FOR IMMEDIATE RELEASE

Contact:
Kevin Hill
hill@dubymcdowell.com
860.869.7239

MALLOY, FOLEY TOO CLOSE TO CALL

Connecticut voters still undecided on their next governor

HARTFORD, CT (October 5, 2010) - Democratic gubernatorial candidate Dan Malloy has 47.5 percent to Republican Tom Foley’s
44.9 percent according to the CT Capitol Report poll released today. The two candidates will participate in a live, televised debate
tonight.
The poll, commissioned by CT Capitol Report and conducted by the Merriman River Group, surveyed 1,582 likely voters on
October 3, 2010 with a margin of error of +/- 2.5 percentage points. 7.6 percent of those surveyed are still unsure of who they will
support in the race.
“With a month to go, the race for governor remains very competitive though it has been overshadowed by Connecticut’s U.S.
Senate race,” says the poll’s Executive Director, Matthew Fitch. “The polling suggests that the spotlight on the Senate race has
created some challenges for Democrat Dan Malloy. Republican candidates Tom Foley and Linda McMahon enjoy virtually identical
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levels of support at 44.9 and 44.7, respectively. Malloy leads the governor’s race by 2.6 points but lags nearly 5 points behind fellow
Democrat Richard Blumenthal. This can be attributed to Malloy engaging in his first statewide general election while this is
Blumenthal's sixth statewide campaign.”
As the only publicly financed candidate of the four, Malloy faces a financial disadvantage compared to Republican Foley.
"While Malloy has a much tighter race than Blumenthal, he starts with a slight lead and there are indications that the undecided voters
are likely to view him favorably as he increases in name recognition," remarked Fitch.
Fitch noted that among undecided voters, President Obama is viewed favorably by a 48-33 margin, and these same undecided
voters favor Blumenthal by a similar 47-32 margin. "If Malloy can compete financially, and that's a big if, it appears that the lion’s
share of the undecided voters are his for the taking."
A poll on each of Connecticut’s five congressional districts will be released later this week.

About CTCapitolReport.com
CT Capitol Report is published and edited by veteran political professional Tom Dudchik. Since its launch in 2009 its readership has
grown exponentially and it is widely considered the most comprehensive website for Connecticut political news.

About Merriman River Group

With offices in Hamden, CT and Los Angeles, CA, Merriman River Group is a full service consulting organization specializing in
election supervision and administration, public opinion research, and communication services. In 2010, Merriman River Group
launched their NexGen IVR polling system, which offers professional grade polling and analysis with reduced costs and faster
completion time. NexGen IVR has been used in public and private polling from New England to Hawaii this year, with accuracy far
exceeding traditional polling methods. For more information on Merriman River Group, please visit www.merrimanriver.com.

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Frequency Percent

Valid Governor:Foley 710 44.9

Governor:Malloy 752 47.5

Governor:Unsure 120 7.6

Total 1582 100.00%

f4 * f10 Crosstabulation

f10

Gender:female Gender:male Gender:missing Total

f4 Governor:Foley Count 386 310 14 710

% within f10 41.3% 49.6% 63.6% 44.9%

Governor:Malloy Count 464 283 5 752

% within f10 49.6% 45.3% 22.7% 47.5%

Governor:Unsure Count 85 32 3 120

% within f10 9.1% 5.1% 13.6% 7.6%

Total Count 935 625 22 1582

% within f10 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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f4 * f16 Crosstabulation

f16

3.
1. 2. Party:Independe 99. Party:Not
Party:Democrat Party:Republican nt Reported Party:Unsure Total

f4 Governor:Foley Count 77 325 252 50 6 710

% within f16 13.2% 81.3% 52.0% 55.6% 25.0% 44.9%

Governor:Malloy Count 481 53 182 28 8 752

% within f16 82.5% 13.3% 37.5% 31.1% 33.3% 47.5%

Governor:Unsure Count 25 22 51 12 10 120

% within f16 4.3% 5.5% 10.5% 13.3% 41.7% 7.6%

Total Count 583 400 485 90 24 1582

% within f16 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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f4 * f15 Crosstabulation

f15

9. 99. TeaParty:Not
1. TeaParty:Yes 2. TeaParty:No TeaParty:Unsure Reported Total

f4 Governor:Foley Count 209 373 81 47 710

% within f15 83.3% 33.7% 58.7% 54.7% 44.9%

Governor:Malloy Count 36 658 31 27 752

% within f15 14.3% 59.4% 22.5% 31.4% 47.5%

Governor:Unsure Count 6 76 26 12 120

% within f15 2.4% 6.9% 18.8% 14.0% 7.6%

Total Count 251 1107 138 86 1582

% within f15 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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f9 * f4 Crosstabulation

f4

Governor:Foley Governor:Malloy Governor:Unsure Total

f9 1. Obama:Approve strongly Count 35 416 30 481

% within f4 4.9% 55.3% 25.0% 30.4%

2. Obama:Approve Count 55 207 27 289

somewhat
% within f4 7.7% 27.5% 22.5% 18.3%

3. Obama:Disapprove Count 106 62 15 183

somewhat
% within f4 14.9% 8.2% 12.5% 11.6%

4. Obama:Disapprove Count 506 59 25 590

strongly
% within f4 71.3% 7.8% 20.8% 37.3%

9. Obama:Unsure Count 8 8 23 39

% within f4 1.1% 1.1% 19.2% 2.5%

Total Count 710 752 120 1582

% within f4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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VAR00001 * f4 Crosstabulation

f4

Governor:Foley Governor:Malloy Governor:Unsure Total

VAR00001 Obama:Approve Count 90 623 57 770

% within f4 12.7% 82.8% 47.5% 48.7%

Obama:Disapprove Count 612 121 40 773

% within f4 86.2% 16.1% 33.3% 48.9%

Obama:Unsure Count 8 8 23 39

% within f4 1.1% 1.1% 19.2% 2.5%

Total Count 710 752 120 1582

% within f4 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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f4 * f9 Crosstabulation

f9

1. 2. 3. 4.
Obama:Approve Obama:Approve Obama:Disappro Obama:Disappro 9.
strongly somewhat ve somewhat ve strongly Obama:Unsure Total

f4 Governor:Foley Count 35 55 106 506 8 710

% within f9 7.3% 19.0% 57.9% 85.8% 20.5% 44.9%

Governor:Malloy Count 416 207 62 59 8 752

% within f9 86.5% 71.6% 33.9% 10.0% 20.5% 47.5%

Governor:Unsure Count 30 27 15 25 23 120

% within f9 6.2% 9.3% 8.2% 4.2% 59.0% 7.6%

Total Count 481 289 183 590 39 1582

% within f9 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%

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f4 * VAR00001 Crosstabulation

VAR00001

Obama:Disapprov
Obama:Approve e Obama:Unsure Total

f4 Governor:Foley Count 90 612 8 710

% within VAR00001 11.7% 79.2% 20.5% 44.9%

Governor:Malloy Count 623 121 8 752

% within VAR00001 80.9% 15.7% 20.5% 47.5%

Governor:Unsure Count 57 40 23 120

% within VAR00001 7.4% 5.2% 59.0% 7.6%

Total Count 770 773 39 1582

% within VAR00001 100.0% 100.0% 100.0% 100.0%