Econreg ChIV
Econreg ChIV
Econreg ChIV
A. Introduction
Until the 1980s, transport infrastructure facilities (rights of way, track, terminals
and associated traffic management) in developing countries were primarily provided by
the public sector for all modes of transportation (road, rail, air, maritime and inland water)
and at all levels (international, national, regional and local, both urban and rural). In
transport “service” provision (conveyance of passengers and freight), railways were
usually a public sector monopoly, while in air and maritime transport national “flag
carriers” were also usually in the public sector. In contrast, in trucking, bus and inland
waterway transport the private sector was predominant, despite the fact that state-owned
enterprises for transport existed in many countries and non-transport state-owned
enterprises often possessed their own fleets. Even in these subsectors, however,
governments have usually played a critical role by determining charges for the use of
public infrastructure and by regulating the type, quantity and prices of private sector
services.34
33
R.K. Thoopal, “Railway pricing and charges”, ESCAP Regional Seminar on Transport Pricing and
Charges for Promoting Sustainable Development, New Delhi (December 2000).
34
A. Armstrong Wright and S. Thiriez, “Bus services: reducing costs, raising standards”, World Bank
Technical Paper 68 (Washington D.C., World Bank, 1987).
83
The provision of transport infrastructure facilities and services by state-owned
enterprises, with restricted entry to the market, was widely believed to facilitate the
achievement of multiple government objectives by increasing government leverage in
policy implementation.
! Excessive operating costs – for example, public transport costs per passenger
kilometre have been shown to differ by 100 per cent and more as between public
and private fleets in a number of developing country cities such as Accra, Ankara,
35
The World Bank has stated that an increasing proportion of transport supply comes from the private
sector in competitive market conditions. This includes 75 per cent of bus services, 95 per cent of road
haulage, 100 per cent of paratransit; and an increasing proportion of rail services. By the year 2000, 100 per
cent of rail freight transport in Latin America was provided by the private sector. In addition, privatising road
maintenance has reduced costs by from 25 per cent to as much as 50 per cent in Colombia. Labour costs
have been reduced by 50 per cent in rail privatizations in Argentina and Brazil. Competitive franchising of
bus operations has reduced operating costs by between 25 per cent and 40 per cent in a number of European
countries such as United Kingdom, Denmark, Finland and Sweden. Even in international transport
concessioning of ports have reduced costs by 30 per cent in Brazil, while withdrawal of protection from
national monopoly operators has reduced shipping costs by 30 per cent in Venezuela. Further examples of
the scope for improved efficiency through regulatory reform can be found at
http://www.worldbank.org/html/tpd/transport/ pol_econ/forms.htm
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Calcutta, and Jakarta.36 The introduction of competition has reduced operating
costs per vehicle mile by over 30 per cent in several European countries;
! Perverse management incentives – where, for example, entry to transport
markets is restricted, prices are usually controlled to limit the rate of return on
capital. This has led to the "padding out" of costs by excessive capitalization; the
unwillingness to pool resources such as terminals, an unwillingness to lease, the
use of more expensive equipment and earlier vehicle replacement than a
competitive market would support, and excessive vertical integration;
! Lack of dynamism – for example, strict entry regulation excludes or limits the
possibility of providing innovative forms of low-cost transport which meets the
transport demands of the poorer groups or higher quality alternatives meeting the
needs of those willing to pay.
State enterprises are not necessarily technically inefficient, for example, in various
ways the performance of Chinese Railways matches the best in the world. However, the
problem is that as long as they have recourse to deficit financing to maintain supply, they
have little incentive to be cost-effective or to respond flexibly to changes in user demand.
Even regulated private enterprises suffer from interference from the government
on matters of operational detail, which leads to the enterprise having poorly defined goals
and relatively passive management that may be unresponsive to changing market
conditions. This has had important consequences:
(b) Service has failed to respond to need - protected monopolies have failed
to respond to new demands for expanded service or improved quality;
(c) Domestic transport costs have been too high – in Argentina, the
privatization of the railways demonstrated that labour costs were more
than double those necessary for the maintenance of a financially viable
system. In the United Kingdom, average operating costs per vehicle
36
A. Armstrong Wright, “Public transport in third world cities”, TRL State of the Art Review, No. 10,
(TRL, Crowthorne, 1993).
85
kilometre in the bus industry were reduced by 30 to 40 per cent following
deregulation and privatization;37
(d) International transport costs have been too high - in Venezuela, it has
been estimated that the practice of reserving cargo for national carriers has
increased shipping costs by 30 per cent.38
In the majority of developing countries, the policy to preserve transport rights for
national flag carriers is misguided.39
The main elements that are necessary in a liberalization programme for transport
infrastructure and services are:
! Depoliticization;
! The commercialization of operational management;
37
P.M. Heseltine and D.T. Silcock, “The effects of bus deregulation on costs,” Journal of Transport
Economics and Policy, 24(3): 239-254 (1990).
38
H.J. Peters, “The maritime transport crisis”, World Bank Discussion Paper 220 (Washington D.C.,
World Bank, 1993).
39
Cargo reservation for national flag carriers shields them from competitive pressures in the international
ocean transport market, with the result that the cost of their services is higher than that of the international
carriers. The loss to domestic importers and exporters is the difference between what they pay for the
carriage of cargo and what they would have to pay in a free market. The gains to balance of payments from
using domestic shipping are much less than their freight revenues because the maintenance and operation of
a national fleet is usually very foreign exchange intensive. Without domestic oil resources, steel making and
an efficient shipbuilding industry, the only savings that materialize are the cost of crewing and vessel
management—assuming that these functions would be fulfilled by nationals. In a study of Venezuela, it was
concluded that freight rates were about 30 percent higher than would have been the case in a free market. On
annual freight expenditures of US$800 million, the cost to the economy was US$287 million. Since 70 per
cent of the freight payments were to foreign carriers, the extra foreign exchange cost was US$187 million.
The balance-of-payments gain from reserved cargo, once allowance was made for all inputs purchased
abroad, was only US$20 million. Losses were, therefore, 9.4 times as high as gains. Loss/gain ratios for
other developing countries were Brazil = 7.4; India = 4.3; Philippines = 6.1; Turkey = 9.2. The validity of
this conclusion depends heavily on the existence of competition in the international shipping business. For
example, Asian countries depended heavily on the monopolistic Far East Freight Conference during the
1950s and 1960s, before they developed their own carriers.
Source: P. Messerlin and others, The Uruguay Round-Services in the World Economy (Washington D.C.,
World Bank, 1990).
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! The selection and detailed design of an appropriate competitive market
form;
! The development of effective competitors;
! Increased private participation in transport infrastructure financing;
! The development of regulatory institutions appropriate to the market form.
(a) Unbundling of functions In the monolithic sectors such as the state railways, the
first steps towards lowering costs may have to be limited to the “unbundling” of
functions. Unbundling of transport and non-transport activities, of transport
infrastructure and operations, of different lines of business, functions or regions
will allow for competition in the supply of inputs. Those components for which
scale economies are lowest can then be subcontracted on a competitive basis. This
already occurs to a large extent in a number of areas:
(c) Separating out public service obligations The setting of political objectives
should be separated from the management of transport enterprises. This can be
achieved by combining commercial objectives with management autonomy
within performance agreements. These should explicitly state the public service
obligations and performance criteria that the enterprise must meet and the price
that will be paid to the enterprise by government for the performance of those
obligations.
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and, to a lesser extent, for airports and seaports (because of water, air and noise
pollution) or for urban and rural secondary roads (where both pricing feasibility
and externality objections hold).
(a) The accounts and performance of the road agency must be made
transparent, with the amount of money spent on roads, the efficiency with
which it is expended and the effects of that expenditure on performance
clearly visible;
(b) There must be a clear indication of what constitutes a charge for roads,
with charges being separately specified from general taxation on use.
Charges for road use must be directly transferred to the roads authority;
(d) Both the level of charges and the maintenance and operational
expenditures should be determined by representatives both of users and of
those whose environment is affected by the roads.
As in most sectors, competitive market forms in transport are of little worth unless
there are effective competitors. The following practical steps can be taken to create
competitors in a transport market:
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! Unbundling parastatals
! Privatization of parastatals
89
timetable for privatization will give a strong incentive to the management of
parastatals to commence the internal reforms necessary to commercialize.
(a) Where the size of the market is large in comparison to the minimum
efficient scale of operation of a mode of transport, several suppliers can
operate concurrently at an efficient scale (for example, in trucking and
rural bus operations);
(b) Where the optimal scale is larger, competition “in the market” can still be
effective if there are good modal substitutes (often the case for railways)
or international competitors (usually the case for air transport and
shipping services and often also the case for airports and seaports)40.
There are several ways of introducing competition into the market for transport
services:
40
In the case of landlocked countries the effective competition may be between alternative corridors to
the sea, with ports in different countries.
90
(a) Route franchising: is a means of maintaining some public control over the level
of services and prices in the public passenger transport market, while using
competitive forces to secure supply at the lowest cost. This can apply either to
unremunerative services alone (such as rural bus services) or for all services (such
as suburban rail services). Further, the supplier can carry either only the cost risk
or both the cost and revenue risk. Where fragmented competition is not possible
because of the indivisible scale of operation, market discipline can still be
introduced by concessioning facilities or systems. This has been applied to urban
and inter-urban railways in Argentina and to the management of urban bus
systems, particularly in francophone Africa.
(c) Competition between modes can be effective where demand is dense and varied,
as exemplified by the role of privately operated minibuses in Hong Kong and
Dakar. Some flexibility towards the introduction of new categories of services at
higher prices may be a means of reconciling the maintenance of a basic low fare
with the provision of adequate total capacity and a sufficiently varied range of
price/quality combinations to meet demand. Within regulated systems, this can
arise either by design, as in the “two-tier” bus systems, or by default as in the case
of shared taxis.
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behaviour when a firm has excess capacity, but it might equally form part of a strategy by
a dominant firm to drive others from the market. Gwilliam and Shalizi41 suggest that to
minimize such dangers, it is advisable to accompany privatization and deregulation with a
restructuring of the industry into a number of smaller firms. Where the optimal scale is
very small (as in taxi and trucking sectors), ownership should be fragmented, if necessary,
by transferring the ownership of assets to former employees. Competition in transport
markets should then be subject only to general oversight by the competent national
authority responsible for ensuring fair competition.
Table 10 sets out the scope for private sector finance and management in the
transport industry. Almost all transport operations can be undertaken by the private sector
in some form. The table distinguishes between infrastructure facilities and services. In
terms of transport facilities, the competitive award of long period concessions, licences or
facility leases is the primary means for introducing market forces into the provision and
management of infrastructure with the objective of stimulating efficiency by transferring
risk to the private sector. Concessions and leases have been applied to toll roads, railways,
ports and airports in many countries.Concession arrangements must be carefully
designed, with the development of effective prequalification criteria to select reputable
firms. They must discourage over-optimistic bids based on unrealistic traffic forecasts and
prices or the understatement of construction costs. But there is evidence of substantial
achievement. In the port sector, for example, the long-term leasing of berths, either with
or without cargo handling equipment, has brought about increased efficiency in the
utilization of labour and equipment in many countries. Where local entrepreneurial skills
are limited, the periodically renewable management contract, may be better in the
shortterm, although its long-term desirability depends on how quickly local capability is
developed.42 The key message is that the pace of regulatory reform must be tempered by
considerations of administrative and commercial capability.
41
Kenneth M. Gwilliam and Zmarak Shalizi, Sustainable transport: sector review and lessons of
experience, TWU 22 10/96 (Washington D.C., World Bank, 1996).
42
K. Gwilliam, S. Joy and R. Scurfield, “Constructing a competitive environment in urban public
transport”, draft, Transportation, Water and Urban Development Department (Washington D.C., World
Bank).
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Table 10. The scope for private sector finance and management in transport
Infrastructure Services
Urban road Though usually free, access expressways and All should be private sector, with free
bridges can be tolled; concessions are also entry competitive franchising in the
feasible bus market, according to local
circumstance. Barriers to entry to the
informal sector should be reduced
Inter-urban road Usually publicly owned but construction and Trucking and inter-city buses should
maintenance should normally be contracted be entirely private with free
out to the private sector. Concession competition in the market
development of high traffic volume toll roads
and commercialization of public road agencies
possible for major roads
Rural road Scope for commercialization is limited by low Buses, non-motorized transport and
traffic volumes, transaction costs and social trucking should be provided by the
objectives. Construction and maintenance private sector with free entry to the
should be decentralized with appropriate market
financial allocations
Urban rail Almost all public; concessions can be Concessioning possible with social
considered for some larger cities objectives being embodied in
performance contract arrangements
Waterborne Major ports can be privatized or concessioned. Publicly owned fleets should be
(maritime and Public sector landlord functions may remain privatized. Cargo reservation should be
inland) for strategic planning purposes abandoned
Air Airports usually publicly owned, but can be Nationally owned flag carriers should
concessioned, either for specific functions or be privatized
through private management contracts
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7. Private financing of infrastructure
In the nineteenth and early twentieth century, most transport infrastructure was
privately financed. However, from 1920 to 1980 there was virtually no further private
financing of transport infrastructure particularly in developing or transitional economies.
Since then, and most notably since 1988, private financing of transport infrastructure has
increased dramatically. This applies particularly to the financing of assets for which:
(a) Access can be limited (air and sea ports, tunnels, bridges and major
highways, but not easily achieved for urban and rural local roads);
(b) Projected traffic volumes are high (container ports, freight rail, primary
roads);
Involving the private sector in the design and construction of infrastructure, even
when it is owned and managed by the public sector, can increase supply efficiency.
Private sector skills can then be used in: (i) putting the initial project together; (ii)
assembling the necessary partners to complete the scheme; and (iii) procurement and
operational management. Concessioning is, therefore, particularly appropriate when these
skills are scarce in the public sector, which is even more likely to be the case for urban
rail schemes than for roads.
43
P. Blackshaw, J. Flora and R. Scurfield, “Motorways by BOT: political dogma or economic
rationality”, paper presented to the PTR Summer Annual Meeting, London, England, September 1992.
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may in some cases be a better way of mobilizing private sector skills and incentives than
a programme of single project concessions.
The private sector can become involved in most modes of transport operation so
long as there is a sound legal framework protecting private property and contracts. Large
efficiency gains are achievable in transport infrastructure as a consequence of the absence
of efficiency incentives in traditional supply arrangements. However, a number of factors
make transport infrastructure less amenable to private financing than other infrastructure
facilities:
(a) For some types of infrastructure, such as local roads in urban or rural
areas, the physical difficulties of excluding users who do not pay, or the
high transaction costs of implementing direct user charges, makes the
establishment of a competitive market difficult. Similar problems arise in
scheduling the use of shared rail infrastructure;
(c) Where there are substantial externalities (such as road congestion and air
pollution effects) which cannot easily be addressed by market-based
instruments, there is a greater likelihood of government intervention. This
will reduce the appeal of the sector for private involvement;
(d) Where traffic flows are low, profitability from user charges is also likely
to be low;
The significance of these various effects differs among modes. The greatest
potential for efficiency gains from privatization lie where monopoly protection has
traditionally been strongest, as in the rail sector. The greater the number of dimensions in
which prospects are good, the lower the risk to the investor, and the greater the
probability of private non-recourse finance.
44
J. Meyer and J.A. Gomez-Ibanez, Going Private: The International Experience with Transport
Privatization, Table 15-1 (Washington D.C., Brookings Institution and Lincoln Institute, 1994).
95
Table 11. The scope for private financing in transport infrastructure developing
countries compared with power or telecommunications
A competitive Low High Low Medium Medium High High Low Medium
market
Large efficiency Medium High High Medium Medium High High Low High
gains
Minimal Low Low Low Low Low Medium High Medium Medium
transfers
Few Low Low Low Medium Medium High Low Medium High
externalities
Profits from user Low Low Low Medium High High High Medium Medium
charges
No spatial Low Low Low Low Low High Low Low High
planning effect
Overall success Low Low Medium Medium Medium High High Low Medium
Source: Developed from J. Meyer and J.A. Gomez-Ibanez, Going Private: The International Experience with
Transport Privatization (Washington D.C., Brookings Institution and Lincoln Institute, 1994) Table 15.1.
In general, there are three distinct reasons why it can be desirable to retain some
public control or regulation of the right to supply transport:
(b) Regulation may be desirable where an unregulated market may result in:
(c) While cost reductions resulting from unfettered competition may allow
services to continue that were previously unprofitable, and may even lead
to more frequent services being provided on previously unremunerative
routes by using smaller vehicles that are more suited to low demand,
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sometimes social objectives may require direct financing of some services
that might otherwise be lost through competition in the market. For
example, the elimination of cross-subsidies may reduce supply or increase
the prices of services affecting the very poor, as in the case of rural bus
services. In such situations, making markets “contestable” through
competition for the right to provide subsidized services at least cost, will
still allow unremunerative services to be provided at the least real cost.
All of these defects of the market process may require qualitative controls, for
example, for standards for safe vehicle operation. However, they do not necessarily
require the granting of monopoly franchises and certainly not require direct state
involvement in service provision. Indeed, it is now widely accepted that the economic
reform of transport provision should be aimed at shifting the responsibility for the supply
of transport infrastructure and services from the government to the market.
The rationale is that within competitive transport markets, enterprises have the
incentive to set profit maximizing prices. So long as all competing and complementary
markets are competitive, and there are no adverse effects on third parties that are not
charged for, these prices will also be economically efficient.
(b) Fail to ensure that charges for the use of infrastructure are set correctly.
Privatization or commercialization of public transport without appropriate
charges for the use of public infrastructure may accentuate distortions
both within the sector and among sectors;
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Owing to the high transaction costs of establishing markets for some
infrastructure (such as urban and rural roads) and because of the strategic and
distributional consequences of the absence of effective markets, governments must also
continue to be responsible for structural, fiscal and investment planning. Such planning
will need to complement market activities in transport. Even where the private sector
finances transport infrastructure, it will still be necessary for the public sector to retain
responsibility for the planning of the overall network structure. The specific issues to be
addressed by a regulator will depend on the specific characteristics of the sector and the
form of competition that is created. Where there is “competition in the market”, much
attention will be needed to ensure that competition is effective. Structures that involve
“competition for the market” will require the regulation of concessioning and franchising
and associated pricing or commercial practices.
The effectiveness of the regulator will depend, to some extent, on the clarity with
which the responsibilities of the government, the regulator and other agencies are divided
and specified. Estache and de Rus45 suggest a possible division of labour as set out in
Table 12 below. There are clearly areas of potential overlap, however, it is essential to
protect the indepdendence of the regulator and ensure that it operates in a transparent
manner, within a clear framework for accountability.
Legal framework !
Sectoral policy !
Planning !
Privatization design !
Taxes and subsidies
!
Procurement auctions
!
Concessioning
! !
Franchising
! !
Pricing
!
Control and penalties
!
Technical regulation
! !
Quality standards
Environmental regulation !
Health and Safety !
Antitrust policy !
45
E. Estache and Gines de Rus, Privatization and Regulation of Transport Infrastructure (Washington
D.C., World Bank, 2000).
98
It should be emphasized that investor risk assessments will be based on a number
of factors, including the nature, stability and credibility of macroeconomic policy,
corporate governance, tax policy, labour market policy, and other non-policy risks. Risks
can be mitigated however, through increasing stability in the government’s policy
approach. Reform through systemic regulatory, legal and related institutional reforms
should be transparent, stable and predictable.
! Cost structure
Railway costs are often classified into four broad cost categories:
(a) Train operating costs, in general, vary with train mileage, including the
costs of providing transport services (fuel, crew, maintenance and the
depreciation of rolling stock);
99
(b) Track and signalling costs (including the operation, maintenance and
depreciation costs of the infrastructure) which usually vary with the length
of the route and the number of trains for which railpaths are required;
(c) Terminal and station costs depend on the traffic volume, but they vary
considerably with the type of traffic;
(d) Administration costs tend to vary with the size of the firm.
! Railway infrastructure
! Indivisibilities
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! Public service obligations
Rail services are often controlled for the reason that they are perceived as
a public or social service, to be provided irrespective of financial viability. The
reason for such control is because the industry is regarded as an integrative
mechanism able to overcome geographical barriers in certain areas, aid in the
economic development of undeveloped zones, and even as a guarantee of
minimum transport services for a particular segment of the population. Public
service obligations on rail firms in the form of the compulsory provision of
unprofitable routes or services need to be addressed by regulators when
implementing economic reforms aimed at commercializing the industry.
The policy goal of public service obligation is often supported with the
idea that rail transportation contributes less to the rise of negative externalities
than other modes of transport, especially road transport. There is abundant
empirical evidence showing that the external costs derived from congestion,
accidents or environmental impact (noise, visual impact, pollution etc.) could be
reduced if a substantial part of the road traffic market was transferred to the
railways. This intermodal externality arises from the fact that road transport does
not fully internalize all the social costs that it generates and economists often
recommend the use of congestion and/or pollution taxes, for example, to take this
into account. However, when these mechanisms are not feasible or politically
viable, it might be preferable to lower rail fares in order to obtain an overall
improved intermodal balance. These principles should also be considered when
defining the appropriate regulation for the rail industry.46
The regulatory requirements for the railways, in any given situation, will depend
on its economic characteristics and its performance.47
During the past fifty years, the most common structure of the rail sector in many
countries was the existence of a single state-owned firm, entrusted with the unified
management of both the infrastructure and the rail services. During the same period
railways in many countries have faced a range of interrelated problems, which typically
have consisted of:
46
J. Campos and P. Cantos, “Railways”, in A. Estache and G. de Rus, Privatization and Regulation of
Transport Infrastructure (Washington D.C., World Bank, 2000).
47
I.N. Kessides and R.D. Willig, “Restructuring regulation of the rail industry for the public interest”,
Policy Research Working Paper 1506 (Washington D.C., World Bank, 1995).
101
! Poor management and technical efficiency;
! Low labour productivity;
! Severely congested services;
! Low service quality;
! Services failing to respond to need;
! Deficiencies in the physical infrastructure;
! Assets that have not been maintained;
! Inadequate funds to invest in transport infrastructure and/or services;
! Widespread state ownership and operation of transport infrastructure and
services;
! Low private sector participation in the transport sector.
The list is not exhaustive and there are strong interrelationships between many of
the problems. Further, it is not implied that state run railways are necessarily inefficient or
lacking in investment funds. Clearly the specific causes of such problems will depend on
the particular circumstances of each case. Nevertheless, it is possible to anticipate the
generic causes of each sub-problem as follows in Table 13.48
In general, it was traditionally assumed that public monopolies required price and
service regulation to protect the public interest. In addition, there was often an obligation
on the state-owned railway companies to meet any demand at such regulated prices and
changes to route networks and services usually required government approval. Similarly,
competition was rare and often discouraged. Owing this protective environment, most
national rail companies incurred growing trading deficits during the 1970s and 1980s.
Furthermore, social obligations to their staff made it nearly impossible to reach any
agreement on redundancies or even wage adjustments. In some countries, the companies
were forced to finance their deficits by borrowing, so that their accounts came to lose all
resemblance to reality. Thus, the main problems associated with the traditional policies on
railways were:
(a) Increasing losses on the companies' trading account, which were usually
financed via public subsidies;
(b) A high degree of inefficiency in management;
(c) A business activity oriented exclusively toward production targets, rather
than commercial and market targets.
Policy makers in many countries have agreed that the solution to this myriad of
problems is likely to be found in creating a competitive ‘market-based’ railway
industry.49 It can be argued that the best way to align consumer needs and demand with
the provision of railway services, in a manner which promotes economic and financial
sustainability, is to create a competitive ‘market-based’ railway industry.
48
ESCAP, 2001. Sustainable Transport Pricing and Charges : Principles and Issues (ST/ESCAP/2139).
49
R. Kopicki, and L.S. Thompson, “Best Methods of railway restructuring and privatization”, CFS
Discussion Paper Series, No. 111 (Washington D.C., World Bank).
102
Table 13. Problems of the railway industry
Lack of an equitable fare Lack of user or community representation in service and price
structure and excessive fares decision-making;
Public or private monopoly.
103
Table 13 (continued)
Railway problems Causes
In principle, there are three main options for the vertical organization of the
railway industry:
Vertical unbundling has the benefit that it places rail transport in a similar
situation to road transport, especially with regard to infrastructure planning and pricing.
Hence, governments could study investment proposals on the basis of a cost-benefit
analysis, while pricing policies could be based on the criterion of social cost. An
important problem here lies in the difficulty of defining the social cost of railway
infrastructure use. The determination of the marginal or incremental costs of the use and
wear and tear of one additional train is not, in principle, any more difficult than the
equivalent calculation for road transport. The problem, however, becomes more
complicated for the railway when this cost is evaluated in a congested environment. In
addition, separation of infrastructure from services greatly facilitates the entry of more
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than one operator on a single route. In profitable services this would permit notable
improvements in the efficiency of the industry by allowing direct competition among
operators, and thus eliminating monopolistic practices in the sector. In non-profitable
services, infrastructure separation can be accompanied by tendering, thus stimulating
increased efficiency through competition for the market, the introduction of innovations,
and a clear improvement in marketing. However, the main problem with vertical
unbundling is the potential loss of economies of scope derived from the joint operation of
tracks and services. It is often pointed out that the relationship between the services
supplied and the rolling stock used, as well as the quality, quantity and technical
characteristics of the infrastructure, is so close that both aspects need to be planned
together. Thus, the assignment of different services to several operators may imply a
lower utilization of the staff and physical assets of the sector. Other problems include the
lack of integration which may be confusing for the user and expensive to administer in a
legal sense. Finally, the process of vertical separation of infrastructure and services may
also lead to a reduction of investment incentives for firms or the agency managing the
system.
(a) It may be that the duplication of rail operators on a given route is wasteful
or impractical. The existence of indivisibilities in capacity provision could
lead to the emergence of a ‘natural monopoly’ with its associated adverse
consequences;
(c) Direct competition could lead to the loss of particular services, which
perhaps benefit poorer communities, for the reason that they are not viable
without cross-subsidization or government grants. In such circumstances,
it may be desirable to create competition for the right to provide
subsidized services, at least cost.
Such imperfections give rise to the need for control, but do not necessarily justify
continued state operations or the granting of monopoly franchises. Indeed the scope for
private sector management in railways is considerable.
Since there are significant barriers to entering the market for railway services and
the efficient scale of operation is large relative to the market, it is difficult to create
‘competition in the market’. One possible way forward is to create ‘competition for the
market’ which can be described as developing private operations within a framework of
public regulation and control.
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or competing routes and maintaining competition with alternative modes can produce
significant benefits.
Liberalization of the railway industry creates new roles and functions for the
regulator and new possible regulatory structures. The selection of a new structure will
depend on the objectives of the economic reforms and any constraints may apply that
typically may be one or more of the following:
50
A. Galenson and L.S. Thompson, “Forms of private sector participation in railways”, Transport, Water
and Urban Development Department, Report No. TWU-9 (Washington D.C., World Bank, 1993).
106
! Risk minimization in terms of maintenance of services over time and the
risk of default.
The current emphasis on fiscal and cost efficiency explains the widespread use of
the policy of privatization, both by a system of concessions and by direct sale to the
private sector. Public service obligations and other equity-related objectives are now often
met by combining vertical separation with concessions or access arrangements. Hence,
most countries have opted for concessioning their rail services and, in some cases, even
their rail infrastructure, to private firms in exchange for a fixed payment.
Objectives
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This form of restructuring has been favoured because it allows the government to
retain ultimate control over the assets while the private sector carries out day-to-day
operations according to some pre-specified rules devised in a contract. The main factors
to be addressed in designing a concession contract are:
! Contract type – the size and scope of the package needs to be determined
depending on the economies of scale and scope and the existing potential for
competition. A country’s geographic characteristics will influence the scope for
horizontal concessions based on existing routes and networks. The extent of any
vertical concessions will be determined by function according to the
characteristics of the networks and current state of infrastructure and new
investment required. Indeed, it is possible depending on local circumstances, to
design a mixture of vertical and horizontal concessions depending on profitability
and the financial constraints faced by potential bidders. Similarly, concessions
that combine freight and passenger traffic may be appropriate, depending on
market size and share.
! Duration – the length for which contracts are given can be set according to the
objectives of government. Shorter contracts will create more robust competition.
However, the incentive for firms to invest will be diminished. On the other hand
longer contracts will encourage investment, but reduce enforceability. Re-
auctioning at renewal will be preferable to automatic renewal in terms of
increasing market and competitive pressures.
! Contract contents – the contract should clearly set out the service obligations,
performance requirements and payment conditions placed on the recipient of the
concession. Similarly, the contract should clarify the exclusivity and
compensation for public service provision conferred on the concessionaire. The
contract must describe how risk is to be shared between the government and the
operator through the use of either net cost or gross cost mechanisms. Provisions
must also be made for determining the ownership rights in respect of the assets
both during and after the termination of the contract.
! Price control – the need for price control will depend on the extent of any
monopoly power possessed by the concessionaire and the social objectives of
government. Ideally marginal cost will form the basis of any price regulation
combined with some form of price capping scheme. In general, price
discrimination should be preferred to the use of cross-subsidization to secure the
financial objectives of concessionaires.
! Quality regulation – the regulation of quality in the rail industry can be effected
through defining the service levels to be achieved in terms of service frequency;,
monitoring performance against scheduled departure and arrival times, and
reliability. Safety standards and externalities, both generated and avoided, on
108
competing modes can also be specified and monitored.51 The contract could also
specify the level and quality of investment to be made by the concessionaire and
describe the methods of quality control to be used.
! Infrastructure – the contract should specify the conditions and prices for access
to the rail infrastructure, including track and termini. In addition, any
requirements in terms of coordination and intermodal competition and
connectivity should be determined at the contract stage.
The drafting of the terms for bidding and the contractual conditions provide the
main opportunity to achieve the objectives set by policy makers.
In terms of the actual concessioning procedures for train services the government
or its franchising authority should draw up a shortlist of suitable firms that could then bid
for a fixed term franchise or concession. Their bids could either be in terms of the
maximum fee they would pay, or the minimum subsidy they would accept to run a
service. This means that the auction should be in terms of a total rental or subsidy per
route, rather than in terms of a levy or subsidy per passenger.
One serious problem with rental bidding as described above is that it provides an
incentive for franchisees to charge inappropriately high (monopoly) prices. The reason is
that to win a franchise a firm must offer to pay the highest rental, but is not committing
itself to charge low prices. Subject to meeting the service requirements, a bidder has to
offer as much of its potential profits as possible to secure the franchise. But then it is
committed to maximizing its profits if it wins. In other words, to maximize the bid that
they could make, the franchisees will need to determine prices of rail travel in such a way
as to equate marginal revenue and marginal cost.
This is illustrated in Figure 14. The franchisee will set a price per journey of PM in
order that QM journeys are undertaken because this maximizes its profit. But it is well
known that in this case consumers lose out owing the higher price. Furthermore, the loss
that the consumers suffer outweighs the benefit (in terms of extra profit) that the
franchisee gets. What is required to maximize the benefit to consumers plus profit is that
rail journeys are charged at marginal cost (PC in Figure 14). There is therefore a net loss
of benefits caused by franchisees trying to maximize their profits in response to rental
bidding.
In Figure 14 the net loss is the area abc. This problem persists even if it is the case
that franchisees innovate to improve the rail services that they offer. Since they always
have an incentive to set fares in order to maximize their profits, there will always be a net
loss of the kind in Figure 14.
51
K.J. Button, “Privatization and deregulation: Its implications for negative transport externalities”, The
Annals of Regional Science, 28 (1994).
109
A further criticism is that inadequate competition at the bidding stage may well
leave substantial profits with the franchisees. Furthermore, it is uncertain whether
competition in the form of other operators running or threatening to run services is likely
to be sufficient to prevent monopoly pricing.
As previously mentioned, many rail routes make losses. This means that in
practice most bidding for franchises takes the form of subsidy bidding. The normal
justification for these subsidies is that there are benefits of rail transport beyond those
benefits that users of rail transport receive. Governments have not always been very clear
as to what the external benefits of rail transport are. Nevertheless, they implicitly
recognize their existence. One interpretation of subsidy bidding is that it is designed to
ensure the provision of socially desirable rail services at the least possible cost to
taxpayers. Minimizing the public subsidy to railways is not, however, necessarily a
rational objective of government policy. In the case of rail it could be argued that the
objective should be to maximize the surplus of external (environmental plus social) plus
private benefits over costs.
PM a
b
PC MC
c
MR D
0 QM Number of journeys
110
There are two points to note here. First, any ‘optimal’ subsidy must take account
of the extent of rail usage by becoming a subsidy per passenger journey instead of per
route, as is the case with franchising. Second, the calculation of optimal subsidies is likely
to be very complicated and complex. Given this, subsidy bidding for rail may represent
an improvement over nationalisation, provided that private operators can achieve lower
resource costs than the former state-owned enterprise.
The idea is illustrated in Figure 15. Suppose that the conditions of the franchise
are such as to set a minimum number of passenger journeys as QMIN. Provided that the
average costs of a franchisee (ACF) are lower than the average costs incurred by the
former state rail firm (ACSR), the total subsidy required to run the same rail service falls
as measured by the area abcd.
c ACF
b
Subsidy bidding has another potential advantage. Whereas the franchisee has no
incentive to increase output beyond the required minimum, it does have an incentive to
the improve the quality of service that it offers. The reason is that improvements in the
quality of service can be expected to shift the demand curve up and to the right. The
franchisee can then obtain more revenue from passengers while still retaining the subsidy
for operating the route.
In both rental bidding and subsidy bidding, there will be a need for price
regulation and with vertically separated industrial structures access price regulation for
infrastructure or network access.
Since economic reforms have involved the full or partial vertical separation of the
rail infrastructure from train services, with significant private participation through
concession contracts, price regulation has been essential to limit the potential abuse of
market power by concessionaires. It has, therefore, been necessary to define the
mechanism for price regulation in the concession contract.
111
Economic theory suggests that regulators should ensure that railway fares are
equated with marginal social cost if monopolistic abuse of market power is to be avoided
and economic efficiency is to be realized. In practice, however, the marginal cost pricing
rule entails significant measurement difficulties and because of large economies of scale
in railways, it may not yield financial profitability. Price discrimination policies, for
example, were, and still are, common in transport, either by passenger type (students or
elderly tariffs, frequent or commuter travelcards), number of consumers (group
discounts), type or volume of freight (cargo rebates for some goods) or by time in the day
or season (peak-load prices). The use of two-part tariffs, with one fixed component and a
variable one, is also a common tariff policy in which each unit of consumption (for
example, a single trip) is priced differently. All these methods allow for greater flexibility
for the railways and increase their revenues without much affecting demand or their costs,
but both their social acceptability and the informational requirements they demand can
limit the extent of their application. Therefore, price regulation has been effected by a
number of standard price control mechanisms, the most common being ‘rate of return’
regulation and ‘price capping’. Both price control methods should account for (a) the
degree of monopoly power effectively conferred to the operator; (b) the extent of the
government’s non-commercial objectives; and (c) the possible existence of limiting
factors, such as intermodal competition.
Rate of return regulation involves constraining prices so that the regulated rail
operator earns only a fair rate of return on its capital investment. It is used particularly in
Canada, Japan and the United States. The regulator determines the revenue requirement,
based on a firm’s accounting total costs during a test year, according to the variable costs
and an estimate of the cost of capital to the firm, given by a “reasonable” rate level
multiplied by a rate base. The ‘rate base’ usually includes most fixed costs less
depreciation and working capital. The rate of return based price regulation calculation is
Revenue requirement = Total cost = (Variable cost)+ (Rate level x Rate base)
The definition of the asset rate base, affected by the regulatory activity must
account for three factors:
(a) The treatment of past investments carried out by the rail firm prior to the
regulatory period should be consistent and transparent in order to ensure
that assets are not expropriated by the regulatory action, thereby
increasing the cost of capital required by investors;
112
troublesome. Since market values are much lower than replacement costs,
then valuing assets at their replacement cost would yield large price
increases and windfall gains for private stakeholders at the expense of
consumers. On the other hand, attributing a zero value to the existing
assets would lead to windfall gains for rail users and make shareholders
reluctant to finance future investments. A crude method of addressing this
problem is to undertake a financial projection of the cash flows that the
firm would have earned had the regulatory regime remain unchanged.
Despite its simplicity, there are three problems associated with rate of return
regulation in the rail industry:
(a) There is little incentive for productive efficiency, since firms can pass
production costs on to final users in the form of higher prices;
(b) It leads to excessive investment and capital use because the firm is
guaranteed a return on its investment;
The regulator can control the prices of multi-product firms52 by focusing on their
revenues, correcting them according to adequate weights. It sets the price for a certain
number of years starting with a reference price often calculated according to rate of return
criteria. The purpose of this method is to increase the efficiency of the regulated rail
operator, allowing the firm to earn substantial profits by improving their efficiency while
simultaneously financing current and future operations. This implies that, in practice,
when setting the level of a price cap, the rail regulator must consider several factors:
52
In the case of multi-product activities, this expression can be easily adapted by requiring that a certain
weighted average of percentage price increases not exceed the rate of growth of the RPI less X per cent. The
weight for each price can be defined according to the share in total revenue of each product or alternatively,
it can be imposed that the average revenue (calculating with accounting figures) can grow by at most RPI-X.
113
! The cost of capital;
! The value of the existing assets;
! The future investment programmes;
! The expected changes in productivity;
! Estimates of demand growth;
! The effect of X on actual and potential competitors.
One of the most critical issues is the setting and resetting of the productivity X-
factor. A possible method consists in using indexes or indicators to measure the
difference between aggregate rates of growth of outputs and inputs as a proxy for
productivity. Setting the price cap is a critical activity for the regulator. If the cap is set
too high, too little of the surplus will be transferred to consumers and deadweight welfare
losses will be huge. If the cap is set too low, the firm may be unable to break even. It may
then have difficulty in attracting capital and its service quality may deteriorate.53
These methods are valid not only for limiting monopoly profits earned in
passengers or freight traffic, but also in the control of infrastructure access prices.
6. Infrastructure access
Depending on the extent of vertical separation, the operators of train services may
either be directly responsible for the provision and maintenance of the railway
infrastructure or alternatively buy access rights to use the infrastructure. Infrastructure
includes the stations, terminals, track, and signalling which are characterized by
longevity, joint use, scale economies and indivisibilities.54 Such complexities mean that
the pricing of railway infrastructure is difficult in both conceptual and practical terms.55
The problems to be addressed are the same regardless of who is responsible for supplying
the infrastructure. In the case where a single entity provides both the infrastructure and
the train services, the task is one of cost allocation. On the other hand, in the case where
separate entities are involved, it is matter of determining the charges to be levied by the
entity responsible for the infrastructure for access to the rail tracks and stations by train
operating companies.
In principle, the regulator should ensure that any charging framework should have
the following key characteristics:
53
C. Liston, “Price-cap versus rate-of-return regulation”, Journal of Regulatory Economics, 5 (1997).
54
J. Dodgson, “Access pricing in the railway system”, Utilities Policy, 4 (1994).
55
Australia, Bureau of Industry Economics, “Issues in infrastructure pricing”, Research Report 69
(Canberra, Australian Government Publishing Service, 1995).
114
! Stability - charges should not fluctuate or alter in arbitrary or unpredictable ways,
except where significant short-term cost changes are being signalled if congestion
(scarcity) pricing is introduced, short-run prices could be unstable. However,
predictability about future average levels could be given in some cases by
establishing a long-run avoidable cost around which short-run prices might be
expected to fluctuate;
The costs that underpin infrastructure charges should consist only of those
elements which are relevant to the specific pricing, investment or operating decisions
under consideration. Relevant costs can, in general, be divided into variable costs which
vary with output, and fixed costs, such as maintenance, operations and replacement,
which are incurred whether or not more or less traffic is carried. Use of parts of the
network by more than one user can result in costs that cannot be directly attributed to any
one particular user, the "common cost problem".
A distinction needs to be made between price signals based on variable costs that
guide operating decisions, for example, whether to operate six car trains instead of four
car trains, and charges to recover fixed costs which do not vary with output and which
need to be levied in the least distortionary way.
Price signals for the efficient production and allocation of railway infrastructure
resources should be based on the avoidable (marginal) costs of changes in the use of the
existing network and changes in the network itself. There are a number of characteristics
of the railway network which result in avoidable costs varying according to the place and
the time period in consideration. In particular, railway infrastructure is intensive in assets
which are "lumpy" to install and renew, with long economic lives. This means that, in
practice, charges may need to signal the corresponding avoidable costs associated with
significant and sustained changes in demand in order to generate appropriate practical
measures of incremental costs which at the same time provide meaningful investment
signals and incentives.
However, because capacity is indivisible and fixed in the short term, were charges
to be based on long-run costs and specifically, where these are lower than those based on
short-run costs, this would lead to demand exceeding supply in the short-run. Where there
is excess demand, the price mechanism by itself may not be able to balance supply and
demand without very high charges in the short term.
Efficient costs should be forward looking to reflect what is anticipated about the
future results of a decision to change prices or operations, or undertake investments.
Efficient use of the network could require decremental investment where, for example,
the benefits of keeping a line in use are outweighed by all of the costs, private and social.
The kinked nature of the supply curve could mean that there is a large difference between
115
the incremental costs of enhancing capacity and the decremental costs of reducing
capacity.
(a) The existence of multiple users of parts of the network with different
requirements (for example, access right qualities);
(b) The lack of any direct relationship between access charges and final
demand, i.e. passenger fares which are determined by the train operating
company;
(c) The fact that there is no market-based mechanism for valuing some
elements, such as congestion costs and access right qualities.
The starting point is that charges should reflect the incremental (or avoidable)
costs involved. Incremental costs are the avoidable costs of an incremental change in
output. Both terms are used synonymously, but it should be noted that incremental costs
can be different from decremental costs because of the kinked nature of the supply curve.
Depending on the particular decision under consideration, these can relate to the costs of
changes in the use of the existing network or to the costs of changes in the network itself.
Avoidable costs may cover such items as:
(c) Costs of change and disruption, and compensation payable to other parties
during construction;
(d) Capital costs, including the value of additional land used, and an
appropriate return on the capital costs.
These costs are forward looking and represent the costs an efficient network
would incur - these costs are not simply avoidable, they are the most efficient costs that
can be avoided. In the short-run some elements of the first three costs may be avoidable,
but in the long-run all costs are avoidable. This is an important distinction because short-
run avoidable costs will differ from long-run avoidable costs and the use of one rather
than the other will give different price signals.56
Indivisibility (lumpiness) of assets with growing and changing demand can lead
to:
(a) Congestion costs - as the network becomes more crowded there is less
flexibility to recover from the effects of delays;
56
R. Braeutigam, “An analysis of fully distributed cost pricing in regulated industries”, The Bell Journal
of Economics, 18 (1980).
116
(b) Opportunity costs - the costs of having slots occupied by lower valued
services in place of higher valued services.
These need to be accounted for if the railway network is to be used efficiently, but
if fully reflected in charges, they could lead to a wide divergence between short-run and
long-run costs and the associated price signals, particularly where capacity is lumpy.
One further point about congestion pricing where there are opportunity costs is
that it may, in the absence of capacity enhancement, yield supernormal profits, essentially
pure (scarcity) rents to the ownership of the congested facility. It is necessary for the
regulator to ensure that these profits are used to offset other charges.
Incremental costs are a function of the capability and condition of the existing
assets, and are likely to vary systematically by route on the network. For example,
variable costs can vary by route depending on the quality of the track, and fixed costs that
are user specific, i.e., not common, can also vary by route. There are costs that do not
vary with output but can be attributed directly to specific users where there is no shared
use, for example, single use of a branch line. Route-based charging or other
geographically-specific charging signals would potentially be appropriate to reflect cost
variations and avoid undue discrimination.
Rules can be identified for determining whether the appropriate charge is based
on short-run or long-run costs. These include:
(a) Using the higher of short- and long-run costs in all circumstances;
(b) Trying to reflect the nature of the underlying demand by using contract
length as a proxy, for example, long-run costs for long-run contracts, and
short-run costs for 'spot' contracts.
It can be argued that the appropriate cost to use should be the greater of short- and
long- run incremental cost. If long-run costs are below short-run costs, and the charge is
based on long-run costs, excess demand will occur in the short-run. In the absence of any
price rationing, some form of quantity rationing will be needed which could result in
efficiency losses (if users do not, or are not able to express their preferences). However, if
the charge is based on short-run costs, unless all are aware that the costs are short-run
,there could be over-investment resulting in excess capacity with potentially damaging re-
adjustment costs.
Alternatively, the charge could attempt to reflect the persistence of the underlying
demand, the forecast of future use of the route over the long term, as opposed to
contracted use for the remaining part of a franchise. Short-run incremental costs could
apply to short-term contracts and long-run incremental costs could apply to long-term
contracts (or medium term contracts with trading rights) according to the needs of the
customer. Short-run incremental costs could apply to demand management (use of the
network), long-run incremental costs could apply to capacity enhancement (development
of the network).
117
If the system of franchising had contracts that did not reflect the nature or
persistence of the underlying demand, it would be restrictive to relate the type of costs to
the contract length and this could lead to ‘gaming’ of contract length by operators seeking
lower charges.
In order to prevent sending out signals that could be misread, it is better that,
irrespective of the length of contract, only costs that reflect the nature of demand are
taken into account, whether they are short-run or long-run. In this case, congestion costs
would reflect short-run avoidable costs for short and long contracts, while capacity costs
would reflect long-run avoidable costs, and either would be charged depending on the
level of demand given existing supply.
There are a number of options for the charging structures appropriate for
conveying these signals. One option would be to publish cost-based short-run charges,
with a robust forecasting methodology that enabled users to chart their expected charges
over time as the underlying short-run costs concerned, including congestion and
opportunity costs, would vary as demand and capacity changes. Another option would be
to publish indicative long-run incremental costs. Charges based on short-run costs would
be expected to average to those over the expected lives of the assets concerned. These
long-run costs would be relevant for long-run access contracts. Hence, if the evolution of
short-run incremental costs could be predicted, they could be reflected in, the published
indicative long-run incremental costs drawn from an optimized investment plan. A third
option could be to base charges on the average expected short-run incremental costs
discounted over the life of the access contract. This could fit well within any system in
which contracts of different lengths could be entered into, where charges for a contract of
a given length would reflect the short-run incremental costs discounted over the life of the
contract. This would offset the gaming problem mentioned above if the prices in the
contract reflect the smoothed equivalent of the relevant short-run avoidable costs, and if
future prices are stated and believed to be based on short-run avoidable costs or their
smoothed equivalent for a relevant contract length.
Charges based on incremental costs, including capital costs annualized over the
life of the assets, could completely replace short-run costs as the cost floor for variable
charges. Alternatively, they could be used to underpin the cost floor of charges fixed for
the duration of access agreements (as they relate to investment commitments to support
demand levels expected to be sustained for at least the duration of most access
agreements). The choice of mechanism should depend on assessments of how elastic
demand will be in response to the price signals concerned in the short versus the medium
term.
The size of the increment is an important issue. Too small an increment will result
in most costs being treated as non-avoidable, too large an increment will result in all costs
being avoidable. Where routes have more than one user it is likely that the incremental
cost of all users of the route will exceed the total of the incremental costs of each user
resulting in a common resource problem, the allocation of common costs. The appropriate
size of the increment needs to be considered in light of the circumstances, such that the
common resource problem least affects final demand.
118
Investment should only take place where there is an expectation of a reasonable
rate of return. This will largely depend on demand signals and how persistent they are.
Changes in congestion costs would reflect levels of existing demand relative to the
capacity of the network at a particular point, but they may reflect only short-term
variations in demand. Where capacity can be increased, and there is a forecast persistent
demand, there will be a need to identify the likely value of additional capacity to
determine whether there is a case for enhancement to the network. Where some high
value flows are currently not able to operate because of insufficient access rights, this
value may exceed avoidable costs, including congestion costs. Unless there is some form
of secondary trading of access rights this demand is unlikely to be expressed in terms that
would encourage changes in capacity.
The above analysis suggests that charges for railway track infrastructure should
account for the following:
(a) All the components of charges should be derived and calculated on a route
basis;
(b) All charges should cover the variable components such as track usage,
electricity for traction when used, and congestion costs, and in the long
term, revenue from all charges should cover total route-based long-run
incremental costs;
(c) Route-based costs should be recovered in relation to the level and nature
of track access rights.
If the sum of route-based track access charges fail to cover the total revenue
requirements of the infrastructure operator, then the most efficient method of recovery
needs to be determined.
119
managing the service quality and performance of both train service operators and
infrastructure providers.
The regulator needs to determine the main dimensions of quality to include in any
concession contract and how these will be defined and measured. The main variables
include:
! Operational quality – the dimensions of which include train, route and service
quality. In terms of trains the measurable indicators of quality are vehicle age,
load factors and travel comfort factors such as noise, vibration, temperature and
cleanliness. The number of stations served, service coverage, service frequency,
first and last train times, and reliability and punctuality are usually used as
measures of route quality. The quality of other services usually covers ticket sales,
fares and schedule information, and responses to enquiries and complaints
! Regulators
! Operators
57
J. Campos and P. Cantos, “Railways” in Privatization and Regulation of Transport Infrastructure
A. Estache and G. de Rus (Washington D.C., World Bank, 2000).
120
! Both regulators and operators
(a) Before entering the market, the aim should be to anticipate and minimize
future conflicts between the regulator and the concessionaire of the rail
service. Licences must specify the expected characteristics of the service
in terms of, for example, routes and frequencies of trains or timetables.
For passenger services, particularly in the case of urban or suburban
trains, vehicle capacities and punctuality can also be set. Finally, in order
not to forget the dynamic dimension of quality investment plans and
financing rules must be specified.
(b) During market operation, instruments for quality control in the rail
industry should mostly be related to the direct monitoring of the firm’s
performance. This is the time to introduce incentives toward quality in
price-mechanisms, to design the information revelation obligations of the
firm, and the auditing (external or internal) processes to be carried out. In
most cases, the use of instruments for technical control (such as
tacographs or track electronic controls) complements the standard
instruments.
Performance indicators in the rail industry are used to monitor the behaviour of
one or more regulated firms in order to evaluate the effectiveness of the regulatory
measures they are subjected to. Relatively easy to compile and update they are only valid
when comparisons, either between different firms or the same firm over time, are
constructed on a similar basis. Comparisons across companies usually provide persuasive
results that can be used by the regulator in setting objectives and designing future licence
contracts.58
There are a large number of indicators that are commonly used nowadays to
monitor the performance of firms within the rail industry around the world. In terms of
various areas of performance measurement, the main indicators are:
58
Australia, Bureau of Industry Economics, “Rail freight 1995: international benchmarking”, Report
95/22 (Canberra, Australian Government Publishing Service, 1995).
121
! Commercial performance – in respect of prices and revenues, average fares or
passenger revenues per kilometre may be used as the indicator. Load factors and
average delayed arrival times are likely to feature as measures of service quality.
Accident rates, noise and pollution emissions can be used to measure
externalities;
The sound design of the regulatory framework and the regulatory institutions
requires a number of issues to be fully accounted for. Specifically, these include:
Finally, although the usual belief is that privatized rail companies are more
efficient than public ones, it has been shown that important increases can be achieved in
efficiency levels without needing to fully privatize the industry. In addition, there remain
some critical views with regard to the final viability of the restructuring experiences in
some countries, in particular, if restructuring is accompanied by complex institutional
arrangements that entail higher transaction costs among the agents within the industry. On
the other hand, the vertical separation of infrastructure and services undoubtedly presents
122
advantages, but there are also disadvantages such as the loss of economies of scope
deriving from a network integrated at strategic, tactical and operational levels. It should
also be pointed out that the franchising processes do not always ensure a competitive
result. It is failings of these kinds that have led to the creation of strategic planning
authorities for the rail industry in some countries as part of the process of economic
reform.
In conclusion, although there is no unique form of rail regulation that suits all
circumstances, it is sensible to maintain flexibility and simplicity whenever possible.
These criteria suggest that the design of licence contracts that include private participation
and the organization of the industry adapted to each country’s needs and characteristics,
should be viewed as two of the key issues in the new regulatory environment of the rail
industry. In turn, the use of these mechanisms also changes the role of the rail regulator,
whose actions should be focused on fostering competition and market mechanisms
whenever possible, while simultaneously providing a stable legal and institutional
framework for economic activity.
D. Highways
Estache, Romero and Strong59 have compared the characteristics of the alternative
organizational structures, as follows:
59
A. Estache, M. Romero, and J. Strong, Toll Roads in Privatization and Regulation of Transport
Infrastructure (Washington D.C., World Bank, 2000).
123
sector risks are extensive and include the design and construction of the highway,
the projection of traffic levels, and revenue estimation. Contracts are usually low
in value and of short duration (2-10 years) and can be undertaken by relatively
small local firms.
124
government will need to contribute existing roads and land. The financing
requirements can be very high and the private sector firm will need to accept risks
associated with the design and costs of construction, and with demand and
revenue forecasting. The government may face regulatory risks and the contracts
can be sizeable in value and extend up to 30 years. The scale of such contracts
usually requires them to be undertaken by a consortium of large firms.
(b) Inter-city arterial roads: such roads are usually built to connect cities,
ports and airports. They tend to be expensive to build because of their
length, capacity and strength. Tolls usually differentiate between vehicles
by weight since they carry trucks and buses in addition to cars;
(d) Bridges and tunnels: these tend to reduce travel times and are expensive
to build per kilometre. However, they can usually command a toll.
(a) They complete a missing link in a network and save users significant time
or money;
2. Risk allocation
The allocation of risks between the public and private sectors depends on the type
of contractual arrangement and the circumstances faced in a particular country.
Governments sometimes offer terms that are too generous in an attempt to guarantee that
a project will not fail. Similarly, some firms will bid too low in order to secure a
concession. Highway contracts, particularly for toll road projects, need to be carefully
designed in order to allocate risks appropriately. The main risks to be addressed are:
125
(a) Pre-construction risks: these relate to land acquisition and the provision of new
rights of way. The contractual risk arises where there are delays in the land
purchase and transfer. Given their nature, such risks are normally borne by the
public sector. In such circumstances, simple contractual rules will assist the
regulator;
(b) Construction risks: time delays and additional costs are usually associated with
adverse weather and design changes. The former is a risk that is insurable and is
normally borne by the private sector, the latter lies within the control of, and is
therefore borne by, the government. The regulator needs to build up information
to assist the judgements to be made in compensating concessionaires;
(c) Traffic and revenue risks: these occur where schemes have been based on over-
optimistic estimates of traffic and toll revenues that prove to be insufficient to
recover the capital, operating and maintenance costs of the road. The regulator
needs to access the original demand studies and assess where forecasting
responsibility rests. The solution to such problems usually lies in extending the
duration of a concession to allow full-cost recovery, although this can undermine
the integrity of future concession processes and have adverse political
consequences;
(d) Currency risks: these occur where schemes are financed by foreign capital.
Some contracts provide formulae to be applied when adverse (or favourable)
exchange rate movements occur. Such formulae will distribute the costs (or
benefits) of such movements between the government and the concessionaire and
greatly assist the task of the regulator;
(e) Financial risks: these relate to the possibility that toll revenues will be
insufficient to the cost of capital in terms of debt financing and the required return
on equity.60 In principle, such risks should be borne by the private sector,
however, in practice in developing countries governments usually share the risk
through the provision of revenue or debt guarantees or direct subsidies;
(f) Regulatory risks: this risk arises were there is uncertainty as to how a regulator
may behave in implementing price regulation, effecting universal or public
service obligations, or in enacting competition laws. Similarly, risks exist when
there is the possibility that laws and regulations may change in a manner that has
adverse financial consequences for the concessionaire. The most appropriate
answer is that the contract should clearly define how such matters will be
regulated;
(g) Political risks: relate to the possibility that the government may fail to fulfil its
obligations in a contract either directly by not undertaking contractual provisions,
60
In principle, a regulator can assess risk factors under the concept of the cost of capital, which represents
the required rate of return that investors require on their capital: cost of capital = (required rate of return on
debt) x (percentage of debt in total capital) + (required rate of return on equity) x (percentage of equity in
total capital). Regulators will have to assess the impact of their decisions on the cost of capital and the
required rate of return of equity-holders which is likely to be greater than for debt financiers since they have
a prior claim as creditors to a regulated private firm.
126
such as the building of feeder roads, or indirectly through changes in tax or
competition laws. The concessionaire can expect to be compensated for breaches
to contract by the government;
(h) Force majeure: these relate to risks arising from events outside the control of
either party. Some of these may relate to insurable risks while others may need
the contract to be renegotiated.
(b) The risk that traffic, and hence revenue levels, will be lower than predicted, by
improving revenues sufficiently to cover debt service and provide the required
rate of return on equity.
(b) Debt guarantees: these involve the government guaranteeing any shortfall in the
capacity of the firm to repay principal or interest on debt. Such provisions reduce
the incentives for concessionaires, but may reduce the cost of debt and increase
the amount of loan financing available;
(c) Exchange rate guarantees: these involve the government protecting the
concessionaire from adverse movements in the cost of foreign finance arising
from movements in exchange rates. Such guarantees are potentially expensive
and represent a major risk for governments. They can increase the amount of loan
finance available;
(d) Grants and subsidies: unlike guarantees these are not contingent and can be
lump sum, recurring or linked to operating costs, or related to public service
obligations specified in the concession contract;
(e) Subordinated loans: these fill the give between the equity finance and the
commercial debt finance. Such loans are usually given on commercial terms and
thus need to be repaid with interest.
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In addition to the above, it is possible for the government to provide support to
ensure project revenues are met or that costs are reduced under adverse project outcomes.
For example, ‘minimum traffic or revenue guarantees’ protect the concessionaire’s
revenue where this falls short of the original estimates. Such guarantees should also
provide revenue to the government where traffic and revenue exceeds the original
estimates. ‘Shadow tolls’ involve the government topping up the revenue received from
road users by the concessionaire. Formulae can be developed to prevent excessive
financial commitments where high traffic volumes are realized. ‘Concession extensions’
can be used to extend payback periods. ‘Revenue enhancements’ can be created where
the government either limits competition or permits business diversification adjacent to
the road development for the concessionaire. The above provisions are in addition to the
option of undertaking cost-reducing measures in respect of the project design. Regulators,
both prior to concession bidding or during contract renegotiation, must develop a clear
risk assessment and understand the value of alternative support measures in terms of cost
or risk reduction to the concessionaire.
3. Contract design
The contract for a concession provides the primary means of ensuring the
effective regulation of the activities of a concessionaire. The regulator will seek to make
sure that the operator behaves in the manner prescribed in the contract and that both the
government and the concessionaire fulfil their legal obligations. A well-constructed
contract will assist greatly in effecting sound regulation, resolving potential conflicts, and
achieving the government’s overall objectives. Contracts should, by design, cover the
following, in as much detail as is practicable:
(a) The policy context and the government’s intent and objectives;
(b) The relationship between the specific concession and national road and transport
policy;
(c) The role of the key parties to the contract;
(d) The road or roads to be covered by the concession;
(e) The respective rights and obligations of the public and private sectors;
(f) Clear definitions of key issues such as road building standards, maintenance
standards, and the circumstances in which force majeur may be invoked;
(g) An estimate of building costs and valuation methods for assets transferred to the
concessionaire;
(h) The maintenance schedule and the estimates of traffic volumes and mix (in terms
of vehicle weights) upon which it is based;
(i) The basis upon which variations to the contractual terms may be effected if traffic
volumes differ from those upon which the contract is based;
(j) The investment plan for system expansion or upgrading;
(k) The various types of guarantees and warranties associated with particular
components of the project;
(l) The identification of specific technical and commercial risks and how these are to
be borne by the respective parties to the contract;
128
(m) The penalties for breach of contract by either party and how these may be
invoked;
(n) The regulatory regime, matters to be regulated, and how regulation will be
effected;
(o) The information requirements of the regulator and the obligations of the
concessionaire to supply it;
(p) The extent of limitations on competition;
(q) The procedures for resolving disputes;
(r) The termination provisions;
(s) Assignment and renegotiation rules.
4. Awarding concessions
5. Price regulation
In principle, road prices should be set in relation to marginal social cost, including
externalities such as congestion, accident costs, and environmental pollution costs.
Owing to the existence of high fixed costs, indivisibilities, joint and common costs, and
peak-load pricing problems, the task of regulating road tolls is complex. Further, socially
optimal pricing policies may not meet the rate of return requirements of private investors.
The regulator must determine a set of pricing principles, preferably pre-contract, which
meet the objectives of government in terms of road utilization and sustainability
development.61
61
ESCAP, 2001. Sustainable Transport Pricing and Charges: Principles and Issues (ST/ESCAP/2139).
129
6. Quality regulation and performance management
In terms of quality, the regulator should be concerned with the following matters:
(a) Road standards: with regard to the design specification and planned
maintenance programme in relation to the actual traffic volumes, traffic mix and
climatic conditions. The regulator will need to inspect the performance and
records of the concessionaire and make judgements as to whether the required
standards have been met;
(c) Safety: is multi-faceted but concessionaires may be set targets in terms of road
surface standards, signing and lay-out, driver behaviour and speed control aimed
at minimizing accidents and their associated costs. The regulator can monitor the
performance of the concessionaire on the basis of mutually agreed and relevant
performance indicators;
(d) Environmental impact: can be minimized at the construction stage through the
use of land barriers to moderate visual intrusion and noise. Similarly, the regulator
can often negotiate solutions to problems that emerge during the operation of the
concession;
(e) User perceptions: account can be taken of the satisfaction of road users through
consumer surveys and questionnaires. The contract can include user needs in
certain specified areas with agreed methods of assessing service standards.
Urban public transport is critical to the welfare of the urban poor and a crucial
element in any city development strategy to alleviate poverty. However, in many
developing and transitional countries, it is in decline or failing to provide the necessary
service. There are many reasons for the decline, but in the main it is due to the lack of
appropriate planning, institutional and financial framework for public transport.
The interaction of public transport with land-use planning and its sheer financial
magnitude require careful integration into a comprehensive long-term structure plan for
the city. It should be the responsibility of the public sector to set strategy, identify
infrastructure projects in some detail, including the horizontal and vertical alignment,
confirm the acceptability of environmental consequences, tariffs and any contingent
changes to the existing transport system. Usually the public sector must acquire the
130
necessary land and rights of way, ensure development permissions, commit funding and
provide some necessary guarantees. If development at terminals, is desired it may need to
facilitate consolidation of land holdings.
Many countries now recognize that competition in the public transport sector best
guarantees its efficient supply, and through franchises and concessions it can mobilize
low-cost operations to provide the best quality of service and price for any budget
capability. Further, the informal sector can also contribute effectively to satisfy demand in
competitive markets. Mass transit can contribute both to city efficiency and to the needs
of the poor in the largest cities, but it can impose a heavy fiscal burden and should only be
adopted within an integrated planning and financing structure ensuring the effective
coordination of modes and affordable provision for the poor.
62
Halcrow Fox, “Review of urban public transport competition”, topic review paper prepared for the
World Bank Urban Transport Strategy Review, 2000.
<http://wbln0018.worldbank.org/transport/utsr.nsf/Topic+Review+Papers?OpenView>
131
have, however, witnessed a process of decline in the provision of urban bus services.
Typically many governments have attempted to use the public transport industry as an
instrument of social policy by simultaneously constraining fare levels and structures and
by guaranteeing favourable wages and working conditions to employees. As deficits
mount, and in the absence of a secure fiscal basis for subsidy, first maintenance, then
service reliability and finally operating capacity has disappeared.
In some case operations have remained in public ownership, but with the adoption
of increasingly commercial approaches to business. In a few major cities, for example, in
India, traditional public operators still dominate.
Given the inherent defects of the traditional uncontested monopoly and the
demonstrated potential of competition to generate cost reductions and service quality
improvements, the critical issue is to establish the best ways of organizing competition to
secure the strategic objectives of the city for its transport system.
Competitive pressures have been introduced in an attempt to make public sector
operations more efficient. Various forms have been adopted, both within the traditional
monopolies between firms either “for the market” or “in the market”. These forms
include:
At one end of the scale, public sector transport operators can competitively
procure equipment and support services (such as cleaning, catering, professional
services, construction, maintenance and engineering) in order to reduce costs,
improve service quality, even out internal workloads and eliminate the need for
peak capacity. Regular assessments can be conducted to compare the cost of
undertaking functions in-house with that of subcontracting to outsiders. The
combination of some freedom to subcontract with performance agreements
between the operating agency and the government is one way of attempting to
improve performance. Competition in performance can also take place between
units performing similar functions within an organization, or by benchmarking on
bus operators in other cities or countries. However, such arrangements tend to
offer only weak incentives to management, poor leverage over factor suppliers
(particularly labour) and tend to be poorly enforced. They are best seen only as an
interim step in a process of privatization of supply and competition between
independent commercially motivated organizations.
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! Competition for the market
There are several ways in which firms can compete for a public transport market:
(b) Net cost service contracting is similar to gross cost contracting, except
that the operator retains the revenue and hence incurs both the demand
and supply side risks. This increases the incentive to the supplier to
provide the service contracted for (otherwise he loses his fare revenue)
and removes the need for complex fare collection and security
arrangements. However, it makes modal coordination more difficult and
often involves a higher net cost for the authorities as the supplier is
incurring an extra risk, the revenue risk, against which he will be averse,
and for which he will require remuneration.
133
(e) Concessions involve the granting of an exclusive right to provide a
service, but without payment by the authority although the authority may
attach conditions, such as maximum fares or minimum service
requirements. In all other respects the concessionaire is acting on his own
behalf and not as an agent of the authority. Concessions are usually for
rather longer periods, often ten years or more, to allow the contractors, to
benefit from their development of the market.
63
K.M. Gwilliam, A.J. Kumar and R.T. Meakin, “Designing competition in urban bus transport: lessons
from Uzbekistan”, TWU Discussion Paper - TWU-41, Transport, Water and Urban Development
Department (Washington D.C., World Bank, April 2000).
134
(d) It will not be in the interest of the individual bus operators to adapt
their services and fares to promote modal integration.
Such problems can be very severe, for example, the deregulation of the
public transport market can produce massive overcapacity, increased urban
congestion and environmental degradation if old and unsuitable vehicles are
introduced into service. A number of aspects of anti-competitive or anti-social on-
the-road behaviour have also occurred in completely deregulated markets,
including:
(a) The need for political supervision of public transport to be separated from
professional management;
(b) Service planning should be separated from service provision and
adequately staffed and skilled;
(c) In the case of franchising, the necessary procurement skills will need to be
acquired;
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(d) Operations need to be privatized or at least commercialized;
(e) State-owned operating units need to be restructured in a form conducive
to competition, or made subject to strong external competition.
Where the objective of government or The achievement of multimodal coordination and the
procuring authority is to achieve multi- implementation of distributionally motivated subside
modal coordination structures are easier to achieve with a small number of
suppliers- this suggests that concessioning or area franchising
rather than route contracting would be the preferred regime.
Route contracting is suitable where the supplier is not
dependent on direct fare revenue, as in gross rather than net
cost contracts. Further, costs are likely to be lowest where
competitive pressures are strongest, as with shorter route
contract based systems..
Multimodal coordination in larger systems The larger the system and the greater the number of modes
involved, the more complex will be the co-ordination
problems. If the authority itself does not have the
administrative skills to perform this function, it may best
obtain that service through a system concession with an
experienced specialist company. It is also clear that it is easier
to operate a competitive system when there are already several
suppliers to the local market of appropriate size and
competence. If there is only one incumbent public sector
monopolist it can be split into several smaller competing units.
If there are too many, fragmented operators, they can be
combined into a smaller number of competing associations
Any programme of reforms may take time to implement and needs to be phased
in and subject to progressive modification. The contracts used to create competition must
specify:
! The duration. For route service contracts where the procuring authority is
defining fare and service levels, the contracts can be of relatively short duration
(three to five years). Particularly where there is a regular stream of contracts
coming up for bid it is not necessary for the contract length to reflect bus life as
vehicles can be switched between contracts either through second-hand markets
or through leasing arrangements. Extension of contracts saves tendering costs, but
can blunt competition, and where allowed to become the norm can be the basis on
which an ostensibly competitive system becomes captured by a cartel of existing
operators;
! The rights and duties of the parties. These need to be specified in as complete
and consistent a way as possible. If fares are controlled, contracts should define
the process for their adjustment to account for general cost inflation as well as
defining the compensation for any discretionary fare adjustments introduced by
the procuring authority. If this is not properly provided for, franchising systems
are doomed to failure.
136
Competition between private and publicly owned operators can only work
effectively if the public sector operators are fully commercialized. This requires that the
public enterprise is subject to a bankruptcy constraint on their commercial behaviour, and
cannot be “bailed out” directly or indirectly by central or local government. In most cases
this will require some legal change in their status and will probably only be secure if there
is also an independent auditing arrangement to ensure that they do not bid below costs to
obtain business.
3. Para-transit
(a) Services that are usually unscheduled and mainly on demand responsive
routes, filling gaps in formal transit provision, such as public bus services
and taxis;
(b) Vehicles that are operated are typically small, including motor cycles.
Smaller vehicles are used partly because of the lower financing
requirements, the flexibility of operation, and partly because controls over
small vehicles are lax even in situations where entry to the large vehicle
market is strictly controlled. The vehicles used are also often very simple,
and include non-motorized vehicles, motorcycle taxis, and motorized
rickshaws.
(b) They are often outside the tax system or benefit from favourable treatment
of the non-corporate sector. They may also have an advantage in
competition with public sector operators with costs inflated by minimum
wage regulations.
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Para-transit performs many roles – in some countries it is the dominant mode of
public transport “of the poor, by the poor”. It also supplements a declining formal sector
or complements the formal sector by providing differentiated service in identified market
niches. In other countries, it increasingly competes directly with the traditional providers.
(a) Feeder services linking inaccessible housing areas to the main transport
routes;
(b) Local distribution in accessible areas that are not served by conventional
public transport;
(c) Trunk services complementing or competing by quality differentiation
with, the formal sector on major routes;
(d) Direct longer distance services in areas where the formal sector supply is
sparse or infrequent.
(a) Resulting in competitive pressure that leads to excess capacity, low load
factors, and consequently anti-social and often dangerous operating
practices, in terms of road behaviour, and is associated with crime and
violence;
(b) Contributing to urban congestion and adverse environmental impacts
resulting from the use of small, old and ill-adapted vehicles;
(c) Undermining of basic network of services.
Exponents of free markets have frequently argued that in the long term operators
will see that it is not in their own interest to continue such practices which limit entry and
organize more disciplined service. Such associations are common wherever the informal
sector is unregulated. There are, however, several problems with such self-regulation:
(a) Because it is outside public control, an association may act in the interests
of its members, the suppliers, and not of the customers;
138
(c) The need to ensure fair allocation of revenues between members often
results in suboptimal operating practices. For example, control to ensure
that all vehicles are despatched from a terminal with full loads may
equalize incomes, but at the expense of forcing passengers to walk long
distances to terminals to access the service and low vehicle utilization
rates.
These form important reasons why any regulatory framework must embrace the
formal and informal public transport sectors. Governments should examine why para-
transits exist in any case, and then try to identify a regulatory and administrative
framework within which the potential of the sector can be mobilized and developed.
A rather different approach advocated to address the problem of the core supply
of informal transport services is the creation of “curb rights” permitting registered
operators to pick up and set down in specific areas, but not otherwise constraining their
activities. It is very similar to the licensing arrangement found in some taxi markets. But
it is usually supplemented with some control on fares or capacity, and also often overlaid
with regulation or self regulation to determine access priority. It has not been applied on
any substantial scale to buses or minibuses. The more common solution in the parastatal
bus sector has been found in the form of medium-term route franchise contracts. The
immediate impediment to the inclusion of the informal sector in such systems is often the
desire of the municipal authorities to guarantee regular scheduled service on routes
requiring a number of vehicles. This can be overcome by combining competitive
franchising with freedom of establishment for, or encouragement of, operators
associations. The main problem in pursuing that regulatory path is to prevent collusion
and the emergence of a cartel able to exploit monopoly power. Competitively tendered
franchising arrangements may be able to address this concern and may also make it
possible to address the issues of congestion (by limiting the amount of capacity
franchised to operate in particularly congested areas) and environment (by setting
qualitative standards or criteria in the selection process). The ultimate objective, then,
should not be to maintain a highly fragmented bus industry for its own sake, but rather to
encourage the development of an entrepreneurial culture on which competition can be
developed.
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4. Mass transit
MRT can, in principle, contribute to the achievement of all the main objectives of
urban development policy. It can improve efficiency of the city economy by reducing
travel costs and by maintaining a higher level of city centre activity and the associated
economies of agglomeration, than would otherwise be the case. The impact of poverty
can be reduced directly where MRT is the major carrier of the poor, and indirectly
through the benefit the poor get from economic prosperity.
The planning and evaluation of many mass transit projects presumes that there
will be effective modal integration, including the creation of appropriate interchange
facilities and bus service restructuring. If the objective of a MRT investment is primarily
to improve road transport conditions, the restructuring of public road passenger transport
may be critical to the achievement of the desired objective. The key to an effective modal
integration is the existence of a strong regional coordination authority backed by the
different levels of government.
With road based systems this can be reconciled by the provision of higher quality
services (air-conditioned, seat only, medium size vehicle) on the same infrastructure as
more basic services at lower costs. With rail based systems it is more difficult to price
discriminate for commuting journeys effectively, yet because of the high minimum
capacity it may be necessary to combine both market segments to make effective use of
capacity.
The important point to bear in mind with respect to MRT strategy is the high level
of fixed costs of the rail systems, and the substantial external effects and interactions
between modes. It is, therefore, not advisable to take a puristic view that all modes should
be independently self-financing. Cross-modal financial transfers may certainly be
justifiable in such circumstances. In any case it should be recognized that subsidies are
pervasive in all forms of urban transport and is often true that motorized road users do no
meet the full costs of the infrastructure that they use. Insistence on “pure” private
financing may result in the adoption of price levels and structures which maximize
revenues at low traffic volumes, hence losing substantial external benefits and excluding
the poor from use of the system. The fact that some subsidies may be efficient and
acceptable does not mean that any subsidy is. Indeed, the minimum criteria for subsidy
should include the following:
140
(a) The subsidy should not be open ended, but should be embodied in a
contract;
(b) The right to provide a subsidized service should be subject to competitive
tender;
(c) The level of acceptable subsidy for a service or agency should be subject
to explicit cost-benefit appraisal;
(d) The cost of the subsidy must be fiscally sustainable.
The role of regulation in public transport depends on the role of competition in the
public transport strategy for a particular urban area. A strategy for urban public transport
requires careful planning and integration. There are a large number of methods of
procuring various forms of public transport and regulating them. Gwilliam64 has
constructed a useful means of understanding urban public transport competition regimes
and transitions. This is described in Figure 16 below.
In principle, bus services can be provided by any of the methods described (the
whole domain). However, rail services and mass transit systems are normally provided by
regimes in the “rail domain” and para-transit services are normally provided in the “para-
transit” domain.
64
K. Gwilliam, Urban Transport Strategy Review (Washington D.C., World Bank, 2001).
141
142
F. Port, inland waterways and maritime transport
Ports, inland waterways and maritime transport present different challenges for
policy makers and regulators. The differences arise from the cost characteristics and the
market structures through which facilities and services are provided of each subsector.
Indeed, some would argue that with regard to shipping and maritime transport services,
there is no case for intervention in the market and hence the emphasis should be on
deregulation and not regulation. While this is broadly valid, there are still residual
regulatory requirements with regard to such matters as pollution control and safety
standards. In addition, there is a possibility that the operators of scheduled shipping
services may form cartels and act in a monopolistic manner when determining freight
rates and service levels.
Since there are many aspects involved, it is useful to divide seaport activities
between: (a) infrastructure, (b) services provided by the port that require the use of the
infrastructure, and (c) coordination between the different activities performed at ports.
A port infrastructure comprises berths, docks and adjacent land where ships and
cargoes are served. To reach that area, a port also requires infrastructure related to
maritime access (channels, locks and aids to navigation) and to land access (connections
to roads, rail network and inland waterways). The main facilities and services provided by
ports for cargoes, include:
! Navigation aids
! Approach channel
! Pilotage from outside the port
! Lock (if any)
! Protected water
! Port pilotage
! Towage
143
! Berthing/Unberthing
! Berth
(b) Quayside
! Opening/Closing of hatches
! Breaking out/Stowage
! Cargo handling on board ship
Similar services are provided for passenger services. Ports may also provide a
number of additional services. Services to ships may include radar surveillance and traffic
management, water, telephone, stores and fuel, police and security, repairs, fire fighting,
waste disposal, and medical services. Services to cargo may include warehousing,
security, weighing, lighterage, and rent of equipment. Port areas also include value-added
activities such manufacturing.
There are many different activities being performed simultaneously within the
limited space of port areas, with ships and land transport vehicles constantly entering,
being serviced and exiting. Coordination between the different activities performed at
ports is, therefore, essential to ensure the proper use of common facilities, and to take
responsibility for safety and the general design and development of the port and its
facilities. In most ports, this role is performed by a ‘port authority’, which is normally, but
not necessarily, a public institution.
Historically many ports, given their expensive specialized assets, sunk costs,
indivisibilities and economies of scale, have possessed a degree of locational monopoly.
However, a number of technological developments have transformed the sector into a
highly competitive one.65 The key developments have been:
65
Y. Hayuth and D. Hilling, “Technological change and seaport development”, in B.S. Hoyle and D.A.
Pinder, eds., European Port Cities in Transition (London, Belhaven Press, 1992).
144
they have created significant capital financing requirements for
specialized terminals and equipment;
(b) Building increasingly larger specialized ships that require substantial port
investment in new infrastructure and equipment in order to realize the
potential economies of scale available in the transport of large quantities
of containers and bulk cargoes;
It has been common for ports, because of their strategic significance to the
national economy and their market power, to be publicly owned and managed. Indeed, in
some countries seaports have been regarded as foci, or growth poles, for regional
economic development. Ports such as Antwerp, Rotterdam and Hamburg have been
linked to their municipalities and have often received public subsidies for the building and
improvement of port facilities. Constraints on public financing have led to many
governments seeking ways of increasing private participation for investment in port
infrastructure, facilities and in the provision of port services. This combined with
increasing inter-port competition has created the need to design more adequate regulatory
mechanisms to guarantee efficiency. There are a number of potential ways of structuring
port provision, involving differing degrees of competition.66
(a) Landlord port: In this model, the port infrastructure is owned and managed by
the port authority. However, remaining port services are provided by private
firms that own the assets of the port superstructure and all equipment required for
service provision such as cranes, vans and forklifts. In general, this is the most
common form of organization for large ports.
(b) Tool port: In this model, the port infrastructure and superstructure such as
buildings, cranes, vans, and forklifts are owned and managed by the port
authority. Private firms provide services by renting port assets, through
concessions or licences.
(c) Services port: In this model, port authorities are responsible for the port as a
whole. They own the infrastructure and superstructures, and they also hire
employees to provide services directly. The Port of Singapore has been the
66
M. Juhel, Government Regulation of Port Activities: What Balance between Public and Private
Sectors? (Washington D.C., World Bank, 1997).
145
prominent example of this model. However, there are plans for private
participation that would transform it into a tool port.
While in general landlord and tool ports are usually publicly owned and service
ports are normally in private ownership, there is no fixed relationship between the way
the port industry is organized and the structure of its ownership. Indeed, in ports where
the infrastructure is publicly provided, services are often privately provided. Further,
some port facilities such as lighthouses, aids to navigation and marine access channels
may be regarded as public goods. Nevertheless, they may still be publicly procured from
private providers.
Although either the public or private sector may provide port facilities and
services, there are still certain responsibilities that remain in the public domain, including:
While there is no standard or traditional model of port ownership and there are
examples of very efficient ports in both public and private ownership, the majority of
ports, until recently, were characterized by the following:
146
The above, combined with the impact of technological change in shipping and
cargo handling, has produced pressure for modernization through major investment. At
the same time, the capacity of governments to finance or subsidize such requirements has
diminished and indeed many states have positively sought to reduce public funding for
fiscal reasons. The solution has, therefore, to lay in introducing or increasing private
participation in the industry in terms of the ownership, investment and operation of port
facilities and services. Private participation has, in turn, required economic reforms aimed
at liberalizing access to the port industry. Four strategies for reforming ports have been
followed across the world:
! Liberalization involves allowing the free entry of new private operators in order
to reduce monopolistic situations within ports. This can be achieved either by
creating competition for the market or in the market;
! Full privatization - whereby all the assets and liabilities of a publicly owned port
are transferred to the private sector. This can be used where the primary objective
is to raise public funds from the sale of assets and avoid future obligations to port
financing;
! Build, operate and own - whereby parts of a publicly owned port are privatized
for development by private operators. It is usually some short-term financial
imperative that is used to justify the use of this form of privatisation;
! Build, operate and transfer - whereby new or refurbished facilities are built by
private firms, but are transferred to the public sector after a specified period of
time. This is often termed concessions;
! Joint ventures - whereby two parties with common interests join forces. Thus,
for example, in some cases a firm can supply technology and know-how, while
another might have knowledge of market opportunities and customer contacts.
Such arrangements often involve ventures between public and private sector
firms;
147
! Leasing - whereby port authorities simply rent-out port assets (buildings, storage
facilities and cranes) to be used by private operators during a fixed period, and
thus they obtain income from contract fees. Contrary to concession contracts, in
this case private firms are usually not required to make investments, therefore
they only assume commercial risks;
! Licensing - whereby the port authority allows operators to provide some services
which only require relatively simple equipment, and thus assets are generally
owned by private operators. Infrastructure or superstructure is provided for
operators to use, generally at a specified fee, by the port authority. Stevedoring
companies, pilots, tug operators or consignees often work under this type of
agreement;
! Management contract - whereby the port authority retains the ownership of the
infrastructure and port facilities, but decisions on its running are taken on a
commercial basis by private firms. In such cases, both investment and
commercial risks are retained by the public sector since managing firms do not
invest and hence risk their own capital in the port.
In general, it can be argued that services such as pilotage and towage that do not
require the exclusive use of infrastructure or superstructure port facilities could be
organized competitively subject to the requirements for safety and environmental
protection. Thus, where compulsory pilotage is deemed necessary, pilots may need to be
licensed on the basis of their competence, but not regulated in terms of the fees for their
services. In ports with large shipping movements, it may be possible to organize a
competitive towage market whereby licensed operators compete and tariffs are
determined by market conditions and not fixed by the port authority. The need for
regulation arises when there are fewer service providers with the possibility of collusion
and monopoly pricing. In the case of medium/small ports, it is clear that there is a need to
establish some limits on prices and conditions of service in order to avoid market
domination by a few firms who may try to exploit their position to extract rents from port
users. On the other hand, services that do require the exclusive use of assets, such as
terminals or cargo storage areas are probably better suited to the use of concessions
designed to reconcile the interests of private operators and the public. The concession
contract will provide the primary means of regulating the operator.
The need for regulation67 depends on the form of competition that is created in a
particular port following economic reform. In turn, the scope for competition in a port
depends primarily on the scale of its operations and its level of development. For
example, in small local ports68 serving small communities with basic general cargo and
container facilities, usually transported by relatively small ships it is possible to introduce
‘competition for the market’. This can be achieved by inviting tenders from firms that are
willing to operate the port for a defined period of time. When traffic reaches a given level,
it is profitable to invest in specific equipment, like for example, a dry-bulk terminal, with
berths able to serve deep-draught ships. It is also likely that some investments will be
67
M. Juhel, “Government regulation of port activities: what balance between public and private sectors?”,
International Course on Privatization and Regulation of Transport Services (Washington D.C., World Bank,
1997).
68
M. Stopford, Maritime Economics (London, Ed. Routledge, 1997).
148
required to improve land access and to buy equipment to handle containers, although they
would still be moved through general cargo berths. It is possible in these larger local ports
to establish a system of auctions where private firms bid for the right to operate the
terminal. Once the bidding process is over and a single operator is chosen, it is necessary
to have some regulation over the charges that this firm imposes on port users, since
otherwise it would enjoy a monopoly position. However, this need for regulation is less
strict if there is competition between ports. Incases where a region offers alternative ports
to shipping companies, there is less need to regulate prices charged at the terminal, since
the market mechanism would make the private operator keep prices low or lose traffic.
On the contrary, if those alternative ports do not exist, the private operator enjoys some
market power that must be controlled by regulation.
When designing a concession contract, there are several aspects that must be
carefully tailored, including the object of concession, exclusivity in the use of assets,
concessionaire obligations and payments, the term of the concession, penalties and fines
for breach of the contract, and risk allocation. The problem of excess labour, common to
almost all ports around the world, is also an element that must be considered when
designing concession contracts. Another relevant feature is to carefully design the system
to select the winner of the concession.
149
fee is negative. In such cases, the concessionaire receives a payment from the port
authority when the concessionaire’s obligations include the provision of some service
under the consideration of public service, and revenues from port users for that service do
not cover costs. The level of charges for the services provided by the concessionaire
(cargo handling, storage etc) is usually left in the hands of the operator, although it is
subject to some form of external regulation, depending on the degree of competition
within and between ports.
There is no universal rule about how long the life of a concession should be. In
principle, the longer the lifespan, the private concessionaire has more incentive to make
adequate investments to enhance the assets, since profitability will be dependent on the
state of the facilities. However, the longer the period between two concessions, the less
information the regulator may have on cost and demand conditions. Therefore, there is a
trade-off between incentives and information for regulating a concessionaire optimally. In
general, for larger capital schemes concessions will need to be longer, sometimes up to 25
years, to allow the concessionaire sufficient time to recover the capital investment
involved.
! Operating cost risk: this type of risk exists when a concessionaire seeks to re-
negotiate a concession because operating cots have exceeded the levels predicted
at the time the contract was concluded. There will be a possible case for
recompense if the variations have resulted from actions taken by the port
authority, for example, in granting permissions or licences;
! Revenue risk: this type of risk exists when demand and revenue forecasts have
proved over-optimistic so that the concessionaire receives lower revenues and
faces potential bankruptcy. It is implicit to the system of competitive tendering
that firms are held to their contracted payments of fees and are allowed to go out
of business on occasions. The downside for the port authority and its users lies in
the potential disruption to services if the concessionaire goes bankrupt. Although
the risk should lie with the concessionaire to maximize the incentive to correctly
assess demand prospects, it may be necessary to build a degree of flexibility into
the initial contract. For example, firms may be permitted to vary port charges to
attract business during periods of lower than expected demand. In addition, the
69
C. Crampes and A. Estache, “Regulatory tradeoffs in designing concession contracts for infrastructure
networks”, Economic Development Institute, Policy Research Working Paper, 1854 (Washington D.C.,
World Bank, 1997).
150
contract duration might be extended if demand drops significantly, thereby
allowing a longer capital repayment period;
! Environmental risks: In order for private operators to reduce those risks arising
from oil spills and collisions in the port to a minimum, they should be strictly
liable for any accident caused by negligence.
Finally, the tendering process for concessions should prescribe how successful
firms will be selected.70 It is normally sensible to have a two-stage procedure whereby
the financial and technical capabilities of prospective firms are evaluated at the pre-
qualification stage. Short-listed firms can then be invited to submit tenders or detailed
financial proposals. The main criteria used to evaluate competing bids will be the ability
to meet, as closely as possible, the service specification at either the highest fee payment
or the lowest subsidy. Alternatively, the criteria could relate to charging the lowest fees to
port users, if the port authority wanted to maximize economic efficiency. Since
concessions often relate to extended periods of time and economic circumstances may
vary significantly it is appropriate to include provisions for the circumstances in which
renegotiation of the contract may be permissible and what form it may take.
There is a wide range of port pricing systems in operation around the world.71
These can be broadly divided into ‘port dues’, which are charges for the use of the port
facilities as a whole, and ‘specific port tariffs’ which are charges payable either by
shipowners or cargo owners for specific services.
! Port dues - port dues comprise dues on cargo and on ships. Dues on cargo are
generally calculated on the basis of the volume or weight of the cargo. Dues on
ships are usually calculated on the basis of gross registered tonnage (GRT), net
registered tonnage (NRT), or length of ship.
! Specific port tariffs - specific charges are many and varied. The main tariffs
include the following:
(a) Berth occupancy - where additional charges may be effected on the basis
of tonnage or ship and quay length. Normally, the charge is levied on a
time basis, such as per day;
(b) Aids to navigation - are normally charged on the basis of ship’s size and
are made for a given period of time or number of visits;
70
M. Kerf and others, “Concessions for infrastructure: a guide to their design and award”, Technical
Paper No. 399 (Washington D.C., World Bank, 1998).
71
United Nations Conference on Trade and Development, Port Pricing (1975).
151
(c) Berthing/unberthing - are normally charged by ship size or per
operation;
(e) Towage - can be charged on the basis of the characteristics of the ship,
such as size, or of the tug, such as its power. In the case of the latter the
charge may be defined either per operation or per unit of time (for
example, per hour).
(f) Storage and warehousing - most ports offer a free period for cargo or
container storage awaiting transit. Thereafter, the charge is normally
derived on the basis of length of stay combined with either the
characteristics of the cargo or area occupied.
Owing to inertia and lack of proper accounting records, many port pricing tariffs
bear little relation to costs, as economic theory normally recommends.
Two major problems arise in relation to devising a cost-based tariff. The first is to
determine which expenses are to be covered by prices, and the second is to decide how
these should be covered. Deciding the method of recovery also involves choosing a unit
(such as ship type, GRT, NRT or freight tons handled) upon which to base the charges.
Social costs can actually be subdivided into items (a) to (d). It represents the
difference between the usual market price and social opportunity costs, including an
allowance for indirect costs and benefits to third parties and amenity values. The most
common divergences relate to port congestion and to the difference between wages to
port labour and the social cost of unskilled labour.
152
Immediately escapable costs should form the basis of the minimum charges in a
cost-based port tariff. Port users should be required to meet those expenses that could be
immediately avoided if they did not receive the service. However, such charges alone are
unlikely to cover total costs owing the declining cost nature of the industry, unless excess
demand exists.
Although the joint and common costs can be recovered in a number of ways,
there is a rationale in employing price discrimination to allocate the indivisible expenses
‘according to what the traffic can bear’. This principle is consistent with the notion of ‘he
who benefits, should pay’; it recovers the indivisible expense from beneficiaries without
the need for cross-subsidization or general revenue subsidies. It also encourages the
maximum utilization of capacity; the individual users contribute to these expenses in
proportion to the magnitude of their individual benefits.
The principle of price discrimination can also be applied to inescapable costs. The
main difference is that while joint and common costs are escapable, inescapable costs are
fixed even in the long term. Therefore, in the case of joint and common costs the relevant
assets should only be renewed if users are prepared to pay sufficient revenues to meet the
costs of renewal. However, fixed port costs are inescapable and should continue to be
used, whether or not the revenue paid by users covers their historic or replacement cost.
Such assets may have been made on the basis of inaccurate assumptions about demand
and revenue.
The issue of social costs is more problematic. The theoretical solution of the
problem is to calculate port dues and charges on the basis of social accounting prices,
with due allowance for indirect costs, such as congestion, and for the government to meet
any resulting financial deficit. However, such an approach would create a number of
major difficulties, including:
Since the demand for port services is generally inelastic, it is preferable to adopt a
policy based on price discrimination with one qualification. (Inelastic demand with
respect for port prices exists because of the very small element that port charges comprise
in total transport costs). It will be necessary to trade-off the need for tariff simplicity
against the need to differentiate extensively charges by cargo type. Indeed, ports may use
the concept of a ‘promotional due’ to provide temporal variation in the tariff and market-
testing.
153
then be reduced accordingly.72 However, private operators will then try to pass their
higher costs to users through their cargo handling charges, so a careful balance should be
established by port authorities regarding those prices that it can directly control. An
advantage of this mixed-form of revenue for port authorities (from port tariffs and
concession fees) is that part of the demand risk is left to the private operators, who then
have correct incentives to provide efficient low-priced services in order to minimize that
risk. Additionally, concession fees provide port authorities with a safe continuous cash
flow, and therefore they have the possibility of financing general port costs or even part of
the facilities construction/rehabilitation costs. There are no established procedures to
determine the level of concession fees to be paid by private firms. An optimal rule should
be to relate payments to the opportunity costs of the infrastructure and those
superstructure elements that the concession might be associated with. For infrastructure,
an approximation for the opportunity cost could be the market price of port adjacent land,
although modified by the specific characteristics of the surface used by the
concessionaire. Meanwhile, the opportunity costs of equipment granted by a concession
are easier to estimate since they would be equal to the price that they could reach in a
rental market. Price-cap systems or a rate-of-return type of regulation would constitute
alternative options to regulate the behaviour of private operators, depending on the
information and the experience that the regulatory institution might have on the type of
service subject to regulation.
154
In terms of general safety, a high density of vessel traffic in the access zones of a
port and within its area increase the risk of collision between ships. Given the negative
externalities that maritime accidents cause on other port users, and the potential
environmental consequences, regulation on general port safety and quality of services
related to ships movements must be strict and compliance closely monitored. A range of
rules and other instruments are available to the port authority, including licensing certain
operations and compulsory pilotage.
155
! Government
! Regulator
! Port authority
8. Inland waterways
Transport on rivers and canals with barges or lighters and in small vessels along
the coast and between islands plays an important role in the transport system of many
countries. In an international context, the system also provides an important means of
feeding and distributing cargoes to and from deep-sea vessels. The issues involved in the
provision and regulation of waterway infrastructure facilities are very similar to those for
ports described above.
Provided the market is large enough, there is nothing inherently wrong, in terms
of cost structure, in promoting a competitive waterway sector. In terms of bulk freight,
there is no real evidence of economies of firm size. Only where firms offer common
carrier services that carry goods for different customers, is there a major risk of wasteful
competition. It is, thus, in the parcels business, with its high fixed costs, that competition
could lead to a duplication of services and low load factors. For bulk traffic, there is no
real objection to allowing shippers to choose between alternative waterway operators,
with the alternative of using their own vessels also available to them. Competition should
lead to the minimization of the average costs of providing the desired standard of service -
156
prices will be based on average cost, which under conditions of constant returns to scale
will reflect marginal cost.74
There appear to be three solutions to these problems for the barge operator:
(a) The operator could base prices on marginal costs, with the resulting
deficit being financed by government subsidy – this is unlikely, but may
be justified to compensate for non-internalized externalities created by
other modes;
(b) The operator could base prices on average cost, but this could only be
sustained with a degree of protection from competition from other modes;
(c) The operator may seek to discriminate between traffic flows according to
the shipper’s willingness to pay in order to cover the difference between
average and marginal cost.
The advantages and disadvantages of each approach are as follows. In case (a),
the government needs to be able to estimate the volumes and corresponding marginal
costs conforming to the optimal allocation of traffic in order to determine the appropriate
subsidy. If it does not do so, then it will revert to deficit financing with no real ability to
exert financial discipline on the operator. The financial deficit will have to be met either
by taxation or by diverting other forms of government expenditure. The opportunity cost
of this expenditure will need to be assessed and investment in the waterway system will
need to be evaluated using social cost-benefit analysis.
In case (b), the government will need to become involved in the day-to-day
administration of the freight service and will have to employ arbitrary methods to allocate
vessels to traffic and to establish priorities. Again, investment in the waterway system
will need to be evaluated using social cost-benefit analysis.
74
ESCAP, 2001. Sustainable Transport Pricing and Charges: Principles and Issues (ST/ESCAP/2139).
157
The above assumes that the providers of inland waterway services compete with
operators on other modes who charge prices equivalent to marginal social cost, including
externalities. This is unlikely in practice. In particular, the costs of road infrastructure,
congestion, pollution, accidents and noise are rarely fully internalized. In many developed
countries, government subsidizes waterways through the provision of grants towards the
costs of building new berths and termini, and/or tax road hauliers, in order to promote the
diversion of freight traffic to the waterways.
9. Maritime transport
Liner shipping services are offered through ships which operate to a prefixed
sailing schedule between fixed ports on a regular basis. In liner operations, ships carry
cargo, as common carriers, to many different shippers. Each shipper pays freight in
accordance with a tariff based on the volume, weight or value of the cargo.
In charter shipping, there are many suppliers of services with fairly homogeneous
services to offer. In the various subsectors, such as tanker or dry cargo, the ships may
vary with regard to their size and equipment, but basically they can all do the same job of
moving bulk cargoes.75
The charter markets are open markets, in the sense that it is easy to buy or build a
ship and put it into operation. There are a large number of buyers and sellers of shipping
services, and no individual shipowner is large enough to be able to influence the market
charter rate. There is also an active second-hand market and, as such, it is relatively easy
to leave the business. In consequence, perfect competition exists with prices being
determined by the forces of supply and demand. Shipowners are essentially ‘price-takers’
and have to make operational decisions on the basis of market prices. Since price
elasticity is relatively low, changes in freight rates have only a marginal effect on
demand. Therefore, small changes in supply and demand can produce large changes in
75
Martin Stopford, Maritime Economics (London, Unwin Hyman, 1988).
158
price or freight rates over a short period of time. In principle, in the charter markets, the
shipowner will aim to obtain rates which will cover all costs, including the opportunity
cost of capital tied up in ships, and yield maximum profits. In the short-run, while a ship
is still operable, the shipowner has considerable fixed costs: depreciation, company
overheads and operating costs. These costs will have to be borne whether the ship is
sailing or idle and, therefore, will not influence the decision on whether, or not, to accept
a particular freight rate. A rational shipowner will accept rates provided the marginal or
avoidable costs involved are covered. Indeed, a profit maximizing firm will operate up to
the point where marginal revenue equals marginal costs. All income above marginal costs
will contribute towards fixed costs and the owner, by continuing to operate, will be better
off than refusing cargoes, in the very short term. In the short-run, say, over the period of
one voyage, the shipowner’s marginal costs comprise the voyage and cargo-related costs.
In the longer term, operating costs may also be viewed as variable and these too will need
to be covered by charter rates. In the very long-run, to remain in business, the shipowner
will need to cover all costs from charter revenue.
The charter markets are subject to considerable variations in prices, which are
always equal to short-run marginal cost. Short-run marginal costs may lie above or below
long-run marginal costs depending on the extent of excess demand and supply in the
charter markets which are highly efficient and sustainable. Attempts by governments to
regulate the markets through protectionism and cargo reservation are likely to lead to
losses of social welfare.
Many different types of cargo are transported by liner vessels. Since there are
widely differing values to the cargoes shipped, and marginal costs associated with
specific cargoes can be very low and well below marginal cost, price discrimination is
prevalent. Price discrimination, or ad valorem pricing, implies that the same service is
sold to different shippers at different freight rates. High value cargoes tend to pay higher
unit charges than low value ones, thereby contributing relatively more to the fixed costs
of the service than cargoes with lower unit values. It is sometimes suggested that this may
amount to cross-subsidization. However, since fixed costs cannot be allocated to specific
cargoes in a rationale manner, this argument is difficult to sustain. Indeed, it is argued that
price discrimination, as operated by liner firms, tends to reduce welfare losses to society
as a whole. Without it, less cargo would probably be transported.
159
The Ocean Shipping Reform Act of 1998 in the United States has led to the
demise of many conferences and the increasing role of independent carriers and consortia.
The independent operators in liner markets have traditionally been weak competitors to
the conferences. They were always vulnerable to price wars started by conferences and
the threat of one was thought to be a powerful incentive to avoid aggressive pricing. The
less costly alternative was either to join the conference or to charge the same rates as the
cartel. Deregulation has, however, changed the position and rate wars are now more
commonplace.
160
G. Airports and air transport
Airports and air transport present different challenges for policy makers and
regulators. The differences arise from the cost characteristics, and the market structures
through which facilities and services are provided of each subsector. Deregulation in air
transport and ‘open skies’ policies have led some observers to suggest that there is no
case for intervention in the market and hence the emphasis should be on creating
competition and not regulation. While this is broadly valid, there are still residual
regulatory requirements with regard to such matters as pollution control and safety
standards. In addition, there is a possibility that the operators of scheduled air services
may through mergers act in a monopolistic manner when determining air-fares and
service levels.
1. Airports
Airports are complex and multi-product enterprises, which include the provision
of a wide range of facilities and services related both to aeronautical operations and the
commercial aspects of serving airlines and their passengers. Kapur76 has classified airport
activities as follows:
! Aircraft cleaning
! Provision of power and fuel
! Luggage handling
! Freight loading and unloading
! Processing of passengers, baggage and freight
! Customs and immigration
! Passenger information services
76
A. Kapur, “Airport infrastructure: the emerging role of the private sector”, Technical Paper 313
(Washington D.C., World Bank, 1995).
161
(c) Commercial services
! Car parking
! Terminal transfer
! Intermodal termini
! Duty free and retail shopping
! Restaurants, bars and leisure services
! Hotels
! Banks
This is the traditional model whereby airports are state owned under the
operational management of a government department.
Under this model, airports are owned by the state. The airports themselves
however, are established as public corporations and are subject to the same
accounting and legal obligations as private sector firms.
77
O. Betancor and R. Rendeiro, Airports in Privatization and Regulation of Transport Infrastructure
(Washington D.C., World Bank, 2000).
162
! Regional ownership and operations
This model represents the first step to privatization and embraces a number
of modes of operation, including:
# Joint ventures – between public and private enterprise with the aim of
harnessing funds, experience and skill from the private sector;
! Private ownership and private operations – where the airport and its
component services are sold to the private sector. This can be effected in a
number of ways ranging from selling it as a single entity, to unbundling into a
number of tiers of services.
163
Charges range widely in structure and levels, but most systems have one thing in
common: the main aircraft charge is normally based on the maximum all-up-weight of
the aircraft, often with break points in the scale. This is, in many cases, supplemented by a
passenger charge which may be paid directly by the passenger to the airport and may vary
from one type of passenger to another type of passenger.
The regulator should aim to create an airport pricing system that reconciles the
objectives of optimizing the use of existing capacity and guiding investment decisions
within the framework of financial sustainability for the airport. Specifically, airport
pricing can support these requirements in three ways:
(a) By measuring the aggregate demand for each service and its social
profitability. This will determine whether effective demand warrants the
continuation, expansion or contraction of airport services and facilities;
(b) By encouraging the use of excess capacity and rationing capacity when
there is excess demand;
To achieve these objectives, the regulator should recognize that airport prices
need to be related to the marginal social cost of the resources used to provide each
service.
The main constraint on creating a sound airport pricing policy is likely to be the
need to recover costs through revenues. This constraint may apply at the level of the
airport as a whole, or at the level of individual facilities and services. The costs may be
defined either as all capital and operating costs or as only operating costs. In practice, it
may not be possible to recover total costs, for example, where overcapacity exists because
of inaccurate demand forecasts, low initial utilization, or indivisibilities in capacity
provision.
Airports possess a degree of locational monopoly that may give rise to the
potential for monopoly pricing. Although some countries use this to justify state
ownership and operation of airports, many countries have managed to create strong
164
private sector involvement in the provision of both airport infrastructure and airport
services.
The principles which apply to airport pricing are those of marginal social cost
pricing in conditions of lumpy investment where long periods of less than full capacity
operation are inevitable, complicated by periods of congestion and existence of
externalities, particularly arising from aircraft noise. If the airport is required to be self-
financing, then it is likely that it will need to raise additional revenue above that which
would result from efficient prices. This suggests that the airport should devise a pricing
structure which:
Two major problems arise in relation to devising a cost-based tariff. The first is to
determine which expenses are to be covered by prices, and the second is to decide how
these should be covered. Deciding the method of recovery also involves choosing a unit,
(such as aircraft type, aircraft weight, passenger numbers or freight tons handled) upon
which to base the charges.
Social costs can actually be subdivided into items (a) to (d). It represents the
difference between the usual market price and social opportunity costs, including an
allowance for indirect costs and benefits to third parties and amenity values. The most
common divergences relate to airport congestion and aircraft noise, both of which may
not be priced.
Immediately escapable costs should form the basis of the minimum charges in a
cost-based airport pricing system. Airport users should be required to meet those
expenses which could be immediately avoided if they did not receive the service.
Although the joint and common costs can be recovered in a number of ways,
there is a rationale in employing price discrimination to allocate the indivisible expenses
‘according to what the traffic can bear’. This principle is consistent with the notion of ‘he
who benefits should pay’; it recovers the indivisible expense from beneficiaries without
the need for cross-subsidization or general revenue subsidies. It also encourages the
maximum utilization of airport capacity and the individual users contribute to these
expenses in proportion to the magnitude of their individual benefits.
The principle of price discrimination can also be applied to inescapable costs. The
main difference is that while joint and common costs are escapable, inescapable costs are
fixed even in the long term. Therefore, in the case of joint and common costs, the relevant
165
assets should only be renewed if users are prepared to pay sufficient revenues to meet the
costs of renewal. However, fixed airport costs are inescapable and should continue to be
used, whether or not the revenue paid by users covers their historic or replacement cost.
Such assets may have been made on the basis of inaccurate assumptions about demand
and revenue.
Thus, using measures of aircraft size and passenger numbers may be deemed fair
on the grounds that it is the largest and heaviest aircraft that determine the capacity and
strength of runways, stands and termini. However, they also indirectly measure ‘ability to
pay’. For example, larger aircraft have larger payloads and hence larger revenues.
Further, they will tend to be employed on long-haul routes with higher unit fares.
The most significant cost that does not appear in the accounts of airlines or
airports is that of noise. Predominantly, aircraft noise remains an externality which affects
people residing in an airport’s flight path. In principle, it is possible to estimate the cost of
noise or the willingness to pay for less noise. In an ideal world, airlines and their users
should compensate those adversely and directly affected by aircraft noise. In practice, the
regulator can encourage airports to tax noise pollution in an attempt to moderate its
impact and internalize this externality.
The first step in calculating airport charges is to determine airport costs. In this
respect, the various airport services and facilities which give rise to expenditures have to
be classified in a way that facilitates cost analysis. The identification of appropriate ‘cost
centres’ is the best methodology. A ‘cost centre’ is an accounting device for allocating
costs and building up the pricing structure. To avoid cost mis-allocation, the definition of
the cost centre should be undertaken with care and should be based on the following
criteria: the service provided; the location where the service is given; the duration of the
service provided; and the user of the service.
The second step is to calculate the specific costs for each cost centre using the
principles set out above. Costs need to be measured using social accounting values in
order to avoid omitting externalities. Further, a time horizon relevant to the pricing
decision needs to be determined. This will normally be one year, and it will be necessary
to identify whether costs are escapable or inescapable within that period of time. There
will be a significant amount of overheads, which cannot be allocated to specific cost
centres and these will need to be recovered in some way.
The third step is to identify ‘revenue centres’. These are accounting devices which
allow the grouping of all revenues of the same nature. Cost centres and revenue centres
should be linked together so that the extent of cost recovery could be monitored.
166
The fourth step is to collect information on the utilization of assets corresponding
to a given cost centre. Thereafter, the airport could consider what the desirable level of
asset utilization should be over its life and assess the extent to which airport charges can
contribute to the improvement of the asset utilization. For example, periods of excess
demand may be managed by surcharges based on the period of occupancy or use of
particular facilities.
The final step is to determine the charges and charging basis by cost centre. It is
probable that an element of price discrimination will be required to cover total airport
expenditures. Similar considerations apply to ancillary facilities, such as retail services,
car parking, and land transport access.
The regulator will often be faced with inadequacies in the cost information
available and will be handicapped in reaching pricing recommendations. Further, if the
incumbent operators are monopolists, there will be a need to be sure that the actual
charges levied within a particular pricing system are consistent with those that
competitive firms would have levied. The regulator may thus adopt a system of price-
capping based on either fixing the rate of return available to operators or preferably on
allowing price increases of RPI-X as discussed earlier. The latter is preferable and
requires the collation of performance data from other airports which may be deemed to be
benchmarks against which to compare a particular airport.
Once an airport regulator has decided to regulate prices it should then be
concerned with the consequences in terms of the quality of airport services and how it
could measure performance in order to manage or regulate quality.
An airport that faces a regulated price will try to reduce its costs in order to get a
higher profit margin. Hence, elements related to quality of service must be closely
supervised. In general, quality regulation is needed in order to overcome the problems of
inadequate or incorrect information being available to airport users, both airlines and
passengers. This problem is particularly acute where services are provided on a monopoly
basis. Regulators, however, face similar asymmetric information problems regarding
product quality. In practice, regulators can undertake quality assessments at airports by
either undertaking quality surveys or by establishing standards and measuring
performance.
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There are four mechanisms that allow for the control of quality:
(a) Publication of quality standards that airports are expected to meet and the
publication of the results of monitoring actual airport performance;
(b) A quality index might be incorporated inside the RPI-X formula. In this
approach the level of X may be determined against the achievement of
measurable standards;
(c) The provision of compensation for users of poor quality services. In this
approach operators that fail to meet performance standards may be
required to compensate passengers or airlines receiving a below-par
service;
Regulators also have responsibility for assessing quality in respect of safety and
externalities. There are a number of methods available to the regulator for influencing
behaviour, such as prohibiting flights at unsociable hours to reduce noise pollution,
licensing operatives in high-risk activities, setting performance targets to reduce
congestion, and enforcing the internalization of externalities in airport charges.
5. Air transport
Air transport is possibly the most heavily regulated industry in both terms of
safety and economic regulation. Economic regulation is embodied in international
agreements that govern the development of international air services. Article 1 of
Convention on International Civil Aviation (1944), which established ICAO also
established the principle that every state must obtain the agreement of other state or states
to operate international air services, normally through bilateral agreements although there
are also multilateral agreements.
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capacity and tariff flexibility. However, for domestic services, every state still has
sovereignty to decide its own policy.
(b) Aircraft
(i)investment in more efficient
(ii) aircraft downsizing
(c) Network
(i)operate a hub-and-spoke network
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G. Williams, The Airline Industry and the Impact of Deregulation (Ashgate, 1993).
79
ESCAP, 2001. Sustainable Transport Pricing and Charges: Principles and Issues, (ST/ESCAP/2139).
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Phase 3: Offensive tactics: transforming the new competitive environment
Another important means by which airlines sought to enhance their revenue has
been price discrimination. This was an unexpected outcome of deregulation, as policy
makers had anticipated that the ensuing competitive environment would make the
practice not viable. The peaking demand characteristics of airline markets are such as to
allow a considerable variation in price, partly owing the inability of carriers – even in
competitive markets – to vary supply to the same extent. The key to achieving the full
benefits of such a policy lies in an ability to minimize revenue dilution. Ordinarily,
discriminatory pricing necessitates the existence of monopoly or a highly collusive
oligopoly, as it is only in these types of markets that firms are able to exercise the
necessary control over their customers. The non-storable nature of the service, however,
alters this situation.
The vast amount of information gathered by CRSs has enabled their owners to
fine-tune their price discrimination activities through yield management techniques.
These have allowed them to extract even more economic rent, their non-CRS owning
rivals earning less as a consequence. Without the ownership of such equipment, airlines
had little option but to use one of four CRS vendors at very high fees.
One response to excess demand and competition has been the restructuring of the
market through mergers and consolidation. Airline mergers may lead to an increasingly
monopolistic industry and build up the potential for fare increases. Proposed mergers
between airlines and transnational ownership of airlines are being reviewed by the
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regulatory authorities, especially in the United States to avoid monopoly or near
monopoly exploitation of the market.
Similar concerns have been expressed about the increasing dominance of airline
alliances Such alliances increase the scope of air services to different parts of the world
and offer improved frequencies and better connectivity for the passengers. Another
marketing arrangement to emerge in recent years is that of ‘codesharing’. This is a
practice whereby one carrier permits another carrier to use its airline designator code on a
flight or where two carriers share the same designator code on a flight. The practice is
intended to produce better utilization of the rights under the bilateral agreements, cost
savings, economies of scale, and increased net revenue. Regulatory authorities are likely
to prevent the abuse of market power by such groupings.
Economic reform in air transport has led to the need for regulators to focus on the
one hand with the problems of wasteful or excess competition and on other the
desirability of proposed airline mergers and other collusive arrangements between
operators. The other area of regulatory intervention relates to externalities, particularly
relating to aircraft noise and congestion which were discussed with reference to airports.
H. Summary
3. Instead of eliminating the need for regulation, such reforms have emphasized the
need for effective regulation and regulatory institutions. This need in the transport
industry is due to the existence of natural monopolies, the limitations of
“competition for the market”, the existence of assymetric information between
transport operators and regulators, the need for private investment in
infrastructure facilities, and the need to assign risks between operators and
government.
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4. It should be emphasized that investor risk assessments will be based on a number
of factors, including the nature, stability and credibility of macroeconomic policy,
corporate governance, tax policy, labour market policy, and other non-policy
risks. Risks can be mitigated however, through increasing stability in the
government’s policy approach. Reform through systemic regulatory, legal and
related institutional reforms should be transparent, stable and predictable.
6. The various subsectors of the industry have grappled with similar issues in
attempting to create competition and then to decide whether and how to regulate
those elements of the reformed markets which still give cause for concern in
terms of the public interest.
7. There are no standard solutions applicable to all modes and in all markets and
locations. This chapter has identified the market and cost characteristics that will
determine the appropriateness of a wide range of alternative market arrangements
and their associated regulatory requirements.
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