Chapter 2 Chemical Probability and Statistics
Chapter 2 Chemical Probability and Statistics
Chapter 2 Chemical Probability and Statistics
The expression is read, "the sum of X sub i from i equals 1 to N." It means "add up all the
numbers."
Example: Suppose the following were scores made on the first homework assignment for
five students in the class: 5, 7, 7, 6, and 8. In this example set of five numbers, where
N=5, the summation could be written:
Page 1
The "i=1" in the bottom of the summation notation tells where to begin the sequence of
summation. If the expression were written with "i=3", the summation would start with the
third number in the set. For example:
In the example set of numbers, this would give the following result:
The "N" in the upper part of the summation notation tells where to end the sequence of
summation. If there were only three scores then the summation and example would be:
Sometimes if the summation notation is used in an expression and the expression must be
written a number of times, as in a proof, then a shorthand notation for the shorthand
notation is employed. When the summation sign "∑" is used without additional notation,
then "i=1" and "N" are assumed.
For example:
PROPERTIES OF SUMMATION
1. where k is any constant
4.
Page 2
Example: considering the following data determine
X Y
5 6
7 7
7 8
6 7
8 8
a) e)
b) f)
c) g)
d) h)
Solutions:
a)
b)
c)
d)
e)
f)
g)
Page 3
h)
There are several different measures of central tendency; each has its advantage and
disadvantage.
The Mean (Arithmetic, Geometric and Harmonic)
The Mode
The Median
Quantiles (Quartiles, Deciles and Percentiles)
The choice of these averages depends up on which best fit the property under discussion.
If data are given in the shape of a continuous frequency distribution, then the mean is
obtained as follows:
Page 4
Xi =the class mark of the i th class and fi = the frequency of the i th
class
Example: calculate the mean for the following age distribution.
Class Frequency
6- 10 35
11- 15 23
16- 20 15
21- 25 12
26- 30 9
31- 35 6
Solutions:
First find the class marks
Find the product of frequency and class marks
Find mean using the formula.
Class fi Xi Xifi
6- 10 35 8 280
11- 15 23 13 299
16- 20 15 18 270
21- 25 12 23 276
26- 30 9 28 252
31- 35 6 33 198
Total 100 1575
Exercises:
Page 5
1. The sum of the deviations of a set of items from their mean is always zero. i.e.
2. The sum of the squared deviations of a set of items from their mean is the
minimum. i.e.
4. If a wrong figure has been used when calculating the mean the correct mean can be
obtained with out repeating the whole process using:
Solutions:
Page 6
5. The effect of transforming original series on the mean.
a) If a constant k is added/ subtracted to/from every observation then the new
mean will be the old mean± k respectively.
b) If every observations are multiplied by a constant k then the new mean will
be k*old mean
Example:
1. The mean of n Tetracycline Capsules X 1, X2, …, Xn are known to be 12 gm.
New set of capsules of another drug are obtained by the linear transformation
Yi = 2Xi – 0.5 ( i = 1, 2, …, n ) then what will be the mean of the new set of
capsules
Solutions:
Weighted Mean
When a proper importance is desired to be given to different data a weighted mean
is appropriate.
Weights are assigned to each item in proportion to its relative importance.
Let X1, X2, …Xn be the value of items of a series and W 1, W2, …Wn their
corresponding weights , then the weighted mean denoted is defined as:
Example:
A student obtained the following percentage in an examination:
English 60, Biology 75, Mathematics 63, Physics 59, and chemistry 55.Find the
students weighted arithmetic mean if weights 1, 2, 1, 3, 3 respectively are allotted
to the subjects.
Solutions:
Page 7
Merits and Demerits of Arithmetic Mean
Merits:
It is based on all observation.
It is suitable for further mathematical treatment.
It is stable average, i.e. it is not affected by fluctuations of sampling to some extent.
It is easy to calculate and simple to understand.
Demerits:
It is affected by extreme observations.
It can not be used in the case of open end classes.
It can not be determined by the method of inspection.
It can not be used when dealing with qualitative characteristics, such as intelligence,
honesty, beauty.
Example:
Solutions:
Remark: The Geometric Mean is useful and appropriate for finding averages of ratios.
The harmonic mean of X1, X2 , X3 …Xn is denoted by H.M and given by:
Page 8
, This is called simple harmonic mean.
If observations X1, X2, …Xn have weights W1, W2, …Wn respectively, then their
harmonic mean is given by
Remark: The Harmonic Mean is useful and appropriate in finding average speeds and
average rates.
Example: A cyclist pedals from his house to his college at speed of 10 km/hr and back
from the college to his house at 15 km/hr. Find the average speed.
The Mode
Examples:
1. Find the mode of 5, 3, 5, 8, 9
Mode =5
2. Find the mode of 8, 9, 9, 7, 8, 2, and 5.
It is a bimodal Data: 8 and 9
3. Find the mode of 4, 12, 3, 6, and 7.
No mode for this data.
- The mode of a set of numbers X1, X2, …Xn is usually denoted by .
Page 9
Mode for Grouped data
If data are given in the shape of continuous frequency distribution, the mode is defined
as:
Where:
Example: Following is the distribution of the size of certain farms selected at random
from a district. Calculate the mode of the distribution.
Solutions:
Page 10
Merits and Demerits of Mode
Merits:
It is not affected by extreme observations.
Easy to calculate and simple to understand.
It can be calculated for distribution with open end class
Demerits:
It is not rigidly defined.
It is not based on all observations
It is not suitable for further mathematical treatment.
It is not stable average, i.e. it is affected by fluctuations of sampling to
some extent.
Often its value is not unique.
Note: being the point of maximum density, mode is especially useful in finding the most
popular size in studies relating to marketing, trade, business, and industry. It is the
appropriate average to be used to find the ideal size.
The Median
- In a distribution, median is the value of the variable which divides it in to two equal halves.
- In an ordered series of data median is an observation lying exactly in the middle of the series.
It is the middle most value in the sense that the number of values less than the median is equal
to the number of values greater than it.
-If X1, X2, …Xn be the observations, then the numbers arranged in ascending order will be
X[1], X[2], …X[n], where X[i] is ith smallest value.
X[1]< X[2]< …<X[n]
-Median is denoted by .
Median for ungrouped data
Page 11
Example: Find the median of the following numbers.
a) 6, 5, 2, 8, 9, 4.
b) 2, 1, 8, 3, 5, 8.
Solutions:
a) First order the data: 2, 4, 5, 6, 8, 9
Here n=6
If data are given in the shape of continuous frequency distribution, the median is defined
as:
Remark:
The median class is the class with the smallest cumulative frequency (less than type) greater
than or equal to .
Example: Find the median of the following distribution.
Class Frequency
40-44 7
45-49 10
50-54 22
Page 12
55-59 15
60-64 12
65-69 6
70-74 3
Solutions:
First find the less than cumulative frequency.
Identify the median class.
Find median using formula.
Merits:
Median is a positional average and hence not influenced by extreme observations.
Can be calculated in the case of open end intervals.
Median can be located even if the data are incomplete.
Page 13
Demerits:
It is not a good representative of data if the number of items is small.
It is not amenable to further algebraic treatment.
It is susceptible to sampling fluctuations.
Page 14