Buy

Initiating Coverage Gland Pharma LTD Target Price

9th Mar 2021 Pharmaceutical
2,900

Well-positioned to Capitalise Fast-growing Generic Injectibles Market (CMP as March of 9, 2021)

We initiate coverage on Gland Pharma Ltd with a “BUY” rating and a target price of Rs CMP (Rs) 2,530
2,900 (P/E of 32x for FY23E earnings), implying an upside potential of 15% from the current Upside /Downside (%) 15%
levels. In the US, Injectables Market is expected to grow at 15.3% CAGR primarily due to doubling High/Low (Rs) 2,693/1,701
of the value (~USD$ 67.7 bn) of molecules losing exclusivity over 2020-2025E. Gland Pharma
Market cap (Rs Cr) 39,200
has developed complex injectables such as lyophilized products, high-potent drugs, and long-
Avg. daily vol. (6m) Shrs. 3,40,280
acting suspensions having 282 ANDA filings in the United States, of which 226 were approved
and 56 pending approval. The manufacturing facilities’ audit is conducted by Marketer companies No. of shares (Cr) 15.5
partners ensures its compliance with the regulatory requirements all the time. This has resulted
into zero USFDA warnings letters since the inception to any of the company’s facility. Gland has
high EBIT margins of ~36% and Asset turns of 2x culminating into healthy RoIC of ~34% which Shareholding (%)
stands best in the industry.
Mar-20 Jun-20 Dec-20
Huge growth opportunity in the US Injectable Market Promoter - - 58.4
The United States injectable market is estimated to reach US$ 489 bn valuation by 2025 and FIIs - - 12.7
grow at ~15.3% CAGR from 2020 to 2025, faster than other segments. The value of injectables MFs / UTI - - 9.7
molecules which may lose patent protection during 2020-2025 stands ~US$67.7 bn, double the
Banks / FIs - - 0.0
value of the last 5 years. In the US, the injectables market is fairly concentrated with a few
therapies (including small molecules) forming approximately 80% of the market by value.
Others - - 19.2
Registering a growth of ~38% CAGR from 2014 to 2019, Gland Pharma Ltd. is the fastest growing
Financial & Valuations
small-molecule generic injectables company in the US market. We expect the US revenue to grow
at 20.5% CAGR over the period FY22-FY23E. Y/E Mar (Rs. bn) FY21E FY22E FY23E
Net Sales 3,314 3,960 4,727
Portfolio of complex products supported by R&D and regulatory capabilities
EBITDA 1,253 1,505 1,806
Gland has established internal capabilities in developing complex injectables such as lyophilized Net Profit 953 1,166 1,406
products, high-potent drugs, and long-acting suspensions. Extensive portfolio comprises major EPS (Rs.) 61.5 75.3 90.7
drugs like Huminsulin (USD$ 2.1 bn), Heparin Sodium (USD$ 2.0 bn), Daptomycin (USD$ 4.5 PER (x) 41.5 33.9 28.1
bn), Vanomycin (USD$ 3.1 bn), among others. Gland’s new launches add ~10%-12% growth for EV/EBITDA (x) 30.2 24.7 20.1
the company every year and outpace the revenue growth of peers. Gland along with partners had P/BV (x) 8.9 7.2 5.9
282 ANDA filings in the United States, of which 226 were approved and 56 pending approval. ROE (%) 21.4% 21.3% 20.9%
Integrated manufacturing capabilities with a consistent compliance track record
Key Drivers (%) (Growth in %)
Gland has seven manufacturing facilities comprising two sterile injectables facilities, one
Y/E Mar FY21E FY22E FY23E
dedicated Penems facility, one oncology facility, and three API facilities. The 3 API facilities
Net Sales 3,314 3,960 4,727
provide in-house manufacturing capabilities for critical APIs enabling the company to control costs
EBITDA 1,253 1,505 1,806
and quality while mitigating supply chain related risks around key products. Gland’s scalable
Net Profit 953 1,166 1,406
manufacturing capacities, unequivocal focus on product quality, and ability to provide reliable
product supply at competitive rates have helped it capture high market share in high volume
products across different dosage/delivery systems. The facility audit is conducted by Marketer Relative performance
companies partners that has helped the company to handle compliance in a better way that results 180
in no USFDA warnings letters since the inception of each facility.
140
Superior return ratios (ROIC) over the peers
100
Gland has high EBIT margins ~36% and Asset turns (2x) that reflects into health retorn ratios, 60
RoIC ~34% which is best in the industry. The company generates Rs 600-800 crore of free cash
20
flow per year despite high working capital requirements (172 days). Gland’s asset turn range of Nov-20 Dec-20 Jan-21 Mar-21
2.0x-2.3x stands higher than the peers in the industry.
Gland Pharma BSE Sensex
Key Financials (Consolidated)
(Rs Cr) FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E Source: Capitaline, Axis Securities
Net Sales 2,633 3,314 3,960 4,727
EBITDA 956 1,253 1,505 1,806
Net Profit 773 953 1,166 1,406
EPS (Rs.) 49.9 61.5 75.3 90.7
PER (x) 51.1 41.5 33.9 28.1 Ankush Mahajan
Research Analyst
EV/EBITDA (x) 40.0 30.2 24.7 20.1
P/BV (x) 10.8 8.9 7.2 5.9
email: ankush.mahajan@axissecurities.in
ROE (%) 21.2% 21.4% 21.3% 20.9%
Source: Company, Axis Research

1
Chart Story
Exhibit 1: The United States injectable market is estimated to be US$489 Exhibit 2: The value of injectables molecules which could lost patent
bn in 2025, growing at a CAGR of approximately 15.3% from 2020 to protection during 2020-2025 is appr0x. US$67.7 bn that is double the
2025, faster than the other segments. value of last 5 years.
(USD$ bn) (USD$ bn)

67.7

96
34.1

46
26 393
195
106
2015 2020 2025 2020 2025

Innovators Generics Loss of Exclusivity (USD$ bn)

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 4: Gland Pharma Ltd grew at a CAGR of approximately 38% from

Exhibit 3: In US, injectables market is fairly concentrated with a few 2014 to 2019 and was the fastest growing small molecule generic
therapies forming approximately 80% of the market by value injectables company in the United States market. Gland Pharma Ltd
(source: RHP, IQVIA). ranked 23rd in the list of small molecule generic injectables player in the
(USD$ bn) United States market. (Source: RHP, IQVIA).

38%

35 30%
13
20
22 16%
17 52 9%
11
15
15
27
98
47
-8% -9%
2015 2020
Anti-Neoplastic Anti-Infectives Blood-Rel C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 Gland
Ailmentary Tract Nervous System Others
Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 5: US: Demand Driven by Drug Shortages and 40-60% of US drug shortages are in injectables

US: 40-60% of US drug shortages are in injectablesrt

102 84
57 61 101
78

83 97 85 102
64 65

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Injectables Non-Injectables

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

2
Exhibit 6: Significant R&D Investment: Centralized R&D Team Exhibit 7: Translating revenue from new Launches, strong track record
comprises highly skilled 265 members of coming up with new complex products

4.7%
22.0%
3.8%
3.5%

13.0%
9.0%

FY18 FY19 FY20 FY18 FY19 FY20

R&D Expenditure (% of Revenue) % Revnue from new product launch

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 8: The Company has consistently invested in capacities across

various injectable dosage formulations and has emerged as one of the Exhibit 9: Gland’s asset turns are in the range of 2.0x-2.3x which is higher
largest injectable manufacturers globally. than the peers in the industry

2.3
250 250 250 2.1 2.1
2.0
1.7
1.5
165
127

49

FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E

Capex (INR Crore) Sales/Gross Block (x)

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 10: Revenue Break (INR Crore) - Geographic Revenue Breakdown

India
18%
Europe
4%
Canada
US 2%
67%
Australia
-1%
RoW
9%

Source: Company, Axis Securities

3
Global Injectable Market: One of the Largest and Fastest Growing Segment
The global injectable market, estimated to be US$432 billion in 2019, grew at ~10.1% CAGR from 2014 to 2019. The injectable is the second largest
form of drug delivery and it has grown faster than the global pharma market. Its market share by value has increased from 32% in 2014 to 39% in
2019. Faster-than-average growth has been primarily driven by:

 Immediate onset of action and higher bioavailability compared to other forms

 A unique capability of giving the administrator control over drug delivery to a specific location in a measured manner
 Development of self-injection devices like pen-injectors and auto-injectors improving the convenience of administration for patients
 Growth of Biologics
 Increase in the number of new drug formulations that are not very water-soluble and/or have very low permeability to allow for their
adequate absorption from the gastrointestinal tract following oral administration.

Global Generic Injectables Market

North America formed approximately 35% of the generic injectable market by value and grew at a CAGR of ~12.5% from 2014 to 2019. Over the
same period, the generic injectable market by value grew at a CAGR of ~8.9% and 9.8% in India and Europe, respectively.

The United States Injectable Market

Injectables in the United States constituted the largest format of drug delivery systems, accounting for approximately 46% share of the pharmaceutical
market by value in 2019. The country’s injectable market outpaced other segments and grew at ~13.6% CAGR from 2014 to 2019.

The value of injectables molecules that could lose patent protection during 2020-2025 is ~US$67.7 bn is double the value of the last 5 years. (source:
RHP, IQVIA).

Exhibit 11: The United States injectable market was estimated to be Exhibit 12: The value of injectables molecules which could lost patent
US$489 bn in 2025, growing at a CAGR of approximately 15.3% from protection during 2020-2025 is appr0x. US$67.7 bn that is double the
2020 to 2025, faster than the other segments. (USD$ bn) value of last 5 years. (USD$ bn)

67.7
96

46 34.1

393
26
195
106

2015 2020 2025 2020 2025

Innovators Generics Loss of Exclusivity (USD$ bn)

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

4
 Exhibit 14: Gland Pharma Ltd grew at a CAGR of approximately 38%
Exhibit 13: In US, injectables market is fairly concentrated with a few from 2014 to 2019 and was the fastest growing small-molecule generic
therapies forming approximately 80% of the market by value (source: injectables company in the United States market. Gland Pharma Ltd
RHP, IQVIA). ranked 23rd in the list of small molecule generic injectables player in the
(USD$ bn) United States market. (Source: RHP, IQVIA).

38%
35 30%
13
20
22 16%
17 52 9%
11
15
15
27 98
47

2015 2020 -8% -9%

Anti-Neoplastic Anti-Infectives Blood-Rel C1 C2 C3 C4 C5 Gland
Ailmentary Tract Nervous System Others

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 15: US: Demand Driven by Drug Shortages and 40-60% of US drug shortages are in injectables

US: 40-60% of US drug shortages are in injectablesrt

102 84
57 61 101
78

83 97 85 102
64 65

2014 2015 2016 2017 2018 2019

Injectables Non-Injectables

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 16: Growth of injectables has been among the fastest across all drug delivery formats

Rising prevalence of chronic  Increase in the prevalence of diabetes and other chronic diseases where treatment is primarily via
diseases injectables

Convenience and benefits of  There is a rising demand for self‐administered medications such as auto injectors, pen injectors,
New Drug Delivery Systems prefilled syringes (“PFS”) and needle-free injectors
(“NDDS”)

 Pharmaceutical companies are developing and investing heavily in the development of new
New market opportunities complex molecules to target new ailments that are now being treated through injectables solutions

Drug Shortages in the United  Approximately 40% of the overall drug shortages in the United States are in the injectables
States category

Source: Company, Axis Research

5
Diversified B2B-led Model Across Markets Complemented by B2C Model in India
Gland Pharma is one of the fastest-growing generic injectables-focused companies in the US market. It has established a successful track record of
operating the B2B model with leading companies. Leveraging its brand strength and sales network, Gland has successfully established the B2C
model in India which complements its B2B model overseas. It operates in 60+ countries, including the United States, Europe, Canada, Australia,
India, and the rest of the world.

US filings update: As of December 31, 2020, Gland along with partners had 282 ANDA filings in the United States, of which 226 were approved and
56 pending approval.

Exhibit 17: Revenue Break (INR Crore) - Geographic Revenue Breakdown

India
18%
Europe
4%
Canada
US 2%
67%

Australia
-1%
RoW
9%

Source: Company, Axis Securities

The revenue breakup between B2B and B2C businesses is 97% and 3% respectively. B2B IP-Led business accounted for ~69% of the revenue of
B2B business. B2B Technology business model involved the transfer of technology by clients accounted for 27% of revenue. In this business, the
client has developed the products, the technology required to manufacture, testing and packaging of such product is subsequently transferred to
Gland Pharma.

Exhibit 18: Gland’s B2B Model: Salient Features

B2B (Global) B2C (India)

B2B – IP Led
B2B Tech Transfer B2B CMO B2C
Own Filing Partner Filing

• Co-development with • Fill and finish service

• Out-license to Marketing partners • Direct marketing of
Overview partner
• Loan and license products
• Long term product supply contracts
• Manufacturing by Gland agreements

• License and milestone payments • Tech transfer fee

• Direct sale of
Revenue Model • Selling price per unit dose + Profit • Selling price per • Fixed per unit price
products
Share unit dose + Royalty

ANDA Ownership
    

IP Ownership  Co-owned   

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

6
Extensive product portfolio supported by internal R&D and regulatory capabilities
Based on strong R&D, Gland has created capabilities in the synthesis of low molecular weight injectables drugs, steroids and oncology drugs, and
developing complex injectables such as lyophilized products, high-potent drugs, and long-acting suspensions. In small molecules, Gland has reported
a CAGR of 38% in the last 5 years. Gland’ presence in large size molecules (given in the below table) will drive growth over a longer period. Further,
new launches add almost 10%-12% growth for the company every year.

Exhibit 19: Gland’ presence in large size molecules could drive growth over a longer period

Drug Size (USD Mn) No of players (Approx.)

Huminsulin 2,126 >10
Paclitaxel 150 >12
Heparin Sodium 2,013 >10
Enoxaprin Sodium 2,882 >10
Daptomycin 4,500 >8
Vancomycin 3,140 >20
Caspofungin 487 >6
Levetiracetam 1,150 >7
Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

US filings update:
As of December 31, 2020, Gland along with partners had 282 ANDA filings in the United States, of which 226 were approved and 56 pending
approval.

Exhibit 20: Gland has outpaced the peers by leveraging its strong product portfolio in generic injectables.
Revenue (Mn $) CY17 CY18 CY19 CY20 CAGR %
Gland 178 184 249 309 20.1%
Auro 155 222 378 374 34.1%
ikma 586 607 636 662 4.1%
Pfizer (Hospira) 2,600 2,800 3,081 3,362 8.9%
Fresenius Kabi 703 810 835 810 4.8%
Source: Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 21: Significant R&D Investment: Centralised R&D Team Exhibit 22: Translating revenue from new Launches, strong track record
comprises highly skilled 265 members of coming up with new complex products

4.7%
22.0%
3.8%
3.5%

13.0%
9.0%

FY18 FY19 FY20 FY18 FY19 FY20

R&D Expenditure (% of Revenue) % Revnue from new product launch

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

7
Extensive and Vertically Integrated Manufacturing Capabilities With Consistent Compliance Track Record:
Gland has seven manufacturing facilities including two sterile injectables facilities, one dedicated Penems facility one oncology facility and three API
facilities. The 3 API facilities provide in-house manufacturing capabilities for critical APIs, thereby controlling costs and quality and mitigating supply
chain-related risks around key products. These facilities could manufacture 76.7 crore units for finished formulation and 11,000 kg of APIs per year.

Gland’s manufacturing capacities provides strong scale benefits and its strong focus on quality and ability to provide reliable supplies to partners at
competitive costs has helped the company capture a high market share in high volume products across different dosage/delivery systems. The
facilities audit done by Grand’ key partners helped the company to handle compliance in a better way that results in no USFDA warnings letters
since the inception of each facility.

Consistent Compliance Track Record

 No USFDA warnings letters since the inception of each facility
 Certified as GMP compliant at all manufacturing facilities by the USFDA
 Certain facilities certified by the MHRA (UK), ANVISA (Brazil), AGES (Austria), TGA (Australia) and BGV Hamburg (Germany)
 35+ audits per year on average, including customer audits and regulatory agency audits
 GMP certifications for facilities

Exhibit 23: Key facilities:

Dundigal, Hyderabad Pashamylaram, Hyderabad Vishakhapatnam

• Sterile Injectables Facility • Sterile InjectablesFacility • OncologyFacility

(Flagship) • PenemsFacility • 2 APIFacilities
• APIFacility

Source: Company, Axis Securities

Exhibit 24: The Company has consistently invested in capacities across

various injectable dosage formulations and has emerged as one of the Exhibit 25: Gland’s asset turns are in the range of 2.0x-2.3x which is
largest injectable manufacturers globally. higher than the peers in the industry

2.1 2.3
250 250 250 2.0 2.1
1.7
1.5
165
127

49

FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E

Capex (INR Crore) Sales/Gross Block (x)

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

High entry barriers

According to the IQVIA Report, injectable manufacturers face high entry barriers such as high capital investments, operational costs, manufacturing
complexities, stricter compliance requirement (because of the sterile nature of products) and high-quality standards resulting in limited competition
in the market. Many pharmaceutical companies generally outsource the manufacturing of injectables due to significant costs involved in setting up
injectables facilities, the length of time required for the development and manufacturing of injectables as well as stringent requirements relating to
the quality and safety of injectable products, among other things. Accordingly, Gland Pharma face and will face significant competition from
pharmaceutical companies that adopt the B2B model and focus on the generic injectables markets such as Recipharm AB, Catalent, Inc., Lonza
Group AG and Piramal Pharma Solutions. In the B2C market, they also compete in India with other injectables manufacturers and distributors. The
primary competitive factors consist of compliance record, price, and size of product portfolio. To stay ahead of its competitors, Gland Pharma regularly
updates existing technology and develops new technology for its manufacturing activities.

8
Details of the Promoters
The company was incorporated as ‘Gland Pharma Private Limited’ on March 20, 1978 as a private limited company. Fosun Singapore and Shanghai
Fosun Pharma are the Promoters of the company.

As on the date Fosun Singapore holds 114,662,620 Equity Shares which aggregates to 74% of the pre-Offer, issued, subscribed and paid-up Equity
Share capital of the company.

Shanghai Fosun Pharma holds 100% of the share capital of Fosun Industrial Co., Limited, which holds 100% of the share capital of Fosun Singapore.
Shanghai Fosun Pharma does not directly hold any of the pre-Offer, issued, subscribed and paid-up Equity Share capital of the Gland Pharma Ltd.

Key Management Personnel Experience

He is the Chairman and Independent Director of the company. He is a director on the board of directors of
Solasia Pharma K. K. and TaiLai Bioscience Ltd. He was previously the chief executive officer of Amsino Medical
Yiu Kwan Stanley Lau Group, the chief operating officer of Eddingpharm Investment Co. Ltd, and the president of China Biologic
Products, Inc. He has also worked with Merck Sharp & Dohme (Asia) Ltd and Baxter (China) Investment Co.,
Ltd.

He is the MD and CEO of the company. He has previously worked at Natco Pharma Limited and is presently a
Srinivas Sadu director on the board of Sadu Advisory Services Pvt. Ltd. He has over 21 years of experience in business
operations and management.

He is the Non-Executive Nominee Director of the company. He is the global partner of the Fosun group. He is
Qiyu Chen also the executive director and chairman on the board of Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co. Ltd.,
chairman of Shanghai Fosun High Technology (Group) Co

He is the Non-Executive Nominee Director of the company. He has served as a senior vice president of
Dongming Li Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical Industry Co., Ltd since April 2017. He is also the vice president of Shanghai
Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co., Ltd.

He is the Non-Executive Nominee Director of the company. She joined the Fosun group in May 2000. She is
Xiaohui Guan the senior vice president and chief financial officer of Shanghai Fosun Pharmaceutical (Group) Co. Ltd. and
nonexecutive director of Sinopharm Group Co. Ltd.

He is a Non-Executive Nominee Director of the company. He was the chairman and chief executive officer of
Wanbang Biopharma from April 2011 to July 2020. He has been associated with Shanghai Fosun
Yifang Wu Pharmaceutical (Group) Co. Ltd since 2004, and is presently an executive director and chairman on its board
of directors and its chief executive officer.

He is a Non-Executive Nominee Director of the company. He has been associated with the Vetter/ Vetter
Udo Johannes Vetter Pharma group of companies since 1987, and is currently the chairman on the board of directors of Vetter
Pharma

He is the CFO of the company. He has over 20 years of experience in finance. Prior to joining the company, he
has worked at Indian Oil Corporation Ltd, Vedanta-Sterlite Industries (India) Ltd, Ranbaxy Laboratories Ltd (now
Ravi Shekhar Mitra merged with Sun Pharmaceutical Industries Ltd) and Wockhardt Ltd. He joined the company as the CFO on
September 30, 2019.

9
Valuations and Outlook
We initiate coverage on Gland Pharma Ltd with a “BUY” rating and a target price of Rs 2,900 (P/E of 32x for FY23E earnings), implying an
upside potential of 15% from the current levels. In the US, Injectables Market is expected to grow at 15.3% CAGR primarily due to doubling of
the value (~USD$ 67.7 bn) of molecules losing exclusivity over 2020-2025E. Gland Pharma has developed complex injectables such as lyophilized
products, high-potent drugs, and long-acting suspensions having 282 ANDA filings in the United States, of which 226 were approved and 56 pending
approval. The manufacturing facilities’ audit is conducted by Marketer companies partners ensures its compliance with the regulatory requirements
all the time. This has resulted into zero USFDA warnings letters since the inception to any of the company’s facility. Gland has high EBIT margins of
~36% and Asset turns of 2x culminating into healthy RoIC of ~34% which stands best in the industry.

Exhibit 26: EPS

90.7

75.3
61.5
49.9

29.2
20.8

FY18 FY19 FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E

EPS (Rs)

Source: Company, Axis Securities Research

Exhibit 27: Peers comparison

CMP Mcap PE (x) EV/EBITDA (x) RoE (%)

(INR) (INR Cr) FY21E FY22E FY23E FY21E FY22E FY23E FY21E FY22E FY23E

DR REDDY 4,485 74,541 27.2 24.3 22 16.1 14 12.1 15.3 14.8 14.3

CIPLA 810 65,155 28 24.8 16.9 15.3 13.8 9.6 13.3 13.4 16.9

AUROBINDO 861 50,369 15.6 13.9 12.1 9.6 8.2 6.9 16.3 15.7 15.5

TORRENT PHARMA 2,475 41,885 34.5 28.3 23.9 17.1 14.9 13.2 21.4 22.7 22.6

SUN PHARMA 614 1,44,000 28 25 21.5 16.4 14.1 12.1 10.9 11.6 11.6

BIOCON LTD 393 47,160 55.3 43.1 31.8 27.6 22.4 17.3 10.5 12.1 14.3

LUPIN LTD 1,050 47,565 46.6 30.9 23.6 20.4 15.3 12.3 7.6 10.3 12.1

Gland Pharma Ltd 2,550 39,512 41.5 33.9 28.1 30.2 24.7 20.1 21.4 21.3 20.9

Average 34.6 28 22.5 19.1 15.9 12.9 14.6 15.2 16

Source: RHP, Company, Axis Securities

Key Risks:
 Top-5 products account for 40-45% of Gland’s US sales, where competition is still limited in Enoxaparin and Caspofungin.

 Discontinuation of export incentives can impact Gland’s Ebitda margins by ~200bps in the near-term. Gland could offsets this impact,

through operational cost improvements.

 Higher USFDA scrutiny on injectables facilities, although frequent customer audits have helped Gland to stay clear of USFDA issues so

far.

10
Financials (Consolidated)
Profit & Loss (Rs Cr)
Y/E March FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
Net sales 2,633 3,314 3,960 4,727
Other operating income 0 0 0 0
Net Revenue 2,633 3,314 3,960 4,727

Cost of goods sold 1,102 1,392 1,655 1,967

Contribution (%) 41.8% 42.0% 41.8% 41.6%
Other operating costs 576 670 800 955

EBITDA 956 1,253 1,505 1,806

Other income 139 139 190 228

PBIDT 1,095 1,391 1,695 2,034

Depreciation 95 112 129 147
Interest & Fin Chg. 7 0 0 0
E/o income / (Expense) 0 0 0 0
Pre-tax profit 993 1,280 1,566 1,887
Tax provision 220 326 399 481
(-) Minority Interests 0 0 0 0
Associates 0 0 0 0
Adjusted PAT 773 953 1,166 1,406
Other Comprehensive Income 0 0 0 0
Reported PAT 773 953 1,166 1,406
Source: Company, Axis Securities

Balance Sheet (Rs Cr)

Y/E March FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
Total assets 4,086 4,969 6,076 7,438
Net Block 1,156 1,295 1,415 1,519
CWIP 188 188 188 188
Investments 0 0 0 0
Wkg. cap. (excl cash) 1,109 1,371 1,617 1,904
Cash / Bank balance 1,325 1,687 2,307 3,136
Misc. Assets 0 0 0 0

Capital employed 4,086 4,969 6,076 7,438

Equity capital 15.5 15.5 15.5 15.5
Reserves 3,631 4,440 5,462 6,723
Pref. Share Capital 0 0 0 0
Minority Interests 0 0 0 0
Borrowings 4 4 4 4
Def tax Liabilities 74 74 74 74
Source: Company, Axis Securities

11
Cash Flow (Rs Cr)
Y/E March FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
PBT 993 1,280 1,566 1,887
Add: depreciation 95 112 129 147
Add: Interest 7 0 0 0
Cash flow from operations 1,095 1,391 1,695 2,034
Change in working capital 74 309 281 329
Taxes 220 326 399 481
Miscellaneous expenses 0 0 0 0
Net cash from operations 800 756 1,015 1,223
Capital expenditure -198 -250 -250 -250
Change in Investments 0 0 0 0
Net cash from investing -198 -250 -250 -250
Increase/Decrease in debt -1 0 0 0
Dividends 0 -144 -144 -144
Proceedings from equity 0 0 0 0
Interest -7 0 0 0
Others -23 0 0 0
Net cash from financing -31 -145 -145 -145
Net Inc./(Dec.) in Cash 572 362 620 829
Opening cash balance 753 1,325 1,687 2,307
Closing cash balance 1,325 1,687 2,307 3,136
Source: Company, Axis Securities

Ratio Analysis (%)

Y/E March FY20 FY21E FY22E FY23E
Sales growth 28.8 25.9 19.5 19.4

OPM 36.3 37.8 38.0 38.2

Oper. profit growth 35.3 31.1 20.1 20.0
COGS / Net sales 41.8 42.0 41.8 41.6
Overheads/Net sales 21.9 20.2 20.2 20.2
Depreciation / G. block 7.0 7.0 7.0 7.0
Effective interest rate 22.2 25.5 25.5 25.5

Net wkg.cap / Net sales 0.4 0.4 0.4 0.4

Net sales / Gr block (x) 2.0 2.1 2.1 2.3

RoCE 34.4 38.2 39.9 42.0

Debt / equity (x) 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Effective tax rate 22.2 25.5 25.5 25.5
RoE 21.2 21.4 21.3 20.9
Payout ratio (Div/NP) 0.0 15.1 12.4 10.3

EPS (Rs.) 49.9 61.5 75.3 90.7

EPS Growth 70.9 23.3 22.4 20.5
CEPS (Rs.) 45.5 37.1 30.5 25.4
DPS (Rs.) 0.0 9.3 9.3 9.3
Source: Company, Axis Securities

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 About the analyst

Analyst: Ankush Mahajan

Contact Details: ankush.mahajan@axissecurites.in

Sector:Midcaps/ Pharma Sector

Analyst Bio: Ankush Mahajan is MBA (Finance) from SMVDU with over 12 years of research experience in the
Midcaps/ Pharma Sector

Disclosures:

The following Disclosures are being made in compliance with the SEBI Research Analyst Regulations 2014 (herein after referred to as the Regulations).
1. Axis Securities Ltd. (ASL) is a SEBI Registered Research Analyst having registration no. INH000000297. ASL, the Research Entity (RE) as defined in the
Regulations, is engaged in the business of providing Stock broking services, Depository participant services & distribution of various financial products. ASL is a
subsidiary company of Axis Bank Ltd. Axis Bank Ltd. is a listed public company and one of India’s largest private sector bank and has its various subsidiaries
engaged in businesses of Asset management, NBFC, Merchant Banking, Trusteeship, Venture Capital, Stock Broking, the details in respect of which are available
on www.axisbank.com.
2. ASL is registered with the Securities & Exchange Board of India (SEBI) for its stock broking & Depository participant business activities and with the Association of
Mutual Funds of India (AMFI) for distribution of financial products and also registered with IRDA as a corporate agent for insurance business activity.
3. ASL has no material adverse disciplinary history as on the date of publication of this report.
4. I/We, Ankush Mahajan, MBA - (Finance), author/s and the name/s subscribed to this report, hereby certify that all of the views expressed in this research report
accurately reflect my/our views about the subject issuer(s) or securities. I/We (Research Analyst) also certify that no part of my/our compensation was, is, or will be
directly or indirectly related to the specific recommendation(s) or view(s) in this report. I/we or my/our relative or ASL does not have any financial interest in the
subject company. Also I/we or my/our relative or ASL or its Associates may have beneficial ownership of 1% or more in the subject company at the end of the month
immediately preceding the date of publication of the Research Report. Since associates of ASL are engaged in various financial service businesses, they might
have financial interests or beneficial ownership in various companies including the subject company/companies mentioned in this report. I/we or my/our relative or
ASL or its associate does not have any material conflict of interest. I/we have not served as director / officer, etc. in the subject company in the last 12-month period.
Any holding in stock – No
5. 5. ASL has not received any compensation from the subject company in the past twelve months. ASL has not been engaged in market making activity for the subject
company.
6. In the last 12-month period ending on the last day of the month immediately preceding the date of publication of this research report, ASL or any of its associates
may have:

Received compensation for investment banking, merchant banking or stock broking services or for any other services from the subject company of this research report
and / or;
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report;
ASL or any of its associates have not received compensation or other benefits from the subject company of this research report or any other third-party in connection with
this report.

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 DEFINITION OF RATINGS

Ratings Expected absolute returns over 12-18 months

BUY More than 10%

HOLD Between 10% and -10%

SELL Less than -10%

NOT RATED We have forward looking estimates for the stock but we refrain from assigning valuation and recommendation

UNDER REVIEW We will revisit our recommendation, valuation and estimates on the stock following recent events

NO STANCE We do not have any forward looking estimates, valuation or recommendation for the stock

Disclaimer:
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Copyright in this document vests with Axis Securities Limited.
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