Assam Budget Analysis 2024-25
Assam Budget Analysis 2024-25
Assam Budget Analysis 2024-25
2024-25
The Finance Minister of Assam, Ms. Ajanta Neog, presented the Budget for the state for the financial year 2024-25
on February 12, 2024.
Budget Highlights
▪ The Gross State Domestic Product (GSDP) of Assam for 2024-25 (at current prices) is projected to be Rs
6,43,089 crore, amounting to growth of 13% over 2023-24.
▪ Expenditure (excluding debt repayment) in 2024-25 is estimated to be Rs 1,36,699 crore, a decrease of
9% from the revised estimates of 2023-24. In addition, debt of Rs 7,192 crore will be repaid by the state.
▪ Receipts (excluding borrowings) for 2024-25 are estimated to be Rs 1,14,165 crore, a decrease of 5% as
compared to the revised estimate of 2023-24.
▪ Revenue surplus in 2024-25 is estimated to be 0.3% of GSDP (Rs 1,852 crore), as compared to a revenue
deficit of 0.2% of GSDP (Rs 1,396 crore) at the revised estimate stage in 2023-24. Assam had budgeted a
revenue surplus of 0.5% of GSDP in 2023-24.
▪ Fiscal deficit for 2024-25 is targeted at 3.5% of GSDP (Rs 22,534 crore). In 2023-24, as per the revised
estimates, fiscal deficit is expected to be 5.2% of GSDP, higher than the budgeted 3.7% of GSDP.
Policy Highlights
▪ Mukhya Mantri Nijut Moina: One-time incentives of Rs 10,000, Rs 12,500, and Rs 15,000 will be paid to 10
lakh girl students for joining class 11, graduation (first year), and post-graduation (first year), respectively. This
will be available for students taking admission in government colleges and institutions.
▪ Mukhya Mantri Mahila Udyamita Abhiyaan: A minimum amount of Rs 47,500 will be provided to each
woman member of self-help groups in rural and urban areas. This will be provided by a combination of grant,
subsidy, and loan.
▪ Mukhya Mantri Awaas Yojana (Gramin): Under the scheme, 13,000 houses each will be allocated to
eligible beneficiaries from tea garden communities and poorest of poor beneficiaries who were not included
under the socio-economic caste census.
▪ Rooftop solar: All new private and public buildings constructed in Assam will have to mandatorily install
rooftop solar facility.
▪ Farm mechanisation: The state government will distribute power tillers, tractors, threshers, and other farm
equipment to support agricultural activities.
11.5%
7.6%
10%
5.1%
▪
4.2%
0.9%
Tushar Chakrabarty
tushar@prsindia.org February 16, 2024
PRS Legislative Research ◼ Institute for Policy Research Studies
3rd Floor, Gandharva Mahavidyalaya ◼ 212, Deen Dayal Upadhyaya Marg ◼ New Delhi – 110002
Tel: (011) 2323 4801, 4343 4035 ◼ www.prsindia.org
Assam Budget Analysis 2024-25 PRS Legislative Research
Expenditure in 2024-25
▪ Revenue expenditure for 2024-25 is proposed to be
Rs 1,10,092 crore, a decrease of 7% from the revised Misclassification of grants-in-aid
estimate of 2023-24. This includes the expenditure
on salaries, pension, interest, grants, and subsidies. Grants-in-aid given by the state government must be
classified as revenue expenditure irrespective of their
▪ Capital outlay for 2024-25 is proposed to be Rs purpose. The CAG noted that in 2021-22, Assam classified
26,596 crore, a decrease of 15% from the revised grants-in-aid of Rs 6,169 crore as capital expenditure instead
estimate of 2023-24. At the revised estimate stage in of revenue expenditure. Accounting for this and other
transactions, Assam’s revenue deficit in 2021-22 was
2023-24, capital outlay is estimated to be 32% higher
understated by Rs 6,559 crore. The CAG observed that the
over the budget estimates. Capital outlay indicates state government has repeatedly classified disbursal of
the expenditure towards creation of assets. grants-in-aid as capital expenditure and has not taken any
▪ In 2023-24, loans and advances by the state are remedial action to correct the same.
expected to be Rs 11 crore, 95% lower as compared Sources: State Finances Audit Report of the CAG for the year ended
to the revised estimate of 2023-24. March 31, 2022; PRS.
Sector-wise expenditure: The sectors listed below account for 60% of the total expenditure on sectors by the
state in 2024-25. A comparison of Assam’s expenditure on key sectors with that by other states is shown in
Annexure 1.
Table 4: Sector-wise expenditure under Assam Budget 2024-25 (in Rs crore)
2022-23 2023-24 2023-24 2024-25 % change from
Sectors RE 23-24 to Budget Provisions (2024-25)
Actuals BE RE BE BE 24-25
▪ Rs 6,650 crore has been allocated for government
Education, Sports, primary schools.
19,810 22,766 25,926 23,227 -10%
Arts, and Culture ▪ Rs 5,884 crore has been allocated for assistance to
non-government secondary schools.
▪ Rs 3,800 crore has been allocated for Orunodoi
Social Welfare and scheme.
7,051 10,042 11,723 11,088 -5%
Nutrition
▪ Rs 1,792 crore has been allocated for child welfare.
▪ Rs 8,166 crore has been allocated for capital outlay on
Transport 9,847 13,261 13,321 10,146 -24%
roads and bridges.
▪ Rs 3,782 crore has been allocated for Rural Health
Health and Family Services – Allopathy.
6,876 7,506 8,242 8,399 2%
Welfare ▪ Rs 1,157 crore has been allocated for Urban Health
Services – Allopathy.
Police 5,206 7,894 8,482 7,121 -16% ▪ Rs 3,359 crore has been allocated for district police.
▪ Rs 1,437 crore has been allocated for crop husbandry
Agriculture and – horticulture.
4,138 5,460 6,229 6,091 -2%
Allied Activities ▪ Rs 1,349 crore has been allocated for forestry and
wildlife.
▪ Rs 1,421 crore has been allocated for NREGS.
Rural Development 5,376 5,619 5,640 5,121 -9%
▪ Rs 569 crore has been allocated for Panchayati Raj.
Irrigation and Flood ▪ Rs 1,586 crore has been allocated for capital outlay on
2,532 2,892 2,977 3,859 30%
Control flood control projects.
Welfare of SC, ST, ▪ Rs 2,678 crore has been allocated for welfare of
3,182 3,639 3,678 3,402 -7%
OBC, and Minorities scheduled tribes.
▪ Rs 1,240 crore has been allocated for integrated
Urban Development 2,762 4,083 4,805 3,127 -35%
development of small and medium towns.
% of total
expenditure on all 57% 62% 61% 60%
sectors
Sources: Annual Financial Statement, Assam Budget Documents 2024-25; PRS.
Receipts in 2024-25
▪ Total revenue receipts for 2024-25 are estimated to be Rs 1,11,944 crore, a decrease of 4% from the
revised estimate of 2023-24. Of this, Rs 43,020 crore (38%) will be raised by the state through its own
resources, and Rs 68,924 crore (62%) will come from the centre. Resources from the centre will be in the
form of state’s share in central taxes (36% of revenue receipts) and grants (26% of revenue receipts).
▪ Devolution: In 2024-25, state’s share in central taxes is estimated at Rs 40,000 crore, an increase of 16%
over the revised estimate of 2023-24.
▪ Grants from the centre in 2024-25 are estimated at Rs 28,924 crore, a decrease of 36% from the revised
estimates for 2023-24. In 2024-25, grants for centrally sponsored schemes and finance commission grants
are seen to be 26% and 53% lower respectively as compared to the revised estimates of 2023-24.
▪ State’s own tax revenue: Assam’s total own tax revenue is estimated to be Rs 34,148 crore in 2024-25, an
increase of 13% over the revised estimate of 2023-24. Own tax revenue as a percentage of GSDP is
estimated at 5.3% in 2024-25, same as the revised estimates for 2023-24. As per the actual figures for
2022-23, own tax revenue as a percentage of GSDP was 5%.
Table 5: Break-up of the state government’s receipts (in Rs crore)
% change from % change from
2022-23 2023-24 2023-24 2024-25
Items BE 2023-24 to RE 2023-24 to
Actuals Budgeted Revised Budgeted
RE 2023-24 BE 2024-25
State's Own Tax 24,502 30,002 30,113 0% 34,148 13%
State's Own Non-Tax 5,761 7,011 7,124 2% 8,871 25%
Share in Central Taxes 29,694 31,951 34,549 8% 40,000 16%
Grants-in-aid from Centre 29,785 45,121 45,253 0% 28,924 -36%
Revenue Receipts 89,742 1,14,085 1,17,038 3% 1,11,944 -4%
Non-debt Capital Receipts 5 307 3,357 10 2,221 -34%
Net Receipts 89,747 1,14,392 1,20,395 5% 1,14,165 -5%
Note: BE is Budget Estimates; RE is Revised Estimates.
Sources: Annual Financial Statement, Assam Budget Documents 2024-25; Arrears of Revenue
PRS.
Arrears of revenue indicate delayed realisation of revenue
▪ In 2024-25, State GST is estimated to be the largest due to the government. It deprives the state of potential
source of own tax revenue (50% share). State GST revenue receipts. The CAG noted that as on March 31,
revenue is estimated to increase by 14% over the revised 2022, Assam’s revenue arrears were Rs 4,399 crore. Out of
estimates of 2023-24. this, Rs 3,128 crore has been in arrears for more than five
years. The highest amount of Rs 2,847 crore pertains to
▪ Revenue from Sales tax/ VAT in 2024-25 is expected at a land revenue followed by Rs 1,365 crore in arrears against
level similar to the revised estimate stage of 2023-24. In sales tax/ VAT. The CAG noted that clearance of arrears
2023-24, revenue from sales/ VAT is seen to be 12% would need focused efforts by the concerned departments
higher at the revised estimate stage as compared to the along with other entities such as banks, police, and judicial
budget estimates. bodies involved in the process.
▪ Revenue from state excise is estimated to be 35% higher Sources: State Finances Audit Report of the CAG for the year ended
March 31, 2022; PRS.
in 2024-25 over the revised estimate of 2023-24.
2022-23
2025-26*
2026-27*
2027-28*
2028-29*
2029-30*
2024-25 BE
2023-24 RE
2021-22
2025-26*
2026-27*
2027-28*
2028-29*
2029-30*
2019-20
2020-21
2022-23
2023-24 BE
2024-25 BE
2021-22
Outstanding Government Guarantees: Outstanding debt of states do not include a few other liabilities that are
contingent in nature, which states may have to honour in certain cases. State governments guarantee the
borrowings of State Public Sector Enterprises (SPSEs) from financial institutions. As of March 31, 2023, the
state’s outstanding guarantee is estimated to be Rs 1,167 crore, which is 0.2% of Assam’s GSDP in 2022-23.
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5% 2% 2%
0% 0% 0%
2022-23
2023-24 (RE)
2024-25 (BE)
2023-24 (RE)
2023-24 (BE)
2024-25 (BE)
Average of all states
2022-23
2023-24 (RE)
2023-24 (BE)
2024-25 (BE)
Average of all
(2023-24 BE)
2023-24 (RE)
2024-25 (BE)
2022-23
2023-24 (RE)
2023-24 (BE)
2024-25 (BE)
Average of all states
2022-23
2023-24 (RE)
2023-24 (BE)
(2023-24 BE)
(2023-24 BE)
(2023-24 BE)
Note: 2022-23, 2023-24 (BE), 2023-24 (RE), and 2024-25 (BE) figures are for Assam.
Sources: Annual Financial Statement, Assam Bengal Budget Documents 2024-25; various state budgets; PRS.
1
The 31 states include the Union Territories of Delhi, Jammu and Kashmir, and Puducherry.