Financial Performance Analysis of Selected Commercial Banks in Ethiopia
Financial Performance Analysis of Selected Commercial Banks in Ethiopia
Financial Performance Analysis of Selected Commercial Banks in Ethiopia
in Ethiopia
Abstract
Accounting data are useful in assessing the economic prospects of a firm. The
paper shows how financial ratios can be used to explore the sources of a firm’s
profitability and evaluate the “quality” of its earnings in a systematic fashion.
Hence, the aim of the study is to analyze the financial performance of
commercial banks in Ethiopia for the period between 2009 and 2012.A sample
of the top seven commercial banks was selected based on the value of their
total assets at the end of the 2009 financial year. These are the banks that
dominate the sector with the top 7 banks controlling 90.4% of the total industry
assets which makes them systemically important banks The results of the study
indicated that CBE showed the highest level of RoE all the time but this was
driven by its high leverage levels. Moreover, all banks were found to be unduly
liquid affecting their revenue generating capacity. This is partly because of
government imposed loan restriction. Dashen Bank has continuously improved
its performance throughout the study period in most of the parameters used to
measure its performance. Wegagen Bank had the most stable earnings over
time as a result of its policy to use high level of equity financing. For a
sustained good banking performance in the country, it is recommended that the
banks invest more in interest bearing assets, mainly loans, to fully utilize their
revenue generating capacity. The Ethiopian government is also recommended
to balance its desire to control inflation with the need to maintain lasting
viability of the banking industry.
The recent global financial crisis of 2007-2009 has shown the implication of
bank performance both in national and international economies and the
necessity to monitor it at all times (Tobias and Themba 2011). Certainly,
performance means different things to different stakeholders in a bank. For
example, depositors are interested in a bank’s long-term ability to look after
their savings; their interests are safeguarded by supervisory authorities. Equity
holders, for their part, focus on profit generation, i.e. on ensuring a future
return on their current holding (European Central Bank, 2010).
The European Central Bank report, 2010, defined bank performance as its
capacity to generate sustainable profitability. It stated, subsequent to the
spectacular losses in the financial crisis and the substantial government
intervention, there is little public support for banks returning return on equity
(RoE) ratios of well above 20%, as these have mostly proved to be
unsustainable (European Central Bank, 2010). The report also specified that
the most common measure for a bank’s performance, RoE, is only part of the
story, as a good level of RoE may either reflect a good level of profitability or
more limited equity capital. This may explain why some of the high-RoE firms
have performed particularly poorly over the crisis, dragged down by a rapid
leverage adjustment. It is understandable that a more comprehensive analysis
covering multiple aspects of performance is necessary to assess the overall
financial health of banks. Good financial performance of banks is important
not only to their shareholders but to the whole economy as it helps the banks to
continue their role of financial intermediation effectively and help economic
growth of a country, especially in countries where financial markets are not
well developed.
There are two broad approaches used to measure bank performance, the
accounting approach, which makes use of financial ratios. Traditionally
accounting methods primarily based on the use of financial ratios have been
employed for assessing bank performance (Ncube, 2009).
The performance of the seven commercial banks was compared with the
banking industry in Bahrain which was considered a benchmark. The article
applied a Student’s t-test to measure the statistical significance for the
measures of performance. The results revealed that commercial banks in
Bahrain were relatively less profitable, less liquid and were exposed to higher
credit risk than the banking industry, in which wholesale banks are the main
component.
In addition, given the importance of the intermediation function for banks, net
interest margin is typically monitored.
Cost to Income Ratio (C/I) (total cost /total income) measures the income
generated per $ cost. The cost-to-income ratios shows the ability of the
institution to generate profits from a given revenue stream. That is how
Finally, net interest margin = net interest income / assets (or interest-bearing
assets) is a proxy for the income generation capacity of the intermediation
function of banks.
Liquidity indicates the ability of the bank to meet its financial obligations in a
timely and effective manner. Samad (2004) states that ‘‘liquidity is the life and
blood of a commercial bank’’. Financial liabilities are attracted through retail
and wholesale distribution channels. Retail generated funding is considered
less interest elastic and more reliable than deposits attracted from wholesale
distribution channels (Thygerson, 1995). The following ratios are used to
measure liquidity.
Net Loans to total asset ratio (NLTA) = Net loans/total assets NLTA measures
the percentage of assets that is tied up in loans. The higher the ratio, the less
liquid the bank is.
Net loans to deposit and borrowing (NLDST) = Net loans/total deposits and
short term borrowings. This ratio indicates the percentage of the total deposits
locked into non-liquid assets. A high figure denotes lower liquidity.
2.5 Gearing
The gearing ratio is the proportion of a company's debt to its equity. A high
gearing ratio is indicative of a great deal of leverage, where a company is using
debt to pay for its continuing operations. In a business downturn, such
companies may have trouble meeting their debt repayment schedules, and
could risk bankruptcy. The situation is especially dangerous when a company
Even though financial ratios are good for analyzing the performance of a
company, they have drawbacks that will be outlined in this section. First of all
financial ratios of a company cannot be analysed by themselves. They have to
be compared to an industry, the economy or the company’s past performance.
According to BPP (2012) there are limitations of financial ratios analysis such
as:
3. Methodology
This paper uses a descriptive financial ratio analysis to measure, describe and
analyse the performance of commercial banks in Ethiopia during the period
20009-2012.The study employed quantitative research approach using
secondary data gathered from financial statements of commercial banks. The
data was obtained from National Bank of Ethiopia, website of the private
banks, annual reports and financial statements.
The population for this research comprise all the banks operating in Ethiopia
between 2009 and 2012. A sample of the top seven commercial banks was
selected based on the value of their total assets at the end of the 2009 financial
year end. These are the banks that dominate the sector with the top 7 banks
controlling 90.4% of the total industry assets which makes them systemically
important banks. The fact that all banks could not be included in the study
constrains the validity of the study. However, only the seven largest Ethiopian
banks (Dashen,Awash, Zemen ,Wegagen , Hibret , Nib and Commericail Bank
of Ethiopia (CBE)) offer a comprehensive variety of financial services right
throughout Ethiopia, all the other banks are either aimed at niche markets or
confined to geographical operations or are in their early years of establishment,
making them less comparable with the veterans in the industry. Zemen bank
was included to see its unique nature.
Financial ratio analysis (FRA) was used to analyze the general trend of the data
from 2009 to 2012 for the variables which included in the study.
This section presents the financial ratio analysis using data collected from
seven selected banks. Descriptive analysis was employed to analyze data
collected and is presented below.
4.1 Profitability
Zemen Bank’s climb from a loss in its initial year to a RoE above the industry
average in 2010 was remarkable because it was also better than the other banks
except CBE in that year.
Looking at the average RoE of all banks for the period covered by the study,
the highest was obviously that of CBE’s at 50.2%, Zemen and Wegagen
showed the lowest at 22%. Zemen Bank’s position was due to its negative
RoE in its year of commencement, 2009, but Wegagen Bank’s low RoE record
may be a point of concern compared to that of the other banks and the industry
average which stands at an average RoE for the four year period of 33.1%.
EJBE Vol. 4 No. 2/2014 Page 262
Financial Performance of Banks: A Ratio Analysis
Another important aspect of interest about the roe is its stability overtime. As
mentioned above Dashen and CBE have been in an upward trend in their RoE
for all the four years. But others have seen both upward and downward trends.
Hence it makes sense to compare the variability of the banks other than these
two to measure their stability. Using standard deviation, the sector has seen a
6.3% fluctuation in RoE. All the banks under study had lower standard
deviation than the sector as a whole, Wegagen being with the lowest standard
deviation of 1.49%. This indicates Wegagen Bank, although it had the lowest
average RoE of all banks, it is also the bank with the most stable earnings over
time which means the bank with the lowest risk to shareholders.
As opposed to the above comparison of the banks using RoE, in which CBE
appeared to dominate all the banks, Figure 2 shows different banks excelling in
different times in terms of efficiency in asset utilization. In 2009 Wegagen
Bank showed the highest RoA of 3.5% followed by Nib and CBE, both at
3.2%. In 2010 and 2011, Zemen Bank recovered from its loss making position
in 2009 to being the bank with the highest RoA of 4.8% and 5.2% respectively.
Finally, in 2012, Nib was the leader in efficiency at RoA of 4.7%. This shows
that the leading position of the CBE in RoE terms is not explained by its
efficiency of its asset utilization but by the fact that its equity is relatively very
small.
The highest boost in RoA was that shown by Awash Bank in the year 2011
which is a 66% increase from 2.7% in 2010 to 4.6% in 2011. During that year,
the profit of Awash bank morethan doubled while its assets increased only by
about one fifth of the percentage increase in its profit. In other words, Awash
bank was able to generate a remarkably higher level of profit in 2011 for every
Birr in its assets. A deeper investigation of this ability to generate higher profit
may indicate awash bank was either able to generate more revenue and
maintained the profit margin and/or increased the profit margin for the revenue
it generated which means it better controlled its costs.
It is interesting to observe that Dashen Bank has consistently improved its RoA
and RoE throughout the study period explaining the upward trend of its RoE, at
Zemen bank, reported the highest RoA in the first year it reported a profit in
2010, the fiscal year following its year of establishment. This can be explained
by its unique business model in the country. The fact that it has a single branch
gives it a unique advantage to keep its asset base low. This continued through
the following year 2011, Zemen reporting an exceptionally high RoA of 5.25%
representing an 8.5% above its RoA in 2010.Finally,Zemen Bank’s RoA came
down sharply in 2012 to 3.61% which meant a 31% decline from the preceding
year’s RoA. The reason is that while its total asset figure continued to increase
by 48.35% compared to the increase in the previous year at 52.89%, profit
increased far too slowly at about 2% compared to the 66% increase in 2011. In
fact, the revenue figure for this bank has shown a decline in 2012. The increase
in assets is mainly driven by a 54% increase in deposits and equity increased
by about 16.6% showing increase in the gearing level that we will see in a later
section.
160.0%
140.0% Dashen
120.0% Awash
100.0%
Zemen
80.0%
60.0% Wegagen
40.0% United
20.0%
Nib
0.0%
2009 2010 2011 2012 CBE
CBE was the most efficient bank in terms of cost to income ratio in three of the
four years considered in the study with costs being only 29.4%, 29.6%, and
22.6% of its revenue in the years 2009, 2011, and 2012 respectively. CBE’s
unusual rise in its cost to income ratio to 37% in 2010 was the result of costs
increasing in this year dramatically by 46% compared to the increase of only
16% in revenues. A closer look at the income statement figures showed that
CBE’s interest and non-interest revenues increased by a similar around 16%,
the expenses in the same year increased at 47%. The breakdown of the
expenses in to interest and non interest showed that interest expenses raised by
about 21% but noninterest expenses increased by 78%.
Dashen Bank continuously improved its cost to income ratio during the four
years in a steady fashion of about two to three percentage points every year.
Though its cost to income ratio is relatively high, in fact the highest in 2010,
compared to other banks, it is improving every year in a stable way.
Other banks showed cost to income ratio about close to each other and
fluctuating from time to time. This may indicate lack of conscious cost control.
0.0% Nib
2009 2010 2011 2012 CBE
Nib earned the highest net interest margin in 2009 of 4% but this figure quickly
dropped to 3.2% and 3.1% in 2010 and 2011 before it finally rose to about
3.6% in 2012.It has been above the sector average all four years. It was the
highest among the banks under this study in 2011 too.
CBE’s net interest margin was at its peak in 2010 at 4.32% which is the highest
of all banks for the whole four years under study. This accounts for an
improvement of 38.13% from the figure in 2009 but it dropped by about
36.89% in 2011 to only 2.73%. This figure was better in 2012 by 22.86% at
3.35%.
4.2 Liquidity
80.0%
70.0% Dashen
60.0% Awash
50.0% Zemen
40.0% Wegagen
30.0% United
20.0%
Nib
10.0%
CBE
0.0%
Sector
2009 2010 2011 2012
A high loans to deposits ratio means that the bank is issuing out more of its
deposits in the form of interest-bearing loans, which, in turn, means it will
generate more income. On the other hand, the bank has to repay deposits on
request, so having a ratio that is too high puts the bank at high risk. A very low
ratio means that the bank is at low risk, but it also means it isn’t using its assets
to generate income and may even end up losing money.
The general trend of NLDST among all the banks being considered and the
sector average is that this ratio has shown on average a reduction in 2010 and
2011 before it increased in 2012. The sectors NLDST was at its lowest in the
four years in 2011 at 46.4% and it was the highest in 2012 at 55.2% which
represented about 19% increase from the figure in 2011.
This generally means that the banking sectors over all liquidly improved during
2010 and 2011 as less of the deposits were tied up in illiquid loans compared to
the situation in 2009 and 2012.
Zemen Bank’s net interest margin was, of course, the lowest in that year, but
this doesn’t contradict with what is already mentioned above because it is the
result of its being a newly established bank and loans may not have earned
interest for the whole year.
The lowest NLDST is experienced by CBE in all the four years making CBE
the most liquid bank. CBE’s ratio shows loans at 43.1% of deposits in 2009
and this even decline to 40.4% in 2010 and 37.5% in 2011 before it finally
increased to 47.6% in 2012.
This highest level of liquidity for CBE makes it safer but at the expense of the
potential incremental profit that could have been attained by extending
additional interest earning loans and still remaining as safe as the other banks.
This can explain the bank’s inefficiency measured by its RoA. Despite the
asset size, this banks RoA was far below its competitors reflecting the high size
of assets not earning money. CBE should consider utilizing its asset to a
greater extent in making more profits.
The reason behind the decline in liquidly ratio in all banks in 2012 was that the
amount of loans extended sharply increased by an average of 55% in that year
compared to the 35% in 2011. This increased the ratio of loans to deposits
because deposits increased at a lower rate of 31% relative to the increase in
loans in 2012. This is as compared to the increase in deposits in 2011 which
was at a higher rate of 44% compared to the increase in loans of 35% in that
year. This was a common trend for all the banks except Zemen. Zemen’s loans
and deposits were increasing at what can seem extraordinary at first glance.
Loans increased at 102%, 68%, and 57% and deposits by 148%, 69%, and 54%
in 2010, 2011 and 2012 respectively. This is because, as a start up bank,
Zemen’s figures of loans and deposits were relatively very small especially in
Though the ratio of net loans to total assets does not directly measure liquidity,
it gives an indication of how much of the bank assets are tied into illiquid
loans.
This was also the case for each of the individual banks under consideration.
Their NLTA reduced from its level in 2009 in both 2010 and 2011 and sharply
increased in 2012.
This was consistent with the trend of net interest margin shown in figure 4
above for most of the banks. Since loan figure compared to total assets is down
during the two years 2010 and 2011, net interest income (interest income
minus interest expense) is due to decline relative to the assets of the banks.
This is because the banks’ interest earning depends on their being able to
granting loans to their customers. If their loan is reduced, so does their interest
income without necessarily reducing their interest expense as they still can
have deposits from customers on which they pay interest.
4.3 Gearing
A European central bank’s report on EU banking structures states “recent
events have shown that the most common measure for a bank’s performance,
i.e. RoE, is only part of the story, as a good level of RoE may either reflect a
good level of profitability or more limited equity capital.” The report is of the
position that a good level of RoE driven by high level of leverage rather than a
good level of profitability is largely unsustainable. Gearing is a two edged
sword it magnifies your shareholders returns, both positive and negative. So,
while it is good at good times,it may be devastating when your earnings turn
south.
We use the equity to total asset ratio to measure the level of gearing each bank
is employing.
15.0% Zemen
Wegagen
10.0%
United
5.0% Nib
CBE
0.0%
Sector
2009 2010 2011 2012
Figure 7 shows the gearing levels of the banks under study. The highest equity
relative to total assets is employed by Zemen Bank in 2009, 19.6%. This
actually does not reflect a deliberate managerial decision to do that, it simply
meant that Zemen Bank did not yet mobilize much borrowed funds (mainly
deposits) in that early time of starting its business. This is true because that
didn’t continue any time further and Zemen Bank’s equity relative to its total
Wegagen Bank, the second highest equity financed bank in 2009, rather
seemed to follow that policy of maintaining its debt equity mix. Its equity
relative to its total assets was the highest in 2010, 2011, and 2012 at 18.3%,
16.6%, and 19.2%. There is a similar upward trend in the equity to total assets
ratio of Nib Bank. Nib’s equity to total assets ratio consistently increased in the
four years from 15.2% in 2009 to 18.5% in 2012. Awash and United banks’
equity level did not vary much during this period; it was around 10 and 12
percent. Compared to Wegagen and Nib’s position, this is a relatively low
equity level but it is also consistent during the whole four years.
The graph shows the lowest equity levels for Dashen Bank and CBE. What’s
more, CBE’s equity level is significantly decreasing. While Dashen Bank’s
equity relative to assets was mostly around 9 to 11 percent, CBE’s ratio
dramatically declined from about eight and half percent in 2009 and 2010 to
5.5 and 4.8 percent in 2011 and 2012. This is driven by CBE’s campaign of
mobilizing deposit in recent years without increasing its equity base. This trend
also supports the exceptionally high RoE shown by the bank recently while its
RoA is among the lowest. Thus CBE’s high level of profitability as measured
by its return on equity is not the result of the bank’s ability to earn high profits
but a result of its very low equity level. This makes it a bank with low shock
absorbing capacity because its RoE can swing greatly even with a slight
movement in its earnings.
Zemen Bank has shown a RoE comparable to other banks just after reporting a
negative profitability just for one year. The seniority of the other banks was not
much of a factor to determine their level of RoE.
Dashen Bank’s RoE has shown a continuous improvement over time. This
shows the quality of the return it provides to its shareholders.
Wegagen Bank had the lowest level of average RoE, indicating a very low
level of return but it is also the bank with the most stable earnings as indicated
by the lowest level of standard deviation in its four year RoE meaning it has
also the lowest risk. Wegagen Bank’s low level of RoE is not the result of its
inability to generate profit. The bank’s return on its assets (RoA) is among the
highest in all the years.
As with its RoE, Dashen Bank continuously increased its RoA which indicates
Dashen Bank’s profitability is the result of generating enough return on its
assets.
Zemen Banks increase in its profit figure despite the decrease in its revenue in
2012, highlights that profit can be improved not only by the increase in
revenue, but also by a better cost control.
Dashen Bank’s cost to income ratio is what we can describe as high relative to
other banks under study, but when observed over time it showed a continuous
improvement, consistent to the other profitability measures.
Regarding liquidity of the banks studied, no one has ever heard of a bank in
Ethiopia being in problem meeting its cash demands but there are important
areas in which the banks can do something to improve their performance.
Liquidity is not seen in this study only from the perspective of banks facing a
problem meeting their cash demands but also from the potential effect on
profitability.
2012 was the year in which the LTD ratio increased for all banks under study
after the decline in 2010 and 2011. This is due to the increase in the amount of
loan extended in this year. The government’s policy to restrict granting loans is
most likely the cause for the low level of loan to deposit ratio in the years
before 2012.
Generally the banks in Ethiopia are not extending enough interest bearing loans
to help their profits. This is especially true with CBE which stands to be the
most liquid bank throughout the period under study.
Banks in Ethiopia show varying levels of gearing. Wegagen Bank is the bank
that uses the highest proportion of equity in its total assets. In other words it is
the bank with the lowest level of gearing. This helps the bank to have a better
capacity to absorb potential fluctuations in its earnings. This is reflected in the
stability of its RoE.
On the other hand, CBE is the one with the lowest and declining level of equity
to total assets. This is potentially dangerous as the high level of return to its
equity remains unsustainable and is under undue exposure to risk.
Based on the analysis and conclusions made in the previous sections, the
following recommendations are forwarded to improve the banks’ performance.
Ethiopian commercial banks do not appear to fully utilize their assets to
generate income. The low level of loan to deposit ratio shows a
potential to increase more loans to generate more revenue. The banks
are recommended to invest in interest bearing assets, mainly loans, to
fully utilize their revenue generating capacity.
Commercial Bank of Ethiopia should accompany its capital growth by
growth in equity. This may be done by increasing their reinvestment
rate; i.e. decreasing the dividend payout ratio. Much emphasis should
be put on improving the return on assets (RoA) rather than increasing
leverage as a means of improving shareholder return.
CBE should utilize its capacity to generate revenue, and profit, by
extending more loans with its current levels of deposit than
campaigning for more deposits. If put idle, deposits are nothing but cost
to the bank.
The Ethiopian government is recommended to balance its desire to
control inflation with the need to maintain lasting viability of the
banking industry. Net interest margin of all banks dropped in the years
2010 and 2011. This was due to the fact that the banks did not issue as
much loan as they could during those years due to the government’s
policy to restrict loans.
Zemen Bank seems to reach a saturation point in its earning capacity.
Its RoA declined in 2012 as a result of declining revenues. Appropriate
strategies should be put in place to continue its growth in its earnings.
Commercial Bank of Ethiopia needs to continue its cost consciousness.
In 2012 CBE’s costs relative to its revenue has increased significantly.
This shows the bank is weakening in terms of controlling its costs,
especially non interest costs, as compared to its leading position in this
measure.
The study aims to show how useful accounting data can be in measuring the
success of a company. It also tries to demonstrate the effect of changes in
government policy on the performance of commercial banks in Ethiopia. The
banks studied include both public and private commercial banks and banks of
different sizes.
One limitation to the validity of the study is the fact that it could not include all
banks. Besides, this study measures the performance of the banks relative to
each other, overtime, and the industry average. This, however, does not
necessarily indicate how well the individual banks are doing as we do not
know where the country’s banking industry stands in terms of its profitability
and risk relative to other suitable benchmarks. Further studies are
recommended that address these limitations.