02 - Subsea Past and Future
02 - Subsea Past and Future
02 - Subsea Past and Future
Services
Lecture
Topics
1. History of the sector
2. World records
3. Global Energy Review
4. Industry trends
Unit 02 Slide 2 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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1) History
Topics
1. History of the sector
2. World records
3. Global Energy Review
4. Industry trends
Unit 02 Slide 3 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Technology Development History
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First Onshore Oil Discovery
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Beach in Los Angeles in early 1900
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Expansion worldwide :
• Maracaibo lake : hundreds of
platforms built in concrete and later
in steel
• Caspian Sea (Baku)
• United States of America: Lake
Caddo (Louisiana) , Lake Erie ,
expanding in the bayous of
Louisiana and later close to GOM
shore
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First Offshore Oil Discovery in 1947
Kerr-McGee discovered oil in the Gulf of Mexico (block 32),17km offshore
on September 9,1947
Oil was encountered at a shallow depth (1500 ft to 1700 ft)
Unit 02 Slide 9 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Unit 02 Slide 10 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Platform Technical Evolution 1970 to 2000 (2/3)
This has been the conventional Offshore field development for 40 years
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300‐400m
500‐600m
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First Subsea Wells early 1960’s
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Unit 02 Slide 14 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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From 2000 to today: The Solution
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MOBIL Beryl UK
100m of Water
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2) World Records
Topics
1. History of the sector
2. World records
3. Global Energy Review
4. Industry trends
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500m ---------
1,500m -------------------------------------
3,000m ----------------------------------------------------------------------------
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World Record in Drilling today
DP drilling : ONGC-Transocean
Dhirubhai KG1(India) 2012
~3,165m water depth
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Unit 02 Slide 20 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Deepest Subsea Wells in service today
Statoil Snovhit (North Sea Norway in 316m WD), is the world’s longest subsea
tie-back with 143km distance to host (2009)
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Deepest Floater in service today
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Unit 02 Slide 24 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Longest Pipeline in service today
Unit 02 Slide 25 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Topics
1. History of the sector
2. World records
3. Global Energy Review
4. Industry trends
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Demand for Oil 2013-2030
40mbd
60mbd
Existing production
(decrease of 4.5%/year)
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Unit 02 Slide 28 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Spending Growth 2013-2030
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International Oil Companies National Oil Companies
Others Oil Companies
NOC : National Oil Companies
Petrochina, Petrobras, Sonangol
Group, Petronas…
Unit 02 Slide 30 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Balance between IOCs and NOCs
Unit 02 Slide 31 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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230 in Q4/2013
- Local content
- QHSE
- Drilling vessel cost
- Access to human resources
- Goods and services costs
- Shipyard cost
- Deepwater technology
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Project Costs “Explosion”
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Unit 02 Slide 34 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Project Costs: TOTAL Girassol 2001
FPSO
Drilling 600 M$
900 M$
Riser tower
300 M$
SPS (Subsea Prod Systems)
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1,300 M$
M$
SPS (Subsea Prod Systems)
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Some Projects cancelled
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Unit 02 Slide 38 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Changing Oil Companies Attitude
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Unit 02 Slide 40 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Unprecedented Growth in Subsea
Circa 500SSWH / year
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4) Industry Trends
Topics
1. History of the sector
2. World records
3. Global Energy Review
4. Industry trends
Unit 02 Slide 42 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Unit 02 Slide Subsea
43 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
Group Products and Services
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Deepwater has driven the occurrence of most of the large new discoveries with the golden
triangle
-Pre-Salt Brazil
Gulf of
-Pre-Salt West Africa
Mexico
-East Africa : Oil: 5-7 Bbl
Gas: 10 Tcf**
Mozambique,Tanzania,Kenya
Gulf of
-French Guyana
Guinea
-Israel,Norway Oil: 8-10 Bbl
Gas: 9Tcf**
-Artic.. to come next
Brazil
Oil: 10-15Bbl
Gas: 5-8 Tcf**
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Pre-Salt: Brazil / West Africa
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Unit 02 Slide 47 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Platforms in Deepwater
18 SPAR 24 TLP
260 floating
7 SPAR
11 TLP
13 SEMI
125 FPSO
36 FSO
68 others
and
1,200 fixed
Courtesy of McDermott
Unit 02 Slide 50 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Aging Subsea Wells Fleet
Producing Subsea Wells
(Average age of wells in years)
1,745
(11.8)
4,846 wells
752
(8.5)
391
(10 years)
1,040
918 (7.4) (9.4)
(11.2)
Unit 02 Slide 51 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Unit 02 Slide 52 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Everything Subsea
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FLNG solution
(no export pipeline , no LNG plant)
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Some Incredible Vessels
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Unit 02 Slide 56 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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Decommissioning: Pieter Schelte
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Review of Unit 02
Go to Unit 03
The cure to high price is high price
Unit 02 Slide 58 Subsea Group Products and Services 2014
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