Ed Tech 23
Ed Tech 23
Ed Tech 23
Asian Journal of
of Innovation
Innovation and
and Policy
Policy (2018)
(2018) 7.1:055-078
7.1:055-078
DOI: http//dx.doi.org/10.7545/ajip.2018.7.1.055
Abstract This paper investigates the linkage between the mode of transformation of
entrepreneurial learning into outcomes and the subsequent impact of these learning
outcomes in enhancing the survival of high-tech startups in India. The study uses data
from 45 high-tech startups headquartered across different locations in India for the
purpose of analysis. Survival Analysis of the data is conducted to determine which
mode of learning transformation and what type of en trepreneurial decision making
preference have a significant influence on the survival of Indian high-tech startups and
to what extent do they impact their survival. The results indicate that entrepreneur's
prior startup experience, explorative mode of learning transformation, causal decision
making of the entrepreneur and availability of funding for the startup as the key factors
that reduce the time to survival of Indian high-tech startups. They also provide key
insights on how these factors impact the startup survival in this region.
I. Introduction
In recent times, high-tech startups have gained increased attention across the
world from multiple stakeholders in our society. Policy makers and
governments view these high-tech startups as a new way to realize the goals of
job creation, innovation and economic development (Kirchoff and Spencer,
2008). Young skilled individuals joining the workforce view startups as a
preferred occupational choice. High-tech startups have been extensively
studied in the entrepreneurship literature from multiple discipline-based
perspectives, the prominent ones being economic, strategic management,
evolutionary and behavioral sciences.
While high technology startup firms have been credited with contributing to
economic growth by way of job creation and innovation (Kirchhoff, 1994;
2008), a review of the characteristics of these startups reveal that they have a
Submitted, August 27, 2017; 1st Revised, January 23, 2018; Accepted, February 27, 2018
* Department of Management Studies, Indian Institute of Science, Bangalore-560012;
krishnah@iisc.ac.in
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Based on the aspects mentioned in the above discussion, the primary goal of
this study is to examine the linkage between entrepreneurial learning, its
modes of transformation to learning outcomes, and subsequently, the impact of
such learning outcomes on high-tech startup survival. To achieve this aim, we
first study different theoretical contexts that have enhanced our understanding
of entrepreneurial learning (Kolb, 1984; March, 1991). We then explore the
literature that describes the modes by which the entrepreneurial learning is
transformed into entrepreneurial knowledge (Politis and Gabrielsson, 2005;
Politis, 2008). Second, we identify one such learning outcome candidate - the
decision-making preference of the entrepreneur to examine if the mode of
learning transformation has an impact on learning outcomes, and whether this
in turn would impact the time to survival of high-tech startups (Sarasvathy,
2001; 2008). At the outset, we are interested to find out which is the dominant
learning transformation mode of entrepreneurs. And then, we seek to
understand if any particular preference for a decision-making style helps the
entrepreneurs to reduce the time to survival.
The reminder of the study is organized as follows. The next section presents
a review of literature, wherein a synthesis of past literature pertaining to
survival of startups and entrepreneurial learning processes is presented. The
literature review is then followed by a section that outline the conceptual
framework linking the process of entrepreneurial learning to its outcomes, and
subsequently the impact of learning outcomes to startup survival. Next is a
section that describes the research methodology, wherein the sample frame and
measures and variables used in the study, and the empirical methods of
analysis adopted. We then present the detailed analysis of the results obtained.
The study concludes with a discussion of the findings, as well as a summary of
the contributions made together with its limitations.
1. Entrepreneurial Learning
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While the previous section dealt with the key theoretical issues concerning
entrepreneurial learning, its mode of transformation into knowledge, and its
role in impacting survival of high-tech startups, in this section, we seek to
provide the linkage to these identified tenets by way of developing a
conceptual framework. We detail the findings in subsequent sections.
From the above discussions, it is clear that entrepreneurs gain new
experiences and therefore develop new knowledge as an ongoing process
(Politis and Gabrielsson, 2005). Subsequent discussions have revealed that
exploration and exploitation are two dominant modes of transformation of
these new experiences to knowledge (Minniti and Bygrave, 2001). There have
also been studies that have identified key learning outcomes, which are a
demonstration of application of the acquired entrepreneurial knowledge
(Politis, 2008). One such important learning outcome is decision-making of the
entrepreneur that has been observed to make an impact on the survival or
success of the startup. Causation and effectuation have been discussed as two
such dominant decision-making styles that entrepreneurs employ for decision-
making (Sarasvathy, 2001).
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The next section describes the data collected to validate the above
framework, the characteristics of the sample, the variables and measures used
in the study, the method of statistical analysis to validate the data.
1. Scope
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2. Sample Characteristics
The duration of operation of the startups in the sample ranges from 6 months
to 120 months. About 73% of the startups in the sample had found their
product market fit (milestone for survival), while the remainder 27% were new
firms created, but yet to claim survival. About 91% of the founders in the
sample had a minimum of one-year industry experience. About 49% founders
of the sample had prior startup experience. About 94% of the founders
possessed either startup experience or industry experience at the time of
creation of their startup. The founders’ age at the time of starting up in the
sample ranged between 22 years to 49 years. In terms of founders’ education,
about 9% of the founders had a non-engineering graduate education (science,
commerce, arts degree), 44% of them had an engineering bachelor’s degree
and 47% had masters’ engineering degree or higher educational qualification
when they started their venture.
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Age of the Entrepreneur The age of the entrepreneur in years, at the time of
founding the current startup has been used for analysis. This variable is
labelled as ‘fage’ for the analysis.
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4. Method of Analysis
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such a fashion that the event in question has actually occurred for some units,
whereas the event may not have occurred for others (Aalen et al., 2008). The
key advantage of this model is that it helps the data analysts to deal with
missing information, often referred to as censored information. In the study, if
the startup has not yet achieved the product-market fit at the end of the data
collection phase, then this startup would be censored "on the right", that is, we
know that this particular startup’s survival time is known to exceed the time
duration between its formal creation and the closure of observation. Since
product-market fit is taken as proxy to measure startup survival, the above
scenario indicates that the startup has not yet achieved the survival milestone.
In survival analysis, the times at which certain events occur are assumed to
be realizations of some random process (Allison, 1995). So T, the time for an
event to occur for a particular observation, is a random variable having a
certain probability distribution. Different methods are used to model survival
data depending on the kind of distributions that the survival time T follows.
The survival function, which represents the unconditional probability of
surviving longer than “t” time units, has the following general form: S(t)
=Probability (T>t) = 1–F(t) where F(t) is the cumulative distribution function
of the random variable T, denoting time to failure (Chatterjee, 2010). The
focus of survival analysis would be to model the hazard rate h(t) which is
defined as h(t) = f(t)/S(t).
There are semi-parametric and parametric models to use with survival data.
The Cox Proportional Hazards Model (Cox, 1972) is the most widely used.
The Cox Proportional Hazards Model is popular because it does not require
one to make an assumption about the exact parametric form of the underlying
distribution of survival time. Also, in this model, hazards for two individuals
are proportional, with a proportionality constant that is independent of time.
However, in our study, since the independent variables change over time, and
that this change between the variables cannot be assumed as proportionally
constant, we use a parametric method of Accelerated Failure Time (AFT)
models for our analysis. These models are fitted based on the assumption that
survival times captured in the data follow certain well-known distributions
(Klein and Moeschberger, 1997).
The descriptive statistics for the variables that were used in the analyses are
presented in Table 1.
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The full model containing all the independent variables and control variables
represented in R - an open source statistical software package is provided
below:
> model1=surv_data~fiexp+fsexp+fedn+fage+sales+dev+fin+ol+dlogic
> model1.step=stepAIC(survreg(model1))
For arriving at the most parsimonious model from the above full model,
Akaike’s Information Criterion (AIC) (Akaike, 1974) was used. AIC is a
numerical measure that weighs the likelihood of a model against its complexity.
The AIC of the AFT model is defined as: AIC = -2LL + 2 (c + a) where LL is
the logarithm of the model likelihood (log-likelihood), c is the number of
covariates and a is the number of ancillary parameters (Weibull distribution
has two parameters, λ and α, while exponential has only one parameter, λ). A
lower value of the AIC suggests a better model.
The appropriate distribution of survival times to be used for analysis is
determined by building AFT models for the above data using each of the
following distributions: Exponential, Weibull, Log-logistic and Log-normal.
The resulting AIC computed for each of the distributions used, which provides
the most optimal model containing the independent variables is presented in
Table 2.
Table 2 AIC computation for AFT models with different assumed distributions
Distribution Least AIC Value Optimium Model corresponding to least AIC Value
Since the Weibull model is found to have the lowest AIC for most of the
models we choose to use this as the standard distribution that we subsequently
discuss in this study. The output of the computation using the Weibull
distribution is provided in Table 3.
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All the variables present in the most efficient model are highly significant
with very small p values, significant at 0.001 levels.
The results indicate that entrepreneur's prior startup experience, explorative
mode of learning transformation, causal decision-making of the entrepreneur
and availability of funding for the startup are the key factors that reduce the
time to survival of Indian high-tech startups. This study validates a portion of
the prior work related to the mode of learning transformation, impact of
learning outcomes and availability of funding on startups in the context of
emerging economies (Politis and Gabrielsson, 2005; Politis, 2008; Audretsch
and Lehmann, 2004; Suh et al., 2012; Kim and Ko, 2014). The empirical
results of this study pertaining to entrepreneurial decision-making preference
extend the knowledge in this field.
In this study, prior industry experience and prior startup experience were
introduced as two independent control variables. The results indicate that prior
startup experience will impact the survival time of a startup rather than prior
industry experience. The results indicate that prior startup experience will
accelerate the time to achieve survival by a factor of exp(-0.216)=0.8 times (i.e.
80% shorter survival time in comparison to the baseline). This is explainable,
specifically in the context of emerging economies, since the entrepreneur
would need to deal with an increased degree of liabilities of newness, given the
under developed infrastructure and environment support system that exists in
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the region of operation. Having prior experience of starting up, dealing with
uncertainty, adds to the bundle of knowledge and therefore when the
entrepreneur embarks on the second venture, he would be much more prepared
to overcome the liabilities of newness in comparison to another individual,
who may have mere industry and domain knowledge, but ventures to start up
for the first time. These results also validate some of the earlier empirical
findings (Westhead et al., 2005; Politis, 2008).
Explorative mode of learning transformation relies on variance-seeking
learning. This mode of learning transformation has been shown to contribute to
huge success as well as failure (Politis and Gabrielsson, 2005). The results
indicate that explorative mode of learning will accelerate the time to achieve
survival by a factor of exp(-0.41)=0.66 times (i.e. 66% shorter survival time in
comparison to the baseline). This study revalidates the findings obtained in
prior literature this studied exploratory learning under different contexts.
Ucbasaran and Westhead (2002) stated that opportunity-seeking entrepreneurs,
who continuously scan the environment for new entrepreneurial opportunities
often strive for variation with the goal to learn something new. Politis and
Gabrielsson (2005) observe that entrepreneurs who are highly explorative are
alert and would become more effective in identifying and acting on
entrepreneurial opportunities.
Causal decision-making helps in reducing the liability of newness as it
focuses on converging entrepreneurial actions towards mean performance and
repeatability. The decision-making based on past data and experience tries to
bring structure and direction to the overall activities of the startup, which
usually operates in a volatile environment. Hence, causal decision-making by
the entrepreneurs reduces the risks that arise out of dealing with liability of
newness and therefore help in reducing time to survival of the startup. The
results indicate that causal-decision making will accelerate the time to achieve
survival by a factor of exp(-0.12)=0.89 times (i.e. 89% shorter survival time in
comparison to the baseline).
Funding has long been researched and established as a key factor that
contributes to the survival of a startup. The results indicate that funding will
accelerate the time to achieve survival by a factor of exp(-0.481)=0.62 times
(i.e. 62% shorter survival time in comparison to the baseline). Audretsch and
Lehmann (2004) established funding as being a key factor in influencing the
survival of high-tech startups. Funding of the startup helps the entrepreneur in
multiple ways. It frees the entrepreneur to focus his energies and abilities to
exploit the entrepreneurial opportunity, and also provides additional cushion to
react and deal with uncertain circumstances that a startup might face in its
early stages.
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Acknowledgements
The author acknowledges the comments and suggestions received from the
anonymous reviewers that have helped enhance the quality of the paper.
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