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Centre Number Candidate Number

Pearson Edexcel International Advanced Level

Thursday 12 October 2023
Afternoon (Time: 1 hour 30 minutes) Paper
reference WST01/01
Mathematics
 

International Advanced Subsidiary/Advanced Level

Statistics S1

You must have: Total Marks

Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables (Yellow), calculator

Candidates may use any calculator permitted by Pearson regulations. Calculators

must not have the facility for symbolic algebra manipulation, differentiation and
integration, or have retrievable mathematical formulae stored in them.
Instructions
•• Use black ink or ball-point pen.

• If pencil is used for diagrams/sketches/graphs it must be dark (HB or B).

Fill in the boxes at the top of this page with your name,

• centre number and candidate number.

Answer all questions and ensure your that your answers to parts of questions are

• clearly labelled.
Answer the questions in the spaces provided

• – there may be more space than you need.

You should show sufficient working to make your methods clear. Answers without

• working may not gain full credit.

Values from the statistical tables should be quoted in full. If a calculator is used instead of

• the tables, the value should be given to an equivalent degree of accuracy.

Inexact answers should be given to three significant figures unless otherwise stated.
Information
•• A booklet ‘Mathematical Formulae and Statistical Tables’ is provided.

• There are 6 questions in this question paper. The total mark for this paper is 75.
The marks for each question are shown in brackets
– use this as a guide as to how much time to spend on each question.
Advice
•• Read each question carefully before you start to answer it.

•• Try to answer every question.

Check your answers if you have time at the end.
If you change your mind about an answer, cross it out and put your new answer and any
working underneath. Turn over

P74325A
©2023 Pearson Education Ltd.
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*P74325A0124*
1. Sally plays a game in which she can either win or lose.
A turn consists of up to 3 games. On each turn Sally plays the game up to 3 times. If she

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wins the first 2 games or loses the first 2 games, then she will not play the 3rd game.
• The probability that Sally wins the first game in a turn is 0.7
• If Sally wins a game the probability that she wins the next game is 0.6
• If Sally loses a game the probability that she wins the next game is 0.2

(a) Use this information to complete the tree diagram on page 3

(3)
(b) Find the probability that Sally wins the first 2 games in a turn.
(2)
(c) Find the probability that Sally wins exactly 2 games in a turn.
(2)
Given that Sally wins 2 games in a turn,
(d) find the probability that she won the first 2 games.
(2)
Given that Sally won the first game in a turn,
(e) find the probability that she won 2 games.
(2)
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 Question 1 continued
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0.6 win

win
............... win
0.7
lose
...............

lose
...............

............... win
win
...............

lose
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lose ...............

lose
...............

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Question 1 continued
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(Total for Question 1 is 11 marks)

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2. The weights, to the nearest kilogram, of a sample of 33 red kangaroos taken in
December are summarised in the stem and leaf diagram below.

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Weight (kg) Totals Key: 3 | 2 represents 32 kg
1 6 (1)
2 3 6 (2)
3 2 4 6 (3)
4 2 5 5 6 6 7 8 (7)
5 3 4 7 7 7 8 9 9 (8)
6 0 2 2 3 3 7 8 (7)
7 2 8 (2)
8 2 6 (2)
9 4 (1)

(a) Find
(i) the value of the median
(ii) the value of Q1 and the value of Q3

for the weights of these red kangaroos.

(3)
For these data an outlier is defined as a value that is
greater than Q3 + 1.5 × (Q3 – Q1 )
or smaller than Q1 – 1.5 × (Q3 – Q1 )
(b) Show that there are 2 outliers for these data.
(3)
Figure 1 on page 7 shows a box plot for the weights of the same 33 red kangaroos taken
in February, earlier in the year.
(c) In the space on Figure 1, draw a box plot to represent the weights of these red
kangaroos in December.
(4)
(d) Compare the distribution of the weights of red kangaroos taken in February with the
distribution of the weights of red kangaroos taken in December of the same year.
You should interpret your comparisons in the context of the question.
(3)
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February

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

December

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Figure 1

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Question 2 continued
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Only use this grid if you need to redraw your box plot.

February

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

December

0 10 20 30 40 50 60 70 80 90 100

Figure 1
(Total for Question 2 is 13 marks)

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3. (i) Bob shops at a market each week. The event that
Bob buys carrots is denoted by C

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Bob buys onions is denoted by O
At each visit, Bob may buy neither, or one, or both of these items. The
probability that
Bob buys carrots is 0.65
Bob does not buy onions is 0.3
Bob buys onions but not carrots is 0.15
The Venn diagram below represents the events C and O

O C

w x y

where w, x, y and z are probabilities.

(a) Find the value of w, the value of x, the value of y and the value of z
(4)
For one visit to the market,
(b) find the probability that Bob buys either carrots or onions but not both.
(1)
(c) Show that the events C and O are not independent.
(2)
(ii) F, G and H are 3 events. F and H are mutually exclusive. F and G are independent.
Given that

2 1 5
P(F ) = P(H ) = P(F ∪ G) =
7 4 8
(a) find P(F ∪ H )
(1)

(b) find P(G)

(3)

(c) find P(F ∩ G)

(1)

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4. The discrete random variable X has the following probability distribution.

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x 1 2 3 4

1 1 3 2
P(X = x)
10 5 10 5

1 2
(a) Show that E   
X 5
(1)

(b) Find Var  

1
X
(3)
30
The random variable Y =
X
(c) Find
(i) E(Y )
(ii) Var(Y )
(3)
(d) Find P(X < 3 ½ Y < 20)
(5)
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5. The weights, X grams, of a particular variety of fruit are normally distributed with

X ~ N(210, 252 )

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A fruit of this variety is selected at random.
(a) Show that the probability that the weight of this fruit is less than 240 grams
is 0.8849
(2)
(b) Find the probability that the weight of this fruit is between 190 grams
and 240 grams.
(2)
(c) Find the value of k such that P(210 – k < X < 210 + k) = 0.95
(3)
A wholesaler buys large numbers of this variety of fruit and classifies the lightest 15%
as small.
(d) Find the maximum weight of a fruit that is classified as small.
You must show your working clearly.
(3)
The weights, Y grams, of a second variety of this fruit are normally distributed with

Y ~ N( μ, σ 2 )

Given that 5% of these fruit weigh less than 152 grams and 40% weigh more
than 180 grams,
(e) calculate the mean and standard deviation of the weights of this variety of fruit.
(5)
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6. The variables x and y have the following regression equations based on the
same 12 observations.

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Regression equation

y on x y = 1.4x + 1.5

x on y x = 1.2 + 0.2y

(a) (i) Find the point of intersection of these lines.

(ii) Hence show that  x  25
(4)
Given that

6961
 xy  60

(b) Find Sxy

(4)
(c) Find the product moment correlation coefficient between x and y
(4)
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 *P74325A02324* Turn over
Question 6 continued
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DO NOT WRITE IN THIS AREA DO NOT WRITE IN THIS AREA DO NOT WRITE IN THIS AREA
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(Total for Question 6 is 12 marks)

TOTAL FOR PAPER IS 75 MARKS

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*P74325A02424* 