,000,000
$176,800
2015
India
KEC International
American Tower
381
$13,000,000
$34,121
Company acquisition
2014
Indonesia
PT Telkom
Tower Bersama
4000
$904,000,000
$226,000
Equity swap
2014
Malaysia
KJS
309
$15,000,000
$48,544
Company acquisition
2014
Indonesia
XL Axiata
STP
3500
$460,000,000
$131,429
SLB
2013
Indonesia
Hutchison
STP
300
$68,000,000
$226,667
SLB
2012
Indonesia
Hutchison
Protelindo
503
SLB
2012
Indonesia
PT Central Investindo
Protelindo
152
Company acquisition
2012
Indonesia
Indosat
Tower Bersama
2500
2011
Indonesia
Infratel
Tower Bersama
595
2010
India
American Tower
4450
$432,000,000
$97,079
SLB
2010
Indonesia
Hutchison
Protelindo
1482
$165,900,000
$111,943
SLB
2010
India
Aircel
GTL Infrastructure
17500
$1,800,000,000
$102,857
SLB
2009
India
Viom Networks
QTIL
18000
$2,407,000,000
$133,722
Company acquisition
2009
India
Transcend Infrastructure
American Tower
327
$23,000,000
$70,336
Company acquisition
2009
India
XCEL Telecom
American Tower
1730
$170,000,000
$98,266
Company acquisition
2008
Indonesia
Bakrie
STP
543
$34,000,000
$62,615
SLB
2008
Indonesia
Hutchison
Protelindo
3692
$500,000,000
$135,428
SLB
Totals / average
101,914
$8,257,900,000
$102,399
$519,000,000
$207,600
SLB
Company acquisition
XX
119,881
Bharti Infratel
38,458
43,379
Reliance Infratel
GTL Infrastructure
Ascend
American Tower
Tower Vision
29,432
8,400
4,843
20,000
40,000
60,000
80,000
100,000
120,000
State owned MNOs Bharat Sanchar Nigam Ltd and Mahanagar Telephone Nigam retain 70,000 towers
79
11,389
7,770
2,185
5,500
8,500
1,000
1,000
450
208
1,000
18,000
4,000
Towerco-owned
Source: TowerXchange
Mitratel
Tower Bersama
Protelindo
STP
IBS Tower
KIN
Persada Sokka Tama
Retower Asia
Balitowers
Others
Operator-captive
Telkom + Telkomsel
XL
Indosat
many are in prime locations with considerable
tenancy rate growth potential, having not been
proactively marketed before. BSNL has leased
out 6,505 of its towers to other telecom operators,
suggesting a tenancy ratio around 1.1. Out of
the 6,505 spaces that it has rented out, Bharti
Airtel accounted for 2,251 slots. It was followed
by Reliance Jio with 1,440 slots and Idea and
Vodafone with just above 900 towers each.
GTL Infrastructure, with just under 30,000 towers,
Tower Vision with 8,400 and Ascend Telecom with
4,843 complete the Indian towerco market. GTL
Infrastructure losses narrowed to Rs 92.75 crore
in their Q1 2016 update. Ascend Telecom investor
New Silk Road has announced that it will return
US$500mn to shareholders during 2016, leading to
speculation that it plans to exit the Indian towerco.
XX
423
1,950
1,100
LTC
Unitel
ETL
Beeline (VimpelCom)
4,000
Source: TowerXchange
81
3,600
DiGi
3,400
Maxis
3,800
Telekom Malaysia
1,000
3,200
5,000
YTL
2,000
Unaccounted for
1,000
2,000
3,000
4,000
5,000
Source: TowerXchange
Built
2,500
2,000
1,500
1,827
2,400
1,000
1,650
1,100
1,500
1,250
1,220
900
KPT / KDDI
Summit
Apollo
for Telenor
PAMEL for
Ooredoo
OCK for
Telenor
700
503
MIG for
Ooredoo
Source: TowerXchange
82 | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
XX
800
1,500
Proposed DTAC-CAT towerco
11,000
12,000
12,183
10,000
Source: AEC Advisory and TowerXchange
Current penetration
Forecast, Q1 2017
80
76%
85%
68%
63%
60
100%
40
34%
34%
20%
20%
26%
20%
19%
24%
18%
2%
n
ta
1%
is
si
a
Pa
k
Ru
s
et
na
a
Vi
di
bo
Ca
de
sh
ng
la
ai
la
n
Ba
ia
Th
al
tr
Au
s
an
ka
a
iL
Sr
es
on
al
ay
si
ia
a
di
In
d
In
m
ya
n
Ch
in
ar
6%
30%
an
31%
al
31%
20
Ze
34%
61%
CI
68%
79%
58%
49%
N
ew
69%
83
10,000
20,250
4,750
Viettel
MobiFone
VinaPhone
Vietnamobile + GTEL Mobile
11,000
Towercos
9,000
Source: TowerXchange Research
XX
85
Asia heatmap
Legend
TowerXchange research has not revealed any infracos or
towercos to date
Towercos or infracos active in the market. No recent
transactions have taken place and none rumoured to take
place soon
Towercos or infracos active in the market. No current
transactions taking place but an attempted tower sale has
taken place in the last 3 years or there are unconfirmed
rumours of a deal in this market.
Towercos or infracos active in the market. Rumours of deals
confirmed in the market.
Towercos or infracos active in the market. Deals of significant
size have taken place in the last 5 years.
Towercos or infracos active in the market. Deals have taken
place in the last year and more imminent deals rumoured
Note: Russia is covered under Europe; we estimate it to have a 5% towerco penetration and we expect it to be a growth market
86 | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
XX
Asia News
A roundup of tower news across Asia
China: Towers, cash and equity changes hands
87
XX
89
XX
91
27,000
Deutsche Funkturm
Spain
Germany
Italy
Spain
UK
Source: TowerXchange
Italy
Turkey
UK
Germany
Ukraine
Turkey
FranceSpain
Ukraine
Czech Republic
Italy
France
IrelandUK
Czech Republic
Russia Turkey
Ireland
Netherlands
Ukraine
Russia
PolandFrance
Netherlands
Denmark
Czech Republic
Poland
Slovakia
Ireland
Denmark
Finland
Russia
Slovakia
Kazakhstan
7,709 27,000
7,410
16,000
14,000
RTRS
First Tower Company
7,410
11,000
Cellnex
Telxius
First Tower Company
INWIT
7,709
2,350
2,804
14,000
11,519
Deutsche Funkturm
Telxius
Arqiva
11,000
10,550
RTRS
GlobalINWIT
Tower
11,519
7,500
Arqiva
TDF
Cellnex
2,350
7,410
10,550
6,966
GlobalCompany
Tower
CETIN
First Tower
EI Rai
Towers
Way
7,709
1,181
14,000
7,500
4,800
TDF
EI Towers
Telxius
3,2006,966
CETIN
FPS Towers
4,800
INWIT 2,618
27,000
2,804
16,000
1,181
11,000
2,804
2,350
11,519
2,300
Arqiva 3,200
10,550
2,028
Global Tower 2,618
7,500
Wireless Infrastructure
RaiGroup
Way 2,300
TDF 1,900 50 506,966
Russian Towers
American
Tower 2,028
CETIN 1,800 4,800
Wireless InfrastructureVertical
Group 1,900
1,600 50 50
EI Towers
3,200
Russian Towers 1,800
5000
FPS Towers
2,618
Vertical 1,600
Rai Way 2,300
5000
American Tower
FPS Towers
American
Tower
2,028
1,181
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
Netherlands
Finland
Serbia
Poland
Kazakhstan
Austria
SerbiaDenmark
Greece
AustriaSlovakia
CALA
1,900 50 50
Figure 1(b):
Europes
telecom and broadcast towercos with <1,000
Russian Towers
towers
Vertical
1,800
GreeceFinland
1,600
1000
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
30000
35000
CALA Kazakhstan
Serbia
800
1000
Austria
460
Greece
600
800
460
800
79
700
Ra
500
586
377
377
ita
800
400
200
260 200
187 180 156 150 140
D
600
0
75
50
75
260 200
92 | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
187 180 156 150 140
120 113 100 100
0
47
40
40
33
50
47
40
40
33
75
50
47
40
r
377
377
260 200
187 180 156 150 140
CI
H CI
E
ig E
hp
oi
Fa
F
in
al n
l
ck
ck t (
t(
O
be
Ko Ob Ko
el n
lis
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ss
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ES
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s
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i
o
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te
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e o
t
l
nk eli Lin l teli
nd k
nd
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ev
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BV
el
lo
o
pm
O
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ff
ff e
en
ic
ic n
e
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t
of
o
D
Pu Dig f P
ig
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ita b
bl
i
t
lic
a
ic
W
W
or
or
ks
ks
2000
800
700
ig
ea
800
800
CALA
79
Br
200
400
500
800
Br
1000
800
ig
400
600
40
33
XX
Number of towers
500,000
MNO Captive
400,000
300,000
200,000
100,000
307,726
379,744
67,125
72,570
74,920
Q116
275,226
49,125
49,125
30,968
67,125
51,968
244,681
65,968
191,181
357,726
237,226
59,125
212,226
69,125
30,968
30,968
272,681
287,681
JV infraco
Operator-led
infraco
Independent
towerco
109,181
Q416
Q417
Q418
Q419
Q420
Source: TowerXchange
93
Country
Seller
Buyer
Tower count
Deal value
Cost per
tower
Deal structure
2016
Germany
Telefonica
Telxius
2350
587,000,000
249,787
SLB
2016
Ukraine
Lifecell
UkrTower
811
47,820,000
58,964
SLB
2016
Spain
Telefonica
Telxius
11000
SLB
2015
Ireland
Coillte
Cignal
113
Portfolio acquisition
2015
Germany
Telefonica
7700
Asset Transfer
2015
Italy
Tecnorad
EI Towers
134
17,000,000
126,866
Portfolio acquisition
2015
Italy
Wind (VimpelCom)
Cellnex
7377
693,000,000
93,941
2015
Italy
TowerCo
Cellnex
212
94,600,000
446,226
Company acquisition
2014
Spain
Telefonica/Yoigo
Cellnex
4277
385,000,000
90,016
SLB
2012
France
Bougyes Telecom
FPS Towers
2166
185,000,000
100,400
2012
Germany
KPN
American Tower
2031
393,000,000
193,501
SLB
2012
Netherlands
KPN
Protelindo
261
75,000,000
287,356
SLB
2012
Netherlands
KPN
Shere Group
460
115,000,000
250,000
SLB
2012
Spain
Telefonica
Cellnex
500
45,000,000
90,000
SLB
2010
Netherlands
KPN
500
SLB
2008
Netherlands
KPN
101
SLB
Totals / average
39,993
2,637,420,000
128,161
Source: TowerXchange
XX
Figure three: Estimated tower and rooftop counts for selected markets
in Europe
7,000
10,200
Germany Russia
Greece Nether- Poland France Spain Italy UK
45,052
22,000
117,100
45,000
47,517 53,000 69,635
12,000 lands
15,204
Ireland
4,000
Denmark
4,500
Finland
10,000
Ukraine
12,000
Source: TowerXchange
www.towerxchange.com
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
95
XX
European heatmap
Legend
TowerXchange research has not revealed any infracos or
towercos to date
Towercos or infracos active in the market. No recent
transactions have taken place and none rumoured to take
place soon
Towercos or infracos active in the market. No current
transactions taking place but an attempted tower sale has
taken place in the last 3 years or there are unconfirmed
rumours of a deal in this market.
Towercos or infracos active in the market. Rumours of deals
confirmed in the market.
Towercos or infracos active in the market. Deals of significant
size have taken place in the last 5 years.
Towercos or infracos active in the market. Deals have taken
place in the last year and more imminent deals rumoured
Source: TowerXchange
Note: For the purposes of our European coverage, Towerco describes an independent company which owns and operates passive infrastructure for commercial profit. Infraco incorporates MNO joint venture
organisations and carve outs which serve more than one entity or market their towers commercially
97
Keywords: Acquisition, American Tower, Arqiva, Broadcast, Capacity Enhancements, Carve Out, Cashflow
Finance, Cellnex, CETIN, Core Network, Backhaul & FTTT, DAS, Deal Structure, Decommissioning,
Densification, Deutsche Funkturm, EBITDA, EI Towers, Europe, Europe Insights, Europe News, First Tower
Company, FPS Towers, Global Tower, IBS, Infrastructure Sharing, Investment, INWIT, LTE, Market Overview,
MNOs, Operator-Led JV, Rai Way, Rooftop, RTRS, Russia & CIS, Russian Towers, Sale & Leaseback, Small Cells,
TDF, Telxius, Tower Count, Towercos, TowerXchange Research, UkrTower, Urban versus Rural, Valuation,
Vertical, Whos Who, WIG
XX
12.1%
JV infraco
63.7%
11.1%
Operator-led infracos
Independent towerco
Source: TowerXchange
75,000
GBTs
German example
16,381
53,604
Source: TowerXchange
99
XX
Europe News
XX
XX
Keywords: Americas, Americas News, Argentina, Brazil, CETIN, CTIL, Carve Out, Central America,
Chile, Colombia, Decommissioning, Europe News, Exit Strategy, Germany, Investment, MNOs, Mexico,
Multi-Region News, New Market Entrant, News, Peru, Spain, Telefnica, Telesites, Telxius, Tower Count,
Towercos, UK, Valuation, Venezuela
Germany 2,350
Brazil 1,655
Peru 849
Source: TowerXchange
Deutsche Funkturm.
What do we know about Telxius assets and
Telefnicas plans for the unit?
The first infrastructure assets to be carved into the
business were ~11,000 Spanish towers and 31,000km
of subsea cabling. On 24 March Movistar Chile
(Telefnicas opco in the country) agreed the sale of
328 towers to Telxius for CLP7.85bn (10.4mn). This
was followed a week later by Telefnica Perus sale
of 849 towers to the unit and Telefnica Brasils sale
of 1,655 towers for BRL760mn (192.6mn). On 21
April, Telefnica Deutschland announced the sale
of 2,350 towers to the infraco for 587mn (the rest
of the German opcos sites, an estimated ~12,000
rooftops have not been transferred to Telxius). These
transactions bring Telxius total tower count to
16,154 (figure one) with the company also managing
Chile
328
XX
infrastructure Co.
improving their return on capital invested and
is looking at taking advantage of further growth
opportunities in the sector, including the possibility
of incorporating third party assets.
Number of towers
sold
Deal Value ()
2,350
587,000,000
249,787
1,655
192,600,000
116,727
10,400,000
31,707
11,000
849
328
revenue
Towers
Tower Revenues
~60%
Latam
~15%
~40%
Total Revenue
Europe
~85%
March 2015
Sept 2015
Telefnica reaches
monetisation of
numerous acquisitions
10.25bn to help
in his Q3 investor
tackle escalating
presentation
Latin America
debt
Oct 2015
Dec 2015
Jan 2016
Jan 2016
The European
Bloomberg reports
Commission launches
Telefnica to be
meets EU Competition
an investigation
considering a carve
Commissioner
Hutchisons takeover
Margrethe Vestager to
of O2
into an infrastructure
unit
O2 takeover
Feb 2016
March 2016
March 2016
April 2016
April 2016
April 2016
April 2016
April 2016
Movistar Chile
Telefnica Peru
Telefnica Brasil
announces
announces
announces the
Speculation
Telefnica
Telefnica Q1 2016
Reports circulate
mounting that
Deutschland
results presented
that Telefnica
the sale of
the sale of
sale of 1,655
announces the
plans to list
an international submarine-cable
328 towers
849 towers to
towers to Telxius
Hutchisons
sale of 2,350
debt sitting at
Telxius on the
to Telxius for
Telxius
for BRL760mn
takeover of O2
towers to Telxius
50.2bn
Madrid Stock
CLP7.85bn
(192.6mn)
as the deadline
for 587mn
(10.4mn)
Exchange in
early July
Source: TowerXchange
independent towerco.
Looking across the Atlantic to Mexico, the recent
carve out of America Movils 12,555 towers into
new infrastructure business Telesites may serve
as a cautionary tale considering the fall of its stock
(from Mex$13.38 to approximately Mex$11.00
during the third week of January) since its listing on
21 December. Its target price and overall financial
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
Country
Buyer
Tower
count
Deal
value US$
Cost per
tower US$
Deal
structure
2015
Germany
Deutsche Funkturm
7700
Not disclosed
Not disclosed
Asset transfer
2014
Spain
Cellnex
4277*
419,650,000
98,118
SLB
2013
Brazil
American Tower
93
18,000,000
193,548
SLB
2012
Chile
Torres Unidas
400
Not disclosed
Not disclosed
SLB
2012
Brazil
SBA Communications
800
178,000,000
222,500
SLB
2012
Brazil
American Tower
192
33,000,000
171,875
SLB
2012
Brazil
BR Towers
1912
252,000,000
131,799
SLB
2012
Brazil
American Tower
1500
225,000,000
150,000
SLB
2012
Chile
American Tower
558
96,000,000
172,043
SLB
2012
Spain
Cellnex
500
49,050,000
98,100
SLB
2011
Mexico
American Tower
1554
323,000,000
207,851
SLB
2011
Mexico
American Tower
584
122,000,000
208,904
SLB
2011
Colombia
American Tower
125
18,000,000
144,000
SLB
2011
Brazil
Grupo TorreSur
1358
206,000,000
151,694
SLB
Total
21,553
1,939,700,000
162,536
Source: TowerXchange
Thursday 16 and Friday 17 June, Boca Raton Resort and Club, Boca Raton
Silver Sponsors:
Bronze Sponsors:
XX
Region
Towerco penetration
North America
140,000
82%
Mature
India
453,500
68%
Mature
SSA
122,739
42%
Maturing
CALA
162,000
48%
Maturing
318,263
29%
High growth
China
1,180,000
100%
High growth
Europe
600,000
36%
Launch velocity
MENA
139,800
1%
First movers
247,600
0%
Dormant
Source: TowerXchange
XX
China 1,180,000 /
1,180,000
towers
36%
Europe
216,538 /
600,000
towers
68%
India
308,855 /
453,500
towers
29%
0%
1.4%
48%
82%
USA
CALA
S & SE Asia N & East Asia
77,362 / 114,139 /
exc China
exc India
162,000 140,000
0 / 247,600
90,801 /
towers
towers
towers
318,263
towers
42%
18%
Oceania
SSA 2,692 /
MENA
51,332 / 14,900
2,040
/ 139,800 122,739 towers
towers
towers
* Europe includes JV infracos, broadcast towercos and operator-captive towercos as towercos. Independent towercos own 13%
Sources: TowerXchange, RBC, Delta Partners, Mott MacDonald
61.9%
Source: TowerXchange
XX
Towerco
Count
Countries
Rank
Towerco
Count
Countries
1,160,000
China
15
Protelindo
14,737
Indonesia, Netherlands
American Tower
143,534
16
14,000
Russia
17
NetWorkS!
13,000
Poland
18
Telesites
12,874
Mexico
Indus Towers
119,881
India
19
12,138
Thailand
Reliance Infratel
43,379
India
20
CTIL
12,000
UK
Crown Castle
40,085
USA
21
MBNL
12,000
UK
Bharti Infratel
38,458
India
22
Tower Bersama
11,389
Spain
GTL Infrastructure
29,432
USA
23
INWIT
11,200
Italy
Deutsche Funkturm
27,000
Germany
24
Arqiva
10,550
UK
SBA Communications
26,522
25
8,681
Turkey, Ukraine
Guatemala, El Salvador,
26
Tower Vision
8,400
India
Ecuador, Colombia
27
STP
7,770
Indonesia
28
Eaton Towers
7,070
29
Victus Networks
7,000
Greece
30
TDF
6,966
France
10
IHS Towers
23,493
edotco
16,450
12
Telxius
16,233
31
6,556
13
RTRS
16,000
Russia
32
Grupo TorreSur
6,500
Brazil
14
Cellnex
15,120
Spain, Italy
33
MTS Towers
5,500
Russia
*Bharti Infratel owns 42% of Indus Towers, making their total tower count effectively 88,808. Only fully owned towers shown here to avoid double counting
Rank
Towerco
Count
Countries
Rank
Towerco
Count
Countries
34
Mitratel
5,500
Indonesia
61
Torres Unidas
1,080
Chile, Peru
AT&T Towers
5,059
USA
62
Miteno
1,000
China
Ascend Telecom
4,843
India
63
1,000
Indonesia
CETIN
4,800
Czech Republic
64
1,000
Indonesia
38
US Cellular Towers
4,281
USA
65
Shere Group
960
UK, Netherlands
39
Vertical Bridge
3,700
USA
66
921
USA
40
EI Towers
3,200
Italy
67
QMC Telecom
901
41
FPS
2,618
France
68
TowerCo
900
USA
TT-Network
2,500
69
Tower Ventures
894
USA
Rai Way
2,300
70
Towershare
800
Pakistan
44
IBS Tower
2,185
Indonesia
71
esk Radiokomunikace
800
Czech Republic
45
T-Mobile Towers
2,157
USA
72
800
Netherlands
46
2,127
73
Sacofa
765
Malaysia
74
753
Brazil
702
Nigeria
BCTek
700
Nigeria
TowerCo of Madagascar
700
Madagascar
Towercom (Slovakia)
700
Slovakia
79
Continental Towers
690
80
Diamond Communications
636
USA
Industrial Communications
635
USA
Broadcast Australia
620
Australia
NMS
600
Axion
586
Spain
Centennial
565
555
Peru, Colombia
Peru, Ecuador, Colombia, Puerto Rico, Argentina
Malaysia
35
36
37
42
43
47
48
49
50
51
52
53
54
55
56
57
58
59
Italy
2,000
1,972
1,930
Russian Towers
1,800
Axicom
1,772
Australia
Vertical
1,600
Russia
1,531
Mexico
1,500
Varsity Wireless
1,288
1,250
1,203
1,200
1,131
Torrecom
60
Denmark
Apollo Towers
1,100
Russia
Afghanistan
USA
Myanmar
Brazil
USA
USA, Mexico, Guatemala,
75
76
77
78
81
82
83
84
85
86
Nicaragua
87
Innovattel (Torresec)
500
Myanmar
88
Touch Matrix
460
XX
Rank
Towerco
Count
Countries
Rank
Towerco
Count
Countries
89
CTI Towers
457
USA
119
2RN
150
Ireland
90
Shared Access
456
Ireland, UK
120
140
UK, Ireland
Malaysia
91
Retower
450
Indonesia
121
Asia Space
137
92
IIMT
450
Mexico
122
Tocsa
130
Costa Rica
USA
93
435
USA
123
Communication Enhancement
124
94
ITAS TIM
420
France
124
Q Towers
120
China
95
Towercom
400
Ireland
125
Service Telecom
120
Russia
96
Highline do Brasil
400
Brazil
Desabina
118
Malaysia
97
ESB Telecom
377
Ireland
Cignal
113
Ireland
98
Emitel
377
Poland
Logycom Group
100
Kazakhstan
99
Dharmoni
346
CIE
100
Ireland
100
KJS
309
95
Malaysia
101
Subcarrier Communications
300
Falck
75
Denmark
102
Link Development
300
Saurava Towers
55
India
103
Torres Andinas
300
Torre Online
51
Brazil
104
Common Tower
260
HIGHPOINT (Obelisk)
50
Ireland
105
Skyway Towers
250
Sanyuan Tec
50
China
106
Branch Communication
226
USA
HOI-MEA
50
Egypt
107
Balitowers
208
USA
Konsing Group
47
Serbia
108
Infra Quest
201
Eagle Towers
45
South Africa
Yikedbina
200
Cellcom
40
Ireland
Senno Telcom
200
Skysites
40
Brazil
190
Telecom Torres
40
Brazil
Grain Management
188
38
USA
Digita
187
Alticom
33
Netherlands
Pegasus Tower
173
Fanasia
27
Iran
Atlas Towers
162
11
South Africa
Digea
156
Greece
150
Malaysia
Alfa Site
150
Brazil
109
110
111
112
113
114
115
116
117
118
Malaysia
Malaysia
USA
Russia
Colombia, Peru
Malaysia
USA
Malaysia
Malaysia
China
Mexico
USA
Finland
USA
126
127
128
129
130
131
132
133
134
135
136
137
138
139
140
141
142
143
144
145
Undisclosed counts
3GIS, Sweden
Norkring, Norway
Norkring, Belgium
OCK, Myanmar
Azerconnect, Azerbaijan
OIV, Croatia
Radiocom, Romania
RTP, Portugal
Communication Towers
Tanzania
Nigeria, Nigeria
ETB, Serbia
Golden Comunicaciones,
SUNAB, Sweden
Colombia
Swisscom, Switzerland
the scale of towercos by tower count. We have derived tower counts for the category's
Levira, Estonia
frequently, while we have offer no guarantee that the counts they provide are accurate:
Mosaic, Ireland
Telecommunications Partners,
we ask for a count of complete macro towers, but inevitably some towercos inflate
MXTowers, Mexico
Peru
Myanmar Infrastructure
Towercast, France
Group, Myanmar
copyright over this table and the data listed herein. If you want to use data in your own
Net4Mobility, Sweden
Vialux, Americas
13 listed entities from quarterly statements, where available, while the other counts are
drawn from qualitative market research. Smaller towerco's count may be updated less
their tower count by including works in progress, neutral host DAS, lamp-posts and
other special structures. As such, TowerXchange's tower count should be considered
XX
Keywords: Active Equipment, Active Infrasharing, Asia, Bankability, Best of TowerXchange, C-Level
Perspective, CTIL, Deal Structure, EBITDA, Europe, Europe Research, Greece, Infrastructure Sharing,
Lease Rates, MBNL, MLA, Project Finance, RANsharing, ROI, Research, Single RAN, Tenancy Ratios,
TowerXchange Research, UK, Valuation, Victus Networks
Introduction
If RANsharing is an exciting potential source of
efficiencies for MNOs, its an equally daunting
potential dampener of revenue for towercos. With
so much at stake, it is perhaps unsurprising that
negotiations between MNOs and towercos can get
a little heated where RANsharing is concerned.
Provision for the treatment of RANsharing must be
negotiated into towercos Master Lease Agreements,
so what is the magic number how should
RANsharing be priced, if at all?
RANsharing 101
There are already several permutations of
RANsharing, with the potential for still more to
evolve in the future. The foremost of these are:
< MORAN (Multi Operator RAN where antennae are
shared but not spectrum)
< MOCN (Multi Operator Core Network, in which
both antennae and spectrum are shared)
< GWCN (Gateway Core Network, where both RAN
and core network are shared)
These are illustrated in figure one, taken from
Analysys Masons excellent essay in a issue nine
of the TowerXchange Journal: RANsharing:
opportunity or threat?
With so many brands of RANsharing, it is difficult
for a towerco to know what it is seeking to protect
itself against.
RANsharing joint ventures in Europe
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 119
Service Service
Service Service
platforms
platforms
platforms
platforms
HLR
HLR HLR
HLR
MOCN
MOCN
GWCN
GWCN
Service Service
Service Service
platforms
platforms
platforms
platforms
HLR
HLR HLR
Service Service
Service Service
platforms
platforms
platforms
platforms
HLR
HLR
HLR HLR
HLR
MSC/ MSC/
MSC/ MSC/
SGSN SGSN
SGSN SGSN
MSC/ MSC/
MSC/ MSC/
SGSN SGSN
SGSN SGSN
M
MS
SC
C// M
MS
SC
C//
S
SG
GS
SN
NS
SG
GS
SN
N
B
BS
SC
C // B
R
RS
N
NC
C
C // R
B
S
C
RN
NC
C
B
BS
SC
C // B
R
RS
N
NC
C
C // R
B
S
C
RN
NC
C
B
BS
SC
C // B
R
RS
N
NC
C
C // R
B
S
C
RN
NC
C
B
BT
TS
S// N
NB
ee// B
BN
BooT
TddS
S
Nooddee B
B
B
BT
TS
S// N
NB
ee// B
BN
BooT
TddS
S
Nooddee B
B
B
BT
TS
S// N
NB
ee// B
BN
BooT
TddS
S
Nooddee B
B
Backhaul
Backhaul
Backhaul
Backhaul
Backhaul
Backhaul
First stage
active
stage ofstage
active
Firstofstage
ofRAN
active RAN SecondSecond
of active
sharingsharing
where spectrum
where where
where spectrum RAN sharing
RAN sharing
is not shared
spectrum
is
also
shared
is not shared
spectrum is also shared
Legend
Legend
O p e r a tO
o rpA
erator A
Third stage
active
Thirdofstage
of active
RAN sharing
where CS
RAN sharing
where CS
and PSand
corePS
elements
core elements
are alsoare
shared
also shared
O p e r a tO
o rpB
e r a t o r B S h a r e dSehl ae rmeednetl e m e n t
XX
RANsharing looks scary, but the worst thing a towerco can do is fight
its customers. Weve got to get in front of these changes and consider
how to create value for our customers in ways which also creates value
for your towerco
XX
MNO perspective
Towerco perspective
Theyre my antennae!
Theyre my towers!
Growing pains:
how to scale a towerco
Keywords: Africa & ME, Americas, Asia, Bankability, Best of TowerXchange, Build-to-Suit, Business Model,
C-Level Perspective, Cashflow Finance, Deal Structure, Debt Finance, Decommissioning, ESCOs, Europe,
Exit Strategy, Fixed Price, Investment, Lease Rates,MLA, Multi-Region, Pass-Through, Private Equity,
Research, Site Level Profitability, Small Cells, TowerXchange Research, Towercos, Valuation
XX
It pays to be boringly
rational every deal has to
make sense, tower by tower,
country by country
XX
Have the discipline to walk away from deals that dont make sense
Manage your leverage so you can survive tough times interest rates can only go up!
Be prepared to take the time to rollup smaller tower portfolios
The capital value is in the contract not in the steel
Dont discount leases excessively no-one will want to buy your portfolio!
Dont cut corners on permitting and structures youll harm valuation
You may not need 1,000+ towers to achieve scale build smart, build organically
Investors are more interested in the people they invest in than the assets the credibility of your
management team is critical
9. If MNOs try to retain too much value, they risk making their towerco partners uninvestible
10. Be wary that a towerco providing power as a service is a fundamentally different animal to a
pureplay steel and grass towerco pick a business model and stick to it
giving them? Suggestions ranged from improving
cycle times for co-location to easing tower
transactions: the transition of a portfolio from MNO
to towerco is always a painful process.
Meetup
Americas 2016
Meetup Africa
2016
16-17 June,
Boca Raton
19-20 October,
Johannesburg
Meetup Asia
2016
Meetup
Europe 2017
13-14 December,
Singapore
4-5 April,
London
www.towerxchange.com
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
India
Organic core growth in India reached 12% thanks
to local operators being particularly involved in the
deployment of new technologies and networks.
In 2016, the company forecasts revenues up to
US$555mn from Viom, whose recently acquired
XX | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
leasing activities.
Brazil
consumption.
XX
Regional coverage:
CALA features
In this issue of the TowerXchange Journal we update our research on Brazil
in light of the economic challenges the market is currently facing. Interviews
with UBS, AlfaSite and Abrintel as well as an updated Share Square from Mott
MacDonald will offer some clarity on what is happening in the Brazilian telecom
tower industry.
TowerXchange continues to analyse the evolution of new markets and their
likelihood to open to the tower industry. In this issue, we interviewed First
Corporate Finance Advisors and spoke with Guillermo Mulville from the IFC for
insights on Argentina. Additionally, weve discussed with Innovattel/Torresec
to find out how the first towerco in the country are progressing in Argentina, as
well as hearing some details about their recent trip to Cuba.
Finally, we analyse the performance of Telesites against its announced goals and
offer an overview of Bolivia, a virgin market yet to be penetrated by towercos.
Dont miss:
132 An updated analysis of the Brazilian telecom tower industry
148 Argentina: First Corporate Finance and IFC
152 Entrepreneurial towercos: Innovattel on Argentina and Cuba
157 Virgin markets: Bolivia
163 Is Telesites a force to be reckon with?
XX
Towers owned by
towercos
Towerco
penetration
2013
140000
46011
32%
2014
148000
61729
41%
2015
156000
69850
44%
2016 to date
165000
73975
45%
Source: TowerXchange
XX
Brazil
Passive
None
Current Sharing
Active
3G
4G
24.82%
26.17%
18.91%
27.8%
1.75%
0.52%
0.03%
Vivo (Telefnica)
Nextel (NII)
Algar Telecom
Sercomtel
Oi
Technology Deployment
Opportunity for towercos entry with
focus on high Lease Up Rate (LUR)
XX
Conclusions
With the largest population in South America
(208.7mn people) and the fifth highest mobile
penetration (119%), there is considerable room for
subscriber growth in the Brazilian mobile market. 4G
services have been launched and consumer appetite
is growing rapidly with 4G subscribers expected to
reach 50mn by the end of 2016.
The presence of four multinational MNOs within the
market has encouraged competition and innovation
and subsequently ensured that the Brazilian market
has matched the roll-out of speeds and technologies
seen in equivalent developed countries. There are
also three smaller operators that concentrate their
services mainly within the larger cities of Brazil.
Nonetheless, the current market structure has
Tower
Xchange
XX
Keywords: Alfa ERB, Alfa Energa, AlfaSite, Americas, Americas Insights, Brazil, Build-to-Suit, C-level
Perspective, Grupo Alfa, Insights, Leasing & Permitting, Private Equity, Regulation, Site Acquisition,
Skilled Workforces, South America, Tower People
< AlfaSite, its footprint and activities in the Brazilian build-to-suit market
< A late start for 2016 BTS projects in Brazil
< How the Lei das Antenas is being implemented at a local level
< The challenges of site acquisition in Brazil
XX
Z/Ed>
^^K/KZ^/>/Z/E&Z^dZhdhZWZd>KDhE/O^
Keywords: ABRINTEL, American Tower, Americas Insights, Brazil, Cell Site Solutions, Greenfield, Grupo
TorreSur, Insights, Lei das Antenas, Lei de Uso e Ocupao do Solo, Market Overview, Phoenix Tower
International, QMC Telecom, QoS, Regulation, SBA Communications, South America, So Paulo
XX
Keywords: American Tower, Americas Insights, Amrica Mvil, Antel, Argentina, Brazil, Build-to-Suit, Capex,
Chile, Claro, Co-locations, Copaco, Crown Castle, Cuba, Debt Finance, ETECSA, Exit Strategy, Grupo TorreSur,
IDT Telecom, Infrastructure Funds, Insights, Investment, Investors, MLA, Millicom, Movistar, Network
Rollout, Nextel, Oi, Paraguay, Personal, Peru, Phoenix Tower International, Regulation, SBA Communications,
South America, T4U, TIM, Telecom Argentina, Telecom Italia, Telefnica, Telesites, Tenancy Ratios, Tigo, UBS,
Uruguay, Valuation, Verizon, Vox
XX
18851
1000
American Tower
SBA Communications
Grupo TorreSur
Telxius
15000
7032
4387
6500
1655
actual negotiation rather than theoretically. Once the
opportunity presents itself, players will look into it
and sit down to negotiate terms that are beneficial
for the telecom tower industry as a whole.
In terms of timeline, I think that although the
industry is showing an interest in Argentina, no
one is ready to act just yet. There are some ongoing
conversations and well need to wait to see how they
go over the next few months.
TowerXchange: The sale and leaseback scenario
has been extremely quiet Where do you foresee
the next deals to happen (we are keeping a close
eye on the Andean States)?
XX
Assets
Client base
MLA
Management
Investment opportunities
in Argentinian towers
Chairman and CEO of Argentinas first investment bank on the countrys
investibility and financial outlook
Financial advisors, bankers, securitisation experts and strategic
consultants, First Corporate Finance is riding the wave of Argentinas
newly found openness to international investors. Miguel Arrigoni, its
Chairman and CEO, has a long standing experience in the financial sector
and is now ready to launch the very first investment bank in Argentina.
Just over twelve months ago, Arrigoni flew to Boston to meet with
investors who asked him about the tower industry in Argentina, about
which there was then very little to say. After a year of in-depth analysis
and studies, he spoke to TowerXchange about trading conditions in the
country, its readiness to open doors to international investors and the
prospects for international investment in Argentinian towers.
Keywords: Americas Insights, Argentina, Best of TowerXchange, Build-to-Suit, Business Model, Carve
Out, Country Risk, Debt Finance, Deloitte & Touche, EY, First Capital Markets, First Corporate Finance,
Insights, Investment, Investors, Market Overview, Network Rollout, Private Equity, Regulation, Sale &
Leaseback, South America
XX
Buenos Aires
XX
I believe towers can fall under the REIT (Real Estate Investment Trust) model
and the securitisation legislation does help to guarantee those investments.
Additionally, foreign entities investing in a trust such as a REIT arent
taxable according to local law, which helps considering our levels of taxation
can be quite high
Innovattel/Torresec on Cuba
and Argentina
The Puerto Rico based towerco on its entrepreneurial venture into new markets
XX
Keywords: 3G ,4G, ARPU, Americas Insights, Argentina, Build-to-Suit, Capex, Carve Out, Country
Risk, Debt Finance, IFC, Infrastructure Sharing, Insights, Investment, MLA, Market Forecasts, Market
Overview, Network Rollout, New License, Opex Reduction, Private Equity, QoS, Regulation, Risk, Sale &
Leaseback, South America, Tax
XX
35%
1,500-2,000
new sites needed
per year 2016-2018
average
Income
tax rate
21%
1:
BTS firm
active in
Argentina
(Innovattel)
US$7+
VAT
1%
ARPU
32-33%:
the market
share of each
of the three
top MNOs
$$$$
the new
expected combined
MNOs investments
regulator
ENACOM
resulting
from the
merge of
AFSCA
Wealth and
tax
AFTIC
140%
SIM penetration
US$9bn:
in the next five years
$$$$
16,000
existing towers
in Argentina
US$2.2bn:
Raised during the 2014
4G spectrum auction
XX
Economy
Population
Fitch rating
Mobile sector
98%
SIM penetration
(Q4 2015)
Connections 106mn
(Q4 2015)
$$$$$$$
$$$$$$$
$$$$$$$
Foreign investments
US$2.1bn (2014)
Carriers
23.1%
Entel
49.6%
30%
Tigo
Viva
Sources: TowerXchange, Economist Intelligence Unit 2015, Fitch Country Report, GSMA Intelligence, the World Bank
XX
Economy
Ease of doing
business
rank
Starting a
business
Dealing with
construction
permits
Getting
electricity
Registering
property
Getting
credit
Protecting
minority
investors
Paying
taxes
Trading
across
borders
Enforcing
contracts
Resolving
insolvency
Bolivia
157
178
150
101
143
126
144
189
124
136
92
Passive
None
Current Sharing
Active
Bolivia
3G
4G
Technology Deployment
Entel
46.9%
30%
Tigo (Millicom)
Viva (Trilogy)
XX
XX
Is Telesites a force to be
reckon with?
My views on the Mexican towerco and its growth potential
Keywords: AT&T, American Tower, Americas, Amrica Mvil, Build-to-Suit, Carve Out, Co-locations,
Editorial, IFETEL, Investment, MLA, Mexico, Regulation, Telefnica, Telesites, Tenancy Ratios, Towerco,
UBS, Valuation
Source: TowerXchange
15,000
12,555
12,874
12,000
10,865
9,000
Q1 2015
Q2 2015
Q3 2015
Q4 2015
XX
(x)
1.5
22,000
20,000
1.4
18,000
1.3
16,000
1.2
14,000
1.1
12,000
2015e
2016e
Total towers
2017e
Tenants
2018e
Tenancy ratio
2019e
2020e
Source: UBS Estimates
Paper
Assets
Permits
Rates
Growth
XX
Regional coverage:
Dont miss:
169 TowerXchange whos who in African and Middle Eastern Towers
182 BMI industry trend analysis: African towercos comparing the Big Four
186 TowerXchanges analysis of American Towers acquisition of Airtels Tanzanian Towers
191 TowerXchanges analysis of IHSs acquisition of HTN Towers 1,211 towers
196 Challenges for African middle-market towercos and Hotspots tower sale to IHS
199 Share Square: Algeria
XX
Development Partners International, Digital Bridge, Djezzy, DRC, Eagle Towers, Eaton Towers, Econet, Egypt,
Emerging Capital Partners, Ernst & Young, Etisalat, Ethos Private Equity, Expresso Telecom, Fanasia, FMO, Gabon,
Ghana, Globacom, Goldman Sachs, Guinea, Guinea Bissau, Hardiman Telecommunications, Helios Investment
Partners, Helios Towers Africa, HOI-MEA, Hotspot Network, HTN Towers, IFC, IHS Towers, International Finance
Corporation, Infratel, ING Bank, Intrepid Advisory Partners, Investec Bank, Iran, J.P. Morgan, Jordan, Kenya, KPR
Consult, Kuwait, Lap GreenN, Lazard, Liberia, Liquid Telecom, Macquarie Group, Madagascar, Malawi, Mali, Maroc
Telecom, mCel, MENA Towers, Millicom/ Tigo, MNOs, Mobinil, Moov, Mott MacDonald, Mozambique, MTN, Niger,
Nigeria, Ooredoo, Orange, Pro High Site Communications, Providence Equity, RIT Capital Partners, Safaricom,
Saudi Arabia, Saudi Telecom Company, SBA Communications, Senegal, Sierra Leone, Smile, Sonatel, Soros, South
Africa, Standard Bank, Standard Chartered, Sudan, SWAP, Tanzania, TAP Advisors, TASC, Telkom Kenya, Telkom
South Africa, Tigo, Towerco, TowerCo of Madagascar, Towershare, TowerXchange Research, Tunisia, UAE, Uganda,
Unitel, Viettel, Vodacom, Vodafone, Wendel, Whos Who, Yield Capital Partners, Zain, Zambia, Zimbabwe
< The footprints of Africas leading MNOs and their attitudes towards tower divestments and
infrastructure sharing
< An introduction to some of the most credible current and prospective investors into European towers
< An introduction to the TMT advisory firms with experience of tower transactions
Figure one: Airtel African tower sale - what has closed, and who is
buying what?
Source: TowerXchange
XX
Source: TowerXchange
Year
Country
Seller
Tower
count
Deal value
(US$)
Cost per
tower (US$)
Deal Structure
2016
Tanzania*
Airtel
1,350
179,000,000
132,600
SLB
2014
Nigeria
Airtel
4,700
1,090,000,000
231,915
SLB
2011
Uganda
MTN
1,000
89,000,000
174,510
2010
Ghana
MTN
1,876
21,850,000
228,375
2010
South Africa**
Cell C
1,400
200,000,000
142,857
*deal expected to close H1 FY16 **Cell C deal included 1,400 existing towers plus the option to acquire up to 1800 to be
constructed. Cost of only original 1,400 towers only included here
Source: TowerXchange
Year
Country
Seller
Tower
count
Deal value
(US$)
Cost per
tower (US$)
Deal Structure
2015
Egypt
MobiNil
1,350
179,000,000
132,600
SLB
2014
Airtel
2,500
SLB
& Uganda*
2012
Uganda
Warid
1,000
89,000,000
174,510
SLB
2012
Uganda
Orange
1,400
200,000,000
142,857
SLB
2010
Ghana
Vodafone
750
MLL
Sold to IHS
Tower sale underway
Etisalat retains towers
Maroc Telecom (53% owned by Etisalat)
retains towers
No opco present
Source: TowerXchange
1600
Senegal
Mauritania
Guinea Conakry
Ghana
Source: TowerXchange
450
300
150
300
500
1000
1500
2000
XX
Source: TowerXchange
Year
Country
Seller
2016
DRC
Airtel
950
2014
Congo B
Airtel
390
*58,027,671
*148,789
SLB
Vodacom
1,149
75,000,000
87,616
1,020
80,000,000
130,719
2013 Tanzania
Deal Structure
SLB
2010
DRC
Millicom/ Tigo
729
45,000,000
102,881
2010
Ghana
Millicom/ Tigo
750
54,000,000
120,000
KPR Consult: Renowned tower doctors goto guys for structural / technical due diligence,
improvement capex planning, decommissioning
and just about anything to do with tower design
and maintenance.
Lap GreenN: Operator who has tried to monetise
towers in Uganda but has been hindered by trading
restrictions placed on the Libyan owned parent.
The company also has a presence in Cote dIvoire,
Sierra Leone and South Sudan.
Lazard: Investment advisory firm with extensive
experience in the tower industry. Has represented
Orange in most tower transactions.
Source: TowerXchange
Year
Country
Seller
2016
Nigeria
Hotspot
160
Company acquisition
2016
Nigeria*
HTN
1,211**
Company acquisition
2015
Nigeria
Etisalat
555
SLB
Airtel
1,113
181,000,000
162,624
SLB
2014
Nigeria
MTN
8,850
882,000,000
196,700
2014
Nigeria
Etisalat
2,136
485,000,000
227,060
SLB
MTN
1,269
SLB
MLL
Deal Structure
2013
Orange
2,000
2012
Cote dIvoire
MTN
931
141,000,000
151,450
SLB
2012
Cameroon
MTN
827
143,000,000
172,914
SLB
2010
Nigeria
Visafone
800
67,000,000
83,750
SLB
XX
Source: TowerXchange
Sold to IHS
JV with IHS
JV with American Tower
Cancelled transaction looking likely to return
MTN retains towers
Source: TowerXchange
No opco present
XX
Source: TowerXchange
Source: TowerXchange
XX
15882*
2435
2408
1964
804
American Tower
Eaton Towers
1400
2126
1927
1393
4717
2000
1600
300 700
500 500 70
***
1350
**
3582
787
394
Unknown Country
South Africa
DRC
Rwanda
Uganda
Nigeria
Cote dIvoire
Zambia
Tanzania
Ghana
Cameroon
Congo B
Kenya
Burkina Faso
Niger
Egypt
Keywords: 3G, 4G, Acquisition, Africa, Africa & ME Research, American Tower, BMI Analysis, Burkina
Faso, Cameroon, Co-locations, Cote dIvoire, Country Risk, DRC, East Africa, Eaton Towers, Egypt, Exit
Strategy, Ghana, Helios, Helios Towers Africa, HTA, Kenya, Logistics, LTE, Market Forecasts, Masts &
Towers, Multi-Region, Network Rollout, Niger, Nigeria, North Africa, Regulation, Risk, Rwanda, Sale &
Leaseback, South Africa, Tanzania, Tower Count, Towercos, Uganda, Unreliable Grid, Urban vs Rural,
Valuation, West Africa, Zambia
XX
IHS
Number Of Countries
Helios Towers
Africa
American Tower
Eaton Towers
228.133
354.92
139.106
221.464
5.3
4.5
6.4
3.3
60.758
108.74
36.966
57.759
24.9
19.3
21.5
13.0
1,366
2,054
1,475
1,316
6.2
4.9
6.2
5.7
40.2
43.1
34.6
37.6
262.8
365.5
167.6
248.3
45.9
43.5
49.0
31.7
Eaton Towers
Although Eaton Towers also has a small presence in
South Africa with 300 towers, by TowerXchanges
estimate, the number of towers is too small for the
company to truly benefit from the market and have
therefore excluded South Africa from its footprint in
the comparative analysis. Nevertheless, its presence
across six populous countries in Africa means its
addressable market of mobile and 3G/4G subscribers
is similar to that of regional giant IHS.
The main factor putting Eaton in a weaker position
is the significantly weaker growth outlook for basic
and advanced mobile services across its footprint. We
forecast mobile CAGR of just 3.3% and 3G/4G CAGR
XX | TowerXchange Issue 15 | www.towerxchange.com
183
Operational risk profile of the top five markets (by population size)
Opera/onal Risk
70
60
50
40
30
Trade & Investment
20
South Africa
Nigeria
10
Tanzania
Egypt
DRC
Logis/cs
Labour Market
Source: BMI
XX
150,000
100,000
50,000
2015e
2020f
Meetup
Africa 2016
19-20 October, Sandton
Convention Centre, Johannesburg
Nigeria
South Africa
Egypt
Tanzania
Ghana
Congo (DRC)
Cote d`Ivoire
Kenya
Zimbabwe
Uganda
Cameroon
Zambia
Burkina Faso
Rwanda
Congo-Brazzaville
Niger
e/f = BMI estimate/forecast. Source: BMI, National Sources, Operators
TowerXchanges analysis of
American Towers acquisition of
Airtels Tanzanian Towers
American Tower joins Helios Towers Africa in one of Africas most investible tower markets
Breaking news!
On 21 March, Bharti Airtel announced they had reached a deal with American
Tower Corporation to sell their 1,350 Tanzanian towers. The deal, which is expected
to close in H1 FY16, had a purchase price of US$179mn, representing an average cost
per tower of US$132.6k. Under the terms of the agreement, Airtel will be the anchor
tenant on the towers with an initial ten-year lease, with the deal potentially to be
expanded to include an additional 100 sites that are currently under development.
The move is the latest in Airtels strategy to divest their assets across the continent
and helps to bolster American Towers African portfolio, adding a fifth country to
their footprint. TowerXchange take a detailed look at the transaction, what it means
for both companies and how it affects the dynamics in the African tower industry.
Keywords: 3G, 4G, Acquisition, Africa, Airtel, American Tower, Burkina Faso, Chad, Co-locations, Congo
Brazzaville, Country Risk, Deal Structure, East Africa, Eaton Towers, Ghana, IHS, Insights, LTE, Madagascar,
Malawi, Masts & Towers, Millicom, MNOs, Network Rollout, Niger, Nigeria, Rwanda, Sale & Leaseback,
Seychelles, Tanzania, Tower Count, Transfer Assets, Uganda, Valuation, Viettel, Vodacom, Zambia
relevant authorities.
XX
Source: TowerXchange
Country
Buyer
Tower
Count
Deal Value
(US$)
Cost per
Tower (US$)
Deal
structure
Tanzania*
American Tower
1350
179,000,000
132,593
SLB
IHS
1113
181,000,000
162,624
SLB
Nigeria
American Tower
4700
1,090,000,000
231,915
SLB
Ghana, Burkina
Eaton
2,500**
371,972,250**
148,789**
SLB
390**
58,027,671**
148,789**
SLB
* Transaction expect to close H1 FY16 **TowerXchange estimates. Transaction values and tower counts not disclosed.
Sale of Niger towers with Eaton expected imminently
Figure one: Airtel African tower sale - what has closed, and who is
buying what?
1
2
American Tower has typically 3
favoured markets
with relatively stable political and macro-economic
4 largest economies in
environments, and as one of the
Sub-Saharan Africa with a population of 54.3mn and
5
a GDP growth of 6-7% YOY in 2009-2015, the country
fits the bill.
6
Why are the Tanzanian towers a good acquisition
for American Tower?
Source: TowerXchange
XX
American Tower
2435
2408
2126
1927
1393
1400
1600
2000
1350**
4717
300
Eaton Towers
500***
700
70
500
Helios Towers Africa
1793**** 787
1964
15882*
3582
394
Unknown Country
South Africa
DRC
Rwanda
Uganda
Nigeria
Cote dIvoire
Zambia
Tanzania
Ghana
Cameroon
Congo B
Kenya
Burkina Faso
Niger
Egypt
Madagascar
5000
10000
15000
20000
25000
Source: TowerXchange
Source: TowerXchange
Tower
Cost per
Year
Country
Seller
Buyer
2016
Tanzania
Airtel
American Tower
1,350
179,000,000
132,593
SLB
2013
Tanzania
Vodacom
1,149
75,000,000
87,616
2010
1,020
80,000,000
130,719
count
Deal structure
tower US$
700
300
1,149
Helios Towers Africa sites acquired from Vodacom
3%
4%
1,020
32%
3,000
28%
Viettel sites
1,281
4%
Vodacom
Airtel
Tigo / Millicom
Halotel / Viettel
1,350
Source: TowerXchange
XX
TowerXchanges analysis of
IHSs acquisition of HTN Towers
1,211 towers
An in depth analysis of IHSs pioneering first African towerco consolidation
Keywords: Acquistion, Africa, Africa & ME Insights, Africa & ME News, Airtel, American Tower, BCTek, Buildto-Suit, Capex, Deal Structure, EBITDA, Etisalat, Globacom, Hotspot Network Towers, HTN, IHS, Investment,
Lease Rates, Market Forecasts, Masts & Towers, MNOs, MTN, NATCOM, Nigeria, News, Operational Excellence,
RMS, Site Level Profitability, SLA, Solar, SWAP Telecoms & Technology, Tenancy Ratios, Tower Count, Uptime,
Urban vs Rural, Valuation, West Africa
2,970
6,000
200
500
700
8,850
4,716
160 702
1,211
2,691
Globacom
NATCOM
Source: TowerXchange
XX
Year
Country
Seller
Buyer
Tower
count
Deal value
US$
Cost per
tower US$
2016
Nigeria
Hotspot
IHS
160
$5,020,000
$31,375
2016
Nigeria
HTN Towers
IHS
1211
Portfolio acquisition
2015
Nigeria
Etisalat
IHS
555
SLB
2014
Nigeria
Airtel
American Tower
4700
$1,090,000,000
$231,915
SLB
2014
Nigeria
MTN
IHS
8850
$882,000,000
$196,700
Deal structure
Portfolio acquisition
Nigeria
Etisalat
IHS
2136
$485,000,000
$227,060
SLB
2010
Nigeria
Starcomms
SWAP
407
$81,000,000
$199,017
SLB
2010
Nigeria
Visafone
IHS
800
$67,000,000
$83,750
SLB
2010
Nigeria
Multilinks
HTN
400
MLL
Source: TowerXchange
Country
Seller
Buyer
Tower
count
Deal value
US$
Cost per
tower US$
2016
Nigeria
Hotspot
IHS
160
$5,020,000
$31,375
2016
Nigeria
HTN Towers
IHS
1,211
Portfolio acquisition
2015
Nigeria
Etisalat
IHS
555
SLB
2014
Airtel
IHS
1,113
$181,000,000
$162,624
SLB
2014
Nigeria
MTN
IHS
8,850
$882,000,000
$196,700
Deal structure
Portfolio acquisition
2014
Nigeria
Etisalat
IHS
2,136
2014
MTN
IHS
1,269
SLB
Orange
IHS
2,000
MLL
$485,000,000
$227,060
2012
Cote dIvoire
MTN
IHS
931
$141,000,000
$151,450
SLB
2012
Cameroon
MTN
IHS
827
$143,000,000
$172,914
SLB
2010
Nigeria
Visafone
IHS
800
$67,000,000
$83,750
SLB
Source: TowerXchange
35%
27%
MTN
Kieron Osmotherly
Founder & CEO
E: kosmotherly@towerxchange.com
Etisalat
Jo Jefferies
Executive Assistant to CEO
E: jjefferies@towerxchange.com
Airtel
Others, primarily broadband customers
21%
17%
Source: TowerXchange
Figure three: IHSs African tower counts, pro rata for the completion of
the HTN Towers deal
Nigeria 15,882
Cameroon 2,408
Zambia 1,964
Rwanda 804
Source: TowerXchange
194 | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
2016 Site Seven Media Ltd. All rights reserved. Neither the whole nor any
substantial part of this publication may be re-produced, stored in a retrieval
system, or transmitted by any means without the prior permission of Site
Seven Media Ltd. Short extracts may be quoted if TowerXchange is cited as the
source. TowerXchange is a trading name of Site Seven Media Ltd, registered in
the UK. Company number 8293930.
XX
Commentary on IHSs acquisition of HTN Towers, by Kieron Osmotherly, Founder & CEO, TowerXchange
This makes sense. After the music stopped on the
and the simple fact that HTNs towers are the most
year.
sooner
Keywords: Access Control, Acquisition, Africa, Africa Insights, Africa & ME, Airtel, American Tower,
Anchor Tenant, Build-to-Suit, C-level Perspectives, Co-locations, Deal Structure, Energy, Etisalat, Hotspot,
Hotspot Network, IHS, Insights, Leasing & Permitting, Managed Services, Masts & Towers, MNOs,
Monitoring & Management, MTN, Nigeria Network Rollout, Novation of Leases, Passive Equipment, Tax,
Tower Count, Towercos, Urban vs Rural, Valuation, West Africa
The origins of Hotspot Network and how they grew their portfolio to 160 sites
Issues surrounding taxation and challenging community relations in the Nigerian market
The difficulties for a middle-market towerco competing with Africas big four towercos
Motivations behind and details of the sale of Hotspots tower portfolio to IHS
What the future has in store for Hotspot Network Limited
XX
both. Having worked with IHS in the past and with them having an
XX
Passive
None
Current Sharing
Active
Algeria
3G
4G
Technology Deployment
28.7%
37.5%
Djezzy
Mobills (Algerie Telecom)
Ooredoo
33.9%
Developments in 4G
In January 2016, the Algerian regulatory authority
(Autorite de Regulation de la Poste et des Telecoms,
ARPT) invited interested parties to submit proposals
for participation in the countrys 4G auction.
Successful bidders are expected to be notified in
May 2016 with the launch of the licences officially
taking place in Q4 2016. A stipulation attached to
the purchase of the 4G licences is believed to be
expansion into the Southern regions of the country
within the first three years.
Algeria is generally in line with the 4G
developments of its North African neighbours.
The Tunisian regulatory authority has accepted
proposals for 4G licences which are expected to be
allocated in April 2016, the Sudanese regulatory
authority awarded its first 4G licence to MNO
Zain in February 2016 and reportedly the most
advanced 4G market in North Africa is Morocco
where all three incumbent MNOs were granted 4G
licences at auction in March 2015. Egypt and Libya
are reportedly less advanced in the roll-out of 4G
services however promising regulatory and market
activities have been observed.
Operator activity
Mobilis (Algerie Telecom) is a subsidiary of the fixed
telephony, internet and satellite communications
provider Algerie Telecom which is solely owned by
the Algerian government. In a bid for independence
Mobilis unveiled plans in 2015 to acquire its own
fibre optic network infrastructure which has
200 | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
XX
Participate in the
TowerXchange
community
Tower
manufacture
& installation
Investors &
advisers
Independent
towercos
Tower
Xchange
Decision
makers
at
operators
Regulators
& policy
makers
Equipment
& managed
services
www.linkedin.com/groups/
TowerXchange-4536974
Regional coverage:
Asia features
TowerXchange CEO Kieron Osmotherly visited Beijing and Shanghai
on a tour of stakeholders in the new Chinese co-construction and
infrastructure sharing regime, including meeting the MIIT and three of
the countrys leading independent towercos. Two reports from that trip:
our FAQs and a look at the independent towerco sector.
Meanwhile, we flew Ian Ferguson the Head of TowerXchange Asia out
to Jakarta to meet Indonesias leading towercos and MNOs and report
on his findings. Ian recently relocated to KL, so he also spent some time
this month with our friends at edotco, including learning about their
operations in Sri Lanka and Myanmar, and touring their echo NOC.
Dont miss:
203 China tower market FAQs
215 Chinese independent towercos
220 edotco 360: Sri Lanka
223 edotco 360: echo NOC
226 edotco 360: Myanmar
228 Efficient tower markets
236 MNOs perspective: Indonesia
239 Moodys on XL-Protelindo
242 Cam Towerlink in Angkor Wat
245 TowerXchange study Laos
248 BMI on Indian tower market
252 Indus Towers on SCM
XX
By Kieron Osmotherly, CEO, TowerXchange and Christie Liu, Head of China & Myanmar
Keywords: 4G, ARPU, Air Conditioning, Asia, Asset Register, Bankability, Batteries, Best of
TowerXchange, Build-to-Suit, Carve Out, China, China Mobile, China Telecom, China Tower Company,
China Unicom, Construction, Country Risk, Debt Finance, Exit Strategy, Guodong, IBS, Infrastructure
Sharing, Lease Rates, Leasing & Permitting, MIIT, Market Forecasts, Market Overview, Masts & Towers,
Miteno, New Market Entrant, O&M, On-Grid, Operator-Led JV, Outdoor Equipment, Pass-Through, Q
Towers, RMS,Regulation, Research, Rooftop, SASAC, Shelters, Stakeholder Buy-In, Tax, Tenancy Ratios,
Tower Count, TowerXchange Research, Towercos, Transfer Assets, Valuation
What is China Tower Company? What does it own and how fast is it growing?
What is the scale and forecast growth of the independent towerco sector in China?
How does a new tower get built now?
What are the economics of the tower business in China? How do they compare to the US?
How investible are Chinese towers, and what opportunities are there for FDI?
Market context
What are current levels of mobile / SIM
penetration and ARPU?
According to Q4 2015 GSMA Intelligence statistics,
there were 1.3bn connections in China, representing
95% SIM penetration.
Blended ARPU ranges from RMB 40-56 (US$6-8.50)
depending which operators annual results you are
reading.
What is the status of Chinas 4G rollout?
Chinas three MNOs added 1.02mn 4G base stations
to their networks in 2015.
After deploying 1.1mn 4G base stations in the last
three years, China Mobiles 4G coverage is virtually
equal to their 2G GSM coverage, so expect their rate
of build and co-location to slow in 2016, adding
perhaps a further 200,000 base stations. China
Telecom and China Unicom are approximately
a year behind in 4G rollout, so expect sustained
growth levels from both in 2016 and the first half of
2017, slowing thereafter depending on the timelines
to 5G.
How many new towers were built in China in
2015?
Most interviewees agreed that a total of ~150,000
new towers had been built in 2015, with some
suggestion that total demand could have been for
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 203
1000
800
826.2
822.9
817.2
815.4
600
400
200
294.8
289.3
188.8
191.4
Q115
287.6
Q215
China Mobile
China Unicom
286.7
194.3
197.9
Q315
Q415
China Telecom
China
Unicom
1,100,000
380,000
310,000
China
Telecom
400,000
510,000
330,000
200,000
400,000
600,000
800,000
1,000,000
1,200,000
XX
China
Mobile 38%
China Mobile
China Unicom
China Telecom
China Reform Corporation
China Unicom
28.1%
Source: TowerXchange
XX
Regulation
Are Chinas independent towercos licensed?
No, there is no licensing regime for towercos in
China, and no immediate prospect of a licensing
regime being introduced.
Does the Ministry of Industrial and Information
Technology (MIIT), regulator or National
Telecommunications Infrastructure Coconstruction and Sharing Office have the right to
define the pricing of lease rates?
State stakeholders insist that lease rates will be
defined by the market, and that they have no right to
intervene in lease pricing enshrined into regulation.
Now there is a board of Directors in place to create
more separation between CTC and their parent
MNOs, CTC lease price negotiations are likely to
conclude. While it may be tempting to imagine that,
when 94% owned by their tenants, CTC would agree
to a cost plus very low markup margin, it must
be borne in mind that China is trying to create an
infrastructure powerhouse with an RMB 280bn+
(US$40bn+) valuation!
What is the status of rural coverage in China?
208 | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
XX
Tower market
3.6%
Estimated tower and
rooftop count, end
FY15: 1,180,000, of
which independent
sector owned ~20,000
98.3%
China Tower Company
96.4%
6.5%
Forecast tower and
rooftop count, end
FY16: 1,400,000, of
which independent
sector will own 50,000
93.5%
Independent towercos
8,000 towers
spread across
35 Tier two
towercos
Source: TowerXchange
400 Onesies
and twosies
300 Onesies
and twosies
XX
independent towers?
location.
Russia
Europe
Central Asia
Middle
East
South Asia Southeast
Asia
Mediterranean Sea
Indian
Ocean
South Pacic
Who owns Chinas broadcast towers are MNOs colocating on them too?
China Broadcasting and Media Group has the 700
MHz license and owns most of Chinas broadcast
towers. TowerXchange have not yet been able to
ascertain if these towers are offered for co-location
by Chinas MNOs.
The blue route is the 21st Century Maritime Silk Road, and the red routes are the Silk Road Economic Belt
Two tenants US
Construction costs
$275,000
$50,000
Tenant revenue
$20,000
$50,000
$12,000
$20,000
Opex
$12,000
$13,000
$7,000
$10,000
Gross margin
$8,000
$37,000
$5,000
$10,000
Gross margin %
40%
74%
42%
50%
ROI
3%
13%
10%
20%
Investment
Source: U.S. illustration drawn from of American Tower presentation, June 2015, does not reflect any American Tower financial data.
China data from TowerXchange research
XX
Power
to CTC?
Apart from the need for vendors to be certified
on cell sites?
RMS is deployed on some, not all cell sites. CTC is
Special thanks
TowerXchange are grateful to the Ministry of
Industrial and Information Technology, and to Miteno,
Guodong, Q Towers, China ComService (STUDPI),
Capital Associates, Decode China, Nicholas Shao,
Cartesian Capital, PowerHF and the IFC for their input
and for their kind hospitality in Beijing and Shanghai.
We are also grateful to the many prospective
international investors whose input into defining
these questions shaped this report.
China Tower Company has graciously offered to
meet us upon our next visit, and we look forward to
updating this report at that time
XX
dont assume CTC will build all the new towers under the new coconstruction regime in China: there are opportunities for independent
tower companies to cultivate local relationships, to be lean and agile, to
build towers faster or cheaper than CTC can
XX
XX
Mohan Villavarayan, MD of edotco Sri Lanka shares detailed insight into the
countrys rapid telecoms growth
XX
7,500-8,000
towers
38%
Mobile broadband
penetration
125%
95%
Coverage
SIM penetration
Challenger MNOs
Etisalat, Airtel,
Hutchison &LankaBell
2 market leaders
with 4G spectrum:
Dialog, Mobitel
Further
towers needed
21mn
1,500-2,000
XX
Keywords: 3G, 4G, Asia, Asia Insights, Batteries, Capex, edotco, DG Runtime, Dimensioning, Energy
Efficiency, Energy Storage, Fuel Security, Invendis, Loading, Logistics, Monitoring & Management,
NOC, O&M, Off-Grid, On-Grid, Operational Excellence, Opex Reduction, Outdoor Equipment, Risk,
RMS, Shelters, Site Level Profitability, Site Management System, Site Visits
XX
XX
XX
declining mobile revenue have forced MNO to
focus on their core business. Networks are often
viewed as non-core and non-differentiating, leading
to more and more MNOs divesting their towers.
There are a few ways MNOs can divest its towers,
including by spinning off to a subsidiary, forming a
towerco joint venture with other MNOs, or selling to
independent towercos.
We have defined four key groups of tower
owners:
< MNOs: MNOs which still own some or all of their
towers
< MNO-owned towercos: Towercos which are
wholly-owned subsidiaries of an MNO
< Towerco joint ventures (JVs): Towercos which are
partly-owned by one or more MNOs
< Independent towercos: Towercos which are not
affiliated to any MN
Figure 1: Key trends and characteristics of efficient tower markets and key conclusions [Source: Analysys
Figure 2: Identification of efficient tower markets [Source: TowerXChange, tower company reports, press
2 Introduction
releases, Analysys Mason, 2016]
Analysys Mason has undertaken an independent study to investigate the structures and
characteristics of efficient tower markets, commissioned by edotco Group.
Through investigating a wide variety of tower markets, we have identified markets which are
thought to be most efficient. Section 3 provides details on how we have defined and identified
efficient tower markets.
Figure 3: Ownership models of towercos in efficient tower markets [Source: TowerXchange, tower company
Figure
3: Ownership
models
of towercos in efficient tower markets
reports, press
releases, Analysys
Mason, 2016]
Source: TowerXchange, tower company reports, press releases, Analysys Mason, 2016
XX
towercosManagement
by
their by their
towercos
Local market conditions affect
the
type of
initiatives
number of
towers
and
number
of
towers
and that towercos undertake.
countries [Source:
countries [Source:
areas beyond passive infrastructure sharing. The three key areas where towercos are expanding
XX |
Leading towercos
in new
into have
are: evolved and extended their business models to undertake initiatives
TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
www.towerxchange.com
areas beyond passive infrastructure sharing. The three key areas where towercos are expanding
in Figure 6.
Figure 6: Known initiatives by towercos in new areas [Source: Tower company reports, press releases,
XX
Figure 7: Approach to licencing of towercos in efficient tower markets [Source: Regulators websites, tower
Figure
Approach
to licencing
of towercos
in efficient tower markets
company7:
websites
and reports,
Analysys Mason,
2016]
Source: Regulators websites, tower company websites and reports, Analysys Mason, 2016
Figure
8: Market
share of share
towercos of
in efficient
tower markets
[Source:tower
TowerXchange,
tower company
Figure
8: Market
towercos
in efficient
markets
reports,
press releases,
Analysys
Mason,
2016]
Source: Regulators
websites, tower
company
websites
and reports, Analysys Mason, 2016
The presence
with
a substantial
being
the does
largest.
example,
American
The
presenceofofa atowerco
towerco
with
a substantial market
share
notFor
seem
to make
it lessTower
attractive
market share does not seem to make it less
Corporation is not the first entrant in most of its
for other towercos to enter the market. For instance, the presence of IHS, which started in Nigeria
attractive for other towercos to enter the market.
markets but it has managed to gain larger market
in
did the
notpresence
deter American
Tower
Corporation
to than
entertowercos
much later
in 2014.
Theearlier.
creation of
For2001,
instance,
of IHS, which
started
share
that entered
years
Indus
Towers,
which
wasdeter
formed
as a JV
that combine towers from three large MNOs in India in
in Nigeria
in 2001,
did not
American
Tower
Corporation
enter Viom
much later
in 2014.
The entering the
We observe
a range
2007,
did nottodeter
Networks
from
market in
2009.of competitive dynamics in the
XX
Mason, 2016]
Meetup Americas
2016
16-17 June, Florida
www.towerxchange.com
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 235
MNOs perspective on
competition and shared
infrastructure in Indonesia
XX
11,389
7,770
2,185
5,500
The MNOs in Indonesia are employing different
strategies to deal with their competitive
environment. For the most part they are very
focussed on interconnection, spectrum and
network sharing, and the recent introduction of
SIM card registration last year. Telkomsel holds the
dominant position in the market and has the most
comprehensive coverage of the country, and as a
result they limit the amount of network sharing
they do and are very choosy about which sites they
share with their competitors. At this point tower
sharing isnt mandated by the government, but
there are indications that the regulator is serious
about network sharing and it is thought that this
will be enforced at some point. If this happens
there is a possibility that when there are two or
three towers close together the one with the lowest
tenancy would have to be decommissioned, which
would of course have a major impact on the owner.
In addition to the main towercos, there are up to 35
independent companies that partner with MNOs in
XX | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
Source: TowerXchange
8,500
1,000
1,000
450
208
1,000
18,000
4,000
Mitratel
Tower Bersama
Protelindo
STP
IBS Tower
KIN
Persada Sokka Tama
Retower Asia
Balitowers
Others
Operator-captive
Telkom + Telkomsel
XL
Indosat
XX
Keywords: Acquisition,
Anchor Tenant, Asia,
Asia Research, Axiata,
Bankability, Cashflow
Finance, Deal Structure,
Debt Finance, Indonesia,
Lease Rates, MNOs,
Moodys Investors Service,
Protelindo, Research, STP,
Sale & Leaseback, Tenancy
Ratios, Third Party Reports,
Tower Bersama, Towercos,
Valuation, XL Axiata
By Nidhi Dhruv, VP & Senior Analyst, Moodys Investors Service
Exhibit 1: Protelindos market share will increase to 19% from 16% postXL Tower acquisition
After XL Tower sale to Protelindo
16%
8%
5%
15%
8%
19%
15%
32%
32%
9%
9%
12%
Protelindo
Tower Bersama
12%
STP
Others
XL
Indosat
Source: Company reports, industry reports and Moodys investors service estimates
STP
Acquired
Protelindo
Built
TBI
Exhibit 2
The acquisition will also improve Protelindos
tenancy mix, because 2,432 of the 2,500 acquired
towers will have XL as their anchor tenant. Pro
forma for the acquisition, Protelindo expects its
share of revenue from mobile operators with
meaningful market shares to increase to about 51%
(including Netherlands towers) from 49% for the
quarter ended December 2015.
The tower transaction is structured as a sale and
leaseback agreement, whereby XL will lease back
2,432 towers under a ten year agreement. XL has
agreed to pay a monthly lease rate of IDR10 million
per tower, of which, IDR2 million is subject to an
annual inflation escalator equaling the lower of 7%
or Indonesias official inflation rate.
Over the last two years, Protelindo has significantly
improved its scale and credit profile. Its leverage has
strengthened through EBITDA growth, supported
by a significant increase in the number of tenancies
on its towers. Protelindo increased its total tower
tenancies to about 21,000 at 31 December 2015
compared to about 14,800 at 31 December 2012. As
a result, adjusted EBITDA doubled to IDR3.8 trillion
during this period.
Hence, Protelindos financial metrics are resilient
and can easily accommodate this acquisition.
Protelindo will fund the acquisition primarily
through a IDR3.0 trillion (US$227 million) bank loan.
The remaining IDR568 billion (US$43 million) will
be paid with internal cash. The companys strong
financial profile, and the EBITDA-accretive nature of
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 237
4.0x
Negative
Adjusted leverage
3.5x
Positive
2.5x
3.0x
2.0x
2014
2015
2016F
2017F
2018F
Exhibit 3
Protelindos own tenancy ratio stands at 1.7x.
The acquired towers will also boost Protelindos
pro-forma revenue and EBITDA by about IDR490
billion and IDR390-IDR400 billion. Given Protelindos
growing EBITDA from a higher number of tower
tenancies, we expect the companys leverage to
gradually improve.
The acquired towers have a tenancy ratio of about
1.5x, where the majority of colocation (multiple
mobile operators leasing space on the same tower)
contracts are with Hutchison 3 Indonesia (H3I,
unrated), an indirect 66%-owned subsidiary of CK
Hutchison Holdings Limited (A3 stable).
About 65% of the acquired towers from XL are
located in the more densely populated Java/Bali
XX | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
XX
XX
TowerXchange market
study: Laos
4G is being rolled out and more than one MNO has incentive to monetise towers,
but government involvement and slow growth disincentivise investment
Keywords: 4G, ARPU, Asia, Asia Research, Batteries, Beeline, Country Risk, Decommissioning, ETL,
Infrastructure Sharing, Investment, LTC, Laos, Market Overview, Masts & Towers, On-Grid, QoS,
Regulation, Research, Skilled Workforces, Tower Count, TowerXchange Research, TowerXchange
Research Asia, Unitel, Viettel, VimpelCom
How many towers are there in Laos and who owns them?
423
1,950
1,100
LTC
Unitel
ETL
Beeline (VimpelCom)
4,000
Source: TowerXchange
XX
be poor in Laos.
Most network investments are in the upgrading of
sites for 4G; there are very few new sites in Laos,
and most of those are urban infill concrete poles.
Beeline built just six sites last year, less than a fifth
of the total they were building back in 2012.
What do towers cost in Laos?
Cost per site depends on what you are building
of course, but for example a 60m guyed mast
tower with capacity for two operators and four
microwave dishes would cost approximately
US$24,000, including foundations, tower, and
electrical equipment. O&M works out at around
US$900 per site per year, inclusive of the
maintenance of both passive and active equipment.
Given the deficiency of high-rise structures in Laos,
it is perhaps unsurprising that less than 5% of
urban sites are rooftops. Most sites are guyed mast
towers, a few are free standing.
Conclusions on the investibility of Laotian
towers
While there may be an opportunity for a tower
company to invest in Laos, they would have to
be comfortable with the level of government
involvement in telecoms in the country. The
deficiency of local steel may also be an issue, with
towers having to be imported from Vietnam or
China. China may indeed be the most likely source
of investment in Laotian towers, with the country
being eligible for One Belt, One Road funding
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 247
BMI Research:
A look at the Indian tower market
Telecoms demand growth eclipses challenges in an evolving market structure
Changes to telecoms regulations and
market conditions in the past year
will impact the towers market in India
in various ways. Weighing the positive
impacts of 3G and 4G proliferation
against the risks of evolving telecom
regulation, we believe that growth
prospects for towers market are
bright, with greater opportunity in
diversification into other areas of
mobile network support.
Keywords: 3G, 4G, Aircel, Asia, Bharti
Airtel, Bharti Infratel, BMI Research,
BSNL, Facebook, India, Infrastructure
Sharing, M&A, Market Overview, KPIs,
QoS, Regulation, Research, Tenancy
Ratios, Third Party Research, TRAI,
Videocon, Xiaomi
XX
1,200,000
1,000,000
800,000
600,000
400,000
200,000
f
20
20
f
19
20
f
18
20
f
17
20
f
16
20
15
20
14
20
13
20
20
12
11
1,400,000
20
3,000,000
2,500,000
2,000,000
1,500,000
1,000,000
500,000
f
20
20
f
20
19
f
18
20
f
17
20
f
16
20
e
15
20
e
14
20
e
13
20
e
12
20
11
20
XX
39,000
2.15
0%
2.10
38,500
2.00
38,000
12%
1.95
1.90
37,500
1.85
37,000
1.80
36,500
1.75
1.70
36,000
1.65
41
5
Q
31
5
21
5
11
5
41
4
31
4
21
4
11
4
41
3
31
3
21
3
Q
11
3
41
2
31
2
35,500
Sharing revenue (per sharing operator per month) (INR) (LHS)
Tenancy ratio (RHS)
districts Mobile Tower Installation Policy-2013, for
example, previously banned telecoms towers from
being situated in residential areas, but was revised
following the DoTs guidelines. Private operators
were mandated by the DoT to install 29,000 new
mobile towers, while BSNL installed 4,500 and
MTNL installed 28 in Delhi. As investments into
advanced services continue to force towers that
are still held operator-captive to be released into
the market, we believe that directives to address
telecoms quality of service (QoS) issues will
XX | TowerXchange Issue 15 | www.towerxchange.com
88%
Fixed
Wireless
Fixed wireless
Source: TRAI
technological trends.
Keywords: Asia, Asia Insights, Energy Efficiency, India, Indus Towers, KPIs, Opex Reduction, Spectrum,
Supply Chain Management, Towercos
XX
percentile in telecom)
< Improve the Functions KRA to L5 (Outstanding)
level, and
< Contribute to Customer Satisfaction Survey
(Achieving 100th percentile in telecom)
Critical to quality
Structured
communication
on platform with
partners
Voice of business
Business issues
Critical business
requirements
Simplification /
standardisation of
processes
Circle to circle
variation
Process
standardisation across
circles
Improve partner
performance
Low performance on
Indus KPIs
Improve partners
agility
Critical partner
requirement
Partner issues
Voice of partner
Standard / formalised
review mechanism
Delays in issue
resolution
No structured
platform to discuss
issues
Clarity of business
requirements &
update contact
No structured
mechanism
No future visibility /
contract review
On-time payment
Payment irregularies
Critical for
processes
Design and
implement contract
governamce
XX
Ye
ar
ly
Mo
nth
ly
Qu
ar
ter
ly
Bia
nn
ua
l
Apex
level
contract
governance
Corperate contract
governance
Circle contract
governance
Department Head,
Fucntional Vertical
Heads
Circle CEO, Circle
Function and SCM
Head, Buyer + user
group
User group
Historial
jump
3.99
Best in Telecom
industry
Best in B2B
industry
4.33
4.1
3.36
2009-10
2013-14
2014-15
2015-6
2015-6
XX
FY 15-16
Go global
FY 14-15
Go beyond
Dream big, set big targets beyond the industry and prove that
even sky is not the limit for One team.
FY 13-14
One team, one dream
Formation of team rather than working as individuals. Dream as one team,
understand pain areas of internal and external customers and set relative
targets and roadmap with Milestones. Work together and achieve the same.
Create credibility and respect.
team members. This team is headed by CSCMO of
Indus Towers.
XX
Results
ESH
< Fire safety training for all partners and the team
< Security briefing to all visitors and employees
< Mock fire drills
< Medical check-ups for the team
< Other various safety related training
< CCTV implementation for surveillance and theft control
< Sensitive location protection
< Initiatives towards vehicle transaction in the warehouses uses carbon neutral vehicles
< MBRC discharge energy used for office and repair centre electricity
< Use of natural light/ Solar energy / LEDs
Process
People
Partner
Description
Before transformation
March 2016
Reduction
55
18
69%
39
22
44%
XX
XX
28%
lot over the past few years; what are some of the
next changes that you anticipate?
Participate in the
TowerXchange
community
Tower
manufacture
& installation
Investors &
advisers
Tower
Independent
towercos
Xchange
Decision
makers
at
operators
Regulators
& policy
makers
Equipment
& managed
services
www.linkedin.com/groups/
TowerXchange-4536974
XX
Regional coverage:
Europe features
In this edition were excited to share a whole host of insights gleaned from the inaugural
TowerXchange Meetup Europe. The executive teams of 36 tower companies were joined by 13
different MNOs and 28 investment firms from over 20 countries, giving a wealth of dimensions
and perspectives to discussions. We look at activities in Russia, Germany and the UK where
established towercos are in place, examine opportunities in new regions including Greece,
Romania and Poland and look at synergies that can be achieved with the broadcast sector.
In addition, we have two great interviews for you to read Cellnex CEO Tobias Martinez
divulges the strategy and vision behind Europes largest independent towerco; and Turkcell
CSO, Ilter Terzioglu discusses the operators plans for their infrastructure, including the recently
announced IPO process.
Dont miss:
262 TowerXchange Meetup Europe post event report
272 Cellnex CEO Tobias Martinez on the companys ambitions in the European market
275 Infrastructure expansion, infraco management and a Global Tower IPO at Turkcell
282 Tower transactions, carve outs and IPOs in the German tower market
289 The unique structure of the UK tower market
296 Tower divestments, carve outs and M&A in the European market
299 What are the synergies between broadcast and telecom towers?
302 TDF on MNO consolidation, 4G rollout and broadcast synergies in France
305 Digita on infrastructure sharing in Finland
308 Greek tower market opens up
311 Russia and CIS FAQs
319 A first look at the CIS tower markets, particularly Kazakhstan and the Ukraine
324 Potential tower divestitures in Poland within 12-24 months
327 Romanian MNOs retain control over infrastructure
XX | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
XX
26 executives
from 13 MNOs
11%
39 investors
representing 28 investment firms
6%
35%
9%
2 days of intensive discussion and networking included:
40 interactive
roundtables:
15 country focus
8 operational best
practice
11%
11%
17 strategic and
financial
17%
1 keynote interview
One-to-one Investors
Club meetings
Energy
Strategic consultancy
Executive industry
interviews
Exposure to a database of
16,000 tower industry leaders
Extensive on-site
branding
And 100% of sponsors and exhibitors confirmed their intent to return next year!
Join us on 4-5 April 2017 for next years Meetup!
XX | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
23%
CXO
SVP, VP, Partner
Director
35%
21%
Senior Manager
XX
22
Private
meeting
room
Reserved Reserved
Reserved Reserved
Private
meeting
room
Reserved Reserved
Exit
Reserved
decisions
16
Reserved
Access to main
Meetup room
10
15
Reserved
12
17
Reserved
Reserved
18
19
20
11
Reserved
13
Reserved
Disabled
access
21
Entrance, exit &
washrooms
10. With phenomenal feedback from the 2016 Meetup, 2017 dates are
already firmly marked on the calendars of the sectors most influential
figures and with all previous Meetups having sold out be sure to book
early to avoid disappointment!
XX | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
< The core of our promotional campaign is TowerXchanges proprietary database of the top 16,000
decision makers in the global telecom tower industry
< The TowerXchange database includes the management teams of 169 towercos who between them own
over 2mn of the worlds 3.3mn towers
< We also maintain relationships with over 3,000 CXOs and Heads of M&A, Network Planning,
Procurement and Tower Strategy at MNOs worldwide
< TowerXchange is read by 1,082 individuals at 511 investors, of which 116 have capital deployed in
towers and is followed by 842 investment bankers and advisors
< TowerXchange also maintains the worlds most exhaustive database of telecom infrastructure
suppliers, from tower manufacturers, managed service providers, to RMS, site management
platforms, access control and energy equipment and service providers
< Every month TowerXchange adds an average of 700 new highly qualified members to our community
through a combination of pull marketing via TowerXchange research, and P2P introductions and
research within the tower industry
< A total of 33 personalised emails with industry specific messaging were sent to our database to
promote the TowerXchange Meetup Europe
< Our email campaign is supported by a direct mail campaign to 660 selected VIPs, and by a courtesy
calls to over 1,000 key target attendees
< A key component of our promotional campaign is the TowerXchange Europe Dossier this annual
publication collates and updates critical baseline data and the best interviews with key European
tower industry stakeholders
< We use Google Adwords to amplify the findability of the dossier, and other selected industry news and
analyses, attracting new, qualified members to our community
XX
towerco
CTIL 18,000 UK
MBNL 18,000 UK
broadcast component
8,681
Turkey, Ukraine
JV infraco
Operator-led infraco
2,000
Source: TowerXchange
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 267
towerco
broadcast component
140
JV infraco
Operator-led infraco
UK, Ireland
Source: TowerXchange
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
Investors
3i Infrastructure, Director, Infrastructure
4M Investments, Principal
4M Investments, Principal
Alinda Capital Partners, Director
Alinda Capital Partners, Managing Director
AMP Capital Investors, Investment Director
AMP Capital Investor, Investment Manager
Antin Infrastructure Partners, Managing Partner
Alinda Capital Partners, Partner
Arcus Infrastructure Partners, Partner
Arcus Infrastructure Partners, Senior Investment
Director
Bank of Tokyo Mitsubishi, Director, TMT
BNP Paribas, Director
Brookfield, Senior Vice President
Capital Group, Associate
Capital Group, Partner
Citi, Global Communications Group
Communication Infrastructure Fund, Managing
Partner
Credit Suisse, Director
Crescent Park, Associate
Digital Bridge Holdings, Managing Director, EMEA
Goldman Sachs, Executive Director
Goldman Sachs, Senior Representative
ING Wholesale Banking, Managing Director
ING Wholesale Banking, Managing Director
International Finance Corporation (IFC), Chief
Investment Officer
International Finance Corporation (IFC), Head of
Telecom, Media & Technology, EMEA
Macquarie, Managing Director, TMT
Macquarie Infrastructure and Real Assets,
Managing Director
Och-Ziff, Managing Director
Oddo Seydler Corporate Finance, Managing Director
XX
The entrance of Cellnex into the European telecoms sector has had a transformational
impact on the market. Purveyors of the two largest transactions that Europe has seen
to date (4,377 towers acquired across three phases from Spains Telefonica and Yoigo,
and 7,377 towers from Italys Wind in 2014 and 2015 respectively), the company set
a new benchmark in the sheer scale of tower deals and has amassed a portfolio of
15,120 towers in Spain and Italy. Perhaps even more significant than the scale of their
acquisitions was their listing on the Madrid stock exchange valuing the company at
3.5bn - 15x EBITDA (versus the typical 3-4x EBITDA of an MNO). This crystallised the
value of towers in Europe and also equipped Cellnex with a multi-billion war chest
with which to fund acquisitions across the continent. TowerXchange were delighted
to welcome Cellnex CEO, Tobias Martinez to the TowerXchange Meetup Europe where
Enda Hardiman interviewed him in front of a packed auditorium.
Keywords: Acquisition, Business Case, C-Level Perspective, Cellnex, Capex, Carve Out, Co-locations, Core Network,
Backhaul & FTTT, DAS, Decommissioning, Densification, EBITDA, Europe, Europe Insights, IBS, Investors, INWIT,
Italy, LTE, MNOs, Multi-Region, Operational Excellence, Opex Reduction, Opex Sharing, QoS, ROI, Russia & CIS, Site
Level Profitability, SLA, Spain, Tenants Perspective, Tower Count, Towercos, Valuation
XX
Source: TowerXchange
International expansion
With regards to small cells, DAS and public WiFi this is something that Cellnex are already
involved in. In Italy, they have deployed DAS
networks inside tunnels, along motorways and on
provincial state and regional roads and they have
on going projects with MNOs to install systems in
specific areas like football stadiums, malls and
other high traffic places. In Barcelona, Cellnex
are rolling out the first 4G small cell network
together with Orange and with the support of the
local council. Orange owns the small cells whilst
Cellnex deploys and manages them, including
connecting fibre to the backbone. The agreement
also provides the opportunity for the small cells to
be shared with other operators, further deepening
the potential for infrastructure sharing and cost
reduction.
To round up the interview, Martinez emphasised
the critical role of telecommunications
infrastructure operators as a vehicle for enabling
society to enjoy all the possibilities that technology
currently offers, combining rationalised macro
and micro networks with improved connectivity
to meet the uplink and downlink needs of a large
number of simultaneous users.
There is still a long way to go and all of us
infrastructure operators, customers who provide
their services, content and applications, to end
users and local authorities must work together
to achieve a fast and efficient roll-out so that such
infrastructure can provide service to various
network suppliers, promoting the sharing
concept rather than the ownership concept.
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
Infrastructure expansion,
infraco management and a Global
Tower IPO at Turkcell
An interview with Turkcell Chief Strategy Officer, Ilter Terzioglu
Keywords: 3G, 4G, Acquisition, Azerbaijan, Belarus, C-Level Perspectives, Carve Out, Co-locations,
Cyprus, Deutsche Telekom, Europe, FINTUR, Georgia, Global Tower, Infrastructure Sharing, Kazakhstan,
KKTCell, life:), lifecell, LTE, Masts & Towers, MNOs, Moldova, Network Rollout, Regulation, Russia & CIS,
TeliaSonera, Turkcell, Turkcell Europe, Turkey, Ukraine, UkrTower, Valuation
XX
XX
Turkcell
Vodafone
Turk Telekom
30%
Source: TowerXchange
Infrastructure sharing
1,200 RANshared base stations belong to the
governments universal service network which was
designed to bring connectivity to rural communities
where the population of the community is
under 500. As mentioned previously, under the
arrangement each of the mobile network operators
must take it in turns to manage the network
for a three year period, without no financial
remuneration from the other parties or the
government.
Beyond the RANsharing agreement put in place
under the universal service network, there is a
degree of passive infrastructure sharing between
the operators. Turkcell have confirmed they use a
small number of third party towers in the country,
whilst around 25% (~2,000) of their towers are
thought to be used by Turk Telekom and Vodafone.
Assuming most of the co-locations are on ground
based towers rather than other sites (e.g. rooftops),
this suggests Global Tower might have a tenancy
ratio of around 1.25 on their greenfield towers.
3 MNOs:
23%
Global Tower
of which ~5,000
under BOT
BOT arrangement:
2G towers returned 2023;
3G towers returned 2028
100%
Fibre regulation
mobile network
coverage in towns
and villages
66% LTE
population
73.6mn mobile coverage
subscribers
93.5%
Vodafone
30%
Turkcell
47%
and JV fibreco
proposed
4.5G launched
April 2016
68%
smartphone Global Tower
penetration IPO initiated
have been erected in the country, with about 50% of
these built to replace existing towers. New towers
built by the operators, or their towerco, will not
need to be returned to the government when those
built under the BOT scheme are.
The commencement of an IPO process for Global
Tower
On 28 April Turkcell announced that its Board of
Directors had decided to initiated the process for an
IPO of a certain amount of shares in Global Tower.
Global Tower is thought to possess a portfolio of
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
Meetup
Americas 2016
Meetup Africa
2016
16-17 June,
Boca Raton
19-20 October,
Johannesburg
Meetup Asia
2016
Meetup
Europe 2017
13-14 December,
Singapore
4-5 April,
London
www.towerxchange.com
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 281
Jonathan Dann,
Managing Director, Telecom
Research, RBC Capital Markets
100.0%
90.0%
80.0%
70.0%
18.2
21.6
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
TEF DE
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
VOD
E-Plus
1Q10A
2Q10A
3Q10A
4Q10A
1Q11A
2Q11A
3Q11A
4Q11A
1Q12A
2Q12A
3Q12A
4Q12A
1Q13A
2Q13A
3Q13A
4Q13A
1Q14A
2Q14A
3Q14A
4Q14A
1Q15A
2Q15A
3Q15A
4Q15E
1Q16E
2Q16E
3Q16E
4Q16E
0.0%
Source: Company reports, RBC Capital Markets estimates. TEF DE includes adjustment aft
Deutsche
Telekom*
Vodafone
Telefnica
Deutschland
American Tower
Total
23,636
18,000
11,968
53,604
8,000
4,000
2,350*
2,031
16,381
Total owned
31, 636
22,000
14,318*
2,031
69,985
-7,700
1,500
22,700
16,500
3,000
2,000
2,031
7,031
26,936
25,500
39,049*
2,031
93,516
*Telefnicas ground based towers sold to their wholly owned infraco, Telxius
German market?
Jonathan Dann, Managing Director, Telecom
Research, RBC Capital Markets: Deutsche Telekom
sold its broadcast transmission towers T-Systems
Media & Broadcast to TDF in 2007 for 850mn.
The bulk of this business (now Media Broadcast
Group) was sold to Freenet for 295mn (around
12x EBITDA) in March 2016.
We estimate that Telefnica Deutschlands 2,000
towers would be worth at least the 400mn based
on the transaction between American Tower
and E+/KPN in 2012 and more likely higher
given recent transactions and the potential for
competitive tension between Telxius (Telefnicas
towerco) and American Tower to reach scale in
Germany. Additionally, the owned rooftops could
have value depending on the structure of the
sale-leaseback offered by Telefnica Deutschland.
TowerXchange: What other activity could we
expect to see in the German tower market?
Jonathan Dann, Managing Director, Telecom
Research, RBC Capital Markets: Deutsche Telekom
has discussed a part listing of its German tower
portfolio. With around 8,000 owned towers
and as a market leader they could potentially
accelerate lease up rates on their portfolio. One
caveat is ground leases in Germany appear to be
in the 4,000-5,000 per annum range, limiting
the financial benefits for second tenants of colocating
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 279
18.2
21.6
TMO
60.0%
50.0%
40.0%
TEF DE
30.0%
20.0%
10.0%
VOD
E-Plus
0.0%
1Q10A
2Q10A
3Q10A
4Q10A
1Q11A
2Q11A
3Q11A
4Q11A
1Q12A
2Q12A
3Q12A
4Q12A
1Q13A
2Q13A
3Q13A
4Q13A
1Q14A
2Q14A
3Q14A
4Q14A
1Q15A
2Q15A
3Q15A
4Q15E
1Q16E
2Q16E
3Q16E
4Q16E
Source: Company reports, RBC Capital Markets estimates. TEF DE includes adjustment aft
new co-locations?
Participants at the roundtable saw little demand
for new macrostructures to be built. Whats more,
participants felt that the number of tenancies
on structures would remain relatively constant.
The entrance of new entities such as Sigfox help
contribute to increasing tenancies but using smaller
antennae, such companies usually demanded lower
lease rates and so were not comparable with MNO
tenants. With broadcasters also existing as a tenant
on some of the higher structures, unless there was
a new evolution with terrestrial TV it was thought
that some of the taller concrete towers could be at
risk of decommissioning in the future due to loss in
revenues.
XX
GBTs
53,604
Source: TowerXchange
Deutsche
Telekom*
Vodafone
Telefnica
Deutschland
American Tower
Total
23,636
18,000
11,968
53,604
8,000
4,000
2,350*
2,031
16,381
Total owned
31, 636
22,000
14,318*
2,031
69,985
-7,700
1,500
22,700
16,500
3,000
2,000
2,031
7,031
26,936
25,500
39,049*
2,031
93,516
*Telefnicas ground based towers sold to their wholly owned infraco, Telxius
Meetup Americas
2016
16-17 June, Florida
www.towerxchange.com
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
Keywords: 4G, Active Infrasharing, Arqiva, Best of TowerXchange, BT, CTIL, Decommissioning, Densification,
EE, Europe, Europe Research, Hutchison, Infrastructure Sharing, MBNL, MNOs, Market Overview, Masts
& Towers, O2, Operator-Led JV, Regulation, Research, Shere Group, Telefnica, Three, Tower Count,
TowerXchange Research, Towercos, UK, United Kingdom, Vodafone, Wireless Infrastructure Group
Independent
towercos
14,500
CTIL
12,000
MBNL
12,000
500 500
Shared
Source: TowerXchange
XX
Rail infrastructure
The UK is one of several European markets where existing and potential new trackside masts could be
very valuable both for coverage in adjacent communities, and potentially for coverage on trains.
We use network rail infrastructure in a big way, but were very restricted in frequencies and power if
we put sites on their land, said one participant.
Theres often a degree of engineering inertia when dealing with rail and other State or former State
infrastructure, said a towerco. No-one knows the assets are worth anything.
Delivering free Wi-Fi on trains requires near complete transmission, said one participant.
Id anticipate increasing use of LTE relay technology for localised coverage, suggested another. It
wont work at that speed. We use a wide band repeater on each car for this in other European markets,
countered a third
doesnt come until late in the day, said one towerco.
If we get a batch of nominal (search ring), we
respond almost overnight, but then well often not
hear about that for a long period of time. When
communication is patchy, we dont know if the
requirements is real enough to resource it, added
another.
Uncommercial coverage
Were talking about uncommercial coverage,
driven by regulation, countered a towerco. So the
environment is different.
The current 98% coverage requirement would
need 1,000 extra sites in our network, said another
participant, so were digging through spreadsheets
finding out whats there, and what we need.
The MIP (Mobile Infrastructure Project) had noble
intentions to provide coverage where there wasnt
even 2G, but it hasnt been particularly successful,
added another participant. Under the MIP, the
UK government provided 150mn to fund the
connection of not-spots and partial not-spots, yet
when it concluded at the end of March 2016, the
project was expected to have delivered just 60 of the
600 masts identified in the original plan.
MIP failed because of lack of transmission
infrastructure microwave is expensive so the
per site cost went through the roof, said one
participant. The MIP programme came in the
middle of the 4G rollout, and the reality is that the
MNOs never wanted it. It should be revisited in
three to four years when theres more fibre. But if
the government wants to make the infrastructure
292 | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
Any MNO
2G
93%
>99%
3G
88%
99.3%
3G
46%
90%
XX
XX
The second day of the TowerXchange Meetup Europe took a closer look at the motivations behind
tower carve outs and sales by operators and asked where else we may see tower portfolios changing
hands through M&A. Joining the panel were Alexander Chub, President of Russian Towers who are
closely monitoring any towers coming to market in Russia and the CIS; Colin Shea, Strategy Director of
CETIN, who was was heavily involved in the companys carve out from O2 Czech Republic; and Colin
Cunningham, Managing Director of Irish towerco Cignal which came into existence in 2015 following
the acquisition of the communication assets of the State forestry company, Coillte.
XX
Participate in the
TowerXchange
community
Tower
manufacture
& installation
Investors &
advisers
Tower
Independent
towercos
Xchange
Decision
makers
at
operators
Regulators
& policy
makers
Equipment
& managed
services
www.linkedin.com/groups/
TowerXchange-4536974
XX
XX
Tower
Xchange
Keywords: 3G, 4G, Active Infrasharing, Arcus Infrastructure Partners, Best of TowerXchange, Bouygues Telecom,
Brookfield, C-Level Perspective, Capacity Enhancements, Co-locations, DAS, Debt Finance, Densification, Europe,
Europe Insights, Finland, France, Free Mobile, Germany, Hungary, Infrastructure Sharing, Insights, Investors,
LTE, Market Forecasts, Market Overview, Masts & Towers, MNOs, Network Rollout, Netherlands, New Market
Entrant, NOC, Opex Reduction, Orange, Regulation, Rooftop, SFR Numericable, Site Level Profitability, SLA, Small
Cells, Spain, Tenancy Ratios, Tower Count, Towercos, Urban vs Rural
We serve all four French MNOs - Orange, SFRNumericable, Bouygues Telecom and Free - and
French leading media - TF1, M6 Group, France
Televisions, Canal+, NextRadioTV et cetera - backed
by a unique chain of high-quality connected sites,
with highly attractive locations and outstanding
territorial coverage: our DTT network covers over
97% of the French population. As at September
2015, we owned and operated over 6,500 active
sites in mainland France, approximately 300 sites
in French overseas territories and have signed
commercial agreements covering up to 3,000
additional rooftops in France. We own around 90%
of our active towers and we either own or lease the
land for our sites under long-term contracts.
In addition, we own 5,000 km of optical fibre,
a high capacity national backbone which
interconnects sites, our four data centers and our
online video platforms. This network is used by all
our businesses.
On March 31, 2015, an investor consortium www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
27,300
Outsourced towers
Operator-captive towers
Rooftops and other structures
Source: TDF
XX
Coverage, infrastructure
sharing and tower ownership in
the Finnish market
An interview with Digita CEO, Juha-Pekka Weckstrm
Digita, Finlands only broadcasting infrastructure company, owns
a total of 27 high masts and uses an additional 480 smaller masts,
of which approximately a third are owned. With Finland boasting
some of the best network coverage in Europe, TowerXchange spoke
to Digita CEO, Juha-Pekka Weckstrm, who brings with him twenty
years of experience at TeliaSonera Group, to better understand
Finlands tower industry and culture of infrastructure sharing.
Lease Rates, Masts & Towers, New Market Entrant, Operator-Led JV,
Regulation, Scandinavia, SIA Lattelecom, Sonera, Sweden, TDF, Telenor,
Juha-Pekka Weckstrm, CEO, Digita
XX
Meetup Americas
2016
16-17 June, Florida
www.towerxchange.com
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 307
Keywords: 4G, Bankability, Cosmote, Country Risk, Cyta, DG Runtime, Debt Finance, Decommissioning,
Deutsche Telekom, Digea, Europe, Europe Research, Greece, IFC, Infrastructure Sharing, LTE-Advanced,
MNOs, Market Overview, OTE, Off-Grid, On-Grid, Operator-Led JV, Research, Sale & Leaseback, Tax,
Tenancy Ratios, Tower Count, TowerXchange Research, Victus Networks, VimpelCom, Vodafone,
Vodafone Greece, WIND EHellas, Wind
About the joint venture between Vodafone Greece and WIND Hellas
Why Greek MNOs may be open to carving out or selling their towers
Drivers for the monetisation of Greeces broadcast towers
How Greek operators are preparing for LTE-Advanced
Why VAT is such as big issue in the Greek telecoms sector
XX
down 53% in
Cosmote dont
need cash
1,500 SIMs
156
SLB
Broadcast towerco
imminent? Digea has 156 sites
per tower
163%
SIM penetration
Victus Networks
has 200 off-grid sites
50-50 JV
Victus
Networks between WIND
and Vodafone
Victus Networks
tenancy ratio 1.5
Conclusion
XX
As the largest country on the planet, Russian telecom networks are made up of
~42,100 towers and ~75,000 rooftops across its populated regions, most of which
remain operator-captive. In a fiercely competitive MNO landscape with relatively
few shared sites, only Russian Towers, Vertical and a couple of other smaller
towercos are steadily creating an independent towerco market in the country. That
may all be about to change. Each of Russias three leading MNOs has carved out
their own towerco: VimpelCom has created National Tower Company which they
intend to sell and leaseback the towers if their valuation can be met, Megafon has
carved out First Tower Company with a view to a future sale to a strategic buyer,
while MTS has injected 5,500 towers into MTS Towers. Even Tele2 Russia are
rumored to be selling their towers. This update combined TowerXchange research
with insights gleaned from the Russia roundtable at our recent European Meetup.
Keywords: Editorial, MNOs, Towercos, Russia & CIS, Europe, Russia, Ukraine, Kazakhstan, Russian Towers,
ESN, Tele2, Megafon, Vimpelcom, MTS, Acquisition, Market Overview, Valuation, 4G, LTE, Deal Structure,
Transfer Assets, Urban vs Rural Co-locations, Infrastructure Sharing, Risk, Build-to-Suit, First Mover
Advantage, Country Risk, Rooftop, Sale & Leaseback, Private Equity, Infrastructure Funds
The creation of the three leading Russian MNOs towercos and their plans for monetisation
The independent towercos and investors bidding to acquire Russias towers
The relative value and complexity of management of towers versus rooftops
The prospects of Russian towerco business models extending beyond towers to fibre and power
Forecasts for new tower builds and for the percentage of towers that will be owned by towercos
by 2017
Source: TowerXchange
10,400
MegaFon/
First Tower Company
14,000
10,400
VimpelCom
3,500
Tele2 Russia
Russian Towers
1,800
Vertical
1,600
Other independent
towercos
500
3,000
6,000
9,000
12,000
15,000
75,000
77.3
59.8
42,100
76.8
MTS
GBTs
MegaFon
VimpelCom
Tele2
Source: Annual Reports, note that most recent figure for Tele2
dates from Q3 2015, the other subscriber numbers from Q4 2015
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
XX
Russian Towers
Russian Towers was established in 2009 by
both Russian and Western professionals with
Vertical
Formed in 2013, Vertical experienced rapid growth
in 2015, adding the acquisition and refurbishment
of 500 street poles to scale to a portfolio of 1,600
sites. Their assets primarily consist of 30-35m
street poles in Moscow and the surrounding
region.
Vertical has developed in-house tower building
capability to accelerate time to market, and
now has around 250 staff. Serial entrepreneur,
Vertical Founder and owner Georgy Chumburidze
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 315
CIS towers
While the Russian market gains momentum
months.
monetise towers.
Kazakhstan
XX
XX
Keywords: 4G, ARPU, Altel, Armenia, Asia Research, Asset Register, Azerbaijan, Bankability, Belarus,
CIS, Central Asia, Country Risk, Debt Finance, Europe, Europe Research, Georgia, Infrastructure Sharing,
Kazakhstan, Kazakhtelecom, Kyivstar, Kyrgyzstan, Lease Rates, Logycom, MTS, Market Overview, Moldova,
Network Rollout, Pass-Through, Research, Sale & Leaseback, Tajikistan, Tax, TeliaSonera, Tower Count,
TowerXchange Research, Turkcell, Turkmenistan, UkrTower, Ukraine, Uzbekistan, VimpelCom, lifecell
Spotlight on Kazakhstan
With a 2.7mn km and only 18.2mn population,
Kazakhstan is not densely populated. However, as
the third largest of the CIS member and associate
member States, it is home to one of the regions
more investible tower markets.
The Kazakh mobile market consolidated from
four to three operators when Kazakhtelecoms
Altel merged with Tele2 in 2015. The combined
entity is 51% owned by Kazakhtelecom but
Tele2 has operational and management control.
Altels 4G monopoly is currently being opened
up to competition from the countrys other
operators, Beeline (VimpelCom) and Kcell
(TeliaSonera+Turkcell). LTE spectrum auctions in
2016 will introduce license obligations requiring
provision of coverage to all settlements with a
population over 500. This means 800-1,000 new
towns will need to be connected, requiring the
erection of 1,000-1,500 additional towers.
Kazakhstan currently has around 25,000 base
stations located on various structures including
around 7,000 cell sites, ~5,300 of which remain
MNO-captive. A further ~700 towers are owned by
fixed line operator Kazakhtelecom, while around
1,000 privately owned structures are also in use.
Participants in the CIS roundtable suggested over
a thousand towers could be erected in Kazakhstan
in the next two to three years, driven by next
generation network rollouts and big infrastructure
projects like providing coverage along the main
railway lines and along the highway from China to
Western Europe finished last year.
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 319
1,500
Beeline (VimpelCom) towers
650
700
Kazakhtelecom
2,000
Kcell
Other structures used for telecom
1,200
Source: TowerXchange
XX
Kyrgyzstan
Georgia 5,664,939
Armenia
4,931,226
3,056,382
Vimplecom
XX
Fintur
2%
Orange Polska
Polkomtel
26.8%
26.7%
T-Mobile Polska
P4
Other
22.6%
Keywords: 4G, ARPU, Active Infrasharing, Emitel, Europe, Europe Research, Hardiman
Telecommunications, Infrastructure Sharing, LTE, Market Forecasts, Market Overview, NetWorkS!
T-Mobile, Network Rollout, Operator-Led JV, Orange, Orange Polska, Play, Plus, Poland, Research, Sale &
Leaseback, Small Cells, Tower Count, TowerXchange Research
XX
3,000-5,000
61%
renovation for 4G
Broadband
towers need
87-92%
4G
penetration
9bn
telecom
market
SIM penetration
SLB
50-50 JV
between Orange
operates
imminent???
13,000 towers
7.70
143%
Emitel has
370 towers
Participate in the
TowerXchange
community
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Investors &
advisers
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Independent
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Xchange
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at
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Regulators
& policy
makers
Equipment
& managed
services
www.linkedin.com/groups/
TowerXchange-4536974
XX
XX
Special feature:
Please read:
330 Towerco ambitions in DAS, small cells and public Wi-Fi
333 The growth and rollout of the global small cell market and the
role for towercos in multi-operator neutral-host deployments
339 Small cell networks for hire
344 The viability of small cell in emerging markets
Image courtesy of Cellnex
XX | TowerXchange Issue 16 | www.towerxchange.com
Keywords: 4G, Active Equipment, Active Infrasharing, Arqiva, Business Case, Capacity Enhancements,
Cellnex, Core Network, Backhaul & FTTT, DAS, Densification, Europe, Europe Insights, IBS,
Infrastructure Sharing, Installation, INWIT, Leasing & Permitting, LTE, Market Forecasts, Network
Rollout, Passive Equipment, Rethink Technology Research, Small Cell Forum, Small Cells, Towercos,
Wireless Infrastructure Group
XX
Meetup
Americas 2016
Meetup Africa
2016
16-17 June,
Boca Raton
19-20 October,
Johannesburg
Meetup Asia
2016
Meetup
Europe 2017
13-14 December,
Singapore
4-5 April,
London
www.towerxchange.com
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 |
XX
Keywords: Active Infrasharing, Americas, Arqiva, Asia, Business Case, Business Model, Capacity
Enhancements, Capex, Cisco, Co-locations, CommScope, Crown Castle, DAS, Densification, Europe,
Infrastructure Sharing, Installation, JC Decaux, Leasing & Permitting, Market Forecasts, MNOs,
Network Rollout, Opex Reduction, Opex Sharing, Outdoor Equipment, Reliance Jio, ROI, Shelters, Small
Cell Forum, Small Cells, Towercos, Urban vs Rural
XX
10.0m
14.0m
8.0m
Cumulative shipments
12.0m
6.0m
4.0m
2.0m
0
March
2014
September December
2014
2014
March
2015
September December
2015
2015
10.0m
8.0m
6.0m
4.0m
2.0m
0
Residential/SOHO
IN 2015,
URBAN
SHIPMENTS
GREW
120,000
Cumulative shipments
NON-RESIDENTIAL SHIPMENTS
CONSTITUTED 38% OF TOTAL
SMALL CELLS IN Q4
280%
NON-RESIDENTIAL SMALL
CELLS COMPRISED 66% OF
SMALL CELL REVENUE
IN 2015
IN 2015,
ENTERPRISE
SHIPMENTS
100,000
80,000
60,000
40,000
20,000
DOUBLED
800,000
Urban
30,000
Cumulative shipments
700,000
Cumulative shipments
12.0m
September
2013
14.0m
Cumulative shipments
600,000
500,000
400,000
300,000
200,000
25,000
20,000
15,000
10,000
5,000
100,000
0
Enterprise
September
2013
March
2014
September
2014
March
2015
September
2015
December
2015
REGIONAL analysis
Europe
North America
APAC
December
2014
North America
APAC
Europe
March
2014
September
2014
December
2014
September
2015
December
2015
REGIONAL analysis
Europe
North America
APAC
MEA
China
Latin
America
North America
APAC
Europe
China
MEA
Latin
America
ENTERPRISE
SMALL CELL
SHIPMENTS
WILL GROW
BY 270%
THIS YEAR
9.0m
March
2015
Non-residential
small cells
8.0m
7.0m
6.0m
5.0m
4.0m
3.0m
2.0m
1.0m
0
all
tation,
emote: Sm
ry, transpor
Rural & R
ote indust
m
re
s,
ge
rural villa
ncy
an urban
or emerge
all cells in
utdoor sm
Urban: O
tion
ity applica
cluding
high-capac
all cells, in
: Indoor sm
se
ents
ri
rp
te
En
d deploym
le
ses
sin
d bu
es
carrier an
nits in hom
U
:
O
H
al/SO
Residenti
es
fic
small of
and very
2013
Residential/
SOHO
2014
2015
2016
Enterprise
2017
2018
Urban
2019
2020
Rural
& Remote
S
FINITION
NEW DE Cell Forum
for Small egments:
ed in
market s
cells deploy
URBAN
SMALL CELL
SHIPMENTS
WILL GROW BY
150% THIS YEAR
$7.0bn
$6.0bn
$5.0bn
$4.0bn
$3.0bn
$2.0bn
$1.0bn
0
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Residential
Non-residential
September
2013
XX
By 2020 only 20% of small cells will be fully deployed and managed by
MNOs; what that means is that for 80% of these future small cells there
will be some other party involved in the deployment and management of
those assets. Theres a good chance that towercos that are building this
infrastructure can have a role in that
XX
Keywords: Active Equipment, Active Infrasharing, Europe, Europe Insights, IBS, Infrastructure
Sharing, ip.access, LTE, MOCN, RF Design, Small Cells, Small Cell Forum, Whos Who
XX
XX
Meetup Americas
2016
16-17 June, Florida
www.towerxchange.com
www.towerxchange.com | TowerXchange Issue 16 | 343
Keywords: 4G, Africa & ME, Americas, Asia,Business Case, Chile, Fibre, Huawei, Indonesia, Kaiser
Associates, LTE, Lawyers & Advisors, Network Rollout, Nigeria, QoS, Regulation, Small Cells, Strategic
Consultancy, Third Party Reports, Whos Who
Introduction
While the benefits of small cell are clear, several
prerequisites must be in place for deployment of
the technology in a new market. Kaiser Associates
has identified the five key factors shown in figure
one which determine the viability of small cell in a
given market.
These five critical factors provide a framework
in which to think about small cell investment
in emerging markets. This paper explores how
differently these questions play out in Chile,
Indonesia, and Nigeria, and aims to determine the
viability of the technology in each market.
Country case studies
Indonesia: Given the rapid development of,
and new capacity demands in the Indonesian
mobile broadband market, operators are turning
increasingly to the use of small cell antennas they
are expected to invest roughly US$20 billion in this
technology over the next five years. Indonesian
operators Telkom, Telkomsel, and 3 Hutchison
recently announced a significant agreement with
small cell manufacturer Huawei, which launched
Lampsite 2.0, its latest small cell innovation. There
is tremendous demand for indoor mobile coverage
across the country, and deploying indoor small
cell networks will provide a boost to all operators
network coverage and capacity.
< Detailed small cell market case studies on Chile, Indonesia, and Nigeriathree of the worlds
fastest growing mobile technology markets
XX
m 9% -
band
million
in Jaecture,
than
often
base
t their
boost
n with
help
e
conps. To
macro
Bolt!
other
limitand is
voice
cells
albeit
es on
enser
hould
his dicells
venue
exible
ng for
eeded
est exasonper or
use in
oped
es
insatelatively
e, for
sing a
ere
re exwever,
aining
hops
strucll deains a
umber
exity,
authoboost
Mobile
Cellular
Telephone
Smartphone
Utilization
Penetration
PROJECTED SMARTPHONERate
USAGE
GROWTH IN MOBILE
SUBSCRIBERSHIP
& DATA USAGE
NETWORK
RELIABILITY
& CAPACITY
FIBER
AVAILABILITY
& QUALITY
QUALITY OF
REGULATORY
ENVIRONMENT
COUNTRY
POPULATION
DENSITY
Areas where
existing wireless
networks have
issues with network reliability
and/or insufficient capacity
are well suited to
small cell buildout
since the technology can provide additional
dependability and
capacity in challenging locations.
A regulatory
environment
that is open to
telecommunications / wireless
buildout must
be in place to incentivize investment, protect
infrastructure,
and accommodate the use of
municipal structures for small
cell sites.
Densely populated
areas account for the
majority of mobile
data traffic demand,
and at the same
time often represent
the greatest challenge to network
performance. Due
to their size and flexibility, among other
factors, small cell solutions are especially
relevant in densely
populated areas.
AS A PERCENTAGE(PER
OF TOTAL
CELL USERS
SUBSCRIPTIONS
100 PEOPLE)
ACROSS INDONESIA
102%
114%
125%
126%
2011
2012
2013
2014
73%
(2019)
AVERAGE SIM S
PER USER
IN INDONESIA
2011
2012
2013
2014
Telkomsel
45%
3 Hutchison
14%
2.1
Indosat
22%
129%
137%
134%
133%
AVERAGE SIM S
fibers,
ationPER USER
,
but
all cell Other
llular
IN CHILE
as seunicaXL Axiata
btel is
at in- a dependable, qualified, and flexible backhaul
conservice provider that can supply the required
ey de
SOURCE: MOBILE WORLD LIVE (HTTP://WWW.MOBILEWORLDLIVE.COM/
ASIA/ASIA-BLOGS/BLOG-INDONESIAS-RANKINGS-SHIFT-XL-FALLS-TO-4TH/)
to meet requirements at a reasonable cost.
e pre- services
xisting Fixed-line backhaul options, such as copper or
7
nicipal fiber, are likely
Movistar
to prove inflexible or too costly to
us
pri- / TORONTO / WASHINGTON, D.C. KAISERASSOCIATES.COM
O PAULO
ns for use in conjunction with small cells outside of highly
developed areas, and the alternatives such as
ng rehe viClaro Issue 16Entel
XX | TowerXchange
| www.towerxchange.com
mains
fore-
5%
14%
38%
24%
35%
Growth in mobile
subscribership
and data usage
increases the
need for network capacity.
This capacity is
created through
investments in
new wireless
infrastructure,
typically in the
form of macro
sites & small
cell solutions.
Figure one
menmajor
m the
th all
have
infraerian
and a
early
uture
re an
strug-
ogies
erent
t, tax
ormivernm to
fundo dismuch
fforts,
nued
or inanies,
wers,
strucly atof the
58%
67%
73%
78%
2011
2012
2013
2014
2.4
AVERAGE SIM S
PER USER
IN NIGERIA
42%
1%
15%
21%
20%
Conclusion
We know that the demand for mobile data will
continue to necessitate a concerted increase in
coverage and capacity. We know that this upward
trajectory is a truly global phenomenon. We
also know that telecommunications companies
who leverage small cell technologies in building
out networks will be the primary leaders of this
growth, and will stand to gain the most from their
smart, early investments.
KAISERASSOCIATES.COM
XX
CONCLUSION
FIGURES IN MILLIONS
NUMBER OF
SMARTPHONE USERS
80
INDONESIA
40
NIGERIA
2013
INDONESIA (2013)
CHILE (2013 & 2014) 23.7
NIGERIA (2014)
CHILE
0
2018
REGULATORY ENVIRONMENT
139
UNIQUE SUBSCRIBERS
INDONESIA 106
CHILE 11.7
NIGERIA 58
MOBILE PHONE INTERNET CONNECTIONS
130
INDONESIA
CHILE 9.8
NIGERIA 72.4
INDONESIA
CHILE
NIGERIA
ENFORCING
CONTRACTS RANK
109
48
169
170
56
143
MOBILE &
DATA USAGE
NETWORK
RELIABILITY
& CAPACITY
FIBER
AVAILABILITY
& QUALITY
QUALITY OF
REGULATORY
ENVIRONMENT
COUNTRY
POPULATION
DENSITY**
4.5
3.5
2.5
5.0
3.5
4.0
3.0
3.0
2.0
2.5
1.5
4.0
OVERALL
SCORE
INDONESIA
3.5
3.8
CHILE
4.5
3.6
NIGERIA
4.0
26k
3G
4G
3G
4G
INDONESIA 2.9
12.1
CHILE 1.1
3G
NIGERIA 1.6
4G Data N/Alimited national coverage
2.8
FIBER AVAILABILITY
& QUALITY
NETWORK RELIABILITY
& CAPACITY
12.8
Kilometers (approx.)
of fiber optic network in Indonesia
after Telkom's Indonesia Development
Network proposed
$600 million expansion investment.
3.95k 40k
Kilometers (approx.)
of Entel's fiber
optic transport
network in Chile.
Kilometers (approx.)
of fiber-optic cable
in Nigeria, including about 12,000
km of terrestrial
fiber cable and about
31,000 km of submarine fiber cable.
Figure two
13
2016 KAISER ASSOCIATES, INC. / OFFICES: KUALA LUMPUR / LONDON / SO PAULO / TORONTO / WASHINGTON, D.C.
OVERALL
RANK*
313.2
KAISERASSOCIATES.COM
Washington, DC.
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Jussi Ahvalo, General Manager, Abloy Latin America and Alejandro Valderrama,
Managing Director, Abloy Colombia
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Visits, Whos Who
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Reduction, QoS, RMS, ROI, Rooftop, SLA, Site Level Profitability, Site Management
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Clients are interested in a number of factors. The most critical, but possibly
the most overlooked, is very simple - a hard verification of if a vendor
visited a site. Without this, how does the infraco, or MNO, know that an
assigned task was completed? It all links back to SLA adherence if you
cant verify whether the visit was even made it makes it impossible to
enforce the SLA clauses you put in place
XX
ERP
MRP
OSS
Cloud
HRM
TTS
RSM
DATA
BILLING
SMART PHONE
WITH APP & SMS
ANY PHONE
WITH SMS
OR
CODE ?
OR
FRONT GATE
CELL TOWER
BTS SHELTER
GENERATOR
BATTERIES
FUEL TANK
LTE CABINET
XX
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Ausonia explain their switch from capex-only to offering a full opex solution
to the market
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Storage, ESCOs, Fuel Security, Hybrid Power, Installation, O&M, Opex Reduction, Site Visits, Unreliable
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Traditional AC gensets
Hybrid system where batteries lose efficiency over time
Ausonia variable speed DC gensets
1,60
1,40
1,20
1,00
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0,40
0,20
0,00
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Resort and Club, Boca Raton
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Reduction, RMS, ROI, Rooftop, Shelters, Site Visits, Skilled Workforces, Solar, Spare Parts, Unreliable Grid,
Uptime, Whos Who
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Clean, green and ultra low maintenance makes the MTG most attractive for telecom sites
XX
distribution agreements
Keywords: Air Conditioning, Americas, Batteries, Business Model, Capex, Central America, Chile, ESCOs,
Energy, Enertika, Europe, Guatemala, Hybrid Power, Mexico, Multi-Region, Off-Grid, On-Grid, Opex, Opex
Reduction, Site Visits, South America, Spain, Unreliable Grid, Uptime, Urban vs Rural, Whos Who
XX
A screenshot of Wattabit
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Keywords: Americas, Brazil, South America, Asia, Africa, Zimbabwe, Change Management, Job
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Investment, Job Ticketing, KPIs, Leasing & Permitting, Masts
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