Chapter

PROBABILITY
EXERCISE 13.1
1. Given that 𝑬 and 𝑭 are events such that 𝑷(𝑬) = 𝟎. 𝟔, 𝑷(𝑭) = 𝟎. 𝟑 and 𝑷(𝑬 ∩ 𝑭) =
𝟎. 𝟐, find 𝑷(𝑬 ∣ 𝑭) and 𝑷(𝑭 ∣ 𝑬)
Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐸) = 0.6, 𝑃(𝐹) = 0.3 and 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = 0.2

We know that by the definition of conditional probability,
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)
By substituting the values we get
𝑃(𝐸∩𝐹) 0.2 2
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = = 0.3 = 3
𝑃(𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸∩𝐹) 0.2 2 1
And ⇒ 𝑃(𝐹 ∣ 𝐸) = = 0.6 = 6 = 3
𝑃(𝐸)
2. Compute 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩), if 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟎. 𝟓 and 𝑷(𝑨 ∩ 𝑩) = 𝟎. 𝟑𝟐
Ans. Given: 𝑃(𝐵) = 0.5 and 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0.32

We know that by definition of conditional probability,
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)
Now by substituting the values we get

0.32 32 16
⇒ P(A ∣ B) = = 50 = 25
0.5
3. If 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟎. 𝟖, 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟎. 𝟓 and 𝑷(𝑩 ∣ 𝑨) = 𝟎. 𝟒, find

(i) 𝑷(𝑨 ∩ 𝑩)
(ii) 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩)
(iii) 𝑷(𝑨 ∪ 𝑩)
Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐴) = 0.8, 𝑃(𝐵) = 0.5 and 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 0.4

(i) We know that by definition of conditional probability,
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) =
𝑃(𝐴)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴)𝑃(𝐴)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0.4 × 0.8
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0.32
(ii) We know that by definition of conditional probability,

P(A∩B)
P(A ∣ B) = P(B)
Now substituting the values we get
0.32
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = = 0.64
0.5
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 0.64
(iii) Now, ∵ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)

Substituting the values we get
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 0.8 + 0.5 − 0.32 = 1.3 − 0.32

⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 0.98
4. Evaluate 𝑷(𝑨 ∪ 𝑩), if 𝟐𝑷(𝑨) = 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟓/𝟏𝟑 and 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩) = 𝟐/𝟓.
5 2
Ans. Given 2𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐵) = 13 and 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 5
5 5 5 2
⇒ P(B) = 13 , P(A) = 13×2 = 26 , P(A ∣ B) = 5 … … … (i)

𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵)𝑃(𝐵)
2 5 2
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 5 × 13 = 13 … … … . (ii)
Now, ∵ 𝑃(𝐴 ∗ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
5 5 2 5+10−4 15−4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 26 + 13 − 13 = =
26 26
11
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 26
5. If 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟔/𝟏𝟏, 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟓/𝟏𝟏 and 𝑷(𝑨 ∪ 𝑩) = 𝟕/𝟏𝟏, find

(i) 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
(ii) 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵)
(iii) 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴)
6 5 7
Ans. Given: 𝑃(𝐴) = 11 , 𝑃(𝐵) = 11 , 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 11
(i) We know that 𝑃(𝐴 ∗ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)
6 5 7 11−7
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 11 + 11 − 11 = 11
4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 11
(ii) Now, by definition of conditional probability,
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)
4/11
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 5/11
4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 5
(iii) Again, by definition of conditional probability,
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐴)
4/11 4 2
⇒ 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 6/11 = 6 = 3
2
⇒ 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 3
Determine 𝑷(𝑬 ∣ 𝑭) in Exercises 6 to 𝟗.
6. A coin is tossed three times, where

(i) 𝐸 : head on third toss, 𝐹 : heads on first two tosses
(ii) 𝐸 : at least two heads, 𝐹 : at most two heads
(iii) E : at most two tails, 𝐹 : at least one tail
Ans. The sample space of the given experiment will be:

S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, 𝑇TH, TTT}
(i) Here, E: head on third toss

And 𝐹 : heads on first two tosses
⇒ E = {HHH, HTH, THH, TTH} and F = {HHH, HHT}
⇒ E ∩ F = {HHH}
4 1 2 1 1
So, 𝑃(𝐸) = 8 = 2 , 𝑃(𝐹) = 8 = 4 , 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = 8
Now, we know that by definition of conditional probability,
𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) =
𝑃(𝐹)
1/8 4 1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = = =
1/4 8 2
1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) =
2
(ii) Here, E: at least two heads

And F : at most two heads
⇒ E = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH} and F = {HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, 𝑇TH, 𝑇TT}
⇒ E ∩ F = {HHT, HTH, THH}
4 1 7 3
So, P(E) = = , P(F) = , P(E ∩ F) =
8 2 8 8
Now, we know that

By definition of conditional probability,
𝑃(𝐸∩𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 𝑃(𝐹)
3/8 3
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 7/8 = 7
(iii) Here, E: at most two tails
And F: at least one tail
⇒ E = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH}
And F = {HHT, HTH, THH, HTT, THT, TTH, TTT}
7 7 6 3
So, 𝑃(𝐸) = 8 , 𝑃(𝐹) = 8 , 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = 8 = 4
Now, we know that

𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) =
𝑃(𝐹)
3/4 6
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = =
7/8 7
7. Two coins are tossed once, where

(i) E: tail appears on one coin, F: one coin shows head
(ii) E: no tail appears, F: no head appears
Ans. The sample space of the given experiment is S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}
(i) Here, E: tail appears on one coin
And F : one coin shows head
⇒ E = {HT, TH} and F = {HT, TH}

⇒ E ∩ F = {HT, TH}
2 1 2 1 2 1
So, P(E) = = , P(F) = = , P(E ∩ F) = =
4 2 4 2 4 2
P(E ∩ F)
P(E ∣ F) =
P(F)

1/2
⇒ P(E ∣ F) = 1/2
⇒ P(E ∣ 𝐹) = 1
(ii) Here, E: no tail appears
And 𝐹 : no head appears

⇒ 𝐸 = {𝐻𝐻} and 𝐹 = {𝑇𝑇}
⇒𝐸∩𝐹 =𝜑
1 1 0
So, P(E) = 4 , P(F) = 4 , P(E ∩ F) = 4 = 0
P(E∩F)
P(E ∣ F) = P(F)
0
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 1/4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 0
8. A die is thrown three times, 𝐄: 𝟒 appears on the third toss, 𝐅: 𝟔 and 5 appears
respectively on first two tosses.
Ans. The sample space has 216 outcomes, where each element of the sample
space has 3 entries and is of the form (𝑥, 𝑦, 𝑧) where 1 ≤ 𝑥, 𝑦, 𝑧 ≤ 6.
Here, E: 4 appears on the third toss

(1,1,4), (1,2,4), (1,3,4), (1,4,4), (1,5,4), (1,6,4),
(2,1,4), (2,2,4), (2,3,4), (2,4,4), (2,5,4), (2,6,4),
(3,1,4), (3,2,4), (3,3,4), (3,4,4), (3,5,4), (3,6,4),
⇒𝐸=
(4,1,4), (4,2,4), (4,3,4), (4,4,4), (4,5,4), (4,6,4),
(5,1,4), (5,2,4), (5,3,4), (5,4,4), (5,5,4), (5,6,4),
{(6,1,4), (6,2,4), (6,3,4), (6,4,4), (6,5,4), (6,6,4) }
Now, F: 6 and 5 appears respectively on first two tosses

⇒ 𝐹 = {(6,5,1), (6,5,2), (6,5,3), (6,5,4), (6,5,5), (6,5,6)}
⇒ 𝐸 ∩ 𝐹 = {(6,5,4)}
36 6 1
So, 𝑃(𝐸) = 216 , 𝑃(𝐹) = 216 , 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = 216
𝑃(𝐸∩𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 𝑃(𝐹)
1/216 1
⇒ P(E ∣ F) = 6/216 = 6
1
⇒ P(E ∣ F) = 6
9. Mother, father and son line up at random for a family picture E: son on one
end, F: father in middle
Ans. Let M denote mother, F denote father and S denote son. Then, the sample
space for the given experiment will be: S = {MFS, SFM, FSM, MSF, SMF, FMS}
Here, E: Son on one end
And F: Father in middle
⇒ 𝐸 = {𝑀𝐹𝑆, SFM, SMF, FMS } and 𝐹 = {𝑀𝐹𝑆, SFM }
⇒ 𝐸 ∩ 𝐹 = {𝑀𝐹𝑆, 𝑆𝐹𝑀}
4 2 2 1 2 1
So, 𝑃(𝐸) = 6 = 3 , 𝑃(𝐹) = 6 = 3 , 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = 6 = 3
𝑃(𝐸∩𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 𝑃(𝐹)
1/3
⇒ P(E ∣ F) = 1/3 = 1
⇒ P(E ∣ F) = 1
10. A black and a red dice are rolled.

(a) Find the conditional probability of obtaining a sum greater than 9, given that
the black die resulted in a 5.
(b) Find the conditional probability of obtaining the sum 8 , given that the red
die resulted in a number less than 4.
Ans. Let 𝐵 denote black coloured die and 𝑅 denote red coloured die.
Then, the sample space for the given experiment will be:
(𝐵1, 𝑅1), (𝐵1, 𝑅2), (𝐵1, 𝑅3), (𝐵1, 𝑅4), (𝐵1, 𝑅5), (𝐵1, 𝑅6),
(𝐵2, 𝑅1), (𝐵2, 𝑅2), (𝐵2, 𝑅3), (𝐵2, 𝑅4), (𝐵2, 𝑅5), (𝐵2, 𝑅6),
(𝐵3, 𝑅1), (𝐵3, 𝑅2), (𝐵3, 𝑅3), (𝐵3, 𝑅4), (𝐵3, 𝑅5), (𝐵3, 𝑅6),
𝑆=
(𝐵4, 𝑅1), (𝐵4, 𝑅2), (𝐵4, 𝑅3), (𝐵4, 𝑅4), (𝐵4, 𝑅5), (𝐵4, 𝑅6),
(𝐵5, 𝑅1), (𝐵5, 𝑅2), (𝐵5, 𝑅3), (𝐵5, 𝑅4), (𝐵5, 𝑅5), (𝐵5, 𝑅6),
{(𝐵6, 𝑅1), (𝐵6, 𝑅2), (𝐵6, 𝑅3), (𝐵6, 𝑅4), (𝐵6, 𝑅5), (𝐵6, 𝑅6) }
(a) Let 𝐴 be the event of 'obtaining a sum greater than 9 ' and 𝐵 be the event of
'getting a 5 on black die'.
Then, 𝐴 = {(𝐵4, 𝑅6), (𝐵5, 𝑅5), (𝐵5, 𝑅6), (𝐵6, 𝑅4), (𝐵6, 𝑅5), (𝐵6, 𝑅6)}
And 𝐵 = {(𝐵5, 𝑅1), (𝐵5, 𝑅2), (𝐵5, 𝑅3), (𝐵5, 𝑅4), (𝐵5, 𝑅5), (𝐵5, 𝑅6)} ⇒ 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 =
{(𝐵5, 𝑅5), (𝐵5, 𝑅6)}
6 1 6 1 2 1
So, P(A) = 36 = 6 , P(B) = 36 = 6 , P(A ∩ B) = 36 = 18
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)

1/18 6 1
⇒ P(A ∣ B) = = =
1/6 18 3
1
⇒ P(A ∣ B) = 3
(b) Let 𝐴 be the event of 'obtaining a sum 8 ' and 𝐵 be the event of 'getting a
number less than 4 on red die'.
Then, 𝐴 = {(𝐵2, 𝑅6), (𝐵3, 𝑅5), (𝐵4, 𝑅4), (𝐵5, 𝑅3), (𝐵6, 𝑅2)}
(𝐵1, 𝑅1)(𝐵2, 𝑅1), (𝐵3, 𝑅1), (𝐵4, 𝑅1), (𝐵5, 𝑅1), (𝐵6, 𝑅1),
𝐵 = {(𝐵1, 𝑅2), (𝐵2, 𝑅2), (𝐵3, 𝑅2), (𝐵4, 𝑅2), (𝐵5, 𝑅2), (𝐵6, 𝑅2),}
(𝐵1, 𝑅3), (𝐵2, 𝑅3), (𝐵3, 𝑅3), (𝐵4, 𝑅3), (𝐵5, 𝑅3), (𝐵6, 𝑅3)
⇒ 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = {(𝐵5, 𝑅3), (𝐵6, 𝑅2)}
5 18 1 2 1
So, P(A) = 36 , P(B) = 36 = 2 , P(A ∩ B) = 36 = 18
Now, we know that
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) =
𝑃(𝐵)
1/18 2 1
⇒ P(A ∣ B) = = 18 = 9
1/2
1
⇒ P(A ∣ B) = 9
11. A fair die is rolled. Consider events 𝑬 = {𝟏, 𝟑, 𝟓}, 𝑭 = {𝟐, 𝟑} and 𝑮 = {𝟐, 𝟑, 𝟒, 𝟓} Find
(i) 𝑷(𝑬 ∣ 𝑭) and 𝑷(𝑭 ∣ 𝑬)
(ii) 𝑷(𝑬 ∣ 𝑮) and 𝑷 (G|E)
(iii) 𝑷((𝑬 ∪ 𝑭) ∣ 𝑮) and 𝑷((𝑬 ∩ 𝑭) ∣ 𝑮)
Ans. The sample space for the given experiment is 𝑆 = {1,2,3,4,5,6} Here, 𝐸 =
{1,3,5}, 𝐹 = {2,3} and 𝐺 = {2,3,4,5} … … … (i)
3 1 2 1 4 2
⇒ P(E) = 6 = 2 , P(F) = 6 = 3 , P(G) = 6 = 3 … … … (ii)
1 2
Now, 𝐸 ∩ 𝐹 = {3}, 𝐹 ∩ 𝐺 = {2,3}, 𝐸 ∩ 𝐺 = {3,5} … … …. (iii) ⇒ P(E ∩ F) = 6 , P(F ∩ G) = 6 =
1 2 1
, P(E ∩ G) = 6 = 3 … … … (iv)
3
(i) We know that by definition of conditional probability,

𝑃(𝐸∩𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 𝑃(𝐹)
1/6 3 1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 1/3 = 6 = 2 [ Using (II) and (IV)]
1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 2
𝑃(𝐹∩𝐸) 1/6 2 1
𝑃(𝐹 ∣ 𝐸) = = 1/2 = 6 = 3 [Using (ii) and (iv)]
𝑃(𝐸)
Similarly, we have 1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐹 ∣ 𝐸) = 3
(ii) We know that by definition of conditional probability,

𝑃(𝐸∩𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 𝑃(𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸∩𝐺) 1/3 1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐺) = = 2/3 = 2
𝑃(𝐺)
1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐺) =
2
𝑃(𝐺∩𝐸) 1/3 2
𝑃(𝐺 ∣ 𝐸) = = 1/2 = 3
𝑃(𝐸)
Similarly, we have 2
⇒ 𝑃(𝐺 ∣ 𝐸) = 3
(iii) Clearly, from (i), we have
𝐸 = {1,3,5}, 𝐹 = {2,3} and 𝐺 = {2,3,4,5}

⇒ 𝐸 ∪ 𝐹 = {1,2,3,5}
⇒ (𝐸 ∪ 𝐹) ∩ 𝐺 = {2,3,5}
3 1
⇒ 𝑃((𝐸 ∪ 𝐹) ∩ 𝐺) = 6 = 2
1
⇒ 𝑃((𝐸 ∪ 𝐹) ∩ 𝐺) = 2 … … … . (𝑣)
Now, we know that

P(E∩F)
P(E ∣ F) = P(F)
P((E∪F)∩G) 1/2 3
⇒ P((E ∪ F) ∣ G) = = 2/3 = 4 [Using (ii) and (V)]
P(G)
3
⇒ P((E ∪ F) ∣ G) = 4
Similarly, we have E ∩ F = {3} [Using (iii)]

And G = {2,3,4,5} [Using (i)]
⇒ (𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) ∩ 𝐺 = {3}
1
⇒ 𝑃((𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) ∩ 𝐺) = 6 … … … . (vi)
So,
P((E∩F)∩G) 1/6 1
P((E ∩ F) ∣ G) = = 2/3 = 4 [ Using (ii) and (vi)]
P(G)
1
⇒ P((E ∩ F) ∣ G) = 4
12. Assume that each born child is equally likely to be a boy or a girl. If a family
has two children, what is the conditional probability that both are girls given
that (i) the youngest is a girl, (ii) at least one is a girl?
Ans. Let B denote boy and G denote girl.

Then, the sample space of the given experiment is 𝑆 = {𝐺𝐺, 𝐺𝐵, 𝐵𝐺, 𝐵𝐵}
Let 𝐸 be the event that 'both are girls'.
⇒ E = {GG}
1
⇒ P(E) =
4
(i) Let 𝐹 be the event that 'the youngest is a girl'.
⇒ F = {GG, BG}
2 1
⇒ P(F) = 4 = 2 … … … (i)
Now, E ∩ F = {GG}
1
⇒ P(E ∩ F) = 4 … … … (ii)

𝑃(𝐸∩𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 𝑃(𝐹)
1/4 2 1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 1/2 = 4 = 2 [ Using (i) and (ii)]
1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 2
(ii) Let H be the event that 'at least one is a girl'.
⇒ H = {GG, GB, BG}

3
⇒ P(H) = 4 … … … . (iii)
Now, E ∩ H = {GG}
1
⇒ P(E ∩ H) = 4 … … … (iv)
P(E∩F)
P(E ∣ F) = P(F)
P(E∩H) 1/4 1
⇒ P(E ∣ H) = = 3/4 = 3 [ Using (iii) and (iv)]
P(H)
1
⇒ P(E ∣ H) =
3
13. An instructor has a question bank consisting of 300 easy True / False
questions, 200 difficult True / False questions, 𝟓𝟎𝟎 easy multiple choice
questions and 400 difficult multiple choice questions. If a question is selected at
random from the question bank, what is the probability that it will be an easy
question given that it is a multiple choice question?
Ans. Here, there are two types of questions, True/False or Multiple Choice
Questions (T/F or MCQ), and each of them are divided into Easy and Difficult type,
as shown below in the tree diagram.
So, in all, there are, 500 T/F questions and 900 MCQs.
Also, there are 800 Easy questions and 600 difficult questions.
⇒ the sample space of this experiment has 500 + 900 = 1400 outcomes.
Now, let E be the event of 'getting an Easy question' and F be the event of 'getting
an MCQ'.
800 8 900 9
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸) = 1400 = 14 And 𝑃(𝐹) = 1400 = 14 … … … . . (i)
Now, 𝐸 ∩ 𝐹 is the event of getting an MCQ which is Easy.

Clearly, from the diagram, we know that there are 500 MCQs that are easy.
500 5
So P(E ∩ F) = 1400 = 14……….. (ii)
𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) =
𝑃(𝐹)
5/14 5
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 9/14 = 9 [𝑈sing (i) and (ii)]
5
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) =
9
14. Given that the two numbers appearing on throwing two dice are different. Find
the probability of the event 'the sum of numbers on the dice is 4 '.
Ans. The sample space of the given experiment is given below

(1,1), (1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (1,6),
(2,1), (2,2), (2,3), (2,4), (2,5), (2,6),
(3,1), (3,2), (3,3), (3,4), (3,5), (3,6),
𝑆=
(4,1), (4,2), (4,3), (4,4), (4,5), (4,6),
(5,1), (5,2), (5,3), (5,4), (5,5), (5,6),
{(6,1), (6,2), (6,3), (6,4), (6,5), (6,6) }
Let 𝐸 be the event that 'the sum of numbers on the dice is 4 ' and 𝐹 be the event
that 'the two numbers appearing on throwing the two dice are different'.
⇒ 𝐸 = {(1,3), (2,2), (3,1)}
(1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (1,6),

(2,1), (2,3), (2,4), (2,5), (2,6),
(3,1), (3,2), (3,4), (3,5), (3,6),
𝐹=
(4,1), (4,2), (4,3), (4,5), (4,6),
(5,1), (5,2), (5,3), (5,4), (5,6),
{(6,1), (6,2), (6,3), (6,4), (6,5) }
⇒ 𝐸 ∩ 𝐹 = {(1,3), (3,1)}
3 1 30 5 2 1
⇒ P(E) = 36 = 12 , P(F) = 36 = 6 , P(E ∩ F) = 36 = 18 … … … . (i)

𝑃(𝐸∩𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 𝑃(𝐹)
1/18 1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = = 15
5/6
1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 15
15. Consider the experiment of throwing a die, if a multiple of 3 comes up,

throw the die again and if any other number comes, toss a coin. Find the
conditional probability of the event 'the coin shows a tail', given that 'at least one
die shows a 3 '.
Ans. The experiment is explained below in the tree diagram:
The sample space of the given experiment is given below

(3,1), (3,2), (3,3), (3,4), (3,5), (3,6),
𝑆 = {(6,1), (6,2), (6,3), (6,4), (6,5), (6,6),}
1H, 2H, 4H, 5H, 1 T, 2 T, 4 T, 5 T
Let E be the event that 'the coin shows a tail' and 𝐹 be the event that 'at least one
die shows a 3′
⇒ E = {1 T, 2 T, 4 T, 5 T} and F = {(3,1), (3,2), (3,3), (3,4), (3,5), (3,6), (6,3)}

⇒ E ∩ F = 𝜑 ⇒ P(E ∩ F) = 0 … … … (i)
𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹)
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) =
𝑃(𝐹)
0
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = = 0 [𝑈sing (i)]
𝑃(𝐹)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐹) = 0
16. If 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟏/𝟐, 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟎, then 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩) is

A. 0
B. 1/2
C. not defined
D. 1
Ans. C. Not defined

Explanation:
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = … … … . . (i)
𝑃(𝐵)
Given: 𝑃(𝐴) = 1/2
And 𝑃(𝐵) = 0
⇒ Using (i), we have
P(𝐴∩𝐵) 1
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = = (𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) × 0, which is not defined.
0
17. If 𝑨 and 𝑩 are events such that 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩) = 𝑷(𝑩 ∣ 𝑨), then
A. 𝐴 ⊂ 𝐵 but 𝐴 ≠ 𝐵
B. 𝐴 = 𝐵
C. 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = 𝜙
D. 𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐵)
Ans. D. 𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐵)

Explanation:
Given: 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) … … … (i)
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = … … … (ii)
𝑃(𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = … … … (iii)
𝑃(𝐴)
Using (i), we have
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴)
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵) 𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
⇒ =
𝑃(𝐵) 𝑃(𝐴)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐵)
EXERCISE 13.2
1. If 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟑/𝟓 and 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟏/𝟓, find 𝑷(𝑨 ∩ 𝑩) if 𝑨 and 𝑩 are independent events.
Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐴) = 3/5 and 𝑃(𝐵) = 1/5

As 𝐴 and 𝐵 are independent events.
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) ⋅ 𝑃(𝐵)
= 3/5 × 1/5 = 3/25
2. Two cards are drawn at random and without replacement from a pack of 52
playing cards. Find the probability that both the cards are black.
Ans. Given a pack of 52 cards.

As we know there are 26 cards in total which are black. Let 𝐴 and 𝐵 denotes
respectively the events that the first and second drawn cards are black.
Now, P (𝐴) = 𝑃 (black card in first draw) = 26/52 = 1/2
Because the second card is drawn without replacement so, now the total number
of black card will be 25 and total cards will be 51 that is the conditional probability
of 𝐵 given that 𝐴 has already occurred.
Now, P(B/A) = P (black card in second draw ) = 25/51
Thus the probability that both the cards are black
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 1/2 × 25/51 = 25/102
Hence, the probability that both the cards are black = 25/102.
3. A box of oranges is inspected by examining three randomly selected

oranges drawn without replacement. If all the three oranges are good,
the box is approved for sale, otherwise, it is rejected. Find the probability that
a box containing 15 oranges out of which 12 are good and 3 are bad ones will
be approved for sale.
Ans. Given a box of oranges. Let 𝐴, 𝐵 and 𝐶 denotes respectively the events that
the first, second and third drawn orange is good.
Now, P (𝐴) = 𝑃( good orange in first draw ) = 12/15
Because the second orange is drawn without replacement so, now the total
number of good oranges will be 11 and total oranges will be 14 that is the
conditional probability of 𝐵 given that A has already occurred.
Now, 𝑃(𝐵/𝐴) = 𝑃( good orange in second draw ) = 11/14
Because the third orange is drawn without replacement so, now the total number
of good oranges will be 10 and total orangs will be 13 that is the conditional
probability of 𝐶 given that 𝐴 and 𝐵 has already occurred.
Now, P(C/AB) = P( good orange in third draw ) = 10/13
Thus the probability that all the oranges are good
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 ∩ 𝐶) = 12/15 × 11/14 × 10/13 = 44/91
Hence, the probability that a box will be approved for sale = 44/91
4. A fair coin and an unbiased die are tossed. Let 𝑨 be the event 'head appears on
the coin' and B be the event ' 3 on the die'. Check whether 𝑨 and 𝑩 are
independent events or not.
Ans. Given a fair coin and an unbiased die are tossed.

We know that the sample space 𝑆 :
𝑆 = {(𝐻, 1), (𝐻, 2), (𝐻, 3), (𝐻, 4), (𝐻, 5), (𝐻, 6), (𝑇, 1), (𝑇, 2), (𝑇, 3), (𝑇, 4), (𝑇, 5), (𝑇, 6)}
Let 𝐴 be the event head appears on the coin:
⇒ 𝐴 = {(𝐻, 1), (𝐻, 2), (𝐻, 3), (𝐻, 4), (𝐻, 5), (𝐻, 6)}
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴) = 6/12 = 1/2
Now, Let 𝐵 be the event 3 on the die

⇒ 𝐵 = {(𝐻, 3), (𝑇, 3)}
⇒ 𝑃(𝐵) = 2/12 = 1/6
𝐴𝑠, 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = {(𝐻, 3)}

1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = … … (1)
12
And 𝑃(𝐴). 𝑃(𝐵) = 1/2 × 1/6 = 1/12 … … (2)
From (1) and (2)𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴). 𝑃(𝐵)
Therefore, 𝐴 and 𝐵 are independent events.
5. A die marked 1, 2, 3 in red and 𝟒, 𝟓, 𝟔 in green is tossed. Let 𝑨 be the event, 'the
number is even,' and B be the event, 'the number is red'. Are 𝑨 and 𝑩
independent?
Ans. The sample space for the dice will be

𝑆 = {1,2,3,4,5,6}
Let 𝐴 be the event, the number is even:

⇒ 𝐴 = {2,4,6}
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴) = 3/6 = 1/2
Now, Let 𝐵 be the event, the number is red:

⇒ 𝐵 = {1,2,3}
⇒ 𝑃(𝐵) = 3/6 = 1/2
𝐴𝑠, 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = {2}
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 1/6 … … (1)
And 𝑃(𝐴). 𝑃(𝐵) = 1/2 × 1/2 = 1/4 … . (2)
From (1) and (2)𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) ≠ 𝑃(𝐴). 𝑃(𝐵)
Therefore, 𝐴 and 𝐵 are not independent events.
6. Let 𝑬 and 𝑭 be events with 𝑷(𝑬) = 𝟑/𝟓, 𝑷(𝑭) = 𝟑/𝟏𝟎 and 𝑷(𝑬 ∩ 𝑭) = 𝟏/𝟓. Are 𝑬 and
𝑭 independent?
Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐸) = 3/5, 𝑃(𝐹) = 3/10 and 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = 1/5

𝑃(𝐸). 𝑃(𝐹) = 3/5 × 3/10 = 9/50 ≠ 1/5
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) ≠ 𝑃(𝐸). 𝑃(𝐹)
Therefore, 𝐸 and 𝐹 are not independent events.

7. Given that the events 𝑨 and 𝑩 are such that 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟏/𝟐, 𝑷(𝑨 ∪ 𝑩) = 𝟑/𝟓 and
𝑷(𝑩) = 𝒑. Find 𝒑 if they are (i) mutually exclusive (ii) independent.
Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐴) = 1/2, 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 1/5 and 𝑃(𝐵) = 𝑝

(i) Mutually exclusive
When 𝐴 and 𝐵 are mutually exclusive.
Then (𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝜑
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0
As we know, 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
⇒ 3/5 = 1/2 + 𝑝 − 0
⇒ 𝑃 = 3/5 − 1/2 = 1/10
(ii) Independent
When 𝐴 and 𝐵 are independent.
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴). 𝑃(𝐵)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 1/2𝑝
⇒ 3/5 = 1/2 + 2 − 𝑝/2
⇒ 𝑝/2 = 3/5 − 1/2
⇒ 𝑝 = 2 × 1/10 = 1/5
8. Let 𝑨 and 𝑩 be independent events with 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟎. 𝟑 and 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟎. 𝟒. Find

(i) P (𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
(ii) 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)
(iii) 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵)
(iv) 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴)
Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐴) = 0.3 and 𝑃(𝐵) = 0.4

(i) 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
When 𝐴 and 𝐵 are independent.
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴). 𝑃(𝐵)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0.3 × 0.4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0.12
(ii) 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)
As we know, 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) ⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 0.3 + 0.4 − 0.12
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 0.58
(iii) 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
As we know 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)
0.12
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 0.4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 0.3
(iv) 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴)
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
As we know 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐴)
0.12
⇒ 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 0.3
⇒ 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 0.4
9. If 𝑨 and 𝑩 are two events such that 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟏/𝟒, 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟏/𝟐 and 𝑷(𝑨 ∩ 𝑩) = 𝟏/𝟖,
find 𝑷( not 𝑨 and not 𝑩).
Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐴) = 1/4, 𝑃(𝐵) = 1/2 and 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 1/8

𝑃( not 𝐴 and not 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴′ ∩ 𝐵 ′ )
As, {𝐴′ ∩ 𝐵 ′ = (𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)′ }
⇒ 𝑃( not 𝐴 and not 𝐵) = 𝑃((𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)′ )
= 1 − 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)
= 1 − [𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)]
1 1 1
=1−[ + − ]
4 2 8
5 3
=1−[ ]=
8 8
10. Events 𝐴 and 𝐵 are such that 𝑃(𝐴) = 1/2, 𝑃(𝐵) = 7/12 and 𝑃( not 𝐴 or not 𝐵) =
1/4. State whether A and B are independent?
Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐴) = 1/2, 𝑃(𝐵) = 7/12 and 𝑃( not 𝐴 or not 𝐵) = 1/4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴′ ∪ 𝐵 ′ ) = 1/4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)′ = 1/4
⇒ 1 − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 1/4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 1 − 1/4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 3/4 … … (1)
And 𝑃(𝐴). 𝑃(𝐵) = 1/2 × 7/12 = 7/24 … (2)
From (1) and (2) 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) ≠ 𝑃(𝐴). 𝑃(𝐵)
Therefore, 𝐴 and 𝐵 are not independent events.
11. Given two independent events 𝑨 and 𝑩 such that 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟎. 𝟑, 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟎. 𝟔.
Find
(i) 𝑷(𝑨 and 𝑩)
(ii) 𝑷(𝑨 and not 𝑩)
(iii) 𝑷 (A or 𝑩)
(iv) 𝑷 (neither 𝑨 nor 𝑩 )
Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐴) = 0.3, 𝑃(𝐵) = 0.6.

(i) 𝑃(𝐴 and 𝐵)
As 𝐴 and 𝐵 are independent events.
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 and 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴). 𝑃(𝐵)
= 0.3 × 0.6
= 0.18
(ii) 𝑃 ( 𝐴 and not 𝐵 )

⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 and not 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 ′ ) = 𝑃(𝐴) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
= 0.3 − 0.18
= 0.12
(iii) 𝑃(𝐴 or 𝐵)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 or 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 0.3 + 0.6 − 0.18
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 0.72
(iv) 𝑃 (neither 𝐴 nor 𝐵 )

𝑃( neither 𝐴 nor 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴′ ∩ 𝐵 ′ )
𝐴𝑠, {𝐴′ ∩ 𝐵 ′ = (𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)′ }
⇒ 𝑃( neither 𝐴 nor 𝐵) = 𝑃((𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)′ )
= 1 − 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵)
= 1 − 0.72
= 0.28
12. A die is tossed thrice. Find the probability of getting an odd number at
least once.
Ans. Given a die is tossed thrice.

Then the sample space 𝑆 = {1,2,3,4,5,6}
Let 𝑃(𝐴) = probability of getting an odd number in first throw.
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴) = 3/6 = 1/2.
Let 𝑃(𝐵) = probability of getting an even number.
⇒ 𝑃(𝐵) = 3/6 = 1/2.
Now, probability of getting an even number in three times
= 1/2 × 1/2 × 1/2 = 1/8 So, probability of getting an odd number at least once
= 1 − probability of getting an odd number in no throw
= 1 - probability of getting an even number in three times
= 1 − 1/8
∴ Probability of getting an odd number at least once = 7/8
13. Two balls are drawn at random with replacement from a box containing 10
black and 8 red balls. Find the probability that
(i) both balls are red.
(ii) First ball is black and second is red.
(iii) One of them is black and other is red.
Ans. Given A box containing 10 black and 8 red balls.

Total number of balls in box = 18
(i) Both balls are red.
Probability of getting a red ball in first draw = 8/18 = 4/9
As the ball is replaced after first throw,
Hence, Probability of getting a red ball in second draw = 8/18 = 4/9
Now, Probability of getting both balls red = 4/9 × 4/9 = 16/81
(ii) First ball is black and second is red.

Probability of getting a black ball in first draw = 10/18 = 5/9
Now, Probability of getting first ball is black and second is red = 5/9 × 5/9 = 20/81
(iii) One of them is black and other is red.

Probability of getting a black ball in first draw = 10/18 = 5/9

Now, Probability of getting first ball is black and second is red = 5/9 × 4/9 = 20/81
Probability of getting a red ball in first draw = 8/18 = 4/9
Hence, Probability of getting a black ball in second draw = 10/18 = 5/9
Now, Probability of getting first ball is red and second is black = 5/9 × 4/9 = 20/81
Therefore, Probability of getting one of them is black and other is red:
= Probability of getting first ball is black and second is red + Probability of getting
first
ball is red and second is black
= 20/81 + 20/81 = 40/81
14. Probability of solving specific problem independently by 𝑨 and 𝑩 are 𝟏/𝟐 and
𝟏/𝟑 respectively. If both try to solve the problem independently, find the
probability that
(i) The problem is solved
(ii) Exactly one of them solves the problem.
Ans. Given,
𝑃(𝐴) = Probability of solving the problem by 𝐴 = 1/2
𝑃(𝐵) = Probability of solving the problem by 𝐵 = 1/3
Because 𝐴 and 𝐵 both are independent.
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) ⋅ 𝑃(𝐵)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 1/2 × 1/3 = 1/6
𝑃(𝐴′ ) = 1 − 𝑃(𝐴) = 1 − 1/2 = 1/2
𝑃(𝐵 ′ ) = 1 − 𝑃(𝐵) = 1 − 1/3 = 2/3
(i) The problem is solved
The problem is solved, i.e. it is either solved by 𝐴 or it is solved by 𝐵.
= P(A ∪ B)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 1/2 + 1/3 − 1/6 = 4/6
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 2/3
(ii) Exactly one of them solves the problem
That is either problem is solved by 𝐴 but not by 𝐵 or vice versa
That is 𝑃(𝐴) ⋅ 𝑃(𝐵 ′ ) + 𝑃(𝐴′ ) ⋅ 𝑃(𝐵)
= 1/2(2/3) + 1/2(1/3)
= 1/3 + 1/6 = 3/6
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴) ⋅ 𝑃(𝐵 ′ ) + 𝑃(𝐴′ ) ⋅ 𝑃(𝐵) = 1/2
15. One card is drawn at random from a well shuffled deck of 52 cards. In which of
the following cases are the events 𝑬 and 𝑭 independent?
(i) E: 'the card drawn is a spade' F: 'the card drawn is an ace'
(ii) E: 'the card drawn is black' 𝑭 : 'the card drawn is a king'
(iii) E: 'the card drawn is a king or queen' 𝑭 : 'the card drawn is a queen or jack'.
Ans. Given: A deck of 52 cards.

(i) In a deck of 52 cards, 13 cards are spade and 4 cards are ace and only one card
is there which is spade and ace both.
Hence, 𝑃(𝐸) = the card drawn is a spade = 13/52 = 1/4
𝑃(𝐹) = the card drawn is an ace = 4/52 = 1/13
𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = the card drawn is a spade and ace both = 1/52 … (1)
And 𝑃(𝐸). 𝑃(𝐹) = 1/4 × 1/13 = 1/52 … (2)
From (1) and (2)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = 𝑃(𝐸). 𝑃(𝐹)
Hence, 𝐸 and 𝐹 are independent events.

(ii) In a deck of 52 cards, 26 cards are black and 4 cards are king and only two card
are there which are black and king both.
Hence, 𝑃(𝐸) = the card drawn is of black = 26/52 = 1/2

𝑃(𝐹) = the card drawn is a king = 4/52 = 1/13
𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = the card drawn is a black and king both = 2/52 = 1/26 … (1)
And 𝑃(𝐸). 𝑃(𝐹)
= 1/2 × 1/13 = 1/26 … (2)
From (1) and (2)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = 𝑃(𝐸). 𝑃(𝐹)
Hence, 𝐸 and 𝐹 are independent events.
(iii) In a deck of 52 cards, 4 cards are queen, 4 cards are king and 4 cards are jack.
Hence, 𝑃(𝐸) = the card drawn is either king or queen = 8/52 = 2/13
𝑃(𝐹) = the card drawn is either queen or jack = 8/52 = 2/13
There are 4 cards which are either king or queen and either queen or jack.
𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = the card drawn is either king or queen and either queen or jack
= 4/52 = 1/13 … (1)
And 𝑃(𝐸). 𝑃(𝐹)

= 2/13 × 2/13 = 4/169 … . (2)
From (1) and (2)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) ≠ 𝑃(𝐸). 𝑃(𝐹)
Hence, 𝐸 and 𝐹 are not independent events.
16. In a hostel, 𝟔𝟎% of the students read Hindi newspaper, 𝟒𝟎% read English
newspaper and 𝟐𝟎% read both Hindi and English newspapers. A student is
selected at random.
(a) Find the probability that she reads neither Hindi nor English newspapers.
(b) If she reads Hindi newspaper, find the probability that she reads English
newspaper.
(c) If she reads English newspaper, find the probability that she reads Hindi
newspaper
Ans. Given:
Let H and E denote the number of students who read Hindi and English newspaper
respectively.
Hence, 𝑃(𝐻) = Probability of students who read Hindi newspaper = 60/100 = 3/5
𝑃(𝐸) = Probability of students who read English newspaper = 40/100 = 2/5
P(H ∩ E) = Probability of students who read Hindi and English both newspaper =
20/100 = 1/5
(a) Find the probability that she reads neither Hindi nor English newspapers.
P (neither H nor E )
𝑃( neither 𝐻 nor 𝐸) = 𝑃(𝐻 ′ ∩ 𝐸 ′ )
As, {𝐻 ′ ∩ E ′ = (H ∪ E)′ }
⇒ P( neither A nor B) = P((H ∪ E))
= 1 − P(H ∪ E)
= 1 − [𝑃(𝐻) + 𝑃(𝐸) − 𝑃(𝐻 ∩ 𝐸)]
3 2 1
=1−[ + − ]
5 5 5
4 1
=1−[ ]=
5 5
(b) If she reads Hindi newspaper, find the probability that she reads English
newspaper.
𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐻) = Hindi newspaper reading has already occurred and the probability that
she reads English newspaper is to find.
𝑃(𝐻∩𝐸)
As we know 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐻) = 𝑃(𝐻)
1
5 1 5
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐻) = 3 =5×3
5
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸 ∣ 𝐻) = 1/3
(c) If she reads English newspaper, find the probability that she reads Hindi
newspaper.
P(H ∣ E) = English newspaper reading has already occurred and the probability that
she reads Hindi newspaper is to find.
𝑃(𝐻∩𝐸)
As we know 𝑃(𝐻 ∣ 𝐸) = 𝑃(𝐸)
1
5 1 5
⇒ 𝑃(𝐻 ∣ 𝐸) = 2 =5×2
5
⇒ 𝑃(𝐻 ∣ 𝐸) = 1/2
17. The probability of obtaining an even prime number on each die, when a pair of
dice is rolled is
A. 0
B. 𝟏/𝟑
C. 𝟏/𝟏𝟐
D. 𝟏/𝟑𝟔
Ans. D. 1/36
Explanation:
Given A pair of dice is rolled.
Hence the number of outcomes = 36
Let 𝑃(𝐸) be the probability to get an even prime number on each die.
As we know the only even prime number is 2 .
So, 𝐸 = {2,2}
⇒ 𝑃€ = 1/36
18. Two events 𝑨 and 𝑩 will be independent, if

(A) 𝐴 and 𝐵 are mutually exclusive
(B) 𝑃(𝐴′ 𝐵 ′ ) = [1 − 𝑃(𝐴)][1 − 𝑃(𝐵)]
(C) 𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐵)
(D) 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) = 1
Ans. (B) 𝑃(𝐴′ 𝐵 ′ ) = [1 − 𝑃(𝐴)][1 − 𝑃(𝐵)]

Explanation:
𝑃(𝐴′ 𝐵 ′ ) = [1 − 𝑃(𝐴)][1 − 𝑃(𝐵)]
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴′ ∩ 𝐵 ′ ) = 1 − 𝑃(𝐴) − 𝑃(𝐵) + 𝑃(𝐴)𝑃(𝐵)
⇒ 1 − 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 1 − 𝑃(𝐴) − 𝑃(𝐵) + 𝑃(𝐴)𝑃(𝐵)
= −[𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)] = −𝑃(𝐴) − 𝑃(𝐵) + 𝑃(𝐴)𝑃(𝐵)
= −𝑃(𝐴) − 𝑃(𝐵) + 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = −𝑃(𝐴) − 𝑃(𝐵) + 𝑃(𝐴)𝑃(𝐵)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴). 𝑃(𝐵)
Hence, it shows 𝐴 and 𝐵 are Independent events.
EXERCISE 13.3
1. An urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls. A ball is drawn at random, its
colour is noted and is returned to the urn. Moreover, 2 additional balls of the
colour drawn are put in the urn and then a ball is drawn at random. What is the
probability that the second ball is red?
Ans. Given urn contains 5 red and 5 black balls.

Let in first attempt the ball drawn is of red colour.
⇒ 𝑃( probability of drawing a red ball ) = 5/10 = 1/2
Now the two balls of same colour (red) are added to the urn then the urn
contains 7 red and 5 black balls.
⇒ 𝑃( probability of drawing a red ball ) = 7/12
Now let in first attempt the ball drawn is of black colour.
⇒ 𝑃( probability of drawing a black ball ) = 5/10 = 1/2
Now the two balls of same colour (black) are added to the urn then the urn
contains 5 red and 7 black balls.
⇒ 𝑃( probability of drawing a red ball ) = 5/12
Therefore, the probability of drawing the second ball as of red colour is:
1 7 1 5 1 7 5 1 1
=( × )+( × )= ( + )= ×1=
2 12 2 12 2 12 12 2 2
2. A bag contains 4 red and 4 black balls, another bag contains 2 red and 6 black
balls. One of the two bags is selected at random and a ball is drawn from the
bag which is found to be red. Find the probability that the ball is drawn from
the first bag.
Ans. Let 𝐸1 be the event of choosing the bag 𝐼, 𝐸2 be the event of choosing the bag
say bag II and 𝐴 be the event of drawing a red ball.
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 1/2
Also 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃( drawing a red ball from bag 𝐼) = 4/8 = 1/2
And 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 𝑃( drawing a red ball from bag 𝐼𝐼) = 2/8 = 1/4
Now the probability of drawing a ball from bag I, being given that it is red, is
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴).
By using Bayes' theorem, we have:
P(E1) ⋅ P(A ∣ E1 )
P(E1 ∣ A) =
P(E1 ) ⋅ P(A ∣ E1 ) + P(E2 ) ⋅ P(A ∣ E2 )
1 1
= 2⋅2
1 1 1 1
2⋅2+2⋅4
1
= 4
1 1
4+8
1
2
=4=
3 3
8
2
⇒ P(E1 ∣ A) =
3
3. Of the students in a college, it is known that 𝟔𝟎% reside in hostel and 𝟒𝟎% are day
scholars (not residing in hostel). Previous year results report that 𝟑𝟎% of all
students who reside in hostel attain 𝑨 grade and 𝟐𝟎% of day scholars attain 𝑨
grade in their annual examination. At the end of the year, one student is chosen
at random from the college and he has an 𝑨 grade, what is the probability that
the student is a hostlier?
Ans. Let E1 be the event that student is a hostler, E2 be the event that student is a
day scholar and 𝐴 be the event of getting 𝐴 grade.
60
Then P(E1 ) = 60% = 100 = 0.6
40
And P(E2) = 40% = 100 = 0.4
Also 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃 (students who attain 𝐴 grade reside in hostel ) = 30% = 0.3
And 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 𝑃 (students who attain 𝐴 grade is day scholar ) = 20% = 0.2
Now the probability of students who reside in hostel, being given he attain 𝐴 grade,
is 𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴).
𝑃(𝐸1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐸
1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )+𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )

𝑃(𝐸1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐸
1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )+𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )
0.6×0.3
= 0.6×0.3+0.4×0.2
0.18
= 0.18+0.08
0.18 18 9
= 0.26 = 26 = 13
9
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 13
4. In answering a question on a multiple choice test, a student either knows
the answer or guesses. Let 𝟑/𝟒 be the probability that he knows the
answer and 𝟏/𝟒 be the probability that he guesses. Assuming that a
student who guesses at the answer will be correct with probability 𝟏/𝟒.
What is the probability that the student knows the answer given that he
answered it correctly?
Ans. Let 𝐸1 be the event that the student knows the answer, 𝐸2 be the event that
the student guess the answer and 𝐴 be the event that the answer is correct.
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 3/4
And 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 1/4
Also 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃( correct answer given that he knows ) = 1
And 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 𝑃 (correct answer given that he guesses ) = 1/4
Now the probability that he knows the answer, being given that answer is correct, is
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴).
𝑃(𝐸1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐸
1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )+𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )

3
= 4⋅1
3 1 1
4⋅1+4⋅4
3
= 4
3 1
4 + 16
3
12
= 4 =
13 13
16
12
⇒ P(E1 ∣ A) =
13
5. A laboratory blood test is 𝟗𝟗% effective in detecting a certain disease when it

is in fact, present. However, the test also yields a false positive result for 𝟎. 𝟓%
of the healthy person tested (i.e. if a healthy person is tested, then, with
probability 𝟎. 𝟎𝟎𝟓, the test will imply he has the disease). If 𝟎. 𝟏 percent of the
population actually has the disease, what is the probability that a person has
the disease given that his test result is positive?
Ans. Let 𝐸1 be the event that person has a disease, 𝐸2 be the event that person
don not have a disease and 𝐴 be the event that blood test is positive.
As 𝐸1 and 𝐸2 are the events which are complimentary to each other.
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) + 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 1 − 𝑃(𝐸1 )
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 0.1% = 0.1/100 = 0.001 and 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 1 − 0.001 = 0.999

Also 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃( result is positive given that person has disease ) = 99% = 0.99
And 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 𝑃 (result is positive given that person has no disease ) = 0.5% = 0.005
Now the probability that person has a disease, give that his test result is positive is
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴).
By using Bayes' theorem, we have
𝑃(𝐸1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐸 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸
1 1 )+𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )

0.001×0.99
= 0.001×0.99+0.999×0.005
0.00099
= 0.00099+0.004995
0.00099 990 110
= 0.005985 = 5985 = 665
22
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 133

0.001×0.99
= 0.001×0.99+0.999×0.005
0.00099
= 0.00099+0.004995
0.00099 990 110
= 0.005985 = 5985 = 665
22
⇒ P(E1 ∣ A) = 133
6. There are three coins. One is a two headed coin (having head on both faces),
another is a biased coin that comes up heads 𝟕𝟓% of the time and third is an
unbiased coin. One of the three coins is chosen at random and tossed, it
shows heads, what is the probability that it was the two headed coin?
Ans. Let 𝐸1 be the event of choosing a two headed coin, 𝐸2 be the event of
choosing a biased coin and 𝐸3 be the event of choosing an unbiased coin. Let 𝐴 be
the event that the coin shows head.
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 𝑃(𝐸3 ) = 1/3
As we a headed coin has head on both sides so it will shows head.
Also 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃( correct answer given that he knows ) = 1
And 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 𝑃( coin shows head given that the coin is biased ) = 75% = 75/100 =
3/4
And 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸3 ) = 𝑃( coin shows head given that the coin is unbiased ) = 1/2
Now the probability that the coin is two headed, being given that it shows head, is
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴).
𝑃(𝐸1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐸
1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )+𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )+𝑃(𝐸3 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸3 )

1
⋅1
3
= 1 13 11
⋅1+ ⋅ + ⋅
3 34 32
1
3
= 1 3 1
(1+ + )
3 4 2
1 4
= 9 =9
4
4
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 9
7. An insurance company insured 2000 scooter drivers, 4000 car drivers and
6000 truck drivers. The probability of an accidents are 𝟎. 𝟎𝟏, 𝟎. 𝟎𝟑 and 𝟎. 𝟏𝟓
respectively. One of the insured persons meets with an accident. What is the
probability that he is a scooter driver?
Ans. Let 𝐸1 be the event that the driver is a scooter driver, 𝐸2 be the event that the
driver is a car driver and 𝐸3 be the event that the driver is a truck driver. Let 𝐴 be the
event that the person meet with an accident.
Total number of drivers = 2000 + 4000 + 6000 = 12000
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 2000/12000 = 1/6
𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 4000/12000 = 1/3
𝑃(𝐸3 ) = 6000/12000 = 1/2
Also 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃( accident of a scooter driver ) = 0.01 = 1/100
And 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 𝑃( accident of a car driver ) = 0.03 = 3/100
And 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸3 ) = 𝑃( accident of a truck driver ) = 0.15 = 15/100 = 3/20
Now the probability that the driver is a scooter driver, being given that he met with
an accident, is 𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴).
𝑃(𝐸1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐸 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸 )+𝑃(𝐸
1 1 2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )+𝑃(𝐸3 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸3 )

1 1
⋅
6 100
= 1 1 1 3 1 3
⋅ + ⋅ + ⋅
6 100 3 100 2 20
1
600
= 1 1 1 3
( + + )
20 30 5 2
1
30 1
= 52 = 52
30
1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 52
8. A factory has two machines 𝑨 and B. Past record shows that machine A
produced 𝟔𝟎% of the items of output and machine B produced 𝟒𝟎% of the
items. Further, 𝟐% of the items produced by machine 𝑨 and 𝟏% produced by
machine B were defective. All the items are put into one stockpile and then
one item is chosen at random from this and is found to be defective.What is
the probability that it was produced by machine B?
Ans. Let 𝐸1 be the event that item is produced by 𝐴, 𝐸2 be the event that item is
produced by 𝐵 and 𝑋 be the event that produced product is found to be defective.
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 60% = 60/100 = 3/5
𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 40% = 40/100 = 2/5
Also 𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃 (item is defective given that it is produced by machine 𝐴) =
= 2% = 2/100 = 1/50
And 𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 𝑃 (item is defective given that it is produced by machine 𝐵) = 1% =
1/100
Now the probability that item is produced by 𝐵, being given that item is
defective, is 𝑃(𝐸2 ∣ 𝐴).
𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝑋∣𝐸2 )
𝑃(𝐸2 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐸
1 )⋅𝑃(𝑋∣𝐸1 )+𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝑋∣𝐸2 )

2 1
×
5 100
= 3 2 2 1
× + ×
5 100 5 100
2 1
× 2
5 100
= 1 =
(6+2) 8
500
1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸2 ∣ 𝐴) = 4
9. Two groups are competing for the position on the Board of directors of a
corporation. The probabilities that the first and the second groups will win are
𝟎. 𝟔 and 𝟎. 𝟒 respectively. Further, if the first group wins, the probability of
introducing a new product is 𝟎. 𝟕 and the corresponding probability is 𝟎. 𝟑 if the
second group wins. Find the probability that the new product introduced was
by the second group.
Ans. Let 𝐸1 be the event that first group wins the competition, 𝐸2 be the event that
that second group wins the competition and 𝐴 be the event of introducing a new
product.
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 0.6 and 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 0.4
Also 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃 (introducing a new product given that first group wins ) = 0.7
And 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 𝑃 (introducing a new product given that second group wins) = 0.3
Now the probability of that new product introduced was by the second group,
being given that a new product was introduced, is 𝑃(𝐸2 ∣ 𝐴).
𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )
𝑃(𝐸2 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐸 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸
1 1 )+𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )

0.4×0.3
= 0.6×0.7+0.4×0.3
0.12
= 0.42+0.12
0.12 12 2
= 0.54 = 54 = 9
2
⇒ P(E2 ∣ A) = 9
𝑃(𝐸2 ∣ 𝐴) = 2/9
10. Suppose a girl throws a die. If she gets a 5 or 6 , she tosses a coin three times
and notes the number of heads. If she gets 𝟏, 𝟐, 𝟑 or 4 , she tosses a coin once
and notes whether a head or tail is obtained. If she obtained exactly one head,
what is the probability that she threw 𝟏, 𝟐, 𝟑 or 4 with the die?
Ans. let 𝐸1 be the event that the outcome on the die is 5 or 6, 𝐸2 be the event that
the outcome on the die is 1,2,3 or 4 and 𝐴 be the event getting exactly head.
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 2/6 = 1/3
𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 4/6 = 2/3
As in throwing a coin three times we get 8 possibilities.

{HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT, TTT}
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃 (obtaining exactly one head by tossing the coin three times if she
get 5 or 6) = 3/8
And 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 𝑃( obtaining exactly one head by tossing the coin three times if she
get 1,2,3 or 4) = 1/2
Now the probability that the girl threw 1,2,3 or 4 with a die, being given that she
obtained exactly one head, is 𝑃 (E2 ∣ A)
𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )
𝑃(𝐸2 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐸
1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )+𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )

21
⋅
= 1 33 22 1
⋅ + ⋅
38 32
1
3
= 1 1
+
8 3
1
3 8
= 3+8 = 11
24
8
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸2 ∣ 𝐴) = 11
𝑃(𝐸2 ∣ 𝐴) = 8/11
11. A manufacturer has three machine operators 𝑨, 𝑩 and 𝑪. The first operator A
produces 𝟏% defective items, whereas the other two operators 𝑩 and 𝑪
produce 𝟓% and 𝟕% defective items respectively. A is on the job for 𝟓𝟎% of the
time, 𝑩 is on the job for 𝟑𝟎% of the time and 𝑪 is on the job for 𝟐𝟎% of the time. A
defective item is produced, what is the probability that it was produced by A?
Ans. Let 𝐸1 be the event of time consumed by machine 𝐴, 𝐸2 be the event of time
consumed by machine 𝐵 and 𝐸3 be the event of time consumed by machine C. Let
X be the event of producing defective items.
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 50% = 50/100 = 1/2
𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 30% = 30/100 = 3/10
𝑃(𝐸3 ) = 20% = 20/100 = 1/5
Also 𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃( defective item produced by 𝐴) = 1% = 1/100
And 𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 𝑃( defective item produced by 𝐵) = 5% = 5/100
And 𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐸3 ) = 𝑃( defective item produced by 𝐶) = 7% = 7/100
Now the probability that item produced by machine 𝐴, being given that defective
item is produced, is 𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴).
𝑃(𝐸1 )⋅𝑃(𝑋∣𝐸1 )
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝑋) = 𝑃(𝐸 )⋅𝑃(𝑋∣𝐸 )+𝑃(𝐸
1 1 2 )⋅𝑃(𝑋∣𝐸2 )+𝑃(𝐸3 )⋅𝑃(𝑋∣𝐸3 )

1 1
⋅
2 100
= 1 1 3 5 1 7
⋅ + ⋅ + ⋅
2 100 10 100 5 100
1 1
⋅
2 100
= 1 1 3 7
( + + )
100 2 2 5
1
2 5
= 17 = 34
5
5
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝑋) = 34
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 5/34
12. A card from a pack of 52 cards is lost. From the remaining cards of the pack,
two cards are drawn and are found to be both diamonds. Find the probability
of the lost card being a diamond.
Ans. Let E1 be the event that the drawn card is a diamond, E2 be the event that the
drawn card is not a diamond and 𝐴 be the event that the card is lost.
As we know, out of 52 cards, 13 cards are diamond and 39 cards are not diamond.
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 13/52 and 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 39/52
Now, when a diamond card is lost then there are 12 diamond cards out of total 51
cards.
Two diamond cards can be drawn out of 12 diamond cards in 12 C2 ways.
Similarly, two diamond cards can be drawn out of total 51 cards in 51 𝐶2 ways.
Then probability of getting two cards, when one diamond card is lost, is 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ).
Also 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 12
𝐶2 / 51 𝐶2
Also 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 12 𝐶2 / 51 𝐶2
12! 2! × 49!
= ×
2! × 10! 51!
12 × 11 × 10! 2 × 1 × 49!
= ×
2 × 1 × 10! 51 × 50 × 49!
12 × 11 22
= =
51 × 50 425
Now, when not a diamond card is lost then there are 13 diamond cards out of total
51 cards.
Two diamond cards can be drawn out of 13 diamond cards in 13 𝐶2 ways.
Similarly, two diamond cards can be drawn out of total 51 cards in 51 C2 ways.
Then probability of getting two cards, when card is lost which is not diamond,
is 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐸2 ).
Also P(A ∣ E2 ) = 13 C2 / 51 C2
13! 2!×49!
= 2!×11! × 51!
13×12×11! 2×1×49!
= ×
2×1×10! 51×50×49!
13×12 26
= 51×50 = 425
Now the probability that the lost card is diamond, being given that the card is
lost, is 𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴).
𝑃(𝐸1 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸1 )
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐸 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸
1 1 )+𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝐴∣𝐸2 )

1 22
⋅
4 425
= 1 22 3 26
⋅ + ⋅
4 425 4 425
1 22
⋅
425 4
= 1 22 26×3
( + )
425 4 4
11
2 11
= 100 = 50
4
11
⇒ P(E1 ∣ A) = 50
13. Probability that A speaks truth is 𝟒/𝟓. A coin is tossed. A reports that a head
appears. The probability that actually there was head is
A. 4/5
B. 𝟏/𝟐
C. 𝟏/𝟓
D. 𝟐/𝟓
Ans. A. 4/5
Explanation:
Let 𝐸1 be the event that 𝐴 speaks truth, 𝐸2 be the event that 𝐴 lies and 𝑋 be the
event that it appears head.
Therefore, 𝑃(𝐸1 ) = 4/5
As 𝐸1 and 𝐸2 are the events which are complimentary to each other.
Then 𝑃(𝐸1 ) + 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 1 − 𝑃(𝐸1 )
⇒ 𝑃(𝐸2 ) = 1 − 4/5 = 1/5
If a coin is tossed it may show head or tail.

Hence the probability of getting head is 1/2 whether A speaks a truth or A lies.
𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐸1 ) = 𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐸2 ) = 1/2

Now the probability that actually there was head, give that 𝐴 speaks a truth is
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝑋).
𝑃(𝐸1 )⋅𝑃(𝑋∣𝐸1 )
𝑃(𝐸1 ∣ 𝑋) = 𝑃(𝐸 )⋅𝑃(𝑋∣𝐸
1 1 )+𝑃(𝐸2 )⋅𝑃(𝑋∣𝐸2 )
Now substituting the values we get

41
⋅
52
= 41 11
⋅ + ⋅
52 52
2 2
5 5 4
= 2 1 = 5 =5
+
5 10 10
4
⇒ P(E1 ∣ X) = 5
Therefore correct answer is (A).
14. If 𝑨 and 𝑩 are two events such that 𝑨 ⊂ 𝑩 and 𝑷(𝑩) ≠ 𝟎, then which of the
following is correct?
A. 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)/𝑃(𝐴)
B. 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) < 𝑃(𝐴)
C. 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) ≥ 𝑃(𝐴)
D. None of these
Ans. C. 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) ≥ 𝑃(𝐴)

Explanation:
𝐴 and 𝐵 are two events such that 𝐴 ⊂ 𝐵 and 𝑃(𝐵) ≠ 0
As 𝐴 ⊂ 𝐵 ⇒ 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = 𝐴
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴)
As 𝐴 ⊂ 𝐵 ⇒ 𝑃(𝐴) < 𝑃(𝐵)

𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵) 𝑃(𝐴) 𝑃(𝐵)
As we know 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = = 𝑃(𝐵) ≠ 𝑃(𝐴) … (1)
𝑃(𝐵)
Consider
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵) 𝑃(𝐴)
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = = 𝑃(𝐵) … (2)
𝑃(𝐵)
It is also known that 𝑃(𝐵) ≤ 1

1
⇒ 𝑃(𝐵) ≥ 1
𝑃(𝐴)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐵) ≥ 𝑃(𝐴)
⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) ≥ 𝑃(𝐴) … (3)
Hence, the correct answer is (C).
EXERCISE 13.4
1. State which of the following are not the probability distributions of a random
variable. Give reasons for your answer.
(i)
𝐗 0 1 2
𝐏(𝐗) 𝟎. 𝟒 𝟎. 𝟒 𝟎. 𝟐
Ans. Here we have table with values for 𝑋 and 𝑃(𝑋).

As we know the sum of all the probabilities in a probability distribution of a random
variable must be one.
i. e. ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑝𝑖 = 1, where 𝑝𝑖 > 1 and 𝑖 = 0,1,2, … , 𝑛
Hence the sum of probabilities of given table = 0.4 + 0.4 + 0.2 = 1
Hence, the given table is the probability distributions of a random variable.
(ii)
𝐗 0 1 2 3 4
𝐏(𝐗) 𝟎. 𝟏 𝟎. 𝟓 𝟎. 𝟐 −𝟎. 𝟏 𝟎. 𝟑
Ans. Here we have table with values for 𝑋 and 𝑃(𝑋).
As we see from the table that 𝑃(𝑋) = −0.1 for 𝑋 = 3.
It is known that probability of any observation must always be positive that it
can't be negative.
Hence, the given table is not the probability distributions of a random variable.
(iii)
𝐘 −𝟏 0 1
𝐏(𝐘) 𝟎. 𝟔 𝟎. 𝟏 𝟎. 𝟐
Ans. Here we have table with values for 𝑋 and 𝑃(𝑋)

Hence the sum of probabilities of given table = 0.6 + 0.1 + 0.2 = 0.9 ≠ 1
(iv)
𝐙 3 2 1 0 −𝟏
𝐏(𝐙) 𝟎. 𝟑 𝟎. 𝟐 𝟎. 𝟒 𝟎. 𝟏 𝟎. 𝟎𝟓
Ans. Here we have table with values for 𝑋 and 𝑃(𝑋)

Hence the sum of probabilities of given table = 0.3 + 0.2 + 0.4 + 0.1 + 0.05
= 1.05 ≠ 1
2. An urn contains 5 red and 2 black balls. Two balls are randomly drawn.
Let 𝑿 represent the number of black balls. What are the possible
values of 𝑿 ? Is 𝑿 a random variable?
Ans. Given urn containing 5 red and 2 black balls.

Let 𝑅 represent red ball and 𝐵 represent black ball.
Two balls are drawn randomly.
Hence, the sample space of the experiment is 𝑆 = {𝐵𝐵, 𝐵𝑅, 𝑅𝐵, 𝑅𝑅}
𝑋 represents the number of black balls.
⇒ 𝑋(𝐵𝐵) = 2
𝑋(𝐵𝑅) = 1
𝑋(𝑅𝐵) = 1
𝑋(𝑅𝑅) = 0
Therefore, 𝑋 is a function on sample space whose range is {0,1,2}.

Thus, X is a random variable which can take the values 0,1 or 2 .
3. Let 𝑿 represent the difference between the number of heads and the number
of tails obtained when a coin is tossed 6 times. What are possible values of 𝑿 ?
Ans. Given a coin is tossed 6 times.

𝑋 represents the difference between the number of heads and the number of tails.
⇒ 𝑋(6H, OT) = |6 − 0| = 6
𝑋(5H, 1 T) = |5 − 1| = 4
𝑋(4H, 2 T) = |4 − 2| = 2
𝑋(3H, 3 T) = |3 − 3| = 0
𝑋(2H, 4 T) = |2 − 4| = 2
𝑋(1H, 5 T) = |1 − 5| = 4
𝑋(0H, 6 T) = |0 − 6| = 6
Therefore, 𝑋 is a function on sample space whose range is {0,2,4,6}.
Thus, 𝑋 is a random variable which can take the values 0,2,4 or 6.
4. Find the probability distribution of

(i) number of heads in two tosses of a coin.
Ans. Given a coin is tossed twice.

Hence, the sample space of the experiment is S = {HH, HT, TH, TT}
𝑋 represents the number of heads.
⇒ 𝑋(𝐻𝐻) = 2
𝑋(𝐻𝑇) = 1
𝑋(𝑇𝐻) = 1
𝑋(𝑇𝑇) = 0
Therefore, 𝑋 is a function on sample space whose range is {0,1,2}.

Thus, X is a random variable which can take the values 0,1 or 2 .
As we know,
𝑃(𝐻𝐻) = 𝑃(𝐻𝑇) = 𝑃(𝑇𝐻) = 𝑃(𝑇𝑇) = 1/4

𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 𝑃(𝑇𝑇) = 1/4
𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 𝑃(𝐻𝑇) + 𝑃(𝑇𝐻) = 1/4 + 1/4 = 1/2
𝑃(𝑋 = 2) = 𝑃(𝐻𝐻) = 1/4
Hence, the required probability distribution is,
𝑋 0 1 2
𝑃(𝑋) 1/4 1/2 1/4
(ii) Number of tails in the simultaneous tosses of three coins.
Ans. Given three coins are tossed simultaneously. Hence, the sample space of the
experiment is 𝑆 = {𝐻𝐻𝐻, 𝐻𝐻𝑇, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT, TTT}
𝑋 represents the number of tails.
As we see, 𝑋 is a function on sample space whose range is {0,1,2,3}.
Thus, 𝑋 is a random variable which can take the values 0,1,2 or 3.
𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 𝑃(𝐻𝐻𝐻) = 1/8
𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 𝑃(𝐻𝐻𝑇) + 𝑃(𝐻𝑇𝐻) + 𝑃(𝑇𝐻𝐻) = 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/8 = 3/8

𝑃(𝑋 = 2) = 𝑃(𝐻𝑇𝑇) + 𝑃(𝑇𝐻𝑇) + 𝑃(𝑇𝑇𝐻) = 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/8 = 3/8
𝑃(𝑋 = 3) = 𝑃( TTT ) = 1/8
X 0 1 2 3
P(X) 1/8 3/8 3/8 1/8
(iii) Number of heads in four tosses of a coin.
Ans. Given four tosses of a coin.

Hence, the sample space of the experiment is
S = {HHHH, HHHT, HHTH, HTHH, HTTH, HTHT, HHTT, HTTT, THHH, TTHH, THTH, THHT, THTT,
TTHT, TTTH, TTTT }
X represents the number of heads.
As we see, 𝑋 is a function on sample space whose range is {0,1,2,3,4}.
Thus, 𝑋 is a random variable which can take the values 0,1,2,3 or 4 .
𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 𝑃( TTTT ) = 1/16
P(X = 1) = P(HTTT) + P(TTTH) + P(THTT) + P(TTHT) = 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 = 1/4
P(X = 2) = P(HHTT) + P(THHT) + P(TTHH) + P(THTH) + P(HTHT) + P(HTTH) = 1/16 +
1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 = 6/16 = 3/8
P(X = 3) = P(THHH) + P(HHHT) + P(HTHH) + P(HHTH) = 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 + 1/16 = 1/4
P(X = 4) = P(HHHH) = 1/16
5. Find the probability distribution of the number of successes in two tosses of a

die, where a success is defined as
(i) number greater than 4
(ii) six appears on at least one die
Ans. Given a die is tossed two times.

When a die is tossed two times then the number of observations will be (6 × 6) = 36.
Now, let 𝑋 is a random variable which represents the success.
(i) Here success is given as the number greater than 4.

Now
𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 𝑃( number ≤ 4 in both tosses ) = 4/6 × 4/6 = 4/9
𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 𝑃 (number ≤ 4 in first toss and number ≥ 4 in second case) +𝑃 (number
≥ 4 in first toss and number ≤ 4 in second case) is
= (4/6 × 2/6) + (2/6 × 4/6) = 4/9
𝑃(𝑋 = 2) = 𝑃( number ≥ 4 in both tosses ) = 2/6 × 2/6 = 1/9
𝑋 0 1 2
𝑃(𝑋) 4/9 4/9 1/9
(ii) Here success is given as six appears on at least one die.

Now 𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 𝑃( six does not appear on any of die ) = 5/6 × 5/6 = 25/36
𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 𝑃( six appears at least once of the die ) = (1/6 × 5/6) + (5/6 × 1/6) =
10/36 = 5/18
𝑋 0 1
𝑃(𝑋) 25/36 5/18
6. From a lot of 30 bulbs which include 6 defectives, a sample of 4 bulbs is drawn

at random with replacement. Find the probability distribution of the number
of defective bulbs.
Ans. Given a lot of 30 bulbs which include 6 defectives.

Then number of non-defective bulbs = 30 − 6 = 24
As 4 bulbs are drawn at random with replacement.
Let 𝑋 denotes the number of defective bulbs from the selected bulbs.
Clearly, 𝑋 can take the value of 0,1,2,3 or 4.
𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 𝑃(4 are non-defective and 0 defective )
4 4 4 4 256
= 4𝐶0 ⋅ 5 ⋅ 5 ⋅ 5 ⋅ 5 = 625

1 4 3 256
= 4𝐶1 ⋅ 5 ⋅ (5) = 625

1 2 1 2 96
= 4C2 ⋅ (5) ⋅ (5) = 625
1 3 4 16
= 4C3 ⋅ (5) ⋅ 5 = 625
1 4 1
= 4 𝐶4 ⋅ ( ) =
5 625
𝑋 0 1 2 3 4
𝑃(𝑋) 256/625 256/625 96/625 16/625 1/625
7. A coin is biased so that the head is 3 times as likely to occur as tail. If the coin
is tossed twice, find the probability distribution of number of tails.
Ans. Given head is 3 times as likely to occur as tail.

Now, let the probability of getting a tail in the biased coin be 𝑥.
⇒ 𝑃(𝑇) = 𝑋
And 𝑃(𝐻) = 3𝑥
For a biased coin, 𝑃(𝑇) + 𝑃(𝐻) = 1
⇒ 𝑥 + 3𝑥 = 1
⇒ 4𝑥 = 1
⇒ 𝑥 = 1/4
Hence, 𝑃(𝑇) = 1/4 and 𝑃(𝐻) = 3/4

As the coin is tossed twice, so the sample space is {HH, HT, TH, TT}
Let 𝑋 be a random variable representing the number of tails.
Clearly, X can take the value of 0,1 or 2 .
𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 𝑃( no tail ) = 𝑃(𝐻) × 𝑃(𝐻) = 3/4 × 3/4 = 9/16
𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 𝑃( one tail ) = 𝑃(𝐻𝑇) × 𝑃(𝑇𝐻) = 3/4.1/4 × 1/4.3/4 = 3/8
𝑃(𝑋 = 2) = 𝑃( two tail ) = 𝑃(𝑇) × 𝑃(𝑇) = 1/4 × 1/4 = 1/16
𝑋 0 1 2
𝑃(𝑥) 9/16 3/8 1/16
8. A random variable 𝑿 has the following probability distribution:
𝐗 0 1 2 3 4 5 6 7
𝐏(𝐗) 0 𝒌 𝟐𝒌 𝟐𝒌 𝟑𝒌 𝒌𝟐 𝟐𝒌𝟐 𝟕𝒌𝟐 + 𝒌
Determine
(i) 𝑘
(ii) 𝑃(𝑋 < 3)
(iii) 𝑃(𝑋 > 6)
(iv) 𝑃(0 < 𝑋 < 3)
Ans. Given a random variable 𝑋 with its probability distribution.
(i) As we know the sum of all the probabilities in a probability distribution of a

random variable must be one.
Hence the sum of probabilities of given table:
⇒ 0 + k + 2k + 2k + 3k + k 2 + 2k 2 + 7 K 2 + k = 1
⇒ 10 K 2 + 9k = 1
⇒ 10 K 2 + 9k − 1 = 0
⇒ (10 K − 1)(k + 1) = 0
k = −1,1/10
It is known that probability of any observation must always be positive that it can't
be negative.
So 𝑘 = 1/10
(ii) Now we have to find 𝑃(𝑋 < 3)

𝑃(𝑋 < 3) = 𝑃(𝑋 = 0) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 1) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 2)
= 0 + 𝑘 + 2𝑘
= 3k
𝑃(𝑋 < 3) = 3 × 1/10 = 3/10
(iii) Now we have find 𝑃(𝑋 > 6)

𝑃(𝑋 > 6) = 𝑃(𝑋 = 7)
= 7𝐾 2 + 𝑘
= 7 × (1/10)2 + 1/10
= 7/100 + 1/10
𝑃(𝑋 > 6) = 17/100
(iv) Consider 𝑃(0 < 𝑋 < 3)
𝑃(0 < 𝑋 < 3) = 𝑃(𝑋 = 1) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 2)
= 𝑘 + 2𝑘
= 3𝑘
𝑃(0 < 𝑋 < 3) = 3 × 1/10 = 3/10
9. The random variable 𝑿 has a probability distribution 𝑷(𝑿) of the following

𝒌, If 𝒙 = 𝟎
𝟐𝒌, If 𝒙 = 𝟏
form, where 𝒌 is some number: 𝑷(𝑿) = {
𝟑𝒌, If 𝒙 = 𝟐
𝟎, otherwise
(a) Determine the value of 𝑘.
(b) Find 𝑃(𝑋 < 2), 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 2), 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 2)
Ans. Given: A random variable 𝑋 with its probability distribution.

(a) As we know the sum of all the probabilities in a probability distribution of a
random variable must be one.
Hence the sum of probabilities of given table:
⇒ 𝑘 + 2𝑘 + 3𝑘 + 0 = 1
⇒ 6𝑘 = 1
𝑘 = 1/6
(b) Now we have to find 𝑃(𝑋 < 2)

𝑃(𝑋 < 2) = 𝑃(𝑋 = 0) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 1)
= 𝑘 + 2𝑘
= 3𝑘
𝑃(𝑋 < 2) = 3 × 1/6 = 1/2
Consider 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 2)
𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 2) = 𝑃(𝑋 = 0) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 1) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 2)

= 𝑘 + 2𝑘 + 3𝑘
= 6𝑘
𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 2) = 6 × 1/6 = 1
Now we have to find 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 2)

𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 2) = 𝑃(𝑋 = 2) + 𝑃(𝑋 > 2)
= 3𝑘 + 0
= 3𝑘
𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 2) = 3 × 1/6 = 1/2
10. Find the mean number of heads in three tosses of a fair coin.
Ans. Given a coin is tossed three times.

Three coins are tossed simultaneously. Hence, the sample space of the experiment
is S = {HHH, HHT, HTH, THH, TTH, THT, HTT, TTT
𝑋 represents the number of heads.
As we see, 𝑋 is a function on sample space whose range is {0,1,2,3}.
Thus, X is a random variable which can take the values 0,1,2 or 3 .
𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 𝑃(𝑇𝑇𝑇) = 1/8
𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 𝑃(𝑇𝑇𝐻) + 𝑃(𝑇𝐻𝑇) + 𝑃(𝐻𝑇𝑇) = 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/8 = 3/8
𝑃(𝑋 = 2) = 𝑃(𝑇𝐻𝐻) + 𝑃(𝐻𝑇𝐻) + 𝑃(𝐻𝐻𝑇) = 1/8 + 1/8 + 1/8 = 3/8
𝑃(𝑋 = 3) = 𝑃(𝐻𝐻𝐻) = 1/8
𝑋 0 1 2 3
𝑃(𝑋) 1/8 3/8 3/8 1/8
Therefore mean 𝜇 is:

𝜇 = E(X) = ∑ni=1 xi pi

1 3 3 1
=0×8+1×8+2×8+3×8
3 3 3 3+6+3 12
=8+4+8= =
8 8
3
⇒ 𝜇 = 𝐸(𝑋) = 2 = 1.5
11. Two dice are thrown simultaneously. If 𝑿 denotes the number of sixes, find the
expectation of 𝑿.
Ans. Given a die is thrown two times.

When a die is tossed two times then the number of observations will be (6 × 6) = 36.
Now, let X is a random variable which represents the success and is given as six
appears on at least one die.
Now
𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 𝑃( six does not appear on any of die ) = 5/6 × 5/6 = 25/36
𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 𝑃( six appears at least once of the die ) = (1/6 × 5/6) + (5/6 × 1/6) =
10/36 = 5/18
𝑃(𝑋 = 2) = 𝑃( six does appear on both of die ) = 1/6 × 1/6 = 1/36
𝑋 0 1 2
𝑃(𝑋) 25/36 5/18 1/36
Therefore Expectation of 𝑋𝐸(𝑋) :

𝐸(𝑋) = ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑥𝑖 𝑝𝑖
25 5 1
= 0 × 36 + 1 × 18 + 2 × 36
5 1 6 1
= 18 + 18 = 18 = 3
1
⇒ E(𝑋) = 3
12. Two numbers are selected at random (without replacement) from the
first six positive integers. Let 𝑿 denote the larger of the two numbers
obtained. Find 𝑬(𝑿).
Ans. Given first six positive integers.

Two numbers can be selected at random (without replacement) from the first six
positive integer in 6 × 5 = 30 ways.
𝑋 denote the larger of the two numbers obtained. Hence, 𝑋 can take any value of
2,3,4,5 or 6 .
For 𝑋 = 2, the possible observations are (1,2) and (2,1)
𝑃(𝑋) = 2/30 = 1/15
For 𝑋 = 3, the possible observations are (1,3), (3,1), (2,3) and (3,2).
𝑃(𝑋) = 4/30 = 2/15
For 𝑋 = 4, the possible observations are (1,4), (4,1), (2,4), (4,2), (3,4) and (4,3)
𝑃(𝑋) = 6/30 = 1/5
For 𝑋 = 5, the possible observations are (1,5), (5,1), (2,5), (5,2), (3,5), (5,3)(5,4) and (4,5).
𝑃(𝑋) = 8/30 = 4/15
For 𝑋 = 6, the possible observations are

(1,6), (6,1), (2,6), (6,2), (3,6), (6,3)(6,4), (4,6), (5,6) and (6,5).
𝑃(𝑋) = 10/30 = 1/3
𝑋 2 3 4 5 6
𝑃(𝑋) 1/15 2/15 1/5 4/15 1/3
Therefore 𝐸(𝑋) is: 𝐸(𝑋) = ∑𝑛𝑖=1 𝑥𝑖 𝑝𝑖
1 2 1 4 1
=2× +3× +4× +5× +6×
15 15 5 15 3
2 6 4 20 2+6+12+20+30 70
= 15 + 15 + 5 + 15 + 2 = = 15
15
14
⇒ E(X) = 3
13. Let 𝑿 denote the sum of the numbers obtained when two fair dice are
rolled. Find the variance and standard deviation of 𝑿.
Ans. Given two fair dice are rolled

When two fair dice are rolled then number of observations will be 6 × 6 = 36.
𝑋 denote the sum of the numbers obtained when two fair dice are rolled. Hence, 𝑋
can take any value of 2,3,4, 5,6,7,8,9,10,11 or 12 .
For 𝑋 = 2, the possible observations are (1,1).
𝑃(𝑋) = 1/36
𝑃(𝑋) = 2/36 = 1/18
For 𝑋 = 4, the possible observations are (1,3), (2,2) and (3,1).
𝑃(𝑋) = 3/36 = 1/12
For 𝑋 = 5, the possible observations are (1,4), (4,1), (2,3) and (3,2)
𝑃(𝑋) = 4/39 = 1/9
For 𝑋 = 6, the possible observations are (1,5), (5,1), (2,4), (4,2) and (3,3).
𝑃(𝑋) = 5/36
For 𝑋 = 9, the possible observations are (5,4), (4,5), (3,6) and (6,3)
𝑃(𝑋) = 4/36 = 1/9
For 𝑋 = 10, the possible observations are (5,5), (4,6) and (6,4).
𝑃(𝑋) = 3/36 = 1/12
𝑃(𝑋) = 2/36 = 1/18
For 𝑋 = 12, the possible observations are (6,6).
𝑃(𝑋) = 1/36
X 2 3 4 5 6 7 8 9 10 11 12
1 1 1 1 5 1 5 1 1 1 1
P(X)
/36 /18 /12 /9 /36 /6 /36 /9 /12 /18 /36
Therefore 𝐸(𝑋) is:

1 1 1 1 5 1 5
= 2 × 36 + 3 × 18 + 4 × 12 + 5 × 9 + 6 × 36 + 7 × 6 + 8 × 36
1 1 1 1
+9 × 9 + 10 × 12 + 11 × 18 + 12 × 36
1 1 1 5 5 7 10 5 11 1
= 18 + 6 + 3 + 9 + 6 + 6 + + 1 + 6 + 18 + 3
9
1+3+6+10+15+21+20+18+15+11+6 126
= =
18 18
⇒ 𝐸(𝑋) = 7
𝐸(𝑋) = 7
And 𝐸(𝑋 2 ) is:

E(X 2 ) = ∑ni=1 xi2 ⋅ p(xi )
1 1 1 1 5 1 5
= 4 × 36 + 9 × 18 + 16 × 12 + 25 × 9 + 36 × 36 + 49 × 6 + 64 × 36
1 1 1 1
+ 81 × + 100 × + 121 × + 144 ×
9 12 18 36
1 1 4 25 49 80 25 121
= 9+2+3+ +5+ + +9+ + +4
9 6 9 3 18
2+9+24+50+90+147+160+162+150+121+72
= 18
987
= 18
⇒ 𝐸(𝑋 2 ) = 54.833
Then Variance, Var (𝑋) = 𝐸(𝑋 2 ) − (𝐸(𝑋))2
= 54.833 − (7)2
= 54.833 − 49 = 5.833
And Standard deviation = √Var (X)

= √5. 833
= 2.415
14. A class has 15 students whose ages are

𝟏𝟒, 𝟏𝟕, 𝟏𝟓, 𝟏𝟒, 𝟐𝟏, 𝟏𝟕, 𝟏𝟗, 𝟐𝟎, 𝟏𝟔, 𝟏𝟖, 𝟐𝟎, 𝟏𝟕, 𝟏𝟔, 𝟏𝟗 and 20 years. One student is
selected in such a manner that each has the same chance of being chosen
and the age 𝑿 of the selected student is recorded. What is the probability
distribution of the random variable 𝑿 ? Find mean, variance and standard
deviation of 𝑿.
Ans. Given the class of 15 students with their ages.

Form the given data we can draw a table
X 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
f 2 1 2 3 1 2 3 1
𝑃(𝑋 = 14) = 2/15

𝑃(𝑋 = 15) = 1/15
𝑃(𝑋 = 16) = 2/15
𝑃(𝑋 = 17) = 3/15
𝑃(𝑋 = 18) = 1/15
𝑃(𝑋 = 19) = 2/15
𝑃(𝑋 = 20) = 3/15
𝑃(𝑋 = 21) = 1/15
𝐗 14 15 16 17 18 19 20 21
𝐏(𝐗) 2/15 1/15 2/15 3/15 1/15 2/15 3/15 1/15
Therefore 𝐸(𝑋)
is:
E(X) = ∑ni=1 xi pi
2 1 2 3 1 2
= 14 × 15 + 15 × 15 + 16 × 15 + 17 × 15 + 18 × 15 + 19 × 15
3 1
+ 20 × 15 + 21 × 15
28+15+32+21+18+38+60+21 263
= =
15 15
⇒ 𝐸(𝑋) = 17.53

𝑛
𝐸(𝑋 2)
= ∑ 𝑥𝑖2 ⋅ 𝑝(𝑥𝑖 )
𝑖=1
2 1 2 3 1
= (14)2 × + (15)2 × + (16)2 × + (17)2 × + (18)2 ×
15 15 15 15 15
2 3 1
+(19)2 × + (20)2 × + (21)2 ×
15 15 15
392 + 225 + 512 + 867 + 324 + 722 + 1200 + 441 4683
= =
15 15
⇒ 𝐸(𝑋 2 ) = 312.2
Then Variance, Var (𝑋) = 𝐸(𝑋 2 ) − (𝐸(𝑋))2

= 312.2 − (17.53)2
= 312.2 − 307.417 ≈ 4.78
And Standard deviation = √Var (X)
= √4.78
⇒ Standard deviation = 2.19
15. In a meeting, 𝟕𝟎% of the members favour and 𝟑𝟎% oppose a certain proposal.
A member is selected at random and we take 𝑿 = 𝟎 if he opposed, and 𝑿 = 𝟏 if
he is in favour. Find 𝑬(𝑿) and Var (𝑿).
Ans. Given: 𝑋 = 0 if members oppose, and 𝑋 = 1 if members are in favour.

𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 30% = 30/100 = 0.3
𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 70% = 70/100 = 0.7

𝑋 0 1
𝑃(𝑋) 0.3 0.7
Therefore 𝐸(𝑋) is
E(X) = ∑ni=1 Xi pi
= 0 × 0.3 + 1 × 0.7
⇒ E(X) = 0.7
E(X 2 ) = ∑ni=1 Xi2 ⋅ p(Xi )

= (0)2 × 0.3 + (1)2 × 0.7
⇒ E(X 2 ) = 0.7
Then Variance, Var (X) = E(X 2 ) − (E(X))2
= 0.7 − (0.7)2
= 0.7 − 0.49 = 0.21
16. The mean of the numbers obtained on throwing a die having written 1 on three
faces, 2 on two faces and 5 on one face is
A. 1
B. 2
C. 5
D. 8/3
Ans. B. 2
Explanation:
Given a die having written 1 on three faces, 2 on two faces and 5 on one face.
Let 𝑋 be the random variable representing a number on given die.
Then 𝑋 can take any value of 1,2 or 5 .
The total numbers is six.
NOW
𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 3/6 = 1/2
𝑃(𝑋 = 2) = 1/3
𝑃(𝑋 = 5) = 1/6

𝑋 1 2 5
𝑃(𝑋) 1/2 1/3 1/6

E(X) = ∑ni=1 xi pi
1 1 1
=1×2+2×3+5×6
1 2 5 3+4+5 12
=2+3+6= =
6 6
1 1 1
=1×2+2×3+5×6
1 2 5 3+4+5 12
=2+3+6= =
6 6
⇒ 𝐸(𝑋) = 2
Hence, the correct answer is (B).
17. Suppose that two cards are drawn at random from a deck of cards. Let 𝑿 be
the number of aces obtained. Then the value of 𝑬(𝑿) is
A. 37/221
B. 5/13
C. 1/13
D. 2/13
Ans. D. 2/13
Explanation:
Given a deck of cards.
𝑋 be the number of aces obtained.
Hence, 𝑋 can take value of 0,1 or 2 .
As we know, in a deck of 52 cards, 4 cards are aces. Therefore 48 cards are non-
ace cards.
4𝑐0 ×48𝐶2
𝑃(𝑋 = 0) = 𝑃(0 ace and 2 non ace cards ) = 52 𝑐
2
1128
=
1326
4 1 ×48𝑐
𝑃(𝑋 = 1) = 𝑃(1 ace and 1 non ace cards) = 52 𝑐 1
2
192
= 1326
4𝑐2 ×48𝑐0
𝑃(𝑋 = 2) = 𝑃(2 ace and 0 non ace cards) = 52 𝑐
2
6
=
1326
= 6/1326
𝑋 0 1 2
𝑃(𝑋) 1128/1326 192/1326 6/1326

1128 192 6
= 0 × 1326 + 1 × 1326 + 2 × 1326
204
= 1326
2
⇒ 𝐸(𝑋) = 13
Hence, the correct answer is (D).
EXERCISE 13.5
1. A die is thrown 6 times. If 'getting an odd number' is a success, what is the
probability of
(i) 5 successes?
(ii) At least 5 successes?
(iii) At most 5 successes?
Ans. We know that the repeated tosses of a dice are known as Bernoulli trials.
Let the number of successes of getting an odd number in an experiment of 6 trials
be 𝑥.
Probability of getting an odd number in a single throw of a dice ( 𝑝 )
number of odd numbers on a dice 3 1
= =6=2
total number of numbers on a dice
Thus, 𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1/2
Now, here 𝑥 has a binomial distribution.
Thus, 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 𝑛 𝐶𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑝 𝑥 , where 𝑥 = 0,1,2 … 𝑛
= 6 𝐶𝑥 (1/2)6−𝑥
= 6 𝐶𝑥 (1/2)6
(i) Probability of getting 5 successes = 𝑃(𝑋 = 5)

= 6 𝐶5 (1/2)6
= 6 × 1/64
= 3/32
(ii) Probability of getting at least 5 successes = 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 5)

= 𝑃(𝑋 = 5) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 6)
= 6 𝐶5 (1/2)6 + 6 𝐶5 (1/2)6
= 6 × 1/64 + 6 × 1/64
= 6/64 + 1/64
= 7/64
(iii) Probability of getting at most 5 successes = 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 5)

We can also write it as: 1 − 𝑃(𝑋 > 5)
= 1 − 𝑃(𝑋 = 6)
= 1 − 6 𝐶6 (1/2)6
= 1 − 1/64
= 63/64
2. A pair of dice is thrown 4 times. If getting a doublet is considered a success,

find the probability of two successes.
Ans. We know that the repeated tosses of a pair of dice are known as Bernoulli
trials. Let the number of times of getting doublets in an experiment of throwing two
dice simultaneously four times be 𝑥.
Probability of getting doublets in a single throw of a a pair of dice(p)
number of doublets possible in a pair of dice 6
= = 36
total number of possible pairs when two dice thrown
1
=6
Thus, 𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 1/6 = 5/6
Now, here 𝑥 has a binomial distribution, where 𝑛 = 4, 𝑝 = 1/6, 𝑞 = 5/6
Thus, 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 𝑛 𝐶𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑝 𝑥 , where 𝑥 = 0,1,2, … 𝑛
= 4 𝐶𝑥 (5/6)4−𝑥 (1/6)𝑥
= 4 𝐶𝑥 (54−𝑥 /66 )
Hence, Probability of getting 2 successes = 𝑃(𝑋 = 2)

= 4 𝐶2 (54−2 /64 )
= 6(52 /64 )
= 6 × (25/1296)
= 25/216
3. There are 𝟓% defective items in a large bulk of items. What is the probability
that a sample of 10 items will include not more than one defective item?
Ans. Let there be 𝑥 number of defective items in a sample of ten items drawn
successively.
Now, as we can see that the drawing of the items is done with replacement. Thus,
the trials are Bernoulli trials.
Now, probability of getting a defective item, 𝑝 = 5/100 = 1/20
Thus, 𝑞 = 1 − 1/20 = 19/20
∴ We can say that 𝑥 has a binomial distribution, where 𝑛 = 10 and 𝑝 = 1/20
Thus, 𝑃(𝑥 = 𝑥) = 𝑛
𝐶𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑝 𝑥 , where 𝑥 = 0,1,2 … 𝑛
10 19 10−𝑥 1 𝑥
= 𝐶𝑥 (20) (20)
Probability of getting not more than one defective item = 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 1)

= 𝑃(𝑋 = 0) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 1)
10
= C0 (19/20)10 (1/20)0 + 10
C1 (19/20)9 (1/20)1
19 10 19 9 1 1
= (20) + 10 × (20) (20)
19 9 19 10
= (20) [20 + 20]
19 9 29
=( ) ×( )
20 20
4. Five cards are drawn successively with replacement from a well-shuffled

deck of 52 cards. What is the probability that
(i) All the five cards are spades?
(ii) Only 3 cards are spades?
(iii) None is a spade?
Ans. Let the number of spade cards among the five drawn cards be 𝑥.
As we can observe that the drawing of cards is with replacement, thus, the trials
will be Bernoulli trials.
Now, we know that in a deck of 52 cards there are total 13 spade cards.
Thus, Probability of drawing a spade from a deck of 52 cards
= 13/52 = 1/4
𝑞 = 1 − 1/4 = 3/4
Thus, 𝑥 has a binomial distribution with 𝑛 = 5 and 𝑝 = 1/4

Thus, 𝑃(𝑥 = 𝑥) = 𝑛
𝐶𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑝 𝑥 , where 𝑥 = 0,1,2, … 𝑛
3 5−𝑥 1 𝑥
= 5 𝐶𝑥 (4) (4)
(i) Probability of drawing all five cards as spades = 𝑃(𝑋 = 5)
3 0 1 5
= 5 𝐶5 (4) (4)
1
= 1 × 1024
1
= 1024
= 1/1024
(ii) Probability of drawing three out five cards as spades = 𝑃(𝑋 = 3)

3 2 1 3
= 5 𝐶3 (4) (4)
9 1
= 10 × 16 × 64
45
= 512
(iii) Probability of drawing all five cards as non-spades = P(X = 0)

3 5 1 0
= 5 C0 (4) (4)
243
= 1 × 1024
243
= 1024
5. The probability that a bulb produced by a factory will fuse after 150 days of
use is 𝟎. 𝟎𝟓. Find the probability that out of 5 such bulbs
(i) none
(ii) not more than one
(iii) more than one
(iv) at least one will fuse after 150 days of use.
Ans. Let us assume that the number of bulbs that will fuse after 150 days of use in
an experiment of 5 trials be 𝑥.
As we can see that the trial is made with replacement, thus, the trials will be
Bernoulli trials.
It is already mentioned in the question that, 𝑝 = 0.05
Thus, 𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 0.05 = 0.95
Here, we can clearly observe that 𝑥 has a binomial representation with 𝑛 = 5 and
𝑝 = 0.05
= 5 𝐶𝑥 (0.95)5−𝑥 (0.05)𝑥
(i) Probability of no such bulb in a random drawing of 5 bulbs = 𝑃(𝑋 = 0)
= 5 𝐶0 (0.95)5−0 (0.05)0
= 1 × 0.955
= (0.95)5
(ii) Probability of not more than one such bulb in a random drawing of 5
bulbs = 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 1)
= 𝑃(𝑋 = 0) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 1)
= 5 𝐶0 (0.95)5−0 (0.05)0 + 5 𝐶1 (0.95)5−1 (0.05)1
= 1 × 0.955 + 5 × (0.95)4 × 0.05
= (0.95)4 (0.95 + 0.25)
= (0.95)4 × 1.2
(iii) Probability of more than one such bulb in a random drawing of 5 bulbs
= 𝑃(𝑋 > 1)
= 1 − 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 1)
= 1 − [(0.95)4 × 1.2]
(iv) Probability of at least one such bulb in a random drawing of 5 bulbs

= 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 1)
= 1 − 𝑃(𝑋 < 1)
= 1 − 𝑃(𝑋 = 0)
= 1 − (0.95)5
6. A bag consists of 10 balls each marked with one of the digits 0 to 9 . If four balls
are drawn successively with replacement from the bag, what is the
probability that none is marked with the digit 0 ?
Ans. Let us assume that number of balls with digit marked as zero among the
experiment of 4 balls drawn simultaneously be 𝑥.
As we can see that the balls are drawn with replacement, thus, the trial is a
Bernoulli trial.
Probability of a ball drawn from the bag to be marked as digit 0 = 1/10
It can be clearly observed that 𝑋 has a binomial distribution with 𝑛 = 4 and 𝑝 = 1/10
Thus, 𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 1/10 = 9/10
Thus, 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 𝑛 𝐶𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑝 𝑥 , where 𝑥 = 0,1,2, … 𝑛
9 4−𝑥 1 𝑥
= 4 𝐶𝑥 (10) (10)
Probability of no ball marked with zero among the 4 balls = 𝑃(𝑋 = 0)
9 4−0 1 0
= 4 𝐶0 (10) (10)
9 4 1 0
= 4 𝐶𝑥 (10) (10)
9 4
= 1 × (10)
9 4
= (10)
7. In an examination, 20 questions of true-false type are asked. Suppose a
student tosses a fair coin to determine his answer to each question. If
the coin falls heads, he answers 'true'; if it falls tails, he answers 'false'.
Find the probability that he answers at least 12 questions correctly.
Ans. Let us assume that the number of correctly answered questions out of twenty
questions be 𝑥.
Since, 'head' on the coin shows the true answer and the 'tail' on the coin shows the
false answers. Thus, the repeated tosses or the correctly answered questions are
Bernoulli trails.
Thus, 𝑝 = 1/2 and 𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 1/2 = 1/2
Here, it can be clearly observed that 𝑥 has binomial distribution, where 𝑛 = 20 and
𝑝 = 1/2
20 1 20−𝑥 1 𝑥
= 𝐶𝑥 (2) (2)
20 1 20
= 𝐶𝑥 ( )
2
Probability of at least 12 questions answered correctly = p(𝑋 ≥ 12)

= 𝑃(𝑋 = 12) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 13) + ⋯ + 𝑃(𝑋 = 20)
20
1 20 20 1 20 20
1 20
= C12 ( ) + C13 ( ) + ⋯ + C20 ( )
2 2 2
1 20 20
= ( ) ( C12 + 20 C13 + ⋯ + 20 C20 )
20
8. Suppose 𝑿 has a binomial distribution 𝑩(𝟔, 𝟏/𝟐). Show that 𝑿 = 𝟑 is the most likely
outcome. (Hint: 𝑷(𝑿 = 𝟑) is the maximum among all 𝑷(𝒙𝒊), 𝒙𝒊 = 𝟎, 𝟏, 𝟐, 𝟑, 𝟒, 𝟓, 𝟔)
Ans. Given 𝑋 is any random variable whose binomial distribution is 𝐵(6,1/2)

Thus, 𝑛 = 6 and 𝑝 = 1/2
𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 1/2 = 1/2
Thus, 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 𝑛
𝐶𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑝 𝑥 , where 𝑥 = 0,1,2 … 𝑛
1 6−𝑥 1 𝑥
= 6 𝐶𝑥 (2) (2)
1 6
= 6 𝐶𝑥 (2)
It can be clearly observed that 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) will be maximum if 6 𝑐𝑥 will be maximum.
∴6 cx = 6 c6 = 1
6
c1 = 6 c5 = 6
6
c2 = 6 c4 = 15
6
c3 = 20
Hence we can clearly see that 6 𝑐3 is maximum.

∴ for x = 3, P(X = x) is maximum.
Hence, proved that the most likely outcome is 𝑥 = 3.
9. On a multiple choice examination with three possible answers for each of the
five questions, what is the probability that a candidate would get four or more
correct answers just by guessing?
Ans. In this question, we have the repeated correct answer guessing form the
given multiple choice questions are Bernoulli trials
Let us now assume, 𝑋 represents the number of correct answers by guessing in the
multiple choice set
Now, probability of getting a correct answer, 𝑝 = 1/3
Thus, 𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 1/3 = 2/3
Clearly, we have 𝑋 is a binomial distribution where 𝑛 = 5 and 𝑃 = 1/3
𝑛
∴ 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 𝐶𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑝 𝑥
2 5−𝑥 1 𝑥
= 5 𝐶𝑥 (3) ⋅ (3)
Hence, probability of guessing more than 4 correct answer = 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 4)
= 𝑃(𝑋 = 4) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 5)
2 1 4 1 5
= 5 C4 (3) ⋅ (3) + 5 C5 (3)
2 1 1
= 5 ⋅ 3 ⋅ 81 + 1 ⋅ 243
11
= 243
10. A person buys a lottery ticket in 50 lotteries, in each of which his chance of
winning a prize is 𝟏/𝟏𝟎𝟎. What is the probability that he will win a prize
(a) At least once
(b) Exactly once
(c) At least twice?
Ans. (a) Let 𝑋 represents the number of prizes winning in 50 lotteries and the trials
are Bernoulli trials
Here clearly, we have 𝑋 is a binomial distribution where 𝑛 = 50 and 𝑝 = 1/100
Thus, 𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 1/100 = 99/100
∴ P(X = x) = n 𝐶x qn−x px
99 50−𝑥 1 𝑥
50
= 𝐶𝑥 (100) ⋅ (100)
Hence, probability of winning in lottery at least once = 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 1)
= 1 − 𝑃(𝑋 < 1)
= 1 − 𝑃(𝑋 = 0)
99 50
50
=1− 𝐶0 (100)
99 50
= 1 − 1. (100)
99 50
= 1 − (100)
(b) Probability of winning in lottery exactly once = 𝑃(𝑋 = 1)

99 49 1 1
50
= 𝐶1 (100) ⋅ (100)
1 99 49
= 50 (100) (100)
1 99 49
= 2 (100)
(c) Probability of winning in lottery at least twice = 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 2)

= 1 − 𝑃(𝑋 < 2)
= 1 − 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 1)
= 1 − [𝑃(𝑋 = 0) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 1)]
= [1 − 𝑃(𝑋 = 0)] − 𝑃(𝑋 = 1)
99 50 1 99 49
= 1 − (100) − 2 ⋅ (100)
99 49 99 1
= 1 − (100) ⋅ [100 + 2]
99 49 149
= 1 − (100) ⋅ (100)
149 99 49
= 1 − (100) (100)
99 49 149
= 1 − (100) ⋅ (100)
149 99 49
=( )( )
100 100
11. Find the probability of getting 5 exactly twice in 7 throws of a die.
Ans. Let us assume 𝑋 represent the number of times of getting 5 in 7 throws of the
die
Also, the repeated tossing of a die are the Bernoulli trials
Thus, probability of getting 5 in a single throw, 𝑝 = 1/6
And,𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝
= 1 − 1/6
= 5/6
Clearly, we have 𝑋 has the binomial distribution where 𝑛 = 7 and 𝑝 = 1/6
𝑛
5 7−𝑥 1 𝑥
= 7 𝐶𝑥 ( ) ⋅( )
6 6
Hence, probability of getting 5 exactly twice in a die = 𝑃(𝑋 = 2)

5 5 1 2
= 7 𝐶2 (6) ⋅ (6)
5 5 1
= 21 ⋅ (6) ⋅ 36
7 5 5
= (12) (6)
12. Find the probability of throwing at most 2 sixes in 6 throws of a single die.
Ans. Let us assume 𝑋 represent the number of times of getting sixes in 6

throws of a die
Also, the repeated tossing of die selection are the Bernoulli trials
Thus, probability of getting six in a single throw of die, 𝑝 = 1/6
And,𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 1/6 = 5/6
𝑛
5 6−𝑥 1 𝑥
= 6 𝐶𝑥 (6) (6)
Hence, probability of throwing at most 2 sixes = 𝑃(𝑋 ≤ 2)

= 𝑃(𝑋 = 0) + 𝑝(𝑋 = 1) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 2)
5 6 5 1 54 1 2
= 6 𝐶0 ⋅ (6) + 6 𝐶1 ⋅ (6) 65 ⋅ (6) + 6 𝐶2 ( 6 ) ⋅ (6)
5 6 1 5 5 1 5 4
= 1 ⋅ (6) + 6 ⋅ 6 ⋅ (6) + 15 ⋅ 36 ⋅ (6)
5 6 5 5 5 5 4
= (6) + (6) + 12 ⋅ (6)
5 4 5 2 5 5
= (6) [(6) + (6) + (12)]
5 4 25+30+15
= (6) ⋅ [ ]
36
70 5 4
= 36 ⋅ (6)
35 5 4
= 18 ⋅ (6)
13. It is known that 𝟏𝟎% of certain articles manufactured are defective. What is
the probability that in a random sample of 12 such articles, 9 are defective?
Ans. Let us assume 𝑋 represent the number of times selecting defected articles in
a random sample space of given 12 articles
Also, the repeated articles in a random sample space are the Bernoulli trials
Clearly, we have 𝑋 has the binomial distribution where 𝑛 = 12 and 𝑝 = 10% = 1/10
And, 𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 1/10 = 9/10
𝑛
9 12−𝑥 1 𝑥
12
= 𝐶𝑥 (10) ⋅ (10)
9 3 1 9
Hence, probability of selecting 9 defective articles =12 𝐶9 (10) (10)
93 1
= 220 ⋅ 103 ⋅ 109
22×93
= 1011
14. In a box containing 100 bulbs, 10 are defective. The probability that out of a
sample of 5 bulbs, none is defective is
A. 10−1
B. (1/2)5
C. (9/10)5
9
D.
10
Ans. C. (9/10)5
Explanation:
Let us assume 𝑋 represent the number of times selecting defected bulbs in a
random sample of given 5 bulbs
Also, the repeated selection of defective bulbs from a box are the Bernoulli trials
And, 𝑞 = 1 − 𝑝 = 1 − 1/10
𝑛
−𝑥
5 9 5 1 𝑥
= 𝐶𝑥 (10) (10)
Hence, probability that none bulb is defective = P(X = 0)
9 5
= 5 𝐶0 ⋅ (10)
9 5
= 1. (10)
9 5
= (10)
∴ Option C is correct
15. The probability that a student is not a swimmer is 𝟏/𝟓. Then the probability that
out of five students, four are swimmers is
A. 𝟓 𝐂𝟒 𝟏/𝟓(𝟒/𝟓)𝟒
B. (𝟒/𝟓)𝟒 (𝟏/𝟓)
C. 𝟓 𝑪𝟏 𝟏/𝟓(𝟒/𝟓)𝟒
D. None of these
Ans. A. 5 C4 1/5(4/5)4
Explanation:
Let us assume 𝑋 represent the number of students out of 5 who are swimmers
Also, the repeated selection of students who are swimmers are the Bernoulli trials
Thus, probability of students who are not swimmers = 𝑞 = 1/5
Clearly, we have 𝑋 has the binomial distribution where 𝑛 = 5
And, 𝑝 = 1 − 𝑞
= 1 − 1/5
= 4/5
∴ 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 𝑛 𝐶𝑥 𝑞 𝑛−𝑥 𝑝 𝑥
−𝑥
5 1 5 4 𝑥
= 𝐶𝑥 (5) ⋅ (5)
Hence, probability that four students are swimmers = 𝑃(𝑋 = 4)
1 4 4
= 5 𝐶4 (5) ⋅ (5)
∴ Option A is correct
Miscellaneous Exercise
1. 𝑨 and 𝑩 are two events such that 𝑷(𝑨) ≠ 𝟎. Find 𝑷(𝑩 ∣ 𝑨), if:
(i) 𝑨 is a subset of 𝑩
(ii) 𝑨 ∩ 𝑩 = 𝝋
Ans. It is given that,
𝐴 and 𝐵 are two events such that 𝑃(𝐴) ≠ 0
We have, 𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = 𝐴
∴ 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵 ∩ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐴)
𝑃(𝐵∩𝐴)
Hence, 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐴)
𝑃(𝐴)
= 𝑃(𝐴)
=1
(ii) We have,
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
∴ 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐴)
=0
2. A couple has two children,

(i) Find the probability that both children are males, if it is known that at least
one of the children is male.
(ii) Find the probability that both children are females, if it is known that the
elder child is a female.
Ans. (i) According to the question, if the couple has two children then the sample
space is:
𝑆 = {(𝑏, 𝑏), (𝑏, 𝑔), (𝑔, 𝑏), (𝑔, 𝑔)}
Assume that 𝐴 denote the event of both children having male and 𝐵 denote the
event of having at least one of the male children
Thus, we have:
𝐴 ∩ 𝐵 = {(𝑏, 𝑏)}
1
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 4
P(A) = 1/4
P(B) = 3/4
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
Hence, 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)
1
4
= 3
4
= 1/3
(ii) Assume that 𝐶 denote the event having both children females and 𝐷 denote the
event of having elder child is female
∴ 𝐶 = {(𝑔, 𝑔)}
𝑃(𝐶) = 1/4
And, 𝐷 = {(𝑔, 𝑏), (𝑔, 𝑔)}
𝑃(𝐷) = (2/4)
𝑃(𝐶∩𝐷)
Hence, 𝑃(𝐶 ∣ 𝐷) = 𝑃(𝐷)
1
4
= 2
4
= 1/2
3. Suppose that 𝟓% of men and 𝟎. 𝟐𝟓% of women have grey hair. A grey haired
person is selected at random. What is the probability of this person being
male? Assume that there are equal number of males and females.
Ans. Given that, 5% of men and 0.25% of women have grey hair
∴ Total % of people having grey hair = 5 + 0.25
= 5.25%
Hence, Probability of having a selected person male having grey hair,
𝑃 = 5/25 = 20/21
4. Suppose that 𝟗𝟎% of people are right-handed. What is the probability
that at most 6 of a random sample of 10 people are right-handed?
Ans. Given that, 90% of the people are right handed

Let 𝑝 denotes the probability of people that are right handed and q denotes the
probability of people that are left handed
𝑝 = 9/10 and 𝑞 = 1 − 9/10 = 1/10
Now by using the binomial distribution probability of having more than 6
right handed people can be given as:

−𝑟
9 𝑟 1 10
∑10
𝑟=7
𝑟 𝑛−𝑟
10𝐶𝑟 𝑝 𝑞 = ∑10
𝑟=7 10𝐶𝑟 (10) (10)
Hence, the probability of having more than 6 right handed people: = 1 − 𝑃 (More
than 6 people are right handed)
−𝑟
= 1 − ∑10 𝑟
𝑟=7 10𝐶𝑟 (0.9) (0.1)
10
5. An urn contains 25 balls of which 10 balls bear a mark ' 𝑿 ' and the remaining 15
bear a mark ' 𝒀 '. A ball is drawn at random from the urn, its mark is noted
down and it is replaced. If 6 balls are drawn in this way, find the probability
that:
(i) All will bear ' 𝑿 ' mark.
(ii) Not more than 2 will bear ' 𝒀 ' mark.
(iii) At least one ball will bear ' 𝒀 ' mark.
(iv) The number of balls with ' 𝑿 ' mark and ' 𝒀 ' mark will be equal.
Ans. (i) It is given in the question that,

Total number of balls in the urn = 25
Number of balls bearing mark ' 𝑋 ' = 10
Number of balls bearing mark ' 𝑌 ' = 15
Let 𝑝 denotes the probability of balls bearing mark ' 𝑋 ' and 𝑞 denotes the
probability of balls bearing mark ' 𝑌 ' 𝑝 = 10/25 = 2/5 and 𝑞 = 15/25 = 3/5
Now, 6 balls are drawn with replacement. Hence, the number of trials are Bernoulli
triangle.
Assume, 𝑍 be the random variable that represents the number of balls
bearing ' 𝑌 ' mark in the trials
∴ 𝑍 has a binomial distribution where 𝑛 = 6 and 𝑝 = 2/5
𝑛
𝑃(𝑍 = 𝑧) = 𝐶𝑧 𝑝𝑛−𝑧 𝑞 𝑧
Hence, 𝑃 (All balls will bear mark ' 𝑋 ′ ) = 𝑃(𝑍 = 0)
2 6
= 6 𝐶0 (5)
2 6
= (5)
(ii) Probability (Not more than 2 will bear ' 𝑌 ' mark ) = 𝑃(𝑍 ≤ 2)
= P(Z = 0) + P(Z = 1) + P(Z = 2)

= 6 𝐶0 (𝑝)6 (𝑞)0 + 6 𝐶1 (𝑝)5 (𝑞)1 + 6 𝐶2 (𝑝)4 (𝑞)2
2 6 2 5 3 2 4 3 2
= (5) + 6 (5) (5) + 15 (5) (5)
2 4 2 2 2 3 3 2
= (5) [(5) + 6 (5) (5) + 15 (5) ]
2 4 175
= (5) [ 25 ]
2 4
= 7 (5)
(iii) Now, Probability (At least one ball will bear ' 𝑌 ' mark ) = 𝑃(𝑍 ≥ 1)
= 1 − 𝑃(𝑍 = 0
2 6
= 1 − (5)
(iv) Probability (Having equal number of balls with ' 𝑋 ' mark and ' 𝑌 ' mark)
= 𝑃(𝑍 = 3 )
2 3 3 3
= 6 𝐶3 (54) (5)
20×8×27
= 15625
864
= 3125
6. In a hurdle race, a player has to cross 10 hurdles. The probability that
he will clear each hurdle is 𝟓/𝟔. What is the probability that he
will knock down fewer than 2 hurdles?
Ans. Assume that 𝑝 be the probability of player that will clear the hurdle while q be
the probability of player that will knock down the hurdle
∴ p = 5/6 and q = 1 − 5/6 = 1/6
Let us also assume 𝑋 be the random variable that represents the number of times
the player will knock down the hurdle
∴ By binomial distribution, 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 𝑛 𝐶𝑥 𝑝𝑛−𝑥 𝑞 𝑥
Hence, probability (players knocking down less than 2 hurdles) = 𝑃(𝑋 < 2)
= 𝑃(𝑋 = 0) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 1)
= 10 𝐶0 (𝑞)0 (𝑝)10 + 10 𝐶1 (𝑞)(𝑝)9
5 10 5 10
= (6) × [6 + ]
6
5 5 9
= 2 × (6)
(5)10
= 2×(6)6
5 5 9
= 2 × (6)
(5)10
= 2×(6)9
7. A die is thrown again and again until three sixes are obtained. Find the
probability of obtaining the third six in the sixth throw of the die.
Ans. From the given question, it is clear that

Probability of getting a six in a throw of die = 1/6
And, probability of not getting a six = 5/6
Let us assume, 𝑝 = 1/6 and 𝑞 = 5/6
Now, we have
Probability that the 2 sixes come in the first five throws of the die
1 2 5 3
= 5 𝐶2 (6) (6)
10×(5)3
= (6)5
10×(5)3 1
Also, Probability that the six come in the sixth throw = ×6
(6)5
10×125
= (6)6
625
= 23328
8. If a leap year is selected at random, what is the chance that it will contain 53
Tuesdays?
Ans. We know that, in a leap year there are total 366 days, 52 weeks and 2 days
Now, in 52 weeks there are total 52 Tuesdays
∴ Probability that the leap year will contain 53 Tuesdays is equal to the probability
of remaining 2 days will be Tuesdays
Thus, the remaining two days can be
(Monday and Tuesday), (Tuesday and Wednesday), (Wednesday and Thursday),
(Thursday and Friday), (Friday and Saturday), (Saturday and Sunday) and (Sunday
and Monday)
∴ Total Number of cases = 7
Cases in which Tuesday can come = 2
Hence, probability (leap year having 53 Tuesdays) = 2/7
9. An experiment succeeds twice as often as it fails. Find the probability that in

the next six trials, there will be at least 4 successes.
Ans. Given that probability of failure = 𝑥

And, probability of success = 2𝑥
∴ 𝑥 + 2𝑥 = 1
3𝑥 = 1
𝑥 = 1/3
2𝑥 = 2/3
Assume 𝑝 = 1/3 and 𝑞 = 2/3

Also, 𝑋 be the random variable that represents the number of trials
Hence, by binomial distribution we have:
𝑛
𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 𝐶𝑥 𝑝𝑛−𝑥 𝑞 𝑥
∴ Probability of having at least 4 successes = 𝑃(𝑋 ≥ 4)
= 𝑃(𝑋 = 4) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 5) + 𝑃(𝑋 = 6)
6
2 4 1 2 6 2 5 1 6
2 6
= 𝐶4 ( ) ( ) + 𝐶5 ( ) ( ) + 𝐶6 ( )
3 3 3 3 3
15(2)4 6(2)5 (2)6
= + +
36 36 36
31×(2)4
=
(3)6
31 2 4
= (3)
9
10. How many times must a man toss a fair coin so that the probability of having
at least one head is more than 𝟗𝟎%?
Ans. Let us assume that, man tosses the coin 𝑛 times. Thus, 𝑛 tosses are the
Bernoulli trials
∴ Probability of getting head at the toss of the coin = 1/2
Let us assume, 𝑝 = 1/2 and 𝑞 = 1/2
𝑛
∴ 𝑃(𝑋 = 𝑥) = 𝐶𝑥 𝑝𝑛−𝑥 𝑞 𝑥
𝑛 1 𝑛−𝑥 1 𝑥
= 𝐶𝑥 (2) (2)
𝑛 1 𝑛
= 𝐶𝑥 (2)
It is given in the question that,

Probability of getting at least one head > 90/100
∴ 𝑃(𝑥 ≥ 1) > 0.9
1 − 𝑃(𝑥 = 0) > 0.9

1
1 − 𝑛 𝐶0 ⋅ 𝑛 > 0.9
2
1
< 0.1
2𝑛
1
2𝑛 >
0.1
2𝑛 > 10
Hence, the minimum value of 𝑛 satisfying the given inequality = 4
∴ The man have to toss the coin 4 or more times
11. In a game, a man wins a rupee for a six and loses a rupee for any other
number when a fair die is thrown. The man decided to throw a die thrice but to
quit as and when he gets a six. Find the expected value of the amount he wins
/ loses.
Ans. For the situation given in the equation, we have

Probability of getting a six in a throw of a die = 1/6
Also, probability of not getting a 6 = 5/6
Now, there are three cases from which the expected value of the amount which he
wins can be calculated:
(i) First case is that, if he gets a six on his first through then the required probability
will be 1/6
∴ Amount received by him = Rs. 1
(ii) Secondly, if he gets six on his second throw then the probability
= (5/6 × 1/6) = 5/36
∴ Amount received by him = −Rs. 1 + Rs. 1
=0
(iii) Lastly, if he does not get six in first two throws and gets six in his third throw then
the probability = 5/6 × 5/6 × 1/6
= 25/216
∴ Amount received by him = − Rs. 1 − Rs. 1 + Rs. 1 = −1

Hence, expected value that he can win = 1/6 − 25/216
= (36 − 25)/216
= 11/216
12. Suppose we have four boxes 𝑨, 𝑩, 𝑪 and 𝑫 containing coloured marbles as

given below:
Box Marble colour

Red White Black
A 1 6 3
B 6 2 2
C 8 1 1
D 0 6 4
One of the boxes has been selected at random and a single marble is drawn from
it. If the marble is red, what is the probability that it was drawn from box 𝐴 ?, box 𝐵 ?,
box 𝐶 ?
Ans. Let us assume 𝑅 be the event of drawing the red marbles

Let us also assume 𝐸𝐴 , 𝐸𝐵 and 𝐸𝐶 denote the boxes 𝐴, 𝐵 and 𝐶 respectively
Given that,
Total number of marbles = 40
Also, total number of red marbles = 15
𝑃(𝑅) = 15/40
= 3/8
Probability of taking out the red marble from box 𝐴,
𝑃(𝐸𝐴 ∩𝑅)
𝑃(𝐸𝐴 ∣ 𝑅) = 𝑃(𝑅)
1
40
= 3
8
= 1/15
Also, probability of taking out the red marble from box B,
𝑃(𝐸𝐵 ∩𝑅)
𝑃(𝐸𝐵 ∣ 𝑅) = 𝑃(𝑅)
6
40
= 3
8
= 2/5
And, Probability of taking out the red marble from box C,

𝑃(𝐸𝐶 ∩𝑅)
𝑃(𝐸𝐶 ∣ 𝑅) = 𝑃(𝑅)
8
40
= 3
8
=8/15
13. Assume that the chances of a patient having a heart attack are 𝟒𝟎%. It is also
assumed that a meditation and yoga course reduce the risk of heart attack by
𝟑𝟎% and prescription of certain drug reduces its chances by 𝟐𝟓%. At a time a
patient can choose any one of the two options with equal probabilities. It is
given that after going through one of the two options the patient selected at
random suffers a heart attack. Find the probability that the patient followed a
course of meditation and yoga?
Ans. Let us assume, 𝑋 denotes the events having a person heart attack
𝐴1 denote events having the selected person followed the course of yoga and
meditation
And, A2 denote the events having the person adopted the drug prescription
𝑃(𝑋) = 0.40
1
And, 𝑃(𝐴1 ) = 𝑃(𝐴2 ) = 2
𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐴1 ) = 0.40 × 0.70 = 0.28
𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐴2 ) = 0.40 × 0.75 = 0.30
∴ Probability (The patient suffering from a heart attack and followed a course of
meditation and yoga):
𝑃(𝐴1 )𝑃(𝑋∣𝐴1 )
𝑃(𝐴1 ∣ 𝑋) = 𝑃(𝐴 )𝑃(𝑋∣𝐴
1 1 )+𝑃(𝐴2 )𝑃(𝑋∣𝐴2 )
1
×0.28
2
=1 1
×0.28+ ×0.30
2 2
14
=
29
14. If each element of a second order determinant is either zero or one,
what is the probability that the value of the determinant is positive?
(Assume that the individual entries of the determinant are chosen
independently, each value being assumed with probability 𝟏/𝟐).
Ans. From the question, we have:

Total number of determinants of second order where the element being or 1 = (2)4
= 16
Now, we have the value of determinants is positive in following cases:
1 0 1 11 0
| |
0 1 0 11 1
∴ Required probability = 3/16
15. An electronic assembly consists of two subsystems, say, 𝑨 and 𝑩. From

previous testing procedures, the following probabilities are assumed to be
known:
𝑷 (A fails) = 𝟎. 𝟐
𝑷(𝑩 fails alone ) = 𝟎. 𝟏𝟓
𝑷(𝑨 and 𝑩 fail ) = 𝟎. 𝟏𝟓
Evaluate the following probabilities:
(i) 𝑷 (A fails ∣ 𝑩 has failed)
(ii) 𝑷 (A fails alone)
Ans. (i) Let us assume the event which is failed by 𝐴 is denoted by 𝐸𝐴

And, event which is failed by 𝐵 is denoted by 𝐸𝐵
Event failed by 𝐴, 𝑃(𝐸𝐴 ) = 0.2
Event failed by both, 𝑃(𝐸𝐴 ∩ 𝐸𝐵 ) = 0.15
And, event failed by B alone = 𝑃(𝐸𝐵 ) − 𝑃(𝐸𝐴 ∩ 𝐸𝐵 )
0.15 = 𝑃(𝐸𝐵 ) − 0.15
∴ P(EB ) = 0.30
𝑃(𝐸𝐴 ∩𝐸𝐵 )
Hence, 𝑃(𝐸𝐴 ∣ 𝐸𝐵 ) = 𝑃(𝐸
4)
0.15
=
0.3
= 0.5
(ii) We have, probability where 𝐴 fails alone = 𝑃(𝐸𝐴 ) − 𝑃(𝐸𝐴 ∩ 𝐸𝐵 )
= 0.2 − 0.15
= 0.05
16. Bag I contains 3 red and 4 black balls and Bag Il contains 4 red and 5 black
balls. One ball is transferred from Bag I to Bag II and then a ball is drawn from
Bag II. The ball so drawn is found to be red in colour. Find the probability that
the transferred ball is black.
Choose the correct answer in each of the following:
Ans. Let us firstly assume, 𝐴1 denote the events that a red ball is transferred from
bag I to II
And, A2 denote the event that a black ball is transferred from bag I to II
∴ P(A1 ) = 3/7
And, 𝑃(𝐴2 ) = 4/7

Let 𝑋 be the event that the drawn ball is red
∴ when red ball is transferred from bag I to II,
5
𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐴1 ) = 10
1
=2
And, when black ball is transferred from bag I to II,
4
𝑃(𝑋 ∣ 𝐴2 ) = 10
2
=5
𝑃(𝐴2 )𝑃(𝑋∣𝐴2 )
Hence, 𝑃(𝐴2 ∣ 𝑋) = 𝑃(𝐴 )𝑃(𝑋∣𝐴
1 1 )+𝑃(𝐴2 )𝑃(𝑋∣𝐴2 )
4 2
×
7 5
= 3 1 4 2
× + ×
7 2 7 5
16
=
31
17. If 𝑨 and 𝑩 are two events such that 𝑷(𝑨) ≠ 𝟎 and 𝑷(𝑩 ∣ 𝑨) = 𝟏, then
A. 𝑨 ⊂ 𝑩
B. 𝑩 ⊂ 𝑨
C. 𝑩 = 𝝋
D. 𝑨 = 𝝋
Ans. A. 𝐴 ⊂ 𝐵
Explanation:
𝐴 and 𝐵 are two events where,
𝑃(𝐴) ≠ 0
And, 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 1
𝑃(𝐵∩𝐴)
∴ 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐴)
𝑃(𝐵∩𝐴)
1= 𝑃(𝐴)
𝑃(𝐴) = 𝑃(𝐵 ∩ 𝐴)
∴𝐴⊂𝐵
Hence, option A is correct
18. If 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩) > 𝑷(𝑨), then which of the following is correct:

A. 𝑷(𝑩 ∣ 𝑨) < 𝑷(𝑩)
B. 𝑷(𝑨 ∩ 𝑩) < 𝑷(𝑨). 𝑷(𝑩)
C. 𝑷(𝑩 ∣ 𝑨) > 𝑷(𝑩)
D. 𝑷(𝑩 ∣ 𝑨) = 𝑷(𝑩)
Ans. C. 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) > 𝑃(𝐵)

Explanation:
Given that,
𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) > 𝑃(𝐴)
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
∴ > 𝑃(𝐴)
𝑃(𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) > 𝑃(𝐴) ⋅ 𝑃(𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)
> 𝑃(𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴)
𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) > 𝑃(𝐵)
Hence, option C is correct
19. If 𝑨 and 𝑩 are any two events such that 𝑷(𝑨) + 𝑷(𝑩) − 𝑷(𝑨 and 𝑩) = 𝑷(𝑨),
then
A. 𝑷(𝑩 ∣ 𝑨) = 𝟏
B. 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩) = 𝟏
C. 𝑷(𝑩 ∣ 𝑨) = 𝟎
D. 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩) = 𝟎
Ans. B. 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 1
Explanation:
Given that,
𝐴 and 𝐵 are any two events where,
𝑃( A) + P(B) − P(A and B) = P(A)
𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴)
𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0
𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)
𝑃(𝐴∩𝐵)
∴ 𝑃(𝐴 ∣ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐵)
=1
Hence, option B is correct

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PROBABILITY

Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐸) = 0.6, 𝑃(𝐹) = 0.3 and 𝑃(𝐸 ∩ 𝐹) = 0.2

By substituting the values we get

2. Compute 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩), if 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟎. 𝟓 and 𝑷(𝑨 ∩ 𝑩) = 𝟎. 𝟑𝟐

Ans. Given: 𝑃(𝐵) = 0.5 and 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵) = 0.32

Now by substituting the values we get

3. If 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟎. 𝟖, 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟎. 𝟓 and 𝑷(𝑩 ∣ 𝑨) = 𝟎. 𝟒, find

Ans. Given 𝑃(𝐴) = 0.8, 𝑃(𝐵) = 0.5 and 𝑃(𝐵 ∣ 𝐴) = 0.4

(ii) We know that by definition of conditional probability,

Now substituting the values we get

(iii) Now, ∵ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 𝑃(𝐴) + 𝑃(𝐵) − 𝑃(𝐴 ∩ 𝐵)

⇒ 𝑃(𝐴 ∪ 𝐵) = 0.8 + 0.5 − 0.32 = 1.3 − 0.32

4. Evaluate 𝑷(𝑨 ∪ 𝑩), if 𝟐𝑷(𝑨) = 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟓/𝟏𝟑 and 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩) = 𝟐/𝟓.

We know that by definition of conditional probability,

5. If 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟔/𝟏𝟏, 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟓/𝟏𝟏 and 𝑷(𝑨 ∪ 𝑩) = 𝟕/𝟏𝟏, find

(ii) Now, by definition of conditional probability,

(iii) Again, by definition of conditional probability,

6. A coin is tossed three times, where

Ans. The sample space of the given experiment will be:

(i) Here, E: head on third toss

Now, we know that by definition of conditional probability,

(ii) Here, E: at least two heads

Now, we know that

Now, we know that

7. Two coins are tossed once, where

⇒ E = {HT, TH} and F = {HT, TH}

Now, we know that by definition of conditional probability,

Substituting the values we get

(ii) Here, E: no tail appears

And 𝐹 : no head appears

Substituting the values we get

Here, E: 4 appears on the third toss

Now, F: 6 and 5 appears respectively on first two tosses

Now by substituting the values we get

Now by substituting the values we get

10. A black and a red dice are rolled.

Now by substituting the values we get

Now by substituting the values we get

(i) We know that by definition of conditional probability,

(ii) We know that by definition of conditional probability,

𝐸 = {1,3,5}, 𝐹 = {2,3} and 𝐺 = {2,3,4,5}

Now, we know that

Similarly, we have E ∩ F = {3} [Using (iii)]

Ans. Let B denote boy and G denote girl.

Now, we know that by definition of conditional probability,

(ii) Let H be the event that 'at least one is a girl'.

⇒ H = {GG, GB, BG}

Now, we know that by definition of conditional probability,

Now, 𝐸 ∩ 𝐹 is the event of getting an MCQ which is Easy.

Ans. The sample space of the given experiment is given below

(1,2), (1,3), (1,4), (1,5), (1,6),

Now, we know that by definition of conditional probability,

15. Consider the experiment of throwing a die, if a multiple of 3 comes up,

Ans. The experiment is explained below in the tree diagram:

The sample space of the given experiment is given below

⇒ E = {1 T, 2 T, 4 T, 5 T} and F = {(3,1), (3,2), (3,3), (3,4), (3,5), (3,6), (6,3)}

Now, we know that by definition of conditional probability,

16. If 𝑷(𝑨) = 𝟏/𝟐, 𝑷(𝑩) = 𝟎, then 𝑷(𝑨 ∣ 𝑩) is

Ans. C. Not defined