Delay in Vishnugad Pipalkoi Hydro Electric Project
Delay in Vishnugad Pipalkoi Hydro Electric Project
Delay in Vishnugad Pipalkoi Hydro Electric Project
25.10.2021
To
The Secretary
Ministry of Power
Shram Shakti Bhawan
Rafi Marg
New Delhi – 110001
Sir:
3. Environmental cost
I sincerely hope that your high office will give due consideration
and time to address the concerns raised in this letter as the
public money as well as overall safekeeping of the environment is
at stake.
Yours Truly,
List of Annexures
1. Estimated cost and date of commissioning, Page 7-8.
2. 15 percent work done in July 2021, Page 9.
3. THDCIL Progress Report of June 2019, Page 10-14.
4. THDCIL Progress Report of December 2018, Page 15-19.
5. THDCIL Progress Report of July 2021, Page 20-25.
6. CBA filed by THDCIL with MOEFCC, Page 26-27
7. Calculation of Discounted Present Value, Page 28-29.
8. CBA published, Page 30-40.
9. Representation of 2019, Page 41-46.
7
Row above)
of commissioning per
12 months(Column 5/
announcement (From
column 4*12)
Months elapsed to new
Date of THDCIL
Annexure
Progress Report
1 2 3 4 5 6 79
June 2019 January
1 2014 July 2018 NA NA NA 3
July 2021 Dec
2 July 2021 2023 90 66 8.8 5
Row
new announcement
new announcement
announcement of cost
above)
months (Column 5/
column 4*12)
Months elapsed to
Annexure
Progress Report
announcement
1 2 3 4 5 6 7
June 2019 January
1 2014 2491 NA NA NA 3
June 2019 Feb
2 2019 4397 62 1906 369 3
The original project cost was 2,491 crores (Annexure 3, Para 3). The Forest
Clearance was obtained in December 2013 hence the zero date appears to have been
taken at Jan 2014. Accordingly the date of commissioning as announced by THDCIL
was 54 months from January 2014 or July 2018 (Annexure 3, Para 9).
In its Progress Report of June 2019, THDCIL disclosed it had given a RCE of 4397
crores at February 2019 prices crores to MOP (Annexure 4, Para 3); and specified
the date of commissioning as December 2022 (Annexure 4, Para 9). Between
January 2014 and February 2019—a period of 62 months—the cost increased by Rs
1906 crores (@ 369 crores/year).
In its Progress Report of July 2021, THDCIL repeated the RCE of 4397 crores at
February 2019 prices (Annexure 5, Para 3). This RCE is obviously flawed because
time of 25 months had elapsed from June 2019 and that would have led to an increase
in cost. Hence, we ignore this RCE.
Estimate of Completed Cost
The project is estimated to be completed in February 2031. The last true cost
disclosed was Rs 4397 crores in February 2019. The cost will escalate from February
2019 to February 2031, 12 years and 1 month, or 12.1 years. The cost will increase
by Rs 369 crores per year in this period or by Rs 4465 crores. The total cost will be
Rs 8862 crores (4397 crores cost as at February 2019 + escalation Rs 4465 crores).
The THDC has filed a cost benefit analysis with ministry of Environment and
Forest (MoEF) for obtaining clearance under the Forest Conservation Act. This
statement shows a project cost of Rs 2,096 crores. The cost of electricity produced
from the project is specified of Rs. 2.26 per unit in this statement (Annexure 6). On
a pro-rata basis the cost of electricity generated will be Rs 9.55 per unit
(2.26*8862/2096).
9
After preliminary examination of RCE, CEA had returned the same on 17.11.2017
for reframing & incorporating the approved changes of modified structures after
getting approval of MOC from CEA/CWC.
Revised Design Energy of the Project has been finalized as 1657.09 MU by CEA on
09.01.2018.
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11
RCE of Rs 4397.80 Cr at Feb'19 PL has been submitted to MoP on 31st May 2019.
For the funding of the debt portion (70%) of the project, loan agreement for US $648
million has been signed with World Bank on 10th Aug-11. The loan includes US $10
million for Capacity Building and Institutional Strengthening (CBIS).The loan has
become effective from 7th Nov-11 with tenure of 29 years.
THDC India Ltd has formulated a Rehabilitation & Resettlement policy (R&R Policy)
for the Vishnugad Pipalkoti Hydro Electric Project. The Policy is based on the
National Rehabilitation & Resettlement Policy 2007 (NRRP-2007) incorporating the
better features considering the World Bank Guidelines on Involuntary Settlement and
needs & expectations of the stakeholders.
The Policy addresses the R&R issues through proactive approach and appropriate
Planning on Land Acquisition. Besides disbursement of compensation by Special
Land Acquisition Officer (SLAO), the Policy envisages provisions of grants and other
benefits considering the categories and the Entitlements.
For effective implementation of R&R policy, Rehabilitation Action Plan (RAP) has
been formulated so that after reasonable transition period, the affected families
improve, at least regain their previous standard of living, earning capacity and
production levels.
Land Acquisition:
A total of 132.029 Ha. of Private land and forest land has been acquired for
VPHEP of which 31.639 Ha is Private Land and 100.39 Ha is Forest Land.
The Implementation of Rehabilitation Action Plan (RAP) and R&R related Activities
are presently under Progress. The Project has taken over the possession of
24
12
Social Responsibilities:
Various skills up-gradation & income restoration programs are being undertaken
for livelihood promotion and better employment opportunities for the Project
Affected People (PAP). Various Trainings comprising of dairy farming, vermin
composing, cutting & tailoring, knitting, kroiler management, Napier grass
production, Production of cash crops, promotion of Tulsi for herbal medicines,
horticulture activities, bee keeping etc. have been imparted to PAPs. Apart from
this, Vocational Trainings in hotel management, skill enhancement activities, etc.
are also undertaken, in coordination with various institutes like GMR Foundation,
Dr. Reddy Foundation, and Industrial Training Institutes in nearby areas.
The training on knitting & tailoring has already been imparted among the women
from Villages; Tapon, Salna, El Dana & Daswana. Around 113 & 67 Females have
been benefitted from Training on Tailoring & Knitting respectively from said
villages. The Females have started activity of their own. THDCIL purchases the
sweaters & payment being disbursed at Rs. 450 per piece. THDCIL distributes the
sweaters to the needy children studying in Primary School. THDCIL has
purchased 2 Knitting Machines and given to SHGs at Haat & El Dana as well. The
Trainer as & when required for training is deputed by Project. The NGO also
intervenes from time to time. The knitting & tailoring activity has since become
rotational due to which the Females in Project Area are getting independent
financially.
A 3 Days Training on Promoting Oyster Mushroom cultivation at Dehradun during
June, 2017 conducted for 8 Women PAPs from village Guniyala, Haat & Jaisal.
These PAPs have cultivated good quantity of Oyster Mushrooms for themselves.
THDCIL provided requisite equipments for promotion of Oyster Mushroom
cultivation among PAPs.
A total of 14 Youths from villages ; Helong, Gulabkoti, Batula, Dungri Baroshi,
Baula-Durgapur, Naurakh, Bentha & Haat completed 3 Months skill development
training on Electrical & Excavator Operator Trade / 5 - Months Refrigerating & Air
Conditioning under Vocational Training Institute of GMR, New Delhi. The
Expenditure on account of the above Training has been borne by THDCIL.
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13
Infrastructure works:
All four bridges, approach roads to bridges, colony area, Dam site and Power house
site, have been completed.
Most of the infrastructure development works have been completed.
Supply and installation of equipment of dam site sub-station has been completed
and sub-station has been handed over to THDCIL. Installation of equipment in
Power House Sub-station building by UPCL has been completed.
7.0 PROJECT STATUS: Project is being executed through two separate EPC contracts
and one Design Review Consultancy Package.
Civil & HM works awarded to M/S HCC Ltd and agreement has been signed on
17.01.2014 amounting to 1597 Cr (appx.).
3. Electro - Mechanical works: EM works (amounting to INR 360.36 Cr. + USD 1.02
Cr.) were awarded to M/s BHEL on 18th Nov-2014.
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14
control area) of project has been conducted, on remaining six locations (Power
intake area, Penstock tunnel area, Tailrace tunnel area, Power house and
transformer halls, Butterfly valve area and PAC Area), shall be conducted on
availability of fronts.
Design of EOT crane of power house and BFV has been completed.
Design documents/drawings related to Turbine i.e Runner, Shaft, servomotor,
guide bearing and control gear of turbine, Draft Tube embedments, Governor etc.
has been approved.
Design drawings and documents of generator are approved.
Design documents of Excitation system, Power House Grounding system and
auxiliaries’ transformers are approved.
Single line diagram of 400 kV GIS, Pothead yard and Basic Design of Protection
system (i.e Main Single Line Diagram), GIS & Pothead yard are approved.
Basic Design of XLPE Cable, Pothead Yard, Control System, GIS, IPBD,
Illumination system, HVAC, Passenger Elevator, Mechanical/Electrical Workshop,
Lubricating Oil Handling System, drainage dewatering system and fire Protection
and Detection System are approved.
Approval of Design Documents related to MIV and BFV i.e Design is in advance
stage.
30.04.2015
2.0 PROJECT APPROVALS
Sl. Description of Approvals Date
No
.
1 Signing of MoU between THDCIL and GoUK for 08.04.2003
investigation & preparation of DPR
2 Approval of Commercial viability of the project by CEA. Feb’2005
3 Signing of Implementation agreement. 02.06.2006
4 Approval of Techno-Economic clearance to the project by Sep’2006
CEA.
5 Investment approval to the project amounting to 2491.58 21.08.2008
Cr (March-08 PL) by CCEA.
6 Revision in “Minimum Environmental Flow” by MoEF from 31.05.2011
3 Cumecs to 15.65 Cumecs.
7 Stage-1 clearance of 80.507 Ha forest land by MoEF. 03.06.2011
8 Final approval for transfer of 80.507 Ha of forest land by 28.05.2013
MoEF.
9 Issuance of G.O. for transfer of 80.507 Ha of forest land 06.12.2013
by GoUK.
1 Signing of Lease agreement for 80.507 Ha. Forest land. 05.04.2014
0
1 Declaration of Land (identified for compensatory afforestation) 26.08.2014
1 as protected forest in lieu of 80.507 Ha. forest land.
After preliminary examination of RCE, CEA had returned the same on 17.11.2017 for
reframing & incorporating the approved changes of modified structures after getting
approval of MOC from CEA/CWC.
Revised Design Energy of the Project has been finalized as 1657.09 MU by CEA on
09.01.2018.
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16
For the funding of the debt portion (70%) of the project, loan agreement for US $648
million has been signed with World Bank on 10th Aug-11. The loan includes US $10
million for Capacity Building and Institutional Strengthening (CBIS).The loan has
become effective from 7th Nov-11 with tenure of 29 years.
THDC India Ltd has formulated a Rehabilitation & Resettlement policy (R&R Policy) for
the Vishnugad Pipalkoti Hydro Electric Project. The Policy is based on the National
Rehabilitation & Resettlement Policy 2007 (NRRP-2007) incorporating the better
features considering the World Bank Guidelines on Involuntary Settlement and needs &
expectations of the stakeholders.
The Policy addresses the R&R issues through proactive approach and appropriate
Planning on Land Acquisition. Besides disbursement of compensation by Special Land
Acquisition Officer (SLAO), the Policy envisages provisions of grants and other benefits
considering the categories and the Entitlements.
For effective implementation of R&R policy, Rehabilitation Action Plan (RAP) has been
formulated so that after reasonable transition period, the affected families improve, at
least regain their previous standard of living, earning capacity and production levels.
Land Acquisition:
A total of 132.029 Ha. of Private land and forest land has been acquired for VPHEP
of which 31.639 Ha is Private Land and 100.39 Ha is Forest Land.
The Implementation of Rehabilitation Action Plan (RAP) and R&R related Activities
are presently under Progress. The Project has taken over the possession of requisite
27
17
31.639 Ha. of Private Land across 7 Villages. Around 94% of Compensation amount
has been disbursed by Special Land Acquisition Officer (SLAO). Of the 07 Affected
Villages, only one village i.e. Haat is getting relocated.
In village Haat 20.337 Ha land has been acquired. Through District Administration 83
residents households have been identified. 77 families have signed agreement with
THDCIL, 77 have constructed houses and 76 have shifted. 60 families have
demolished their houses.
The process of extending the Special Package among “Non-Residents” House
Owners as per eligibility is underway. District Administration has verified the list of 50
Non-Resident HSO’s. The registration has been completed for 37 HSO’s & 36
Houses have been demolished so far.
Agreement stand signed with all 09 ST Families. Of the 9 Families, 02 families have
already been disbursed a total Special Package of INR 1 Million & the Families have
shifted as well. The 1st & 2nd Installment of 3 Lakhs each of the total INR 01 Million
has been disbursed among remaining 7 ST Families. The Houses are under
construction on 8 Naali (1600 Sq. M.) of land purchased by 7 ST Families.
Construction of 5 Houses is complete & Finishing activities are under progress.
Foundation work for remaining Houses is nearing completion. Development of Area
including providing necessary infrastructure facilities at above relocation site has
since been completed by THDCIL.
Social Responsibilities:
Various skills up-gradation & income restoration programs are being undertaken for
livelihood promotion and better employment opportunities for the Project Affected
People (PAP). Various Trainings comprising of dairy farming, vermin composing,
cutting & tailoring, knitting, kroiler management, Napier grass production, Production
of cash crops, promotion of Tulsi for herbal medicines, horticulture activities, bee
keeping etc. have been imparted to PAPs. Apart from this, Vocational Trainings in
hotel management, skill enhancement activities, etc. are also undertaken, in
coordination with various institutes like GMR Foundation, Dr. Reddy Foundation, and
Industrial Training Institutes in nearby areas.
The training on knitting & tailoring has already been imparted among the women from
Villages; Tapon, Salna, El Dana & Daswana. Around 113 & 67 Females have been
benefitted from Training on Tailoring & Knitting respectively from said villages. The
Females have started activity of their own. THDCIL purchases the sweaters &
payment being disbursed at Rs. 450 per piece. THDCIL distributes the sweaters to
the needy children studying in Primary School. THDCIL has purchased 2 Knitting
Machines and given to SHGs at Haat & El Dana as well. The Trainer as & when
required for training is deputed by Project. The NGO also intervenes from time to
time. The knitting & tailoring activity has since become rotational due to which the
Females in Project Area are getting independent financially.
A 3 Days Training on Promoting Oyster Mushroom cultivation at Dehradun during
June, 2017 conducted for 8 Women PAPs from village Guniyala, Haat & Jaisal.
These PAPs have cultivated good quantity of Oyster Mushrooms for themselves.
THDCIL provided requisite equipments for promotion of Oyster Mushroom cultivation
among PAPs.
A total of 14 Youths from villages ; Helong, Gulabkoti, Batula, Dungri Baroshi, Baula-
Durgapur, Naurakh, Bentha & Haat completed 3 Months skill development training on
Electrical & Excavator Operator Trade / 5 - Months Refrigerating & Air Conditioning
under Vocational Training Institute of GMR, New Delhi. The Expenditure on account
of the above Training has been borne by THDCIL.
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18
The Public Information Center (PIC) established at Gulabkoti is since functional. The
PIC is equipped with computers. The youths from Gulabkoti & nearby villages attend
the centre to build confidence towards working on Computers. Around 12 Youths
have been benefitted till date.
Various community development programs in affected villages are in progress that
comprise of; Infrastructure activities, drinking water supply, distribution of generators,
school bags, Uniforms, Sweaters, Solar Lights etc.
After flagging off the Mobile Health Van equipped with advance life support
equipments to VPHEP on 25.04.18, 2 Medical Camps 1 each on 20th June, 2018 &
15th Sept., 2018 have been conducted at Pipalkoti & Gaadi villages respectively. The
Camps has been immensely beneficial for Local Population & nearby areas that
include People from Project Affected Villages of VPHEP. Apart from above, THDCIL
organised Health Awareness Camp on 2nd Dec., 2018 at Village Math. The Camp was
specifically for females PAP`s. Around 70 Female PAP`s attended the Camp. Mobile
Health Van including the THDCIL Doctor accompanied Paramedical Staff was
present at Camp. Necessary Medicines etc. were distributed among PAP`s after
reqsite check up.
The Scholarship Policy of VPHEP is in the process of implementation since 2010. Till
March, 2018, around 1156 students that include 648 Girls from Project Affected
Villages have been benefitted from the Scholarship Assistance Scheme. A
Cumulative Expenditure of Rs. 54.0 Lakh stand incurred by Project till academic Year
2017-18.
The 1st Installment of Scholarship Assistance for the Academic Year 2018-19 has
been disbursed. The Assistance has benefitted 247 Students that comprise of 149
Girls. An amount of Rs. 9.79 Lakhs stand incurred by Project to this effect.
Infrastructure works:
All four bridges, approach roads to bridges, colony area, Dam site and Power house
site, have been completed.
Most of the infrastructure development works have been completed.
Supply and installation of equipment of dam site sub-station has been completed and
sub-station has been handed over to THDCIL. Installation of equipment in Power
House Sub-station building by UPCL has been completed.
7.0 PROJECT STATUS: Project is being executed through two separate EPC contracts
and one Design Review Consultancy Package.
Civil & HM works awarded to M/S HCC Ltd and agreement has been signed on
17.01.2014 amounting to INR 1597 Cr (appx.).
3. Electro - Mechanical works: EM works (amounting to INR 360.36 Cr. + USD 1.02 Cr.)
were awarded to M/s BHEL on 18th Nov-2014.
27
19
Power House Station Layout and longitudinal section has been approved. BFV
Chamber Plan & Section View is approved.
Measurement of soil resistivity at five locations (TRT outlet area, Intake tunnel area,
Access tunnel area, Cable tunnel, Ventilation tunnel, pothead yard and GIS control
area) of project has been conducted, on remaining six locations (Power intake area,
Penstock tunnel area, Tailrace tunnel area, Power house and transformer halls,
Butterfly valve area and PAC Area), shall be conducted on availability of fronts.
Design of EOT crane of power house and BFV has been completed.
Design documents/drawings related to Turbine i.e Runner, Shaft, servomotor, guide
bearing and control gear of turbine, Draft Tube embedments, Governor etc. has been
approved.
Design drawings and documents of generator are approved.
Design documents of Excitation system, Power House Grounding system and
auxiliaries transformers are approved.
Single line diagram of 400 kV GIS, Pothead yard and Basic Design of Protection
system (i.e Main Single Line Diagram), GIS & Pothead yard are approved.
Basic Design of XLPE Cable, Pothead Yard, Control System, GIS, IPBD, Illumination
system, HVAC, Passenger Elevator, Mechanical/Electrical Workshop, Lubricating Oil
Handling System, drainage dewatering system and fire Protection and Detection
System are approved.
Approval of Design Documents related to MIV and BFV i.e Design is in advance
stage.
27
20
PROJECT APPROVALS
Sl. Description of Approvals Date
No.
1 Signing of MoU between THDCIL and GoUK for investigation 08.04.2003
& preparation of DPR
2 Approval of Commercial viability of the project by CEA. 03.02.2005
3 Signing of Implementation agreement. 02.06.2006
4 Approval of Techno-Economic clearance to the project by 21.09.2006
CEA.
5 Environment Clearance by MoEF&CC 22.08.2007
6 Investment approval to the project amounting to 2491.58 Cr 21.08.2008
(March-08 PL) by CCEA.
7 Revision in “Minimum Environmental Flow” by MoEF from 3 31.05.2011
Cumecs to 15.65 Cumecs.
8 Stage-1 clearance of 80.507 Ha forest land by MoEF. 03.06.2011
9 Final approval for transfer of 80.507 Ha of forest land by 28.05.2013
MoEF.
10 Issuance of G.O. for transfer of 80.507 Ha of forest land by 06.12.2013
GoUK.
11 Signing of Lease agreement for 80.507 Ha Forest land 05.04.2014
12 Declaration of Land (identified for compensatory afforestation) 26.08.2014
as protected forest in lieu of 80.507 Ha. forest land
Revised Design Energy of the Project has been finalized as 1657.09 MU by CEA
on 09.01.2018.
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21
MAJOR WORKS
Major civil works includes a 65m high Concrete dam, 13.4km long Head Race
Tunnel, 3.07km long Tail Race Tunnel, Spillways, Underground Power House
(146x20.3x48m) & Transformer hall (140.3x15x25.5m), 3 nos. underground de-
silting Chambers (390x16x21.25m) each, U/S Surge Shaft (154m height and dia
15/22m) and D/S Surge Tank (150x13x25m). The layout plan of the project is
enclosed as Exhibit – IV.
PROJECT FUNDING
Construction of the project is proposed to be funded with a Debt: Equity ratio of
70:30. Earlier the Equity portion 50% was to be shared by THDCIL and remaining
50% by GoI and GOUP in the ratio of 75: 25 respectively. However, after the
strategic sale of GoI equity inTHDCIL to NTPC on 27.03.2020, the equity of GoI
shall be shared by NTPC instead of GoI.
For the funding of the debt portion (70%) of the project, loan agreement for US $648
million has been signed with World Bank on 10th Aug-11. The loan includes US $10
million for Capacity Building and Institutional Strengthening (CBIS). The loan has
become effective from 7th Nov-11 with tenure of 29 years.
However, on the request of THDCIL, the World Bank has cancelled partial loan
proceeds of US $100 million each on 27.06.2019 and 07.04.2021. The loan amount
for this project is now US $448 million.
The world Bank has also granted further extension of Loan Closing Date till
30.06.2022 on its expiry on 30.06.2021.
2
22
transition period, the affected families improve, at least regain their previous standard
of living, earning capacity and production levels.
At present the RAP implementation is under progress & is being monitored by the
third party and the World Bank Authorities.
Land Acquisition:
A total of 141.568 Ha.of Land comprising of 31.639 Ha.of Private land across 7
Villages, 100.390 Ha. of Forest / Van Panchyat / Civil Soyam Land from 22 Revenue
Villages & 9.539 Ha. of PWD Land has been acquired / Diverted for VPHE Project.
The Project has taken over the possession of total land.
Status R&R:
The Implementation of Rehabilitation Action Plan (RAP) and R&R related Activities
are presently under implementation. Compensation has been provided by SLAO to
PAFs whose land, assets, etc has been acquired for the project under LA Act 1894.
Additional R&R grants / Assistance have been provided by THDCIL as per the
approved R&R policy.
Around 94% of Compensation amount has been disbursed by Special Land
Acquisition Officer (SLAO) and approx. 88% R&R grant have been disbursed by
THDCIL.
Haat Status:
Of the 07 affected Villages, only 1 village i.e. Haat is getting relocated having 140
PAFs. Following is the status:
Resident HHs – 81 nos (Agreement signed – 77, House constructed- 76,
shifted- 76, House demolished-61).
Non Resident HHs – 50 nos (Agreement signed – 38, House demolished- 36)
ST Families – 9 nos (Agreement signed – 9, house constructed – 9, House
demolished-2
The 7 ST families have constructed their houses on the 8 Naali (1600 Sq. M.) land
purchased by them on Kaudiya-Haat road. Development of Area including providing
necessary infrastructure facilities at above relocation site has since been completed
by THDCIL.
Social Responsibilities:
Construction of Common Property Resources:
In addition to the compensation / Grants provided by SLAO/ THDCIL, common
property resources like Pathways, Drinking water facility, Street Light, Primary
School, PanchayatGhar, Anganwari Kendra etc has been constructed at self
resettlement sites.
years to 8 years. The amount is paid as a grant / assistance towards the loss of fuel
and fodder. Around 2700 households are being benefited through this assistance.
Livelihood Activities:
Various activities have also been taken up to create livelihood opportunities. These
are Dairy Development, Poultry, Tailoring & Stitching, Wool Knitting, Bee Keeping,
Mushroom cultivation, vermin composting to promote organic farming, plantation etc.
Awareness programs for Project affected people are also organized with the help of
various State Govt. Depttsie; Horticulture, Agriculture, Tourism, Animal Husbandry
etc to give awareness on various schemes, subsidies, technical assistance etc to
convince local youth to opt for self employed income generation activities. Around
500 beneficiaries are benefited through these programs.
On the recommendations of the World Bank, the work towards “Engagement of
Specialized Agency to help Prepare Livelihood Development / Employment
Generation Plan & its Implementation in relation to VPHEP” has been awarded to
M/s MridaRenergy& Development Pvt. Ltd, New Delhi. The Agency has commenced
the work on 03.01.2020 & the Agency has submitted the Inception Report. The
agency commenced the Baseline survey & completed for around 10 villages as
reported until Lockdown due to Covid-19 Pandemic w.e.f 23.03.2020 was
announced. The survey activity got suspended for around 4½ Months & got resumed
only on 05.08.2020. The Baseline Survey has been completed & Draft Baseline
Report was submitted on 5th Dec., 2020. Based on the Comments from THDCIL &
the World Bank, the Agency has submitted the Final Baseline Report as well & is
presently under checking.
Vocational Trainings:
Apart from above, Vocational Trainings in hotel management, Excavator operator,
Electrician, Fitter, Refrigerating & Air Conditioning and other skill enhancement
activities, etc. are also undertaken, in coordination with various institutes like GMR
Foundation, Dr. Reddy Foundation, and Industrial Training Institutes in nearby areas.
Around 300 beneficiaries are benefited through these programs.
Education:
To promote Education the Project has undertaken various activities ie; Scholarship to
Project affected Meritorious/Poor/ Girls students, Construction of additional class
rooms & toilets, providing teaching aids & uniform, Assistance for getting admission
in ITIs, assistance to schools for cultural activities etc. Around 1400 students having
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approx. 800 girls have been benefitted through scholarship program of THDCIL till
Academic year 2018-19.
Health:
The project is helping PAPs by facilitating them to THDCILs Dispensaries
(Allopathy& Homeopathy) established in the Project Campus. OPD / IPD facility
including medicines is given free of cost to PAPs. In addition to this Medical health
camps are organized in project affected villages and Ambulance facility is also
provided to the needy PAPs free of cost. The Health camps have been immensely
beneficial for local population & nearby areas that include people from project
affected villages of Project. Approx. 18000 beneficiaries having approx 5000 females
have been administered treatment in Allopath and approx. 24600 benefited in
Homeopathy.
One Tipper TATA ACE 1.8 cum has been handed over to Nagar Panchyat, Pipalkoti,
Chamoli for transportation of garbage from Nagar Panchyat areas of Pipalkoti to
disposal sites under their control. The vehicle has been given to Nagar Panchyat
under Corporate Social Responsibility (CSR). The garbage as generated at THDCIL
Project Complex is also being managed by Nagar Panchyat.
Employment:
Keeping in view that the Hydro Projects are capital intensive with the state of the art
technology and therefore do not offer much employment opportunity, particularly in
unskilled category, the option of providing job with THDCIL as per policy is not
considered as a rehabilitation option. However, as on date around 1118 persons
have been provided direct/Indirect employment opportunities in project implementing
Agency M/s HCC / THDCIL/ Contractors/ Hiring of vehicles/Lease land for various
purposes etc.
Infrastructure Works:
All four bridges, approach roads to bridges, colony area, Dam site and Power
house site, have been completed.
Most of the infrastructure development works have been completed.
Supply and installation of equipment of dam site sub-station has been completed
and sub-station has been handed over to THDCIL.
Installation of equipment in Power House Sub-station building by UPCL has
been completed.
PROJECT STATUS: Project is being executed through two separate EPC contracts
and one Design Review Consultancy Package.
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25
Civil & HM works awarded to M/S HCC Ltd and agreement has been signed on
17.01.2014 amounting to 1597cr (approx.) with completion period Jul’2018 as per
contract.
EOT cranes for Machine hall (150 T/50T/10T) - 2Nos, EOT crane for Butterfly
valve (150T/ 50T) - 01 Nos.
Turbine: Runner of all the 4 units, Turbine Shaft arrangement for all the 4 Units;
Guide vanes all the 4 Units; MIV of 3 units, Butterfly valve- 02 Nos.; Stay ring for
all the 4 units, Spiral casing for all the 4 units, GV servomotors for all the 4 units,
Embedded parts for installation of DT Cone (for all 4 units); DT Elbow Liner (for
all 4 units); pipes & embedment and tubes & embedment (for all 4 units),
foundation parts for installation of stay ring, spiral casing, spiral inlet pipe, pit
liner, embedded pipes (for all 4 units)
Turbine Auxiliaries: MIV pipe lines, Butterfly Valve pipe lines, Draft Tube
Drainage Valve, Guide Apparatus- Top cover, Regulating ring, Pivot ring,
Arrangement of MIV Servomotor, Bypass Valve for MIV, Air valve for MIV,
Cooling Water System – Pipes – Filters – Heat exchangers, Runner Labyrinth,
Pit oil coolers for both Upper and Lower Guide Bearing for all 4 units.
Generator: Wound stator, Rotor assembly, Wound Pole Assy. Generator upper
& lower brackets, Rotor spider, Rim punching, Generator air cooler all 4 units,
excitation panel for 2 units.
Generator Auxiliaries: Generator shaft assembly (all 4 units), Generator
flooring for all 4 Units, Erection Tools for Rotor, Erection Tools for Poles, Stator
Instruments - RTD & Thermostat, Slip Ring Assy. - Carbon Dust Collector, Fan
assembly, Erection Tools for Generator Shaft, Generator Heater stator sole plate
assembly, Brake and jack control panels.
Isolated phase Buds Duct for Unit 1 &2
Total supply of materials amounting to 167.60cr has been completed.
COMMISSIONING SCHEDULE:
The 1st Unit is likely to be commissioned by Dec'2023.
Issues to be Resolved
6
26
27
28
Burden on
economy Rs Burden on Environ- Burden on
Electricity crore per economy mental cost economy
generated year @ Rs 10% discount Discounted Rs crore per Discounted
Year crore units 8.31 per unit factor Present value year Present value
2023 1.000
2024 0.900
2025 0.810
2026 0.729
2027 0.656
2028 0.590
2029 0.531
2030 0.478
2031 133.6 1110.216 0.430 477.912 123 52.947
2032 133.6 1110.216 0.387 430.120 123 47.653
2033 133.6 1110.216 0.349 387.108 123 42.887
2034 133.6 1110.216 0.314 348.398 123 38.599
2035 133.6 1110.216 0.282 313.558 123 34.739
2036 133.6 1110.216 0.254 282.202 123 31.265
2037 133.6 1110.216 0.229 253.982 123 28.138
2038 133.6 1110.216 0.206 228.584 123 25.325
2039 133.6 1110.216 0.185 205.725 123 22.792
2040 133.6 1110.216 0.167 185.153 123 20.513
2041 133.6 1110.216 0.150 166.637 123 18.462
2042 133.6 1110.216 0.135 149.974 123 16.615
2043 133.6 1110.216 0.122 134.976 123 14.954
2044 133.6 1110.216 0.109 121.479 123 13.459
2045 133.6 1110.216 0.098 109.331 123 12.113
2046 133.6 1110.216 0.089 98.398 123 10.901
2047 133.6 1110.216 0.080 88.558 123 9.811
2048 133.6 1110.216 0.072 79.702 123 8.830
2049 133.6 1110.216 0.065 71.732 123 7.947
2050 133.6 1110.216 0.058 64.559 123 7.152
2051 133.6 1110.216 0.052 58.103 123 6.437
2052 133.6 1110.216 0.047 52.293 123 5.793
2053 133.6 1110.216 0.042 47.063 123 5.214
2054 133.6 1110.216 0.038 42.357 123 4.693
2055 133.6 1110.216 0.034 38.121 123 4.223
2056 133.6 1110.216 0.031 34.309 123 3.801
2057 133.6 1110.216 0.028 30.878 123 3.421
2058 133.6 1110.216 0.025 27.790 123 3.079
2059 133.6 1110.216 0.023 25.011 123 2.771
2060 133.6 1110.216 0.020 22.510 123 2.494
2061 133.6 1110.216 0.018 20.259 123 2.245
2062 133.6 1110.216 0.016 18.233 123 2.020
2063 133.6 1110.216 0.015 16.410 123 1.818
2064 133.6 1110.216 0.013 14.769 123 1.636
2065 133.6 1110.216 0.012 13.292 123 1.473
2066 133.6 1110.216 0.011 11.963 123 1.325
2067 133.6 1110.216 0.010 10.767 123 1.193
29
Email address:
Received: March 24, 2021; Accepted: April 22, 2021; Published: April 30, 2021
Abstract: Hydroelectricity is often considered to be “clean” in view of less carbon emissions especially in comparison to
thermal power. However, hydropower is intrusive in the natural environment and has many environmental costs that may
outweigh the benefits from reduced carbon emissions. Hydroelectricity projects (HEPs) in India are required to submit a Cost-
Benefit Analysis (CBA) statement in the approval processes. However, the monetary value of the environmental costs is not
required to be calculated and not considered in the approval process. Thus, the projects are approved even if the costs are
greater than the benefits. The projects are required to submit an “Environment Management Plan” (EMP) to mitigate the
adverse environmental impacts. However, the proposals made in the EMP are inadequate to mitigate the impacts and are more
cosmetic than real. The calculation of monetary value of environmental impacts is resource intensive. This paper suggests that
proxy values can be used to arrive at an estimate. Ignoring the environmental costs because of absence of robust estimates is
tantamount to assuming that the environmental costs are zero which is not plausible. Taking the Vishnugad-Pipalkoti HEP as
an example, it is shown that the project overestimates the benefits and underestimates the costs. The Cost-Benefit Ratio (CBR)
is less than 1 irrespective of whether the environmental benefits and costs are included or excluded. The paper argues that
hydropower is not as green as often said to be.
Keywords: Hydroelectricity, Cost-Benefit Analysis, Environmental Costs, Environment Management Plan, Proxy Values,
Carbon Emissions
value is placed on the environmental impacts. It is possible only in December 2013 and the project was rescheduled to be
that a negative environmental impact of Rs 100 may require completed, as per the promoter THDCIL Limited, in July
an expenditure of Rs 10 or Rs 1,000. Such an assessment is 2018. However, the Project could not be completed on this
not done. As a result, the policy makers have no inkling revised date and, at the time of writing, it was scheduled to
about the monetary value of the environmental impacts and be completed in December 2022 at a revised cost of Rs 43.97
whether the expenditures proposed in EMP fully mitigate or Billion.
compensate for the same. Finally, there is no requirement for
undertaking a comprehensive CBA that would include both 2. Benefits
the financial and environmental costs and benefits.
The calculation of environmental costs is resource 2.1. Consumption of Electricity
intensive. I had made a presentation before the Expert
Appraisal Committee of MOEFCC which recommends the 2.1.1. Peaking Power
issuance of an Environment Clearance. The Committee THDCIL has averred that “hydropower is used for peaking
appreciated the need for undertaking a comprehensive CBA purpose… Therefore, abandoning of VPHEP… is not in the
of a project. However, it said that this could not be required interest of the nation.” [1]
because it required considerable deployment of resources. The question of Peaking Power was raised in Public
This paper suggests that proxy values can be used to arrive at Investment Board (PIB) meeting in 2007 when investment in
an estimate. Ignoring the environmental costs because of VPHEP was approved by Government of India (GOI).
absence of robust estimates is tantamount to assuming that THDCIL had replied:
the environmental costs are zero which is not plausible. This Regarding the project being undertaken as a run of the
paper shows that it is possible to undertake a CBA with river project, he clarified that around 30 km long stretch of
nominal resources by using proxy values. We have National Highway from Tehri to Badrinath was getting
undertaken a CBA of the Vishnugad Pipalkoti HEP to submerged under the reservoir scheme; to avoid which, the
illustrate the possibility of undertaking a CBA with proxy location of the project was shifted by 2 km upstream and the
values. project was made a run of the river project. [2]
Thus, the project is not a peaking project and benefits
1.2. VPHEP cannot be claimed on this ground. There will be no
contribution of the project to grid stability.
The Vishnugad-Pipalkoti Hydro Electricity Project
(VPHEP) was given approval by the Cabinet Committee of 2.1.2. Consumption of Electricity
Economic Affairs of the Government of India (GOI) on The electricity produced by VPHEP will be supplied to
21.08.2008 to be completed at an expenditure of Rs 24.91 consumers who will benefit from its use. The average price
Billion. The Project as approved was to be completed in 54 of electricity on India Energy Exchange was Rs 3.38 per unit
months in 2013. However, the Forest Clearance for the in 2011-14 and Rs 3.07 per unit in 2015 -19:
diversion of forest land for non-forest purposes was obtained
Table 1. Price of Electricity on India Energy Exchange (IEX).
The price has declined by Rs 0.31 per unit in the last five of the uncertainty involved, and assume that electricity will
years. We may assume it will continue to decline at the same be available on IEX at Rs 3.07 per unit in 2023-24.
rate to Rs 2.76 in 2023-24 when VPHEP is scheduled to be The Energy Research Institute has assessed that the
completed. However, we ignore this further decline because “Willingness to Pay” (WTP) is Rs 3.74 per unit: [3]
Table 2. WTP of Electricity.
We take WTP for the present quality of supply at Rs 3.74 Benefit Analysis of the project.
per unit as being applicable for the electricity that would be The cost of electricity or the tariff likely to be approved by
produced by VPHEP. We do not take the higher WTP of 6.44 Central Electricity Regulatory Commission (CERC) is
per unit for improved quality of supply because the quality calculated as follows:
issue is solely of distribution and not relevant for the Cost-
Table 3. Likely Tariff.
The three critical values for assessment of benefits from the difference between the wages paid and the opportunity
the generation of electricity are as follows: cost of labour. However, we take the wages to be the benefit
Average Price of Electricity on IEX: Rs 3.07/unit to make a best-case scenario in favour of continuation of the
WTP for Electricity: Rs 3.74/unit project.
Likely tariff for VPHEP: Rs 5.04/unit
The benefit to the consumer is the difference between 2.5. Environmental Benefits: Carbon Emissions Saved
WTP and cost of supply. In the present case WTP is Rs 3.74 The major argument in favour of hydroelectricity is the
per unit while cost of supply from VPHEP is Rs 5.04 per unit. savings of carbon emissions. The carbon emissions from
Thus, the consumer will suffer a loss of Rs 1.97/unit. thermal power in India are estimated at 0.91 to 0.95 kg/kWh
The design energy is Rs 1.657 Billion units/year. Of this, or, say. 0.93 kg/kWh. [4] The value of carbon credit is
12 percent or 0.199 Billion units will be provided to state estimated at USD 20.11 per tonne or Rs 1508 per tonne at an
Government of Uttarakhand (GOUK) as royalty; and one exchange rate of Rs 75 per USD.[5] The benefits are
percent or 0.016 Billion units will be provided free for local calculated as follows.
area development. Remaining 1.442 Billion units will be
supplied to the buyers. The cost to the consumer from Design Energy=1.657 BU/year
VPHEP will be Rs 2.841 Billion/year (1.442 Billion units x
Carbon emissions saved=1.657 BU/year x 0.93
Rs 1.97 per unit).
kg/Unit=1.541 Million Tonne/year
2.2. Royalty and Local Area Development
Value of Carbon Saving=1.541 x 1508=Rs 2.324 Billion/year.
As said above, 12 percent or 0.199 Billion units will be
provided to GOUK as royalty; and one percent or 0.016 3. Costs
Billion units will be provided free for local area development.
These benefits are valued below. 3.1. Investment by THDCIL
Benefit to GOUK from Royalty 0.199 Billion units @ Rs
According to the Progress Report of the Project available on
3.07 being the price at which the same electricity is available
THDCIL website, THDCIL has submitted a revised cost
on IEX=Rs 0.611 Billion/year.
estimate of Rs 43.97 Billion in February 2019 to Ministry of
Benefit to local people on 0.016 Billion units @ Rs 3.07
Power. The debt component is serviced by Interest During
being the price at which the same electricity is available on
Construction (IDC) and included in the cost. The equity
IEX=Rs 0.049 Billion/year.
component of the project Rs 13.19 Billion is the investment
2.3. Profits of THDCIL made by THDCIL. The annualized cost of investment @ 10%
may be taken as Rs 1.319 Billion/year.
CERC is likely to provide for a return of 14% on the
equity component of Rs 13.19 Billion or Rs 1.847 3.2. Budgetary Support
Billion/year in fixation of the tariff.
GOI has approved a budgetary support of Rs 0.01 Billion
2.4. Employment per MW to Hydro Electricity Projects (HEPs) as informed by
Ministry of Power (MOP) under Right to Information Act.
THDCIL has stated in the Cost-Benefit statement filed GOI will have to pay and VPHEP will get Rs 4.40 Billion as
with MOEFCC under the Forest Conservation Act that budgetary support. It appears that the levelized tariff of Rs
employment of 2600 person for 5 years will take place. The 3.92 has been calculated after taking this support into account.
monetary value of benefits @ Rs 400 per man day on 300 The levelized tariff would be higher in absence of this
days per year is Rs 1.56 Billion. Annualized benefit @ 10% support. Since the levelized cost has been taken as calculated
will be Rs 0.156 Billion/year. Actually, the benefit would be by THDCIL, the payment by GOI embedded in achieving
33
38 Bharat Jhunjhunwala: Cost-Benefit Analysis of Vishnugad-Pipalkoti
Hydro-Electricity Project
this low levelized cost will be a cost to GOI or the economy. 3.4.2. EIA Admits of the Environmental Impacts
The annualized cost to GOI for providing this support @10% The Environment Impact Assessment (EIA) of the Project
will be Rs 0.44 Billion/year. acknowledges this:
The main disadvantage is that high sediment
3.3. Methodology for the Assessment of Environmental concentrations occur during flushing events with potential
Costs negative environmental effects downstream. As an example:
The Central Electricity Authority (CEA) which gives the the model simulations have shown that flushing for 2 days
license for the generation of electricity has averred in the with the radial gates fully open can recover 30 days of
Techno-Economic Concurrence granted to the project that an sedimentation during a “mean monsoon” period. This implies
amount of Rs 0.76 Billion has been provided in the Revised that the concentration – as an order of magnitude estimate –
Cost Estimates towards Environment and Ecology. It is will be 15 (=30 divided by 2) times larger than the natural
implied that all the environmental costs are compensated by sediment concentration in the river for the same discharge
this amount. In this section we shall try to arrive at the (EIA Summary Page 11).
monetary values of the environmental impacts and show that 3.4.3. Confirmation from Other Studies
the amounts allocated in Environment Management Plan Trapping of sediments in reservoirs makes the water ‘clean’
(EMP) do not address these impacts at all. at times that the sediment is trapped. During these times the
We provide additional evidence from three studies of water downstream has higher capacity to absorb sediment.
HEPs in India to assess the level and, where possible, help These sediment-free waters undertake a cutting action on the
arrive at the monetary value of these impacts: riverbed downstream. Patrick McCully, in his study of dams
Study of 3 HEPs namely Maneri Bhali 1 and Maneri Bhali titled Silenced Rivers, tells us “Clear water below a dam is
2 (both in operation) and Loharinagpala (now abandoned) in said to be ‘hungry’: it will seek to recapture its sediment load
Uttarakhand under a Project from Ministry of Environment, by eroding the bed and banks of the river… Over time, all the
Forests and Climate Change (MOEFCC). [6] This is referred easily erodible material on the riverbed below the dam will
to as “Negi Study.” This study gives people’s perception of eventually be removed, and the bed will become ‘armoured’
the impacts without making any monetary calculations. with rocks…” [9] This leads to more erosion downstream.
Study of Purulia Pump Storage Project in West Bengal by Proof of deprivation of sediment in both storage- and
Chakrabarty and others. [7] This is referred to as barrage type ROR dams is available from the Negi and
“Chakrabarty Study.” This study has made monetary Jhunjhunwala studies.
calculation of certain environmental impacts. They have been
used as benchmarks with appropriate caveats due to the Table 4. Negi Study: People’s Perception of Soil Erosion (Responses in
different nature of the VPHEP. Percent of Respondents).
Study of 3 HEPs of Uttarakhand by the present author. Sl Impacts Increase Decrease Stable/Do not know
This study undertook survey of people living near the Maneri 15 Soil Erosion 59.3 3.3 37.4
Bhali 1 and Tehri HEPs on the Bhagirathi and the Chilla HEP
on the Ganga in Uttarakhand.[8] This is referred to as Table 5. Jhunjhunwala Study. Question: Is there more or less sediment in the
“Jhunjhunwala Study.” This study has given people’s water downstream of dam? (Responses in numbers in affirmative as a ratio
of total numbers of respondents).
perception and also made monetary calculations of the value
of environmental impacts for the reservoir-based Kotlibhel Sl No Item Net, HEP-wise Impact
1B HEP which is different from the tunnel-based VPHEP. We 1 Chilla Reduced 1/9=(-) 11%
2 Maneri Reduced 1/4=(-) 25%
have used the information from this study after making
3 Tehri Reduced 1/6=(-) 17%
changes for the different nature of VPHEP. 4 Average Reduced (-) 18%
We now calculate the monetary value of the environmental
impacts of VPHEP with this preliminary statement. Negi has averred that the impact on soil erosion does not
have a relationship with the HEP. We ignore this remark
3.4. Soil Erosion due to Modified Water Release
because the EIA of the project points to the occurrence of
3.4.1. Brief Description of the Environmental Impact such an impact and the same is confirmed by the
The Project will make a small reservoir to divert water into Jhunjhunwala study.
tunnel for transporting it to the power station. The silt will be 3.4.4. Calculation of Costs
flushed periodically. The silt will gush out in large amounts
A study of disasters in Uttarakhand by Sajwan and others
at this time. It is not clear whether the river can carry this
has assessed the contribution of rivers to landslides though it
sudden gush of silt or it will be precipitated and left
has not assessed the contribution of HEPs to the same.[10]
somewhere below the dam. Just as butter taken out of milk,
We have assessed the contribution of the Project by adducing
when reintroduced into the same milk does not create the
additional data and making certain assumptions.
same taste and texture, similarly, trapping and then flushing
of sediment may not recreate the earlier balance of sediments.
34
International Journal of Economy, Energy and Environment 2021; 6(2): 35-45 39
3.4.5. EMP Provisions Are Inadequate 3.5.2. EIA Admits of Environmental Impacts
The EMP provides an amount of Rs 61 lakhs for Green The EIA says:
Belt development (Annexure 4.19.1. E). The green belt will 6.3 Landslide In the study area very high hazard zone (VHH)
be made in the Project Area. It may marginally reduce the are located along the valley of riverbed, in the Patal Ganga and
erosion in the project area. It will not help prevent erosion in Birahi Ganga area where old landslide and rock debris are
the entire stretch of the river as assessed by Sajwan. accumulated and along the escarpment of Karmnasa river.
Moderate hazard zones are present in the north of Dungri,
3.5. Damage to Houses Due to Blasting around Kiruli, Gadora and around Baimru area. Low hazard
3.5.1. Brief Description of the Environmental Impact and very low hazardous area are mainly restricted to cultivated
The Project is tunnel based. Blasting is done in the fields, alpine zone and in the area with gentle slope with good
mountains to make these tunnels. This destabilizes the vegetated cover. The dam and surge shaft area come under the
hillsides leading to high incidence of landslides and greater low hazardous zone while the TRT outfall area come under the
havoc during earthquakes. Village Jamak on the rim of moderate hazardous zone. Slope stabilization techniques
Maneri Bhali barrage was deeply affected during the 1992 including engineering and vegetative measures are provided in
Uttarkashi earthquake. The hillside had been destabilized detail in EMP (EIA Summary Page 11).
during blasting and the village virtually collapsed when 3.5.3. Additional Evidence
struck by a natural earthquake. Reportedly 85 persons died in Studies by Negi and Jhunjhunwala confirm the occurrence
this village. of this impact.
Table 7. Negi Study: People’s Perception of Landslides (Responses in Percent of Respondents).
Table 8. Jhunjhunwala Study. Question: Have houses developed cracks etc. after construction of dam? (Responses in numbers in affirmative as a ratio of total
numbers of respondents)).
We ignore the assessment by Negi that increased erosion quality and improvement of aesthetic view of the area.”
does not have connection with HEPs because the statement in There is no plan to even stabilize the slopes of the affected
EIA points to such an impact and the same is confirmed by villages and no recognition of the impacts of blasting which
the Jhunjhunwala study. is different than slope stabilization.
3.5.4. Calculation of Costs 3.6. Quality of Water
We make an assessment of this cost below.
3.6.1. Brief Description of the Environmental Impact
3.5.5. EMP Provisions are Inadequate Project will not store water for long periods. Yet it will
The EMP says: “Plantation along the 4 approach roads and negatively impact the quality of its waters for the following
colony area will be carried to maintain slope stabilization, air reasons:
35
40 Bharat Jhunjhunwala: Cost-Benefit Analysis of Vishnugad-Pipalkoti
Hydro-Electricity Project
River is converted into reservoir with lower level of prana Waters are deprived of chemicals
Waters are deprived of oxygen
Table 9. Cost of Damage to Houses During Construction.
We must report that Negi does not impute these impacts to The cost of air- and noise pollution during construction of
the HEPs. However, we consider these to be due to HEPs in the Purulia Pump Storage Project has been calculated by
view of the EIA of VPHEP admitting to the occurrence of Chakrabarty at Rs 2.009 Billion. However, the Project
these impacts. descriptions of Purulia and VPHEP are different:
3.7.4. Calculation of Costs
Table 14. Parameters of VPHEP and Purulia Projects
Sl Project Capacity (MW) Reservoirs (Numbers) Head (meters) Tunnel (Km) Submergence (Million M3)
1 VPHEP 444 1 237 16.5 (HRT + TRT) NA (will be less)
2 Purulia 900 2 133 1.7 13.49
3 VPHEP % Purulia (-) 49% (-) 50% (+) 78% (+) 870% NA
The air and sound pollution take place during the Capacity Building (Para 4.19.1. L) and Rs 2 lakhs for
movement of vehicles during construction. The construction equipment of air monitoring (Para 4.19.1. M). Needless to
activity at VPHEP is less due to less capacity and less say such monitoring does not eliminate the costs associated
numbers of reservoirs. On the other hand, it is more because with air- and noise pollution.
of higher head and length of tunnel. It is not possible to
assess the impact of each of these differences on air and 3.8. Biodiversity: Flora, Fauna and Fish Diversity
sound pollution. Thus, we take the air and sound pollution to 3.8.1. Brief Description of the Environmental Impact
be proportional to the cost of the Project which is similar at Biodiversity is an economic resource for future. The ability
Rs 24.91 Billion and 24.76 Billion for VPHEP and Purulia of living beings to adjust to changing climatic factors
respectively. Chakrabarty has assessed the one-time health depends upon availability of diversity. It is possible that one
costs at Rs 2.009 Billion. We take this same figure for variety of, say, black pepper, which provides huge economic
VPHEP. Accordingly, the annualized cost @10% is assessed returns today, is unable to withstand the rise in climatic
at 0.2 Billion/year. temperatures. In absence of biodiversity, humankind will be
3.7.5. EMP Provisions are Inadequate deprived of pepper in future. However, other varieties of
The EMP provides an amount of Rs 500 thousand for pepper may be able to withstand such increase in
37
42 Bharat Jhunjhunwala: Cost-Benefit Analysis of Vishnugad-Pipalkoti
Hydro-Electricity Project
temperatures. These resistant varieties may not be profitable fall in vulnerable category as per IUCN Red list. However
today. Thus, it is important to conserve such varieties as a these species are common in India (EIA Summary Page 16).
resource for future even though they are not profitable today. Himalayan Musk Deer, Goral, Leopard, Brown bear and
The World Commission on Dams (WCD) which was Wild Boar are reported in Project Influence Area… The
supported, among others, by Ministry of Water Resources, project activities are likely to disturb the normal peace of the
GOI; International Hydropower Association (representing wildlife and they are likely to move in other areas (EIA
hydropower companies); Asian Development Bank and Summary Page 16-17).
World Bank has said that over 60 percent of the Projects Indirect impacts (on flora) will be due to various
studied indicated that “impeding passage of migratory fish construction activities (EIA Summary Page 17).
species” was a significant impact of the dams.[15] The WCD There is likely impact on the flow downstream… This may
quoted another study suggesting that the loss of free-flowing impact on… aquatic life especially during lean periods (EIA
river habitat due to making of reservoirs had led to 55% of Summary Page 19).
the human-induced species loss. A further 19% was caused …two important species of Mahseer (Tor tor and Tor
by dams acting as barriers to fish migration. putitora) are present in the Alaknanda River downstream the
dam site of VPHEP. These species are endangered and
3.8.2. EIA Admits of Environmental Impacts migratory in nature…. The other species Schizothoraichthys
The EIA of Project has acknowledged the impact on progastus and Pseudecheneis sulcatus are vulnerable in their
biodiversity. We are giving below limited extracts to ecological status which has their presence in the project area
highlight the existence of the impacts and we have not given (EIA Summary Page 19).
various averments underplaying the same impacts in the EIA. There are some specific pockets of riparian vegetation in
Our purpose here is to place a monetary value on the likely the Alaknanda River and its tributaries especially the Birahi
impact. For this, the existence of impact is important; not the River, a considerable riparian vegetation cover is present
possibility of less impact taking place. which provides conducive habitat for fish… The dam
The project… touches the boundary of the transition zone construction will block the local movement of the species
at the dam site (EIA Summary Page 14). Schizothorax (Snow trout) (EIA Summary Page 19).
Three herb species Berginia ligulata (Silpara), Hedychium
spicatum (Ban Haldi) and Thalictrum foliolosum (Mamiri) 3.8.3. Additional Evidence
are reported in the forest area near Maina adit. These species The negative impact is confirmed by the Negi Study.
Table 15. Negi Study: Impact on Biodiversity (Responses in Percent of Respondents).
Negi denies relation of “abundance of wildlife” with HEPs. Our assessment, however, is that these may be due to the
VPHEP as noted in the EIA.
Jhunjhunwala Study confirms the occurrence of these impacts:
Table 16. Jhunjhunwala Study: Did any trees, plants, butterfly, insects, animals, birds or fish exist previously that have now become extinct? (Responses in
numbers as a ratio of total numbers of respondents).
These values of Rs 6.5, Rs 12 and Rs 13.7 per citizen are the free-flowing river:
for specific ecological zones. The VPHEP is located on the The abovementioned impacts have been assessed on the
Ganga River which is the National River of the country and people residing near the rivers. These are given here only to
may be considered to be equivalent to a wildlife reserve. We show that such impacts do take place.
take the lower of these as the benchmark value. We arrive at Needless to say, these impacts would also affect the people
the monetary value of biodiversity lost due to the Project as: of the entire country—both who visit the area and those who
Number of Households, India, 2011: 0.247 Billion do not. That is, even though one does not derive direct
Number of Households, India, 2019: 0.272 Billion benefits from bathing or carrying waters, yet one likes the
Value of Biodiversity Loss: Rs 6 per household/year free-flowing river just as one likes the sun shining outside the
Monetary Value of Biodiversity Loss: Rs 1.632 room even though one does not bask in the sunlight.
Billion/year
Table 18. Jhunjhunwala Study: Do you like flowing river in contrast to a
3.8.5. EMP Provisions are Inadequate reservoir or canal?(Responses in numbers as a ratio of total numbers of
The EMP provides for an expenditure of Rs 0.066 Billion respondents)).
under the head “Bio Diversity Management Plan” (Para Sl No HEP Net Impact
4.19.1. A). However, most of the expenditure is on 1 Chilla 16/19=(+) 84%
developing an herbal garden, roadside afforestation and 2 Maneri 12/14=(+) 79%
3 Tehri 31/32=(+) 97%
compensatory afforestation. These activities do not help
4 Combined (+) 87%
conserve the threatened flora.
Under “wildlife protection” the only activities proposed 3.9.4. Calculation of Costs
are monitoring and awareness creation. The impacts on Economists have developed the method of ‘willingness to
aquatic and terrestrial biodiversity are not mitigated by pay’ (WTP) to assess monetary value of such intangible
monitoring. benefits. People as asked how much they would be willing to
I recollect reading that the area is home to the endangered pay for the specified result.
Cheer Pheasant. The EIA (Executive Summary) and EMP are IIT Roorkee has estimated the non-use value of free flow
silent on this species. of Ganga River:
The non-use value for the state of Uttarakhand by using
3.9. Aesthetic Value and Reverence of the River
regression output is Rs. 232554420610.35. According to
3.9.1. Brief Description of the Environmental Impact 2011 census of India, population of Uttarakhand is 10086292.
The flowing river has a beauty that provides happiness to Therefore, WTP for a citizen of Uttarakhand comes to be Rs
the people—who live near the river, who travel to the area 23,056.
and those who never come to the area. The latter is known as Extrapolating this data for the country level WTP is Rs
non-use value of the flow of the river. This beauty of the 1172.00 per citizen.[19]
flowing river is lost by making a dam. Part of the river is Conservatively, we assume this applies to a household
converted into a reservoir; and part is diverted into a tunnel rather than a citizen.
with only e-flows being released. The total length of Ganga River is 2525 kilometres. The
length of 18 tributaries of Ganga is 3638 kilometres. Total
3.9.2. EIA Admits of Environmental Impacts length for Ganga including the tributaries is 6163 kilometres.
The EIA implies that there is a loss of aesthetic value Of this, 16.5 kilometres or 0.27 percent will be affected by
without explicitly stating the same: VPHEP. Accordingly, the non-use value lost by Project will
To address the flow, aquatic and aesthetic requirement be 1172 x 0.27%=Rs 3.16 per household per year.
managed river flow suggests a minimum of 3 cumecs water Another (higher) estimate is made by Jhunjhunwala:
to be made available… (EIA Executive Summary Page 18).
E-flows, even if enhanced to 20-30 percent as per the GOI Table 19. Question: “How much annual price you are willing to pay for
Notification of October 2018, do not still capture the welfare restoring free flow of water in the river?” (Responses in numbers in
affirmative as a ratio of total numbers of respondents)).
obtained from uninterrupted flow and the also does not
eliminate the welfare lost due to the conversion of the Sl No Name of HEP HEP-wise Rupees per year
flowing river into a reservoir. 1 Chilla, n=12 71
2 Maneri, n=13 136
3.9.3. Additional Evidence 3 Tehri, n=32 20
4 Average 76
The Negi Study has brought out the negative impacts of
the HEPs on the aesthetic and cultural values. Net 84 percent This value of Rs 76 per person/household per year is given
say there is decline in the aesthetic beauty of the River, net
by people living near the rivers for the particular project. The
41 percent say that there is reduction in reverence to the
value for people of the country may be more or may be less.
River and net 41 percent say there is reduction in
We conservatively take the lower value of Rs 3.16 per
participation in the religious festivals. Negi says these
household arrived at on the basis of IIT Roorkee study.
impacts are related to HEPs.
Indeed the remnant loss after the release of e-flows would be
Jhunjhunwala study reports that 87 percent people liked
39
44 Bharat Jhunjhunwala: Cost-Benefit Analysis of Vishnugad-Pipalkoti
Hydro-Electricity Project
less. However, we consider that this reduction is nullified by Cost incurred in immersing the ashes of the dead in free-
our using the much lower value of Rs 3.16 per household flowing water.
against the higher value of Rs 76 suggested by Jhunjhunwala. Loss of fishing
The total cost is calculated thus: Drying of water springs and increase in woman’s burden
Number of Households, India, 2011: 0.247 Billion Cost of negative acculturation.
Number of Households, India, 2019: 0.272 Billion We have ignored these costs for the present calculation.
Value of Non-Use Value Lost: Rs 3.16 per household/year The total monetary value of the environmental costs
Value of Non-Use Value Lost (Total): Rs 0.859 calculated above are summarized below.
Billion/year
Table 20. Summary of Monetary Value of Environmental Costs.
3.9.5. EMP Provisions are Inadequate Sl No Impact Cost Rs Billion/year
The EMP says that the release of e-flows will mitigate the 1 Soil Erosion 0.37
loss of aesthetic value. We may record here that the e-flows 2 Damage to Houses due to Blasting 0.076
have been increased from the 3 cumecs indicated in the EMP 3 Quality of water 0.42
to 20-30% or about 55 cumecs now. There will be some 4 Air Pollution 0.20
5 Biodiversity 1.632
mitigation in the sense that no stretch of the river will go dry.
6 Aesthetic value 0.859
However, the aesthetic value will continue to be lost by the 7 Total 3.557
dam and due to the less-than-natural flows in the river.
3.10. Total Environmental Costs 4. Cost-Benefit Analysis
Other costs that we have not calculated to keep this paper The costs and benefits are summarized below.
brief are as follows:
Value of forests not covered in NPV
Loss of sand and stones to local people.
Table 21. CBR of the Project.
[6] Negi, GCS and Disha Punetha, People’s perception on impacts [13] Murty, M. N. and Surender Kumar, Water Pollution in India:
of hydro-power Projects in Bhagirathi river valley, India, An Economic Appraisal, India Infrastructure Report 2011,
Environ Monit Assess (2017) 189: 138. Table 19.2, Page 289.
[7] Chakrabarty, Abhishek and Soumendu Chatterjee, [14] Directorate of Economics & Statistics, Estimates of District
Geoinformatics in Environmental Cost Assessment of Purulia Domestic Product of Uttarakhand (2011-12 to 2016-17 with
Pumped Storage Project-West Bengal, Indian Journal of Base Year, 2011-12), Dehradun.
Geography and Environment, Volume 11, 2010.
[15] World Commission on Dams, Thematic Review,
[8] Jhunjhunwala, Bharat, Economics of Hydropower, Kalpaz, Environmental Issues II. 2, Workshop on Dam Reservoirs and
New Delhi 2009. Greenhouse Gases, Part III, February 24 & 25, 2000, Hydro-
Quebec, Montreal, Final Minutes, Page 82.
[9] McCully, Patrick, Silenced Rivers: The Ecology and Politics
of Large Dams, Orient Longman, Hyderabad, 1998. [16] Surendran, A and C Sekar, An economic analysis of
willingness to pay (WTP) for conserving the biodiversity,
[10] Sajwan KS and Sushil K, “A Geological Appraisal of Slope International Journal of Social Economics, July 2010.
Instability in Upper Alaknanda Valley, Uttarakhand Himalaya,
India,” Journal of Geology & Geophysics, 2016, 5: 5. [17] Ninan, K N, The Economics of Biodiversity Conservation:
Valuation in Tropical Forest.
[11] Singh (1998), Abhay Kumar and Syed I. Hasnain, “Major ion
chemistry and weathering control in a high-altitude basin: [18] Maharana, Iyatta, S. C. Rai & E. Sharma, “Environmental
Alaknanda River, Garhwal Himalaya, India,” Himalayan economics of the Khangchendzonga National Park in the
Glacier Project, School of Environmental Sciences, Jawaharlal Sikkim Himalaya, India,” Geo Journal 50, 329–337 (2000).
Nehru University, New Delhi, Hydrological Sciences—
Journal—des Sciences Hydrologiques, 43 (6). [19] Agarwal, Rajat, Non-use values for River Ganga, Draft Report,
January 2020, IIT Roorkee.
[12] NEERI (2004), Self-Purification Capacity of River Bhagirathi:
Impact of Tehri Dam, Annual Report 2003-04.
41
8.10.2019
1
TEC specifies US $ 1.3 million + Rs 2031 Crores. We have taken the exchange rate at Rs 72 per $ as
prevailing at present.
2
Annexure 1 page 1 for cost, page 10 for design energy, page 4 para 6 for date of commissioning.
3
Annexure 2 page 23 para 3.0 gives details of CEA approval.
4
Annexure 2, page 23, Para 3.0.
5
Annexure 2, Page 24 Para 3.
6
Annexure 1 page 10 for original design energy; Annexure 2, page 23, para 1.0 for reduced design energy.
42
The Ministry of Power has informed that any proposal for VPHEP has not been
submitted to PIB or CCEA after 1.1.2017.7
The THDC has filed a cost benefit analysis with ministry of Environment and
Forest (MoEF) approximately in 2006 for obtaining clearance under the Forest
Conservation Act. This statement shows a project cost of Rs 2,096 crores and
the design energy of 1813 million units which is same as the design energy
specified in the TEC. The cost of electricity produced from the project is
specified of Rs. 2.26 per unit in this statement.8 We ignore the minor difference
in the project cost of Rs 2,096 crores as per CBA and Rs 2,128 crores as per
TEC. Therefore, the cost of electricity produced from VPHEP would be Rs.
2.26 per unit at the project cost of Rs 2,128 Crore (TEC) and design energy of
1813 MU (TEC/CBA).
The cost of electricity produced by VPHEP will increase in the same proportion
as the cost of the project increases and the design energy declines. The most
recent revised cost estimate is Rs 4,397 crores and revised design energy is
1657 MU. On pro-rata basis the cost of electricity produced comes to Rs. 5.10
per unit. (2.26*4397/2128*1813/1657).
The VPHEP project originally provided for release of 15.65 cumecs as E-
Flows.9 In October 2018, the Ministry of Jal Shakti has specified that the under-
construction projects will be require to release 20 – 30% environmental flows.
This will be increased to 53.4 cumecs at an average 25% E-Flows.10 Therefore,
the generation of electricity will be further reduced from 1657 million units to
1336 million units and correspondingly the cost of electricity produced will
increase from Rs. 5.10 per unit to Rs.6.42 per unit. The detail calculations are
given in the footnote.11 Accordingly, the cost of electricity after releasing 25%
E-Flows comes to Rs. 6.42 per unit.
7
Annexure 3.
8
Annexure 4 page 1, Item 1 and page 2, Item 1.
9
Annexure 2, page 1.
10
Annexure 5, Page 30-31, Table 3.7.4 it gives the average flow at VPHEP site.
11
E-flows. The Project is to produce 1657 MU at release of 15.65 Cumecs e-flows (Annexure 190600 Page 1
for e-flows; page 23, para 1.0 and 3.0 for design energy). The average flow in Alaknanda River at Dam Site
during the last 10 years of which data is given in the EIA of VPHP is 213.5 cumecs (Annexure 090000 EIA
Page 30 Table 3.7.4). Therefore:
Average Flow in Alaknanda River: 213.5 cumecs
Flow available for generation after 15.65 Cumecs e-flows: 180.1 cumecs
Generation from 180.1 cumecs flow: 1657 MU
43
The progress report of THDC says that 12% of free electricity will be provided
to the Government of Uttarakhand and 1% of electricity for local area
development.12 The balance 87% electricity will be sold to the consumers. The
cost of the electricity sold to the consumer will be increased in the proportion to
the reduction of the saleable energy. The production price of saleable electricity
will be Rs 6.60 per unit (5.74*100/87).
The average price of peaking electricity on India Energy Exchange was 3.81 per
unit in 2011-14 and 3.62 per unit in 2015 -19 which shows a declining trend of
Rs 0.038 paise per year:
PEAKING NON-PEAKING
YEAR AVERAGE PRICE PRICE
2011 3.56 4.19 3.35
2012 3.55 3.92 3.4
2013 2.82 3.14 2.72
2014 3.59 4.01 3.44
2015 2.81 3.12 2.71
2016 2.40 2.67 2.30
2017 3.01 3.60 2.82
2018 3.93 4.80 3.64
2019 3.20 3.92 2.96
AVG (2011-14) 3.38 3.81 3.22
AVG (2015-19) 3.07 3.62 2.88
Therefore, the price of peaking power on IEX is likely to be Rs. 3.50 in 2022
when VPHEP will commissioned (3.62-0.038*3). This means that the electricity
which is available at Rs. 3.50 per unit on the IEX will be produced by VPHEP
at a price of Rs. 6.60 per unit. The consumer will pay an additional cost of Rs.
3.10 per unit on the 87% electricity sold to him. The additional burden of this
GOI has notified release of 20/25/30% e-flows in October 2018. Taking average of 25%, the release will be 53.4
cumecs. The flow available for electricity generation will be 160.1 cumecs (213.5 – 53.4). Therefore:
Generation after release of 25% e-flows = (1657/180.1*160.1) = 1472 MU
The cost of electricity at flow of 180.1 cumecs and generation of 1657 MU is Rs 5.10 per unit as calculated
above. This will increase in the same proportion as the generation reduces from 1657 MU to 1472 MU due to
the release of enhanced e-flows:
Cost of electricity (5.10*1657/1472) = Rs 5.74 per unit.
12
Annexure 2, Page 23 Para 1.
44
13
Annexure 6.
14
Rs 4,397 projected cost less Rs 1,791 spent till July 2019 Annexure 2 Page 27 Para 8.0.
15
Annexure 2 Page 23 Para 2.0 Item 8.
16
Annexure 2, 27 Para 9.0.
45
From 1.6.2013 (being the date of start of work) to 28.2.2019 (being the date of
specifying the revised cost estimate of Rs 4,397 crore), that is, over a period of
68 months, the date of commissioning has been shifted back by 49 months from
31.11.2018 to 31.12.2022. This means that for every month elapsed, the date of
commissioning is delayed by 0.72 months (49/68). Or, for every month elapsed,
only 0.28 part of that month’s specified and committed work is getting done.
THDCIL states that the project will take another 41 months from 28.2.2019 to
31.12.2022 to commission. Given the past record we may assume that the work
will proceed as it has been proceeding till now i.e. the project will be
commissioned in about 146 months from 28.2.2019 (41 months/0.28 work done
in every month = 146 months or 12 years).
Now we can assess the likely cost escalations till the time of commissioning on
the same basis. The increase in cost of project is calculated as follows:
Sl Date of Specified Cost of Remarks
Announcement Project (Rs
crores)
1 1.6.2013 2491 CCEA Clearance in August 2008
on the basis of which THDC started
work on 1.6.2013.
2 28.2.2019 4397 Revised Cost Estimates submitted
on 28.2.2019.
3 68 months 1906 Increased Cost (Row 2 – Row 1) =
Rs 28 crore per month for each
month elapsed.
Environmental Cost
A study of the Purulia Pump Storage Project has estimated the environmental
cost of the Pump Storage Hydropower Project to be conservatively 7.6 times
direct cost borne by the developer.17
The Niti Ayog (erstwhile Planning Commission) has said that various
environmental costs should be accounted in working out the cost of a project.18
The projected cost of VPHEP is Rs 4,397 Crores. Applying the ratio of
environmental cost as assessed conservatively in the Purulia study, the total cost
of VPHEP including environmental cost is estimated at Rs 33,417 Crores
(4397*7.6). Accordingly the burden on the economy is calculated (even at
conservative level) as follows:
1 Burden including cost increase as per
present rate of progress = Rs 10,244 Crores
2 Additional burden due to environment = Rs 33,417 Crores
4 Total burden including environment = Rs 43,661 Crores
Conclusion: The total burden of completing VPHEP inclusive of cost
increase as per present rate of progress and environmental cost will be Rs
43,661 Crores while the cost of abandoning the project will be only Rs
1,791 Crores.
17
Total cost of Purulia, Rs 5,819 crore, direct cost of Purulia, Rs 764 Crores. Ratio of Total/Direct Cost = 7.6
times, Annexure 7 Page 16, Para 5.
18
Annexure 8.