"In 2010, The Computer Truly Went Mobile.": Wall Street Journal, December 2010
"In 2010, The Computer Truly Went Mobile.": Wall Street Journal, December 2010
"In 2010, The Computer Truly Went Mobile.": Wall Street Journal, December 2010
”
Wall Street Journal, December 2010
10 Drivers of the Chinese Mobile Internet in 2010
A review of the year 2010
> 850 million > 350 million > 9.5 billion USD
MOBILE PHONE USERS MOBILE INTERNET USERS MOBILE MARKET REVENUE
(+14% FROM 2009) (+45% from 2009) Sources: CNNIC, China Ministry of Industry and Information Technology,
Nielsen China Mobile Report, iResearch, Morgan Stanley, Interfax
4 research@greatwallclub.com | Copyright 2011. All rights reserved.
1. THE RISE OF 3G IN CHINA
STEADY GROWTH OF 3G SERVICES IN 2010
China’s 3G market in 2010 experienced both intensifying growth and 45
38.6 mln
competition. Operators were pushed to keep pace and leverage the wave 40
Million subscribers
35
of new mobile apps and services. China Mobile was the first mobile 30
provider to launch its 3G service in January 2009 and still possesses far 25
greater resources than its competitors (70% market share). Although 20
15
originally aiming to reach up to 80 million 3G subscribers by the end of 10
2010, China Mobile missed its goal with China Unicom and China Telecom 5
closing the gap. 0
Mar-10
Aug-10
Dec-09
Apr-10
May-10
Jun-10
Oct-10
Jan-10
Nov-10
Feb-10
Jul-10
Sep-10
3G DRIVEN BY MOBILE OPERATORS & IPHONE
» China Unicom profited from its deal with Apple by
gaining a stronger 3G market share in 2010. 3G subscribers in China 2009-2010
100,000 iPhone 4 devices were sold in the first
week, and China Unicom sold over 10 million 3G
subscribers in 2010.
» China Telecom is also expected to have a significant Total Mobile Market 3G Market
impact through CDMA iPhone shipments, and wil
The iPhone is a
begin sales of a CDMA version in 2011.
big driver for 3G 20%
28%
in China 42%
NETWORK INVESTMENTS AND TARIFF ADJUSTMENTS 10%
» China Telecom's 3G base stations have reached 143,000, with 56.8% 3G
coverage. Around 400 billion RMB in investments is estimated for all 70%
Chinese 3G networks in the coming 3 years in order to reach full 3G 30%
network coverage in China.
» Neither content development nor smartphone price point are viewed as China Mobile China Unicom China Telecom
bottlenecks to the take-up of 3G demand in China, and carriers are likely
to lower 3G tariffs gradually. In December 2010, China Unicom halved
prices for 3G mobile data packages. Market share in China’s mobile market | Dec 2010
Sources: J.P. Morgan, Analysys International, China Unicom, Sina.com, iResearch, dotMobi, Sino Market Research
5 research@greatwallclub.com | Copyright 2011. All rights reserved.
2. MOBILE HANDSET MAKERS AND ANDROID
LOCAL HANDSET MAKERS AND ANDROID DRIVE THE MOBILE MARKET
Mobile handset makers drove the 3G market in China with cheaper feature-phones and smartphones.
OPEN HANDSET ALLIANCE AND ANDROID FLOOD CHINA SELF-BRANDED SMARTPHONES ENTER THE MARKET
» Local manufacturers profited greatly from Android with high » Lenovo's first smart phone was announced at CES
sales volumes. Huawei and ZTE are planning to work 2010. Powered by a custom version of Android,
strategically with Google to capture additional market Lenovo hopes to expand its business in the mobile
opportunity with Android phones that can be sold by carriers Internet market through the release of the
for as little as US$50. Android devices combined reached LePhone. It is also announced a Lenovo LePad will
475,000 units in Q2 of 2010, which had little to no presence be released.
in the country a year ago. » HTC entered the Chinese market in 2010, despite a
» China Mobile’s OMS (Open Mobile System) platform is based close relationship with its strategic partner Dopod.
on Android. China Mobile is a founding member (2007) of » September 2010, Huawei announced its first self-
the OHA, China Unicom joined in 2009. owned smartphone brand called IDEOS, starting
» MediaTek, a Chinese chipset maker in the mobile industry, Brands disrupting with Android-powered devices ranging from
joined the OHA in 2010 and will be able to provide better Chinese mobile US$100-200.
adapted chipsets for future Android phones, further Internet in 2010
enlarging the system’s market share in China.
SMARTPHONE MARKET SHARE CHINA
Q UICK F ACTS
HANDSET MARKET SHARE CHINA
1. Nokia
» 18% of China's 800m
9% mobile population own
9% 2. HTC
10% 3. Samsung
smartphones in 2010.
27% 1. Nokia 6% 5%
2. Samsung 4. Motorola » Annual expected growth
47% 3. ZTE 3% 5. Apple next 5 years: 35%.
4. Lenovo
16% 6. Dopod
2%
5. Tianyu 2% 7. Blackberry
» Sales ZTE: 90 million units
15% Other 8. Sony Ericsson in 2010 (+50%)
4%
4%
50% 9. Lenovo » Sales Huawei: 120 million
3% 4% Other units in 2010 (+30%)
Handset and smartphone market shares compared | Dec 2010 Sources: Canalys, iSuppli, TabsPlanet, Interfax China, IIMEDIA
6 research@greatwallclub.com | Copyright 2011. All rights reserved.
3. APP STORES IN CHINA
OPERATORS, MANUFACTURERS AND INTERNET COMPANIES LAUNCH APP STORES
Chinese users download more apps and games than mobile users in Western Europe. Facing the Handset Telecos Internet
challenge of subsiding revenue from traditional communication services due to dropping voice maker players
and data fees, mobile operators are partnering with handset manufacturers and Internet players Apple China Sky Mobi
Nokia Mobile d.Cn
to create new revenue channels through the distribution and development of mobile apps. The Motorola China Vogins
success of app stores in China depends on two factors: content and 3G penetration/adoption Lenovo Unicom Taobao
RIM China Alipay
rate. Content is key, as apps have to be adapted to Chinese internet usage habits. Moreover, there HTC Telecom Papaya
needs to be a wide range of products available, however, the Chinese model of self-regulation for ZTE Orange UC
companies will have a significant impact on the development speed of apps, as the application HUAWEI DeNA
market cannot be as free as western models are. Leading app stores in China
MOBILE OPERATORS OPEN APP STORES MOBILE HANDSET AND PURE-WEB PLAYERS JOIN
With the Apple mobile app store as a success model, » Sky-Mobi, which just filed for IPO in NASDAQ,
Q UICK F ACTS
all three Chinese mobile providers (China Mobile, was very successful in 2010 with China’s largest » Around 41% of the Chinese
Unicom, and Telecom) opened their equivalent platform independent app store, Maopao. mobile Internet market
stores in 2010 one by one. » BlackBerry manufacturer RIM is expected to revenue derives from app
» China Mobile’s Mobile Market launched in 2009, launch an app store for the Chinese market. download services. 2010:
gaining 50.000+ apps and 30+ mln downloads in Blackberry’s App World currently has over estimated 3.5 billion USD
2010. Cooperated with Nokia’s OVI store, 15,000 mobile applications available.
launching MM-Ovi in March 2010, and the store’s
» 51% of Chinese mobile users
» Motorola’s SHOP4APPS store is preparing to downloaded apps in 2010
application will be pre-installed on all China launch in China for both paid and free Android
Mobile’s Nokia customized Symbian devices. applications. Partner Baidu will provide search » There are around 10 million
» China Unicom’s Wostore launched in Oct. 2010, functionality for SHOP4APPS to Chinese users. individual mobile phone
jointly developed with ZTE. Wostore provides » Lenovo joined the mobile apps market in May software developers in China,
applications for both local and international 2010 when the company launched its mobile rising 35% annually.
brands (Nokia, HTC, Sony Ericsson, Motorola, app store, LeYuan (‘Happy Paradise’), in China.
Samsung, Lenovo, ZTE, CoolPad and more). By » Sky-Mobi alone accounted for
» Nokia introduced a domestic version of its Ovi 1 billion app downloads in
November 2010, it held 2,200 apps for download.
app store in September 2010.
» China Telecom’s eStore reached 1mln users in 2010, cumulated 3.2 billion
» Apple launched its app store for China in since 2007.
2010, after launching earlier last year.
October 2010.
Sources: Wall Street Journal, China Real Time Report, Motorola, Mobinode, Caing.com, SinoCast Maverick China Research, Interfax China
7 research@greatwallclub.com | Copyright 2011. All rights reserved.
4. INTERNET PLAYERS ENTER THE MOBILE WEB
AS TRADITIONAL AND MOBILE INTERNET COMPANIES CONVERGE, MOBILE WILL TAKE OVER
Major Chinese web players such as Sina, Tencent, Taobao, Alipay, and Baidu moved MOBILE SOCIAL NETWORK
into the mobile value chain in 2010. As more consumers embrace more powerful
» Tencent is the #3 largest internet company
mobile devices capable of video, photo, and high-speed wireless access, traditional in the world in terms of market cap. which
Internet companies are not only forced to transform their web-based services to was 47 bln USD on Jan. 14, 2011, just behind
combine mobile and desktop, but also to introduce new innovations to Google and Amazon, doubled Yahoo!.
accommodate this demand. Internet service giants Baidu, Taobao and Tencent are » By 2010Q3, 637 active IM accounts, 481
already well positioned to provide integrated services over both fixed and mobile active SNS accounts, 25 mln paying mobile
subs.
networks. As purely mobile services emerge and mobile value-added services
increase, convergence into one network of a unified fixed+mobile communication » Revenue from mobile in 2010 estimated by
Morgan Stanley, 409 mln USD, or 14% of
network, and less fixed-line networks, will allow an increasing number of small and total revenue.
medium enterprises in China to focus on mobile services.
MOBILE MICRO-BLOGGING
» After intensive mobile traffic broke the
wireless networks during Sina’s first micro-
blogging (weibo) conference, the company
has put a strong focus on mobile. Nearly
40% of Sina’s weibo traffic now comes from
mobile devices.
BAIDU’S OPEN API FOR MOBILE SERVICES SINA’S OPEN API FOR WEIBO (MICRO-BLOG)
» In 2010, Baidu launched an open mobile platform offering webpage » Launching its domain weibo.com in July 2010, Sina’s
transcoding for third party websites and supporting mobile search micro-blog also opened its platform for third-party
and data collection for mobile users, allowing website owners to applications. There are now over 800 apps available
deploy their mobile/WAP websites more quickly. The company utilizing this platform.
currently cooperates with mobile application developers, chip
producers, handset manufacturers and third-party browsers.
TAOBAO’S OPEN PLATFORM GROWING, MOBILE API COMING
ALIPAY’S OPEN MOBILE PAYMENT API » Released in 2008, the open API of Alibaba’s Taobao e-
commerce platform gained over 85% market share in
» Having launched its mobile phone payment services in 2009, Alipay China. Taobao is planning to launch a specialized mobile
announced in October 2010 its open mobile application API for third API which will further stimulate the development of
party application developers, for easier access to its payment mobile applications, and will leverage location and
services. context-based services for shopping apps.
IPOS IN THE CHINESE GEM NASDAQ IPOS VENTURE CAPITAL FLOODING CHINA
» In direct connection to the 3G and » In November 2010, Sky-Mobi, operator of the » Mobile Internet played a central role for
mobile communication value chain, and mobile app store Maopao, filed with U.S investors in 2010. 22 investment cases
related to mobile payment or triple play, regulators to sell an estimated $150 million of were revealed, 16 of which with an
8 enterprises entered Shenzhen’s American depositary shares on NASDAQ. Sky- average of 13 mln USD. Figures in 2010
Growth Enterprise Market (GEM). Mobi is the leading app provider in China with broke the history records of both total
» Hanvon listed in GEM in March 2010, over 479 million cumulative users, more than and average investment value, with
Telecom equipment maker Dingli, riding 770 applications, and over 61,000 titles. mobile phone games the most regarded
high on the Chinese 3G wave, and 3 » Chinese mobile Internet search engine Easou part of the sector.
others (Tianyuan Communications Technology aims to list in the US within the » The9 Limited announced at the end of
Technology, Hiconics electronic next 2-3 years. Besides media and application 2010 that it will collaborate with three
equipment, Semiconductor maker downloads, Easou gains around 70 percent of VC firms to launch a USD 100 million
TechSem) listed in January 2010, and its revenue from mobile internet advertising. fund for mobile application developers.
GQY Video & Telecom, Nationz It is targeting a market cap of US$3-4bln.
Technologiess, Hangzhou Century, and
Sumavision followed in April. Sources: TechRice, Nextinsight, Xinhua, CN C114
10 research@greatwallclub.com | Copyright 2011. All rights reserved.
7. MOBILE READING DEVICES AND PLATFORMS
THE CHINESE E-READER MARKET CATCHES UP WITH THE US
In 2010, China accounted for over 21% of the world's e-reader shipments in the first
half of the year, ranking only after the United States, which accounted for 58.1 percent.
Sales of e-readers in China totaled 1.03 million units in 2010, and over 40 Chinese
mainland companies produced their own e-reader in 2010, out of 80 companies
throughout the world. Exceeding Sony with the world’s second largest monthly device Amazon’s flagship and China’s answer: Hanvon
output, market leader Hanvon will introduce the first 9” color e-reader in the Chinese classic e-reader and the newest color edition
market in 2011, which will include WiFi and 3G, and is expected to be priced at
US$440. Hanvon has been listed on the GEM stock market since March 2010. China
19%
approved 21 Chinese e-reader manufacturers in November 2010 for the domestic 1. Hanvon Techn.
market in order to support homegrown products. 5% 2. Shanda Literatur
Others
» Amazon’s business model relies on content, not on pure hardware sales. The unit’s price
largely depends on the content available: over 500K (mostly English) Kindle titles are
available. Shanghai Century Publishing Group (partnering with China Mobile 3G) and
Shanda Literature started to compete in 2010 with their own large literature online store
Market shares, Chinese e-reader manufacturers
and e-reader offering. The biggest competitor Hanvon operates its own online bookstore
called Hwebook.cn, with around 90 percent of the store's content offered for free.
Currently offering more than 130,000 publications, Hanvon invested RMB 30mln in its
book store in 2010, and is aiming to provide 200K titles by 2011.
FORMATION OF THE CHINESE M-PAYMENT ALLIANCE IN 2010 CHINA RELEASED 17 PAYMENT LICENSES IN 2010
» In May 2010, China Unionpay established a group for operators, » In order to regulate the over 130 third-party payment services in
handset producers, and banks, with the purpose of forming a China, the government has begun issuing licenses. By December
common standard for mobile payment. The two most important 2010, 17 third-party licenses were in process, which included
mobile operators in China, China Unicom and China Mobile, also Chinese Internet players such as Alipay and Tenpay (Tencent), in
joined. addition to the traditional payment organizations such as China
» In March 2010, China Mobile announced its acquisition of a 20% Unionpay.
stake of Shanghai Pudong Development Bank for the purpose of
building a financial payment platform for developing mobile 5%
3% 1. Alipay
payment services. Its competitor China Unicom already began testing 4%
its payment services in 2009. 4% 2. Tenpay
3. 99 Bill
CHINA MOBILE & CHINA UNICOM LAUNCHED MOBILE PAYMENT SERVICES 6%
4. Chinapay
» China Mobile started the country's first large-scale project to allow 6% 48%
mobile payments on February 2010, in select areas of Shanghai. 5. Yeepay
» China Unicom, the second largest mobile operator in China, officially 6. IPS
launched its mobile payment by the end of 2010, also after testing in 7. Union Mobile Pay
24%
Shanghai since 2009. China Unicom plans to found a mobile payment
Others
company in early 2011.
» China Mobile will base its system on a standalone RF-SIM card
whereas its rival, China Unicom, has adopted the international China’s online payment market shares
standard NFC.
Sources: Interfax, China Daily, Mobile Payment China, CN114
12 research@greatwallclub.com | Copyright 2011. All rights reserved.
9. LOCATION BASED SERVICES
LOCATION BASED SERVICES (LBS) WERE A DRIVER OF MOBILE APPLICATIONS
The rise of Foursquare, Gowalla, and Shopkick, have been defining characteristics in the US marketing landscape in 2010. In addition, Global
mobile location-based service revenues are expected to increase up to more than $12.7 billion by 2014, with $115.9 million in China alone
until 2013, according to Juniper Research and IEMR market forecast. In China, services such as point-of-interest (POI), location-based
advertising, and LBS social networking, are now forging ahead, with around 30 services in operation, many of which are growing at a decent
rate. LBS penetration depends on the smart phone and mobile data services market, and urban white-collar workers and college students
are the main target groups in China. Analysys International estimated that between 3mln and 4mln people in China utilized location-based
offerings in the third quarter of 2010.
JIEPANG, LIVE IN MAY 2010, NOW WITH 250K USERS LBS players in China location based services
» Jiepang, boasting 250,000 members, only went live in May
2010, and has forged links with Renren, a prominent social
network, and Sina Weibo, a micro-blog platform broadly
equivalent to Twitter. A Jiepang open API was introduced to
accelerate the growth of the community trough third-party
apps. Qieke.com offers
» "We're hoping that Jiepang will become an internet tool clients for all
that everyone uses," David Liu, Jiepang's founder, said. available mobile
"The ultimate user desire is to share with friends. That's the platforms
same in the US and China."
LOCATION-BASED SOCIAL NETWORKING SERVICES (LBSNS)
» In China, LBSNS started late, and the strongest players with
application of LBSNS consist of Bedo, L99, Mogutuan,
Sources: Juniper Research, Techcrunch, Wall Street Journal, Analysys International,
Play4f, Jiepang, Duolequ, and dianping.com. Research and Markets, AdOpsOnline, China Tech News
13 research@greatwallclub.com | Copyright 2011. All rights reserved.
10. MICRO-BLOGGING
MICRO-BLOGGING WAS A MOBILE DRIVER IN CHINA IN 2010
There was an estimated 75 million micro-bloggers in China by the end of 2010, an
increase of over 800% compared to 2009, and this figure is expected to double in
2011. ‘Micro blog’ was in the top-10 searched words in China. Facebook founder,
Mark Zuckerberg, visited the biggest micro-blog host Sina to learn from its strategy.
Although still lacking a viable monetization model, micro-blogging was clearly one
of the biggest drivers in the Chinese Internet market in 2010, as over one third of
the traffic on Sina, came from mobile devices in 2010. Micro-blogging is expected
to play a greater role in the development of China’s mobile Internet.
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