Bulletin 120 SL Article1
Bulletin 120 SL Article1
Bulletin 120 SL Article1
regime, rulings are largely confined to types of The UK should not take this non-paper as
financial activity that are deemed to pose low evidence that the EU will concede to British
systemic and consumer risk. demands on mutual recognition in financial
services post-Brexit. These unpublished proposals
Some in the UK, including the prime minister, were a product of a post-financial crisis era in
have pointed to the Transatlantic Trade and which regulators were under pressure to increase
Investment Partnership (TTIP), the stalled EU- international co-operation; even so, they are
US FTA negotiations, as an example of past EU vague about the extent of mutual recognition
willingness to include financial services in a trade that the EU would consider. While the non-paper
agreement. It is true that financial services were suggests EU sentiment could one day shift
to be covered in TTIP, just as they are in all EU back towards being more favourable to mutual
trade agreements. They will inevitably be in any recognition, it should not be taken as indicative of
future EU-UK free trade agreement, too. But the where the EU is now in the Brexit negotiations, or
financial services provisions contained in EU FTAs will be any time soon.
do little more than reaffirm the EU’s market access
commitments and reservations as already laid out Behind closed doors, member-state
in its WTO General Agreement on Trade in Services representatives say that comprehensive mutual
schedules, which do not amount to much. recognition is not something an FTA can allow
in and of itself. It would also require the EU to
The one area where Michel Barnier has indicated change many of its laws, which provide certain
the EU is prepared to up its offer is with regard to rights only to financial institutions incorporated
the right of establishment. This will further reduce within the territories of member-states of the
the already low barriers facing UK-based services EU and the European Economic Area. In itself,
providers wishing to set up within a member- this would not be an impossible hurdle to clear,
state in order to service the EU. It will also lock in but it would require the will to offer mutual
existing rights of establishment, guarding against recognition in the first place, which is currently
future rollback. But this will not give the City absent on the continent.
access from London and firms will still need to
establish subsidiaries in the EU. The EU is amenable to suggestions as to how to
improve and expand the scope of its equivalence
TTIP could have potentially gone further on regime. Instead of pushing for the pipe dream
regulatory co-operation in financial services. of mutual recognition, the UK and the City
Officially, the EU proposed a continuing should engage more readily with the current
regulatory dialogue that would have ensured discussions on this issue, including clearer
consultation between the EU and US prior guidelines concerning the withdrawal of an
to new financial regulations; a co-ordinated equivalence ruling and a longer notice period of
approach to the implementation of international withdrawal. The UK should also make the case
standards; a joint review of existing rules to for including an ongoing, structured regulatory
try and identify unnecessary barriers to trade; dialogue on financial services in the future EU-UK
and an ongoing commitment to scope out partnership, leaving open the possibility that
potential future equivalence rulings. The UK new opportunities for improved market access
could realistically aspire to something similar, but may emerge.
these arrangements should not be confused with
comprehensive mutual recognition. Beyond the specifics of the future relationship, in
the short-to-medium-term a degree of honesty
There is, however, slightly more to the story. and humility is warranted. The EU line on financial
Although they have never been published, the EU services is not going to crack, and the member-
did table some informal proposals on regulatory states do not believe they need the City as much
co-operation in financial services during the fifth as the City believes they should. If the UK is
round of the TTIP negotiations, which offered unwilling to change its Brexit negotiating red
more detail. In its non-paper the EU proposed lines, and in particular its plan to leave the single
a process that could eventually lead to ‘mutual market, the only way for a UK-based financial
reliance’ of regulations and future rules, although institution to guarantee its continued ability to
mutual reliance was not fully defined. This does service EU-27 customers post-Brexit is to establish
suggest that the EU was, at one point at least, itself within the EU-27. And the EU is rolling out
considering something in the context of an the red carpet.
FTA that appears similar to mutual recognition.
However, other sections of the non-paper
muddy the water, such as a section clarifying
that any party may rescind equivalence decisions Sam Lowe
unilaterally, but should consult beforehand. Research fellow, CER @SamuelMarcLowe