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    Alevelsb fs1 Ex4c

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    modelrailwaymaster
    The document contains 12 examples of hypothesis tests using geometric distributions. Several of the examples test hypotheses about probabilities of success in various scenarios such as free kicks scored, letters drawn, or scratch cards won. The tests calculate the probability of observing a particular outcome under the null hypothesis and compare it to a significance level to determine whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. In most cases, there was sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis that the probability of success was not less than the stated value.

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    Alevelsb fs1 Ex4c

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    modelrailwaymaster
    10 views3 pages
    The document contains 12 examples of hypothesis tests using geometric distributions. Several of the examples test hypotheses about probabilities of success in various scenarios such as free kicks scored, letters drawn, or scratch cards won. The tests calculate the probability of observing a particular outcome under the null hypothesis and compare it to a significance level to determine whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. In most cases, there was sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis that the probability of success was not less than the stated value.

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    The document contains 12 examples of hypothesis tests using geometric distributions. Several of the examples test hypotheses about probabilities of success in various scenarios such as free kicks scored, letters drawn, or scratch cards won. The tests calculate the probability of observing a particular outcome under the null hypothesis and compare it to a significance level to determine whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. In most cases, there was sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis that the probability of success was not less than the stated value.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    10 views3 pages

    Alevelsb fs1 Ex4c

    Uploaded by

    modelrailwaymaster
    The document contains 12 examples of hypothesis tests using geometric distributions. Several of the examples test hypotheses about probabilities of success in various scenarios such as free kicks scored, letters drawn, or scratch cards won. The tests calculate the probability of observing a particular outcome under the null hypothesis and compare it to a significance level to determine whether to reject or fail to reject the null hypothesis. In most cases, there was sufficient evidence to reject the null hypothesis that the probability of success was not less than the stated value.

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    Hypothesis testing 4C

    1 X Geo( p)
    H 0 : p  0.25, H1 : p  0.25
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.25)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 9)  (1  0.25)8  0.1001 (4 d.p.)
    0.1001  0.05
    There is insufficient evidence to reject H0.

    2 X Geo( p)
    H 0 : p  0.6, H1 : p  0.6
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.6)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 6)  (1  0.6)5  0.0102 (4 d.p.)
    0.0102  0.05
    This is significant, and there is sufficient evidence to reject H0.

    3 X Geo( p)
    H 0 : p  0.01, H1 : p  0.01
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.01)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 3)  1  (1  0.01)3  0.0297 (4 d.p.)
    0.0297  0.05
    This is significant, and there is sufficient evidence to reject H0.

    4 X Geo( p)
    H 0 : p  0.15, H1 : p  0.15
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.15)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 18)  (1  0.15)17  0.0631 (4 d.p.)
    0.0631  0.05
    There is insufficient evidence to reject H0.

    5 X Geo( p)
    H 0 : p  0.02, H1 : p  0.02
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.02)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 2)  1  (1  0.02) 2  0.0396 (4 d.p.)
    0.0396  0.05
    This is significant, and there is sufficient evidence to reject H0.

    © Pearson Education Ltd 2017. Copying permitted for purchasing institution only. This material is not copyright free. 1
    6 Let the random variable X denote the number of throws before getting a 6.
    1 1
    H 0 : p  , H1 : p 
    6 6
    1
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo  
    6
    Significance level 5%
    19
     1
    P( X 20)  1    0.0313 (4 d.p.)
     6
    0.0313  0.05
    There is sufficient evidence to reject H0 and conclude that dice is biased and the probability of getting
    a 6 is less than 1 .
    6

    7 Let the random variable X denote the number of letters drawn before getting an A.
    1 1
    H 0 : p  , H1 : p 
    5 5
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.2)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 15)  (1  0.2)14  0.0440 (4 d.p.)
    0.0440  0.05
    There is sufficient evidence to reject H0 and conclude that the probability of getting an A is less
    than 1 .
    5

    8 a Use a geometric distribution model. Let the random variable X denote the number of free kicks
    taken by Lucy before she scores a goal, so X Geo(0.25) .
    b P( X = 5) = 0.25(1- 0.25)4 = 0.0791 (4 d.p.)
    c H 0 : p = 0.25 H1 : p < 0.25
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.25)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 10)  (1  0.25)9  0.0751 (4 d.p.)
    0.0751  0.05
    There is insufficient evidence to reject H0 and no reason to conclude that the probability of Lucy
    scoring from a free kick is now less than 1 .
    4

    9 Let the random variable X denote the number of scratch cards bought getting a win.
    H 0 : p  0.25, H1 : p  0.25
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.25)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 12)  (1  0.25)11  0.0422 (4 d.p.)
    0.0422  0.05
    There is sufficient evidence to reject H0 and conclude that the student’s suspicion is correct and the
    probability of winning is less than 1 in 4.

    © Pearson Education Ltd 2017. Copying permitted for purchasing institution only. This material is not copyright free. 2
    10 Let the random variable X denote the number of people questioned up to an including the first person
    to own a Wisetalk phone.
    H 0 : p  0.22, H1 : p  0.22
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.22)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 14)  (1  0.22)13  0.0396 (4 d.p.)
    0.0396  0.05
    There is sufficient evidence to reject H0 and conclude that Wisetalk are overstating the percentage.

    11 Let the random variable X denote the number of penalties taken by Marie before she scores a goal.
    H 0 : p  0.3, H1 : p  0.3
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.3)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 10)  (1  0.3)9  0.0404 (4 d.p.)
    0.0404  0.05
    There is sufficient evidence to reject H0 and conclude that Marie is overstating her ability.

    12 a Use a geometric distribution model, X


    6 
    Geo 1 . For the model to be valid, the probability of
    seeing a robin on any day must be constant, and the probability of seeing a robin on one day is
    independent of seeing a robin on another day.

       0.1157 (4 d.p.)
    2
    b i P( X  3)  1 1  1
    6 6
    P( X  4)  P( X 5)  1  1   0.4823 (4 d.p.)
    4
    ii
    6
    c H 0 : p = 0.25 H1 : p < 0.25
    Assume H 0 , so that X Geo(0.25)
    Significance level 5%
    P( X 12)  (1  0.25)11  0.0422 (4 d.p.)
    0.0422  0.05
    There is sufficient evidence to reject H0 and conclude that Imelda is overstating the probability of
    seeing a magpie on any given day.

    © Pearson Education Ltd 2017. Copying permitted for purchasing institution only. This material is not copyright free. 3

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