Chap 6 - Business Valuation
Chap 6 - Business Valuation
Chap 6 - Business Valuation
BUSINESS VALUATION
NEED FOR VALUATION
Takeovers / mergers
Hold or sell decisions
Shares held by retiring directors
Tax purposes
Inheritance
Note:
In case of debt, If Kd is to be used as discount rate then Interest is taken net of tax i.e. “I (1-t)”
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (253)
In asset based valuation methods 2 and 3, ignore intangible assets unless their reliable
market values can be determined.
(PE ratio must be of comparable Quoted Co. in same industry or industry average)
OR
( )
Value of equity =
( )
2.3.2 Dividend yield method (more relevant for Non Controlling Interest):
Value of equity = Total dividend / Suitable DY%
OR
Value of share = D / Suitable DY%
(DY% must be of comparable quoted co. in same industry or industry average)
Such DY% must be adjusted for (normally upwards e.g. 130%):
Marketability (i.e. listing on stock exchange)
Earnings growth
Risk/Gearing
Quantity of adjustment is not important rather direction is more important.
2.3.3 Free cash flow model (more relevant for Controlling Interest):
Free cash flows are the cash flows generated every year by operating and investing
activities of business and available for onward utilization by investors of business i.e.
equity investors and debt investors. There are two types of free cash flows namely:
Free cash flow to firm (FCFF)
PBIT – Tax (PBIT x tax %) + depreciation – capital expenditure – working
capital investment
Free cash flow to equity
PBT – Tax (PBT x tax %) + depreciation – capital expenditure – working capital
investment – principal repayment of debt
This model gives value of equity or overall business using two different
methods:
Free cash flow to firm (FCFF) Free cash flow to equity (FCFE)
Value of overall business = PV of Value of equity = PV of FCFE
FCFF discounted @ WACC discounted @ Ke
Free cash flow projections are made for each year up to a certain number of
years (say 5 years)
For cash flows beyond projected figures, a constant growth rate is used in
perpetuity. A single present value, for this cash flow in perpetuity, is
determined called “terminal value”.
Now all these cash flows are discounted at relevant discount rate
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (256)
FCFF method
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5
Sales XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Cash expenses (excluding interest) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Depreciation (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
PBIT XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Tax (PBIT x TAX%) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Depreciation XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Capital Investment (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
WC Investment (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Free cash flow XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Terminal Value (Note) XXX
XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Discount factor @ WACC XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Present value XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Terminal value:
( )
Terminal Value = [“g” will be given in question]
( )
Here:
Value of overall business = Total present values
Value of equity = Value of overall business – Value of debt
OR
Value of equity = Value of Business x
FCFE method
T1 T2 T3 T4 T5
Sales XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Cash expenses (including interest) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Depreciation (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
PBT XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Tax (PBT x TAX%) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Depreciation XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Principal debt repayment (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Capital Investment (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
WC Investment (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX) (XXX)
Free cash flow XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Terminal Value (Note) XXX
XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Discount factor @ Ke XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Present value XXX XXX XXX XXX XXX
Terminal value:
( )
Terminal Value = [“g” will be given in question]
( )
3. MODE OF PAYMENT:
Cash offer
Non cash offer (e.g. Share exchange, Issue of bonds)
Realizable value is used as a lower limit for shareholders of target as they will not
accept takeover price for their shares less than this value.
Replacement value is used as an upper limit for acquirer bidding for a company
which does not have any goodwill.
5.2 Earning based methods:
If past earnings are used then these should be adjusted for:
- Non-recurring items (exclude these items)
- Any post acquisition effect on specific incomes or expenses.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (258)
Following are some important calculations that may be examined in relation to the post-merger
value of acquirer, which are quite relevant for the decision of merger:
1) Synergy = Combined equity value – Acquirer’s equity value – Target’s equity value
If free cash flow method is used, then synergy is calculated by using values of overall
business i.e. using FCFF method.
3) Maximum price that can be offered = Combined equity value – Acquirer’s equity value
7. DEMERGER
A demerger refers to splitting-up of a business into two or more independent entities.
Decision rule:
Demerger is worthwhile if “Total of values of demerged units (using any valuation
method)” is higher than “Existing value of business”.
Market efficiency:
It refers to the type of information which is reflected in market prices.
PRACTICE QUESTIONS
QUESTION – 1
The Share Capital and Term Finance Certificates (TFCs) of Faiz Limited (FL) are listed on the Karachi
Stock Exchange. An extract from the company’s latest balance sheet as on December 31, 2007 is as
follows:
Rs. in million
Ordinary share capital of Rs. 10 each 400
Revenue reserves 350
Other reserves 150
Total equity 900
6% TFCs of Rs. 100 each 595
Short term loan – at KIBOR + 3% 80
Total debt and equity 1,575
Six years TFCs were issued at par on January 1, 2007. Interest is payable annually in arrears on every
1st January. The original effective interest rate was 10%. These TFCs were issued to fund a medium
term project. The prevailing commercial rate for similar risk bonds is KIBOR plus 2%. The accounting
policy of the company states that TFCs are carried at the amortized cost.
KIBOR is currently 9% which can be considered as risk free. FL has an equity beta value of 1.6 with
market equity premium of 6.25%. The rate of income tax is 35%.
The dividend paid in the year 2007 was 12.5% and current year’s dividend will be paid shortly. The
dividend is expected to grow at a constant rate of 10%.
Required:
Compute the following as on December 31, 2007:
(a) Market price of Faiz Limited’s Equity Shares and TFCs; and
(b) Weighted Average Cost of Capital. (12)
(ICAP Summer 2008, Q-2)
QUESTION – 2
The Directors of Shaheen Ltd – a private company – have decided that it is likely they will have to
sell the company in near future. They intend adopting a positive approach to this by seeking out
prospective purchasers. Prior to doing this they wish you to put a value on an ordinary share in the
company using the methods which a prospective purchaser might apply.
You are required to make this valuation using the undernoted information, commenting briefly on
each method adopted, and showing clearly how you have arrived at your answers.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (261)
Shaheen Ltd.
Summary position as at most recent balance sheet date:
Rs. Rs. Rs. Rs.
Share capital Fixed assets
200,000 Re. 1 ordinary 200,000 Land and building 500,000
shares
Reserves 595,000 Plant and equipment 275,000
795,000 Motor vehicles 55,000
Non-current liabilities 830,000
Loan
(Secured on land & building) 150,000
Current liabilities Current assets
Taxation 135,000 Cash 15,000
Other creditors and accruals Debtors 145,000
45,000 180,000
Stock 133,000 293,000
1,123,000
Preliminary expenses 2,000
1,125,000 1,125,000
Shaheen Ltd – profit/dividend record
The profit record after tax and interest, but before dividends, over the last five years has been as
follows:
Year 1 Rs. 80,000
Year 2 Rs. 75,000
Year 3 Rs. 95,000
Year 4 Rs. 80,000
Year 5 Rs. 85,000
The annual dividend has been Rs. 30,000 (gross) for the last ten years.
The operating budget shows that the estimated after tax profit for the next twelve months will be
Rs.85,000 and thereafter it is estimated that this will increase by 5% per annum over the next four
years.
In light of recent developments in the field of financial reporting the company has had its fixed assets
valued by an independent expert where report discloses:
Land and buildings Rs. 610.000
Plant and equipment Rs. 288,000
Motor vehicles Rs.102,000
A study of three public companies in the same market as Shaheen shows that the average dividend
yield and price/earnings ratio of these over the last three years has been:
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (262)
Capital spending 20
Market value of equity is Rs. 458 million, and of debt Rs. 305 million. Kohat’s equity beta is 1.4. The
beta of debt may be assumed to be zero.
The risk free rate is 5.5% and the market return 14%.
The company’s growth rate of cash flow may be assumed to be constant and to be unaffected by
any change in capital structure.
Required:
Determine the likely effect on the company’s cost of capital and corporate value if the company’s
capital structure was:
(i) 80% equity, 20% debt by market values
(ii) 40% equity, 60% debt by market values.
Recommend which capital structure should be selected.
(Any change in capital structure would be achieved by borrowing to repurchase existing equity, or
by issuing additional equity to redeem existing debt as appropriate.)
The current total firm value (market value of equity plus market value of debt) is consistent with the
growth model (CF1/(K – g)) applied on a corporate basis. CF1 is next year’s free cash flow, k is the
weighted average cost of capital (WACC), and g the expected growth rate.
Company free cash flow may be estimated using EBIT(l – t) + depreciation – Capital spending.
(20)
QUESTION – 4
The management of Copper Industries Limited (CIL) intends to raise financing for the company’s
expansion project but is concerned about the impact of proposed additional financing on the
company’s existing capital structure and values.
The management is aware that there is an inverse relationship between interest cover and cost of
long term debt and the following relationship exist between interest cover and cost of debt:
The management has found that the following two debt equity ratios are usually prevalent in the
industry and are also acceptable to the company’s banker.
(i) 70% equity, 30% debt by market values
(ii) 50% equity, 50% debt by market values
The latest audited financial statements depict the following position:
Rs. in million
Net profit before tax 272
Depreciation 50
Interest @ 9% 55
Capital expenditure 150
Market value of existing equity and debt is Rs. 825 million and Rs. 550 million respectively. CIL’s
equity beta is 1.25 and its debt beta may be assumed to be zero. The risk-free rate of return and
market return are 7% and 15% respectively. Applicable tax rate is 35%.
Assume that:
CIL’s cash flow growth rate would remain constant and would not be affected by any change
in capital structure.
Market value of the company at the existing weighted average cost of capital, after the
proposed expansion, would remain the same.
Required:
(a) Calculate the following under the current as well as each of the above debt equity ratios being
considered by the company:
(i) Weighted average cost of capital
(ii) Value of the company
(b) Compare the three options and give recommendations in respect thereof to the company.
(23)
(ICAP Winter 2010, Q-5)
QUESTION – 5
MNO Chemicals Limited is a fertilizer company. The company is planning to diversify into the food
business and has identified two companies, PQ (Pvt.) Limited and RS Limited (a listed company), as
potential target for acquisition. MNO Chemicals Limited intends to buy one of these companies in a
share exchange arrangement. Extracts from the latest financial statements of the three companies
are given below:
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (265)
Required:
Which of the two companies should be acquired by MNO Chemicals Limited? Show necessary
computations to support your answer. (21)
(ICAP Summer 2009, Q-4)
QUESTION – 6
KLR Limited has two operating segments viz. Paints and Chemicals. Break-up of its shareholders’
equity is as follows:
Rs. in million
Share capital (Rs. 10 each) 2,000
Retained earnings 11,765
Latest segment-wise financial information of KLR is summarized below:
Chemicals Paints
Rs. in million
Revenue 3,150 2,500
Gross profit 378 650
Net profit after tax 220 330
Assets
Non-current assets 6,610 5,250
Current asset 7,930 6,300
Liabilities
Non-current liabilities - 12% Debentures (Rs. 100 each) 2,100 1,950
Current liabilities 4,770 3,505
KLR’s current share price is Rs. 13 per share and the market value of its debenture is Rs. 101.50. The
risk free interest rate and market return are 8% and 14% respectively. KLR’s equity beta is 1.15.
Debentures are redeemable at par in ten years.
The company is considering a demerger whereby the two segments would be listed separately on
the stock market. The existing equity would be split between the segments based on the net assets
held by each segment. The following information is relevant for the purpose of demerger:
(i) Transfers to the Paint Segment account for 25% of the revenues of the Chemicals Segment.
The transfers are made at cost. After the demerger, all transactions would be made on an
‘arms length basis’.
(ii) Common expenses amounting to Rs. 100 million are shared by the two segments on the basis
of their revenues. After the demerger, cost of such expenses for Chemicals and the Paints
entities would be Rs. 70 million and Rs. 30 million respectively.
(iii) The average equity betas of the companies associated with the Chemicals and Paints
business is 1.2 and 1.5 respectively and the average debt equity ratios are 60:40 and 70:30
respectively.
(iv) Projected cash flows for Year 1 are as follows:
Chemicals Paints
------Rs. in million------
Pre-tax operating cash flows 280 360
Tax deprecation 70 40
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (267)
From Year 2, projected cash flows and profit after tax are expected to grow at 5% per annum in
perpetuity.
Tax rate is 35%. Tax is payable in the year in which the relevant cash flows arise.
Required:
(a) Calculate the weighted average cost of capital of both companies after demerger. (10)
(b) Using cash flows, evaluate whether the demerger would be financially advantageous for
KLR’s existing shareholders. (15)
(ICAP Winter 2012, Q-4)
QUESTION – 7
Jazba Ltd will soon announce a takeover bid for Zoom Ltd, a company in the same industry. The initial
bid will be an all share bid of four Jazba shares for every five Zoom shares.
The most recent annual data relating to the two companies are shown below:
--------------Rs.’000’------------
Jazba Zoom
Sales revenue 13,333 9,400
Operating costs (8,683) (5,450)
Tax allowable depreciation (1,450) (1,100)
Earnings before interest and tax 3,200 2,850
Net interest (715) (1,660)
Taxable income 2,485 1,190
Tax (30%) (746) (357)
After tax income 1,739 833
Dividend (870) (458)
Retained earnings 869 375
value of their shares. Calculate what share exchange would achieve this effect, assuming the
same synergy forecasts as before. (06)
(ICAP Winter 2005, Q-3)
QUESTION – 10
ARA Venture Capital Limited specialises in acquiring loss making companies and converting them into
profitable entities with the objective of disposing them subsequently.
Presently, ARA is planning to acquire 60% shareholdings in PUN Electric Supply Company. Its Financial
Analyst has obtained the following information about PUN’s operations:
(i) During the year ended December 31, 2010, total electricity demand and supply was Mwh 2.0
million, whereas the cumulative generation capacity of all the existing plants was Mwh 2.1
million. The demand for electricity is expected to grow at the rate of 5% per annum.
(ii) Cost of power generation per Kwh is Rs. 7 (excluding depreciation) which is expected to
increase by 8% per annum.
(iii) PUN’s line losses for the year were 30%. Line losses are assumed to be electricity consumption
by fake connections which remain unbilled.
(iv) The Power Tariff Regulatory Authority has allowed PUN to determine the tariff so as to sell
electricity at a margin of 10% above the total cost of generation. PUN is permitted to include
line losses of 20% in the total cost of generation. The price per unit is determined by the
following formula:
(Total Cost + 10%) ÷ {Number of units produced × (1 – Permissible line losses %)}
where, one unit = 1 Kwh and 1 Mwh = 1,000 Kwh
(v) Revenue collection ratio for the year 2010 was 90% of the aggregate billing.
(vi) Other expenses, excluding depreciation and financial charges for 2010 amounted to Rs. 300
million and are expected to increase by 8% per annum.
(vii) Depreciation on all assets is charged on straight line method over the useful life of 20 years.
Depreciation for the year 2010 amounted to Rs. 75 million. It is included in total cost of
generation.
(viii) PUN has running finance facilities of Rs. 3,000 million from various banks at an average mark-
up of 13% per annum. The facilities utilized as of December 31, 2010 amounted to Rs. 2,785
million.
(ix) In order to meet the future requirements of electricity, PUN’s management has already started
work on a new generation plant that will be commissioned into operation by the end of 2012
and will increase the present capacity by 15%. Total cost of the new project will be Rs. 1,500
million and PUN had issued TFCs on January 1, 2011 at 14% per annum, to finance the project.
(x) The issued share capital of PUN as at December 31, 2010 consisted of 500 million shares of Rs.
10 each.
ARA intends to invest in PUN’s infrastructure facilities to reduce line losses. It also plans to broaden
the Recovery Department with the objective of improving the recovery ratio.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (271)
The projected figures for the next five years are as follows:
Years ending December 31 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
Capital expenditures (Rs. In million) 500 600 500 - -
Additional staff cost in recovery deptt. 15 17 18 20 22
(Rs. In million)
Line losses 28% 25% 22% 20% 18%
Recovery ratios 92% 94% 96% 97% 97%
The planned capital expenditures would be incurred at the end of the year. ARA would provide a loan
to PUN to finance the capital expenditures. The loan will be disbursed as required and carry a mark-
up of 10% per annum. It would be repayable on December 31, 2015.
In addition, ARA would provide guarantees to different banks to secure additional running finance
facilities for PUN amounting to Rs. 8,000 million, at a markup of 13% per annum.
ARA requires an IRR of 20% from its investment and expects to exit from this venture by selling its
shareholdings at the P/E multiple of 16.
Required:
Determine the purchase consideration that ARA should be willing to pay for the acquisition of 60%
shares in PUN. (Ignore taxation) (25)
(ICAP Summer 2011, Q-5) [Amended]
QUESTION – 11
Ibn-Seena Limited (ISL) is a reputable unquoted company engaged in the business of manufacturing
and sale of pharmaceutical products. It is presently considering a proposal to acquire Al-Biruni
Pharmaceuticals (Private) Limited (APPL) which is a wholly owned subsidiary of Al-Biruni
International (ABI).
Summarized income statements of ISL and APPL for the latest financial year are given below:
ISL APPL
Rs. In million
Sales 2,500 1,800
Less: cost of sales – Variable (1,350) (630)
– Fixed* (150) (190)
Gross profit 1,000 980
Selling expenses (375) (360)
Administrative expenses (125) (90)
Profit before tax 500 530
Tax 35% (175) (186)
Profit after tax 325 344
* includes depreciation of Rs. 70 million and 100 million respectively
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (272)
Other Information
(i) APPL’s sales consist of Generic Medicines (40%) and Patented Products (60%). Presently, 20%
of the revenue from Patented Products is contributed by a product Z-11. All patents are owned
by ABI; however, no royalty or technical fee is presently claimed by it.
(ii) The variable costs of Patented Products are 30% of the sales amount. Product Z-11 will
complete its patent period after three years and thereafter its price would have to be reduced.
Consequently, the ratio of variable costs of production to sales would fall in line with that of
Generic Medicines.
(iii) After acquisition the costs and revenues of APPL are projected as follows:
- Total sales and variable costs would grow at 10% per annum except in Year 4 when the
growth rate of sales would decline on account of reduction in price of product Z-11.
- Fixed costs other than depreciation would increase at the rate of 5% per annum. However,
depreciation would remain constant over the next five years.
- Selling expenses and administration expenses would be reduced by 30% and 80%
respectively. However, from Year 2 onwards, selling expenses would increase at 7% per
annum whereas administration expenses would increase by 5% per annum.
- ABI will charge 15% royalty on sale of Patented Products whereas 3% technical fee will be
levied on the sales of all products.
(iv) Free cash flows of APPL are expected to grow at 3% per annum after Year 5.
(v) ISL would discount this project at its existing weighted average cost of capital of 20%.
Required:
Calculate the bid price that ISL may offer for the acquisition of APPL. (17)
(ICAP Winter 2011, Q-3) [Amended]
QUESTION – 12
Fuji Company is a small software design business established four years ago. The company is owned by
three directors who have relied upon external accounting services in the past. The company has grown
quickly and the directors have appointed you as a financial consultant to advise on the value of the
business under their ownership.
The directors have limited liability and the bank loan is secured against the general assets of the
business. The directors have no outstanding guarantees on the company’s debt.
The company’s latest income statement and the extracted balances from the latest statement of financial
position are as follows:
Income Statement Rs.’000’ Financial Position Rs.’000’
Revenue 5,000 Opening non current assets 1,200
Cost of sales (3,000) Additions 66
Gross profit 2,000 Non current assets (gross) 1,266
Other operating costs (1,877) Accumulated depreciation (367)
Operating profit 123 Net book value 899
Interest on loan (74) Net current assets 270
Profit before tax 49 Loan (990)
Income tax (15) Net assets 179
Profit for the period 34
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (273)
QUESTION – 13
Big Co, a listed company which manufactures electronic components, is interested in acquiring Small
Co, an unlisted company involved in the development of sophisticated but high risk electronic
products. The owners of Small Co are a consortium of private equity investors who have been looking
for a suitable buyer for their company for some time. Big Co estimates that a payment of the equity
value plus a 25% premium would be sufficient to secure the purchase of Small Co. Big Co would also pay
off any outstanding debt that Small Co owed. Big Co wishes to acquire Small Co using a combination of
debt finance and its cash reserves of Rs. 20 million, such that the capital structure of the combined
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (274)
Required:
Prepare a report to the Board of Directors of Big Co that:
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (275)
(i) Evaluates whether the acquisition of Small Co would be beneficial to Big Co and its
shareholders. The free cash flow to firm method should be used to estimate the values of
Small Co and the combined company assuming that the combined company’s capital
structure stays the same as that of Big Co’s current capital structure. Include all relevant
calculations; (16)
(ii) Estimates the amount of debt finance needed, in addition to the cash reserves, to acquire
Small Co and concludes whether Big Co’s current capital structure can be maintained; (03)
{Adapted}
QUESTION – 14
Green Co is a publicly listed company involved in the production of highly technical and
sophisticated electronic components for complex machinery. It has a number of diverse and
popular products, an active research and development department, significant cash reserves and a
highly talented management who are very good in getting products to market quickly.
A new industry that Green Co is looking to venture into is biotechnology, which has been expanding
rapidly and there are strong indications that this recent growth is set to continue. However, Green
Co has limited experience in this industry. Therefore it believes that the best and quickest way to
expand would be through acquiring a company already operating in this industry sector.
Yellow Co is a private company operating in the biotechnology industry and is owned by a consortium
of business angels and company managers. The owner-managers are highly skilled scientists who have
developed a number of technically complex products, but have found it difficult to commercialize
them. They have also been increasingly constrained by the lack of funds to develop their innovative
products further.
Discussions have taken place about the possibility of Yellow Co being acquired by Green Co. Yellow Co’s
managers have indicated that the consortium of owners is happy for the negotiations to proceed. If
Yellow Co is acquired, it is expected that its managers would continue to run the Yellow Co part of the
larger combined company.
Yellow Co is of the opinion that most of its value is in its intangible assets, comprising intellectual capital.
Therefore, the premium payable on acquisition should be based on the present value to infinity of the
after tax excess earnings the company has generated in the past three years, over the average return
on capital employed of the biotechnological industry. However, Green Co is of the opinion that the
premium should be assessed on synergy benefits created by the acquisition and the changes in value, due
to the changes in the price-to-earnings (PE) ratio before and after the acquisition.
Given below are extracts of financial information for Green Co for 2013 and Yellow Co for 2011, 2012
and 2013:
Green Co -------------Yellow Co. -----------
Year ended 30 April 2013 2013 2012 2011
Rs. million Rs. million Rs. million Rs. million
Earnings before tax 1,980 397 370 352
Non-current assets 3,965 882 838 801
Current assets 968 210 208 198
Share capital (25 paisas/share) 600 300 300 300
Reserves 2,479 183 166 159
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (276)
Average share price for each company in recent years has been as follows:
2009 2010 2011 2012
--------------------Rupees---------------------
CHP 70 96 138 186
IJQ 48 64 68 58
GHP’s board of directors feel that there is a strong synergy between the two businesses
which will lead to an increase of Rs. 300 million per year in combined after tax profit,
following the acquisition. Both GHP and IJQ are listed companies and their cost of equity is
13% and 18% respectively.
Required:
(i) Calculate the share price of GHP following the takeover, assuming price earnings
ratio of the company is maintained and the synergy is achieved as expected. (05)
(ii) Calculate the cost of equity of the merged entity. You may use any reasonable
assumption wherever necessary. (05)
(b) Mr. Danish, a shareholder of IJQ, has expressed concern over the bid. He claims that,
following the acquisition, the annual dividends are likely to be lower as GHP normally pays
small dividends. As he relies on dividend income to cover his living expenses, he is concerned
that he will be worse off following the acquisition. He also believes that price offered for the
shares of IJQ is too low.
Required:
Discuss the bid from the point of view of shareholders of IJQ including the concerns raised
by Mr. Danish. (08)
(ICAP Winter 2012, Q-3)
QUESTION – 16
The Board of Directors of Taxila Power Limited (TPL) is considering to acquire the entire shareholding
of Digari Power Limited (DPL) in a share exchange arrangement. TPL’s Board is of the opinion that
the proposed acquisition would enable TPL to:
(i) immediately increase the combined profits of the two companies by Rs. 12 million;
(ii) sell DPL’s surplus fixed assets. These assets can be sold for Rs. 20 million; and
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (278)
(iii) reduce TPL’s risk factor as perceived by its shareholders which would result in decline in their
annual return expectations by 2%.
DPL has maintained a steady level of profitability and dividend performance in the preceding years
and its existing shareholders expect that this trend would continue in the future. Current market
value of DPL’s ordinary shares is Rs. 25.60 per share.
Following information has been extracted from the financial statements of both the companies for
the year ended 31 May 2013:
TPL DPL
Rs. in million
Non-current assets 600 100
Current assets, less current liabilities 200 20
Share capital (Rs. 10 each) 100 50
Reserves 700 70
Net profit for the year 80 16
Dividend for the year (paid on 31 May 2013) 40 16
The current market value of TPL’s ordinary shares is Rs. 56 per share. At present, the expected growth
rate in net profits is 12% per annum which is expected to be maintained after acquisition. The Board
intends to continue to maintain the same dividend payout ratio.
Required:
(a) Calculate the maximum price that TPL may pay for the acquisition of DPL. (08)
(b) The financial consultant of TPL is of the opinion that DPL’s shareholders may be persuaded
to sell the entire shareholding at a premium of 20% over the current market price. Based on
this assumption:
(i) Calculate the number of shares which TPL would be required to issue to the
shareholders of DPL as price consideration. (04)
(ii) What benefits, if any, would accrue to the existing shareholders of TPL and DPL
through the proposed acquisition? (03)
(iii) Discuss other relevant factors that the directors/shareholders of both companies
may consider in assessing the proposed acquisition. Ignore taxation. (10)
(ICAP Summer 2013, Q-5)
QUESTION – 17
Strong Inc is a listed telecommunications company. The company is considering the purchase of
Potential Co, an unlisted company that has developed, patented and marketed a secure, medium-
range, wireless link to broadband. The wireless link is expected to increase Potential’s turnover by
25% per year for three years, and by 10% per year thereafter.
Potential is currently owned 35% by its senior managers, 30% by a venture capital company, 25%
by a single shareholder on the board of directors, and 10% by about 100 other private investors.
Summarised accounts for Potential for the last two years are shown below:
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (279)
Income statements for the years ended 31 March ------------ Rs. ‘000’ -----------
20 x 6 20 x 5
Sales revenue 22,480 20,218
Operating profit before exceptional items 1,302 820
Exceptional items (2,005) -
Interest paid (net) (280) (228)
Profit before taxation (983) 592
Taxation (210) (178)
Profit after taxation (1,193) 414
Note: Dividend 200 100
Statements of financial position (Balance sheets) as at 31 March
Non-current assets (net)
Tangible assets 5,430 5,048
Goodwill 170 200
Current assets
Inventory 3,400 2,780
Receivables falling due within one year 2,658 2,462
Receivables falling due after one year 100 50
Cash at bank and in hand 48 48
Total assets 11,806 10,588
Equity and liabilities
Called-up share capital (25 cents par) 2,000 1,000
Retained profits 3,037 4,430
Other reserves 1,249 335
Total equity 6,286 5,765
Current liabilities - payables 5,520 4,823
11,806 10,558
Other information relating to Potential:
(i) Non-cash expenses, including depreciation, were Rs. 820,000 in 20X5-6.
(ii) Corporate taxation is at the rate of 30% per year.
(iii) Capital investment was Rs. 1 million in 20X5-6, and is expected to grow at the same rate as
turnover.
(iv) Working capital, interest payments and non-cash expenses are expected to increase at the
same tate as turnover.
(v) The estimated value of the patent if sold now is Rs. 10 million. This has not been included in
non-current assets.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (280)
Required:
Discuss the potential accuracy of each of the methods used and recommend, with reasons, a value,
or range of values that Strong might bid for Potential.
Summarized income statement of NAL for the year ended 30 June 2015 is as follows:
Income Statement
Rs. in million
The following additional information is available from the annual report of the company:
(ii) The planes used by NAL have average capacity of 300 passengers. However, due to flights
operating on unprofitable routes, the existing utilisation is 180 passengers per flight.
(iv) Cost of services includes cost of fuel amounting to Rs. 69,284 million.
A local group is interested in bidding for NAL. Initial planning of the group is as follows:
(i) Capital expenditure of Rs. 15,000 million and Rs. 25,000 million would be made in 2016 and
2017 respectively.
(ii) NAL’s operations would be restructured which are expected to have the following impact:
Discount to be offered to
Government departments 35% 25% 25% 25% 25%
(iii) The ratio of Government passengers to other passengers would remain the same during the
next 5 years.
(iv) Cost of services (excluding fuel) and operating expenses (excluding depreciation) are
expected to grow at 8% per annum.
(v) Other income mainly comprises of income from courier and freight services and is expected
to grow in line with the operating revenue.
(vii) Due to carried forward tax losses and future capital expenditures, NPL is not expected to pay
any tax for the next 5 years.
(viii) Free cash flows are expected to grow by 5% after year 2020.
(ix) The cost of capital of the local group is 16%.
Required:
Based on an analysis of Free Cash Flows, calculate the bid price that the local group may offer for the
acquisition of 40% stake in NAL. (All cash flows are assumed to arise at the end of the year) (21)
(ICAP Winter 2015, Q-1)
QUESTION – 19
Violet Telecom Ltd. (VTL) and Blue Telecom Ltd. (BTL) are competitors in the telecom industry which
has been witnessing fierce competition in the domestic market.
Following information has been extracted from the latest annual reports of the two companies:
VTL BTL
Customers (in million) 20 10
Average revenue per customer per month (Rs.) 250 180
Number of shares issued (in million) 1,500 1,250
Earnings per share (Rs.) 5.5 (0.5)
Book value per share (Rs.) 33 24
VTL intends to offer its own shares to shareholders of BTL as bid price for the transaction. It is
expected that VTL’s shareholders would accept a share exchange ratio which would not dilute their
existing earnings per share whereas BTL’s shareholders would accept any offer which is at least
equivalent to the existing book value of BTL’s shares.
Applicable tax rate is 30% of profit before tax or 1% of revenues whichever is higher.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (283)
Required:
(a) Determine the ratio of share exchange which must be offered to shareholders of BTL to gain
their acceptance and assess whether this ratio would be acceptable to shareholders of VTL
also. (12)
(b) Discuss five other relevant factors that the directors/shareholders of both companies may
consider in evaluating the proposed merger. (05)
(ICAP Summer 2016, Q-2)
QUESTION – 20
Mangal Limited (ML) is a manufacturer and retailers of garments. ML is considering to takeover
Somvar Limited (SL) which is engaged in a similar business.
Extracts from the latest statements of financial position and income statements of both companies
are as follows:
Summarized Statements of Financial Position
ML SL
Rs. in million
Land and building (net) 483.0 42.3
Other non-current assets (net) 150.0 17.0
Current assets 384.0 63.0
1,017.0 122.3
Long term loan – 10% Bank loan 74.0 17.5
– 2% Term finance certificates (Rs. 100 each) 200.0 -
Current liabilities 391.0 50.1
Share capital (Rs. 10 each) 300.0 40.0
Reserves 52.0 14.7
1,017.0 122.3
Summarised Income Statements
ML SL
Rs. in million
Sales 1,130.0 181.0
Profit after tax 50.0 8.0
Dividends paid by ML and SL during the latest year amounted to Rs. 24 million and Rs.5 million
respectively. The latest market prices of their shares and debt instruments are as follows:
ML SL
Ordinary shares (ex-dividend) (Rs.) 20.5 26.5
Term finance certificates (cum interest) (Rs.) 109.0 -
ML estimates that after acquisition it would be able to achieve savings of Rs. 2.7 million per annum
(net of tax) for at least 5 years by eliminating certain administrative functions. Further, sale of excess
non-current assets would yield Rs. 6.8 million (net of tax on disposal). However, ML would have to
make ‘one time’ redundancy payment of Rs. 9 million (net of tax).
ML plans to offer four ordinary shares for every three ordinary shares of SL. A public announcement
of the proposal has not been made.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (284)
ML’s cost of equity and weighted average cost of capital are estimated at 16% and 14% respectively
whereas SL’s cost of equity is estimated at 15%.
Required:
(a) Discuss whether the announcement of proposed acquisition would be beneficial for the
existing shareholders of ML and SL if:
- the market is semi strong form efficient; (07)
- the market is strong form efficient. (03)
(Show working of all relevant calculations)
(b) Discuss the other factors which may influence the interests of the shareholders.
(10)
(ICAP Winter 2016, Q-5) [Amended]
QUESTION – 21
Mars Petroleum (Private) Limited (MPL) is engaged in the marketing of petroleum and related
products through fuel stations operated under its brand name. Recently, Government of Pakistan
has issued license to MPL to establish and operate 200 fuel stations on the CPEC route. MPL estimates
that it requires an amount of Rs. 2,500 million for this project.
The board of directors has decided to finance this expansion through IPO and directed the
management to initiate the process.
The existing capital structure of MPL is as follows:
Rs. in million
Share capital (Rs. 10 each) 2,000
Reserves 980
2,980
Additional information:
(i) The profit before tax and depreciation, in the year prior to the commencement of the
project was Rs. 1,025 million.
(ii) As a result of the above project, the profit before tax and depreciation is expected to grow
at the rate of 20% per annum for next five years after which profit would stabilize.
(iii) Accounting and tax depreciation on fixed assets including the new capital expenditure in
the first year would be Rs. 350 million which would be reduced by 10% in each of the next
five years and would remain the same thereafter.
(iv) Average equity beta and debt to equity ratio of similar listed companies is 1.9 and 40:60
respectively.
(v) Annualized return on KSE 100 index is 14% and 6-months KIBOR is 8%.
(vi) The cost of initial public offerings would be 5%.
(vii) The tax rate applicable on the company is 30%.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (285)
Required:
(a) Advise MPL about the IPO price and suggest the number of shares to be offered in the IPO
assuming that entire amount would be spent in year 0. (14)
(b) Write a brief memorandum to the board of directors discussing the advantages of leverage,
for the shareholders of the company. (03)
(ICAP Summer 2017, Q-5)
QUESTION – 22
Tulip Textile Limited (TTL) is engaged in the business of export to customers in USA and Europe. In a
recent meeting, the board of directors (BOD) has approved an expansion plan which envisages
introducing local sales by acquiring retails shops with the brand name ‘Wirsa’. In this regard, a
company named Blossom Textile (Private) Limited (BTL) has been identified for acquisition. BTL has
two divisions, i.e. textile manufacturing division and retail business division. The plan is to acquire
BTL, dispose of its manufacturing division and use the retail business division for the sale of TTL’s
products.
After several meetings, BTL’s shareholders have finally showed their inclination to sell BTL if TTL
offers them five ordinary shares of TTL for every seven shares of BTL. Subsequently, a due diligence
exercise has been carried out. TTL’s CFO has summarised the key information as follows:
(i) Extracts from the latest financial statements of TTL and BTL:
TTL BTL
----- Rs. in million -----
Sales 35,000 6,000
Profit after taxation 2,900 500
Share capital (Rs. 10 each) 7,500 2,500
Reserves 5,520 520
10% bank loan (repayable after five years) 17,500 1,500
(ii) 30% of the net assets of BTL pertain to the retail business division.
(iii) BTL’s textile manufacturing division can be disposed of immediately at around 1.5 times of
its net assets value.
(iv) BTL has assessed carried forward tax losses of Rs. 1,500 million.
Additional information:
(i) TTL’s board has planned to maintain the proportion of debt to equity in terms of market
value at the same level as it was before the acquisition.
(ii) Annual savings of Rs. 70 million are expected to be achieved as a result of synergies due to
acquisition and are expected to continue till perpetuity. However, TTL would have to make
one-time payment of Rs. 35 million immediately to the redundant staff.
(iii) The sales of ‘Wirsa’ in the first year is estimated at Rs. 1,000 million which is estimated to
grow by 10% per annum in second and third years. Thereafter, the sales growth would
normalize at 5% per annum till perpetuity. The profit before tax is expected at 20% of the
retail business sales.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (286)
(iv) Depreciation relating to retail business division would stay constant at Rs. 25 million per
annum.
(v) Currently, TTL and BTL have equity beta of 1.1 and 0.91 respectively. The risk free rate of
return is 7% and the market premium is 6%.
(vi) The asset beta of the combined entity may be taken as the individual companies’ asset betas,
weighted in proportion of market values of their equity.
(vii) Applicable income tax rate is 30%.
(viii) The shares of textile companies are being traded at price earnings ratio of 12.
(ix) Based on the financial projections, it is estimated that there would be enough profits in the
books of TTL to absorb all brought forward losses of BTL in the first year.
Required:
Evaluate whether the proposed acquisition would be beneficial for the existing shareholders of TTL
and BTL. (25)
(ICAP Summer 2018, Q-1)
QUESTION – 23
Sun Public Limited (SPL) is a listed company and has two divisions i.e. supermarket division (SD) and
hotel division (HD). The board of directors is presently considering to demerge both divisions. In the
opinion of the board, the demerger would increase operational efficiency and enhance value for
shareholders. The proposed scheme of demerger is as follows:
(i) Both divisions would be listed separately on the stock market.
(ii) For every 100 shares in SPL, a shareholder would receive 60 shares in SD and 40 shares in
HD. Similarly, a person holding 100 Term Finance Certificates (TFCs), would be given 60 TFCs
in SD and 40 TFCs in HD.
(iii) SD and HD would incur one-time cost (net of tax) of Rs. 12 million and Rs. 8 million
respectively at the time of demerger.
Annual free cash flows after demerger are projected as follows:
SD HD
Rs. in million
Years 1 to 5 33.2 25.6
Year 6 onwards 39.8 32.0
(iii) The cost of capital and equity beta of SPL are 10% and 1.15 respectively.
Other relevant information:
(i) The market values of the new companies are to be estimated at the price-earnings
ratios of the relevant industries.
(ii) Information regarding supermarket industry and hotel industry:
Supermarket industry Hotel industry
Average equity beta 1.25 0.9
Average debt equity ratio 30:70 20:80
Price earnings ratio 8 10
(iii) The risk free rate of return is 9% per annum and the market return is 15% per annum.
(iv) Applicable income tax rate is 30%.
Required:
(a) Evaluate the financial viability of the demerger scheme for the shareholders of SPL
using 10 years’ time horizon. (Assume all cash flows arise at the end of each year
except where otherwise specified) (19)
(b) List any four additional information that would assist the directors in evaluating the
decision of demerger. (04)
(ICAP Winter 2018, Q-1)
QUESTION – 24
Yellow Limited (YL) is a manufacturer and supplier of electronic appliances. YL is considering to
acquire entire shareholdings of White Limited (WL) which is also engaged in the same business.
Following information has been extracted from the latest management accounts of the two
companies:
YL WL
----- Rs. in million -----
Share capital (Rs. 10 each) 4,500 3,000
12% convertible term finance certificates (Rs. 100 each) 2,350 -
14% irredeemable debentures (Rs. 50 each) - 1,800
Annual free cash flows 860 390
YL estimates that the takeover would increase the combined annual free cash flows to Rs. 1,340
million after considering all the synergy effects of the takeover.
YL plans to offer its own shares to WL’s shareholders as bid price for the transaction. It is expected
that WL's shareholders would accept a share exchange ratio which provides them at least 5% more
than current market value of their shares.
Following additional information is also available:
(i) The shares of YL and WL are currently traded at Rs. 15 and Rs. 9 respectively.
(ii) The market value of YL’s TFC is Rs. 120 each whereas market value of WL’s debenture is Rs.
47 each.
(iii) Each TFC is convertible into 10 ordinary shares of YL at maturity i.e. at the end of the year 4.
(iv) The risk free rate of return and current market return are 11% and 16% respectively.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (288)
(v) The average equity beta and average debt equity ratio of the industry are 1.4 and 45:55
respectively. Debt beta is assumed to be zero.
(vi) Applicable tax rate is 35%.
Required:
(a) Determine the share exchange ratio which must be offered to WL’s shareholders to gain their
acceptance. Also assess whether this ratio would be acceptable to YL’s shareholders.
(18)
(b) Identify and discuss other relevant factors that directors and shareholders of both
companies may consider while evaluating the proposed takeover. (06)
(ICAP Summer 2019, Q-1)
QUESTION – 25
Karakorum Limited (KL) is considering to expand its business by acquiring 100% shareholdings in
Shalimar Limited (SL) which is operating in the same industry.
Following information has been extracted from the latest audited financial statements of both
entities:
Statement of profit or loss
KL SL
----- Rs. in million -----
Revenue 564 177
Cost of sales (384) (110)
Operating expenses (84) (30)
Profit before interest and tax 96 37
Interest expense (18) (16)
Profit before tax 78 21
Taxation @ 30% (23) (6)
Net profit 55 15
KL SL
----- Rs. in million -----
Share capital (Rs. 10 each) 205 127
Retained earnings 289 75
Long term loans (KL: 11%, SL: 12%) 165 148
659 350
Other information:
(i) The proposed acquisition would enable KL to save operating expenses by Rs. 31 million per
annum. However, KL would have to pay Rs. 20 million immediately to the outgoing staff.
(ii) Following projections have been worked out in respect of merged entity:
In first three years
- Growth in revenue and cost of sales (other than depreciation) would be 6% per
annum.
- Operating expenses (other than depreciation) would grow by 5% per annum.
From fourth year and onwards
Free cash flows are expected to grow at a constant rate of 3% per annum.
Current assets and current liabilities would grow in line with revenue.
(iii) Depreciation represents 25% of cost of sales and 10% of operating expenses in both entities.
It is expected that there will be no material change in depreciation over the years. Assume
that tax depreciation is equal to accounting depreciation.
(iv) Current market price of KL and SL are Rs. 38 and Rs. 20 per share respectively.
(v) The weighted average cost of capital will be 18% following the acquisition of SL.
Required:
(a) Using the free cash flow method, determine the maximum price that KL may pay to the
shareholders of SL. (13)
(b) Assume that the offer of Rs. 450 million is accepted by SL’s shareholders. Discuss the impact
of this acquisition on control, gearing and earnings per share of KL if it is funded:
(i) with new debt at 10%; or (ii) by issuance of shares. (10)
QUESTION – 26
SuperSky International Airlines Ltd. (SIL) is a listed, international airline carrier based in Karachi with
routes to neighbouring countries, some Russian states and European countries.
SIL currently does not operate a domestic schedule in Pakistan so the board of directors have
expressed an interest in acquiring Wings Ltd. (WL), a low-cost regional private airline company which
schedules domestic flights between Karachi, Lahore and Islamabad.
Information on WL
WL is an unlisted company with 500,000 issued shares. WL’s recent results for the year ended 30
November 2020 are as follows:
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (290)
In order to assist with the valuation, the directors of WL have provided the following information and
assumptions:
(i) Annual growth for the years 30 November 2021 to 2024 is expected as follows:
Revenue 2.5%
Expenditure except finance charges 2.0%
Finance charges 0.0%
(ii) There is no revenue or cost inflation from 2025 and onwards.
(iii) Annual capital expenditure on aircraft is expected to be as follows:
(iv) From 2021 to 2024, capital allowances on aircraft are expected to be 10% per annum on a
reducing balance basis. The tax written down value on WL's present fixed assets at 1
December 2020 is Rs. 9,000 million.
(v) For 2025, and each year thereafter, annual capital expenditure on aircraft is equal to the
cash inflow from tax saved on capital allowances in that year.
(vi) Annual corporate tax is expected to remain at 29%.
(vii) For the years 2021 to 2024, additional working capital equivalent to 10% of the increase in
revenue for that year, will be required. Working capital cash flows occur at the end of the
year in which the increase in revenue arises.
(viii) For 2025 and onwards, the annual increase in working capital requirements is Rs. 10 million
per annum.
(ix) WL has Rs. 1,000 million long-term debt at 4.8% interest per annum.
Information on SIL
The current paid-up capital of SIL is two million shares. Each share is currently trading at Rs. 4,300
per share.
SIL currently has Rs. 2,000 million of corporate bonds. The average maturity of SIL’s corporate bonds
is 18 years. SIL currently has 'AA' credit rating.
Market information
Quoted credit spread for corporates in the airline sector are as follows:
The current yield on Pakistan government bonds is 3.75% for all bond maturities. The current market
return on the Pakistan equity market portfolio is 6.85% and the Pakistan corporate tax rate is
expected to be 29% for the foreseeable future.
The average airline industry equity beta is 2.45 at 50% gearing (measured as debt/equity).
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (291)
Share offer
The directors of SIL are considering making a two for one share offer which will replace each existing
WL’s shares with two new SIL’s shares.
Required:
(a) Determine a valuation for WL’s equity shares by using SIL's risk adjusted weighted average cost
of capital. (20)
As a result of the merger, the directors of SIL expect to make cost efficiencies in the new merged
group with a present value of at least Rs. 3,000 million.
Required:
(b) Compare the value of SIL and WL shareholdings before and after the merger to determine if
their shareholders are likely to accept the terms of the share for share exchange offer proposed
by SIL’s directors. (05)
(ICAP Summer 2021, Q-5)
QUESTION – 27
Alpha Foods Limited (Alpha) is a listed, food processing company based in Karachi which
manufactures canned and boxed vegetable and crop based products.
Alpha is currently in the final stages of negotiation to purchase a listed frozen food production
company, Fresh & Frozen Limited (FF), which supplies supermarkets throughout Pakistan with frozen
fruits and vegetables and other frozen, processed foods. The directors of Alpha are confident that
the proposed acquisition is a good strategic fit and are expecting to negotiate a price close to FF's
current traded share price.
Should the acquisition of FF reach agreement and proceed, the two companies will be merged into
a new listed entity, Alpha Fresh & Frozen Limited (AFFL), which is expected to commence trading
with an uplift of 7.5% on the current combined equity values of Alpha and FF.
Alpha is expected to raise a new six-year 6.5% coupon corporate debenture for Rs. 22,500 million on
the day of acquisition to finance the purchase of FF. The new debenture is expected to be issued at
95.8% of its par value (where par equals 100) and will redeem in six years' time at a 5% premium
above its par value.
Investors’ concerns
Certain significant institutional investors have expressed concern that the proposed acquisition of FF
will be funded by further debt finance which may exceed 30% gearing, measured as debt/(debt plus
equity), which is considered to be the highest comfortable level of gearing by investors for companies
operating in the food processing industry.
A major institutional shareholder is also concerned about the impact on the weighted average cost
of capital (WACC) as a result of the acquisition.
Required:
(a) Calculate the current gearing of Alpha and the expected gearing level of the new combined
entity, AFFL, immediately following the proposed acquisition and evaluate the result. (04)
(b) Forecast the expected after-tax WACC of AFFL immediately following acquisition. (09)
To manage the debt position, the directors of Alpha are considering divesting a currently
profitable trading division which manufactures rice based processed food products. This sale
is expected to raise a minimum of Rs. 8,500 million which will be solely used to reduce the
value of the remaining bank loans. The directors are confident this strategy will be favourably
received by institutional investors and expect AFFL's post-acquisition share price to remain
unaltered, following the sale.
(c) Determine the expected impact on gearing and WACC immediately following the proposed
sale of the division and recommend after critically evaluating the directors’ view, if Alpha
should proceed with the sale.
(07)
SOLUTIONS
Answer to Q-1
Market Price of Share
Ke = Rf + (Equity Premium x Equity Beta)
= 9% + (6.25% x 1.6)
= 19%
Rs.
Current dividend expected (Rs.1.25 x (1+10%) 1.375
Present value of all future dividends:
( ) . ( %)
= = 16.608
% %
Market price per share 18.181
= 3.283
* It is a subjective figure. Apparent average of all companies in industry is 9, which is again
adjusted subjectively downwards to 7.
*
The value of an ordinary share is then Rs.0.15 / 20% = Rs. 0.75
* It is a subjective figure. Apparent average of all companies in industry is 17%, which is again
adjusted subjectively upwards to 20%.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (295)
= 4.815
= Rs. 857,143
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (296)
Answer to Q-3
WACC = Ke x We + Kd x Wd
= 15.02%(W-1) x 80% + 8% (W-2) (1 – 30%) x 20% = 13.14%
[ . % (𝑾 𝟒)]
Corporate value= = 743 million
. % . %
WACC = Ke x We + Kd x Wd
= 22.08% (W-1) x 40% + 11%(W-2) (1 – 30%) x 60% = 13.45%
[ . % (𝑾 𝟒)]
Corporate value= = 718 million
. % . %
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (297)
(W-1) Existing
Ke = 5.5% + 1.4(14% - 5%) = 17.4%
Debt equity 20:80
Ke = 5.5% + 1.12(W-3)(14% - 5.5%) = 15.02%
Debt equity 60:40
Ke = 5.5% + 1.95(W-3)(14% - 5.5%) = 22.08%
Answer to Q-4
(a) (i) Weighted average cost of capital
Existing WACC = (Equity % (W-1) x Ke (W-2)) + (Debt % (W-1) x Kd (1-t))
= (60% x 17% (W-2) ) + (40% x 9% x 65%) = 12.54%
Equity = = 60%
Debt = = 40%
( ) % % %
Βe = βa = * 0.872 = 1.115
%
( ) % % %
Βe = βa = * 0.872 = 1.439
%
( )
βa = Β e +𝛽
( ) ( )
= 1.25 + 0 = 0.872
%
W-3 Cost of debt
At 70% equity 30% debt
Since interest cover has an inverse relationship, we assume decline in debt
moves the CIL to lower category of interest rate:
30% debt in existing market value of the company (30% x 1375) = 412.5
Cost of debt = (8% x 412.5) = 33
Interest cover = (327* ÷ 33) = 9.91
∴ Kd = 8%
* Profit before interest and tax
At 50% equity 50% debt
Since interest cover has an inverse relationship, we assume increase in debt
moves the CIL to upper category of interest rate:
50% debt in existing market value of the company (50% x 1375) = 687.5
Cost of debt is = (11% x 687.5) = 75.63
Interest cover = (327 ÷ 75.63) = 4.32
Kd = 11%
Rs. in million
W-4 Current Free cash flow (FCFo)
Profit before tax 272.00
Add: Interest 55.00
Profit before tax and interest 327.00
Less: Income tax @ 35% 114.45
Profit after tax 212.55
Add: Depreciation 50.00
Less: Capital expenditures (150.00)
Free cash flow 112.55
. ( )
1,375 = ⇒ 1,375 = ⇒ 𝑔 = 4.03%
( ) .
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (300)
Since the existing debt equity ratio gives the lowest WACC and resultantly the highest valuation to
the company, the capital structure of the company should not be changed.
Answer to Q-5
Merger with Merger with
PQ RS
Rupees in million
Net profit after tax 124.80 169.00
Synergy impact (W-3) 35.49 45.24
160.29 214.24
Investment required to be made (W-1) 998.00 1,972.00
Return on investment 16.06% 10.86%
Conclusion:
By acquiring PQ (Pvt.) Ltd., the shareholders of MNO Chemicals will earn a higher return on
investment as compared to the acquisition of RS. Hence, acquisition of PQ is financially feasible for
the shareholders of MNO Chemicals.
( ) ( %)
Value of RS = = = 1,972 million
% (𝐖 𝟐) – %
Answer to Q-6
(a) Calculation of WACC
( ) ( )
WACC = ke (W -1) + 𝑘𝑑(𝑊 − 3)(1 − 𝑇)
, 2,131.50
WACC (Chemicals) = 15.2% + 7.76% = 10.76%
, , . 1,443 2,131.50
, 1,979.50
WACC (Paints) = 15.55% + 7.76% = 10.63%
, , . 1,157 1,979.50
Debt equity ratio of Chemicals is same as industry (W-4). Therefore, we use the
market beta for determination of cost of equity.
W-2: Determination of 𝜷 of Paints
Since the debt equity ratio of Paints i.e. 63:37 (W-4) differ from the industry gearing
level, we must un-gear the industry beta and must re-gear the asset beta to take into
account the differing capital structure. Here it is assumed that debt is risk free.
30
𝛽𝑎= 𝛽𝑒 =150 x = 0.596
(1-T) ( . )
Re-gearing
(1-T) 1,157 1,979.50(1-0.35)
𝛽𝑒 = 𝛽a =0.596 x = 1.259
.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (302)
11.71
𝐾 (1 - t) = a + ( ) (b - a) = 6% + × (10% − 6%) = 7.76%
11.71-(-14.9)
(b)
Chemicals Paints segment
segment
Year 1 Year 1
--------Rs. in million--------
Net operating cash flows (W-1) 415.77 224.23
Less: Tax depreciation (70.00) (40.00)
345.77 184.23
Tax @ 35% (121.02) (64.48)
224.75 119.75
Add: Tax depreciation 70.00 40.00
294.75 159.75
Discount factor [Chemicals @10.76%(part (a));
Paints @10.63%(part (a)] *17.3611 *17.7620
PV cash flows (Value of the company) 5,117.19 2,837.47
*11 ÷ (10.76% - 5%)
*1 ÷ (10.63% - 5%)
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (303)
Conclusion:
Rs. in million
Total value of two companies (Rs. 5,117.19 + Rs. 2,837.47) 7,954.66
Less: Value of debt (Rs. 2,131.50 + Rs. 1,979.25) (4,111.75)
Value of equity after demerger 3,842.91
Less: Value of equity before demerger (Rs. 13 × 200) (2,600.00)
Gain to existing shareholders due to demerger (1,249.16)
As the existing shareholders would have a gain due to demerger, it would be financially
advantageous for the KLR to separately float the company.
Chemicals Paints
Rs. in million
W-1: Net operating cash flows
Net operating cash flow (as given) 280.00 360.00
Adjustments:
Impact of common expenses
Common expenses shared (3150 : 2500) 55.75 44.25
Actual common expenses (70.00) (30.00)
(14.25) 14.25
Gross profit (net of tax) on sale of raw materials to Paints 150.02 (150.02)
(W-2)
415.77 224.23
W-2: Gross profit on sale of raw material to Paints
Total Sales to Other
revenues Paints revenue
Segment
--------Rs. in million--------
Revenue 3,150.00 787.50 2,362.50
Less: Cost of sales (2,772) (787.50) (1,984.50)
Gross profit 378.00
GP markup % (378.00 ÷ 1,984.50) 19.05%
Gross profit to be earned on sales to Paints Segment (787.50×19.05%) 150.02
Answer to Q-7
Jazba
Free cash flow:
Cost of equity using CAPM:
Ke = 4% + (11% - 4%) 1.18 = 12.26%
Weighted average cost of capital:
𝐸 𝐷
𝑊𝐴𝐶𝐶 = 𝑘𝑒 + 𝑘𝑑(1 − 𝑡) = 12.26%(0.7) + 6%(1 − 0.3)(0.3) = 9.84%
𝐸+𝐷 𝐸+𝐷
(N.B. rounded discount rates for example 10% are also acceptable in the solution)
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (304)
Answer to Q-8
(a) VALUE OF MK LIMITED
Years
1 2
Rupees in million
Sales 4% 12,480 12,979
Operating costs including depreciation 75% (9,360) (9734)
Profit before interest and tax 3,120 3,245
Taxation 35% (1092) (1136)
Add back depreciation 4% 1,357 1,411
Annual capital expenditure 4% (728) (757)
Free cash flow 2,657 2,763
Discount factor (W-1) 9.8% 0.911 0.830
Present value 2,421 2,293
Present value 1-2 years (2,421 + 2,293) 4,714
, ( . )
Free cash flow after year 2 = x 0.83 = Rs. 50,166 million
. .
(W-1)
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
D/E Ratio Rate WACC
ke - (8% + (13% - 8%) x 1.1) 60% 13.50% 8.1%
kd - (6.5% x 0.65) 40% 4.23% 1.7%
WACC 9.8%
VALUE OF ZA LIMITED
Years
1 2
Rupees in million
Sales 5.5% 8,925 9,416
Operating costs including depreciation 5.5% (6,219) (6,561)
Profit before interest and tax 2,706 2,855
Taxation 35% (947) (999)
Add back depreciation 5.5% 1,044 1,101
Annual capital expenditure 5.5% (686) (724)
Free cash flow 2,117 2,233
Discount factor (W-2) 9.2% 0.916 0.839
Present value 1,939 1,873
Present value 1-2 years (1,939 + 1,873) 3,812
2,233(1.05)
Free cash flow after year 2 = x 0.839 = Rs. 46,837 million
0.092-0.05
Total free cash flows = (3,812 + 46,837) = Rs. 50,649 million
(W-2)
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Rate D/E Ratio WACC
ke - (8% + (13% -8%) X 1.3 14.5% 45.00% 6.5%
kd - (7.5% x 65%) 4.88% 55.00% 2.7%
WACC 9.2%
, ( . )
Free cash flow after year 2 = x 0.83 = Rs. 110,800 million
. .
Total free cash flows = (9,234 + 110,800) = Rs. 120,034 million
(W-3)
Weighted Average Cost of Capital
Equity - MK (100 x 20) 2,000 13.50% 270.00
Equity - ZA (90 x 7/9 x 20) 1,400 14.5% 203.00
Debt - MK (2,000 x 40% / 60%) 1,333 4.23% 56.39
Debt - ZA (90 x 12 x 55% / 45%) 1,320 4.88% 64.42
Total equity + debt of merged company 6,053 593.80
Answer to Q-9
(a)
Value of Prodco Ltd. (After considering the effect of merger) Rupees
Existing value of Prodco [14,000,000 x 8.4] 117,600,000
Value addition:
Nordik value [(9,337,500 – 1,500,000) x 1.2 x 8 (W-1) 75,240,000
Sale of division 10,200,000
Sale of property 16,000,000
Redundancy cost (4,500,000)
[A] 214,540,000
No. of shares [B] 24,000,000
Price per share – Prodco [A / B] 8.94
Price per share – Nordik 1.99
(using exchange ratio)
i.e. Rs. 8.94 x 2 shares = Rs. X x 9 shares
W-1
P/E ratio [45m x 1.66 / 9.3375m] 8.00
(b)
Existing – Prodco shares 14,000,000
Existing – Nordik shares 45,000,000
Target share price for Nordik [1.66 x 1.1] 1.826
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (308)
Answer to Q-10
2011 2012 2013 2014 2015
---------------------- Rs. million ---------------------
Loan (Rs. in million) (500) (600) (500)
Interest on loan 10% - 50 110 160 160
Loan repayment 1,600
Exit price [Year 5 PAT(W-1) x 16 x 60%] 4,848
(500) (550) (390) 160 6,608
D.F. 20% 0.833 0.694 0.579 .482 0.402
(417) (382) (226) 77 2,656
Price 1,708
Answer to Q-11
Growth Y-0 Y-1 Y-2 Y-3 Y-4 Y-5
Sales % ……………….Rs. in million………………..
Generic 10% 720 792.00 871.20 958.32 1,054.15 1,159.57
Patented other than Z-11 10% 864 950.40 1,045.44 1,149.98 1,264.98 1,391.48
Z-11(Note 1) 10% 216 237.60 261.36 287.50 223.24 245.56
Less: Variable costs of production
Generic 10% (336.60) (370.26) (407.29) (448.01) (492.82)
Patented other than Z-11 10% (285.12) (313.63) (344.99) (379.49) (417.44)
Z-11 10% (71.28) (78.41) (86.25) (94.88) (104.36)
Less: Fixed costs other than depreciation 5% 90 (94.50) (99.23) (104.19) (109.40) (114.87)
Less: Depreciation (100.00) (100.00) (100.00) (100.00) (100.00)
Less: Selling expenses 7% 360 (252.00) (269.64) (288.51) (308.71) (330.32)
Less: Admin. Expenses 5% 90 (18.00) (18.90) (19.85) (20.84) (21.88)
Less: Royalty on patented items (Note 2) (178.20) (196.02) (215.62) (189.75) (208.72)
Less: Technical fee (Total sales x 3%) (59.40) (65.34) (71.87) (76.27) (83.90)
Adjusted profit before tax 584.90 666.57 757.23 815.02 922.30
Taxation (35%) (204.72) (233.30) (265.03) (285.26) (322.81)
Profit after tax 380.18 433.27 492.20 529.76 599.49
Add: Depreciation 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00 100.00
480.18 533.27 592.20 629.76 699.49
Terminal value (Note 3) 4,238.09
Total cash flows 480.18 533.27 592.20 629.76 4,937.58
Discount factor at WACC of 20% 0.833 0.694 0.578 0.482 0.402
Discounted cash flows 400 370 342 304 1,985
Maximum bid price 3,401
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (310)
Notes
1. Sales of Z-11 in Year 4 = 94.88 ÷ 42.5% [W-1]
2. Up to Year 3, 15% royalty would be charged on all patented products, from year 4 onward,
royalty would be charged on patented products other than Z-11.
. ( %)
3. Terminal value = = 4,238.09
% %
Answer to Q-12
----------------------------- Rs. 000 ------------------------------------
Year 1 Year 2 Year 3
Revenue (9% growth) 5,450 5,941 6,475
Cost of sales (9% growth) (3,270) (3,564) (3,885)
Operating costs (W-1) (2,012) (2,159) (2,317)
Interest (74) (74) (74)
Profit before tax 94 144 199
Taxation (15) (28) (43)
Depreciation (W-2) 134 144 155
Working capital investment (W-3) (20) (21) (24)
Capex (79) (95) (114)
Free cash flow to equity 114 144 173
Terminal value [173 x 1.03 / (10% - 3%) 2,546
114 144 2,719
Discount factor 0.909 0.826 0.751
Present value 104 119 2,043
Value of equity 2,266
Answer to Q-13
(i) The calculations and estimations for part (i) are given in the appendix. To assess whether or
not the acquisition would be beneficial to Big’s shareholders, the additional synergy benefits
after the acquisition has been paid for need to be ascertained.
The estimated synergy benefit from the acquisition is approximately Rs. 9,074,000 (see
appendix), which is the post-acquisition value of the combined company less the values of the
individual companies. However, once Small Co’s debt obligations and the equity shareholders
have been paid, the benefit to Big Co’s shareholders reduces to approximately Rs. 52,000
(see appendix), which is minimal. Even a small change in the variables and assumptions could
negate it. It is therefore doubtful that the shareholders would view the acquisition as beneficial
to themselves or the company.
(ii) The current value of Big Co is Rs. 140,000,000, of which the market value of equity and debt
are Rs. 70,000,000 each. The value of the combined company before paying Small Co
shareholders is approximately Rs. 189,169,000, and if the capital structure is maintained, the
market values of debt and equity will be approximately Rs. 94,584,500 each. This is an increase
of approximately Rs. 24,584,500 in the debt capacity.
The amount payable for Small Co’s debt obligations and to the shareholders including the
premium is approximately Rs. 49,116,500 [4,009 + 36,086 x 1·25]. If Rs. 24,584,500 is paid
using the extra debt capacity and Rs. 20,000,000 using cash reserves, an additional amount
of approximately Rs. 4,532,000 will need to be raised. Hence, if only debt finance and cash
reserves are used, the capital structure cannot be maintained.
APPENDIX
Part (i)
Interest is ignored as its impact is included in the companies’ discount rates
Small cost of capital
Ke = 4·5% + 1·53 x 6% = 13·68%
Cost of capital = 13·68% x 0·9 + 9% x (1 - 0·28) x 0·1 = 12·96% assume 13%
Small
Sales revenue growth rate = (16,146/13,559)1/3 - 1 x 100% = 5·99% assume 6%
Operating profit margin = approx. 32% of sales revenue
Rs. (000)
PV (first 4 years) 12,028
PV (after 4 years) [4,443 x 1·03/(0·13 - 0·03)] x 1·13-4 28,067
Firm value 40,095
Combined Company: Cost of capital calculation
Asset beta (Big Co) = 1·18 x 0·5/(0·5 + 0·5 x 0·72) = 0·686
Asset beta (Small Co) = 1·53 x 0·9/(0·9 + 0·1 x 0·72) = 1·417
Asset beta of combined co. = (0·686 x 140,000 + 1·417 x 40,095)/(140,000 + 40,095) = 0·849
Equity beta of combined company = 0·849 x (0·5 + 0·5 x 0·72)/0·5 = 1·46
Ke = 4·5% + 1·46 x 6% = 13·26%
Cost of capital = 13·26% x 0·5 + 6·4% x 0·5 x 0·72 = 8·93%, assume 9%
Combined Co cash flow and value computation (Rs. 000)
Sales revenue growth rate = 5·8%, operating profit margin = 30% of sales revenue
Year 1 2 3 4
Sales revenue 51,952 54,965 58,153 61,526
Operating profit 15,586 16,490 17,446 18,458
Tax (4,364) (4,617) (4,885) (5,168)
Additional investment [18% x change in sales] (513) (542) (574) (607)
Free cash flows 10,709 11,331 11,987 12,683
Present value at 9% 9,825 9,537 9,256 8,985
Rs. (000)
PV (first 4 years) 37,603
PV (after 4 years) [12,683 x 1·029/(0·09 - 0·029)] x 1·09-4 151,566
Firm value 189,169
Synergy benefits = 189,169,000 - (140,000,000 + 40,095,000) = Rs. 9,074,000
Estimated premium required to acquire Small Co = 0·25 x 36,086,000 = Rs. 9,022,000
Net benefit to Big Co shareholders = Rs. 52,000
Answer to Q-14
(a) Maximum premium based on excess earnings method
Average pre-tax earnings: (397 + 370 + 352)/3 = Rs. 373·0m
Average capital employed: [(882 + 210 - 209) + (838 + 208 - 180) + (801 + 198 - 140)]/3
= Rs. 869·3m Excess annual value/annual premium
= 373m - (20% x Rs. 869·3m) = Rs. 199·1m
After-tax annual premium = Rs. 199·1m x 0·8 = Rs. 159·3m
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (313)
Green Co, current value = Rs. 9·24 x 2,400 shares = Rs. 22,176·0m
Combined company value = (Rs. 1,584m + Rs. 317·6m + Rs. 140·0m) x 14·5 = Rs. 29,603·2m
Maximum premium = Rs. 29,603·2m - (Rs. 22,176·0m + Rs. 5,716·8) = Rs. 1,710·4m
(b) Yellow Co, current value per share = Rs. 5,716·8m/1,200m shares = Rs. 4·76 per share
Maximum premium % (PE ratio) = Rs. 1,710·4m/Rs. 5,716·8m x 100% = 29·9%
Maximum premium % (excess earnings) = Rs. 2,275·7m/Rs. 5,716·8m x 100% = 39·8%
Cash offer: premium (%)
(Rs. 5·72 - Rs. 4·76)/Rs. 4·76 x 100% = 20·2%
Cash and share offer: premium (%)
1 Green Co share for 2 Yellow Co shares
Green Co share price = Rs. 9·24
Per Yellow Co share = Rs. 4·62
Cash payment per share= Rs. 1·33
Total return = Rs. 1·33 + Rs. 4·62 = Rs. 5·95
Premium percentage = (Rs. 5·95 - Rs. 4·76)/Rs. 4·76 x 100% = 25·0%
Cash and bond offer: premium (%)
Each share has a nominal value of Rs. 0·25, therefore Rs. 5 is Rs. 5/Rs. 0·25 = 20
shares Bond value = Rs. 100/20 shares = Rs. 5 per share
Cash payment = Rs. 1·25 per share
Total = Rs. 6·25 per share
Premium percentage = (Rs. 6·25 - Rs. 4·76)/Rs. 4·76 = 31·3%
On the basis of the calculations, the cash together with bond offer yields the highest return; in
addition to the value calculated above, the bonds can be converted to 12 Green Co shares,
giving them a price per share of Rs. 8·33 (Rs. 100/12). This price is below Green Co’s current
share price of Rs. 9·24, and therefore the conversion option is already in-the-money. It is
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (314)
probable that the share price will increase in the 10-year period and therefore the value of the
convertible bond should increase. A bond also earns a small coupon interest of Rs. 3 per Rs. 100
a year. The 31·3% return is the closest to the maximum premium based on the excess earnings
method and more than the maximum premium based on the PE ratio method. It would seem
that this payment option transfers more value to the owners of Yellow Co than the value created
based on the PE ratio method.
However, with this option Yellow Co shareholders only receive an initial cash payment of Rs. 1·25
per share compared to Rs. 1·33 per share and Rs. 5·72 per share for the other methods. This may
make it the more attractive option for the Green Co shareholders as well, and although their
shareholding will be diluted most under this option, it will not happen for some time.
The cash and share offer gives a return in between the pure cash and the cash and bonds offers.
Although the return is lower, Yellow Co’s shareholders become owners of Green Co and have the
option to sell their equity immediately. However, the share price may fall between now and
when the payment for the acquisition is made. If this happens, then the return to Yellow Co’s
shareholders will be lower.
The pure cash offer gives an immediate and definite return to Yellow Co’s shareholders, but is
also the lowest offer and may also put a significant burden on Green Co having to fund so much
cash, possibly through increased debt.
It is likely that Yellow Co’s shareholder/managers, who will continue to work within Green Co,
will accept the mixed cash and bond offer. They, therefore, get to maximise their current return
and also potentially gain when the bonds are converted into shares. Different impacts on
shareholders’ personal taxation situations due to the different payment methods might also
influence the choice of method.
Answer to Q-15
(a) (i) Share price of GHP after the takeover
EPS of GHP before the takeover (Rs. 6,580 ÷ 300) 21.93
P/E ratio of GHP before the takeover (Rs. 186 ÷ 21.93) 8.48
EPS after takeover (W-1) 29.02
Share price of GHP after the takeover (8.48 x Rs. 29.02) 246.09
market speculation about the company’s profit. The possibility that share price will
remain at this level or rise further may be questioned.
Existing EPS and P/E ratio of the two companies are as follows:
EPS P/E ratio
GHP (See req. (a)) Rs. 21.93 (See req. (a)) 8.48
IJQ (3,760 ÷ 200) Rs. 18.80 (58 ÷ 18.8) 3.09
Moreover, there is a small difference in the profitability of the companies and a very
large difference between the P/E ratios at which the two companies are being
valued, adding weight to the concern that either GHP's shares are currently over
valued or IJQ’s shares are undervalued by the market.
IJQ shareholders who want high dividends have the option to sell their shares and
invest in a different company after the merger has taken place and synergy effect
has been absorbed in the share price of the merged entity. Moreover, concerns
about dividend policy may not be relevant for many IJQ shareholders.
Answer to Q-16
Part (a) Taxila Power Limited Rs. (million)
Value of TPL - Existing [A] 560.00
Value of TPL - After Acquisition [B] (W-3) 1,028.00
Value addition [B - A] 468.00
Max price to be paid for DPL 468.00
Workings:
W-1 cost of equity:
Ke = D0 (1+g) / MV + g
Dividend 4.00
MV 56.00
g 12%
Existing Ke 20%
Decrease in Ke 2%
Revised Ke (Reduced by 2%) 18%
Part (b)(ii)
Benefit to shareholders of DPL Rs. (in million)
Price offered 153.60
Current value (128.00)
25.60
Benefit to shareholders of TPL
Post-merger value of TPL 1,028.00
Pre-merger value of TPL (560.00)
Price offered for DPL (153.60)
314.40
Part (b)(iii) Other factors to be considered are as follows:
The directors and shareholders of TPL
1. They should consider:
whether there are any other companies that they might take over instead of DPL:
whether they could acquire a collection of assets similar to DPL on a cheaper,
piecemeal basis: or
the assessment of performance forecasts that have been made about the enlarged
companies, especially in relation to the relatively high synergy profits that are
expected to be generated and the reduction in operating risk.
2. The earning of TPL appears to be growing at a rapid annual rate and it seems somewhat
doubtful that this same growth rate could be achieved after acquisition of DPL which, as an
independent company, shows no sign of such dynamism.
3. The issuance of shares to DPL may have an effect on the company's existing share voting
power.
4. Serious consideration should be given to the likely degree of compatibility of the combined
workforces and managements - incompatibility in such aspect has caused many takeovers to
founder in past.
5. They should consider the possible monopoly aspects of the proposed acquisition
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (318)
Answer to Q-17
The valuation of private companies involves considerable subjectivity. Many alternative solutions to
the one presented below are possible and equally valid.
As Strong is considering the purchase of Potential, this will involve gaining ownership through the
purchase of Strong's shares, hence an equity valuation is required.
Before undertaking any valuations it is advisable to recalculate the earnings for 20X6 without the
exceptional item. It is-assumed to be a one-off expense, which was not fully tax allowable.
The revised Income Statement is:
20X6
Rs. 000
Sales revenue 22,840
Operating profit before exceptional Items 1,302
Interest paid (net) 280
Profit before taxation 1,022
Taxation (30%) 307
Profit after tax 715
Dividend 200
Change in equity 515
Asset-based valuation
An asset valuation might be regarded as the absolute minimum value of the company. Asset-based
valuations are most useful when the company is being liquidated and the assets disposed of. In an
acquisition, where the company is a going concern, asset- based values do not fully value future cash
flows, or items such as the value of human capital; market position, etc.
Asset values may be estimated using book values, which are of little use, replacement cost values, or
disposal values. The information provided does not permit a full disposal value, although some
adjustments to book value are possible. In this case an asset valuation might be:
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (319)
Rs. 000
Net assets 6,286
Patent 10,000
Goodwill (170)
Inventory adjustment (1,020)
15,096 or Rs. 15,096,000
This value is not likely to be accurate as it assumes the economic value of non-current assets is the
same as the book value, which is very unlikely. The same argument may also be related to current
assets and liabilities other than inventory.
P/E ratios
P/E ratios of competitors are sometimes used in order to value unlisted companies.
This is problematic as the characteristics of all companies differ, and a P/E ratio valid for one company
might not be relevant to another.
There is also a question of whether or not the P/E ratio should be adjusted downwards for an unlisted
company, and how different expected growth rates should be allowed for.
Expected earnings growth for Potential is much higher than the average for the industry, especially
during this next three years. In view of this it might be reasonable to apply a P/E ratio at least the
industry average when attempting to value Potential.
The after-tax earnings of Potential, based upon the revised income statement, are:
1,022 - 307 = 715
Using a P/E ratio of30:1, this gives an estimated value of, 715 x 30 = Rs. 21,450,000.
This is a very subjective estimate, and it might be wise to use a range of P/E ratio values, for example
from 25: 1 to 35: 1, which would result in a range of values from Rs. 17,875,000 to Rs. 25,025,000.
It could also be argued that the value should be based upon the anticipated next earnings rather
than the past earnings several months ago.
This is estimated to be:
20X7
Rs. 000
Sales revenue 28,100
Operating profit before exceptional items 2,248
Interest paid (net) 350
Profit before taxation 1,898
Taxation 569
1,329
1,329 x 30 gives a much higher estimate of Rs. 39,870,000
P/E-based valuation might also be criticized as it is based upon profits rather than cash flows.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (320)
Dividend-based valuation
Dividend-based valuation assumes that the value of the company may be estimated from the present
value of future dividends paid. In this case the expected dividend growth rates are different during
the next three years and the subsequent period.
The estimated dividend valuation is:
Year 1 2 3 After Year 3
( . )
Expected dividend 250 313 391
. .
Note:
, (1.1)
Free cash flow after 20X9 is estimated by = 40,040
. .
This valuation also ignores any real options that arise as a result of the acquisition.
Recommended valuation
It is impossible to produce an accurate valuation. The valuation using the dividend growth model is
out of line with all others and will be ignored.
On the basis of this data, the minimum value should be the adjusted asset value, a little over Rs.
15,000,000, and the maximum approximately Rs. 30,000,000.
All of the above valuations may be criticized as they are based upon the value of Potential as a
separate entity, not the valuation as part of Strong Inc. There might be synergies, such as economies
of scale, savings in duplicated facilities, processes, etc, as a result of the purchase, which would
increase the above estimates.
Answer to Q-18
Notes:
- It is assumed that finance cost will remain at the same level for foreseeable future
- 16% is the appropriate discount rate for discounting free cash flows to equity
1 2 3 4 5
---------------------------- Rs. million ---------------------------
Revenue [W-1] 165,726 187,268 212,843 227,955 244,140
Fuel cost [W-1] (73,490) (77,958) (83,493) (89,421) (95,770)
Other services [LY x 1.08] (84,062) (90,787) (98,050) (105,894) (114,365)
Operating exp. [LY x 1.08] (8,827) (9,534) (10,296) (11,120) (12,010)
Finance cost (9,793) (9,793) (9,793) (9,793) (9,793)
Other income 1,723 1,947 2,213 2,370 2,539
[LY x (1+% change in revenue)]
Capex (15,000) (25,000)
WC Inv (5,350) (3,450) (2,500) (1,500)
(1,500)
(29,073) (27,307) 10,924 12,597
13,240
Terminal value 126,385
(29,073) (27,307) 10,924 12,597 139,625
Factor 16% 0.862 0.743 0.641 0.552 0.476
(25,063) (20,293) 6,999 6,957 66,477
Total value 35,077
40% stake 14,031
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (322)
W-1
No. of passengers per flight
2015 2016 2017 2018 2019 2020
Growth % [A] 6% 6% 6% 0% 0%
Discount % [B] 50% 35% 25% 25% 25% 25%
Govt. officials [C] 20 21 22 23 23 23
Answer to Q-19
98,598
x Y = 24
1,500+1,250 x Y
(i) Synergies estimated from this merger might not realise and key assumptions might
not hold true.
(ii) Cost reduction opportunities may include staff downsizing which may require a
heavy voluntary separation package and may also create unrest.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (324)
(iii) The major shareholders of VTL may raise the concern that after issuance of shares
to BTL, their shareholding percentage would be diluted and they may not be able to
exercise significant influence in the company.
(iv) BTL might not be able to blend into the culture of VTL and management conflict may
arise due to different organizational culture.
(v) BTL might not be able to provide the quality of products and services that VTL
expects which might cause customer dissatisfaction
(vi) VTL should consider the possible monopoly aspects of the proposed merged.
Answer No. 20
ML 100% 84.91%
SL 100% 15.09%
(vi) Different cultures
Although SL is operating in similar industry but different organizational culture of
ML may not be accepted by the employees of SL.
Answer No. 21
(a) Determination of IPO price and number of shares to be offered
Let ‘𝑥’ be the no. of shares to be issued and ‘𝑦’ be IPO price
xy = 2,632 → 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 1
(200 + 𝑥)y = 7,326 (𝑾 − 𝟏) → 𝐸𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 2
𝐵𝑦 𝑠𝑖𝑚𝑝𝑙𝑖𝑓𝑦𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛
200𝑦 + xy = 7,326
200y + 2,632 = 7,326
200𝑦 = 4,694
y = Rs. 23 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒 𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑢𝑒 𝑝𝑟𝑖𝑐𝑒
𝑆𝑢𝑏𝑠𝑡𝑖𝑡𝑢𝑡𝑖𝑛𝑔 𝑣𝑎𝑙𝑢𝑒 𝑜𝑓 𝑦 𝑖𝑛 𝑒𝑞𝑢𝑎𝑡𝑖𝑜𝑛 1 𝑡𝑜 𝑑𝑒𝑡𝑒𝑟𝑚𝑖𝑛𝑒 𝑡ℎ𝑒 𝑛𝑢𝑚𝑏𝑒𝑟 𝑜𝑓 𝑛𝑒𝑤 𝑠ℎ𝑎𝑟𝑒𝑠 𝑡𝑜 𝑏𝑒 𝑖𝑠𝑠𝑢𝑒𝑑
23 x = 2,632
x= 114 𝑚𝑖𝑙𝑙𝑖𝑜𝑛
Answer No. 22
TTL / BTL
Rs. in million
Value of TTL before take over (MV of equity) (W-1) 34,800.00
Add: Expected cash flows generated from retail outlet division (W-2) 2,766.02
Add: Expected cash flows generated from disposal of BTL textile
manufacturing division (W-4) 2,886.20
Add: Synergy benefits (W-5) 810.68
Estimated value of take over 41,262.90
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (328)
Conclusion: Sale of BTL would be beneficial for its shareholder but it would reduce the wealth of TTL's
shareholders, therefore they would not favour this merger decision.
Rs. in million
Total present value of cash flows from year 1 to 3 433.41
Terminal value [{194.40×(1+5%)÷(11.34%–5%)}]×(1+11.34%)–3 2,332.61
Total free cash flows from retail division 2,766.02
0.80(𝐖 − 𝟑. 𝟒)
67%(𝐖 − 𝟑. 𝟑) ⇒ 1.08
67% + 33%(𝐖 − 𝟑. 𝟑)(1 − 30%)
W-3.4: TTL - Asset beta after acquisition (Combined asset beta due to different business risk)
V V
B = ×B + ×B
V V
34,800(𝐖 − 𝟏) 6,000
34,800 + 6,000(𝐖. 𝟑. 𝟓)
× 0.81(𝐖. 𝟑. 𝟕) +
34,800(𝐖 − 𝟏) + 6,000
× 0.77(𝐖. 𝟑. 𝟔) ⇒ 0.80
W-4: Value from the disposal of the BTL textile manufacturing division
Rs. in million
Net assets of BTL (2,500 + 520) 3,020.00
Net assets related to BTL textile manufacturing division 3,020 × 70% 2,114.00
Value from disposal 2,114 × 1.5 3,171.00
Value from disposal (net of tax) 3,171 – {(3,171 – 2,114)×30%x(1.1134)–1} 2,886.20
W-5: Synergy benefits
Rs. in million
Annual administration cost savings (Post tax) (Rs. 70 m × 70%)/11.34% (W-3) 432.09
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (330)
Answer No. 23
*1 *2
AF @ 12.47% 5 years AF @ 11.46% 5 years
*3 *4
AF @ 12.47% 10 years AF @ 11.46% 10 years
Gearing ratio (Debt to equity) A ÷ (A +B) × 100 45.75 : 54.25 45.75 : 54.25
Since market value of equity subsequent to demerger cannot be computed based on the
available information, existing market value of SPL has been considered for gearing ratio.
Both division's gearing ratio is different from industry's gearing ratios so ungear the
industry beta and regear the asset beta to take into account the different capital structure.
0.96
=
𝐵 = 𝐵 ÷ 𝑉 ÷ 𝑉 + 𝑉 (1 − 𝑡) 54.25% ⇒ 1.53
54.25% + 45.75%(𝐖 − 𝟐)(1 − 30%)
Step 4: WACC – SD
E D 90(𝐖 − 𝟐) 75.90
K × + K (1 − T) × = 18.18% ×
90 + 75.90(𝐖 − 𝟐)
+ 5.70%(𝐖 − 𝟒) ×
90 + 75.90
⇒ 12.47%
E+D E+D
Step 4: WACC – HD
E D 60(𝐖 − 𝟐) 50.60
K × + K (1 − T) × = 16.32% ×
60 + 50.60(𝐖 − 𝟐)
+ 5.70%(𝐖 − 𝟒) ×
60 + 50.60
⇒ 11.46%
E+D E+D
(b) The following additional information that would assist the directors in evaluating the
decision:
(i) The assumptions and basis behind the high projected cash flows of supermarket
division and comparatively low projected cash flows of hotel division need to be
analyzed.
(ii) The free cash flow forecasts as they stand, appear to take no account of uncertainty.
It would have been helpful to see best-worst estimates, simulations or other
techniques that incorporate uncertainty.
(iii) The only information about risk is industry details. The risk profiles of the either or
both the divisions might differ significantly
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (332)
(iv) Future debt finance requirement is very important as initial gearing arrangements
might not be sufficient if demerged entities to achieve the predicted level of free cash
flows.
(v) Individual divisions might be more vulnerable to takeovers because of their smaller
size after demerger.
(vi) Views of the shareholders and other stakeholders i.e. employees, creditors etc. need
to be considered on the demerger plan e.g. how will creditors view their security.
Answer No. 24
(a)
Assumptions:
- Free cash flows given in question are free cash flows to firm
- In absence of expected growth in share price of YL, current share price is used for K d
calculation of TFCs
Rs. million
Combined firm value [1,340 / 0.1505(W-1)] 8,903.65
Value of TFCs [2,350 x 120/100] (2,820.00)
Value of Debentures [1,800 x 47/50] (1,692.00)
Combined equity value 4,391.65
Effect on shareholders of YL
Rs.
YL share price after acquisition [4,391.65 / (450 + 300 x 2.73)] 3.46
Since the share exchange ratio as desired by WL's shareholders will result in significant
fall in share price of YL, therefore, this ratio will not be acceptable to YL's shareholders
ALTERNATIVE – 1
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (333)
Assumptions:
- Free cash flows given in question are free cash flows to firm.
- If values of YL and WL are calculated using free cash flow method, then these value are
are very low as compared to current market prices. Hence it seems that market prices are
overvalued and will return to equilibrium soon. Moreover, value of combined company
has to be calculated using free cash flow method, therefore, it will be fair to use values
using free cash flow method instead of current market values for solving question.
However, discount rates will have to be calculated using current market prices.
Rs. million
Combined firm value [1,340 / 0.1505(W-1)] 8,903.65
Value of TFCs [2,350 x 120/100] (2,820.00)
Value of Debentures [1,800 x 47/50] (1,692.00)
Combined equity value 4,391.65
Rs.
Current value per share [1,010.7 / 300] 3.37
Target offer share price [3.37 x 1.05] 3.54
Effect on shareholders of YL
Rs. million
Current firm value of WL [860 / 0.1533 (W-1)] 5,609.92
Value of TFCs (2,820.00)
Current equity value of WL 2,789.92
Rs.
Current value per share [2,789.92 / 450] 6.20
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (334)
K
YL: (W-3) ⇒ 11.80%
WL: 14% × 1,800 × 0.65 ÷ (1,800 ÷ 50 × 47) ⇒ 9.68%
WACC: K × + K (1 − T) ×
6,750 2,820
YL: 16.80 × + 11.80 × ⇒ 15.33%
6,750 + 2,820 6,750 + 2,820
2,700 1,692
WL: 17.40 × + 9.68 × ⇒ 14.43%
2,700 + 1,692 2,700 + 1,692
Combined WACC
= [15.33% × (6,750 + 2,820) + 14.43% × (2,700 + 1,692) ÷ (6,750 + 2,820 + 2,700 + 1,692) ⇒ 15.05%
Internal rate of return: 10% + [ (13% – 10%) × {7.18 ÷ (4.8 + 7.18)}] 11.80%
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (335)
Answer No. 25
(a)
0 1 2 3
--------------------- Rs. in million ----------------------
Sales [LY combined sales x 1.06] 785.46 832.59 882.54
Cost of sales [LY combined COS x 75% x 1.06] (392.73) (416.29) (441.27)
Operating expenses (75.18) (78.94) (82.89)
Yr-1 [{(84 + 30) x 90% - 31} x 1.05] Yr-2 onwards [LY x 1.05]
Depreciation [(384 + 110) x 25% + (84 + 30) x 10%] (134.90) (134.90) (134.90)
Redundancy payments (20.00)
PBIT (20.00) 182.65 202.45 223.49
Tax (48.80) (60.74) (67.05)
Yr-1 [(182.65 - 20) x 30%] Yr-2 onwards [PBT x 30%]
Depreciation 134.90 134.90 134.90
Working capital investment (W-1) (20.34) (21.56) (22.85)
(20.00) 248.42 255.06 268.49
Terminal value [268.49 x 1.03/(0.18 - 0.03)] 1,843.60
(20.00) 248.42 255.06 2,112.09
Factor @ 18% 1.000 0.847 0.718 0.609
(20.00) 210.41 183.13 1,286.26
Although the difference is insignificant but due to increase in EPS, the share option is more attractive
because increase in EPS would eventually result in higher share prices.
In case of funding through debt, the impact on working capital cash flow may be a greater problem
as borrowing of Rs. 450 million at 10% would mean an additional Rs. 45 million of interest (pre tax)
must be paid annually and this may be difficult to service and would also affect the profitability.
81.74 126.74
Tax 30% (24.52) (38.02)
PAT 55.00 57.22 88.72
No. of shares (million) 20.50 20.50 30.79
EPS (Rs. per share) 2.68 2.79 2.88
million shares
No. of shares to be issued [12.7 x 0.8099] 10.29
Already issued shares 20.50
30.79
Answer No. 26
(a)
Valuation of WL shares
1 2 3 4
------------------- Rs. million --------------------
Revenue [LY x 1.025] 3,045.07 3,121.20 3,199.23 3,279.21
Exp. (excl. depreciation) [LY x 1.02] (2,448.00) (2,496.96) (2,546.90) (2,597.84)
Depreciation (W-1) (950.00) (895.00) (835.50) (771.95)
(352.93) (270.76) (183.17) (90.58)
Tax - - - -
Depreciation 950.00 895.00 835.50 771.95
597.07 624.24 652.33 681.37
Capex (500.00) (400.00) (300.00) (200.00)
WC Inv [Increase in revenue x 10%] (7.43) (7.61) (7.80) (8.00)
Free cashflow to firm 89.64 216.62 344.52 473.37
Terminal value [473.77(W-2) ÷ 0.0786(W-3)] - - - 6,027.64
89.64 216.62 344.52 6,501.02
Discount factor at 7.86% (W-3) 0.927 0.859 0.796 0.738
83.10 186.08 274.24 4,797.75
WORKINGS
W-1 Depreciation 1 2 3 4
--------------------- PKR million ---------------------
b/d 9,000.00 8,550.00 8,055.00 7,519.50
Capex 500.00 400.00 300.00 200.00
9,500.00 8,950.00 8,355.00 7,719.50
Depreciation 10% (950.00) (895.00) (835.50) (771.95)
Contribution 8,550.00 8,055.00 7,519.50 6,947.55
W-2
Net cashflow 681.37
Tax (197.60)
WC Inv. (10.00)
473.77
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (339)
* Credit spread for 18 years maturity is calculated by averaging 10 years and 30 years spreads given.
(b)
Rs.
Post merger value: million
Combined equity [8,600 + 4,341.17] 12,941.17
Synergies 3,000.00
15,941.17
million
Revised no. of shares of SIL [2m + 0.5m x 2/1] shares 3.00
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (340)
SIL Rs.
Revised share price [15,941.17 / 3] 5,313.72
Existing share price 4,300.00
WL
Bid adjusted share price [5,313.72 x 2/1] 10,627.45
Existing share price [4,341.17* / 0.5] 8,682.34
Conclusion:
Shareholders of both companies will gain due to merger. Therefore, it is likely the terms of merger will
be accepted.
* No information is given regarding current share price of WL which must definitely be lower than value
calculated in part(a). However, in absence of current share price, we are using value of equity as per
part (a) as current equity value of WL.
Answer No. 27
Alpha Foods Limited
The current gearing level of Alpha Foods Limited is 20.88% which is significantly below the
investor’s maximum threshold of 30%.
Investors have cause to be concerned, as the issue of new debenture of Rs. 22,500 million to
fund FF’s acquisition is expected to raise the gearing to 35.44%, which is higher than the
acceptable 30% threshold.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (341)
The directors will need to explain to its investors why the benefit of this acquisition warrants
operating at a higher gearing level. Otherwise there is a risk that key institutional investors may
refuse to support the acquisition.
Find the weighted average asset beta based on current equity values:
Alpha FF
Proportion based on equity values (B) 66.8% 33.2%
(43,575÷65,247) (21,672÷65,247)
Weighted average asset beta C=A×B 0.818 0.748
1.566
Regear the asset beta to AFFL level of gearing to reflect the actual level of financial risk
accepted by both groups of shareholders:
ßg = 1.566 [1+(1–0.29)38,500÷70,141] OR 1.566÷[70,141÷(70,141+38,500×71%)] = 2.176
Ke = 9.94%
Kd debenture = 6.33%
Kd loan = 3.91%
The directors of Alpha propose that the sale of the division will reduce AFFL’s debt by Rs. 8,500
million. This is forecast to reduce the gearing level to 29.96%, based on existing values. This is
within the upper level that institutional investors are believed to find acceptable.
However, this is very close to upper limit, and it assumes there is no change in share price
following the sale of the division, which is unlikely. The share price could rise or fall depending on
how positively the market react to the proposed sale.
If the share price falls then gearing may rise higher than 30% gearing threshold, and this may
result in additional share price volatility if key investors decide to sell their shareholdings due to
a perception of unacceptable levels of financial risk.
Impact on WACC
Regear the asset beta to reflect the revised level of gearing:
ßg = 1.566 [1+(1–0.29)30,000/70,141] OR 1.566÷[70,141÷(70,141+30,000×71%)] = 2.042
Calculate the cost of equity using CAPM:
Ke = Rf + ßg (Rm – Rf)
Ke = 3.85 + 2.042 × (6.65-3.85) = 9.57%
Following the sale of the division and the repayment of the loan, the overall WACC is forecast to
increase from 8.31% to 8.42% which is not significant.
CHAPTER – 6 BUSINESS VALUATION (343)
This suggests the overall risk to investors remains unchanged, meaning investors are likely to
support the sale of the division if risk and return levels are maintained, whilst operating within
the acceptable gearing threshold of 30%.
On the basis that there is no change in the value of the equity shares, and the Alpha is unable to
add further value to the rice food product division, and its sales have no impact on the capacity
of the remaining business, then the sale is recommended on the basis that group gearing will be
acceptable to its major shareholders.