V-Mart: Annual Report FY18: Improvement Across Key Parameters

Download as pdf or txt
Download as pdf or txt
You are on page 1of 14

COMPANY NOTE

Target | Estimate Change

India | Consumer | Retailing: Broadlines/Hardlines 8 July 2018

V-Mart (VMART IN) HOLD

EQUITY RESEARCH INDIA


Price target INR2,580.00
Annual Report FY18: Improvement Across (from INR2,200.00)
Price INR2,812.55^
Key Parameters
Key Takeaway
FY18 AR highlights management's strong execution and focus on being ahead
of the curve. More expansion in Tier 4 cities, investment in datacentre and
analytics, improvement in RoE and a 4th consecutive year of FCF generation Financial Summary
highlight same. VMART, with 62% of its stores in Tier 3 & 4 cities, is a key Net Debt (MM): (INR1,086.0)
beneficiary of rural recovery and recent MSP hikes with likely another normal
Market Data
monsoon should be positive for it. Maintain HOLD with revised PT of INR2,580.
52 Week Range: INR2,900.00 -
Top line: 8.9% SSSG in FY18 (base of 13% YoY) was helped by improved price value INR1,015.05
equation (SSSG in volume terms at 24%) and increased assortment (~15% increase in SKUs). Total Entprs. Value (MM): INR49.5BN
Lower GST rate on products of less than INR1000 MRP helped the price/value equation Market Cap. (MM): INR50.6BN
as 85% of revenue consists of below- INR1000 MRP products. Management targets further Shares Out. (MM): 18.0
improvement in price/ value equation and top-line growth (up 22% in FY18). Float (MM): 8.4
Margins: Gross/EBITDA margin improved 223bp/240bp YoY respectively. Margins were Avg. Daily Vol.: 43,102
helped by improved mix (80bp increase in fashion), private label mix (improved from 20%
of sales in FY17 to 49% in FY18) and reduced shrinkage. ASP for the company increased
~10% CAGR over FY13-18, higher than inflation, highlighting uptrading. Management aims
maintain margin.

Stores: Store expansion picked up in FY18 with additions of 31 new stores (total of 171
stores) from 20 stores in FY17. Expansion increased in Tier 4 cities, which accounted for
10.5% of stores in FY18, increasing from 2% in FY17. With entry into Tier 4 cities, VMART
is again the first mover, similar to how it started by expanding in Tier 3 and 4 cities. The
conversion ratio, at 57%, continues to fall (down 260bp YoY), affected by declining share of
kirana and also due to increasing competition. Management will focus in Tier 2,3 and 4 cities
and will open stores via internal accruals.

Working capital: Core working capital days improved to 55 days in FY18 from 57 days in
FY17 largely led by improvement in payable days from 66 days to 72 days, result of vendor
consolidation measures taken by company. Inventory days (on COGS) were up to 127 days
from 123 days.

Cash flow and return ratio: OCF fell 6% YoY to INR6.4bn as absolute working capital
rose YoY (core WC to sales increased to 11.5% from 10.9%). FCF stood at INR1.76bn in Tanmay Sharma, CFA *
FY18 (INR2.96bn in FY17) as capex rose YoY. VMART remains cash positive, with net cash of Equity Analyst
+91 2242246129 tsharma@jefferies.com
INR4.7bn (INR2.9bn in FY17). RoCE and RoE improved 990bp and 760bp YoY, respectively. Varun Lohchab *
Equity Analyst
Estimates: We raise our top-line and EBITDA estimates by ~2% and ~4%, respectively, on +91 22 4224 6115 vlohchab@jefferies.com
strong execution and better than expected retail traction in Q1FY19, * Jefferies India Private Limited
INR Prev. 2017A Prev. 2018A Prev. 2019E Prev. 2020E
Price Performance
Rev. (MM) -- 10,017.0 -- 12,224.0 14,209.0 14,356.0 16,198.0 16,522.0
EV/Rev 4.9x 4.1x 3.5x 3.0x 3,000

EBITDA (MM) -- 848.0 -- 1,328.0 1,535.0 1,579.0 1,750.0 1,818.0


EV/EBITDA 58.4x 37.3x 31.4x 27.2x 2,500

Net Profit -- 439.0 -- 777.0 836.0 866.0 952.0 999.0


ROE -- 17.5% -- 25.2% 21.6% 22.3% 20.3% 21.1% 2,000
EPS
FY Mar -- 24.30 -- 43.10 46.30 48.00 52.80 55.30
1,500
FY P/E NM 65.3x 58.6x 50.9x

1,000
JUL-17 NOV-17 MAR-18 JUL-18

^Prior trading day's closing price unless


otherwise noted.

Please see analyst certifications, important disclosure information, and information regarding the status of non-US analysts on pages 10 to 14 of this report.
VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Key highlights from MD&A

Business environment and industry

 Organised retail accounts for about 7% of the Indian retail sector.


 Benefited from the fact that GST for apparel with MRP less than INR1000 attracts
the lowest rate, of 5%.
 Management believes that tax rates and laws will become more favourable to
the organized retail sector, which should help narrow the pricing advantage of
the unorganized sector.
 Increased penetration of smartphones is influencing customer consumption
trends.
 In India, out of 5000 towns (with population of more than 0.2mn), only about
500 have organized retail.

Business and supply chain

 Company gets 85% of its revenue from apparel with MRP of below INR1000.
 Improved the price/value equation further in the business.
 Investing in trend analytics and digitalization to help improve product mix.
 Improved the store layout, ambience and visual merchandising during FY18.
 Did vendor consolidation which also resulted in lower cost of procurement.
 The company has increased its merchandise over the years. This has increased
from 3986 SKUs in FY17 to 4591 SKUs in FY18.
 Has set up a new data center, invested in IT infrastructure, deployed retail
analytics software.

Stores

 Ventured into Tier 4 towns more aggressively, with 19 store addition during
FY18.
 86% of the revenues of the company came from non-metro locations.
 Opened 31 stores during FY18.
 Will open stores only in Tier 2,3 and 4 cities; store openings will be in areas
where the company believes it can break even by the end of the first quarter of
launch and be net positive by the end of first year of operation.
 Store openings will happen via internal accruals.
 Intends to deepen store footprints by opening stores within 100 to 150 KMs of
existing stores.

Focus areas and outlook

 Will revamp and widen presence on social and digital media.


 Commissioning stores in North East India.
 Scaling up the warehousing capacity and reduce the turnaround time.
 86% of the revenues of the company came from non-metro locations.
 Target is to improve revenue growth while maintaining margins.

page 2 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Key operational exhibits


Exhibit 1: SSSG for Fashion business stood at ~9% YoY, Exhibit 2: SSSG in volume terms at 24% YoY is higher than
despite high base of 13% YoY growth overall value led by GST rate cut and entry into Tier 4 cities,
25.0
where value offered to consumers is even higher
30.0
20.0
25.0
15.0
20.0

10.0 15.0

5.0 10.0

0.0 5.0
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
0.0
(5.0) FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
(5.0)
SSSG (%)
Overall SSSG (%) SSSG (volumes) (%)
Source: Jefferies, company data
Source: Jefferies, company data

Exhibit 3: Derived sales per sq ft is up ~2% in FY18 to Exhibit 4: ASP in fashion is up 9.8% CAGR over FY13-18;
~INR9300 per sq ft FY18 ASP is down due to GST rate cuts
10,000.0 400.0
9,000.0 350.0
8,000.0
300.0
7,000.0
6,000.0 250.0

5,000.0 200.0
4,000.0 150.0
3,000.0
100.0
2,000.0
1,000.0 50.0

0.0 0.0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Derived Sales per sq ft (INR) Fashion ASP (INR) Total ASP (INR)

Source: Jefferies, company data Source: Jefferies, company data

Exhibit 5: Total footfalls increased 23% YoY; footfall per Exhibit 6: Share of higher margins fashion increased by
store is up 1.2% YoY in FY18 80bps YoY in FY18, up ~1300bps over FY13-18
35.0 0.18 95.0

30.0
0.18 90.0
25.0
0.17 85.0
20.0

15.0 0.17 80.0

10.0
0.16 75.0
5.0

0.0 0.16 70.0


FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Foot falls (mn) Foot falls per st ore (mn)(rhs) Share of Fashion (%)

Source: Jefferies, company data Source: Jefferies, company data

page 3 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Exhibit 7: Share of private label mix increased to 49% from Exhibit 8: Shrinkage in the business at all time low,
20% in FY18 – margins slightly better in private label suggesting improved internal controls and processes
60.0 2.0
1.8
50.0
1.6
1.4
40.0
1.2
30.0 1.0
0.8
20.0
0.6
0.4
10.0
0.2
0.0 0.0
FY17 FY18 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Private label mix (%) Shrinkage (%)

Source: Jefferies, company data Source: Jefferies, company data

Exhibit 9: Conversion ratio is down 260bps YoY and Exhibit 10: Total stores stood at 171 at the end of FY18 with
1160bps over FY13-18, indicating some customer fatigue total area of 1.4mn sq ft
80.0 180.0 1.6

70.0 160.0 1.4

60.0 140.0 1.2


120.0
50.0 1.0
100.0
40.0 0.8
80.0
30.0 0.6
60.0
20.0 40.0 0.4

10.0 20.0 0.2

0.0 0.0 -
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Conversion ratio (% ) Stores (nos) Area (mn sq ft) (rhs)

Source: Jefferies, company data Source: Jefferies, company data

Exhibit 11: Pace of store addition has picked up, added 31 Exhibit 12: Size per store at ~8400 sq ft is largely stable in
new stores in FY18 FY18, but increased since FY13
35.0 8,500.0

30.0 8,400.0

25.0
8,300.0
20.0
8,200.0
15.0
8,100.0
10.0

5.0 8,000.0

0.0 7,900.0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Net store addition Size per store (sq ft)

Source: Jefferies, company data Source: Jefferies, company data

page 4 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Exhibit 13: Increased expansion in Tier 4 cities which now Exhibit 14: 63% of the stores remain in UP and Bihar in
forms 10.5% of total stores in FY18 from 2.1% in FY17 FY18, like FY17
100.0 2.1
10.5
90.0
80.0
70.0 23
56.0
50.9
60.0
42
50.0
6
40.0
30.0
28.4 25.7 8
20.0
10.0 21
13.5 12.9
0.0
FY17 FY18

Metro and Tier I Tier II Tier III Tier IV UP Bihar Jharkhand Odisha Ot hers

Source: Jefferies, company data Source: Jefferies, company data

Key financial exhibits


Exhibit 15: Strong revenue growth at 22% YoY in FY18 Exhibit 16: Gross margin up 223bps YoY in FY18, GMs are
helped by strong store expansion largely stagnant from FY13 to FY17
14,000.0 60.0 33.0

12,000.0 50.0 32.0

10,000.0 31.0
40.0
8,000.0 30.0
30.0
6,000.0 29.0
20.0
4,000.0 28.0

2,000.0 10.0 27.0

0.0 - 26.0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Revenues (INR mn) Revenue growth (%) (rhs) Gross margins (%)

Source: Jefferies, company data Source: Jefferies, company data

Exhibit 17: Cost items as a % of sales Exhibit 18: EBITDA margin expanded by 240bps YoY in
12.0
FY18, however only 70bps higher than FY13 levels
12.0
10.0

8.0 10.0

6.0 8.0

4.0 6.0

2.0 4.0

-
2.0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Staff costs (% of sales) Rentals (% of sales) 0.0


FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
Ot her expenses (% of sales)
EBIT DA margins (%)
Source: Jefferies, company data
Source: Jefferies, company data

page 5 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Exhibit 19: Stellar growth in profitability during FY18 Exhibit 20: RoCE and RoE is up by 992bps YoY and 763bps
900.0 YoY respectively in FY18
800.0 40.0

700.0 35.0
600.0 30.0
500.0 25.0
400.0
20.0
300.0
15.0
200.0
10.0
100.0
5.0
0.0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 0.0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
PAT (INR mn)
RoCE (% ) RoE (%)

Source: Jefferies, company data


Source: Jefferies, company data

Exhibit 21: Net working capital days is down to 55 days in Exhibit 22: Working capital improvement largely led by
FY18 from 57 days in FY17, sustaining improvement increase in payable days
100.0 160.0
90.0 140.0
80.0
120.0
70.0
60.0 100.0

50.0 80.0
40.0 60.0
30.0
40.0
20.0
10.0 20.0

0.0 0.0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Net working capital days Inventory days (on COGS) Payable days (on COGS)

Source: Jefferies, company data Source: Jefferies, company data

Exhibit 23: Core working capital as a % of sale remains Exhibit 24: CFO is down 6% YoY due to higher working
steady in FY18, though has come down over the years capital, though both FCFF and OCF remains strong
1,600.0 25.0 800.0
700.0
1,400.0
20.0 600.0
1,200.0 500.0
1,000.0 400.0
15.0
300.0
800.0
200.0
600.0 10.0
100.0

400.0 0.0
5.0 (100.0)
200.0
(200.0)
0.0 - (300.0)
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18

Core working capit al (INR mn) Core working capit al (% of sales) Cash flow from operation (INR mn) Free cash flow (INR mn)

Source: Jefferies, company data Source: Jefferies, company data

page 6 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Exhibit 25: Company remains debt free Exhibit 26: Total company level capex per sq ft came down
500.0 in FY18 despite sharp store addition
400.0 2,500.0
300.0
200.0
2,000.0
100.0
0.0
1,500.0
(100.0)
(200.0)
(300.0) 1,000.0
(400.0)
(500.0) 500.0
(600.0)
FY12 FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18 0.0
FY13 FY14 FY15 FY16 FY17 FY18
Net debt (INR mn)
Cash flow derived capex per sq ft (INR)
Source: Jefferies, company data
Source: Jefferies, company data

Exhibit 27: Snapshot of ESOP granted – no significant impact


FY18 FY17
Number of options granted 15695 76225
Person granted options and number Mr Anand Agarwal, CFO - Mr. Rajan Sharma, President
of options 11735 Procurement and Sourcing
– 8540
Mr Venugopal, VP, Retail Sale Mr. Deepak Sharma,
Operation - 3960 Erstwhile CFO – 7230
Mr. Snehal Shah, SVP, Ops
and marketing – 5430
Mr. Venugopal, VP, Retail
Store Operation – 2940
Mr. Ramesh K Agarwal, VP,
SCM – 2050
Mrs. Anjali Goel, AVP, HR –
1930
Mr. M Srnivasan, VP, SCM
and Planning – 1470
Mr. Dinesh Srivastava, AVP,
IT – 2340
Impact on Profiit (INR mn) 11.87mn (not significant 0.7mn (no significant
impact) impact)
Exercise price First 6395 options at INR900 INR470
Remaining 9300 options at
INR1260
Exercise price discount to market 11% 8%
price (%) on date of grant
Source: Jefferies, company data

page 7 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Financials
Table 1: Profit and loss statement
Rs mn FY16 FY17 FY18 FY19E FY20E
Net Sales 8,093 10,017 12,224 14,356 16,522
Cost of goods sold 5,712 7,028 8,303 9,733 11,202
as % of sales 70.6 70.2 67.9 67.8 67.8
Employee cost 623 783 984 1,120 1,289
as % of sales 7.7 7.8 8.0 7.8 7.8
Rental cost 400 452 526 632 738
as % of sales 4.9 4.5 4.3 4.4 4.5
Other expenses 737 908 1,083 1,292 1,475
as % of sales 9.1 9.1 8.9 9.0 8.9
Total Expenditure 7,472 9,170 10,896 12,777 14,703
EBITDA 621 848 1,328 1,579 1,818
EBITDA % 7.7 8.5 10.9 11.0 11.0
Depreciation 190 186 229 328 379
Other income 10 41 41 48 55
Interest expense 31 35 15 26 26
Extraordinary income/expense 12 - - - -
PBT 422 668 1,125 1,273 1,469
Tax 147 229 348 407 470
Tax rate % 34.8 34.3 30.9 32.0 32.0
PAT (Reported) 276 439 777 866 999
PAT (Adjusted) 263 439 777 866 999
Source: Jefferies estimates, company data

Table 2: Balance sheet


Rs mn FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Inventories 2,044 2,692 3,071 3,333 3,836
Sundry debtors - - - - -
Loans & advances 82 34 1 - -
Other current assets 1 0 142 142 142
Cash & cash equivalents 236 648 473 1,089 1,697
Current assets 2,364 3,374 3,686 4,564 5,675
Net fixed assets 1,126 1,315 1,483 1,617 1,700
Goodwill - - - - -
Investments 130 58 63 63 63
Deferred tax asset, net 42 70 92 92 92
Miscellaneous expenditure - - - - -
Other assets 169 174 175 175 175
Total assets 3,832 4,990 5,499 6,511 7,705

Current liabilities 1,089 1,739 1,938 2,137 2,418


Provisions 82 75 42 42 42
Long-term debt - 6 3 3 3
Short-term debt 270 349 - - -
Other liabilities 84 118 42 42 42
Minority interests - - - - -
Shareholder's equity 2,307 2,703 3,474 4,288 5,201
Total liabilities & equity 3,832 4,990 5,499 6,512 7,706
Source: Jefferies estimates, company data

page 8 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Table 3: Cash flow statement


Rs mn FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Cash flow from operations (a) 461 687 643 1,108 1,127
Cash flow from inv (b) (372) (728) (151) (414) (407)
Financial cash flow (c ) (96) 49 (384) (78) (112)
Net inc/dec in cash (a+b+c) (6) 8 109 616 608
Opening cash and bank balances 49 21 29 196 812
Change in other bank balances 43 29 196 812 1,420
Closing cash and bank balances 461 687 643 1,108 1,127
Source: Jefferies estimates, company data

Table 4: Key ratios


FY16 FY17 FY18E FY19E FY20E
Diluted EPS 15.3 24.3 43.1 48.0 55.3
BVPS (Rs) 128 150 193 238 288
Dividend per share 1.5 1.6 2.1 2.9 4.8
Dividend payout % 9.9 5.5 4.0 5.0 7.2
Capex (Rs mn) (260) (415) (478) (442) (442)
FCFF (Rs mn) 222 296 176 683 702
SSSG (%) (1.1) 13.0 8.9 8.0 7.0

Valuation (x)
PE 180.2 108.1 61.0 54.8 47.5
EV/EBITDA 76.4 55.7 35.3 29.3 25.1
EV/Sales 5.9 4.7 3.8 3.2 2.8
PBV 20.5 17.6 13.6 11.1 9.1

Profitability Ratios
ROCE % 17.9 25.0 34.9 33.4 31.5
ROE% 12.1 17.5 25.2 22.3 21.1

Turnover Ratios
Inventory in days 124 123 127 125 125
Debtor days - - - - -
Creditors turnover days 55 66 72 70 70
Wkg. Capital cycle 69 57 55 55 55
Source: Jefferies estimates, company data

page 9 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Company Description
V-Mart
V-Mart operates in the value retail format primarily in the tier 2 and 3 cities of India offering apparels, general merchandise and household
goods. “Price Less Fashion” is the main motto to company focusing on providing the best value to the consumer in smaller towns. The
company has a higher presence in the states of Bihar and Uttar Pradesh where it has been following the cluster model of expansion.

Company Valuation/Risks
V-Mart
Given improved outlook for recovery in rural growth led by recent MSP hikes and likely third consecutive year of normal monsoon we increase
our target multiple to 25x FY20 EBITDA (from 22x earlier) to arrive at PT of INR2,580 (from INR2,200 earlier). We maintain HOLD as we believe
that valuations at CMP (27x EV/EBITDA FY20E) outweigh the fundamentals.. Upside risk: 1) Strong and sustained SSSG which leads to further
improvement in margins, 2) sharp increase in rural spending, especially in U.P and Bihar; and 3) any M&A activity in the company resulting
in uptrend in valuations; Downside risk: sharp fall in SSSG due to increasing competition.

Analyst Certification:
I, Tanmay Sharma, CFA, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject
security(ies) and subject company(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific
recommendations or views expressed in this research report.
I, Varun Lohchab, certify that all of the views expressed in this research report accurately reflect my personal views about the subject security(ies) and
subject company(ies). I also certify that no part of my compensation was, is, or will be, directly or indirectly, related to the specific recommendations
or views expressed in this research report.
Registration of non-US analysts: Tanmay Sharma, CFA is employed by Jefferies India Private Limited, a non-US affiliate of Jefferies LLC and is not
registered/qualified as a research analyst with FINRA. This analyst(s) may not be an associated person of Jefferies LLC, a FINRA member firm, and
therefore may not be subject to the FINRA Rule 2241 and restrictions on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading
securities held by a research analyst.
Registration of non-US analysts: Varun Lohchab is employed by Jefferies India Private Limited, a non-US affiliate of Jefferies LLC and is not
registered/qualified as a research analyst with FINRA. This analyst(s) may not be an associated person of Jefferies LLC, a FINRA member firm, and
therefore may not be subject to the FINRA Rule 2241 and restrictions on communications with a subject company, public appearances and trading
securities held by a research analyst.
As is the case with all Jefferies employees, the analyst(s) responsible for the coverage of the financial instruments discussed in this report receives
compensation based in part on the overall performance of the firm, including investment banking income. We seek to update our research as
appropriate, but various regulations may prevent us from doing so. Aside from certain industry reports published on a periodic basis, the large majority
of reports are published at irregular intervals as appropriate in the analyst's judgement.

Investment Recommendation Record


(Article 3(1)e and Article 7 of MAR)
Recommendation Published , 15:06 ET. July 8, 2018
Recommendation Distributed , 15:06 ET. July 8, 2018

Explanation of Jefferies Ratings


Buy - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of 15% or more within a 12-month period.
Hold - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of plus 15% or minus 10% within a 12-month period.
Underperform - Describes securities that we expect to provide a total return (price appreciation plus yield) of minus 10% or less within a 12-month
period.
The expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) for Buy rated securities with an average security price consistently below $10 is 20% or more
within a 12-month period as these companies are typically more volatile than the overall stock market. For Hold rated securities with an average
security price consistently below $10, the expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) is plus or minus 20% within a 12-month period. For
Underperform rated securities with an average security price consistently below $10, the expected total return (price appreciation plus yield) is minus
20% or less within a 12-month period.
NR - The investment rating and price target have been temporarily suspended. Such suspensions are in compliance with applicable regulations and/
or Jefferies policies.
CS - Coverage Suspended. Jefferies has suspended coverage of this company.
NC - Not covered. Jefferies does not cover this company.
Restricted - Describes issuers where, in conjunction with Jefferies engagement in certain transactions, company policy or applicable securities
regulations prohibit certain types of communications, including investment recommendations.
Monitor - Describes securities whose company fundamentals and financials are being monitored, and for which no financial projections or opinions
on the investment merits of the company are provided.

Valuation Methodology
Jefferies' methodology for assigning ratings may include the following: market capitalization, maturity, growth/value, volatility and expected total
return over the next 12 months. The price targets are based on several methodologies, which may include, but are not restricted to, analyses of market
risk, growth rate, revenue stream, discounted cash flow (DCF), EBITDA, EPS, cash flow (CF), free cash flow (FCF), EV/EBITDA, P/E, PE/growth, P/CF,

page 10 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

P/FCF, premium (discount)/average group EV/EBITDA, premium (discount)/average group P/E, sum of the parts, net asset value, dividend returns,
and return on equity (ROE) over the next 12 months.

Jefferies Franchise Picks


Jefferies Franchise Picks include stock selections from among the best stock ideas from our equity analysts over a 12 month period. Stock selection
is based on fundamental analysis and may take into account other factors such as analyst conviction, differentiated analysis, a favorable risk/reward
ratio and investment themes that Jefferies analysts are recommending. Jefferies Franchise Picks will include only Buy rated stocks and the number
can vary depending on analyst recommendations for inclusion. Stocks will be added as new opportunities arise and removed when the reason for
inclusion changes, the stock has met its desired return, if it is no longer rated Buy and/or if it triggers a stop loss. Stocks having 120 day volatility in
the bottom quartile of S&P stocks will continue to have a 15% stop loss, and the remainder will have a 20% stop. Franchise Picks are not intended
to represent a recommended portfolio of stocks and is not sector based, but we may note where we believe a Pick falls within an investment style
such as growth or value.

Risks which may impede the achievement of our Price Target


This report was prepared for general circulation and does not provide investment recommendations specific to individual investors. As such, the
financial instruments discussed in this report may not be suitable for all investors and investors must make their own investment decisions based
upon their specific investment objectives and financial situation utilizing their own financial advisors as they deem necessary. Past performance of
the financial instruments recommended in this report should not be taken as an indication or guarantee of future results. The price, value of, and
income from, any of the financial instruments mentioned in this report can rise as well as fall and may be affected by changes in economic, financial
and political factors. If a financial instrument is denominated in a currency other than the investor's home currency, a change in exchange rates may
adversely affect the price of, value of, or income derived from the financial instrument described in this report. In addition, investors in securities such
as ADRs, whose values are affected by the currency of the underlying security, effectively assume currency risk.

Notes: Each box in the Rating and Price Target History chart above represents actions over the past three years in which an analyst initiated on a
company, made a change to a rating or price target of a company or discontinued coverage of a company.
Legend:
I: Initiating Coverage
D: Dropped Coverage
B: Buy
H: Hold
UP: Underperform
For Important Disclosure information on companies recommended in this report, please visit our website at https://javatar.bluematrix.com/sellside/
Disclosures.action or call 212.284.2300.

page 11 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Distribution of Ratings
IB Serv./Past 12 Mos. JIL Mkt Serv./Past 12
Mos.
Rating Count Percent Count Percent Count Percent
BUY 1124 53.86% 69 6.14% 15 1.33%
HOLD 831 39.82% 19 2.29% 1 0.12%
UNDERPERFORM 132 6.32% 1 0.76% 0 0.00%

page 12 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

Other Important Disclosures


Jefferies does and seeks to do business with companies covered in its research reports. As a result, investors should be aware that Jefferies may have a
conflict of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only a single factor in making their investment
decision.
Jefferies Equity Research refers to research reports produced by analysts employed by one of the following Jefferies Group LLC (“Jefferies”) group
companies:
United States: Jefferies LLC which is an SEC registered broker-dealer and a member of FINRA (and distributed by Jefferies Research Services, LLC, an
SEC registered Investment Adviser, to clients paying separately for such research).
United Kingdom: Jefferies International Limited, which is authorized and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority; registered in England and
Wales No. 1978621; registered office: Vintners Place, 68 Upper Thames Street, London EC4V 3BJ; telephone +44 (0)20 7029 8000; facsimile +44 (0)20
7029 8010.
Hong Kong: Jefferies Hong Kong Limited, which is licensed by the Securities and Futures Commission of Hong Kong with CE number ATS546; located
at Suite 2201, 22nd Floor, Cheung Kong Center, 2 Queen’s Road Central, Hong Kong.
Singapore: Jefferies Singapore Limited, which is licensed by the Monetary Authority of Singapore; located at 80 Raffles Place #15-20, UOB Plaza 2,
Singapore 048624, telephone: +65 6551 3950.
Japan: Jefferies (Japan) Limited, Tokyo Branch, which is a securities company registered by the Financial Services Agency of Japan and is a member
of the Japan Securities Dealers Association; located at Hibiya Marine Bldg, 3F, 1-5-1 Yuraku-cho, Chiyoda-ku, Tokyo 100-0006; telephone +813 5251
6100; facsimile +813 5251 6101.
India: Jefferies India Private Limited (CIN - U74140MH2007PTC200509), which is licensed by the Securities and Exchange Board of India as a Merchant
Banker (INM000011443), Research Analyst (INH000000701) and a Stock Broker with Bombay Stock Exchange Limited (INB011491033) and National
Stock Exchange of India Limited (INB231491037) in the Capital Market Segment; located at 42/43, 2 North Avenue, Maker Maxity, Bandra-Kurla
Complex, Bandra (East) Mumbai 400 051, India; Tel +91 22 4356 6000.
This report was prepared by personnel who are associated with Jefferies (Jefferies International Limited, Jefferies Hong Kong Limited, Jefferies Singapore
Limited, Jefferies (Japan) Limited, Jefferies India Private Limited); or by personnel who are associated with both Jefferies LLC and Jefferies Research
Services LLC (“JRS”). Jefferies LLC is a US registered broker-dealer and is affiliated with JRS, which is a US registered investment adviser. JRS does not
create tailored or personalized research and all research provided by JRS is impersonal. If you are paying separately for this research, it is being provided
to you by JRS. Otherwise, it is being provided by Jefferies LLC. Jefferies LLC, JRS, and their affiliates are collectively referred to below as “Jefferies”.
Jefferies may seek to do business with companies covered in this research report. As a result, investors should be aware that Jefferies may have a conflict
of interest that could affect the objectivity of this report. Investors should consider this report as only one of many factors in making their investment
decisions. Specific conflict of interest and other disclosures that are required by FINRA and other rules are set forth in this disclosure section.
***
If you are receiving this report from a non-US Jefferies entity, please note the following: Unless prohibited by the provisions of Regulation S of the
U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended, this material is distributed in the United States by Jefferies LLC, which accepts responsibility for its contents in
accordance with the provisions of Rule 15a-6 under the US Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended. Transactions by or on behalf of any US person
may only be effected through Jefferies LLC. In the United Kingdom and European Economic Area this report is issued and/or approved for distribution
by Jefferies International Limited (“JIL”) and is intended for use only by persons who have, or have been assessed as having, suitable professional
experience and expertise, or by persons to whom it can be otherwise lawfully distributed.
JIL allows its analysts to undertake private consultancy work. JIL’s conflicts management policy sets out the arrangements JIL employs to manage any
potential conflicts of interest that may arise as a result of such consultancy work. Jefferies LLC, JIL and their affiliates, may make a market or provide
liquidity in the financial instruments referred to in this report; and where they do make a market, such activity is disclosed specifically in this report
under “company specific disclosures”.
For Canadian investors, this material is intended for use only by professional or institutional investors. None of the investments or investment services
mentioned or described herein is available to other persons or to anyone in Canada who is not a "Designated Institution" as defined by the Securities
Act (Ontario). In Singapore, Jefferies Singapore Limited (“JSL”) is regulated by the Monetary Authority of Singapore. For investors in the Republic of
Singapore, this material is provided by JSL pursuant to Regulation 32C of the Financial Advisers Regulations. The material contained in this document
is intended solely for accredited, expert or institutional investors, as defined under the Securities and Futures Act (Cap. 289 of Singapore). If there are
any matters arising from, or in connection with this material, please contact JSL, located at 80 Raffles Place #15-20, UOB Plaza 2, Singapore 048624,
telephone: +65 6551 3950. In Japan, this material is issued and distributed by Jefferies (Japan) Limited to institutional investors only. In Hong Kong,
this report is issued and approved by Jefferies Hong Kong Limited and is intended for use only by professional investors as defined in the Hong Kong
Securities and Futures Ordinance and its subsidiary legislation. In the Republic of China (Taiwan), this report should not be distributed. The research
in relation to this report is conducted outside the People’s Republic of China (“PRC”). This report does not constitute an offer to sell or the solicitation
of an offer to buy any securities in the PRC. PRC investors shall have the relevant qualifications to invest in such securities and shall be responsible for
obtaining all relevant approvals, licenses, verifications and/or registrations from the relevant governmental authorities themselves. In India, this report
is made available by Jefferies India Private Limited. In Australia, this information is issued solely by JIL and is directed solely at wholesale clients within
the meaning of the Corporations Act 2001 of Australia (the "Act"), in connection with their consideration of any investment or investment service
that is the subject of this document. Any offer or issue that is the subject of this document does not require, and this document is not, a disclosure
document or product disclosure statement within the meaning of the Act. JIL is authorised and regulated by the Financial Conduct Authority under
the laws of the United Kingdom, which differ from Australian laws. JIL has obtained relief under Australian Securities and Investments Commission
Class Order 03/1099, which conditionally exempts it from holding an Australian financial services license under the Act in respect of the provision of
certain financial services to wholesale clients. Recipients of this document in any other jurisdictions should inform themselves about and observe any
applicable legal requirements in relation to the receipt of this document.
This report is not an offer or solicitation of an offer to buy or sell any security or derivative instrument, or to make any investment. Any opinion or
estimate constitutes the preparer's best judgment as of the date of preparation, and is subject to change without notice. Jefferies assumes no obligation
to maintain or update this report based on subsequent information and events. Jefferies, and their respective officers, directors, and employees, may
have long or short positions in, or may buy or sell any of the securities, derivative instruments or other investments mentioned or described herein,
either as agent or as principal for their own account. This material is provided solely for informational purposes and is not tailored to any recipient,
and is not based on, and does not take into account, the particular investment objectives, portfolio holdings, strategy, financial situation, or needs
of any recipient. As such, any advice or recommendation in this report may not be suitable for a particular recipient. Jefferies assumes recipients of
this report are capable of evaluating the information contained herein and of exercising independent judgment. A recipient of this report should not
make any investment decision without first considering whether any advice or recommendation in this report is suitable for the recipient based on
the recipient’s particular circumstances and, if appropriate or otherwise needed, seeking professional advice, including tax advice. Jefferies does not
page 13 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.


VMART IN
Target | Estimate Change

8 July 2018

perform any suitability or other analysis to check whether an investment decision made by the recipient based on this report is consistent with a
recipient’s investment objectives, portfolio holdings, strategy, financial situation, or needs
By providing this report, neither JRS nor any other Jefferies entity accepts any authority, discretion, or control over the management of the recipient’s
assets. Any action taken by the recipient of this report, based on the information in the report, is at the recipient’s sole judgment and risk. The recipient
must perform his or her own independent review of any prospective investment. If the recipient uses the services of Jefferies LLC (or other affiliated
broker-dealers), in connection with a purchase or sale of a security that is a subject of these materials, such broker-dealer may act as principal for its
own accounts or as agent for another person. Only JRS is registered with the SEC as an investment adviser; and therefore neither Jefferies LLC nor any
other Jefferies affiliate has any fiduciary duty in connection with distribution of these reports.
The price and value of the investments referred to herein and the income from them may fluctuate. Past performance is not a guide to future
performance, future returns are not guaranteed, and a loss of original capital may occur. Fluctuations in exchange rates could have adverse effects
on the value or price of, or income derived from, certain investments.
This report has been prepared independently of any issuer of securities mentioned herein and not as agent of any issuer of securities. No Equity
Research personnel have authority whatsoever to make any representations or warranty on behalf of the issuer(s). Any comments or statements made
herein are those of the Jefferies entity producing this report and may differ from the views of other Jefferies entities.
This report may contain information obtained from third parties, including ratings from credit ratings agencies such as Standard & Poor’s. Reproduction
and distribution of third party content in any form is prohibited except with the prior written permission of the related third party. Jefferies does not
guarantee the accuracy, completeness, timeliness or availability of any information, including ratings, and is not responsible for any errors or omissions
(negligent or otherwise), regardless of the cause, or for the results obtained from the use of such content. Third-party content providers give no express
or implied warranties, including, but not limited to, any warranties of merchantability or fitness for a particular purpose or use. Neither Jefferies nor any
third-party content provider shall be liable for any direct, indirect, incidental, exemplary, compensatory, punitive, special or consequential damages,
costs, expenses, legal fees, or losses (including lost income or profits and opportunity costs) in connection with any use of their content, including
ratings. Credit ratings are statements of opinions and are not statements of fact or recommendations to purchase, hold or sell securities. They do not
address the suitability of securities or the suitability of securities for investment purposes, and should not be relied on as investment advice.
Jefferies research reports are disseminated and available electronically, and, in some cases, also in printed form. Electronic research is simultaneously
made available to all clients. This report or any portion hereof may not be reprinted, sold or redistributed without the written consent of Jefferies.
Neither Jefferies nor any of its respective directors, officers or employees, is responsible for guaranteeing the financial success of any investment, or
accepts any liability whatsoever for any direct, indirect or consequential damages or losses arising from any use of this report or its contents. Nothing
herein shall be construed to waive any liability Jefferies has under applicable U.S. federal or state securities laws.
For Important Disclosure information relating to JRS, please see https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/IAPD/Content/Common/crd_iapd_Brochure.aspx?
BRCHR_VRSN_ID=483878 and https://adviserinfo.sec.gov/Firm/292142 or visit our website at https://javatar.bluematrix.com/sellside/
Disclosures.action, or www.jefferies.com, or call 1.888.JEFFERIES.
© 2018 Jefferies Group LLC

page 14 of 14 Tanmay Sharma, CFA, Equity Analyst, +91 2242246129, tsharma@jefferies.com

Please see important disclosure information on pages 10 - 14 of this report.

You might also like