Pertemuan 12b Financial Market

Financial
Financial Markets
Markets
CHAPTER 4
Prepared by:
Fernando Quijano and Yvonn Quijano
Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall • Macroeconomics, 5/e • Olivier Blanchard
Tambahan: Definisi Uang beredar
(milyar Rp)
2020 2020
KETERANGAN
Sep* Oct*
Uang Beredar Luas(M2) 6,748,574 6,780,845
Uang Beredar Sempit (M1) 1,780,721 1,782,244
Uang Kartal di Luar Bank Umum dan BPR 674,441 707,854
Simpanan Giro Rupiah 1,106,280 1,074,390
Uang Kuasi 4,946,507 4,976,024
Simpanan Berjangka 2,581,725 2,630,641
Rupiah 2,260,611 2,300,476
Valuta Asing 321,114 330,165
Tabungan 1,987,483 1,990,578
Chapter 4: Financial Markets
Rupiah 1,842,642 1,844,098

Valuta Asing 144,840 146,481
Simpanan Giro Valuta asing 377,300 354,805
Surat Berharga Selain Saham 21,345 22,576
Sumber: Bank Indonesia
Copyright © 2009 Pearson Education, Inc. Publishing as Prentice Hall • Macroeconomics, 5/e • Olivier Blanchard 2 of 32
Tambahan: Suku bunga
4-1 The Demand for Money
 Money, which you can use for transactions, pays no

interest. There are two types of money: currency, coins
and bills, and checkable deposits, the bank deposits
on which you can write checks.
 Bonds pay a positive interest rate, i, but they cannot be
used for transactions.
The proportions of money and bonds you wish to hold depend

mainly on two variables:
 Your level of transactions
 The interest rate on bonds
Money market funds pool together the funds of many

people. The funds are then used to buy bonds—typically
government bonds.
Semantic Traps: Money, Income, and Wealth
Income is what you earn from working plus what you receive in
interest and dividends. It is a flow—that is, it is expressed per unit of
time.
Saving is that part of after-tax income that is not spent. It is also a

flow. Savings is sometimes used as a synonym for wealth (a term
we will not use in this book).
Your financial wealth, or simply wealth, is the value of all your

financial assets minus all your financial liabilities. In contrast to
income or saving, which are flow variables, financial wealth is a stock

variable.
Investment is a term economists reserve for the purchase of new

capital goods, from machines to plants to office buildings. When you
want to talk about the purchase of shares or other financial assets,
you should refer them as a financial investment.
Deriving the Demand for Money
Let’s go from this discussion to an equation describing the

demand for money.
M  $Y L(i)
d
 
Read this equation in the following way: The demand for
d
money, M , is equal to nominal income, $Y, times a function
of the interest rate, i, with the function denoted by L(i ).
The demand for money:

 increases in proportion to nominal income ($Y), and
 depends negatively on the interest rate (L(i) and the
negative sign underneath).
Deriving the Demand for Money
M d  $YL(i )
( )
Figure 4 - 1
The Demand for Money
For a given level of nominal
income, a lower interest rate
increases the demand for
money. At a given interest rate,
an increase in nominal income
shifts the demand for money to

the right.
Who Holds U.S. Currency?
According to household surveys, in 2006, the average U.S. household
held $1,600 in currency. If multiplied by the number of households in the
U.S. the total would come to around $170 billion. However, the Federal
Reserve Board knows the amount of currency in circulation was much
higher, $750 billion.
Clearly some currency was held by firms rather than by households. And
some was held by those involved in the underground economy or in illegal
activities. However, this leaves 66% of the total unaccounted for. The
balance of which is abroad and held by foreigners.
The fact that foreigners hold such a high proportion of the dollar bills in
circulation has two main macroeconomic implications.

First, the rest of the world, by being willing to hold U.S. currency, is making
in effect an interest-free loan to the United States of $500 billion.
Second, while we shall think of money demand as being determined by
the interest rate and the level of transactions in the country, it is clear that
U.S. money demand also depends on other factors.
4-2 The Determination of the Interest Rate, I
Money Demand, Money Supply, and the Equilibrium
Interest Rate
Equilibrium in financial markets requires that money supply

be equal to money demand, or that Ms = Md. Then using
this equation, the equilibrium condition is:
Money Supply = Money demand
M  $Y L(i)
This equilibrium relation is called the LM relation.
Interest Rate
Figure 4 - 2
The Determination of the
Interest Rate
The interest rate must be such
that the supply of money
(which is independent of the
interest rate) is equal to the
demand for money (which does
depend on the interest rate).
Interest Rate
Figure 4 - 3
The Effects of an
Increase in Nominal
Income on the Interest
Rate
An increase in nominal income
leads to an increase in the
interest rate.
Interest Rate
Figure 4 - 4
The Effects of an
Increase in the Money
Supply on the Interest
Rate
An increase in the supply of
money leads to a decrease in
the interest rate.
Monetary Policy and Open Market Operations
Open market operations
Open-market operations, which take place in the

“open market” for bonds, are the standard method
central banks use to change the money stock in modern
economies.
If the central bank buys bonds, this operation is called

an expansionary open market operation because the
central bank increases (expands) the supply of money.
If the central bank sells bonds, this operation is called a

contractionary open market operation because the
central bank decreases (contracts) the supply of money.
Open market operations
Figure 4 - 5
The Balance Sheet of
the Central Bank and the
Effects of an
Expansionary Open
Market Operation
The assets of the central bank
are the bonds it holds. The
liabilities are the stock of
money in the economy. An
open market operation in which

the central bank buys bonds
and issues money increases
both assets and liabilities by
the same amount.
Bond Prices and Bond Yields
Understanding the relation between the interest rate and bond
prices will prove useful both here and later in this book:
 Treasury bills, or T-bills are issued by the U.S. government

promising payment in a year or less. If you buy the bond
today and hold it for a year, the rate of return (or interest) on
holding a $100 bond for a year is ($100 - $PB)/$PB.
 If we are given the interest rate, we can figure out the price
of the bond using the same formula.
$100  $ PB $100
i  $ PB 
$ PB 1 i
Bond Prices and Bond Yields
Let’s summarize what we have learned so far in this chapter:
 The interest rate is determined by the equality of the supply
of money and the demand for money.
 By changing the supply of money, the central bank can
affect the interest rate.
 The central bank changes the supply of money through open
market operations, which are purchases or sales of bonds
for money.
 Open market operations in which the central bank increases

the money supply by buying bonds lead to an increase in the
price of bonds and a decrease in the interest rate.
 Open market operations in which the central bank decreases
the money supply by selling bonds lead to a decrease in the
price of bonds and an increase in the interest rate.
Choosing Money or Choosing the Interest Rate?
A decision by the central

bank to lower the interest
rate from i to i ’ is equivalent
to increasing the money
supply.
Figure 4 - 4
Money, Bonds, and Other Assets
We have been looking at an economy with only two assets:

money and bonds. This is obviously a much simplified
version of actual economies, with their many financial
assets and many financial markets.
There is one dimension, however, to which our model must

be extended. We have assumed that all money in the
economy consists of currency supplied by the central bank.
In the real world, money includes not only currency but also
checkable deposits.
4-3 The Determination of Interest Rate, II*
What Banks Do
Financial intermediaries are institutions that receive

funds from people and firms, and use these funds to
buy bonds or stocks, or to make loans to other people
and firms.
■ Banks receive funds from people and firms who

either deposit funds directly or have funds sent to
their checking accounts. The liabilities of the banks
are therefore equal to the value of these checkable
deposits.
■ Banks keep as reserves some of the funds they

receive.
What Banks Do
Banks hold reserves for three reasons:
1. On any given day, some depositors withdraw cash from their

checking accounts, while others deposit cash into their
accounts.
2. In the same way, on any given day, people with accounts at

the bank write checks to people with accounts at other banks,
and people with accounts at other banks write checks to
people with accounts at the bank.
3. Banks are subject to reserve requirements. The actual

reserve ratio – the ratio of bank reserves to bank checkable
deposits – is about 10% in the United States today.
What Banks Do
■ Loans represent roughly 70% of banks’ non-reserve assets.

Bonds count for the rest, 30%.
The assets of the central bank are the bonds it holds. The
liabilities of the central bank are the money it has issued,
central bank money. The new feature is that not all of central
bank money is held as currency by the public. Some of it is
held as reserves by banks.
What Banks Do
Figure 4 - 6
The Balance Sheet of
Banks and the Balance
Sheet of the Central
Bank, Revisited
The Supply and the Demand for Central Bank Money
Let’s think in terms of the supply and the demand for central
bank money.
■ The demand for central bank money is equal to the

demand for currency by people plus the demand for
reserves by banks.
■ The supply of central bank money is under the direct

control of the central bank.
■ The equilibrium interest rate is such that the demand and

the supply for central bank money are equal.
Figure 4 - 7
Determinants of the
Demand and the Supply
of Central Bank Money
Bank Runs
Rumors that a bank is not doing well and some loans will
not be repaid, will lead people to close their accounts at
that bank. If enough people do so, the bank will run out
of reserves—a bank run.
To avoid bank runs, the U.S. government provides
federal deposit insurance.
An alternative solution is narrow banking, which would
restrict banks to holding liquid, safe, government bonds,
such as T-bills.
The Demand for Money
When people can hold both currency and checkable deposits,
the demand for money involves two decisions.
First, people must decide how much money to hold. Second,

they must decide how much of this money to hold in currency
and how much to hold in checkable deposits.
We can assume that overall money demand is given by the

same equation as before: M d  $Y L(i )
( )
The demands for currency and checkable deposits are given

by: d d
CU  c M
D d  (1  c) M d
The Demand for Reserves
The larger the amount of checkable deposits, the larger

the amount of reserves the banks must hold, for both
precautionary and regulatory reasons.
The relation between reserves (R) and deposits (D):
R D
The demand for reserves by banks is given by:
R d   1  c  M d
The Demand for Central Bank Money
The demand for central bank money is equal to the sum of

the demand for currency and the demand for reserves.
H d  CU d  R d
Replace CU d and R d with their expressions from equations

(4.4) and (4.7) to get:
H d  cM d   1  c  M d  c   1  c  M d
Finally, replace the overall demand for money, M ,d

with its expression from equation (4.3) to get:
H d  c   1  c  $Y L  i 
The Determination of the Interest Rate
In equilibrium, the supply of central bank money (H) is

equal to the demand for central bank money (Hd):
H  Hd
Or restated as:
H d  c   1  c  $Y L  i 
The Determination of the Interest Rate
Figure 4 - 8
Equilibrium in the
Market for Central Bank
Money and the
Determination of the
Interest Rate
The equilibrium interest rate is
such that the supply of central
bank money is equal to the
demand for central bank
money.
4-4 Two Alternative Ways of Looking
at the Equilibrium*
The Federal Funds Market and the Federal Funds Rate
The equilibrium condition that the supply and the demand

for bank reserves be equal is given by:
H  CU d  R d
The federal funds market is a market for bank reserves.

In equilibrium, demand (Rd) must equal supply (H-CUd).
The interest rate determined in the market is called the
federal funds rate.
at the Equilibrium*
The Supply of Money, the Demand for Money, and the
Money Multiplier
1
H  $Y L(i )
[c   (1  c)]
Supply of money = Demand for money
■ The overall supply of money is equal to central bank money

times the money multiplier:
1/  c   1  c  
■ High-powered money is the term used to reflect the fact

that the overall supply of money depends in the end on the
amount of central bank money (H), or monetary base.
at the Equilibrium*
The Supply of Money, the Demand for Money, and the
Money Multiplier
Understanding the Money Multiplier
We can think of the ultimate increase in the money

supply as the result of successive rounds of purchases
of bonds—the first started by the Fed in its open market
operation, the following rounds by banks.
Key Terms
 Federal Reserve Bank (Fed)  expansionary, and contractionary,

 income open market operation
 flow  Treasury bill, (T-bill)
 saving  financial intermediaries
 savings  (bank) reserves
 financial wealth, wealth  reserve ratio
 stock  bank run
 investment  federal deposit insurance
 financial investment  narrow banking
 money  central bank money
 currency  federal funds market
 checkable deposits  federal funds rate
 bonds  money multiplier
 money market funds  high-powered money

 LM relation  monetary base
 open market operation

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Financial

Rupiah 1,842,642 1,844,098

Sumber: Bank Indonesia

 Money, which you can use for transactions, pays no

The proportions of money and bonds you wish to hold depend

 The interest rate on bonds

Money market funds pool together the funds of many

Saving is that part of after-tax income that is not spent. It is also a

Your financial wealth, or simply wealth, is the value of all your

income or saving, which are flow variables, financial wealth is a stock

Investment is a term economists reserve for the purchase of new

Let’s go from this discussion to an equation describing the

The demand for money:

shifts the demand for money to

circulation has two main macroeconomic implications.

Equilibrium in financial markets requires that money supply

Money Supply = Money demand

This equilibrium relation is called the LM relation.

Open-market operations, which take place in the

If the central bank buys bonds, this operation is called

If the central bank sells bonds, this operation is called a

open market operation in which

 Treasury bills, or T-bills are issued by the U.S. government

of the bond using the same formula.

 Open market operations in which the central bank increases

A decision by the central

We have been looking at an economy with only two assets:

There is one dimension, however, to which our model must

Financial intermediaries are institutions that receive

■ Banks receive funds from people and firms who

■ Banks keep as reserves some of the funds they

Banks hold reserves for three reasons:

1. On any given day, some depositors withdraw cash from their

2. In the same way, on any given day, people with accounts at

people with accounts at the bank.

3. Banks are subject to reserve requirements. The actual

■ Loans represent roughly 70% of banks’ non-reserve assets.

■ The demand for central bank money is equal to the

■ The supply of central bank money is under the direct

■ The equilibrium interest rate is such that the demand and

First, people must decide how much money to hold. Second,

We can assume that overall money demand is given by the

The demands for currency and checkable deposits are given

The larger the amount of checkable deposits, the larger

The relation between reserves (R) and deposits (D):

The demand for reserves by banks is given by:

The demand for central bank money is equal to the sum of

Replace CU d and R d with their expressions from equations

Finally, replace the overall demand for money, M ,d

In equilibrium, the supply of central bank money (H) is

The equilibrium condition that the supply and the demand

The federal funds market is a market for bank reserves.

■ The overall supply of money is equal to central bank money

■ High-powered money is the term used to reflect the fact

We can think of the ultimate increase in the money

 Federal Reserve Bank (Fed)  expansionary, and contractionary,

 money market funds  high-powered money

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