Coase Vs Coasians
Coase Vs Coasians
Coase Vs Coasians
EDWARD GLAESER
SIMON JOHNSON
ANDREI SHLEIFER
I. INTRODUCTION
At the heart of economists’ traditional skepticism about gov-
ernment regulation is the Coase theorem [Coase 1960]. The
theorem states that when property rights are well dened and
“transaction costs” are zero, market participants will organize
their transactions in ways that achieve efcient outcomes. When
they can do so, it is not necessary for the government to engage in
“corrective” actions through taxes, regulations, or even legal
rules. Financial markets are often used to demonstrate the Coase
theorem’s case against regulation. Advocates of the regulation of
these markets point to a variety of potential failures, such as the
ability of security issuers to “expropriate” both potential and exist-
ing investors through misrepresentation or prot diversion. Inves-
tors’ fear of such expropriation prevents rms from raising external
funds, and keeps efcient projects from being undertaken.
Not so, reply the Coasians. They point out that most securi-
ties transactions take place between sophisticated adults, and
that both the buyers and the issuers of securities have available
to them a vast range of private arrangements to achieve ef-
ciency, including contracts such as corporate charters, certica-
tion by intermediaries, and various forms of bonding. Such con-
tracts render most laws and regulations unnecessary [Stigler
1964; Easterbrook and Fischel 1991].
©2001 by the President and Fellows of Harvard College and the Massachusetts Institute of
Technology.
The Quarterly Journal of Economics, August 2001
853
854 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
1. The classic reference on the incentive of law enforcers is Becker and Stigler
[1974], to whose work we return below. A recent survey of public enforcement of
law by Polinsky and Shavell [2000] scarcely pays attention to the incentives of the
enforcers.
COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS 855
A. Basic Model
We consider a situation in which the government wishes to
punish particular conduct creating negative externalities, such as
nondisclosure of material information by a manager or “market
manipulation” by a broker. This task is assigned to an enforce-
ment ofcial (an adjudicator). The question we address is whether
the government wants this adjudicator to be a judge or a regula-
tor. In the case of a judge, we focus on the inquisitorial legal
system of civil law countries, where the judge must himself un-
dertake an investigation into the facts of the situation and the
law. The model we present focuses on the case where there is a
legal rule or law that restricts certain conduct. The question of
who should adjudicate, however, equally well applies to a situa-
tion in which two private parties such as an investor and a broker
contractually agree on their conduct and have a dispute on
whether this contract was followed.
Our general assumption is that the society does not have full
control over the incentives facing law enforcement ofcials. Its abil-
ity to reward them for “enforcing the law” is limited because “doing
justice” is largely unveriable. Many of the rewards that these
ofcials receive for doing justice are intangible, including self-es-
teem and the respect of one’s peers. On the other hand, the govern-
ment does have the ability to politicize the enforcement of particular
legal rules by rewarding the enforcers for certain outcomes such as
nding violations. We are interested in the conditions under which
the government would choose such politicization.
We consider an adjudicator (who can be a judge or a regula-
tor) examining a possible violation of a legal rule. For a cost c >
0, this adjudicator can undertake an investigation—which for
simplicity we call search—and nd out for sure whether a viola-
COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS 857
TABLE I
Innocent b a 1 2 p
Guilty 0 a + b p
FIGURE I
A Simple Model of Incentives for Enforcement
The adjudicator’s incentive for enforcement divides the space of parameter
values into three regions: leniency, abuse, and search.
FIGURE II
Comparative Statics: Adjudicator Professionalism (b)
The adjudicator’s incentive for enforcement divides the space of parameter
values into three regions: leniency, abuse, and search. Increasing adjudicator
professionalism (b) reduces the region of abuse.
B. An Extension
In the basic model we assume that the fraction of violators, p,
is independent of the strategy the adjudicator pursues. More
generally, we expect a behavioral response by the potential vio-
lators: fewer of them would violate the legal rule if the adjudica-
tor searches than if he is either lenient or abusive. In this sub-
section we briey consider such a behavioral response.
Suppose that there are many adjudicators, so that the deci-
sions of a particular adjudicator have no effect on the pool of
potential violators. Denote by P the fraction of actual violators in
the population in the equilibrium where all the adjudicators are
either lenient or abusive. This P must be the same in the lenient
and the abusive equilibrium, since in both cases the action of the
potential violator has no effect on his fate. Denote by Q < P the
fraction of actual violators in the population in the equilibrium
where all the adjudicators search. If breaking a rule entails costs,
the likelihood of violations falls. An adjudicator chooses between
leniency, abuse, and search taking the behavior of other adjudi-
cators, and therefore P and Q, as given. In equilibrium, the
choices of the adjudicators must be consistent with the choices of
the potential violators.
Figure III presents the structure of equilibria in this model
for different parameter values. There are now six regions. As
before, the area of high search costs and low incentives, denoted
by L, has leniency as the only equilibrium. The area of high
search costs and high incentives, denoted by A, has abuse as the
only equilibrium. The area of low search costs, denoted by S, has
search as the only equilibrium. In area X, there is a unique mixed
strategy equilibrium, in which the fraction of actual violators is
given by p* = c/(a + b), adjudicators are indifferent between
862 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
FIGURE III
Incentives for Enforcement with Behavioral Response by Potential Violators
There are six different regions of equilibria.
TABLE II
COMPARISON OF ECONOMIC REFORM POLICIES BY THE EBRD
Private sector
share of GDP 65 75 60 75 60 70
Large-scale
privatization 3+ 4 3 4 3 4
Small-scale
privatization 4+ 4+ 4* 4* 4* 4*
Governance and
restructuring 3 3 3 3 3 3
Price liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Trade and foreign
exchange system 4+ 4+ 4* 4* 4* 4*
Competition policy 3 3 3 3 3 3
Banking reform
and interest rate
liberalization 3 3 3 3 3 3
Securities market
and nonbank
nancial
institutions 3+ 3 3 3 3 3
neck and neck and very far advanced. 4 In short, both countries
were rapid and thorough reformers in their emergence from
communism, especially in comparison with other transition
economies.
There are, however, two differences which we come back to
below. First, the Czech large-scale voucher privatization was
faster and more extensive than privatization in Poland, which
over time utilized a variety of methods from direct sales to share
transfers to mutual funds. As a consequence, the number of
publicly held companies in the early 1990s was signicantly
higher in the Czech Republic than in Poland. Second, during this
period Poland grew faster but also had higher ination than the
Czech Republic. The assessments of growth rates depend on
exactly how they are calculated. The level of GDP in Poland in
1997 stood at 110 relative to 100 in 1989, whereas in the Czech
Republic it stood only at 90. Using constant 1995 dollars, how-
ever, Poland’s advantage is smaller.5 During 1992–1997 the
Czech ination averaged 13.9 percent per annum, while Polish
ination was signicantly higher at 26.5 percent.
In legal development, the two countries again appear similar.
In the universe of transition economies, both get perfect or nearly
perfect scores, although these scores have only been kept after
1995. The European Bank for Reconstruction and Development
evaluates transition economies on the extensiveness of laws
(since 1996), effectiveness of laws (since 1996), and overall legal
development (since 1995). Table III, Panel A, presents the scores
for Poland and the Czech Republic, which again are close to each
other and as high as those of any transition economy.6 The legal
systems of the two countries, however, lagged behind those of rich
market economies. Freedom House generates an index of “equal-
ity of citizens under the law and access of citizens to a non-
discriminatory judiciary.” In 1995–1996 both Poland and the
TABLE III
LEGAL ENVIRONMENT
Extensiveness
of laws 4 4 4* 4 n.a. n.a.
Effectiveness
of laws 4+ 4 3 4* n.a. n.a.
Overall 4 4 4 4 4 4
Panel B
Wall Street Journal December 1997– December 1996– December 1995– February
CEER survey January 1998 January 1997 January 1996 1995
Rule of law/legal
safeguards 9 8.7 9 8.8 9.1 9.1 n.a. n.a.
Legal framework 9.8 9.8
Scale for legal extensiveness and legal effectiveness is from 1 (no reform) to 5 (full reform).
Scale for rule for law/legal safeguards, and legal framework is from 1 to 10 (the highest/best score).
Source: European Bank for Reconstruction and Development [1997, 1996, 1995], and Central European
Economic Review, a supplement of the Wall Street Journal Europe (issues indicated in table).
7. These numbers come from Economic Freedom of the World 1997, by James
Gwartney and Robert Lawson, a publication of The Fraser Institute, a conserva-
tive think tank in Canada.
COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS 869
to Poland, Gray et al. [p. 109] write: “Many of the newly appointed
judges lack experience. . . . Developing such expertise will take
time. Lack of experience and expertise creates uncertainty in the
business population . . .” With respect to the Czech Republic,
Gray et al. [p. 59] note: “As in other Central and East European
countries, judicial institutions in the Czech Republic are ill pre-
pared to cope with the rapidly emerging challenges of the market
economy . . . Incapacity in the court system is likely to be a
constraint for some time to come.”
In summary, the economies and the economic policies of
Poland and the Czech Republic share some remarkable similari-
ties during the 1990s. The two countries emerged from socialism
with a need to massively reorganize their economies and pro-
ceeded to do so both rapidly and effectively. In many crucial
respects, they followed similar policies toward this goal, and
achieved similar results, especially compared with other, less
successful, transition economies.
8. Poland’s law dates back to the code of 1934, which was modied repeatedly
through the communist era and in the early 1990s. The Polish commercial code
has both German and French inuences [Gray et al. 1993; Pistor 1999]. Although
the Czech Republic also had a commercial code from the 1930s, its laws were
“more thoroughly abrogated” than those of Poland during communism, and it
accordingly adopted a new commercial code on January 1, 1992 [Gray et al. 1993].
The principal inuence on the Czech commercial code was German. In this and
the following sections, we examined the laws adopted in the early 1990s, which
are relevant for nancial development during the 1990s. Toward the end of the
decade, the laws have been revised in both countries, particularly in the Czech
Republic.
870 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV
COMPARISON OF LLSV DIMENSIONS
SHAREHOLDER RIGHTS FROM COMMERCIAL CODES
Panel A
LLSV LLSV
Poland Comment score Czech Comment score
One share-one vote Equals one if the company law or commercial code of
the country requires that ordinary shares carry
one vote per share, and zero otherwise.
Equivalently, this variable equals one when the
law prohibits the existence of both multiple-voting
and nonvoting ordinary shares and does not allow
setting maximum number of votes per shareholder
irrespective of the number rms of shares owned,
and zero otherwise.
Proxy by mail allowed Equals one if the company law or commercial code
allows shareholders to mail their proxy vote to the
rm, and zero otherwise.
Shares not blocked Equals one if the company law or commercial code
before meeting does not allow rms to require that shareholders
deposit their shares prior to a general
shareholders meeting, thus preventing them from
selling those shares for a number of days, and
zero otherwise.
Cumulative voting or Equals one if the company law or commercial code
proportional allows shareholders to cast all their votes for one
representation candidate standing for election to the board of
directors (cumulative voting) or if the company
law or commercial code allows a mechanism of
proportional representation in the board by which
minority interests may name a proportional
number of directors to the board, and zero
otherwise.
Oppressed minorities Equals one if the company law or commercial code
mechanism grants minority shareholders either a judicial
venue to challenge the decisions of management or
of the assembly or the right to step out of the
company by requiring the company to purchase
their shares when they object to certain
fundamental changes, such as mergers, asset
dispositions, and changes in the articles of
incorporation. The variable equals zero otherwise.
Minority shareholders are dened as those
shareholders who own 10 percent of share capital
or less.
Preemptive rights Equals one when the company law or commercial
code grants shareholders the rst opportunity to
buy new issues of stock, and this right can be
waived only by a shareholders’ vote; equals zero
otherwise.
Percentage of share The minimum percentage of ownership of share
capital to call an capital that entitles a shareholder to call for an
extraordinary extraordinary shareholders’ meeting; it ranges
shareholders’ meeting from 1 to 33 percent.
872 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE IV
(CONTINUED)
Panel B
TABLE V
REGULATION OF INTERMEDIARIES
Individual brokers
Brokerage enterprises
TABLE V
(CONTINUED)
Investment advisers
(rms engaged in advisory activity in the eld of public trading)
Sources: Poland: Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds, 1991; Czech: Securities Act 1992.
COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS 879
TABLE V
(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Stock markets
Mutual funds
Mutual funds may be
administered solely by Not mentioned in
mutual fund companies Yes Article 89.2 No Czech law
Mutual fund companies are
licensed by securities
regulator Yes Article 89 Yes Section 8
Mutual fund company can
be dissolved by securities
regulator Yes Article 98 Yes Section 37
Mutual fund companies
must be joint stock
companies Yes Article 90.1 No Section 2
Only registered shares are
allowed in mutual fund
companies (no bearer Not mentioned in
shares) Yes Article 92.2 No Czech law
Closed-end funds are
allowed No Article 104 Yes
Founder limited to 10% of Not mentioned in
share capital Yes Article 93(1) No Czech law
Founder not allowed to be Not mentioned in
on Management Board Yes Article 93(1) No Czech law
Publicly traded securities
or government
obligations Yes Article 107 No Section 17
880 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE V
(CONTINUED)
Poland Czech
Source: Polish Act of Trading in Securities and Trust Funds, 1991; Czech Investment Companies and
Investment Funds Act April 1992 and Stock Exchange Act 1992.
Introduction of securities into public trading requires Yes Article 49 No Not mentioned in Czech law
permission of the securities regulator
Introduction of securities into public trading requires Yes Article 50.2 No Not mentioned in Czech law
a prospectus
False statement in prospectus is forbidden Yes Article 118 Yes Section 79
Monthly reporting of nancial information Yes Reg. of Sec. Comm. and Stock No Not mentioned in Czech law
Exchange
Quarterly reporting of nancial information Yes Reg. of Sec. Comm. and Stock No Not mentioned in Czech law
Exchange
Semiannual reporting of nancial information Yes Reg. of Sec. Comm. and Stock No Not mentioned in Czech law
Exchange
Annual reporting of nancial information Yes Reg. of Sec. Comm. and Stock Yes Section 80
Exchange
Obligation to publish all material information Yes Reg. of Sec. Comm. and Stock No Section 80 just signicant
Exchange adverse developments
VI. OUTCOMES
A. Qualitative Assessments
Stable prices, rapid privatization, and openness to the West
combined to generate favorable initial assessments of the Czech
economic reforms. By 1996, however, there was mounting evi-
dence of systematic expropriation of minority shareholders by
Investment Privatization Funds and company insiders colluding
with them. Coffee [1996], who rst presented his paper in 1994,
drew attention to such expropriation—which came to be known
as tunneling. In a typical scheme, the managers of an IPF holding
a large stake in a privatized company would agree with the
managers of this company to create a new (possibly off-shore)
entity, which they would jointly control. The IPF might then sell
its shares in the company to this entity at below market price,
thereby expropriating the shareholders of the IPF. The company
could also sell some of its assets or its output to the new entity,
again at below fair value, thereby expropriating its own minority
shareholders. These arrangements between corporate managers
and their large shareholders (IPFs) enriched them at the expense
of minority investors in both the rms and the IPFs (see Coffee
[1996, 1998] for a discussion of tunneling in the Czech Republic).
The laxity of the securities law accommodated tunneling.
First, since transactions did not need to take place on an ex-
change, large blocks of shares could change hands off the ex-
change at less than the prevailing market price. Even on an
886 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
dards. As of this writing, the Prague Stock Exchange still had not
been admitted even as an associate member.
Financial scandals in Poland were typically less egregious
than those in the Czech Republic, and often invited an aggressive
regulatory response. The best known Polish scandal involves a
failure of a large conglomerate, Elektrim, to reveal in a prospec-
tus an existing agreement to sell some shares in a valuable
subsidiary to a third party at below market price (allegedly as a
payment for services). When the agreement came to light, Elek-
trim’s shareholders complained, and the Securities Commission
quickly referred the case to a public prosecutor. The top manager
of Elektrim was forced to step down. The Elektrim case illus-
trates the crucial interaction between the corporate and securi-
ties law in the enforcement of investor rights. The failure by the
company to disclose possibly material information in a prospectus
was the source of the Commission’s investigation under the se-
curities law. This failed disclosure also brought about an effort by
the outside shareholders to change the board of directors using
the commercial code, which ultimately brought down the top
manager. This interplay between the securities law and the com-
pany law appears in other countries as well: the securities law
forces disclosure, which in turn invites shareholder activism us-
ing the provisions of company law.
The Polish regulator has also been aggressive in its admin-
istrative oversight of the intermediaries. In 1994 Bank Slaski,
one of the largest Polish banks which owned the largest broker at
the time, was privatized. In response to the evidence that the
brokerage arm of the bank favored the insiders in allocating
shares in this privatization, the regulators took away its broker-
age license. This was done against opposition from the Ministry of
Finance.
The available evidence shows that the Polish regulators re-
lied on the actual legal rules to protect investors; it was not just
their ideology that made a difference. In the cases we examined,
they relied on specic rules to promote disclosure that did not
exist in the Czech law, consistent with the view that reductions in
c matter. The Polish regulator was also evidently motivated to
police the market aggressively, consistent with the view that a
level of a above that of the judges may be benecial. Importantly
(and in line with the model), the Polish regulator also had the
power, and not just the motivation, to punish the violations of
rules.
888 QUARTERLY JOURNAL OF ECONOMICS
TABLE VII
STOCK MARKET SIZE IN POLAND AND THE CZECH REPUBLIC
Market Market
captialization Cap./GDP Number of issues listed
Czech Czech
Poland Republic Poland Republic Poland Czech Republic
Sources: Polish numbers are from the International Finance Corporation 1998 and 1999 and include
National Investment Funds; Czech numbers are from the Prague Stock Exchange webpage and the Inter-
national Finance Corporation 1997 and 1999.
B. Quantitative Assessments
Table VII presents basic indicators of stock market develop-
ment in Poland and the Czech Republic. In terms of capitaliza-
tion, the Czech market in 1994 was twice as large as the Polish
market, thanks to the more than 1500 rms listed on the Prague
stock exchange as a result of privatization. As a share of GDP, the
Czech market in 1994 was ve times larger than the Polish
market. By 1998, the valuation of the Polish market increased
almost sevenfold. The valuation of the Czech market increased
until 1996, but then fell, and the market ended up at roughly
double its 1994 value. Over this period the Polish market rose to
14.1 percent of GDP, although the Czech market capitalization
remained a larger share of GDP, at 24.2 percent.
Table VII also presents the number of listed companies in
Poland and the Czech Republic. It separates the Czech companies
into those trading on the main market (most liquid), those trad-
ing on the secondary market (with more limited disclosure and
occasional trading), and those listed on the free market (with
hardly any disclosure and infrequent trading). The listed Polish
companies are separated into those trading on the main market
and those trading on the parallel (again, less liquid) market. The
COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS 889
FIGURE IV
Number of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the Czech Republic
FIGURE V
Market Capitalization of Stocks in IFC Investable Index in Poland and the
Czech Republic
TABLE VIII
INITIAL PUBLIC OFFERINGS (FOR CASH)
1991 0 0 9 —
1992 0 0 5 2
1993 0 0 4 2
1994 0 0 8 14
1995 0 0 6 15
1996 0 0 3 15
1997 0 0 10 36
1998 0 0 5 52
Total 0 0 50 136
Figures do not include the National Investment Funds that were listed on the Warsaw Stock Exchange,
or public issues for vouchers in the Czech Republic.
Source: Polish data are from the Warsaw Stock Exchange; Czech data are from Pioneer investment fund.
COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS 891
TABLE IX
NEW LISTINGS AND EQUITY CAPITAL RAISED
NEW EQUITY C APITAL RAISED BY DOMESTIC COMPANIES MILLIONS OF U. S. DOLLARS
Czech Czech
Republic Poland Republic Poland
VII. DISCUSSION
The quantitative and the qualitative evidence both point to
signicant problems in the Czech nancial system. Still, we only
have one comparison, and our analysis of even this case is subject
to alternative interpretations. Here we discuss some of these
interpretations.
To begin, our assessment of the Czech situation may be unduly
harsh. Overall, the Czech economy performed well during the 1990s
as the transition indicators show. Did the Czech rms simply avoid
the stock market and raise capital elsewhere?
Although we have no data showing that the lack of equity
nance has undermined investment by Czech rms, there is no
evidence of effective substitute sources of external nance. The
Czech banks have lent predominantly to the largest rms, and
have themselves been subject to governance problems and tun-
neling, as evidenced by their huge nonperforming loans. If any-
thing, the banking problems exacerbated rather than cured the
lack of equity nance. The venture capital industry is also more
developed in Poland than in the Czech Republic.
Industrial production grew faster in Poland than in the
Czech Republic. Between 1991 and 1998 the index of industrial
production fell from 113.3 to 109.7 in the Czech Republic, and
rose from 73.6 to 127.4 in Poland. Much of that growth in Poland
came from new rms, often relying on external equity nance.
More generally, the available evidence from other countries sug-
gests that stock market development is associated with faster
COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS 893
Czech. On the other hand, Hungary, like Poland and unlike the
Czech Republic, had relatively strict regulation of custodian
banks. With respect to the issuers of securities, Hungary, like
Poland, required permission of the regulator to bring a new issue
to the market, as well as a prospectus. It only required annual
reporting of nancial information and no disclosure of ownership,
however. In sum, Hungary regulated securities markets far more
thoroughly than the Czech Republic, but not as pervasively in
some important dimensions as Poland. Consistent with this as-
sessment of the legal rules, the Budapest Stock Exchange was
admitted only to associate membership of the International Fed-
eration of Stock Exchanges—not as good as the full membership
granted to the Warsaw Exchange, but better than the outright
exclusion of the Prague Stock Exchange.
What about the development of the stock market? Hungary
actually exceeded both Poland and the Czech Republic in the ratio
of market capitalization to GDP, which stood at 29.2 percent
in 1998. This ratio, however, reected foreign control and high
valuation of the largest rms, including the phone company con-
trolled by Ameritech and Deutsche Telekom which accounted for
half of the aggregate stock market value. At the end of 1998,
Hungary had only 55 listed companies, fewer than either of the
other two countries. Of the 59 rms that had listed on the Hun-
garian market by 1998 (four subsequently delisted), 54 did so as
part of privatization and did not raise any funds. Only ve were
new private rms, and three of them were foreign-controlled. This
compares favorably with the Czech Republic, but falls far short of
the Polish success. The Hungarian companies raised about $80
million between 1997 and 1998 in the equity market, compared
with over $2 billion raised by the Polish rms.
Although Hungary differs from Poland and the Czech Repub-
lic in some potentially important respects, this evidence is con-
sistent with our approach. Hungary’s stricter regulation of mar-
kets than that in the Czech Republic (as well as signicant
foreign control) paid off in a higher market valuation, as well as
some equity market access for new rms, but it had not experi-
enced the huge success with securities markets seen in Poland.
IX. CONCLUSION
Our analysis leads to three conclusions. First, the evidence
corroborates recent research arguing that nancial markets are
COASE VERSUS THE COASIANS 897
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