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    1 Intro To EOR23 - CSW - Rasmus - ENG

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    remy.trung
    This document provides information about an upcoming consultation workshop on Vietnam's Energy Outlook 2023. It discusses Denmark's long-standing collaboration with Vietnam on energy issues through the Danish-Vietnamese Energy Partnership Programme. The workshop will focus on updating energy scenario analyses to enable Vietnam's green transition. EOR23 will study three scenarios: a baseline, a net zero constrained scenario following existing policies, and a net zero least-cost optimization. The goal is to identify different pathways and decisions needed to achieve Vietnam's net zero targets by 2050. Input is sought on additional constraints, technologies, and topics that should be explored.

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    1 Intro To EOR23 - CSW - Rasmus - ENG

    Uploaded by

    remy.trung
    29 views11 pages
    This document provides information about an upcoming consultation workshop on Vietnam's Energy Outlook 2023. It discusses Denmark's long-standing collaboration with Vietnam on energy issues through the Danish-Vietnamese Energy Partnership Programme. The workshop will focus on updating energy scenario analyses to enable Vietnam's green transition. EOR23 will study three scenarios: a baseline, a net zero constrained scenario following existing policies, and a net zero least-cost optimization. The goal is to identify different pathways and decisions needed to achieve Vietnam's net zero targets by 2050. Input is sought on additional constraints, technologies, and topics that should be explored.

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    1 Intro to EOR23_CSW_Rasmus_ENG

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    This document provides information about an upcoming consultation workshop on Vietnam's Energy Outlook 2023. It discusses Denmark's long-standing collaboration with Vietnam on energy issues through the Danish-Vietnamese Energy Partnership Programme. The workshop will focus on updating energy scenario analyses to enable Vietnam's green transition. EOR23 will study three scenarios: a baseline, a net zero constrained scenario following existing policies, and a net zero least-cost optimization. The goal is to identify different pathways and decisions needed to achieve Vietnam's net zero targets by 2050. Input is sought on additional constraints, technologies, and topics that should be explored.

    Copyright:

    © All Rights Reserved
    Download as PDF, TXT or read online from Scribd
    Download as pdf or txt
    29 views11 pages

    1 Intro To EOR23 - CSW - Rasmus - ENG

    Uploaded by

    remy.trung
    This document provides information about an upcoming consultation workshop on Vietnam's Energy Outlook 2023. It discusses Denmark's long-standing collaboration with Vietnam on energy issues through the Danish-Vietnamese Energy Partnership Programme. The workshop will focus on updating energy scenario analyses to enable Vietnam's green transition. EOR23 will study three scenarios: a baseline, a net zero constrained scenario following existing policies, and a net zero least-cost optimization. The goal is to identify different pathways and decisions needed to achieve Vietnam's net zero targets by 2050. Input is sought on additional constraints, technologies, and topics that should be explored.

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    of 11

    CONSULTATION WORKSHOP

    VIETNAM ENERGY OUTLOOK 2023


    DEPPIII programme
    in Vietnam

    Danish Energy Agency


    Global Cooperation
    Collaborations with 24 countries – Vietnam one of the oldest and largest collaborations

    12 September 2023 Page 3


    Danish-Vietnamese Energy Partnership Programme (DEPP III)

    • G2G Long term planning


    Integration of variable Energy Efficiency in
    renewables industries
    • Partner: MOIT with EREA
    with ERAV with EESD
    • Since: 2013
    • Energy Outlook • Grid Codes • Legal framework
    • Third phase: 2020-2025 Report • Power system
    • Regulatory operation • Incentive schemes
    framework for • Thermal power plant
    offshore wind flexibility • Compliance

    Common goals and targets: ➢ Contributions to low carbon development


    ➢ Institutional capacity development
    ➢ Increased investments and uptake of renewable energy
    ➢ Effective integration of renewable energy
    ➢ Increased Energy efficiency
    12 September 2023 Page 4
    Why EOR23?
    Danish experiences on role of scenarios and planning in energy transition
    Enabling the green transition through discussions based on updated analyses

    Examples of scenarios from various stakeholders: Government authorities facilitates continued dialogue and
    development through regular updates. Examples:

    Climate Commission
    (for parliament): 2009 DEA: 8 different tech. catalogues,
    updated as needed
    (3-4 updates per year)
    Power Sector
    organisation: 2009
    Annual Climate Programs with 4
    Danish Energy scenarios towards 2050 (Ministry
    Agency: 2013 of Climate and Energy)

    Energinet (TSO): 2014 Annual Frozen Policy +


    ”Best Pathway to Goals”
    scenarios (DEA/Ministry)

    12 September 2023 Page 6


    EOR23 (and previous EOR21) uses three different models

    Transmission capacity in GW in 2020


    12 September 2023 Page 7
    EOR21 studied 5 main scenarios for Vietnam

    • Baseline
    Baseline - BSL Is the reference scenario, and includes existing policies
    and contracted new plants

    • Green Power
    Green Power - GP Includes a higher share of renewables and less coal

    • Green transport
    Includes a higher share of electrification of the transport
    Green Transport - GT sector supplied by RE and modal shift to collective
    transport

    • Air pollution
    The Air Pollution scenario adds the costs related to
    Air Pollution - AP human health impacts from air pollution

    • Net Zero
    Net Zero - NZ Includes a pathway to almost net zero GHG emissions in
    2050 defined by a CO2 budget.

    12 September 2023 Page 8


    EOR21: It is possible to reach close to 0 CO2-emissions by 2050

    Net Zero scenario from EOR21 Selected conclusions from EOR21


    800
    Transport - 65 Mt CO2 can be reached by 2050
    700 - Further reductions require new types of RE fuels (e-fuels) or CCS
    Supply
    - Land-based VRE is utilized to a very large extent
    600
    Residential
    CO2 emissions [Mt]

    500
    Power
    400
    Industry Main topics and approaches for EOR23
    300
    - Which technologies are cost-effective to reach 2050 goals (101 Mt),
    Commercial in addition to policies planned with PDP8 and EMP?
    200
    - The role of RE fuels and storage: New technology catalogues
    Agriculture developed, and used in models
    100
    - Improved geographic studies including descriptions of wind and
    0 BSL- Total solar production

    2020 2025 2030 2035 2040 2045 2050 - role of biomass, hydrogen and ammonia incl in co-firing

    BSL: Baseline scenario


    NZ: Net zero scenario 12 September 2023 Page 9
    Main reasons for EOR23 and overall questions for you

    Overall purpose of EOR23:


    - Which different pathways are there towards 2050 net-zero?
    - What types of decisions and dilemmas are associated with the different pathways?

    For EOR23 we have designed 03 scenarios: What we hope to get your input on:
    • A baseline scenario to show the newest • Are we missing any constraints or practical
    trend with latest technology costs and limitations? Any other input to make the
    policies. No climate target scenarios even more insightful?
    • A Net Zero Constrained scenario, where • Any technologies or other critical input
    existing policies, planned investments, missing?
    sector targets etc. are included • Should we explore different economic
    • A Net Zero Least-Cost scenario, where the growth policies/constraints more?
    models optimise with a minimum of • Any requests for topics that needs to be
    limitations investigated in greater detail?

    12 September 2023 Page 10


    Thank you

    Rasmus Munch Sørensen


    Long-term advisor
    Danish-Vietnamese Energy Partnership Programme (DEPP3)

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