Disease Spread RA Part 1-Document

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Name(s) ________________________________________

Date: ___________________ Period: ___________

PART 1
www.explorelearning.com “Disease Spread”

When a person has a disease, his or her normal body functions are
disrupted. Some diseases, such as diabetes and most cancers, are not
spread from one person to another. But other diseases, such as the flu
and strep throat, can be spread. These diseases are known as
infectious diseases. Infectious diseases are caused by viruses,
bacteria, and other agents known as pathogens.
In the Disease Spread Gizmo, you will be able to observe how various pathogens can spread through a group
of people. In the Gizmo, click Play ( ) and observe. Click the Pause button after a while.
1. Describe what happened on the SIMULATION pane:

2. Look at the color key on the bottom right of the Gizmo. What is happening when a person changes color?

Activity A: Get the Gizmo ready:


• Click Reset ( ).
Person-to-person • On the CONTROLS tab under Active Diseases,
transmission turn off Foodborne and turn on Person to person.
• Set the Number of people to 5.

3.Select the SIMULATION tab on the left and the TABLE tab on the right. (You will want the table tab open to
answer question C.)

a. What does the purple person represent?

b. Click PLAY and observe the simulation for a while. What do you notice?

c. How long did it take to infect five people?


4. Not all pathogens are equally infectious. Click Reset. Set the Number of people to 20. Under Probability
of transmission, select Low for Person to person.
On the SIMULATION tab, click Play. Record the time it takes to infect five people for three trials, and find the mean.
Then repeat the experiment with a medium and high probability of transmission. (Note: For the “Medium” setting, move
the slider half-way between the Low and High positions.)

Transmission probability Time to infect five people, 3 trials (h) Mean time (h)
Low
Medium
High

What do you notice about the data?

How would the graphs of each situation be similar and different?

Activity B: Get the Gizmo ready:

Airborne • Click Reset.


transmission • On the CONTROLS tab under Active diseases, turn off
Person to person and turn on Airborne.

6. How would you expect the spread of an airborne disease to be similar to and different from the spread of a
foodborne disease and a person-to-person disease?

7. Run a few simulations with the airborne pathogen. What patterns do you notice in how the airborne
pathogen spreads?

Let’s Analyze

8. The data below shows a possible disease spread sample. Put the data in your graphing calculator Stat
Plot, and look at the graph.
Time Number of a. Sketch the graph:
(hrs), Infected
x People, y
0 1
1 2
1.5 2
3 4 b. Exponential regression function model: _______________
4 7
5 8 c. Is this an example of exponential growth or decay? Explain.
5.5 10
6 11
6.5 15 d How is your function model different than the function y = 2x?
7 16
8 25
9 37 e. If the same growth rate continues, how many people would be infected after 15
10.5 62 hrs (assume a total population of 500 people)?

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