Edu 2013 11 MLC Exam Pj9e1x PDF

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Exam MLC

Society of Actuaries
Models for Life

MLC
Contingencies

Canadian Institute of Tuesday,


Actuaries
November 5, 2013
8:30 a.m. – 11:45 a.m.

INSTRUCTIONS TO CANDIDATES
1. Write your candidate number here ____________. Your 12. Use the blank portions of each page for your scratch work.
name must not appear. Extra blank pages are provided at the back of the examination
book.
2. Do not break the seal of this book until the supervisor tells
you to do so. 13. When the supervisor tells you to do so, break the seal on the
book and remove the answer sheet.
3. Tables and numerical values necessary for solving some of
the questions on this examination will be distributed by the On the front of the answer sheet, space is provided to write
Supervisor. and code candidate information. Complete the information
requested by printing in the squares and blackening the circles
4. This examination consists of 25 multiple-choice questions. (one in each column) corresponding to the letters or numbers
printed. For each empty box blacken the small circle
5. Each question has equal weight. Your score will be based on immediately above the “A” circle. Fill out the boxes titled:
the number of questions which you answer correctly. No
credit will be given for omitted answers and no credit will be (a) Name
lost for wrong answers; hence, you should answer all (include last name, first name and middle initial)
questions even those for which you have to guess.
(b) Candidate Number
6. A separate answer sheet is inside the front cover of this book. (Candidate/Eligibility Number, use leading zeros if
During the time allotted for this examination, record all your needed to make it a five digit number)
answers on the back of the answer sheet. NO ADDITIONAL
TIME WILL BE ALLOWED FOR THIS PURPOSE. No (c) Test Site Code
credit will be given for anything indicated in the examination (the supervisor will supply the number)
book but not transferred to the answer sheet. Failure to stop (d) Examination Part
writing or coding your answer sheet after time is called will (Code the examination that you are taking by
result in the disqualification of your answer sheet or further blackening the circle to the left of "Exam MLC")
disciplinary action.
(e) Booklet Number
7. Five answer choices are given with each question, each (booklet number can be found in the upper right-
answer choice being identified by a key letter (A to E). hand corner of this examination book. Use leading
Answer choices for some questions have been rounded. For zeros if needed to make it a four digit number.)
each question, blacken the circle on the answer sheet which
corresponds to the key letter of the answer choice that you
select. In box titled “Complete this section only if instructed to do
so”, fill in the circle to indicate if you are using a calculator
8. Use a soft-lead pencil to mark the answer sheet. To facilitate and write in the make and model number.
correct mechanical scoring, be sure that, for each question,
your pencil mark is dark and completely fills only the In the box titled “Signature and Date” sign your name and
intended circle. Make no stray marks on the answer sheet. If write today's date. If the answer sheet is not signed, it will
you have to erase, do so completely. not be graded.

9. Do not spend too much time on any one question. If a Leave the boxes titled “Test Code” and “Form Code” blank.
question seems too difficult, leave it and go on.
On the back of the answer sheet fill in the Booklet Number in
10. While every attempt is made to avoid defective questions, the space provided.
sometimes they do occur. If you believe a question is
defective, the supervisor or proctor cannot give you any 14. After the examination, the supervisor will collect this book
guidance beyond the instructions on the exam booklet. and the answer sheet separately. DO NOT ENCLOSE THE
ANSWER SHEET IN THE BOOK. All books and answer
11. Clearly indicated answer choices in the test book can be an sheets must be returned. THE QUESTIONS ARE
aid in grading examinations in the unlikely event of a lost CONFIDENTIAL AND MAY NOT BE TAKEN FROM
answer sheet. THE EXAMINATION ROOM.

© 2013 by the Society of Actuaries


Printed in the U.S.A. 475 N. Martingale Road
Exam MLC - Front Cover Schaumburg, IL 60173-2226
**BEGINNING OF EXAMINATION**

1. You are given:

(i) A x = 0.30

(ii) A x + n = 0.40

(iii) A x:n1 = 0.35

(iv) i = 0.05

Calculate a x:n .

(A) 9.3

(B) 9.6

(C) 9.8

(D) 10.0

(E) 10.3

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2. For (x) and (y) with independent future lifetimes, you are given:

(i) a x = 10.06

(ii) a y = 11.95

(iii) a xy = 12.59

(iv) A xy1 = 0.09

(v) δ = 0.07

Calculate A1xy .

(A) 0.15

(B) 0.20

(C) 0.25

(D) 0.30

(E) 0.35

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3. You are given:

(i) An excerpt from a select and ultimate life table with a select period of 2
years:

x l [ x] l [ x]+1 l x+2 x+2


50 99,000 96,000 93,000 52
51 97,000 93,000 89,000 53
52 93,000 88,000 83,000 54
53 90,000 84,000 78,000 55

(ii) Deaths are uniformly distributed over each year of age.

Calculate 10,000 2.2 q [51] + 0.5 .

(A) 705

(B) 709

(C) 713

(D) 1070

(E) 1074

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4. In a homogeneous Markov model with three states: Healthy (H), Sick (S), and Dead (D),
you are given:

(i) The monthly transition probabilities are:

H S D
H 0.75 0.20 0.05
S 0.30 0.50 0.20
D 0.00 0.00 1.00

(ii) Initially there are 10 Healthy lives with independent future states.

Calculate the probability that exactly 4 lives will die during the first two months.

(A) 0.0005

(B) 0.0245

(C) 0.1132

(D) 0.2136

(E) 0.4414

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5. Russell, age 40, wins the SOA lottery. He will receive both:


• A deferred life annuity of K per year, payable continuously, starting at age 40 + e 40 and


• An annuity certain of K per year, payable continuously, for e 40 years

You are given:

(i) μ = 0.02

(ii) δ = 0.01

(iii) The actuarial present value of the payments is 10,000.

Calculate K.

(A) 214

(B) 216

(C) 218

(D) 220

(E) 222

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6. For a fully discrete whole life insurance of 1000 on a select life [55], you are given:

(i) Ultimate mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.

(ii) During the three-year select period, q [ x ]+ k = (0.7 + 0.1k ) q x + k , k = 0, 1, 2.

(iii) i = 0.06

(iv) The benefit premium for this insurance is 24.453.

Calculate 1V , the benefit reserve at the end of year 1 for this insurance.

(A) 17.1

(B) 18.4

(C) 19.8

(D) 20.6

(E) 21.6

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7. For a semi-continuous 20-year endowment insurance of 100,000 on (45), you are given:

(i) Benefit premiums of 258 are payable monthly.

(ii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.

(iii) Deaths are uniformly distributed over each year of age.

(iv) i = 0.06

Calculate 10V , the benefit reserve at the end of year 10 for this insurance.

(A) 35,700

(B) 35,900

(C) 36,100

(D) 36,300

(E) 36,500

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8. For a fully discrete whole life insurance of 100,000 on (45), you are given:

(i) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.

(ii) i = 0.06

(iii) Commission expenses are 60% of the first year’s gross premium and 2%
of renewal gross premiums.

(iv) Administrative expenses are 500 in the first year and 50 in each renewal
year.

(v) All expenses are payable at the start of the year.

(vi) The gross premium, calculated using the equivalence principle, is 1605.72.

Calculate 5V e , the expense reserve at the end of year 5 for this insurance.

(A) −1400

(B) −1350

(C) −1300

(D) −1250

(E) −1200

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9. For a fully discrete 20-year term insurance of 100,000 on (50), you are given:

(i) Gross premiums are payable for 10 years.

(ii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.

(iii) i = 0.06

(iv) Expenses are incurred at the beginning of each year as follows:

Year 1 Years 2-10 Years 11-20


Commission as % of premium 40% 10% Not applicable
Premium taxes as % of premium 2% 2% Not applicable
Maintenance expenses 75 25 25

(v) Gross premiums are calculated using the equivalence principle.

Calculate the gross premium for this insurance.

(A) 1950

(B) 2000

(C) 2050

(D) 2100

(E) 2150

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10. For a multiple state model, you are given:

(i)
State 0 State 1
Healthy Disabled

State 2
Dead

(ii) The following forces of transition:

(a) μ 01 = 0.02

(b) μ 02 = 0.03

(c) μ 12 = 0.05

Calculate the conditional probability that a Healthy life on January 1, 2004 is still
Healthy on January 1, 2014, given that this person is not Dead on January 1, 2014.

(A) 0.61

(B) 0.68

(C) 0.74

(D) 0.79

(E) 0.83

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11. For a fully discrete 5-year term insurance of 100,000 on (80), you are given:

(i) l 80 = 1000

(ii)
x lx dx
83 920 50
84 870 60

(iii)
Time to Maturity Annual Spot Rate
1 0.04
2 0.04
3 0.04
4 0.05
5 0.06

(iv) The following values calculated at i = 0.04 :

• a80:5 = 4.3868

• 1
A80:5 = 0.1655

Calculate the annual benefit premium for this insurance.

(A) 3660

(B) 3680

(C) 3700

(D) 3720

(E) 3740

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12. An insurance company sells 15-year pure endowments of 10,000 to 500 lives, each age x,
with independent future lifetimes. The single premium for each pure endowment is
determined by the equivalence principle.

You are given:

(i) i = 0.03

(ii) μ x (t ) = 0.02t , t ≥ 0

(iii) 0L is the aggregate loss at issue random variable for these pure
endowments.

Using the normal approximation without continuity correction, calculate


Pr ( 0 L > 50, 000 ) .

(A) 0.08

(B) 0.13

(C) 0.18

(D) 0.23

(E) 0.28

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13. For a 3-year term insurance of 1000 on (70), you are given:

(i) q 70ILT+ k is the mortality rate from the Illustrative Life Table, for k = 0,1, 2.

(ii) q 70+ k is the mortality rate used to price this insurance, for k = 0,1, 2.

(iii) q 70+ k = (0.95) k q 70


ILT
+k , for k = 0,1, 2.

(iv) i = 0.06

Calculate the single benefit premium.

(A) 85.5

(B) 89.0

(C) 91.5

(D) 93.5

(E) 95.0

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14. For a special 10-year deferred whole life annuity-due of 50,000 on (62), you are given:

(i) Level annual benefit premiums are payable for 10 years.

(ii) A death benefit, payable at the end of the year of death, is provided only
over the deferral period and is the sum of the benefit premiums paid
without interest.

(iii) a62 = 12.2758

(iv) a62:10 = 7.4574

(v) A62:10
1 = 0.0910

10
(vi) A
k =1
1
62: k
= 0.4891

Calculate the benefit premium for this special annuity.

(A) 34,400

(B) 34,500

(C) 34,600

(D) 34,700

(E) 34,800

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15. For a fully discrete 3-year term insurance of 1000 on (x), you are given:

(i) p x = 0.975

(ii) i = 0.06

(iii) The actuarial present value of the death benefit is 152.85.

(iv) The annual benefit premium is 56.05.

Calculate p x + 2 .

(A) 0.88

(B) 0.89

(C) 0.90

(D) 0.91

(E) 0.92

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16. For fully discrete whole life insurances of 1 issued on lives age 50, the annual benefit
premium, P, was calculated using the following:

(i) q 50 = 0.0048

(ii) i = 0.04

(iii) A51 = 0.39788

A particular life has a first year mortality rate 10 times the rate used to calculate P. The
mortality rates for all other years are the same as the ones used to calculate P.

Calculate the expected present value of the loss at issue random variable for this life,
based on the premium P.

(A) 0.025

(B) 0.033

(C) 0.041

(D) 0.049

(E) 0.057

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17. For a fully discrete whole life insurance of 10,000 on (45), you are given:

(i) i = 0.05

(ii) L denotes the loss at issue random variable based on the benefit
0

premium.

(iii) If K 45 = 10, then 0 L = 4450.

(iv) a55 = 13.4205

Calculate 10V , the benefit reserve at the end of year 10 for this insurance.

(A) 1010

(B) 1460

(C) 1820

(D) 2140

(E) 2300

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18. For a fully discrete whole life insurance of 1000 on (x), you are given:

(i) The following expenses are incurred at the beginning of each year:

Year 1 Years 2+
Percent of premium 75% 10%
Maintenance expenses 10 2

(ii) An additional expense of 20 is paid when the death benefit is paid.

(iii) The gross premium is determined using the equivalence principle.

(iv) i = 0.06

(v) ax = 12.0

2
(vi) A x = 0.14

Calculate the variance of the loss at issue random variable.

(A) 14,600

(B) 33,100

(C) 51,700

(D) 70,300

(E) 88,900

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19. For a fully discrete whole life insurance of 10,000 on (45), you are given:

(i) Commissions are 80% of the first year premium and 10% of subsequent
premiums. There are no other expenses.

(ii) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.

(iii) i = 0.06

(iv) 0 L denotes the loss at issue random variable.

(v) If T 45 = 10.5, then 0 L = 3767.

Calculate E [ 0 L ] .

(A) −900

(B) −810

(C) −720

(D) −630

(E) −540

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20. A new employee is hired at exact age 45, with a starting salary of 50,000. Salary
increases occur at the end of each year. Consider the following two pension plans:

1. A defined benefit plan that pays at retirement an annual annuity-due of 1.5% of


the final 3-year average salary for each year of service;

2. A defined contribution plan that contributes X % of the employee’s salary at the


start of each year before retirement and earns 5% per year.

You are given:

(i) a65 = 10.0

(ii) Salary increases are 5% per year.

(iii) The employee retires at exact age 65.

(iv) The actuarial present value of the defined benefit annuity-due at age 65 is
equal to the defined contribution account balance at age 65.

Calculate X.

(A) 11.0

(B) 11.7

(C) 12.3

(D) 13.0

(E) 13.6

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21. You are pricing an automobile insurance on (x). The insurance pays 10,000 immediately
if (x) gets into an accident within 5 years of issue. The policy pays only for the first
accident and has no other benefits.

You are given:

(i) You model (x)’s driving status as a multi-state model with the following 3
states:
0 - low risk, without an accident
1 - high risk, without an accident
2 - has had an accident

(ii) (x) is initially in state 0.

(iii) The following transition intensities for 0 ≤ t ≤ 5 :


μ x01+t = 0.20 + 0.10t
μ x02+t = 0.05 + 0.05t
μ 12
x + t = 0.15 + 0.01t
2

No other transitions are possible.

(iv) 3 p 01
x = 0.4174

(v) δ = 0.02

(vi) The continuous function g (t ) is such that the expected present value of
a
the benefit up to time a equals  0
g (t )dt , 0 ≤ a ≤ 5, where t is the time of
the first accident.

Calculate g (3).

(A) 1400

(B) 1500

(C) 1600

(D) 1700

(E) 1800

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22. For a universal life policy with a death benefit of 10,000 plus the account value on (60),
you are given:

(i)
Month Monthly Percent of Monthly Cost Monthly Surrender
Premium Premium of Insurance Expense Charge
Charge Rate per 1000 Charges
12 100 15% 3.00 10 400

(ii) The credited interest rate is i (12) = 0.048.

(iii) The account value at the end of month 11 is 1500.

The universal life policy is surrendered at the end of month 12. The cash surrender value
is used as a single premium to purchase a whole life annuity-due whose first 10 annual
payments are guaranteed. For this annuity, you are given:

(i) Mortality follows the Illustrative Life Table.

(ii) i = 0.06

(iii) The annuity is priced using the equivalence principle.

Calculate the amount of the annual annuity payment.

(A) 97

(B) 100

(C) 103

(D) 106

(E) 109

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23. For a universal life policy with a death benefit of 150,000 plus the account value on (25),
you are given:

(i)

Percent of Annual Cost Annual End of Year


Annual Premium of Insurance Expense Account
Year Premium Charge Rate per 1000 Charges Value
1 3000 70% 1.22 75 -
2 3000 10% 1.27 R -
3 3000 10% 1.33 R 6028.95

(ii) The credited interest rate is i = 0.04 .

Calculate R.

(A) 5.0

(B) 7.5

(C) 10.0

(D) 12.5

(E) 15.0

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24. The ILT Club has 4000 members all age 25 with independent future lifetimes. The
mortality for each member follows the Illustrative Life Table.

Calculate the largest N, using the normal approximation, such that the probability that
there are at least N survivors at age 85 is at least 90%.

(A) 930

(B) 950

(C) 970

(D) 990

(E) 1010

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25. You are given:

(i)
x lx
60 99,999
61 88,888
62 77,777
63 66,666
64 55,555
65 44,444
66 33,333
67 22,222

(ii) a= 3.4 2.5


q 60 assuming a uniform distribution of deaths over each year of
age.

(iii) b= 3.4 2.5


q 60 assuming a constant force of mortality over each year of age.

Calculate 100,000( a − b).

(A) −24

(B) 9

(C) 42

(D) 73

(E) 106

**END OF EXAMINATION**

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