PCEE15 MNv2 Rev2
PCEE15 MNv2 Rev2
PCEE15 MNv2 Rev2
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Determination of the Intensity of Seismic Historical Events in Moderately Seismic Regions, Based on
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Proceedings of the Tenth Pacific Conference on Earthquake Engineering
Building an Earthquake-Resilient Pacific
6-8 November 2015, Sydney, Australia
1 INTRODUCTION
The mitigation of risks due to natural hazards is highlighted in the Millennium Development Goals
(IPU/UNISDR, 2010). Disaster Risk Reduction (DRR) is an integral component of this key
development priority and is of particular significance for countries like the Philippines where the risk
of impacts from natural hazards like earthquakes is very high.
The Philippines is squeezed between two tectonic plates and surrounded by subduction zones, making
it a hotbed of earthquake activity. As a seismically active region, several high magnitude earthquakes
have visited the country causing widespread destruction to civil infrastructure.
The devastating potential of earthquake impact was witnessed in the province of Bohol when a M7.2
earthquake occurred in the morning of October 15, 2013. More than 70,000 houses were affected,
most of which sustained partial damage (EMI, 2014). Other buildings whose structural integrity was
tested during this event include schools, government halls, commercial establishments, tourist
facilities and the prominent collapse of historic churches built during the Spanish period.
It is hoped that empirical results furnished in this research will provide valuable insights to disaster
managers and disaster relief experts in coming up with credible impact assessments and recovery tools
necessary to mitigate future disasters. It may also pave the way for engineers and policy makers in
improving seismic design procedures and earthquake-resilient building standards.
1
The locations of the epicentre as calculated by the Philippine Institute of Volcanology and Seismology
(PHIVOLCS) and the United States Geological Survey (USGS) are depicted in Figure 1. PHIVOLCS,
the national agency in the Philippines mandated to monitor hazards such as earthquakes and volcanic
eruptions, has estimated the event’s focal depth at 12km with a magnitude of 7.2 (PHIVOLCS, 2013).
The intensity map from USGS is used in this study.
Figure 1.Distribution of intensity from USGS Shakemap and location of epicenters for mainshock as estimated
by PHIVOLCS & USGS (with Bohol’s location map on the inset)
2.1 Tectonic Framework
The Philippines is subject to high seismic hazard due to its tectonic setting. Shown in Figure 2 is its
complex tectonics. The country is surrounded by major tectonic plates such as The Philippine Sea
Plate and the Sundaland-Eurasia Plate. In addition, the tectonic structures that play key roles in the
considerable seismic activity include the Manila Trench and other minor trenches along its western
boundary and the Philippine Trench along with its extension in the East Luzon Trough on the eastern
side (Yumul et al., 2008).
Prior to the M7.2 Bohol earthquake, a number of high magnitude events within the vicinity of the
study area are recorded in Harvard’s Global Centroid Moment Tensor (GCMT) catalogue (Dziewonski
et al., 1981 & Ekstrom, et al., 2012) Most of these events displayed a thrust fault type mechanism,
consistent with the compressional deformation observed in the region (Rangin, et al., 1999) as
illustrated in the right panel of Figure 2. Prior to the earthquake, PHIVOLCS had mapped the possible
earthquake generators in the area, indicating the East Bohol Fault as the only mapped active fault in
Bohol situated along the south eastern portion of the island.
2.2 Structural Damage and Geological Impacts
The intense ground shaking during the Bohol earthquake had a tremendous impact not only on
buildings but on other infrastructures as well, such as the bridges, roads and highways. This caused
major disruptions in transportation and hampered relief efforts. Areas with unstable rock and soil
materials succumbed to landslides. Even the Chocolate Hills, a tourist landmark in Bohol, sustained
soil failure. Coastal uplift and subsidence were observed in villages along the northwest side of the
2
island. The hundreds of aftershocks that ensued coupled with prolonged shaking caused further
damage and casualties. Other hazards posed by the event include liquefaction and sinkholes, probably
owing to Bohol being underlain by limestone. Some of the impacts in Bohol’s physical environment
and structures are featured in Figure 3.
The disaster analysis conducted by the Center for Disaster Management and Risk Reduction
Technology (CEDIM) days after the quake presents the building count of damaged and destroyed
houses. Thousands of houses in at least 15 municipalities in Bohol were severely damaged or
destroyed. A considerable number of houses were also reported to have incurred damage in Cebu City
on the neighbouring island to Bohol. Not much information though, is given regarding the structure
types, heights or any other attributes that may characterize the structures’ vulnerability (CEDIM,
2013).
Figure 2. Left: Primary tectonic features of the Philippines; Right: On top, epicentral plot of earthquakes based
on GCMT solutions & below, mapped traces of active faults (modified from PHIVOLCS)
3
Bohol has a total of 259,520 housing units based on the 2010 Census of Population and Housing
conducted by the National Statistics Office (now known as the Philippine Statistical Authority). Of the
occupied housing units, 34% have outer walls made of concrete, brick or stone, 26% have bamboo,
cogon or nipa while 22% employ a combination of both materials. The percentage unaccounted for is
not reported but it may have comprised makeshift houses. Out of the total number of housing units,
57,405 incurred partial damage and 14,480 were rendered completely damaged. Municipalities with
the highest number of damaged houses include Calape, Carmen, Catigbian, Loon and Tubigon (EMI,
2014).
Figure 4.Survey form used in interviews and the corresponding attributes describing the structures
4
The survey involves 20 municipalities with at least three barangays per municipality. In total, 61
barangays participated in the interview, covering a total of 18,028 structures. Factors considered in site
selection include the earthquake intensity levels, urban and rural areas, population and existing
damage reports and surveys.
After the field reconnaissance, the Australian National University (ANU) carried out pilot interviews
in three barangays to test the coherency of the methodology and the survey form as well. In order to
speed up the data gathering, local universities assisted the ANU in the conduct of interviews. Groups
of students from the University of Bohol (UB) and the Holy Name University (HNU) participated in
the process. The map in Figure 5 shows the distribution of selected sites, with barangays classified as
rural or urban and the corresponding university that conducted the interviews.
5
Figure 6.Summary of the exposure database
The engineers from the University of the Philippines Diliman (UPD) developed a list of building
typology for the Philippines as part of an effort to develop fragility curves for key building types
(UPD-ICE, 2013). In this study, this list is considered to categorize the predominant types in the
building stock in Bohol. The building height is also used in the classification for one and two-storey
(L) structures. Further, the era of construction represents three vintages based on the amendments in
the National Structural Code of the Philippines (ASEP, 2001). These are the same vintages presented
in UPD’s assessment. Table 1 lists the generalized building types evaluated in this study, aligned to fit
in the existing building typology.
Table 1.Building types adapted in this study
Wood, Light Frame W1-L Buildings with walls made of plywood, gypsum board,
bamboo and other wooden materials. Materials for roofing
may include wood, nipa, bamboo, galvanized iron (GI) metal
sheets or other light materials. Flooring uses wood, bamboo,
earth or concrete.
Confined Masonry CM-L Structures with reinforced concrete frames confining the
concrete hollow blocks. The floors consist of wood, earth or
concrete while the roofs are GI sheets or light materials.
Concrete Hollow Blocks MWS-L Structures with layers of concrete hollow block masonry in the
with Wood or Light Metal lower wall and wooden or light materials in the upper wall,
with no reinforced concrete frame. Floor construction may
include wood sheathing, earth or concrete. Roofing is made of
GI sheets or other light materials.
Concrete Hollow Blocks CHB-L Low rise structures with concrete hollow blocks wall and no
reinforced concrete frame. The flooring has board sheathing,
earth or concrete. The roofs are GI sheets or light materials.
6
4 PRELIMINARY ASSESSMENT
Each building type is well represented in the surveyed municipalities. CHB has a much smaller sample
size compared with other building categories. In Figure 7, the comparison between W1 and CHB is
shown taking into account the earthquake intensity levels and construction era. Highlighted in W1 is
the large structure count placed under the No Damage state and fewer collapsed structures especially
when exposed to severe conditions like higher intensity and the construction period falls before 1972.
For CHB, all damage states are noticeable even at lower intensity levels. Results may have not
established a clear trend, especially at intensity IX where more new buildings collapsed but this can be
attributed to the number of structures representing each age category.
For all building types, the database showcases a general trend wherein all damage states become
prevalent in the exposed population as structures incur more damage with increasing earthquake
intensity. Also, buildings constructed after 1992 appear to perform much better than older buildings.
Not surprisingly, preliminary findings suggest that wooden structures are able to endure earthquake
forces quite well when compared to other building types. On the other hand, at least 50% of structures
classified under MWS and CM were able to resist the seismic loads, although a considerable
percentage needs repair and suffered minor cracks.
Figure 7. Comparison between W1 & CHB at various intensity levels and era of construction
7
Looking into how each attribute influences the performance of a structure, morphology is another
interesting attribute to explore. It is expected that structures constructed along slopes or hilltops are
more prone to damage or collapse, and the database confirms this perception. Buildings on steep
slopes are more likely to exhibit torsional response along slope shaking and hilltop structures may
experience amplification due to ridge effects. The bulk of structures in the database were constructed
on flat terrain where less damage was observed compared to other morphologies.
5 SUMMARY
In this paper, the preliminary stage of the post-event evaluation of damage caused by 2013 Bohol
Philippines earthquake is presented. The compilation of a comprehensive exposure database yields a
first-hand appreciation of the extent of damage. Various facets of building components and
construction contribute to an investigation of the performance of structures. By looking into the
current database and possibly gaining more information to represent other building types, a more in-
depth analysis of hazard and risk can be realized.
The data indicates four generalized building types prominent in Bohol. Among these types, the
wooden structures perform quite well when subjected to earthquake loads. Structures in flat terrain
perform better than those built on slopes or hilltops. A general trend is also established as to the
performance of structures over time. Most of the old structures behave poorly while new buildings are
able to withstand the seismic forces much better. This may signify an improvement in building
standards and practices. Using an empirical method, the corresponding fragility curves can be
validated. Further, analysis can be extended to associated repair and reconstruction costs.
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