ISSUES in International Relations
ISSUES in International Relations
ISSUES in International Relations
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© 2000 Selection and editorial matter Trevor C.Salmon; individual chapters © the
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A catalogue record for this book is available from the British Library
Library of Congress Cataloging in Publication Data
Issues in international relations/edited by Trevor C.Salmon.
p. cm.
Includes bibliographical references and index.
1. International relations. I. Salmon, Trevor C.
JZ1242.I84 1999
327–dc21 99–40996
CIP
Index 286
Boxes
International Relations is an exciting subject. It deals with issues of life and death,
affecting the future of the planet, and affecting the everyday lives of individuals. Very
often this excitement and the basic questions that International Relations (IR) as an
academic discipline are concerned with are lost sight of in esoteric language, and, on
occasion, a concern with form over substance.
This book attempts to rectify this and to provide the basic building blocks that those
new to the discipline need both to understand the basic issues and concepts and to have
the confidence to go further in the discipline. It is hopefully written in a style that is easy
to read, assumes no previous knowledge and is fully self-contained in language and
explanation.
It is aimed to provide the reader with a basis upon which to build and delve deeper. It
is the beginning of a journey.
Trevor C.Salmon
University of Aberdeen
1
States and sovereignty
Alan James
International relations? Now what sort of relations are they? My aunt and her family who
emigrated to Australia back in the 1950s? Indisputably they are my relations; and no less
indisputably they live, from a non-Australian perspective, abroad. But their tale is hardly
one which someone picking up this book expects to read. What, therefore, about the
fortunes, on the international football field, of Wales or Scotland? It is fervently hoped
(by the Welsh author of this chapter) that no one will deny nationhood to the entities in
question; and manifestly they engage, from time to time, in footballing contests (or
relations) with other nations. But again, it would be surprising if this book were opened
with the thought that it provides some kind of commentary on the World Cup. Could it
be, then, that it will be turned to for information about such bodies—which may or may
not, but could, exist—as the International Association of Train-Spotters, or the World
Scout Jamboree? Unlikely, I imagine.
The previous paragraph is designed to draw attention to three fundamental points about
international relations (sometimes capitalised, usually when reference is being made to
the university subject of that name; sometimes not, usually when reference is being made
to actual international relations):
1 That, like many terms and phrases used in politics (such as ‘freedom’ or ‘constitutional
democracy’), ‘international relations’ does not, as a matter of fact, have a single,
settled meaning, so that it can be correctly used in only one way. Nor, as a matter of
opinion, should it have. It would be enormously difficult, and gratuitously
controversial, to secure the kind of legislation which that form of semantic correctness
would entail. The consequence of this linguistic flexibility is that it is often essential,
for effective communication, to define one’s terms or, where there are two (or more)
established usages, to identify the particular one which is being employed. This leads
to the second point:
2 That in this book (so the writer supposes), and certainly in the chapter which he has
written, international relations is used in the fairly common sense of inter-state
relations (such as those between the United States and Russia, or Britain and France).
It is also assumed that the subject, International Relations, includes not just direct
inter-state relations but the (non-state) factors and elements which influence them.
Such international relations are an aspect of the real world. Things are actually going
on, ‘out there’, between states. Accordingly, the object of studying them is to learn
about this aspect of reality, to understand the inter-state dimension of our political
Issues in international relations 2
environment.
These remarks call for some elaboration, in the shape of the third point:
3 That, while international relations are indeed real, their reality is not the sort which can
readily be seen. Now, if you think about it, you will realise that this is true of all human
relations. You can see two individuals, but their mere physical propinquity does not tell
you anything conclusive about how they really get on. There may be some additional
evidence from which you may make a deduction, such as that the entwining of arms is
indicative of a loving relationship, or the exchange of harsh words a sign of hostility.
But such evidence may be quite insufficient as a basis for a sound conclusion: a quarrel
has to be placed against the wider context of the relationship; an apparently warm
gesture may represent nothing more than convention, or may even have been made
mainly for the benefit of the neighbours. To understand relationships, one has to use
not just, or not even, the physical eye; instead, it is the eye of the mind which must be
brought to bear.
• no settled meaning
• usually inter-state relations and the factors affecting them
• analysis of the international aspect of human society
Any set of answers to this question must include a personal element. So let the writer
declare immediately that he has, over almost half a century of study, found International
Relations of abiding interest. Naturally, the subject is not everyone’s cup of tea. And a
good thing, too. Here, as in a related area, there is something called overkill! But for those
of a certain mindset and disposition, the study of inter-state relations undoubtedly holds
great fascination. The fact that you, the presumably beginning student, have embarked
upon it is a most encouraging sign, for it is hardly ever the case that one is obliged to
study the subject as a sort of side dish to something else. It is a subject chosen purely out
of interest. There is no better reason for studying anything. Unless, therefore, you
discover that you have made a mistake (even the best people make them occasionally), or
you have the unusual misfortune of finding your particular course or teachers
uncongenial, you have an exciting time ahead of you. Unexpected international vistas and
teasing conundrums will be opened up for your inspection and enquiry. Good luck!
States and sovereignty 3
Additionally, there are three relatively objective reasons for studying international
relations (or international politics as they are called in some quarters):
1 Like Mount Everest, they are there. Politically speaking, the world is divided into
sovereign states which interact with each other intensely and on a huge variety of
matters. It is a type of arrangement which, arguably (there is some controversy about
its starting point), has been in continuous existence for half a millennium. Today,
moreover, the attachment to sovereign statehood as an organising political device is at
least as intense as ever. It is a natural consequence that some people want to know
more about this phenomenon.
2 By almost any standard the relations of states are important. The economic well-being
of a state’s people can substantially or even primarily depend on how their state gets
on in its relations with other states. So, sometimes, can their physical safety—and, of
course, the technological developments of the twentieth century have made it possible
for some states to do catastrophic harm to others. Thus, the subject matter of
International Relations resolves itself into issues which have a significant and maybe a
crucial bearing on people’s lives. It is not going too far to say that the student of
International Relations often focuses on matters which are of huge importance for the
entire population of the earth.
3 It is possible to study International Relations in an intellectually disciplined way. When
a class of human things is the object of study, such as families or political parties
(rather than specific things, such as a historical episode or a work of literature), it is
because the constituents of the class have important elements in common that students
can get to grips with. (Such subjects, in universities, are described as social sciences.)
The commonality of the class permits generalisations about them. So it is with states.
There are not many sovereign states in the world—190 or so—and in some respects they
differ enormously. But they all exist, and co-exist, in the same political environment—
which most notably is marked by the absence of government. Hence, in one vitally
important respect, all states share the same predicament: they find themselves in an often
unfriendly world, in which they must chiefly rely on their own efforts to survive and
prosper. Consequently, students can generalise about this form of human encounter, and
use such knowledge to illuminate individual sets of relations. Furthermore, the focus of
study can vary considerably. It can, for example, concentrate on a specific geographical
level of relations (global, regional or bilateral), one or more of the multilateral fora in
which they take place (organisations such as the United Nations or the North Atlantic
Issues in international relations 4
Treaty Organisation), or the factors which permit any sort of relations at all (international
law and diplomacy).
Basic to all such enquiries, however, are the constituent units of international relations.
It is to them that attention must now be turned.
STATES
A state is therefore made up of territory, people and a government. This is often as far as
the matter is taken, and for some purposes it is sufficient. But it is insufficient if one
States and sovereignty 5
wishes to discover what it is which enables some states to play a full and active role in
international relations. For there are many states (i.e. governed territorial entities) which
do not participate in international relations, not just because they do not wish to do so
but—more importantly—because they lack the relevant capacity.
territory+people+government+sovereignty
For example, the territory of Gibraltar, while only a couple of square miles in extent, has
a population which is somewhat greater than one or two states which participate in
international relations, and is more prosperous than a number of others. It undoubtedly
satisfies the characteristics of statehood which have been mentioned above, yet it has no
international part. But, you may say, it is not usually called a state. True—which is why I
called it a territory. However, that is inconsequential, there being several terms which are
used to refer to governed territorial entities—‘province’, for example, is another. Let us,
though, look at a federal state, such as the United States, where the constituent members
of the federation do happen to be called states. (In this case there are no less than fifty of
them.) Each of these states making up the United States has a defined territory, people,
and a government (each government being subdivided into an executive, a legislature and
a judiciary). Moreover, a number of them have bigger populations and most of them are a
lot wealthier than many of the states which appear, as a matter of course, on the
international stage. Yet (like Gibraltar) none of the states making up the United States is a
regular participant in international relations.
The reason for this is to be found in one of the most important distinctions—arguably
the most important—which can be drawn between states. It is the distinction between
states which have an international capacity and those which do not. Gibraltar and similar
territories, and the constituent members of federations (which may be called states,
provinces or something else), fall in the latter category. They lack what is required for
participation in international relations. On the other hand, getting on for 200 states do
enjoy this capacity—and hence are the ones which attract the attention of the student of
International Relations. They possess, in relation to Gibraltar and the states of the United
States, an extra characteristic, an extra qualification.
What is this extra qualification? For better or ill, the states concerned call it
sovereignty.
TYPES OF SOVEREIGNTY
Immediately, we run into a problem. The term sovereignty is used, and has for a long
time been used, in a multiplicity of ways and for a multiplicity of purposes. It has, for
example, emotive connotations, which results in it being employed in political rhetoric.
Thus, if a politician does not like a particular policy, the policy may well be condemned
Issues in international relations 6
as threatening the sovereignty of the state concerned. On the other hand, those who
favour the policy may represent it as an instance of the wise and far-seeing exercise of
sovereignty. Then, too, complications arise because sovereignty is used both in the
context of a state’s internal affairs and in respect of its international situation. Internally,
for example, a question is often asked about who really is sovereign. Is it the government,
the parliament or the people? Or could it be the press or the wealthy or what has come to
be called the establishment? Internationally, the sort of question which may be (and
frequently is) asked is whether any state short of a superpower is really sovereign.
Here, therefore, is a splendid illustration of the importance of defining one’s terms, and
of underlining the distinctions between the various ways in which a term is used. In the
rest of this chapter, it must be emphasised, the focus is on the use of the term sovereignty
to describe aspects of statehood which directly bear upon or are related to the
international position of the state. Within that sphere, note must be taken of the three
main—and very different—ways in which the term sovereignty is used: to mean (a)
jurisdictional independence, (b) political independence and (c) constitutional
independence.
JURISDICTIONAL INDEPENDENCE
Every territorial authority has certain matters under its jurisdiction, on which it is
therefore entitled to make rules. This is as true of a university and a borough or county
council as it is of a state. But there is a big difference between the two types of authority.
There are tight legal limits on what a university or a local council can do, and those
entitlements can at any time be altered by the legislative body which has granted them. A
sovereign state, on the other hand, appears to have a free hand with regard to its internal
law-making (as well as to the development of its legal relations with other states).
Seemingly, it can, in principle, do what it likes, for it is not subject to any superior
authority. It can tell other states and international bodies to keep their noses out of its
affairs. This is the condition which is frequently regarded as justifying the use of the term
‘sovereignty’ to describe the regular territorial actors on the international stage. The
usage is meant to reflect the fact that they enjoy jurisdictional independence. Within its
boundaries, each such state is, in jurisdictional terms, judged to be supreme.
In practice, however, it has never been the case that a sovereign state, by virtue of its
sovereignty, has a wholly free jurisdictional hand within its frontiers. States have always
recognised that they are legally obliged to exempt foreign diplomats from the exercise of
States and sovereignty 7
their jurisdiction; and have frequently accepted international legal obligations whereby
foreign traders or foreign states have been granted certain privileges or opportunities in
their domestic markets. Furthermore, in the latter part of the twentieth century relatively
large legal inroads have been made into other aspects of what were hitherto the private
jurisdictions of states. To this sort of extent, therefore, the sovereignty (meaning
jurisdictional independence) of any particular state is not total.
These instances exemplify the two main ways in which international law is made: by
the development of customary rules and through the making of treaties. States,
collectively, are in control of the former, and each state is in individual control of its own
treaty obligations. This is why, notwithstanding the fact that their independence in this
respect is less than complete, it carries both semantic and empirical conviction to say that
states are (jurisdictionally) sovereign. They can determine, directly or indirectly, the
limitations which are placed on the exercise of their domestic jurisdiction—whereas you
and I are subject to the law-making activity of the groups to which we belong, not least of
the state itself. Limited-membership legislative bodies, such as parliament, can and do
say what rules are to apply to us. We have to lump it—or get out of the organisation in
question by resigning or emigrating. States in international relations, by contrast, make
their own rules. Most of these rules relate to what a state does beyond the area of its
jurisdiction—in the external sphere. But, as has been noted, some international rules
place limits on the exercise within a state’s borders of its jurisdiction. At the end of the
twentieth century these internal limitations are more extensive than a generation or so
ago. And some groups of states, notably those making up the European Union, have
accepted far-reaching limitations on their jurisdictional independence.
It follows that this concept of sovereignty is not an absolute one. It is not something
which a state has, immutably, or has not at all. Rather, sovereignty in the jurisdictional
sense is relative in nature, a matter of degree. It is like a bundle of separate rights. The
bundle remains in existence in spite of the fact that it gets smaller through the
renunciation of some of the individual items of which it is composed. (It also remains in
existence even if the state concerned is in some political disarray.) Thus the states which
participate in international relations may be said in some measure or another to be
sovereign, in the sense of enjoying jurisdictional rights over those areas of their internal
affairs which have not been made subject to the obligations of international law. Even in
the case of the states of the European Union, those areas are both considerable and
important; in the case of other states, they continue to be vast. Thus the sovereignty (in
the jurisdictional sense) of every (sovereign) state in the world is a very meaningful
condition.
POLITICAL INDEPENDENCE
RESERVATIONS
In short, the effort to assess the degree of a state’s political independence is something of
a mug’s game. This approach to sovereignty is at first sight an attractive one, but it
proves enormously hard to apply to the ongoing hurly-burly of international life. But
there is another, more profound, reason for not spending too much time on the attempt—a
reason which is equally applicable to efforts to establish how much jurisdictional
sovereignty is enjoyed by a particular state.
What each of these concepts of sovereignty does is to focus on an aspect of the
condition of those states which participate in international relations. But because they do
States and sovereignty 9
so participate, they must already be sovereign in that sense of the term which refers to a
governed entity’s fitness for participation. And there is no possibility of their degree of
jurisdictional or political independence having got them there, for these aspects of their
condition are not exclusive to states on the international stage. All governed entities have
some measure of jurisdictional and political independence. Just as a state will decide how
to exercise its jurisdictional independence, and try to maximise its political independence,
so might the local golf club determine its in-house rules, and consider how to best to
respond to a planning application which would adversely affect its interests. Thus the
concepts of jurisdictional and political sovereignty do not in themselves tell us anything
which is distinctive about the entities which, among other things, enjoy an international
capacity.
Accordingly, these concepts cannot point to what it is which fits some governed
entities—and not others—for participation in international relations. There must be a
third concept of sovereignty, a more fundamental one, which establishes what is requisite
for that purpose. For, as has been noted, all the states on the international stage assert that
it is their sovereignty which accounts for their being there. By definition, such a concept
of sovereignty will reflect something which is entirely distinctive about the limited
number of governed entities to which it applies. It will indicate what has to be acquired if
an entity is to be seen as eligible to join those who already participate in international
relations. It will, as it were, establish the credentials which must be carried by those who
wish to move through the narrow gate which is the sole entry point to the international
fraternity.
The word ‘fraternity’ was not used casually. For, notwithstanding their competing
interests and aims, the limited number of states on the international stage are in one
respect rather like a band of brothers. They share something important, which others do
not: the status of being sovereign in the sense which makes them eligible for international
life. Putting it a little differently, and more in keeping with a term which has in this
regard become traditional, such states are not just in society with each other but,
collectively, make up a society: the international society. And, as with almost all
societies, admission is restricted to those who satisfy a certain test, who are in the right
condition. The requirement is the relevant form of sovereignty. Unquestionably (in the
writer’s firm opinion) it is the term’s most fundamental international usage.
But what is the content of this usage? What characteristic(s), in other words, must an
entity display to be eligible for admission to the international society? Before answering
this question, one point must be made absolutely clear. All too often writers appear, in
discussing sovereignty, to use whatever concept of sovereignty happens to appeal to
them. In effect, they cite their own personal criterion, implicitly asserting it to be the
correct usage. In doing so, they cannot be accused of not defining their terms. For
although it is rare for such usages to be spelled out, they can usually be deduced without
difficulty from what is said. What such an approach may well attract, however, is the
accusation of poor scholarship.
Issues in international relations 10
Of course, if the writer in question is avowedly presenting a work of political theory,
he or she is entitled to make a personal suggestion about the most appropriate content for
the term ‘sovereignty’. It can then be considered by others on the basis of what they deem
to be its merits. But if a writer purports to be explaining what happens internationally in
this or that respect, personal preferences should be firmly excluded. The scholarly
obligation on the writer is simply to elucidate the relevant international procedures or
events. Nothing more; nothing less. What follows, therefore, is this writer’s best effort to
ascertain and present the practice of states with regard to that concept of sovereignty
which is used, by states, to control admission to the society which they, collectively,
comprise.
It happens that individual states seem never to have spelled out, in so many words,
what they mean by this usage. And as the international society is simply the collectivity
of states, with absolutely nothing by way of organisational structure or written
procedures, no guidance is to be derived from that quarter. But there is no problem in
determining what this concept of sovereignty entails, for the relevant events and the
associated practices of states are crystal clear. It can therefore confidently be stated that
sovereignty, in this most fundamental sense, amounts to constitutional independence.
CONSTITUTIONAL INDEPENDENCE
A sovereign state may have all sorts of links with other such states and with international
bodies. But the one sort of link which it cannot have (for thereby it would lose its
international status) is a constitutional one. For sovereignty in the sense now being
discussed consists of being constitutionally apart, of not being contained, however
loosely, within a wider constitutional scheme. A territorial entity which is so contained is
not sovereign and hence is not eligible to participate on a regular basis in international
relations. Once any such connection is severed, the territory concerned has become
sovereign and thus ready, if it and others wish it, to join in the usual kind of international
activity.
States and sovereignty 11
The constitution of a state, like that of any human enterprise, consists of the body of
principles and basic rules in the light of which it is to be governed. It indicates how, in
general terms, the state is to be organised and administered, saying what institutions are
to be set up, how they are to be manned, the way in which they are to proceed, what they
may and may not do, and how they are to relate to each other. It does not need to be
written, but except in the case of a country with a long and relatively untroubled internal
history (Britain is the only extant case), it is difficult to imagine how a modern state
could work effectively without a written constitution. It may well be that, in common
with all normative (as distinct from scientific) rules, the constitution will not always be
observed. There may, for example, be a change of government through a military coup
rather than through the procedures set out in the constitution. But in that event the state
concerned will need to get back to its constitution, to amend it or to equip itself with a
new one, for the attempt to govern without any kind of constitutional basis is likely to
lead to disorder and perhaps chaos.
‘To govern’: that is the key phrase. A constitution indicates that government is under
way. It does not necessarily mean that the type of government is democratic (and one
must be aware that constitutional independence is not the same as what is sometimes
called ‘constitutionalism’, meaning government in accord with democratic principles). A
constitution can provide the entity to which it is attached with any kind of political
complexion, establishing authoritarian as well as democratic government, and also
everything in between. Nor need a constitution provide for government on a rigidly
centralised basis. In fact, some powers are likely to be delegated to regional bodies. And
if a state is particularly large, or socially complex (in that it contains two or more well-
defined and significantly-sized ethnic groups), or geographically extensive (an ‘empire’),
it is very probable that the degree of delegation will be such that the subordinate entities
will be equipped with their own constitutions.
But the essential point, in this connection, about those entities is their subordination.
They are not constitutionally independent—a fact which will undoubtedly be made clear
both in their constitutions and in the practice of their relationships with the central
government. Some powers (or ‘competencies’ as they may be called), perhaps no more
than the conduct of the territories’ defence and foreign relations, will be reserved to the
central, or metropolitan, government. In consequence such territories are not sovereign,
in the sense which is required to participate in international relations on a regular basis.
For the international society admits only those governed entities which are sovereign in
the sense of being constitutionally independent.
Issues in international relations 12
This was the scenario in respect of roughly one hundred of the states which have gained
admission to the international society since 1945. The remaining new states—about
twenty—represent territories which were once part of the metropolitan territory of a
larger state: chiefly the former Soviet Union, but also the former Yugoslavia and
Czechoslovakia. So far as these territories were concerned, the process of acquiring
sovereignty (in the sense of constitutional independence) was usually much messier. But
essentially it was the same. Prior to their emergence as sovereign states the territories
were constitutionally subordinate to the state of which they formed a part. Their
breakaway was marked by the adoption of independent constitutions, which thereby fitted
them for entry into the usual run of international life.
ELABORATION
Before moving on, we will take a closer look at sovereignty (and from now on the
qualifying phrase ‘in the sense of constitutional independence’ will usually be dropped
when reference is being made to this concept of sovereignty). Many find the concept a
rather elusive one. What, therefore, are its key features? The answer is that they are
threefold. Sovereignty is a legal, absolute and unitary condition.
1 Legal
This is not meant to imply that to be sovereign is lawful, whereas a different condition
might be unlawful. Instead, what is meant is that sovereignty is founded on law,
inasmuch as a constitution is a set of arrangements which has the force of law. Thus, the
observation that a state is sovereign is one about the standing of the state in the eyes of its
own constitutional law. It indicates the possession by the state of a set of legal
arrangements of a certain kind—those which equip it with an independent constitution.
Issues in international relations 14
This point is worth the sentences which have just been expended on it. For although it
is quite widely assumed that sovereignty has something to do with law, it is almost as
widely assumed that the relevant law is international. This is a mistake. It is indeed the
case that international law applies to sovereign states and regulates their mutual relations.
But it is not a provision of international law which has to be satisfied for a state to be
ascribed sovereign status. It is a certain kind of constitutional law which is requisite. So
far as international law is concerned, the position is that it applies to entities which have
already become sovereign. In other words, international law presupposes sovereignty. It
makes sense only on the assumption that there are sovereign states to which it can be
applied. And those sovereign states are sovereign because they are independent in terms
of their own constitutions.
2 Absolute
The second main feature of sovereignty is that it is an absolute condition. Absolute, not in
the sense of possessing unlimited power—which was the way in which the word was
used by Lord Acton in his famous dictum that ‘power tends to corrupt, and absolute
power corrupts absolutely’. Rather, absolute in the sense of not being relative, of an
attribute being either present or absent, with no intermediate possibilities.
This, too, is a particularly important point to make because, as shown earlier in this
chapter, there are other conceptions of sovereignty which are relative. Jurisdictional
independence and political independence are relative conditions. They refer to situations
which exist in degree, in terms of more or less. Thus when one is talking about either of
those usages of the term ‘sovereignty’, it would be natural to say that X was more
sovereign than Y, or (if one was feeling bold) that Z’s sovereignty was in the order of 70
per cent.
But when sovereignty is used to mean constitutional independence, one is referring to a
different type of phenomenon. It is not one which can exist in degree, in terms of more or
less. Rather, it is either possessed or not. The relevant entity is sovereign (and therefore
100 per cent sovereign) or lacks sovereignty—lacks it totally. A statement of this sort is
entirely appropriate—indeed, it is called for—when one is speaking of the formal
standing, position or status which a person (real or notional) has attained. When someone
is, for example, appointed as headteacher of a school or vice-chancellor of a university,
that person holds the office absolutely. There is no question of being a 70 per cent
headteacher. The individual in question is a headteacher, and the man or woman who
lives next door is not. It may be that critical comments are made about the headteacher’s
efficiency or industry, so that he or she may be adjudged deserving of a grade of, say, no
more than 50 per cent. But that in no way detracts from the fact that the appointee is fully
a head-teacher. And he or she will be no less or more of a headteacher than someone else
holding a similar position, whatever the relative sizes, levels or reputations of their
schools.
The same line of argument is exactly applicable to states when one is talking about
whether or not they enjoy constitutional independence—and hence sovereignty. Whether
or not a governed territorial entity is constitutionally independent is a matter of fact
which in principle can only be answered negatively or positively. No matter how closely
States and sovereignty 15
a territory approaches constitutional independence, if it does not reach it the territory has
to be adjudged as without it, completely without it. This means that it cannot be
sovereign, in the sense which is requisite for normal participation in international
relations. Thus (tiny) Monaco, (developing) Mexico and (much-troubled) Mozambique
are all sovereign, and hence absolutely so; whereas New South Wales, Nova Scotia and
Nebraska (all being constituent parts of federal states—of, respectively, Australia,
Canada and the United States) are not. Sovereignty, in this usage, is an absolute
condition.
3 Unitary
The third and final main feature of sovereignty is that it is unitary. It may, and does, have
different implications in different contexts, leading some to speak of internal sovereignty
and external sovereignty. But that is a dangerous terminology, for it can all too easily be
taken to mean that sovereignty can, as it were, be split down the middle, enabling one of
its halves to exist without the other.
In fact, a sovereign state is all of a piece. Constitutional independence means that no
other entity is customarily in the position of being formally able to take decisions
regarding either the internal or the external affairs of the territory in question.
Of course, it is always open to a sovereign state to pass over to another state or an
international body the legal right to take decisions which are binding on the state
concerned in respect of certain specific internal matters. Equally, a sovereign state may
wish to listen very carefully to what a powerful and important state has to say on certain
aspects of its foreign policy. But the point is that the decision to grant such rights or
adjust its policy is the decision of the sovereign state. Were it not sovereign, there would
be another entity which, because of its own constitutional dispositions, would be
regularly entitled to have a controlling or an overriding voice with regard to both the
internal and external affairs of the territory concerned.
In sum, the control of both internal and external policy flows from the same source, so
that each is inextricably bound up with the other. Just as a vice-chancellor or headteacher
will have certain powers within his or her institution and also, by virtue of the same
office, represent the university or school externally, so will a sovereign state have both an
internal and an external role. Both are a consequence of its condition as a constitutionally
indepen-dent, or sovereign, entity.
DIPLOMATIC ACTIVITY
1 Recognition
This is a formal device which is unilaterally exercised by the state bestowing recognition.
It is in the nature of notice to the other that, in the view of the recognising state, the other
state has met the requirements for normal international activity, that it possesses the
characteristics of sovereign statehood. The recognising state is announcing that it judges
the other state to have, as it were, ‘arrived’ on the international scene. That clears the way
for the two states to have normal dealings with each other. But there is no necessity for
them to do so. In principle, nothing at all need follow recognition. In practice, however, it
is probably unusual for a state to recognise a new state without also going on to establish
diplomatic relations with it. Indeed, it seems that the two steps are now often combined—
to the extent of recognition being implicitly bestowed through the establishment of
diplomatic relations. In turn, this could suggest that recognition is becoming anomalous.
But against that, it should be noted that recognition can still have important consequences
for cases in the domestic courts of the recognising state.
2 Diplomatic relations
Logically, this follows recognition and, unlike that device, is a bilateral act. The two
states concerned must agree on the establishment of diplomatic relations, which is usually
done by way of a specific agreement to that effect. Once a pair of states has established
diplomatic relations, they may engage directly in any kind of official contact, relating to
each other freely. It is the normal bilateral relationship between sovereign states. It is also
States and sovereignty 17
peculiar to them.
Difficulties in a relationship may ensue if a pair of states is not in diplomatic relations
(and unlike recognition, diplomatic relations may be broken, either party having the
unilateral right to take such a step). In those circumstances, when their diplomats
encounter each other in third states or at international organisations, they are entitled (and
may be expected) to ‘cold shoulder’ each other. If one such state wishes to communicate
with the other it may first need to make a special check (perhaps through a third party)
about the acceptability of such a contact, and make a special arrangement for its
execution. In practice, things are not usually as difficult as this in the absence of
diplomatic relations, devices being employed to get over some of the problems which
would otherwise arise—such as those which have been mentioned. But there is no
requirement to use such devices. States not in diplomatic relations are entitled to ignore
each other totally. And even if they do make arrangements to get in touch with each other
as and when they need to, it is very likely that they will find the situation markedly less
convenient than being in diplomatic relations.
3 Diplomatic missions
The establishment of diplomatic relations simply clears the way for whatever sorts of
contact two states may wish to have. Contrary to what is sometimes thought, being in
diplomatic relations is certainly not synonymous with the setting up of residential
diplomatic missions in the capitals of the two states. In fact, two states in diplomatic
relations may have very little to do with each other.
But if one or both think that their interests justify it, embassies (or, as between
members of the British Commonwealth, High Commissions) will be established in the
foreign capital(s) concerned. This greatly facilitates contact between the two states, and
so makes it more likely that the ‘sending’ state will be able to influence the ‘receiving’
state in the direction it would like. (The sending state is the one sending the embassy; the
receiving state the one in which the embassy is established.) A residential diplomatic
mission also has a number of other advantages, such as giving the sending state a good
listening post in the receiving state, and enabling the former to assist such of its nationals
who are anxious to do business in the receiving state.
The diplomatic system thus enables states to have contacts with other states, and so to
advance and protect their interests at the international level. It is an arrangement which is
exclusive to sovereign states. Accordingly, the fact that a state is active in this way is an
irrefutable sign that it enjoys sovereignty. But it must be remembered that sovereignty is
not bestowed through getting involved in the diplomatic system. Rather, it is a
precondition of involvement that one is sovereign.
INTERNATIONAL ORGANISATIONS
What the preceding paragraph reflects is that international organisations are created by
states and remain their creatures. Organisations do not have independent lives of their
own; they do not have independent sources of finance; they do not have independent
armed forces. All they have comes from or is loaned to them by states. Consequently,
organisations are unable, as it were, to devour their creators, and therefore present no
threat at all to states’ constitutional independence, and hence their sovereignty (and I
make no apology for emphasising once again my conviction that this is far and away the
most important concept of sovereignty). Indeed, as was indicated earlier, international
organisations presuppose sovereign states.
However, one theoretical qualification must be made to the argument of the last
paragraph. There is no reason in principle why a group of states should not set up an
organisation and, either initially or subsequently, transfer to it such far-reaching powers
that it is, or becomes, not a treaty-based international organisation but a constitution-
based sovereign state. In that case the states setting it up would lose their sovereignty and
in consequence would have to withdraw from international activity. They would have
become subordinate entities within a wider constitutional and governing structure, and it
would be that single structure which would now speak and act internationally for all the
territory which it contained. The number of sovereign states in the world would decrease,
for a number of sovereign entities would be renouncing their individual sovereignties to
States and sovereignty 19
create a bigger sovereign state. (Thus this process would be a reverse instance of the one
outlined earlier in the chapter, when the creation of new states out of an existing
sovereign entity was discussed.)
This, of course, is what may—and some hope will—happen in respect of the European
Union. But although, over the last forty years, this grouping has grown in strength and
resources, and is not the usual type of international organisation, it is not anywhere near
becoming a single state. Most of its members presently display a keen desire to maintain
their sovereign individuality. They do not wish to become units within a federal state. For
as long as those desires remain, Western Europe will continue be represented on the
political maps, and in international activity, by fifteen states rather than one.
Some, however, envisage that sovereign states will disappear, and are even now
disappearing, by a different route. It is suggested that their sovereignty is becoming, or
will become, eroded and indistinct through its increasing irrelevance. This is seen as due
in part to the heightened profile of non-state actors—throwing sovereign states, as it
were, into the shadows. Additionally, or alternatively, the suggestion is that states are
becoming so involved with each other, so entwined by both co-operative ventures and
technology, that their frontiers are losing significance and their individual features are
becoming blurred. Either way, sovereignty in the sense of constitutional independence is
seen as a concept which soon will be, if it is not already, of interest only to historians.
Non-state actors are a heterogeneous group, including such varied bodies as terrorist
groups, multinational corporations and international non-governmental organisations.
Without doubt, such bodies occasionally have some impact on the behaviour of states.
Terrorists can force themselves on to a state’s agenda. If a wealthy multinational
corporation operates in a relatively poor state, the latter is naturally going to pay some
heed to what the officers of the corporation suggest about the way in which the state’s
economy is developing. A non-governmental organisation may be thought to have some
pull with a certain state’s electorate, automatically disposing the state’s government at
least to listen—and to be seen listening—to what the organisation has to say.
But things also work the other way. Non-governmental bodies will wish to secure the
support of states. Multinational corporations are well aware that even in a very poor state
the government controls economic and legislative levers which can do them much harm.
Terrorists can be routed, and are unlikely to receive much personal consideration in the
process. Moreover, states generally find much more on their plates than the need to deal
with non-state entities. It follows that there is virtually no reason to think that sovereign
states are being put out of business by such bodies.
The other side of the charge outlined at the start of this section emphasises the growing
involvement of states with each other. There can be little doubt that such interdependence
is now a fact. States have more dealings with each other in regard to more issues of
mutual concern than ever before. Almost everything, it seems, comes on to the
international agenda: the traffic in drugs, the status of women, the environment,
bacteriological weapons, outer space, population issues, economic development, cultural
Issues in international relations 20
interchange, and so on. Elaborate and extensive co-operation occurs in a multitude of
fields. This is the background to the powerful impression that the world has shrunk
dramatically in the last half-century. The headlong speed and mind-boggling complexity
of developments in the technological field does nothing, of course, to undermine this
impression.
But it by no means follows from this that sovereign states have become outmoded.
Indeed, as in the consideration of non-state actors, the evidence can be interpreted to the
opposite effect. Up-to-the-minute technologies are being used by states to bolster their
strength and extend their control over their domains. International co-operation is the co-
operation of states, and to the extent to which it finds expression in agreed programmes
of action, that action has to be co-ordinated or conducted by states. Co-operative activity,
in short, does not necessarily imply that the co-operating actors somehow fade into the
background; in practice it does not have this effect and it is hard to see how it could
possibly do so. The world remains politically organised, as it has done for 500 years, on
the basis of the sovereign state. The idea that this type of arrangement is somehow
becoming insignificant seems, to this observer, totally unrealistic. International behaviour
patterns have changed, and are changing, certainly. But the basis on which the world is
politically structured—a basis which finds expression in the idea of sovereignty—
remains unchanged.
NO!
• states can use modern technology to bolster their own strength
• states can use modern technology to extend their control
• sovereignty still much sought after
• statehood and sovereignty have much affinity with ‘national self
determination’
It is indeed an oddity that so many observers have asserted that the day of the sovereign
state is coming to an end. On a charitable interpretation, one assumes that they are using
the term sovereignty in a way which happens to support their perception. Which only
serves as a reminder about the importance of openly defining one’s terms.
But if one relies on what is surely the most basic usage of sovereignty—one which
states employ all the time, although admittedly not to the exclusion of others—it could
(almost) be argued that the day of the sovereign state has only just begun! For governed
groups have during the last half-century been falling over themselves in their zeal to
claim and grasp the constitutional condition which is expressed by the term ‘sovereignty’.
The outcome, as was noted, has been a huge increase in the number of sovereign states.
States and sovereignty 21
Many other groups are still trying to achieve the same goal. Basques, Kurds, Quebeckers,
Sikhs, Tamils, East Timoreans and a host more assert that it is only sovereignty which
will enable them to escape oppression and/or enable them fully to express their national
cultures. Meanwhile, those long in possession of sovereignty show no disposition at all to
give it up, not even in what are at first sight such favourable contexts as Scandinavia or
Western Europe.
The reason for this attachment to the idea of sovereignty is not hard to find. It seems
that when people have come to feel affinities of the kind which are summed up in the
word ‘national’ they also feel that the only proper form of government for them is one
which is in the hands of their fellow nationals. Of course, this response is likely to be
particularly keen if the group concerned has suffered sharp persecution or discrimination
at the hands of the governing, and different, nationality. But it does not seem to be
dependent on such treatment. Even those who have been governed relatively well by
another national group are not slow to claim the presumed benefits of ‘national self-
determination’—one of the most potent ideas ever experienced in political affairs.
Accordingly, while there is nothing inherently sacrosanct about the concept of
sovereignty, it seems likely that the world will remain politically organised on its basis
for a long time to come. And, if the writer may finally express a personal view, why not?
It used often to be thought that a system of sovereign states was one thereby condemned
to frequent wars. There is no reason why that should necessarily be so, and the positive
experience of the last fifty years underlines that point, for war between the older
sovereign states has been noticeable by its absence. The negative experiences of that
period have often taken the form of civil or colonial conflicts, many of which can at least
in part be attributed to the rejection of claims to sovereign statehood. Perhaps, therefore,
the application of the idea of sovereignty has a contribution of its own to make to peace.
After all, if people are on the whole satisfied with their boundaries, that at least removes
one ground for conflict.
I would love to know whether, another half-millennium on, the world will still be made
up of sovereign states. Hardly worth offering a bet on it. But stranger things have
happened.
FURTHER READING
INTRODUCTION
Sixty years ago, a leading British politician could publicly proclaim—and presumably
expect to find acceptance for such a claim—that another European country was
‘unknown territory’ as far as its history, its domestic politics and its foreign policy were
concerned. Its fate was considered to be of little relevance to British interests in the
world. Soon after, Hitler unleashed the Second World War and proved the British
political class wrong. In 1990, the headline-writer for a Coventry newspaper knew better.
The expansionist design of one ‘faraway country’, Iraq, on another, Kuwait, was
perceived to be of interest to its readers—not least because it was likely to affect their
pockets. Whereas in 1938 one could pretend that the fate of one country would have no
effect on the fate of another, it was clear in 1990 that we were living in an interdependent
world of shared fate. We know, as does the copy-writer, that the world is getting smaller
and we’d better face up to this fact and act upon it—although arguably more than a splash
of aftershave may be necessary to survive or get on in this smaller world.
Issues in international relations 24
We live in an era of ever-increasing interconnectedness of people, places, capital,
goods and services. We are witnessing an increase and an intensification of political,
economic and cultural interactions across territorial borders. As a result, all states and
societies have become entangled in a complex system of mutual dependencies. It is this
reality of worldwide interdependence, its emergence and its dynamics, that the word
‘globalisation’ aims to sum up. If there were a competition for the word of the new
millennium, globalisation would be a strong contender. Like no other word, it is the
buzzword of public debate. Journalists, politicians, business executives and academics
use it to proclaim that something profound is happening and that new world economic,
political and cultural orders are emerging. A consensus appears to be forming that we are
living in an age of transition in which we have to bid farewell to the world we have
known and boldly go where no one has gone before. In this chapter, we wish to present
some of the topics that globalisation raises for our understanding of international relations
and global politics.
Globalization is a multifaceted process that manifests itself in such forms as global
tourism, mass migration and the global reach of nuclear, environmental and health risks.
Reduction in travel costs and time, as well as safer travel to many parts of the world, has
opened up the globe for discovery by the relatively affluent traveller. We have also
witnessed in recent years dramatic population movements. There has been a distinctive
increase in transborder migration. It has been estimated that there were about 100 million
transborder migrants in the early 1990s, of which about 25 million were refugees, but the
majority were people looking for work and employment abroad. In recent years, conflicts
in places like Somalia, Rwanda and Burundi caused mass migration in Sub-Saharan
Africa. In Africa alone there were about 35 million transborder migrants in the mid-
1990s. While only about one-tenth of the world’s population lives in Africa, about one-
third of all transborder migration takes place there. Yet, it needs emphasising that we are
witnessing a worldwide migration movement which is unlikely to abate in the near future.
The nuclear disaster in Chernobyl demonstrated—if demonstration were needed—that
environmental risks easily transgress state borders. We know of the transboundary, global
movement of hazardous wastes, and scientific research has made us aware of the
pollution of the global atmosphere and the greenhouse effect, as well as the depletion of
ocean fisheries—to name but a few of many global environmental problems. We have
come to accept that the earth is a fragile planet and that, as cohabitants on this planet, we
are members of a global community of fate. The awareness has grown—not least because
of environmental destruction and risks—that humanity has a common future.
Living in a global world 25
While these developments are important aspects of globalisation, arguably it has been
economic changes and technological innovations in transport and information systems
and their worldwide diffusion that have conjured up visions of a ‘global’ world. For
many observers of the contemporary world, globalisation refers to the formation of an
integrated world economy. There have indeed occurred great changes over the last couple
of decades in the economy. The value of world trade in 1993 was about US$3.7 billion.
In addition, there was a trade in commercial services of US$1 billion. Compared to 1986,
this amounts to an increase in the value of world trade of about 70 per cent. By 1995 the
value of world trade had reached US$4.7 billion and had thus more than doubled since
1986. However, about one-third of world trade was conducted as trade within
multinational corporations (that is, a corporation which, while headquartered in one state,
operates in a number of countries and becomes increasingly autonomous in terms of its
loyalty to its ‘home’ state.) This was well up compared to the early 1970s when this
internal trade amounted to just one-fifth of world trade. Multinational corporations are
thus important actors in the global economy. This situation is underlined if we consider
the fact that about 37,000 multinational corporations control about 150 million jobs
worldwide. Nike, the US producer of sports goods, for example, employs about 9,000
people in the USA, but 75,000 employees through subcontracting around the world.
The changes in the global economy have been particularly noticeable in the financial
sector. A few selected figures may provide an indication of these transformations.
Investment of capital abroad, that is, ‘foreign direct investment’ (FDI), amounted to
about US$40,000 million a year between 1976 and 1980. There was an increase to
US$43,000 million between 1981 and 1985, only for this sum to be dwarfed between
1986 and 1990 when on average US$162,000 million was invested each year. In the mid-
1990s, more than US$200,000 million was invested abroad annually. In 1993, of all
capital investments abroad, 76 per cent was invested in the Western industrial countries.
And within the countries of the West, about 90 per cent of the investments were in the
triad consisting of Western Europe, North America and Japan. If we ask from which
countries these capital investments abroad are being undertaken, we find that 77 per cent
of all investments worldwide have emanated from five countries: the USA, Great Britain,
Japan, Germany and France, which are also the five leading countries in world trade.
These figures quite clearly demonstrate the importance of the industrialised, capitalist
West for the formation of a global economy.
What about the ‘developing’ countries? In 1993, 23 per cent of all capital investment
abroad went to these countries. It is true that between 1990 and 1994 the share of the
developing countries in capital investment abroad per year rose from about 15 per cent to
40 per cent. But foreign capital investment in developing countries is concentrated on a
relatively small number of countries. In 1993, about four-fifths of FDI to the developing
countries went to ten countries: China, Singapore, Argentina, Mexico, Malaysia,
Indonesia, Thailand, Hong Kong, Taiwan and Nigeria.
It is open for debate whether we are already witnessing the emergence of a truly global
economy, institutionalised through global capital markets and globally integrated
financial systems as well as through global trade and global production networks and in
which employment would be determined via a global labour market. Yet there is a clear
trend towards an interpenetration of the advanced capitalist countries, and, in particular,
the intensification of transfers among three economic macro-regions: North America,
Europe and the Asian Pacific. Around each macro-region an economic hinterland has
been created that is being gradually incorporated into the global economy through its
links with the dominant region. North America serves this integrative function for Latin
America; the European Union for Eastern Europe, much of Russia and the South
Mediterranean; Japan and the Asian Pacific for the rest of Asia, Australia and New
Zealand. In due course, the Russian Pacific, Eastern Siberia and Kazakhstan may also be
incorporated into the global economy through their linkages with Japan and the Asian
Living in a global world 27
Pacific. And China’s economic incorporation is likely to be much aided through its
regained political authority over Hong Kong and the economic engagement of the
Overseas Chinese scattered throughout the region and the world.
When painting the picture of an ever more integrated world economy, we should not
forget that, for example, much of Black Africa remains marginalised within the global
economy, despite historical links to the advanced capitalist countries as their former
colonies. This attests to the fact that entire regions and countries around the world are
irrelevant in the new pattern of international division of labour; a fate shared, for
example, by some rural regions of China, India and Latin America, as well as large
segments of the population everywhere—as high levels of unemployment even in the
Western countries demonstrate. Arguably, this marginalisation, or rather, the fact of an
uneven economic globalisation, may also have to be seen in the context of changes in the
geopolitical order after the end of the Cold War and the European schisms and the
diminution of the strategic significance of certain regions for the advanced capitalist
countries.
This spatial dimension of economic globalisation is reinforced by political attempts to
institutionalise regional economic co-operation around the world. Examples of such
economic regionalisation abound. The North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA)
between the United States, Canada and Mexico, and the European Union (EU) are
prominent examples. One could also mention, for example, the Asian-Pacific Economic
Co-operation (APEC), founded in 1989, which brings together China, Hong Kong, Japan,
South Korea, Taiwan, Australia, New Zealand, Chile and Papua New Guinea, as well as
the member states of NAFTA and those of the Association of Southeast Asian Nations
(ASEAN), namely Indonesia, Malaysia, the Philippines, Singapore, Thailand and Brunei
(but not Vietnam). Among these regions and regional associations, Europe has developed
a particularly high degree of regional cohesiveness with a complex structure of formal
organisations and institutions. We shall say more about the EU and APEC later in this
chapter.
DEPENDENT ON:
TECHNOLOGICAL INFRASTRUCTURE=
TRANSPORTATION+GENERATION AND CIRCULATION OF
INFORMATION
Whether states can avail themselves of the advantages and benefits of these global
communications and information networks depends upon their respective access to these
technologies. As in the global economy, it is the technologically advanced capitalist
countries of the West (including Japan) that dominate the development and deployment
of these technologies and that control the access of other countries to them. The structure
of inequality and dependence of the global economic system are thus buttressed by the
control over the communication media, and in particular the satellite systems on which
they rely for speed and global reach, by the economically powerful states and capitalist
institutions. Since many of these technologies were initially associated with military
surveillance and have become an ever more integral part of the global military order, they
also buttress (as well as manifest) the geopolitical dominance of the West.
By meeting the communications and information requirements of both global
capitalism and modern warfare, these technologies have created the conditions for a
global system of symbolic interaction and exchange. These new communication media
allow the generation and dissemination of economically valuable data; but they make also
possible the transfer of mental images, exposing the recipients of these images to similar,
‘standardised’ ways of thinking and acting. In other words, these media and the images
they transport have arguably an impact on the culture and identity of the societies
exposed to them. A cultural manifestation of globalisation could thus be seen to consist
of the spread of English as the dominant world language (lingua franca), the screening of
Hollywood films and American TV series around the world and around the clock, as well
as the global availability, and consumption, of Big Macs and Coca-Cola, for example.
There is no denying the fact that ‘global culture’ remains centred in and bound to the
‘West’ (and Japan). It relies on Western technology, the concentration of capital in the
West, the concentration of advanced labour in the Western societies, and the stories and
imagery of Western societies. It is, however, open to debate whether cultural
globalisation will result in global cultural homogeneity and whether localisms and
traditions of variance will inevitably be swept away by the forces of Western cultural
Living in a global world 29
‘imperialism’.
If we draw together the main points made so far, we could state that a reference to
‘globalisation’ contains the hypothesis that there has occurred an increase in the density
of contacts between locations worldwide and that, as social life has become embedded in
global networks, local events are shaped by events occurring many miles away and vice
versa. Furthermore, as a result of innovations in communication technology, many of
these connections between locations worldwide have become almost instantaneous so
that we experience a temporal immediacy to social events and cultural expressions far
away. The ‘globalisation hypothesis’ thus implies that the constraints of space on social
and cultural arrangements are receding and that we can witness the ‘temporal’ shrinking
of the world.
Now that we have attempted a first approximation at the concept of ‘globalisation’, we
wish to discuss the future of politics in such a global(ised) world. As we remarked at the
beginning, many observers of the contemporary world assert that we are living in an age
of transition. We may therefore be entitled to ask what we the transients (are meant to)
leave behind. In the context of the discussion in this chapter, the answer would be: we
leave behind ‘politics rooted in the territorial state’. What does this mean?
STATE SOVEREIGNTY
It was only as a result of the rise of the modern state that politics became ‘territorialized’.
While there is a long and protracted academic debate on the timing of the emergence of
the modern state and the causes behind its rise, for the purpose of this discussion we
place its formation in the context of religious turmoil caused by the Reformation and
Counter-Reformation in sixteenth century. These religious conflicts also contributed to
military conflict between the major European powers which resulted in the Thirty Years
War between 1618 and 1648. It was during these two centuries that attempts gathered
pace that aimed to institute the state as the supreme power across a territory with clearly
demarcated boundaries that were sanctioned by international law.
In ‘pre-modern’ Europe, political authority and sovereignty were shared between a
wide variety of secular and religious institutions and individuals—between kings, princes
and the nobility, bishops, abbots and the papacy, guilds and cities, agrarian landlords and
‘bourgeois’ merchants and artisans. The modern state project aimed at replacing these
overlapping and often contentious jurisdictions through the institutions of a centralised
state. This endeavour was legitimised by the theory of state sovereignty. This theory
claimed the supremacy of the government of any state over the people, resources and,
ultimately, all other authorities within the territory it controlled. ‘State sovereignty’
meant that final authority within the political community lay with the state whose will
legally, and rightfully, commanded without being commanded by others, and whose will
was thus ‘absolute’ because it was not accountable to any but itself (Anderson 1996).
Historically, this state sovereignty was achieved through agreements between states in
the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648 at the end of the Thirty Years War. Then, governments
finally recognised under international law each other’s autonomy from external
interference in the most important matter of the time, religious belief. No longer, so
Issues in international relations 30
governments pledged, would they support foreign co-religionists in conflict with their
states. This international agreement changed the balance of power between territorial
authority and confessional groups in favour of the state. It created the pre-condition for
the build-up of an effective system of control and supervision by the state over the
population. ‘Sovereignty’ within was thus premised on non-interference from without.
A ‘sovereign’ right to ultimate authority and control does not imply an ability to
exercise it. And the history of state formation can be analysed as the protracted efforts of
rulers and their staff to translate ‘juridical’ sovereignty into ‘empirical’ sovereignty.
‘Governing’ took on the form of the artful combination of space, people and resources in
territorialised containments, and the policing, monitoring and disciplining of the
population within these spaces became the foundation, and the manifestation, of state
sovereignty. The sovereignty of the state presupposed the eradication of internal
contenders for supremacy. It was also predicated on the principle of non-interference in
the internal affairs of the state from outside. This amounted to the acceptance of the norm
that the territorial integrity of every state was inviolate. State sovereignty as ‘external’
sovereignty thus needs the recognition by other, ‘outside’ political authorities.
Sovereignty can therefore be defined internally and externally as the power to draw
boundaries and to impose ‘order’ in the sovereign territorial space thus created. As a
result of historical developments spanning several centuries, the modern territorial state
came into existence as a differentiated ensemble of governmental institutions, offices and
personnel that exercises the power of authoritative political rule-making within a
continuous territory that has a clear, internationally recognised boundary. It thus
possesses ‘internal’ sovereignty that is typically backed up by organized forces of
violence and that grounds the state’s ‘external’ sovereignty υis-à-υis other states and its
demands for non-interference in internal matters.
POPULAR SOVEREIGNTY
In the process of democratisation since the late eighteenth century, this ‘sovereignty’ of
the state over its population has been appropriated and transformed by the people into
‘popular’ sovereignty. Sovereignty has been transferred from the (monarchical) ruler to
the people, and the people have been defined as the sum of the legally equal citizens.
Living in a global world 31
Democratic rule in the modern state is exercised in the sovereign, territorially
consolidated nation-state. In a bounded territory, people’s sovereignty is the basis upon
which democratic decision-making takes place; and ‘the people’ are the addressees, or
the constituents, of the political decisions. The territorially consolidated democratic
polity, which is clearly demarcated from other political communities, is seen as rightly
governing itself and determining its own future through the interplay between forces
operating within its boundaries. Only in a sovereign state can the people’s will command
without being commanded by others.
Domestically, the modern state became the source of authority and order. Externally, it
became the building block of the international or, more precisely, inter-state system as it
developed after the Peace of Westphalia in 1648. This system was conceived to consist of
‘sovereign’ states which recognised each other’s equal entitlement to autonomy and
respect within their own borders. This principle of the sovereign equality of all states was
believed to lead to the inevitable absence of any supreme arbiter at the international level
who would possess a recognised monopoly of the legitimate use of force with the aid of
which generally binding moral norms could be decreed and behavioural compliance
could be enforced. As a result, the system of states was seen as inescapably anarchic in
character with each state pursuing power politics in order to attain its respective national
interests. Thomas Hobbes, an English philosopher of the seventeenth century, whose
political writings reflect upon the revolutionary upheavals in England of his time and
who argued in favour of a strong, absolute ‘sovereign’ power within a state, described the
system of states as being in a continuous ‘posture of war’:
[I]n all times, Kings, and Persons of Soveraigne authority, because of their
Independency, are all in continuall jealousies, and in the state and posture of
Gladiators; having their weapons pointing, and their eyes fixed on one another;
that is, their Forts, Garrisons, and Guns upon the Frontiers of their Kingdomes;
and continuall Spyes upon their neighbours.
(Hobbes, Leviathan, ed. R.Tuck: 90)
He envisaged thus a constant state of insecurity and potential war, since each state is at
liberty to pursue its interests through resort to coercion or violence unimpeded by any
higher moral or religious authority:
Let us now consider the state’s place in international politics in the era of globalisation.
Will the Westphalian model that we sketched above wilt away? Will the state remain the
main building block of global politics? To answer these questions, we need to take a
closer look at the emerging order of global politics. As we have noticed, the ‘security
dilemma’ induces states to build up a capability of military self-defence. But it may also
lead to a state’s interest in a system of international law and mechanisms of rule-
governed co-operation. Among such mechanisms are international organisations.
A second ‘pillar’ of the Bretton Woods system was the International Monetary Fund
(IMF). As with the GATT, the IMF was established in order to prevent a recurrence of
the disruptions that had plagued the 1930s. It was established to maintain stability in
exchange rates across the world. Exchange-rate stability was seen as a prerequisite for the
expansion of international trade and for a prosperous international economy. In order to
achieve this stability in exchange rates, the IMF made its funds available—through
lending—to states which suffered deficits on their trade accounts. In a post-war
environment of increased trade liberalisation, the IMF survived well, but with major
changes in the international economy through the 1970s, its role changed. The focus of
IMF lending moved away from the developed countries to the developing countries, and
during the 1970s saw the use of its funds increase from US$1 billion in 1973 to over
US$10 billion in 1979. The long-term nature of these loans is indicated by the fact that as
many as twenty-four countries received credits from the IMF for more than ten
consecutive years, and since 1982 developing countries have found it increasingly
difficult to keep up with their repayments. Through the 1990s, the pretence of ideological
neutrality has been dropped and access to the IMF’s resources has become conditional on
the borrower’s adherence to market principles.
The World Bank, otherwise known as the International Bank for Reconstruction and
Development (IBRD), aimed at the rebuilding of its members’ economies in the
aftermath of the Second World War. Initially its job was to make large-scale investments
in basic infrastructure such as power generation and transportation. However, while this
led to economic growth, its social effects were ‘skewed’ to the extent that many of the
poorest people in the developing countries tended to benefit least. In an attempt to
alleviate these weaknesses, the World Bank has added conditions to its loans, with
clauses in which the borrowing country had to prove that its project was to alleviate
poverty. Nevertheless, the extent to which these conditions were effectively invoked is
questionable. Furthermore, like the IMF, the World Bank has become more politicised in
recent years and this has contributed to its relaxation of these conditions.
The international organisations which we have mentioned so far are associations of states
on the basis of a multilateral treaty in accordance with international law. With executive
bodies and competencies of their own, they pursue the objective of a co-operation of at
least two states in the areas of politics and/or economics, culture and the military. Such
organisations are called in the academic literature ‘international governmental
organisations’ (IGOs). According to the Union of International Associations (UIA), their
number has increased substantially since the nineteenth century when the first IGO was
founded. In 1909 there were 37 IGOs; by 1951 this figure had risen to 123. By 1977 there
Issues in international relations 36
were 252 and in 1986 the number was 369. Perhaps surprisingly, the figures show a
steady decrease since then, with 260 being cited at the last count in 1996. This trend may
be indicative of a decline in the inclination of states to co-operate in tackling global
problems.
We should take note, then, that states are not the only actors on the international stage.
IGOs play a substantial role, too. But global politics is populated by even more actors.
During the last two decades or so, the threats to the survival of the human race posed by
nuclear, biological and chemical warfare and by dangers of an ecocatastrophe, concern
with sustainable development as well as with political and social injustice worldwide, be
it with political prisoners or discrimination on the basis of race or gender, have led to the
formation of movements that do not limit their activities to any single territory. For
activists in the environmental and peace movements or in Amnesty International, the ‘one
world’ has become the point of reference for their concerns. The participants in these
movements act on the basis of a global consciousness. ‘Think globally, act locally’ as
much as ‘think locally, act globally’ is the core of their ethos. Arguably, through their
global orientation, these activists are participating in the creation of a ‘global civil
society’. Many of these activists are members of non-governmental organisations
(NGOs). Gordenker and Weiss (1995:357) report that there are well over 15,000
recognisable NGOs that operate in three or more countries and draw their finances in
more than one country. Indeed, regardless of how one defines NGOs, the figures show
substantial growth in NGOs. The UIA, for example, defines NGOs as having a
participating membership of at least three countries, and having substantial financial
contributions from at least three countries. The number of NGOs cited by the UIA in
1996 is 5,472 for 1996 in contrast to 4,620 for 1991, 4,649 for 1986, 4,265 for 1981 and
2,502 for 1977.
In recent years an increasingly dense network structure that connects NGOs globally
has been established:
There are transnational federations of NGOs such as Save the Children, Amnesty
International, Oxfam, Médicins sans Frontières and the International Federation of Red
Cross and Red Crescent Societies, all of which operate on a global scale and whose
chapters in individual countries have a high degree of autonomy. And there are formal
coalitions of NGOs that bring together organisations with different objectives, such as the
International Council of Voluntary Agencies (ICVA) in Geneva, which was originally
designed as an organisational structure for European NGOs, but now comprises primarily
those of the Third World; or a network such as EarthAction, which is one of the largest
global NGO networks with over 700 member associations in about 125 countries. As a
result, the number of ‘international’ non-governmental organisations has increased.
Examples of such INGOs are the Socialist International, the International Confederation
of Free Trade Unions and the International Olympic Committee.
NGOs and INGOs have also established global information-sharing networks which
serve both the purpose of information exchange and campaign co-ordination. The
Association for Progressive Communication (APC) was the world’s first computer
network committed to peace, human rights and environmental protection. It is believed
that this association comprises more than 20,000 subscribers in ninety countries.
Organizations like Amnesty International, Friends of the Earth, Oxfam and Greenpeace
and various other organisations, such as labour unions, are members. The Clearing House
on Development Communication (PC) that operates worldwide and provides information
for professionals in developing countries in areas such as agriculture, health, environment
and community development may serve as another example of such information
networks, as does the HealthNet Information Service (HIS), which is a communication
and information service that links medical centres in the developing world with each other
and with their counterparts in the developed world.
NGOs and INGOs have considerably increased their presence in the global arena as a
result of their participation at a ‘world conference’ organised by the UN in the 1990s. For
example, the UN Conference on Ecology and Development in Rio de Janeiro in 1992 was
attended by 15,000 delegates from 178 states and 115 heads of state and government. In
addition, there were representatives of more than 1,400 NGOs who lobbied for their
constituencies. At the UN Conference on Human Rights in Vienna in 1993, 3,000
representatives of 813 NGOs took part. Parallel to this conference—and in the same
building—the first ‘Global Forum’ was convened at which about 2,000 NGOs were
represented to discuss human rights. Almost 4,000 representatives of NGOs attended the
International Conference on Population and Development in Cairo in 1994. The
conference on social development in Copenhagen in 1995 attracted about 2,600
representatives of NGOs and about 3,000 NGOs took part in the ‘forum’ that ran parallel
to the official conference. And despite Chinese efforts to stifle meetings and public
Issues in international relations 38
debates at the UN Conference on Women in Beijing in 1995, 20,000 participants of
NGOs in hundreds of workshops at the NGO-Forum discussed the position of women
around the world.
We have surveyed some of the actors in global politics that are neither states nor
international governmental organisations but ‘non-governmental’ actors. It is now often
being argued that these ‘non-governmental’ actors are in the process of forming a
‘global’ civil society. Politics in the modern democratic state is not just the business of
the government, the civil service or other agencies of the state, but is shaped by political
parties, interest groups, voluntary associations, such as churches, and socio-political
movements, such as the environmental movement, the women’s movement or trade
unions. It is this multiplicity of actors and forces within a country that provides
individuals with opportunities to associate with each other and to live lives of civil
interdependence without total subjugation to an overpowering state. In short, a vibrant
society provides the arena for freedom and liberty. It is with this analogy in mind that
many observers do not only declare that a global civil society is emerging, but plead that
such a civil society on a global level ought to be created.
Whether a global civil society will form at some point in the future is open to debate.
We must not forget that the movements and movement organisations we have mentioned
above are formed mostly within national civil societies and, to a great extent, depend for
their success, and even their survival, on other institutions such as political parties, trade
unions, churches and the media. A global civil society that is built around the global
linkages of these nationally ‘embedded’ movements is thus inherently fragile and
premised upon a national environment congenial to movement politics. We further know
from analyses of national politics that economic interests tend to be politically more
powerful than others. It is often not asked in debates about global civil society what the
Issues in international relations 40
role of economic interests, and in particular of multinational corporations, will be in such
a global society. Will they dominate global civil society to the same extent that they
dominate national civil society?
Finally, even if a global civil society did form—be it around the non-profit-making non-
governmental organisations or around the multinational corporations—would it be in a
position to sideline the states as global actors? Who or what would impose some degree
of order in a global world populated by a multiplicity of actors and confronted with
existential global problems ranging from ecological disasters, mass migration and
streams of refugees to famines, wars and human-rights violations?
As we have seen in our discussion on sovereignty, in the past in Europe at least it was
the state that was considered to be the ‘ultimate power’ that could impose, and enforce,
order over and within a territory. There is no denying the fact that there is no world
government, and it is very unlikely that there will be a world state in the future. The
creation of such a state would presuppose that nation-states would relinquish the power
they still have—in particular as military actors—and install the world state as the global
monopolist of the legitimate use of violence to whom everyone would have to submit.
Who or what could prevent such a world state from establishing itself as a global
dictatorship? Who or what could exercise some sort of democratic control over such a
political organisation?
GLOBAL GOVERNANCE
Yet the fact that there is no highest political authority at the global level and that, indeed,
we observe a disaggregation of authority as a result of the increase in the number of
global political actors does not mean that of necessity there are no effective political
mechanisms by which orderly and reliable responses could be made to global issues.
These mechanisms are discussed in the discipline of International Relations and in
political debate under the name of ‘global governance’. A ‘Commission on Global
Governance’, which was composed of a number of ‘eminent persons’—(former)
politicians, economic leaders, academics—and which consulted individuals and
representatives of governments, IGOs and NGOs, published a widely discussed report in
1995 under the title of Our Global Neighbourhood. In it they advanced the definition of
‘global governance’ cited in Box 2.12.
Living in a global world 41
It is obvious that for the authors of this report global governance does not mean global
government. Rather than opt for a hierarchical model that puts one agency—such as the
state—at the apex of the political authority structure, the Commission envisages a
political model in which a multiplicity of actors pursue collaborative solutions to
common problems in the spirit of collective responsibility. ‘Global governance’ is meant
to emphasise the need, and the desirability, of the collaboration of public and private
actors starting from the local level and running right through to the global level. Hence,
instead of arguing in favour of establishing a sovereign, centralised institution at the
global level that could authoritatively impose order—if need be through coercive
means—supporters of the idea of ‘global governance’ start from the empirical
observation of a multiplicity of actors at the global stage and the alleged incapacity of
states as the traditional international actors to solve global problems from which they
deduce the necessity of setting up decentralised and plural mechanisms of political co-
operation and regulation.
Issues in international relations 42
There is also a host of other private regulatory systems. There are debt-security or rating
agencies, which are private entities, that organise information for suppliers and borrowers
of capital. The agencies have a vital function for the global economy in which there is a
constant flow of capital in search of profitable investment. These agencies rank or rate
the creditworthiness of debtors, assessing their liquidity and solvency and hence the risks
a lender takes when investing in bonds or securities of issuers. This activity frequently
involves the assessment of the creditworthiness of public issuers—for example, national
or municipal governments—whose policies may well be influenced by the likely
approval or disapproval of the rating agencies. Another private regulatory mechanism is
international commercial arbitration. The global economy, as much as national
Living in a global world 43
economics, operates legally through contractual arrangements for the sale of goods, joint
ventures, construction projects, distributorships and the like. The settlement of disputes
over contracts has increasingly become the task of international commercial arbitration
bodies. Rather than submit to the courts of the other party—which in a dispute over an
international contract would involve litigation in a possibly ‘alien’ legal system—parties
agree on conflict resolution through private bodies. There were 127 arbitration centres by
1993. More recently established centres include those of Bahrain, Singapore, Sydney and
Vietnam. Among the most important international institutions involved in commercial
arbitration are: the International Chamber of Commerce in Paris, with members from
some hundred countries and national committees in sixty; the American Arbitration
Association; and the London Court of International Commercial Arbitration. But there
are other, increasingly important, centres, such as the Chinese International Economic
and Trade Arbitration Commisssion. Two sets of figures may attest to the increasing
importance of these agencies. The International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) received
its first 3,000 requests for arbitration between 1923, when it was founded, and July 1976.
The next 3,000 requests came in the next eleven years. In 1991, the ICC dealt with 333
cases; in 1992 with 337; and in 1993 with 352. The number of arbitrators has also risen
dramatically—and this within a very brief period of time: there were about a thousand
arbitrators by 1990, yet by 1992 this number had doubled. Much of this arbitration is
done by big multinational legal firms and, with Anglo-American law dominant in
international transactions, arbitration tends to privilege Anglo-American law firms and
thus contributes to the globalisation of Anglo-American law (Sassen 1996).
When talking about economic governance, we should be aware of the fact that the
policy of economic regionalisation which was mentioned at the beginning of this chapter
is itself a manifestation of governance. This can be illustrated with reference to the
European Union and the Asia-Pacific Economic Co-operation (APEC).
But both are regional trading blocs within which trading barriers have been brought
down.
To understand the policies of European integration since the mid-1980s we may see
them, among other things, as a response to the structural changes of the international
Issues in international relations 44
political and economic system of the post-war world. Relative American decline and
Japanese ascent and the concomitant shifts in technological, industrial and economic or
financial capabilities have forced the European political and economic elites to rethink
their economic and political goals and interests as well as the means appropriate for
achieving them. Undoubtedly, one force behind the relaunch of ‘Project Europe’ was the
business interest of some large European firms. They came to realise in the early 1980s
that the role of protected national markets in the era of global competition was
decreasing. Sectors such as telecommunications, electronics or automobiles were no
longer economically viable, even in the larger European countries. A ‘single-market’
Europe would allow for economies of scale by easing economic transactions and by
creating a large, ‘harmonized’ consumer market. It would allow the development of
Europe-wide delivery systems, corporate alliances, production networks and electronic
marketplaces. There was an acceptance among many large European firms that such a
European orientation was inevitable given the increased size of production runs and
investments required for world-market competitiveness. Politicians expected this
European ‘turn’ to solve the problem of economic crisis management at the national
level.
It would be wrong to analyse the policy of European integration since the mid-1980s
only in terms of economic governance. There are other factors which nevertheless place
European integration firmly within a ‘global’ context. Concern with developing a
common foreign and defence policy, or at least with co-ordinating the respective national
policies, gained momentum when the United States hinted in the mid-1980s at a
reduction in its military presence in Europe. It became urgent when the United States did
indeed withdraw troops with the end of the Cold War and the break-up of the Soviet
Union. Irrespective of this, as the negotiations of the then superpowers at the Washington
summit of 1987 had already demonstrated, without some common position on security
issues, decisions about Western Europe’s security would be taken over the heads of its
leaders and peoples. The repercussions of the collapse of state socialism in 1989 initiated
a further reconsideration of a common foreign and defence policy. First, the post-socialist
states of Eastern and Central Europe were looking to the European Community for
political and security agreements. Second, the war in Yugoslavia required some kind of
joint geostrategic position. Finally, and perhaps of the greatest importance, the inevitable
effects of the unification of Germany on the structure, dynamics and balance of power of
the European Community had to be parried. How best to bind the united Germany even
more firmly into the European order became a decisive diplomatic concern. The solution
was believed to lie in the linkage between German unification and deeper political
integration in Europe.
This survey of some of the institutions and mechanisms of ‘global governance’ should be
amended by a consideration of the importance of at least one further agency, that of the
state. Which role does the state play in the architecture of governance? To answer this
question, we must ask more generally about the effect of globalisation on the state. This
is a topic hotly debated among academics and politicians alike. We do not intend to cover
the issue comprehensively, but wish to offer some observations.
Does globalisation lead to a loss by the modern state of its monopolistic rule over a
territory and its people? The success of the modern state in the last two hundred years or
so and its universality and legitimacy were premised on its claim to be able to guarantee
the economic well-being, physical security and cultural identity of the people who
constitute its citizens. But forces such as global capitalism, global proliferation of nuclear
weapons and global media and culture are now undermining this claim and challenge the
effectiveness of the political organisational form of the modern state. They are thus
weakening the links between the citizens and the state. The citizens demand political
representation, physical protection, economic security and cultural certainty. But in a
system of global interdependencies, is the modern state (still) capable of accommodating
these interests and mediating between its citizens and the rest of the world?
Arguably, in a world of global interconnectedness both people’s sovereignty and state
sovereignty have been challenged since ‘[t]he very process of governance can escape the
Issues in international relations 46
reach of the nation-state. National communities by no means exclusively make and
determine decisions and policies themselves, and governments by no means determine
what is right or appropriate exclusively for their own citizens’ (Held 1992:21). For
example, the formation of a global economy outreaches the control of any single state;
multi- and transnational corporations, stockbrokers and international money and
securities dealers make production and investment decisions that affect the economic
well-being of states and people without being accountable to them. Global
communication and the processes of informationalisation make it difficult for
governments to control information and its dissemination. Extra-territorial global forces
both invade the political space of the modern state and, because of their extra-
territoriality, are operating outside its controlling reach. Both as space invaders and as
space evaders do they challenge the democratic polity. They affect the lives of citizens by
imposing constraints and limits on democratically constituted political agency without
allowing the citizens substantial control over them.
It may be argued that the sovereignty of the territorial state is being gradually
undermined by the pressure of ‘de-territorialisation’. We may be witnessing the
emergence of overlapping and hierarchically ordered loyalties not entirely dissimilar to
those which existed in medieval times. Take, for example, the resurgence of religious
identities such as Islam, Christianity and Hinduism, among others. In each of these cases
collective identities have been built which are non-territorial and therefore de-linked from
the territorial boundaries of the state. One can refer here to the power which Islamic
‘fundamentalism’ had over a considerable number of Muslims living in Britain when
Salman Rushdie’s book The Satanic Verses was published and condemned by the
religious leaders in Iran. Another example is the extent to which advanced
telecommunications allows for the spreading of evangelism not only in the USA, but
across the globe.
In addition to this there has been a marked growth in ‘diasporic nationalism’ which has
been unleashed by the opening up of previously closed borders. Increasing flows of
people and information have had the effect of strengthening ties between migrant
communities and their ‘homeland’, even if they are living on the other side of the world.
Immediately one may point to the example of diasporic communities such as the Jews,
the allegiance of some of whom to Zionism has been maintained throughout the course of
history. This continued identification with the ‘homeland’ has been facilitated by the
media and through communications networks such as the Internet and fax. In each case,
the territorial boundedness of the state has been undermined by the dynamics of
globalisation and signals the possible decline in the power of the state by altering or
diluting political allegiances, or putting economic or cultural activities outside the control
of the state. De-territorialisation therefore signals the possible transformation or the
weakening of the state as it has operated since the Treaty of Westphalia in 1648.
States can no longer afford not to be part of the global economy. Internationally mobile
capital and volatile international markets as well as the change to flexible methods of
production and the concomitant reshaping of the composition of the labour force have
affected the level of economic activity and employment within states and their capacity
for political regulation of the economy. Yet we should ask whether capitalism has ever
been controllable by the state. Has the state ever controlled finance capital? And has
Living in a global world 47
capitalism never in the past set any limits to what the state could do? We may also argue
that the actors in the world economy have an interest in a regulated international business
environment:
Calculable trade rules, settled and internationally common property rights, and
exchange-rate stability are a level of elementary security that companies need to
plan ahead and, therefore, a condition of continued investment and growth….
Companies may want free trade and common regimes of trade standards, but
they can only have them if states work together to achieve common
international regulation.
(Hirst and Thompson 1995:425–6)
This international regulatory ‘function’ of the states, so Hirst and Thompson propose,
gives them considerable leverage over economic actors. Furthermore, they point out that
not all economic actors operate globally, but benefit from their embeddedness in national
business systems:
This argument alerts us to the fact that economic globalisation does not necessarily result
in a wholesale decline in political opportunities for national economic management.
States as social organisations may benefit economic actors in both the national and global
environments.
The effects of globalisation on the modern state need extensive empirical analysis. We
must not assume without detailed argument that globalisation, of necessity, weakens the
modern state and undermines, if not destroys, its policy capacity. There are still certain
functions and tasks that will have to be performed even in the global world and which are
unlikely to be performed well, or at all, by private agencies.
Economic globalisation affects different sectors and regions within each state
differently. ‘Deindustrialisation’, for example, is bound to bring disadvantages to the
manufacturing industries and industrial regions of advanced capitalist countries, whereas
the internationalisation of financial services is likely to benefit other geographical
locations and socio-economic groups within these countries. One of the effects of global
capitalism on the advanced capitalist countries has been the occurrence of socio-
economic and socio-political crises which used to be seen as unique to less developed
countries: for example, rising long-term unemployment, increase in income disparities
and in absolute poverty, depopulation of the countryside, decay of urban centres and an
increase in organised crime. Neither for the global system as a whole nor for its
Issues in international relations 48
constituent units does economic globalisation thus result in homogeneity and overall
integration; rather, it is likely to accentuate heterogeneity and fragmentation. Global
capitalism is best analysed as a system of structured inequality. There is a need for an
agency that integrates society and takes care of the interests individuals share as members
of a community. Who else but the state could take care of this task? We have also noted
that the very real danger of a global ecocatastrophe is an important aspect of globalisation
and the formation of a global consciousness. As we move into the twenty-first century, a
new balance has to be found between the economy and ecology. Achieving ‘sustainable
development’, and hence an economic system that is ecologically safe, presupposes an
agency that can instigate reform and see through fundamental changes. Who else but the
state could take care of this task?
We have noted that local (national) decisions may have global effects—for example,
policies regarding emission levels for power stations. Likewise, global processes may
have a local impact—for example, the global dissemination of Western imagery through
satellite-based communications systems and its effect on local/national cultures. There is
a need for an agency that considers the possibly global effect of local decisions, but that
also protects national communities as best as possible against the local effects of global
forces. Who else but the state could take care of this task?
We have further noted that ever more policies and decisions are being taken in the
setting of multilateral negotiations and agreements. Who, if not the state, could have the
legitimacy to participate in these negotiations, agree to binding policy decisions, and then
have the power to guarantee their local implementation?
Finally, we have observed that around the world political projects of regional
integration are being pursued as an attempt to promote regional economies and create
structures of regional political governance. These projects will put a premium on the co-
Living in a global world 49
operation of states. Who else but states could provide a legal and material infrastructure
for such a regional, ‘supranational’ space and contain the political, economic and social
dislocations which will necessarily arise in such an enterprise?
To fulfil these tasks the state may have to share its sovereignty with other actors. But
this curtailment in its sovereignty does not mean that in the era of globalisation the state
is likely to wither away.
REFERENCES
Anderson, James (1996), ‘The Shifting Stage of Politics: New Medieval and Post-modern
Territorialities?’, Environment and Planning (Society & Space) 14, 133–53.
Commission on Global Governance (1995), Our Global Neighbourhood, Oxford.
Gordenker, Leon and Thomas G.Weiss (1995), ‘Pluralising Global Governance:
Analytical Approaches and Dimensions’, Third World Quarterly 16, 357–87.
Held, David (1992), ‘Democracy: From City-states to Cosmopolitan Order?’, Political
Studies 40 (Special Issue), 10–39.
Hirst, Paul and Grahame F.Thompson (1995), ‘Globalization and the Future of the
Nation-state’, Economy and Society 24, 408–42.
Hobbes, Thomas (1651/1991), Leviathan, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge (ed.
Richard Tuck).
Sassen, Saskia (1996), Losing Control? Sovereignty in an Age of Globalization,
Columbia University Press.
FURTHER READING
The literature on globalisation is vast and continues to grow. Any selection is therefore
highly arbitrary. A good starting point is David Held, Democracy and the Global Order:
From the Modern State to Cosmopolitan Governance, Polity Press, Cambridge, 1995.
Although the focus of the book is the future of democracy in a global world, Held
addresses many of the questions and issues that have been raised by scholars in Political
Science and International Relations in the debate on globalisation. Changes in world
politics are masterfully discussed in James Rosenau, Turbulence in World Politics,
Harvester/Wheatsheaf, Hemel Hempstead, 1990. This scholarly text may be usefully read
in conjunction with the volume edited by A.G.McGrew and P.G.Lewis, Global Politics,
Polity Press, Cambridge, 1992, which has been aimed at a student readership. H.-H.Holm
and G.Sørenson (eds), Whose World Order? Uneven Globalization and the End of the
Cold War, Westview Press, Boulder, 1995, contain case studies which investigate the
effect globalisation has on states and regions around the world. A key issue in the debate
on globalisation has been the question of sovereignty, and a very readable discussion of
this issue is Saskia Sassen’s Losing Control? Sovereignty in an Age of Globalization,
Columbia University Press, New York, 1996. A theoretically more elaborate treatise is
J.A.Camilleri and J.Falk, The End of Sovereignty: The Politics of a Shrinking and
Fragmenting World, Edward Elgar, Cheltenham, 1993. Questions of sovereignty, state,
nation and democracy are also addressed by Roland Axtmann, Liberal Democracy into
Issues in international relations 50
the Twenty-first Century: Globalization, Integration and the Nation-state, Manchester
University Press, Manchester, 1996. Roland Axtmann (ed.), Globalization and Europe:
Theoretical and Empirical Investigations, Pinter/Cassel, London, 1998, contains essays
on the question of how the state in Europe has been implicated in, and affected by,
globalisation. A brilliant attempt at mapping the new global economy is the book by
P.Hirst/G.Thompson, Globalization in Question: The International Economy and the
Possibilities of Governance, Polity Press, Cambridge, 1996. Not only do the authors
query the view that a global economy has already formed, they argue forcefully that the
international economy can still be regulated and governed.
Readers who wish to venture outside the debate on globalisation as it is conducted in
Politics, International Relations and International Political Economy may start with the
volume edited by Mike Featherstone, Global Culture: Nationalism, Globalisation and
Modernity, Sage, London, 1990, and Roland Robertson’s essays, Globalisation: Social
Theory and Global Culture, Sage, London, 1992. Both books provide sociological
accounts and discussions of ‘cultural’ globalisation. Articulating the Global and the
Local, Westview, Boulder, 1997, edited by Ann Cvetkovich and Douglas Kellner,
contains many stimulating essays on globalisation from the perspective of Cultural
Studies. Finally, Manuel Castells’s masterful study on The Rise of the Network Society,
Blackwell, Oxford, 1996, which will eventually be published in three volumes, is
destined to become an instant classic with its skilful combination of theoretical reflection
and empirical observations in an analysis of the political, economic and social world as it
is developing as we enter the new millennium.
3
The contemporary nature of security
Roger Carey
Threat Perception=Capability×Intent
This formula is, however, deceptive. It suggests that there is a scientific manner in which
a threat can be determined. Consequently it implies that there is a level of sophistication
in weapons systems, a level of armed forces, that can counter such a threat and thereby
guarantee security. While it may be possible to measure with some degree of accuracy
the capability of a potential opponent, assessing the willingness and intention to use that
capability, and the triggers that may spark that use, involves many more unknown factors.
Once upon a time security must have been a simple affair. Even though it was ill-
defined—even lacking in definition—everyone knew what it was. ‘Them’, out there,
threatened ‘Us’, in here, epitomised by the medieval knight in his castle, or the circle of
wagons in a wagon train attacked by Indians in American folklore. In an era when
communications were poor, it was, perhaps, acceptable for leaders to make decisions
about threats and the need to take actions to counter the threat and so provide security.
The population had no access to better knowledge and so accepted more or less meekly—
the situation in which they found themselves.
Issues in international relations 52
• subjective feeling
• relational and relative
• security ‘from’ something
• perceptual
• ‘us’ versus ‘them’
For the state, the most widespread unit of organisation in the international system, the
Government determines the external threats. The Government develops a security policy
to counter these perceived threats through the mechanism of Foreign Office and Defence
Ministry or their functional equivalents. (Internal threats have almost always been seen as
being different and have been handled through a Ministry of the Interior or a Home
Office which have always had separate forces, though sometimes they have been very
similar in structure, training and equipment to those designated for external security.) The
means that one state developed to counter the perceived threat from a neighbouring state
often became itself a perceived threat by the neighbour—who in turn redoubled his
forces, and so on. This is the classic security dilemma and can be illustrated by overt
arms races over long periods of time—e.g. the late nineteenth-century naval arms race
between Britain and Germany and the missile race between the USA and USSR in the
1970s. Only recently have defence analysts suggested building and deploying weapons
systems that have an essentially defensive capability in order to break this vicious cycle.
Even in such developments and deployments, however, there are considerable dangers in
creating instability. During the deployment phase of any such system a potential
opponent—i.e. the state posing the threat—might well be aware of the defensive nature
of the deployment. True, it will not be seen as a direct threat, but it will reduce
opportunities to pose future threats or even to inflict damage and destruction. There is,
therefore, a final ‘window of opportunity’ for the would-be aggressor during the
deployment phase of the defensive system. At this time the state posing the perceived
threat will have one, final chance to impose its will by military means. This is a very
unstable period during which threat perception is likely to be very high and feelings of
security, in consequence, to be very low. An interesting contemporary example is the
Greek Cypriot decision to deploy ground-to-air missiles in the face of a perceived threat
from Turkish Cypriot air capability.
Security, and the study of what constitutes security and how it might be either achieved
or overthrown, is academically linked to the ‘realist’ view of the world. This is an
academic tradition going back at least as far as the Greek city states and the writings of
Thucydides. This view sees conflict between men—and, therefore, states—as being
endemic. To a greater or lesser degree, therefore, the international political system can be
The contemporary nature of security 53
seen as anarchic. Power, and the struggle for power and the control of resources, is
central to this manner of thinking. In this environment states will only be constrained by
agreements—alliances, treaties, even tenets of international law—that they see as being
in their own interests. Security in this context concentrates in the military—upon military
values, strategies and capabilities—and is concerned with the survival of the state.
If security is focused on the survival of the state, if this is the paramount value, then
logically security has first call on the resources of the state. It is very noticeable that the
first act of newly independent states is to create an armed force and that even in the
poorest of states the military are well equipped (or relatively so) and enjoy a high status
in society. (Ironically, of course, the organisational skills, the virtual monopoly on the
right to use arms, the level of equipment enable the military to pose a domestic threat if
their privileged position is questioned in any way.) In this situation to have a problem or
issue labelled a ‘security issue’ ensures that there is a flow of resources to solve or
ameliorate the perceived threat or problem. Astute politicians, therefore, begin to promote
essentially non-security issues as being matters of high security significance. Some
‘threats’ thereby become more imaginary than real—or they are generated by skilful
publicists! A problem then develops in defining what constitutes a ‘threat’—is it ‘real’ or
the product of a fertile imagination?
The responsibility of the state to provide security—for itself and its citizens—allows
the state to impose all manner of draconian measures on society—e.g. conscription,
Official Secrets Acts, and so on. In defending the state, the state itself assumes major
powers for itself, including the possibility of reorganising the social and economic fabric
of society, as happened in both the First and Second World Wars. In time of overt
conflict the whole of domestic society and politics are dominated by the single issue of
security—sometimes to the point of paranoia in which, for example, long-established
residents find it necessary to change their names for fear of being branded as spies for the
enemy—e.g. the British royal family in the First World War.
Some sectors of society, most notably the military and the executive, are in the unique
position of both defining the threat—i.e. of determining what constitutes a security
issue—and being responsible for countering the threat that they have defined. This ability
to define the problem and the solution has the result that funding for security projects has
almost invariably taken precedence over funding for other activities. Defence budgets,
though not impervious to cuts, have historically been sustained more consistently than,
for example, health and education. One consequence of this orientation has been that
security thinking tended to become state-centric, seeking solutions only within the state
boundary, and has become ethnocentric. Global solutions to identified security problems
were either not considered at all or were given a low priority. Regional solutions were
usually judged solely in terms of national self-interest, and thus several regional
agreements foundered shortly after being established—ANZUSC, the tripartite security
treaty of 1951 between Australia, New Zealand and United States being but a single
example.
Issues in international relations 54
• realist
• anarchic world
• struggle for power and struggle of power vs power
• Cold War: purpose of security—to defend integrity and sovereignty of the
state (including citizens)
During the period of the Cold War security was firmly enshrined in the military. The
purpose of security was to defend the integrity and sovereignty of the state and
presumably—though rarely articulated—was concerned for the security of the individual
citizens. The ending of the Cold War allowed a questioning to take place of these tenets
of the idea of security. The focus of the idea of security could now move away from the
state and on to other groupings, often within the state. This led to the classical distinction
between internal and external security becoming blurred (it probably has always been
blurred to some extent, but analysts have chosen not to recognise this fact). There was
also an argument made by some people to extend the idea of security to encompass the
environment and other potentially threatening areas of activity, over which the state
might have little or no control. The threat was now seen to change and other areas of
activity came into focus: classically the environment, but some scholars began to fuse on
micro-security issues—e.g. in a developing society the availability of a clean water
supply was far more of a security concern to many of the citizens of the state than any
number of military threats from other states. This change in focus also implied a move
from focusing international relations on the state—the state-as-actor approach—to the
individual on the one hand and the global agency on the other.
The major intellectual challenge to the accepted view of security came well before the
formal end of the Cold War. Barry Buzan’s People, States and Fear (1993) was a clear
intellectual challenge but more subtly it exposed the limits of the traditional view of
security and the need to extend the debate about the nature of security. Indeed, even
establishing the need for a debate about a matter that had largely been taken for granted
by the bulk of scholars and citizens alike was a major achievement.
Another factor that contributed to this change of focus was the communications
revolution. This revolution included jumbo jets and their capacity to carry people from
one side of the world to the other; computing power and the development of databases
and data handling in a manner that would have seemed unthinkable at the time of the
formation of NATO; and the extension of the telephone system in both quantity and
quality. This revolution in communications has enabled non-state actors to begin to play a
role in international relations, and as communications have improved and become
cheaper, so the number of non-state actors has increased dramatically, so that it now
includes not only multinational corporations, but universities and local authorities. This
The contemporary nature of security 55
process has been given an added momentum by the ending of the Cold War and the
popular expectation that there would be a ‘peace dividend’. The advent of the Internet, it
is argued by some, has totally altered the framework in which security is set, as it is now
possible to communicate and move ideas around the world almost instantaneously. To
this ability has been added the discussion of major issues in global fora such as the UN
and the impact of an ever increasing global economic independence. This process of
globalisation poses, perhaps, the greatest challenge to traditional thinking about security.
At the forefront of this challenge are the environmentalists. The threat is not seen by this
group as being posed by weapons systems and other military instruments by one state
against another, but by a range of environmental problems—most popularly global
warming—that are threats to everyone and the responsibility of everyone. As with more
traditional thinking, however, the environmental threat is perceived differently by
different people in different parts of the world. Individuals, societies and states see
themselves as being less rather than more affected; later rather than sooner. This
perception is complicated by a debate over the nature of the threat against which security
should be sought—scientists argue endlessly about ecosystems, energy shortages,
population growth and food reserves, and the position of these factors on the ‘threat
league table’. The position of the environmentalists is further complicated by the fact that
the environmental pressure groups—e.g. Greenpeace—do not always command the
respect or the high level of credibility necessary to convince either decision-makers or
large numbers of the global population of the nature of the threat.
There is a further set of arguments that question whether the major environmental
threat is from natural activity—e.g. volcanic explosions—or from man-made problems
such as greenhouse gases. As little can be done about the former, activity tends to
concentrate on the latter. This threat from the environment is seen to be a result of the
exploitation and manipulation of nature by man on such a scale that it has now become
self-defeating. The two major factors that are perceived to have caused this problem are
the massive growth in world population and the vast growth in economic activity, which
between them are thought to be likely to overwhelm mankind as a whole.
The major problem faced by those who would have us take environmental threats to
security seriously is the simple fact that the world is not organised and does not function
as a unit. It is, instead, organised into sovereign states, each of whom has a different
perception both of the problem—if it agrees that there is one—and the solution. Even if
the problem is recognised, the degree of urgency in identifying and implementing a
solution will vary. For example, the USA has clearly indicated that it will not take
domestically difficult political decisions about industrial activity and curbs on the use of
the motor car in order to prevent a small rise in sea levels. Yet even a small rise in sea
level could lead to a state such as Bangladesh literally disappearing under the sea. This
example highlights the huge discrepancy in ability to affect the outcome of any
environmental threat. Bangladesh, where the threat might be felt most acutely, has little
capacity to affect the outcome. The USA, which has the most ability to affect the
Issues in international relations 56
outcome, has the least to fear and, in any case, has the resources to ‘cope’ with the
problem if it emerges, and may, therefore, see the threat as being of a very low order of
significance (which is tough if you are Bangladeshi!).
There are two reactions to what some claim is a threat, both of which are characterised
by an imperfect knowledge of the position. One argument is that we—the West,
chiefly—should do nothing. This will enable us to conserve expenditure on what may, in
any case, be the wrong issues. We will leave to a future generation—which will,
presumably, be wiser, more knowledgeable and wealthier than we are—the task of
defining the threat and resolving it. The other argument is that these issues must be
addressed now. Tomorrow—and certainly future generations—will be too late. The
former argument is popular in the developed world—Europe, the USA and Japan—while
the latter finds much favour in the less developed world. Yet the less developed world is
in a quandary of its own as it also aspires to develop and generate developed world levels
of wealth and affluence, thereby contributing to the very problem that it wishes to
address. This crevasse can be bridged only with great care and diplomatic finesse. Maybe
the writings of the geo-politicians, Mackinder and Hartmann, with their theories of the
Heartland and the Rimland, were correct after all. Mackinder, for example, argued that
the geographical framework within which political power is exercised is of critical
importance, and that the confrontation between land- and sea-power was one of the basic
patterns of international politics, as was the relationship between the ‘heartland’ of
Eurasia and those areas on its periphery.
The precedents for collective action to counter a perceived threat are not encouraging.
The collective security system of the League of Nations was not a notable success and
most conflicts that have occurred and been resolved since 1945 have been concluded
outwith the United Nations system. The failure of collective security is summed up by the
politician who, when chided that his country did not support sanctions against Germany
The contemporary nature of security 57
after the invasion of Czechoslovakia, responded that Czechoslovakia was ‘a faraway
country of which we know little’. The same attitude could be observed at the Rio Earth
Summit and it is notable that little has been done to implement the ground-breaking ideas
that were outlined in the Brandt Report, North South: A Programme for Survival,
published as long ago as 1980 and which began to address non-traditional ways of
looking at security.
Perhaps one of the problems found by those who would widen the focus of security is
where to draw any new boundary. Once the traditional boundary of security is removed
then what is not a security issue? Some feminists, for example, have argued that the
traditional framework was fatally flawed because it reflected the way in which the male-
dominated elites of society imposed particular views of what constituted ‘security’ upon
society as a whole, but neglected the concerns of small groups within it. This was unjust
and unfair economically and politically.
A further problem faced by those who would diversify the debate about security is that
non-state actors begin to become significant and they are much more difficult to constrain
than states—e.g. multinational corporations, or even small enterprises, that pollute water
sources that cross international boundaries. Likewise, supporters of responses to
perceived environmental threats can come from anywhere and this may reflect the fact
that there are certain environmental issues that are common to almost all societies—e.g.
the problem of urbanisation leading to a concentration of economic activity and the
resultant pollution.
The proponents of environmental security would have us believe that what is at stake is
not just the popular, immediate issues of a depleted ozone layer and the like, but the
maintenance of civilisation. This view sees a forthcoming environmental disaster as a sort
of ‘apocalypse now’ in which mankind will reach a self-destructing pinnacle of
achievement. The grand question asked by these thinkers is whether mankind is capable
of producing a solution to the security problem that it has itself created. Can civilisation
rescue itself? The difficulty faced in answering this question is that the effect of any
environmental crisis will not be evenly distributed and the ability to prevent or reverse a
problem is also unevenly distributed. Those who have to pay the price of prevention are
not the same as those who will have to pay the price of failure.
SECURITY—GLOBAL OR REGIONAL?
If these issues cannot be addressed successfully on a global scale it is suggested that most
environmental issues can, in fact, be dealt with at a regional level. At this point the
regional solution begins to look suspiciously like a traditional alliance with a perceived
threat; a linking of the capabilities of two or more states to counter the threat; the
cohesion of the alliance depending for a great part on the severity of the perceived threat;
alliance cohesion diminishing with the passing of the threat. There is even room, in this
scenario, for the classic security dilemma to reassert itself between two or more alliance
groupings.
There are those who wish to extend the security debate who would argue that the
conflict that lies at the heart of the political process must be removed and replaced by co-
Issues in international relations 58
operation. But even in a co-operative environment there will still be adversarial
relationships and it is how to manage these conflicts of interest that underlies both
traditional ideas of security and other visions. International politics is not a wholly
Hobbesian ‘state of nature’—there is co-operation and agreement on some issues, in
some areas, and for some of the time (and, some would argue, for most of the time).
Agreements are made, and, for the most part, they are kept. There is a recognition,
however covert, that there is a situation of interdependence even though it does not go as
far as the Palme Commission recommendation that ‘nations must begin to organise their
security policies in co-operation with one another’ (Palme 1982).
A second unique factor was the domination of the international political system by two
great powers—the USA and the USSR—both of whom possessed nuclear weapons. The
advent of nuclear weapons and their ability to destroy societies totally meant that it
became imperative for the two major powers to avoid war between themselves.
Avoidance of conflict—i.e. a political aim—became dominant over the military aim of
defeating an opponent in battle. Security came, thereby, to rely on deterrence—on the
posing of a threat rather than its execution. The leader of NATO, the USA, let it be
known to its allies that the conflict with the USSR was to be a political rather than a
military conflict. Deterrence, an old idea, took on a new and heightened significance.
Security at this time was clearly thought of as military security, designed to make a
border impermeable and to protect the national sovereignty of the member states, first by
means of deterrence and second by means of force of arms if deterrence failed to deter.
The initial NATO strategy was one of massive retaliation—the threat of a huge nuclear
response against Soviet cities for any incursion into NATO territory, however small. This
strategy lacked credibility even when the USA was immune to any response and in the
period when the USA itself enjoyed a monopoly of long-range nuclear delivery systems.
By the late 1950s, when the USSR had developed a delivery capability against the USA,
the credibility slumped still further. By the mid-1960s, therefore, NATO strategy had
evolved to become one of flexible response—a lesser threat was posed, with an outcome
that was likely to be well short of mutual nuclear suicide. This alliance response, with a
much higher probability of implementation, thereby made the strategy more credible, and
thus more effective at providing security.
The strategy did, however, cause great tensions within the alliance. For deterrence to
be effective there had to be a high probability of a response by NATO—just what the
Europeans and those most likely to be attacked needed for their territorial security. But if
deterrence failed to deter and an attack took place, the implications were that these
territories would become the (possibly nuclear) battleground—and this was not
considered a good idea at all by those concerned. Forward defence in Europe was a
splendid idea if you lived in the USA, but not particularly relished by the West Germans.
However, to the citizens of West Germany, the potential of a rapid escalation to an ICBM
conflict from great power homeland to great power homeland was more appealing—the
missiles would fly over Germany. Naturally, to the citizens of the USA, at the receiving
Issues in international relations 60
end of the missiles, this was an idea that held few attractions. Even at the basic level of
the alliance—the military security of the member states—there was, therefore, a
fundamental problem.
There were other conflicts within the alliance too. With the great issue of war and peace
firmly in the hands of the alliance leader, the secondary members depended for their
security upon the actions of that leader. This created tensions within the alliance that in
previous generations would have led to its break-up. But in the second half of the
twentieth century technology did not allow this solution to tensions. Even though Great
Britain and France developed and sustained a nuclear capability they could not challenge
the USA in nuclear decision-making.
There was, however, a dreadful irony about the British and French nuclear capabilities.
The existence of nuclear systems other than that possessed by the USA could be argued
to be a very public proclamation that Britain and France did not have confidence in the
USA to act in the interests of the European members of the alliance—that, in the last
analysis, they believed that the USA would act in its own interests. On the other hand, it
was argued, the existence of British and French forces contributed to the uncertainty felt
by the USSR and her allies in the Warsaw Treaty Organisation, and this was a strong
factor in the deterrence calculation. The European nuclear forces also added to the
likelihood of a US response, for fear of a maverick British or French response to any
attack on Europe.
individually and in concert with the other Parties, such action as it deems
necessary, including the use of armed force, to restore and maintain the
security of the North Atlantic area…’
• NAT: North Atlantic Treaty (or Washington Treaty or Atlantic Pact/
Alliance) 4 April 1949
NATO: North Atlantic Treaty Organisation, the organisation and
military structure created to fulfil the requirements of NAT, located
principally in Brussels
NAC: North Atlantic Council, the supreme policy-making body in
NATO
SACEUR: Supreme Allied Commander Europe
SHAPE: Supreme Headquarters Allied Powers Europe, located in Mons
• Unique features:
• permanent military and political structures
• domination by a hegemon
• nuclear weapons: more important to deter war than to fight and win a
war
• Principal strategies:
• massive retaliation
• flexible response
• new strategic concept
• Tensions:
• strategies+relations between leader and followers+resources and
resource distribution
Whatever the argument concerning the utility of the British and French independent
nuclear capabilities, it was unquestioned that these forces consumed considerable
proportions of the limited resources available in Britain and France for military security.
And if ‘best value for money’ was being sought for the alliance as a whole these two
forces were very wasteful as they only duplicated an effort made elsewhere in the
alliance. Such an economic argument was not, of course, confined to nuclear weapons
systems, though the nuclear systems were perhaps the most obvious examples. In the
conventional weapons area the best interests of the alliance as a whole might have
suggested that all high-technology weapons systems be purchased from the USA by all
alliance members. But for a variety of reasons, often unconnected with military security,
the European members of the alliance wished to retain and develop independent research,
design and production facilities. When procurement decisions were made by NATO,
Issues in international relations 62
therefore, it was not unusual to find competition existing between the European members
and the USA. And for reasons that were totally unrelated to military security, the final
decisions were often not the most efficient in alliance terms. An excellent example of this
process was the ‘sale of the century’ to supply NATO with fighter/bomber aircraft in the
1960s that resulted in the purchase of the American F16 (Dorfer 1983).
The consideration of non-security factors led to the scaling down of very ambitious ideas
of commonality of weapons systems throughout the alliance to the more realistic, and
achievable, goal of the interoperability of weapons systems. This seemingly simple goal
was highlighted by the need for multiple adaptors for US aircraft to refuel at German
airfields; for German trucks to refuel in Belgium; and the apocryphal but illustrative
example of the reconnaissance vehicles of all nations having only the air in their tyres as
common components. But even in the ‘simple’ and ‘obvious’ cases there was much
contention and bickering about whose standard would be adopted, such that progress was
invariably painfully slow.
In more contentious matters—such as alliance strategy—the room for disagreement
was much greater and the challenges were consequently more serious. The French,
especially, made several challenges to US supremacy within the alliance, arguing that
American and European security interests were not identical. This argument reached a
head in 1965–6 when France formally withdrew from the integrated military structure of
the alliance. Ironically, however, France did not thereby reduce her own security, because
the great power relationship remained, along with the determination of both alliance
leaders to challenge the other only politically rather than militarily. The only price that
France paid (and any other challenger would have paid) was political. This reflected the
fact that the great powers had been very successful in ensuring that there was a high
degree of confidence that war would not break out in Europe. Indeed, if France had
thought that its security would have been imperilled it would not have behaved in this
way.
As security in Europe came to be ‘taken for granted’, so instability and conflict
elsewhere in the world became a focus of NATO squabbling. American involvement in
South-East Asia became a particular matter of concern and debate when the USA sought
at least the diplomatic support of its European allies. The quality of American leadership
under President Jimmy Carter was seriously questioned by the Europeans, and the
scepticism reduced only slightly during Ronald Reagan’s presidency. The Americans, in
turn, publicly questioned why they should pay so heavily for European security,
especially as Europe—thanks largely to American generosity and political
encouragement—had reorganised itself economically and could easily have ‘afforded’ to
make a greater contribution to the common security.
The contemporary nature of security 63
These internal conflicts were made permissible by the stability in the international system
given by bipolarity, which made life relatively simple. There was only a single focus of
tension in international politics: between the USA and its allies and the USSR and its
allies. All other conflicts were subordinated to this relationship. Because of their
extensive ranges of influence the great powers were able to control—or attempt to control
with varying degrees of success—even the conflicts in which they were not directly
involved. The clearest examples of this ‘proxy control’ were the Middle East conflicts of
1967 and 1973, which the great powers could not prevent but which they successfully
controlled and limited.
The ‘spheres of influence’ of the two major powers became very well developed.
Indeed, so well demarcated did these become that it was possible for the USSR to quell
revolts in Hungary and Czechoslovakia without provoking anything other than diplomatic
protests from the NATO states. Europe thus became a very stable area, even if political
and economic change was virtually ruled out—security came at the price of political and
economic ossification. For almost fifty years the bipolar nature of the international
system enabled NATO to concentrate on a single potential opponent—a luxury denied to
any previous alliance. The presence of an organisation gave the opportunity to build a
bureaucratic machine to ensure political control as well as military command. If the
alliance was driven initially by a military-security imperative, it quickly added a
bureaucratic imperative to develop and sustain it.
In 1989–91 this cosy international system collapsed with the demise of the Warsaw
Treaty Organisation and the break-up of the Soviet Union. In Paris in November 1990
NATO and the Warsaw Pact formally declared that neither threatened the other and
effectively brought the Cold War to an end. This was quickly followed in 1991 by the
dissolution of the military structure of the Warsaw Pact in March and then by the
organisation itself in July. This was followed in December 1991 by the dissolution of the
Soviet Union itself. The end of the Cold War marked the end of bipolarity. The USSR
determined that Eastern Europe was no longer part of its security perimeter and that it
was no longer necessary to dominate those states that were once part of the WTO. This
opened the way for political and economic change in those states previously under Soviet
domination, and it also, significantly for NATO, opened up the possibility of change in
their international alignments.
NATO thereby ceased to have any obvious opponent. But despite this the alliance has
continued in existence and even plans to expand its membership. Partly this is by
continuing to offer the member states traditional military security, but, more significantly
perhaps as far as the states of what used to be termed Eastern Europe are concerned,
membership of the alliance offers political acceptability—entry to NATO is seen as a
‘reward’ for enduring the hardships of the transformation from a command economy to a
Issues in international relations 64
market economy and for the political transition to liberal democracy. The non-military
aspects of NATO have been emphasised as never before. Although economic and
environmental aspects of the North Atlantic Treaty have existed since its inception, they
have received only varied attention, usually when the ‘cement’ of military security
appeared to be either weakened or threatened.
Security has, therefore, changed in real terms as well as in perception. The USA no
longer faces a real threat to its geographical security and nor does Western Europe—
indeed the idea of Western Europe is one that is rapidly fading.
The disintegration of the WTO was not, therefore, an unmitigated blessing for NATO.
A new role was needed. The London Declaration of the North Atlantic Council (the
political body controlling NATO) in July 1990 reaffirmed, ‘that security and stability do
not lie solely in the military dimension and we intend to enhance the political component
of our alliance’ (NAC 1990). There followed a review of NATO’s strategy and tactics to
equip it better for the new, post-Cold War environment. Dissolution of NATO was never
considered. What constituted ‘security’ in this new world, where the physical threat to
state boundaries has receded? The emphasis moved from military preparedness to an
emphasis on dialogue and co-operation, the ideas of collective defence and the
management of crises, and the prevention of overt conflict.
Concomitant with these changes of emphasis on the political side was a response on
the military side to produce the much-vaunted ‘peace dividend’—a move to smaller
standing forces that were designed to be both more mobile and more versatile. This, in
turn, required a military strategy that was no longer based on ‘forward defence’ as the
size of the forces available and the degree of readiness would not permit such a strategy.
Besides, if WTO and the USSR no longer existed, there was no longer a defined threat
against which forward defence and flexible response could be directed. By November
1991, at its Rome meeting, the North Atlantic Council was able to declare that there was
a New Strategic Concept that laid emphasis on ‘risks’ rather than ‘threats’; that saw
European security as being indivisible and was able to invite Russia to develop a
relationship with NATO.
This was the outcome of a formidable bureaucratic organisation not only rewriting its
mission but redefining security for the alliance. This redefinition of security allowed
NATO thinking to begin to converge with that of the Conference on Security and Co-
operation in Europe—a much broader-based body concerned with crisis management.
NATO was now also actively thinking about actions ‘out of area’ as in the tumultuous
post-Cold War world the threats and risks to European security were now seen to
emanate from non-NATO Europe, and especially the Balkans. NATO also extended its
thinking by actively seeking to collaborate with the United Nations and in December
1992 agreed to consider support of ‘out of area’ activities on a case-by-case basis. The
following year NATO supported several UN peacekeeping efforts—e.g. NATO naval
forces supported the UN embargo on shipping in the Adriatic; NATO aircraft gave close
air support to UNPROFOR operating in Bosnia, and enforced the ‘no-fly’ zone. The
The contemporary nature of security 65
NATO Council also authorised air strikes to relieve Sarajevo. The policy of giving
support to the United Nations eventually went much further and led the alliance to
support the Dayton Agreements in November 1995 which led to the first ever NATO land
operation when over 60,000 troops, contributed by all the members of NATO, formed the
core of the Implementation Force (IFOR). Amazingly, only five years after the end of the
Cold War, the IFOR included Russians.
Not content with this physical manifestation of the redefinition of what constituted
European security, NATO also set out on a process of enlargement. In December 1994
the North Atlantic Council, meeting at foreign minister level, determined to establish to
principle of enlargement. This resulted in the NATO Enlargement Study which was
completed in the short time period of nine months. The study, presented in September
1995, was favourable to the idea of enlargement, but was insistent that the process took
place only as part of a wider process of pan-European security development, with the
goal of improving the security for all European states, whether NATO members or not.
This, of course, included Russia, but the study was clear that, although Russian interests
would be taken into consideration, there was no way in which Russia would exert a veto
on the expansion process or, indeed, on any other aspect of NATO activity.
By 1996 there existed a forum in which a pan-European security debate could take
place. The North Atlantic Co-operation Council, which held its first meeting in late 1991
as a result of initiatives taken by the North Atlantic Council, had by 1994 also developed
the ‘Partnership for Peace’, and by 1996 had some twenty-seven members determined to
expand their political and military co-operation, and to strengthen their relationship
through practical cooperation. As an illustration of their seriousness of purpose, the
nonNATO members of the Partnership for Peace quickly established permanent liaison
officers at NATO HQ in Brussels. When the decision to expand NATO was formally
announced there were many would-be members drawn from the Partnership for Peace.
From a large number of applicants only three were selected, at the North Atlantic Council
meeting in Madrid in July 1997, to form the ‘first wave’ of new members—Poland,
Hungary and the Czech Republic. They joined the alliance in 1999. The Madrid summit
also transformed the North Atlantic Co-operation Council into the new European Atlantic
Partnership Council, a clear attempt to move the transatlantic relationship into more
political and economic fields.
Expansion is not without its critics. If this expansion is part of a political process then
it runs the danger of offending, even alienating, those states rejected from membership
The contemporary nature of security 67
until the second, or even third, wave. If the expansion is for security reasons it may well
endanger the security of the existing members without necessarily contributing to the
military security of Europe as a whole. By extending the security periphery of NATO to
the borders of Belarus and the Ukraine, tensions might actually be increased rather than
ameliorated. The expansion of the NATO decision-making process by the addition of
three new members will, almost by definition, make decisionmaking even more difficult,
and thereby impede the effectiveness of NATO.
The issue of effectiveness is further highlighted by the need to integrate three ex-
Warsaw Pact states into the operating procedures and structure of the alliance. The cost
of this integration is clearly unknown and has been variously estimated at anything from
US$3 to 30 billion. To expend this sort of resource to create no obvious improvement in
security for the alliance—and maybe to create new areas of ‘risk’—has attracted much
criticism. This is especially so at a time when the resources for security are being
severely reduced—by anything up to 25 per cent in real terms since the end of the Cold
War—as member states seek the promised ‘peace dividend’.
Perhaps the most serious criticism of this process, however, is that it has ignored the
process of expansion in the European Union. If NATO expansion is more about
signalling political acceptability than military need or military logic, then to ignore the
process of EU expansion is to suggest that NATO has little concern for the overall well-
being of Europe.
There are, of course, arguments deployed in favour of expansion, but they are couched
in political rather than military terms. During the period of the Cold War there was a
great deal of political rhetoric that has created at least a moral and political obligation to
expand NATO—not to do so would be to renege on moral obligations. It is also
suggested that membership of NATO is in itself a part of that process of
democratisation—membership of an organisation that attempts to be transparent and
democratic will, it is argued, reinforce the process of democracy in those states so
recently released from the thrall of a socialist system (the earlier admission of Spain to
the alliance is a much-quoted precedent). ‘Why not?’ is also seen as a powerful argument.
+
• political and moral obligation arising out of Cold War rhetoric
• why refuse democratic states entry?
• entry will reinforce democracy in Eastern and Central Europe
• membership will enlarge zone of stability in Europe
• transforms NATO from Cold War alliance into suitable security
organisation for next century
−
•at time when defence budgets being cut not time to take on new
Issues in international relations 68
responsibilities
•costs to new members and to NATO
•are these states all stable and what will they contribute?
•how to avoid offending those initially refused?
•how to avoid offending Russia?
•creation of a new dividing line in Europe?
•will enlargement undermine effectiveness of NATO and its decision-
making?
If the arguments in favour of expansion are political—and they appear to be—then the
lack of convergence with the EU becomes more clearly a matter of criticism and concern.
If the definition of ‘security’ is now written more broadly—and we have seen earlier how
the concept of security has been widened from purely military security to encompass
other elements—the idea of NATO expansion only has validity in the context of this
broader framework, and must clearly be linked to the issue of EU expansion. There are
five aspiring members of the EU, including the three states that recently joined NATO.
Linking the economic and military expansion of Europe and its institutions would
reinforce the broader definition of security, and the rigorous economic obligations
required to join the EU would ensure that the new member states had the economic
capacity to meet defence obligations. Such a linking would also ensure that the
Partnership for Peace was seen as the most appropriate forum for the non-NATO
members to discuss security and develop modes of co-operation.
There has been a major change in perceptions of security within the last decade. This has
been accompanied by a broader academic debate about the nature and boundaries of
security. Despite the quality and persuasiveness of some of the academic argument and
the changes that have taken place in the empirical world, the international political
system nonetheless remains organised into sovereign states. Although the notion of what
constitutes security has undoubtedly been debated more widely than ever before, and the
definition may indeed have been broadened, the military instrument is still the one that
is/will be used in the final analysis in defence of the sovereign state. The dominance of
the military in perceptions of security remains. It is recognised that there are other
problems—some of them very serious, and some that pose major potential threats to
civilisation—but they do not pose security threats. These problems, especially perhaps
environmental ones, may lend themselves to resolution through novel forms of
collaboration and co-operation, but the sovereign state, which itself remains the dominant
form of international organisation, still chooses to resolve security issues through
traditional military means. Security will thus remain for the foreseeable future a concern
The contemporary nature of security 69
of the state, and its study will tend to continue to be ethnocentric. This does not imply,
however, that it has to be thought of as confrontational or exclusively militaristic. NATO
provides an interesting example of flexibility with its increasing interest in environmental
matters and with a willingness to expand its membership in a manner that might be
thought to be contrary to a classical security reasoning. But flexibility does not mean the
abandonment of traditional security.
Those wishing to witness a new era of international politics, with a new definition of
security with the advent of the new millennium, are destined to be disappointed.
Thucydides can rest in peace.
REFERENCES
FURTHER READING
What causes war? This question has interested many kinds of people. It is not too much
of an exaggeration to say that International Relations (IR), as an academic subject, was
created to investigate it. Even though IR has come to encompass a broad range of issues,
‘what causes war’ remains one of the central preoccupations of many scholars in this
field.
One of the reasons why you wish to study IR may perhaps be that you expect to find
the answer to that question. If so, you may be disappointed to learn that the question has
not been given any definitive answer despite considerable effort on the part of very many
specialists. But you ought not to be too disturbed by this fact. For if the question has
remained unanswered, there may be something wrong with the question itself. What I
intend to do in this chapter is to suggest some more sensible alternatives, and to deal with
them one by one.
But why, you may ask, should I suggest that ‘What causes war?’ is not a very helpful
question? My reason is that it is not entirely clear what, as it stands, the question is
asking. There are two sources of uncertainty in the formulation.
First, we need to know what the word ‘war’ means. Unless we know this, of course, we
have no hope of discovering what causes war. However, it is difficult to state what ‘war’
really means because there are different ways in which the term can be defined. I think
that it is impossible to determine that any particular definition is the true one at the
exclusion of plausible others.
I therefore wish to state that, in this chapter, I focus on war between states, without, of
course, implying that there are no other types of war. Civil wars are touched on later, but
they are peripheral to my main concern. Nor will I deal with war between non-state
entities, such as tribal or gang wars. Moreover, the Cold War, military crises and mere
legal states of war (not involving actual fighting) are excluded from the discussion. The
well-known Correlates of War Project definition of interstate war—conflict involving at
least one member of an interstate system on each side of the war, resulting in a total of
1,000 or more battle deaths—is roughly what I have in mind as a guideline in the
following discussion.1
On the causes of war 71
• interstate core
• correlates of War Project definition: 1,000+deaths
• different definitions but uncontroversial core
You may feel that this is to focus too narrowly on one type of war at the expense of
certain others. This is a fair point. But there are three reasons for my decision to focus on
one type of war. First, whatever other forms of war there may be, the sort dealt with here
is still the uncontroversial core of what we normally mean by ‘war’. Second, a reasonably
discrete body of literature on the causes of war in the narrow sense has emerged in recent
decades, and it is convenient to focus on it. Third, examining all sorts of claims about
what causes war in the narrow sense is difficult enough. A more extensive study ought to
be attempted later.
I remarked earlier that there are two sources of uncertainty in the question ‘What
causes war?’ The first source was ‘war’; the second is the word ‘cause’. ‘What causes
war?’ may mean ‘What are the conditions which must be present for wars to be able to
occur at all?’ Notice that, when reformulated in this way, the question is not about the
actual occurrence of any particular war, but about the very possibility of war itself.
Second, however, someone who says ‘What causes war?’ may be asking ‘What,
generally speaking, leads to the outbreaks of war?’ This is quite a natural thing to ask.
But this question, in turn, is slightly ambiguous in its present formulation. Someone who
asks this may be interested in finding out the sorts of circumstances which are statistically
highly likely to be followed by war. There are many specialists, mainly in the United
States, who are trying to answer this version of the question. These statisticians look into
a large number of cases all at once without seeking to establish the causes of each. It is
also possible, however, that someone who says, ‘What, generally speaking, leads to the
outbreaks of war?’ does so as an afterthought, having already answered several questions
of the following form: ‘What caused this particular war?’ This is different from the
statisticians’ way in that it examines a number of cases one by one, trying to establish the
causes of each.
However, questions of this last form—‘What caused this particular war?’—may also
be asked without any expectation that they will lead to a general conclusion. Indeed,
historians of international relations often say that such an expectation is quite futile. But
there are some historians, as well as social scientists, who are interested in generalising
about international relations, and about the phenomenon of war in particular, after
studying some specific cases.
All this may sound terribly complicated, which it is in a sense. Even some very famous
writers on the causes of war have failed at times to separate these questions clearly, and
this has often caused them to reach unwarranted conclusions about the subject. Let me
therefore summarise the above remarks by stating that at least three kinds of question
arise under the title of ‘the causes of war’: a first relates to the very possibility of war, a
Issues in international relations 72
second to a high probability of war and a third to the actual occurrence of war.
(a) ‘What are the conditions which must be present for wars to occur?’;
To put it in the language which some specialists use, these questions are asking for
‘necessary conditions, or prerequisites, of war’, ‘statistical correlates of war’, and ‘origins
of particular wars’, respectively. In this chapter I shall deal with the above three questions
in turn, under the three corresponding headings: ‘prerequisites’, ‘correlates’ and ‘origins’.
I ought to state at this stage that the following discussion is not primarily a literature
survey of who said what about which question, although a few examples are introduced
to illustrate my argument at various points. Nor is what follows a list of what caused
which war, or of more general causes of war, although, again, some examples are
mentioned as we proceed. The discussion below is designed largely to help new students
think about the causes of war. The emphasis is prominently on thinking. This is
somewhat unusual. Most introductory works on the theme of the causes of war, and,
more broadly, international relations in general, are not written in this way. This, in my
view, is a mistake. We need to attend, at all stages, to the issue of how to think about
whatever subject interests us. The earlier this is noticed, the better.
PREREQUISITES
Prerequisites of war are those conditions in the absence of any one of which war would
be impossible. It is easy to see why this is an important question to ask. If we identify
them, and if we can remove any one of them, we can eliminate all future wars—perhaps
in much the same way as we have eliminated smallpox by getting rid of the virus.
International anarchy
One answer which has been suggested very commonly in this connection is ‘international
anarchy’. Unlike, for example, the United States of America, the world as a whole has no
central government. The absence of a central government from the international sphere is
called ‘international anarchy’. It is often said that this makes war possible, although it is
usually added that this does not cause any particular war.
On the causes of war 73
Now it may be quite obvious that the absence of a government above states makes it
possible for them to fight wars. Much less obviously, however, war can occur even in the
presence of government. To see this point, imagine that a world government has been
created. Who is to say that this government will never be challenged? Just as the United
States of America had to go through a civil war (1861–5), it is easy to imagine the United
States of the World going through a global civil war. In substance, such a war would be
similar to a world war between two or more coalitions of states.
In short, if international anarchy makes war possible, then a world government does
not rule it out either. Against this, you may be tempted to say that the former enables war
more than the latter. But this is not a very good step to take if you want to make your
argument with precision. ‘Enabling’ is the same as ‘making possible’, and this in turn is
the same as ‘making not impossible’: there is no halfway house between ‘possible’ and
‘impossible’. Since war is ‘not impossible’ either under international anarchy or under a
world government, you cannot say that the former enables war more than the latter.
This kind of argument may seem like ‘playing with words’, which it is, but you cannot
escape it. Some play it well, others less so, and it is among those who play it less well
that confusions arise. It is one of the purposes of any academic study to reduce
confusions, and to do so we must use our words precisely.
In saying that international anarchy enables war more than a world government, then, you
may have meant that war is more probable under the former than the latter. Note that
‘probability’, unlike ‘possibility’, varies in degree: it could be expressed in percentages.
But, I am bound to ask, how do you know that the probability of war is higher under
international anarchy than under a world government? You are, I think, saying this only
because you imagine a world government to be an effective one. But is your imagination
realistic? For me, it is difficult to imagine a single government ruling the whole world
very effectively, when, in fact, many governments have failed to rule societies on much
more manageable scales—that is, within separate states. Think of the Soviet Union,
Lebanon, Somalia, Yugoslavia, Rwanda and many other examples of ‘failed states’.
Furthermore, even though all states live under international anarchy, most states live in
peace most of the time. Indeed, among some states, constituting what some specialists
Issues in international relations 74
call ‘a security community’, war has become practically unthinkable, in much the same
way as genocide has become practically inconceivable as a means of governance within
many states.
We have no good reason, then, to believe that war is more probable under international
anarchy than under a world government. To sum up: war is possible under international
anarchy or under a world government; whether war is more probable under the former
than the latter cannot be answered in the abstract. Since war is possible whether or not the
world is anarchical, the common assertion that international anarchy is a prerequisite of
war must be rejected.
ELIMINATING WARS
Now that we have identified a couple of prerequisites of war, we should discuss whether
either of them could be removed. It seems clear to me that there is little point in
discussing this question with respect to (a) above. Human beings cannot cease to live in
societies. What could happen, in my view, is a gradual shift in the meaning the human
race attach to the fact that they form different societies, and, in particular, belong to
different states. To put it in another way, this is a shift in the prevailing conception of
what international relations are about.
As we noted in connection with (b) above, counties no longer conceive of themselves
as war-fighting entities, but states currently do. It may be too idealistic to imagine that, in
a parallel fashion, states may one day entirely cease to think of themselves as war-
fighting entities.
But the range of circumstances in which states consider it appropriate to resort to war
has shifted historically, and has in fact narrowed considerably in the latter part of the
twentieth century. For example, war for territorial gains is no longer seen to be
acceptable, rarely happens in fact, and usually fails (as Iraq’s invasion of Kuwait has
recently shown). It is also the case that between some states war has become practically
inconceivable: for example, among countries of particular regions, such as Scandinavia,
constituting ‘security communities’; rich industrialised nations of the world; or, perhaps
more broadly, liberal democratic countries.
It is not unrealistic, then, to imagine that war will become less acceptable among more
Issues in international relations 76
states. Such a development will not rule out the possibility of war, but that would be to
ask too much. Expanding the realm in which war is practically unthinkable is enough to
aim at, and that is not an unrealistic goal.
In the relationship between any two countries, war may, on the one hand, continue to
be considered as an appropriate mode of interaction under certain circumstances. On the
other hand, war may become practically unthinkable in their relationship. Whether their
relationship follows the first path or the second would depend crucially on the degree of
alienation between the two peoples concerned. If war ceases to be an option, it will be
because by and large the two peoples consider themselves as forming a special kind of
community.
This does not mean that the two peoples cease to have separate identities, or that the
territorial boundaries disappear between them. What will have changed is the meaning
the two peoples attach to having separate identities or living on opposite sides of the
borders. They will treat each other not as an obstacle to manipulate or remove, but a
partner in a dialogue, a collaborator in joint decisions. How such a transformation has
taken place and what, if anything, can be done now to encourage it are among the most
intriguing and important questions of International Relations.
CORRELATES
Those who support the line of argument advanced in the above few paragraphs see the
history of international relations as evolutionary, or potentially so. There are, however,
those who see them as cyclical or repetitious.
Some of them think that this is largely inescapable: in the world of anarchy and
competition, in their view, there can be no real progress. By contrast, others believe that
past regularities in the field of International Relations, when properly identified, can be
used by governments to avoid repeating some of their past mistakes. Those who seek to
identify statistical correlates of war are of this type. Enabling the governments to predict
and control international affairs so as to reduce the frequency and intensity of war is their
chief objective.
Very many books and articles have been published along this path. The further reading
section at the end of this chapter should help you identify some useful summaries of such
works. Here I wish to examine just one example, reporting an exceptionally strong
correlation, in order to illustrate the problems and prospects of this line of approach.
On the basis of this result, Wallace claims that rapid competitive military growth
constitutes at least a valuable early warning indicator of the escalation of military
confrontations into war. But can the governments of the great powers reduce wars
between them in the future by acting on Wallace’s prediction? To examine this, I wish to
raise the following three questions:
• Is the correlation Wallace found accurate with respect to the period 1816–1965?
• If so, is it right to expect a similar statistical association to continue in the future?
• If so, does a runaway arms race constitute a valuable early warning indicator of war?
There are a number of reasons why the two sets of findings diverge so much. Rather
disturbingly perhaps, the most important source of discrepancy between them turns out to
be quite elementary: how to count things.
According to Wallace’s method, where States A and B are engaged in a serious dispute
or war against States C and D, there is deemed to be not just one serious dispute or war,
but as many as four: A versus C; A versus D; B versus C; and B versus D. By contrast,
according to Diehl’s method, such a case constitutes just one serious dispute or war: (A
and B) versus (C and D).
In Wallace’s view, there were, as we noted, twenty-three cases of serious dispute,
accompanied by a runaway arms race, which escalated into war. Of these cases, however,
nine were integral to the First World War, which is usually considered as one war, and
ten to the Second World War, which may be seen as two wars, one in Europe and one in
Asia-Pacific. It is not surprising, then, that Diehl’s new counting method has resulted in
the collapse of ten cases, which, in Wallace’s study, fit the ‘arms race-escalation’
sequence, into three integrated ones. Diehl has added a few other adjustments, all tending
to deflate the strong correlation asserted by Wallace.
Even though, at first sight, Diehl’s critique of Wallace is quite persuasive, it appears on
reflection that Diehl’s counting procedures cannot necessarily claim to be the more
accurate. What Diehl has successfully demonstrated, nevertheless, is that Wallace’s
findings (as well as Diehl’s own) are inevitably a function of his counting method.
But let us not pursue the question of accuracy further since there is no space here to
delve into the relative merits of Wallace’s and Diehl’s counting procedures.4 Besides, it
would be unfair to criticise Wallace for not having achieved what is in principle
unachievable—to present an accurate statistical description of the world which is
independent of any counting methods: indeed, it is well worth noticing that there is no
such thing as a pure portrayal, statistical or otherwise, so transparent that, through it, the
real world process is made directly accessible to our senses. Still, a new problem arises,
which has to do with prediction, or more technically, ‘extrapolation’.
Already, armed forces may have been mobilised, war may have been declared, and
enemy territory may have been occupied. This comes to qualify as ‘war’, according to the
Correlates of War Project definition Wallace uses, if it involves at least 1,000 battle-
related fatalities. How can the two countries involved be expected to prevent just a few
more moves—a few more bomb blasts even—that would be sufficient to turn the
situation into a full-scale war? The answer must be ‘with enormous difficulty’, even if
both parties were serious in their desire to avoid such an eventuality. This is because
neither side can, at this late stage, trust the other to be peaceful in its intent. In short,
Wallace’s ‘early warning’ comes too late to be useful.
However, I am not persuaded by the diluted view held by the second group, either. My
own reading of the literature suggests that historical generalisations concerning the
causes of war are arrived at only because the investigators select and represent several
cases in a particular way, disregarding thereby the possibility of contending
interpretations. When a general conclusion is drawn with respect to a number of cases, it
is not because these cases tell similar stories: the investigators do, and they do so from
their chosen perspectives. The lessons of history are already there in the minds of the
investigators, although they present their lessons as though they were drawn from history
as it actually was.
This does not mean that I accept the view of the third group entirely. In particular, I do
not think that the stories of the origins of wars are so diverse that there are only
differences, not similarities. Nor do I think that satisfying intellectual curiosity is the
only, or the most important, function that writing history fulfils. These points will
become clearer in the next section.
ORIGENS
At the beginning of this chapter, I stated that three kinds of question arise with respect to
the causes of war. We now come to the third kind: ‘What caused this particular war?’
The answer to this would obviously depend on what ‘this particular war’ was. ‘What
caused the Falklands War?’ and ‘What caused the Gulf War?’ are two different questions,
to which different answers are expected—only one of them refers to Saddam Hussein, for
example. You may therefore feel that there is no point in dealing with the question ‘What
caused this particular war?’ in the abstract; what we should do now is to investigate
causes of particular wars, one by one.
Not only do I have no space to do that here, but I think that considering the question in
the abstract is an important, much neglected exercise. We ought to make clear what the
question is asking when, with respect to any particular war, it says, ‘What caused it?’ We
ought also to consider what sort of answer is normally treated as a plausible or acceptable
one. Not only is it necessary to know what the question is asking before we attempt to
answer it, but it is interesting to know what shape standard answers take in response to
Issues in international relations 82
questions of this sort. For this reveals that even though the answers given to the questions
of this sort are diverse, there are nevertheless some similarities among them. My own
view is that the range of answers is in fact quite limited in outline. A neglected question
is not what caused this or that particular war, but what effect it will have to keep on
asking this sort of question, and continue to answer in a way that I believe is standardised
to an extent.
All this, I admit, is too condensed, and probably rather unexpected. Let me therefore
reconstruct my moves step by step, beginning with a brief analysis of a causal
explanation, for, surely, this is where we ought to begin.
Causal explanations
Some people believe, very firmly, that a causal explanation of a particular outcome, such
as an outbreak of war, consists of a combination of two kinds of statement: (a) a
statement of a law, asserting that whenever a particular type of situation exists, it is
always followed by an outbreak of war; and (b) a statement of the fact that the particular
type of situation existed before the outbreak of the war in question.
But those people are mistaken. When (a) and (b) are combined, all that follows from
them is a statement that a war broke out. This is quite unhelpful because we already knew
that a war had broken out. Indeed, it was because we knew that a war broke out, and
because we felt puzzled about this, that we came to demand a causal explanation. No
amount of reassurance that a war broke out will do anything to solve any of our puzzles
about its outbreak.
Besides, it is just as well that the combination of (a) and (b) does not constitute an
answer we are seeking. There are no known laws concerning the outbreak of war, which
would have meant that a causal explanation was impossible, had it been the case that (a)
and (b) were both needed to present a causal account. Trivially, of course, there may be a
law to the effect that whenever there is a declaration of war, war breaks out. But, it is
easy to see, this and the statement of the fact that there was indeed a declaration of war
do nothing to solve our puzzles about the occurrence of war.
So what is involved in giving a causal explanation of an outbreak of war? It is pertinent
to consider what sort of people will ask such a question.
By experience I know that my three-year-old son will not. Even though he has learned
to ask questions (and that has taken many months since he uttered his first words), the
range of questions he asks is very limited indeed. This is so because his knowledge of the
world is still exceedingly limited. He does not know—fortunately—that there is such a
thing as war. He does know, I think, that many things will not remain the same: his
goldfish died. But he does not know, I am sure, that countries which are at peace at one
time may be at war at another. He does not yet know that there are countries.
It will be many years from now when he realises that Britain and Japan were enemies
at one time (1941–5) even though they are at peace now. He will also learn that the two
countries were allies between 1902 and 1921. And it is only when he learns of these facts
that he is in principle capable of becoming curious about how the transition took place,
why the war occurred. In reaching this degree of intellectual maturity, he will have
acquired an enormous amount of knowledge about the world—what names things have,
On the causes of war 83
which things exist and which do not, how things change, what happened in the past, what
is possible and impossible, how the world works, and more.
His intellectual grasp, or understanding, of the world will more or less cohere with that
of those others with whom he lives and communicates. And he will have learned to
believe or disbelieve new pieces of information on the basis of their coherence with his
overall understanding of the world. At various points, however, he will, perhaps
reluctantly, accept what he initially disbelieves, and make gradual adjustments to his
overall grasp of the world.
What this half-imagined story illustrates is this: it is only when people already have a
vast amount of general knowledge and particular pieces of information that they come to
have some specific puzzles about some item, such as the war between Britain and Japan.
It is a function of a causal explanation to try to solve some of these puzzles. It is not a
function of such an explanation to clarify everything to someone who knows or
understands nothing, but to add some more information to what they already know, or to
add new information which undermines what they thought they knew.
Now, there is some difference between me trying to answer my son’s specific
questions about the war between Britain and Japan and me writing a book on the causes
of that war.
In the former case, I can engage in a dialogue, and try to answer my son’s questions as
he raises them. My answers will be shaped by my son’s idiosyncratic interests—what he
finds particularly puzzling, where he lacks knowledge, and so on. My answers, if put
together afterwards, would require much editing to yield a coherent whole.
By contrast, in the latter case, my act will be a public one, where the audience is
expected to follow my explanation from the beginning to the end, without interrupting me
with their questions. I will assume a certain common level of knowledge/ignorance on the
part of my audience, have a reasonably clear view of what needs explaining and what
does not, and will try to give a coherent account in one go, so to speak.
To give a causal explanation of the outbreak of a particular war—or to give an account
of its origins—is, I assume, typified by the latter kind of activity. According to the
conventional way, this involves narrating from the beginning, wherever that might be,
through the middle, whichever route that might take, to the very end, where the war in
question broke out, and to do so in such a way that, by following the narrative, the
outcome is rendered more intelligible than before the explanation was given.
In short, when, with respect to some particular war, we ask, ‘What caused it?’, what we
are demanding primarily is a narrative account of its origins. We may, of course, want
slightly more than this, namely ‘what caused it’ in the sense of ‘what the main cause of it
was’. But this is to demand the point of the narrative, a summary account, compressed to
its essence. Either way, we cannot do without a narrative account.
Before I embarked on the discussion of ‘causal explanation’, I remarked that it will be
interesting to know what shape standard answers take when dealing with questions of the
form, ‘What caused this particular war?’ This can now be interpreted to mean what shape
narrative accounts of war origins take. I want to move on to this issue. This is a
necessary step towards revealing that, even though the answers given to the questions of
this sort are diverse, there are nevertheless some similarities among them. The main
sources of such similarities will be clarified in the course of the discussion below.
Issues in international relations 84
• depiction of background
• significant chance coincidences
• elucidation of mechanistic processes
• identification of key moves of governments’ involved
Government actions
There is no denying the fact that governments engage in all sorts of behaviour, but the
main kinds of move they are said to make in the processes leading to outbreaks of war are
limited in variety. Obviously, for war to occur there must be, first, acts with belligerent
intent and, second, resistance. The former category includes any act motivated by a clear
intent, immediately or at some later stage, to force upon the opponent a choice between
surrender and war. The latter is a refusal, when confronted, to surrender immediately.
Since resistance is an entirely normal reaction, it tends to be assumed, rather than
explicitly stated, in the narrative of war origins. By contrast, a detailed explanation is
usually offered with respect to belligerent intent. This, as defined above, is a broad
category, and includes a variety of preparatory measures, undertaken with a clear intent
to start a war at a later stage, as well as an actual use of force at the start of a war. When
such acts, of a preparatory nature, were committed long before the actual outbreak of
war, we say that the war was ‘premeditated’; but, in many cases, it is difficult to supply
evidence for premeditation.
There are three other important points to notice with respect to ‘acts with belligerent
intent’. First, they need not be of an aggressive, unreasonable kind. They can be
committed, for example, to embark on a punitive war against an unreasonable enemy, as
On the causes of war 87
is usually said to have been done against Iraq in 1991 by the United States and its allies.
Second, ‘acts with belligerent intent’ may be undertaken in relative freedom, or in
desperation with a strong sense that there was no alternative. A standard case to illustrate
the latter is Japan’s decision to attack the United States in 1941 at Pearl Harbor. Third, no
matter how reluctant both parties are to enter into a war, there would be no war without
one party committing an act with belligerent intent. The implication of this is that there is
no such thing as an accidental war. Of course, there may be accidents that lead to wars,
but the wars resulting from them are not themselves accidents. It must, however, be
acknowledged that most wars are largely unintended, if by ‘wars’ we mean not just their
outbreaks but their costs and outcomes.
Now, to reach the stage where one state confronts another with a choice between an
immediate surrender and war, a number of other moves will normally have been made by
their (and perhaps some other) governments. Conventionally, these moves are
characterised in terms of the four criteria in Box 4.10.
• contributory negligence
• insensitivity
• thoughtlessness
• recklessness
The apparent fact that in narratives of war origins government actions are characterised in
terms of a very small set of criteria reveals the main reason why such stories show
resemblances. Similar acts are committed from time to time, here and there in the
different narratives. Further, the fact that the criteria used to characterise relevant actions
of the governments are quite transparently legalistic shows the extent to which these
stories resemble legal arguments. They are concerned chiefly to indicate who, or what,
was to blame for the outbreak of war under consideration. Moreover, the fact that people
may differ in their judgements, for example, as to whether a particular act constituted
‘contributory negligence’, and, if so, whether that was more significant than the
‘recklessness’ of the adversary’s act, shows why histories of war origins tend to take on a
quality similar to legal disputes. Finally, however, it should be noted that, unlike legal
disputes, historical controversies are open-ended: there are no well-articulated laws in
this area (only some contending notions about what is reasonable behaviour in
international relations), and there are no final decisions which cannot be overturned.
Given that no answer to the type of question under consideration is likely to be final, you
may perhaps wonder what is served by asking such questions.
One way to deal with this question is to ask whether it would be better to stop asking
such questions. The answer must be categorically in the negative. It is impossible for
people living in states in the modern world not to have histories about themselves and
their relationships, and these include histories of the origins of their wars. To stop asking
questions about them because there were no final answers would be to sanctify whatever
happened to be the dominant versions as the only true ones. We ought not to abandon the
freedom to challenge whatever the orthodox historical views happen to say, for to do so
would probably be to abandon our freedom to think critically about our own societies.
On the causes of war 89
It also seems to me that the overall effect of continuing to raise the type of question
under consideration is to keep alive the notion that war is something for which the
governments, and the citizens, are responsible. It is what governments deliberately do
that brings about actual outbreaks of war. Of course, this does not mean that governments
always wilfully bring about wars. The truth is that their actions are constrained by the
international and domestic frameworks in which they operate and the circumstances in
which they make choices. But to acknowledge this is to imply that the environment in
which governments work ought to be improved. What this means and how this can be
achieved are important questions for International Relations.
In the above discussion, I commented extensively on three kinds of question which arise
under the rubric of the causes of war: ‘What are the conditions which must be present for
wars to occur?’; ‘Under what sorts of circumstance have wars occurred more
frequently?’; and ‘What caused this particular war?’
In relation to the first question, the most noteworthy point was that war is made
possible by a particular belief human beings have about the proper functions of their
societies. This made it possible to suggest how the world could become more peaceful. In
brief, people will have to learn to treat each other not as an obstacle to manipulate or
remove, but a partner in a dialogue, a collaborator in joint decisions. How such a
transformation has taken place and what, if anything, can be done now to encourage it
were said to be among the most intriguing and important questions of International
Relations.
In connection with the third question, it was argued that one of the main functions of
historical enquiry into the origins of particular wars is to keep alive the notion that
governments, and peoples, are responsible for the occurrence of particular wars. In this
connection it was observed that the domestic and international environment in which
governments operate may have to be improved. What this means and how this can be
achieved were said to be important questions for International Relations.
These are two similar conclusions, pointing to the importance of investigating how
relationships between different peoples and between their governments could improve.
You will not be surprised to hear—given my discussion of the second question—that, in
my view, it is probably more fruitful to investigate this than to try to identify useful early
warning indicators of war.
However, to the extent that investigating how the world could now become more
peaceful involves enquiring how the world did become more peaceful in the past,
problems associated with this question will have to be addressed again. In particular, we
will need to face the question of whether any specific interpretation of the past is more
acceptable than its alternatives; we need to consider whether extrapolation from the past
to the present is warranted in the case in hand; and we need to ask whether the knowledge
derived from the past can effectively be used in the present or to shape the future.
Issues in international relations 90
NOTES
This chapter benefits from the Oxford University Press’s permission to let me use parts of
my book, On the Causes of War (Oxford: Clarendon Press, 1996). In the process of
writing a shorter piece for a new audience, however, I made some modifications to my
earlier views. I am grateful to Andrew Linklater and Debbie Lisle for their very helpful
comments on the first draft.
1 J.D.Singer and M.Small, The Wages of War (New York: Wiley, 1972), p. 381.
Singer and Small are the leading figures in the Correlates of War Project.
2 See M.D.Wallace, ‘Arms Races and Escalation: Some New Evidence’, Journal of
Conflict Resolution, Vol. 23 (1979), pp. 3–16. My exposition of Wallace’s argument
here is based on my reading of this article.
3 P.F.Diehl, ‘Arms Races and Escalation: A Closer Look’, Journal of Peace Research,
Vol. 20 (1983), pp. 205–12. My exposition of Diehl’s argument here is based on my
reading of this article.
4 See, for more details, H.Suganami, On the Causes of War (Oxford: Clarendon Press,
1996), pp. 94–9.
5 See, for more details, ibid., pp. 159ff.
6 Lord Franks, et al., The Franks Report: Falkland Islands Review (London: Pimlico,
1992), introduction by Alex Danchev, pp. xiii–xiv.
FURTHER READING
* The views expressed in this chapter are those of Steven Haines and should not be interpreted as
the official position of the Royal Navy, the Ministry of Defence or any other department of HM
Government.
Military intervention and international law 93
Arguably, ethical, moral and legal questions are increasingly displacing purely realist
considerations in the process of decision-making in international politics. In the United
Kingdom, for example, the new Labour Government announced, shortly after its victory
in the 1997 general election, its intention to conduct its foreign policy within an ethical
framework. The Foreign and Commonwealth Office’s (FCO’s) mission statement,
launched by Foreign Secretary Robin Cook on 12 May 1997, articulates in particular its
commitment to human rights and its determination to ‘use the status of the UK at the UN
to secure more effective international action to keep the peace of the world’. Mr Cook
went on to state that the ‘fourth goal of our foreign policy is to secure the respect of other
nations…our foreign policy must have an ethical dimension’. Implicit in what this
mission statement says is an intention both to take due notice of the internal human rights
records of states when deciding on the nature of the UK’s relationship with them and to
contribute to attempts to resolve international disputes.
The proof of the pudding is in the eating and the sceptics will undoubtedly remark that
such words will not necessarily drive actions when fundamental questions of national
interest are at stake. However, in the UK’s recent Strategic Defence Review one of the
features of the new security situation that was acknowledged was that the most
fundamental of core interests for the UK—territorial integrity and political
independence—are not under any current direct threat. As a consequence, the UK, along
with most other states of Western Europe, has a substantial degree of choice when it
comes to actions related to international relations and security. One obvious conclusion to
be drawn from this is that decisions about military involvement in the wider world can be
less driven by the imperatives of raw national interest and more influenced by moral and
ethical considerations.
With that possibility very much in mind it will be useful and timely to discuss the use
of military forces from a legal perspective. International law has important things to say
about the use of the military instrument in the conduct of contemporary international
relations and is itself a guide to what is—and what is not—considered, generally, to be
acceptable international behaviour. Admittedly, it is but one of the valid perspectives and
should not be regarded as the only way of approaching the issues raised by it. Indeed, it is
also important to stress that an examination of the law will not necessarily reveal the
Issues in international relations 94
moral and ethical issues. All that this chapter aims to do, therefore, is offer some key
markers on the legal framework for the use of armed forces. It is by no means setting out
the universally definitive statement on ‘military intervention’, but will hopefully help its
readers to shape their own views on the issues it discusses.
One should always beware definitions that are too wide-ranging, of course. If too
inclusive they become virtually worthless, except as fascinating academic exercises in
linguistic dexterity. Some may well serve to confuse rather than enlighten. We
instinctively know what something means until, that is, we set out to define it, when we
have our initial assumptions challenged.
Military intervention and international law 95
In recent years, under the auspices of NATO’s Partnership for Peace initiative, military
personnel engaged in ‘defence diplomacy’ have been giving advice to former Soviet
republics on a wide range of military issues. Would such very basic advice fall within the
definition of ‘military intervention’? The instinctive and, it must be said, obvious answer
is an emphatic ‘No’. In stark contrast, the US involvement in Vietnam is clearly regarded
by the bulk of International Relations analysts as one of the more profound examples of
‘military intervention’ in the twentieth century. But it is worth asking when the US
‘intervention’ actually began. Did it start with the deployment of the first US combat
forces into South Vietnam during the Kennedy administration or had it already started
some years earlier with the deployment of military advisers in the 1950s? If some
military advisers can be involved in a form of ‘military intervention’, at what point does
mere advice become ‘intervention’? Perhaps ‘military intervention’ is directly related to
combat/security operations and not simply routine military training or the provision of
low-level advice about military organisation and force structures. That was presumably
the US Government’s view in relation to Vietnam in the late 1950s and very early 1960s.
This question of military intervention was, of course, raised again by the US
involvement in Central America during the Reagan administration. The legal issue at
stake was the legality of the provision of US support to guerrilla forces (the ‘Contras’)
opposed to the left-wing Sandanista Government in Nicaragua. A case was taken to the
International Court of Justice by Nicaragua, but the USA refused to accept the court’s
jurisdiction. Nevertheless, the ICJ declared that it did have jurisdiction and went on to
find against the USA on a number of counts.
In coming to their own conclusions about how to define ‘military intervention’ and the
legality or otherwise of it, students of international politics are able to consult a growing
range of articles and books that deal with the subject; they do not have to look far for
inspiration. The bulk of the literature written from an international relations perspective
looks, quite understandably, at questions of policy. It provides a great deal of information
on why interventions have taken place, how they have been conducted and the policy
lessons learned in the process. However, in an age of internationalism, in which the rights
and wrongs of political actions are subject to global scrutiny, be they domestic or
international in their orientation, one cannot afford to gloss over general normative or
legal considerations.
This chapter is concerned with intervention in international law. One useful legal
definition runs as follows: ‘the forcible or dictatorial interference of a state in the affairs
of another state, calculated to impose certain conduct or consequences on that other
Issues in international relations 96
state’ (Jennings and Watts 1996:430) Students of international politics may find this a
somewhat narrow definition, strictly related as it is to interference in the internal affairs
of another state. There is no doubt, as already discussed, that in more general usage
‘military intervention’ encompasses a very much wider range of military operations than
its legal definition implies. Nevertheless, it is especially important to appreciate that there
is a difference between, on the one hand, military operations aimed at influencing the
internal affairs of a state and, on the other, operations whose purpose is to influence the
outcome of an international dispute between two or more state parties.
It is also important to acknowledge that, in a great many cases, international disputes
will have internal domestic dimensions and that the internal affairs of one state may be
the root cause of international disagreement or, indeed, constitute a threat to international
peace and security. There are no easy lines of demarcation; no straightforward categories
that will invariably apply. Nevertheless, for clarity of legal understanding it is most
appropriate to consider the two forms of military operation separately. Even when
military activity serves both ‘internal’ and ‘international’ security purposes, with
apparently very little scope for distinguishing between the two, the legal distinction may
still have relevance to the particular circumstances of each case and may also, for
example, have an influence on the way that individual soldiers conduct themselves.
Given that perhaps the most instinctive understanding among non-legal observers of
international politics is that ‘military intervention’ includes the use of military forces to
intervene in international disputes, we will deal briefly with this form of intervention
first, before moving on to the currently more contentious issue of military operations
focused on a state’s internal circumstances.
An examination of military operations that have taken place since the Second World War
seems to point to the emergence of three different categories of intervention for the
purpose of influencing an international dispute. There is what might be described as
‘partial intervention’, when military forces are deployed in support of one side or another
in a dispute. Second, there is ‘impartial intervention’ when military forces are deployed
between disputing states and attempt to act as honest brokers to aid dispute resolution.
Finally, there are ‘enforcement actions’ that involve the application of UN-endorsed
military sanctions in accordance with Chapter VII of the UN Charter.
Partial intervention
Partial intervention is nothing new, including, as it does, any instance in history in which
one state has provided military assistance to another to resolve an international dispute. It
follows that any state that has conducted military combat operations within any sort of
military alliance framework has been involved in a form of partial intervention. Military
alliances have been formed throughout history for either offensive or defensive purposes.
However, during the course of the twentieth century international law dealing with the
Military intervention and international law 97
utility of military power in international relations has undergone fundamental change.
Following the First World War there were two significant attempts both to limit resort to
military force in the resolution of international disputes and to outlaw war: the creation of
the League of Nations in a flawed attempt to build a universal collective security system,
and the oft-quoted but largely ineffective Kellogg-Briand Pact of 1928. However, with
the successful adoption of the UN Charter in 1945, and its general acceptance as the
defining legal regime for the maintenance of international security, states can no longer
legitimately resort to war to resolve their disputes with others.
The UN Charter outlaws war as a means of resolving disputes (notwithstanding the
possibility of the Just War doctrine being used in relation to humanitarian intervention, to
be discussed below). However, in doing so, it does not deprive states of their inherent
right to defend themselves. Article 51 allows for individual or collective self-defence.
This means that if a state is subject to an armed attack from another state it is not only
able to take measures to defend itself but is able to call upon, and accept, the assistance of
others in that endeavour. It is no coincidence that the 1949 North Atlantic Treaty, for
example, should incorporate that principle as the defining article of the collective defence
arrangement at the heart of the NATO Alliance. It is worth quoting Article 5 of the treaty:
The Parties agree that an armed attack against one or more of them… shall be
considered an attack against them all; and consequently they agree that if such
an armed attack occurs, each of them in exercise of the right of individual or
collective self-defence recognised in Article 51 of the Charter of the UN…[will
take]…such action as it deems necessary, including the use of armed force, to
secure and maintain the security of the North Atlantic area.
This article is entirely consistent with the UN Charter and goes on to say that any armed
attack against NATO members will be reported to the Security Council along with details
of those measures taken in response.
Although Article 5 is included in the North Atlantic Treaty, it is by no means necessary
for a similar provision to be included in all formal alliance arrangements. As long as an
alliance or coalition of states acts in accordance with the principle enshrined in Article 51
of the UN Charter it will be acting legitimately. It is also the case that collective self-
defence may be activated by individual states going to the aid of another state in an ad
hoc manner and without any formal defensive arrangement being in place beforehand.
The right of self-defence exists regardless of the UN’s ability to respond adequately to
threats to international security. Although the coalition response to the Iraqi invasion of
Kuwait was supported by appropriate UN Security Council resolutions, the actions taken
to recover territory would have been legitimate in customary law even if the UN Security
Council had remained deadlocked over the issues at stake. The same is also true of the
unilateral British response to the Argentine invasion of the Falkland Islands in 1982.
With war as a means of dispute resolution outlawed by the UN Charter, the right to
contribute to collective self-defence represents the only legitimate reason for partial
military intervention (quite obviously, it would not be legitimate for a state to intervene
to assist an aggressor). In theory, once an act of aggression has been reported to the UN
Security Council, the Council has determined that the aggression poses a threat to
Issues in international relations 98
international peace and security, and a UNSC resolution has been passed calling on the
aggressor to withdraw and imposing Chapter VII military sanctions if it does not any
subsequent military action will cease to be ‘partial’ and will assume the status of
‘enforcement action’, of which more below. But this can be a lengthy process and a
UNSC resolution that falls short of a clear mandate to take enforcement action does not
take away a state’s right to continue its own or collective action in accordance with
Article 51. This point was made forcefully by Britain following the Argentine invasion of
the Falkland Islands. The Argentine representative to the UN had argued that the fact that
the Security Council was seized by the matter meant that any unilateral military action by
the UK would be contrary to international law. As Sir Anthony Parsons, Britain’s
permanent representative at the UN in New York, stated on 22 May 1982, the UK’s
inherent right of self-defence was unimpaired by actions taken within the UN for the
simple reason that those actions had, until then, proved ineffective.
However, what is also true is that while defensive action is legitimate, a UNSC
endorsement of the action taken helps establish legitimacy in the broader consciousness.
It is arguably the case that the British action in 1982, for example, would have proved
diplomatically far more difficult to manage if Sir Anthony Parsons had failed to get
Security Council backing for his country’s position. Although Britain’s military forces
acted alone in the South Atlantic in 1982, foreign assistance of other kinds was
forthcoming. The brokering of any coalition operation in the future is likely to be
rendered considerably easier with a UN stamp of approval.
Impartial intervention
Although impartial intervention is not entirely a post-Second World War phenomenon,
there is no doubt that it was the deployment of the UN Emergency Force (UNEF I) to
Egypt in 1956 that provided the baseline for future operations under the ‘peace-keeping’
banner. UNEF I was deployed following the cessation of Anglo-French military
operations to secure the Suez Canal. It was established as an impartial force to provide a
face-saving reason for British and French withdrawal and to create a stable zone between
Egyptian and Israeli forces. The then UN Secretary General, Dag Hammarskjöld,
outlined a broad philosophy for such ‘preventive diplomacy’ and established a set of
principles that were intended to guide future peacekeeping operations.
In general terms, peace-keeping forces, as envisaged by Hammarskjöld, would deploy
after a cease-fire between two warring states. They would patrol an area between the
opposing belligerent forces and act as intermediaries to avoid any friction taking place
between the parties to the dispute, thereby creating a degree of stability in which full
cease-fire negotiations leading to dispute resolution could take place. The forces so
deployed would be lightly armed, consistent with their own self-defence, would be as
impartial as possible and, importantly, would be present with the consent of both parties
to the dispute.
It is the final point that is especially important from a legal point of view. Pure peace-
keeping actions conducted under UN auspices do not require Chapter VII enforcement
measures to be approved through UN Security Council resolution. The basic legality of
these impartial interventions is determined by the consent to their presence provided by
Military intervention and international law 99
the parties to the dispute. Without that initial consent, pure peace-keeping forces would
not be deployed under UN auspices in the first place. If forces intervened without the
consent of the parties, in order for them to be effective the mandate under which they
would be operating would need to be provided through a binding UN Security Council
resolution imposing some obligation on the part of the state, or states, in whose territory
the forces were to be deployed. Ultimately, the Security Council may resort to a fully-
fledged enforcement action under a Chapter VII mandate. This would allow the deployed
forces to use armed force if necessary to achieve their mission. Such a mandate would
transform the military operation from a purely impartial intervention, in which consent
legitimises the deployment of forces, into a full enforcement action, the legitimacy of
which is determined by UN Security Council resolution.
This sounds fairly straightforward. Unfortunately, nothing is that simple. Since 1956,
the ways in which forces have been deployed under UN auspices have been subjected to
a range of influences. The difficulties associated with the requirement for consent in
cases of impartial intervention were highlighted in 1967 when the Egyptian leader Nasser
withdrew consent from UNEF I, the UN Secretary-General U Thant ordered the UN
force’s withdrawal, and the 1967 Arab-Israeli War followed shortly thereafter. Additional
problems as to the precise mandate of peace-keeping forces had already been highlighted
through the actions of ONUC in the Congo between 1960–4. In that instance, a UN force
found itself embroiled in a complex internal situation in a state that was disintegrating in
civil war, with political factions employing low-intensity military operations against each
other. Although deployed under the Chapter VI ‘Peaceful Settlement’ provisions of the
UN Charter, and in theory restricted to the use of force in self-defence, ONUC had to
employ a broad definition of ‘self-defence’ that resulted in it appearing itself to be one of
the warring factions. The reputation of UN forces in peace-keeping roles during the Cold
War probably reached its low point when those military units contributing to the UN
operation in Cyprus (UNFICYP) simply stood by and watched as Turkish forces invaded
the island in 1974. Of course, they had no option but to do what they did. For UNFICYP
to have resisted the Turkish invasion would have required a Chapter VII enforcement
mandate which it did not possess. Nevertheless, the UN’s inability to act did nothing at
all to enhance its reputation.
Despite these previous setbacks, once the Cold War was over and consensus became
more easily achieved among the five permanent members of the UN Security Council,
the temptation to use military forces under UN auspices to intervene in various crisis
areas around the world became irresistible. There was a sharp increase in the late 1980s
and early 1990s in the number of operations, the number of states providing forces to
them and in the variety of operations being mounted. It has been the last factor—the
variety of operations—that has generated complexity in terms of the legal basis for what
these operations are trying to achieve. The most difficult problem has become one of
distinguishing between impartial intervention and enforcement action.
Issues in international relations 100
Partial:
• intervention for one side or another, legally, with consent;
• UN Charter Article 51—collective and individual self-defence;
• UN Security Council role—Chapter VII of Charter and North Atlantic
Treaty Article V
Impartial:
• deployment between disputing side;
• UNEF I 1956—‘peace-keeping with consent’;
• if not, UN Charter Chapter VII—Security Council role
Enforcement:
• application of UN-endorsed sanctions—diplomatic, economic and
military—UN Charter Chapters VI and VII
Enforcement action
According to the process established in the UN Charter, once the Security Council has
determined that there is a threat to international peace and security it can, if appropriate,
impose a range of sanctions on states that it judges to be transgressing acceptable norms
of behaviour and contributing to instability. There are three forms of sanction:
diplomatic, economic and military. If military sanctions are considered necessary, the
Security Council can, under the terms of Chapter VII of the UN Charter, provide a
mandate for military forces operating under UN auspices. Those forces would apply
military sanctions but would do so only within the terms of a mandate provided in a
Security Council resolution.
It is the UNSC resolution that legitimises action taken to apply mandated sanctions. If
forces deployed for that purpose step outside the terms of their mandate their actions may
be deemed to run counter to UN law. They would, of course, regardless of the terms of
the mandate, retain the inherent right of self-defence. Legal considerations will usually be
conveyed to the soldier on the ground by way of command and control mechanisms
known as Rules of Engagement (ROE). If ROE are divided into those actions permitted
in self-defence and those other actions permitted in pursuit of mission objectives, it
should be possible to relate specific actions taken by individual soldiers and their
commanders, via separate legal audit trails, to either Article 51 of the UN Charter (for
self-defence) or to both Article 42 and the words in the mandate agreed by the UN
Security Council and contained in its resolution (for mission accomplishment).
Enforcement actions do not have to be conducted by forces under direct UN command
and control. When the UN Charter was drafted it had been envisaged that the UN would
Military intervention and international law 101
itself have forces under command, together with an appropriate military staff at its
headquarters in New York. However, neither the full military staff nor the forces needed
to conduct enforcement operations ever materialised. The first major military operation
conducted under UN auspices was that mounted by a coalition (including the UK) under
US leadership in Korea in the early 1950s (the residues of which are still in place today
on the southern boundary of the Demilitarised Zone between North and South Korea).
Operation Desert Shield/Storm in 1990–1 is the very obvious recent example of a
military operation mounted under similar arrangements. A coalition of forces was put
together under US leadership, initially to defend the territory of other states in the Gulf
region (principally Saudi Arabia), but subsequently to recover the territory of Kuwait and
eject the Iraqi forces occupying it. Those coalition forces were operating under the terms
of UNSC resolutions and to a mandate that limited their responsibility to the recovery of
Kuwaiti territory.
This is a point worth dwelling on, bearing in mind the comment made above about the
need for forces engaged on enforcement action not to overstep their mandates. The
decision that was made, in the later stages of Operation Desert Storm, not to press home
the military advantage and to halt the advance once it had achieved its mandated
objective, was consistent with the need to maintain legitimacy. Whatever the political
ramifications, it would certainly have been beyond the mandate for coalition forces to
have pressed on for Baghdad, overthrowing Saddam Hussein in the process. It would also
have gone beyond the measures necessary to give effect to the inherent right of collective
self-defence that similarly legitimised the coalition action. The need to comply with the
principle of proportionality in defending the territory of Kuwait must not be forgotten
and, indeed, would also have been in the minds of those drafting the mandate authorising
the use of force in Security Council Resolution 678.
Some may have wished that more had been done to undermine Saddam Hussein’s hold
on power in Iraq. With subsequent Iraqi actions against minorities within its own
population, both north (Kurds) and south (Marsh Arabs), and the recent ongoing disputes
over the activities of UN weapons inspectors, it would arguably have been politically
very convenient if Saddam Hussein had been overthrown. However, one has to consider
the possible consequences of the coalition going well beyond its mandate. The legitimacy
of its actions would have been seriously questioned and it may have had a negative
longer-term effect on the ability of the UN Security Council to provide firm directives for
similar purposes in the future. That there will be a need for firm action in the future is
something about which there can be no doubt. With the NATO action in 1999 in Kosovo,
without a specific UN Security Council mandate, this need hardly be stated although, of
course, by virtue of the lack of a UN mandate, this action cannot be regarded as falling
under the general heading of ‘Enforcement Action’.
Issues in international relations 102
International declarations
• International Law Commission: Draft Declaration on the Rights and Duties
of States
• UN Charter Article 2(vii)
• UN General Assembly: Declaration on the Inadmissibility of Intervention
Military intervention and international law 105
Of course, by no means all states in the world regard this essentially liberal debate as the
defining feature in international legal terms. The idealistic fervour of the extreme liberal
democratic view in favour of pro-liberal intervention generated a reaction from those
states that felt threatened by what they saw as Western liberal imperialism. In 1965, for
example, the UN General Assembly adopted a Declaration on the Inadmissibility of
Intervention. This declared that no state has any right to intervene, directly or indirectly,
for any reason at all, and condemned any form of armed intervention or threat against
another state. This position was again reinforced by the 1970 Declaration on Principles of
International Law Concerning Friendly Relations and Co-operation among States.
In stark contrast to these attempts to ban intervention, the socialist view that
culminated in the Brezhnev Doctrine came out in full support of intervention to support
socialist movements under threat from reactionary elements. Nevertheless, it did not
prevent the Soviet Union and its satellites signing the Final Act of the Conference on
Security and Co-operation in Europe in 1975, a document that again came out against
non-consensual intervention. Perhaps the most important recent restatement of the law
relating to this issue is contained in the 1986 judgement of the ICJ in the Nicaragua Case
(Merits). The court found against the USA and, among other things, stated that US
support provided to the Contras represented an illegal interference in Nicaragua’s internal
affairs, that the USA had used force against Nicaragua and that it had violated
Nicaragua’s sovereignty.
The fact that consent has become the accepted means of legitimising military
deployments is borne out by the number of occasions on which military operations have
taken place in controversial circumstances but been justified by claims that they were
mounted at the request of the state in which they were taking place. There are several
well-known cases, each providing international legal analysts with some difficulties.
Those that are well worth examining are the Soviet deployment of military forces or
reinforcements into Hungary in 1956, into Czechoslovakia in 1968 and Afghanistan in
1979, and the US military operations in Grenada in 1983 and Panama in 1989.
Critics of each of these deployments often refer to them as invasions, implying that
they were mounted against the wishes of the sovereign power within the state. In
international law they would, on that basis, be correctly described as ‘interventions’. In
each of the cases of Soviet deployment some attempt was made to convey the appearance
of consent. With Czechoslovakia, for example, the Soviet deployment, aside from being
justified by reference to the Brezhnev Doctrine, was also ‘supported’ by statements from
the Czech leader, Alexander Dubček, who very conveniently appeared to remain in office
for a short period afterwards.
Issues in international relations 106
There is no doubt that Dubček’s position was a sham to create an appearance. His consent
was obtained under extreme duress and his subsequent treatment at the hands of the
communist successor administration provides clear prima facie evidence to support this
view. In the case of Afghanistan, the deployment of Soviet forces was claimed by
Moscow to be in response to a request from Aghanistani President Amin who was
executed/assassinated immediately Soviet troops gained control of Kabul.
The US operation in Grenada is a particularly complex situation from a legal point of
view. It was by no means clear who or what constituted the Government of Grenada at
the time the military operation was mounted in the early morning of 25 October 1983.
There had been a military coup between 12 and 14 October and the previous prime
minister, Maurice Bishop, had been executed/assassinated on 19 October. The leader of
the coup, Hudson Austin, had declared an interim administration and established a shoot-
on-sight curfew to suppress opposition. However, Grenada, while an independent state,
was a former British possession and had retained the British monarch as its head of state.
The Queen was represented in the country by the Governor-General, Sir Paul Scoon.
According to the Prime Minister of Barbados, Sir Paul had requested help from him. As a
result, Barbados, Jamaica and five member states of the Organisation of Eastern
Caribbean States supported the US-led military operation. Subsequent elections placed a
moderate leader in power and Grenada was stabilised. The US-led force left the island on
15 December.
The UN General Assembly deplored the ‘invasion’ but there was no possibility of the
Security Council doing so in the face of a likely US veto. The whole episode apparently
angered Margaret Thatcher, the British Prime Minister at the time, but only, one
supposes, because it was mounted without her prior knowledge. In constitutional terms
Mrs Thatcher had no relevance to the legal issues at stake. The British Prime Minister
Military intervention and international law 107
was not in a position to advise the Queen on matters relating to Grenada; that was the
prerogative of the Grenadian Government through the Governor-General. One should
therefore ask: was the deployment of US troops an illegal non-consensual intervention or
was it a perfectly legitimate deployment of forces in response to a request from the
Governor-General exercising his constitutional powers delegated to him by Grenada’s
head of state, the Queen? Readers are invited to make up their own minds and will
doubtless be influenced in doing so by the extent to which a ‘fudge’ is assumed to have
taken place. There is certainly a possibility of post de facto legitimisation.
Six years later, in 1989, the landing of US forces in Panama was partially justified by
the claim that the constitutionally elected government had consented to the deployment.
General Noriega, the effective leader of the country, had set aside the results of an
election and it was from the winner of that election, Guillermo Endara, that the US
Government obtained consent. Endara was sworn in as President hours after US forces
landed.
Such controversial examples of military operations, justified by reference to a claimed
request from the ‘host’ state, are at least evidence of the extent to which only military
operations by consent are clearly legitimate. That is not to say there is no longer a debate.
Far from it. The legal debate is now more about which circumstances will allow non-
consensual military deployments and which will not, rather than between those who
invariably rule it out and those who wish to intervene whenever liberal political forces or
vital liberal democratic principles, such as those relating to human rights, are under
threat. The basic rule remains opposed to military deployments without consent but this is
increasingly being modified by acknowledgement that there will be exceptional
circumstances in which it will be appropriate to depart from it.
Interestingly, the United States used the protection of its nationals as one of its
justifications for intervention in Grenada in 1983. The use of this argument could be seen
as a further clouding of the legal issues surrounding the entire military operation in
Grenada, already discussed above. Surely, one might argue, if the US forces had been
invited in by Sir Paul Scoon, the Governor-General, why did the USA need to justify its
action further by reference to its inherent right to protect its own nationals (principally a
group of students who were studying at a college on the island)? To give the USA the
benefit of any doubt, the dual approach to justifying a military response in the case of
Grenada might simply have been one of ‘belt and braces’. But it adds further evidence of
state practice in relation to military action to protect nationals. It would seem to be the
case that in such instances, whether they be in response to official lack of action
bordering on blatant support for terrorism (as at Entebbe airport in 1976) or simply in
response to a deteriorating situation in which no competent government authority can be
identified, military action without consent is legitimate.
That said, international law does restrict the action that can be taken to that necessary
to evacuate nationals and defend them in the process. Clearly, intervention without
consent represents a breach of the territorial integrity of the state, albeit a temporary one.
In this respect, it is reasonable to conclude that the breach of a state’s territorial integrity
must not have any long-term effect. It must be for a period of time essential for the
successful conduct of the operation and no more. Any action beyond that, amounting to
Issues in international relations 110
significant interference in the internal affairs of the state, would run counter to the UN
Charter and risk falling into the category of an armed attack on the state concerned. This
is quite logical and can be directly related to the standard principle of proportionality to
be applied when exercising the right of self-defence. The corollary is, of course, that if a
state uses disproportionate force in mounting an NEO it may itself come under legitimate
attack from the state in whose territory the operation is being mounted.
Increasingly, the most common and controversial reason given for departures from the
doctrine of non-intervention is related to the need to provide humanitarian relief. Such
relief can range from the dropping of food and medical supplies to communities
threatened by natural disaster to military action against the forces of a state intent on
gross violations of the human rights of inconvenient minorities within its own population.
In many cases, of course, medical and food aid will be provided at the request, or with
the consent, of the state in which the aid is required. As has been pointed out already, that
would be perfectly legitimate and the presence of military forces engaged on such benign
mercy operations would be largely uncontroversial. However, it is not invariably the case
that a state will want others to provide food and medical aid. If, for example, the section
of the population suffering disease and starvation is a minority or divisive group with
which a majority or dominant group has little or no sympathy, the offer of aid may be
rejected or its enforced provision may well be opposed. Before India deployed 15,000
troops to Sri Lanka with the consent of the Sri Lankan government in 1986, the Indian
Air Force had already flown into Sri Lankan airspace without consent to drop
humanitarian relief supplies to Tamil communities in the northern part of the island. The
legality of that move was in some doubt. However, the more recent humanitarian action
taken to protect minority communities in both northern and southern Iraq has moved the
debate on further.
Military action that is taken for apparently humanitarian purposes, or which has an
undoubtedly positive humanitarian effect, is not an entirely new phenomenon. In very
extreme terms, the unconditional surrender imposed on Germany by the Allies in 1945
had a humanitarian effect in that it destroyed utterly the Nazi state and its policy of
genocide towards the Jewish people. As a consequence of the Holocaust, genocide was
declared by the UN General Assembly in 1946 to be a crime under international law.
The subsequent 1948 Genocide Convention made provision for contracting parties,
under the terms of the UN Charter, to take action to prevent or suppress acts of genocide.
Indeed, Article 1 of the Genocide Convention establishes an obligation on its contracting
parties to ‘prevent and punish’ in the event of genocide being committed. However,
genocide is rather more willingly described in emotional terms than it is determined by
states to have taken place. Not even the thoroughly reprehensible Pol Pot regime in
Cambodia attracted international military intervention on grounds of suppressing
genocide. More recently we have witnessed the genocide committed by the Hutu majority
against the Tutsi minority in Rwanda. This was recognised by a UN Security Council
Committee of Experts as genocide in October 1994—the first occasion since 1948 that
Military intervention and international law 111
the UN has, in any capacity, recognised a particular set of circumstances as constituting
an act of genocide (Gourevitch 1998:203). It was apparently the case that the US
Government avoided using the word ‘genocide’ to describe the Rwandan outrage for the
simple reason that to acknowledge it as such would have created an obligation to
intervene. While this was an obligation that Washington was unwilling to act upon at the
time, it has apparently apologised since then for its reluctance to act (ibid: 350). In
relation to Bosnia, the ICJ has yet to rule on the nature of acts committed by Bosnian
Serbs against Bosnian Muslims in a case taken to the court in 1993 by Bosnia-
Herzegovina against Yugoslavia (Serbia-Montenegro) (Case Concerning Application of
the Genocide Convention; Wippman 1998:273).
In the spring and summer of 1999 genocide was once again in the news with Serbian
forces ethnically cleansing Kosovo of its Albanian community and with NATO
intervening using air power to force Slobodon Milosevic’s hand. The legal issues
surrounding the NATO intervention are of some importance in relation to the broader
question of humanitarian intervention and are by no means clear-cut. However, rather
than discuss these now, it will be useful first to establish what the law had to say about
humanitarian intervention immediately before the Kosovo intervention. Putting the
question of genocide to one side for the moment, what have been the key examples of
military deployments without consent that have had humanitarian effect?
Although very much related to fears of an anti-Indian regime taking power in what had
been, until then, the eastern part of the geographically divided Pakistani state, the Indian
military operation in East Bengal in 1971 was prompted partly by the prospect of
upwards of 10 million Hindu refugees flooding into India. There was apparently no
attempt by India to justify its actions in international law by reference to a perceived legal
right to deploy military forces on humanitarian grounds. Nor was there an attempt to do
this in the case of the Tanzanian military deployment into Uganda in 1979. The Ugandan
intervention was clearly intended to overthrow one of the bloodiest and most ruthless
dictatorships to which the post-war world has had to bear witness. It is impossible to find
any argument in print in any reputable publication that does not applaud the deposing of
Idi Amin. However, Tanzania did not justify it on the basis of humanitarian necessity; it
was, rather, referred to as resort to military force for reasons of self-defence. One could
challenge this assertion and maintain that mere self-defence did not require the deposition
of the Ugandan government, but that is not the point. It seems there was a belief in
Tanzania that the deployment of military forces into Uganda for anything other than
reasons of self-defence would be regarded as an illegal intervention, regardless of its
clearly positive humanitarian consequences.
Ultimately, of course, there is a real sense in which the acceptance of a rigid doctrine
of non-intervention has to include acceptance of the possibility of genocide or extreme
human-rights violations by default. Since it is now most unlikely, given the ubiquity of
the international broadcast media community, that widespread human suffering within
any state will go entirely unnoticed, public opinion within most states will almost
certainly come out in favour of some degree of humanitarian response, even if
governments are still able to resist such calls.
In most cases, given the scale of modern financial and technical resources, an adequate
response will often be physically possible even if actual policy decides against it or takes
Issues in international relations 112
some time to come into line with public expectations. It seems that these two related
factors—media interest and the physical capacity to respond—are having an effect on the
development of international law through emerging state practice. If it is becoming
increasingly unacceptable politically for governments to do nothing in the face of
massive humanitarian disaster elsewhere in the world, active responses will not only
generate evidence of state practice but will, importantly, create in the minds of many a
belief in the legal imperative to act. It must not be forgotten that customary law emerges
when there is a combination of practice and a belief in the legal obligation to adopt it.
So it would seem that from the perspective of customary law the absolute need for
consent is increasingly being challenged. Significantly it is also being challenged within
the UN. In recent years there have been several instances of humanitarian action being
approved through adoption of UN Security Council resolutions. In some cases, like those
involving Liberia and Somalia, international action was demanded without consent from
the states concerned for the simple reason that the internal situation of those states
rendered it difficult or impossible to secure an unambiguous consent from a legitimate
and effective government. If a state has descended into a condition of anarchy through
civil war then it is surely not reasonable to sit on the sidelines and refuse to deploy forces
for humanitarian purposes on the basis that there is nobody in a position either to request
or approve it.
As history has demonstrated, such circumstances are not unusual. Examples of states
that have in recent years descended into a state of chaos resulting in the loss of effective
government include Lebanon, Somalia, Yugoslavia, Liberia, Albania and Zaïre (now the
Democratic Republic of the Congo). In such cases, who does one ask for permission to
deploy humanitarian assistance? The instinctive answer is probably ‘The United
Nations.’ However, as recently as 1991, the General Assembly, in Resolution 46/182,
seemed to rule out the delivery of humanitarian assistance without the consent of the state
in which the disaster was unfolding. Fortunately, the Security Council (whose resolutions
can be legally binding, unlike those of the General Assembly) has been somewhat bolder
in practice and demonstrated, in the case of Somalia in particular, a willingness to utilise
Chapter VII of the UN Charter to legitimise humanitarian action where no government is
able to provide consent. Chapter VII is, of course, concerned with responses to threats to
international peace and security. While disasters that are contained within territorial
boundaries might be construed as offering no such threat, there may well be an emerging
Military intervention and international law 113
tendency for the Security Council to interpret substantial disaster within a state as having
the potential to overspill and create an international crisis. For it to do so constitutes a
significant development in the legitimisation of humanitarian action without consent.
Nevertheless, as recently as 1986, the British Foreign and Commonwealth Office (FCO)
issued a statement in which it stated that: ‘the best case that can be made in support of
humanitarian intervention is that it cannot be said to be unambiguously
illegal’ (D.J.Harris 1998:918).
Since then, the case that has probably done most to move perceptions of the legal
position further towards an acceptance of humanitarian action without consent is the
creation of safe havens in Iraq. Following Operation Desert Storm in 1990–1, the brutal
suppression of the northern Iraqi Kurds and Shiite communities in southern Iraq by the
Iraqi army incensed international opinion. There was no doubt that Iraq was violating
accepted standards of behaviour and, indeed, failing to comply with international
instruments to which it was party (the 1949 Geneva Conventions and the International
Covenant on Civil and Political Rights). A cynic might comment that if Iraq had not
invaded Kuwait in 1990 and had not been so decisively dealt with by Operation Desert
Storm, it is extremely unlikely that the international community would have reached
agreement at UN Security Council level to condemn such internal repression. There is no
doubt that in April 1991 Iraq was in a much weakened position by virtue of the events of
the preceding winter. However, the passing of UN Security Council Resolution 688 in
that April should not be written off merely as an unusual development at the tail end of
the UN-endorsed action against Iraq, or as just a final attempt by the coalition states to
humiliate Saddam Hussein.
The resolution was not fully supported within the Security Council and was only
narrowly adopted because China abstained rather than applied a veto. Nevertheless, it
represented a development of some significance, not so much for what it stated as for
what it precipitated. While it did state that the actions against the Kurds threatened
international peace and security, it did not authorise military sanctions and did not,
therefore, provide an endorsed mandate for military operations. Despite that, a number of
states, the UK and USA included, promptly mounted military operations involving both
ground and air forces to prevent further suppression. This is significant because, if the
resolution did not legitimise military action, the states involved must have reached the
conclusion that there was either an inherent right or an international obligation in
customary law to mount military operations for humanitarian purposes that did not
require a specific UN Security Council resolution to legitimise. The British Foreign
Secretary, Douglas Hurd, virtually confirmed that this was the UK view in a radio
interview in August 1992, following the establishment of a ‘no-fly zone’ in southern Iraq.
It was formally confirmed by an FCO official to the House of Commons Foreign Affairs
Committee. Nevertheless, it is also significant that some eight months after the Security
Council adopted Resolution 688, the General Assembly adopted Resolution 46/182
stating that the sovereignty and territorial integrity of states must be fully respected and
that ‘humanitarian assistance should be provided with the consent of the affected
country’. It has to be admitted that, so far, there has not been a UN Security Council
resolution specifically legitimising military action for humanitarian purposes in a state
that has a government capable of exercising control over its own territory and which is
Issues in international relations 114
opposed to the action being taken. The provision of humanitarian aid to states that have
no effective government or in which there is a state of civil war and internal political
chaos would be, arguably, less legally contentious.
It would appear to be the case, therefore, that there has been a shift in the law on
humanitarian intervention in recent years, although the debate is far from satisfactorily
resolved. As Christopher Greenwood has pointed out:
it seems that the law on humanitarian intervention has changed, both for the
United Nations and for individual states. It is no longer tenable to assert that
whenever a government massacres its own people or a state collapses into
anarchy, international law forbids military intervention altogether.
(Greenwood 1993:34)
We can now return to the case of Kosovo and the legality of the NATO intervention. It
seems reasonable to assume that the starting point for NATO’s case for intervention is the
conclusion reached by Greenwood in the quote above. There can be little doubt that,
given the evidence provided by the international news media and by NATO’s official
statements, what Serbian forces were engaged in was a form of genocide. This may be
described as ‘ethnic cleansing’ but, in combining both the driving of ethnic Albanians out
of their homes and territory with the systematic murder of significant elements of the
Albanian adult male population, Serbian military and police forces conducted genocide as
defined in the Genocide Convention. There is considerable evidence that genocide was
also being committed well before the NATO air campaign commenced. In the twelve
months from the spring of 1998 to March 1999, it has been estimated that two thousand
ethnic Albanians had been killed by Serb forces, a quarter of a million had been driven
from their homes and five thousand of their homes had been destroyed. NATO may
understandably have reached the conclusion that the massacres and the displacement of
ethnic Albanians constituted genocide and assumed an obligation to respond, to ‘prevent
and punish’, arising from Article 1 of the Genocide Convention. What was debated,
however, was the extent to which NATO’s response could be regarded as legitimate
without an expressed mandate passed down to it from the UN Security Council. From
political pronouncements to date, it would seem that the justification for intervention was
based on two levels of argument, one related to the system of UN law and the other
making reference to traditional Just War theory.
The first of these arguments was that the Yugoslavian Government was blatantly defying
the UN Security Council’s demands promulgated in UN Security Council Resolution
Military intervention and international law 115
1199(1998). This demanded that all parties cease hostilities and maintain a cease-fire in
Kosovo, and that both the Yugoslavian authorities and the Kosovo Albanian leadership
take action to avert humanitarian catastrophe. The resolution also stated that the Security
Council was acting under the terms of Chapter VII of the UN Charter, rendering it
unambiguously binding on all states. The NATO argument could be that, having defied
this UNSC resolution and gone on to commit genocide, Yugoslavia has placed itself in a
position in which the obligations implicit in the Genocide Convention needed to be met
by the international community. This argument assumes that a further UN Security
Council resolution is not necessary, despite the fact that UNSCR 1199(1998) contained
no specific mandate to apply sanctions. A counter-argument would be that, while there is
little or no doubt that Serbian forces were committing genocide, the absence of a specific
and deliberate UN Security Council resolution, defining the extent and limits of military
sanctions, means that intervention is contrary to international law. The NATO argument
would have at its heart the assumption that, in certain circumstances (included in which
would be those present in Kosovo), there is an obligation to respond that goes beyond the
limitations inherent in the mechanisms of UN law. The absence of an appropriately
worded UN Security Council resolution does not take away from states those obligations
enshrined in the Genocide Convention and which are now a part of customary
international law. The counter-arguments are positivist in tone and based on an assumed
need to apply strictly the mechanisms of UN law and, in the absence of a suitable UNSC
resolution, apply rigidly the principles of non-intervention. Students of international
politics will need to make up their own minds about the most appropriate line to take.
However, it would seem absurd that practical political problems associated with
achieving full agreement on military sanctions within the UN Security Council should
lead to inaction in the face of the staggering atrocities being meted out to the Kosovan
Albanians. The fact that previous similarly unacceptable behaviour (in Cambodia and
Rwanda, for example) did not result in intervention does not mean that progress is not
possible—the failure by states to meet their obligations in the past does not absolve them
of the obligation to act in the present.
The second argument that was frequently deployed to justify intervention, by the
British Prime Minister in particular, is not related to the mechanisms of UN law but is to
do with traditional Just War theory. It is the case that the jus ad bellum elements of Just
War doctrine have been regarded by many to have been displaced by the UN Charter,
with the latter having the effect of banning recourse to war. Assuming that UN law is not
paramount and that Just War doctrine can still be applied, the arguments would be that
intervention is entirely appropriate and legitimate.
Under traditional jus ad bellum, war must: be waged by a legitimate authority (a state);
be fought in a just cause and for an aim that is morally acceptable; be a measure of last
resort; be likely to be successful; be proportionate in its consequences (the good achieved
outweighing the harm done in waging the war); and be waged in a manner consistent
with the principles enshrined in jus in bello. NATO is an alliance of states and is,
therefore, a collection of legitimate authorities in its own right. Given the evidence of
genocide already available in the months up to the spring of 1999, NATO can argue, with
some justification, that its attempt to prevent atrocities was a just cause. The air campaign
was only launched after intransigence by the Serbs led to the failure of the Rambouillet
Issues in international relations 116
talks and was, arguably, a last-resort measure. The eventual good to be achieved by the
war would outweigh the harm done by waging it—and harm includes NATO forces’
unintended or accidental targeting of civilians, including Kosovo Albanian refugees.
NATO certainly maintained that its use of precision munitions met the requirement to
wage war in accordance with the laws of war—the jus in bello.
The first key question one must ask about the Just War approach is: has the creation of
the UN system brought an end to the Just War doctrine or does Just War still apply when
the UN fails to act? If one believes that the creation of the UN consigned the Just War
doctrine (or at least the jus ad bellum element of it) to history, then the NATO
intervention, if justified by reference to Just War principles, will be illegal. However,
anyone adopting this argument must also be prepared to accept that the inherent
imperfections in the UN system may result in the international community being obliged
merely to stand by and watch while genocide is committed, notwithstanding the
apparently contradictory obligations enshrined in Article 1 of the Genocide Convention.
Assuming that NATO’s decision to go to war with Serbia complied with Just War
principles in all other respects, is it legitimate, given the need to comply with the
requirement that a war is only justly launched if it is likely to be successful? Suffice it to
say that those who launched the air campaign assumed it would be successful; those that
opposed it on military grounds assumed it would fail. The former can justify the war in
Just War terms; the latter would argue that such obvious military folly means that the
NATO intervention fails to comply with Just War principles and is, therefore, illegal.
At the moment there are few sound conclusions that can be drawn about Kosovo and
the legal issues surrounding it. Undoubtedly, it will have some impact on the ways in
which we view the law concerned with humanitarian intervention. That impact might be
profound. Indeed, in years to come the NATO campaign may be seen as the pivotal event
in the marginalisation of the UN Security Council. On the other hand, of course, it may
come to be seen as the most severe example of illegitimate departure from UN legal
processes but no more than that. A possible conclusion that one might draw is that the
intervention is both strictly illegal and entirely legitimate. If this sounds oxymoronic,
simply pose the question: ‘is the law good law if, in applying it, one has to accept
profoundly undesirable—even evil—consequences?’ In international law, if a particular
norm has shortcomings, it is possible for state practice combined with an assumption of a
legitimate imperative to act in a particular way to lead to a development in customary
law. This leads to a profoundly important question: can the series of norms enshrined in
the UN Charter be altered by the traditionally recognised process of developing
customary law? There are those who would argue that the UN Charter is a particularly
strong form of treaty that cannot be modified in this way—Kosovo’s effects in this
respect are yet to be identified.
SUMMARY
In summary, the deployment of military forces into the territory of another state is
perfectly legitimate if it is with the consent of the state in whose territory they are
deployed. If there is no consent, the presence of military forces on another state’s
territory is very likely to be contrary to international law unless it is justified by reference
to the legitimate right to exercise self-defence (through, for example, the mounting of an
NEO) or by compelling evidence of humanitarian necessity.
On the issue of humanitarian intervention, especially when linked to a need to prevent
genocide, the legal issues will be profoundly affected by the analysis of NATO’s
justification for intervention in Kosovo. Prior to that crisis resulting in military
intervention in the spring of 1999, there was already some evidence of a shift in
international opinion towards humanitarian intervention as customary law, the principal
example to support such a shift being the intervention in northern Iraq in the absence of
specific UN Security Council mandate. That the NATO intervention in Kosovo is
contentious is something of an understatement and it should not be assumed that it will
necessarily lead to a general acceptance of a shift back towards the primacy of Just War
principles and away from strict UN law. Perhaps the most that one can conclude at
present is that the international law dealing with humanitarian intervention is in a state of
flux.
The next likely development in the debate is a ruling from the ICJ. At the time of
writing Yugoslavia had not taken the case to the court but it was understood that it was
about to do so. The court will need initially to rule on its own jurisdiction. Thereafter, if it
does accept its jurisdiction, it will then need to deliberate on the issue of genocide.
Ironically, if the Yugoslavian submission is accepted as the basis of the case, the court
will be considering Yugoslavian claims that NATO action rather than the Serb actions
against Kosovo Albanians constituted genocide.
CONCLUDING COMMENTS
This chapter is not long enough to permit a detailed discussion of all the consequences of
the legal requirements surrounding the use of military intervention forces. If it were, there
is no doubt that an important case study used to illustrate the legal complexity of almost
Issues in international relations 118
all aspects of military intervention (international, including partial, impartial and
enforcement action; internal, both consensual and non-consensual) would be the full
range of operations that have taken place within the territory of what was, until 25 June
1991 (when Slovenia and Croatia declared their independence), the Republic of
Yugoslavia. The disintegration of that state, the wars that have been waged as a result, the
humanitarian disasters they precipitated, the military interventions that were subsequently
authorised and the difficulties experienced by all concerned in attempting to impose some
legitimising logic on what needed to happen on the ground have all combined to reinforce
the need for students of international relations to take some interest in the subject of
military intervention. To have gone into the tangled weeds of the myriad conflicts that
have been waged since 1991 within Yugoslavia’s old boundaries would probably have
served to confuse rather than enlighten the subject of this necessarily general treatment of
military intervention and international law. The facts and circumstances having an effect
on military operations in that region are accessible elsewhere, the exception being
Kosovo, which has been discussed above, albeit very soon after the start of the NATO
intervention. All that this chapter has attempted to do is highlight the principal legal
considerations with which those wishing to analyse that sort of complex situation need to
be armed.
Nevertheless, it might be worth listing, by way of illustration, some of the key
questions that should be asked in connection with Yugoslavia, in attempting to make
some legal sense of what has happened there. First, has external military involvement in
Yugoslavia been interference in the internal affairs of a single state racked by civil war or
has it been either partial or impartial interference in a series of international disputes? At
what point did Yugoslavia cease being a unified state de facto or de jure? When
intervention took place was it with the consent of the competent authorities within the
territories concerned or was it legitimised instead by UNSC resolution? If the latter, were
those resolutions based on Chapter VII and, if so, did they contain an effective mission
accomplishment mandate for those military personnel attempting to conduct the
operations in theatre? Did the forces deployed understand the status of the operations
relative to the UN Charter? If a force deployed originally under an impartial peace-
keeping or Chapter VI mandate had its function changed to that of enforcement, why and
how was that achieved?
Few issues to do with the use of military intervention forces are more complex or more
urgent than that to do with their legitimacy, as Yugoslavia has demonstrated more than
adequately. It is an issue that involves political leaders at the grand-strategic level, their
military advisers at the military-strategic level, commanders at the operational level and,
of course, those charged with carrying out their decisions at the tactical level, whether it
be on the streets of Sarajevo, in the air above Iraq or on the rivers of Cambodia. While
the debate might at first appear to be one about decisions being made at the strategic
level, there is a very clear relationship between the aims and objectives—and the
mandate—agreed by political leaders and the tactical rules of engagement that individual
soldiers, sailors and airmen will be working within. This is something about which the
political level should be aware.
Although today there seems to be rather less enthusiasm for intervention than there was
in the late 1980s and early 1990s, the issue remains a crucial one in international politics,
Military intervention and international law 119
as Kosovo demonstrates in large measure. Professional and capable armed forces are
available for interventionary actions if their political masters wish to use them in that
way. If the ethical dimension to decision-making is acknowledged rhetorically, those
forces provide scope for the turning of words into action. Subsequent action, as evidence
of developing state practice, will also have an influence on the development of the norms
that provide the legitimising framework. Those norms had apparently shifted before
Kosovo, in relation to humanitarian intervention in particular; it will be profoundly
interesting to follow the legal debate as Kosovo unfolds and as subsequent analysis tracks
the logic of any legal arguments deployed at the time. If the ICJ does become involved,
as seems likely, those with an interest in the subject of military intervention will do no
better than to follow the arguments as they unfold in The Hague.
FURTHER READING
C.Bellamy, Knights in White Armour: The New Art of War and Peace, Pimlico, London,
1997.
N.Dower, World Ethics: The New Agenda, Edinburgh University Press, Edinburgh, 1998.
M.W.Doyle, Ways of War and Peace, Norton and Company, New York, 1997.
P.Gourevitch, We Wish to Inform You that Tomorrow We Will Be Killed with our
Families: Stories from Rwanda, Picador, London, 1998.
C.Greenwood, ‘Is there a right of humanitarian intervention?’ World Today, February
1993, pp. 34–40.
D.J.Harris, Cases and Materials in International Law, 5th edn, Sweet and Maxwell,
London, 1998.
J.Harris (ed.), The Politics of Humanitarian Intervention, Pinter, London, 1995.
S.Hoffmann, ‘The Politics and Ethics of Military Intervention’, Surυival, Vol. 37, No. 4
(Winter 1995–6), IISS, London, pp. 29–51.
Sir R.Jennings and Sir A.Watts, Oppenheim’s International Law Volume One: Peace
(Introduction and Part I), 9th edn, Longman, London, 1996.
A.E.Levite, B.W.Jentleson and L.Berman (eds), Foreign Military Intervention: The
Dynamics of Protracted Conflict, Columbia University Press, New York, 1992.
J.Mayall (ed.), The New Interventionism: United Nations’ Experience in Cambodia,
Former Yugoslavia and Somalia, Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1996.
A.Roberts, Humanitarian Action in War: Aid, Protection and Impartiality in a Policy
Vacuum, Adelphi Paper 305, IISS, London 1996.
M.Walzer, Just and Unjust Wars, Allen Lane, London, 1977.
D.Wippman, International Law and Ethnic Conflict, Cornell University Press, New
York, 1998.
6
Resource issues
Paul Rogers
In August 1991, Iraq invaded the Gulf state of Kuwait, justifying its action by claiming
an historic right to the territory of the country. International reaction was formidable and
within a few months a huge military force had been established in the region, led by the
United States but including contingents from over twenty countries. By January 1991,
Iraq had still refused to withdraw its forces, and the US-led coalition attacked Iraq with a
massive series of air strikes, followed by a ground attack into Kuwait and southern Iraq
which liberated Kuwait from Iraqi occupation.
At the time, Western governments justified their tough action by arguing that the Iraqi
occupation of Kuwait was entirely unjustified in international law and that it therefore
demanded the toughest response. Not all commentators accepted this, pointing to many
other examples of ‘illegal’ occupation of territories which had not incited such a strong
reaction, and within a year or so, many Western politicians were admitting that the Gulf
War was, in reality, a resource war, fought over the control of the immensely rich oil
reserves of the Persian Gulf.
The importance of the region for world oil supplies is without question. At the time of
the Iraqi invasion, Kuwait alone had nearly 10 per cent of world oil reserves—a country
the size of Wales with oil reserves nearly three times as large as that traditional oil giant
the United States. Iraq had even more oil, so that after Saddam Hussein’s invasion of
Kuwait his regime controlled nearly one-fifth of the world’s oil reserves. To Western
eyes, the situation was even worse than that, because Kuwait might be used as an Iraqi
spring-board to move into north-eastern Saudi Arabia. The Saudi oilfields exceed all the
other oil fields of the world in sheer size and ease of extraction, and Saudi Arabia
controlled a quarter of world oil reserves in 1991.
So, taken together, Iraq, Kuwait and Saudi Arabia possess close to half of all the
world’s reserves of oil, the most important single energy resource by far. It is hardly
surprising, therefore, that Iraq’s actions were viewed with alarm and dismay in Western
capitals, and a massive force was assembled to counter Saddam Hussein. It was ironic
that prior to the invasion of Kuwait, Iraq had been regarded in the West as a friendly
state, a convenient buffer against revolutionary Iran, even to the extent that Western
states were muted in their condemnation of repeated Iraqi use of chemical weapons, both
against Iran in the Iran-Iraq War of the 1980s, and against its own Kurdish people in
1988. Once Iraq had come to threaten Western oil supplies, though, retaliation was
inevitable. As one commentator remarked at the time, if Kuwait had grown carrots
instead of oil, the reaction would have been very different!
Resource issues 121
Western Sahara
The old colonial territory of Spanish Sahara, on the west coast of Africa, was
regarded as a largely empty desert, the size of Britain but with less than
100,000 people, many of them nomadic. Then, in the early 1970s, huge
deposits of rock phosphate, a key constituent of fertilisers, were found at
Bukraa in the north of the territory, quite close to the borders with Morocco,
itself the world’s biggest supplier of phosphates.
Spain gave up its claim to the territory, the inhabitants wanted
independence, but in 1976 the country was forcibly divided up by Morocco
and Mauritania, with Morocco taking over the rich phosphate mines. This led
to a bitter twenty-year war between Morocco and the Polisario Front, backed
by Algeria, involving guerrilla warfare across the desert. In their
determination to secure the mines, the Moroccans built massive barriers,
hundreds of kilometres long, but were never able to secure the whole
territory.
By the early 1990s, the war had become a stalemate, and the United
Nations moved in to try to organise some kind of referendum which might
lead to a compromise between Morocco and Polisario (the Mauritanians
having given up their claim).
The Western Sahara conflict has complex causes, not least in the rivalry
between Morocco and Algeria, but one fundamental factor throughout has
been the potential wealth of the territory, based on one of the world’s less
well-known raw materials, rock phosphate.
The Gulf War of 1991 is one of the most notable examples of a resource war of recent
years, but it is not the only one (see Box 6.1), and resource issues in international
relations usually become noteworthy only when they are a cause of conflict. In reality,
though, the production and especially the trade in resources has been a core theme in the
relations between states and is likely to be even significant into the future as
environmental limitations on human activity lead to tougher competition for supplies of
many raw materials.
In particular, the search for raw materials was one of the driving forces of the whole
colonisation period that set in place an international trading system which, for the
majority of the world’s people, survives to this day. Many analysts would argue that this
pattern of trade, with Third World states still trapped in the role of providing raw
materials for the industrialised world, is one of the core reasons for the North-South
divide between rich and poor countries. With the global wealth-poverty gap still growing,
this is, in turn, seen as one of the most likely causes of international insecurity in the
early years of the twenty-first century.
There are two main classes of resources: renewable and non-renewable. Renewable
resources include all the plant and animal products which can, with care, be produced
regularly from the land, rivers or sea. They therefore comprise all the world’s food
supplies, including cereal crops, root crops, fruit and vegetables, together with meat, fish
and dairy products. Because water cycles naturally in the biosphere (with rain ‘recycling’
back into the atmosphere as evaporation from the land, rivers, lakes and the sea), it is also
seen as a renewable resource.
Renewable resources can be depleted through overexploitation. Forests can be cut
down and not replanted, crop-lands can be overworked so that soil fertility falls and crop
yields then decrease, irrigated land in hot countries can be subject to salinisation (excess
Resource issues 123
salt) and fishing grounds can be over-fished. Even so, careful conservation of renewable
resources can ensure a sustainable long-term supply of products.
The second category of resources comprises those that are non-renewable, mostly those
that are mined or otherwise obtained from the earth’s crust, and do not renew themselves,
at least not in human time-scales. Probably the most important of these are energy
resources, especially oil, coal, natural gas and uranium, followed by ferrous metals such
as iron, cobalt and tungsten, and non-ferrous metals such as copper and aluminium. Also
important are resources for construction, including sand, gravel, stone and brick clay,
though these are rarely traded between states and are not relevant to the present book.
There are also important resources used to support agriculture, particularly fertilisers.
The importance of non-renewable resources in international affairs is hardly ever
recognised—indeed most students of the subject are not even aware of the role of many
of these resources in human activity. Take fertilisers and agriculture, for example. Almost
all the food crops traded between states are grown using compound fertilisers which are
made up of three nutrient elements—nitrogen, phosphorus and potassium (nitrate,
phosphate and potash)—with phosphate and potash fertilisers obtained mainly by mining.
Although organic farming using compost and manures is a major feature of subsistence
farming in the tropics, and is becoming quite popular in some temperate countries, world
agriculture depends on compound fertilisers, and without them there would be
catastrophic food shortages and famine. Yet many of the supplies of these fertilisers are
mined in just a few locations and are traded vigorously throughout the world.
Most of the world’s trade in phosphates comes from North Africa and the Middle East
and is one of the underlying causes of the twenty-year conflict in Western Sahara (see
Box 6.1). In 1973, fertiliser prices escalated alarmingly, and this was one of the causes of
the 1974 World Food Crisis which threatened tens of millions of people with starvation
(see Boxes 6.3 and 6.4).
Certain other resources are regarded as strategically important, although, apart from
oil, the significance of these for international relations is rarely appreciated. Tungsten, for
example, is a ferrous metal which can be combined with iron, carbon and other elements
to produce ferro-alloys of remarkable hardness, capable of maintaining a cutting edge at
high temperatures and therefore essential for scores of processes in industry. Most of the
world’s tungsten ores are located in China. Similarly, ferro-cobalt alloys retain their
shape at very high temperatures and are essential in many industries, not least in the
making of rocket motors for missiles. Two-thirds of all the world’s cobalt reserves are
found in Central Africa, mostly Shaba Province of Zaїre, and have been subject to intense
resource conflict in the past (see Box 6.1).
Issues in international relations 124
At the peak of the crisis, hard-hit countries needed 11 million tonnes of emergency food
aid in addition to the 6+ million already agreed under food-aid schemes, but few had the
money to purchase the food. There was also a shortage of around 1.5 million tonnes of
compound fertiliser. Even so, at no time did world grain reserves become completely
depleted; it was more a case that the poorest countries did not have the money to buy
grain.
The UN called a World Food Congress in Rome in November 1974, and this
demanded immediate increases in food aid as well as a new world agricultural
development fund, an effective famine forecasting system and an emergency food bank.
All this was designed to remove the spectre of famine by the mid-1980s.
At the time, the congress seemed to achieve little and was dismissed as a waste of time.
Within months, though, there were slight improvements. Canada, Australia and some
Resource issues 125
European countries increased food aid, and the newly rich oil-producing countries of the
Middle East gave considerable financial assistance, especially to some Islamic countries
which were among the worst affected. Also, the oil price increases caused a recession in
the West and food demands, especially for expensive meat, fell quite rapidly. The worst
predictions of famine for 1975 were averted.
Even so, the long-term aims of the Food Congress were hardly met, endemic
malnutrition remained the order of the day, and the mid-1980s were marked by severe
famines in countries such as Sudan and Ethiopia.
The World Food Congress of 1974 had aimed to banish starvation within a
decade, but systematic failure to invest in rural and subsistence agricultural
development in the Third World was, instead, a feature of the 1980s. This was
made worse by the developing debt crisis—many Third World states had
borrowed heavily in the late 1970s to counter the effects of the oil price rises,
and were now having to pay huge sums to cover the interest on the debts.
Some countries were spending as much as a quarter of all their export
earnings just covering interest payments, without even beginning to pay off
the capital.
By April 1991 there were renewed warnings of severe shortages, with over
25 million people at risk in Africa from food shortages brought on by drought
and wars, poor harvests in Russia as the country struggled to survive the
collapse of the Soviet Union, and drought-affected harvests in Brazil. A real
sense of crisis was obvious at the end of April when an appalling cyclone hit
Bangladesh, one of the world's most heavily populated states, killing more
than 50,000 people. The cyclone destroyed huge areas of crops in this
normally fertile area.
Once again, it was Third World states which were worst affected, and once
again it was not a problem of overall world food shortages. Although the
levels of grain reserves of the 1960s had not been reached in the following
two decades, there still were adequate reserves, just a lack of money to
purchase the food.
As in 1974 the international community responded, if all too slowly, and
many voluntary agencies did their best to help. The worst excesses of famine
were averted, yet there was little increased commitment to tropical
agricultural development. As the century drew to a close, with many parts of
the industrialised world booming, more than 500 million of the world's people
remained malnourished and development specialists warned of more famines
to come.
Put simply, energy, food and mineral resources have figured persistently in relations
between states, often providing the driving force for many international political
Issues in international relations 126
developments. They were primary motives for the European colonisation of much of the
world, and underlie much of the current North-South trading relationship.
This chapter will concentrate on analysing the historical significance of resources in
international relations, assess their current importance, point to possible sources of
conflict and suggest co-operative approaches by which resources may be used in a more
sustainable manner while improving the economic prospects of poorer states.
A common feature of past empires has been the transfer of resources from the conquered
periphery to the metropolitan centre, providing the raw materials and other resources
needed to maintain the imperial power in its accustomed state. An early and classic
example was the Roman Empire, with grain from Carthage, timber from Dalmatia, tin
from Britain, gold from Iberia and slaves from throughout the empire.
In the early years of European colonial expansion, from the fifteenth to the eighteenth
century, this phenomenon of resource control was developed on a truly intercontinental
scale for the first time in world history, initially by the Spanish and Portuguese and then
by the British, Dutch, French and other European powers. In the process, numerous high-
value commodities were exploited throughout the world, including gold and silver from
Latin America, spices and tea from the Far East, fine cloth from South Asia and tobacco
and rum from the Caribbean.
The most lucrative trade of all was the so-called triangular slave trade. Slaving ships
would sail from ports such as Bristol, carrying goods which would be traded with slavers
in West Africa. The slaves would be transported across the Atlantic, sold in the New
World at great profit, and cargoes of tobacco and cotton brought back to Britain for
further profit.
By the nineteenth century, subtle yet fundamental changes were taking place in the
political economy of colonisation, brought about by two factors. The first was that
Europe was undergoing progressive industrialisation, leading to economic growth, an
expansion of the population and a rapid increase in demand for food and raw materials. In
countries such as Britain the early decades of the Industrial Revolution were fuelled
almost entirely by indigenous resources, including coal, iron ore, copper, lead and tin all
produced by the mining of deposits in many parts of Britain. At one time, Parry’s
Mountain, in North Wales, was said to be the world's largest copper mine, and the
Cornish tin mines and North Yorkshire lead mines were profitable for the land owning
families of the time.
Transfer of resources:
• imported into Europe—variety of raw materials (primary commodities)
• exported out of Europe—manufactured goods
Resource issues 127
Eventually, though, the demand for resources outstripped supply and intensive searches
for new sources of raw materials were undertaken throughout the colonies. This was
aided by the second factor—major developments in maritime technology, especially
steam-driven cargo ships which could carry heavy cargoes far more economically than
the older cumbersome sailing vessels.
During the latter part of the nineteenth century, and into the twentieth, a pattern of
trade between Europe and the rest of the world became established. This comprised a
huge variety of raw materials, known as primary commodities, coming into Europe from
the colonies of Africa and Asia, and the newly independent states of the New World. In
return, manufactured goods were exported from the industries of Europe. Early examples
of this trade were tin from Bolivia, copper from Peru and Chile, coffee from Brazil, cocoa
and palm oil from West Africa and rubber from Malaya.
Resource trade with Europe was dominated until the 1950s by the colonial trading
relationship, with colonising powers able to maintain control of the economies of their
colonies and ensure that trading relationships were persistently profitable, but even non-
colonial relationships were highly asymmetric. As Japan industrialised towards the end of
the nineteenth century, its demands for raw materials grew massively, and became one of
the factors driving Japanese expansionism in the 1920s and 1930s. This led to the so-
called Japanese Greater East Asian Co-Prosperity Sphere, a neocolonial process, and
ultimately to the Asia-Pacific components of the Second World War.
The United States industrialised almost entirely on the basis of its own rich natural
resources, and even exported large quantities to Europe. Even so, it developed trade
relationships with many Southern states which were highly advantageous to it, and could
be enforced by military methods if necessary. The role of the US Marine Corps in Latin
America was a classic example of this, described memorably by General Smedley
E.Butler, who took part in many of the actions. Writing in 1935, he recalled:
I spent thirty-three years and four months in active service as a member of our
country’s most agile military force—the Marine Corps. I served in all
commissioned ranks from a second Lieutenant to Major-General. And during
that time I spent most of my time being a high-class muscle man for Big
Business, for Wall Street and for the bankers. In short, I was a racketeer for
capitalism. Thus I helped make Mexico and especially Tampico safe for
American oil interests in 1914. I helped make Haiti and Cuba a decent place for
the National City Bank to collect revenues in… I helped pacify Nicaragua for
the international banking house of Brown Brothers in 1909–1912.1 brought
light to the Dominican Republic for American sugar interests in 1916. I helped
make Honduras ‘right’ for American fruit companies in 1903.
Overall, and over a time period of more than a century, a firm trading pattern was, for the
most part, established, with primary resources or commodities flowing to the
Issues in international relations 128
industrialised countries and manufactured goods going to the colonies and former
colonies. This was to have profound implications for the evolution of a pattern of world
trade which survives largely to this day and is a key feature of North-South economic
relations.
Decolonisation began in the late 1940s with India, Pakistan and Indonesia, and continued
across Asia and Africa through to the mid-1960s, with a few colonial anomalies such as
Hong Kong surviving many more years. The acquisition of political freedom did not
mean that newly independent states had any means of negotiating trade reform—they
may not have had to contend with the US Marine Corps but many found themselves in a
precarious economic position after independence, stemming from several factors.
Most countries found themselves relying for most of their export earnings on very few
resources. For Zambia it was copper, Bangladesh produced jute, Ghana relied on cocoa,
the Ivory Coast on palm oil. Coffee and cotton came from Uganda and sisal from
Tanzania. Any one country therefore had little room for manoeuvre, and was highly
vulnerable to changes in commodity prices, making effective development planning
difficult.
A much more serious problem was the persistent stagnation in world commodity
markets. After a brief price boom at the time of the Korean War, the following two
decades were characterised by stagnant prices for most Third World resources, as many
countries competed for limited markets. Industrial products showed persistent price
increases so that the terms of trade (ratio of import to export prices) of Third World
countries actually deteriorated markedly after independence.
A small number of oil-producing countries were partly insulated from this trend, and
some East Asian countries such as South Korea and Taiwan got huge economic aid from
the West because they were considered to be frontline states in the Cold War. These were
exceptions—overall, non-oil-producing Third World countries experienced a 32 per cent
increase in import prices from the mid-1950s to 1972, compared with just an 11 per cent
increase in export prices. According to the UN Conference on Trade and Development
Resource issues 129
(UNCTAD), in 1972 the deterioration in terms of trade for Third World countries over
this period was
Remember that these are 1972 prices—in current prices the loss of terms of trade would
be closer to $80,000 million each year. Remember, also, that most development
assistance is in the form of loans which have to be repaid, or else is ‘tied’ to the buying of
goods and services from the donor country.
In essence, the structure of world trade in resources, between the poor South and the
rich North, actually involved the poor systematically subsidising the rich, not the other
way round as is usually assumed to be the case.
Given these circumstances, Third World states embarked on a series of measures to
counter these damaging trends. One option was to develop home-based industries
specifically for import substitution—producing goods which might otherwise be
imported. A second approach was to try to process their own resources into much more
expensive exports—producing electric cables instead of raw copper, or clothing instead
of cotton. Finally, they could try to go for full-scale industrialisation and follow the route
of the older industrialised states of the North.
Issues in international relations 130
There were severe obstacles to all three approaches. Import substitution involved small-
scale production because home markets were small, and also required heavy investment
which was rarely available. Processing home-produced resources was certainly possible,
but immediately came up against trade barriers erected by consuming countries in the
industrialised North to protect their own processing industries, barriers involving tariffs,
quotas and value-added tax all being used by the USA and Western European countries.
Finally, full-scale industrialisation was rarely feasible given the need for a well-educated
workforce and lack of government investment. While transnational companies would, on
occasion, be interested in industrial development, their prime aim was to get a good
return on their investment.
An entirely different approach was for Third World states to unite together in order to
negotiate a more equitable trading system with the more powerful industrialised states of
the North. This was attempted, primarily through the establishment of UNCTAD in 1964,
and for more than thirty years UNCTAD has attempted to act as a negotiating forum for
this purpose. In doing so, it has taken an interventionist stance, arguing that patterns of
world trade established during colonial times have been persistently damaging to the
interests of most of the world’s people, and UNCTAD has tried repeatedly to propose a
more equitable system, most notably in a key report put together right at the start of
UNCTAD by its first Secretary-General, the Latin American economist Raul Prebisch
(see Box 6.8).
Results have been patchy at best. Repeated attempts to negotiate commodity
agreements, in which Third World states would get guaranteed and reasonable prices for
their resource exports, have met with very little success, and many different efforts to
help countries get access to markets for their processed resources have been similarly
unsuccessful. There have been some exceptions, such as the Lome Conventions
sponsored by the European
Resource issues 131
The UN Conference on Trade and Development was set up in the early 1960s
to provide a bargaining forum between Third World and industrialised states.
The pressure for UNCTAD came almost entirely from Third World states
who were convinced that their weak position in world trade was the biggest
single hindrance to development.
The first Secretary-General of UNCTAD was the Argentinian economist,
Raul Prebisch, and he gathered together a group of economists which worked
to produce a blueprint for reform. This was published in late 1963 and was
formally called ‘Towards a New Trade Policy for Development’, although
immediately termed the Prebisch Report. It had six main elements.
1 There should be improved prices for resources exported from Third World
states, mainly to be achieved by commodity agreements between producers
and consumers.
2 A compensatory finance system, financed mainly by rich industrialised
countries, should be set up to compensate poor states for sudden losses in
production of resources.
3 There should be a tariff preference system whereby industrialised countries
would give preferential treatment to manufactured and otherwise processed
goods coming from Third World states.
4 Schemes to encourage regional industrialisation among neighbour ing Third
World states should be set up, thus achieving economies of scale.
5 There should be increased Third World participation in shipping and freight
insurance, at that time dominated by Northern interests.
6 Development assistance (foreign aid) should be of a much higher quality,
with fewer loans and more grants.
The Prebisch Plan involved a strong measure of international economic
planning, and was radically different to the free-market ideas which were to
become so dominant in the 1970s and 1980s. Even so, UNCTAD believed
that their implementation would hugely increase the development potential of
the Third World, and it persisted for a decade to put these ideas across, with
very little success. Only in 1974, when a world trade crisis made conditions
difficult for industrialised countries, was there a narrow window of
opportunity for action (see Box 6.9).
Union, which give preferential access to some processed high-value resources into
Europe, and some commodity agreements, such as that for natural rubber, have been of
use (see Boxes 6.12 and 6.13), but the overall problems for Third World resource
producers have persisted over the decades.
Issues in international relations 132
Only once, for a very brief period, did circumstances favour the resource producers
rather than the rich industrialised countries. In the early 1970s, a boom in oil prices
instigated by the oil producers (see Box 6.11) coincided with a sharp increase in prices of
food, fibres and metals, and industrialised countries suddenly found themselves in the
unusual position of poor terms of trade. There was brief talk of restructuring world trade
to produce a so-called New International Economic Order, but little came of it (see Box
6.9).
Starting in October 1973, world oil markets went wild, as OPEC states
succeeded in exerting ‘resource power’ and pushed the prices up by over 400
per cent in a few months. This coincided with a more general boom in
resource powers, fuelled in part by extensive speculation on commodity
markets, which had begun to gather pace during 1973. Over the twelve
months to the end of 1973, prices of metals shot up by 133 per cent, fibres
went up by 59 per cent and world food prices increased by 37 per cent
(contributing to the 1973–4 World Food Crisis—see Box 6.3).
As a result of these extraordinary changes, industrialised countries found
themselves on the receiving end of poor terms of trade and were, for once,
willing to consider trade reform. Normally, such issues would be discussed at
one of the four-yearly UNCTAD meetings, but the next one wasn't due until
1976, so the UN called a special session of the General Assembly in New
York in April 1974.
Intensive work by UN staff resulted in a blueprint for the comprehensive
reform of world trade which would stabilise the wildly fluctuating resource
prices, but do it in a manner to the long-term benefit of poorer countries. A
rather grandiose Declaration on a New International Economic Order (NIEO)
was agreed by the participating countries, which would involve setting up an
Integrated Commodities Programme intended to stabilise the prices of
eighteen raw materials covering 60 per cent of world trade in resources
excluding oil. This would be backed up by an $11 billion buffer stock system
to iron out further fluctuations in supply.
The details of this new plan were to be worked out and developed in time for
the UNCTAD Conference in Nairobi, two years later, and many Third World
economists saw this as a remarkable opportunity to improve their
development prospects.
In the event, by the end of 1974, commodity prices started to fall as the
industrialised world went into recession, and the motivation of the rich
countries to agree to trade reform evaporated. UNCTAD spent years trying to
Resource issues 133
revive the idea of the NIEO, but without success. In the 1970s and 1980s,
free-market ideas became dominant, any notion of planned trade reform to aid
Third World states was viewed with grave suspicion and, meanwhile, the
global gap between rich and poor grew steadily.
World trade in resources might seem a highly specialised topic, and it is true that it rarely
features in books on international relations. In part, this is because the study of
International Relations has been dominated by Western scholars interested primarily in
the relations between the world’s most powerful states and by the tensions and problems
of the East—West divide of the Cold War years. In reality, though, resource trade is a
crucial and ‘unsung’ aspect of the relations between states, especially if we are concerned
with all the peoples of the world.
While we have concentrated on the early years of decolonisation, when the structure of
the current world trading system was firmly set in place, this analysis of North-South
inequality stemming from unfair trade is still highly relevant, since the terms of trade for
commodity producers continue to be on a long-term decline with only occasional
exceptions. After the slump years of the 1920s and 1930s, resource prices rose in the
early years of the Cold War and recorded a second rise in the early 1950s at the time of
the Korean War. Then there was a slump until the twin booms of the mid-1970s and early
1980s before a slump by the end of the decade. Overall, only in one year since 1950 have
the terms of trade been as favourable as at the time of the First World War.
The relationship between resources and development goes further. As already mentioned,
the one major example of successful resource power was the massive increase in oil
prices in 1973–4. This hit industrialised countries badly, although they had enough
wealth to cope. For many Third World states it was a near disaster as they suddenly had
to cope with a surge in fuel prices with little extra income to support them. As a result,
they borrowed heavily on the international financial markets, themselves awash with
petrodollars being recycled from the newly oil-rich states of the Middle East.
As a direct result of this, the indebtedness of Third World states increased massively in
the late 1970s, followed by a long period of high interest rates. The end result has been
the debt crisis, as the majority of all Southern states have had to contend with massive
repayments, often doing no more than paying off outstanding interest and not even
beginning to repay the capital debts. Taken together, debts and poor terms of trade are the
two most significant obstacles in the way of the successful development of the Third
Issues in international relations 134
World. Both are directly related to the politics and economics of world resources.
We have seen that a knowledge of world trade in resources is essential for any
understanding of North-South relations, but is this going to be important for the future?
Since so many of the resources used by the industrialised world are found in the South,
could this give Third World states a latent economic power? Could it also lead to conflict
over resources?
As to a latent economic power, the conditions required for exercising resource power
are onerous, and there have been few occasions, apart from the spectacular one-time
success of OPEC, when anything much has been achieved. Even so, resource power
could become significant if circumstances change. A sustained increase in resource
demand, coupled with the development of political unity by Third World producers,
could make all the difference. There is, though, another important angle on this whole
subject which brings together questions of strategic resources and their role in
international security. There are a few examples of resources which are both singularly
important for modern industry and are located in a restricted number of places. They
include certain metals such as cobalt, tungsten and platinum, together with the most
important energy resource of all—oil. There have been several examples of specific
conflicts which have been fought partly over the control of particular strategic resources
(see Boxes 6.1, 6.12 and 6.13 on resource conflict), but these are small compared with the
potential for conflict over oil, already seen in the instance of the 1991 Gulf War.
The world’s oil industry originated in the United States in the 1880s, spread quickly to
the Caucasus and Indonesia and grew to include large oilfields in Canada, Venezuela and
the Soviet Union. By the early post-war years, the Middle East and North Africa were
becoming significant producer areas,
1 January 1 January
1990 1996
1 Saudi Arabia 255.0 Saudi Arabia 258.7
2 Iraq 100.0 Iraq 102.5
3 Kuwait 94.5 UAE 98.0
4 Iran 92.9 Kuwait 96.0
5 UAE 92.2 Iran 88.2
6 Venezuela 58.5 Venezuela 64.5
7 Former Soviet 58.4 Former Soviet 57.0
Union Union
8 Mexico 56.4 Mexico 49.8
9 United States 34.1 China 24.0
Resource issues 135
with the Persian Gulf coming eventually to be the most important area for oil reserves in
the world.
There were two reasons for this. One is that the traditional oil-producing giants, the
United States, Canada and Russia, have been rapidly exploiting their best oilfields, with
relatively few new fields being discovered. The second reason is that increasingly the
most readily available oilfields have been found in and around the Persian Gulf. This was
touched on in the introduction, and we have to be careful to distinguish between
production and reserves. Table 6.1 shows proven oil reserves, for 1990, the year of the
outbreak of the Gulf Crisis, and for 1996.
Although countries such as the United States and Russia are still the world’s largest
producers of oil, well ahead of Saudi Arabia, for example, they are really little more than
minnows compared with Gulf states when it comes to reserves—indeed, a small group of
Gulf states now controls more than two-thirds of all the world’s oil reserves. Moreover,
some of the best new oil fields are being discovered in the Persian Gulf region, especially
in Saudi Arabia and Iraq, which both increased their reserves in the early 1990s. Until
around 1970, Western Europe and Japan were dependent on Gulf oil, and by the early
1970s even the United States was progressively importing oil as it could no longer satisfy
home demand from its own fields. Now even China is a net oil importer. All the major
industrialised and industrialising regions of the world are becoming increasingly
dependent on oil from the Persian Gulf.
This shift in resource power was recognised by some military planners more than
twenty years ago, after OPEC had increased oil prices by over 400 per cent in 1973–4. In
the wake of that crisis, a number of studies were done, especially in US military circles,
to see whether it would have been possible to intervene in the Middle East if the oil tap,
so to speak, had been turned off. The results showed that the United States and its allies
did not have the kinds of military forces available to be able to deploy rapidly to the
region to secure the oilfields.
In the late 1950s, the world’s oil industry was dominated by seven companies,
the ‘majors’ such as Shell, BP, Exxon and Mobil. Together they controlled 84
per cent of oil production outside of the USA and the Soviet Bloc, and
worked closely to manage oil markets for their mutual benefit, while limiting
their payments to producer countries like Iraq, Iran, Indonesia and Venezuela.
In 1960, an attempt to make producer countries accept a cut in revenues
helped persuade five countries, led by Venezuela, to set up an organisation to
work for their own interests, a kind of trade union. The Organisation of
Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) was headquartered in Vienna and
aimed to improve the share of oil revenues going to the producer countries.
Issues in international relations 136
For more than a decade, OPEC laboured in this aim while apparently making
little progress, yet all the time trends in the world oil industry were working it
its favour:
• More countries joined OPEC during the 1960s, including Algeria, Indonesia
and the United Arab Emirates, so that by 1970 OPEC members had over
60 per cent of world oil reserves.
• Although there were many political differences within OPEC, the member
states worked together in their common interests when it came to oil
policy.
• Most of the new oil reserves discovered in the 1960s were in OPEC
countries.
• OPEC states worked steadily to train their own nationals in oil operations.
• French, Italian and smaller North American oil companies began to
compete more successfully with the seven majors.
• By the early 1970s, even the United States needed to import oil.
By 1973, OPEC was beginning to exploit its power, encouraged by the
Libyan decision to take over foreign oil companies in September of that year.
One month later, the Yom Kippur/Ramadan War between the Israelis and
Syria and Egypt broke out, and Arab members of OPEC used their new-found
‘resource power’ to put pressure on Western governments to bring the war to
an early end. Within months, action by OPEC and by individual oil producers
had pushed oil prices up a staggering 400 per cent.Initially opposing the
moves by producer countries, the major oil companies quickly found that they
could make exaggerated profits at a time of booming prices, and did little to
bring the price spiral under control. As multinationals, they worked in their
own interests, not necessarily the same as those of the major industrialised
countries, and many of them achieved record profits for 1974.
The new oil prices were sustained for several years, before dipping towards
the end of the 1970s, only to shoot up again at the end of the decade, not
because of further OPEC action, but due to oil shortages brought about by the
Iranian Revolution and the outbreak of the Iran/ Iraq War.
By the early 1980s, OPEC had lost most of its cohesion and was unable to
regain the resource power it had used so effectively in 1973–74. Even so, the
organisation remained in being and by the late 1990s its members controlled
three-quarters of the world’s oil reserves, making it eminently possible that
OPEC might reassert its power some time in the future.
The 1973–4 oil crisis was a result of internal events among the oil producers, but later in
the decade, with East-West tensions rising rapidly, the real concern of the USA and
NATO was with Soviet influence in the Persian Gulf. In 1977, President Jimmy Carter
issued Presidential Directive 18, which ordered the Pentagon to identify forces available
for rapid deployment. This led to the establishment of the Joint Rapid Deployment Task
Resource issues 137
Force, known more commonly as the Rapid Deployment Force, which became
operational in 1980.
The Rapid Deployment Force was intended to be able to operate anywhere in the
world, but its main focus was always on the Middle East, and four years later, in 1984, it
was expanded to create a new unitary military command, Central Command
(CENTCOM), which is responsible for maintaining US security interests in the Middle
East and South-West Asia, with specific emphasis on the Persian Gulf.
By the end of the 1980s, CENTCOM could call on 300,000 troops from the army, air
force, navy and marine corps, and comprised the Third Army, the Ninth Air Force, three
aircraft-carrier battle groups and a marine amphibious force together with elements of
Strategic Air Command and substantial intelligence, reconnaissance and special forces
units. A key concept was rapid deployment, including the availability of a complete army
brigade of over 4,000 troops with comprehensive artillery and air defences, air-mobile
and ready to move at twenty hours’ notice.
The Pentagon also put in place an elaborate system of forward-based supplies, ready to
support emergency military operations in the Gulf. The British island of Diego Garcia in
the Indian Ocean had been leased to the USA in the late 1960s and was now built up into
a huge base, with supply ships permanently stationed there to move fuel, ammunition,
food and other supplies to any area of operations. During the 1980s, Saudi Arabia did not
allow foreign troops to be based on its territory, but, in co-operation with the United
States, a series of air bases was built which were far larger than needed by the Saudi air
force, and were readily available for US and allied forces in the event of any threat to the
kingdom.
All of this planning revolved around the need to secure Gulf oil supplies for the West.
The prime intention might have been to forestall any Soviet moves during an East-West
crisis, but when Saddam Hussein’s Iraqi troops invaded Kuwait in August 1990, these
same forces formed the core of the coalition which went to war with Iraq six months
later.
Since the Gulf War, it has become established practice to base troops and aircraft in
both Saudi Arabia and Kuwait, and the United States has gone on to build up its
permanent naval presence in the Gulf by re-establishing the Fifth Fleet.
All the current trends indicate that the industrialised world will become progressively
more dependent on oil supplies from the Gulf, so much so that any threat to these
supplies will be viewed with fundamental concern by the United States and its allies. If
there is one region of the world were instability could lead to a resource war, it is the
Persian Gulf.
Issues in international relations 138
For several decades until 1973, seven major oil companies effectively
controlled the world’s oil industry, but their ability to do this was curbed for a
time by OPEC, which was the first grouping of Third World states to succeed
in developing ‘resource power’. Their success was short-lived, not least
because Third World resource power needs several factors working in its
favour. Among the most important factors are:
• that Third World states producing a particular resource must have a high
degree of unity of action;
• that they control a large proportion of world trade in that resource,
preferably at least half;
• that if the resource is non-renewable, they control most of the reserves;
• that large stockpiles are not held by consuming countries;• that the
substitution of the particular resource by other commodities or synthetic
substitutes isn’t feasible, at least in the short term; and
• that the countries seeking to exploit resource power should be sufficiently
strong to resist any pressures which may be put on them by consuming
countries.
OPEC in the early 1970s fitted these requirements remarkably well. The
member states were united, were responsible for the majority of the world’s
oil exports and reserves, stocks in industrialised countries were rarely more
than 100 days of supply, for most of its uses there were no immediate
substitutes for oil, and the countries already had reasonable financial power.
Moreover, the oil companies quickly found that rising (‘bull’) markets were
good for their profits, too.
OPEC’s position was, and is, rare. Many resources come largely from
Third World states, including aluminium, cobalt, copper, nickel, tin, tungsten,
platinum, many fibres, natural rubber, coffee, tea and sugar, and there have
been a number of attempts at resource power. So far, none has been as
successful as the brief rise of OPEC (see Boxes 6.11 and 6.13).
OPEC’s spectacular success in the 1970s led many other countries to try to
emulate it, with a number of mini-OPECs quickly established. In most cases,
though, conditions were not right and the successes were few and far
between. Two examples of resource power which have worked, at least
Resource issues 139
meeting, but the bigger problem was that iron ore is exported from both Third
World and industrialised countries. With little in common among its
members, AIOEC has never managed to exercise resource power.
So far, this chapter has looked at the main features of international resource use up to the
present time. We have seen that the developing pattern of world trade in resources was a
key feature of the colonial period and left a trading system which was highly
asymmetric—Southern Third World states have been mainly suppliers of resources to
Northern industry, and a trading relationship has developed which has been highly
advantageous to the North.
Repeated attempts to negotiate trade reform have met with little success, and attempts
have also been made to exert resource power. With very few exceptions, most notably the
oil producers in the mid-1970s, these have been unsuccessful.
At the same time, the very concentration of resources in Southern states may well give
them a latent political and economic power in the future, and some resources are already
seen by Western strategists in terms of security. Again, the most notable example is the
concentration of oil reserves in the Persian Gulf, with a heavily militarised region already
subject to an intense conflict during the Gulf War.
We now need to look at future resource use in global terms and link it in with three
other trends, the growth in population, particularly in relation to resource use, the
increasing rich-poor divide and the possibility of environmental limits to human activity.
The demographic transition from rural to urban-industrial societies typically includes a
phase of rapid population growth followed by a phase of near stagnation, with population
densities up to ten times greater than before. Most Northern states commenced this
transition during the nineteenth century and have now completed it, and many Southern
states are well into the expansion phase. Curbing population growth is rarely just a result
of large-scale population control measures but tends to follow educational and economic
improvements within a population.
World population has been growing rapidly since the mid-twentieth century although
there are signs that it is now slowing down. Even so, from 4 billion people in 1975, it
increased to 5.4 billion in 1991 and will go to over 6 billion by 2000 and around 8 billion
by 2020, possibly stabilising at 10–12 billion towards the end of the twenty-first century.
Almost all the population growth will be in Southern states.
At the same time, the great majority of the world’s resources are used by a minority of
the world’s people in the rich industrialised North, and the rich-poor divide is actually
growing, not diminishing. In 1960, the richest 20 per cent of the world’s people had 70
per cent of the wealth; the poorest 20 per cent had 2.3 per cent. Over thirty years later, by
1991, the richest 20 per cent had 85 per cent of the wealth and the poorest 20 per cent had
1.7 per cent. To put it more bluntly, the rich-poor divide had doubled.
There are already specific problems of environmental limitations on human activity,
and these are apparent within states, across regions and at a global level. They include
increased competition for land, forests, water resources and fisheries.
Apart from pollution problems of rivers such as the Danube and Rhine, there are major
areas of potential conflict over water resources. These include competition between
Turkey, Syria and Iraq over the Tigris/Euphrates waters, and between India and
Bangladesh over the Ganges/Brahmaputra. Most significantly, the demand for water
between Israel and the Palestinians is one of the underlying problems preventing a
settlement to that protracted conflict.
In many parts of the world, there are increasing problems of deforestation and loss of
soil. About 24 billion tonnes of topsoil are lost each year, mainly through erosion and
salinisation, equivalent to the loss of the crop-lands of India over the past two decades.
There is a net loss of tropical rainforests of over 10 million hectares each year.
At the global level, ozone depletion has been recognised as a major concern for over a
decade, and some action has been taken to bring it under control. Much more difficult a
problem is that of climate change, caused primarily by the increased production of
greenhouse gases such as carbon dioxide, mostly by industrialised states.
There has been a systematic problem of food supply for several decades, with endemic
malnutrition in numerous Third World countries which, on occasion, break out into full-
scale famine, usually prompted by drought, floods or war. World food problems stem
from many causes, most of them relating to poverty rather than an absolute inability to
produce food, and there has been some success in enabling food production to keep pace
with population increases. At the same time, the fact that some 500 million people
experience malnutrition at a time of rapid growth and extraordinary wealth in other parts
of the world indicates that consistent policies for improving food security have had little
success. On two occasions in the past thirty years there have been major food crises (see
Boxes 6.3 and 6.4). In each case intercontinental famine was avoided, but there is no
guarantee whatsoever that this will remain the case.
There is good evidence to suggest that the human community is beginning to come up
against some basic environmental limits to growth, and issues such as climate change and
resource conflict are evidence of this. This does not mean that some kind of apocalyptic
Issues in international relations 142
collapse is likely—there are many short-term ‘fixes’ which can be used to counter
individual problems. The more fundamental difficulty is that the world’s resources are
used so unevenly. As a consequence, if there was to be more ecomomic equality across
the world, the effects on the global environment would be extreme. This was put very
well by the British ecologist Palmer Newbould, writing at the time of the first UN
Environment Conference, in Stockholm in 1972:
My own view is that however successful population policies are, the world
population is likely to treble before it reaches stability. If the expectation of this
increased population were, for example, to emulate the present lifestyle and
resource use of the USA, the demand on world resources would be increased
approximately 15-fold; pollution and other forms of environmental degradation
might increase similarly and global ecological carrying capacity would then be
seriously exceeded. There are therefore global constraints on development set
by resources and environment and these cannot be avoided. They will require a
reduction in the per capita resource use and environmental abuse of the
developed nations to accompany the increased resource use of the developing
nations, a levelling down as well as up. This conflict cannot be avoided.
(Newbould, 1972)
To put it another way, the ‘cake’ of world wealth is not going to grow for ever, since
resource and environmental factors will eventually exercise a whole range of limits.
These are likely to include increasing pressures on land, soils, water, fisheries, minerals
and energy supplies. But there are few signs that the majority of the world’s people are
able to escape from poverty unless they can participate in economic growth, since their
share of the world’s wealth shows no sign of increasing. Development is dependent on
growth but there seem to be increasing limits to that growth. The alternative is some kind
of redistribution, or at least a radical decrease in the human impact on the global
environment which results in environmentally sustainable development.
If this does not happen, then we should expect to see issues of environmental conflict
becoming far more important in international relations, with every risk of conflict, not
least between the ‘haves’ and the ‘have-nots’. The geographer Edwin Brookes put it
succinctly, also at the time of the Stockholm Conference, when people were first starting
to talk about limits to growth, saying that we would end up with: ‘a crowded glowering
planet of massive inequalities of wealth, buttressed by stark force, yet endlessly
threatened by desperate people in the global ghettos of the underprivileged’.
Resource issues 143
FURTHER READING
One of the few detailed studies on resources and conflict is Global Resources and
International Conflict, edited by Arthur Westing (Oxford University Press, Oxford,
1986). There are two good books on resource trade and North—South relations: Worlds
Apart: The North-South Divide and the International System, by Nassau A.Adams (Zed
Press, London, 1993), analyses the UN role in trade reform; and The Trade Trap: Poverty
and the Global Commodity Markets, by Belinda Coote (Oxfam Publications, Oxford,
1992), is a readable and perceptive analysis of the links between North-South resource
trade and poverty. An early study of the post-colonial trading relationship and resource
use was Future Resources and World Development, edited by Paul Rogers (Plenum
Press, London, 1976), and a more recent book which deals with environmental security,
especially oil security, is A Violent Peace: Global Security after the Cold War, by Paul
Rogers and Malcolm Dando (Brassey’s, London, 1992). The most readable book about
oil is The Prize, by Daniel Yergin (Simon and Schuster, London, 1991).
7
From international organisation to
international organisations
Alasdair McLean
Perhaps one of the most fundamental issues within International Relations is that of
international organisation. In its broadest sense, international organisation refers to the
manner in which actors within the international system relate to, and interact with, each
other. In this sense, international organisation is, quite simply, the manner in which the
international system is organised or arranged. It is thus easy to see why this might be
described as the most basic issue in International Relations.
The modern international system of states is generally regarded as dating back to the
Peace of Westphalia in 1648. This agreement not only ended the Thirty Years War in
Europe, but swept away the dominance of the Pope, by way of the Holy Roman Empire,
and outlined some of the rights and responsibilities of the new, sovereign territorial states
which were to arise from it. However, without doubt, the seventeenth century was an
altogether much simpler time. States were principally concerned with ensuring their
territorial security and status in relation to other states. Over the next 200 years or so, life
became rather more complex. The Industrial Revolution meant that commercial life
became more important and, gradually, the relations of states with each other came to
include, to a much greater extent, trade and commerce. International economic relations
grew in importance. In parallel, greatly increased capabilities in terms of transportation
and communication developed, which made international activity much easier to
undertake. Relations between states also, therefore, increased in complexity and it
became necessary to find new ways of organising international society to cope with these
increased demands.
Thus new forms of co-operation were established. By the nineteenth century a new
form of player on the international stage had emerged—international organisations. And
so the changing requirements of international organisation resulted in the emergence of
international organisations.
of bodies. For the purposes of this chapter, we will really only be considering the
conventional bodies. Nevertheless, the significance of even this total of 5,732
organisations can clearly be seen if one considers that the figures in 1909 were
respectively 37 and 176, and by 1977 had risen to only 252 IGOs and 2,502 NGOs (see
Figure 1).
This is one of the most difficult tasks in the study of international organisations. When is
an IO an IO? In the limitations of this chapter it is not possible to consider the whole
range of forms of international organisations in detail. Accordingly, attention will be
focused on the two principal forms—intergovernmental organisations (IGOs) and
international non-governmental organisations (INGOs).
In conventional terms, there are several criteria which must be met in order for an
intergovernmental organisation to exist. It should:
• be based on a formal instrument of agreement between the governments of states;
• include three or more states as parties to the agreement;
• possess a permanent secretariat performing ongoing tasks.
These three criteria are those used by the UIA. However, it is possible to come up with a
more general range of features which indicate the nature of the IGO. Starting with the
three criteria outlined, all IGOs must have some formal instrument of agreement between
governments. Most commonly referred to as a convention, charter or constitution, this
will set out the institutional arrangements for the organisation and also detail the areas of
competency which it has. Considering the second criterion, the minimum of three states
involved, this clearly excludes any bilateral agreement or institution. But there are several
other points which relate to the states belonging to an IGO. First, the very existence of the
Issues in international relations 148
IGO suggests that it is there to address problems which are common to the member
states. Thus all the member states will, to varying degrees, be committed to the aims of
the organisation. Second, and following on from this, almost certainly, all states within
the IGO will be equal. That is to say, they will have equal responsibility within the
decision-making process of the organisation for the attainment of the goals of that
organisation. Of course, this equality may be rather more theoretical than practical.
Contributions of resources towards the running of the organisation will in all probability
not be equal, and thus the major contributors may seek to exercise more influence in the
actual operation of the organisation, by flexing their political and economic muscle. But
the fact remains that virtually all IGOs theoretically espouse the equality of their
membership, although the UNSC allows five permanent members a veto (USA, UK,
France, Russia and China) and in some organisations, such as the European Union (see
Chapter 10), there is weighted voting on some issues: that is, some states have more votes
than others.
The third criterion—the secretariat—will also differ considerably from organisation to
organisation. In some cases, it may be very small, carrying out a minimal amount of
work. In others it may be large and complex, with a range of functions akin to that of a
state itself—such as the European Union, for example. In general terms, the size and
range of influence of the secretariat will reflect the size and influence of the organisation
as a whole. But within some organisations, the role of the secretariat itself raises a
number of questions, which will be addressed later in this chapter.
One further point relating to the nature of IGOs is that they will often have an
‘international legal personality’. This means that they have a legal existence which is
separate from their member states. In other words, in such a case, the IGO itself can enter
into legal agreements. Employees of the organisation, for example, may be employed by
the organisation, not by its member states, and the organisation itself can enter into
contracts with suppliers. More significantly, in terms of international law, since the IGO
has a distinct personality, it can enter into international agreements itself, and can have
representatives from states outwith its membership accredited to it.
The horrors of the First World War inspired both individuals and governments around the
world to consider how such loss of life might be avoided in the future. Even as the war
was being fought, consideration was being given to how to develop a system which
would mean that such a conflict could never again occur. Individuals and groups, both
private and governmental, in a number of different countries around the world came up
with the idea of an international organisation with the principal aim of achieving world
peace.
In May 1916 President Woodrow Wilson of the USA addressed the US League to
Enforce Peace, and by so doing became the first world leader to give official support to
the notion of a League of Nations after the war. In fact, although Wilson is generally
credited with being the prime mover behind the League, he did not lead the way in
framing the detail of what such a body might look like. In fact, the first official draft of
the Covenant of the League came from Britain (Northedge 1976:27–8).
President Wilson was, however, the driving force in so far as he was adept in taking
ideas already espoused by others and promoting them most effectively. It was he who
insisted that the Covenant of the League of Nations should be incorporated into the peace
treaties formally concluding the First World War. And so, just one week after the peace
conference was convened in Paris in January 1919, largely at the instigation of the US
and British delegations, a resolution was adopted that meant the plans for a League of
Nations would be incorporated into the peace treaties. The League of Nations formally
came into existence on 10 January 1920 with the ratification of the Treaty of Versailles.
There were three main institutional aspects to the League of Nations—the Council, the
Assembly and the Secretariat. The Council was the effective governing body,
representing the great powers of the time. Essentially, the underlying concept was that
these states, as the most important of the day, had most at stake in the international
system, and thus should have most say on an ongoing basis. The Assembly was the forum
for the membership as a whole, a regular talking shop where all League members, on the
theoretical basis of equality, could express their views, enter into discussion with the
From international organisation to international organisations 153
other members, and arrive at mutually beneficial conclusions. The third element, the
Secretariat, was the day-to-day ‘civil service’, the pragmatic, ongoing bureaucracy which
took those policy decisions and acted to implement them.
• Council
• representatives of principal allied powers and four others (elected from
Assembly)
• each member of Council one vote; decisions needed agreement of all
present
• to deal with any matter within League’s sphere of action or affecting
world peace
• to recommend course of action to members
• Assembly
• representatives of all the members
• to deal with any matter within League’s sphere of action or affecting
world peace
• each state one vote and up to three representatives; decisions needed
agreement of all present
• Secretariat
• permanent and based in Geneva
On the face of it, this seems a reasonable construction for such an international
organisation. Yet in some ways it was not new. Although the immediate origins of the
League lie in the First World War, it is possible to relate it to the organisation of the
international system from earlier years. The congress system which had developed
throughout the nineteenth century was a series of ad hoc meetings of the great powers
which met as necessary to discuss matters of common interest. One example of such a
meeting was the Congress of Vienna in 1814–15, which effectively codified the rules of
diplomacy. Originally held together by fear of Napoleon, and of revolution, these
meetings became more regular, as the states concerned found them a useful way of
addressing their mutual concerns. By the middle of the nineteenth century, this had
developed into the Concert of Europe. Bearing in mind that the League provided a forum
for the leading powers to meet regularly to discuss mutual concerns, it more than slightly
resembles the concept of the Concert of Europe.
Issues in international relations 154
Another mode of organisation in international society in the latter part of the nineteenth
century was the conference system. The Hague conferences of 1899 and 1907 saw the
coming together of the European states to consider a major issue—in this case,
disarmament. This can be seen as a conceptual assembly of all the nations—a prototype
model for the Assembly of the League. The third feature of international organisation
which had emerged in the nineteenth century was the concept of the international public
unions. These were international organisations which focused on specific functional
areas, such as the International Bureau of Weights and Measures (1875) or the General
Postal Union (1868) but engendered co-operation at the technical, functionary level—the
inspiration for the Secretariat of the League.
Thus, from an organisational perspective, there was remarkably little that was new in
the establishment of the League of Nations. What was novel was its aspiration to being a
global organisation, devoted to the maintenance of peace and, if necessary, backing its
purpose with firm action, by way of the concept of collective security, in which all
members take joint responsibility for the maintenance of security, whether it directly
affects their own security interests or not.
The underlying thinking behind the framing of the League Covenant was based on
what the powers thought had been the origins of the First World War, and thus the
League specifically set out to counter those factors which it was thought had been to
blame. There were three principal factors which were identified: arms races, secret
diplomacy in pursuit of national interests and the breakdown of the traditional balance of
power system. Thus, in response to this the League aimed for disarmament, open
covenants, openly arrived at, and collective security in place of a balance of power.
The League had a few minor successes, managing to resolve a number of international
disputes, but in the 1930s it suffered a series of major failures. When the Japanese
invaded Chinese Manchuria in 1931, and again when Italy invaded Abyssinia in 1935,
the League turned out to be effectively powerless to prevent these incidents—the very
type of incident it had been established to deal with. By this stage the League was fatally
wounded. It could do nothing when Hitler reoccupied the Rhineland in 1936, followed in
1938 by the German invasion of Austria and Czechoslovakia, and was powerless the
From international organisation to international organisations 155
following year when the invasion of Poland sparked World War Two.
This raises an obvious question—why did it fail? In essence it is possible to identify
four basic causes of the failure of the League of Nations:
• The failure of the Covenant.
• Weakness of membership.
• Balance of power v. the League system.
• Level of operation.
There were a number of weaknesses in the Covenant itself, which led to a variety of
attempts to strengthen it. The French wanted effective means to implement Article 16
(economic sanctions and military action), but on the question of disarmament they were
more reluctant. A 1922 draft treaty of mutual guarantee and the 1924 Geneva Protocol,
both of which were designed to give military teeth to sanctions, failed. In 1928 came the
Kellogg-Briand Pact which bound signatories to renounce war as an instrument of
national policy—but how could this be enforced? Thus the deficiencies within the
Covenant itself were never corrected.
There were also distinct problems with the membership. The USA, one of the world’s
most significant powers, never joined. Germany was only in for a short period (1926–33),
Japan left in 1933, Russia only joined in 1932 and was thrown out in 1939. Yet the basic
principle of collective security demands that membership be as wide as possible. To a
large extent the League hinged on Britain and France—who did not always agree with
each other, and certainly both, throughout their membership, continued to place
considerable faith in secret diplomacy to uphold security.
Article 16.2: ‘It shall be the duty of the Council in such case to recommend to
the several Governments concerned what effective military, naval or air force
the members of the League shall severally contribute to the armed forces to
be used to protect the Covenants of the League.’
• Level of operation: Article 19: ‘The Assembly may from time to time
advise the reconsideration by Members of the League of treaties which
have become inapplicable and the consideration of international conditions
whose continuance might endanger the peace of the world.’
Which leads on to the third factor—the inherent tension between the conflicting desires
for the traditional balance of power structure and the League system of collective
security. For the League to operate effectively, all members had to consider collective
security, and openness as the primary method of ensuring peace. Notwithstanding this, its
most important and influential members, Britain and France, still sought security through
alliances, sometimes secretly negotiated. This created a fundamental dilemma. It is not
possible to carry out open diplomacy—open covenants, openly arrived at—as the League
system demanded if, at the same time, you are engaged in secret diplomacy to form
independent security alliances.
Finally, the level of operation of the League was also a factor in its downfall. The
League tried to deal with the question of international peace and security at the level of
the international political system as a whole. But many of the aggressors which it
encountered, such as Japan, Italy and Germany, were fundamentally aggrieved with the
structure of the international system itself. Japan and Italy felt hard done by with respect
to the colonial situation, Germany with the Versailles peace settlement. But the League
could not address these types of difficulties in any truly constructive manner—it had no
suitable way of revising settlements within the international system. Article 19, which
allowed the Assembly to advise reconsideration of treaties that had become inapplicable,
simply did not work.
Thus, overall, there was no single factor which led to the demise of the League of
Nations. Rather it was a combination of a number of factors. But together they certainly
proved fatal to the institution as a whole.
However, despite the disappointing experience of the League, this was not to be the
end of such an organisation. Throughout the Second World War, in a number of different
countries, individuals, private organisations and governments were considering the way
in which such an organisation might be made to work. As the war neared its end, the
thoughts of the Allied powers became more focused on the question of the shape of the
world after the war. They determined that the only way to prevent future recurrences of
such widespread hostilities was to establish a global organisation which would have the
From international organisation to international organisations 157
aim of maintaining international peace and security.
Preliminary plans for such an organisation were drawn up at a series of meetings held
at Dumbarton Oaks in Washington, DC. The outline which emerged from these
conversations was further discussed by Roosevelt, Stalin and Churchill at Yalta in 1945
and was, with a few amendments, approved by a special conference in San Francisco in
April 1945, with the Charter of the United Nations coming into force in October 1945.
make available to the Security Council, on its call and in accordance with a
special agreement or agreements, armed forces, assistance and facilities…
necessary for the purpose of maintaining international peace and security.’
Article 49: ‘the Members of the United Nations shall join in affording
mutual assistance in carrying out the measures decided upon by the
Security Council.’
• ECOSOC: Chapter X—primary functions are economic growth,
technological dissemination and respect for human rights.
• Trusteeship: now redundant as no longer any trusteeship territories.
• International Court of Justice: 15 members; parties, if they accept that case
should go to ICJ, agree to accept ICJ decision.
• Secretariat: 9,000 staff from 170 states; to be independent of member states
in performance of duties; and Article 99: ‘The Secretary-General may bring
to the attention of the Security Council any matter which in his opinion
may threaten the maintenance of international peace and security.’
• The Security Council. The organ to which the Charter gives the primary responsibility
for maintaining international peace and security. The Charter obligates states to settle
their international disputes by peaceful means. They must refrain from the threat or
use of force against other states and may bring any dispute to the attention of the
Security Council.
The Security Council can be convened at any time, whenever it is required to
consider a threat to international peace. It comprises fifteen members. Five of
these—China, France, Russia, the UK and the USA—are permanent members of the
Council. The other ten members are elected by the General Assembly for two-year
terms, with five being elected each year. In 1997 the ten non-permanent members
were Chile, Costa Rica, Egypt, Guinea-Bissau, Japan, Kenya, Poland, Portugal,
Republic of Korea and Sweden. Decisions of the Security Council require nine votes
out of the fifteen. Except on purely procedural questions, a decision cannot be taken
if there is a negative vote by any one of the five permanent members—the so-called
veto power of the permanent five. Importantly, however, decisions of the Security
Council are compulsory. All member states are obliged to carry out decisions of the
Security Council—the only UN body which has this mandatory legal authority.
Although, of course, every issue brought to the attention of the Security Council is
different, there is a general pattern to what the Council will typically do in
considering the matter. When a threat to peace is brought before the Council, it will
usually first ask the parties to reach agreement by peaceful means. It has a wide
range of tactics which it can employ to try to ensure peace. It may undertake
mediation, send observers to monitor the situation or send peace-keeping forces to
try to prevent the outbreak of conflict. If fighting does break out, the Council will try
to secure a ceasefire. Peace-keeping forces may be deployed, with the consent of the
parties involved, in an attempt to reduce tension, perhaps by keeping opposing
forces apart. Other methods, such as the imposition of economic sanctions, may also
From international organisation to international organisations 159
be utilised, and, in the last resort, the Council has the authority to order collective
military action.
The Security Council also makes recommendations to the General Assembly on a
candidate for the post of Secretary-General, and on the admission of new members to
the UN.
• The Economic and Social Council (ECOSOC). This works under the overall authority
of the General Assembly and is responsible for coordinating the economic and social
work of the UN itself. It is also responsible for its specialised agencies and institutions.
ECOSOC has fifty-four members and holds at least one substantive session each year.
This session normally includes a special meeting at the level of government ministers
to discuss major international economic and social issues. ECOSOC recommends and
directs activities aimed at promoting the economic growth of developing countries and
the observance of human rights, and spreading the benefits of science and technology.
It also tries to foster international cooperation in such diverse areas as housing, family
planning and crime prevention.
• The Trusteeship Council. Established to ensure that governments which were
responsible for administering trust territories took adequate steps to prepare these
territories for independence or self-government. In one respect this can be seen to have
been the most successful of all UN activities in that by 1994 all trust territories had
attained independence or self-government, either as separate states or by joining
neighbouring independent countries. Thus, the Trusteeship Council no longer has a
trusteeship system to oversee. Accordingly, its rules of procedure were amended, and it
will now only meet as and when this may be required. Technically, however, it remains
one of the six major organs of the UN, although it is now effectively redundant.
• The International Court of Justice (also known as the World Court). The main judicial
organ of the UN. It consists of fifteen judges, elected by the General Assembly and the
Security Council. Only countries may be parties in cases brought before the Court. If a
country does not wish to participate in a case, it does not have to do so, but if it
accepts, it is obliged to comply with the decision of the Court.
• The Secretariat. It works for all the other organs of the UN and carries out their
programmes. It is effectively an international civil service, or bureaucracy, totalling
some 9,000 staff, from 170 different countries, which carries out the day-to-day work
of the UN, both at Headquarters and around the world. The head of the Secretariat is
the Secretary-General of the UN—currently Kofi Annan.
Issues in international relations 160
The primary objective of the United Nations—as it also was with the League of
Nations—is to maintain international peace and security. Following very closely behind
this primary goal is another—that of promoting international economic and social
cooperation. The third main objective is to promote respect for human rights for all
peoples. Each of these objectives is stated fairly clearly within the UN Charter, as are, at
least to some extent, the means by which they are to be pursued. There is also a further
group of rather more vaguely defined goals, including: developing friendly relations
among nations; acting as a centre for harmonising the actions of nations in attaining the
more specific goals; taking appropriate measures to strengthen universal peace; practising
tolerance and living together in peace as good neighbours; and establishing justice and
respect for international law. In the case of this latter group of aims, none is outlined in
any detail, nor are the means by which they might be achieved indicated in anything other
than the vaguest of terms. Within the constraints of this chapter, therefore, attention will
be focused on the principal objectives, and in particular on the primary one—the
maintenance of international peace and security.
With respect to this objective, the Charter specifies a number of means by which this
may be achieved, including the peaceful settlement of disputes and collective measures
for the prevention and removal of threats to the peace or acts of aggression. These aspects
are dealt with at some length in the Charter, with Chapter VI of the document devoted to
a variety of methods for peacefully settling disputes, and Chapter VII outlining a variety
of measures which may be taken when the situation has become more serious, involving
threats to the peace, actual breaches of the peace and acts of aggression.
The main responsibility for ensuring that international peace is maintained is given to
the Security Council, although this function is shared, to some extent, with the General
Assembly and also the International Court of Justice.
Regarding the second main objective, the major organ tasked with the primary
responsibility for promoting international economic and social co-operation is the
Economic and Social Council. To this end, however, the General Assembly also has a
significant role, as of course, do many of the myriad other organisations and specialised
agencies which fall under the overall auspices of the United Nations, within the UN
family.
The objective of promoting respect for human rights is also predominantly the remit of
the Economic and Social Council, which is empowered to set up commissions in this
field and may make recommendations and prepare draft conventions on human rights.
The General Assembly also has a major responsibility in this sphere. In addition, the
safeguarding of human rights is a fundamental element of the trusteeship system, and
thus the Trusteeship Council is the third major organ of the United Nations to have a
responsibility for such matters.
From international organisation to international organisations 161
The primary UN body working towards social and economic progress is the
UN Development Programme (UNDP). This is the largest UN provider of
grants for development and the chief co-ordinator of UN development co-
operation. It focuses on helping countries eliminate poverty, creating
employment, advancing women’s status and protecting the environment. Its
annual budget of $1 billion generates some $9 billion a year in follow-up
investment from public and private sources, and it is at work in 175 countries
and territories.
The UN Children’s Fund (UNICEF) also spends around $1 billion annually
in assistance programmes in some 144 countries. Much of its work relates to
immunisation, primary health care, nutrition and basic education.
The UN Environment Programme (UNEP) encourages sound
environmental practices and promotes international agreement in relation to
the environment. Other UN programmes which also work for development
include the World Food Programme, the UN Population Fund, the UN Centre
for Human Settlements and the UN Conference on Trade and Development.
Humanitarian aid is given to countries stricken by war, famine or natural
disaster. Part of this aid is in the form of direct assistance from UN
programmes, such as the World Food Programme or UNICEF. In 1995 the
UN raised $1.5 billion for humanitarian assistance around the world. The
Office of the UN High Commissioner for Refugees (UNHCR) provides
protection and assistance to some 27 million people, while attempting to find
long-term solutions to their difficulties. In addition, there are fourteen
specialised agencies of the UN which work towards development and
international co-operation within their own areas of expertise. These are:
International Labour Organisation (ILO); Food and Agriculture Organisation
From international organisation to international organisations 163
The first article of the UN Charter sets out the purposes of the United Nations. And the
first purpose is defined as
To maintain international peace and security, and to that end: to take effective
collective means for the prevention and removal of threats to the peace, and for
the suppression of acts of aggression or other breaches of the peace, and to bring
about by peaceful means, and in conformity with the principles of justice and
international law, adjustment or settlement of international disputes or situations
which might lead to a breach of the peace.
This seems a daunting prospect, so how exactly does the United Nations aim to achieve
this purpose? How does the UN maintain international peace and security? The short
answer is that it does so by a wide variety of means, ranging between the extremes of
quiet diplomacy and direct military action. The quiet diplomacy approach is typified by
the ‘good offices’ of the Secretary-General—informal and formal meetings the Secretary-
General holds in relation to matters of international concern—as an attempt to avoid
crises or prevent ongoing disputes escalating. At the other cxtreme lies full-scale military
action taken under the auspices of the UN.
FINANCE
The United Nations is, of course, a fairly complex organisation, and the same can be said
of its funding. Basic funding for the running of the organisation comes from compulsory
contributions from each of the member states. The amount each has to pay is determined
according to a formula adopted by the General Assembly. The UN regular budget, met by
these assessed contributions, was $1.3 billion in 1996. This provides the day-to-day
funding for the core functions of the organisation—essentially the Secretariat operations.
The UN itself is very quick to point out that this is a remarkably small budget for the
running of a global organisation—it is about 4 per cent of the annual budget of New York
City, for example.
However, this is only the regular budget, which is effectively the basic ‘housekeeping’
budget for running the organisation. This does not take into account the money required
to run the many programmes and agencies within the UN system as a whole. A second
category of budget applies to most of the assistance programmes run by the UN. These
are funded by special budgets, which rely on voluntary contributions from member states,
rather than assessed contributions. Thus the funding pattern, and indeed the proportion of
a programme budget paid by any one country, can vary considerably from year to year. In
recent years the total operating expenses for the UN system as a whole—including the
World Bank, IMF and all the UN funds, programmes and specialised agencies—has
averaged $18–20 billion per year.
A third form of budget relates to the activities of the various specialised agencies
which are connected to the UN system. These are largely autonomous and each therefore
has a considerable degree of independence in determining its own budget. Although
technically under the overview of the General Assembly, the central body of the UN can
only review and make recommendations regarding the budgets of these agencies. The
Issues in international relations 166
General Assembly cannot take budgetary decisions on their behalf.
Fourth, and by far most controversially, are the budgets required to run the various
peace-keeping operations of the United Nations. Originally attempts were made to assess
contributions for peace-keeping in a similar manner to the assessment of the regular
budget. From the outset, however, this did not meet with the approval of all the member
states. When the United Nations Emergency Force (UNEF) was established, for example,
in 1956, the Soviet Bloc countries, and a number of Arab states, refused to pay
contributions for this. Similar difficulties arose with other states in relation to other
peacekeeping operations, and so alternative ways of financing peace-keeping had to be
developed. Accordingly, today, all peace-keeping operations are separately funded, and
the finance for these can be obtained in a number of ways, from assessment all the way
through to the voluntary contributions of the states who are parties to the dispute which
has given rise to the need for the operation in the first place. Essentially, although there is
a formula for deriving peace-keeping contributions, each operation is uniquely financed.
The more general question mark which hangs over the whole question of UN finance is
how precarious it is. This situation arises due to a number of member states failing to pay
their contributions in full. Although in principle a state which is at least two years in
arrears may be denied its voting rights in the General Assembly, this has never been
invoked—although it nearly was, against the USSR in 1964. The reason for this is
simple: if a member state were to be sanctioned in this way, it is far from impossible that
the response of that state may be to withdraw from the organisation—as the USSR
threatened in 1964. In such an event, the organisation is fully aware that it would not
receive the arrears of funding which it was due. But the more important reason is that the
political desire to maintain as close to universal membership as possible has always far
outweighed the desire to penalise recalcitrant contributors.
If 1964 saw the financial crisis come to a head, it has never truly been resolved since
then. Periodic attempts to amend the funding basis of the organisation have been made,
but these really represent no more than tinkering at the margins. The underlying problem
is simply the task of persuading states to pay what they owe.
This was again brought into sharp focus in the mid-1980s. The US Congress passed a
piece of legislation known as the Kassebaum Amendment which meant that the USA
would not pay more than 80 per cent of its assessed dues until the United Nations
introduced a number of reforms to the budgetary process and its general methods of
administration. Since then, Congress has each year raised, or appropriated, less money
than it is due to the United Nations and consequently the arrears which the United States
owes the United Nations have continued to rise. Indeed, at present, the USA owes the UN
something over $1.6 billion.
From international organisation to international organisations 167
REFORM
In recent years, the structure of the United Nations has been called into question. A
growing number of states have expressed concern over a number of issues. The two most
significant areas which have caused concern are the structure of the Security Council and
the finances of the organisation as a whole. Both these areas, it is argued, do not reflect
the current international system. While they may have been appropriate at the time of the
founding of the organisation, more than fifty years ago, they are now out of step with the
structure of international society.
In the case of the Security Council, it is argued that its composition reflects the great
power structure immediately after the Second World War. Essentially, the permanent
members are those who were globally powerful in the 1940s. Today, however, question
marks hang over the UK and France in particular, neither any longer a great power on the
world stage. Why, it is asked, in today’s world should these two countries hold such a
significant position within the body which acts as the guarantor of international peace and
security? Although both are historically powerful states, it is difficult to dispute that their
roles in international society no longer have the global impact which they had fifty years
ago. Conversely, it can be asked why economic powers, such as Japan and Germany,
today the second and third largest financial contributors to the UN budget respectively,
have no such permanent place at the table. Similarly, the permanent membership does not
truly reflect the geographical distribution of UN membership today. Within an
organisation in which the majority of the member states could be described as developing
countries, would it not be reasonable for this group to have at least one permanent seat on
the Security Council?
Questions such as these are typical of those which have been raised concerning the
structure of the Security Council. And they are important questions. As has already been
indicated, the Security Council is unique in that its decisions are obligatory on all
member states. In this respect, the decisions of the Security Council are taken in the name
of all members of the United Nations. In order to attempt to ensure that Security Council
resolutions are observed by all member states, it is important that the Security Council
itself is regarded as having the moral authority and political legitimacy of the
Issues in international relations 168
membership as a whole. It can only do this if its membership, and especially its
permanent membership, is seen as a fair representation of world society and, in particular,
the membership of the UN as a whole. Or as Nicholas Hopkinson has put it: ‘The world
balance of power has changed dramatically in the years since the United Nations was
established but the composition of the Security Council has not’ (Hopkinson 1993:13).
Over the years, a variety of proposals to amend the structure of the Security Council, to
bring it more into line with the realities of the 1990s, has been put forward. These range
from simply adding further members, most specifically Germany and Japan, as
permanent members (a proposal which was rejected in 1996), adding a new category of
‘standing’ members—whose seats would be permanent, but without the veto power of the
existing permanent five—thus allowing for permanent membership to reflect more
closely the economic and regional realities of the modern world, or simply increasing the
number of non-permanent members. Other suggestions which have been floated include
the notion of rotating members, from defined geographical areas. In other words, the
geographical area would effectively have a permanent seat but it would be a different
national representative which sat in it.
The issues involved are, at one level, very simple, but at a more politicised level
extremely complex. At the simple level it seems obvious that the membership must be
changed to reflect current international power relations. At the more political level,
however, to achieve this effectively requires those who currently hold power within the
Security Council (i.e. the permanent five) to give up some of their power. Rather
ironically, perhaps, any change to the membership is a substantive question, which thus
requires the consent of each of the permanent members. And, perhaps unsurprisingly,
they are not rushing to give up their seats, vetoes or power.
The other key area of difficulty which the UN as an organisation faces is that of its
financing. As outlined above, each member state contributes to the regular budget of the
UN according to a funding formula. Yet many states have, consistently over the years,
failed to meet these obligations. As of February 1997, the UN was owed over $3 billion
in arrears from member states. This would cover the budget of the UN’s core functions—
the Secretariat operations in New York, Geneva, Nairobi, Vienna and five regional
commissions—for almost two and a half years. Successive Secretaries-General have
reiterated that unless something is done to reduce this level of arrears, the UN as an
organisation will remain in a very precarious financial position, almost on the brink of
insolvency.
Over the years, a number of suggestions have been made which would generate
income, independently of the assessed contributions of member states, for the UN.
Something in the region of 3 per cent of current UN revenue comes from sources such as
the sale of publications and stamps, and charges for services. However, to put the
organisation on a sound financial basis, through increased independent sources of
finance, would require a much greater proportion of revenue to be raised from alternative
sources. Some of the suggestions which have emerged as alternative sources of finance
for the UN are highlighted in Box 7.12.
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Paradoxically, as Bennett points out, any of these proposals which would raise
considerable revenue for the organisation would face considerable opposition from
member states. Any moves which made the UN less dependent on the direct contributions
of its member states could fundamentally alter the nature of the organisation. The United
Nations is an international organisation composed of independent, sovereign states. As
such, given that at present they contribute virtually all the finance of the organisation,
they, and in particular the larger states which contribute most to the budget, would view
any dilution of their contributions as a loss of control, a distinct threat to their influence
within the organisation. Thus, radical reform of the financial base of the UN seems a
potentially risky and somewhat remote possibility.
Consequently, the organisation has to contend with its present financial difficulties in
ways which are acceptable to its members. In July 1997, Secretary-General Kofi Annan
announced a new series of administrative and budgetary reforms which fell within his
Issues in international relations 170
scope of action. These reforms at the administrative level included the recommendation
to the General Assembly that a Deputy Secretary-General be appointed (a wholly new
post), the establishment of a Strategic Planning Unit and the formation of a Senior
Management Group, to act like a cabinet, leading the process of change. In relation to
streamlining the organisation, he proposed a no-growth budget, eliminating 1,000 posts (a
25 per cent cut from a decade ago), and reducing overall administration costs by 33 per
cent, with the savings reallocated to development.
Most significantly, in an attempt to avoid the near-bankrupt state which the
organisation has faced for a considerable period of time, he proposed the establishment of
a Revolving Credit Fund, initially capitalised at up to $1 billion through voluntary
contributions—or indeed any other means which could be suggested by the member
states. This would provide the organisation with a financial cushion and thus make it
slightly more financially stable.
As we have seen, the rise in the number of international organisations has continued
virtually unabated over the past hundred or so years and there is no reason to suppose that
this trend will change in the foreseeable future. The creation of such a plethora of
organisations, both IGOs and INGOs, is not accidental. As science and technology
collude effectively to shrink the world, in terms of communication, transport, and so on,
international transactions, whether private or public, continue to increase. This is both a
function of the growth of international organisations and a further reason for their
existence, as a means of facilitating such international transactions and also a method of
structuring them.
‘States form, join and remain in international organisations because they are
perceived to serve their national interests’
Notwithstanding this, however, the key principle of international relations remains state
sovereignty. This is undiminished since the seventeenth century, and again there is no
reason to imagine it will lessen to any significant extent in the twenty-first century.
Consequently, the role and function of all international organisations will be both shaped
and constrained by this fact. States form, join and remain in international organisations
because they are perceived to serve their national interests. They do so in a number of
different ways. First, they offer a forum within which the narrow, traditional national
interest may be served—another avenue through which the conventional interests of the
state may be served. They offer a new and convenient means for diplomacy—it is
From international organisation to international organisations 171
cheaper and much more effective particularly for small states to maintain a mission at the
United Nations in New York where they can meet with diplomats from 184 other
countries than to maintain 184 separate diplomatic missions around the world. They also
serve to legitimise both countries themselves and their policies. Over the last fifty years,
one of the first aspirations of virtually every new, independent state which has emerged
into international society has been to secure UN recognition. Similarly, even the most
powerful of states have sought the approval of the UN for their actions, at least some of
the time. For although the UN is in no way a form of world government, it does comprise
the governments of the world. In this sense, the collective views of the General Assembly
or the Security Council represent world opinion. Particularly in the changing international
scene following the end of the Cold War, the UN plays an increasing role in defining
world opinion, setting the boundaries of what is acceptable international behaviour and
what is not. Thus, states who wish to be seen as ‘good’ international actors wish its, at
least tacit, approval of ventures, so as to avoid the risk of international public
condemnation.
International organisations also offer the hope of tackling specifically international
problems. If we take the environment as one example, again the scientific and
technological developments of the last hundred or so years have not only caused some
international problems, such as damage to the ozone layer or climate change, but have
allowed for far greater understanding of the linkage between the activities of states and
consequent environmental degradation—locally, regionally and indeed on a global scale.
Some of these types of problems demand international action—they are impossible to
resolve at the national level. Thus, a host of international organisations has sprung up to
work in such areas, because, for the time being, they offer the best method of
encouraging and facilitating international co-operation to tackle truly international
problems.
So what of the future? Will we see a continued expansion of international organisations
and further broadening of the range of issues with which they are concerned? In short, the
answer is probably, but not certainly. The one thing which international organisations
prove is the flexibility of humankind in its endeavours to organise society at the
international level. They are a means of dealing with changed environments and
circumstances which states encountered as a result of societal developments, such as
improved communication and transport capabilities. As humankind continues to evolve,
so too will the methods by which we organise international society. Thus, although not
yet on the horizon, there is absolutely no reason to suppose that we have reached the
ultimate in international organisation. Some entirely new form may be just out of sight at
the moment, but may emerge in twenty, fifty or a hundred years. Until then, however,
international organisations are here to stay.
Issues in international relations 172
FURTHER READING
Since the end of the Cold War the Middle East has experienced some radical political
developments. However, neither international security nor, in many cases, domestic
security has improved for many states within the region. Indeed, for some governments
and societies there is a distinct sense of greater insecurity than there was during the
relative certainties of the Cold War era. Paradoxically, the end of that global conflict has
exacerbated some of the conditions which make the Middle East the most insecure,
inflammable and unpredictable subsystem of the international system. This chapter will
identify and explain the salient characteristics which perpetuate these conditions for the
region as a whole, and assess the prospects for improvement.
GEO-STRATEGIC IMPORTANCE
The Middle East is a subsystem of acute strategic importance to the rest of the world. For
local and external powers there are many immutable interests over which to compete, and
such competition is a major contributory factor to the reputation of the Middle East as the
world’s most volatile and violent region. To appreciate its strategic importance, a clear
definition of what constitutes the Middle East is vital but a precise, universally acceptable
definition is difficult to achieve. There are a number of historical and contemporary
perceptions of the Middle East which do not easily fit together. The term ‘Middle East’
was first used by the American admiral and strategic thinker Alfred Mahan in 1902 to
describe the area between Arabia and India with the Gulf at its centre. In the nineteenth
century the British used the term ‘Near East’ to refer to the Ottoman Empire and the
Levant, but applied the term ‘Middle East’ during the Second World War to British
military headquarters in Egypt. With Europe as the historic point of reference, traditional
geographers described ‘the East’ as all regions east of Europe, with the Near East as the
area from the Mediterranean to the Gulf, the Middle East as the area from the Gulf to
South-East Asia, and the Far East as the regions facing the Pacific Ocean. Nevertheless,
The Times (London) adopted the Mahan definition soon after the admiral coined it.
Popular modern usage often incorporates a vast area from Afghanistan to Morocco, from
Yemen to Turkey, and from the Mediterranean down to the Horn of Africa. Matters are
further confused by the insistence of the US State Department on using the term ‘Near
East’ to define the region encompassing Egypt, the Levant and the Arabian peninsula.
Issues in international relations 174
• Mahan 1902: area between Arabia and India with Gulf at its centre
• British nineteenth century: ‘Near East’—Ottoman and Levant (eastern part
of Mediterranean)
• World War Two: ‘Middle East’—British military HQ in Egypt
• traditional geographers: ‘the East’—east of Europe; ‘Near’—area from
Mediterranean to the Gulf; ‘Middle’—from Gulf to South Asia Sea;
‘Far’—regions facing the Pacific Ocean
• Hiro: ‘core’—Iran, Arabian peninsula, Iraq, Lebanon, Israel and the
Palestinian territories, Jordan and Egypt
• to west: Arab North Africa
• to south: Sudan
• to north: Turkey and Cyprus
In a sensible fashion Dilip Hiro suggests that clarity is best achieved by viewing the
Middle East as a core, with peripheries. The core is Iran, the Arabian peninsula, Iraq,
Lebanon, Israel and the Palestinian territories, Jordan and Egypt. To the west is Arab
North Africa, to the south Sudan, and to the north Turkey and Cyprus. To include all
three peripheries is to give the Middle East its widest definition, which is often the
popular application of the term. To view it only as the core is to give it a narrower but
still fairly popular definition. The focus of this chapter will be the core as described by
Hiro, with frequent reference to states in the peripheries (including some newly
independent states from the former Soviet Union) as they affect the core.
For centuries the Middle East has been deemed to be of peculiar strategic importance
by the great powers of the day and, of course, by local, regional states. Whoever creates a
substantial platform of political, economic and military power in the region, be it in the
form of empire, surrogate power or long-range political hegemony, influences not only
the Middle East but contiguous areas. In addition to the strategic attraction of wielding
wide-ranging power in the region, the cultural magnetism of the Middle East has drawn
major, extra-regional powers to the area for centuries. Prestige and status have been
associated with extending protection and influence over the ‘cradle of civilisation’ and
the source and meeting place of three of the world’s great religions—Judaism, Islam and
Christianity. Islam has prevailed across most of the Middle East, but suffers from rival
sects. Arabic may be the dominant language, but it has many dialects and Turkish and
Persian are rivals in some areas. Bernard Lewis has described the Middle East as ‘a
museum of religious and linguistic history’. If for no other reason, the Middle East would
be a focus of world attention because of its cultural heritage. These cultural features
contribute to the instability, tension, internecine rivalry and general insecurity in the
region.
Given its geographical position, the Middle East has been a crossroads of historic
importance and remains so to this day. Much of the movement of people, goods and
The middle east 175
information back and forth between east and west must transit through or above the
Middle East. In 1869 the successful construction of the Suez Canal cut thousands of
miles and many days off the time taken for trade and military power to travel from
Europe to the East. This was of particular importance to the European imperial powers,
and Britain and France became major shareholders in the Suez Canal Company. A major
reason for the establishment of British hegemony over Egypt in the late nineteenth
century, which continued until the middle of the twentiethth century, was to safeguard
that vital sealine of communication to India. The AngloFrench military expedition against
Egypt in 1956 demonstrated the continued perception by West Europeans of the strategic
importance of the canal. That anachronistic exercise of military force failed, and the
radical Egyptian government of Gamal Abdel Nasser took full control of the canal. While
the dismantling of the European empires in the East has reduced the military primacy of
the canal to West Europe, a vast volume of commercial goods transit the canal. In
addition, the canal remains an important route of egress for naval vessels from the
Mediterranean to the Indian Ocean and vice versa.
To the south of the Suez Canal, where the Red Sea and the Gulf of Aden converge, is
the Strait of Bāb al Mandab (Arabic for ‘Gate of Lamentation’). At this point Africa and
the Arabian peninsula are separated only by twenty-six kilometres of water. This vital
sealine of communication is vulnerable to pressures exercised by Yemen or Ethiopia.
Most of the estimated 20,000 vessels transiting the Strait of Bāb al Mandab also transit
the Suez Canal except for those with Red Sea destinations.
Another important maritime location is the Strait of Hormuz, where the Persian Gulf and
the Gulf of Oman meet. Most of the vessels from the oil-producing states of the Persian
Gulf must seek egress through the Strait of Hormuz. There is no alternative seaborne
route out of the Persian Gulf. States such as Iraq, Kuwait, Bahrain and Qatar do not have
a coastline outside the Persian Gulf. Iran’s major oil terminals are at the north-eastern end
of the Persian Gulf, far distant from the Iranian coastline on the Gulf of Oman. The Strait
of Hormuz is between thirty and fifty kilometres wide and is seen to be of great strategic
importance primarily because about 20 per cent of the world’s oil is transported through
it. Over a hundred oil tankers pass through the strait every day, and medium- to long-term
interruption to these oil supplies would cause considerable economic disruption for the
United States, Western Europe and the industrial states of East Asia.
Western Europe and Japan are more dependent on oil from the Gulf than is the United
States. But a major disruption of the oil-based economies of the pro-Western states in the
region could have major, unattractive economic consequences for all the industrialised
states over and above a dramatic drop in energy for the Western European and Japanese
economies. Gulf Arab, pro-Western, oil-producing states such as Kuwait and Saudi
Arabia have become fully integrated actors in the world financial and economic system.
Issues in international relations 176
Kuwait now earns as much from overseas investments in developed industrial countries
as it does from oil exports, and Saudi Arabia earns over 30 per cent of its gross national
product from overseas financial assets. The oil-producing states of the Middle East,
nearly all of which are in the Gulf region, constitute a large market for the capital,
consumer goods and service industries of the industrial democracies. For the European
Union, the Middle East comprises as big a market as the United States.
A wide variety of natural resources are to be found in the Middle East: for instance,
iron ore in Egypt, phosphate in Jordan, Israel and Syria, chromite in Iran and Oman, and
copper in Oman and Saudi Arabia. But rarely does production of such material exceed 2
per cent of global production, and often exploitation of known resources is not deemed
commercially viable. Such resources are of little strategic significance to external powers.
However, the Middle East has oil in abundance, and oil is of the highest strategic value to
nearly every state in the international system, particularly to the advanced economies of
the world. Even if there was no oil, the Middle East would still be of considerable geo-
strategic importance for many of the reasons just discussed. However, the presence of
vast, viable oil reserves makes the region, especially the Gulf, of profound geo-strategic
importance. The strategic nature of the oil reserves, and the political impact of oil on the
region, deserves separate consideration below, following analysis of the vexed and
fundamental problem of political legitimacy in the Middle East.
POLITICAL LEGITIMACY
Popular doubts over the political legitimacy of many state boundaries and most regimes
is the fundamental cause of much Middle East instability. The roots of this modern
condition go back eighty years to the territorial and political settlements imposed on the
region by the victorious Western powers following the defeat of the Ottoman Empire in
World War One.
For 400 years countries we know today as Turkey, Lebanon, Syria, Iraq, Jordan, the
Palestinian territories, Israel and Kuwait were composed of provinces ruled from
Istanbul. Parts of modern Saudi Arabia and Yemen were in this empire, as were, until
nineteenth-century European imperial advance, Egypt, parts of Libya, Tunisia and
Algeria. Ottoman rule in the core Middle East prevailed for so long that notions of an
Arab nation, or separate secular Arab states, were almost non-existent.
The Ottoman Empire’s ill-advised alliance with the Central Powers in World War One
led to its complete defeat and disintegration. The protection it had provided in the Middle
East for centuries against European domination came to an end. Such a complete
cataclysmic collapse allowed Christian, Western European imperial powers to impose
their blueprint on the region, largely regardless of local wishes when such wishes could
be identified and measured. This is not to suggest that British and French plans were
logical and coherent. Such were the different actors, pressures and objectives to be
accommodated, within a political vacuum, that even assuming the most altruistic of
motives not everyone could be satisfied. Nevertheless, given the political tenor of the
times and the normal behaviour of war victors, British and French strategic interests
received clear priority.
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In the core Middle East, as distinct from North Africa, Britain was the senior partner,
reflecting its relatively greater strength after World War One and its deeper strategic
interests in the region. British and French plans were shaped by commitments made
during the exigencies of fighting the Great War. The Hussein-McMahon correspondence
of 1915–16 between the Hashemite Arab leader in the Hejaz and the British High
Commissioner in Cairo promised Arab independence if there was an Arab revolt against
the Turks. In 1916 the Sykes-Picot agreement divided the Arab provinces into zones of
permanent British and French influence while accepting the principle of Arab
independence. The famous Balfour Declaration of 1917, announced in an effort to bring
the Zionist movement behind the Allied war effort, promised a national home for Jews in
Palestine without prejudice to the civil and religious rights of other inhabitants.
Two countries resisted imperial control with some degree of success. Against all the odds
a cohesive Turkish state struggled out of the shambles of the Ottoman collapse. In 1920
the draconian Treaty of Sèvres proposed depriving Turkey of some of its richest
provinces, dismembering Anatolia, and leaving the Sultan as a puppet ruler in a shrunken,
creaking Turkish state at the mercy of its neighbours, not least Greece. The bitter Greek-
Turkish war of 1920–2 saw Greek armies eventually driven from Anatolia and a portion
of Turkish territory in eastern Thrace. Mustafa Kemal, later to be called Atatürk, was the
Turkish general who turned the tide. The Treaty of Lausanne, 1923, replaced Sèvres, and
the boundaries of the modern Turkish state were largely agreed then, with slight
modifications later. Distinct losers were the Kurds who, under the Treaty of Sèvres, were
promised a state of Kurdistan. Turkish borders, and those of Syria and Iraq, precluded the
fulfilment of the Kurdish dream. The repercussions are evident to this day, with the brutal
war in south-east Turkey between Marxist Kurdish guerrillas and the Turkish army, and
in northern Iraq where the Kurdish area requires international protection from the Iraqi
army but is subject to internecine strife as well as occasional interventions by Turkish
forces.
Persia was another country which managed, because of the emergence of a strong
military leader, to retain a large degree of independence from Western imperial control.
While neutral during the Great War, its territory was violated by the Russian-Turkish
conflict. Persia was important to Britain as the first country to produce oil in the Middle
Issues in international relations 178
East. The Anglo-Persian Oil Company (later BP) led the way. Soon after the war the
weak Persian government came under pressure from London and Moscow to agree to
special relationships. In 1921, faced by the prospect of internal collapse, Colonel Reza
Khan of the Persian Cossack Brigade launched a successful coup d’état. In 1925 he made
himself Shah, and in 1935 changed Persia’s name to Iran. Backed by an efficient army,
he exercised an authoritarian control over the country and embarked on a modernisation
programme similar to that of Turkey. By 1930 Persia was producing four times the oil of
1920, and was the world’s fourth largest producer after the United States, Russia and
Venezuela. In 1933 he managed to extract much-improved commercial terms from the
Anglo-Persian Oil Company. Under the leadership of Reza Khan great power influence
was kept at bay. But for the rest of the region Britain and, to a lesser extent, France led
sway.
The frontiers of the modern Middle East largely correspond with those imposed by
Britain and France in the period 1919–23, or bartered in co-operation with local warlords.
Modern Iraq was created by Britain. Iraqi access to the waters of the Gulf was
deliberately restricted, and the integrity of Kuwait as a separate political entity was
sustained. Iraqi claims to Kuwait on the basis that it was formerly, until the nineteenth
century, an integral part of the Ottoman province of Basra, were disregarded by the
British. Limited access to the Gulf and the sense of being cheated out of Kuwait are deep-
seated resentments which all Iraqi governments have carried to this day. Britain also
exercised the guiding hand in formalising the borders of modern Saudi Arabia with Iraq
and Kuwait. Ibn Saud was also obliged to yield territory in the far north of his domains
when the port of Aqaba and a large portion of hinterland were ceded to the new territory
of Transjordan, a separate political entity detached from Palestine by the British.
Following the Ottoman collapse Britain created the entity of Palestine. During the
Ottoman rule there was no administrative entity called Palestine, but Britain wanted a
territory in the Holy Land to act as a strategic buffer for Egypt and the Suez Canal.
British Palestine was an amalgam of the Ottoman district to the south of Jerusalem, a
southern portion of the province of Beirut, and the city of Jerusalem and its suburbs.
Territory across the Jordan River, known as Transjordan (later Jordan) was hived off
from the original Palestine as a separate autonomous emirate in 1923. Britain accepted
responsibility for the implementation of the Balfour Declaration in Palestine, but
Transjordan was deemed exempt from that commitment. It became the independent state
of Jordan in 1946. France, as agreed under the Sykes-Picot agreement, assumed control
of territory known as Greater Syria, which included the area now known as Lebanon. In
1920 France enlarged the emirate of Mount Lebanon with territory from Syria, creating
Greater Lebanon. In 1926 this became the Republic of Lebanon. Syria was divided into
four administrative areas: Lataki, Jebel Druze, Aleppo and Damascus. The last two
became Syria in 1924. Before nominal independence in 1941, the other two were added,
but France had transferred the disputed district of Alexandretta (Iskendurun) to Turkey in
1939 to persuade Turkey not to align with Germany. Syria still lays claim to this
productive piece of territory, and it remains a point of contention between Damascus and
Ankara. Official Syrian maps show the district and city as still part of Syria.
The profound perception of illegitimacy was compounded to a degree difficult to
exaggerate by the creation of the state of Israel on Arab soil. The existence and survival
The middle east 179
of the Jewish state in the Middle East since 1948 has permeated nearly every feature of
Middle East conflict for the past fifty years. In 1922 Jews comprised 11 per cent of the
population of Palestine; by 1949 they comprised 30 per cent and had achieved an
independent state. Between 1922 and 1948 a succession of British high commissioners
failed to reconcile the conflicting national aspirations of the Jewish and Arab populations
in the British mandated territory of Palestine. In contrast to its efforts in Iraq and
Transjordan Britain did not—or was unable to—prepare the territory for independence. A
large military presence was required to maintain civil order between the Jewish and Arab
communities. Throughout the interwar period, Britain had to wrestle with its commitment
to fulfil the Balfour Declaration, formalised by the League of Nations as part of the
mandate, and its promises of self-government for the local Arab population. A surge of
over 200,000 Jewish immigrants between 1932 and 1939 led to the Arab uprising of
1936–9, resulting in over 3,000 Arab, 300 Jewish and 130 British deaths. At this stage
other Arab states began to take serious interest, and the cause of Palestine became a pan-
Arab issue. Paradoxically, the closeness of some of the Arab states which evinced
concern over Palestine to the imperial power apparently responsible for the betrayal of
the Palestinian Arabs detracted from the legitimacy of the Arab rulers. A similar
delegitimising condition was to apply to those conservative Arab states which, during the
Cold War, claimed concern over the dispossessed Palestinians yet closely associated with
Israel’s major patron, the United States.
In 1937 the Peel Commission recommended partition, but this was rejected by Arab
opinion. Prior to the Second World War Arab anxieties were calmed by the 1939 White
Paper limiting Jewish immigration to 75,000 over the next five years. The war then
diverted attention, but as soon as it was over Palestine re-emerged as a major issue and
conflict resumed. In the early post-war years Britain found itself fighting both Arabs and
Jews. For economic and military reasons it was unable to manage and gave notice that it
was to relinquish the mandate in May 1948. In November 1947 the United Nations
agreed to partition Palestine into two states, one Arab and one Jewish. When, on 14 May
1948, the Palestinian Jews declared the independent state of Israel, surrounding Arab
states rejected the UN resolution and declared war. Israel won the war and extended the
new state beyond the UN partition lines. This new state did not occupy all of the
Palestine mandate. An area around the city of Gaza on the Mediterranean coast fell under
the control of Egypt, and a large part of the West Bank of the Jordan River, including half
of Jerusalem, was annexed by Abdullah of Transjordan into his kingdom. After two
millennia there was again a Jewish state. It was on historic ground, previously occupied
by Arabs for centuries. Arab armies, with numbers very much in their favour, failed to
defend the new Palestinian state. As Shlaim (1995) points out, Arabs call 1948 ‘al-
nakba’—the catastrophe. The shame and humiliation of 1948 and the need to make
amends and restore Arab pride have constituted the salient feature of instability in the
Middle East since the Arab failure to destroy Israel at birth. That failure further
undermined the legitimacy of the regimes put in place by the imperial powers.
Issues in international relations 180
The failure of the Arab states to defeat Israel in the subsequent wars of 1956, 1967 and
1973, and to prevent the Israeli invasion of Lebanon and the shelling of an Arab capital in
1982 exacerbated among the Arab peoples the distinct sense that their governments could
not or would not punish the major crime against the Arab people. An intensely anti-
Israeli posture is deemed a major legitimising factor by all radical Arab governments in
the Middle East. Two years after the historic Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty of 1979
President Sadat of Egypt was assassinated by members of his own army. His successor,
President Mubarak, has always been under pressure from secular and, more recently,
Islamist radicals for his support of accommodation with Israel. In 1995 he narrowly
escaped assassination. In 1964, with the evident inability of the Arab states to recover
Arab land in Palestine, the Palestinian Liberation Organisation (PLO) was formed from
an amalgam of Palestinian groups opposed to Israel. In addition to direct action, the PLO
appealed over the heads of Arab governments to ordinary Arabs, especially following the
abject failure of Arab armies in the Six-Day War of 1967. Israel’s stunning military
victory saw it take control of the Sinai peninsula up to the Suez Canal, the Gaza Strip, the
Golan Heights overshadowing the Galilee valley, and the whole of the West Bank,
including the half of Jerusalem which Israel had not previously occupied. In many ways
the 1967 defeat was as cataclysmic as that in 1948. The Arab governments were prostrate
beneath outstanding Israeli military and political success.
Following the 1973 October war, Egypt did recover the Sinai peninsula in the 1979
treaty. Israel had never had territorial ambitions in the Sinai. But until the recent
watershed Israeli-Palestinian peace process which began in 1993, Israel ruled over the
rest of the territory acquired in 1967. It has annexed Arab East Jerusalem and the Golan
Heights to Israeli sovereign territory, and over 100,000 Jews have built settlements on the
West Bank. Since 1993 Gaza and most Arab populations in the West Bank have been
granted limited Palestinian self-government, but Israel still controls over 70 per cent of
The middle east 181
the territory of the West Bank.
The Middle East is the most undemocratic region in the world. Excluding Turkey at
present, Israel and arguably Yemen, no Middle East state exercises a democratic system
on the Western liberal, pluralist model. Except in Lebanon, no Arab head of state has
changed by democratic means for a generation. The average tenure of Arab leaders is
over twenty years. Jordan has made limited, tentative steps with elections to the Lower
House since 1989, but real executive and legislative power is retained by the King, his
appointed cabinet and the appointed Senate. In Egypt, Syria and Tunisia parliaments and
some tame opposition parties exist. But governments remain in power by blatant vote-
rigging and coercion. In the 1997 Iranian presidential election over 200 candidates were
barred from standing, leaving the electorate with the choice between two mullahs. In
Kuwait, since the Gulf War, there have been elections to the National Assembly of fifty
representatives. Only adult males who can trace their family origins back to the emirate
in 1920 may vote. This means an electorate of only 100,000. Political parties are banned,
and the government is appointed by the emir. Where parliaments or national assemblies
do exist in the Middle East they are normally powerless creatures of the government, and
perform largely symbolic functions. The absence of political legitimacy, which so
weakened the subsystem in its early years, continues to this day.
OIL
If for no other reason, the Middle East, largely the Gulf, would be of immense strategic
importance to the great powers and their allies as a leading source of world oil
production. Over the past thirty years oil has brought great wealth to parts of the Middle
East, but not to others. Countries bordering the Gulf, and Libya in North Africa, have
been the primary beneficiaries, and nearly all of the income has been kept for the benefit
of the rulers and sometimes the peoples of the oil-producing states. Declaratory support
for pan-Arabism has not extended to the equitable sharing of vast oil revenues among all
Arab peoples. This has created deep resentment between the states and among many Arab
people who feel themselves dispossessed of Arab wealth. Such perceptions have
contributed to a sense of the illegitimacy of the prevailing order.
The relatively small populations of the developed industrial world consume by far the
largest share of world oil. In 1995 North America, Europe (excluding the former Soviet
Union), Australia, New Zealand, Japan, South Korea and Taiwan consumed 65.7 per cent
of world oil. The rest of the world, including the former Soviet Union and the People’s
Republic of China, consumed 34.3 per cent. Currently the Middle East, in particular the
Gulf, is producing just less than one-third of the world’s oil. This is less than the
combined totals of the former Soviet Union, Latin America, Africa, and Asia and
Australasia. The Middle East is producing about 80 per cent more oil than it did ten years
ago, but about 10 per cent less than it did in 1979. Over the past twenty years the oil
industry has experienced a period of great turbulence. In 1973–4, dissatisfied with a long
regime of low prices, the Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC)
quadrupled oil prices. The Arab countries were the leaders of this world-wide
organisation which included members from Latin America, Africa and Asia. The primary
motivation for the price hike was economic, and it followed nearly three years of
intermittent negotiation with the Western oil companies. A political dimension was added
by the October 1973 Arab-Israeli war. The OPEC price rises allowed the Arab oil states
to claim supportive pressure on behalf of the Arab cause. This move took place at a time
when demand was surging, and over 60 per cent of the non-communist world’s oil supply
was provided by OPEC, 80 per cent of it from the Middle East and North Africa.
Oil prices tumbled from a high of over $35 a barrel in 1981 to lower than $10 in 1986,
recovering to around $16 a barrel by early 1988, but then tumbling again in late 1988 to
around $13 a barrel. From their peak of $287 billion in 1980, OPEC revenues fell to $232
billion in 1985. Saudi Arabia, the major OPEC producer, saw its oil revenues virtually
halved from around $50 billion in 1984 to $25 billion in 1987. It was OPEC’s effort to
recapture its lost share of the world market of 1986 by boosting production that resulted
in a large surplus of oil on world markets and the dramatic plummeting of oil prices by
70 per cent in six months. The clear lesson was that undisciplined flooding of the world
oil markets would merely cause prices to fall dramatically.
Subsequent efforts by OPEC to introduce production quotas and drive oil prices back
up in the late 1980s were not successful. Only in 1990, as a result of the Gulf crisis, did
oil break the $20-a-barrel mark. Indeed, a contributing factor to the Gulf War was Iraq’s
exasperation at Kuwaiti flouting of the OPEC quotas. Iraq wanted an effective quota
system to increase oil prices to a level which would help Iraq to recover from its
debilitating eight-year war with Iran between 1980 and 1988. But even if OPEC could
have exerted effective production discipline over its members, the world oil-producing
community extends beyond OPEC. Non-OPEC countries such as Norway, Britain and
Mexico are producing at levels outside any OPEC control. In 1995 Norwegian production
was nearly twice that of 1989, and Britain’s production was 30 per cent more than in
1989. Mexico’s production has been largely stable throughout the 1990s, at a volume
greater than that of Norway.
Currently, OPEC cannot control world production. It is economic realism rather than
Issues in international relations 184
organisational discipline which is controlling OPEC’s contribution to world oil
production. World production which allows a target of about $20 a barrel is the policy.
This is seen to provide enough revenue for the oil producers without creating an
economic recession among customers. In the mid- to late 1990s prices were hovering just
below $20, occasionally nudging the target. In real terms this means that the cost of oil is
less than half of what it was in 1979. There is no shortage of world oil, and producers
wish to avoid a glut. Challenges on the horizon to this regime include the return of Iraq to
the oil market as a major producer when post-Gulf War economic sanctions are
completely removed, and the need to accommodate the likely production increases from
Caspian oilfields.
Given that there is plenty of oil, that oil is relatively cheap, and that the Middle East
countries of OPEC account for only about 30 per cent of current world oil production,
why does oil continue to be such an important strategic feature in any consideration of
the Middle East? The answer is to be found in an analysis of world oil reserves and
production trends. It is reckoned that at the end of 1996 OPEC accounted for 76.1 per
cent of the world’s proved oil reserves. The Middle East members of OPEC accounted
for nearly 65.2 per cent of the world’s proved reserves.
Years %
Middle East 92.1 65.2
Latin America 36.1 7.6
Africa 25.0 6.4
Asia and Australasia 15.7 4.1
Former Soviet Union 25.5 6.4
North America 18.1 8.3
Europe 8.2 2.0
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 1997
A paradox of the world oil market is that cheap oil, while attractive to economic growth,
reduces the proved oil reserves, i.e. economically viable oil reserves, of the non-OPEC
world because, by and large, non-OPEC oil is more expensive to produce, costing as
much as $12 a barrel to extract in a difficult location such as the North Sea or Alaska.
Saudi Arabian crude oil costs about $3 a barrel to extract from under the desert.
Not only do the Gulf states enjoy possession of the lion’s share of proved world oil
world reserves, but with examination of the years of reserves remaining at current
production levels, i.e. reserves/production ratio, the strategic importance of Middle East
oil is elevated even higher. Saudi Arabia, which holds over 30 per cent of Middle East oil
reserves, and a quarter of world reserves, is a state of peculiar strategic importance to the
industrialised world. Iran, Kuwait, Iraq and the UAE each have about 16 to 17 per cent of
The middle east 185
Middle East proved oil reserves. If Saddam Hussein’s armies had been allowed to remain
in Kuwait in 1991 then he would have been in direct control of over 30 per cent of the
Middle East’s proved reserves, and would have been in a position to intimidate Saudi
Arabia and the other Gulf Arab states which account for a further 50 per cent of the
region’s proved reserves.
Years %
Saudi Arabia 83.4 25.2
Iraq 100+ 10.8
Kuwait 100+ 9.3
Iran 69.1 9.0
United Arab Emirates 100+ 9.4
Oman 15.8 0.5
Qatar 22.5 0.4
Yemen 30.0 0.4
Syria 11.3 0.2
Source: BP Statistical Review of World Energy, 1997
Assuming a relatively low oil price, the above picture portrays an alarming future of
energy vulnerability for many industrialised countries, not least the United States. Over
the past decade American dependence on imported oil has increased. In 1988 it produced
about 70 per cent of its oil requirements; ten years later the figure was less than 50 per
cent. It looks quite probable that by early next century OPEC could again be the
dominant actor in the world oil market, when the increased number of industrialised
countries in the West, Asia and South America will be scrambling for a share of the same
pool of oil. This raises some very important questions and issues. Would or could the
economies of the industrialised world again adapt to a high energy-price environment,
while next time avoiding a major recession? Should the governments of the industrialised
democracies risk the wrath of electorates which enjoy cheap oil at present by taxing
imported oil in order to reduce consumption and encourage exploitation and development
of the more expensive home-extracted product? What will Russia, China and potentially
India do to gain access to oil for their rapidly developing economies early next century?
These are issues of national strategic importance which are going to have to be faced by
governments over the next few years. Whatever policies are decided, good working
relations with the oil-rich states of the volatile Middle East will be a crucial priority.
Issues in international relations 186
Throughout the Cold War years successive international initiatives were taken to resolve
the Arab-Israeli dispute, but success was rare and limited. Following the spectacular
Israeli victory in 1967 President Johnson set out five principles for an Arab-Israeli
settlement. These comprised the removal of threats to any nation in the region, justice for
refugees, freedom of navigation, an end to the arms race and respect for the independence
and territory of all states in the area. UN Resolution 242 of November 1967 reflected the
Johnson principles, and formed the basis for all subsequent peace moves. The resolution
recognised ‘the sovereignty, territorial integrity and political independence of every State
in the area and their right to live in peace within secure and recognised boundaries free
from threats and acts of force’. Acceptance by Egypt and Jordan was an important
recognition of Israel’s right to exist. That there should be a ‘just settlement of the refugee
problem’ was an Israeli concession to the Palestinians. But, as Fraser (1995) makes clear,
the core of the resolution and the matter over which there would be continuing dispute
was the future shape of any peace settlement. Such a settlement was to include
‘withdrawal of Israeli armed forces from territories occupied in recent conflict’. Whether
this meant some territories or all territories is argued to this day.
In 1979 President Sadat of Egypt converted de facto recognition of Israel into a de jure
reality. Egypt became the first Arab country to risk formal relations with Israel. The new,
right-wing Likud government of Menachem Begin was committed to retaining the West
Bank, which Begin saw in biblical terms as ‘Judea’ and ‘Samaria’ and as such ordained
to become part of Israel. Such dogma, however, did not apply to the Sinai peninsula.
Encouraged and sponsored by President Carter, Egypt and Israel reached terms for an
agreement in 1979. Sadat had wanted a comprehensive agreement, with Israel returning
to 1967 borders and a homeland provided for the Palestinians. Begin aimed for a bilateral
agreement with Egypt, the leading Arab state, while giving up nothing of substance on
the West Bank or in Gaza. The outcome of very tough bargaining was the March 1979
treaty which delivered to Israel recognition from and peace with Egypt, and gave Egypt
back its lost territory in Sinai. The treaty contained commitments to progress towards
autonomy for West Bank and Gaza Palestinians, but no firm, enforceable plans.
Throughout the Arab world Egypt’s move was seen as a betrayal, a view loudly echoed
by the new radical government of Ayatollah Khomeini in Iran. Egypt was expelled from
the Arab League until 1989, and Sadat was assassinated by some of his own troops in
1981. The 1979 treaty was the first essential step to any Arab-Israeli détente but it only
seemed to deepen Arab rancour and frustration.
In 1981 Israel attacked and destroyed the Iraqi nuclear reactor at Osirak; later that year
the Golan Heights, captured in 1967, were formally declared Israeli sovereign territory;
and in June 1982 Israel invaded Lebanon. Ostensibly the objective of the Lebanon
invasion was to clear Palestinian terrorists from up to forty kilometres inside southern
Lebanon. The real objective was to destroy the Palestinian strength throughout Lebanon,
discredit the PLO in the occupied territories and install a pro-Israeli Christian Arab
government in Beirut which would sign a treaty similar to that Israel had concluded with
Egypt. The Israeli army actually drove on to Beirut and besieged it, and its forces did not
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withdraw from most of Lebanon until 1985. In effect, the Israeli invasion opened a
Pandora’s box of political and military problems. As a fighting force the PLO was
expelled from Lebanon, and politically it did lose much credit on the West Bank. But a
peace treaty of May 1983 between Lebanon and Israel was never signed by the Lebanese
president and lapsed in May 1984. Lebanon’s civil war, under way since 1975, was
deeply exacerbated. The poorer Shia population in Lebanon, in the form of Hezbollah—
the party of God—vehemently opposed the Israeli presence, and continues to attack the
narrow Israeli security corridor extending fifteen kilometres or so inside southern
Lebanon to this day. The large Syrian military presence inside Lebanon since 1976 makes
sure that no government in Beirut is pro-Israeli, and controls the activities of the Iranian-
funded Hezbollah as a bargaining chip for negotiations with Israel over the Golan
Heights.
By 1989, the picture was not promising for the PLO. Twenty-five years after its
foundation it had not recovered any Palestinian territory or forced any meaningful
political concessions from Israel. Egypt, the leading Arab state, had recognised Israel and
agreed a peace treaty. Cairo appeared willing to tolerate Israeli annexation of Arab
territory, Israeli attacks upon Arab states and Israeli blocking of any progress towards
meeting the 1979 treaty commitments to address the Palestinian issue. Following
expulsion from Beirut in 1982, the PLO headquarters was on the edge of the Arab world
in Tunis. The superpowers were focused on winding down the Cold War peacefully, not
sorting out the Arab-Israeli problem. The Soviet Union, patron of radical, anti-Israeli
states such as Syria, was in steep, terminal decline. Between 1980 and 1988 Iran and Iraq,
both PLO allies, had been engaged in a bitter, total war, which left both severely
weakened economically and militarily at the end of the decade. The Gulf Arab oil states
were struggling to meet domestic social and economic expectations from reduced oil
revenues, and were more anxious about threats from militant Islam than about the plight
of the PLO. In August 1990, following Saddam Hussein’s invasion and annexation of
Kuwait, Yasser Arafat and the PLO made a grave strategic mistake by supporting Iraq.
Issues in international relations 188
Reflecting the new world order, for which it was claimed the Gulf War of 1991 was
being fought, President Bush promised a serious political effort to address the Arab-
Israeli issue. It was obvious to many Arabs that the United States was prepared to take
great risks to secure the principle of Kuwaiti independence but not to secure Palestinian
independence. To deflect such criticism the United States (officially together with the
disintegrating Soviet Union) sponsored the Madrid multilateral talks on security in the
Middle East. Israel agreed, under American pressure, to meet with Syria, Lebanon and
Jordan. It would not meet with the PLO, but accepted that Palestinians from the occupied
territories could be part of a Jordanian delegation. UN Resolution 242 was the basis for
the conference. Following the Madrid meetings, and outside the Middle East, Israel met
bilaterally with the three Arab delegations to discuss a range of matters, including
economic and political issues as well as security. Amongst the Arab members there was
an understanding that no separate deals would be done, but that a comprehensive
settlement was the objective. Between 1991 and 1993 there was little progress. The
conservative Likud government of Yitzak Shamir was hostile to any deals, but the
general election of June 1992 returned a more flexible Labour government led by former
general and prime minister Yitzak Rabin, with Shimon Peres as Foreign Minister.
Following initial contacts made through the Madrid process, but outside its remit, secret
Israeli-PLO negotiations in 1993 produced the surprise and historic September 1993
agreement reached in Oslo.
The September 1993 agreement was a watershed. The PLO, the official representative
of the Palestinian people, accepted the existence of a state of Israel. Israel accepted the
concept of Palestinian self-government—though not yet sovereignty—in lands occupied
by Israel since 1967, and also accepted the right of the PLO to be considered the
representative of the Palestinian people. The 1993 agreement set out enclaves of
Palestinian self-government in Gaza and Jericho as a first step, while Israel retained
responsibility for security in the rest of the West Bank and around the enclaves. In return
the PLO would peacefully coexist with Israel and reject terrorism. Promises were made to
remove sections of the Palestinian National Charter which denied Israel’s right to exist.
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Disputes over details, and terrorist incidents by dissidents on both sides, delayed
implementation of the first phase until May 1994 when Israeli forces withdrew from
Gaza (except for the protection of small settlements) and Jericho. A second interim
agreement, lasting five years, was supposed to proceed from the election of a council for
the self-governing areas in July 1994. No later than the third year of the interim
agreement, July 1997, permanent status negotiations were planned to begin covering such
crucial issues as the fate of East Jerusalem, the question of settlements on the West Bank,
the rights of refugees and the final nature of the new Palestinian entity. Difficulties of
negotiation, further terrorism and an overall lack of political trust all contributed to delays
to the timetable. The Taba agreement of 1995 extended Palestinian self-government over
most of the population centres of the West Bank, excluding Jerusalem, by March 1996. In
January the long-delayed elections to the Palestinian Council were held, and Yasser
Arafat’s Fatah branch of the PLO won 66 of the 88 seats on a 90 per cent turnout. There
was a separate election for president which Arafat won with 88 per cent of the vote. The
Israeli military withdrawals from populated areas of the West Bank were delayed by
security concerns arising from the terrorism of opponents to the agreements. But, by late
1997, the Palestinian National Authority exercised internal control over all major towns
and villages on the West Bank, excluding East Jerusalem, but Israel remained in control
of 70 per cent of the territory.
The terrorism which hindered the implementation of the agreements was largely
perpetrated by Hamas, and the smaller Islamic Jihad, both splinter groups from the
Muslim Brotherhood. Hoping to create dissent among the Israeli population, suicide
bombers waged a campaign against Israeli civilian targets such as buses and cafés.
Arafat’s unwillingness, or inability, to tackle the terrorists within their own base areas in
the autonomous territories created deep misgivings within Israeli society. Some felt Israel
had been betrayed by the September agreement, and one of those assassinated Prime
Issues in international relations 190
Minister Rabin in November 1995. The deep unease over the security implications of
Israel living beside a resentful Palestinian autonomous entity resulted in a surprise
election victory for the conservative Likud and allies in the general election of May 1996.
Prime Minister Benyamin Netanyahu promised a much firmer approach to security and a
tougher line in negotiations with the PLO. However, this courted the danger of fuelling
public Palestinian support for Hamas, and disaffecting those in the PLO who thought a
reasonable deal could be struck with Israel. The September 1993 agreement and
subsequent arrangements were historic but did not bring peace and stability to
Palestinian-Israeli relations. Many Israelis and Palestinians abhor the agreements and
view them as deep betrayals. The agreements have raised numerous points of contention
which seem very difficult to resolve—for instance, the future of the 120,000 Israeli
settlers on the West Bank and the status of East Jerusalem as either capital of a
Palestinian entity or part of the Israeli city of Jerusalem.
The September agreement also upset President Assad of Syria. He assumed that no
deal would be done with Israel which was not comprehensive, as agreed by the Madrid
process. Such a comprehensive deal ought to have included the recovery of the Golan
Heights by Syria. The surprise, separate Palestinian-Israeli agreement made no reference
to Syria. As a consequence the state which posed the clearest military threat to Israel has
been against the agreement since its announcement. Even if, as is unlikely in the short to
medium term, the PLO and Israel were to resolve all their disputes amicably, the total
opposition of Syria would leave any bargain very vulnerable and would militate against
real stability in the region. Since 1994 tentative on-off talks, sponsored by the United
States, have taken place between Syria and Israel over the Golan issue. No agreement had
been reached by the end of 1998. A de facto war over the Golan has been waged in
southern Lebanon. Syria controls the flow of Iranian aid to the Hezbollah guerrillas who
attack Israel’s slim security zone on the far side of its northern border with Lebanon. If
Israel withdraws from the Golan, which it annexed in 1981 and where 15,000 Israeli
settlers comprise the majority of the population, then Syria can hold out the prospect of
stopping the Hezbollah attacks. Between late 1996 and its fall from power in early
summer 1999 the Netanyahu government in Israel had insisted on a ‘Lebanon first’
policy. It also argued that Syria must stop Hezbollah attacks, and then Israel would
negotiate on the Golan issue. The fall of the Netanyahu-led Likud government and its
replacement by a Labour-led coalition under Prime Minister Ehud Barak changed the
atmosphere and the prospects for progress, with concessions seeming possible from all
sides.
Nor do all other Arab states give clear support. Egypt and Jordan are two exceptions.
President Mubarak sees the September 1993 agreement as the beginning of the fulfilment
of pledges regarding the Palestinians contained in the 1979 Egyptian-Israeli peace treaty.
At difficult times in PLO-Israeli relations since 1993 President Mubarak has made public
efforts to bring both sides together and reach a compromise. King Hussain moved very
quickly to align Jordan to the new breakthrough of 1993. In October 1994 Israel and
Egypt signed a treaty granting Israel recognition and addressing some Israeli-Jordanian
territorial, water and economic issues. At difficult times King Hussain also used his good
offices to contribute to Palestinian-Israeli détente. Both the Egyptian and the Jordanian
governments are committed to and entangled in the new Israeli-Palestinian relationship.
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Should it all fail then the future of the regimes in Cairo and Amman must be in doubt.
They have every interest in making the process succeed. But some other Arab
governments have opposite interests.
Being implacably opposed to Israel has been a legitimising factor for regimes in Iran,
Iraq, Sudan and Libya, as well as Syria. These states constitute what is commonly known
as the Rejectionist Front. Iran, with its militant Islamist political character, is the most
voluble and virulent in its propaganda against the 1993 agreement, the existence of Israel
and the associated American patronage which it deems makes it all possible and accounts
for many other evils in the Middle East. The Rejectionist Front does not have a coherent,
centrally planned strategy, and some of these states are rivals. But the common message
against Israel gives encouragement to all those who oppose Israel, the PLO’s compromise
and the dominance of American influence in the region. Many of the more moderate—in
Western eyes—Arab states, such as Saudi Arabia, Oman and Morocco, quietly welcome
the Israeli-Palestinian détente but fear that formal alignment could provoke internal
dissent and external vilification. The existence of Israel, and its relationship with the
Palestinians and most of the Arab world, looks set to contribute to regional insecurity for
some time to come.
MILITANT ISLAM
While diverse in character, there are two common themes to contemporary, militant,
political Islam. One is support for the Sharia—Islamic law—as the basis for state law in
Islamic societies. This is the weaker of the two themes as some movements, such as Al-
Nahda in Tunisia, insist they support a more liberal interpretation than other movements,
such as the Islamist Salvation Front (FIS) in Algeria. The dominant common theme
through the Middle East and North Africa is that of rejection of Western modes of secular
government and economic and social organisation.
Some of the secular governments of those states with Muslim populations, in particular
Algeria and Egypt, have come under severe domestic pressure from militant Islam in the
1990s as no state has experienced since the fall of the Shah in Iran in 1979. These
pressures have arisen from the successive failure of a Westernised mode of government
to deliver self-proclaimed objectives such as economic prosperity, fair government, social
justice, pan-Arab unity and the defeat of Israel. The increasing dependence of these
corrupt, authoritarian regimes on Western economic and military aid in order to defy
domestic and external opponents compounds de-legitimisation of the ruling classes in the
eyes of the general population. The authoritarian nature of many of these governments
has inhibited conventional political opposition and fuelled grass-roots resentment and
frustration. These feelings have been channelled into radical, political Islam as the only
vehicle of opposition to secular authoritarianism. It is probably more accurate to see
Islam as a rallying point for basic political and economic grievances rather than the hard-
edged, driving force for conflict. If the social and political system is flexible enough to
accommodate active, legitimate political participation by Islamists, then the hard edge of
political Islam may be blunted.
But the fear in Egypt and Algeria is that serious attempts to incorporate Islamist
political activity in democracy in their countries would lead to a rapid and tough
Islamisation of their societies. Indeed, it was the very success of the Algerian FIS in the
December 1991 elections that led the Algerian authorities to abandon the 1992 elections
when a sweeping FIS victory seemed inevitable. Since then a bloody civil war between
the Algerian secular government, with its power base in the army, and the militant
Islamists has resulted in over 60,000 deaths.
In 1979 the world was shaken by the fall of the Shah of Iran and the advent of an
atavistic, Islamic-revivalist government in Tehran. Iran is the largest and most influential
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country in the Middle East ruled on an Islamic model, but Sudan and Afghanistan are
other examples. From a Western perspective they appear very unattractive role models.
But that is to underestimate the significance attached by the ordinary people of the
Middle East, especially in the overcrowded cities, to the achievement of discarding
Western, secular domination. The sheer survival of the Iranian political system, and its
efforts, against many odds, to project influence beyond its borders, serves as inspiration
in the slums and refugee camps of Cairo, Gaza and Lebanon.
While notions of a concerted, global conspiracy are misplaced, militant pressure is
clearly, and often brutally, evident in certain countries. Since the early 1990s, militant
Islamist behaviour has created distinct Western anxieties about threats to economic and
strategic interests, the potential toppling of pro-Western governments, and subsequent
mass migration to Western Europe to escape illiberal social systems and inexperienced
and incompetent economic management. France has made it clear that an Iranian-style
government in Algeria, barely 300 miles from Marseilles, is not welcome, and has
insisted that this is a problem for the whole European Union. At the November 1995
Barcelona Conference of twenty-seven countries from the European Union, the Middle
East and North Africa, it was agreed that between 1995 and 1999 the EU would grant $6
billion in economic assistance to a range of North African and Middle Eastern states.
It is hoped that such generosity, boosted by bilateral arrangements such as economic aid
from France to Algeria, will help to dilute the economic grievances which contribute to
militant Islam. At the summit Western European countries also expressed hopes that
political reform would proceed as an antidote to militant Islam, but no timetables were
set. To date, no serious democratic reforms have occurred in Algeria, Tunisia and Egypt.
Elections, from which the FIS remained excluded, have been held in Algeria but there has
been no change of government. The bloody civil war looks set to continue, with hundreds
killed every month. The challenge in Egypt is much less severe, and very strict policing
has contained the militant threat to a mere fraction of the Algerian problem. Nevertheless,
the government apparatus is often a target and must always remain on alert.
Countries where militant Islamists are in control of government, specifically, Iran,
Sudan and Afghanistan, are experiencing very troubled times, and prospects for peace,
Issues in international relations 194
stability and prosperity in these societies look very bleak. Yet the very existence of these
governments, and the aura of corruption and failure which surrounds the secular
governments in the Middle East, will continue to inspire many young Muslims to support
contemporary, militant Islamic politics. What the West should do to sustain peace and
stability in these societies continues to perplex Western policy-makers. Economic aid to
struggling secular governments is one option. Countries such as France and Spain view
the Islamist challenge in North Africa as the most serious external threat in Western
Europe in the aftermath of the Cold War. The United States continues to view Egypt,
strategically, as a pivotal country in the Middle East despite the end of the Cold War.
Clearly, if Egypt fell to militant Islam then Arab-Israeli relations would be set back
decades and international security conditions in the region would be transformed. Egypt,
with Israel, continues to top the list of American overseas-aid recipients.
At its core and on its peripheries, the Middle East is the most belligerent region in the
world. The primary factors contributing to this condition have been examined throughout
this chapter, and most look set to continue for some time. The conflict and tensions of the
recent past and the present are such that contiguous regions, and often the rest of the
world, cannot remain immune. Between 1948 and 1991 the Middle East experienced five
Arab-Israeli wars and two Gulf wars. In addition to the major international conflicts, the
region has suffered smaller, sub-regional wars, often within states but with some external
intervention. In North Yemen a civil war between royalists and republicans raged from
1962 until 1970. From 1962 until 1967 Egyptian forces assisted the republicans and, from
1963, Saudi forces backed the royalists. Fighting occurred between Egyptian and Saudi
forces. Egypt withdrew after its military debacle against Israel in 1967, and Saudi Arabia
stopped backing the royalists in 1969. In 1970, after 200,000 deaths and setbacks to both
the leftist republicans and royalists, a compromise conservative republican coalition,
including some royalists, emerged as the government. A very hostile relationship existed
between North Yemen and South Yemen, the Marxist state which succeeded the British
colony of Aden. In 1990, with the collapse of Soviet patronage, South Yemen unified
with the more populist North Yemen. This hasty union, which brought the political
leaders of the North into a dominant relationship over those of the South, led to civil war
in 1994. Northern forces were successful, and the political elite in Şan’ā rather than Aden
dominates the country. Elections, recognised as among the most free in the Arab world,
have legitimised this power structure. However, in demographic and political terms, the
new Yemen is a challenge to Saudi power in the Arabian peninsula, and relations
between the two are very uncomfortable. Historic boundary problems are often the focus
of tension and occasional clashes, but the fundamental problems are deeply strategic and
political.
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Five Arab-Israel+two Gulf Wars (Iran/Iraq 1980–8 and 1991 war against
Iraq)+Yemen+Kurds
In another corner of the Middle East the struggle of the Kurds—a nation of 15 million
people without a state—is another example of internal conflict with international
dimensions. Since the Treaty of Lausanne, 1923, denied the Kurds their own state there
has been a succession of struggles against Iran, Iraq and Turkey by Kurdish factions or
coalitions in an effort to achieve greater autonomy. To date, the record is one of betrayal,
pain and disaster. Most recently, in 1991, the Kurds attempted to capitalise on Saddam
Hussein’s defeat in the Gulf War to carve out an independent region in northern Iraq.
Saddam Hussein turned his substantial surviving military forces against the Kurdish
revolt and crushed it brutally. World opinion was outraged and UN Security Council
Resolution 688 authorised US, British and French forces, based in Turkey, to provide
protection and famine relief to the Kurdish region in Iraq. Across the border, in south-east
Turkey, the government has been fighting a Kurdish insurgency since 1986. The Kurdish
Workers Party, the PKK, has been pressing for autonomy. The campaign has been
bloody, with over 20,000 deaths. Since 1992 large Turkish forces, often up to 50,000
strong, have intervened into northern Iraq in search-and-destroy operations against PKK
personnel and bases. Syrian assistance to the PKK exacerbates poor Turkish-Syrian
relations over Euphrates water, old territorial disputes and very close Turkish-Israeli
military relations since 1993.
The collapse of the Soviet Union’s global struggle with the United States left
Washington as the victor of the Cold War. One of the spoils of war was an unprecedented
hegemony by an external power in the Middle East. One local consequence was the effort
by Saddam Hussein to rearrange the regional internal strategic balance in Iraq’s favour
before the imminent collapse of Soviet power. He hoped to capitalise on the uncertainties
created by the disintegration of the old world order before the United States came to
terms with a new world role, not least in the Middle East. This strategic initiative nearly
worked. In January 1991, five months after Iraq’s conquest of Kuwait, the US Senate
narrowly voted 52–47 to authorise the US use of force to liberate Kuwait. Impressive
military success in the Gulf War complemented the dominant political position of the
United States following the Cold War.
The demise of Soviet power, and the subsequent weakness of Russia, meant there was
no great power threat to the United States. Key states in the region such as Egypt, Saudi
Arabia, Kuwait, Israel and Jordan can only be confident of national security if
underwritten by the United States and its Western allies. Presently, Saudi Arabia and
Kuwait have long, bilateral defence agreements with the United States, Britain and
France. Such security arrangements are preferred to any defence alignment with large
Arab states. The Damascus Declaration of March 1991 raised the prospect of an Arab
collective-defence arrangement incorporating Egypt, Syria and the Gulf Arab
monarchies. Underpinning this plan was the notion that economic assistance to Egypt and
Issues in international relations 196
Syria would be reciprocated by Egyptian and Syrian military power deployed to protect
the vulnerable Gulf states. Agreeing economic details proved difficult, and the Gulf states
revealed their true preference by opting for defence links with non-Arab, non-Muslim
Western powers.
However, victories in the Cold War and the Gulf War have not translated into
harmonious ‘pax Americana’ in the Middle East. American dominance is challenged by
so-called ‘rogue’ states, unwilling to conform to American regional objectives. From the
fall of the Shah of Iran, America’s close ally, in 1979, the Islamist regime in Iran has
opposed any Muslim accommodation with Israel and the dominant American influence
over the Gulf Arab states. Anti-Americanism has been a distinguishing and legitimising
feature of the Iranian regime, and it is suspected of responsibilities for a range of terrorist
attacks against American personnel in the region. The US State Department list of states
which sponsor terrorism includes Iran, Libya, Iraq, Sudan and Syria. Under American
law, the US government must veto any request by countries on the list for loans or
economic assistance from any international financial body, such as the International
Monetary Fund, of which the United States is a member. Washington has difficulties in
constructing a coalition against these rogue states, despite anxieties over their links with
terrorism and apparent evidence of intent to acquire weapons of mass destruction.
Throughout much of the 1990s the United States imposed an unprecedented campaign of
‘dual containment’ against Iran and Iraq. Economic sanctions were in place against both
states in an effort to induce behaviour less threatening to American and Gulf Arab
perceptions of security in the region. However, many Western European states with
valuable trade links with Iran preferred a ‘critical dialogue’ with the Tehran regime rather
than tight economic sanctions. This same European attitude applies towards Libya, which
is also subject to American economic sanctions. Most Western European states are not
supporting these sanctions, which are additional to those imposed by the United Nations
over suspected Libyan involvement in the Lockerbie airline terrorist bombing of 1988.
Looking across the Middle East, it is evident that the United States may be the
dominant external power, yielding influence as no other great power has done before, but
its power is far from complete. Indeed, there are clear signals that the short American
period of relative hegemony is under challenge. In the late 1990s Russian attempts to
recover influence in the region are under way. New initiatives towards the old Soviet
clients—Libya, Syria and Iraq—are being pursued. Moscow does not wish Washington
to remain unchallenged, and is aware of the prevalent, similar sentiments in Tripoli,
Damascus and Baghdad. The revival of economic and military links are seen as mutually
beneficial. Much of the economic and military structures of Libya, Syria and Iraq is
rooted in Cold War systems, and post-communist Russia is the natural trading and
political partner. It is in contiguous regions, outside Europe, that Russia now sees the
opportunity to recover some great power status, and, very importantly for the national
psyche, some self-esteem. Russia’s re-entry into the region’s arms market illustrates this
development. A new customer for Moscow is Iran, which throughout the 1990s has spent
much valuable foreign currency on advanced Russian weaponry and civil nuclear
technology, despite public American objections.
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The arms build-up throughout the Middle East is a striking feature of the years since the
Gulf War. Russia, China, France, Britain and the United States are all active selling a
variety of weapons to local states. The United States is the clear leader, and the Gulf Arab
states are the major customers. Between 1991 and 1994 alone, the United States sold $34
billion of arms to the Gulf states.
The West may sell large quantities of advanced conventional weaponry to the Middle
East, but there are deep Western anxieties about the covert procurement of weapons of
mass destruction by Middle East states, particularly the rogue states. Libya has long been
suspected of a secret chemical-weapons programme, and Iran of a nuclear-weapons
programme. Iran’s close links with North Korea and Pakistan and the possible transfer of
ballistic-missile technology and nuclear-weapons expertise to Iran create alarm. As well
as a common interest in checking American influence in the core Middle East, Russia and
Iran have some common interests on international legal issues pertaining to the Caspian
Sea, energy exploitation and relations with the newly independent states in that sub-
region. The clear evidence of Iraq’s efforts to produce weapons of mass destruction prior
to the Gulf War has fuelled Western concern. However, it is generally accepted that Israel
has produced nuclear weapons, and is an undeclared nuclear-weapons state. That the
West, and the United States in particular, should exert pressure against Muslim states
which appear intent on procuring weapons of mass destruction while turning a blind eye
towards Israel is another source of tension and resentment in American-Arab relations.
That the Middle East is peculiarly prone to political tension and war is manifested by
the widespread deployment, historically and presently, of United Nations peace-keeping
forces. The proclivity of UN activities in the Middle East and on its periphery
demonstrates the fragility and volatility of international, and in some instances internal,
stability and peace in the region. The presence of UN forces also demonstrates the
importance attached by the international system to controlling conflict in this strategically
vital part of the world. The Gulf crisis and war of 1990–1 witnessed the largest
deployment of UN forces in history when, at its peak, over 700,000 troops were gathered
under its auspices. A snapshot of any time over the past fifty years will show widespread
UN activity throughout the region. For instance, at the end of 1988, seven UN units were
active in the region and on its periphery.
Issues in international relations 198
In 1990 UNGOMAP ceased operations, and in 1991 UNIIMOG was withdrawn. The
other five UN forces detailed in Box 8.17 remain in operation, and have been joined since
April 1991 by the UN Iraq-Kuwait Observer Mission (UNIKOM). This has over 300
military personnel from over thirty-five countries. Its role is to deter violations of the
Iraq-Kuwait border, and observe hostile or potentially hostile actions. There are other UN
agencies in the Middle East not considered as peace-keeping forces. The UN Relief and
Work Agency for Palestinian Refugees in the Near East (UNRWA) was established in
1949 to provide care and work for dispossessed Palestinians. By 1980 over 1.8 million
Palestinian refugees were registered with UNRWA. Following Iraq’s Gulf War defeat,
UN Security Council Resolution 687 of April 1991 set up the UN Special Commission
on Iraq (Unscom) to inspect and verify Iraq’s compliance with undertakings not to
procure weapons of mass destruction. It had 100 on-site monitors in Iraq. Impediments
put in the way of Unscom by Saddam Hussein mean that it ceased being operational in
the late 1990s. The longevity of most of the UN operations in the Middle East has
resulted in their institutionalisation as part of the strategic culture of the region. Since its
foundation in 1945 the United Nations has become mired in Middle East issues more than
those of any other region. There is little sign that this condition is going to change.
The middle east 199
PROSPECTS
Some strategic conditions have changed with the end of the Cold War. The main fault
lines of conflict are no longer East versus West or even Arab versus Israeli. Elements of
the latter remain, but are manifest as part of the new fault line which divides the status
quo, ‘moderate’ camp in favour of accommodation with the West and Israel from the
anti-status quo, ‘extremist’ camp, resentful of Western domination and against any
compromise with Israel. Such divisions inhibit strong, local multilateral co-operation of
the kind experienced in the North Atlantic and Western European region. The Arab
League, founded in 1945, has proved highly prone to division and weakness over issues
such as Egypt’s peace treaty with Israel in 1979, the Iran-Iraq War, the Gulf War of
1990–1 and the PLO-Israeli agreement since 1993. As of 1995 there were twenty-two
members, ranging from Mauritania to Djibouti to Syria, but as an international force in
the region the League has proved ineffective. Other sub-regional organisations also have
a poor record. In 1989 the Arab Co-operation Council (ACC) comprising Egypt, Iraq,
Jordan and North Yemen was formed. Its purpose was co-operation in economic and non-
military fields; for instance, initiatives to limit Soviet Jewish immigration to occupied
Arab land. In late 1990 it fell apart when Egypt joined the US-led coalition against Iraq.
The Gulf Co-operation Council (GCC) is a sub-regional organisation which had survived
since its foundation in May 1981. Against the background of the Iran-Iraq War and some
internal subversive pressures, the six Gulf Arab monarchies—Saudi Arabia, Kuwait,
Bahrain, Qatar, UAE and Oman—decided to co-ordinate internal security measures, arms
procurement and other defence issues, and national economies. Fearful of Saudi
dominance and jealous of national independence, meaningful co-ordination and
integration has been slight. Throughout the 1980s some joint military exercises were
held, and a rapid deployment force organised. However, these efforts proved ineffective
in defending Kuwait in August 1990. Since the Gulf War GCC members have shown that
defence agreements with the West are preferred over deeper, local military integration.
Within the Middle East fundamental problems of democracy and legitimacy will
persist. In the Arab Middle East there is little practice of democracy as the West
understands the concept. The legitimacy of many regimes is questioned domestically and
internationally. Saudi Arabia is an example of a country experiencing growing strain
from many quarters. Its historic borders are the product of deals with Western imperial
powers within living memory. The political elite rules by right of conquest and self-
claimed religious duties. Saudi Arabia is a wealthy, technologically advanced society
with a medieval social structure. Pressures for reform are coming from liberal
modernisers, who seek greater social and political freedom, and religious fundamentalists
who fear that the Saudi regime is slipping in its duties to protect Islam. Non-Islamic
military forces are present on Saudi soil, and terrorism is now a feature of contemporary
Saudi Arabia. Meanwhile, the modus vivendi between Israel and the Arab world remains
very brittle and its most difficult objectives have still to be achieved. Egypt, Jordan and
the PLO have formal treaties with Israel, and some other Arab countries voice public
approval of the process. But there is little élan and there is a grudging spirit to the
détente, often evident from the behaviour of both sides. The military and economic
Issues in international relations 200
dominance of Israel in the Levant is resented, and it will require many generations to pass
before most ordinary Arabs accept Israel as a normal Middle East country.
The path of American power may not run smoothly throughout the region, but
Washington’s influence is pervasive in a manner unmatched by any other state in the
post-colonial period. Competition from Russia, China, the European Union and
sometimes France individually is growing and will sometimes collide with American
power. But, given American will, the United States will remain clearly dominant.
Primary American strategic interests such as oil, the security of Israel and the non-
proliferation of weapons of mass destruction are very long term and ensure the exercise
of Washington’s power in the region for a considerable time. The historical perspective
of Islam exceeds the existence of the United States by over 1,000 years. The political and
economic disappointments and frustrations fuelling active and tacit support for militant
Islam across the Middle East continue. These conditions will not be ameliorated in the
short to medium term. In some leading Arab societies such as Algeria, Egypt and Syria
demographic and economic trends and political inflexibility look set to exacerbate the
public mood of discontent. Resentments may manifest themselves not only in Islamic
militancy but in low- and middle-level wars, between and within states. If not over
territory or access to oil wealth, water could be a major source of interstate friction in the
years ahead. Rapid population increase in most Middle East states has put great strain on
scarce water resources. If, in any future conflicts, American core strategic interests are at
stake, it will intervene militarily. But in local, limited or civil wars the United States will
keep its distance.
In historical terms, the present international system in the Middle East is young, and
needs time to mature. But while political regimes and state boundaries are relatively new,
the pressures upon them have deep historical and cultural roots. The geographical
location of the Middle East and its global strategic importance add to the volatile mix,
and condemn the region to its high degree of competition and conflict in the foreseeable
future.
FURTHER READING
Bernard Lewis’s The Shaping of the Modern Middle East (Oxford: Oxford University
Press, 1994) provides a concise yet lucid and panoramic review of the historical, cultural
and strategic factors which have moulded the political character of the region over the
past two to three hundred years. The defeat of the Ottoman Empire and the emergence of
the new international order is examined in detail, and with verve, by David Fromkin in A
Peace to End all Peace (Harmondsworth: Penguin, 1991). Both Roger Owen, State,
Power and Politics in the Making of the Modern Middle East (London: Routledge, 1992),
and James A.Bill and Robert Springborg, Politics in the Middle East (New York:
HarperCollins, 1994), deliver excellent assessments of the roles of nationalism, political
parties and state apparatus in the wider politics of the region, as well as within particular
countries. In Inside the Arab World (London: John Murray, 1994) Michael Field vividly
captures the deep sense of discontent and frustration prevalent in much of the Arab
Middle East. The debate over militant Islam is demonstrated by L.T.Hadar, ‘What Green
The middle east 201
Peril?’ and J.Miller, ‘The Challenge of Radical Islam’, both in Foreign Affairs, Vol. 72,
No. 2 (1993). Avi Schlaim, War and Peace in the Middle East (Harmondsworth:
Penguin, 1995) is a very readable, succinct and sometimes controversial interpretation of
the post-Cold War international security regime in the region. The complex and painful
history of Arab-Israeli relations is traced in a clear and efficient manner by T.G.Fraser,
The Arab-Israeli Conflict (London: Macmillan, 1995). Also well balanced, but with more
detail on the Palestinian struggle, is Charles D.Smith, Palestine and the Arab-Israeli
Conflict (New York: St Martin’s Press, 1994). Dilip Hiro’s impressive Dictionary of the
Middle East (London: Macmillan, 1996) has over 1,000 entries and is a valuable asset
providing salient details of crises, wars and diplomacy in the region over recent years.
9
Russia and the ‘Near Abroad’
Graeme Herd
In reviewing the history of Russian international relations in the twentieth century we are
exposed to the unfolding of cataclysmic events, revolutionary upheaval, startling
cleavages in strategic orientation: we witness the death throes of the Russian Empire; the
birth in 1917 and subsequent consolidation of the Soviet Union under Stalin; the growth
of superpower rivalry through the long night of the Cold War, a paradigm that was to
dominate the very way in which international relations were interpreted at the global
level. The century appeared to draw to a close with the sudden, total and unexpectedly
bloodless disintegration of the Soviet Union in 1991. With the emergence of a Russian
Federation, shorn of imperial possessions and exposed to the democratic impulse released
by the overthrow of authoritarian regimes in Central and Eastern Europe, it was assumed
that Russia’s future path would lead it towards the ‘common European home’,
democratic market economy and co-operative foreign policy formation. This seemingly
conventional assumption is, however, open to question. On the eve of the twenty-first
century Russia’s place in the contemporary world remains ill-defined, her strategic
interests and orientation heavily debated and her relationship with the ‘Near Abroad’
characterised by ambiguity, uncertainty and unpredictability.
• Russian/Tsarist Empire
• 1917 Bolshevik Revolution
• Stalinism, 1929–53
• Cold War, 1944–89
• Disintegration: end of Cold War and of ‘empire’ in Eastern and Central
Europe, 1989–91
• Emergence of Russian Federation, 1991–
How then to explain Russia’s relationship with what some analysts have referred to as her
‘Near Abroad’, those newly independent countries which had formerly been forcibly
incorporated into the Union of Soviet Socialist Republics? To what extent does the Soviet
legacy play an important role in contemporary post-Soviet international relations? Will
Russia emerge in the twenty-first century as a democratic and stable market economy?
Could neo-authoritarian tendencies promote the impulse of reintegration of the Slavic
peoples into one ethnic homeland, an enlarged, aggressively anti-Western and belligerent
Russia and the 'near abroad' 203
nuclear power ready to exploit the potential of vast natural resources and so uphold its
great power status in a turbulent international system? Or, with regional governors
flexing their political and economic power against the centre, are we witnessing the
gradual fragmentation and disintegration of Russia itself?
What of the ‘Near Abroad’? Will the fourteen newly independent states be dominated
by their largest neighbour and traditional imperial master, or will each state determine its
own national identity and state interest and assume independent foreign and security
policies, free of a Russian sphere of influence? That these basic questions can be asked,
and that they are never answered the same way twice by any scholar working in the field,
underscores the ambiguity and lack of clarity in the international relations of the former
Soviet Union. Estonia is poised to open EU accession negotiations along with the Czech
Republic, Hungary, Slovenia, Poland and Cyprus, while Tadjikistan is beset with the
disruption and horror of civil war. Belarus, in danger of reverting to neo-authoritarian
behaviour, proposes a Union Treaty with Russia, a country which has successfully
undergone two democratic election campaigns and yet fought itself to a bloody impasse
in Chechnya in order to maintain its own territorial integrity.
How are we best to comprehend the complex international relations of this region? Let
us begin by briefly analysing the nature of the Soviet system of power and the impact of
the Soviet legacy upon contemporary international relations.
The Soviet Union was created in 1917 and collapsed in 1991. It has been described as a
totalitarian state, that is, a state which controlled all aspects of political, economic, social
and cultural life of its subjects. It was a state legitimised by one sustaining ideology
which was subject to differing interpretations during the Soviet period. Vladimir Ilich
Lenin turned to the ideas of Karl Marx and translated them into an action programme
suited for the Tsarist Empire—a largely agrarian country with a small capitalist sector. In
two seminal works, What Is to Be Done? (1902) and State and Revolution (1917), Lenin
developed the idea of a small, highly organised and disciplined politicised vanguard party
(the Bolshevik Party) which could lead the mass of urban workers (proletariat) in an
armed revolution against the existing social and political tsarist order. This uprising
occurred in October 1917, initially in the capital Petrograd (formerly St Petersburg), then
spreading throughout the Tsarist Empire. According to Marxist-Leninist theory, socialism
would be established within the newly created Union of Soviet Socialist Republics
(USSR), leading, inevitably, to communism. However, internal disorder brought on by
Russia’s defeat in World War One, famine and civil war (1918–21) intervened. Many of
the peripheral parts of the Tsarist Empire, most notably Latvia, Lithuania and Estonia,
successfully secured their independence and were to remain so throughout the interwar
period.
Issues in international relations 204
Lenin died prematurely in 1924 and by 1929, after a series of internal power struggles,
Josef Stalin emerged as the leading political figure within the USSR. He proceeded to
consolidate his power base within the Party bureaucracy (apparatchiki) and modernise
the Soviet Union as rapidly as possible under the slogan ‘socialism in one country’. He
introduced the collectivisation of agriculture and the forced industrialisation of industry
through a series of five-year economic plans, and utilised terror, a labour-camp system
(gulags) filled by periodic purges (chistka, or cleansing), orchestrated show trials and a
‘cult of personality’ as means of maintaining and expanding Soviet power. Stalin
dominated the Soviet Union, creating a state command-control centrally planned
economy, state monopolies of politics (a single-party system) and the media, and
enforcing CPSU control of the military and police.
Foreign policy was strictly controlled and the key objective was to ensure national
defence against the fear of ‘capitalist encirclement’. Stalin and Hitler signed an
agreement in 1939 (Molotov-Ribbentrop Pact) which created a defensive alliance and as
a consequence the USSR did not enter the ‘Great Patriotic War’ on the side of the Allies
until invaded in June 1941. World War Two ended with victorious Soviet armies and
communist parties dominating the devastated political landscape of Central and Eastern
Europe (CEE). The USSR reincorporated all parts of the lost Tsarist Empire (except the
Grand Duchy of Finland), as well as newly conquered territories. Interwar democratic
regimes in CEE were replaced by Stalinist regimes, Yugoslavia under President Tito
proving the only exception. These countries were wedded to the Soviet Union through
participation in military and economic alliance structures, for example the Warsaw Treaty
Organisation (WTO) or Warsaw Pact, and the Council for Mutual Economic Assistance
(COMECON).
Russia and the 'near abroad' 205
In Western Europe and the USA such Soviet dominance and effective conquest of large
parts of Europe were perceived to threaten European stability. The proliferation of the
Soviet ‘sphere of influence’ was to be opposed by the establishment of a balance of
military and political power within Europe and the ‘containment’ of Soviet expansionist
ambitions throughout the rest of the world. This ‘Cold War’ paradigm was characterised
by a bipolar international system, the growth of two superpowers (the USA and the
USSR) who controlled two alliance structures, the North Atlantic Treaty Organisation
(NATO) and the Warsaw Pact, and opposed each other militarily and ideologically and
frequently clashed in a series of proxy wars in the Third World.
Issues in international relations 206
The balance of power was essentially designed to stop confrontation slipping into all-out
nuclear annihilation. Soviet power was reinforced periodically by Soviet-led military
intervention into these satellite states, for example, Budapest in 1956 and Prague in 1968,
to uphold communist regimes. Such intervention was dubbed the ‘Brezhnev
Doctrine’ (see Box 5.8, p. 115).
The Cold War had warmer periods of ‘coexistence’ and détente, particularly the late
1960s and 1970s, but by 1979 had slipped back to confrontational politics (the ‘Second
Cold War’) characterised by a renewed arms race, and an increase in proxy wars outwith
the European theatre.
The ‘Great Patriotic War’ had an important effect upon Soviet nationalities policy. One
striking feature of the USSR was the ethnic diversity, boasting over 100 ethnic groups,
with ethnic Russians comprising 51 per cent of the population. Strategies for suppressing
and assimilating this ethnic diversity initially appeared to be successful—but by the
1980s the Soviet ‘family of nations’ was unravelling and the reasons can be located in the
strategies themselves. Stalin appealed to Russian national patriotic sentiment throughout
the war and at its conclusion implemented forced population shifts of minority ethnic
groups, such as the Germans, Tartars and Chechens, who were considered to have
collaborated with the invading Nazi forces. Political repression was only one such
strategy. In other ways the Soviet system managed to co-opt ethnic elites into working
with rather than against the system. Soviet federalism, for example, gave some ethnic
groups limited administrative recognition and provided the mechanism through which
regional ethnic elites could advance themselves and their regions. However, the federal
system also provided the political and administrative structures, especially within the
Russia and the 'near abroad' 207
union republics, through which elites could mobilise popular support, agitate for greater
regional autonomy and sovereignty and then, eventually, national independence.
When Mikhail Gorbachev became General Secretary of the CPSU in March 1985 the
Soviet Union was facing a crisis of effectiveness. The Soviet system suffered myriad
social and economic problems compounded by both the new and growing demands of its
citizens for rapid improvements in living standards and increased military competition
with the West. By 1991 it was facing a crisis of survival. Many scholars have placed the
‘blame’ for the collapse of the Soviet Union upon the shoulders of Gorbachev and
particularly the impact of his ‘new thinking’ (novoe myshlenie) on international relations.
The reform programme had to overcome deeply entrenched and systemic problems. The
centrally planned Soviet economy was unbalanced, top-heavy and inflexible. It was over-
reliant upon heavy industry, producer rather than consumer goods, and the MIC soaked
up a disproportionate amount of the USSR’s GDP. The poor performance of the economy
was exacerbated by East-West competition in arms production, especially pronounced in
space research and the Strategic Defence Initiative (‘star wars’) technology. The move in
1987 from central planning of the economy towards contractual agreements between
suppliers and consumers and the creation of a legal non-state economic sector marked the
point when the Soviet economy slipped into free fall.
However, as it became apparent that Gorbachev aimed to reform rather than overthrow
the system, popular support for the man who was prepared to listen and compromise
waned. By mid-1987 a conservative bureaucratic backlash from within the nomenklatura
(a list of personnel vetted by the Communist Party and appointed to the highest
positions), fuelled by local activism and ethnic unrest in the republics, forced Gorbachev
Russia and the 'near abroad' 209
to adopt compromise policies. However, in the ebb and flow of perestroika politics,
Gorbachev had again seized the initiative by mid-1988, introducing broad political
reform, including the establishment of the post of President of the USSR and measures to
decentralise political power from the centre (Moscow) to the periphery (regions and
republics). Although this process of political decentralisation had been implemented from
the top down, it very quickly inherited a dynamic of its own, and so became an
unmanageable process. Republics attempted to take control of their economic, social and
cultural policies, to highlight and combat environmental deterioration and the
exploitation of natural resources. The first sign that republics would take more overt
political control of their destinies was marked by the withdrawal of the Lithuanian
Communist Party from the CPSU in December 1989, followed by the Estonian and
Latvian Communist Parties in March and April 1990.
This political breach between the centre and periphery of the Soviet empire in the late
1980s was also partially encouraged by the stunning reversal of Soviet control in CEE.
Some analysts argue that the Soviet Union collapsed because it was at the ‘end of empire’
phase in its existence and suffered ‘imperial over-stretch’. This phrase suggests that there
is a clear connection between a great power’s economic rise and fall and its growth and
decline as an imperial power. The economic shifts initiated by Gorbachev weakened the
Soviet economy and so undermined the position of the USSR in the international system.
Gorbachev’s foreign policy, particularly the jettisoning of the ‘Brezhnev Doctrine’ for the
so-called ‘Sinatra Doctrine’ (‘I Did It My Way’) and the rhetoric of a ‘common European
home’, signalled to CEE communist parties that the Soviet Union would not intervene
militarily to uphold communist regimes which had lost legitimacy in the eyes of the
people. This policy contributed greatly to the strengthening within CEE of opposition
umbrella groups calling for a change in the political system, from communist to
democratic political legitimisation. In 1989, beginning peacefully in Poland and
Czechoslovakia (the ‘Velvet Revolution’), moving through Hungary, East Germany (the
GDR), Bulgaria and ending with Romania, communist regimes were overthrown in a
series of largely bloodless revolutions.
Within the USSR popular movements for national self-determination were boosted by
both the startling and highly visible effects of Gorbachev’s liberal foreign policy
throughout CEE (the ‘Revolutions of 1989’), and the results of a series of local elections
held from December 1989 to March 1990. The Baltic republics were the first to declare
their sovereignty, their indigenous state languages the official languages, residency
requirements necessary for voting and restoration of their national flags. These ‘Singing
Revolutions’ were gradually and predominantly peacefully to move the republics closer
to independence. By contrast, in the three Transcaucasian republics of Armenia,
Azerbaijan and Georgia, the move to national self-determination proved more volatile,
and inter-ethnic violence broke out most notably over the status of a majority ethnic
Armenian enclave within an Azerbaijan-controlled region called the Nagorno-Karabakh
and among the Abkhaz population within Georgia. Elsewhere in the USSR, particularly
Issues in international relations 210
in the five Soviet Central Asian republics, long-standing ethnic rivalries between
differing Soviet nationalities which had previously been suppressed by central authority
were revived by this process of political and economic decentralisation.
In the wake of the upheaval within the international system between 1989 and
1991, two dominant theses emerged which attempted to provide a conceptual
framework by which we could understand international politics after the Cold
War. Francis Fukuyama first published his End of History thesis on the eve of
the revolutions of 1989, while Samuel Huntingdon promoted his Clash of
Civilisations paradigm in 1993. Startlingly, each thesis bases its argument on
an analysis of the same events—the breakdown of Soviet power in CEE and
the FSU—and yet provide radically different conclusions. Both of these
overarching theses are of interest to the student of International Relations as
they have proved to constitute the dominant post-Cold War paradigms.
Francis Fukuyama in his End of History thesis argued that the revolutions of
1989 marked the end of an ideological struggle between communism and
capitalism. With the overthrow of communist regimes throughout CEE,
communism as a viable ideology was discredited and liberal democracy and
the market economy (‘market-democracy’) was now in the ascendant.
Fukuyama looked to the past and argued that change in history had been
generated by a clash of ideologies. In the twentieth century, liberal
democracies had defeated the fascist ideologies (Japan, Germany, Italy) during
World War Two and, with the collapse of CEE regimes in 1989, the ideology
of Marxism-Leninism. Now, according to Fukuyama, the future of world
history would be one of constant repetition—the continued proliferation of a
wave of democratisation projects throughout the world, until all states were
peaceful, stable market democracies, existing in harmony.
Huntingdon, in examining the causes of the collapse of the Cold War and
considering which paradigm would best provide a conceptual framework, a
Issues in international relations 212
The collapse of the USSR in 1991 marked the end of the Cold War, of superpower
ideological and military rivalry. The international system was in turmoil, old
multinational states were disintegrating (USSR, Czechoslovakia, Yugoslavia), alliance
structures withered on the vine, while new states were forged from the chaos, insistently
clamouring for external recognition of the newly acquired sovereignty. Rootlessness,
uncertainty and ambiguity marked the passage from Cold War to post-Cold War
international relations.
For the Russian armed forces the military and geo-strategic impact of the collapse of the
Soviet Union could hardly be exaggerated. Two consequences held overriding priority in
the minds of policy-makers in Moscow. First, unitary command and control over the
former Soviet nuclear arsenal had been broken and strategic nuclear weapons—long-
range intercontinental ballistic missiles—were now located in the newly independent
republics of Belarus, Ukraine and Kazakhstan, as well as the Russian Federation. The
proliferation of nuclear weapons and technology would have to be addressed and was set
to dominate the agendas of these former Soviet republics. Second, many conventional
military assets—such as forward ordnance parks, logistics supplies, airfields and
command headquarters—were lost to the newly independent states. Taking the example
of Latvia, the Soviet Baltic Fleet headquarters had been based in Riga, Liepaja was the
largest military port in the Baltic Sea, radar and communications sites at Skrunda and
Ventspils were now, in Russian eyes, compromised. The Russian military had a clear
strategic interest in retaining operational control of these ‘Near Abroad’ military assets.
The reassertion of centralised control would minimise the loss of Russia’s historic buffer
zones, the territories straddling the Russian frontier which, in Russian eyes, constituted a
cordon sanitaire between Russia and the West.
The armed forces, conscious of a chronic sense of geographical insecurity, had also
suffered a severe loss of prestige and power. They were faced with an apparently
contradictory Russian policy of negotiating the withdrawal of Russian troops from the
Russia and the 'near abroad' 217
former republics while defending the rights and interests of the Russian diaspora in a
period when regional strife—interethnic conflict and civil unrest—plagued many parts of
the former USSR. The proliferation of ethnic and territorial disputes presented a constant
danger to the security of Russia itself. Such unrest would be exacerbated by the presence
of ‘security vacuums’ and could spill over into Russia proper and threaten the territorial
integrity and stability of the Federation. The danger of fragmentation was ever present in
the minds of Russian policymakers. Such violence could also cause a massive
remigration of ethnic Russians into the Federation, with the danger that the heavy strain
of extra usage could precipitate a collapse in the already overburdened Russian
accommodation, energy and transportational infrastructure. This factor was considered
especially dangerous should ethnic Russians from Kazakhstan settle en masse in southern
Siberia.
The Soviet Union was characterised by intense economic interconnections and
integration of a special type. Stalin’s command-control centrally planned economy had
allowed for economic specialisation within particular republics. This aspect of the Soviet
economic legacy had a profound impact on post-Soviet interstate relations. On
independence some cotton-producing republics, such as Uzbekistan, or those republics
which were traditionally agriculturally abundant, such as Ukraine, had to face the fact
that they were also heavily energy dependent on the Siberian oil and gas fields of the
Russian Federation. This energy dependence rendered these republics vulnerable to
economic pressure in the shape of threats to withdraw gas or oil supplies. At the same
time, many of the former republics also housed key strategic economic assets, such as
refineries, road, rail and pipeline links, which formerly had been directed by Moscow,
and were considered necessary for the uninterrupted expansion of the Russian economy.
Thus Russia had both a strategic economic rationale for maintaining economic control
over the former republics and, more importantly, the means to achieve such control.
Notably, among a raft of policies directed towards maintaining influence over ‘Near
Abroad’ development, Russia attempted debt-for-equity swaps—Russia forgave energy
debts incurred by newly independent states within the ‘Near Abroad’ in return for control
over physical economic assets. Such policies raised the danger that Soviet economic
interdependence would provide the rationale for a post-Soviet Russian-led economic
reintegration, so setting in place the keystone of a fully fledged reassertion of Russian
control over the former republics.
It quickly became apparent that, just as there was ambiguity and disagreement within
political parties and movements as to what constituted Russian interests, so there existed
various cleavages which divided opinion within the disorientated Russian foreign policy
elite. First came the question of which strategic orientation the Russian Federation ought
to adopt—a Eurasianist or Atlantic bias? Second, should the strategic orientation attempt
to secure Western co-operation and respect or should it rather seek to promote Russian
interests above all else—should the ‘Westerns’ (zapadniki) prevail or rather those
Issues in international relations 218
advocating a Russia-first policy, the preservation of Russia’s ‘great power’ status
(derzhaυnikii)?
In 1992 the Russian foreign policy priority was focused almost exclusively upon the
establishment of a working relationship with the West. Russian policy towards the ‘Near
Abroad’ was considered a lesser priority for a number of reasons. Institutionally the
Russian Federation was not equipped to articulate and implement a coherent policy
towards the ‘Near Abroad’. Within the Ministry of Foreign Affairs most of the specialist
personnel had hitherto concentrated upon relations outwith the FSU boundaries; indeed,
Russian diplomatic missions to the newly independent states had to be constituted. This
problem was not confined to the Russian Federation; many of the former republics were
also weakly integrated and lacked formal mechanisms through which to initiate interstate
relations with the Russian Federation.
This institutional shortfall was compensated by a psychological or emotional
expectation which discounted the necessity of treating the former republics as fully
independent. A commonly held assumption in Moscow was that such republics would be
unable to overcome the burden of imperial control and would naturally gravitate back
into Russia’s sphere of influence; albeit the influence would be exercised in a neocolonial
manner, subjugation more loosely based, Russian hegemony rendered more acceptable
and civilised as befitting a ‘New World Order’.
The all-Union institutional framework which was most coherent in the post-Soviet
period was the Russian army (constituted in May 1992) and the former KGB (which split
into three sections). It was this institution—with its strong command, control,
communications and intelligence-gathering capabilities within each of the former
republics—which dominated by default Russia’s policies towards the ‘Near Abroad’.
Furthermore, with the creation of the CIS, the Ministry of Defence controlled both
military assets and buildings throughout the former Soviet Union. Thus, while initially
the Russian Ministry of Foreign Affairs (MFA) undertook a liberal policy of
rapprochement with the West (an Atlanticist position), characterised by partnership, close
co-operation and the pursuit of mutual interests—particularly the acceptance by Western
states of Russia’s European identity and Western integration—the Russian Ministry of
Defence (MoD) developed a ‘Near Abroad’ policy predicated in the first instance upon
the reintegration of the FSU, and in the second on the controlling influence upon the
external policies of FSU republics (the Eurasian perspective).
By late 1992 and early 1993, Russia’s broadly pro-Western policy towards its ‘Far
Abroad’ (dal’nye zarubezhne) had undergone a reassessment and was replaced with
policies which sought to reassert Russian national interest and provide a more balanced
Eurasianist orientation. Russia had become disillusioned, paradoxically, with both the
lack of Western aid and her perceived dependence upon that aid. The domestic political
landscape reflected this changing perception as both the assertive nationalist and re-
emergent communist forces came to the fore at the Duma elections.
Russia and the 'near abroad' 219
• Eurasianist v. Atlanticist?
• secure Western co-operation v. promote Russian interests above all else
•‘Westerns’ v. Russia First/Russia to be treated as a true great power
Post-1993: Russian national interest+balanced Eurasianist
A Euro-Asiatic orientation stressed the importance of Russian policy towards the former
Soviet satellite states of Central and Eastern Europe, as well as China, the Middle East
(particularly Iran and Turkey) and the former republics of the Soviet Union. Thus, by
1993 the MoD policy towards the ‘Near Abroad’ had been largely accepted as Russian
state policy. Russia, as a great power, began to stress its ‘special responsibilities’ towards
former Soviet space. The raft of measures which Russia adopted in order to attain a
reintegration of post-Soviet economic, military and political space was widened to
include economic and psychological means, rather than mere military force. The CIS was
now perceived as a zone of Russian interest and CIS integration the decisive factor
characterising Russian foreign policy in this region.
These interrelated economic, military, political and social issues were to form the key
components which shaped Russian policy towards the ‘Near Abroad’. To paraphrase
Dean Acheson, Russia had lost an empire and had yet to find its role in the ‘Near
Russia and the 'near abroad' 221
Abroad’. How, then, was Russian policy towards the ‘Near Abroad’ to be elaborated and
implemented? In what way would these issues affect the formation of Russian foreign
policy orientation.
The insistence that Russian agreement be given for the integration of the Baltic states into
NATO, coupled with the linkage of the border question to the condition of the Russian
diaspora, represented a concerted attempt to oppose NATO influence within the Baltic
region. As the EU insists that the fair treatment of minorities is a condition for EU
integration, such a policy could have isolated the Baltic states from all Euro-Atlantic
structures. Within the document lies the implicit threat that Russia could redirect its trade
destined for the European market away from the costly Baltic ports, towards those of
Finland. The possibility of de facto economic sanctions would provide another lever of
Russian influence upon the formation of Baltic foreign and security policy.
CONCLUSIONS
With the collapse of the Soviet Union, Russian policy towards the ‘Near Abroad’ was
largely determined by issues generated by the Soviet legacy, the remnants of empire
which continued to link the former peripheral republics to their imperial centre. Russia
was particularly prone to utilise diplomatic, economic and military pressure to reassert
and extend Russian influence. This activist policy was embodied by the deployment of
peacekeepers in Moldova and Tadjikistan. Russian military presence advanced Russian
strategic interest within the ‘Near Abroad’, allowing Russia to retain sphere of influence,
to dominate a quasi-independent buffer zone, and extend the perimeter for Russian
territorial defence.
Through the mid- and late 1990s, other factors have shaped Russian relations with the
‘Near Abroad’—and none was so contentious as the process of NATO enlargement.
However, just as the very concept of security itself has been broadened and attention has
shifted from the narrow traditional political and military conception of security (which
characterised Cold War thinking) to include societal, individual and environmental
concerns, so too has Russian policy towards the ‘Near Abroad’ adapted to the new
international environment. Russian policy is now characterised by a complex and
differentiated interplay of a series of interests with each of the former republics. This
shift represents a greater sophistication and appreciation of the differing aspirations of the
former republics and is perhaps best represented in Russian policy towards her Baltic
Russia and the 'near abroad' 225
‘Near Abroad’.
But in focusing upon the points of dispute between Russia and the ‘Near Abroad’, we
are in danger of overlooking the central role of internal domestic dynamics in the
formation of Russian foreign and security policy. The simultaneous downsizing and
modernisation of the Russian military establishment, the continued stabilisation of
Russia’s economic liberalisation programme and consolidation of her democratisation
project, the resolution of inherent centre-periphery strains with the elaboration of a
workable regional policy will all be crucial to the future evolution of Russian policy to
the ‘Near Abroad’. Above all, the Russian political elite must reach agreement upon a
coherent and consistently proposed set of interests which will act as guiding principles
for this ‘Near Abroad’ policy. Thus, the question of Russian identity remains the key
historical and contemporary determinant of Russia’s relationship with her former Tsarist
empire. The controversy surrounding the reburial of the remains of Tsar Nicholas II and
the imperial family in St Petersburg in July 1998, the lack of an agreed official national
anthem and weakness and fragility of the emerging party system within the Federation all
testify to the difficulties Russia will experience before these questions of identity are
settled.
Russia and the ‘Near Abroad’ will remain of enduring interest to students of
International Relations. Through the study of such a subject we witness the creation and
collapse of states, explore the meaning of sovereignty in the modern world, the resolution
of ethnic conflict, the articulation of state interests and the formation and evolution of a
foreign policy. These topics, of great interest in themselves, also remain central to an
understanding of the International Relations discipline itself.
FURTHER READING
Bremmer, Ian and Taras, Ray, , New States, New Politics: Building the Post-Soviet
Nations, 2nd edn (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1996). This book provides
a contemporary and comprehensive overview of the Russian Federation in the
international context.
Dawisha, Karen and Parrot, Bruce, Conflict, Cleavage and Change in Central Asia and
the Caucasus (Cambridge University Press, Cambridge, 1997). This is a detailed and
well researched book which examines internal disputes and conflict within former
Soviet Central Asia and the Caucasus. Individual chapters examine case studies of
particular republics and outline Russia’s evolving policy towards this volatile region.
DeBardeleben, Joan, Russian Politics in Transition 2nd edn (Houghton Mifflin
Company, Boston and New York, 1997). This is an excellent introduction to systemic
transformation of the Russian Federation since 1991. The glossary and bibliography
are particularly useful to students who are starting to explore this subject.
Holmes, Leslie Post Communism: An Introduction (Polity Press, Cambridge, 1997). This
book deals with our conceptual and theoretical understanding of how communist
regimes collapsed and the types of political systems which are replacing them. It is
ideal for undergraduate students.
Lejins, Atis and Ozolina, Zaneta, Small States in a Turbulent Environment: The Baltic
Perspective (Latvian Institute for International Affairs, Riga, 1997). This edited
volume provides a comprehensive case study of the security concerns facing the Baltic
Issues in international relations 226
states, from EU and NATO integration to the evolution of Russia’s Baltic policy.
White, Stephen, Pravda, Alex and Gitelman, Zvi (eds) Developments in Russian and
Post-Soviet Politics (Duke University Press, Durham, NC, 1994).
10
Europe and European integration
Trevor C.Salmon
WHAT IS EUROPE?
In the 1960s and 1970s ‘Europe’ was often referred to as if it was synonymous with the
European Economic Community (EEC); but this was never true, and today, with all the
changes that have taken place in the last few years, it is even less true. The European
Union (EU) consists of only fifteen member states, and even if the proposed enlargement
goes ahead early in the twenty-first century, this will initially enlarge it only to twenty-
one states. That contrasts with the forty states in 1998’s Council of Europe, the fifty-five
states (although Yugoslavia is suspended) that are members of the Organisation for
Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) and the twenty-nine states in the
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) (indeed, Japan and
Mexico are members of the OECD). Similarly, both Canada and the United States of
America are in the OSCE and OECD, as they are in the North Atlantic Treaty
Organisation (NATO), with its nineteen members after the 1999 enlargement.
This, of course, raises questions about European identity and what ‘Europe’ comprises.
Originally a predominantly geographical construct, the Roman legacy of language,
culture and values gave the concept of Europe a somewhat wider foundation, as did
Charlemagne’s empire, the Holy Roman Empire, and Christianity. The divisions within
Christianity at the time of the Reformation damaged the notion of a concept of Europe, as
did the concomitant emergence of theories of the state and state sovereignty.
Nevertheless, the idea of Europe as a political and cultural entity remained, sometimes
stronger and sometimes weaker; indeed, there was a recognition that Europe possessed
both diversity and unity: diversity in geography, with rivers and mountains dividing the
continent, diversity in language despite the Grecian and Roman inheritance and diversity
in political authority as states sought and pursued their own interests, leading to wars,
death and destruction; unity in that certain values and the religious, philosophical and
cultural inheritance, while often muted, kept re-emerging.
Issues in international relations 228
• European Union?
• geographical entity?
• common roots of language, culture and values?
• Roman, Charlemagne and Holy Roman Empire imperial imprint?
• intellectual and philosophical legacy?
Tensions still arise for similar reasons today, as the question is asked which states are
eligible for membership of European organisations such as the European Union and what
ought the criteria for membership to be? As noted above the United States and Canada
are members of the OSCE, while the Commission of the European Community gave a
favourable opinion on the application of Cyprus to join the EC in July 1993 and the
eligibility of Turkey for membership was first raised in 1964 and reaffirmed in April
1997 when the country was told its application for membership of the European Union
would be judged by the same objective standards and criteria as those of other applicants.
The question of whether a state is European has been raised not only in the context of
enlargements of the EU in the next decade but in that of membership of the OSCE, of
which Armenia, Azerbaijan, Georgia, Kazakhstan, Kyrgyzstan, Moldova, Turkmenistan
and Uzbekistan are members. This poses the questions of where the boundary of Europe
lies and whether it is a geographical or some other type of boundary.
DIVISIONS IN EUROPE
From the end of the war in Europe in May 1945 until 1989 the unity and diversity in
Europe was manifested by the division created by the Iron Curtain, a line of ideological,
political, economic and military barrier stretching through the former Germany along the
fissure line of the inner German border from the Baltic Sea southwards to the Adriatic.
Crucially it divided not only Germany itself but Europe. Until the collapse of the Soviet
Empire in both the Soviet Union and in Eastern and Central Europe in 1989–91, it was
problematic to speak of ‘Europe’ since for most practical purposes the division created a
Western and an Eastern Europe, broadly along the lines of membership of the Western
North Atlantic Treaty Organisation and the Soviet-dominated Warsaw Pact (with
associated socio-economic organisations), though there were also those states that sought
to avoid involvement with either, for example, Switzerland, Austria, Finland, Ireland or
Sweden. Even ‘Western’ Europe came to be divided between the founder-member states
of the European Coal and Steel Community (founded in 1951–2) and the EEC (founded
in 1957–8), and those that preferred the looser arrangement of the European Free Trade
Association (founded in 1960), so that from 1960 to 1973 a clear distinction could be
made between the Six and the Seven; in addition, there were two Germanies: the Federal
Republic (West Germany) and the German Democratic Republic (East Germany).
Europe and European integration 229
The post-war East/West division in Europe reflected the facts of where military power
resided: in Washington and Moscow and in NATO and the Warsaw Pact (although the
latter was not formally created until 1955). As noted above, some states tried to avoid
being ensnared in this division, so it was not strictly bipolar but was nevertheless a basic
feature of the landscape for forty years. It was unusual in that the division lacked
flexibility: the alliances were formalised, based on ideology and had permanent
structures. The armed forces were prepared and in place. There was a strong emphasis
upon maintaining the status quo, it being perceived as too dangerous to challenge it
seriously, although there were periodic crises such as those in Berlin in 1948–9, 1958 and
1961. The attempts to challenge the status quo, such as President de Gaulle of France’s
attempts to become semi-detached from NATO and perhaps the Romanians’ efforts to
semi-detach from the Warsaw Pact, were ultimately unsuccessful, not least because the
Soviets showed when they invaded Hungary in 1956 and Czechoslovakia in 1968 that
there were limits to their tolerance. The style of the two blocs was very different: in the
west the United States cajoled, even threatened, but nonetheless ultimately sought
peaceful agreed solutions; in the east the Soviets acquired power through Stalinist terror
and maintained it through much the same methods, albeit with the iron fist increasingly in
a velvet glove. Given the clarity of the division, despite some scares, there was
considerable stability in Europe, with implicit recognition of the spheres of influence of
the two superpowers: the United States and the Soviet Union.
Within the context of that division, in Western Europe itself there were further
fundamental divisions. These were based on attitudes to the nature of the relations
between the democratic, pluralist and industrialised states and centred on the debate over
how to achieve a peaceful Europe. On one hand, some argued for supranational
institutions with individual states relinquishing all or substantial portions of their
sovereignty to new centres of authority. On the other, cases were made for the traditional
forms of international organisation, with an emphasis upon consensus agreements and
Issues in international relations 230
unanimity.
Part of the argument originally was about how best to control a potentially resurgent
Germany, but at root it reflected the different wartime experiences of the states and
indeed their political histories and cultures. For some states—France, Belgium, the
Netherlands, Luxembourg and Italy, and even Germany itself—the war had seen defeat,
occupation and humiliation. The state had failed to fulfil its raison d’être, that is, to
provide the physical security of its citizens and their prosperity. Citizens who had
endured this experience were willing to envisage radical solutions for the future political
and socioeconomic organisation of Europe, even involving solutions that would do away
with the states altogether.
Other states and citizens had enjoyed different experiences. In the United Kingdom, for
example, the victory celebrated on VE (Victory in Europe) and VJ (Victory in Japan)
days in 1945 appeared to be a confirmation of the strength of the British state and system:
undefeated, unoccupied and victorious. Some other states had not emerged quite so
triumphantly but nevertheless had not endured the horrors of Germany or France. They
too, therefore, were reluctant to accept that the days of the state were numbered. Indeed,
in Ireland the political leadership basically argued that they had not striven for 700 years
to gain independence to give it up to a European federation. There were divisions then
over the nature of any new organisations in Western Europe, especially where the power
of decision was to lie, and over whether these organisations were to help the state provide
for its citizens in a traditional manner, or were to replace the existing system of states
with a kind of United States of Europe along federal or quasi-federal lines. This is not the
place to give a detailed history of each separate organisation or to describe its
organisational structure, but Box 10.3 provides an overview of them.
attempt to co-
ordinate economic
policies
• Promotion of trade
and currency
liberalisation
• Economic
development
• Promotion of
productivity
Council of 1949– 10 • Facilitate greater
Europe unity
• Promote spiritual
and moral values
• Facilitate social
progress
• Uphold principles
of parliamentary
democracy, rule of
law and respect for
human rights
• Mirror of NATO
• Immediate response to FRG
membership of NATO
COMECON 1949– 6 • Response to OEEC
91
• Attempt to impose Soviet
economic control
• Uniting efforts of members
• Economic development
• Advances in welfare
CSCE/OSCE 1975– 35
94
OSCE 1995– 53 (but • Indivisibility of security
Yugoslavia • Inviolable but non-
suspended) immutable frontiers
• Sets norms of behaviour
• 3’baskets’:
• security, arms control and
confidence-building
measures
• economic, scientific and
technological co-operation
human rights, rights to self-
determination and
humanitarian concerns
REVOLUTION
In 1989 the whole European system, which had endured for about forty years, was shaken
by the revolution which swept through Eastern and Central Europe and which by the end
of 1991 had even claimed the very existence of the Soviet Union and of communism as a
political and socio-economic system in Europe. The impact of this was direct in ending
the military and ideological division in Europe. Very rapidly the military arm of the
Soviet Union’s control of its former satellites was dissolved, first with the formal
dissolution of the military structures of the Warsaw Pact at the end of March 1991 and
then political dissolution by March 1992. By 1994 all Russian troops (Russia having
become the successor to the Soviet Union’s international treaty commitments) had
departed from the former Pact territories. The members of the parallel Council for Mutual
Economic Assistance (COMECON/CMEA) accepted that economic disentanglement
would be difficult given the degree of economic interdependence and indeed dependence
that had been created over the previous forty years, and initially proposed a two-year
interim body. Nevertheless, given the very rapid speed of developments in June 1991, it
Europe and European integration 233
was resolved to wind up COMECON, and this was formally brought about in September
1991. Much to many people’s surprise, by the end of that year the Soviet Union itself had
collapsed, leaving the residual Russia as the successor state but with the constituent
republics of the former Soviet Union all becoming independent states. Developments had
been even speedier in the case of the divided Germany.
• On 7 October 1989 the East German regime had celebrated the fortieth
anniversary of its coming to power;
• by the end of the month their long-term leader (Erich Honecker) had been
ousted;
• on 9 November the Berlin Wall, the physical and symbolic monument to the
division of Germany and Europe, was dismantled by the people;
• on 31 August 1990 the Treaty of Union was signed by representatives of the
two Germanies;
• on 12 September the Treaty on the Final Settlement with respect to
Germany was signed by leaders of the four occupying powers and the two
Germanies;
• and on 3 October German unification by the accession of the five Eastern
Lander (regions of the former DDR) to the Federal Republic of Germany
took place.
It is worth noting that the German developments were not as orderly as the summary in
Box 10.4 suggests and few were able to anticipate or foresee what would happen months
or even weeks ahead. This is epitomised by the agreement of the Soviets in the Treaty on
the Final Settlement with respect to Germany (Article 6) that the new Germany had the
right to belong to any alliances it wished, including NATO, something that would not
have been countenanced even in the spring of 1990.
The seismic consequences of these developments, which are still reverberating, cannot
be overstated, and these developments required both other states in Europe and the
existing Western institutions to reappraise their own policies and, in the case of the
institutions, to reappraise their functions and raisons d’être. It is important to note,
however, that in this reappraisal neither states nor institutions were starting from a blank
sheet of paper: structures, obligations, habits and working practices were often firmly
entrenched, making it difficult for radical thinking to take place. One example of this was
the continued reservations about ‘Germany’ and its possible future intentions and power;
another was the widely shared view that the United States’ presence in Europe and
NATO continued to be the basis of European security. Therefore, rather than a swathe of
new institutions, the 1990s saw the existing institutions in Europe competing for roles
and continued viability, including in this process sometimes radical transformations of
their remit and organisation. This rethinking went on against the background of the
disintegration of Yugoslavia from 1990 onwards and the Gulf crisis and war of 1990–1.
Issues in international relations 234
NATO ADAPTATIONS
NATO’s adjustment, which at times became embroiled with discussions about the future
of the European Community, took three forms:
• Reform of its strategy and tactics, so that while it remained focused on providing for
the territorial defence of its members, it gradually moved to smaller, more mobile,
multinational and versatile forces, with scaled-down states of readiness and a reduced
nuclear force; and thought of ‘risks’ rather than ‘threats’.
• Extending the hand of consultation and co-operation to its former adversaries from the
Warsaw Pact, a development which was to see the creation of the North Atlantic Co-
operation Council, Partnership for Peace and the move towards admitting three of
these states into NATO itself by 1999, with others to follow.
• The move into supporting the crisis-management and peace-keeping aspirations of the
United Nations and the (O)CSCE, particularly with respect to the former Yugoslavia.
For boxes with information on NATO see Boxes 3.4 and 3.5, and especially
Boxes 3.6 and 3.7 above.
OSCE
The Conference on Security and Co-operation in Europe (CSCE), which between 1975
and 1990 had been no more that a peripatetic international conference, also reformed
itself, starting with a summit meeting in Paris in November 1990. This led to a modest
institutionalisation of the CSCE (it becoming the OSCE in January 1995). More
importantly, the CSCE/OSCE built upon its norm/value setting functions which had been
established in the Helsinki Final Act of 1975 and transformed itself into a body able to:
• legitimise actions by others as a regional organisation for Europe under the UN;
• involve itself in conflict prevention and crisis management;
• contribute to a series of ‘confidence and security-building’ measures in Europe;
• play a more important role in norm and value setting, seeking to establish throughout
Europe what was acceptable and non-acceptable behaviour by states in both their
international relations and in the treatment of their own citizens in the area of human
rights.
Europe and European integration 235
Pluses Minuses
pan-European too broad and
unwieldy
consensus or consensus too many rivals
minus one
US/Russia both in difficult to achieve
crisis prevention and agreement
management
norm setting different agendas
confidence and security- no forces of own
building
measures (CSBMs)
THE WEU
A third body, the Western European Union (WEU), also had to adjust, but to some extent
it has been even less in control of its own destiny than other European institutions, largely
because it became caught up in the disputes about the relative roles of NATO and the
European Community/Union’s attempt to evolve a common foreign and security policy,
including a common defence policy. Put another way, the question became that of the
primacy of NATO or an EC/EU alternative becoming the basis of an embryonic and
relatively independent European security and defence identity that would be relatively
independent of the United States. In 1990–1 in the context of NATO’s review of its
position and the European Community’s Intergovernmental Conference on Political
Union, which concluded in Maastricht in December 1991, these issues were fiercely
debated, although it must be said not fully resolved. It was rather ambiguously agreed
that the WEU was an integral component of both the new European Union and NATO,
although as will be seen below the EU did contract out to the WEU decisions with
defence implications.
Issues in international relations 236
The WEU not only had a new relationship with the EU, but offered Observer status to
Ireland, Greece and Denmark (and later Austria, Finland and Sweden), that is, those EU
member states that did not wish to become fully involved in an automatic defensive
commitment, as represented in the founding treaty of the WEU, the Brussels Treaty of
1948 (as amended in 1954). European NATO states not in the EU were offered Associate
status (Norway, Turkey and Iceland). Neither Observer nor Associate status involved the
states in a military guarantee or commitment. More dramatically, in 1992 the members of
the WEU at Petersberg (near Bonn) decided to strengthen the WEU’s operational role
and planning capability and to take responsibility for what became known as the
Petersberg tasks: humanitarian and rescue tasks, peace-keeping tasks and tasks for
combat forces in crisis management, including peace-making. They offered former
Warsaw Pact adversaries consultation rights and took this further in the Kirchberg
Declaration of 1994, which offered these states the position of ‘Associate Partners’. The
position and role of the WEU became issues again in the second EC/EU
Intergovernmental Conference of the 1990s, that of 1996–7, which culminated in the
Treaty of Amsterdam, to be discussed below.
Europe and European integration 237
COUNCIL OF EUROPE
A further body in Europe, the Council of Europe, was not as radically changed by the
upheavals in Eastern Europe in 1989–91 as one might have expected although its
membership substantially increased to forty. The Council of Europe had been created in
1949 as a beacon for liberal, democratic values in a world recovering from the atrocities
of the Second World War, where anything seemed to go, and in an era when the great
ideological contest was that between two alternative value systems: Western liberal
democracy versus Soviet communist totalitarianism. It had also been created at a time
when some hoped it would be the foundation for a kind of United States of Europe, an
aspiration blighted by those states referred to above as not willing to see radical solutions
to the problems facing Europe in the period 1945–9. Instead of being given specific real
powers in a limited field, the Council was given a wide remit—almost everything apart
from defence—but no real decision-making power, since all its decisions required
unanimity on the part of its members. Even if some agreed to proceed on their own in
certain areas, that agreement only affected those states that had signed up. Thus in the
period 1949–89 the Council of Europe had provided a useful forum for the states of
Western Europe to meet and to agree a number of useful if not earth-shattering
conventions. Its outstanding contribution was in the field of human rights, particularly the
Convention for the Protection of Human Rights and Fundamental Freedoms (ECHR),
originally signed in November 1950. The Convention and subsequent protocols, albeit
with a number of exceptions, laid down a number of rights and freedoms for individuals,
such as:
• freedom from torture or inhuman or degrading treatment, slavery and compulsory
labour;
• the right to a fair and public hearing and the presumption of innocence; and
• respect for privacy.
Importantly, the Convention also provided for a machinery and procedures to enable
individuals to take action, even against their own governments. It is perhaps not
surprising that it is in the area of values that the Council has tried to make its mark in the
1990s, and to some extent membership of the Council has become a symbol of
Issues in international relations 238
acceptance by the European community of states that a state meets certain liberal
democratic standards. In Vienna in 1993, for example, the Council determined that
applications presupposed: the principles of democracy, the rule of law, respect for human
rights, free and fair elections with universal suffrage, guaranteed freedom of expression,
the protection of national minorities, observance of international laws and acceptance of
the European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR). A year later they added the
requirements that the national territory of a member had to lie wholly or partly in Europe
and the culture had to be European.
In the 1990s the Council has faced the problem of being squeezed by an enlarging EU
and by the OSCE taking an interest in a variety of human rights to do with national
minorities and so on. In its desire to establish its importance, the Council gradually
extended its membership to forty by 1998, but controversially this includes the Russian
Federation despite reservations about a number of aspects of its policy, and especially
reservations about the way it had sought to put down the rebellion against its authority in
Chechnya in the mid-1990s.
Nevertheless, values have been important, with the suspension of Greece and Turkey at
various times because of military rule. Similarly, Portugal and Spain were not allowed
membership until the changes in their regimes in 1974 and 1975, respectively.
Apart from NATO the most important European organisation for most of the post-war
period and in the 1990s has been the European Community (since November 1993, the
European Union (EU)), and the rest of this chapter will focus on it and the nature of, and
progress towards, European integration.
The very structure of the European Union created by the Treaty on European Union
(TEU) of 1992 embodies compromises about the nature, scope and future of European
integration. In the EU this is seen, for example, in the pillar structure.
The first pillar of the EU is the EC pillar. Officially there were three treaties founding
three European communities in the 1950s. The 1951 Paris Treaty founded the European
Coal and Steel Community (ECSC), which began work in 1952. The two separate
Treaties of Rome, both signed in March 1957, established the European Economic
Community (EEC) and the European Atomic Energy Community (Euratom), which both
began work in 1958. In 1965 the Merger Treaty amalgamated the institutions, but the
three Communities were still legally distinct. That remains the position legally, although
Europe and European integration 239
the singular ‘European Community’ (EC) is almost always used, unless there is a specific
legal reason for not doing so.
The European Community comprises institutionally, most importantly: the European
Commission, the Council of Ministers, the European Parliament and the European Court
of Justice. The TEU also elevated the Court of Auditors to equal rank with these four.
The Commission
There are twenty Commissioners, one from each of the ten smaller states and two each
from France, Germany, Italy, the UK and Spain. Members of the Commission are
appointed for five-year terms.
This group of twenty is supposed to have a collegiate nature, reflecting the view that
together the Commissioners represent the vanguard of the European idea. The unity of
the Commission is reflected in the fact that officially the Commission acts and speaks
with one voice. All Commissioners are technically responsible for Commission work;
since the Commission is regarded as a college, proposals are made and decisions taken in
its collective name. This college of twenty sits on top of a larger organisation, employing
another 2,000 individuals as policy-makers and about another 10,000 in secretarial,
interpreting and translating functions, and so on. The Commission as a whole is divided
into twenty-three Directorates-General (DGs, as they are known) plus technical and legal
services. The DGs are the hub of the Commission’s and hence the Community’s
administration and the source of most proposals. Some are famous and powerful, such as
DG VI—Agriculture, appearing to operate almost as separate fiefdoms. Each
Commissioner is responsible for one or more DGs, but is aided in this task by a Director-
General, who is the permanent ‘civil servant’ head of the DG. There are a number of
ways of describing the Commission’s key roles but perhaps four definitions encapsulate
its responsibilities:
• To act as the conscience of the Community and Union; to embody and promote the
mystique of the European vocation and to remind member states of their obligations
and commitments.
• To act as the guardian of the treaties in the first instance and to ensure similarly in the
first instance that the law and decisions of the Community are adhered to, although the
European Court of Justice is the final arbiter.
• To act as the executive of the Community with regard to implementing decisions
reached by the Council of Ministers. The Commission also has to apply particular
rules and funds: for example, with regard to the Common Agricultural Policy.
• To act as the initiator of Community policy and law, since, except in truly exceptional
cases, the member states acting in their forum, the Council, cannot make decisions
Issues in international relations 240
unless there is a Commission proposal. This is the central power of the Commission and
the one which it has fought most tenaciously to preserve. It allows the Commission to
set the terms and parameters of debate and the agenda for the Community. However, a
real constraint is that the Commission will act with regard to its anticipation of the
likely acceptability of its proposals to the member states, since it is they who have the
power of decision.
Twenty members:
Conscience+Guardian+Executive+Initiator
The Council
That power is exercised in the Council of Ministers, which is composed of the most
appropriate minister from each member state, depending on the topic to be discussed; a
representative of the Commission is also present but has no vote. The Council is the
central legislative point in the system; it makes Community law and as long as it has
acted according to the treaties, its decisions can be binding upon and directly applicable in
the member states: that is, they do not require to be ratified by the national parliaments
but have direct effect.
This becomes particularly important given that increasingly the Council can take
decisions by a majority or qualified-majority vote. While it was always intended that
member states would retain the veto for some sensitive issues, in recent years the states
have agreed to expand the areas where voting is possible. When this occurs the votes are
weighted. However, despite the possibility of voting, in many cases the member states
prefer to act on the basis of unanimity or consensus, even where the treaty would allow
for a vote.
References to ‘the Council’ often go beyond the formal Council of Ministers to embrace
the European Council (comprising heads of state or government) and the complex system
Europe and European integration 241
of committees and working parties that operate under the Council to prepare its meetings
and to seek to establish areas of agreement, the most senior of which is the Committee of
Permanent Representatives (COREPER). The European Council was invented as a
biannual meeting of the top political leaders in each member state to allow them to
provide a sense of momentum, direction and dynamism to the Community. Although on
occasion it has provided these inputs, more usually the meetings have become bogged
down in detail, such as deciding on the president of the new European Central Bank.
Since the formation of the European Union, the European Council also has the function
of trying to keep the different pillars and strands of the Union together.
European Council
Council (of Ministers)
Coreper (Committee of Permanent
Representatives)
Working groups/parties
626
MEPs
Powers: budgetary
+ censure and dismissal of Commission
+ assent to enlargement and some international agreements
+ legislative role: in some cases merely ‘consultation’; in
other cases ‘co-decision’ with Council
• decisions must be unanimous, all member states must agree and if one does
not then nothing is agreed; there is no voting
• the role of the Commission and Parliament becomes marginal and the
European Court of Justice plays no (or no significant) role.
The pillar structure was all that could be agreed in the early 1990s and as will be seen
below the second examination of the structures and working of the system in 1996–7
produced very little significant change.
If the goal was clear, the implementation and achievement of it have not been
straightforward. There has been a tendency, with hindsight, to see the progression from
ECSC to EEC to customs union to single internal market to European Union to economic
and monetary union as somehow inexorable and progressing in a steady path towards a
predetermined goal. It has not been like that:
• The Council of Europe in 1949 had already demonstrated a fatal compromise between
Britain and supporters of a strong central decision-making authority.
• The European Defence Community Treaty signed in 1952 was not ratified.
• The negotiations for the Treaty of Rome in 1957 were difficult with no certainty of
success.
• Certain problems were only resolved at the very last minute in March 1957.
• President de Gaulle of France twice vetoed enlargement (1963 and 1967, with
particular reference to Britain and direct impact upon the other applicants: Denmark,
Ireland and Norway) and caused the biggest constitutional crisis in the European
Community/Union’s history in 1965 when France began its ‘empty chair’ strategy of
absenting itself from key meetings of the premier decision-making body and
challenged the whole institutional set-up.
• In June 1992 the Danes put the whole movement towards European Union in jeopardy
when they initially rejected the Treaty on European Union by referendum (a decision
they reversed a year later).
This suggests that while there are and have been pressures for more integration there have
also been pressures in the other direction. In the 1990s there have been and are
differences of opinion about:
• The internal arrangements of the European Union; fundamentally about the point of
Europe and European integration 245
decision and where should power lie—disputes about the institutional power of the EU’s
central institutions and about the relationship between those institutions and the
member states.
• While ‘partners’ in the EU, the member states are also economic rivals both on the
world stage and in terms of competition within the European market and this causes
them on occasion to seek to construct, define and implement policies to their own
advantage. A good example is the rivalry and bitter antagonism that have been
generated between British and Spanish fishery fleets.
• From the beginning there have been disputes about ‘Who pays?’ Initially the Federal
Republic of Germany was more or less willing to pay more than might have been
expected but there have always been arguments about ‘winners and losers’. With
British entry this became a problem made famous by Mrs Thatcher’s handbag as she
fought to reclaim ‘our money’, a battle which took five years to resolve. The issue has
come to the fore again with the prospect of enlargement to include six new states who
will all be a drain on Union’s budget and the German disinclination to pay
disproportionately.
• Divergences also arise because of geography, and not just because Britain and Ireland
are islands. As the Community/Union enlarges, the divergence of interests and
concerns between, say, Austria, Greece and Sweden, given their different geopolitical
positions, also becomes an issue as tension increases between, say, a Mediterranean
orientation and an orientation towards Central Europe; not to mention particular local
issues such as Greece’s concerns with Turkey.
• These concerns are exacerbated by differences of historical experience: imperial
Britain, Belgium, the Netherlands, Portugal and France compared to the experience of
Ireland; the different experiences between 1939 and 1945—France, Belgium and the
Netherlands routed in days, Germany and Italy defeated, Britain triumphant and
Sweden and Ireland as non-participants. There are also differences with respect to
republics/ monarchies and church/state relations depending upon the divergent
historical experiences and socio-cultural traditions.
• These issues have profoundly affected attitudes to national identity and perceptions of
the nature of sovereignty; not least, for example, in German attitudes to the importance
of the stability of their currency, given the ravages inflicted by inflation in the 1920s
and early 1930s and the connections between that and the rise of the Nazi Party. It is
commonly accepted that there is a link between Britain’s wartime experiences and its
subsequent attitude to European integration.
• These divergences partly came home to roost in the problematic ratification of the
Maastricht Treaty (Treaty on European Union 1992) in 1992–3 with particular and to
some extent divergent difficulties in Denmark, France, Britain and Germany. This
trend carried over into the second Intergovernmental Conference of the 1990s in 1996–
7 and into the debate about the composition of and nature of economic and monetary
union which has occupied so much political time and energy in the late 1990s.
These divergences can be illustrated by two conflicting views as to the nature of the
enterprise upon which Europeans were embarked. Mrs Thatcher in 1988 gave as her first
guiding principle for the future of Europe:
Issues in international relations 246
willing and active co-operation between independent sovereign states is the best
way to build a successful European Community…[instead of concentrating]
power at the centre of a European conglomerate… working together does not
require power to be centralised in Brussels or decisions to be taken by an
appointed bureaucracy.
(Salmon and Nicoll 1997:208–14)
This contrasted rather starkly with the declarations issued by supporters of federalism in
The Hague in 1948, which argued it was:
the urgent duty of the nations of Europe to create an economic and political
union in order to secure security and social progress… European nations must
transfer and merge some portion of their sovereign rights so as to secure
common political and economic action for the integration and proper
development of their common resources…[must] bring about the necessary
economic and political union of Europe.
(Salmon and Nicoll 1997:34–5)
Hiccups Progress
Council of Europe compromise mission/ideal
de Gaulle’s veto and ‘empty chair’ economies of scale spill-over
policy
Maastricht ratification problems desire to wield power and
influence
arguments re where power should lie desire for ‘European security
and defence identily’
economic rivals German question solution
who pays? it has worked and developed
habits and structures
growing heterogeneity magnet effect
differences of attitude to identity, common inheritance and
sovereignty and historical experience victory of ideology
collaboration vs. integration tension
But, as noted above, the pressures have not all been one-way. There have been and are
pressures towards further integration:
• There remains a strong, though perhaps declining, sense of mission or commitment to
the ‘ideal’ of European integration as a vehicle for resolving issues of peace and war,
an ideal reinforced by the too-close-to-home experiences of the Yugoslav horrors of
war in the 1990s.
• There is continuing, perhaps even growing, awareness of the potential economies of
Europe and European integration 247
scale if European enterprises can work together, a sentiment reinforced by the concerns
about European competitiveness in the world economy—concerns which prompted the
movement towards the single internal market between 1985 and 1992 (and beyond as
the single internal market still needs to be completed in some areas) and the European
Commission to publish a White Paper in 1994 on ‘Growth, Competitiveness,
Employment: The Challenges and Ways Forward into the Twenty-first Century’.
• Whatever the reservations about inexorability, it can be observed that there has been
spill-over in both the economic and political areas since the foundation of the ECSC by
the Treaty of Paris in 1951: there has been movement from the original coal and steel
foundation to a wide range of Community/Union competencies, ranging from
economic concerns with employment, the single market and economic and monetary
union and a range of specific policy areas such as agriculture and transport, as well as
funding for a series of measures to bring about economic and social cohesion, to
educational exchange schemes, to co-operating in foreign and security policy (the
Common Foreign and Security Policy) and to co-operation in the fields of Justice and
Home Affairs. This spill-over has occurred partly because it has been discovered that
to perform adequately in one area of activity requires involvement in adjacent areas—
for example, rationalisation of the coal and steel industries led to concerns about
retraining, as do concerns about the EU’s competitive position υis-à-υis the rest of the
world. There has also been the feature that some policies that might have been deemed
‘domestic’ have had significant external implications. Most notably this has proved to
be true of the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) since the USA has perceived it to be
very protectionist and harmful to American interests and this has spilled over into other
aspects of American relations with some European states.
• It must also be remembered that one of the founding motivations for the EEC was a
concern that a Western Europe fragmented in political and security terms would be
unable to exercise real power in an international environment apparently dominated by
the United States and the Soviet Union. Although the geopolitical environment has
changed, the basis of this concern has remained significant and has been an important
motivation behind the initial development of European political co-operation (the
attempt to co-ordinate the member states’ foreign policies between 1970 and 1993) and
the post-1993 development of the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP).
• This too has been reinforced not only by economic tensions between the United States
and the members of the EU, but by the growing political distance that has developed in
the last twenty years (although this is very much a relative development and the
relations through NATO are still close). Following the Vietnam War debacle, the
forced resignation of President Nixon in 1974 because of perceived unlawful activities,
and the presidency of Jimmy Carter, which was perceived as ineffective, vacillating
and weak, Europeans increasingly lost confidence in American leadership and wisdom.
In addition, as they have regained their strength since 1945 and more recently as the
threat posed by the Soviet Empire and its perceived ambitions has disappeared, there
has been increasing questioning of American hegemony. Fundamentally, the question
being increasingly asked is what do Europeans and Americans have in common?
• A further pressure for unity is the so-called ‘German question’. Part of the genius of
Jean Monnet, to a large extent the ‘brains’ behind the European Community approach
Issues in international relations 248
and the originator of the Schumann proposals of 1950, was to recognise that the
traditional methods of trying to deal with the relationship between France and
Germany had failed—in 1870, 1914 and 1939—and in the aftermath of these events in
trying to secure the peace. He therefore proposed that instead of Germany being treated
unilaterally or being required to face singular restrictions on its activities, it should
only be required to forego what France and other states were willing to forego: that is,
Germany would give up as much sovereignty in the same areas as other Western
European states, most notably France. With the unification of Germany in 1990 and the
emergence of a Germany that had a population of 79 million, compared to those of
France, Britain and Italy of 56 million, 57 million, and 58 million respectively, in
addition to its unique geopolitical position at the centre of Europe, the problem arose in
many minds of how to ensure the emergence of a ‘European Germany’ and not a
‘German Europe’—a concern that Chancellor Kohl of Germany appears to have shared
himself. The answer adopted, not least by a majority of mainstream German
politicians, was the Monnet solution—Germany would be tied into the European
integration movement via moves towards political, economic and monetary union. This
was a significant motive behind the Intergovernmental Conferences (IGCs) on these
topics in 1991, the second IGC in 1996–7, and the political determination to press
ahead with economic and monetary union in 1997–8, despite a number of economic
doubts.
• It is also the case that a powerful factor working for integration in the 1990s was the
record of achievement of the Six (1951–73), the Nine (1973–81), the Ten (1981–6) the
Twelve (1986–95) and the Fifteen (1995–). Despite the internal criticisms, the
European integration experiment has shown that such a system can work institutionally
and it can be argued that it has played a major role in the economic reconstruction and
rejuvenation of the member states.
• Moreover, as the stream of third parties that expressed an interest in joining or having
some other relationship with the EC/EU continued to expand, it was clear that in the
world at large the EC/EU was and is a pole of attraction and is often seen as an
economic giant, if not always so powerful in other areas of activity.
• Finally, there are the residual aspects of the shared inheritance intellectually, culturally
and philosophically; that is, the idea of a common heritage, a feature particularly of
liberal, pluralist, democratic and industrial Western Europe, all the more so since ‘the
West’ appeared to have won the Cold War and many believed the ideological
arguments associated with it. The ‘end of ideology’ was actually the victory of one
side.
These conflicting pressures, the individual significance of which waxed and waned over
the years, continued to have resonance in the debates about the nature and future of
European integration in the 1990s. There continued to be a continuum of views and a
range of possible decisions from the choices available.
In the early 1990s the European Community member states had tried to resolve many of
Europe and European integration 249
the issues confronting them in the Treaty on European Union (TEU). The treaty modified
the old European Community and added to that core two other distinct but parallel
organisational frameworks—the Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) system
and the system of ‘Co-operation in the fields of Justice and Home Affairs’ (JHA).
Together these three frameworks (in addition to the ECSC and Euratom, which are linked
to the EEC/EC through common institutions) were allegedly brought together in a single
institutional framework and these three ‘pillars’ together created the European Union.
The other main achievements of the TEU were:
• the delineation of a timetable and set of criteria for the membership of Economic and
Monetary Union (EMU) (of which more below);
• the introduction of a limited form of European citizenship;
• new powers for the European Community: a more active consumer-protection policy;
public health; visa policy; the establishment of trans-European transport,
telecommunications and energy networks; treaty provision for development co-
operation; industrial policy; education; culture; greater importance for environmental
protection; an increase in research and development;
• further progress on social policy (with the exception of the United Kingdom); and
• co-operation in the fields of the CFSP and JHA.
But, given the depth and range of their disagreements and in some cases the intractable
nature of the problems they faced, they were unable to resolve many of the central issues
by December 1991 and compromised in many areas by agreeing ambiguous statements
which could be interpreted differently by the different states. In other words, they were
condemned to return to many of the same issues again later in the decade, and indeed the
Treaty on European Union itself made provision for another IGC to examine how the
new European Union had performed and the extent to which the policies and structures
introduced by the TEU had worked.
Also relevant was that in 1991–2 they were aware of the likelihood of an enlargement to
bring into the EU some of the EFTA states—Austria, Finland and Sweden (which all
finally acceded to the EU in January 1995)—with talks also taking place with
Switzerland (which in effect ruled itself out in late 1992) and Norway (which rejected the
Issues in international relations 250
terms negotiated in a referendum in the autumn of 1994, just as it had in 1972). By the
mid-1990s and the second Intergovernmental Conference (IGC), it was clear that the
former members of COMECON and the newly liberated and independent states of the
Baltic area and Central and Eastern Europe (CEECs) were also seeking membership and
the Union would have to prepare itself for that eventuality. Indeed, the Union began to
make a clear link between preparations for the membership of other states and its own
internal development in the areas of reform of its decision-making systems and policy.
ANOTHER IGC
The Intergovernmental Conference of 1996–7, by its nature as an IGC, was about treaty
reform and therefore a number of controversial matters were not covered in that set of
negotiations, although they were very much part of the environment in which the
negotiations took place. These included: EMU, the ‘Growth, Competitiveness,
Employment’ White Paper, completion of the Single Internal Market (SIM), reform of
the Common Agricultural Policy (CAP) and a number of details with an impact on
enlargement, such as the reform of many of the EU’s funds, for example, the structural
funds. The negotiators were particularly mindful of the context of EMU and enlargement;
indeed, as the negotiations progressed to some extent senior figures were distracted by
the time and effort that had to be paid to the problems of the approaching EMU. The
negotiations saw the re-emergence of the differences over the scope, pace, objectives and
methods of integration, and the 1996 IGC dragged on to become the 1996–7 IGC,
concluding in Amsterdam in June 1997 with the draft treaty being signed at the beginning
of October 1997. Even after the negotiations and signing the treaty still faced the test of
ratification, which could not be assumed after the rough ride the TEU received in 1992,
although most commentators would agree that there was little of substance in the Treaty
of Amsterdam and certainly no new initiatives on the scale of EMU, CFSP or JHA. One
of the reasons for the modest results of the IGC was that, as with any international treaty,
it was the result of a negotiating process and in the case of the EU any treaty reform
requires the unanimous consent of all member states, some even requiring that the
changes be approved by referendums.
In the negotiations the general issues were:
• Questions remaining about the general direction of the EU and whether it was still
about the The Hague or Schumann dream or whether Mrs Thatcher’s practical and
limited agendas had acquired more legitimacy, despite her own departure from the
political scene. This debate, as with many others, had taken on a slightly different form
by 1996–7, but still remained at the heart of many disputes.
• A series of questions about how to organise the EU, especially in terms of the
institutional balance between:
• the EU institutions themselves; and
• the EU and the member states, in effect the recurring argument about how much
independent power an independent European body, the Commission, should have
over policy decisions and the way forward for the Union as a whole, and how much
Europe and European integration 251
power over what matters should reside with the member states.
• The function and power of individual institutions, especially whether the European
Parliament should become co-equal with governments in legislative decision-making
and whether the European Court of Justice had become too powerful and too prone to
making and interpreting law rather than administering the law as laid down by the
member states through the processes of the EU.
• Arguments about striking the right balance between efficiency and democracy and
transparency in decision-making, especially given that a gap in democratic
accountability had arisen because national parliaments were deemed to have lost power
to Brussels, the home of the EU, but there had not been sufficient parliamentary
compensation at the European level.
• A fundamental dispute over whether more decisions should be made by the system of
voting known as ‘qualified majority voting’, when some member states on some issues
could suffer decisions being taken which became law in their own states although they
opposed the measure.
• Continuing arguments about whether the ‘pillar’ structure agreed in the TEU was
appropriate, and whether some functions in the very inter-governmental pillar of JHA,
that is, where decisions still required the consent of all member states, might be
transferred to the European Community pillar, allowing a greater role for the
independent European Commission and on some issues the possibility of some
majority voting.
• Within the CFSP and JHA pillars themselves there were also important differences that
needed to be resolved, such as the continuing issues of whether the European Union
should become directly involved in defence tasks, and if it did, what should they be in
the first instance, and what should its relationship to NATO and the WEU be? Indeed,
some argued very strongly that the WEU should be incorporated into the European
Union itself.
• A further issue, again not new but emerging in a slightly different form, was whether
the EC/EU was fundamentally a Europe for business focusing on such issues as the
Issues in international relations 252
single internal market and EMU, or whether there should be a more direct connection
with the everyday lives and concerns of the people of Europe, in other words a
‘citizens’’ or ‘social’ Europe. This had become an issue because of the high levels of
unemployment the EU was suffering in the mid- to late 1990s and an increasing sense
that there appeared to be little connection between what went on in the Union and what
mattered to individuals. This issue had taken on a new emphasis with the apparent
apathy or even antagonism manifested towards Europe in the TEU ratification saga and
in declining turnouts for the direct elections to the European Parliament. In the TEU
the issue had been partly addressed by the inclusion of a ‘Social Chapter’ at the end of
the treaty and in an arrangement which applied to all the member states save Britain.
The Social Chapter, which touched on working conditions, workers’ health and safety,
the consultation of workers, and equality between men and women, was regarded as a
threat to competitiveness in the world economy by the British. In May 1997, with a
new Labour government in Britain, British policy changed and that chapter is now
included within the EU’s remit. In the 1996–7 IGC the concerns about a social,
‘caring’ Europe were manifested through proposals for the introduction into the treaties
of an ‘Employment’ Chapter.
AMSTERDAM
Pluses Minuses
Employment title just rhetoric
all sign up to Social Chapter but many escape clauses
‘area of freedom, security and any more than words?
justice’
only the minimum change agreed
CFSP improvements but very limited in scope and
insufficient for enlargement
more co-decision for EP and Flexibility could end unity and
more QMV in Council cohesion
Flexibility to allow progress
For all this, Amsterdam produced a very modest result and failed to address a number of
issues:
• Its decision-making changes were so limited that the Union remains unprepared for a
planned enlargement to twenty-one member states, the existing members having been
unable to agree to radical changes: to the composition of the Commission’s
membership; to the weighting of votes in the Council of Ministers when it is a matter
subject to qualified majority voting; and to the vexed question of a significant
reduction in the areas where member states have a legally and treaty-enshrined right to
veto proposed measures and actions of which they disapprove.
• The progress on social and employment issues was very limited, making action still
dependent on the consensus of all member states; in other words, much of the progress
in the social and citizens’ Europe areas is largely rhetoric.
• Flexibility, while it may allow a repeat of the Six experience, where a group of
European states decided no longer to allow themselves to be held hostage by Britain
and decided that they would be a role model and pathfinder to others, may also be an
implicit confirmation that the EU is no longer on a path whereby it is seeking to create
a unified, collective, coherent, political and socio-economic identity, even a kind of
United States of Europe, but will become increasingly fragmented as states begin to
pick and choose those activities that they will or will not become involved in—an à la
carte Europe, not a federal or unified Europe. This does not appear to be the current
intention, but the opt-outs granted already on the third stage of EMU and the Social
Chapter, and the new opt-outs on complete and genuine freedom of movement for
citizens, have already put down markers; it would be strange if at a later date and on
other issues other member states did not make use of these precedents, especially in
the context of the next enlargement significantly increasing the heterogeneity of the
member states.
It should just be noted that reform is difficult because an IGC treaty reform requires the
Europe and European integration 255
unanimous consent of all the existing member states. In 1997 this was fifteen, and as
discussed above they are not in agreement on a number of fundamentals. It should also be
noted that the outcome of the IGC was negotiated so not all states achieved all that they
wished, individual states had to decide in which areas they were willing to compromise
and which not, and where the point of acceptable compromise was, and the final text is
inelegant and esoteric precisely because it was not written by one hand but as the
evolving outcome of many hands over an eighteen-month period. In addition, all
participants were mindful of the 1992 difficulties and had to be aware of what their
parliaments, people and, in the German case, their Constitutional Court would accept.
WIDER ISSUES
It was noted earlier that the IGC could only focus on some issues while others were
formally outwith its remit. Those issues were ironically in some cases more likely to have
far-reaching consequences for the long-term future of the EU than the IGC itself. Three
in particular can be identified: EMU, enlargement and the consequent reforms of policies
and funds in connection with enlargement.
Economic and Monetary Union had been on the agenda of the EC at least since The
Hague summit of December 1969 when it was agreed to work out a plan ‘with a view to
the creation of an economic and monetary union’. Initial responsibility for that was given
to the Luxembourg Prime Minister Pierre Werner, who in October 1970 produced the
report. In 1972 a target of 1980 for the completion of EMU was set, although the Werner
Report was never officially endorsed in respect of ways and means, and the project failed
to get off the ground. Many, however, continued to see EMU as a concomitant to the
Common Market which had been successfully created. With increasing turbulence in the
world economy and currency markets following problems for the dollar in 1971 and the
oil and energy crises of 1973–4, by the end of the decade many were ready to return to
the subject because of the pursuit of monetary stability and to give renewed impetus, after
the problems of stagnation in the 1970s, to the European enterprise. The result was the
European Monetary System of 1979 and within that context the creation of the Exchange
Rate Mechanism (ERM), a scheme to limit the value fluctuation of participating
currencies against each other. Despite some initial difficulties, EMS/ERM worked
relatively well, and this gave cause to revisit the possibilities of going further, especially
because in the Single European Act of 1986 it had been agreed to bring into being a
single internal market by the end of 1992 and many believed that for that market to be
effective and to be truly single a single currency and other aspects of EMU were required.
Another motivation was the perceived need to provide the European cause with
Issues in international relations 256
momentum towards integration and EMU was seen as being important not just for
technical reasons to do with its primary function but equally, if not more so, for its
political significance.
In June 1988 at Hanover the European Council (the meeting of the top political
leadership of the member states) decided to ask another committee to examine the means
of achieving EMU, leading to the Delors Report of 1989 which set out three stages that
were required to bring it about. At the meeting which discussed this report the member
states agreed to an IGC to amend the European Economic Community treaty to take
account of the requirements of creating an EMU. This IGC took place in 1991 and
produced the relevant parts of the TEU. Without going into economic and monetary
detail, two key points about the TEU arrangement have been particularly important: first,
the TEU laid down a timetable by which the three stages were to be completed and by
which certain key decisions were to be made; and second, it laid down a number of so-
called convergence criteria that the states had to meet to be eligible for participation in
the third and final stage of the process. As the timetable deadlines approached,
particularly in relation to which states would meet the convergence criteria, there was
much speculation that the timetable would be allowed to slip, but 1997 saw enormous
political investment in changing perceptions and attitudes, and it came to be regarded as
absolutely crucial to the credibility of the EU that EMU was launched on schedule on 1
January 1999. A matter of somewhat greater controversy was that of which states were
able to meet the convergence criteria and whether those criteria should be interpreted
strictly or with a degree of flexibility, it being believed that that decision would have an
enormous bearing on the whole credibility of the new system and its prospects for
success, as well as being important in reassuring the German public that their currency,
albeit in another guise, was soundly based. The convergence criteria are set out in Box
10.22.
Europe and European integration 257
• price stability, with inflation being no worse than 1.5 per cent than the
average of the best three performing states
• a public deficit of no more than 3 per cent of gross domestic product (GDP)
or total government debt not exceeding 60 per cent of GDP
• limited fluctuation of exchange rates, only within a 2.25 per cent margin,
and no devaluation of a putative member’s currency for at least two years
• interest rates for a two-year period not in excess of two percentage points
higher than the average of the best three states
Several states experienced great difficulty in reaching these criteria; some appear to have
resorted to creative accounting to make their figures match the appropriate targets and
others have had to change significantly their public expenditure plans to achieve the
targets, a consequence of which has been increased unemployment and unpopularity both
for governments and the EU. Nevertheless, in 1998 it was agreed that eleven states met
the criteria: Greece did not and three (Britain, Denmark and Sweden) declared their
unwillingness to enter the new arrangements at that time.
Another big issue surrounding the IGC, Amsterdam and the whole future of the EU in
the period 1997–2007 was that of enlargement. Enlargement is not a new phenomenon
for the EC/EU—it was enlarged in 1973, 1981, 1986 and 1995, but the next enlargements
are generally regarded as qualitatively different because of the number of states and the
challenge that their entry will pose both to them and the Union.
As the 1995 enlargement was being negotiated, Poland and Hungary both applied for
membership, and they were followed by applications from the other Eastern and Central
European states (Romania, Bulgaria, the Czech Republic, Slovenia and Slovakia) and the
Baltic states (Estonia, Latvia and Lithuania). Applications had already been received
from Malta, Cyprus and Turkey. As early as June 1993 in Copenhagen the EC had
declared that it was ready to consider applications if the applicants were able to ‘assume
the obligations of membership by satisfying the economic and political conditions
required’ (Bulletin of the European Communities, 6–1996). It went further and said that
the following conditions had to be met by applicants:
• stability of institutions guaranteeing democracy, the rule of law, human rights and
respect for and protection of minorities;
• the existence of a functioning market economy as well as the capacity to cope with
competitive pressure and market forces within the Union;
• the ability to take on the obligations of membership, including adherence to the aims of
political, economic and monetary union.
In addition, it has been made clear that the applicants need to be able to meet and fulfil
the so-called acquis communautaire, namely to accept all the decisions of the EC/EU
since their inception. While there could be long periods of transition, the applicants
Issues in international relations 258
would have to accept what not all current members agreed to during the 1990s era of
flexibility.
Meeting these requirements will not be at all easy for the applicants, and indeed in mid-
July 1997 the Commission gave its view (aυis) on the ability of the various applicants to
meet the criteria set out earlier and issued independent opinions on each (Turkey, Cyprus
and Malta having already been assessed). The Commission concluded as a result of
detailed analysis that accession negotiations should begin with the Czech Republic,
Estonia, Hungary, Poland and Slovenia, the member states having already agreed to open
talks with Cyprus six months after the signing of the Amsterdam Treaty in October 1997.
It was made clear that there would have to be extensive negotiations and it cannot be
taken for granted that these negotiations will be successful, that all the states offered
accession will accept, or that there will not be unexpected developments before 2007. In
addition, the Commission issued ‘Agenda 2000’, which sought to identify the challenges
facing the Union in terms of its policies and enlargement. Agenda 2000 gave some
indication of the size of the adjustments that will be necessary, and these are outlined in
Box 10.24. There is no need to be an expert on the technical questions relating to the
nature of the data to be able to understand the message: all of these states are a long way
below the European Union average in terms of economic development and wealth. For
Poland to catch up with the poorest current EU member, Greece, would require Poland to
have an annual growth of over 6 per cent for over ten years.
Republic
Slovenia 42 59
Source: Agenda 2000, p. 138
CONCLUSION
Although it seems like a cliché, the European Union is at a crossroads. While optimists
and supporters can point to its growth in numbers and its apparently relentless, if not
effortless, movement into new areas of policy and activity, there is another perspective:
• Twice in the 1990s the member states have failed to make the necessary changes to the
EU’s decision-making capacity to cope with current difficulties and future
enlargements.
• Given the ever-increasing diminution of the war experience, the commitment to radical,
even federal, solutions appears to be waning.
• This is exacerbated by the danger that the EC/EU has become a victim of its own
success, in that since it has largely achieved many of its original objectives, especially
in the economic sphere, a feeling has developed which questions why the state needs
to be brought into question when it works, if not perfectly, then at least well enough
for most purposes.
• With a return to political stability, and the triumph in the Cold War, has come the
renewed arrogance of national political systems and some desire to restore as much
autarky as is possible in an interdependent world: a confusion has arisen between the
illusion of sovereignty, or the formal constitutional status of sovereignty, and the
capacity of states to exercise freedom of action and decision in a meaningful way.
• Whatever the merits and political necessity of enlargement (partly because of a sense of
obligation following these states’ experience during the Cold War and partly because
of a belief that their membership will increase the zone of economic and political
stability in Europe), it must be recognised that it involves the EU becoming
increasingly heterogeneous compared to the relative homogeneity of the Six, who even
in a very basic way shared geographical propinquity, and in some cases coal seams
running beneath their shared borders. If a Community of six could come close to being
torn apart in the 1965–6 crisis and fail to meet numerous deadlines for decision, and as
noted the EC/EU of twelve and fifteen failed in the 1990s, what chance for an EU of
twenty-one plus in the years to come?
• In answer to the above queries it sometimes seems to be assumed that the project of
European integration will survive because there is an implicit assumption of something
inexorable or even economically deterministic about the past and future of integration,
at least in the economic sphere. Is there some hidden hand moving integration from
coal and steel to customs union to SIM to EMU? Is the progress towards integration so
entrenched that there will be no significant repatriation of powers and policy areas—
will the acquis survive?
• It could be argued that far from inexorability, what has actually been occurring is the
increased obduracy of member states, for the reasons given above, and that there is
now a lack of sufficient political will to take the necessary hard decisions.
• Is the EU already anachronistic since it has already been left behind by the pressures of
globalisation on the one hand and the emergence of subnational political systems on
the other?
Europe and European integration 261
• Have ‘flexibility’, subsidiary, à la carte choices and variable geometry destroyed the
heart of the enterprise?
Is the European Union the model for the future development of Europe, especially since
the revolution in Europe since 1989, or is the model the break-up and crises in the former
Yugoslavia?
REFERENCES
E.Haas, ‘The Study of Regional Integration: Reflections on the Joy and Anguish of Pre-
theorizing’, in L.A.Lindberg and S.A.Scheingold (eds), Regional Integration: Theory
and Research (Harvard University Press, Cambridge, MA, 1971).
L.Lindberg, The Political Dynamics of European Integration (Stanford University Press,
Stanford: 1963).
T.Salmon and W.Nicoll (eds), Building the European Union (Manchester University
Press, Manchester, 1997).
FURTHER READING
The politics of global interactions are more accessible now in the present age than they
ever have been in the past. Whether it is conflict in the Middle East, the break-up of
Yugoslavia, human rights violations or poverty in Sub-Saharan Africa, we are daily
confronted by images of global interactions which in some way cross national
boundaries, involve a variety of actors, and impact upon a widespread number of issues
which may or may not affect our own lives, values and welfare. What is beyond dispute
is that we, as individuals, may no longer claim immunity or distance from events which
occur elsewhere, which affect others beyond our shores. Relationships which take place
across state boundaries seem, therefore, to include interactions involving not only the
diplomatic core or representatives of our individual states, but the business community,
the media, charitable organisations, and so on. Furthermore, within a multicultural
society such as that of the United Kingdom, it could be said that we are already involved
in global interactions on a daily basis from the classroom to the local supermarket. Given
the increasing complexity of such processes, the primary question becomes how we limit
the remits or boundaries of a discipline named International Relations.
Global interactions:
• cross national boundaries
• involve a variety of actors
• impact on a widespread number of issues
• involve business, media, charities, etc.
Question: How to limit IR as a discipline?
International Relations has a number of concerns and equally varied perspectives which
seek to make sense of the world around us. From its formal establishment in 1919 to the
present day, we see a discipline occupied by debates and contentions relating to the
Issues in international relations 264
subject matter that should be within our remit and to the nature and legitimacy of our
theories about this subject matter. Conceived in direct response to the devastations
witnessed in the First World War, the original aims of those involved in the creation of
this discipline were underpinned by the assumption that a greater understanding of the
nature of relations between states would lead to the prevention of war in the future.
Statesmen, in other words, would be better equipped with the intellectual tools considered
necessary to deal with international crisis situations so that these might reach resolution
prior to the onset of all-out war. This early normatiυe concern, that our theories contain
within them the basis for action and change, has its parallels in contemporary thought in
International Relations.
We will see as we progress through the discipline’s trajectory that we have now returned
to these early ethical concerns and, after a long period dominated by the view that the
discipline was somehow separate from the realm of practice, those involved in the
discipline increasingly recognise the responsibilities which emerge from the intimate
relationship between theory and practice.
The aim of this chapter is to provide an introductory overview of the discipline and its
theoretical perspectives. The chapter highlights the defining features of these perspectives
by concentrating on how they view the subject matter, their core conceptual frameworks
and underpinning assumptions. Each perspective comes to constitute a frame or a lens
through which global interactions or world politics are viewed. The review will seek to
Reflections on the study of international relations 265
highlight the relationship between the academic study of international relations and the
practice of world politics, arguing that this is both a complex and a mutually formative
relationship. In being so intimately related, the discipline and its theoretical perspectives
have come under increasing scrutiny by contemporary thinkers in International Relations.
Identity of actors
Nature of interactions:
• based on power?
• bound by rules?
• is there a society?
Reflections on the study of international relations 267
International Relations has, since its inception after the Great War, been structured
around the issues highlighted above. Contentions relating to subject matter centre on the
actors and issues most significant in global politics, but touch on fundamental questions
relating to what constitutes politics, whether we may legitimately assume a separation of
the domestic from the international, and whether we may indeed rely on concepts such as
power and sovereignty to delimit the boundaries of our enterprise. The debate is often
framed by dualisms which oppose the public realm to the private, the domestic to the
international. These are dualisms which have foundations deep in Western political
thought and it is not altogether surprising that their impact is strongly felt in a discipline
such as International Relations. Contentions about subject matter must be juxtaposed with
underpinning assumptions about what constitutes the international and what types of
relations constitute global politics. Such assumptions powerfully inform empirical
concerns in the discipline and these have spanned a wide range since the establishment of
the discipline, from the study of war to global environmental politics. Contentions about
subject matter must in turn be juxtaposed against those philosophical issues which place
theory itself under scrutiny, the criteria used for its justification, and its place in the
construction of the world. These are questions which any student of International
Relations must be aware of and we will see them highlighted as we move through the
trajectory of the discipline’s history and its so-called ‘great debates’.
Reflections on the study of international relations 269
• normative: idealism
• democracy+free trade+collective security
• Kant
• democratic governance+co-operation based on law
• human rationality+cosmopolitan moral order
• international institutions
The two formative pillars of liberal internationalism, democracy and free trade, required
the establishment of international institutions which would promote collectivist
aspirations in place of the conflictual relations which formed the basis of balance-of-
power thinking. For it was just such thinking, based as it was on the premise that relations
between states are determined solely by the pursuit of power, which led to violations of
international law and ultimately to the outbreak of war in 1914. A system of ‘collective
security’ was advocated to replace antagonistic alliance systems with an international
order based on the rule of law and collective responsibility. The domestic analogy of a
social contract was deemed to be transferrable to the international level. The creation of
the League of Nations after the end of the First World War was the culmination of the
Issues in international relations 272
liberal ideal for international relations. The League would function as the guarantor of
international order and would be the organ through which states could settle their
differences through arbitration. Any deviance from international law would be dealt with
collectively in the name of a commonly held interest in the maintenance of peace and
security.
Though liberal internationalist ideals are now recognised for their significant
contribution in the development of normative approaches to the subject, they seemed, at
the outset of the 1930s and ultimately the outbreak of the Second World War, futile and
utopian. Thus it was that the subject matter of International Relations, dominated as it had
been by international law and diplomatic history, was transformed to an intellectual
agenda which placed power and self-interest at the forefront of concern.11 The ‘idealism’
of the interwar period was henceforth to be replaced by realism, and it is this school of
thought which, in its various articulations, remains dominant in the discipline. E.H.Carr’s
Twenty Years’ Crisis, published in 1939, was the text which positioned what he called
utopianism in opposition to realism.12
Carr called for a ‘science’ of international relations, one which would move away from
what he saw as the wishful thinking of liberal internationalism. By presenting the fact-
value distinction, that which separates the ‘what is’ from the ‘what ought to be’, in
dichotomous or oppositional terms, Carr’s text called for a move away from utopian
doctrine which, he suggested, was based on an unrealistic negation of power and its
impact on international politics. In a statement which has manifest resonance for
contemporary concerns in International Relations, Carr states:
The outstanding achievement of modern realism has been to reveal, not merely
the determinist aspects of the historical process, but the relative and pragmatic
character of thought itself. In the last fifty years, thanks mainly though not
wholly to the influence of Marx, the principles of the historical school have
been applied to the analysis of thought; and the foundations of a new science
have been laid, principally by German thinkers, under the name of the
‘sociology of knowledge’. The realist has thus been enabled to demonstrate that
the intellectual theories and ethical standards of utopianism, far from being the
expression of absolute and a priori principles, are historically conditioned,
being both products of circumstances and interests and weapons framed by the
furtherance of interests.13
This statement points to the view that values are context-bound, that morality is
determined by interest, and that the conditions of the present are determined by historical
processes. Where idealism sought a universally applicable doctrine, Carr’s call is for a
historical analysis of the contingent frameworks which determine politics. Though Carr
himself recognised the ambiguities involved in the ‘antitheses’ that frame his text, others
writing subsequently have, by and large, neglected the nuances surrounding Carr’s
critique of utopianism, preferring instead to concentrate on an unmuddied borderline
between realism and idealism. This oppositional representation had a lasting impact on
the discipline and indeed has been seen as its first stage of theoretical contention.14
The formative assumptions of realism as a school of thought centre on the view that the
Reflections on the study of international relations 273
international system is ‘anarchic’, in the sense that it is devoid of an all-encompassing
authority. Where domestic society is ruled by a single system of government, the
international system of states lacks such a basis and renders international law non-binding
and ultimately ineffectual in the regulation of relations between states. Conflict is hence
an inevitable and continual feature of international relations. Just as liberal
internationalism sought foundations in the Enlightenment and the birth of reason, so
realism locates its roots further back, citing Thucydides, Machiavelli and Hobbes as its
founding voices.15 Thucydides and his account of the Peloponnesian War is read as the
formative paradigmatic text in that it covers themes such as power, intrigue, conquest,
alliance-building and the intricacies of bargaining. Here we see portrayed a system of city
states, the units or members of which are self-reliant and independent, with war breaking
out in 431 BC. This text, selected from an age which produced Herodotus, Sophocles and
Euripides, not to mention Socrates and Plato, is deemed foundational and is used by more
contemporary realists as a basis of justification for claims made. Classically, we see in
this narrative a powerful state, Athens, expanding in influence and threatening the
political and economic well-being of the Peloponnesian states, led by Sparta. What is of
interest is not so much how the themes covered by Thucydides reflect those of the
dominant paradigm in the discipline, but more what is left out of this selective reading,
namely the race and class struggles that were apparent at the time and which interest
Thucydides himself, or the effects of war on the lived experience of those involved.16
Hans Morgenthau, whose Politics among Nations (1948) leads the realist perspective,
points to a clear line of descent from Thucydides when he asserts that ‘realism assumes
that its key concept of interest defined as power is an objective category which is
universally valid, but it does not endow that concept with a meaning that is fixed once
and for all’.17 Morgenthau’s text starts with the assumption that there are objective laws
which have universal applicability:
Political realism believes that politics, like society in general, is governed by objective
laws that have their roots in human nature… Realism, believing as it does in the
objectivity of the laws of politics, must also believe in the possibility of developing a
rational theory that reflects, however imperfectly and one-sidedly, these objective laws. It
believes also in the possibility of distinguishing in politics between truth and opinion—
between what is true objectively and rationally, supported by evidence and illuminated by
reason, and what is only a subjective judgement, divorced from the facts as they are and
informed by prejudice and wishful thinking.18
Issues in international relations 274
• what is
• values are context-bound
• morality and state behaviour determined by interest
• no all-encompassing authority
• conflict inevitable
• Morgenthau: ‘interest defined as power’:
• objective laws rooted in human nature
• distinction ‘between truth and opinion’; separation of fact and value
• ‘international politics, like all politics, is a struggle for power’
• scientific and explanatory
• state+power+Cold War concern
Ultimately, for Morgenthau and other realists, ‘international politics, like all politics, is a
struggle for power’.19 Where liberal internationalism had been openly normative and
prescriptive in orientation, the realism expressed by Morgenthau purports to be scientific
and explanatory. Theories of international relations must, according to Morgenthau, be
consistent with the facts and it is these which must be the ultimate test of the validity of
theoretical statements. Morgenthau, like other realists, hence assumes a clear separation
of fact and value, of theory and practice. What we see on closer inspection, however, is a
theory that is replete with politics and prescriptive content, one that is steeped in the Cold
War international politics of its day, and one, finally, which seeks the legitimation of its
claims and its status by recourse, first, to foundational ideas on human nature derived
from Hobbes, and, second, to science as the ultimate guarantor of the truth of theory. This
text, above any other in the discipline, has had profound influence, not only in setting the
substantive agenda, but in placing positivism20 at the heart of the methodological and
epistemological approaches to the subject.
By the late 1950s and into the 1960s we see a discipline dominated by realist
conceptions of international relations, based as these were on the state as the primary unit
of analysis, on interactions between states governed by the relentless pursuit of power,
and on a substantive empirical agenda defined by Cold War concerns. Morgenthau’s call
for a ‘science’ of international relations was actualized in the so-called behavioural
revolution, a methodological turn in International Relations and the rest of the social
sciences which sought to apply the rigorous testing methods of the natural sciences to
social science research. The emphasis was on quantitative research and any theory which
could not be so subjected to ‘operationalisation’ was deemed to be based on impression
and ideology. Far from challenging realism presuppositions, behaviourism merely
reinforced the realist orthodoxy. It was, however, its claims to methodological supremacy
which invited the most vigorous criticism from those opposed to the idea that the
methods of the natural sciences could easily be transposed to International Relations.
Prominent among such critics was Hedley Bull, who argued, along with other
Reflections on the study of international relations 275
traditionalists that the greatest insights in International Relations derived from classical
thought, from philosophy and history.21
Bull’s concern was to argue that relations between states could not be reduced to
measurable attributes of power or models of decision-making. If features of ‘society’
characterised relations between states and if, indeed, we could locate codes of conduct
which formed such a society, we could legitimately look to history and philosophy to
conceptualise the complexity of international politics. Bull’s The Anarchical Society, first
published in 1977, came to represent what subsequently has been referred to as the
‘English School’, demarcated from the United States-dominated realist and scientific
perspective mainly through its normative approach to the subject.
It was during the 1960s, however, that other perspectives came to constitute alternative
modes of conceptualising international politics. With decolonisation, the US withdrawal
from Vietnam and the rise of a Third World alliance which made itself felt primarily at
the United Nations, global relations came to encompass matters which seemed far
removed from the Cold War rhetoric which underpinned relations between East and
West. Economic and financial relations, development, social issues and regional
integration seemed to challenge the primacy of the state as sole unit of analysis and
power as the ultimate determinant of relations between states. One of the foremost
challengers to the orthodoxy was John Burton, whose work came to be pivotal in the
pluralist attempt to rewrite the discipline.22 Central to Burton’s corpus was the view that
global relations were multiform in content and involved a number of different types of
actor, from individuals to states, to non-state organisations. Others within this wide-
ranging challenge to realism included Keohane and Nye’s work on ‘transnational
relations’ and on ‘complex interdependence’. Where the former was an empirical
description of Burton’s position that states were not the sole actors in the international
system, the latter, articulated in Power and Interdependence, saw global politics as
multiple channelled, as being based on a variety of relationships rather than on force, and
as ultimately centring on issues which were not hierarchically organised around the
strategic interests of the most powerful.23 Taking these assumptions as baseline, the main
research problematic came to focus on agenda-setting in global politics and it was this
which led to the more recent emergence of ‘regime theory’, which acknowledges the
place of power in the politics surrounding an issue area but which recognises other
dynamics, including legitimacy and rules of conduct, that may not so easily be reduced.
Issues in international relations 276
Pluralism did not so much challenge the realist orthodoxy as provide a wider perspective
on global interactions. While Burton’s trajectory came to focus on conflict, its resolution
and the place of the individual therein,24 those involved in the interdependence school
concentrated on the workings of international organisations, issue areas and the
establishment of regimes. Despite such variation in outlook and research agenda,
descriptions of the discipline have often far too easily placed these within one
perspective. If pluralism’s identity was based on its opposition to the realist orthodoxy,
then it must be acknowledged that the theoretical underpinnings of realism, its derivation
from classical thought and its foundational dependence on the essential rationality and
sovereignty of the state as actor were not challenged. The contemporary derivation of
pluralism, neo-liberal institutionalism,25 based primarily in the United States, shares with
realism a number of its founding assumptions.
A third perspective or paradigm which emerged as a critique of both realism and
pluralism concentrated on the inequalities that exist within the international system,
inequalities of wealth between the rich ‘North’, or the ‘First World’, and the poor
‘South’, or the ‘Third World’. Inspired by the writings of Marx and Lenin, scholars
within what came to be known as the structuralist paradigm focused on dependency,
exploitation and the international division of labour which relegated the vast majority of
the global population to the extremes of poverty, often with the complicities of elite
groups within these societies. As Banks points out, exponents of this approach, ‘argued
that most states were not free. Instead they were subjugated by the political, ideological
and social consequences of economic forces. Imperialism generated by the vigour of free
enterprise capitalism in the West and by state capitalism in the socialist bloc imposed
unequal exchange of every kind upon the Third World.’26 The basis of such manifest
inequality was the capitalist structure of the international system which accrued benefits
to some while causing, through unequal exchange relations, the impoverishment of the
vast majority of others. The class system that predominated internally within capitalist
societies had its parallel globally, producing centreperiphery relations that permeated
every aspect of international social, economic and political life. Thus, where pluralism
and its liberal associations had viewed networks of economic interdependence as a basis
of increasing international co-operation founded on trade and financial interactions, neo-
Marxist structuralism viewed these very processes as the basis of inequality, the debt
Reflections on the study of international relations 277
burden, violence and instability.
• focus on inequalities
• Marx and Lenin inspiration
• dependency+exploitation+division of labour
• subjugation of states by consequences of economic forces
• capitalism+class
• Frank, Amin and Wallerstein
Major writers in the structuralist perspective emerged from Latin America, Africa and the
Middle East, primary among which were Andre Gunter Frank and Samir Amin, both of
whom concentrated on dependency theory. Immanuel Wallerstein’s world systems
analysis provided a historicist account of the spread of capitalism from the sixteenth
century to the present, providing a definitive statement on the impact of this structure on
interstate, class and other social relations.27
Despite pluralist and structuralist attempts to move the discipline beyond the realist
perspective, Kenneth Waltz’s Man, the State and War and his later Theory of
International Politics define a neo-realist agenda and absolutely dominate the discipline
to the present day. The substantive agenda which had already been set in place by
theorists such as Morgenthau informed strategic studies and the Cold War struggle for
power between East and West. It was this struggle which provided a reinforcing context
which came to legitimate realism as a dominant approach in International Relations and
which located its institutional and intellectual base firmly in the United States. It was,
therefore, within this context that Kenneth Waltz came to establish his dominance in the
discipline. Where Morgenthau’s realism concentrates on the attributes and behaviour of
states within the international system, Waltz focuses on the international system itself and
seeks to provide a structuralist account of its dynamics and the constraints it imposes on
state behaviour. The international system is, for Waltz, anarchical and hence perpetually
threatening and conflictual.
• Waltz
• focus on international system and its constraints on state behaviour
• structural
• importance of distribution of capabilities
What is of interest to Waltz is not the set of motives which may determine state
behaviour, but the imperatives of the international system and the distribution of
Issues in international relations 278
capabilities within it. This is hence a structural account, but it is an account that markedly
differs in approach and substantive content from the neo-Marxist structuralism outlined
above. It has much akin to realism and must therefore be placed within that perspective.
The three schools of thought highlighted, namely realism, pluralism and structuralism,
came to be described by Banks and others as constituting the ‘inter-paradigm debate’ in
International Relations, a debate based on different images of the international system, its
constitutive parts and relations between them.
• Banks
• paradigm: a general pattern or world view providing the parameters of
actors, events and facts for theory
• realism/pluralism/structuralism=distinct agendas+concepts+ language
• no real ‘debate’
Each ‘paradigm’ formed a perspective on global politics which was seen as distinct in its
research agenda, concepts and language as to be incommensurable in relation to its
counterparts. Each was, in turn, represented as a general theory of international relations.
As the above survey indicates, the discipline has moved through a number of so-called
debates, starting with the idealist-realist debate, moving through the methodological
controversies which pitched the behaviouralists against the so-called traditionalists, and
culminating by the early 1980s in the interparadigm debate. This phased development of
the discipline has structured the teaching of Theories of International Relations and has
formed the basic framework for the vast majority of textbooks on the subject. However,
as Steve Smith has pointed out,
Despite the construction of the discipline in terms of the inter-paradigm debate, there is
agreement that realism and its neo-realist close cousin dominate the field, that other
perspectives merely answer to realism and perpetuate its dominance in establishing the
intellectual agenda, and that such dominance has negated the place of marginal voices,
those critical of the orthodoxies which underpin International Relations and discipline its
discourses.
Reflections on the study of international relations 279
Revealing such exclusion, Steans, as well as a number of other feminist scholars, has not
only succeeded in deconstructing major discipline-defining texts, but has contributed to
the development of a specifically feminist account of global politics, one which is
rewriting subjects such as violence and war, the international political economy and the
international division of labour, nationalism and identity, human rights and international
law.
What distinguishes the ‘critical turn’ in International Relations is a rejection of the
positivist tenets which have dominated the discipline, as well as the assumption that
international theory is somehow distinct from political and social thought.
A number of perspectives constitute this turn, and these have conventionally been
labelled, if only for simplicities in representation, as critical theory, poststructuralism or
postmodernism and feminism. Each of these in turn represents a number of different
perspectives primarily on issues relating to epistemology or the nature of justified belief,
and ontology or modes of being in the world and the basis of subjectivity. Where critical
theory owes a debt to modernity and the Enlightenment, and specifically the writings of
Immanuel Kant, it also looks to Marxist social theory as well as to the Frankfurt School
Reflections on the study of international relations 281
of the 1920s and 1930s, not only to provide a critique of positivism, but to develop a
social theory based on emancipatory politics and human freedom.32 Poststructuralism, on
the other hand, looks to philosophers such as Nietzsche and Heidegger and more recent
French philosophers such as Foucault and Derrida to provide a critique of Enlightenment
thought and its reifications of instrumental reason and universalist accounts of truth.33
Both critical theory and poststructuralism have variously influenced feminist thought.
Above providing a post-positivist critique of International Relations and its dominant
discourses, these three approaches scrutinise the discipline itself, the relations of power
which determine its exclusions, and the ways in which theories are deeply implicated in
the construction of naturalised concepts such as sovereignty, anarchy or security. Rather
than considering these as given and beyond question, critical and poststructuralist
approaches view all three as discursively constructed socio-political practices which have
their own contingency in time and place. Where neo-realist orthodoxy views anarchy, for
example, as a given condition of the international system, a critical account views
anarchy as constructed and situated within specific historical conditions.34
• Critical theory
• Poststructuralism or postmodernism
• Feminism
Issues as to:
• nature of the discipline
• relations of power
• role of theory in formulation of concepts
The postpositivist critique of the discipline has, paradoxically, brought the agenda of
International Relations back to reflections on ethics, on questions of rights, and on the
nature of political community and the international public sphere. Normative
international relations is conventionally framed by the ‘cosmopolitan-communitarian’
divide which, respectively, argues for a conception of rights and obligations situated in
our common humanity as opposed to being constituted by the individual’s membership of
a specific cultural community. Where the first perspective, cosmopolitanism, argues for a
single moral order linking humanity across the boundaries of culture and state, the
second, communitarianism, confers moral standing to the state and the cultural
community of which the individual is part.35
humanity
• Communitarian—conception of rights and obligations constituted by
membership of a specific community
There are significant substantive differences between contemporary interests in ethics and
International Relations and the original concerns which established the discipline. What
links them is a recognition that International Relations cannot be considered as separate
and distinct from its subject matter, that the world and the words we construct of the
world are intimately related, and this mutual constitution must, ultimately, confer a
certain responsibility and demand a certain reflexivity on how we use the word and
concept ‘international’.
CONCLUSION
The discipline of International Relations has, as has been discussed above, moved
through a number of defining theoretical perspectives as successive scholars have sought
to make sense of the apparently simple word ‘international’. The diversity of approaches
has been not so much a reflection of changes in the substance of global politics, as a
series of contentions relating to more philosophical questions on how we know what we
know, whether ethical issues have a role in theories of international relations, and how
theory relates to the realm of practice. Such questions, concerned as they are with
knowledge and being, challenge the orthodoxy in International Relations and the
dominance of the positivistic underpinning of neo-realism and its adjuncts.
Such questions did not emerge with the discipline, but are the concern of a deeply
rooted classical tradition which has informed our ideas on the nature of politics,
democratic practice, the ethics of interstate relations and the spatial and temporal domain
of what constitutes international politics. The realm of knowledge is deeply implicated in
the construction of the political subject and the subject of politics. It is precisely this
recognition which renders the discipline of International Relations itself a contested site,
only certain with its own categorising practices, its own reductions of the complexity of
human interactions and the societies which contain them.
Notes 283
NOTES
FURTHER READING
K.Booth and S.Smith (eds), International Relations Theory Today (Cambridge: Polity
Press, 1994) stretches students but has an excellent introductory chapter and a
comprehensive review of the main theories.
Chris Brown, Understanding International Relations (Houndmills: Macmillan, 1997)
provides a clear and accessible overview, and relates theory to events.
James E.Dougherty and Robert L.Pfaltzgraff, Jr., Contending Theories of International
Relations (New York: Harper and Row, 1990) is something of a classic.
A.J.R.Groom and Margot Light (eds), Contemporary International Relations: A Guide to
Theory (London and New York: Pinter, 1994). A useful, neutral collection of
descriptive essays.
Richard Little and Michael Smith (eds), Perspective on World Politics: A Reader
(London: Routledge, 1991) provides an excellent overview of realism, pluralism and
structuralism based on extracts from relevant examples, plus an introductory
commentary.
Paul R.Viotti and Mark V.Kauppi (eds), International Relations Theory: Realism,
Pluralism, Globalism (New York: Macmillan, 1993) is an excellent combination of
commentary and selected readings. NN
Index
agriculture:
fertilisers 122;
food crisis 122–8, 139–6;
over-exploitation 121, 139
Algeria:
Islamic Salvation Front 188, 189
Amin, Idi 110
Annan, Kofi 157, 167
Arafat, Yasser 184, 186
Asad, Hafez al 186
Asian-Pacific Economic Co-operation (APEC) 26–27, 42, 43
Association of Iron Ore Exporting Countries (AIOEC) 137
Association of Natural Rubber-Producing Countries 137
Axtmann, Roland 23–49
Cambodia 109
Carey, Roger 50–68
Carr, Edward Hallett 266–266
Index 287
Carter, James Earl (Jimmy) 61, 106, 135, 183, 242
Chamberlain, Neville 23, 281
Chan, Stephen 273
Churchill, Winston 154
CIPEC 138
Cold War 50, 52–9, 57, 61, 201, 207–3
colonies:
independence 11, 12;
military intervention 100–12;
post-colonial problems 126–3;
resources 124, 125–41
Commonwealth of Independent States (CIS) 207, 215–2
Concert of Europe 151
constitutions:
federalism 4–5;
government 9–10
Cook, Robin 92
Council for Mutual Economic Assistance (COMECON) 200, 226, 227, 244
Council of Europe 222, 225–4, 231–2, 238
environment:
deforestation 121, 139;
globalisation 23;
ozone depletion 139;
pollution 139;
resources see resources;
salinisation 121, 139;
Index 288
security 53–55, 56
Euripides 267
Europe:
definition 222–87;
divisions 222–2;
EC see European Union;
international organisations 225–62
European Convention on Human Rights (ECHR) 231
European Free Trade Association (EFTA) 223, 226
European Union:
acquis communautaire 252, 253;
Agenda 2000 252–5;
Baltic States 198, 244, 251;
Commission 233–4, 235–6, 245, 247, 248, 252;
Committee of Permanent Representatives (COREPER) 235;
Common Agricultural Policy (GAP) 241, 244;
Common Foreign and Security Policy (CFSP) 232, 237, 241, 243, 244, 246, 247;
conflicting pressures 238–73;
convergence criteria 250–3;
Council 234–5, 248;
Court of Auditors 236;
Directorates-General 233;
Economic and Monetary Union (EMU) 243, 244, 246, 248, 249;
economic co-operation 26, 27, 42–8;
enlargement 198, 222, 244, 251–6;
European Atomic Energy Community (Euratom) 232, 243;
European Central Bank 235;
European Coal and Steel Community (ECSC) 222, 226, 232, 238, 241, 243;
European Council 235, 250;
European Court of Justice (ECJ) 233, 236, 245;
European Defence Community 238;
European Economic Community (EEC) 222, 226, 232, 238, 241, 243;
European Exchange Rate Mechanism (ERM) 250;
European Monetary System (EMS) 249–2;
European Parliament 235–6, 245, 246, 247;
future 254–7;
integration 237–73;
Intergovernmental Conferences (IGC) 230, 231, 240, 242, 243, 244–7, 249, 250;
Justice and Home Affairs (JHA) 232, 237, 243, 244, 245, 246, 247;
Lome Conventions 128, 129;
Middle East 189–12;
pillars 232, 237, 245;
Social Chapter 246, 247, 248;
sovereignty 7, 17–1;
Treaty of Amsterdam 247–81;
Treaty on European Union 232, 237, 239, 243–5, 245, 246, 250
independence:
Baltic States 206, 207, 209;
colonies 11, 12;
constitutional 9–10;
jurisdictional 6–7;
political 7–8;
sovereignty 6–8, 9–10
industrialisation:
developing countries 128;
Industrial Revolution 143
International Bauxite Association (IBA) 138
International Chamber of Commerce (ICC) 33, 41–7
International Council of Voluntary Agencies (ICVA) 36
International Court of Justice (ICJ) 93, 103, 155, 157, 158
international law:
customary rules 6;
genocide 108–1, 112–5;
military intervention 91–30;
Nicaragua 93, 103;
treaties 6;
UN see United Nations
International Law Commission 102
International Monetary Fund (IMF) 32, 33, 34, 35, 40, 159, 193
international organisations:
aboriginal peoples 38;
classification/nature 144–2;
conferences 37;
definitions 143, 146–4;
economic co-operation 26–27;
emergence 143;
Europe 225–62;
functional co-operation 143, 148, 159;
future 167–8;
growth 35–37, 143–1, 147;
interdependence 32–9;
intergovernmental organisations (IGOs) 35, 143, 144, 162, 147, 149;
international non-government organisations (INGOs) 36, 37, 143–4, 149;
issues 143–88;
non-governmental (NGOs) 35–37, 39–5, 143, 144;
role/functions 147–6;
sovereignty 17–18, 147;
UN see United Nations international relations:
behavioural revolution 268;
boundaries 257–91;
Index 291
cosmopolitan/communitarian 274–10;
critical perspectives 273;
globalisation see globalisation;
grounds for study 1–3;
human society 1;
inter-paradigm debate 272;
inter-state relations 1–1;
liberal internationalism 264;
military action see military intervention;
NATO see North Atlantic Treaty Organisation;
nature 1–1;
neo-realism 271;
no settled meaning 1;
normative theories 257;
philosophical basis 262;
pluralism 269–4, 272;
realism 267, 272;
realities/theories 258–5;
reflections 257–275;
resources 119–58;
states see states;
structuralism 270, 272;
theoretical contentions 262–272;
theories 257
International Telecommunications Union (ITU) 148, 159
Islam:
militancy 187–13, 192, 196–20
Israel:
Arab-Israeli peace process 183–9;
Arab-Israeli wars 134, 176–8, 178, 183–5, 191;
creation 175–7;
Entebbe raid 106, 107;
Hamas 186, 187;
Hezbollah 184, 186, 187;
Islamic Jihad 186;
nuclear weapons 193;
Oslo accords 185;
Palestine Liberation Organisation (PLO) 176, 184–9, 195, 196
oil:
consumption 178–179;
crisis (1973–4) 132, 133, 134–50, 178, 179;
Gulf War 119–3, 132, 136, 180;
industrial development 132–8;
Middle East dependency 133, 135–1, 177–182;
OPEC 132–50, 136–3, 178, 179–1;
post-colonialism 127;
production 178;
quotas 180;
reserves 133, 180–3;
resources 119–3, 127, 132–50, 177–182;
shipping 172
Organisation for Economic Co-operation and Development (OECD) 222, 225
Organisation for Security and Cooperation in Europe (OSCE) 222, 226, 229–9, 232
Organisation of Petroleum Exporting Countries (OPEC) 132–50, 136–3, 178, 179–1
Parsons, Anthony 97
peace:
Arab-Israeli peace process 183–9;
NATO Partnership for Peace 64, 65, 93, 217, 228;
peace dividend 62, 65;
peace-keeping operations 97–8, 161–1, 193–18;
Security Council 97–8, 156, 158, 160–80
Index 295
Peres, Shimon 185
Plato 267
Prebisch, Raul 129, 141
Thant, U 98
Thatcher, Margaret 105, 239, 240, 245
Thucydides 51, 57, 68, 267
Tito (Josip Broz) 200
Treaty of Westphalia (1648) 29, 31, 46, 143
Zaїre:
cobalt 120, 122