UNIvElsm KEBANGSAAN MALAYSIA

The National University of Malaysia

PEPERIKSAAN AKHIR
FINAL EXAMINATION
SEMESTER II SESI AKADEMIK 2018 - 2019
SEMESTER IIACADEM[C SESSION 2018 - 2019
IJAZAH SARJANA MUDA DENGAN KEPUJTEAN
BA CHELORS DEGREE WITH HONO UPS

JUN I2O19 MASA:2JAM

JUNE12019 TIME: 2 HOURS

KOD KURSUS TTTTI713

COURSE CODE =1 713
TAJUK KURSUS STATISTIK DAN KEBARANGKALIAN
COURSE TITLE STA TISTICS AND PROBABILITY
ARAHAN 1. Kertas in mengandungi EMPAT soalan.
INSTRUCTION The paper consists of FOUR questions.
2. Jawab SEMUA soalan dalam bukujawapan yang diedarkan.
Answer ALL questions in the given answer sheets.
3. Formula danjadual ada disertakan.
Formula and table are accompanied.
4. Jumlah markah keseluruhan kertas mi 100 markah.
Total mark for this paper is 100.
5. Kertas soalan tidak dibenarkan dibawa keluar dari Dewan
Peperiksaan.
Question booklet is not allowed to be taken out from the exam hall.

No. Pendaftaran
Matric No.
(dengan perkataan)/in words
Set

Kertas soalan ml mengandungi 4 muka surat bercetak, tidak termasuk muka surat ml.
This question paper consists of 4 printedpage(s), excluding this page.

MS ISO 91:2015 Cert. No. OMS 01100

 'JTI'T1713

1. Refer to the table which summarizes the results of quality control test for a certain
product.
Category Pass quality control Fail quality control
Good product lit 4
Defect nroduct 11 24

a) If one of the items is randomly selected, what is the probability that:

i) the item is a good product.
ii) the item is a defect product or passes quality control.
iii) the item is a good product and passes quality control.
iv) the item is a good product given it passes quality control.

b) If three of the items are randomly selected (without replacement), what is the
probability that all items are defect product and fail quality control?

C) Are the events "pass quality control" and "good product" mutually exclusive?
Why? Are the events "defect product" and "good product" mutually exclusive?
Why?

d) Are the events "pass quality control" and "good product" independent? Why?
(25 marks)

2.
a) A certain medical procedure has 90% chance of success on patients. The
surgery is performed on three patients. The random variable represents the
number of successful surgeries.

i) Find the probability of the surgery being successful on zero patient.

ii) Find the probability of the surgery being successful on at least one
patient.

iii) Find the mean and standard deviation.

b) The average that a set of 10 calls received by a certain switchboard will be a

wrong number is two. Use the Poisson distribution to approximate the
probability.

i) Find the probability that among th calls received by the switchboard,

there are exactly two wrong numbers.

ii) Find the probability that among 15 calls received by the switchboard,
there are at least one wrong number.
(20 marks)
 TM 1713

3. The test scores for the exam in statistics class have a mean of 60 points and standard
deviation of 10 points. A student is randomly selected. Assume that the scores are
normally distributed.

a) Find the probability that the score is:

i) more than 85.
ii) between 80 and 90.

b) If there are 200 students in that class, about how many will receive between 80
and 90 points?

C) What is the lowest score students can earn to be among top 10% in the exam?

d) If it is estimated 5% of students fail the exam, what is the passing mark?

e) If a random sample of 16 students is selected, find the probability that the mean
score is more than 65.
(25 marks)

4. A psychologist claims that more than 5.8% of the population suffers from professional
problems due to extreme shyness. A survey conducted to 100 professional adults shows
eight of them suffer from professional problems due to extreme shyness.

a) Construct a 95% confidence interval of the true percentage of the population

that suffers from extreme shyness.

b) Conduct hypothesis test using rejection region approach at the 5% level of

significance.

C) Calculate the p-value of the test. Explain how to use this p-value to test the
hypothesis.

d) Explain how to use the confidence interval in (a) to test the hypothesis.
(30 marks)

"GOOD LUCK"

2
 'ITFI' 1713

Formula list

pXqflX
P(x) = n Cxpxq = (
n - x) ! x!
P(X=x)=
I1=np
c12=znpq

0
Value-Mean I- •L41 X-/1

Standard Error cry

73-E<p<fi+E

Eza12.fl

z=p-p
o-p
= rppq

YIT1' 1713

Normal distribution table

z .00 .01 .02 .03 .04 .05 .06 .07 .08 .09
-3.4 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0003 .0002

-3.2 .0007 .0007 .0006 .0006 .0006 .0006 .0006 .0005 .0005 .0005
ofl7
.0011 .0010 .0010
-3.0 .0013 .0013 .0013 .0012 .0012 .0011 .0011

-2.8 .0026 .0025 .0024 .0023 .0023 .0022 .0021 .0021 .0020 .0019

-2.6 .0047 .0045 .0044 .0043 .0041 .0040 .0039 .0038 .0037 .0036

-2.4 .0082 .0080 .0078 .0075 .0073 .0071 .0069 .0068 .0066 .0064

-2.2 .0139 .0136 .0132 .0129 .0125 .0122 .0119 .0116 .0113 .0110

-2.0 .0228 .0222 .0217 .0212 .0207 .0202 .0197 .0192 .0188 .0183
.......... a
-1.8 .0359 .0351 .0344 .0336 .0329 .0322 .0314 .0307 .0301 .0294

-1.6 .0548 .0537 .0526 .0516 .0505 .0495 .0485 .0475 .0465
o1
.0455

-1.4 .0808 .0793 .0778 .0764 .0749 .0735 .0721 .0708 .0694

-1.0 .1587 .1562 .1539 .1515 .1492 .1469 .1446 .1423 .1401 .1379

4.8 .2119 .2090 .2061 .2033 .2005 .1977 .1949 .1922 .1894 .1867

-0.6 .2743 .2709 .2676 .2643 .2611 .2578 .2546 .2514 .2483 .2451

-.0.4 .3446 3409 .3372 .3336 .3300 .3264 .3228 .3192 .3156 .3121

-0.2 .4207 .4168 .4129 .4090 .4052 .4013 .3974 .3936 .389/ .Jd59
____4_______.__ .._.... - -
-0.0 .5000 .4960 .4920 .4880 .4840 .4-801 .4761 iiii .4681
.4721 .4641