SODIC Investor Presentation 2014-03
SODIC Investor Presentation 2014-03
SODIC Investor Presentation 2014-03
March 2014
Outline
1. SODIC Achievements
1. Egypt Real Estate Market Update
A. Fundamentals Intact
B. Mitigating Inflationary Pressures
2. SODIC Updates
A. 2013 Vs 2012
B. Eastown Update
C. Westown Update
2. SODIC Startegy
A. Vision
B. 2014 Strategy
C. Strategic Growth
SODIC Achievements
Amenities
Within SODIC West: 3
schools, a medical center,
state-of-the-art office park
and several retail
complexes
Number of Employees
Directly1: 1475 employees
Indirectly on sites: 8000
workers
Units Sold
2013: over 1300 units
Since Inception: over 3800
units
Backlog
Outstanding Receivables:
some EGP 4.0 bln
Unrecognised revenues: some
EGP 5 bln
CSR
Renovations transforming
100s of lives
Supporting foundations
affecting over 5,000
families
Deliveries
2013: 680 units worth EGP
1528 mln of revenues
Since Inception: over 1450
units across 7 different
projects
Development
Over 4000 units under
development
Investment cost of more than
EGP 5.5 bln
Fundamentals Intact
Genuine demand fueled by Egypts young population
Strong Demographics1
24%
Above 40
Years
32%
Between
20 & 40
Years
25%
Public
Sector
Supply
350,000
Gap of some
200,000 units
annually
300,000
250,000
200,000
44%
Below 20
Years
150,000
100,000
2006
2007
1 Source:
2009
2010
2011
Central Agency for Public Mobilization & Statistics (CAPMAS) and Ministry of Housing (MOH) September 2012 Egypt Statistical Report .
figures source: Central Agency for Public Mobilization & Statistics (CAPMAS) September 2012 Egypt Statistical Report; Demand figures: no official figures exist, figure based
on various sources including research reports, recent news articles, and MOH.
3 Source: Jones Lang LaSalle, CAPMAS, American Chamber
2 Supply
2008
75%
Private
Sector
Supply
Design efficiencies
Building smarter units with better space utilization and less imported materials
Constructing structurally efficient buildings (Example: Eastown Residences apartment buildings efficiency 93%)
SODIC Updates
2013
2012
Variance
2,730
1,800
52%
2,478
1,600
55%
1,409
924
52%
Cash Collected
1,292
750
72%
802
752
7%
680
441
54%
1,530
1,402
9%
535
517
3%
355
517
- 31%
229
257
- 11%
- 447
257
- 274%
Debt Raised/Secured
900
170
429%
453
320
42%
One-off cancellations1 and impairment2 overshadow solid operational performance resulting in lower profitability (Gross
Profit & Net Profit). Otherwise, 2013 shows bettered results.
8
1
2
Reversal of previously booked revenues related to two large exceptional sale transactions, amounting to EGP 242 million.
A one-off, non-cash, impairment charge on SODICs Syrian investment has taken place with an amount of EGP 478 million.
Eastown Update
A mixed-use development poised to be New Cairos destination of choice
Project Status
Legal Update:
- Settlement negotiations with NUCA are in motion, amount
to be paid and relevant settlement terms are still being
finalised.
Gross Land Area: 857,964 sqm
- Launched residential land area: 230,019
- Commercial/Retail 1: TBD
Residential BUA: 420,673 sqm
Launched Project: Eastown Residences (Phases I-IV: 808 Units)
Number of Residential Units: 1,788
Diversified Residential Product Offering:
- Apartments
- Duplex
- Townhouses
- Signature Standalone Villas
Prime Location:
- East Cairo, adjacent to AUC
- Retail/Commercial area on main road frontage
Retail & commercial plots are currently in master-planning phase. We will update market once finalised.
Master plan
Westown Update
Bustling downtown of SODIC West
Project Status
Legal Update:
- SODIC and Solidere to reach an amicable settlement for all
their legal disputes. As a result, 250,000 sqm of land within
Westown is now free of encumbrance of any nature.
Gross Land Area: 1,223,620 sqm
- Launched 1 : 645,490 sqm
- Non-launched 1 : 578,130 sqm
Launched Projects:
- Forty West
- The Polygon
- Westown Retail Hub
- Westown Residences (Phases I to IX)
Diversified Product Offering:
- Apartments
- Duplex
- City Villas
- Twinhouses & Townhouses
- Signature Lofts
- Offices
- Shops
Prime Location:
- Within Sheikh Zayed district and on Cairo-Alex Desert Rd
- Within a complete community (Retail, offices, schools and
medical centers located in SODIC West)
New Launches: Phase X launched on the 1st of March
10
As at 5th of March, 2014 (i.e: taking into account phase X launch on some 70k sqm of gross land area)
Master plan
SODIC Strategy
11
Vision
2. Replenish land
bank
SODIC Strategy
3. Continue to
develop market
relevant products
5. Reach platform
capacity
4. Penetrate the
middle income
market
2014 Strategy
Focusing on core strength & recognized sweet spots
Proven launched Products
Key elements: affordable, functional
& community centric
Higher densities
Efficient structural design &
construction
Unique features catering to Egyptian
taste
Diversified product offering capturing
a larger client-segment
In-House Capabilities
Continuing to adopt/create new
product solutions filling market gaps
Enhancing strategy of selling
complete communities
Evolving/optimizing to further
enhance returns
In-house design and construction
management lowers construction
cost
Expected Outcome
Inventory Status
13
1
2
Bringing to market new inventory worth some EGP 2 billion, in addition to existing
inventory of some EGP 1 billion
Location: East & West Cairo
Targeting new gross contracted sales in line with 2013s achievement of EGP 2.7 billion. YTD1
new contracted sales of some EGP 545 million
Phase X Westown Residences , launched on March 1st with total sales value of EGP 525 million
Project
Execution & Delivery
As at 5/3/2014.
Expected spending on launched projects and excludes any land liabilities.
Strategic Growth
Leveraging existing brand name to facilitate growth of land bank
New Investment
Opportunities
Primary approach
Implement existing proven products on new lands in Cairo outskirts
Secondary approach
Opportunistic Funds (Distressed assets)
Secondary coastal (North Coast, Ein Sokhna, Red Sea)
Middle Income (Large amenities, community building)
Secondary city retail (Mansoura, Tanta, Upper Egypt)
Secondary Sale
Large Developers:
- Unable to develop full plots in allowable time
frame
- Brand allows for bargaining power
- Approached by multiple developers
Land Owners:
- Finding it difficult to monetize/exit
- Willing to offer low prices in return for sharing
upside/risk
Legal Issues:
- Rare to find lands clear from legal encumbrances
- Value reduced by restrictive time plans
15
2009
2010
2011
2012
2013
Regular Operating
Environment
June 30th
Revolution
9,000
Regular Operating
Environment
Global Financial
Recession
Regular Operating
Environment
Launch of:
Allegria phase 3 & 4
The Polygon
Forty West
The Strip
Cumulative Sales: EGP
2.7 Billion
KP launch achieving
EGP 250 million of
sales
Cumulative Sales:
EGP 4.6 Billion
8,000
7,000
6,000
5,000
4,000
3,000
2,000
1,000
1,884
1,839
849
Launch of:
Small offices in The
Polygon
Westown Residences
WTR Phase 1
Turmoil causing EGP
735 million in
cancellations
Cumulative Sales: EGP
4.6 Billion
Launch of:
WTR phases 7, 8 &
9
Eastown
Launch of:
Residences ETR
Allegria phase 5
phases 1 to 4
WTR Phases 2 to
account to 50% of
6
total sales
WTR achieved sales
of some EGP 1
billion
Cumulative Sales:
EGP 6.2 Billion
1,619
Some EGP 8.7 billion of net sales since 2008 of which 57% yet to be recognized
1 Monthly Sales
16
from January 2008 to December 2013. Unrecognized revenues accounting for EGP 5 billion as at 31 st of Dec 2013.
2,478
Sales / Lease
Ratio
Total
Inventory
Projects
GPM 2
Sold
Inventory
Gross Profit 3
Allegria4
100%
4,374
40%
4,003
1,592
Polygon
62%
587
34%
337
115
Forty West
83%
567
27%
342
92
KP
100%
600
31%
600
185
WTR (I-IX)
100%
1,696
41%
1,573
648
ETR (I-IV)
100%
1,218
38%
1,207
454
Total
9,042
38%
8,062
3,086
Sold
Unsold
91%
9%
43%
57%
60%
40%
100%
93%
7%
1
%
99%
88%
12%
200
150
104
158
1,200
900
600
300
2014
2015
2016
2017
Forty West
2018
The Strip
2019
2020
Westown Hub
1,174
32
Polygon
17
123
136
152
78
100
50
117
129
144
2021
2022
2023
Cumulative Lease
Revenues
EGP Million
Profitability Trends
Upward profitability trends in WTR & ETR enhancing land utilization
Westown Launches
(All figures in EGP millions, unless
otherwise stated)
H1 2012
H2 2012
H1 2013
H2 2013
3,000
255,462
110,386
31,570
77,620
2,430
2,500
2,000
Total Revenues
Total Development
741
Cost 1
440
129
385
425
254
70
189
1,105
1,545
1,815
2,430
1,500
1,105
1,000
500
0
Eastown Launches
(All figures in EGP millions,
unless otherwise stated)
Total Development
Cost 1
38%
39%
H1 2013
44%
49%
H2 2013
182,384
58,897
2,300
921
294
2,100
597
163
2,000
1,900
1,800
18
1,773
2,224
35%
45%
1 Development cost
includes CAPEX & land cost and excludes capitalized technical department wages.
2,224
2,200
1,773
1,700
1,600
H1 2013
H2 2013
Delivery
Project
Number of
Units
Delivered
Units
%
Delivered
Delivery
Start Date
Delivery
End Date
Investment
Cost2
%
Completion3
Allegria
1,254
1,040
83%
2010
2015
2,275
96%
Kattameya Plaza
466
284
61%
2013
2015
339
97%
Forty West
133
22
17%
2012
2015
489
72%
WT Residences (I-IX)
1,075
34
3%
2013
2016
930
54%4
The Polygon1
250
61
24%
2013
2015
612
76%
The Strip
73
18
25%
2012
2014
135
81%
WT Hub
45
2014
2014
71
90%
ET Residences (I-IV)
808
2016
2016
594
5%
CASA5
63
24
38%
2013
2013
NA
NA
Total
4,138
1,483
36%
5,445
NA
Over 4,000 units under development (36% delivered) with an investment cost of some EGP 5.4 billion
Figures represent Polygon phase I.
Investment cost represents the expected construction and infrastructure budget, excluding land cost. Figures are in EGP millions.
3 Percentage of completion represents the actual earned value. Calculated on a weighted average basis per project phase.
4 Westown Residneces Phase I shows an 86% development completion on a standalone basis.
19 5 CASA is a jointly owned project (80% Palm Hills & 20% SODIC). SODIC owns 63 apartments only.
1
2
Delivery Evolution
Delivering on approximately 1,500 units since 2010
1,600
1,496
CASA
1,400
WTR PH 1
Kattameya Plaza
1,200
Polygon
Number of units
The Strip
1,000
Forty West
Allegria
813
600
369
400
200
110
Total
deliveries per
year
20
2010 A
2011 A
2012 A
2013 A
110 Units
259 Units
444 Units
683 Units
Project: ET Residences
Non-launched Inventory Value: EGP 3.8 bln
New Sales Launches Timeline: 2014-2015
2014 Sales Launches Value: some EGP 1 bln
Project: WT Residences
Non-launched Inventory Value: over EGP 2 bln
New Sales Launches Timeline: 2014-2015
2014 Sales Launches Value: some EGP 1 bln
SODIC is burning land at an average rate of 500-600k sqm per annum, showing visibility of 4-5 years at the
same rate of sales (EGP 2-2.5 mln annually)
21
Conclusion
Sales
2013 FY net sales
of EGP 2.5 billion
Capacity &
platform of EGP
3.5 billion
annually
Execution
Delivery
Liquidity
Cash balance of
some EGP 400
million
Well geared:
securing EGP 900
million syndicated
loan
Management Focus
Continue to: deliver existing projects, create vibrant communities & launch in-demand products
22
1
2
As at 3/3/2014.
Excludes land payments or any land to be bought.
23
24
A fully integrated real estate developer specialized in building complete communities with a proven track record
One of the few mega listed companies in Egypt that is not family owned and largest shareholder owning 19%
Full fledged in-house capabilities
- Design Team ensures flexibility with development while saving considerable costs and time
- Construction Management saves significant costs and time, surpassed by exceptional quality
Organisational Strengths
A developer building on the positives and tackling the challenges
Description
Fully Integrated
Developer
Process Driven
Development
Full Cycle
Experience
25
1 Sales
as at March 2014.
Assessments
Strength
Outcomes
4 key elements to target Upper Middle
Income Class
Affordability
Functionality
Exclusivity
Safety
Actions
New products with ticket price of EGP 0.8
2.8 million
Efficient structural design & construction
Higher densities
Smart design with unique features
Results
Unparalleled success of WTR I - IX
Some EGP 1.6 billion of sales1
Higher margins
Quicker process
Market leader
Diverse team
assembled since
2006 with
untapped capacity
Chairman
(Non-Executive)
Transitioned from
entrepreneurial to
corporate
Managing Director
(Executive)
Member
Member
(Independent)
Eng. Safwan
Thabet
Member
Member
Member
(Independent)
(Olayan Group)
(SODIC Inv,
EXEC)
(EDARA, EXEC)
(SOREAL, EXEC)
(October Prop.
Ltd)
(October Prop.
Ltd)
Mr. Shafik El
Baghdady
Dr. Walid
Abanumay
Mr. Sabah
Barakat
Mr. Omar El
Hamawy
Eng. Frank
Konings
Mr. Basil
Ramzy
Mr. Samer
Yassa
Mr. Haytham
Sabry
Management with
full economic cycle
experience,
successfully
navigated global
recession &
revolutions
Member
Executive Management
Managing Director
(Executive)
26
Member
Member
(Independent)
Member
Chief Technical
Officer
Chief Financial
Officer
Chief Projects
Officer
Chief
Commercial
Officer
Chief Projects
Development
Officer
Mr. Frank
Konings
Mr. Omar El
Hamawy
Mr. Hatem
Halwagy
Mr. Ahmed
Labib
Mr. Basil
Ramzy
Shareholders Structure
A fragmented shareholding structure with the largest shareholder owning 19%
Shareholders Structure
19%
EFG Hermes
45%
Abanumay
Olayan Group
Al Rashed & Sons
13%
ESOP
Free Float
12%
4%
7%
Retail
35%
Regional
Institutions
6%
Local
Institutions
59%
27
Increased international
and regional appetite
Less retail appetite
Introduction of ESOP in
2007
International
Institutions,
24%
Retail, 8%
14.7% share stake (out of the 24%) the Company is 94% owned by EFG-Hermes Holding Company.
ESOP, 4%
Local
Institutions,
26%
Regional
Institutions,
39%
Share Performance
Stock outperforming EGX over the past 2 years
24 Months Share Performance : SODIC Vs. EGX (Rebased) 2
Share Information1
350.00
300.00
Market Capitalization
EGP 2,200 million
250.00
Market Capitalization
USD 314 million
150.00
Symbol
EGX: OCDI.CA
Reuters: OCDI CA
Bloomberg: OCDI EY
50.00
200.00
EGX
OCDI
2-Dec-13
2-Nov-13
2-Oct-13
2-Sep-13
2-Aug-13
2-Jul-13
2-Jun-13
2-May-13
2-Apr-13
2-Mar-13
2-Feb-13
2-Jan-13
2-Dec-12
2-Nov-12
2-Oct-12
2-Sep-12
2-Aug-12
2-Jul-12
2-Jun-12
2-May-12
2-Apr-12
2-Mar-12
2-Feb-12
2-Jan-12
100.00
52 weeks High/Low
(EGP): 25.8/13.8
NBK Capital, Mar2014, FV: EGP 31.01 per share, Buy: We revise the fair value for Sodic with a 4.8% increase,
following the resolution of its dispute with Lebanese developer Solidere,
Naeem Holding, Dec2013, FV: EGP 30.76 per share, Buy: Eastown Residences a key driver, sales momentum
improving, need to bolster land bank portfolio,
HC, Oct2013, FV: EGP 25.1 per share, Neutral: Land still key for re-rating,
Index Inclusions
EGX 30
EGX 100
MSCI IMI
Beltone, Sep2013, FV: EGP 26.4 per share, Buy: Land: the missing ingredient in a perfect mix,
Pharos, Jul2013, FV: EGP 28.0 per share, Buy: Short-term share price catalyst: Political stability and a
successful launch of Eastowns upcoming phase during Sep/Oct2013.
28
Land Bank
Diversified prime locations, low-cost base, 56% utilized & 93% paid
Location
Utilized
New Cairo
Syria
Total
Land Bank
Advantages
29
1 Consists of
2
Raw
1.84 mln sqm
Description
-
(1)
Prime Locations
Regional Diversification
Null Liabilities
578,130 sqm in Sheikh Zayed & 1,260,000 sqm in KM 42 Cairo-Alex Road (El Yousr land). As at 5th of March 2014
Kattameya Plaza Project (126,000 sqm) and ET Residences Phases I-IV (230,019 sqm). As at 5th of March 2014
Forty West
Westown
Residences
Eastown
Residences
Kattameya
Plaza
The Polygon
The Strip
WT Hub
30
Description
Awards
A globally recognised developer
Award
Cityscape
Euromoney
Euromoney
Business Today
Ministry of Trade
& Authority
CNBC Property
American Society
of Landscape
Architects
31
Description
2011: Best company by BT100 rank change at the BT100 Crystal Awards
2010: Enterprise Innovation Award for registering all of its trademarks with the Internal
Trade Development Authority, an affiliate of Ministry of Trade and Industry
CNBC Arabian Property 2009: Allegria best architecture among other developments
CNBC Property 2008: Allegria best development in Egypt with a 5-star award
CNBC Property 2008: Allegria best golf course development with a 4-star award
2007: Allegria award of merit from the American Society of Landscape Architects (ASLA)
for its master plan, developed by world-renowned master planners EDAW
Disclaimer
This Presentation is intended for information purposes only and does not constitute or form part of an offer for sale or subscription or an invitation
or solicitation of an offer to subscribe for or purchase securities of any kind and neither this document nor anything contained herein shall form the
basis of any contract or commitment from any party whatsoever. Information, including but not limited to financial information, in this presentation
should not be considered as a recommendation in relation to holding, purchasing or selling shares, securities or any other instruments in or, in
entities related to, SODIC or any other company.
This Presentation contains important and privileged information on SODIC which is solely owned by SODIC and may not be relied on or used by any
person whosoever for any purpose, and therefore shall be kept secret and confidential by any receiving party.
This document includes forward-looking statements. The words "believe", "anticipate", "expect", "intend", "aim", "plan", "predict", "continue",
"assume", "positioned", "may", "will", "should", "shall", "risk" and other similar expressions that are predictions of or indicate future events and
future trends identify forward-looking statements. These forward-looking statements include all matters that are not historical facts. In particular,
the statements regarding strategy and other future events or prospects are forward-looking statements. Recipients of this document should not
place undue reliance on forward-looking statements because they involve known and unknown risks, uncertainties and other factors that are in
many cases beyond the control of the Company. By their nature, forward-looking statements & projections involve risks and uncertainties because
they relate to events and depend on circumstances that may or may not occur in the future. Forward-looking statements are not guarantees of
future performance and the Company's actual results of operations, financial condition and liquidity, and the development of the industry in which
the Company operates may differ materially from those made in or suggested by the forward-looking statements contained in this document. The
cautionary statements set forth above should be considered in connection with any subsequent written or oral forward-looking statements that the
Company, or persons acting on its behalf, may issue. Various factors could cause actual results to differ materially from those expressed or implied
by the forward-looking statements in this document including worldwide economic trends, the economic and political climate of Egypt, the Middle
East and changes in business strategy and various other factors.
All information contained in this presentation, including but not limited to information relating to the Egyptian real estate and financial markets,
are compiled from sources known to be reliable and/or publicly available data reasonably assumed to be accurate (the Source Data). The Source
Data may contain errors and/or inaccuracies; SODIC provides no warranties or guarantees of any kind, expressed or implied, and accepts no
responsibility whatsoever, with regard to the accuracy, completeness or correctness of the Source Data used in the Presentation.
This disclaimer is to be considered an integral part of the Presentation and SODICs liability in respect of this Presentation and is to be governed by
Egyptian law under the jurisdiction of Egyptian courts.
32
Thank You
Tamer Darwish
tdarwish@sodic.com
Tel: +202 3854 0121
SODIC IR website: ir.sodic.com
SODIC corporate website: www.sodic.com
Notes
34