Capm Ta 1
Capm Ta 1
Section E of the Study Guide for Financial Management contains several references
to the Capital Asset Pricing Model (CAPM). This article introduces the CAPM and its
components, shows how it can be used to estimate the cost of equity, and introduces
the asset beta formula. Two further articles will look at applying the CAPM in
calculating a project-specific discount rate, and will look at the theory, and the
advantages and disadvantages of the CAPM.
There is a limit to this risk reduction effect, however, so that even a ‘fully diversified’
portfolio will not eliminate risk entirely. The risk which cannot be eliminated by
portfolio diversification is called ‘undiversifiable risk’ or ‘systematic risk’, since it is the
risk that is associated with the financial system. The risk which can be eliminated by
portfolio diversification is called ‘diversifiable risk’, ‘unsystematic risk’, or ‘specific
risk’, since it is the risk that is associated with individual companies and the shares
they have issued. The sum of systematic risk and unsystematic risk is called total
risk (Watson D and Head A, Corporate Finance: Principles and Practice, 7th edition,
Pearson Education Limited, Harlow pp.245-6).
The CAPM assumes that investors hold fully diversified portfolios. This means that
investors are assumed by the CAPM to want a return on an investment based on its
systematic risk alone, rather than on its total risk. The measure of risk used in the
CAPM, which is called ‘beta’, is therefore a measure of systematic risk.
The minimum level of return required by investors occurs when the actual return is
the same as the expected return, so that there is no risk of the investment's return
being different from the expected return. This minimum level of return is called the
‘risk-free rate of return’.
The formula for the CAPM, which is included in the formulae sheet, is as follows:
This formula expresses the required return on a financial asset as the sum of the
risk-free rate of return and a risk premium – βi (E(rm) – Rf) – which compensates the
investor for the systematic risk of the financial asset. If shares are being considered,
E(rm) is the required return of equity investors, usually referred to as the ‘cost of
equity’.
The formula is that of a straight line, y = a + bx, with βi as the independent variable,
Rf as the intercept with the y axis, (E(r m ) – Rf) as the slope of the line, and E(ri) as
the values being plotted on the straight line. The line itself is called the security
market line (or SML), as shown in Figure 1.
In order to use the CAPM, investors need to have values for the variables contained
in the model.
Because the CAPM is applied within a given financial system, the risk-free rate of
return (the yield on short-term government debt) will change depending on which
country’s capital market is being considered. The risk-free rate of return is also not
fixed, but will change with changing economic circumstances.
Rather than finding the average return on the capital market, E(rm), research has
concentrated on finding an appropriate value for (E(rm) – Rf), which is the difference
between the average return on the capital market and the risk-free rate of return.
This difference is called the equity risk premium, since it represents the additional
return required for investing in equity (shares on the capital market as a whole)
rather than investing in risk-free assets.
In the short term, share prices can fall as well as increase, so the average capital
market return can be negative rather than positive. To smooth out short-term
changes in the equity risk premium, a time-smoothed moving average analysis can
be carried out over longer periods of time, often several decades. In the UK, when
applying the CAPM to shares that are traded on the UK capital market, an equity risk
premium of between 3.5% and 4.8% appears reasonable at the current time
(Watson, D. and Head, A. (2016) Corporate Finance: Principles and Practice, 7th
edition, Pearson Education Limited, Harlow p266).
Beta
Beta is an indirect measure which compares the systematic risk associated with a
company’s shares with the systematic risk of the capital market as a whole. If the
beta value of a company’s shares is 1, the systematic risk associated with the shares
is the same as the systematic risk of the capital market as a whole.
EXAMPLE 1
Although the concepts of the CAPM can appear complex, the application of the
model is straightforward. Consider the following information:
The CAPM predicts that the cost of equity of Ram Co is 10%. The same answer
would have been found if the information had given the return on the market as 9%,
rather than giving the equity risk premium as 5%.
If a company has no debt, it has no financial risk and its beta value reflects business
risk alone. The beta value of a company’s business operations as a whole is called
the ‘asset beta’. As long as a company’s business operations, and hence its
business risk, do not change, its asset beta remains constant.
When a company takes on debt, its gearing increases and financial risk is added to
its business risk. The ordinary shareholders of the company face an increasing level
of risk as gearing increases and the return they require from the company increases
to compensate for the increasing risk. This means that the beta of the company’s
shares, called the equity beta, increases as gearing increases (Watson, D. and
Head, A. (2016) Corporate Finance: Principles and Practice, 7th edition, Pearson
Education Limited, Harlow pp289-90).
However, if a company has no debt, its equity beta is the same as its asset beta. As
a company gears up, the asset beta remains constant, even though the equity beta
is increasing, because the asset beta is the weighted average of the equity beta and
the beta of the company’s debt. The asset beta formula, which is included in the
formulae sheet, is as follows:
Note from the formula that if Vd is zero because a company has no debt, βa = βe, as
stated earlier.
EXAMPLE 2
The next article will look at how the asset beta formula allows the CAPM to be
applied in calculating a project-specific discount rate that can be used in investment
appraisal.