GN 377
GN 377
GN 377
Risk analysis is the study of the uncertainly of a given course of action and refers to computation of
the statement.
An estimation of the present value of the cash for high risk investments. Is known as risk analysis.
Sensitivity analysis is used to understand the effect of a set of independent variables on same
dependent variable under certain specific conditions.
Capital structure is the particular combination of debt and equity used by a company to finance its
overall operations and growth. Debt comes in the form of bond issues or loans, while equity may
come in the form of common stock, preferred stock, or retained earnings.
o Risk adjusted cut off rate Method: the present value of cash for high risk investments is
known as risk adjusted discount rate. it represents required periodical returns by investors
for pulling funds to the company.
o Certainty equivalent method: it is a method in which uncertain cashflows are converted into
certain cashflows by multiplying with probability of occurrence such cashflows. Certainty
co-efficient assumes value between 0 & 1. In this method risk free rate are used instead of
risk. Adjusted discount rate.
o Sensitivity technique: it is used to study the impact of the changes on the variables on the
outcome of the project. The changes in these variables impact the outcome of the project.
o The more sensitive is the NPV. the more critical is that variable.
o Probability technique: A probability is the relative frequency with which an event may occur
in the future. the future estimates of cash inflows. have different probabilities the expected
monetary value may be computed.
o Standard deviation method: SD is a degree of variation of individual items of a set of data
from its average. The square root of variance is called SD. The helps in calculating the risk
associated with estimated CI from an investment.
o Co-efficient of variance: the co-efficient of variation calculates the risk borne for every.
Select a project which has a lower co-efficient of variation. The project having a higher SD is
said to be more risky as compared to the other.
o Decision tree techniques: in modern business there are complex investment decision which
involve a sequence of decisions over time. Such sequential decisions can be handles by
plotting decisions trees.
o Break even analysis: useful tool for determining at what point your company, or a new
product or service. Will be profitable. Put another way. It’s a financial calculation used to
determine. The number of products or services you need to sell.
Assumptions
No transaction cost
Arguments
Information about the company may not be available for all the members
Working capital, also known as net working capital (NWC), is the difference between a company's
current assets, such as cash, accounts receivable (customers' unpaid bills) and inventories of raw
materials and finished goods, and its current liabilities, such as accounts payable.
COMPETITION
If the industry is competitive, quick response to customer needs is compulsory and therefore a
higher level of inventory is maintained. Liberal credit terms are also mandatory with good service to
survive in the market. So, higher the competition, higher would be the requirement of working
capital.
CREDIT POLICY
summer compared to winter if they are produced in the fashion of their demand. The policy of
producing throughout the year can smoothen the fluctuation of the working capital requirement.
COMPETITION
If the industry is competitive, quick response to customer needs is compulsory and therefore a
higher level of inventory is maintained. Liberal credit terms are also mandatory with good service to
survive in the market. So, higher the competition, higher would be the requirement of working
capital.
CREDIT POLICY
Liberal credit policy demands a higher level of working capital and tight credit policy reduces it.
GROWTH AND EXPANSION
Some industries are static and others are growing. Obviously, growing industry grows the
requirement of working capital also as compared to static industry.
TAXES
Taxes are often paid in advance. This also blocks a part of working capital. Depending on the tax
environment of the industry, working capital needs are also affected.
DIVIDEND POLICY
Dividend policy determines the level of retained profits with the business and retained profits are
also used for working capital. This is how; dividend policy affects the need for working capital.
PRICE LEVELS
The price levels of inventory and other expenses such as labour rates etc increase the working
capital requirement. If the company also is able to increase the price of their finished goods, it
reduces this impact.
8) ‘A’ Company limited is considering the purchase of a new investment. Two alternative
investments are available A and B, both costing RS 1,00,000.
sol
Computation of NPV
-II 1,00,000
Total NPV -5905
Computation of NPV
The profitability of the two investment can be compared on this basis of NPV for investment A and B
(RADR)
total 104760
- II 1,00,000
4760
9) The company has a target return on capital of 10%. Risk premium rate is 2% and 8% Respectively
for investments A and B. which project should be preferred for investment?
You are required to determine the weighted average cost of capital using:
sol
10) Find out the relationship of dividend policy and the value of share according to Gordon’s model
Particulars A B C
r= 0.30 0.20 0.15
Ke= 0.20 0.20 0.20
E= 5 5 5
Effect of dividend policy on market value of shares according to Gordon’s model when retention
ratio is 40% and 60% . comment on the results.
sol
P=E(1-b)/ke -br
=5(1-40%)/0.20-(0.40*0.30)
=3/0.08
= RS 37.5
P=E(1-b)/ke -br
= 5(1-60%)/0.20-(0.60*0.20)
=2/0.08
= RS 25
P=E(1-b)/ke -br
=5(1-0%)/0.20-(0.00*0.15)
= 5/0.2
=RS 25