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BANK OF TANZANIA
MONTHLY
ECONOMIC
REVIEW
February 2023
Contents
Glossary ................................................................................................................................................ 28
i
The outlook shows that inflation will remain within
1.0 Global Economic
the targets in the second half of 2022/23, as prices
Situation
of global consumer goods and inflation in trading
Global economic growth remains subdued, with partners moderates. Furthermore, inflationary
high cost of living, low demand and stringent pressures are expected to ease as food supply
financial and monetary conditions amid recorded situation in the country improves following ongoing
inflation easing in some countries since October favourable seasonal rains.
2022. Central bank policy rate hikes continue to
Chart 2.1.1: Twelve-month Inflation
take a toll on economic activity, as the prime
Percent
concern for most economies remains curbing Headline Food Non-food Core
12
inflation. An upside to the global economic
situation is the recent reopening of China’s 10
8
economy, which could lead to a faster global
6
recovery. However, risks still prevail in the event of
4
escalation of the war in Ukraine and possible
2
adverse health outcomes in China.
0
May-20
May-21
May-22
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jan-20
Jan-21
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
2.0 Domestic Economic Source: National Bureau of Statistics and Bank of Tanzania
Performance computations
8
4.9 percent in January 2023 from 4.8 percent and 7
5
corresponding month in 2022, respectively (Chart 4
3
2.1.1, Chart 2.1.2 and Table 2.1.1).1 The outturn
2
was owing to increased food prices as well as 1
0
import prices of consumer goods, with the latter
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Apr-20
Apr-21
Apr-22
Oct-20
Jul-21
Oct-21
Jul-22
Oct-22
Jul-20
1
Headline inflation for 2022 averaged 4.3 percent compared
with 3.7 percent in the preceding year. The country inflation
target is 5.4 percent for 2022/23, and for EAC and SADC is at
most 8 percent and 3-7 percent, respectively.
1
Table 2.1.1: Inflation Developments Chart 2.1.3: Contribution to Overall Inflation
Base year 2020 = 100 Core Unprocessed food Energy Headline
Month-to-month inflation Annual inflation
6
Main groups Weight Jan-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Jan-22 Dec-22 Jan-23
Food and non-alcoholic beverages 28.2 1.0 2.0 1.2 6.3 9.7 9.9 4.9
5
4.8 4.9 4.8 4.9
Alcoholic beverages and tobacco 1.9 0.3 0.1 0.0 1.9 0.8 0.6 4.5 4.6
4.4
Clothing and footwear 10.8 0.5 0.6 0.5 3.1 2.6 2.5 4.0 4.0
Housing, water, electricity, gas and other fuels 15.1 0.7 0.3 0.1 3.5 2.7 2.0 3.7 3.8
4 3.6
Furnishings, household equipment and routine
Percent
household maintenance 7.9 1.1 0.2 0.4 3.0 3.7 3.0
Health 2.5 0.1 0.2 0.2 1.9 1.7 1.8 3
Transport 14.1 0.1 0.2 1.1 4.4 5.1 6.2
Information and communication 5.4 0.0 0.2 0.4 1.3 1.3 1.7
2
Recreation, sports and culture 1.6 1.3 0.1 0.3 1.9 2.0 1.0
Education services 2.0 0.2 0.0 2.4 1.0 0.7 2.9
Restaurants and accommodation services 6.6 0.4 0.2 0.5 3.7 2.7 2.8 1
Insurance and financial services 2.1 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.3 -0.1 0.0
Personal care, social protection and miscellaneous
goods and services 2.1 0.9 0.3 0.5 2.2 2.5 2.1 0
Mar-22
Feb-22
Jan-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jan-23
Oct-22
Apr-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Jul-22
All items-(headline inflation) 100.0 0.6 0.8 0.7 4.0 4.8 4.9
Other selected groups
Core 73.9 0.4 0.2 0.5 3.3 2.5 2.5
Non-core 26.1 1.2 2.3 1.3 6.0 11.6 11.8 Source: National Bureau of Statistics and Bank of Tanzania
Energy, fuel and utilities 5.7 1.0 1.1 0.2 7.3 7.9 6.9
computations
Services 37.2 0.3 0.1 0.7 2.9 2.5 2.9
Goods 62.8 0.9 1.2 0.8 4.7 6.2 6.1
Education services and products ancillary to
education 4.1 1.1 0.0 1.5 2.3 1.5 1.9 Table 2.1.2: Wholesale Prices of Selected Food
All items less food and non-alcoholic beverages 71.8 0.5 0.3 0.5 3.1 2.9 3.0
Crops
Source: National Bureau of Statistics and Bank of Tanzania
computations TZS per 100kg
Crop Jan-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23
Maize 65,864.0 101,815.4 108,090.2 112,598.5 115,852.6
For the fourth month in a row, food inflation,
Rice 181,992.2 261,418.8 271,973.8 280,416.3 287,560.6
particularly unprocessed food, has been a major Beans 185,156.3 266,555.5 279,561.3 292,247.4 296,687.1
Sorghum 115,376.6 127,772.1 131,412.4 135,018.9 146,913.9
contributor to overall inflation (Chart 2.1.3). Food
Round potatoes 78,459.8 82,942.3 89,265.6 93,981.6 104,209.0
inflation, which includes non-alcoholic beverages, Finger millet 167,409.5 173,680.5 174,655.3 172,788.7 182,090.8
Source: Ministry of Industry and Trade, and Bank of Tanzania
remained on an upward trend for the eighth month computations
in row, reaching 9.9 percent in January 2023, with
Chart 2.1.4: Annual Change in Wholesale Prices of
prices of all selected major food crops rising (Table Selected Food Crops
Percent
2.1.2 and Chart 2.1.4). The increase is due to
Maize Rice Beans
higher demand from neighbouring countries 125
100
coupled with low production in some areas of the
75
country.
50
25
-25
satisfactory, with the National Food Reserve
-50
Agency (NFRA) holding 124,736.2 tonnes of food
-75
Jan-20
May-20
Jan-21
May-21
Jan-22
May-22
Jan-23
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
May-20
Jan-21
May-21
Jan-22
May-22
Jan-23
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
2
Table 2.1.3: Food Stocks Held by National Food
2.2 Money and Credit
Reserve Agency
Tonnes The Bank of Tanzania continued to implement
Period 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023
January 93,037 43,597 110,398 207,899 124,736
monetary policy that is geared towards lessening
February 85,525 41,231 110,389 203,297 monetary accommodation, aiming at containing
March 78,336 39,597 109,231 200,626
inflationary pressures emanating from global
April 68,748 38,053 109,231 190,366
May 68,058 38,291 108,284 149,402 shocks and rising domestic prices, while
June 67,336 52,725 107,384 141,576 supporting recovery of economic activities.
July 67,410 90,255 107,384 140,695
August
Consequently, money supply (M3) grew at 12.8
68,407 92,991 123,635 144,410
September 61,711 109,733 150,057 149,044 percent compared with 14.9 percent in the year
October 55,853 110,895 192,408 151,794
ending January 2022, mostly driven by growth of
November 52,727 110,289 209,057 147,401
December 52,498 110,398 214,968 137,655
credit to private sector (Chart 2.2.1 and Table
Source: National Food Reserve Agency
2.2.1). It is projected that growth of money supply
will hover around the target of 10.3 percent for the
Reflecting developments of fuel prices in the world
year 2022/23 in line with the prevailing monetary
market, domestic pump prices were higher during
policy stance.
the month than in the preceding month and
corresponding month last year (Chart 2.1.5). Chart 2.2.1: Developments in Money Supply
However, inflation of energy, fuel and utilities M3 money stock (LHS) M3 growth (RHS)
40,000 20
subgroup eased to 6.9 percent in January 2023, 36,000 18
24,000 12
Percent
20,000 10
charcoal and firewood prices.
16,000 8
12,000 6
8,000 4
Core inflation stabilized at 2.5 percent in January 4,000 2
Mar-22
Jan-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jan-23
Oct-22
Nov-22
Apr-22
Dec-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Chart 2.1.5: Domestic Prices of Petroleum Products Table 2.2.1: Money Supply and Its Main Components
TZS per litre Outstanding stock (Billion of TZS) Annual growth (%)
Jan-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Jan-22 Dec-22 Jan-23
Petrol Diesel Kerosene White products Net foreign assets 13,201.8 9,437.5 8,668.5 11.3 -32.4 -34.3
Bank of Tanzania 12,979.8 10,732.8 9,813.4 14.0 -18.8 -24.4
4,000 Banks 222.0 -1,295.3 -1,144.9 -53.0 --- ---
3,600 Net domestic assets 21,193.8 29,142.5 30,134.8 17.3 41.5 42.2
3,200 Domestic claims 30,081.5 37,557.3 38,463.9 19.6 25.1 27.9
2,800 o/w Securities held by banks 6,933.9 7,949.6 7,905.5 21.5 17.5 14.0
Claims on the private sector 22,362.7 27,372.5 27,521.5 10.0 22.5 23.1
2,400
Other items (net) -8,887.7 -8,414.8 -8,329.1 25.2 -10.8 -6.3
2,000
1,600 Extended broad money (M3) 34,395.6 38,580.0 38,803.3 14.9 11.6 12.8
Foreign currency deposits 7,333.4 8,201.1 8,419.5 2.3 9.8 14.8
1,200
Broad money supply (M2) 27,062.2 30,378.9 30,383.8 18.9 12.1 12.3
800
Other deposits 9,410.7 11,430.7 11,550.9 10.3 20.8 22.7
400 Narrow money supply (M1) 17,651.5 18,948.2 18,833.0 24.1 7.5 6.7
0 Currency in circulation 4,798.6 5,709.0 5,326.4 14.3 13.9 11.0
May-20
May-21
May-22
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
3
Private sector credit recorded an annual growth of Table 2.2.2: Annual Growth of Credit to Selected
Economic Activities
23.1 percent in January 2023, compared with 10 Percent
Jan-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23
percent in January 2022 (Table 2.2.1 and Chart Agriculture -4.8 42.6 46.7 57.7 54.1 46.1 47.4
2.2.2). The outturn was on account of supportive Manufacturing 6.8 35.8 39.6 31.7 27.8 28.3 28.6
Mining and quarrying 10.9 37.7 31.0 46.7 48.6 21.5 24.7
monetary and fiscal policies, and ongoing recovery Personal 24.6 26.8 27.0 26.8 27.1 28.8 22.4
Trade 19.5 12.6 13.6 19.4 24.8 24.6 20.5
of economic activities from adverse effects of Building and construction -1.3 6.0 15.7 9.9 18.1 20.3 15.7
global shocks. Credit to the agriculture sector Transport and communication -3.0 13.5 10.3 12.0 9.9 14.5 7.0
Hotels and restaurants -8.0 -5.3 -4.1 -4.5 -5.2 -5.8 -1.1
continued to record the highest growth rate, Source: Banks and Bank of Tanzania computations
attributable to monetary policy measures rolled out
Chart 2.2.3: Contribution of Credit to Selected
by the Bank in July 2021 to promote cost effective Economic Activities to the Growth of
credit intermediation (Table 2.2.2). Contribution of Credit to the Private Sector
Percent
personal loans—which accounted for the largest Personal
Manufacturing
Trade
Agriculture
Building and construction Transport and communication
share in the outstanding credit to private sector—
6.4
and to overall growth of credit to the private sector 28.7
1.4
13.3
3.4 7.4 7.3
13.6 10.1 12.8 14.7
13.5 14.4 14.5
remained dominant though slowing, relative to 22.0
23.8 22.9
23.8
11.8
15.5
17.4 15.9 14.0
14.4
17.3 17.8 13.6 11.4 11.4
19.7
credit in favour of agriculture, building and 12.7 10.4 10.4 14.0 17.3 17.1 11.2
82.7 14.1
67.4 64.0
construction, and transport and communication 61.2 58.4
49.3 48.8 48.2 45.7 43.6 42.3 44.0 36.5
activities (Chart 2.2.3 and Chart 2.2.4).2 -3.9
Feb-22
Mar-22
May-22
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jun-22
Apr-22
Jul-22
Oct-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Chart 2.2.2: Banks’ Credit to Private Sector
Stock of credit to the private sector (LHS) Credit growth (RHS)
30,000 30 Source: Banks and Bank of Tanzania computations
27,000 27
24,000 24
Chart 2.2.4: Share of Credit to Selected Economic
21,000 21
Activities
18,000 18
Billions of TZS
Percent
Percent
15,000 15
Personal Trade
12,000 12 Manufacturing Agriculture
Building and construction Transport and communication
9,000 9 Other services
6,000 6 1.1 1.2 0.7 0.8 1.1 0.8 0.9 0.9 1.2 1.2 1.3 1.9 2.0
5.1 4.7 4.8 4.3 4.2 4.5 4.5 4.8 4.6 4.7 4.4 4.5 4.4
4.8 4.7 4.7 4.5 4.6 4.6 4.6 4.3 4.6 4.2 4.5 4.4 4.5
3,000 3
7.3 7.6 7.6 7.9 8.0 8.3 8.2 8.2 8.2 8.9 8.7 8.6 8.7
0 0
9.4 10.1 10.3 10.1 10.3 10.4 10.7 11.1 11.3 10.5 10.1 10.0 9.7
Feb-22
Mar-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jan-23
Jan-22
Apr-22
Jul-22
Oct-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
16.5 16.1 16.5 16.7 16.9 16.4 16.0 15.7 15.7 16.0 16.7 16.8 16.0
Source: Bank of Tanzania and banks
Note: LHS denotes left hand scale; and RHS, right hand scale
39.3 39.1 38.9 39.3 38.7 38.2 38.3 38.7 38.6 38.4 38.0 38.2 38.8
Feb-22
Mar-22
May-22
Jan-22
Jun-22
Jan-23
Oct-22
Jul-22
Apr-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
2
Personal loans are usually for sole firms and individual
undertakings.
4
rates registered in the preceding month and Chart 2.4.1: Performance in Treasury Bills Market
Billions of TZS
Percent
270 4
than 13.29 percent and 13.68 percent in the
180 3
preceding month and corresponding month in
90 2
2022, respectively. On average, deposit rates
0 1
recorded increases with the overall deposit rate
Mar-22
Feb-22
May-22
Jan-22
Jun-22
Jan-23
Apr-22
Oct-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
rising to 7.38 percent from 6.94 percent in the
Source: Bank of Tanzania
preceding month, and 6.79 percent in January Note: LHS denotes left hand scale; RHS, right hand scale; and
WAY, weighted average yield
2022. Meanwhile, negotiated deposit rates
averaged 9.30 percent in January 2023, slightly The Bank of Tanzania also conducted 2-, 5- and
above 8.88 percent in the preceding month, but 15-year Treasury bond auctions with a combined
lower than 9.92 percent in January 2022. tender size of TZS 405.2 billion for government
budgetary financing. The auctions were
Table 2.3.1: Lending and Deposit Interest Rates
Percent undersubscribed receiving bids amounting to TZS
Jan-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23
276.8 billion, of which TZS 227.6 billion were
Savings deposit rate 1.61 2.05 2.16 2.07 1.61 1.61 1.63
Overall lending rate 16.30 16.09 16.07 16.07 16.08 16.06 16.29 successful. Yields to maturity increased to 9.37
Short-term lending rate
(Up to 1 year) 16.70 16.81 16.82 16.73 16.90 17.27 17.69 percent, 9.67 percent and 11.43 percent for the 2-
Negotiated lending rate 13.68 14.24 13.92 14.33 13.95 13.29 14.19
Overall time deposit rate 6.79 7.49 7.62 7.32 7.28 6.94 7.38
, 5- and 15-year Treasury bonds, respectively.
12-months deposit rate 7.87 9.25 9.22 8.78 8.77 8.23 8.66
Negotiated deposit rate 9.92 9.59 9.67 9.52 9.50 8.88 9.30
Short term interest spread 8.83 7.55 7.60 7.95 8.13 9.04 9.03 Interbank Cash Market
Source: Banks and Bank of Tanzania computations
The interbank cash market (IBCM) continued to
operate effectively, though it recorded a decrease
2.4 Financial Markets
in the value of transactions to TZS 1,736 billion in
Government Securities Market
January 2023, from TZS 1,833.1 billion traded in
Government securities primary auctions exhibited
the preceding month (Chart 2.4.2). IBCM
mixed performance in January 2023, with Treasury
transactions of 2-7 days remained dominant,
bills recording a robust performance relative to
accounting for 67.5 percent of total market
Treasury bonds. During the month, the Bank
turnover. Share of overnight transactions
conducted one Treasury bills auction with a tender
decreased to 7.3 percent compared with 13.4
size of TZS 177.4 billion. The auction was
percent in December 2022. The overall and
oversubscribed receiving bids worth TZS 266.2
overnight interbank cash market interest rates
billion, of which TZS 229.8 billion were successful.
averaged 4.68 percent and 3.45 percent in January
Weighted average yield increased to an average of
2023, up from 4.62 percent and 3.26 percent in the
6.78 percent from 6.11 percent in the preceding
preceding month, respectively. Interest rate for 2-7
month (Chart 2.4.1).
days’ tenure remained unchanged at 4.61 percent
for two consecutive months.
5
Chart 2.4.2: Interbank Cash Market Transactions Chart 2.4.3: Developments in the IFEM
Bank of Tanzania's net sale (+)/ net purchase (-) (LHS)
Other transactions (LHS) 8 to 14 days (LHS) Banks' sales (LHS)
2 to 7 days (LHS) Overnight (LHS) Weighted average exchange rate (RHS)
60 2,327
Overnight interbank rate (RHS) Overall interbank cash market rate (RHS)
3,000 6
50 2,322
2,500 5
40 2,317
Millions of USD
Billions of TZS
Percent
30 2,312
1,500 3
20 2,307
1,000 2
500 1 10 2,302
0 0 0 2,297
Feb-22
Mar-22
Jan-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jan-23
Feb-22
Oct-22
Mar-22
Apr-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jul-22
Sep-22
Aug-22
Jan-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jan-23
Oct-22
Apr-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
Jul-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
6
Chart 2.5.1: Central Government Revenue in disbursements. Out of the stock, USD 32,953.4
January
Billions of TZS million was public debt and the remainder is private
2022 Actuals 2023 Estimates 2023 Actuals
sector external debt.
705.8
695.2
628.6
560.2
External Debt
524.8
522.1
474.4
465.4
438.1
357.8
At the end of January 2023, stock of public and
340.5
290.1
private sector external debt, recorded a monthly
125.7
118.7
112.1
increase of USD 126.3 million to USD 29,133
million. Debt service was USD 106.1 million, of
Taxes on imports Income tax Taxes on local Other taxes Non-tax revenue
goods and
services
which USD 81.7 million was principal repayment
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning, and Bank of and the balance was interest payments (Table
Tanzania computations
2.6.1).
(Chart 2.5.2). Out of the total development Interest arrears 1,113.0 3.9 1,113.4 3.8 1,130.0 3.9
Private sector 7,599.5 26.8 7,674.0 26.5 7,652.5 26.3
expenditure, TZS 1,000.8 billion, was financed DOD 6,264.4 22.1 6,257.9 21.6 6,206.3 21.3
Interest arrears 1,335.1 4.7 1,416.1 4.9 1,446.2 5.0
using domestic resources. Public corporations 29.0 0.1 31.7 0.1 31.8 0.1
DOD 23.7 0.1 23.7 0.1 23.7 0.1
Interest arrears 5.3 0.0 8.0 0.0 8.1 0.0
External debt stock 28,346.6 100.0 29,006.7 100.0 29,133.0 100.0
Chart 2.5.2: Central Government Expenditure in
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning, and Bank of
January
Tanzania
Billions of TZS
Note: DOD denotes disbursed outstanding debt; r, revised data;
2022 Actuals 2023 Estimates 2023 Actuals and p, provisional data
1,572.5
1,304.8
767.9
747.9
617.9
197.6
7
Table 2.6.2: External Debt Stock by Creditors Treasury bonds and stocks dominated, jointly
Millions of USD
Jan-22 Dec-22
r
Jan-23
p accounting for 79.2 percent of the debt stock,
Creditor category
Multilateral
Amount
12569.2
Share (%)
44.3
Amount
13673.4
Share (%)
47.1
Amount
13821.3
Share (%)
47.4
consistent with the medium-term debt strategy of
DOD 12510.8 44.1 13656.7 47.1 13805.4 47.4
lengthening maturities of domestic debt to mitigate
Interest arrears 58.4 0.2 16.7 0.1 15.9 0.1
Bilateral 2286.4 8.1 2271.8 7.8 2304.5 7.9 refinancing risks that matched with investors’
DOD 1173.4 4.1 1158.4 4.0 1174.5 4.0
Interest arrears 1113.0 3.9 1113.4 3.8 1130.0 3.9 preferences. Much of the debt was owed to
Commercial 9302.5 32.8 8176.9 28.2 8146.6 28.0
DOD 8574.0 30.2 7391.5 25.5 7340.0 25.2 pension funds and commercial banks (Table 2.6.5
Interest arrears 728.5 2.6 785.4 2.7 806.6 2.8
Export credit 4188.5 14.8 4884.6 16.8 4860.5 16.7
and 2.6.6).
DOD 3635.0 12.8 4262.6 14.7 4228.7 14.5
Interest arrears 553.5 2.0 622.0 2.1 631.8 2.2
External debt stock 28346.6 100.0 29006.7 100.0 29133.0 100.0
Chart 2.6.1: Government Domestic Debt Stock
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning, and Bank of Billions of TZS
Tanzania
Note: DOD denotes disbursed outstanding debt; r, revised data;
26,495
25,568
and p, provisional data
21,256
Table 2.6.3: Disbursed Outstanding Debt by Use of
15,665
14,638
14,281
13,619
Funds
11,940
Millions of USD
9,927
8,217
r p
Jan-22 Dec-22 Jan-23
6,714
5,683
Activity Amount Share (%) Amount Share (%) Amount Share (%)
4,363
Balance of Payments and budget support 3,066.0 11.8 2,954.0 11.2 2,954.0 11.1
Transport and telecommunication 5,768.6 22.3 5,555.8 21.0 5,530.0 20.8
Agriculture 1,357.0 5.2 1,378.0 5.2 1,382.0 5.2
Energy and mining 4,105.5 15.9 4,045.0 15.3 4,045.6 15.2
Industries 1,239.0 4.8 1,285.0 4.9 1,265.0 4.8
Jan-12
Jan-14
Jan-16
Jan-18
Jan-20
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jan-13
Jan-15
Jan-17
Jan-19
Jan-21
Dec-22
Social welfare and education 4,207.0 16.2 4,614.0 17.4 4,664.0 17.6
Finance and insurance 1,454.6 5.6 782.8 3.0 878.0 3.3
Tourism 247.0 1.0 270.0 1.0 309.0 1.2
Real estate and construction 1,855.0 7.2 1,888.5 7.1 1,868.3 7.0
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning, and Bank of
Other 2,593.5 10.0 3,696.1 14.0 3,652.8 13.8 Tanzania
Total 25,893.2 100.0 26,469.2 100.0 26,548.7 100.0
Table 2.6.4: Disbursed Outstanding Debt by Government securities 20,022.5 94.2 22,740.2 88.9 22,782.6 86.0
Treasury bills 1,909.5 9.0 1,822.5 7.1 1,809.1 6.8
Currency Composition
Government stocks 252.7 1.2 252.7 1.0 252.7 1.0
Millions of USD Government bonds 17,860.2 84.0 20,665.0 80.8 20,720.7 78.2
r p
Jan-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 Tax certificates 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.0
Currency Amount Share (%) Amount Share (%) Amount Share (%) Non-securitized debt 1,233.6 5.8 2,827.7 11.1 3,712.0 14.0
United States Dollar 17,857.9 69.0 18,282.5 69.1 18,177.4 68.5 Other Liabilities* 18.4 0.1 18.4 0.1 18.4 0.1
Euro 3,912.7 15.1 3,918.9 14.8 4,022.0 15.1 Overdraft 1,215.2 5.7 2,809.3 11.0 3,693.6 13.9
Chinese Yuan 1,488.5 5.7 1,462.7 5.5 1,489.9 5.6 Total domestic debt
21,256.1 100.0 25,567.9 100.0 26,494.6 100.0
(without liquidity papers)
Other 2,634.1 10.2 2,805.1 10.6 2,859.4 10.8
Total 25,893.2 100.0 26,469.2 100.0 26,548.7 100.0 Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning, and Bank of
Tanzania
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning, and Bank of
Note: * includes NMB Bank Plc standard loan and duty
Tanzania
drawback
Note: r denotes revised data; and p, provisional data
billion at the end of January 2023, an increase of Commercial banks 6,685.2 31.5 7,408.9 29.0 7,446.3 28.1
Bank of Tanzania 2,310.4 10.9 4,935.0 19.3 5,819.3 22.0
TZS 929.6 billion from the level recorded at end of Pension funds 7,413.3 34.9 7,737.8 30.3 7,739.9 29.2
Insurance 1,452.6 6.8 1,500.4 5.9 1,504.0 5.7
December 2022 (Chart 2.6.1). The increase was BOT's special funds 406.3 1.9 429.9 1.7 424.6 1.6
Others 2,988.2 14.1 3,556.0 13.9 3,560.4 13.4
on account of increased utilization of the overdraft Total 21,256.1 100.0 25,567.9 100.0 26,494.6 100.0
8
Government securities worth TZS 498.9 billion Chart 2.7.1 Foreign Exchange Reserves
Gross official reserves (LHS) SADC benchmark (RHS)
were issued in January 2023, of which TZS 280.3 EAC benchmark (RHS) Months of projected imports
Country benchmark (RHS)
7,000 7
Treasury bills (Chart 2.6.2). Domestic debt service 6,000 6
Millions of USD
totalled TZS 647.9 billion, of which TZS 456.6 billion 5,000 5
Months
4,000 4
was principal repayments and the balance was 3,000 3
1,000 1
0 0
Chart 2.6.2: Issued Government Securities for
Jan-18
Jan-19
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Jul-18
Jul-19
Jul-21
Jul-22
Jul-20
Financing
Billions of TZS Source: Bank of Tanzania
T-Bills Bonds Note: LHS denotes left hand scale; RHS, right hand scale; EAC,
East African Community; and SADC, Southern African
Development Community
Mar-22
May-22
Jun-22
Jan-23
Jan-22
Apr-22
Jul-22
Oct-22
Aug-22
Sep-22
Nov-22
Dec-22
9
As for minerals, growth drivers were mainly Chart 2.7.2: Exports of Goods
Millions of USD
diamonds, coal and gold. Diamonds exports Year ending January
2,970.5
2,904.0
2021 2022 2023
increased to USD 62.5 million in the year in
2,655.8
January 2023 from USD 8.7 million in the
1,581.8
corresponding period in 2022, owing to resumption
1,219.1
of production at Williamson Mines. Meanwhile,
902.4
754.6
698.0
669.7
664.5
657.8
617.9
508.6
409.6
407.8
394.2
381.1
coal worth USD 195.5 million was exported during
293.3
291.0
278.0
175.5
the period, higher than USD 22.2 million in the year
Horticultural
Other minerals
Gold
Manufactured
Traditional
Cereals
Other non-
traditional
exports
products
exports
to January 2022, owing to heightened demand for
goods
alternative energy following supply disruptions
stemming from the war in Ukraine. Much of the coal Source: Tanzania Revenue Authority and Bank of Tanzania
computations
was destined to the regional markets, that is Note: Other minerals mainly include mineral concentrates,
tanzanite and diamonds; and other non-traditional
Kenya, DRC, Rwanda and Uganda; with Poland, exports include oil seeds, beans, cocoa, raw hides and
skins, and wood
Hong Kong, India, and Senegal as other
destinations. Gold exports also increased to USD Service receipts rose to USD 4,881.4 million in the
2,904 million from USD 2,655.8 million, on account year to January 2023, from USD 3,231.8 million in
of both volume and price effects. the corresponding period in 2022, largely driven by
travel receipts (mostly tourism), and transport
Exports of traditional goods also rose to USD 754.6 receipts. Travel receipts almost doubled to USD
million from USD 657.8 million, with all crops 2,641.1 million, as tourist arrivals rose to 1,500,648
recording increases except clove and tea. The from 938,017, closer to the pre-pandemic levels—
increase was mostly owing to price effects. On 1,527,230 in 2019, signalling continued recovery of
monthly basis, traditional exports fell to USD 66 the sector.
million in January 2023 from USD 77.8 million in
January 2022, while non-traditional exports On monthly basis, service receipts were USD
increased by 48.2 percent to USD 484.6 million up 460.5 million, higher than USD 343.3 million in
from USD 326.9 million in January 2022. January 2022.
374.7
Services receipts 4,012.3 4,219.7 2,121.8 3,231.8 4,881.4 256.0
183.0
o/w: Transport 1,228.2 1,357.0 1,264.6 1,611.6 1,884.5
Travel 2,437.2 2,551.7 674.2 1,362.1 2,622.2 Travel (Tourism) Transport Other services
Source: Tanzania Revenue Authority and Bank of Source: Banks and Bank of Tanzania computations
Tanzania Computations Note: Other services include construction, insurance, financial,
Note: o/w denotes of which; and p, provisional data telecommunication, computer and information, charges
for the use of intellectual property, government, personal
and other business services
10
Imports
Chart 2.7.4: Service Payments
Imports of goods and services recorded an annual Millions of USD
Year ending January
1,418.6
the year ending January 2023. All import
categories recorded growth, largely due to price
increase attributable to the disruption of global 849.4
745.0
614.8
supply chain. Oil, which accounted for 23.7 percent 585.7
499.8
367.3
of the total goods import bill, contributed much of
207.0
153.5
the rise in import bill, at 34.3 percent. Imports of
Travel Transport Other services
machinery and industrial transport equipment also
Source: Banks and Bank of Tanzania computations
had a notable contribution in the change of goods Note: Other services include construction, insurance, financial,
telecommunication, computer and information,
import bill. Conversely, imports of edible oil government, personal and other business services
production following government intervention USD 1,284.2 million in the year to January 2023,
(Table 2.7.3). On monthly basis, the import of from a deficit of USD 1,200.9 million in the previous
goods edged up to USD 1,064.6 million from USD year. On a monthly basis, a deficit of USD 105.3
973.4 million in January 2022. million was recorded compared with a deficit of
USD 98.4 million in January 2022.
Service payments increased by almost two thirds
to USD 2,530.9 million in the year ending January Meanwhile, the secondary income account
2023, on account of high freight payments balance improved to USD 595 million in the year
consistent with the rise in imports of goods (Chart ending January 2023, from USD 546.3 million in
2.7.4). On monthly basis, service payments were the year to January 2022, driven by increase in
USD 231.1 million, up from USD 165.6 million in personal transfers. On a monthly basis, a surplus
January 2022. of USD 52.9 million was registered, compared with
USD 40.6 million in January 2022.
Table 2.7.3: Goods Imports
Millions of USD
Year ending January
Percentage
World Commodity Prices
Item Jan-22 Dec-22 Jan-23 2022 2023p change
Capital goods
Machinery and mechanical appliances
130.4
51.0
277.3
94.4
196.2
83.9
1,723.5
728.6
2,658.0
1,160.0
54.2
59.2 Prices of commodities exhibited varying trends
Industrial transport equipment 37.1 101.6 58.8 485.7 844.9 73.9
Electrical machinery and equipment
Other capital goods
23.6
18.7
38.4
43.0
25.2
28.3
292.1
217.1
324.4
328.8
11.0
51.5 during January 2023. Crude oil prices rose to USD
Intermediate goods 741.8 933.2 776.2 7,391.0 10,264.5 38.9
Industrial supplies
o/w: Iron and steel and articles thereof
382.0
104.5
400.9
80.4
340.3
63.6
3,531.2
920.7
4,737.6
1,050.6
34.2
14.1
80.41 per barrel from USD 78.07 per barrel in
Plastic and articles thereof 77.9 75.7 50.7 632.3 749.7 18.6
Fertilisers
Fuel and lubricants
9.0
182.4
56.7
303.2
43.5
264.1
186.7
2,123.8
535.2
3,564.6
186.6
67.8
December 2022, owing to forecasted increased
o/w: Refined white products 175.9 276.0 244.1 2,016.5 3,383.0 67.8
Parts and accessories
Food and beverages for industrial use
112.1
50.8
82.9
112.4
64.7
87.4
916.0
614.9
940.2
754.3
2.6
22.7
global demand, mainly from China after ending its
o/w: Wheat grain 20.7 8.7 50.4 223.1 332.0 48.8
Edible oil and its fractions not refined
Sugar for industrial use
11.2
7.7
27.3
13.0
26.6
4.0
202.4
109.3
147.4
131.9
-27.2
20.7
strict COVID-19 restrictions. Price of gold also rose
Motor cars for household 14.5 33.6 19.8 200.0 262.7 31.3
Consumer goods
Food and beverages mainly for household consumption
101.0
11.9
100.1
12.7
92.0
13.7
1,199.1
171.3
1,375.2
183.7
14.7
7.3
to USD 1,897.71 per troy ounce on the back of a
Non-industrial transport equipment 11.8 18.5 10.2 115.6 157.8 36.5
o/w: Motocycles and cycles fitted with an auxiliary motor
Other consumer goods
10.9
77.3
16.5
68.9
8.1
68.2
102.8
912.1
137.5
1,033.7
33.8
13.3
weaker US dollar that raised demand for the
o/w: Pharmaceutical products 18.7 17.9 16.0 322.7 340.2 5.4
Insecticides, rodenticides and similar products
Soap and detergents
9.9
6.4
8.7
4.0
11.5
6.2
105.1
65.9
143.8
69.7
36.8
5.7
precious metal. Meanwhile, the prices of
Textiles apparels 4.1 4.0 2.9 46.7 56.7 21.5
Footwear and other products
Paper and paper products
3.8
2.1
4.2
3.7
3.7
2.9
44.6
25.2
51.8
30.1
16.0
19.6
agricultural products such as cotton, coffee, tea,
Total 973.4 1,310.9 1,064.6 10,315.8 14,299.9 38.6
Source: Tanzania Revenue Authority and Bank of Tanzania and wheat fell due to subdued global demand. On
Computations
Note: p denotes provisional data; o/w, denotes of which
11
average, prices of fertilizers decreased due to low Chart 3.1.1: Annual Inflation Rates
Percent
demand.
Headline Food Non-food
14
12
3.0 Economic Performance 10
in Zanzibar 8
4
3.1 Inflation 2
0
In January 2023, inflation sustained upward trend
-2
May-20
May-21
May-22
Jan-20
Jan-21
Jan-22
Jan-23
Sep-20
Sep-21
Sep-22
largely owing to increase in both food and non-food
prices. Headline inflation was 8.4 percent, higher
Source: Office of the Chief Government Statistician
than 8.1 percent in the preceding month and 2.8
percent in the corresponding month in 2022. Food
3.2 Government Budgetary
inflation eased to 11.6 percent, relative to 12.7 Operations
percent and 0.6 percent in the preceding month
and January 2022, respectively. The high food Government budgetary resources were TZS 122.9
inflation emanated from increase prices of Mbeya billion in January 2023, above the estimate by 0.6
and jasmine rice, maize flour, green cooking percent, out of which TZS 104 billion was domestic
bananas and wheat flour. Non-food inflation rose revenue and TZS 18.9 billion was grants. Tax
to 6.1 percent from 4.9 percent in December 2022 revenue amounted to TZS 89.6 billion, equivalent
and 4.4 percent in January 2022, largely attributed to 91.9 percent of the target for the month, whereas
by increase in price of kerosene (Table 3.1.1 and non-tax revenue was TZS 14.4 billion, below the
Chart 3.1.1). On monthly basis, headline inflation target by 15.1 percent (Chart 3.2.1).
31.2
29.5
18.9
17.4
17.3
17.0
14.8
13.0
12.3
Clothing and Footwear 6.3 0.0 0.2 0.9 1.8 2.9 3.9
Housing, Water, Electricity, Gas
and Other Fuels 25.8 0.4 0.0 0.8 5.4 4.5 4.9
Tax on VAT and Income tax Other taxes Non-tax Grants
Furnishings, Household imports excise duties revenue
Equipment and Routine (local)
Household Maintenance 4.8 0.1 0.7 -0.1 4.5 12.3 12.1
Health 1.3 0.0 0.8 1.6 1.8 5.5 7.2 Source: President's Office, Finance and Planning, Zanzibar
Transport 9.1 0.0 -0.9 5.2 8 9.0 14.6 Note: Other taxes include hotel and restaurant levies, tour
Information And Communication 4.2 0.0 0.0 0.3 1.7 0.4 0.6 operator levy, revenue stamps, airport and seaport
Recreation, Sport and Culture 1.1 0.0 4.7 2.3 1.3 -1.3 0.9 service charges, road development fund and petroleum
Education 1.6 0.0 0.0 3.4 0.3 0.0 3.4 levy
Restaurants And Accommodation
Services 1.4 0.0 0.0 0.9 0.6 1.4 2.3
Insurance And Financial Services 0.5 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Personal Care, Social Protection
Government expenditure was TZS 104.4 billion, of
and Miscellaneous Goods and
Services 1.7 0.0 0.2 -0.6 0.0 3.4 2.5 which recurrent expenditure was TZS 63.7 billion,
All items (Headline inflation) 100.0 1.5 0.8 1.7 2.8 8.1 8.4
Selected groups while development expenditure was TZS 40.8
Food 41.9 3.2 1.7 2.2 0.6 12.7 11.6
Non-food 58.6 0.2 0.0 1.4 4.4 4.9 6.1 billion. Domestic resources for development
Source: Office of the Chief Government Statistician
projects amounted to TZS 15.7 billion, while
12
foreign resources were TZS 25.1 billion (Chart Exports
3.2.2). Fiscal deficit after grants was TZS 20.6
Exports of goods and services, during the year
billion, which was financed through external
ending January 2023, were USD 193.8 million
borrowing.
compared with USD 157.4 million recorded in the
Chart 3.2.2: Government Expenditure year ending January 2022, largely due to an
Billions of TZ increase in service receipts, particularly from
Actual Jan-22 Target Jan-23 Actual Jan-23
tourism (Table 3.3.1 and Table 3.3.2). Exports of
52.7
52.3
48.7
40.8
to USD 69.4 million in the year ending January
34.8
34.7
2023, driven by cloves, fish and fish products.
28.4
Seaweeds
million during the year ending January 2023, from Value '000' of USD 1,310.0 753.1 688.4 6,330.9 6,339.3 0.1
Volume '000' Tonnes 3.3 1.2 1.1 15.3 11.7 -23.2
a deficit of USD 237.4 million registered the year Unit price USD/Tonne 395.8 648.9 602.5 414.2 540.0 30.4
Manufactured goods '000' of USD 120.0 1,004.7 692.2 7,634.4 11,166.2 46.3
ending January 2022. The development was Fish and fish products
Others exports
'000' of USD
'000' of USD
120.0
20.0
193.3
282.8
415.2
557.9
2,005.1
4,850.5
1,882.7
6,370.6
-6.1
31.3
Sub-total '000' of USD 1,570.0 2,233.9 2,353.7 20,820.9 25,758.8 23.7
largely associated with an increase in imports bill Grand-total '000' of USD 10,930.0 4,161.3 3,805.2 80,560.8 69,420.4 -13.8
13
consumption, non-industrial transport equipment
and other consumer good sub categories (Table
3.3.3). Month-to-month imports (f.o.b) amounted to
USD 38.7 million in January 2023, compared with
USD 32.6 million in January 2022.
14
Statistical Tables
Table A1: Selected Economic Indicators
p
Unit of measure 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021 2022
National accounts and inflation
1.1 Annual change in GDP at current prices Percent 9.6 8.7 8.2 8.3 6.9 na
1.2 Annual change in GDP at constant 2015 prices Percent 6.8 7.0 7.0 4.8 4.9 na
1.3 GDP per capita-current prices (TZS) '000' of TZS 2,327.4 2,452.4 2,573.3 2,653.8 2753.4 na
1.4 GDP per capita-current prices (USD) USD 1,044.2 1,083.2 1,126.5 1,156.8 1198.3 na
1.5 Annual change in consumer price index (Inflation) Percent 5.3 3.5 3.4 3.3 3.7 4.3
1.6 Savings to net national disposable income Percent 19.2 19.7 20.2 20.1 20.4 na
Balance of payments
3.1 Exports of goods Mill. of USD 4,510.8 4,292.7 5,377.6 6,371.7 6,755.6 7,223.7
3.2 Imports of goods (f.o.b) Mill. of USD -7,293.0 -8,519.7 -8,615.2 -7,831.7 -10,003.4 -14,245.0
3.3 Trade balance Mill. of USD -2,782.3 -4,227.0 -3,237.5 -1,460.0 -3,247.7 -7,021.3
3.4 Current account balance Mill. of USD -1,485.5 -2,308.7 -1,340.2 -1,458.5 -2,407.2 -5,347.2
3.5 Balance of payment Mill. of USD 1,669.6 -784.0 587.0 -764.9 1,852.1 -995.1
3.6 Gross foreign reserves Mill. of USD 5,900.3 5,044.6 5,567.6 4,767.7 6,386.0 5,177.2
3.7 Import cover of foreign reserves Months 6.6 4.9 6.4 5.6 6.6 4.7
3.8 Exchange rate:
Annual average TZS/USD 2,228.9 2,263.8 2,288.2 2,294.1 2,297.8 2,303.1
End of period TZS/USD 2,230.1 2,281.2 2,287.9 2,298.5 2,297.6 2,308.9
2016/17 2017/18 2018/19 2019/20 2020/21 2021/22
Fiscal operations
4.1 Current revenue to GDP ratio 1 Percent 14.7 14.5 13.8 14.5 13.2 14.5
4.2 Grants to GDP ratio 1 Percent 1.0 0.8 0.3 0.6 0.4 0.4
1
4.3 Current expenditure to GDP ratio Percent 10.2 10.0 10.3 9.8 9.5 9.6
4.4 Development expenditure to GDP ratio 1 Percent 6.4 6.5 6.3 6.8 7.5 9.0
4.5 Budget balance to GDP ratio (excluding grants) 1 Percent -3.8 -2.0 -2.8 -2.1 -3.8 -4.0
1,2
4.6 Overall Budget balance to GDP ratio Percent -1.4 -1.9 -3.1 -1.9 -3.8 -3.6
External debt stock Mill. of USD 18,651.1 20,503.0 21,920.9 22,952.7 25,519.3 27832.5
5.1 Disbursed debt Mill. of USD 17,251.2 18,765.1 20,029.3 20,958.4 23,250.9 25392.8
5.2 Interest arrears Mill. of USD 1,399.9 1,737.9 1,891.7 1,994.3 2,268.4 2439.7
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning; Bank of Tanzania; and Tanzania Revenue Authority
15
Table A2: Central Government Operations (Cheques Issued) – Tanzania Mainland
Millions of TZS
Development expenditure and net lending 15,006,001.6 9,252,068 7,989,549.9 1,572,491.6 1,047,642.2
Local 12,306,920.7 7,602,099 6,534,804.6 1,417,416.0 1,000,834.2
Foreign 2,699,080.9 1,649,970 1,454,745.4 155,075.5 46,808.0
Balance before grants -7,246,670.5 -4,940,208 -3,188,865.2 -1,093,667.8 -475,478.8
Grants 979,366.1 733,413 397,223.4 67,068.4 1,264.0
Program 55,530.4 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Project 923,835.7 623,955 333,118.7 53,521.9 1,264.0
Basket funds 0.0 109,458 64,104.8 13,546.5 0.0
Balance (cheques issued) after grants -6,267,304.4 -4,206,795 -2,791,641.8 -1,026,599.4 -474,214.8
Expenditure float 0.0 0 -12,931.6 0.0 0.0
Adjustments to cash and other items (net) -0.3 0 -1,343,392.5 0.0 -275,465.3
Overall balance -6,267,304.7 -4,206,795 -4,147,965.9 -1,026,599.4 -749,680.1
Financing 6,267,304.7 4,206,795 4,147,965.9 1,026,599.4 749,680.1
Foreign financing (net) 3,787,156.7 2,394,215 1,728,275.5 -86,404.5 -117,985.7
Loans 6,703,198.1 3,804,574 3,108,285.6 159,002.2 45,544.0
Program loans 1,893,949.4 1,516,753 1,498,511.7 0.0 0.0
Development project loans 4,687,125.9 2,287,821 1,609,773.9 159,002.2 45,544.0
o/w: Non-concessional borrowing 3,034,003.6 1,371,265 552,252.0 70,995.0 0.0
Basket support 122,122.8 0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Amortization -2,916,041.5 -1,410,359 -1,380,010.2 -245,406.6 -163,529.7
2
Domestic (net) 2,480,148.1 1,812,580 2,419,690.4 1,113,003.9 867,665.8
Bank and non-bank financing 2,480,148.1 1,812,580 2,419,690.4 1,113,003.9 867,665.8
Bank borrowing 2,275,613.4 1,663,948 479,194.1 1,021,737.5 757,659.0
Non-bank (net of amortization) 204,534.6 148,632 1,940,496.4 91,266.3 110,006.8
Borrowing/roll-over 3,300,000.0 1,915,808 2,186,288.8 263,175.3 514,761.6
Domestic and contingent debt amortization -3,300,000.0 -1,915,808 -2,186,288.8 -263,175.3 -514,761.6
Source: Ministry of Finance and Planning
Note: 1 exclude amortization and expenditure float and includes road fund and retention expenditure; 2 Positive value means financing and a negative value means repayment/ build up of
deposits; LGA denotes Local Government Authority; VAT, value added tax; NDF, net domestic financing; and o/w , of w hich
16
Table A3: Depository Corporations Survey
Billions of TZS
Item Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22 Jan-23P
Net foreign assets 13,201.8 12,683.2 11,815.8 10,908.5 10,542.3 10,503.9 10,715.7 10,496.7 9,701.2 8,163.3 7,805.8 9,437.5 8,668.5
Bank of Tanzania 12,979.8 12,145.2 11,578.5 11,342.6 10,748.0 10,584.9 11,231.8 10,608.6 10,348.0 9,571.1 9,284.7 10,732.8 9,813.4
Other depository corporations 222.0 538.1 237.3 -434.1 -205.7 -81.0 -516.0 -111.9 -646.9 -1,407.8 -1,478.9 -1,295.3 -1,144.9
Net domestic assets 21,193.8 22,181.4 21,935.8 23,179.4 23,644.2 24,996.1 24,431.6 26,262.6 27,983.2 30,066.6 30,529.7 29,142.5 30,134.8
Domestic claims 30,081.5 31,318.5 31,447.3 32,185.1 32,880.4 34,053.4 33,615.0 35,647.7 36,055.5 37,741.4 38,404.1 37,557.3 38,463.9
Claims on central government (net) 7,718.7 8,495.3 8,222.2 8,762.6 9,073.3 9,459.7 8,721.4 10,341.0 10,281.1 11,272.8 11,465.6 10,184.8 10,942.4
Claims on central government 14,820.5 15,850.4 15,978.5 16,275.0 17,405.2 15,896.9 16,722.7 17,430.9 18,389.2 19,623.5 19,692.2 18,261.0 18,564.1
Liabilities to central government 7,101.7 7,355.1 7,756.2 7,512.4 8,331.9 6,437.1 8,001.3 7,089.9 8,108.1 8,350.7 8,226.6 8,076.2 7,621.6
Claims on non-government sector 22,362.7 22,823.2 23,225.1 23,422.5 23,807.1 24,593.7 24,893.6 25,306.7 25,774.4 26,468.6 26,938.6 27,372.5 27,521.5
Other items (net) -8,887.7 -9,137.0 -9,511.5 -9,005.7 -9,236.3 -9,057.3 -9,183.4 -9,385.2 -8,072.3 -7,674.8 -7,874.5 -8,414.8 -8,329.1
Broad money liabilities 34,395.6 34,864.7 33,751.6 34,087.8 34,186.5 35,500.1 35,147.3 36,759.3 37,684.4 38,229.9 38,335.5 38,580.0 38,803.3
Currency outside depository corporations 4,798.6 4,727.3 4,769.0 4,913.3 4,980.5 5,333.9 5,511.6 5,553.5 5,849.2 5,738.3 5,684.1 5,709.0 5,326.4
Transferable deposits 17,483.2 17,622.6 16,312.5 16,408.7 16,157.1 16,625.9 16,075.3 17,407.1 17,559.8 18,092.8 18,165.9 18,341.0 18,819.5
Non-transferable (other) deposits 12,113.8 12,514.8 12,670.1 12,765.8 13,048.9 13,540.3 13,560.4 13,798.7 14,275.4 14,398.8 14,485.4 14,530.0 14,657.4
Memorandum Items:
Monetary aggregates
Reserve money (M0) 8,286.2 8,320.9 8,382.3 8,684.2 8,550.2 9,276.6 9,084.4 9,847.6 9,572.5 9,733.9 9,351.6 9,736.3 9,482.2
Extended broad money (M3) 34,395.6 34,864.7 33,751.6 34,087.8 34,186.5 35,500.1 35,147.3 36,759.3 37,684.4 38,229.9 38,335.5 38,580.0 38,803.3
Deposits in foreign Currency (FCD) 7,333.4 7,353.2 7,247.0 7,226.4 7,581.2 7,878.4 7,382.6 8,040.8 8,362.0 8,406.9 8,431.1 8,201.1 8,419.5
FCD in millions of USD 3,191.0 3,199.4 3,152.9 3,143.4 3,295.0 3,418.8 3,203.6 3,488.1 3,623.2 3,642.1 3,652.1 3,551.9 3,645.8
Broad money (M2) 27,062.2 27,511.5 26,504.6 26,861.5 26,605.3 27,621.7 27,764.8 28,718.5 29,322.3 29,823.0 29,904.4 30,378.9 30,383.8
Other deposits in national currency (i.e.
savings and time deposits) 9,410.7 9,782.4 9,918.8 10,017.9 10,151.7 10,591.6 10,624.1 10,690.8 11,053.9 11,250.6 11,430.6 11,430.7 11,550.9
Narrow money (M1) 17,651.5 17,729.1 16,585.7 16,843.6 16,453.6 17,030.1 17,140.7 18,027.7 18,268.4 18,572.4 18,473.8 18,948.2 18,833.0
Currency in circulation 4,798.6 4,727.3 4,769.0 4,913.3 4,980.5 5,333.9 5,511.6 5,553.5 5,849.2 5,738.3 5,684.1 5,709.0 5,326.4
Transferable deposits in national currency 12,852.9 13,001.8 11,816.7 11,930.3 11,473.1 11,696.1 11,629.1 12,474.2 12,419.2 12,834.1 12,789.7 13,239.2 13,506.5
Source: Bank of Tanzania
17
Table A4: Interest Rates Structure
Percent
2022 2023
Jan Feb Mar Apr May Jun Jul Aug Sep Oct Nov Dec Janp
A: Domestic currency
1. Interbank cash market rates
Overnight 4.03 3.43 1.99 1.65 1.72 2.78 3.02 3.46 3.75 3.74 4.32 3.26 3.45
2 to 7 days 4.56 4.54 4.39 4.33 4.64 4.56 4.29 4.65 4.77 4.74 4.85 4.61 4.61
8 to 14 days 4.68 4.68 4.36 4.61 4.79 4.47 4.59 4.89 5.11 4.91 4.72 4.83 4.46
15 to 30 days 4.29 4.66 4.34 4.21 4.37 4.74 5.59 5.36 5.96 5.77 5.95 5.90 5.63
31 to 60 days 5.72 5.22 4.81 3.91 4.25 5.91 5.10 5.97 6.22 5.81 5.78 6.05 5.90
61 to 90 days 6.60 6.72 6.50 6.55 6.50 6.00 6.47 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.00 6.42 6.93
91 to 180 days 8.00 8.00 6.48 6.50 7.35 5.68 7.36 7.45 7.00 5.57 7.00 7.00 7.00
181 and above 8.00 8.00 8.00 11.00 10.00 10.00 10.00 12.00 6.71 6.71 6.71 6.71 9.50
Overall interbank cash market 4.61 4.58 4.07 4.08 4.35 4.25 4.22 4.82 5.02 4.79 4.99 4.62 4.68
2. Lombard rate 6.05 5.15 2.99 2.47 2.59 4.16 4.54 5.18 5.63 5.61 6.48 4.89 5.17
3. REPO rate 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.50 4.64 3.13 2.99 2.99 2.98 3.00
4. Reverse REPO rate 5.37 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29 6.29
5. Treasury bills rate
35 days 2.47 2.51 2.50 2.43 2.30 2.30 2.30 1.68 1.99 1.99 2.26 2.26 2.26
91 days 2.94 2.86 2.63 2.72 2.55 2.65 2.65 2.65 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.00 3.65
182 days 3.56 3.56 3.44 3.36 2.24 2.56 2.56 4.04 4.08 4.06 4.06 4.17 4.60
364 days 5.06 4.88 4.28 3.41 3.73 4.73 4.52 4.35 4.84 5.29 5.89 6.44 7.15
Overall 5.00 4.78 4.17 3.37 3.68 4.56 4.52 4.31 4.64 4.95 5.60 6.11 6.78
6. Treasury bonds rate
2-year 7.65 7.65 4.40 4.40 4.40 4.40 4.40 7.93 7.93 8.52 8.52 8.52 9.37
5-year 9.08 9.08 9.08 9.08 8.94 8.94 8.94 9.08 9.08 9.08 9.08 9.08 9.67
7-year 9.89 9.89 9.89 9.33 9.33 9.33 9.46 9.46 9.46 9.46 9.71 9.71 9.71
10-year 11.25 11.25 11.25 10.34 10.34 10.34 10.34 10.34 10.45 10.45 10.45 10.77 10.77
15-year 13.57 11.97 11.97 11.97 11.97 11.27 11.27 11.27 11.41 11.41 11.20 11.20 11.43
20-year 14.75 11.98 11.98 11.60 11.60 12.01 12.03 12.03 12.11 12.11 12.23 12.23 12.23
25-year 13.82 13.82 13.82 11.71 12.36 12.36 12.43 12.43 12.43 12.56 12.56 12.76 12.76
7. Discount 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00 5.00
8. Deposit rates
Savings deposit 1.61 1.59 1.56 1.41 1.42 1.52 1.61 2.05 2.16 2.07 1.61 1.61 1.63
Time deposit
Overall 6.79 7.02 7.02 6.81 6.69 6.80 7.56 7.49 7.62 7.32 7.28 6.94 7.38
1 month 6.86 6.32 7.03 6.75 6.00 6.13 7.64 7.89 7.62 7.50 8.34 7.84 7.88
2 months 6.62 7.56 7.90 6.37 6.56 7.34 8.55 8.32 8.68 8.90 7.94 7.65 8.68
3 months 7.00 7.57 6.22 6.78 6.96 7.12 8.05 8.04 8.88 8.21 7.53 8.35 7.87
6 months 7.56 7.42 7.68 7.63 7.66 7.76 8.15 8.25 8.20 7.91 8.36 8.26 8.45
9 months 7.56 7.42 7.68 7.63 7.66 7.76 8.15 8.25 8.20 7.91 8.36 8.26 8.45
12 months 7.87 8.39 8.37 8.28 8.03 8.07 9.05 9.25 9.22 8.78 8.77 8.23 8.66
24 months 9.66 9.84 10.01 10.08 9.95 9.41 9.57 8.55 8.30 7.68 7.63 5.84 8.87
Negotiated 9.92 9.74 9.68 9.73 9.63 9.43 9.78 9.59 9.67 9.52 9.50 8.88 9.30
9. Lending rates
Overall 16.30 16.29 16.25 16.31 16.25 16.22 16.18 16.09 16.07 16.07 16.08 16.06 16.29
Short-term (up to 1year) 16.70 16.59 16.68 17.14 16.61 16.46 16.76 16.81 16.82 16.73 16.90 17.27 17.69
Medium-term (1-2 years) 17.58 17.46 17.42 17.34 17.47 17.62 17.56 17.36 17.41 17.61 17.55 17.39 17.57
Medium-term (2-3 years) 16.25 16.54 16.37 16.40 16.28 16.36 16.16 16.16 16.15 16.12 16.08 16.02 16.10
Long-term (3-5 years) 15.79 15.84 15.74 15.66 15.90 15.85 15.73 15.53 15.55 15.51 15.43 15.35 15.61
Term Loans (over 5 years) 15.20 15.02 15.03 15.02 14.99 14.81 14.70 14.60 14.40 14.38 14.47 14.29 14.50
Negotiated 13.68 13.99 13.80 14.12 14.40 14.25 14.23 14.24 13.92 14.33 13.95 13.29 14.19
B: Foreign currency
1. Deposits rates
Savings deposits 0.33 0.29 0.37 0.26 0.36 0.35 0.36 0.36 0.36 0.24 0.31 0.28 0.33
Time deposits
Overall 3.48 3.32 3.22 3.38 3.22 3.44 3.25 3.11 3.24 3.13 3.14 3.29 3.35
1-months 3.59 2.31 1.42 2.22 2.25 3.53 3.11 1.93 3.38 2.90 2.45 2.29 3.78
2-months 3.24 3.57 3.46 4.03 3.42 3.82 2.80 3.35 2.65 2.34 2.34 3.81 2.65
3-months 3.27 3.47 4.02 3.31 3.82 2.80 3.23 3.31 3.24 3.39 3.91 3.26 3.31
6-months 3.78 3.93 3.92 3.91 3.34 3.36 3.41 3.23 3.21 3.27 3.25 3.33 3.25
12-months 3.53 3.35 3.27 3.40 3.25 3.67 3.70 3.71 3.74 3.73 3.73 3.74 3.79
2. Lending rates 8.17 8.08 8.20 8.19 8.14 8.19 8.17 8.17 8.20 8.17 8.17 8.18 8.18
Short-term (up to 1 year) 8.62 8.17 8.70 8.66 8.42 8.67 8.60 8.57 8.75 8.56 8.54 8.62 8.61
Medium-term (1-2 years) 8.74 8.74 8.82 8.82 8.82 8.81 8.81 8.82 8.82 8.82 8.82 8.82 8.82
Medium-term (2-3 years) 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.07 7.06 7.06 7.06 7.06 7.04 7.04 7.07 7.04 7.06
Long-term (3-5 years) 8.88 8.87 8.88 8.87 8.87 8.86 8.87 8.87 8.86 8.87 8.87 8.86 8.88
Term loans (over 5 years) 7.54 7.54 7.55 7.55 7.55 7.54 7.54 7.54 7.54 7.55 7.54 7.55 7.55
Source: Bank of Tanzania
18
Table A5: Tanzania Balance of Payments
Millions of USD
p
Item 2017 2018 2019 2020 2021
A. Current account -1,485.5 -2,308.7 -1,340.2 -1,459.9 -2,465.8
Goods: exports f.o.b. 4,510.8 4,292.7 5,377.6 6,371.7 6,755.6
Traditional 1,021.8 667.5 817.7 808.1 627.9
Non-traditional 3,078.9 3,234.9 4,186.0 5,253.3 5,763.0
o\w Gold 1,541.1 1,541.9 2,215.1 2,957.5 2,743.1
Unrecorded trade 410.1 390.2 373.8 310.4 364.8
Goods: imports f.o.b. -7,293.0 -8,519.7 -8,615.2 -7,831.7 -10,003.4
Balance on goods -2,782.3 -4,227.0 -3,237.6 -1,460.0 -3,247.7
Services: credit 3,831.9 4,014.7 4,281.0 2,183.8 3,152.3
Transport 1,137.4 1,222.1 1,350.1 1,281.7 1,415.7
Travel 2,250.3 2,449.4 2,604.5 714.5 1,402.5
Other 444.2 343.2 326.4 187.5 334.1
Services: debit -2,001.4 -1,925.7 -1,788.4 -1,319.0 -1,717.7
Transport -757.2 -609.5 -683.5 -607.0 -810.4
Travel -807.3 -738.1 -651.1 -203.8 -238.9
Other -436.9 -578.2 -453.9 -508.2 -668.3
Balance on services 1,830.5 2,088.9 2,492.5 864.7 1,434.7
Balance on goods and services -951.8 -2,138.0 -745.0 -595.2 -1,813.0
Primary income: credit 125.3 155.9 212.4 111.2 103.2
o/w Investment income 86.1 108.5 150.4 97.7 80.2
Compensation of employees 39.3 47.4 62.1 13.5 23.0
Primary income: debit -1,061.0 -795.2 -1,226.2 -1,375.7 -1,321.3
o/w Direct investment income -700.0 -439.0 -766.3 -913.3 -938.7
Interest payments -306.1 -302.1 -398.3 -383.7 -295.5
Compensation of employees -45.0 -37.6 -37.9 -34.9 -35.8
Balance on primary income -935.7 -639.2 -1,013.7 -1,264.5 -1,218.0
Balance on goods, services and primary income -1,887.4 -2,777.3 -1,758.7 -1,859.8 -3,031.1
Secondary income: credit 485.2 535.8 474.9 452.6 650.7
Government 121.8 170.3 103.5 139.9 104.4
Financial corporations, non-financial corporations, households and NPISHs 363.4 365.5 371.4 312.7 546.3
o/w Personal transfers 363.4 365.5 371.4 312.7 546.3
Secondary income: debit -83.2 -67.3 -56.4 -52.7 -85.4
Balance on secondary income 402.0 468.5 418.5 399.9 565.3
B. Capital account 376.8 464.1 481.2 385.8 417.9
Capital transfers credit 376.8 464.1 481.2 385.8 417.9
General government 313.6 400.3 416.8 311.9 352.6
Other capital transfer (Investment grant) 287.8 394.3 416.8 297.6 341.2
Debt forgiveness (including MDRI) 25.8 6.0 0.0 14.3 11.4
Financial corporations, non-financial corporations, households and NPISHs 63.2 63.8 64.4 73.9 65.3
Capital transfers:debit 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Total, Groups A plus B -1,108.7 -1,844.7 -859.0 -1,074.1 -2,048.0
C. Financial account, excl. reserves and related items 2,147.7 1,621.2 2,505.8 884.0 2,965.0
Direct investments -937.7 -971.6 -1,217.2 -943.8 -1,032.9
Direct investment abroad 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Direct investment in Tanzania 937.7 971.6 1,217.2 943.8 1,032.9
Portfolio investment 2.9 -3.7 36.8 -2.1 -7.7
Other investment 1,207.0 653.3 1,251.8 -57.7 1,939.8
Assets 117.8 -149.8 -31.8 -24.4 -55.7
Loans (deposit-taking corporations, except the central bank) 34.5 -35.2 -60.8 -167.3 71.6
Currency and deposits 83.4 -114.5 34.9 145.2 -126.9
Deposit-taking corporations, except the central bank 4.9 -206.9 -32.4 -34.0 -197.9
Other sectors 78.5 92.4 67.3 179.2 71.0
Other assets -0.1 0.0 -5.9 -2.3 -0.3
Liabilities 1,089.2 803.1 1,283.6 -33.3 1,995.5
Trade credits 9.7 21.4 -8.9 10.1 -1.7
Loans 1,096.6 744.2 1,317.3 -15.3 1,988.7
Monetary authority 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 543.0
SDR allocation 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 543.0
General government 699.7 408.5 1,323.4 -75.0 1,771.5
Drawings 1,094.7 1,115.0 2,087.4 911.1 2,762.7
Repayments -395.0 -706.5 -764.0 -986.1 -991.3
o/w Debt forgiveness -25.8 -6.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Deposit-taking corporations, except the central bank 176.1 -32.2 88.2 37.2 -10.7
Other sectors 220.8 367.9 -94.3 22.4 227.9
Drawings 318.9 467.6 365.2 281.8 387.1
Repayments -98.1 -99.7 -459.5 -259.4 -159.2
Currency and deposits -17.1 37.6 -24.7 -28.1 8.5
Total, Groups A through C 1,038.9 -223.5 1,646.8 -190.1 917.0
D. Net errors and omissions 630.7 -560.6 -1,059.8 -574.8 935.1
Overall balance (Total, Groups A through D) 1,669.6 -784.0 587.0 -764.9 1,852.1
E. Reserves and relatediItems -1,669.6 784.0 -587.0 764.9 -1,852.1
Reserve assets -1,598.7 871.9 -525.0 790.1 -1,840.2
Use of Fund credit and loans -70.9 -87.9 -62.0 -25.2 -11.9
GDP(mp) billions of TZS 118,744.5 129,043.9 139,641.9 151,166.4 161,525.8
GDP(mp) millions of USD 53,275.9 57,003.7 61,026.7 65,892.2 70,298.0
CAB/GDP -2.8 -4.1 -2.2 -2.2 -3.4
Gross official reserves 5,900.3 5,044.6 5,567.6 4,767.7 6,386.0
Months of imports (excluding FDI related imports) 6.6 4.9 6.4 5.6 6.6
Exchange rate (end of period) 2,230.1 2,281.2 2,287.9 2,298.5 2,297.6
Exchange rate (period average) 2,228.9 2,263.8 2,288.2 2,294.1 2,297.8
Source: Bank of Tanzania, Tanzania Revenue Authority, banks and Bank of Tanzania computations
Note: Data from 2017 to 2020 have been revised; p denotes provisional data; o/w, of which; NPISH, non-profit institutions serving households; MDRI, multilateral debt relief initiative; GDP, gross domestic product; CAB, current account balance; FDI, foreign direct
investment; and f.o.b, free on board
19
Table A6: Exports of Goods
Millions of USD
Year ending January
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023P
Traditional exports 574.1 939.5 698.0 657.8 754.6
Cashewnuts 24.6 449.9 282.1 180.6 212.9
Cloves 0.4 16.5 9.7 57.9 38.3
Coffee 147.7 150.7 145.9 155.4 163.4
Cotton 68.8 106.7 73.6 84.9 101.6
Sisal 17.4 19.2 18.2 19.7 25.2
Tea 46.5 43.1 32.7 31.6 30.9
Tobacco 268.6 153.4 135.7 127.7 182.3
Non-traditional exports 3,290.7 4,285.7 5,255.9 5,729.6 6,339.5
Minerals 1,677.7 2,422.8 3,378.3 3,050.0 3,521.9
Gold 1,580.9 2,303.6 2,970.5 2,649.7 2,904.0
Diamond 83.6 80.5 9.0 8.7 62.5
Tanzanite 8.0 29.3 26.3 24.5 27.4
Other minerals (incl. concentrates) 5.2 9.4 372.5 367.0 528.0
Horticultural products 182.1 212.0 291.0 381.1 293.3
Edible vegetables 121.5 145.7 224.3 313.3 213.3
Floriculture 33.3 31.9 23.1 27.3 23.8
Fruits 11.8 10.6 11.6 14.9 25.9
Others 15.4 23.7 32.0 25.6 30.3
Manufactured goods 833.2 855.3 902.4 1,219.1 1,581.8
o/w Cement 21.4 42.5 44.1 47.4 64.8
Ceramic products 25.3 24.8 30.7 48.3 47.8
Cosmetics 63.7 23.9 24.1 87.9 50.3
Edible oil 11.9 11.1 14.5 16.5 18.9
Fertilizers 27.9 22.1 92.0 46.5 112.9
Glassware 26.2 48.7 38.5 43.3 51.3
Iron and steel 51.2 67.1 66.9 88.9 110.9
Paper and paper products 48.8 51.8 36.5 64.3 57.6
Plastic items 32.2 26.9 28.4 64.3 41.3
Textiles 102.3 104.7 73.6 95.1 119.1
Cereals 56.3 87.1 175.5 409.6 278.0
Maize 40.7 39.3 18.0 92.9 86.5
Rice 13.7 46.4 152.2 307.5 175.3
Other cereals 1.9 1.4 5.3 9.3 16.2
Fish and fish products 156.5 167.5 136.7 166.0 166.9
Oil seeds 89.1 174.9 166.9 170.2 172.2
Other exports 94.8 132.5 118.3 239.8 195.7
o/w Beans 3.6 3.8 2.5 75.6 32.8
Wood and wood products 40.2 49.9 50.2 94.3 100.3
Cocoa 20.0 28.8 24.3 28.2 26.5
Plants 2.3 2.6 2.9 4.7 10.3
Hides and skins 3.4 4.5 5.8 5.9 4.2
Domestic exports 3,864.9 5,225.2 5,953.9 6,387.3 7,094.1
Re-Exports 201.1 233.5 86.8 93.6 129.6
Unrecorded trade 386.5 522.5 298.3 372.4 406.7
Total exports 4,251.3 5,747.7 6,252.3 6,751.9 7,377.4
Source: Tanzania Revenue Authority and Bank of Tanzania computations
20
Table A7: Import of Goods
Millions of USD
Note: o/w denotes of which; f.o.b, free on board; and p, provisional data
21
Table A8: World Commodity Prices
Crude oil Crude oil Crude oil Coffee Coffee Tea Tea Wheat Cotton, A
average Brent Dubai Arabica Robusta average Mombasa Palm oil (hard) Tobacco index DAP Urea Gold
(USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per (USD per
barrel) barrel) barrel) kg) kg) kg) kg) kg) tonne) tonne) kg) tonne) tonne) troy oz)
Jan-22 83.92 85.53 83.11 5.98 2.43 2.86 2.68 1,344.79 374.24 4.18 2.91 699.38 846.38 1,816.02
Feb-22 93.54 95.76 93.13 6.17 2.41 2.79 2.73 1,522.36 390.50 4.22 3.05 747.13 744.17 1,856.30
Mar-22 112.40 115.59 113.11 5.70 2.29 2.61 2.54 1,776.96 486.30 4.26 3.11 938.13 872.50 1,947.83
Apr-22 103.41 105.78 102.68 5.85 2.29 3.24 2.53 1,682.74 495.28 4.26 3.42 954.00 925.00 1,936.86
May-22 110.10 112.37 108.32 5.74 2.27 2.99 2.38 1,716.92 522.29 4.28 3.61 842.50 707.50 1,848.50
Jun-22 116.80 120.08 115.73 6.03 2.29 2.95 2.11 1,501.10 459.59 4.21 3.40 783.75 690.00 1,836.57
Jul-22 105.08 108.92 106.48 5.64 2.21 3.33 2.37 1,056.64 382.50 4.27 2.89 784.00 601.00 1,732.74
Aug-22 95.97 98.60 97.75 5.92 2.42 3.37 2.36 1,025.95 382.86 4.36 2.74 749.38 591.25 1,764.56
Sep-22 88.22 90.16 90.63 5.90 2.46 3.33 2.36 909.32 419.14 4.15 2.59 752.00 678.00 1,680.78
Oct-22 90.33 93.13 90.59 5.29 2.27 3.15 2.46 888.99 437.95 4.33 2.20 725.00 636.25 1,664.45
Nov-22 87.38 91.07 86.28 4.72 2.04 3.05 2.49 945.74 422.68 4.33 2.23 665.63 588.75 1,725.07
Dec-22 78.07 80.90 76.78 4.63 2.05 2.95 2.39 940.39 386.33 4.14 2.22 625.00 519.38 1,797.55
Jan-23 80.41 83.09 80.03 4.56 2.12 2.79 2.33 941.97 380.36 4.13 2.21 631.00 443.75 1,897.71
Source: Worldbank.org/en/research/commodity-markets
22
Table A9(i): Consumer Price Index (Urban and Rural), Twelve-Month Percentage Change (Main Groups), New Series
Base: Dec 2020 = 100
23
Table A9(ii): Consumer Price Index (Urban and Rural), Twelve-Month
Percentage Change (Other Selected Groups), New series
Base: 2020=100, since Jan 2021
24
Table A9(iii): Consumer Price Index (Urban and Rural), Month-on-Month Percentage Change (Main Groups), New Series
Base: Dec 2020 = 100
Food and non- Alcoholic Housing, water, Furnishings, household Restaurants and Insurance Personal care, social
Headline alcoholic beverages and Clothing and electricity, gas and other equipment and routine Information and Recreation, sport Education accommodation and financial protection and miscellaneous
Period overall index beverages tobacco footwear fuels household maintenance Health Transport communication and culture services services services goods and services
Weight (%) 100.0 28.2 1.9 10.8 15.1 7.9 2.5 14.1 5.4 1.6 2.0 6.6 2.1 2.1
2021-Jan 0.8 -0.4 0.6 1.9 1.1 2.2 1.0 1.5 0.2 3.2 0.3 1.6 0.1 2.2
Feb 0.9 1.8 0.2 0.5 0.6 0.1 0.7 0.7 0.1 0.5 0.7 1.3 0.2 0.3
Mar 0.9 1.6 0.0 0.7 1.1 0.3 0.1 1.2 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.7 0.0 0.1
Apr 0.5 1.2 0.8 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.0 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
May 0.3 1.2 -0.1 -0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0
Jun 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1 0.1 0.7 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.2 -0.1 0.2
Jul 0.0 -0.3 0.0 0.1 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.1 0.2
Aug -0.5 -2.5 0.5 0.3 0.5 0.2 0.1 0.6 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
Sep -0.1 -0.2 -0.2 -0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.1 -0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 -0.1
Oct -0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.0 -0.3 -0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 -0.5 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Nov 0.5 0.8 0.2 0.6 0.4 0.4 0.1 0.1 0.3 0.2 0.0 0.3 0.0 0.3
Dec 0.8 1.9 0.0 0.2 0.4 0.5 0.0 1.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
2022-Jan 0.6 1.0 0.3 0.5 0.7 1.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 1.3 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.9
Feb 0.6 1.5 0.2 0.1 0.5 0.1 0.1 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.1
Mar 0.8 1.9 0.0 0.6 0.8 0.1 0.1 0.4 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.4 0.0 0.5
Apr 0.7 1.4 0.2 -0.1 1.2 0.1 0.0 1.0 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.0
May 0.5 0.1 0.0 -0.2 -0.1 0.4 0.1 3.3 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.2
Jun 0.5 0.4 0.0 0.2 0.2 0.5 0.5 1.7 -0.1 0.2 0.4 0.0 0.1 0.0
Jul 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.2 -0.3 0.3 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.0
Aug -0.4 -1.3 0.0 0.2 -0.1 0.0 -0.2 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.1 0.0 0.1
Sep 0.1 0.3 0.1 0.3 -0.3 0.1 0.4 -0.2 0.7 0.3 0.0 -0.1 0.0 0.0
Oct 0.0 0.6 0.1 -0.1 0.1 0.5 0.0 -1.7 0.1 0.0 0.0 0.6 -0.4 0.2
Nov 0.4 1.2 0.0 0.2 -0.4 0.2 0.3 0.1 0.3 0.0 0.0 0.5 0.0 0.2
Dec 0.8 2.0 0.1 0.6 0.3 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.2 0.1 0.0 0.2 0.1 0.3
2023-Jan 0.7 1.2 0.0 0.5 0.1 0.4 0.2 1.1 0.4 0.3 2.4 0.5 0.2 0.5
25
Table A9(iv): National Consumer Price Index (Urban and Rural), Month-on-Month
Percentage Change (Other Selected Groups), New Series
Base: 2020 = 100, since Jan 2021
26
Table A10: National Debt Developments
Millions of USD
Item Jan-22 Feb-22 Mar-22 Apr-22 May-22 Jun-22 Jul-22 Aug-22 Sep-22 Oct-22 Nov-22 Dec-22r Jan-23p
2
1. Overal total external debt committed 37,031.1 37,850.9 38,114.2 37,635.6 36,883.5 37,309.8 37,889.2 37,574.4 37,079.4 37,994.7 38,303.0 39,200.3 39,349.8
Disbursed outstanding debt 25,893.2 26,006.3 25,976.0 25,757.2 25,135.1 25,392.9 25,395.9 25,257.8 24,993.2 25,240.9 25,677.0 26,469.2 26,548.7
Undisbursed debt 11,137.9 11,844.6 12,138.2 11,878.4 11,748.4 11,916.9 12,493.3 12,316.6 12,086.2 12,753.8 12,626.0 12,731.1 12,801.1
2. Disbursed external debt by creditor category 2 25,893.2 26,006.3 25,976.0 25,757.2 25,135.1 25,392.8 25,395.9 25,257.8 24,993.2 25,240.9 25,677.0 26,469.2 26,548.7
Bilateral debt 1,173.4 1,180.3 1,146.9 1,098.6 1,147.5 1,165.8 1,120.3 1,104.8 1,074.9 1,065.5 1,100.9 1,158.4 1,174.5
Multilateral debt 12,510.8 12,579.9 12,565.0 12,425.6 12,471.6 12,707.0 12,773.0 12,603.5 12,406.9 12,654.8 12,914.6 13,656.7 13,805.4
Commercial debt 8,574.0 8,564.5 8,552.8 8,355.2 7,570.1 7,406.0 7,395.0 7,384.3 7,330.7 7,314.7 7,459.8 7,391.5 7,340.0
Export credits 3,635.0 3,681.7 3,711.2 3,877.8 3,945.9 4,114.0 4,107.6 4,165.2 4,180.7 4,205.9 4,201.7 4,262.6 4,228.7
2
3. Disbursed external debt by borrower category 25,893.2 26,006.3 25,976.0 25,757.2 25,135.1 25,392.9 25,395.9 25,257.8 24,993.2 25,240.9 25,677.0 26,469.2 26,548.7
Central government 19,605.1 19,661.2 19,577.7 19,344.8 19,282.8 19,330.0 19,346.8 19,235.8 18,960.8 19,069.6 19,428.6 20,187.6 20,318.7
Public corporations 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.6 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.7 23.7
Private sector 6,264.4 6,321.4 6,374.6 6,388.8 5,828.6 6,039.2 6,025.4 5,998.3 6,008.7 6,147.6 6,224.7 6,257.9 6,206.4
4. Disbursed external debt by currency 2 25,893.2 26,006.3 25,976.0 25,757.2 25,135.1 25,392.9 25,395.9 25,257.8 24,993.2 25,240.9 25,677.0 26,469.2 26,548.7
United States Dollar 17,857.9 17,765.4 17,721.9 17,795.7 17,140.6 17,382.2 17,309.1 17,328.2 17,260.6 17,425.3 17,714.7 18,282.5 18,177.4
Euro 3,912.7 3,922.7 3,925.8 3,778.8 3,817.3 3,835.6 3,833.4 3,778.2 3,685.5 3,747.6 3,778.2 3,918.9 4,022.0
Chinese Yuan 1,488.5 1,499.2 1,486.7 1,452.1 1,436.8 1,441.8 1,462.7 1,441.6 1,402.5 1,413.0 1,441.6 1,462.7 1,489.9
Others 2,634.1 2,819.0 2,841.6 2,730.5 2,740.4 2,733.3 2,790.7 2,709.8 2,644.5 2,655.1 2,742.5 2,805.1 2,859.4
5. Disbursed external debt by use of funds 2 25,893.2 26,006.3 25,976.0 25,757.2 25,135.1 25,392.9 25,395.9 25,257.8 24,993.2 25,240.9 25,677.0 26,469.2 26,548.7
Balance of payments and budget support 3,066.0 3,040.0 3,025.0 3,002.2 2,995.3 3,002.2 2,818.0 2,914.0 2,853.0 2,884.3 3,094.0 2,954.0 2,954.0
Transport and telecommunication 5,768.6 5,810.2 5,851.0 5,808.0 5,736.8 5,594.7 5,474.0 5,426.0 5,360.0 5,396.1 5,476.0 5,555.8 5,530.0
Agriculture 1,357.0 1,371.0 1,365.9 1,358.9 1,364.6 1,312.0 1,351.0 1,345.0 1,337.7 1,381.9 1,365.0 1,378.0 1,382.0
Energy & mining 4,105.5 4,150.0 4,149.0 4,141.0 4,141.9 4,160.0 4,124.1 4,077.0 4,044.0 4,100.0 4,077.0 4,045.0 4,045.6
Industries 1,239.0 1,254.0 1,251.0 1,244.0 1,256.3 1,309.0 1,260.0 1,280.0 1,276.0 1,280.0 1,291.4 1,285.0 1,265.0
Social welfare & education 4,207.0 4,252.0 4,190.0 4,154.0 4,158.1 4,155.0 4,454.0 4,403.0 4,373.0 4,417.4 4,403.0 4,614.0 4,664.0
Finance and insurance 1,454.6 1,455.0 1,476.0 1,433.0 831.8 916.0 869.0 840.0 836.0 845.2 990.0 782.8 878.0
Tourism 247.0 215.0 216.0 214.0 233.8 229.0 257.6 258.0 256.0 277.0 258.0 270.0 309.0
Real estate and construction 1,855.0 1,818.5 1,784.0 1,782.0 1,792.6 1,801.2 1,863.0 1,882.0 1,883.0 1,878.4 1,882.0 1,888.5 1,868.3
Other 2,593.5 2,640.6 2,668.1 2,620.1 2,623.9 2,913.8 2,925.2 2,832.8 2,774.5 2,780.6 2,840.6 3,696.1 3,652.8
1
6. External debt disbursements 274.5 85.2 142.8 361.6 63.5 320.7 399.9 70.1 822.2 53.6 224.0 822.2 26.7
Central government 268.9 79.1 125.9 159.4 54.4 313.2 397.4 65.0 692.2 53.5 179.9 692.2 26.7
Public corporations 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
Private Sector 5.6 6.1 16.9 202.2 9.1 7.5 2.5 5.1 130.0 0.1 44.1 130.0 0.0
7. Actual external debt service 1 20.2 53.6 80.9 339.4 209.8 235.3 105.6 61.8 143.2 149.4 210.0 143.2 106.1
Principal 9.7 41.2 68.1 297.5 139.5 204.6 82.8 46.1 108.7 121.0 136.1 108.7 81.7
Interest 10.5 12.4 12.8 41.9 70.3 30.7 22.8 15.7 34.5 28.4 73.9 34.5 24.4
Other payments 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0 0.0
8. Net flows on external debt 1 264.8 44.0 74.7 64.1 -76.0 116.1 317.1 24.0 713.5 -67.4 87.9 713.5 -55.0
1
9. Net transfers on external debt 254.3 31.6 61.9 22.2 -146.3 85.4 294.3 8.3 679.0 -95.8 14.0 679.0 -79.4
2
10. External debt arrears by creditors category 5,824.0 5,752.1 5,782.1 5,783.8 5,160.9 5,146.7 5,110.5 5,143.4 5,194.0 5,281.9 5,321.2 5,823.9 5,768.7
Principal 3,370.6 3,342.6 3,344.3 3,348.8 2,714.3 2,707.0 2,790.8 2,803.9 2,845.8 2,901.7 2,915.5 3,286.4 3,184.4
Bilateral debt 388.4 389.6 386.3 379.2 378.3 371.0 359.4 359.1 354.1 352.7 349.7 359.1 355.0
Multilateral debt 137.8 221.0 228.5 229.1 230.4 240.6 138.3 145.0 150.2 161.8 165.4 178.2 181.0
Commercial debt 1,671.2 1,549.1 1,537.2 1,538.7 1,042.2 1,035.5 1,132.0 1,134.7 1,173.3 1,210.8 1,231.0 1,488.1 1,488.9
Export credits 1,173.2 1,182.9 1,192.3 1,201.8 1,063.4 1,059.9 1,161.1 1,165.1 1,168.2 1,176.4 1,169.4 1,261.0 1,159.5
Interest 2,453.4 2,409.5 2,437.8 2,435.0 2,446.6 2,439.7 2,319.7 2,339.5 2,348.2 2,380.2 2,405.7 2,537.5 2,584.3
Bilateral debt 1,113.0 1,114.2 1,108.5 1,098.9 1,100.0 1,098.9 1,088.3 1,083.4 1,062.0 1,070.7 1,081.0 1,113.4 1,130.0
Multilateral debt 58.4 60.1 62.0 62.5 63.0 63.7 9.9 10.8 11.9 14.9 15.4 16.7 15.9
Commercial debt 728.5 671.2 695.1 699.1 720.7 724.4 648.1 669.0 691.8 708.1 714.2 785.4 806.6
Export credits 553.5 564.0 572.2 574.5 562.9 552.7 573.4 576.3 582.5 586.5 595.1 622.0 631.8
11. External debt stock 28,346.6 28,415.8 28,413.8 28,192.2 27,581.7 27,832.5 27,715.6 27,597.3 27,341.4 27,621.1 28,082.7 29,006.7 29,133.0
12. Domestic debt stock 9,249.4 9,641.5 9,489.1 9,747.6 9,936.1 10,433.1 10,289.7 10,970.8 11,120.0 11,523.9 11,528.0 11,073.7 11,472.8
13. Total debt stock 37,596.0 38,057.3 37,902.9 37,939.7 37,517.8 38,265.6 38,005.3 38,568.1 38,461.4 39,145.0 39,610.7 40,080.4 40,605.8
End period exchange rate 2,298.1 2,298.3 2,298.5 2,298.9 2,300.7 2,304.2 2,304.0 2,305.1 2,307.9 2,308.3 2,308.5 2,308.9 2,309.3
Source: Bank of Tanzania
1
Note: Data for actual debt service and disbursement is revised from July 2021; multilateral arrears are those ow ed by the private sector; denotes debt flow s during the period; 2 denotes stock position at the end of period;
r, p
revised data; and provisional data.
27
Glossary
Broad money (M2) External debt stock
A definition of money that comprises narrow The stock of a country's debt that is borrowed
money (M1) plus domestic currency time and from foreign lenders through private
savings deposits of residents with banks in commercial banks, foreign governments, or
the country. international financial institutions. It is the
sum of public, publicly guaranteed, and
Currency in circulation outside banks private non-guaranteed long-term debt, use
Notes and coins of Tanzanian shillings of IMF credit, and short-term debt, which
circulating outside the banking system, i.e. includes all debt having an original maturity
outside the Bank of Tanzania and other of one year or less and interest in arrears on
depository corporations. long-term debt.
This measures the rate of change in prices of This is a measure of the rate of change of
goods and services other than energy, price of food both processed and
utilities and unprocessed food, over a unprocessed.
specified period of time. The unprocessed
Gross official reserves
food items, energy and utilities are excluded
since they are volatile and hence may be Gross official reserves consist of external
affected by non-monetary events, which do assets that are readily available to and
not constitute the underlying monetary controlled by the Bank of Tanzania for direct
inflation. financing of balance of payments, and for
indirectly regulating the magnitude of balance
Disbursed outstanding debt of payments imbalances through intervention
This is the amount of debt that has been in foreign exchange markets. Gross official
disbursed but yet to be paid back or forgiven. reserves comprise the Bank of Tanzania’s
holdings of monetary gold, Special Drawing
Discount rate Rights (SDRs), reserve position in the
International Monetary Fund, and foreign
The rate of interest that the Bank of Tanzania
exchange resources, available to the Bank of
charges on loans it extends to banks. It uses
Tanzania for meeting external financing
Treasury bills rate as a base plus a loaded
needs.
factor, which can be changed from time to
time depending on the liquidity situation in the Inflation
market.
The rate at which the average level of prices
Exchange rate of a basket of selected goods and services in
an economy is increasing over a period of
The price at which one unit of a currency can
time. It is often expressed as a percentage.
be purchased with another currency, for
Inflation indicates a decrease in the
instance TZS per US dollar.
purchasing power of a nation's currency.
Extended broad money (M3)
Interbank cash market
A definition of money that consists of broad
A money market in which banks extend loans
money (M2) plus foreign currency deposits of
to one another for a specified term of not
residents with banks in the country.
more than 90 days. Each transaction
represents an agreement between the banks
28
to exchange the agreed amounts of currency the debt central government owes to foreign
at the specified rate on a fixed date. creditors and external obligations of
government departments and agencies that
Lombard facility are guaranteed for repayment by the
An overnight facility established to enable Government).
banks to borrow from the Bank of Tanzania
Primary income account
at their own discretion, by pledging eligible
government securities as collateral. It comprises income from compensation of
employees, interest income, dividends and
Lombard rate retained earnings from capital investments,
The rate the Bank of Tanzania charges a rental income from the use of natural
bank for borrowing through the use of a resources and other types of primary income
Lombard Facility. This rate is computed including those that relate to insurance policy
based on the prevailing weighted average holders and pension funds.
yield of 35-day T-bill, repo or overnight inter-
Secondary income account
bank rate, whichever is higher in the market
plus a margin. It entails transfers between residents and
non-residents that correspond to the
Money supply provision of a good, service, financial asset,
The sum of currency circulating outside the or other non-produced asset with no
banking system and deposits of residents corresponding return of an item of economic
with banks defined in various levels of value.
aggregation. In Tanzania, three aggregates
Overnight interbank cash market
of money supply are compiled and reported,
namely; narrow money (M1), broad money The component of the money market
(M2), and extended broad money (M3). involving the shortest-term loan. Lenders
agree to lend borrowers funds only
Non-food inflation "overnight" i.e. the borrower must repay the
This is a measure of price movements borrowed funds plus interest at the start of
caused by factors other than food prices. business the next day.
29
and deposits of banks kept with the Bank of Weighted yields of Treasury bills
Tanzania in national currency. Reserve
This is the average yield of Treasury bills,
money is also referred to as base money, or
which is weighted by the volume sold of 35-
monetary base or high-powered money.
day, 91-day, 182-day, and 364-day Treasury
bills, expressed in percentage per year.
30
For enquiries please contact:
Directorate of Economic Research and Policy
Bank of Tanzania, 2 Mirambo Street
11884, P.O. Box 2939, Dar es Salaam
Tel: +255 22 223 3328/9
31