Decision Tree
Decision Tree
Decision Tree
Discounting Value =
Year Cash Flow (1+IR)^(-years)
1 195,000 0.862
2 195,000 0.743
3 195,000 0.641
4 195,000 0.552
5 195,000 0.476
Revenue
Moving Cost
Net Present value
Strong growth
0.550
Move 310,613
Weak growth
0.450
Strong growth
0.550
Weak growth
0.450
Strong growth
0.550
Do nothing 460,857
Weak growth
0.450
Present Value
Note : Here Interest Rate ,IR = 16%
168,103
144,917
124,928
107,697
92,842
638,487 Net Present Value = Revenue - Moving Cost
210,000
428,487
99,138
85,464
73,676
63,513
54,753
376,544
210,000
166,544
163,793
141,201
121,725
104,935
90,461
622,116 Net Present Value = Revenue - Expanding Cost
87,000
535,116
ash flow value 100,000 = 240,429.
146,552
141,201
121,725
104,935
90,461
604,874
87,000*0.862 =
75,000
529,874
146,552
126,338
108,912
93,889
80,939
556,630
0
556,630
90,517
78,032
67,269
57,991
49,992
343,801
0
343,801
Revenue - Moving
Cost (NPV) =
428,487
Revenue - Moving
Cost (NPV) =
166,544
Revenue - Expansion
Cost (NPV) =
535,116
Revenue - Expansion
Cost (NPV) =
240,429
Do nothing
556,630
Do
nothing Revenue (NPV) =
556,630
Revenue (NPV) =
343,801