HHP Jan2023 KeyResults

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Field Dates: January 18-19, 2023 1

SURVEY METHOD

Results were weighted for age within gender, region,


race/ethnicity, marital status, household size, income,
employment, education, political party, and political
This survey was conducted ideology where necessary to align them with their actual
online within the United proportions in the population. Propensity score weighting
States from January 18-19, was also used to adjust for respondents’ propensity to be
online.
2023 among 2,050
registered voters by The The poll was supervised by pollsters:
Harris Poll and HarrisX. Mark Penn (Chairman, The Harris Poll)
Dritan Nesho (CEO, HarrisX)
Stephen Ansolabehere (Professor and CAPS Director
Emeritus, Harvard University)

2
APPROVAL AND
MOOD OF COUNTRY

3
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

SIX IN TEN VOTERS CONTINUE TO SAY THE % Who Say “Right Track”
COUNTRY IS ON THE WRONG TRACK 09/22 10/22 11/22 12/22 01/23

GOP 13% 14% 12% 18% 14%

Country: Right Track / Wrong Track DEM 59% 55% 60% 58% 57%

IND 21% 19% 20% 22% 21%


80%
70%
70%
64%65% 63% 64% 63%
62% 62% 62%
61% 61% 60%60%61%
59% 60%58% 60% 60% 59% 58%58%
58%
60% 55%55% 56%
55%54% 55% 56%55% 55% 56%55%54% 55%
56%56%
54% 53%53% 52%52%52%53%53%52%54% 53%54%52% 54% 53% 54% 53% 54%
52% 53% 52%53% 53%
50%
48%
50% 47%46%48%47% 47%
46%
43%43%44%43%
40% 41% 41%
39%39%39%38%39%40%38% 38%38%38%39%38% 39% 39%39% 39%
40% 34%
37%
36% 35%
37%37% 36%
35% 36% 37%37%37% 37%36% 36%35%
34%
34% 34% 33% 34% 34%
32% 32% 32% 32%32% 32%31%32% 32%
30%30% 30% 31% 30% 30%
29% 29% 28%
30% 27%27% 27%
24%

20%
14%14%14%14%13%14% 15%
12%12%12% 12% 11%10%10%11%
10% 10%
9% 10% 9% 9% 9% 10% 9% 9% 8% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8% 9% 10%
8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 8% 8%
7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 8% 8% 8% 9% 8% 7% 8% 7% 8% 7% 8% 8% 8% 8% 7% 7% 8%
10% 7% 6% 6% 6% 6%
7%

0%

Nov-2 0
June 18
Nov 17

Nov 18

Nov 19

Nov 21

Nov 22
Feb 17

Sep 17

Feb 18

Sep 18

Feb 19

Sep 19

Feb 20

Sep 20

Feb 21

Sep 21

Feb 22

Sep 22
Jun 17

Jun 19

Jun 20

Jun 21

Jun 22
Dec 17

July 18

Dec 18

Dec 19

Dec 22
May 17

May 18

May 19

May 20

May 21

May 22
Mar 17

Mar 18

Mar 19

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22
Oct 17

Oct 18

Oct 19

Oct 20

Oct 21

Oct 22
Jan 18

Jan 19

Jan 20

Jan 21

Jan 22

Jan 23
Jul 17

Jul 19

Jul 20

Jul 21

Jul 22
Aug 17

Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20
Apr 17

Apr 18

Apr 19

Apr 20

Apr 21

Apr 22
Right track Wrong track Don't know / Unsure

4
M1. In general, do you think the country is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

TWO-THIRDS OF VOTERS SAY THE ECONOMY


% Who Say “Right Track”
IS ON THE WRONG TRACK, AS THE MOOD
CONTINUES TO SOUR
09/22 10/22 11/22 12/22 01/23

GOP 12% 13% 11% 17% 12%

DEM 55% 49% 53% 52% 50%

IND 19% 17% 17% 21% 19%


U.S. Economy: Right Track / Wrong Track
80%

70%
71%
67% 67% 66% 66%
60% 65% 56% 64% 64% 64% 63%
62%
51% 51% 51% 60% 60% 60% 61%
58% 58% 58% 57% 58%
47% 47%
49% 48% 48%
47% 47% 48% 48% 49% 49% 57% 49%
50% 46% 46% 47% 55% 47% 47%
53%
44% 45% 43%
45%
43% 44% 52% 43%
42% 49%
51% 40% 39%
46%
40% 45%
43% 42%
44% 36%
35% 36% 36% 45%
41% 41% 41% 41% 33% 32% 42% 42% 42%
42% 34%
40% 39% 39% 39% 38% 32% 32% 31% 31%
38% 39% 37%
39%
37% 37%
39% 41% 30% 30% 29% 29% 30%
30% 36% 27% 35%
26% 26% 27% 28% 28%
25%
21%
20%
16% 17% 15% 15% 16%
10% 14% 13% 14% 12% 13% 13% 12% 12% 14% 13%
12% 13%
11% 12% 11% 12% 11% 12% 11% 12% 11% 12% 10%
12%
10% 10% 9%
12% 11%
9% 10% 9% 10% 10% 9% 10%
8%
7% 7% 8% 8% 8% 7% 8% 9% 8%
7% 7% 6% 6%
0%
Jan 19

Jan 20

Jan 21

Jan 22

Jan 23
May 18

May 19

May 20

May 21

May 22
Mar 18

Mar 19

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22
Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20
Apr 18

Arp 19

Apr 20

Apr 21

Apr 22
Nov-20
Sep 18

Feb 19

Sep 19

Feb 20

Sep 20

Feb 21

Sep 21

Feb 22

Sep 22
Jun 19

Jun 20

Jun 21

Jun 22
Nov 18

Nov 19

Nov 21

Nov 22
June 18

Jul 19

Jul 20

Jul 21

Jul 22
July 18

Dec 18

Dec 19

Dec 22
Oct 18

Oct 19

Oct 20

Oct 21

Oct 22
Right track Wrong track Don't know / Unsure

5
M2. In general, do you think the American economy is on the right track or is it off on the wrong track?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

LESS THAN FOUR IN TEN SAY THE U.S. ECONOMY IS STRONG

How strong do you think the U.S. economy is today?


80% 74% 75% 74%
71% 72% 71% 72%
70% 69% 68% 68% 69% 70% 70% 70% 71% 71%
69% 69% 70% 70%
70% 66% 66% 66%
62% 63% 63% 72%
69% 59% 59%
54% 56% 67% 66%
60% 63%
57%
56%52% 55% 65% 65% 64%
63%
61% 61% 53%51% 54% 62% 61%
60%
57% 57% 57%
50% 43% 43%
53% 40%
39% 48% 38% 39%
37% 45% 49%46% 47% 46% 37%
40% 43%
44% 47%
44% 43% 41% 35%
33% 34%
35% 36%
31% 41%
39%
38% 37% 37% 28%
30% 34% 34% 34%
30% 31% 32% 32% 31% 30% 29% 30% 30% 29% 31% 31% 30% 30%
28% 29% 29% 28%
20% 26% 25% 26%

10%

0%
Mar 18

Mar 19

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22
Oct 18

Oct 19

Oct 20

Oct 21

Oct 22
June 18

Jan 19

Jan 20

Jan 21

Jan 22

Jan 23
May 18

May 19

May 20

May 21

May 22
Nov-20
Nov 18

Jul 19

Nov 19

Jul 20

Jul 21

Nov 21

Jul 22

Nov 22
July 18

Dec 18

Dec 19

Dec 22
Apr 18

Apr 19

Apr 20

Apr 21

Apr 22
Jun 19

Jun 20

Jun 21

Jun 22
Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20
Feb 18

Sep 18

Feb 19

Sep 19

Feb 20

Sep 20

Feb 21

Sep 21

Feb 22

Sep 22
Strong Weak

6
I3. How strong do you think the U.S. economy is today?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

OVER HALF OF AMERICANS SAY THEIR FINANCIAL SITUATION IS WORSENING, SEEING A


SMALL INCREASE SINCE DECEMBER
70%
Would you say that your personal financial situation is improving or getting worse?
“No opinion” removed
as response option in
November 2021
60% 64%

54%
56% 57%
56%
50% 53% 54%
53%
49% 48% 50%
42% 43%
38% 40% 41% 41% 42% 40% 40% 46%
38% 38% 40% 38%40% 40% 39% 38% 45%
40% 37% 38% 37% 36% 37% 37% 36%
38%
36% 36% 36%
38% 38% 37% 38% 37%
35% 35% 35% 37% 35%
34%
37% 36% 37% 32% 39% 32%
32% 31% 36% 30%
36% 35% 30% 35% 36% 36% 35% 35% 36%
35% 35% 33% 33% 33%
30% 34% 34% 34%
32% 27%
33% 33% 28%
32% 33%
34% 27% 27% 25% 27% 26%
31% 31% 29% 31% 31% 30% 29%30% 30% 24%
22% 29% 23%
29% 22% 23%23% 22%
26% 25% 27% 26% 27% 20%
26% 25% 25%
20% 24% 25% 25% 23% 23% 22% 23%
25%
24% 25% 24% 24% 23%
25% 24% 25%
23%
23%
23%
23% 22% 22% 22% 22% 23% 23% 23% 22% 22% 22% 22% 24%
21% 20% 21% 21% 21% 21% 20% 21%
20% 20%

16%
10%
9%
8% 8% 9% 7% 6% 6% 7% 7% 7%
6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6% 6% 6% 6% 5% 6%
0% 5% 4% 6% 4% 4% 4% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 4% 4% 5% 4% 4%
June 18

Jan 19

Jan 20

Jan 21

Jan 22

Jan 23
Mar 18

Mar 19

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22
Oct 18

Oct 19

Oct 20

Oct 21

Oct 22
May 18

May 19

May 20

May 21

May 22
Nov 18

Jul 19

Nov 19

Jul 20

Nov 20

Jul 21

Nov 21

Jul 22

Nov 22
July 18

Dec 18

Dec 19

Dec 22
Apr 18

Apr 19

Apr 20

Apr 21

Apr 22
Jun 19

Jun 20

Jun 21

Jun 22
Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20
Sep 18

Feb 19

Sep 19

Feb 20

Sep 20

Feb 21

Sep 21

Feb 22

Sep 22
Improving Getting worse Just as well off No opinion

7
I4. Would you say that your personal financial situation is improving or getting worse?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

WHILE 43% OF ADULTS ARE OPTIMISTIC ABOUT THEIR LIFE OVER THE NEXT YEAR,
OVER 4 IN 5 THINK THE U.S. IS EITHER IN RECESSION OR WILL BE IN THE NEXT YEAR

In general, are you feeling optimistic or pessimistic about Do you think the U.S. is in a recession now, will be in a
your life over the next year? recession in the next year or most likely will avoid a
recession?
43% 44% 43%
43% 40% 41% 49% 49%
39% 40%
40% 46% 46%
42% 43% 41% 42%
35% 39%
40% 38% 36%
37% 37% 37% 40%
41% 39%
34% 34% 36% 38%
33%

23% 23% 23% 23% 18% 20%


22% 23% 22% 22% 16% 16% 16% 16% 17%
21% 12%

May 22 Jun 22 Jul 22 Sep 22 Oct 22 Nov 22 Dec 22 Jan 23

Is in a recession now
Apr 22 May 22 Jun 22 Jul 22 Sep 22 Oct 22 Nov 22 Dec 22 Jan 23 Will be in a recession in the next year
Optimistic Pessimistic About the same Will avoid a recession

OUT1: In general, are you feeling optimistic or pessimistic about your life over the next year?
8
REC: Do you think the U.S. is in a recession now, will be in a recession in the next year or most likely will avoid a recession?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

BIDEN’S APPROVAL IS STABLE BUT UNDERWATER AT 42%


President Biden Overall Approval

57% 59% 61% 62% 52% 48% 43% 45% 39% 38% 39% 41% 41% 38% 38% 41% 42% 43% 42% 42%

20% 18% 17% 21% 20% 18% 19% 21% 21% 20%
26% 24% 23% 23% 23% 23%
33% 33% 30% 33%

21% 21% 20% 19%


Strongly approve
25% 18% 19% 21% 18% 21% 21% 22%
20% 19%
24% Somewhat approve
26%
24% 26% 30% 26% 13% 16% 17% 17% 17%
16% 15% 16% 15%
16% 14% 17% 17% 17% Somewhat disapprove
14%
13%
9% 9%
10% 11% Strongly disapprove
40% 39% 38% 40% 40%
30% 36%
35% 37% 38% 39% 39% 40% 37% 38% 39% Not sure
30% 29% 23%
26%

4% 4% 3% 7% 5% 2% 6% 4% 7% 7% 6% 5% 5% 5% 5% 5% 3% 3% 3% 3%
Mar 21 Apr 21 May 21 Jun 21 Jul 21 Sep 21 Oct 21 Nov 21 Jan 22 Feb 22 Mar 22 Mar 23May 22 Jun 22 Jul 22 Sep 22 Oct 22 Nov 22 Dec 22 Jan 23

9
M3ALT. Do you approve or disapprove of the job Joe Biden is doing as President of the United States?
BIDEN’S APPROVAL ON MANAGEMENT OF ISSUES IS WEAK ACROSS THE BOARD,
CREDITED ON HANDLING OF COVID
Approve Biden on…
(Strongly or Somewhat Approve)

Jan 2022 Feb 2022 Mar 2022 Apr 2022 May 2022 Jun 2022 Jul 22 Sep 22 Oct 22 Nov 22 Dec 22 Jan 23
May
The Economy 35% 33% 35% 38% 36% 32% 36% 37% 39% 39% 39% 38%

Stimulating Jobs 41% 38% 39% 46% 45% 43% 41% 44% 46% 46% 47% 46%

Fighting Terrorism 38% 34% 36% 43% 42% 40% 41% 42% 44% 45% 45% 43%

Immigration 34% 32% 34% 38% 38% 37% 39% 37% 38% 40% 40% 37%

Foreign Affairs 35% 33% 38% 41% 41% 39% 39% 40% 41% 44% 42% 42%

Administering the
40% 38% 35% 44% 42% 38% 41% 41% 44% 44% 43% 42%
Gov't
Reacting to
44% 44% 42% 52% 53% 50% 48% 49% 51% 54% 52% 52%
coronavirus
Dealing with
violence and crime 36% 33% 34% 39% 38% 34% 38% 38% 39% 40% 42% 39%
in the country

Handling inflation 31% 28% 33% 35% 34% 28% 33% 36% 35% 38% 38% 36%

10
M3A. Do you approve or disapprove of the job President Biden is doing on …?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

GOP APPROVAL REMAINS JUST UNDER 50%

Republican Party Approval


“Don’t know” removed
70% as response option in
57% 59%
61% 61% 60% 60% 61% 61% November 2021
70% 59% 59% 58% 58% 60% 58% 59% 59% 59%
60% 71% 72% 57% 58% 57% 56%
55% 55% 56% 54% 54%
56% 55% 56%
54% 54% 54% 55% 55%
54% 53% 53%
52%
51% 51%53% 52% 51% 52% 50% 51%
52% 52% 51% 51% 52% 52%

50%
49% 49%47% 48% 49% 48% 50% 49%
48% 47% 48% 48% 49% 49% 48% 48%
45% 45% 44% 46% 46% 46% 46% 46%
40% 29% 28% 43% 42% 44% 45% 44% 43% 44% 43%
45% 45%
30% 41% 41% 42% 42% 40% 42% 41% 41% 41%
39% 39% 40% 40% 39% 39% 39%
43% 41%
30%

20%

10% 5%
7%

0%
Mar 18

Mar 19

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22
Oct 18

Oct 19

Oct 20

Oct 21

Oct 22
June 18

Jan 19

Jan 20

Jan 21

Jan 22

Jan 23
May 18

May 19

May 20

May 21

May 22
Nov-20
July 18

Nov 18

Jul 19

Nov 19

Jul 20

Jul 21

Nov 21

Jul 22

Nov 22
Dec 18

Dec 19

Dec 22
Apr 18

Apr 19

Apr 20

Apr 21

Apr 22
Jun 19

Jun 20

Jun 21

Jun 22
Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20
Sep 18

Feb 19

Sep 19

Feb 20

Sep 20

Feb 21

Sep 21

Feb 22

Sep 22
Approve Disapprove Don't know

11
M4. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Republican Party is handling its job?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

DEMOCRATIC PARTY APPROVAL TICKS DOWN SLIGHTLY TO 46%

Democratic Party Approval “Don’t know” removed


70% as response option in
November 2021
60% 59% 60%
58% 57% 58% 58% 58% 59% 58% 57%
60% 56% 56% 57% 56% 56% 56% 57% 57% 57%
54% 54%65%54% 54% 54% 54% 54% 53% 54% 54% 53% 54% 54% 54% 54% 55% 55%
55% 55%
53% 54% 53%54%
52% 52% 52% 53%53% 52% 53% 51%
50% 56%
55%
50% 45%
50% 44% 49%
48% 48% 48% 47% 45%48%
46% 46% 46% 46% 46% 46% 46% 47% 46% 46% 47% 46% 46% 46% 46% 47% 45% 45%
47% 46% 47%46%
40% 44% 44% 35% 43% 44% 44% 44% 43% 43%
42% 43% 42% 42% 42% 41%
43% 42% 43% 43%
40% 41% 40%
38%
30%

20%

10%
4%

0%
June 18

Jan 19

Jan 20

Jan 21

Jan 22

Jan 23
Mar 18

Mar 19

Mar 20

Mar 21

Mar 22
Oct 18

Oct 19

Oct 20

Oct 21

Oct 22
May 18

May 19

May 20

May 21

May 22
Nov-20
Nov 18

Jul 19

Nov 19

Jul 20

Jul 21

Nov 21

Jul 22

Nov 22
July 18

Dec 18

Dec 19

Dec 22
Apr 18

Apr 19

Apr 20

Apr 21

Apr 22
Jun 19

Jun 20

Jun 21

Jun 22
Aug 18

Aug 19

Aug 20
Sep 18

Feb 19

Sep 19

Feb 20

Sep 20

Feb 21

Sep 21

Feb 22

Sep 22
Approve Disapprove Don't know

12
M5. Do you approve or disapprove of the way the Democratic Party is handling its job?
JUST OVER A THIRD APPROVE OF THE JOB CONGRESS IS DOING

Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?

39% 49% 46% 54% 45% 36% 31% 32% 30% 30% 34% 34% 31% 28% 30% 32% 33% 36% 35% 35%

11% 10% 9% 8% 10% 9% 7% 7% 8% 11% 9% 10% 10% 9%


13% 16% 16% 15% 13%
19%

21% 22% 24% 21% 22%


24%
20% 22% 23% 25% 21% 24% 26% 26% 25% Strongly approve
34% 30% 30%
34%
35%
Somewhat approve
28%
28% 27% 30% 28%
28% 28% 30% 28% 27% 28% Somewhat disapprove
26% 29% 30% 31%
Strongly disapprove
31% 33% 30%
27%
28% Don't know
32% 33% 30% 32% 35% 33% 32%
31% 29% 29% 29% 31% 27% 26% 26%

23% 23% 22% 25%


18%
7% 8% 9% 11% 10% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 9% 8%
March April May Jun 21 Jul 21 Sep 21 Oct 21 Nov Jan 22 Feb 22 Mar Apr 22 May Jun 22 Jul 22 Sep 22 Oct 22 Nov Dec 22 Jan 23
21 21 21 21 22 22 22

13
CON1. Do you approve or disapprove of the way Congress is doing its job?
TRUMP, PENCE AND MUSK ARE TOP THREE
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST FAVORABLE PUBLIC FIGURES Favorable Unfavorable


(NET) (NET)
GAP

Donald Trump Donald Trump 45% 48% -3


26% 20% 5% 13% 35%
Ron DeSantis Ron DeSantis 45% 32% 13
24% 21% 16% 13% 18%
Elon Musk Elon Musk 44% 39% 5
17% 27% 13% 19% 20%
Bernie Sanders 43% 43% 0
Bernie Sanders 18% 25% 11% 15% 28%
Mike Pence 42% 42% 0
Mike Pence 14% 29% 13% 21% 21%
Joe Biden 40% 54% -14
Joe Biden
Favorability of 20% 21% 4% 14% 40%
Ted Cruz 39% 41% -2
Ted Cruz 13% 26% 16% 16% 24%
Political Figures Hillary Clinton 16% 22% 8% 14% 38%
Hillary Clinton 38% 52% -14
Kamala Harris 38% 52% -14
Kamala Harris 17% 21% 7% 13% 39%
Nancy Pelosi Nancy Pelosi 35% 53% -18
16% 20% 9% 13% 40%
Very favorable Chuck Schumer 29% 44% -15
Chuck Schumer 10% 19% 19% 14% 30%
Favorable Tim Scott 11% 17% 25% 14% 12%
Tim Scott 28% 26% 2

Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 28% 44% -16


Never heard of them 11% 17% 16% 12% 32%
Mike Pompeo 9% 19% 28% 16% 16% Mike Pompeo 28% 32% -4
No opinion
Mitch McConnell 8% 18% 17% 21% 30% Mitch McConnell 26% 51% -25
Unfavorable Joe Manchin 8% 16% 23% 21% 16% Joe Manchin 24% 37% -13
Very unfavorable Merrick Garland 8% 16% 22% 11% 19% Merrick Garland 23% 31% -8

Favorable (NET) Andrew Cuomo 7% 15% 20% 19% 30% Andrew Cuomo 22% 48% -26
Anthony Blinken 8% 13% 25% 13% 16% Anthony Blinken 20% 29% -9
Kyrsten Sinema 6% 13% 23% 16% 13% Kyrsten Sinema 20% 28% -8
Christopher Wray 6% 11% 24% 10% 14% Christopher Wray 17% 23% -6
Vladimir Putin 7% 8% 9% 14% 59% Vladimir Putin 14% 73% -59

14
F1. Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group – or if you’ve never heard of them.
MILITARY, AMAZON AND POLICE ARE MOST FAVORABLE
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

INSTITUTIONS Favorable Unfavorable


(NET) (NET)
GAP

U.S. Military 42% 36% 7% 8% 6% U.S. Military 78% 14% 64

Amazon 36% 41% 6% 9% 7% Amazon 77% 16% 61

Police Police 67% 24% 43


Favorability 30% 37% 7% 13% 11%

of Institutions Ukraine 21% 36% 14% 13% 13% Ukraine 57% 27% 30

Centers for Disease


Centers for Disease Control 20% 34% 10% 15% 18% 54% 33% 21
Control
U.S. Supreme Court 17% 37% 13% 19% 14% U.S. Supreme Court 54% 32% 22

FBI 18% 35% 11% 16% 18% FBI 53% 34% 19


Very favorable
Facebook 22% 31% 8% 18% 21% Facebook 52% 39% 13
Favorable
Never heard of them NATO 17% 32% 19% 14% 14% NATO 49% 27% 22

No opinion Department of Justice 15% 34% 12% 20% 18% Department of Justice 48% 38% 10

Unfavorable Black Lives Matter 21% 22% 10% 13% 31% Black Lives Matter 44% 45% -1
Very unfavorable Twitter 13% 24% 20% 19% 22% Twitter 37% 41% -4
Favorable (NET)
China 7% 10% 14% 23% 43% China 17% 66% -49

Antifa 6% 11% 20% 12% 38% Antifa 17% 50% -33

Russia 6% 9% 11% 20% 52% Russia 15% 71% -56

15
F1. Now we will show you some names and groups. Please indicate if you have a favorable or unfavorable view of that person or group – or if you’ve never heard of them.
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

INFLATION AND ECONOMY ARE DOMINANT AS TOP ISSUES FACING COUNTY


What would you say are the most important issues facing the country today?
Price increases / inflation 37%
Economy and jobs 29%
Immigration 28% +3
Health care 17% +3
Guns 16%
Crime and drugs 16%
Corruption 14%
National debt / federal budget deficits 14%
Environment / climate change 13%
Terrorism / national security 11%
Taxes 10%
Women's rights 10%
School safety 9%
Education 8%
Coronavirus 8% -3
Income inequality 7%
Voting rights 7%
Race relations 7%
Criminal justice (policing, courts, prisons) 6%
January 6th 5%
Political correctness / cancel culture 5%
Cybersecurity 5%
Civil disorder 5%
Defense 4%
Foreign policy 4%
Policing 4%
Other (please specify) 2% 16
I1. What would you say are the most important issues facing the country today?
MIDTERMS &
HORSERACE

17
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST SAY THEY HAVE DOUBTS ABOUT BIDEN’S MENTAL FITNESS AND AGE FOR
PRESIDENT
Showing Showing
He is I have Is Joe Biden mentally fit to serve as Do you think Joe Biden is showing he he is too he is fit to
mentally doubts President of the United States or do is too old to be President or do you old be
fit about his
fitness
you have doubts about his fitness for think he is showing he is fit to be president
office? president? Democrat 36% 64%
Democrat 76% 24%
(Split sample) (Split sample) GOP 90% 10%
GOP 13% 87%
IND/OTH 73% 27%
IND/OTH 33% 67%
Male 67% 33%
Male 42% 58%
Female 64% 36%
Female 41% 59%
65% Other 68% 32%
Other 56% 44% Dec: 42% 59%
White 69% 31%
White 35% 65% Dec: 63%
Black or
Black or 51% 49%
62% 38% 41% 35% AA
AA
Hispanic 61% 39%
Hispanic 48% 52%
18-34 64% 36%
18-34 47% 53%
35-54 67% 33%
35-54 47% 53%
55+ 65% 35%
55+ 33% 67%
He is mentally fit Showing he is too old
Urban 57% 43%
Urban 59% 41%
I have doubts about his fitness Showing he is fit to be president Suburban 66% 34%
Suburban 37% 63%
Rural 76% 24%
Rural 27% 73%

BID1. Is Joe Biden mentally fit to serve as President of the United States or do you have doubts about his fitness for office?
18
BID2. Do you think Joe Biden is showing he is too old to be President or do you think he is showing he is fit to be president?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

TRUMP IS A CLEAR FAVORITE IN A PROSPECTIVE GOP PRIMARY; DESANTIS REMAINS


THE RUNNER UP
If the Republican presidential primary for the If former President Donald Trump does not
2024 election was held today, who would you run for president in 2024, who would you
vote for? (GOP voters) vote for in the GOP primary? (GOP voters)

Donald Trump 48% Ron DeSantis 49%


Ron DeSantis 28% +3
Mike Pence 14%
Mike Pence 7%
Ted Cruz 6%
Marco Rubio 3%
Nikki Haley 5%
Nikki Haley 3%
Ted Cruz 1% Marco Rubio 4%

Tim Scott 1% Mike Pompeo 3%


Mike Pompeo 1% Tim Scott 2%
Someone else 2% Someone else 6%
Don't know / Unsure 6% Don't know / Unsure 12%

GOPPRIM1. If the Republican presidential primary for the 2024 election was held today, who would you vote for?
19
GOPPRIM2. If former President Donald Trump does not run for president in 2024, who would you vote for in the GOP primary?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

TRUMP IS WELL AHEAD OF SCOTT WHO IS LESSER KNOWN, BUT A CLOSER RACE WITH
DESANTIS

If the Republican party primary is down to two choices, If the Republican party primary is down to two choices,
Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump, who would you choose Tim Scott and Donald Trump, who would you choose to
to run as president in 2024 among the two? (GOP Voters) run as president in 2024 among the two? (GOP Voters)

75%
55%
45%
25%

Donald Trump Ron DeSantis Donald Trump Tim Scott

GOPPRIM3: If the Republican party primary is down to two choices, Ron DeSantis and Donald Trump, who would you choose to run as president in 2024 among the two?
20
GOPPRIM4: If the Republican party primary is down to two choices, Tim Scott and Donald Trump, who would you choose to run as president in 2024 among the two?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

IN DEMOCRATIC HORSERACE, BIDEN IS THE FAVORITE; HARRIS IS THE RUNNER UP


If the Democratic presidential primary for the If President Biden decides not to run again in
2024 election was held today, who would you 2024, who would you prefer to be the
vote for? (DEM voters) Democratic candidate? (DEM voters)

Joe Biden 35% Kamala Harris 26% +3


Kamala Harris 12% Bernie Sanders 12%
Bernie Sanders 11% Hillary Clinton 11% -3
Hillary Clinton 8% Pete Buttigieg 7%
Pete Buttigieg 5% Gavin Newsom 6%
Elizabeth Warren 3%
Stacey Abrams 5%
Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 3%
Amy Klobuchar 3%
Elizabeth Warren 5%
Stacey Abrams 3%
Amy Klobuchar 5%
Joe Manchin 4%
Gavin Newsom 3%
Joe Manchin 1% Alexandria Ocasio-Cortez 4%
Andrew Cuomo 1% Andrew Cuomo 2%
Someone else 2% Someone else 4%
Don't know/Unsure 9% Don't know/Unsure 10%

DEM2024A: If the Democratic presidential primary for the 2024 election was held today, who would you vote for?
21
DEM2024B: If President Biden decides not to run again in 2024, who would you prefer to be the Democratic candidate?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

TRUMP WINS HYPOTHETICAL HORSERACE AGAINST BIDEN BY 5 POINTS, HARRIS BY 8

If the 2024 election for President were held today and it If the 2024 election for President were held today and
was between Donald Trump, the Republican and Joe Biden, it was between Donald Trump, the Republican and
the Democrat, who would you vote for? Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?

Dec: 40%
Dec: 40%

41% 40%
Dec: 45% Dec: 46%

48%
46%

12%
13%

Donald Trump Joe Biden Don't Know / Unsure Donald Trump Kamala Harris Don't Know / Unsure

H1: If the 2024 election for President were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican and Joe Biden, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
22
H5: If the 2024 election for President were held today and it was between Donald Trump, the Republican and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

DESANTIS WINS HYPOTHETICAL HORSERACE BETWEEN BIDEN OR HARRIS

If the 2024 election for President were held today and it If the 2024 election for President were held today and it was
was between Ron DeSantis, the Republican and Joe between Ron DeSantis, the Republican and Kamala Harris, the
Biden, the Democrat, who would you vote for? Democrat, who would you vote for?

39% 40%
Dec: 39%
Dec: 43% Dec: 45% Dec: 40%

42% 43%
18%
17%

Ron DeSantis Joe Biden Don't Know / Unsure Ron DeSantis Kamala Harris Don't Know / Unsure

H8: If the 2024 election for President were held today and it was between Ron DeSantis, the Republican and Joe Biden, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
23
H7: If the 2024 election for President were held today and it was between Ron DeSantis, the Republican and Kamala Harris, the Democrat, who would you vote for?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST SAY THE BIDEN SHOULD NOT RUN FOR A SECOND TERM

Do you think President Biden should run for a second Why should Biden not run in 2024?
term or not run for a second term?

Dec : 66% He's a bad president 49%

65%

He's too old 31%


35%

It's time for a change 20%


Run Not run

PRESELEC1: Do you think President Biden should run for a second term or not run for a second term?
24
PRESELEC2: Why should Biden not run in 2024?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

OVER HALF OF VOTERS SURVEYED SAY TRUMP SHOULD RUN IN 2024

Do you think Donald Trump should run for president Why should Donald Trump not run for
again in 2024? president in 2024?

Dec: 59%
He's erratic 41%

56%
44% He will divide America 32%

He's responsible for January 6th 27%


Run Not run

PRESELEC3: Do you think Donald Trump should run for president again in 2024?
25
PRESELEC4: Why should Donald Trump not run for president in 2024?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS WOULD SUPPORT A MODERATE CANDIDATE OVER BIDEN AND TRUMP

If Donald Trump was the Republican nominee and Joe


Biden the Democratic nominee, would you support or not
support an independent moderate candidate running for Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
the presidency in 2024? Support 54% 49% 57%
Not support 46% 51% 43%
Dec 22

Would consider a
moderate 61%
independent
Not consider 39% 53%
47%

Support Not support

PRESELECT5A: If Donald Trump was the Republican nominee and Joe Biden the Democratic nominee, would you support or not support an independent moderate candidate running for the presidency in 2024? 26
GOP
SPEAKERSHIP
FIGHT

27
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS, INCLUDING DEMS, THINK SPEAKER MCCARTHY WILL WORK WITH
DEMOCRATS TO CREATE BIPARTISAN LEGISLATION

Do you think Kevin McCarthy is moderate, conservative, Do you think he will work with the Democrats to
or far right in outlook? create bipartisan legislation or will he only fight with
the Democrats?

42%
53%
47%
36% 21%

Moderate Conservative Far right Work with Democrats Fight with Democrats

Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH


Moderate 32% 38% 39% Work with Democrats 52% 58% 47%
Conservative 38% 49% 38% Fight with Democrats 48% 42% 53%
Far right 29% 13% 22%

SPEAK1: Do you think Kevin McCarthy is moderate, conservative, or far right in outlook?
28
SPEAK2: Do you think he will work with the Democrats to create bipartisan legislation, or will he only fight with the Democrats?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

SECURING SOCIAL SECURITY IS A POPULAR PROPOSED LEGISLATION


Do you think that Congress should or should not pass each of the
following legislation over the next year?
Pass Not pass
IND/OT
Column % DEM GOP
H
Legislation that secures Social Security for two more Pass 82% 88% 85%
85% 15%
decades Legislation that secures Social
Security for two more decades Not
18% 12% 15%
pass

Legislation that improves the development of workforce Pass 81% 78% 76%
79% 21% Legislation that improves the
skills development of workforce skills Not
19% 22% 24%
pass
Compromise immigration Pass 72% 62% 63%
Compromise immigration legislation that strengthens the legislation that strengthens the
border, adds resources to the system, and gives DACA 66% 34% border, adds resources to the
system, and gives DACA recipients a Not 28% 38% 37%
recipients a path to citizenship path to citizenship pass

Pass 51% 69% 58%


Legislation repealing the 87,000 new IRS agents and Legislation repealing the 87,000
59% 41% new IRS agents and funding border
funding border security instead security instead Not
49% 31% 42%
pass

29
SPEAK3r: Do you think that Congress should or should not pass each of the following legislation over the next year?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

TWO-THIRDS OF VOTERS SUPPORT INVESTIGATING WHETHER THE FBI AND CIA HAVE
COORDINATED WITH TECH COMPANIES

Do you favor or oppose investigations of

Favor Oppose Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH

...The politization of the FBI and CIA ...The politization of the FBI and Favor 61% 75% 66%

and its coordination with tech 67% 33% CIA and its coordination with tech
companies Oppose 39% 25% 34%
companies

Favor 63% 70% 62%


...The origins of the Covid
...The origins of the Covid 65% 35% Oppose 37% 30% 38%

Favor 45% 73% 61%


...The Hunter Biden laptop and the
...The Hunter Biden laptop and the Biden family lobbying and
Biden family lobbying and influence 60% 40% influence business Oppose 55% 27% 39%
business

SPEAK4r: The X- Do you favor or oppose investigations of… 30


MISPLACED
BIDEN DOCUMENTS

31
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS THINK BIDEN’S UNSECURED CLASSIFIED DOCUMENTS IS A SERIOUS


BREACH
Have you heard or not heard anything about classified Do you consider the presence of these classified
documents being uncovered in President Biden's documents in several unsecure locations to be a minor or
Delaware home garage and in a closet in his former serious breach of national security?
University of Pennsylvania office?

77% 64%
36%
23%

Heard Have not heard Minor Serious


Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
Minor 56% 17% 32%
Serious 44% 83% 68%
BD1: Have you heard or not heard anything about classified documents being uncovered in President Biden's Delaware home garage and in a closet in his former University of Pennsylvania office?
32
BD2: Do you consider the presence of these classified documents in several unsecure locations to be a minor or serious breach of national security?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS SAY THE MISPLACED CLASSIFIED DOCUMENTS SHOULD BE


INVESTIGATED BY THE FBI AND CONGRESS
Should the FBI investigate or not investigate how these Should the House of Representatives investigate how these
classified documents were misplaced by President Biden classified documents were misplaced by President Biden
and who might have had access to them? and who might have had access to them?

83% 77%

17% 23%

Should investigate Should not Should investigate Should not


Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
Should investigate 73% 92% 82% Should investigate 64% 90% 77%
Should not 27% 8% 18% Should not 36% 10% 23%
BD3: Should the FBI investigate or not investigate how these classified documents were misplaced by President Biden and who might have had access to them?
33
BD4: Should the House of Representatives investigate how these classified documents were misplaced by President Biden and who might have had access to them?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

OVER THREE IN FOUR VOTERS SAY THE BIDEN TEAM SHOULD HAVE DISCLOSED THE
SECURITY BREACH BEFORE THE MIDTERM ELECTIONS

Joe Biden and his team discovered the classified documents Should the FBI have searched the Delaware residence of
before the mid-term election. Should they have disclosed this President Biden for more classified documents or should
then or were they right to conceal the discovery? that have been left to Bidens attorneys to conduct and
report back to the FBI?

79%
74%
21% 26%

Should have disclosed before midterm elections The FBI should have searched

Right to conceal The FBI should have allowed Biden's attorneys to search

Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH


Should have disclosed The FBI should have searched 58% 90% 73%
66% 91% 80%
before midterm elections The FBI should have allowed
42% 10% 27%
Right to conceal 34% 9% 20% Biden's attorneys to search

BD5: Joe Biden and his team discovered the classified documents before the mid-term election. Should they have disclosed this then or were they right to conceal the discovery?
34
BD5A: Should the FBI have searched the Delaware residence of President Biden for more classified documents or should that have been left to Bidens attorneys to conduct and report back to the FBI?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

NEARLY HALF OF VOTERS SAY THE DOJ HAS TREATED THE BIDEN BREACH MORE
LENIENTLY THAN THE TRUMP BREACH

Do you think the Department of Justice has treated the Do you support or oppose the appointment of a special
Biden case of misplaced classified documents more prosecutor by the Attorney General to review the Biden
leniently, more harshly, or the same way as they did for case of misplaced classified documents?
former president Trump's case?

21% 74%
50%
29%
26%

More leniently More harshly The same


Support Oppose
Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
More lenient 33% 71% 47% Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
More harsh 23% 19% 20% Support 67% 83% 71%
The same 44% 11% 34% Oppose 33% 17% 29%

BD6: Do you think the Department of Justice has treated the Biden case of misplaced classified documents more leniently, more harshly, or the same way as they did for former president Trump's case?
35
BD7: Do you support or oppose the appointment of a special prosecutor by the Attorney General to review the Biden case of misplaced classified documents?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

HUNTER BIDEN’S BUSINESS DEALINGS WOULD BE WITHIN THE SCOPE OF A SPECIAL


COUNSEL, SAY TWO-THIRDS OF VOTERS

Do you think the special counsel should also investigate Hunter Biden's business
dealing abroad and whether Joe Biden, when he was VP, used his office for his family's
personal gain, or is this outside the scope of what the special counsel should do?

72%

28%

Should investigate business dealings Outside the scope


Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
Should investigate business dealings 55% 89% 71%
Outside the scope 45% 11% 29%
BD8: Do you think the special counsel should also investigate Hunter Biden's business dealing abroad and whether Joe Biden when he was VP used his office for his family's
36
personal gain, or is this outside the scope of what the special counsel should do?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

BIDEN’S DEALINGS WITH UPENN RAISES QUESTIONS, POSSIBLE INVESTIGATIONS, SAY


MOST VOTERS
“The University of Pennsylvania paid Joe Biden $900,000 and hired his aides to create the Penn
Biden Center for foreign affairs after he was vice president. The university allegedly received
$55 million in donations from Chinese interests, and the president of the University of
Were you aware that Joe Biden and his top campaign Pennsylvania was recently appointed an ambassadorship.”
operatives were all employed before the presidential
campaign by the University of Pennsylvania? Does all this seem fair or does it raise questions that should be investigated?

69% 66%

31% 34%

Aware Not aware Fair Raises questions that should be investigated


Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
Aware 34% 33% 25% Fair 57% 17% 27%
Not aware 66% 67% 75% Raises questions that
43% 83% 73%
should be investigated
BD9: Were you aware that Joe Biden and his top campaign operatives were all employed before the presidential campaign by the University of Pennsylvania?
37
BD10: Does all this seem fair or does it raise questions that should be investigated?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS THINK THE HUNTER LAPTOP STORY IS GENUINE

Do you think the Hunter Biden laptop is genuine or Do you think that Hunter Biden paid his taxes and filed his
Russian disinformation? representation of foreign governments or do you think he
did not comply with these laws?

59% Sep 22: 44%


60%
Sep 22: 59% 41% 40%

Genuine Disinformation Paid his taxes Did not comply


Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
Genuine 47% 71% 60% Paid his taxes 69% 17% 31%
Disinformation 53% 29% 40% Did not comply 31% 83% 69%

BD11: Do you think the Hunter Biden laptop is genuine or Russian disinformation?
38
BD12: Do you think that Hunter Biden paid his taxes and filed his representation of foreign governments or do you think he did not comply with these laws?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

OVER HALF OF VOTERS SUSPECT HUNTER COLLECTED MONEY SELLING ACCESS TO


FATHER

Do you think Hunter Biden was collecting money based Do you think that the Justice Department and FBI are fairly
on his own work or was he influence peddling access to investigating Hunter Biden, or do you think that they were
his father? delaying it to protect the election of Joe Biden?

Sep 22: 45%


59%
51%
41% 49%
Sep 22: 57%

Based on his own work Peddling access Fairly investigating Delaying


Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
Based on his own work 69% 19% 33% Fairly investigating 78% 24% 41%
Peddling access 31% 81% 67% Delaying 22% 76% 59%

BD13: Do you think Hunter Biden was collecting money based on his own work or was he influence peddling access to his father?
39
BD14: Do you think that the Justice Department and FBI is fairly investigating Hunter Biden, or do you think that they were delaying it to protect the election of Joe Biden?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS THINK THE FBI HELPED SUPPRESS STORIES ABOUT HUNTER BIDEN’S
LAPTOP

Do you think that the FBI helped suppress the Hunter Should the Justice Department appoint a special
Biden laptop story by telling tech companies it could be prosecutor specifically to look into the Hunter Biden
Russian disinformation, or do you think that the FBI was laptop, or is a special prosecutor unnecessary?
not telling the tech companies to suppress it?

65%
58%
42% 35%
Sep 22: 63% Sep 22: 63%

FBI helped suppress Should appoint a special prosecutor


FBI had no say in suppressing it A special prosecutor is unnecessary

Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH


FBI helped suppress 42% 74% 60% Should appoint a special prosecutor 48% 83% 62%
FBI had no say in suppressing it 58% 26% 40% A special prosecutor is unnecessary 52% 17% 38%

BD15: Do you think that the FBI helped suppress the Hunter Biden laptop story by telling tech companies it could be Russian disinformation or do you think that the FBI was not
telling the tech companies to suppress it?
40
BD16: Should the Justice Department appoint a special prosecutor specifically to look into the Hunter Biden laptop or is a special prosecutor unnecessary?
DEBT CEILING

41
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS UNDERESTIMATE THE SIZE OF THE NATIONAL DEBT


What do you think is the size of the What do you think is the size of What do you think is the size of
federal budget? the budget deficit this year? the national debt?

Less than $1T (trillion) 7% Less than $1B (billion) 7% Less than $500B (billion) 7%

Between $1T and $2T 14% Between $1B and $10B 13% Between $500B and $1T
(trillion) 16%
Between $2T and $5T 23% Between $10B and $100B 20%
Between $1T and $10T 24%
Between $5T and $10T 18% Between $100B and $500B 15%
Between $500B and $1T Between $10T and $25T 18%
Between $10T and $25T 12% (trillion) 13%

Over $25T 26% More than $1T 32% More than $25T 34%

Actual: $6.27 trillion* Actual: $1.4 trillion* Actual: $31 trillion*


*Department of Treasury
DEBT1: What do you think is the size of the federal budget?
DEBT2: What do you think is the size of the budget deficit this year?
42
DEBT3: What do you think is the size of the national debt?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

OVER HALF OF VOTERS SAY THE BIDEN ADMINISTRATION HAS BEEN SPENDING TOO
MUCH
Do you think the Biden administration has pushed too Do you think the Biden administration has been thrifty and
much spending, too little or about the right amount over strategic or reckless and loose in its spending over the last
the last two years? two years?

18%
58%
56% 42%
26%

Too much Too little Right amount Thrifty and strategic Reckless and loose

Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH


Too much 29% 82% 57% Thrifty and strategic 72% 16% 35%
Too little 25% 11% 19% Reckless and loose 28% 84% 65%
Right amount 46% 6% 25%

DEBT4: Do you think the Biden administration has pushed too much spending, too little or about the right amount over the last two years?
43
DEBT5: Do you think the Biden administration has been thrifty and strategic or reckless and loose in its spending over the last two years?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS SUPPORT CONSTRAINED, BIPARTISAN RAISING OF THE DEBT CEILING


The current size of the national debt is $31 trillion dollars. The Democrats say just raise it while the Republicans want
Should Congress vote to raise the national debt without to put in spending restraints. Should the Democrats hold
conditions or should Congress raise it only with restraints fast and not negotiate or should they negotiate spending
on future spending? constraints with the Republicans?

63% 65%
37% 35%

Raise the debt ceiling without conditions The Democrats should hold fast
Raise it only with constraints They should negotiate

Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH


Raise the debt ceiling w/o conditions 54% 25% 31% The democrats should hold fast 56% 19% 27%
Raise it only with constraints 46% 75% 69% They should negotiate 44% 81% 73%

DEBT6: The current size of the national debt is $31 trillion dollars. Should congress vote to raise the national debt without conditions or should the congress raise it only with restraints on future spending?
44
DEBT7: The Democrats say just raise it while the Republicans want to put in spending restraints. Should the democrats hold fast and not negotiate or should they negotiation spending constraints with the Republicans?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

A DEBT DEFAULT WOULD BE A ‘HUGE’ ISSUE, ACCORDING TO MOST VOTERS


Should the Republicans give the Democrats a debt ceiling If Congress deadlocks, it could cause a default on the debt.
increase without constraints, or should they hold out for Would a temporary default be a huge problem or would it
spending constraints? not really be a big issue?

66%
69%
34%
31%

Give into a debt ceiling increase without


constraints
Hold out for spending constraints A huge issue Not really be a big issue
Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
Give into a debt ceiling increase w/o A huge issue 71% 69% 66%
55% 19% 27%
constraints Not really be a big issue 29% 31% 34%
Hold out for spending constraints 45% 81% 73%

DEBT8: Should the Republicans give the democrats a debt ceiling increase without constraints, or should they hold out for spending constraints?
45
DEBT9: If Congress deadlocks, it could cause a default on the debt. Would a temporary default be a huge problem or would it not really be a big issue?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS SAY SPENDING LIMITS WOULD HELP THE HEALTH OF THE U.S.
GOVERNMENT
Who should cave their position to prevent a default - the Do you think spending limits would hurt or help the health
democrats or the republicans? of the U.S. government?

61% 65%

39% 35%

The Democrats The Republicans Help Hurt


Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
The Democrats 52% 71% 61% Help 60% 72% 64%
The Republicans 48% 29% 39% Hurt 40% 28% 36%
DEBT10: Who should cave their position to prevent a default - the democrats or the republicans?
46
DEBT12: Do you think spending limits would hurt or help the health of the U.S. government?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

A DEBT-CEILING DEAL SHOULD INCLUDE GRADUAL SPENDING CUTS, SAY A PLURALITY


OF VOTERS

Which of the following should a debt-ceiling deal prioritize?

Capping spending overall without affecting any area too much 15%

Mainly capping defense spending 9%

Mainly capping social spending 10%

Mainly capping non entitlements spending 10%

Small spending cuts over the next 5-10 years 12%

Deep spending cuts over the next 5-10 years 16%


Gradual spending cuts leading to balanced budgets in the next 5-10
years 28%

47
DC9: Which of the following should a debt-ceiling deal prioritize?
COMMERCE

48
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

VOTERS ARE SPLIT ON THEIR SUPPORT/OPPOSITION OF BIDEN ENERGY POLICIES


Do you support or oppose the energy and gas Do we need to emphasize lower gasoline prices and energy
policies of the Biden administration? independence or higher gasoline prices and climate change?

76%
55%
45% 24%

Lower prices and independence


Higher prices and climate change
Support Oppose
Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
Lower prices and independence 66% 86% 76%
Higher prices and climate change 34% 14% 24%
COB1: Do you support or oppose the energy and gas policies of the Biden administration?
49
COB2: Do we need to emphasize lower gasoline prices and energy independence or higher gasoline prices and climate change?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS WANT TO SEE MORE OR NO CHANGE TO THE LEVEL OF LEGAL


IMMIGRATION
Do we mainly need more legal immigration in the U.S. to Do we mainly need more illegal immigration in the U.S. to
ease workplace shortages, mainly need less legal ease workplace shortages, mainly need less illegal
immigrants to protect the jobs and salaries of American immigrants to protect the jobs and salaries of American
workers or should we keep the flow of legal immigrants workers or should we keep the flow of illegal immigrants
roughly the same? roughly the same?

43% 55%

32% 25% 20% 25%

More legal immigration Less legal immigration More illegal immigration Less illegal immigration
Keep roughly the same Keep roughly the same

Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH


More illegal immigration 30% 17% 11%
COB3A: Do we mainly need more legal immigration in the U.S. to ease workplace shortages, mainly need less legal immigrants Less illegal immigration 38% 66% 64%
to protect the jobs and salaries of American workers or should we keep the flow of legal immigrants roughly the same?
COB3B: Do we mainly need more illegal immigration in the U.S. to ease workplace shortages, mainly need less illegal Keep roughly the same 32% 18% 26%
immigrants to protect the jobs and salaries of American workers or should we keep the flow of illegal immigrants roughly the 50
same?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

VOTERS ARE SPLIT ON THE NET ECONOMIC IMPACT OF GOVERNMENT REGULATION

Does government regulation generally stifle innovation and


hurt opportunities and growth in our economy or does it
generally make our economy more equitable?

Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH


53% Stifles growth and innovation 40% 65% 56%
47%
Makes our economy more
60% 35% 44%
equitable

Stifles growth and innovation


Makes our economy more equitable

51
COB4: Does government regulation generally stifle innovation and hurt opportunities and growth in our economy or does it generally make our economy more equitable?
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

VOTERS WANT MORE REGULATION ON CONSUMER PRIVACY ON THE INTERNET, LESS


REGULATION ON GAS STOVES, MARIJUANA

For each of the following industries, do you think we need more regulation, less regulation
or about the same level as we have now
More regulation Same Less regulation

Cryptocurrencies 57% 21% 22%


Consumer privacy and security on the
55% 23% 23%
internet
Social Media 49% 26% 25%

Nuclear Energy 44% 30% 26%

Electric Vehicles 38% 32% 30%

Coal 36% 28% 36%

Marijuana 33% 22% 45%

Gas stoves 24% 37% 39%

52
COB5r: For each of the following industries, do you think we need more regulation, less regulation or about the same level as we have now
Copyright ©2016 The Nielsen Company. Confidential and proprietary.

MOST VOTERS OPPOSE THE PROPOSED BAN ON GAS STOVES


Do you support or oppose state governments banning the Do you support or oppose an executive order from the
use of gas stoves in your community? Federal Trade Commission banning all non-compete
agreements between employers and employees?

67%
49% 51%
33%

Support Oppose Support Oppose


Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH Column % DEM GOP IND/OTH
Support 47% 22% 28% Support 60% 40% 45%
Oppose 53% 78% 72% Oppose 40% 60% 55%
COB6: Do you support or oppose state governments banning the use of gas stoves in your community?
53
COB7: Do you support or oppose an executive order from the Federal Trade Commission banning all non-compete agreements between employers and employees?

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