File 0087 PDF
File 0087 PDF
File 0087 PDF
Notes: Data from World Bank. Time period includes 1970–2004. The asterisk indicates significant at the 5% level.
Number of observations are underneath correlation coefficient.
distance to neighbors and trading partners, country size, exchange rate movements,
terms of trade changes, and barriers to entry. Consequently, simply using trade volumes
to proxy for changes in trade policies may be misleading. We evaluate the relationship
between these different openness measures in Table 3. We present correlations
between statutory tariffs, trade taxes as a percentage of trade, two measures of trade
volumes, the nominal exchange rate, and the ratio of foreign investment inflows to
GDP using annual data from 1980 to 2004. For trade shares, we include both nominal
and real trade shares, where real trade shares are defined as the ratio of trade to GDP in
constant prices from the Penn World Tables (version 6.1). Table 4 repeats the same
exercise, but restricts the sample to developing countries. The correlations reported
in Tables 3 and 4 highlight the following:
• Although Table 2 indicates a big difference in magnitude between the ratio of
tariff revenues to trade and statutory tariffs, the correlation coefficient reported in
Table 3 between the two measures is actually quite high at 0.63 and statistically
significant.
• There is a significant negative correlation between trade shares and tariffs. The cor-
relation with nominal openness is !0.25. The correlation with real openness about
the same, between !0.2 and !0.3, depending on which measure of tariffs is used.