Sales Management - Part I
Sales Management - Part I
Sales Management - Part I
Management
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Chapter 1: Introduction to Sales Management
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• Discuss the objectives of sales management
• Understand the definition, process, strategies, and resources of
sales management
• Describe how the selling of services is different from the selling
of tangible products
• Discuss the role and function of sales management within an
organisation
• Describe the duties and responsibilities of a sales manager
• Discuss the skills and competencies required by a sales manager
• Understand management functions in sales management
• Describe the difference between selling and marketing
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SALES AS A FUNCTIONAL AREAS OF
MANAGEMENT
FUNCTIONAL
AREAS OF
MGMT
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WHAT IS MARKETING ?
According to management guru Peter Drucker,
“The aim of marketing is to make selling unnecessary.”
Marketing must be understood not in the old sense of making a sale—“telling and
selling”—but in the new sense of satisfying customer needs.
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MARKETING
LANDSCAPE
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Marketing Management Orientations
• Marketing management wants to
design strategies that will engage Societal
Productio
target customers and build profitable Marketing
n Concept
Concept
relationships with them. This is done
by adopting marketing management
Marketin Product
orientations. g Concept Concept
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❑ Production Concept
• The production concept holds that consumers will favour products that are available
and highly affordable.
• Therefore, management should focus on improving production and distribution
efficiency. This concept is one of the oldest orientations that guides sellers.
• The production concept is still a useful philosophy in some situations.
• Companies adopting this orientation run a major risk of focusing too narrowly on
their own operations and losing sight of the real objective—satisfying customer
needs and building customer relationships.
• Example: both personal computer maker Lenovo and home appliance maker Haier
dominate the highly competitive, price-sensitive Chinese market through low
labour costs, high production efficiency, and mass distribution.
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❑ Product Concept
• The product concept holds that consumers will favour products that offer the most
in quality, performance, and innovative features.
• Under this concept, marketing strategy focuses on making continuous product
improvements.
• Product quality and improvement are important parts of most marketing strategies.
• However, focusing only on the company’s products can also lead to marketing
myopia.
• Innovations in the scientific laboratory are commercialized and consumers get an
opportunity to know and use these products. This is called "Technology Push
Model".
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❑ Selling Concept
• Many companies follow the selling concept, which holds that consumers will not buy
enough of the firm’s products unless it undertakes a large-scale selling and promotion
effort.
• The selling concept is typically practiced with unsought goods—those that buyers do
not normally think of buying, such as life insurance or blood donations.
• These industries must be good at tracking down prospects and selling them on a
product’s benefits.
• It focuses on creating sales transactions rather than on building long-term, profitable
customer relationships. The aim often is to sell what the company makes rather than to
make what the market wants.
• It assumes that customers who are coaxed into buying the product will like it. Or, if
they don’t like it, they will possibly forget their disappointment and buy it again later.
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❑ Marketing Concept
• The marketing concept holds that achieving organizational goals depends on
knowing the needs and wants of target markets and delivering the desired
satisfactions better than competitors do.
• Under the marketing concept, customer focus and value are the paths to sales and
profits.
• Instead of a product-centered make-and sell philosophy, the marketing concept is a
customer-centered sense-and-respond philosophy.
• The job is not to find the right customers for your product but to find the right
products for your customers.
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MARKETING VS SELLING
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❑ Societal Marketing Concept
• The societal marketing concept questions whether the pure
marketing concept overlooks possible conflicts between
consumer short-run wants and consumer long-run welfare. Is
a firm that satisfies the immediate needs and wants of target
markets always doing what’s best for its consumers in the
long run?
• The societal marketing concept holds that marketing strategy
should deliver value to customers in a way that maintains or
improves both the consumer’s and society’s well-being.
• It calls for sustainable marketing, socially and
environmentally responsible marketing that meets the present
needs of consumers and businesses while also preserving or
enhancing the ability of future generations to meet their
needs.
• Even more broadly, many leading business and marketing
thinkers are now preaching the concept of shared value, which
recognizes that societal needs, not just economic needs, define
markets. The concept of shared value focuses on creating
economic value in a way that also creates value for society
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Objectives of Sales Management
• Whilst some objectives are unique to each organisation, all organisations pursue objectives of profitability, sales
volume, market share, growth, and corporate image.
• The management of the sales function influences all of these objectives. Thus, the sales management objectives
of an organisation are concerned with:
▪ Achieving desired sales volume
▪ Achieving desired profits
▪ Promoting growth
• The objectives of sales management integrate various sales functions.
• They must be realistic and achievable and expressed as much as possible, in quantifiable terms.
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Objectives of Sales Management
• The scope of sales management in an organisation includes both quantitative and qualitative objectives as
shown in following below:
Establishing
Sales Developing
Rewards, Sales Fixing Sales
Forecasting Sales
Recognition, and Budgeting Quotas
and Planning Objectives
Remuneration
Establishing Collecting
Sales Sales Directing the
Sales Customer
Promotion organisation Sales Team
Territories Feedback
Planning, Coordinating
Managing
Recruiting, and and
Distribution
Training of the Monitoring the
Channel
Sales Force Sales Team
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Sales Management Definition, Process, Strategies & Resources
• Sales management may be defined as the process of developing a sales force, coordinating sales operations, and
implementing sales strategies that enable an organisation to achieve its sales targets consistently. Sales
management involves several activities as given below:
▪ Creation of sales plan and strategies to execute the plan such as strategies for account management, sales
force compensation, etc.
▪ Implementation of the above strategies
▪ Sales research, price fixation, and co-ordination of sales
▪ Hiring of the sales force
▪ Setting targets and regular monitoring of sales activities
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Sales Management Definition, Process, Strategies & Resources
• The process of sales management involves developing a sales force, organising/managing sales operations and
implementing sales techniques which allows a business to constantly hit and even surpass its sales target.
• The sales management process includes the management of three key aspects of sales:
▪ Sales operations
▪ Sales strategy
▪ Sales analysis
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Sales Management Definition, Process, Strategies & Resources
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Sales Management Definition, Process, Strategies & Resources
• After proper training, provide the sales team with targets that are high yet realistic. This helps to monitor and
measure performance in the future.
• The next step is to delegate roles and responsibilities to the relevant team member.
Sales Strategy
• A sales strategy is concrete, detailed plan for selling products or services to generate and increase revenue
consistently.
• A sales strategy is different from a marketing strategy as it focuses on actually selling the product or service
whereas a marketing strategy focuses on improving the visibility of the product or service.
• A sales strategy defines the sales process to generate real, quantifiable profits. It allows the sales team to
understand how to actually conduct the sales.
• A sales cycle is a series of activities that helps the offering of a firm reach its customers.
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Sales Management Definition, Process, Strategies & Resources
• A sales pipeline or sales funnel is a visual sequence of activities to achieve with each prospect, from
the initial lead to the completion of the sale. It helps members of a sales team stay organised and
achieve their goals.
Sales Analysis
• Sales analysis is an assessment that reveals the trends regarding an organisation’s sales.
• A sales analysis report helps a business evaluate the effectiveness of current sales efforts and
identify what more efforts might be needed.
• Sales analysis is performed using various sales metrics that are measurable indicators that specify
the performance of different elements of the sales operations and indicate whether or not sales
targets are being met.
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Sales Management: KPI’s
Sales targets
Sales leads/opportunities
Net sales
Sales-to-date
Sales growth
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Sales Management Definition, Process, Strategies & Resources
Resources
• There are several resources available online to help with the sales management process and the most widely-
used ones are given below:
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Contemporary Sales Management Practices
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Contemporary Sales Management Practices
▪ Identifying the sales team’s barriers to success: Identifying the barriers that prevent the sales team from
achieving the specified goals helps to determine ways to overcome them. Common barriers include fear of
rejection, poor communication, lack of exposure to digital marketing, etc.
▪ Creating effective sales plans: Creating sales plans that work at both the individual and team levels helps to
ensure consistency and progress, better time management, and improve prioritisation strategies.
▪ SWOT analysis: A SWOT analysis is a composition of company’s strengths, weaknesses, opportunities and
threats. The primary aim of a SWOT analysis is to enables the organisation to have a thorough awareness of
all the factors involved in making a business decision.
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Selling: Services VS Tangible Products
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PRODUCT SERVICE CONTINUUM
1. Intangibility
3. Heterogeneity
4. Perishable
5. Customer contact.
6. No Ownership
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Characteristics of services
1. Intangibility:
•Necessary to make it more visible
•Physical aspects associated with service is important
•Intangibility more problematic when mktg services
•How to overcome intangibility?
•Visualization (Example: Open Kitchen, Website)
•Association (Example: Amitabh Bachan – ICICI Bank)
•Physical representation
A) Uniforms
B) Colors
C) Logos – Example: ISO 9001
D) Documentation – To Build credibility
Cont….
1– 29 29
UNIFORM
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INTANGIBILITY
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Characteristics of services
2. Heterogeneity:
•Example: Mc Donald's
▪Automation
Cont….
1– 32 32
HETEROGENEITY
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Characteristics of services
3. Inseparability:
•In Selling Tangible Product, Manufacturer need not be present everywhere
•In Service – Production & consumption – simultaneous
• Even if one is absent, service transaction cannot take place
•Example: Hotel – server & customer
•Opportunity Loss: Earning Capacity of a Service Provider becomes ltd as he
can be at only one place at a time. In goods simultaneous consumption is
possible
•Example: Doctors, Teachers – have hiked their remuneration, factoring the cost
of the lost opportunities
•Ways to overcome Inseparability
•Training internal customer (Example: Teaching assistants)
•Video Conferencing
Cont….
1– 34 34
INSEPERABILITY
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Characteristics of services
4. Perishability:
• Example: Multiplex – capacity of 300 & only 200 sold. 100 cannot
be carried forward)
•Managing Supply
Cont….
1– 36 36
PERISHABILITY
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NO OWNERSHIP
• Can’t own people (no slavery!) but can hire expertise and labor
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CLIENT-BASED RELATIONSHIP
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PRODUCTS AND SERVICES
• Goods - things you can touch - “tangible”
• Services - things you can’t touch - but you can see their effect
“intangible”
SERVICES
PRODUCTS
can’t see
touch
can’t touch
see
can’t smell
taste
can’t taste
Smell
•Service Example
•Product Example •Haircuts
•Soap •Tuition
•Car •Massage Parlors
•Mobile •Courier Services
•Books •Office Cleaning Services
•Delivering Fresh Flowers 42
GOODS VS SERVICES
Tangible Intangible
Homogeneous Heterogeneous
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Role and Function of Sales Management within an Organisation
• Sales management has several roles and functions within an organisation as shown below:
Improves profits
Fixes price
Improves distribution
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Duties & Responsibilities of Sales Manager
Setting Developing
Achieving Sales team
individual and sales strategies
sales volume supervision
team targets and techniques
Building
Sales team Generating Brand Maintaining
client
coordination leads promotion records
relationships
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Skills & Competencies Required by a Sales Manager
Analytical skills
Planning skills
Leadership qualities
Communication skills
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Sales Man
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FORD VS FERRARI
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Personal
Selling
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Meaning and Evolution of Personal Selling
• Personal selling is defined as the exchange of products or services between a customer and a seller for a certain
amount of money.
• Personal selling is a two-way form of communication, often face-to-face, where a salesperson attempts to
persuade the prospective buyer to buy the company’s products or services.
• The salesperson uses their knowledge and skills to inform, assist, and persuade the buyer to participate in a
transaction from which both parties derive value.
• For the customer, this value is obtained from the benefits of the product or service, while for the salesperson
and the company, from the financial benefits.
• With advances in telecommunication, personal selling can now be performed using telephones, via
videoconferencing, or the Internet.
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Meaning and Evolution of Personal Selling
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SELL CaCO3
SELL CaCO3
Types of Purchase Situation
1. Straight Rebuy:
✓ This is the simplest buying situation. Only the purchasing department is involved.
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Types of Purchase Situation
2. Modified Rebuy:
✓ Occurs when changes have been made in the routine buying procedures, requiring
the buying agent to consider alternatives.
✓ May be regular supplier does not have the required product in stock or stopped
manufacturing
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Types of Purchase Situation
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Meaning and Evolution of Personal Selling
• There are a few limitations of personal selling, such as those given below:
▪ Personal selling involves substantial costs of travel, training, samples, etc. It is, therefore, not
preferred by small companies.
▪ Personal selling can only be effective when salespeople are motivated enough and properly trained.
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Meaning and Evolution of Personal Selling
▪ Market situation: Personal selling can prove to be more effective in the following
market situations:
✓ The firm needs to cater to a small number of large-size buyers
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Meaning and Evolution of Personal Selling
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Personal Selling
&
B2B Marketing
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ORGANIZATIONAL CONSUMERS
Concept of B2B Marketing
✓ B2B marketing is a process of selling different types of goods and services to businesses or
organisations. (Business market)
✓ Thus, B2B marketing is about fulfilling the demands of other businesses, while the demand for
the products made by these businesses may likely be driven by customers in the consumer
market.
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EXAMPLE
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Types of Demand in B2B Markets
1. Derived demand:
✓ Any demand for a business product is derived from the primary demand of consumer
products.
✓ End users help in stimulating the demand for diversed components manufactured by
business firms in B2B markets…
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DIRECT DEMAND
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DERIVED DEMAND
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Types of Demand in B2B Markets
2. Fluctuating demand:
✓As the demand for business products and services is derived, any change in customers’
buying preferences may have a major effect on the supply chain network.
✓Example: Reduction in mortgage rates results in: ↑ in rate of new home construction &
also boost sales of home appliance
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FLUCTUATING DEMAND
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EXAMPLE
DECREASE IN
RATE OF INTEREST
CAN:
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DEMAND FOR HOME INCREASES
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INCREASE IN DEMAND FOR CONSUMER
DURABLES
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Types of Demand in B2B Markets
3. Stimulating demand:
✓ In many instances, business marketers develop marketing strategies and campaigns that
target final users directly.
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Characteristics of B2B Marketing
▪ This is because it involves decisions on part of every party in the supply chain, (suppliers, wholesalers
and distributors)
✓ Complexity of buying:
▪ Involve a huge amount of money.
▪ Example: Supply chain managers, production manager, CEO may be involved for purchase of machinery
for production purpose…
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Characteristics of B2B Marketing
✓ Choice criteria: economic and technical selection criteria as they are accountable for their
purchases
✓ Example: New machinery purchased: Operations interested to know the output. QC department
interested to know capabilities in meeting specified quality norms
✓ High risks: In business markets, buyers and suppliers usually enter into contracts before
producing or manufacturing final products. Once a supplier is selected, there are long-term
contracts signed for products that are still at the development stage.
✓ Trust between buyers and sellers: In most cases, business buyers set product specifications and
ask their suppliers to make a customised product that meets their specifications. In such a case,
the element of trust is of utmost importance.
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Types of B2B Customers
✓ Producers:
✓ Purchase goods and services from other organisations and use these products and services
as raw materials to produce final products.
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TATA – PRODUCER OF NANO
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Types of B2B Customers
✓ Resellers:
✓ Involved in selling goods and services that are manufactured by other firms without materially changing them.
✓ Example: Wholesalers, Brokers or Retailers. Big Bazaar…
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BIG BAZAAR RESELLER
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Types of B2B Customers
▪ Negotiated contracts: These contracts are used for purchasing those goods and services
for which the price is not only a differentiating factor. (other factors are quality, service
& brand image)
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GUESS?
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GUESS?
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Contributors in the Business Buying Process
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Contributors in the Business Buying Process
1. Initiator:
✓ Identify the need for a particular product.
✓ They initiate the buying decision process by requesting the concerned
departments to purchase the product.
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Contributors in the Business Buying Process
2. Users:
✓ Those individuals in the DMU who will actually use the product. & evaluate its
performance
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Contributors in the Business Buying Process
3. Influencers:
✓ These individuals may or may not use the product, but they help to set the
technical specifications for the proposed purchase.
✓ They have the necessary experience and expertise to improve the purchase
decision process…
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Contributors in the Business Buying Process
5. Buyers:
✓ Often also called purchasing managers, buyers make a list of potential suppliers
and supervise the buying process.
✓ Purchasing managers may not make the buying decision, but they do influence it.
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Contributors in the Business Buying Process
6. Gatekeepers:
✓ These gatekeepers are individuals who decide whether you are eligible to get access to
the buying centres of such large corporations.
✓ Gatekeepers control the type and flow of information to the members of the buying
centre.
✓ In the buying unit, gatekeepers include assistants, technical personnel, secretaries, etc.
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Meaning and Evolution of Personal Selling
Prospecting
Presentation and
and Pre-approach Approach
demonstration
qualifying
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Theories in Personal Selling
AIDAS Theory
• A very popular theory in personal selling, AIDAS stands for Attention, Interest, Desire, Action, and
Satisfaction. It is a customer-oriented theory that focuses on the customers’ needs and problems.
• The theory states that the prospect goes through five different stages before giving a satisfactory response to a
product. Let us see what each of these stages means:
▪ Attention: In this stage, the customer becomes aware of the product as well as the brand image. This stage is
very important to the salesperson because this is where they attempt to catch the attention of the customer.
Different ways in which to capture the attention of the prospect include catchy phrases in written
communication, emails, etc.
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Theories in Personal Selling
▪ Interest: In this stage, prospects maintain an interest in the product. This stage is of utmost importance to
the salesperson where they communicate the benefits of the product to the prospect to maintain their
interest.
▪ Desire: In this stage, prospects develop a liking towards the product or brand. A desire can be created by
using influencing and persuasion techniques such as adding an emotional element to the sales
communication, making prospects aware of what they stand to lose if they do not act on their desires.
▪ Action: In this stage, prospects become convinced of making a purchase or engages in a trial. Sales persons
can use different promotional measures to ensure action.
▪ Satisfaction: In this stage, the salesperson has to reassure the customer that they made the right decision in
buying the product.
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Theories in Personal Selling
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Theories in Personal Selling
• A fourth element is added because the outcome of purchase influences the chance of a continuing relationship
between the buyer and the seller so that the formula becomes:
Need (or problem) → Solution → Purchase → Satisfaction
• The solution element in the above sequence consists of two parts: the product or service and the brand name.
The buying formula thus becomes:
Need (or problem) Product or Service or Brand name Purchase Satisfaction/ dissatisfaction
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Theories in Personal Selling
• For the buyer to make a purchase, they must consider the product or service and the brand name to be adequate
and also derive a pleasant feeling expecting satisfaction from the purchase. When these are included, the buying
formula becomes:
• In this buying formula, the central solid lines of the formula represent the primary elements in a well-established
buying habit while the dotted lines represent the reasons and pleasant feelings i.e., the elements of defence in the
buying habit.
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Theories in Personal Selling
• The goal of the salesperson is to encourage direct associations to ensure repeat purchases.
• According to this theory:
▪ The salesperson should create and emphasise the need
▪ The salesperson should emphasise the relation between the need and offering
▪ The salesperson should create the brand image
▪ The salesperson should create an association between the need, the offering, and the brand name.
▪ The salesperson should emphasise brand loyalty and the satisfaction derived from the purchase.
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Theories in Personal Selling
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Theories in Personal Selling
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Theories in Personal Selling
• This theory tends to overlook internal factors that are not readily
manipulated and can therefore encounter problems as internal factors are
important in most selling situations.
• While this theory emphasises the importance of the salesperson
controlling the situation, it fails to handle the internal factors that
influence the interaction and is unable to assign a suitable weight to the
buyer’s response.
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Sales Organisation
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
• The sales organisation is the unit of an organisation that is responsible for the sales and
distribution of goods and services.
• A sales organisation comprises a group of individuals who handle different aspects of the sales
function such as selling, distribution, advertising, etc.
• The sales organisation works towards increasing sales volume and maximising revenue for the
firm. It helps to define and allocate the responsibilities and duties of the sales force. It promotes
coordination of activities of the sales department and its interaction with the other departments
such as advertising, promotion, and distribution.
• As stated earlier, the structure of a sales organisation refers to the segmentation of the sales team
into specialised groups. This structure is decided by various factors such as the region, the number
of products and services, the size of the sales force, and the customer categories.
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Functions in an Sales Organisation
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
• A sales organisation is structured in a manner that helps to easily identify the activities performed by an
individual or group.
• The structure helps to clearly define the roles and responsibilities and promotes coordination that allows those
involved to work efficiently and achieve the sales goals of the company.
• Sales organisations are generally modelled in the three ways as shown below:
The
The Pod
Island
The Assembly
Line
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
• Following figure represents the assembly line sales organisation structure:
Customer
Success
Account
Executives
Sales (Closers)
Developme
Inbound nt (Qualify
Leads Leads)
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The assembly line structure
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
• The benefits of Assembly Line Sales Organisation model are as follows:
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
Founder
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
Sales Development
Inbound Leads
(Qualify Leads)
Account Executives
Customer Success
(Closers)
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Different Types of Sales Organisation
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Types of Sales Force Structure
• The sales force comprises all the human and material resources that an organisation uses for its selling
activities.
• The sales force’s structure determines how effective it is.
• For instance, if a company sells products that need specific technical knowledge, it would not be logical to sell
all products by area.
• Various factors such as budget, customers, and organisational culture decide the structure of the sales team
that is right for a firm.
• Supporting functions such as sales enablement and sales operations also influence the sales organisation
structure.
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Types of Sales Force Structure
• Managers need to consider the following factors when deciding the structure of the sales force:
▪ Nature of the product: The nature of the product is important in deciding the sales force
structure. For instance, products with shorter lifecycles will need different selling efforts than
those with longer lifecycles.
▪ Demand for product: The demand for a particular product plays a critical role in allocating
salespersons to a territory. For instance, a product with constant demand and high turnover
requires lesser selling effort than one with low or fluctuating demand and low turnover.
▪ Transport: The transport facilities available for a particular product also need to be considered
when dividing the sales force into a specific structure. For marketing and sales to be effective, a
region with poor transport facilities should be divided into smaller territories.
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Types of Sales Force Structure
▪ Competition: Highly competitive sales territories mean that the size of the sales territory is reduced. In
these territories, salespersons need to meet dealers and customers more often to maintain product demand.
Hence, in such territories, the sales force should be allocated to smaller territories.
• Following figure shows the commonly used sales force structures. These structures are based on the different
divisions in the organisation.
Product based
Geographic based
Customer based
Combination based
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Types of Sales Force Structure
Product Based
• In this type of division, the responsibilities of
the sales force are defined based only on the
product or product lines.
• If the reps gain expertise for a particular
product or service, they can better convey its
value and use to the prospects.
• Product type is suitable in case the
organisation has many products (/services)
and it can divide the departments according
to the products.
• It also makes sense to align salespeople to
products when a company sells highly-priced
products or technically-complex products.
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Types of Sales Force Structure
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Types of Sales Force Structure
Geographic Based
• This structure makes it easier for managers to
appraise their reps’ sales performances relative
to the potential of a particular territory or
region.
• Geographic-based sales force structures have the
following advantages:
▪ Transport costs are reduced since
responsibilities have been defined based on
areas.
▪ Customer services may be improved in
geographic-based sales force structures.
▪ It is easier to evaluate sales performances
according to zones.
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Types of Sales Force Structure
Customer Based
• In this type, the sales force structure is organised based on the customers to whom the products are offered.
• Most firms have customer accounts of varying sizes and needs; by defining responsibilities accordingly, sales
reps can become familiar with each type and meet their needs better.
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Types of Sales Force Structure
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Types of Sales Force Structure
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Types of Sales Force Structure
Combination Based
• The combination-based approach of organising the sales force combines the other three approaches to structure
the sales force.
• This structure is suitable in organisations that offer a variety of products to different customer categories
spread over a big geographical area.
• This structure is also suitable when a company seeks to concentrate on different customers or products within a
specific location.
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Linking Sales and Distribution Management
• Sales refers to the exchange of products or services against some amount of money and is a firm’s only revenue-
generating function.
• Distribution is the process of making a product or service available for consumption by the end-user.
• Distribution management is used to supervise this process to ensure it is efficient and effective.
• Sales and distribution management are both elements of the marketing mix. Marketing mix is a set of
marketing tools that help to promote a product or service in the market. It is mainly centred around the 4Ps,
i.e., the product, price, place, and promotion.
• Sales management and distribution management are both a part of it and intricately linked, and one cannot
exist or operate without the other.
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Linking Sales and Distribution Management
• Sales management devises the strategy and action plans to achieve the sales goals of revenue and growth, and
the distribution management works towards the execution of these plans.
• Integration between the two functions is critical for customer satisfaction.
• The sales organisation is responsible for both the sales and distribution of goods and services.
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Linking Sales and Distribution Management
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SALES FORECASTING
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Meaning & Nature of Sales Forecasting
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Elements of good forecast
Easy Accurate
to use Meaningful
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Meaning & Nature of Sales Forecasting
▪ Plan for the cash flow: Sales forecast aid the finance department in planning for the cash flow to
cover the expenses.
▪ Prepare for after-sales support: Sales forecasts prepare the customer service team for after-sales
support.
• Apart from the above, sales forecasting plays a very important role in manufacturing businesses as
it helps with the following:
▪ It helps to determine production volumes
▪ It helps to determine plant capacity, equipment, capital and manpower requirements, etc.
▪ It helps to establish the sales and production budgets
▪ It helps in pricing decisions
▪ It aids in advertising decisions
▪ It aids in decisions regarding expansion, production mix, etc.
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Meaning & Nature of Sales Forecasting
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Meaning & Nature of Sales Forecasting
✓ Setting sales targets: An understanding of future sales levels in the near future will
allow managers to adjust sales targets accordingly. If sales targets are set too high,
salespersons find them impossible to meet, whereas if sales targets are set too low,
the targets are met too easily, and incentives amount to nothing.
✓ Advertising and promotion decisions: An estimate of sales levels in the near future
allows firms to plan their advertising and sales promotion accordingly.
✓ Short-term financial requirements: Estimating sales and production scales allows
firms to estimate short-term financial requirements.
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Types of Forecasts by time horizon
• Managers are interested in forecast for disaggregated demand (for specific product, for
specific geography etc.)
• Little time to react to errors in demand forecast, so the forecast need to be as accurate as
possible
• In absence of analytical data managers use judgment methods.
Medium-range forecasting
• It is used for process selection, capacity planning, new product planning and location
decisions.
• It deals with more comprehensive issues and support management decisions.
• It tends to be less accurate than short/medium term forecast.
Meaning & Nature of Sales Forecasting
▪ Long-term Forecasting: This type of forecasting refers to a period of forecasting more than one
year. The element of uncertainty is higher in long-term forecasting. It is more relevant to the
planning of:
Personnel requirements
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Meaning & Nature of Sales Forecasting
• For any sales forecast, the following things must be factored in:
▪ Competition: Existing and new competitors’ offerings play an important role in deciding the
demand and thus, the future sales of a product or service.
▪ Technological advances: Technological advances introduce new products and new trends in the
market and change the demand for a product or service.
▪ Government policies: Sales of products and services are influenced by government policies and
regulations.
▪ Internal factors: Internal factors related to plant capacity, changes in product mix, etc., should
be factored in.
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
• Several methods of sales forecasting are available, and the management can choose the one that will work best
for them depending on the following criteria:
Simplicity
Credibility
Economy
Availability
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
• One must remember that predicting anything in the future, including sales, is often inaccurate, so one must
choose a method of forecasting and improve it such that the forecast is as realistic as possible.
• A good sales forecasting technique minimises the departure of the actual sales from the forecast.
• Forecasting methods can be of two types:
▪ Qualitative forecasting methods
▪ Quantitative forecasting methods
• Qualitative forecasting methods are based on opinions and intuition, whereas quantitative forecasting methods
use mathematical models and relevant historical data to generate a forecast.
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
• There are following major differences between Qualitative forecasting methods and Quantitative forecasting
methods:
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Approaches to sales forecasting
1) Top-Down Forecast:
• A top-down forecast looks at the overall market and uses this
information to identify your company demographics and target mark.
• Example: If your company has created an iPhone app, you might take a
Forecast of overall
look at the number of consumers who have purchased apps for their market
iPhones. If there are 80M active iPhone users and half of iPhone users
buy at least one app per month, you could estimate that of the 40M
active iphone users who purchase apps, 1% of these consumers will
purchase your app. That would give you 400K new customers.
Approaches to sales forecasting
2) Bottom-Up Forecast:
• This is the demand side of the forecasting process. A business can
only sell as much of a product or service as there exists demand
for it regardless of its capacity to create same
• Example: While creating iPhone app, instead of looking at the Demand side of
forecasting
market and its potential, you need to look at your own market (for
example, your existing customers or Twitter followers) and map
out how you can parlay your current standing into new sales.
SALES FORECASTING
METHODS
Exponential
Delphi method
smoothing
Survey of buyer’s
expectations Test marketing
Methods of Sales Forecasting: Qualitative Methods
Qualitative Methods - User Expectations, Salesforce Composite, Jury of Executive Opinion, Delphi
Technique, Market Test
• Qualitative forecasting methods are based on human factors, such as opinions and intuition.
User Expectations
• In this method, the business approaches its customers directly to determine their requirements in the near
future. The business asks its customers about the quantity and quality of the goods they will purchase, when
and where they will buy, etc.
• This approach is more suitable in the case of industrial goods instead of consumer goods because the potential
market has only a limited number of buyers and prospects.
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
• The strength of this method comes from the fact that salespersons have a good understanding of their sales
territories and customers.
• The weakness of this method is that it is prone to the personal bias of the salespersons. Moreover, salespersons
may not know how to use economic and statistical indicators correctly.
• They might only consider the microeconomic factors and neglect the macroeconomic environment.
• This problem can be somewhat remedied by training the sales force in forecasting techniques.
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
• In the jury of executive opinion, the group of top-level managers and executives uses its managerial experience,
and sometimes also includes the results of statistical models.
• This method includes judgement and other soft human factors, such as personal opinions and intuition to make
predictions.
• The jury of executive opinion method can be of two types: the top jury method and percolated jury method.
• In the top jury method, only the top executives can participate and in the percolated jury method, a large
number of marketing sales executives participate.
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Advantages Disadvantages
Delphi Technique
• The Delphi method is a method of choice when a long-term forecast is needed on complex issues
where expert opinion is the only available source of information.
• The Delphi method works on the assumption that the combined knowledge of a panel of experts
will generate a forecast at least as good (and most likely better) as the one generated by a single
member.
• In this method, a panel of members with expertise in the given area are approached with a
questionnaire and their feedbacks are organised into a summary.
• If any expert’s answer deviates too much from the median, they offer an explanation that is added
to the summary. The updated summary is sent to all the panel members again.
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
• They review the summary and if they think necessary, they can reconsider or revise their forecast given the
feedback of other members.
• The limitation of the Delphi method is that it can be a time-consuming process, especially if there is not much
consensus between panel members initially
• The steps in the Delphi method are given below:
▪ A questionnaire is sent to a panel of experts, either internal or external to the organisation, to obtain their
independent estimates of future sales.
▪ The independent estimates are organised in the summary and the summary report is submitted to panel
members for review.
▪ Experts can review the estimates made by other experts and if they think necessary, they may reconsider
or revise their estimates.
▪ The process is repeated for multiple round still the panel reaches a consensus on the forecast.
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Advantages: Disadvantages:
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
• Despite being valuable as a sales forecasting tool, it is limited by the fact that it is a time-
consuming process since the results can only be reliable if the test is carried out for a
sufficient amount of time.
• It takes significant time to deliver results, during which market conditions may change
and the results may not be a true representation of the whole market.
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Overview of Qualitative methods
Survey of buyer’s
• Ask the customer
expectations
Methods of Sales Forecasting: Quantitative Methods
Quantitative Methods - Time Series Analysis, Moving Average, Regression & Correlation
• Quantitative methods for sales forecasting are different from qualitative methods as they make use
of mathematical tools and historical data.
• These methods are more objective than qualitative methods and usually more time and cost-
effective.
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1. Naïve Approach
• A time-series model aims to identify patterns in historical data and extrapolate them into
forecasts.
• A time series is generated by collecting a series of information over given points in time.
• Time series data, such as the one above can be applied to a time series forecasting model
to make predictions, such as estimating the sales for February.
• A time-series problem has the following time-based key components:
▪ Level: Level is the average or baseline value in the time series.
▪ Trend: Trend is the long-term increase or decrease in the values of the target variable
with time. A trend can be upward, downward, or horizontal (no trend). It can be linear
or exponential.
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
▪ Cycles: This component accounts for the recurring pattern of data above and below the trend
line. This component exists when the data shows inclines or declines that are not of a fixed
period. Cycles differ from seasonal patterns because the average length of cycles is longer
(usually, more than one year).
▪ Seasonality: Seasonality exists when there is a tendency of patterns to repeat at regular
intervals.
▪ Irregularity/Noise: This component exists when there are random variations that can occur in
the data that cannot be explained through trends, cycles, or seasonality. It accounts for short-
term, unexpected and non-recurring factors that influence the time series data.
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
Moving Average
• Long-term forecasting of sales trends can also be done using the moving average or rolling mean
method.
• The moving averages method examines the underlying pattern of a set of data to provide an
estimate of future values.
• The moving averages method uses time-series data to smooth out random, short-term fluctuations in
the data set by creating a constantly updated average.
• The technique generates an average of a set of numbers in a given range whilst moving the range.
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Moving averages
• In this method, the average value for a number years is taken and this average is taken as the
normal or trend value.
• The forecaster estimates sales based on an average of previous time periods.
• Averaging will lessen the fluctuations and will give a smoother curve.
• The period for moving averages, such as 3-yearly, 5-yearly etc will depend usually on the
length of the cycle.
Moving averages
• The 3-yearly moving average can be computed with the following formula:
a+b+c, b+c+d, c+d+e
3 3 3
Denominator= number of years
Numerator= value pertaining to those years
Methods of Sales Forecasting
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3. Exponential smoothing
• This method is similar to the moving averages forecasting method except that in the
exponential smoothing method the forecaster is allowed to vary the weights assigned to
past data points.
• It allowed consideration of all past data, but less weight is placed on data as it ages.
• This method is used to forecast only one period in the future.
3.Exponential smoothing
Formula:
Next year’s sales = a (This year’s sales) + (1-a) (This year’s forecast)
a = smoothing constant
Example:
Assume that this year’s sales were ₹50,000 and that this year’s forecast was ₹40,000.
Assume that a was given a value of 0.2
The forecast for next year’s sales would be
0.2 x (₹50,000) + (0.8) x (₹40,000) = 42,000
Methods of Sales Forecasting
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
• Correlation can be represented using graphs, such as the one shown in below that shows four hypothetical
scenarios where one continuous variable is plotted along the X-axis and the other along the Y-axis:
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
• In the graph:
▪ Scenario 1 shows a strong positive association (r=0.9)
▪ Scenario 2 shows a weaker association (r=0.2)
▪ Scenario 3 shows an absence of association (r ~ 0)
▪ Scenario 4 shows strong negative association (r = – 0.9)
• Regression analysis is a statistical tool to assess the relationship between a dependent variable and one or
more independent variables.
• The dependent variable Y is also known as outcome or response variable, and the independent variables
X1, X2 … are known as predictors, explanatory variables, or covariates.
• Linear regression is the most common form of regression analysis that uses a linear approach to assess
the relationship between a scalar response (dependent variable) and one or more explanatory variables
(independent variables).
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
• Linear regression is used to estimate the values of a random variable based on the values of a fixed variable.
• Simple linear regression is a regression with one independent variable, whilst a multivariate linear regression
has more than one independent variable.
• Most real-world scenarios involve multiple independent variables; therefore, linear regression often describes
the multivariate linear regression.
• A simple linear regression equation can be written as:
Y= a + bX
Where,
Y = Dependent variable
X = Independent variable
b = The slope of the line
a = the intercept (the value of y when x = 0)
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Methods of Sales Forecasting
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The Basis for Selecting a Suitable Forecasting Method
• Seeing the valuable role that forecasting plays in long-term business planning and the growth and
success of an organisation, it is critical to select the right forecasting method for your organisation.
• Forecasting enables managers to manage seasonality, changes in trends, sudden changes in pricing
or promotion strategies by the competition, sudden changes in the economy, etc.
• A forecast can only provide the right answers when the right questions are asked, and the right
techniques are applied.
• Over the years, many forecasting techniques have become available to managers.
• Each technique has its merits and limitations and the forecaster has to apply the right technique to
get the right answer. Therefore, in this section, we will discuss the selection of a suitable
forecasting method.
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The Basis for Selecting a Suitable Forecasting Method
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The Basis for Selecting a Suitable Forecasting Method
▪ The cost/benefit of the forecast: Forecasting techniques vary in their costs; therefore, the
forecaster must decide the level of inaccuracy they can accept as a trade-off between cost and the
value of accuracy in choosing a technique.
▪ The availability of historical data: The availability of historical data is important when
considering. It is also important to determine whether past data is relevant and how much.
Qualitative techniques use qualitative data, such as expert judgement while quantitative
techniques rely completely on historical data.
▪ The range of the forecast: The objectives can range from short term decisions, such as the
immediate requirements of raw material or transport to long-term decisions regarding
production capacity, expansion, financial requirements and policy.
▪ The time available for making the analysis: The selection of the forecasting method depends on
how much time is available to make the forecast.
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The Basis for Selecting a Suitable Forecasting Method
• The stage of the product’s life cycle: If the forecast is to be made for a particular product,
the stage of the product’s life cycle is considered when selecting the method. This is
because the maturity of a product directly determines the availability of data and being
able to quantify the associations between the factors.
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Benefits that companies get after implementing sales
forecasting
Determine the value of a business above the value of its current assests.
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Meaning & Purpose
• A budget refers to the estimation of revenue and expenses over a given period of time in the future.
• A budget is a formal plan for the execution of future activities stated in monetary terms.
• Budgets can be designed for specific units, departments, products, or the organisation on the whole. While
budgets are commonly expressed in monetary terms, they can also be quantified in terms of non-monetary
resources, such as time.
• A sales budget is a plan that specifies the allocation of resources in a way that will achieve the sales targets
predicted by the sales forecast.
• The objective of preparing a sales budget is to plan for optimisation of resources and achievement of sales
forecasts.
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Meaning & Purpose
• A sales budget forms the basis of the other budgets of the organisation, such as the production budget. Hence,
the sales budget must be carefully prepared.
• CIMA defines budgeting as “the process of expressing the predicted costs and resources for a planned course of
action over a given time in the future.
• “Budgeting is a management tool expressed in quantitative terms to easily organise and prioritise complex or
competing activities in an organisation.
• Sales budgeting is a planning tool that helps to plan and prepare for how and when resources will be spent to
achieve the desired sales targets and maximise revenue.
• Sales budgeting is a means of control that helps to establish standards and benchmarks and measure actual
results against those. It is also a means of inter-departmental coordination.
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Meaning & Purpose
• Budgeting can also be used as a means to appraise the performance of teams or individuals.
• Various managerial policies regarding long-term planning, cash flow, capital expenditure, etc. are decided based
on budgeting.
• Budgeting may thus be defined as the process of planning, preparing, organising, managing, and controlling
budgets.
Purpose of Sales Budgeting
• The purpose of sales budgeting is to plan and coordinate various sales-related activities and to ensure they are
effectively controlled and monitored.
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Meaning & Purpose
Planning
Control
Budgeting of other departments
Coordination
Measurement of performance
Fixing roles and responsibilities
Communication
Growth goals
Master budget
Financial goals
Motivation
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Methods of Sales Budgeting
• Organisations have different ways in which they can approach sales budgeting.
• Most commonly used methods of sales budgeting are:
Affordability method
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Methods of Sales Budgeting
Affordability Method
• It is the most straightforward method of sales budgeting.
• In the affordability method, the management develops the sales budget based on its ability to spend on sales
functions.
• The management decided how much it could afford to spend for selling its goods and used this figure as a basis
for budgeting. However, things often end up costing more than what was estimated, and there may not be
enough funds in the end.
Percentage of Sales Method
• In the percentage of sales method, firms set their sales budget as a specified percentage of current or expected
sales. This method is commonly used by firms involved in the mass selling of goods and or those governed by
finance.
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Methods of Sales Budgeting
• The percent of sales method is a quick method to develop a sales budget by closely correlating items to sales.
However, it is only possible to apply this method to line items that correlate with sales; any fixed expenses
cannot be projected using this method.
Competitive Parity Method
• The competitive parity method is commonly used by firms faced with tough competition.
• The competitive parity method is appropriate for sales budgeting for an industry that is characterised by a
large number of established competitors. It is a safe strategy in a competitive market: keeping the firm in
competition but avoiding a sales budget that is more than needed.
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Methods of Sales Budgeting
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Methods of Sales Budgeting
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Methods of Sales Budgeting
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Methods of Sales Budgeting
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Types of Sales Budgeting
• In sales budgeting, there can be different types of budgets that enable an organisation to maximise its
resources, eliminate waste, and increase its revenue.
• Different types of sales budgets are as follows:
Sales Budget
• A sales budget estimates the sales in units and the revenue generated from sales.
• A sales budget specifies the amount of money a business is willing to spend on sales-related expenses for the
given time period. It covers various business expenses, ranging from sales taxes to the sales team’s salaries,
rent payments, and utilities.
• The format of the sales budget is generally monthly or quarterly; the sales budget can be presented in the
annual format but that way, too much information is grouped together.
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Types of Sales Budgeting
• For a business with a large number of products selling spread over a bigger geographic area, it is better to
group expected sales into a smaller number of product categories or geographic regions.
• The purpose of a sales budget is to help a firm decide its expenditure on sales activities.
• A sales budget is a critical element of professional selling. A budget helps in the growth of a business by
determining what is needed and how much should be spent on it.
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Types of Sales Budgeting
• Selling expenses budget includes those expenses that are needed to achieve the objective of making sales such
as sales commissions, advertising and promotion, store displays, and distribution costs.
• Selling expenses are fixed costs that will be paid on monthly basis.
• Distribution costs include costs incurred in getting the product to the customer.
• The selling expense budget is prepared by the senior-level managers in the sales and marketing department. It
is aligned with the sales objectives of the organisation, i.e., the selling expense budget estimates the selling
expenses needed to achieve the desired sales goals.
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Types of Sales Budgeting
• The important components of the total selling expenses budget are given below:
▪ Selling personnel costs: The salesperson is directly involved in selling the product, therefore, the salaries
and commission paid to the salesperson fall under selling expenses.
▪ Advertising and promotion expenses: Product placement done by advertising the product through various
platforms is important for selling the product. Hence, advertising and promotional expenses fall under
selling expenses. These are generally fixed.
▪ Variable selling expenses: Variable selling expenses include ordering costs, handling costs, and other selling
expenses that are incurred only when sales are made and the product needs to be distributed to the
customer.
▪ Additional selling expenses: Various expenses such as supplies, travel, etc. also fall under selling expenses.
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Types of Sales Budgeting
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Types of Sales Budgeting
• The estimate of administrative expenses is derived from the overall corporate activity instead.
• To estimate costs for this budget, it is useful to determine the activity levels at which incremental costs may be
incurred and include them in the budget.
• Incremental budgeting is a simple way to derive the administrative expense budget, where the estimates are
based on the last budget and adjusting the figures by 5 or 10 percent and using the result as the current
budget.
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Steps in Preparation of Sales Budget
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Steps in Preparation of Sales Budget
• There are two approaches for preparing the sales budget for a company:
Top-down budgeting
Bottom-up budgeting
Top-down Budgeting
• In the top-down budgeting method, the top management prepares a high-level budget based on the firm’s
objectives and allocates the amounts for the individual departments including sales.
• The sales department managers prepare their budget based on these numbers.
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Steps in Preparation of Sales Budget
• The top management uses the previous year’s budget and financial reports, past data, current market
conditions, and macroeconomic factors to prepare the high-level budget.
• Top-down budgeting suits smaller business structures where the chain of command between the top
management and lower-level managers is shorter.
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Steps in Preparation of Sales Budget
• The detailed budget from the sales department is sent back to the finance department that then reviews it to
ensure that it is aligned with the company’s overall goals.
• The budget may need revisions, after which it is finalised and entered into the system.
Advantages of Top-down Budgeting
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Steps in Preparation of Sales Budget
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Steps in Preparation of Sales Budget
Bottom-up Budgeting
• Bottom-up budgeting begins at the department level, moving up to the top level. Here the various departments
compile their targets and cost estimates for the given accounting period.
• All the individual estimates are then added to get the overall budget of the organisation.
• In this method, the managers of each department provide their inputs since they are more familiar with the
day-to-day operations of the company.
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Steps in Preparation of Sales Budget
• Once departments prepare their projections of activities and expenditures, the costs are added to arrive at the
total budget for the department.
• The budgets of all departments are then summed up to obtain the overall budget for the organisation.
• The top management reviews the budget to see whether the budget is aligned with the goals and objectives of
the firm for the accounting period. If the top management is not satisfied with the budget estimates, they may
ask the respective departments to revise the budgets and resubmit for approval.
• Once approved, the budget is sent to the finance department to allocate resources to individual departments.
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Steps in Preparation of Sales Budget
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Steps in Preparation of Sales Budget
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Sales Management – Session 5
Chapter 5 : Sales Quotas
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Meaning & Purpose of Sales Quota
• A sales quota is defined as a quantitative sales target assigned to a particular sales unit for a specific period.
This unit may be a particular region, sales team, or individual salesperson.
• Sales quotas help to stimulate a sales unit to perform its best and support the sales objectives of the firm.
• Apart from motivating the salesperson or team, sales quotas also act as a basis for establishing incentives,
compensation plans, and standards for performance evaluation.
• Sales quotas enable managers to understand how productive their sales teams are and whether the sales
processes are functioning optimally.
• Sales quotas can be measured in various ways, such as net profits, sales volumes, or activity.
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Meaning & Purpose of Sales Quota
Provide targets,
Create standards
compensation
for evaluating
plans, and
performance
incentives
Monitor and
regulate selling
expenses
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Meaning & Purpose of Sales Quota
216
Types of Sales Quota
• Sales managers can use various types of quotas for their teams. The common types of sales quotas that
managers use are:
Sales
Activity
Volume
Quota
Quota
Expenses
Profit Quota
Quota
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Types of Sales Quota
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Types of Sales Quota
• Sales volume quotas in monetary terms are more suitable when multiple products are sold to one or different
categories of customers.
• Sometimes, sales volume quotas are set on a point basis, i.e., points are awarded when a specific level of sales
in units and monetary terms is achieved per product or customer.
Activity Quota
• While sales volume quotas are the most common types, another widely used alternative involves creating
quotas based on activity.
• Activity quotas help to ensure that important sales activities are performed within a given period.
• The common activities on which this quota is based include the number of sales presentations made, number of
prospect calls made, number of meetings, number of recovery calls made, number of sales closed, and number of
new clients acquired.
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Types of Sales Quota
• Sometimes, activities that constitute the part of the sales process, but they do not translate directly into sales,
are also included.
• In a competitive market, the sales force may also need to perform activities related to market development to
build the reputation of the company.
• Activity quotas are useful because they motivate the sales force to perform not only the urgent selling activities
but also the non-selling market development-related activities that are important to the company, on time.
Profit Quota
• Profit quota is another common type of sales quota. Here, the sales force is expected to sell enough units or
subscriptions to generate a specified amount of profit for the given period.
• This type of quota is useful for companies that have products with a range of different profit margins.
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Types of Sales Quota
• Profit quotas are, therefore, suitable for multiproduct companies, for example, FMCG companies, where
different products contribute to different levels of profits.
• They motivate the sales force to spend more time selling high-margin items and less time on less profitable
items.
Expenses Quota
• There are some companies that set quotas for expenses involving different sales levels achieved by the sales
team.
• The sales force is given a budget that is a percentage of a sales territory’s sales volume and is expected to spend
only that sum as expenses. This type of quota ensures that the sales force tries to keep selling costs within
acceptable limits.
• These quotas are difficult to set and may also demotivate the sales force.
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Selling-by-Objectives Management
• Selling by Objectives (SBO) is a common concept in a selling organisation. Establishing sales quotas in a sales
organisation is an involved process and SBO management is a strategic management technique that aims to
improve the performance of the sales organisation by defining the selling objectives.
• SBO management is a managerial process where the management and sales persons come together to
determine the common objectives and agree on the anticipated results.
• The idea behind SBO is that when the management and employees together establish specific objectives, the
desired results, and the actions needed to achieve these results for the organisation in advance, it improves the
employees’ motivation to participate and commit to their work.
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Selling-by-Objectives Management
• SBO management sets future targets by treating the territory as a business and managing each account.
• SBO has the following key features:
▪ The salesforce is involved in setting the selling objectives of the organisation.
▪ Selling objectives are developed at both the qualitative and the qualitative levels.
▪ Selling objectives need to be both challenging and attainable.
▪ It aligns the overall objectives in the same direction.
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Selling-by-Objectives Management
Improves productivity
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Principles of Sales Quota
• The setting of sales quotas is a difficult process without a definite formula to follow.
• The key to establishing sales quotas is finding the right balance between being challenging and attainable.
• The principles of sales quota allow managers to create well-balanced sales quotas. These principles are shown
below:
Alignment
Objectivity Simplicity Accuracy Fairness
with strategy
Alignment
with
Attainability Flexibility Certainty Timeliness
compensation
plans
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