Chapter 14
Chapter 14
Chapter 14
14.1 Why should a target company be valued as a standalone business? Give examples of the types of
adjustments that might have to be made if the target company is part of a larger company?
Answer: The valuation of the target firm on a standalone basis provides an estimate of the minimum price
that might have to be paid to acquire the firm, assuming the market for such firms is efficient. Note that the
notion of a minimum price does not preclude the buyer from buying the target firm at a discount from its
true value. For example, the buyer may be able to acquire the target at a discount from its economic value if
the seller is in a hurry to sell, the market for such businesses is highly illiquid, or the cost and risk
associated with performing due diligence is high encouraging the prudent buyer to offer less than the
target’s intrinsic value. If the acquirer or target is part of a larger firm, the projected cash flows must be
adjusted to reflect all costs and revenue associated with the acquirer’s or target’s operation. The failure to
make the proper adjustments can result in an over-or-understatement of value. Such costs include all
administrative expenses such as legal, tax, audit, benefits, and treasury functions that may be heavily
subsidized by the parent. Moreover, intercompany revenues must be restated to reflect what they would
have been if they had been valued at current market prices.
14.2 Why should “in the money” options, warrants, and convertible preferred stock and debt be included in the
calculation of the purchase price to be paid for Target?
Answer: Such securities are likely to be converted to common shares. If Acquirer wants to avoid minority
shareholders, it must be prepared to buy these shares. This also adds to the purchase price. Further, target
firms often have change of control clauses in their bylaws which automatically make these types of
securities convertible into the firm’s common stock in the event of a hostile takeover.
14.3 What are value drivers? How can they be misused in M&A models?
Answer: Value drivers are those variables that have the greatest impact on firm value. They usually include
revenue growth, cost of sales as a percent of sales, discount rate used in the annual growth forecast period,
and the discount rate and growth rate used in calculating terminal values. For marketing oriented or service
businesses, value drivers often include SG&A as a percent of sales. Because they can disproportionately
impact firm value, changes in the variables can be manipulated to get desired model outcomes rather than
realistic ones.
14.4 Can the initial offer price ever exceed the maximum purchase price? If yes, why? If no, why not?
Answer: Yes. Hubris on the part of acquiring company’s management may result in an offer price that
exceeds what is economically justifiable assuming the acquiring firm has accurately identified all sources
and destroyers of value.
Answer: The credibility of any valuation ultimately depends on the validity of its underlying assumptions.
Valuation-related assumptions tend to fall into five major categories: (1) market, (2) income statement, (3)
balance sheet, (4) synergy, and (5) valuation. Note that implicit assumptions about cash flow are already
included in assumptions made about the income statement and changes in the balance sheet, which together
drive changes in cash flow. Market assumptions are generally those that relate to the growth rate of unit
volume and product price per unit. Income statement assumptions include the projected growth in revenue,
the implied market share, and the growth in the major components of cost in relation to sales. Balance sheet
assumptions may include the growth in the primary components of working capital and fixed assets in
relation to the projected growth in sales. Synergy assumptions relate to the amount and timing associated
with each type of anticipated synergy, including cost savings from workforce reductions, productivity
improvements due to the introduction of new technologies or processes, and revenue growth because of
increased market penetration. Finally, examples of important valuation assumptions include the acquiring
firm’s target debt to equity ratio used in calculating the cost of capital, the discount rates used during the
forecast and stable growth periods, and the growth assumptions used in determining the terminal value.
14.6 Assume two firms have little geographic overlap in terms of sales and facilities. If they were to merge, how
might this affect the potential for synergy?
Answer: The potential for selling each firm’s products to the other firm’s customers (i.e., cross-selling) in
the absence of overlap could increase the combined firms’ aggregate revenue. However, the absence of
contiguous facilities could limit the opportunity for cost savings by sharing underutilized operations (e.g.,
closing one firm’s operations and moving its output to another nearby facility producing below its
capacity) or combining overhead functions.
14.7 Dow Chemical, a leading manufacturer of chemicals, announced that they had an agreement to acquire
competitor Rhom and Haas Company. Dow expects to broaden its current product offering by offering the
higher margin Rohm and Haas products. What would you identify as possible synergies between these two
businesses? In what ways could the combination of these two firms erode combined cash flows?
Answer: As competitors, the two firms should be able to generate sizeable cost savings by combining
certain overhead functions such as sales, marketing, human resources, finance, engineering, R&D, etc. In
addition, since they produce similar products, one could anticipate better utilization of existing facilities in
that products produced in underutilized facilities could be moved to other facilities to achieve better
economies of scale. Economies of scope realized by sharing common resources such as IT and R& D
centers also could provide significant efficiencies. Furthermore, cross-selling opportunities could exist for
each firm to sell its products to the other’s customers. Some loss of cash flow could be experienced as a
result of normal customer attrition during the integration period as product quality and delivery times
suffer. Moreover, customers may choose to diversify their sources of supply by shifting a portion of what
they formerly purchased from these businesses to other suppliers. Finally, key employees will inevitably be
lost as competitors exploit the uncertainty experienced by the employees of these two companies.
14.8 Dow Chemical’s acquisition of Rhom and Haas included a 74 percent premium over the firm’s pre-
announcement share price. What is the probable process Dow employed in determining the stunning
magnitude of this premium?
Answer: To gain a controlling interest in the target, Dow had to determine the range of value for Rhom and
Haas between the firm’s current market value and the market value plus 100 percent of the net synergy
resulting from combining the two firms. Dow could then determine how much of the difference in this
range it would have to share with Rohm and Haas’ shareholders in order to complete the transaction. This
determination could be made by identifying what portion of the net synergy would be contributed by the
target and the multiples paid on recent comparable transactions.
14.9 For most transactions, the full impact of net synergy will not be realized for many months. Why? What
factors could account for the delay?
Answer: The full effects of synergy are not realized immediately because of facility leases that must expire
or be bought out, severance expenses that offset savings that result from layoffs, management inertia,
employee resistance, morale concerns, the time required to sell redundant assets, and the tendency to
underestimate the time that is needed to implement savings programs. In addition, savings programs often
require retraining and relocating workers, which also offset some portion of the savings in the early years.
14.10 How does the presence of management options and convertible securities affect the calculation of the offer
price for the target firm?
Answer: While so-called “in the money” options (those whose exercise price is below the firm’s current
share price) and convertible securities (including preferred and debt) are likely to be converted to common
shares, “out of the money” options often are convertible to common stock whenever a firm faces a change
in control. Assuming the buyer wishes to buy all outstanding target shares, the increase in the number of
shares outstanding will add to the dollar value of the purchase price. In an all-cash purchase, the acquirer’s
cash outlay to buy 100 percent of outstanding shares will increase; in an all-stock purchase, the increase in
the number of new acquirer shares issued will dilute the acquirer’s current shareholders’ ownership share of
the combined businesses.
14.11 Acquiring Company is considering the acquisition of Target Company in a stock for stock transaction in
which Target Company would receive $50.00 for each share of its common stock. The Acquiring
Company does not expect any change in its price/earnings multiple after the merger.
Using the information provided above on these two firms and showing your work, calculate the following:
a. Purchase price premium = Offer price for target company stock / Target Company market price per
share
= $50.00 / $40.00
= 1.25 or 25% (i.e., 1.25 – 1.00)
b. Exchange ratio = Price per share offered for Target Company / Market price per share for Acquiring
Company
= $50.00 / $60.00 = .8333 (i.e., Acquiring Company issues .8333 shares of stock
for each share of Target Company’s stock)
c. New shares issued by Acquiring Company = 20,000 (shares of Target Company) x .8333 (Exchange
ratio) = 16,666
g. Post-merger share price = $2.35 x 24 (pre-merger P/E = $60.00/$2.50) = $56.40 (as compared to
$60.00 pre-merger)
14.12 Acquiring Company is considering buying Target Company. Target Company is a small biotechnology
firm, which develops products that are licensed to the major pharmaceutical firms? Development costs are
expected to generate negative cash flows during the first two years of the forecast period of $(10) and $(5)
million, respectively. Licensing fees are expected to generate positive cash flows during years three
through five of the forecast period of $5, $10, and $15 million, respectively. Due to the emergence of
competitive products, cash flow is expected to grow at a modest 5 percent annually after the fifth year. The
discount rate for the first five years is estimated to be 20 percent and then to drop to 10 percent beyond the
fifth year. In addition, the present value of the estimated synergy by combining Acquiring and Target
companies is $30 million. Calculate the minimum and maximum purchase prices for Target Company.
Show your work.
Answer:
14.13 Using the data given below, calculate fully diluted shares. Assume the firm uses proceeds received from the
conversion of options to common shares to repurchase as many of these new shares as possible.
Calculating Fully Diluted Shares Outstanding
$Million, except per share data, shares in millions
Current Share Price $30.00
Basic Shares Outstanding 200.00
Options that can be Exercised 40.0
Weighted Average Exercise Price $20.00
a. 224.52
b. 263.59
c. 213.33
d. 256.87
e. 233.47
Answer: C
Value of the options at the firm’s current share price = $30 x 40 = $1200
Proceeds firm receives from option holders = $20 x 40 = 800
Value of shares firm cannot repurchase = $ 400
Total shares outstanding = basic shares plus new option shares = 200 + 13.33 = 213.33
14.14 What is the fully diluted offer price (equity value) for a tender offer made to acquire a target whose pre-
tender shares are trading for $1.50 per share? The tender offer includes a 30% premium to the target’s pre-
tender share price. The target has basic shares outstanding of 70 million and 5 million options which may
be converted into common shares at $1.60 per share.
Answer: $138.25 million
Offer Price (Target’s Equity Value) = [Basic Shares x Price Per Share + Options Exercised x Price Per
Share] x (1 + % Premium) – Option Proceeds When Exercised
Offer Price (Target’s Equity Value) = [70 x $1.50 + 5 x $1.50] x 1.30 – 5 x $1.60 = $146.25 - $8.00 =
$138.25
That is, the offer price or target equity value equals the total number of shares the acquirer must purchase
including basic shares outstanding plus options converted into common shares. We increase the offer price
by 30% to reflect the premium. Using the so-called Treasury Method, we then subtract from the amount the
acquirer must pay the amount of cash received from option holders when they exercise their options since
this reduces the total cash outlay required by the acquirer. We can assume that all options will be exercised
because the offer price per share will exceed the option exercise price per share (i.e., $1.50 x 1.3 is greater
than $1.600).
14.15 Using the M&A Valuation & Deal Structuring Model on the website accompanying this text and the data
contained in the cells as a starting point, complete the following:
a. What is the enterprise and equity value of Target on the Valuation Worksheet?
b. Increase the sales growth rate by one percentage point (i.e., to 6.5%) on the Target Assumptions
Worksheet.
What is the impact on the Target’s enterprise and equity values? (Hint: See Valuation Worksheet)
Close model but do not save results.
Answers:
a. Before change to revenue growth assumption by one percentage point:
1. Target enterprise value: $18,353.6
2. Target equity value: $16,570.9
b. After change in revenue growth assumption after change in revenue growth assumption by one
percentage point
1. Target enterprise value: $20,181.0
2. Target equity value: $18,395.6
14.16 Using the M&A Valuation & Deal Structuring Model accompanying this text and the data contained in the
cells as a starting point, complete the following:
a. On the Valuation worksheet, what is the enterprise and equity value of Target on the Valuation
Worksheet?
b. On the worksheet named Target Assumptions, decrease COGS (cost of goods sold) as a percent of sales
by one percentage point (i.e., .43 to .44) on the Target Assumptions Worksheet.
What is the impact on the Target’s enterprise and equity values? (Hint: See Valuation Worksheet)
Close Model but do not save results.
Answers:
a. Before change to COGS ratio by one percentage point:
1. Target enterprise value: $18,353.6
2. Target equity value: $16,570.9
b. After change in COGS ratio by one percentage point:
1. Target enterprise value: $17,324.2
2. Target equity value: $15,538.8
14.17 Using the M&A Valuation & Deal Structuring Model accompanying this text:
a. On the Valuation Worksheet, note the enterprise and equity values for Newco.
b. On the Summary Worksheet under Incremental Sales Synergy, change incremental
revenue by $200 million in the first year and $250 million in the second year and
$350 in the third year.
What is the impact on Newco’s enterprise and equity values? (Hint: See Valuation Worksheet)
Close model but do not save results.
Answers:
14.18 Using the M&A Valuation & Deal Structuring Model accompanying this text:
a. Under the heading Form of Payment, change the composition of the purchase price to 100% cash.
Assume the purchase price is partially financed by reducing Acquirer excess cash by $1 billion and by
raising $4 billion by issuing new Acquirer equity. Under the Sources and Uses heading, how is the
remainder of the purchase price financed?
b. Change the composition of the purchase price to 100% equity, what is the impact on how the purchase
price is financed?
Answers:
a. Form of Payment = 100% cash. Assume the cash purchase price is partially financed by reducing
excess cash balances by $1000 million and by raising $4000 million by issuing new acquirer equity.
The model automatically assumes the balance of the cash purchase price is financed from increasing
senior debt by $10,129.8 million (i.e., the total cash purchase price less $1000 million in excess
cash and $4000 million in funds raised by new equity issues).
b. Form of Payment = 100% equity. Due to the way in which the model is constructed, if the form of
payment is changed to 100% equity any existing cell entries for other sources of funds must be
manually changed as the sum of the sources of funds will not otherwise equal the total equity
consideration. Senior debt shows a negative $4,365 million, which does not make sense. Since
Acquirer is using 100% of its shares to acquire 100% of Target’s outstanding shares, it is necessary to
set excess cash and new common shares equal to zero. Note that Senior Debt automatically
increases by $635 million to make up the difference between the total equity consideration plus
transaction expenses and total equity consideration. This is the amount borrowed to pay for deal related
transaction expenses. Total sources of funds must equal total uses of funds.
1. Thermo Fisher paid $76 per share for each outstanding share of Life Tech. What is the maximum offer
price Thermo Fisher could have made without ceding all of the synergy value to Life Tech shareholders?
(Hint: Using the Transaction Summary Worksheet, increase the offer price until the NPV in the section
entitled Valuation turns negative.)
Answer: At an offer price of $111 per share, NPV equals a negative $339 million. At this price, not only
would all value created by the merger be transferred to Target shareholders but $339 million of Acquirer
shareholder value would be destroyed.
2. Thermo Fisher designed a capital structure for financing the deal that would retain its investment grade
credit rating. To do so, it targeted a debt to total capital and interest coverage ratio consistent with the
industry average for these credit ratios. What is the potential impact on Thermo Fisher’s ability to retain an
investment grade credit rating if it had financed the takeover using 100% senior debt? (Hint: In the Sources
and Uses section of the Transaction Summary Worksheet, set excess cash, new common shares issued, and
convertible preferred shares to zero. Senior debt will automatically increase to 100% of the equity
consideration plus transaction expenses.) Explain your answer.
Answer: If 100% debt financing had been used, Thermo Fisher would have borrowed $14,104.6 billion. It
could have considerable difficulty in retaining its investment grade credit rating as its debt-to-total capital
ratio would have been significantly above the industry average until the fifth year following closing and its
interest coverage ratio significantly below the industry average until three years after closing.
3. Assuming Thermo Fisher would have been able to purchase the firm in a share for share exchange, what
would have happened to the EPS in the first year? (Hint: In the form of payment section of the Acquirer
Transaction Summary Worksheet, set the percentage of the payment denoted by “% Stock” to 100%. In the
Sources and Uses Section, set excess cash, new common shares issued, and convertible preferred shares to
zero.)
Answer: Despite issuing 176.5 million new shares issued, unadjusted EPS is $.44 per share as compared to
the unadjusted EPS under the base case of $(.16). The improvement results from the elimination of the
substantial additional interest expense associated with the incremental borrowing in the base case used to
finance the deal.
4. Mark Fisher, CEO of Thermo Fisher, asked rhetorically what if synergy were not realized as quickly and in
the amount expected. How patient would shareholders be if the projected impact on earnings per share was
not realized? Assume that the integration effort is far more challenging than anticipated and that only one-
fourth of the expected SG&A savings, margin improvement, and revenue synergy are realized.
Furthermore, assume that actual integration expenses (shown on Newco’s Assumptions Worksheet) due to
the unanticipated need to upgrade and co-locate research and development facilities and to transfer
hundreds of staff are $150 million in 2014, $150 million in 2015, $100 million in 2016, and $50 million in
2017. The model output resulting from these assumption changes is called the Impaired Integration Case.
What is the impact on Thermo Fisher’s earning per share (including Life Tech) and the net present value
of the combined firms? Compare the difference between the model “Base Case” and the model output from
the “Impaired Integration Case” resulting from making the changes indicated in this question. (Hints: In the
Synergy Section of the Acquirer (Thermo Fisher) Worksheet, reduce the synergy inputs for each year
between 2014 and 2016 by seventy-five percent and allow them to remain at those levels through 2018.
On the Newco Assumptions Worksheet, change the integration expense figures to reflect the new numbers
for 2014, 2015, 2016, and 2017.).
Answer:
1. The present value of net synergy is the difference between the present value of projected cash flows from
sources and destroyers of value. True or False
Answer: True
2. Net synergy may be estimated as the difference between the sum of the present values of the target and
acquiring firms, including the effects of synergy, and the value of the target firm including the effects of
synergy. True or False
Answer: False
3. The target firm’s underutilized borrowing capacity is often considered a source of value. True or False
Answer: True
4. A target firm’s high employee turnover is often considered a destroyer of value. True or False
Answer: True
5. Non-compliance with environmental laws, product liabilities, pending lawsuits, poor product quality,
patents, poorly written or missing customer contracts, and high employee turnover are all considered
destroyers of value. True or False
Answer: False
6. Cost savings are likely to be greatest when firms with dissimilar operations are consolidated. True or False
Answer: False
7. Minimum purchase price or initial offer price for a target is the target’s standalone value or market value.
True or False
Answer: True
8. The maximum purchase price is the minimum price plus the present value of sources of value. True or
False
Answer: False
9. If the acquisition of the target is believed to be very important to implement the acquirer’s strategy, the
acquirer should be willing to pay up to the maximum purchase price. True or False
Answer: False
10. The acquiring firm’s existing loan covenants need not be considered in determining the feasibility of
acquiring the target firm. True or False
Answer: False
11. The effects of synergy resulting from combining the acquirer and target firms do not affect the acquirer’s
ability to finance the transaction. True or False
Answer: False
12. The current stock price of the acquiring firm may decline in a share for share exchange due to the potential
dilution in earnings per share. True or False
Answer: True
13. The share exchange ratio is defined as offer price divided by the target firm’s current share price. True or
False
Answer: False
14. The share exchange ratio indicates the number of acquirer shares to be exchanged for each share of target
stock based on the target firm’s current share price. True or False
Answer: False
15. Pro forma financial statements are frequently used to show what the acquirer and target’s combined
financial statements would look like if they were merged. True or False
Answer: True
16. Net synergy is the difference between the present value of the estimated sources of value and destroyers of
value. True of False
Answer: True
17. In determining the initial offer price, the acquirer must decide how much of the anticipated synergy to
share with the target firm’s shareholders. True or False
Answer: True
18. Complex models because of their greater sophistication are necessarily more accurate than simple models.
True or False
Answer: False
19. A clear statement of all assumptions underlying the model’s projections forces the analyst to display their
biases and to be prepared to defend their assumptions to others. True or False
Answer: True
20. Financial modeling refers to the application of spreadsheet software to define simple arithmetic
relationships among variables within the firm’s income, balance sheet, and cash-flow statements and to
define the interrelationships among the various financial statements. True or False
Answer: True
21. Financial models can be used to answer the following questions: How much is the target company worth
without the effects of synergy? What is the value of expected synergy? What is the maximum price that the
acquiring company should pay for the target? True or False
Answer: True
22. When one company acquires another, year over year historical earnings comparisons for the acquiring firm
are unaffected. True or False
Answer: False
23. A standalone business is one whose financial statements reflect all the costs of running the business and all
of the revenues generated by the business. True or False
Answer: True
24. The appropriate discount rate for the combined firms is generally the target’s cost of capital unless the two
firms have similar risk profiles and are based in the same country. True or false
Answer: True
25. It is unimportant whether the acquirer uses the target’s or its own weighted average cost of capital when
valuing the target firm. True or False
Answer: False
26. Financial models are of little value in determining whether the proposed purchase price can be financed by
the acquirer. True or False
Answer: False
27. The appropriate financial structure can be determined from a range of different scenarios created by making
small changes in selected value drivers. True or False
Answer: True
28. Potential sources of value rarely include factors not recorded on a firm’s balance sheet. True or False
Answer: False
29. Assume Firm A’s acquisition of Firm B results in a reduction in the combined firms’ debt-to-total capital
ratio to .25. If the same ratio for the industry is .5, the combined firm may be able to increase its borrowing
to the industry average, assuming no extenuating circumstances. However, this should not be viewed as a
source of value to the acquiring firm. True or False
Answer: False
30. In calculating the value of net synergy, the costs required to realize the anticipated synergy should be
ignored because they are difficult to forecast. True or False
Answer: False
31. In determining the initial offer price, the acquiring company must decide how much of anticipated synergy
it is willing to share with the target firm’s shareholders. True or False
Answer: True
32. Revenue-related synergy may result from the acquirer being able to sell their products to the target firm’s
customers. True or False
Answer: True
33. M&A valuation and deal structuring models commonly require the estimation of the standalone value of
target firm but never the acquirer. True or False
Answer: False.
34. The acquirer’s standalone value represents a reference point against which the value of the combined
businesses (Newco) must be compared to determine if a deal makes sense.
Answer: True
35. The valuation of the combined businesses should reflect only the sum of their standalone values but
not the incremental value of synergy. True or False
Answer: False
36. The offer price for a target firm is considered appropriate if the NPV of the difference between the present
value of target plus anticipated synergy and the offer price including any transaction-related expenses is
less than zero. True or False
Answer: False.
37. Value drivers are variables which exert the greatest impact on firm value, often including the revenue
growth rate, cost of sales as a percent of sales, S,G,&A as a percent of sales, WACC assumed during
annual cash flow growth and terminal periods, and the cash flow growth rate assumed during terminal
period. True or False
Answer: True
38. To evaluate the credibility of a financial model’s results it is important to examine the credibility of the
assumptions used to project the value drivers. True or False
Answer: True
39. Although public firms are required to file their financial statements with the Securities and Exchange
Commission in accordance with GAAP, so-called pro forma financial statements are used as hypothetical
representations of the potential performance of the acquirer and target firms if they were merged. True or
False
Answer: True
40. To determine if certain cash flows result from synergy ask if they can be generated only if the businesses
are combined. If the answer is yes, then the cash flow in question is due to synergy. True or False
Answer: Yes
41. Underutilized borrowing capacity or significant excess cash balances also can make an acquisition target
less attractive. True or False
Answer: False
42. In calculating synergy, it is important to include the costs associated with recruiting and training
employees, achieving productivity improvements, layoffs, and exploiting revenue opportunities. True or
False
Answer: True
43. The maximum offer price is equal to the sum of the standalone value (or minimum price) plus some
fraction of present value net synergy. True or False
Answer: False
44. The initial offer price for the target firm should lie between the minimum and maximum offer prices. True
or False
Answer: True
45. Ultimately, what fraction of synergy is negotiated successfully by the target depends on its leverage or
influence relative to the acquirer. True or False
Answer: True
46. If the acquirer were to pay the target firm shareholders the maximum estimated offer price it would be
ceding all of the net synergy created by combining the two firms to the target’s shareholders. True or False
Answer: True
47. The number of new acquirer shares that must be issued to complete a deal is unaffected by such
derivative securities as options issued to Target’s employees and warrants, as well as convertible securities.
True or False
Answer: False
48. Fully diluted shares outstanding, that is, the number of Target’s “basic” shares outstanding (i.e., pre-
transaction shares outstanding) plus the number of shares represented by the firm’s “in the money” options,
warrants, and convertible debt and preferred securities should be used in the calculation of the total cost of
a takeover. True or false
Answer: True
49. M&A modeling facilitates deal valuation and structuring but not financing decisions. True or False
Answer: False
50. Assume a firm’s debt to equity ratio is currently below its industry average. Increasing it to the industry
average can represent a source of value. True or False
Answer: True
51. The value of the firm created by combining an acquiring and target firms is impacted only by changes in
the value drivers of the target firm. True or False
Answer: False
1. Which of the following is not true about generally accepted accounting principles (GAAP)?
a. GAAP provide specific guidelines as to how to account for specific events impacting the financial
performance of the firm.
b. The scrupulous application GAAP accounting rules does ensure consistency in comparing one
firm’s financial performance to another.
c. It is customary for definitive agreements of purchase and sale to require that a target company
represent that its financial books are kept in accordance with GAAP.
d. GAAP guarantees that a firm’s financial books are accurate.
e. Differences between how a firm records actual financial transactions and how they should be
recorded based on GAAP may indicate fraud or mismanagement.
Answer: D
2. Which of the following is not true about common size financial statements?
3. Target is a wholly owned subsidiary of MegaCorp Inc. MegaCorp supplies a number of services to target.
Target sells some of its products to other MegaCorp subsidiaries. Target also buys products from other
MegaCorp subsidiaries that are used as inputs in producing Target’s products. Which of the following
adjustments should the acquirer make to Target’s financial statements before valuing the firm?
a. Deduct the actual cost of services required by Target that are being supplied by the parent without
charge from target’s cost of sales.
b. Deduct the difference between the cost of products purchased from other MegaCorp subsidiaries
at below market prices and the actual market prices for such products from Target’s cost of sales.
c. Deduct the difference between the cost of products purchased from other MegaCorp subsidiaries
at above market prices and the actual cost of such products if purchased from other sources from
Target’s cost of sales
d. A and B only.
e. None of the above.
Answer: C
4. Which of the following is generally not considered a source of value to the acquiring firm?
a. Duplicate facilities
b. Patents
c. Land on the balance sheet at below market value
d. Warranty claims
e. Copyrights
Answer: D
a. Offer price for the target divided by the acquirer’s share price
b. Offer price for the target divided by the target’s share price
c. Acquirer’s share price divided by the target’s share price
d. Target’s share price divided by the offer price
e. Acquirer’s share price divided by the offer price
Answer: A
7. Acquiring Corp agrees to buy 100% of the outstanding shares of Target Corp in a share for share exchange.
How would Acquiring Corp determine how many new share of its stock it would have to issue?
a. Multiply the purchase price premium paid for Target’s stock by the number of shares of target
stock outstanding.
b. Multiply the share exchange ratio by the number of Acquirer shares outstanding.
c. Add the number of Acquirer and Target shares outstanding
d. Multiply the share exchange ratio by the number of Target shares outstanding.
e. Divide the share exchange ratio by the purchase price premium
Answer: D
8. What happens to the outstanding shares of the target firm when the acquirer purchases 100% of the target’s
outstanding stock?
9. Which one of the following is not one of the steps in the M&A model building process?
10. Realizing synergy often requires spending money. Which of the following are examples of such
expenditures?
11. Selecting the appropriate financing structure for the combined firms requires consideration of which of the
following:
12. Post merger earnings per share are affected by all of the following factors, except for
13. The share exchange ratio is impacted by all of the following except for
14. Real Cool Autos acquired Automotive Industries in a transaction that produced an NPV of $3.7 million.
This NPV represents
a. Synergy
b. Book value
c. Investment value
d. Diversification
e. None of the above
Answer: A
17. Which one of the following is the correct calculation of fully diluted shares outstanding for a firm with in-
the-money options, warrants, as well as convertible preferred and convertible debt?
a. Out of the money options and warrants plus in the money convertible preferred and debt
b. Basic shares outstanding + in-the-money options and warrants + in the money convertible
preferred and debt
c. In the money options and warrants + in the money convertible preferred and debt
d. Basic shares outstanding + out of the money options and warrants.
e. Basic shares outstanding + convertible preferred and debt
Answer: B
18. How does a firm’s enterprise value change if the firm issues equity and uses the proceeds to repay debt?
a. No change
b. Decreases
c. Increases
d. Indeterminate
e. None of the above.
Answer: A
20. A takeover creates value for the acquirer as long as which of the following statements is true:
a. The NPV of the standalone value of the target firm plus synergy less the offer price is greater than
or equal to zero
b. The NPV of the standalone value of the target firm less the offer price is greater than or equal to
zero
c. The NPV of the standalone value of the target firm plus synergy less the sum of the offer price and
transaction-related expenses is greater than or equal to zero
d. The NPV of the offer price less the standalone value of the target firm is less than or equal to zero
e. None of the above
Answer: C
21. Which of the following is most true about synergy in the context of M&A?
a. Synergy refers to the cash flows that can be generated only as a result of two businesses
combining
b. Realizing synergy usually does not require investment
c. Most often anticipated synergy is realized immediately following closing
d. The value of synergy should not be reflected in the purchase price paid for a target firm
e. None of the above
Answer: A
22. Which of the following statements is true in a deal involving the exchange of acquirer shares for target
shares?
a. The acquirer should consider the impact of the deal on fully diluted earnings
b. The acquirer should consider the likely conversion of “in the money” options held by target
employees
c. Target convertible debt can impact the number of acquirer shares that must be issued to purchase
all of the target shares outstanding
d. Target convertible preferred stock can impact the number of acquirer shares that must be issued to
purchase all of the target shares outstanding
e. All of the above
Answer: E
23. Which of the following statements is true for M&A financial models?
a. They are used to address valuation questions only
b. They are used to address valuation and deal structuring questions only
c. They are used to address deal structuring questions only
d. They are used to address deal structuring, valuation, and financing questions
e. None of the above
Answer: D
25. The most common sources of value include potential cost savings resulting from all of the following except
for which of the following:
a. Shared overhead
b. Elimination of duplicate facilities
c. Better utilization of existing facilities (i.e., economies of scale)
d. Warranty claims
e. Productivity improvements by applying the best practices of both firms
Answer: D
26. Factors destroying firm value following a merger or acquisition could include all but which of the
following:
a. Poor product quality
b. Excessive wage and benefit levels
c. Low labor productivity
d. High employee turnover
e. Incremental revenue due to product cross-selling
Answer: E
27. An acquirer will be more likely to finance a takeover using borrowed funds if
a. Its debt to equity ratio is increasing in the future
b. Its interest coverage ratio is decreasing in the future
c. Its interest coverage ratio is increasing and debt to equity ratio is decreasing in the future
d Its interest coverage ratio is decreasing and debt to equity ratio is decreasing in the future
e. Its interest coverage ratio is increasing and debt to equity ratio is increasing in the future
Answer: C
29. Assume that Acquirer pays $90 million to purchase $75 million in net acquired assets, consisting of $100
million of Target net property, plant and equipment (i.e., Net PP&E) less assumed Target current liabilities
of $25 million and that the book values of Target assets and liabilities are equal to their fair market value.
The implied purchase price multiple is
a. 1.2 times net acquired assets
b. 1.7 times net acquired assets
c. 3.4 times net acquired assets
d. .2 times net acquired assets
e. None of the above
Answer: A
30. A firm’s enterprise and equity values will increase in response to all of the following variables assuming
other things are equal except for
a. An increase in profitable revenue growth
b. A reduction in cost of sales as a percent of sales
c. An increase in the firm’s weighted average cost of capital
d. A decrease in the firm’s weighted average cost of capital
e. A decrease in SG&A as a percent of sales
Answer: C
Under considerable profit pressure from escalating commodity prices and eroding market share, Wrigley
Corporation, a U.S.-based leader in gum and confectionery products, faced increasing competition from Cadbury
Schweppes in the U.S. gum market. Wrigley had been losing market share to Cadbury since 2006. Mars
Corporation, a privately owned candy company with annual global sales of $22 billion, sensed an opportunity to
achieve sales, marketing, and distribution synergies by acquiring Wrigley Corporation.
On April 28, 2008, Mars announced that it had reached an agreement to merge with Wrigley Corporation for $23
billion in cash. Under the terms of the agreement, which were unanimously approved by the boards of the two firms,
shareholders of Wrigley would receive $80 in cash for each share of common stock outstanding, a 28 percent
premium to Wrigley's closing share price of $62.45 on the announcement date. The merged firms in 2008 would
have a 14.4 percent share of the global confectionary market, annual revenue of $27 billion, and 64,000 employees
worldwide. The merger of the two family-controlled firms represents a strategic blow to competitor Cadbury
Schweppes's efforts to continue as the market leader in the global confectionary market with its gum and chocolate
business. Prior to the announcement, Cadbury had a 10 percent worldwide market share.
As of the September 28, 2008 closing date, Wrigley became a separate stand-alone subsidiary of Mars, with $5.4
billion in sales. The deal is expected to help Wrigley augment its sales, marketing, and distribution capabilities. To
provide more focus to Mars's brands in an effort to stimulate growth, Mars would in time transfer its global
nonchocolate confectionery sugar brands to Wrigley. Bill Wrigley Jr., who controls 37 percent of the firm's
outstanding shares, remained the executive chairman of Wrigley. The Wrigley management team also remained in
place after closing.
The combined companies would have substantial brand recognition and product diversity in six growth
categories: chocolate, nonchocolate confectionary, gum, food, drinks, and pet care products. While there is little
product overlap between the two firms, there is considerable geographic overlap. Mars is located in 100 countries,
while Wrigley relies heavily on independent distributors in its growing international distribution network.
Furthermore, the two firms have extensive sales forces, often covering the same set of customers.
While mergers among competitors are not unusual, the deal's highly leveraged financial structure is atypical of
transactions of this type. Almost 90 percent of the purchase price would be financed through borrowed funds, with
the remainder financed largely by a third-party equity investor. Mars's upfront costs would consist of paying for
closing costs from its cash balances in excess of its operating needs. The debt financing for the transaction would
consist of $11 billion and $5.5 billion provided by J.P. Morgan Chase and Goldman Sachs, respectively. An
additional $4.4 billion in subordinated debt would come from Warren Buffet's investment company, Berkshire
Hathaway, a nontraditional source of high-yield financing. Historically, such financing would have been provided
by investment banks or hedge funds and subsequently repackaged into securities and sold to long-term investors,
such as pension funds, insurance companies, and foreign investors. However, the meltdown in the global credit
markets in 2008 forced investment banks and hedge funds to withdraw from the high-yield market in an effort to
strengthen their balance sheets. Berkshire Hathaway completed the financing of the purchase price by providing
$2.1 billion in equity financing for a 9.1 percent ownership stake in Wrigley.
Discussion Questions:
1. Why was market share in the confectionery business an important factor in Mars’ decision to acquire
Wrigley?
Answer: Firm’s having substantial market relative to their next largest competitor are likely to have lower
cost structures due to economies of scale and purchasing, as well as lower sales, general and administrative
costs. Such costs can be spread over a larger volume of revenue. Also, the confectionery market is expected
to be among the most rapidly growing market and can be expected to accelerate earnings growth and that
firm’s share price. The increased brand recognition also allowed the firm’s to gain additional retail
merchant shelf space and to introduce each firm’s traditional customers to the other’s products.
2. It what way did the acquisition of Wrigley’s represent a strategic blow to Cadbury?
Answer: Not only did this acquisition topple Cadbury from its number one position in the confectionery
business but it also eliminated a potential acquisition target for Cadbury. By acquiring Wrigley, Cadbury
could have solidified their top spot.
3. How might the additional product and geographic diversity achieved by combining Mars and Wrigley
benefit the combined firms?
Answer: The broader array of products from chocolate to gum to pet care could insulate the firm to
fluctuations in the business cycle. Traditionally, the impact of a downturn in the economy is comparatively
mild on these types of firms. The greater product and geographic diversity would tend to reduce the effect
even further.
4. Speculate as to the potential sources of synergy associated with the deal. Based on this speculation what
additional information would you want to know in order to determine the potential value of this synergy?
Answer: The product offerings of the two firms show little duplication. Therefore, there is significant
potential for cross-selling each firm’s products into the other’s customers. This would require training the
sales forces in each firm’s product offering. The cost of this training would need to be estimated and
deducted from cash flows generated by cross-selling.
The two firms operate and distribute products in many of the same countries. This offers the opportunity to
eliminate overlapping administrative, sales, and marketing activities. The combined firms would find it
advisable to merge their sales forces in order to represent a “single face to the customer.” A single
representative could market both firms’ products to the same customers.
To value the impact of cross-selling, it would be necessary to understand any contracts each firm had with
customers, the terms of such contracts, and when each contract is set to expire. It would also be helpful to
determine the extent to which “product bundling” would be attractive to customers. With respect to cost
savings associated with facilities, it would be critical to know the terms and expiration dates of leases
associated with any facilities that might be shutdown and estimates of the cost to “buy out” leases whose
expiration date is far into the future. Labor related cost savings require understanding the monthly income
and benefits by major job category and the number of months of severance pay to be offered to those
employees laid off.
5. Given the terms of the agreement, Wrigley shareholders would own what percent of the combined
companies? Explain your answer
Answer: Wrigley shareholders would not own any portion of the combined firms, as the purchase was an
all-cash transaction. Wrigley shares were cancelled and each shareholder paid $80 in cash. As such, the
former Wrigley shareholders surrendered any claims to ownership in the new company.
In May 1999 the Tribune Chairman John Madigan contacted Willes and made an offer for the company, but Willes,
with the help of his then-chief financial officer (CFO), Thomas Unterman, made it clear to Madigan that the
company was not for sale. What Willes did not realize was that Unterman soon would be serving in a dual role as
CFO and financial adviser to the Chandlers and that he would eventually step down from his position at Times
Mirror to work directly for the family. In his dual role, he worked without Willes’ knowledge to structure the deal
with the Tribune.
Following months of secret negotiations, the Chicago-based Tribune Company and the Times Mirror Corporation
announced a merger of the two companies in a cash and stock deal valued at approximately $7.2 billion, including
$5.7 billion in equity and $1.5 billion in assumed debt. The transaction, announced March 13, 2000, created a media
giant that has national reach and a major presence in 18 of the nation’s top 30 U.S. markets, including New York,
Los Angeles, and Chicago. The combined company has 22 television stations, four radio stations, and 11 daily
newspapers—including the Los Angeles Times, the nation’s largest metropolitan daily newspaper and flagship of the
Times Mirror chain.
The Tribune agreed to buy 48% of the outstanding Times Mirror stock, about 28 million shares, through a tender
offer. After completion of the tender offer, each remaining Times Mirror share would be exchanged for 2.5 shares of
Tribune stock. Under the terms of the transaction, Times Mirror shareholders could elect to receive $95 in cash or
2.5 shares of Tribune common stock in exchange for each share of Times Mirror stock. Holders of 27.2 million
shares of Times Mirror stock elected to receive Tribune stock, whereas holders of 10.6 million elected to receive
cash. Because the amount of cash offered in the merger was limited and the cash election was oversubscribed, Times
Mirror shareholders electing to receive cash actually received a combination of cash and stock on a pro rata basis
(Table 1).
Most U.S. newspapers are mired in the mature or declining phase of their product life cycle. For the past half-
century, newspapers have watched their portion of the advertising market shrink because of increased competition
from radio and television. By the early 1990s, all major media began taking a significant hit in their advertising
revenue streams as businesses discovered that direct mail could target their message more precisely. Moreover,
consolidation among major retailers further reduced the size of advertising dollar pool. The same has happened with
numerous large supermarket chain mergers. Newspaper advertising revenues also have been threatened by
increasing competition from advertising and editorial content delivered on the internet. Finally, newspapers simply
have become less attractive places to advertise as readership continues to decline as a result of an aging population
and new generations that do not see newspapers as relevant.
As essentially a traditional newspaper, Times Mirror publishes five metropolitan and two suburban daily
newspapers, a variety of magazines, and professional information such as flight maps for commercial airline pilots.
The Los Angeles Times, a southern California institution founded in 1881, is Times Mirror’s largest holding and
operates some two dozen expensive foreign news bureaus—more than any other newspaper in the country. The Los
Angeles Times has more than 1200 Los Angeles Times reporters and editors around the world (CNNfn, March 13,
2000).
Unlike the Times Mirror, Tribune has built its strategy around four business groups: broadcasting, publishing,
education, and interactive. The Tribune is also an equity investor in America Online and other leading internet
companies, underscoring the company’s commitment to new-media technologies. Applying leading edge new-media
technology has allowed the Tribune to transform they way it does business, and the technology commitment creates
the opportunity for future growth. The internet has been the greatest driver for change, and the Tribune’s interactive
business group continues to focus on capitalizing on emerging Web technologies. Throughout the company, new
technologies have been applied aggressively to create new products, improve existing products, and make operations
more efficient. The Tribune’s non-newspaper revenues accounted for more than half of its earnings by 2000.
Anticipated Synergy
Cost savings are expected because of the closing of selected foreign and domestic news bureaus, a reduction in the
cost of newsprint through greater volume purchases, the closing of the Times Mirror corporate headquarters, and
elimination of corporate staff. Such savings are expected to reach $200 million per year (Table 2).
1
Assumes Tribune will close overlapping bureaus in United States (9) and most of the Times Mirror’s foreign
bureaus (21 abroad).
2
As a result of bulk purchasing and more favorable terms with different suppliers, 15% of the newsprint expense of
the combined companies is expected to be saved.
3
Layoffs of 120 L.A. Times Mirror Corporate Office personnel at an average salary of $125,000 and benefits equal
to 30% of base salaries. Total payroll expenses equal $19,500,000 (i.e., $125,000 1.3 120). Lease, travel and
entertainment, and other support expenses added another $14.5 million.
Source: Moore, Kathryn, Tim Schnabel, and Mark Yemma, “A Media Marriage,” paper prepared for Chapman
University, EMBA 696, May 18, 2000, p. 9.
The combined companies will have a major presence in 18 of the nation’s top 30 U.S. advertising markets, including
New York, Los Angeles, and Chicago. The combined companies provide unprecedented opportunities for
advertisers to reach major market consumers in any media form—broadcast, newspapers, or interactive. In addition,
the combined companies will benefit consumers by giving them rich and diverse choices for obtaining the news,
information, and entertainment they want anytime, anywhere. These factors provide an increased ability to capture
national advertising in the most important U.S. population centers. The significantly greater breadth of the combined
firm’s geographic coverage is expected to boost advertising revenues from about 3% to 6% annually.
Based on the current, traditional culture found at the Los Angeles Times and other Times Mirror properties,
integration following the merger was likely to be slow and painful. Concerns among journalists about spreading
their talents thin across three or four media—print, television, online, and radio—in the course of a day’s work
raised the stress level. Although the Tribune has been able to make the transition to a largely multimedia company
more rapidly than the more traditional newspapers, it has been costly. For example, development losses in 1999
were $30–35 million at Chicagotribune.com and an estimated $45 million in 2000. The bleeding was expected to
continue for some time and to constitute a major distraction for the management of the new company.
Financial Analysis
The present values of the Tribune, Times Mirror, and the combined firms are $8.5 billion, $2.4 billion, and $16.5
billion, respectively; the estimated present value of synergy is $5.6 billion (Table 3). This assumes that pretax cost
savings are phased in as follows: $25 million in 2000, $100 million in 2001, and $200 million thereafter. The cost
savings are net of all expenses related to realizing such savings such as severance, lease buyouts, and legal fees.
Table 4 describes how the initial offer price could have been determined and the postmerger distribution of
ownership between Times Mirror and Tribune shareholders.
Table 3. Merger Evaluation
1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004 2005
Tribune ($ Millions)
Sales 2891.5 2980.9 3221.9 3261.5 3473.5 3699.3 3939.7 4195.8 4468.5
Operating 2232.5 2279.0 2451.0 2283.1 2431.4 2589.5 2757.8 2937.1 3128.0
Expenses
EBIT 559.0 701.9 770.9 978.5 1042.0 1109.8 1181.9 1258.7 1340.6
EBIT(1 – t) 395.4 421.1 462.5 587.1 625.2 665.9 709.2 755.2 804.3
Depreciation 172.5 195.5 221.1 212.0 225.8 240.5 256.1 272.7 290.5
Gross Plant & 103.8 139.7 134.7 163.1 173.7 185.0 197.0 209.8 223.4
Equipment
Change in 147.7 49.0 1107.0 260.9 243.1 258.9 275.8 293.7 312.8
Working Capital
Free Cash Flow 511.8 427.9 -558.1 375.1 434.2 462.4 492.5 524.5 558.6
to Firm
PV (2001–2005) 51.5
@8.5
PV (Terminal 11144.2
Value) @8.5
Total Present 11195.7
Value
Less: Long- 2694.2
Term Debt
Plus: Excess 0
Cash Balances
Equity Value 8501.5
Shares
Outstanding 237.4
Equity Value Per
Share 35.81
Combined ($Millions)
Firms
Sales 5619.7 5764.8 6251.1 6401.5 6770.5 7161.1 7574.7 8012.5 8476.1
Operating 4569.5 4659.5 5009.7 4732.3 5003.1 5289.7 5593.1 5914.1 6253.8
Expenses
Synergy 25.0 100.0 200.0 200.0 200.0 200.0
EBIT 1050.2 1105.3 1241.4 1694.3 1867.4 2071.4 2181.6 2298.4 2422.2
EBIT(1 – t) 630.1 663.2 744.8 1016.6 1120.4 1242.8 1309.0 1379.0 1453.3
Depreciation 305.9 347.6 387.5 400.4 423.6 448.2 474.2 501.7 530.9
Gross Plant & 277.2 271.2 247.7 288.7 305.6 323.4 342.4 362.5 383.7
Equipment
Change in 151.5 600.1 315.9 512.1 500.3 529.0 559.3 591.4 625.4
Working Capital
Free Cash Flow 507.3 139.5 568.7 616.2 738.2 838.6 881.5 926.9 975.1
to Firm
PV (2001–2005) 88.1
@ 9.5%
PV (Terminal 22805.6
Value) @ 9.5%
Total PV 22893.8
Less: Long- 4256.4
Term Debt
Less: 2193.7
Acquisition-
Related Debt
Plus: Excess 0
Cash Balances
Equity Value 16443.7
Shares 374.9
Outstanding
Equity Value Per
Share 43.9
1
Book values for long-term debt may be used if the coupon rate on the debt approximates competitive market rates.
Table 4. Offer Price Determination
Tribune Times Mirror Combined Incl. Value of Synergy
Synergy
Equity Valuations 8501.5 2375.0 16443.7 5567.3
Minimum Offer 2805.9
Price1
Maximum Offer 8373.2
Price
Actual Offer Price 5671.4
% Maximum Offer 67.7%
Price
Purchase Price 1.02
Premium
New Tribune Shares
Issued 137.50
Ownership
Distribution
TM Shareholders 0.37
Tribune 0.63
Shareholders
1
Market value of Times Mirror on the merger announcement date.
Epilogue
Only time will tell if actual returns to shareholders in the combined Tribune and Times Mirror company exceed the
expected financial returns provided in the valuation models in this case study. Times Mirror shareholders earned a
substantial 102% purchase price premium over the value of their shares on the day the merger was announced. Some
portion of those undoubtedly “cashed out” of their investment following receipt of the new Tribune shares.
However, for those former Times Mirror shareholders continuing to hold their Tribune stock and for Tribune
shareholders of record on the day the transaction closed, it is unclear if the transaction made good economic sense.
Discussion Questions:
1. In your judgment, did it make good strategic sense to combine the Tribune and Times Mirror
corporations? Why? / Why not?
Yes, the combination of the two firms offers substantial cost savings in closing overlapping news bureaus
and substantial economies in purchasing major cost items such as newsprint. The merger also gives both
firms larger coverage in the nation’s major metropolitan areas in which they can offer consumers both
online and print access to the content. By expanding their reach in this manner, both firms will be
significantly more attractive to advertisers. Moreover, this geographic diversification will help consolidated
earnings as slower economic activity in one area is offset by relatively stronger growth in another.
2. Using the Merger Evaluation table given in the case, determine the estimated equity values of Tribune,
Times Mirror and the combined firms. Why is long-term debt deducted from the total present value
estimates in order to obtain equity value?
The estimated equity values for the Tribune, Times Mirror, and combined firms are $8.5 billion, $2.4
billion, and $16.4 billion, respectively. The total value of the firm is estimated using free cash flow to the
firm, which includes cash flow available to both equity and bondholders. Consequently, deducting the
market value of debt from the firm’s total market value will give an estimate of the firm’s equity value.
3. Despite the merger having closed in mid-2000, the full effects of synergy are not expected until 2002.
Why? What factors could account for the delay?
The full effects of synergy are not realized immediately because of bureau leases that must expire or be
bought out, severance expenses that offset savings that result from layoffs, management inertia, employee
resistance, morale concerns, and the tendency to underestimate the time that is required to implement
savings programs. In addition, savings programs often require retraining and relocating workers, which
also offset some portion of the savings in the early years.
4. The estimated equity value for the Times Mirror Corporation on the day the merger was announced was
about $2.8 billion. Moreover, as shown in the offer price evaluation table, the equity value estimated using
discounted cash flow analysis is given has $2.4 billion. Why is the minimum offer price shown as $2.8
billion rather than the lower $2.4 billion figure? How is the maximum offer price determined in the Offer
Price Evaluation Table? How much of the estimated synergy value generated by combining the two
businesses is being transferred to the Times Mirror shareholders? Why?
The minimum offer price is the market value of the firm, because it is unlikely that Times Mirror
shareholders would sell their shares at below current market value. The maximum price is the minimum
price plus the present value of synergy. Two thirds of the estimated synergy is being transferred to the
Times Mirror shareholders as part of the offer price because of the relative bargaining power of the seller
versus the buyer.
5. Does the Times Mirror-Tribune Corporation merger create value? If so, how much? What percentage of
this value goes to Times Mirror shareholders and what percentage to Tribune shareholders? Why?
The merger creates $4.6 billion in value between the pre-merger and post-merger valuations, of which 37%
goes to Times Mirror shareholders reflecting their equity ownership in the new firm. The remainder goes
to Tribune shareholders.
This case illustrates how the dynamically changing worldwide automotive market is spurring a move toward
consolidation among automotive manufacturers. The Volvo financials used in the valuation are for illustration only
— they include revenue and costs for all of the firm’s product lines. For purposes of exposition, we shall assume
that Ford’s acquisition strategy with respect to Volvo was to acquire all of Volvo’s operations and later to divest all
but the passenger car and possibly the truck operations. Note that synergy in this business case is determined by
valuing projected cash flows generated by combining the Ford and Volvo businesses rather than by subtracting the
standalone values for the Ford and Volvo passenger car operations from their combined value including the effects
of synergy. This was done because of the difficulty in obtaining sufficient data on the Ford passenger car operations.
Background
By the late 1990s, excess global automotive production capacity totaled 20 million vehicles, and three-fourths of the
auto manufacturers worldwide were losing money. Consumers continued to demand more technological
innovations, while expecting to pay lower prices. Continuing mandates from regulators for new, cleaner engines and
more safety measures added to manufacturing costs. With the cost of designing a new car estimated at $1.5 billion to
$3 billion, companies were finding mergers and joint ventures an attractive means to distribute risk and maintain
market share in this highly competitive environment.
By acquiring Volvo, Ford hoped to expand its 10% worldwide market share with a broader line of near-luxury
Volvo sedans and station wagons as well as to strengthen its presence in Europe. Ford saw Volvo as a means of
improving its product weaknesses, expanding distribution channels, entering new markets, reducing development
and vehicle production costs, and capturing premiums from niche markets. Volvo Cars is now part of Ford’s Premier
Automotive Group, which also includes Aston Martin, Jaguar, and Lincoln. Between 1987 and 1998, Volvo posted
operating profits amounting to 3.7% of sales. Excluding the passenger car group, operating margins would have
been 5.3%. To stay competitive, Volvo would have to introduce a variety of new passenger cars over the next
decade. Volvo viewed the capital expenditures required to develop new cars as overwhelming for a company its
size.
The initial review of Volvo’s historical data suggests that cash flow is highly volatile. However, by removing
nonrecurring events, it is apparent that Volvo’s cash flow is steadily trending downward from its high in 1997. Table
9-10 displays a common-sized, normalized income statement, balance sheet, and cash-flow statement for Volvo,
including both the historical period from 1993 through 1999 and a forecast period from 2000 through 2004.
Although Volvo has managed to stabilize its cost of goods sold as a percentage of net sales, operating expenses as a
percentage of net revenue have escalated in recent years. Operating margins have been declining since 1996. To
regain market share in the passenger car market, Volvo would have to increase substantially its capital outlays. The
primary reason valuation cash flow turns negative by 2004 is the sharp increase in capital outlays during the forecast
period. Ford’s acquisition of Volvo will enable volume discounts from vendors, reduced development costs as a
result of platform sharing, access to wider distribution networks, and increased penetration in selected market niches
because of the Volvo brand name. Savings from synergies are phased in slowly over time, and they will not be fully
realized until 2004. There is no attempt to quantify the increased cash flow that might result from increased market
penetration.
<A>Table 9-10. Volvo Common-Size Normalized Income Statement, Balance Sheet, and Cash-Flow Statement (Percentage of Net Sales)<A>
1993 1994 1995 1996 1997 1998 1999 2000 2001 2002 2003 2004
Income Statement
Net Sales 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000 1.000
Cost of Goods Sold .772 .738 .749 .777 .757 .757 .757 .757 .757 .757 .757 .757
Operation Expense .167 .101 .120 .077 .119 .133 .132 .131 .129 .128 .127 .126
Depreciation .034 .033 .033 .034 .029 .038 .038 .039 .040 .040 .041 .042
EBIT .027 .128 .098 .112 .088 .073 .073 .074 .074 .074 .075 .075
Interest on Debt .050 .023 .022 .021 .015 .023 .023 .022 .021 .021 .020 .020
Earnings Before Taxes .024 .017 .076 .091 .072 .049 .051 .052 .053 .054 .055 .056
Income Taxes .004 .018 .022 .012 .015 .014 .014 .015 .015 .015 .015 .016
Net Income .028 .087 .054 .079 .057 .035 .036 .037 .038 .039 .040 .040
Balance Sheet
Current Assets .632 .503 .444 .524 .497 .500 .500 .500 .500 .500 .500 .500
Current Liabilities .596 .400 .283 .298 .304 .350 .350 .350 .350 .350 .350 .350
Working Capital .036 .103 .161 .226 .192 .150 .150 .150 .150 .150 .150 .150
Total Assets 1.21 .889 .809 .905 .889 .906 .880 .858 .839 .822 .808 .795
Long-Term Debt .371 .211 .227 .236 .256 .234 .215 .196 .180 .165 .151 .307
Equity .244 .278 .299 .371 .329 .321 .316 .312 .309 .308 .307 .307
Selected Valuation Cash-Flow Items
EBIT (1 – t) .022 .150 .126 .126 .105 .093 .094 .094 .095 .095 .096 .096
Capital Expenditures .031 .027 .033 .053 .054 .061 .069 .078 .088 .099 .112 .126
Working Capital .025 .077 .068 .049 .000 .017 .020 .020 .020 .020 .020 .020
Free Cash Flow .047 .079 .053 .059 .088 .087 .044 .036 .027 .017 .005 (.008)
to the Firm (FCFF)
Determining the Initial Offer Price
Volvo’s estimated value on a standalone basis is $15 billion. The present value of anticipated synergy is $1.1 billion, suggesting that
the purchase price for Volvo should lie within a range of $15 million to about $16 billion. Although potential synergies appear to be
substantial, savings due to synergies will be phased in gradually between 2000 and 2004. The absence of other current bidders for the
entire company and Volvo’s urgent need to fund future capital expenditures in the passenger car business enabled Ford to set the
initial offer price at the lower end of the range. Thus, the initial offer price could be conservatively set at about $15.25 billion,
reflecting only about one-fourth of the total potential synergy resulting from combining the two businesses. Other valuation
methodologies tended to confirm this purchase price estimate. The market value of Volvo was $11.9 billion on January 29, 1999. To
gain a controlling interest, Ford had to pay a premium to the market value on January 29, 1999. Applying the 26% premium Ford paid
for Jaguar, the estimated purchase price including the premium is $15 billion, or $34 per share. This compares to $34.50 per share
estimated by dividing the initial offer price of $15.25 billion by Volvo’s total common shares outstanding of 442 million.
Ford had $23 billion in cash and marketable securities on hand at the end of 1998 (Naughton, 1999). This amount of cash is well in
excess of its normal cash operating requirements. The opportunity cost associated with this excess cash is equal to Ford’s cost of
capital, which is estimated to be 11.5%—about three times the prevailing interest on short-term marketable securities at that time. By
reinvesting some portion of these excess balances to acquire Volvo, Ford would be adding to shareholder value, because the expected
return, including the effects of synergy, exceeds the cost of capital. Moreover, by using this excess cash, Ford also is making itself less
attractive as a potential acquisition target. The acquisition is expected to increase Ford’s EPS. The loss of interest earnings on the
excess cash balances would be more than offset by the addition of Volvo’s pretax earnings.
Epilogue
Seven months after the megamerger between Chrysler and Daimler-Benz in 1998, Ford Motor Company announced that it was
acquiring only Volvo’s passenger-car operations. Ford acquired Volvo’s passenger car operations on March 29, 1999, for $6.45
billion. At $16,000 per production unit, Ford’s offer price was considered generous when compared with the $13,400 per vehicle that
Daimler-Benz AG paid for Chrysler Corporation in 1998. The sale of the passenger car business allows Volvo to concentrate fully on
its truck, bus, construction equipment, marine engine, and aerospace equipment businesses. (Note that the standalone value of Volvo
in the case was estimated to be $15 billion. This included Volvo’s trucking operations.)
1. What is the purpose of the common-size financial statements developed for Volvo (see Table 8-8 in the textbook)? What
insights does this table provide about the historical trend in Volvo’s historical performance? Based on past performance,
how realistic do you think the projections are for 2000-2004?
Answer: The common size financial statements for Volvo reveal the historical relationship between key operating variables
and sales. They revealed the deterioration in the firm’s long-term operating efficiency and the subsequent decline in
operating margins and cash flow. The deterioration in cash flow underscored the inability of the firm to fund future cash
flows at a level necessary to remain competitive. The projections appear somewhat optimistic in that they assume some
acceleration in revenue, improvement in operating expenses, and a significant improvement in asset turnover rates. The
escalating capital outlays necessary to introduce new cars causes cash flow to turn negative by 2004.
2. Ford anticipates substantial synergies from acquiring Volvo. What are these potential synergies? As a consultant hired to
value Volvo, what additional information would you need to estimate the value of potential synergy from each of these areas?
Answer: By acquiring Volvo, Ford hoped to expand its global market share with a broader product offering as well as to
strengthen its presence in Europe. Specifically, Ford saw Volvo as a means of improving its product weakness in luxury
sedans and station wagons, gaining access to new distribution channels and markets, reducing development and vehicle
production costs, and gaining greater penetration into the premium car market. To estimate the potential increase in luxury
market penetration, it is necessary to know the potential size of each of Ford’s and Volvo’s targeted markets in both dollars
and units. In addition, it is necessary to know their current penetration in those markets and an estimate of the probable lift to
market share that might be achieved by introducing Ford products into predominately Volvo markets and vice versa. To
estimate cost savings, it is necessary to know Volvo’s approximate cost per vehicle and the likely savings per vehicle that
might be achieved. These savings could come from economies of scale in centralizing production and making uniform
automotive platforms, as well as by introducing “best practices” across the companies.
3. How was the initial offer price determined according to this case study? Do you find the logic underlying the initial offer
price compelling? Explain your answer.
Answer: The initial offer price for Volvo was determined by adding about one-fourth of the projected net synergy generated
from acquiring Volvo to its standalone value of $15 billion. The reasonableness of the resulting price of $15.25 billion was
confirmed by using other valuation methods. When compared to the firm’s market value of $11.9 billion, this offer price
represented an approximate 28% premium. This premium was consistent with what Ford had paid for Jaguar one year
earlier.
4. What was the composition of the purchase price? Why was this composition selected according to this case study?
Answer: The proposed purchase price was an all-cash offer. At the time, Ford’s cash balances were substantially in excess
of its required working capital needs. By re-deploying some portion of these excess cash balances into an investment
offering a higher return than the prevailing rate on short-term securities, Ford was potentially enhancing shareholder value.
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