8MA0 21 MSC 20201217

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Mark Scheme (Result)

October 2020

Pearson Edexcel GCE


In AS Level Mathematics
8MA0 Paper 21 Statistics
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October 2020
Publications Code 8MA0_21_2010_MS
All the material in this publication is copyright
© Pearson Education Ltd 2020
General Marking Guidance

• All candidates must receive the same treatment. Examiners must mark
the first candidate in exactly the same way as they mark the last.
• Mark schemes should be applied positively. Candidates must be
rewarded for what they have shown they can do rather than penalised
for omissions.
• Examiners should mark according to the mark scheme not according to
their perception of where the grade boundaries may lie.
• There is no ceiling on achievement. All marks on the mark scheme
should be used appropriately.
• All the marks on the mark scheme are designed to be awarded.
Examiners should always award full marks if deserved, i.e. if the answer
matches the mark scheme. Examiners should also be prepared to
award zero marks if the candidate’s response is not worthy of credit
according to the mark scheme.
• Where some judgement is required, mark schemes will provide the
principles by which marks will be awarded and exemplification may be
limited.
• When examiners are in doubt regarding the application of the mark
scheme to a candidate’s response, the team leader must be consulted.
• Crossed out work should be marked UNLESS the candidate has replaced
it with an alternative response.
Question Scheme Marks AOs
1 78  78 
1 square is =  = 1.5 and ( 8  1 + 1 8)  "1.5" M1 3.1a
12  3 + 3  4 + 2  2  52 
24 students took less than 11 minutes A1 1.1b
"24"
Percentage of students = 100 M1 3.1b
78 + "24"+ 1 8  "1.5"+ 3  4  "1.5"
= 18.18… awrt 18% A1 1.1b
(4)
Total 4
Notes
For clear use of frequency density to establish the fd scale and then use the area to find
frequency of <11 minutes. Allow maximum of 3 errors in either the heights or widths in
total if working shown. They may calculate the area using other size squares.
1 M1:
Allow for realising they need to find the total number of squares (88) maximum of 4 errors
in either the heights or widths and number < 11 minutes(16) - must have a maximum of 1
error in either the heights or widths (and not use the 78 as part of calulation)
A1: For correct values seen. Allow for 88 and 16
For realising the need to find the total and calculating a percentage. ( with “their 24” as the
numerator). Allow ( 8 1 + 2  8 )  "1.5" instead of "24"+ 1 8  "1.5" If working shown can
M1:
allow maximum of 2 errors in either the heights or widths in the calculation of the total.
Allow “their 24” / 132 oe
A1: awrt 18
Question Scheme Marks AOs
2(a) 0 to 500 m B1 1.2
(1)
(b) 1100 + 1600 + 1.5  1600 [= 5100] M1 2.1
5300 > 5100 therefore outlier A1 1.1b
(2)
(c) As the humidity increases the mean visibility decreases B1 2.4
(1)
(d) (Hours of) sunshine B1 2.2b
(1)
(5 marks)
Notes
For realising it is the maximum distance and distance given with correct units.
(a) B1:
Allow 0 to 50dm or < 500m or < 50dm
(b) M1: Attempt to find Q3 and the upper limit
5100, if a value for the point is stated it must be above 5100 otherwise it is A0. For a
A1: statement comparing and conclusion it is an outlier or it is above Q3 +1.5IQR. Allow accept
the point circled is greater than 5100 oe
(c) B1: For a suitable interpretation of a negative correlation mentioning humidity and visibility
A correct deduction that the unlabelled variable is the hours of sunshine. Condone missing
hours. Do not allow if more than one variable given.
Must be quantative variable
(d) B1:
Not cloud cover since values bigger than 8
Not wind speed since values not integers
Not daily mean temperature since mean temperature near to zero are unlikely in June
Question Scheme Marks AOs
3 Overall method M1 2.1
a + b = 2c + 0.5 oe or a + b = 2 (1 − a − b ) B1 2.2a
a + b + c = 0.75 oe B1 1.1b
 1
3c = 0.25 c = 0.0833... or 12  M1 1.1b
 
1
P(scoring 2,4 or 4,2 or 3,3) = 2  " " 0.15 + 0.12 M1 3.1b
12
= 0.035 oe A1cso 1.1b
(6)
(6 marks)
Notes
A fully correct method with all the required steps. For gaining 2 correct equations with at
3 M1: least one correct(allow if unsimplified). Attempting to solve to find a value of c followed by
correct method to find the probability
B1: Forming a correct equation from the information given in the question
B1: A correct equation using the sum of the probabilities equals 1
1
M1: Correct method for solving 2 equations to find c Implied by c =
12
Recognising the ways to get a total of 6. Condone missing arrangments or repeats. Do not
ignore extras written unless ignored in the calculation. May be implied by
M1: 1
m  " " 0.15 + n  0.12 where m and n are positive integers
12
7
A1cso: Cao 0.035, oe
200
Question Scheme Marks AOs
4(a) It is not possible to have a sampling frame B1 2.3

(1)
(b) Quota sampling and (catch 85 common carp, 45 mirror carp and 30
M1 1.1a
leather carp) or (ignore any fish caught of a type where the quota is full)
Quota sampling and catch 85 common carp, 45 mirror carp and 30 leather
A1 1.1b
carp and ignore any fish caught of a type where the quota is full
(2)
(c) 2
3053  692 
= −  M1 1.1b
160  160 
= 0.6129… awrt 0.613 A1 1.1b

(2)
This would have no effect as the piece of data would remain in the same
(d)(i) B1 2.2a
class
This would increase the standard deviation as change in mean is small and
B1 2.2a
(ii) 6.4 − 4.6  3 therefore estimate of standard deviation will increase
(2)

(7 marks)
Notes
(a) B1: For the idea there cannot be a sampling frame/list
Quota sampling and either for the correct numbers of each type or for the idea that if quota
(b) M1:
full ignore the fish.
Quota sampling and both the correct numbers of each type and for the idea that if quota full
A1:
ignore the fish or sample until all quotas are full
(c) M1: A correct expression for 
A1: Awrt 0.613 allow s = awrt 0.615
Correct deduction with suitable explanation
(d) B1: Allow range for class.
Do not allow there is no differences
Correct deduction with suitable explanation. so would increase the standard deviation and a
B1:
suitable reason. Allow the value is bigger than any others in the table oe
Question Scheme Marks AOs
5(a)  1
Let C = the number of successful calls. C B  9,  M1 3.3
 6
P ( C  3) = 1 − P ( C  2 ) = 0.1782… awrt 0.178 A1 1.1b
(2)
(b) Let X = the number of occasions when at least 3 calls are successful.
P ( X = 1) = 5  ("0.1782...")  ("0.8217...")
4 M1 1.1b

= 0.4061… awrt 0.406 A1 1.1b


(2)
(c) 1 1
H0 : p = H1 : p  B1 2.5
6 6
 1
Let R = the number of successful calls R B  35,  M1 3.3
 6
P( R  11) = 1 − P( R  10) = 0.02... A1 3.4
There is sufficient evidence to support that Rowan has more successful
A1 2.2b
sales calls than Afrika.
(4)
(8 marks)
Notes
5(a) M1: For selecting the right model
A1: awrt 0.178
For 5  ("their(a)")  ("1 − their( a)")
4
(b) M1:
A1: awrt 0.406
(c) B1: for correctly stating both hypotheses in terms of p or  Accept p = 0.16
M1: For selecting a suitable model. May be implied by a correct probability or CR
Correct probability statement and answer of 0.02 or better (0.02318…)
A1: (CR R  11 and either P ( R  9 ) = 0.9450 or P ( R  10 ) = 0.9768 or 1 − P ( R  10 ) = 0.0232 )
Dependent on M1A1 but can ignore hypotheses. For conclusion in context supporting
A1:
Rowan’s belief / Rowan is a better sales person
Do not accept Rowan can reject H0

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