Technology Strategy Assessment - Flow Batteries
Technology Strategy Assessment - Flow Batteries
Technology Strategy Assessment - Flow Batteries
Strategy
Assessment
Findings from Storage Innovations 2030
Flow Batteries
July 2023
About Storage Innovations 2030
This technology strategy assessment on flow batteries, released as part of the Long-Duration
Storage Shot, contains the findings from the Storage Innovations (SI) 2030 strategic initiative. The
objective of SI 2030 is to develop specific and quantifiable research, development, and
deployment (RD&D) pathways to achieve the targets identified in the Long-Duration Storage Shot,
which seeks to achieve 90% cost reductions for technologies that can provide 10 hours or longer
of energy storage within the coming decade. Through SI 2030, the U.S. Department of Energy
(DOE) is aiming to understand, analyze, and enable the innovations required to unlock the
potential for long-duration applications in the following technologies:
• Lithium-ion Batteries
• Lead-acid Batteries
• Flow Batteries
• Zinc Batteries
• Sodium Batteries
• Pumped Storage Hydropower
• Compressed Air Energy Storage
• Thermal Energy Storage
• Supercapacitors
• Hydrogen Storage
The findings in this report primarily come from two pillars of SI 2030—the SI Framework and the
SI Flight Paths. For more information about the methodologies of each pillar, please reference
the SI 2030 Methodology Report, released alongside the ten technology reports.
Acknowledgments
DOE acknowledges all stakeholders who contributed to the SI 2030 industry input process.
Further information about the stakeholders who participated in the SI Framework activities can be
found in Appendix B.
Authors
Vince Sprenkle, Pacific Northwest National Laboratory
Bin Li, Idaho National Laboratory
Lu Zhang, Argonne National Laboratory
Lily A. Robertson, Argonne National Laboratory
Zhiguang Li, Argonne National Laboratory
Patrick Balducci, Argonne National Laboratory
Reviewers
Imre Gyuk, Office of Electricity, DOE
Nyla Khan, Office of Electricity, DOE
Kevin Knehr, Argonne National Laboratory
Benjamin Shrager, Office of Electricity, DOE
Erik Spoerke, Sandia National Laboratory
Changwon Suh, Office of Energy Efficiency and Renewable Energy, DOE
Table of Contents
About Storage Innovations 2030 ..................................................................................................i
Acknowledgments ....................................................................................................................... ii
Background................................................................................................................................ 1
Introduction .................................................................................................................... 1
History ............................................................................................................................ 1
Commercial Deployments............................................................................................... 1
RFB Designs .................................................................................................................. 2
Aqueous versus Non-aqueous ....................................................................................... 2
Organic versus Inorganic ................................................................................................ 3
Baseline Cost Estimates ................................................................................................. 3
Pathways to $0.05/kWh ............................................................................................................. 4
R&D Opportunities ..................................................................................................................... 9
Additional Opportunities and Discussion ...................................................................................12
Pre-Competitive R&D Opportunities ..........................................................................................13
Appendix A: Innovation Matrix and Definitions ..........................................................................15
Appendix B: Industry Contributors .............................................................................................17
Appendix C: Innovation Coefficients..........................................................................................18
Appendix D: Descriptive Statistics for Individual Innovations .....................................................19
References ...............................................................................................................................21
Background
Introduction
Redox flow batteries (RFBs) or flow batteries (FBs)—the two names are interchangeable in most
cases—are an innovative technology that offers a bidirectional energy storage system by using
redox active energy carriers dissolved in liquid electrolytes. RFBs work by pumping negative and
positive electrolytes through energized electrodes in electrochemical reactors (stacks), allowing
energy to be stored and released as needed. With the promise of cheaper, more reliable energy
storage, flow batteries are poised to transform the way we power our homes and businesses and
usher in a new era of sustainable energy.
History
The principle of the flow battery system was first proposed by L. H. Thaller of the National
Aeronautics and Space Administration in 1974, [1] focusing on the Fe/Cr system until 1984. In
1979, the Electrotechnical Laboratory in Japan also made progress in the development of the
aqueous Fe/Cr system, which was a project of the New Energy and Industrial Technology
Development Organization [2]. In the 1980s, the University of New South Wales in Australia
started to develop vanadium flow batteries (VFBs). Soon after, Zn-based RFBs were widely
reported to be in use due to the high adaptability of Zn-metal anodes to aqueous systems, with
Zn/Br2 systems being among the first to be reported. In the 1990s, Regenesys Ltd invented RFB
systems with NaBr on the positive side and Na2S4 on the negative side as electrolytes. Until the
2010s, many types of RFB systems have been proposed, including all-iron, non-aqueous organic,
and aqueous organic flow batteries [3]. In recent years, there has been significant progress in
improving their performance and reducing their cost. Currently, RFBs, especially VFBs and zinc-
bromine RFBs are considered relatively mature technologies and are being actively deployed in
a variety of applications.
Commercial Deployments
RFBs have unique characteristics, such as decoupled energy and power, scalability, and potential
cost-effectiveness, due to their liquid nature. These features make RFBs well suited for various
applications, including utility-scale energy storage, microgrids, renewables integration, backup
power, and remote/off-grid power. Below are some notable commercial accomplishments in this
area:
• A 100-MW/400-MWh VFB system, the largest of its kind in the world, was put into
operation in Dalian in northeast China in 2023 by Rongke Power Company.
• A 7-MW/30-MWh VFB system will be installed by Invinity Energy Systems on the National
Grid in the United Kingdom, which should be the largest grid-scale battery ever
manufactured in the United Kingdom.
• ESS, Inc., in the United States, ended 2022 with nearly 800 MWh of annual production
capacity for its all-iron flow battery.
• China’s first megawatt iron-chromium flow battery energy storage demonstration project,
which can store 6,000 kWh of electricity for 6 hours, was successfully tested and was
approved for commercial use on February 28, 2023, making it the largest of its kind in the
world.
RFB Designs
Figure 1 illustrates the three common RFB designs: traditional, hybrid, and redox-targeting RFBs.
In a traditional dual-flow battery system with dissolved active species, two electrolyte tanks
containing dissolved active species are separated by a membrane. The active species undergo
redox reactions during charging and discharging. A hybrid flow battery system employs a solid
anolyte active species in addition to a dissolved catholyte active species, providing extra capacity
and higher energy density. In contrast, a redox shuttle design stores solid active materials in
multiple tanks and a separate tank with a redox shuttle to transport the active species between
the solid active tanks. This design enables higher energy density and a reduction in the volume
of electrolyte required.
RFBs are commonly noted for their variable duration capabilities, utilizing a materials supply chain
separate from lithium batteries, and having the flexibility to separately scale power and energy.
This independence of power and energy primarily applies to traditional RFBs and redox-targeting
RFBs, but not hybrid RFBs as those contain a solid anode.
Figure 1. Three basic RFB designs: (a) a standard dual-flow system with only dissolved active species, (b)
a hybrid system employing a solid anode active species, and (c) a redox shuttle design with a majority of
stationary solid active species in the tanks—accessed by pumped redox shuttles—for increased energy
density
Anthraquinone-
Aqueous AQS/H2AQS BQDS/H2BQDS
Benzoquinone
Phenazine- Phenazine
Organic Ferrocyanide
Ferrocyanide derivatives
Fluorenone- Fluorenone
Ferrocyanide
Ferrocyanide derivatives
Ruthenium [Ru(bpy)3]2+/ [Ru(bpy)3]+/
Non- Complexes [Ru(bpy)3]3+ [Ru(bpy)3]2+
Organic
aqueous Chromium- Cr(I)/Cr(II)/ Cr(III)/Cr(IV)/
Acetylacetonate Cr(II)/Cr(III) Cr(IV)/Cr(V)
Zinc-Bromine Zn/Zn2+ Br2/Br−
Zinc-Cerium Zn/Zn2+ Ce(III)/Ce(IV)
Aqueous Inorganic
Hybrid
[Fe(CN)6]4-/3-
Redox-
Table 2 shows cost and performance projections for a 100-MW VFB system with 10 hours of
storage in 2030. These projections assume no increase in DOE research and development (R&D)
investments and serve as the reference point for future impact assessments.
Table 2. Projected VFB cost and performance parameters in 2030 for a 100-MW, 10-hour VFB storage system
Storage Block Calendar Life for Stacks and Pumps 12 Deployment life (years)
Cycle Life (Electrolyte) 10,000 Base total number of cycles
Round-trip Efficiency (RTE) 65% Base RTE
Storage Block Costs 166.16 Base storage block costs ($/kWh)
Balance of Plant Costs 29.86 Base balance of plant costs ($/kWh)
Controls and Communication Costs 1.12 Controls and communication costs ($/kW)
Power Equipment Costs 101.54 Power equipment costs ($/kW)
System Integration Costs 32.00 System integration costs ($/kWh)
Project Development Costs 42.33 Project development costs ($/kWh)
Engineering, Procurement, and Construction (EPC)
36.81 EPC costs ($/kWh)
Costs
Grid Integration Costs 16.97 Grid integration costs ($/kW)
Fixed Operations and Maintenance (O&M) Costs 9.95 Base fixed O&M costs ($/kW-year)
Variable O&M Costs 0.0005125 Base variable O&M costs ($/kWh)
Source: Viswanathan et al., 2022.
Based on these parameter values, levelized cost of storage (LCOS) for 10-hour systems at a
rated power of 100 MW and 1,000 MW are projected to be $0.16/kWh and $0.15/kWh,
respectively, in 2030 [4].
Pathways to $0.05/kWh
DOE’s Energy Storage Grand Challenge Storage Innovations 2030 (SI 2030) engaged flow
battery industry experts to examine potential barriers for further development and to help identify
the most promising R&D opportunities that can facilitate achieving the $0.05/kWh LCOS goal
established by DOE’s Long-Duration Storage Energy Earthshot. The SI Flight Paths Team,
comprised of staff from several National Laboratories, hosted a 2-hour listening session with
industry chief executive officers, chief technology officers, and other leaders on January 12, 2023,
to discuss the potential development needs of their current technologies. A total of 22 industry
attendees representing 14 commercial flow battery-related companies (i.e., 5 organic-based, 3
vanadium-based, 2 zinc-based, 1 iron-based, 1 sulfur-manganese, and 2 membrane companies)
discussed the most impactful impediments limiting widespread deployment of the flow batteries,
components, and technologies that could benefit most from further development and cost
reductions and opportunities for pre-competitive R&D among industry. The Flight Paths listening
session helped identify both key technology areas for development, as well as regulatory and
policy implications that may be impacting the development of the technology, which will be
discussed in later sections of this report. In terms of technological opportunities, session
respondents identified the following areas for technological improvements.
Other discussion topics during the Flight Paths listening session focused on the most promising
cost reduction opportunities for flow batteries. As indicated in Table 4, electrolytes, manufacturing,
and stack components were considered to be the most promising opportunities for cost reduction.
Table 4. The most promising cost reduction opportunities (Flight Paths listening session, January 12, 2023)
Percentage of
Cost Reduction Opportunities
Respondents
Electrolytes 30
Manufacturing 30
Stack components 28
Power electronics 10
Other 3
The Energy Storage Grand Challenge SI 2030 Framework Team further explored flow battery
cost reduction opportunities to understand the magnitude and impact of potential R&D
investments. The Framework Team interviewed 26 flow battery subject matter experts (SMEs)
who represented 20 organizations, ranging from industry groups (e.g., ESS, Inc., Lockheed Martin
Corporation) to vendors (e.g., Primus Power, Largo Inc.) and National Laboratories (e.g., SLAC
National Accelerator Laboratory). All 20 organizations participated in interviews where the
Framework Team solicited information regarding pathways to innovation and the associated cost
reductions and expected performance improvements. The innovations defined by the SMEs are
presented in Table 5 and are consistent with the Flight Paths findings described above. Definitions
of each innovation are presented in Appendix A.
Once the innovations were defined, SMEs were further contacted in order to obtain their input
regarding the requirements and timelines for investment and potential impacts on performance
(e.g., round-trip efficiency, cycle life) and cost (e.g., storage block, balance of plant, operations
and maintenance [O&M]) for each innovation. A Monte Carlo simulation model was used to
explore the range of potential impacts of research, development, and deployment investment by
evaluating tens of thousands of combinations of innovations and impacts, the goal of which was
to determine what portfolios of innovations had the highest probability of achieving the Energy
Storage Grand Challenge LCOS target of $0.05/kWh. Required investment levels were also
observed. The Monte Carlo simulation tool then randomly combined each innovation with two to
seven other innovations and, based on the combinations of innovations selected by the model
and the range of impacts estimated by industry, the tool produced the distribution of achievable
outcomes by 2030 with respect to LCOS (Figure 2). The LCOS range with the highest
concentration of simulated outcomes is in the $0.057 to $0.064/kWh range. However, some
portfolios substantially reduce LCOS, with the highest impact portfolios (top 10% as calculated by
the model) resulting in an LCOS of between $0.052 and $0.057/kWh—approximately 2.8 times
lower than current 2030 projections. Note that the marked region indicates the range of LCOS
calculated by the model for the top 10% of the portfolios.
The results of the Monte Carlo simulation for the thousands of portfolios that fall within the top
10% in terms of LCOS impact are presented in Figure 3. The vertical line demonstrates that the
mean portfolio cost is $325 million, which represents the marginal investment over currently
planned levels required to achieve the corresponding LCOS improvements. Total expenditure
levels with the highest portfolio densities in the top 10% are in the $350 million to $425 million
range, and the timeline required for achieving these LCOS levels is estimated at 8 to 12 years.
Figure 3. LCOS and industry expenditures for the top 10% of RFB portfolios
Note that the impact of each layered innovation is not additive. To account for this, the Monte
Carlo model uses innovation coefficient matrices that assign a value between 0 and 1 for each
Table 6. SME preferences for investment mechanisms in RFB innovations. Cells with asterisks (*) represent
the preferred mechanism. (Technical Assistance includes advice or guidance on issues or goals, tools and
maps, and training provided by government agencies or National Laboratories to support industry.)
National
Technical
Innovation Laboratory R&D Grants Loans
Assistance
Research
Mining and metallurgy innovations 14.3% 21.4% 28.6% 35.7%*
Secondary sourcing 20.0% 26.7%* 26.7% 26.7%
Supply chain analytics 38.9%* 22.2% 11.1% 27.8%
Low-cost membranes with high selectivity and
31.3% 50.0%* 12.5% 6.3%
durability
Power performance 27.8% 44.4%* 11.1% 16.7%
System design and packaging 14.3% 57.1%* 21.4% 7.1%
Manufacturing for scalable flow batteries 11.8% 47.1%* 41.2% 0.0%
Novel active electrolytes 41.2%* 35.3% 11.8% 11.8%
Bipolar plates 41.7%* 33.3% 8.3% 16.7%
Separators/Membranes 40.9%* 31.8% 13.6% 13.6%
Accelerating the discovery loop for battery metrics
50.0%* 31.3% 0.0% 18.8%
and materials
Scaling and managing the energy storage system 17.4% 34.8%* 30.4% 17.4%
Demonstration projects 13.6% 36.4%* 36.4% 13.6%
Enhancing domestic recycling 30.4%* 26.1% 17.4% 26.1%
a To demonstrate how innovation coefficients work, the innovation coefficient for the combined investment in
mining/metallurgy innovations and enhanced domestic recycling is 0.13, which means that the Monte Carlo simulation
tool would only include 10% of the defined impact of the second innovation (e.g., enhanced domestic recycling) when
added to the first innovation (e.g., mining/metallurgy innovations). The reason for the low coefficient for these
innovations are that both affect the raw materials that are used in the manufacturing process (i.e., virgin versus recycled
materials). An innovation coefficient of 1.0 indicates that 100% of the impact of the second investment will be added to
the impact of the first innovation, while a coefficient of 0 means that the second investment would add no additional
value.
R&D Opportunities
Based on the SMEs’ estimates provided to the Framework Team (see Table 7), novel active
materials, manufacturing for scalable flow batteries, secondary sourcing (materials extraction),
demonstration projects, and accelerating the discovery loop for battery metrics and materials
consistently yield metrics in the top tier, designated by cells with asterisks (*). Cells with daggers
(†) indicate mid-tier metrics, and cells with double daggers (‡) indicate the lowest tier. When
reviewing the values in Table 7, the values for mining and metallurgy innovations indicate that
investing $35.9 million over 4.5 years could reduce storage block costs by 25.4% while improving
cycle life by 20% and round-trip efficiency by 5%. Cycling improvements are the most significant
contributor to reduced LCOS for flow batteries, and several innovations demonstrate strength in
this metric. The Framework Team recognizes that some estimates are aggressive and optimistic
yet remain worthy of our attention as they demonstrate a strong directional cue from the industry
that these innovations show great promise and have broad-based industry support. Enhanced
domestic recycling, supply chain analytics, and mining/metallurgy were not viewed as promising
by the industry. More detailed data, including minimum and maximum values and standard
deviations for each metric, are presented in Appendix D.
The recommended investment levels and timeline by innovation also are identified in Table 7.
Most investments are in the $5 million to $40 million range (except for demonstration projects)
and require investments over 3 to 5 years. Mining/Metallurgy, scaling and managing the energy
storage system, demonstration projects, and novel active electrolytes require significant
investment in industrial processes and project development and, therefore, require more
investment and time. An emerging pattern is the number of innovations that yield fairly solid
impacts at relatively low investment levels, including accelerating the discovery loop for battery
metrics and materials, enhancing domestic recycling, supply chain analytics, power performance,
and system design and packaging. Investment in these innovations, along with those in
separators/membranes, would yield solid reductions in LCOS at modest investment levels.
However, to achieve levels at or near the $0.05/kWh target, deep investment in advanced
manufacturing for scalable flow batteries and novel active electrolytes that involve development
and validation of advanced controls and management systems are required.
From both the Flight Paths and Framework efforts, several key research areas were identified for
flow battery technologies where additional research and investment would benefit their
development.
• Separators/Membranes: Flow battery membranes physically separate the positive and
negative electrolytes while allowing the transfer of charge-carrying ions during charging
and discharging of the battery. Improving the conductivity of current membranes can help
increase the efficiency of flow batteries but must be done in conjunction with maintaining
or increasing the selectivity of the membrane in order to minimize crossover of the active
species. The strength and durability of the membranes can also be improved. Increasing
the strength of membrane materials allows for thinner, less resistive membranes to be
used in stack construction, thereby reducing costs. Improving the ability of these
Figure 5. Flight Paths responses to “What are the most impactful impediments limiting the widespread
deployment of your technology?”
Table 8. Comparison of identified key innovations from the Flight Paths and the Framework
* Non-technical topics were not analyzed in the Framework and are summarized based on the SME interviews.
Participant Institution
Dr. Z. Gary Yang ZGY Power LLC
Patrick T. Sullivan Flux XII LLC
Dr. Julia Song Energy Storage Systems Inc.
Dr. Eugene Beh Quino Energy
Mike L. Perry Largo Inc.
Dr. Brennan Gantner Skip Technology
Greg Cipriano WattJoule
John F. DeBoever WattJoule
Kevin Meagher The Sun Company
Dr. Markus Schatz Riverside Specialty Chemicals Inc.
Dr. Michael Marshak Otoro Energy Inc.
Dr. Tyler Evans Sharp End Energy, LLC
Dr. Jagjit Nanda SLAC National Accelerator Laboratory
Dr. Thomas J. Rabbow AvCarb Material Solutions
Craig Husa Lockheed Martin Corporation
Dr. Steven Reece Lockheed Martin Corporation
Matt Harper Invinity Energy Systems
Matthew Walz Invinity Energy Systems
Russ Weed CleanTech Strategies LLC
Mark Higgins Redflow Limited
Dr. Dagmar Becker Redflow Limited
Tom Stepien Primus Power
Tom Turcotte Vault 44.01 (Formerly of Enlighten Innovations Inc.)
Joe Turcotte Enlighten Innovations Inc.
Dr. Sai Bhavaraju Enlighten Innovations Inc.
Dr. Conghua Wang TreadStone Technologies, Inc.
Demonstration projects
Separators/Membranes
Secondary sourcing
Power performance
Bipolar plates
innovations
batteries
Innovation
Mining and metallurgy innovations – 0.20 0.05 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.95 0.50 1.00 1.00 0.75 1.00 1.00 0.10
Secondary sourcing 0.20 – 0.40 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.97 0.75 1.00 1.00 0.80 1.00 1.00 0.40
Supply chain analytics 0.05 0.40 – 0.95 1.00 0.80 0.70 0.60 0.60 0.80 0.90 0.70 0.70 0.85
Low-cost membranes with high
1.00 1.00 0.95 – 0.30 0.80 0.80 0.95 0.98 0.60 0.90 0.95 0.95 0.98
selectivity and durability
Power performance 1.00 1.00 1.00 0.30 – 0.75 0.90 0.85 0.95 0.50 0.90 0.90 0.90 1.00
System design and packaging 1.00 1.00 0.80 0.80 0.75 – 0.60 0.95 0.90 0.95 0.85 0.60 0.80 0.90
Manufacturing for scalable flow batteries 0.95 0.97 0.70 0.80 0.90 0.60 – 0.80 0.70 0.75 0.90 0.60 0.80 0.60
Novel active electrolytes 0.50 0.75 0.60 0.95 0.85 0.95 0.80 – 0.95 0.85 0.80 0.95 0.95 0.60
Bipolar plates 1.00 1.00 0.60 0.98 0.95 0.90 0.70 0.95 – 0.98 0.95 0.90 0.95 0.95
Separators/Membranes 1.00 1.00 0.80 0.60 0.50 0.95 0.75 0.85 0.98 – 0.85 0.90 0.95 0.95
Accelerating the discovery loop for
0.75 0.80 0.90 0.90 0.90 0.85 0.90 0.80 0.95 0.85 – 0.80 0.90 0.90
battery metrics and materials
Scaling and managing the energy
1.00 1.00 0.70 0.95 0.90 0.60 0.60 0.95 0.90 0.90 0.80 – 0.50 0.60
storage system
Demonstration projects 1.00 1.00 0.70 0.95 0.90 0.80 0.80 0.95 0.95 0.95 0.90 0.50 – 0.80
Enhancing domestic recycling 0.10 0.40 0.85 0.98 1.00 0.90 0.60 0.60 0.95 0.95 0.90 0.60 0.80 –
References
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