Levelized Cost of Hydrogen
Levelized Cost of Hydrogen
Levelized Cost of Hydrogen
Energy
journal homepage: www.elsevier.com/locate/energy
a r t i c l e i n f o a b s t r a c t
Article history: The European Union expects that hydrogen will play a vital role in future energy systems. Fuel cell
Received 11 February 2021 electric vehicles currently present a key development path for electrification of the transport sector,
Received in revised form which requires infrastructure investments of hydrogen refueling stations, preferably powered by re-
3 November 2021
newables such as solar and wind energy. The economic feasibility of refueling stations depends on
Accepted 11 December 2021
geographical locations. This study introduces a model to identify the key cost components of renewable
Available online 15 December 2021
hydrogen for refueling stations, and simulates the performance using solar radiation, wind speed, and
electricity price data in a selection of Swedish cities. The study demonstrates the importance of inte-
Keywords:
Hydrogen refueling
grating the electricity grid in green hydrogen production. Wind speed is crucial in reducing the cost,
Wind whereas solar radiation has less influence. In addition, a combination of solar and wind brings better
Solar PV performance in an off-grid scenario. The most encouraging finding is the cost of 35e72 SEK/kg (3.5e7.2
Energy policy V/kg), which is competitive with reported costs in other EUcountries, especially since this cost excludes
Renewable energy any government support scheme. The study provides a reference for investors and policy makers fore-
seeing the industrial landscape for hydrogen energy development.
© 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license
(http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
https://doi.org/10.1016/j.energy.2021.122906
0360-5442/© 2021 The Authors. Published by Elsevier Ltd. This is an open access article under the CC BY license (http://creativecommons.org/licenses/by/4.0/).
O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
stations. electricity from renewables [7]. Kakoulaki et al. [7] argued that
Five hydrogen refueling stations have recently been installed in biomass has great potential as an industrial feedstock in circular
Sweden, for pilot, technical feasibility, and business demonstration systems, but it remains at a laboratory or pilot scale and is therefore
purposes. Our study refers to one currently operating hydrogen excluded from further investigation (also cf [1,8]. There are, argu-
refueling station in Mariestad PV solar park, which already has ably, several green hydrogen solutions, but some renewables have
solar PV panels, electrolyzer, compressor, and storage equipment non-negligible GHG emissions, whereas electrolysis using renew-
installed. This off-grid station integrates renewable electricity able electricity, such as wind and solar, results in hydrogen with
generation and hydrogen production and provides reference data very much lower GHG emissions [5]. Hydrogen produced from
for investment, technical operations, information of basic system electrolysis with renewables is in line with the EU's climate
settings in this study. Also, our data (solar radiation and solar PV neutrality goals [7] and also with the purpose of our study.
output) will be compared with their operational outputs to ensure If hydrogen is produced from electrolysis, a vital cost element or
the data quality. Even though the Mariestad refueling station is influential factor is the cost of electricity. Schenk et al. [18] con-
designed as a stand-alone system without grid electricity, our ducted such a study using off-peak wind power in the Netherlands.
assessment will include a comparison between on-grid and off-grid The study concluded that hydrogen is a feasible solution when the
solutions and will be extended to other location sites. installed wind power capacity is sufficiently large and this
Motivated by the above background, this study investigates the hydrogen production facility even constitutes a mean to stabilize
economic feasibility of hydrogen refueling stations using solar and the electricity grid. They also argued that hydrogen production has
wind power as main energy inputs in Sweden. More specifically, we a greater potential in countries with a more “… rigid power plant
investigate the levelized cost of hydrogen (LCOH) of hydrogen park …” ([18] p. 1968), such as Sweden and France, which have
supply chains to provide hydrogen for refueling stations in various considerable shares of nuclear power in the grids [16,19]. Tlili et al.
locations cities in Sweden that represent typical geographic fea- [16] conducted a study on French hydrogen production, using
tures, such as wind speed and solar radiation. The system encom- electricity surplus, with scenarios till 2035. The analysis included
passes major investment costs such as wind, solar PV, compression, potential locations in various French regions, with their specific
hydrogen storage, and the study inputs are wind speed data, solar conditions regarding surplus electricity. The study concluded that
irradiation, and grid electricity price (depending on the scenario). renewable electricity generation on its own is insufficient to sup-
The investigation includes nine cities in Sweden, namely Mariestad, port hydrogen production in an economically feasible scale. To
Halmstad, Gothenburg, Stockholm, Linko € ping, Karlstad, Borla
€nge, reach higher levels of hydrogen production, currently available
Falsterbo-Skåne, Hoburg-Gotland. However, only the first four cit- nuclear power is needed [16], and hydrogen production locations
ies are presented as representatives as others have similar results. are reliant on various regions’ situations regarding installed power
In the study, we collected the technical and operational data and suitability for the production of renewable electricity. Similarly,
from the refueling station in Mariestad, as well as data on solar Tang et al. [19] stated that hydrogen production based on electricity
radiation, wind, and electricity prices, to analyze various alterna- surplus from a nuclear power plant constitutes an efficient
tives and evaluate the respective cost components. Furthermore, component for transiting towards new renewable electricity in
we study the choice of infrastructure and the impact of location Sweden. This means that it is important to understand the system
selection. The study results should provide a guideline for investors in which the hydrogen is to be produced and that it is also vital to
and policy makers to plan the future hydrogen system, and to examine the various locations for electricity and hydrogen
design a transition path to a more sustainable energy system. production.
In this view, the electrolyzer's capital costs, utilization (oper-
ating hours), and the electricity price greatly affect the cost of
2. A brief review of hydrogen production and hydrogen hydrogen production [7,19]. The costs of electrolyzers are
refueling decreasing and are predicted to be halved by 2050, while renew-
able electricity costs continue to decrease [7]. From a total cost
The current study aims to develop a simple model to capture the perspective, it is often argued that hydrogen must be compared
major factors associated with a decentralized hydrogen production with the current infrastructure of fossil fuel stations and vehicles
attached with a refueling station. The electricity is mainly provided with a traditional internal combustion engine [20,21]. There are
by the dedicated wind and/or solar PV, with both off- and on-grid several feasibility studies and cost estimates that range from:
options. The model and the results should present an overview of
potential future developments in Sweden for hydrogen facilities, Centralized large-scale hydrogen production [19].
encompassing decentralized hydrogen production and refueling Feasibility studies of grid integration [16,18].
stations. To provide a more comprehensive understanding, in this Studies that include distribution costs to fuel stations [21,22].
section we present relevant studies investigating alternative Decentralized or off-grid PV or wind-powered hydrogen pro-
hydrogen production, and then more specifically hydrogen pro- duction in combination with electricity storage or charging
duction for refueling stations. We also present reference values for [21,23,24].
hydrogen production. Special attention is given to the values for
refueling stations in other regions, which include equipment costs, Other recent studies have discussed the hydrogen costs for
operational costs, and the subsequent price of hydrogen. refueling stations. Campín ~ ez-Romero et al. [25] conducted a feasi-
Hydrogen can be produced from fossil fuels and renewable bility assessment of a hydrogen refueling station network for FCEVs
energy resources [5,6,13,17]. For a brief review of different road in Spain, using taxis in Madrid as the case. The authors concluded
paths for hydrogen production, their potential and associated lim- that a hydrogen infrastructure would only be possible with gov-
itations, we refer to Ref. [14]. To understand the GHG impact, ernment support and subsidies about 50% of capital expenditures,
hydrogen has been color-coded in the policy discussion. Grey and 50% of operating costs and 50% tax exemptions over the course of
blue hydrogen are defined as produced from fossil fuels, with the 25 years. Brey et al. [21] also conducted a hydrogen cost comparison
addition that blue hydrogen also involves carbon capture and for refueling stations across different scenarios in Spain. The cost
storage [5]. Green hydrogen is defined as being produced from included production, distribution, and dispensing, as well as the
renewables, either from renewable biomass or by electrolysis, using
2
O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
added profit margins. They concluded that, in the best circum- 3.2. Economic and technical information
stances, the resulting average total cost of hydrogen was approxi-
mately 5V/kg hydrogen, based on natural gas reforming. Although The hydrogen production includes the initial investment costs
Brey et al. did not calculate the total cost for hydrogen produced and operational and maintenance costs. As fuel is not needed, the
from electrolysis, using their cost estimates would mean a cost of main operational cost is water consumption. Revenues from the by-
ca. 11V/kg. In Brey et al.‘s estimation, the break-even price, corre- product such as oxygen (Table 2) and electricity (if applicable in the
sponding to the petrol cost per km for a consumer using a on-grid scenario) are included in the model.
passenger-sized road vehicle, was 9V/kg hydrogen, and this can be We consider both wind turbines and solar PV panels with
set as the reference level of hydrogen cost at a refueling station. 250 kW as the base unit. This is the installed solar capacity to cope
The background review in this section shows that the cost ele- with the installed electrolyzer (270 kW) in Mariestad. We note that
ments and cost level of hydrogen depends largely on the setting of the aim is to investigate the impact of solar PV and wind on the
hydrogen production; that is, centralized production vs. decen- economic performance. The equipment size and its investment
tralized production, inclusive vs. exclusive distribution cost, loca- costs are assumed to be linear when the capacity varies between
tion, and government subsidy, etc. This means that it is important one to four base units. The economic and technical details are
to examine the local conditions for generating electricity, since this illustrated in Table 1.
will impact the available electricity and thus the corresponding
costs and market prices.
4. Data
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O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
Table 1
Investment costs of main equipment and economic data of a hydrogen refueling station (1V ¼ 10 SEK).
Station
Electrolyzer 270 kW 6.8 million SEK
Compressor 2.5 million SEK Coped with electrolyzer
Other equipment 1.8 million SEK
Sum 11.1 million SEK Site information
Solar panel 250 kW 1.75 million SEK Site information
Wind turbine 250 kW 5 million SEK
Storage (one unit) 1900 Kg Hydrogen 1.95 million SEK Site information
Cost of capital 6% [15]
Maintenance cost 1% of initial investment Site information
Lifetime of project 20 years
Table 2
Technical and operating data.
Table 3 the locations in this study. The hourly electricity price is available
Solar PV panel data, example of Mariestad. for 2020, but the price is substantially lower than previous years.
Latitude 58.711
This is mainly due to low economic activity in the pandemic period,
Longitude 13.824 so the market data in 2020 is not representative. Therefore, we
Elevation (m) 54 exclude the electricity price data from 2020.
Radiation database PVGIS-SARAH
Slope 10 deg.
Azimuth 45 deg. 4.2. Overview of data
Nominal power of PV 250.0 kWp
System losses 14.0%
We collect data from nine cities in southern Sweden. However,
this paper reports only four representative cities, or places in
proximity to Mariestad, Halmstad, Gothenburg, and Stockholm.
and humidity. A typical a varies between 0.1 and 0.3 [30], and this
With 250 kW installed capacity respectively of solar PV and wind
study adapts a ¼ 1/7 (so-called 1/7 power law, [30,31]. Further-
power generators, and hourly data over 12 years, we illustrate the
more, the wind speed is transferred into power output, which is the
results in Table 4. The solar PV has an average hourly power output
installed capacity multiplied with the output factor indicated as
ranging from 26.25 kWh to 28.07 kWh, with a small variation be-
8 tween the four cities. We also calculate the capacity factor (CF),
< 1 erfc X xmid þ 1 ; if X < Pcut
> which is defined as the ratio between actual electricity output
FðXÞ ¼ 2 xscale (2) versus the installed capacity [16]. The solar PV has an average CF
>
:
0; if X Pcut value between 10.51% and 11.24%.
On the other hand, the wind speed differs widely, with the
where erfc is the error function. When wind speed X is lower than lowest average 3.52 m/s in Mariestad, and the highest 6.72 m/s in
Pcut , the cutting wind speed, F(X) exhibits an “S” curve. Xmid and Stockholm. The CF ranges from 11.57% to 50.71%. The output in
Xscale are parameters that define the position of “S00 curve. When the Stockholm is rather high. The exact location of the place we call
wind speed X is beyond Pcut , the wind turbine will be stopped. For Stockholm is Stavsna €s in the archipelago, where a high wind tur-
details of the model, see Johnson et al. [32]. This study adapts the bine output has been reported by Siyal et al. [35]. We also note that
parameters, Pcut ¼ 25, xmid ¼ 10 and xscale ¼ 4. This power output the CFs of solar PV and wind will affect the capacity factor of
curve obtained from Eqs. (1) and (2) is compared with the power electrolyzer and therefore the cost of hydrogen (see Section 5 for
output curve of the commercial wind turbines of Vestas with details).
similar size, in order to ensure that the two curves fit well, and Using 2016 data, we can illustrate the hourly power outputs of
subsequently our models (Eqs. (1) and (2)) and the associated pa- four cities (see Appendix 1). The solar PV has a strong seasonal
rameters are properly set [33]. pattern, whereas a wind turbine is more intermittent. The four
In addition, hourly electricity prices are retrieved from Nordpool cities differ considerably in terms of average wind power outputs.
Spot [34] between 2013 and 2019 (for seven years). Since the Fig. 2 and Fig. 3 included monthly and hourly average electricity
electricity market in Sweden is divided into four regions, we select outputs of corresponding time in different years for PV and wind
those regions (Regions 3 and 4) where all the example cities are respectively. We now investigate the base unit of solar PV equip-
located. ment (250 kW) with the electrolyzer. This is the actual setting in
We need to note that the solar radiation data and wind speed Mariestad. According to Fig. 2, the electricity output has some
data in EU Science Hub is only available between 2005 and 2016 for variations between the years, but the seasonal pattern is
4
O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
Table 4
Capacity factor (%) of solar PV and wind.
Year 2005 2006 2007 2008 2009 2010 2011 2012 2013 2014 2015 2016 Average
Fig. 2. Average electricity output in different years (with different legend colors) between 2005 and 2016 with one base unit of solar PV. (For interpretation of the references to color
in this figure legend, the reader is referred to the Web version of this article.)
Fig. 3. Average electricity output in different years (with different legend colors) between 2005 and 2016 with one base unit of wind. (For interpretation of the references to color in
this figure legend, the reader is referred to the Web version of this article.)
considerably obvious with highest output in June. The main elec- Actually, electricity price is determined not only by wind and solar,
tricity output occurs between March and September, with the peak but also by resources such as hydro, nuclear, and biomass. Addi-
in June. The hourly output also shows a distinct daily pattern. In the tional factors such as random electricity demand, economic con-
investigation, the peak output occurred as 188 kWh at 12 noon on ditions, and international fuel prices also have an influence. Such
May 30, 2011. Since it is still smaller than the electrolyzer capacity, complexity makes the electricity price difficult to forecast [36].
all electricity from solar PV will be supplied to the electrolyzer. Nevertheless, electricity price is generally less expensive in sum-
Supplying electricity to the electricity grid is impossible in the mer than in winter (Fig. 4). Also, the daily pattern of electricity price
current setting. is more obvious, as it often reaches a peak at 8:00 and 9:00, and
According to Fig. 3, the variation between the years is larger then the second peak at 18:00 and 19:00 (Fig. 4). In this study we
when we aggregate the monthly wind data. The lowest output from define 8:00e19:00 as the peak time of the day, and the rest as off-
wind generators occurs in June and July. The hourly output is higher peak.
in the daytime than in the night-time. Interestingly, if we combined
solar PV and wind for producing electricity, the outputs comple-
5. Economic evaluation based on LCOH
ment from a seasonal perspective (monthly), but there is no such
advantage on the daily basis. This brings the interest of combing the
We use Levelized Cost of Hydrogen (LCOH, measure as SEK per
solar PV and wind resources for hydrogen production.
kg) for the economic performance of hydrogen production. LCOH is
The electricity price pattern is more difficult to observe.
defined as discounted cash flows divided by the discount hydrogen
5
O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
Fig. 4. Average electricity price in different years (with different legend colors) between 2013 and 2019. (For interpretation of the references to color in this figure legend, the reader
is referred to the Web version of this article.)
48.9 kWh/kg as a constant converting factor, i.e. 48.9 kWh elec- Table 6
tricity is equivalent to 1 kg hydrogen, and vice verse.In the opera- LCOH and cost components with one base unit of wind turbine.
tion of the refueling station, at least one storage unit (1900 kg Cost element/price/CF Mariestad Halmstad Gothenburg Stockholm
hydrogen) should be installed. Also note that the storage capacity is Refueling Station annuity 55.5% 55.8% 50.5% 51.0%
the outcome of simulation, and it affects the investment. Utilizing Solar PV annuity 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
different production alternatives, we can estimate the total costs in Wind turbine annuity 25.0% 25.1% 22.8% 23.0%
the hydrogen refueling station by using the simulation. Storage Annuity 9.8% 9.8% 17.86% 17.9%
Subtotal annuity 90.3% 90.7% 91.1% 91.9%
Maintenance cost 10.4% 10.4% 10.5% 10.5%
6. Simulation analysis Operation cost 0.2% 0.3% 0.4% 0.6%
O2 income 0.8% 1.3% 1.9% 3.0%
We combine 12 years of solar radiation and wind speed data and Total 100% 100% 100% 100%
LCOH, SEK/kg H2 336 194 135 84
seven years of electricity price data, all on an hourly basis, to Capacity Factor 11.1% 19.1% 30.3% 48.4%
simulate the electricity output, hydrogen production, and subse-
quently the hydrogen storage size, and other results with 84 rep-
lications. We investigate scenarios with off-grid and on-grid
compared with solar PV. In addition, with a high wind speed, an
alternatives, and various combinations of installed capacities for
increasing hydrogen volume demands a large storage cost (see
electricity production. The difference between off-grid and on-grid
Gothenburg and Stockholm cases).
alternatives is due to excluding and including the grid option; see
Fig. 1. The installed electrolyzer capacity remains the same.
6.1.3. Combination of solar PV and wind
We further investigate the results when solar PV and wind
6.1. Off-grid
turbine are combined for supplying electricity. We have solar PV
and wind turbine varying from zero to four units. After excluding
This section investigates the results when the electricity grid is
zero-unit solar PV and zero-unit wind case, we obtained 24 com-
disconnected.
binations. The results are illustrated in Fig. 5, a plot of LCOH and CF
of the electrolyzer. The figure includes the cases of wind only (blue),
6.1.1. Base unit of solar PV
solar only (orange), and solar and wind combination (grey). The
We first investigate the case using only solar PV for electricity
special cases of equal installed units (capacity) of solar PV and wind
supply. We begin with the solar PV with an installed capacity of
are highlighted with the mark “x”.
250 kW (one base unit). With this setting, LCOH is as high as 304
First, obviously a stand-alone wind alternative is not necessarily
SEK/kg, with minor variations among four cities (Table 5). The
better than that of solar PV. This is easily explained as the high
major cost comes from the capital cost (90.32e90.36%), as the CFel
capital cost of wind turbine, for instance when the wind speed is
(CF of electrolyzer) is rather low (10.03e10.35%). This is obvious, as
low (Mariestad). When wind speed is relatively high (Halmstad,
the electricity output is rather low compared with its demand in
average wind speed of 4.26 m/s), the wind alternative already be-
this off-grid system, and the electrolyzer is limitedly utilized, which
comes competitive. In the cases of Gothenburg and Stockholm, the
increases the capital cost (see subtotal annuity). In addition, even
advantage of wind turbine becomes obvious.
with the low CFel, the storage still contributes to 11.90% of LCOH
In all cities, compared with the stand-alone alternatives,
combining solar and wind improves the performance; that is, CFel
6.1.2. Base unit of wind increases and LCOH reduces (Fig. 5). This result supports the sug-
Further, we examine wind power with one base unit (250 kW). gestion that an integrated solar PV and wind system could create a
The results differ largely in four cities. LCOH can reduce to 84 SEK/kg pooling effect of electricity supply, and therefore a better outcome.
in a windy city (Stockholm), or remain high as 336 SEK/kg in a Also, importantly, there is a Pareto frontier for the combinations.
much less windy city (Mariestad) (see Table 6). This is quite ex- Recall that we often expect a lower LCOH with a high CFel. In most
pected. With wind power and a strong supply of electricity, CFel cases, when the installed capacity of solar PV and wind is equal
increases and therefore so does the total production of hydrogen, (“solar ¼ wind”) and each with installed unit larger than 2 (alter-
which further reduces LCOH. Nevertheless, the total capital cost of natively 500 kW), the system performance is located in the Pareto
initial investment (including storage) still stands for 90.26e91.92%, frontier. The only exception is Mariestad, where two units of wind
but the distribution of cost components differs. The electrolyzer and two units of solar PV result in an inferior solution, because the
cost is reduced, but the wind turbine cost increases. This is caused wind turbine receives a very low CF due to a low wind speed.
by the expensive (per kWh) installed capacity of wind turbine Nevertheless, when the corresponding number increases to 3, the
results again become the Pareto frontier.
Table 5 Compared with the cases in Sections 6.1.1 and 6.1.2, LCOH is
LCOH and cost components with one base unit of solar PV. reduced dramatically. In the ideal case of Stockholm, the off-grid
system can have a lowest LCOH 71 SEK/kg, and corresponding CF
Cost element/price/CF Mariestad Halmstad Gothenburg Stockholm
75%.
% as the total cost
Refueling Station annuity 67.7% 67.8% 67.8% 67.8%
Solar PV annuity 10.7% 10.7% 10.7% 10.7% 6.2. On-grid supply
Wind turbine annuity 0.0% 0.0% 0.0% 0.0%
Storage Annuity 11.9% 11.9% 11.9% 11.9% The on-grid case supplies electricity from the grid when elec-
Subtotal annuity 90.3% 90.3% 90.4% 90.4%
tricity from solar PV and wind is insufficient. In this study, we
Maintenance cost 10.4% 10.4% 10.4% 10.4%
Operation cost 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% 0.2% further specify that the grid electricity supply is allowed between
O2 income 0.8% 0.9% 0.9% 0.9% 20:00 and 7:00, the off-peak time when the electricity price is
Total 100% 100% 100% 100% normally low. The electricity price (both buying and selling) is set
LCOH, SEK/kg H2 304 294 289 284 as two multiplies with the price in Nordpool Spot [34]; which is
Capacity Factor 10.0% 10.4% 10.5% 10.7%
considered as the reference for price fluctuation.
7
O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
Fig. 5. LCOH and CFel for different capacity combinations with off-grid condition.
The on-grid opportunity provides a flexible electricity supply. 70 SEK/kg. Investing in wind turbines will end with a high wind
This change improves CFel and reduces LCOH significantly compared turbine investment. In Halmstad, solar PV will be the best solution.
with the off-grid cases (see Fig. 6). However, we need be careful The combination of wind will improve LCOH, but the improvement
when designing the electricity supply. In Mariestad, it seems that is marginal compared with the solution of 4 units of solar PV. In
stand-alone solar PV will be the solution for reducing LCOH to about both Gothenburg and Stockholm, using wind turbines will reduce
Fig. 6. LCOH and CFel for different capacity combinations with on-grid condition.
8
O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
LCOH below 40 SEK/kg. Combining solar PV and wind can further Table 7
reduce LCOH, but the improvement is marginal in these two cities. Required storage capacities in Mariestad.
Fig. 7. LCOH and percentage of renewable electricity for different combinations with on-grid condition.
9
O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
Table 8 settings with integrated solar PV and wind will often reduce LCOH
Required storage capacities in Halmstad. in off-grid cases, cf. Table 11.
n 1 2 3 4 In the on-grid cases, the requirement of hydrogen capacity is
Off grid case
reduced further. We should note that the combined solar PV and
Storage (kg) wind do not necessarily reduce the hydrogen capacity, as the grid
Wind 1440 2030 2157 2174 electricity is used as flexible source of electricity. Also, when solar
Solar 1321 2237 2606 2829 PV is used when installed capacity increases, the storage require-
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 1121 1356 1344 1291
ment increases in all cities. This is again due to the seasonal vari-
Storage/H2 production
Wind 0.1607 0.1345 0.1164 0.1040 ation of electricity supply. In the on-grid cases, the selection
Solar 0.2720 0.2590 0.2481 0.2415 decision between solar PV and wind brings a better result and is
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 0.0828 0.0639 0.0540 0.0475 therefore more important than the choices of combining them.
On grid case
Storage (kg)
Wind 683 916 938 927 6.4. Electricity trading
Solar 1272 2111 2409 2565
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 1079 1346 1286 1203 In the on-grid cases, we have the opportunity of buying and
Storage/H2 production
Wind 0.0237 0.0283 0.0274 0.0261
selling electricity from and to the grid. When the power supply
Solar 0.0452 0.0664 0.0719 0.0742 from solar PV and wind is larger than the electrolyzer capacity, the
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 0.0325 0.0352 0.0320 0.0291 system sells surplus to the grid. On the other hand, when the supply
of solar PV and wind is insufficient and the time is between 20:00
and 7:00 (the off-peak time), buying from the grid occurs. We sum
Table 9 the total selling and buying volume of electricity, and calculate the
Required storage capacities in Gothenburg. percentage of buying electricity, with the results in Fig. 8.
Obviously, increasing the installed capacity expands the trading
n 1 2 3 4
volume, especially in windy cities such as Gothenburg and Stock-
Off grid case
holm, where wind power contributes a significant amount.
Storage (kg)
Wind 2242 2677 2626 2529
Combing solar PV and wind has the advantage of reducing the
Solar 1488 2513 2923 3173 buying percentage, with such impact being greater in Mariestad
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 1481 1523 1381 1278 and Halmstad, whereas in Stockholm and Gothenburg, the com-
Storage/H2 production bination has some improvement compared with the wind solution,
Wind 0.1576 0.1267 0.1078 0.0955
but not to a significant degree.
Solar 0.3011 0.2891 0.2797 0.2742
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 0.0794 0.0569 0.0459 0.0398
On grid case 6.5. Remarks of full-grid alternative
Storage (kg)
Wind 1120 1322 1277 1211
Solar 1442 2396 2742 2933 This subsection briefly describes the situation that grid elec-
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 977 1121 1081 1021 tricity is supplied whenever an electricity shortage from the solar
Storage/H2 production PV and/or wind occurs. Therefore, the electrolyzer is fully operating
Wind 0.0362 0.0383 0.0352 0.0324 with CFel 100%. In previous subsections, the electricity buying and
Solar 0.0510 0.0752 0.0819 0.0851
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 0.0277 0.0280 0.0259 0.0240
selling price is set as two multiplies of the price at Nordpool, and
considered as the reference price. We further examine two cases,
with low and high electricity prices, which correspond to multi-
plication factors of one and three, respectively.
Table 10
First, the full-grid situation further reduces LCOH, mainly due to
Required storage capacities in Stockholm.
the full utilization of electrolyzer. With a low electricity price level,
n 1 2 3 4 we intend to have a lower hydrogen storage capacity associated
Off grid case with solar PV and wind, as the grid electricity can be viewed as a
Storage (kg) flexible and cheap input for hydrogen. With a high electricity price
Wind 3157 3111 2785 2532
level, LCOH is low when the installed capacity of solar PV and wind
Solar 1509 2548 2925 3142
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 2052 1739 1439 1241
increases. As there is a chance of selling the electricity back to the
Storage/H2 production grid, the system then becomes electricity-producing-oriented
Wind 0.1390 0.0996 0.0814 0.0704 because the revenue from the grid becomes more significant.
Solar 0.2999 0.2869 0.2741 0.2662
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 0.0765 0.0491 0.0377 0.0313
On grid case 6.6. Selection of system settings
Storage (kg)
Wind 1544 1516 1363 1244 In this study, we have investigated nine cities in Sweden
Solar 1414 2333 2599 2730 €ping, Karlstad, Borla
€nge, with results similar to Mariestad;
(Linko
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 638 465 381 326
Storage/H2 production Falsterbo-Skåne, Hoburg-Gotland, with results similar/better than
Wind 0.0443 0.0388 0.0336 0.0300 Stockholm). In all cities, the solar PV output exhibits a similar
Solar 0.0501 0.0733 0.0779 0.0796 pattern for supporting the hydrogen production. The difference
Wind(n) þ solar(n) 0.0165 0.0108 0.0086 0.0073 comes from the wind turbine alternative, as the wind speed differs
largely among the locations. Here again, the results of four
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O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
Table 11
An overview of system selection.
Fig. 8. Electricity trading and percentage of electricity of buying from the grid (note: the lines should read to the right vertical axis as percentage, and the columns should read to
the left vertical axis as MWh).
representative cities are presented. A summary of system selection When wind speed is strong and very strong (Gothenburg,
is given in Table 11. Stockholm), there should be a consideration of large wind turbine
In the off-grid situation, the combination of wind and solar PV is capacity, as the production of electricity can be dedicated to the
a good alternative, except the case of Stockholm, where a strong grid, whereas hydrogen production becomes “by-products”; see the
wind and high power outputs exist. It seems necessary to introduce low buying and therefore high selling percentage of the grid elec-
the on-grid solution in cities where wind speed is low (Mariestad tricity in Fig. 8.
and Halmstad), to reduce LCOH. Also, when the on-grid solution is Also note that solar PV efficiency has been significantly
possible, the wind alterative should be avoided in Mariestad (less improved, and its cost could be dramatically reduced in Europe in
wind) and solar PV should be avoided in Stockholm (strong wind). the future [37]. Therefore, the system settings, as well as LCOH are
In other two cities, a combination of wind and solar present a good worth re-examining accordingly, by adapting the framework in this
solution for the hydrogen production, and it provides the oppor- study.
tunity of selling renewable electricity to the grid.
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O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
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O. Tang, J. Rehme and P. Cerin Energy 241 (2022) 122906
References [2] Moriarty P, Honnery D. Prospects for hydrogen as a transport fuel. Int J
Hydrogen Energy 2019;44(31):16029e37.
[3] Cardella U, Decker L, Klein H. Roadmap to economically viable hydrogen
[1] Swedish Environmental Protection Agency. In-depth analysis of the Swedish
€rdjupad liquefaction. Int J Hydrogen Energy 2017;42(19):13329e38.
climate transition in 2020, Climate and Air in Focus. (in Swedish, Fo
€llningen 2020, Klimat och luft i fokus) [4] Acar C, Dincer I. Review and evaluation of hydrogen production options for
analys av den svenska klimatomsta
better environment. J Clean Prod 2019;218:835e49.
2020. Report 6945, ISBN 978-91-620-6945-2.
[5] Dawood F, Anda M, Shafiullah GM. Hydrogen production for energy: an
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