N Mean (x) yn Sn std. Deviation σ: Year Maximum flood discharge (m3/sec)
N Mean (x) yn Sn std. Deviation σ: Year Maximum flood discharge (m3/sec)
N Mean (x) yn Sn std. Deviation σ: Year Maximum flood discharge (m3/sec)
1951 2497 N 27 1. Find the number of observations N years for given data.
1952 3521 Mean(x) 4246.48 2. Find the mean x and standard deviation σ of the discharge set of data
1953 2399 yn 0.5332 available.
3. Find out reduce mean yn and reduced standard deviation Sn using table.
1954 4124 Sn 1.1004 4. Find reduced variate yt for given T using equation
1955 3496 std. Deviation σ 1450.98 5. Find frequency factor K using equation
1956 2947 6. Determine the required xT using equation
1957 5060 7. Extreme value probability coeifficient KT
1958 4903
1959 3757 Normal Distribution Extreme Distribution
1960 4798
1961 4290 T yT K XT (m3/sec) T-1 T KT XT (m3/sec)
1962 4652 5 1.4999 0.879 5521.221 5290.62680485 5 4 0.720 5290.627
1963 5050 10 2.2504 1.560 6510.731 6139.60421337 10 9 1.305 6139.604
1964 6900 50 3.9019 3.061 8688.485 8008.06858356 50 49 2.592 8008.069
1965 4366 100 4.6001 3.696 9609.143 8797.97183907 100 99 3.137 8797.972
1966 3380 150 5.0073 4.066 10146.000 9258.58349565 150 149 3.454 9258.583
1967 7826
25000.000
1968 3320
1969 6599
20000.000
1970 3700
1971 4175
15000.000
1972 2988
1973 2709
10000.000
1974 3873
1975 4593
5000.000
1976 6761
1977 1971
0.000
5 10 50 100 150
Norma l Extreme
Norma l Extreme
1951 to 1977 is given below. Estimate the flood discharge with recurrence interval of
yt=-ln(ln x (T/T-1))
K=(yT-yn)/(Sn)
xT=(x+Kσ)
KT={( -√6/Π)X(0.577+ln(ln(T/T-1)))}
150