Topic 55 Binomial Trees - Answers PDF
Topic 55 Binomial Trees - Answers PDF
Topic 55 Binomial Trees - Answers PDF
✓ A) taking the limit as the periods in the binomial model become shorter.
Explanation
As the option period is divided into more/shorter periods in the binomial option-pricing model, we approach the
limiting case of continuous time and the binomial model results converge to those of the continuous-time Black-
Scholes-Merton option pricing model.
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Which of the following statements regarding the Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing model is TRUE?
✓ D) As the number of periods in the binomial options-pricing model is increased toward infinity,
it converges to the Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing model.
Explanation
As the option period is divided into more/shorter periods in the binomial option-pricing model, we approach the
limiting case of continuous time and the binomial model results converge to those of the continuous-time Black-
Scholes-Merton option pricing model.
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Question From: Topic Area 4 > Topic 55 > LO 3
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A stock is priced at 38 and the periodic risk-free rate of interest is 6 percent. What is the value of a two-period
European put option with a strike price of 35 on a share of stock using a binomial model with an up factor of 1.15 and
a risk-neutral probability of 68 percent?
✗ A) $2.90.
✗ B) $0.64.
✗ C) $2.58.
✓ D) $0.57.
Explanation
Given an up probability of 1.15, the down probability is simply the reciprocal of this number 1/1.15=0.87. Two down
moves produce a stock price of 38 × 0.872 = 28.73 and a put value at the end of two periods of 6.27. An up and a
down move, as well as two up moves leave the put option out of the money. The value of the put option is [0.322 ×
6.27] / 1.062 = $0.57.
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Which of the following is a condition needed in order for the binomial tree to approach the Black-Scholes model?
Explanation
As the length of the time intervals approaches zero, the binomial model converges to the continuous-time Black-Scholes
model.
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A stock that is currently trading at $30 can move up or down by 10 percent over a 6-month time period. The
probability of the stock moving up in price in a 6-month period is 0.6074. The continuously compounded risk-free rate
is 4.25 percent. The value of a 1-year American put option with an exercise price of $32.50 is closest to:
✗ A) $3.42.
✗ B) $5.50.
✓ C) $2.75.
✗ D) $2.49.
Explanation
Next calculate the terminal values of the option at expiration for each node of the tree:
Since this is an American option, we need to compare the discounted present value of the option to its intrinsic value
after the end of the first 6-month period to see if the option is worth more dead than alive.
Su = $33, which means the intrinsic value of the put in the up node after six months is $0, and the option is worth
more alive than dead.
Sd = $27, which means the intrinsic value of the put in the down node after six months is ($32.50 - $27) = $5.50.
Since $5.50 > $4.817, the option should be exercised because it is worth more dead than alive.
Finally, we can calculate the price of the American option today as:
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Calculate the value of a one-year put option today for a stock that currently trades at $40 and can either move to $44
or $36 at the end of a year. The continuously compounded risk-free rate is 3 percent and the put strike price is $40.
The put option's value is closest to:
✗ A) $2.36.
✗ B) $2.02.
✓ C) $1.35.
✗ D) $2.70.
Explanation
One must first calculate the risk-neutral probability measure, π, which is [(e(rT) - d)/(u - d)]. In this case, r = 0.03, u =
1.1, d = 0.9, and T = 1, so π = [(e(0.03) -0.9)/(1.1 - 0.9)] = 0.6523. The value of the put at expiration if the stock price
increases is 0, while it is $4 if the stock price decreases. The value of the put, therefore, is e(-0.03)(1 - 0.6523)($4) =
$1.35.
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A stock is priced at 40 and the periodic risk-free rate of interest is 8 percent. What is the value of a two-period
European call option with a strike price of 37 on a share of stock using a binomial model with an up factor of 1.20
and a (risk-neutral) up probability of 67 percent?
✗ A) $20.60.
✗ B) $9.25.
✗ C) $3.57.
✓ D) $9.07.
Explanation
Two up moves produce a stock price of 40 × 1.44 = 57.60 and a call value at the end of two periods of 20.60. An up
and a down move leave the stock price unchanged at 40 and produce a call value of 3. Two down moves result in
the option being out of the money. The value of the call option is discounted back one year and then discounted back
again to today. The calculations are as follows:
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The current price of Razor Manufacturing is $20. In each of the next two years you expect the stock price to either
move up 20 percent or down 20 percent. The probability of an upward move is 0.65 and the probability of a
downward move is 0.35. The risk-free rate is 5 percent. The value of a 2-year American put option with strike price of
$24 is closest to:
✗ A) $3.85.
✓ B) $4.00.
✗ C) $3.65.
✗ D) $3.22.
Explanation
You need to use a two-step binomial model and consider the possibility of early exercise. First calculate the stock
price tree. You have S0=20, so the first step results in either SU=20(1.2)=24 or SD=20(0.8)=16 at the end of year one.
At the end of the second year the possible outcomes are SUU=24(1.2)=28.80, SUD= SDU=24(0.8)=19.20, or
SDD=16(0.8)=12.80. The PV of the expected payoff in the up node is e-0.05[0.00(0.65)+4.80(0.35)]=$1.60. The payoff
from early exercise in the up node is max{24-24, 0}=0. Since the PV of the expected payoff exceeds the payoff from
early exercise, early exercise in the up node is not optimal. In the down node the PV of the expected payoff is
e-0.05[4.80(0.65)+11.20(0.35)]=$6.70. The payoff from early exercise in the down node is max{24-16, 0} = $8.00. So
early exercise is optimal in the down node. The value of the option can now be calculated as the PV of the expected
payoffs at the end of the first year, or as e-0.05[1.60(0.65)+8.00(0.35)]=$3.65.
If the option is exercised early at the initial node it is worth $4 (=$24 - 20). This value is greater than $3.65, thus, the
option should be exercised early at Node 0 and will be worth $4.
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Question #9 of 19 Question ID: 439377
A stock that currently trades at $40 can either move up or down by 5 percent each year. The continuously
compounded risk-free rate is 4 percent. An over-the-counter European call option with 2 years until expiration is set
up so that the strike price is determined by the formula $40 + [(years to expiration + 1) × 0.5] in periods when the
stock price increases. In periods when the stock price declines, the strike price is $40. What is the value of this
2-year specialized OTC call option?
✗ A) $2.56.
✗ B) $3.27.
✗ C) $3.12.
✓ D) $2.74.
Explanation
Since the strike price is at least $40 in all periods, we know that the option only has value if it follows an up, up path.
In period 2, after following an up, up path, the option's strike price is calculated as $40 + [(0 + 1) ' 0.5] = $40.50. The
intrinsic option value is $44.10 - $40.50 = $3.60.
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As the binomial model of option prices is altered by increasing the number of periods:
✗ C) volatility increases.
✓ D) it eventually converges to the Black-Scholes-Merton option-pricing model.
Explanation
As the option period is divided into more/shorter periods in the binomial option-pricing model, we approach the
limiting case of continuous time and the binomial model results converge to those of the continuous-time Black-
Scholes-Merton option pricing model.
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A stock that is currently trading at $50 and can either move to $55 or $45 over the next 6-month period. The
continuously compounded risk-free rate is 2.25 percent. What is the risk-neutral probability of an up movement?
✗ A) 0.6565.
✗ B) 0.5656.
✓ C) 0.5566.
✗ D) 0.6655.
Explanation
The risk-neutral probability, p, can be calculated as [e(rT)-d] / [u-d]. In this case, r = 0.0225, u = 1.1, d = 0.9, which
makes p equal to [e[0.0225*(6/12)] - 0.9] / [1.1 - 0.9] = .5566
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A stock currently trades at $50. At the end of three months, the stock will either be $55 or $45. The continuously
compounded risk-free rate of interest is 5 percent per year. The value of a 3-month European call option with a strike
price of $50 is closest to:
✗ A) $2.55.
✗ B) $2.89.
✓ C) $2.78.
✗ D) $2.25.
Explanation
In this case, u = 1.1, d = 0.9, r = 0.05, and the value of the option is $5 if the stock increases and 0 if the stock
decreases. The risk-neutral probability of an up movement, p, can be calculated as:
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Questions #13-18 of 19
Al Bingly, CFA, is a derivatives specialist who attempts to identify and make short-term gains from trading mispriced
options. One of the strategies that Bingly uses is to look for arbitrage opportunities in the market for European
options. This strategy involves creating a synthetic call from other instruments at a cost less than the market value of
the call itself, and then selling the call. During the course of his research, he observes that Hilland Corporation's
stock is currently priced at $56, while a European-style put option with a strike price of $55 is trading at $0.40 and a
European-style call option with the same strike price is trading at $2.50. Both options have 6 months remaining until
expiration. The risk-free rate is currently 4 percent.
Bingly often uses the binomial model to estimate the fair price of an option. He then compares his estimated price to
the market price. He observes that Dale Corporation's stock has a current market price of $200, and he predicts that
its price will either be $166.67 or $240 in one year. The risk-free rate is currently 4 percent. He also observes that the
price of a one-year call with a $220 strike price is $11.11.
Bingly also uses the Black-Scholes-Merton model to price options. His stated rationale for using this model is that he
believes the prices of the stocks he analyzes follow a lognormal distribution, and because the model allows for a
varying risk-free rate over the life of the option. His plan is to use a statistical technique to estimate the volatility of a
stock, enter it into the Black-Scholes-Merton model, and see if the associated price is higher or lower than the
observed market price of the options on the stock.
Bingly wishes to apply the Black-Scholes-Merton model to both non-dividend paying and dividend paying stocks. He
investigates how the presence of dividends will affect the estimated call and put price.
In the case of the options on Hilland Corporation's stock, if Bingly were to establish a long protective put position, he
could:
✗ A) earn an arbitrage profit of $0.30 per share by selling the call and lending $57.20 at the risk-
free rate.
✓ B) earn an arbitrage profit of $0.03 per share by selling the call and borrowing the remaining
funds needed for the position at the risk-free rate.
✗ D) not earn an arbitrage profit because he should short the protective put position.
Explanation
Under put-call parity, the value of the call = put + stock - PV(exercise price). Therefore, the equilibrium value of the
call = $0.40 + $56 - $55/(1.040.5) = $2.47. Thus, the call is overpriced, and arbitrage is available. If Bingly sells the
call for $2.50 and borrows $53.93= $55/(1.040.5), he will have $56.43 > $56.40 (= $56 + $0.40), which is the price he
would pay for the protective put position. The arbitrage profit is the difference ($0.03 = $56.43 - $56.40).
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✗ A) is underpriced.
✓ B) is overpriced.
✗ C) may be over or underpriced. The given information is not sufficient to give an answer.
✗ D) is fairly priced.
Explanation
The up movement parameter U=1.20, and the down movement parameter D=0.833. We calculate the probability of
an up move πU = (1 + 0.04 - 0.833)/(1.2 - 0.833) = 0.564. The call is out of the money in the event of a down
movement, and has an intrinsic value of $20 in the event of an up movement. Therefore, the estimated value of the
call is C = (0.564) × $20 / (1.04) = $10.85. Thus, the price of $11.11 is too high and the call is overpriced.
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Bingly's sentiments towards the Black-Scholes-Merton (BSM) model regarding a lognormal distribution of prices and
a variable risk-free rate are:
✗ A) correct for both reasons.
✗ B) incorrect for both reasons.
✓ C) correct concerning the distribution of stocks but incorrect concerning the risk-free rate.
✗ D) incorrect concerning the distribution of stocks but correct concerning the risk-free rate.
Explanation
The model requires many assumptions, e.g., the distribution of stock prices is lognormal and the risk-free rate is
known and constant. Other assumptions are frictionless markets, the options are European, and the volatility is
known and constant.
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Which of the following is least accurate regarding the limitations of the BSM model?
✗ A) The BSM is not useful in situations where the volatility of the underlying asset changes
over time.
✗ B) The assumption of no taxes or transaction costs makes the BSM less useful.
✗ C) The BSM is not useful in pricing options on bonds and interest rates.
✓ D) The BSM is designed to price American options but not European options.
Explanation
1. The assumption of a known and constant risk free rate means the BSM is not useful for pricing options on bond
prices and interest rates.
2. The assumption of a known and constant asset return volatility makes the BSM not useful in situations where the
volatility is not constant which occurs much of the time.
3. The assumption of no taxes and transaction costs makes the BSM less useful.
4. The BSM is designed to price European options and not American options.
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If Bingly forecasts the volatility for a stock and find that it is significantly greater than that implied by the prices of the
puts and calls of the stock, he would conclude that:
Explanation
There is a positive relationship between the volatility of the stock and the price of both puts and calls. A higher
estimate of volatility implies that the prices of both puts and calls should be higher.
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All else being equal, the greater the dividend paid by a stock the:
✗ A) higher the call price and the lower the put price.
✗ B) higher the call price and the higher the put price.
✗ C) lower the call price and the lower the put price.
✓ D) lower the call price and the higher the put price.
Explanation
When dividend payments occur during the life of the option, the price of the underlying stock is reduced (on the ex-
dividend date). All else being equal, the lower price reduces the value of call options and increases the value of put
options.
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The current price of a non-dividend paying stock is $75. The annual volatility of the stock is 18.25 percent, and the
current continuously compounded risk-free interest rate is 5 percent. A 3-year European call option exists that has a
strike price of $90. Assuming that the price of the stock will rise or fall by a proportional amount each year, and that
the probability that the stock will rise in any one year is 60 percent, what is the value of the European call option?
✗ A) $3.24.
✓ B) $7.36.
✗ C) $22.16
✗ D) $12.91.
Explanation
First, we need to calculate the size of an upward movement in the asset's price as eσ√t = e(0.1825)(1) = 1.20. The size of
a downward movement in the stock's price is 1/1.20 = 0.83.
Next, we project the various paths the stock's price can follow over the 3 year period. The stock has 4 potential
ending values:
The only point at which the option finishes in the money is after 3 upward moves, which as a probability of (0.60)
(0.60)(0.60) = 0.216.
The value of the option today is therefore ($129.60 - $90) × 0.216 × e(-0.05)(3) = $7.36.
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