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    Tyndall CoastalSimulator May07

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    Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
    The document summarizes the Tyndall Centre Coastal Simulator, which is a tool being developed to help coastal communities and managers plan for climate change impacts. The simulator models how coastlines may evolve under different sea level rise, storm surge, wave, and shoreline management scenarios. It is the world's first coastal simulator to downscale global climate models and link them to local wave climates and regional climate impacts. The results show that erosion management decisions for coastal cliffs impact downstream beach sediment supply and flood risk, raising important social and political considerations.

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    Tyndall CoastalSimulator May07

    Uploaded by

    Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
    81 views2 pages
    The document summarizes the Tyndall Centre Coastal Simulator, which is a tool being developed to help coastal communities and managers plan for climate change impacts. The simulator models how coastlines may evolve under different sea level rise, storm surge, wave, and shoreline management scenarios. It is the world's first coastal simulator to downscale global climate models and link them to local wave climates and regional climate impacts. The results show that erosion management decisions for coastal cliffs impact downstream beach sediment supply and flood risk, raising important social and political considerations.

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    The document summarizes the Tyndall Centre Coastal Simulator, which is a tool being developed to help coastal communities and managers plan for climate change impacts. The simulator models how coastlines may evolve under different sea level rise, storm surge, wave, and shoreline management scenarios. It is the world's first coastal simulator to downscale global climate models and link them to local wave climates and regional climate impacts. The results show that erosion management decisions for coastal cliffs impact downstream beach sediment supply and flood risk, raising important social and political considerations.

    Copyright:

    Attribution Non-Commercial (BY-NC)
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    81 views2 pages

    Tyndall CoastalSimulator May07

    Uploaded by

    Tyndall Centre for Climate Change Research
    The document summarizes the Tyndall Centre Coastal Simulator, which is a tool being developed to help coastal communities and managers plan for climate change impacts. The simulator models how coastlines may evolve under different sea level rise, storm surge, wave, and shoreline management scenarios. It is the world's first coastal simulator to downscale global climate models and link them to local wave climates and regional climate impacts. The results show that erosion management decisions for coastal cliffs impact downstream beach sediment supply and flood risk, raising important social and political considerations.

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    In brief:

    The Tyndall Centre


    Coastal Simulator
    Climate change brings impacts on coastal communities and ecosystems that require a
    broad range of adaptations to increased sea levels, changing wave and surge climates
    and the resulting coastal erosion, increased flood risk and changes in biodiversity and
    ecosystems.

    We are currently at a key stage in shoreline management planning, with phase 2 being
    under way. There is a need to ensure that Shoreline Management Plans (SMPs) are
    technically robust, integrating flood risk and coastal erosion in the context of climate
    change, spatial planning, habitat
    protection and the need for
    stakeholder engagement. This brief
    describes the work being carried
    out by the Tyndall Centre for
    Climate Change Research in
    partnership with the Environment
    Agency to develop a coastal
    simulator that addresses these
    challenges.

    The simulator allows us to identify


    how the future coastline may
    evolve by providing a range of
    predictions of the future of the coast under
    a range of shoreline management options
    and climate and socio-economic futures. It
    uses sub-cell 3b as a case study for a
    method that can be applied more widely;
    many of the simulator concepts will be
    tested in other coastal regions such as sub-
    cell 3a and cell 5.

    The simulator is the world's first to produce


    a downscaled analysis applied to a coastal
    region (in this case Norfolk), linking global
    changes to local wave climate and regional
    climate scenarios and their consequences.

    Earlier work on the simulator integrated


    components concerning climate,
    hydrodynamics, morphology, ecosystems,
    societal resources, scenarios of shoreline
    management and flood and erosion risks. More
    recent work has added sandbank dynamics and
    Maximum wave height during the
    1953 surge an agent-based model of urban land use.

    Starting with downscaled Global Climate


    Models, the regional impacts of future climate
    pressures including sea-level rise, and changes
    in storm surges and waves are investigated in a
    series of linked models. The shoreline erosion
    and profile evolution are then investigated by
    integrating the process-based SCAPE (Soft Cliff
    and Platform Erosion) model with a probabilistic
    model of cliff top position, including a range of
    management options. This is then coupled with
    a flood model to conduct a coastal flood and
    erosion risk assessment under the full range of
    scenarios. The simulator also included a
    graphical user interface which allows a wide range of queries, making the results
    available for a variety of purposes, including in the preparation of SMPs.

    The results to date quantitatively show that erosion management decisions for the cliffs
    control the amount of sediment supplied to down-drift beaches and hence flood risk in
    the adjoining coastal lowlands. However, realising the potential benefits of reducing the
    length of cliff defences raises important social and political issues which this research is
    also addressing.

    May, 2007

    For more information, please go to:


    http://www.tyndall.ac.uk/research/programme5/
    programme5.shtml

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