Draft Ac 25.1309-1B

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U.S.

Department Advisory
of Transportation
Federal Aviation
Administration
Circular

Subject: System Design and Analysis Date: D R A F T AC No: 25.1309-1B


Initiated By: AIR-600

This advisory circular (AC) describes acceptable means, but not the only means, for showing
compliance with the requirements of title 14, Code of Federal Regulations (14 CFR) 25.1309,
Equipment, systems, and installations. These means are intended to provide guidance to
supplement the engineering and operational judgment that form the basis of any showing of
compliance.
Revision B of this AC contains new guidance based on proposed rule changes to § 25.1309. You
can find those proposed changes in Notice of Proposed Rulemaking titled System Safety
Assessments, Notice No. **. That NPRM was published in the Federal Register on ** (** FR
**) and is available on the Internet at http://www.regulations.gov/ under Docket No. FAA-2022-
1544. The FAA recommends that you refer to that NPRM before reading and commenting on
this proposed AC.
If you have suggestions for improving this AC, you may use the Advisory Circular Feedback
form at the end of this AC.

Victor Wicklund
Acting Director, Policy and Innovation Division
Aircraft Certification Service
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

CONTENTS

Paragraph Page

Chapter 1. General Information ................................................................................................... 1-1


1.1 Purpose.......................................................................................................................... 1-1
1.2 Applicability. ................................................................................................................ 1-1
1.3 Cancellation. ................................................................................................................. 1-3
1.4 Related Documents. ...................................................................................................... 1-4
1.5 Definitions..................................................................................................................... 1-6

Chapter 2. Background ................................................................................................................ 2-1


2.1 General. ......................................................................................................................... 2-1
2.2 Fail-Safe Design Concept. ............................................................................................ 2-1
2.3 Highly Integrated Systems. ........................................................................................... 2-3
2.4 Use of Both Qualitative and Quantitative Methods. ..................................................... 2-3

Chapter 3. Failure Condition Classifications and Probability Terms .......................................... 3-1


3.1 Classifications. .............................................................................................................. 3-1
3.2 Qualitative Probability Terms. ...................................................................................... 3-2
3.3 Quantitative Probability Terms. .................................................................................... 3-4

Chapter 4. Safety Objective ......................................................................................................... 4-1


4.1 Objective of § 25.1309. ................................................................................................. 4-1
4.2 Safety Objectives for Failure Conditions...................................................................... 4-1
4.3 Safety Requirements for Catastrophic Failure Conditions. .......................................... 4-3

Chapter 5. Compliance with § 25.1309 ....................................................................................... 5-1


5.1 Overview. ...................................................................................................................... 5-1
5.2 Compliance with § 25.1309(a). ..................................................................................... 5-1
5.3 Compliance with § 25.1309(b). .................................................................................... 5-2
5.4 Compliance with § 25.1309(c). ..................................................................................... 5-7
5.5 Compliance with § 25.1309(d). .................................................................................... 5-9

Chapter 6. Identification of Failure Conditions and Considerations when Assessing their


Effects .................................................................................................................................... 6-1
6.1 Identification of Failure Conditions. ............................................................................. 6-1
6.2 Identification of Failure Conditions Using a Functional Hazard Assessment. ............. 6-2

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

CONTENTS (CONTINUED)

Paragraph Page
6.3 Considerations when Assessing Failure Condition Effects. ......................................... 6-2

Chapter 7. Assessment of Failure Condition Probabilities and Analysis Considerations ........... 7-1
7.1 General. ......................................................................................................................... 7-1
7.2 Assessment of Failure Condition Probabilities. ............................................................ 7-1
7.3 Single Failure Considerations. ...................................................................................... 7-2
7.4 Common Cause Failure Considerations........................................................................ 7-2
7.5 Depth of Analysis. ........................................................................................................ 7-3
7.6 Calculation of Average Probability per Flight Hour (Quantitative Analysis). ............. 7-5
7.7 Integrated Systems. ....................................................................................................... 7-6
7.8 Operational or Environmental Conditions. ................................................................... 7-7
7.9 Justification of Assumptions, Data Sources, and Analytical Techniques. .................... 7-8

Chapter 8. Operational and Maintenance Considerations............................................................ 8-1


8.1 Overview. ...................................................................................................................... 8-1
8.2 Flightcrew Action. ........................................................................................................ 8-1
8.3 Maintenance Action. ..................................................................................................... 8-1

Chapter 9. Assessment of Modifications to Previously Certificated Airplanes........................... 9-1

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

CONTENTS (CONTINUED)

FIGURES

Number Page
Figure 4-1. Relationship between Probability and Severity of Failure Condition Effects .......... 4-1

Figure C-1. Depth of Analysis Flowchart ....................................................................................C-3


Figure C-2. Overview of Safety Assessment Process ..................................................................C-6
Figure D-1. Example of Fault Tree for § 25.1309(b)(5) Compliance ........................................ D-1

TABLES

Number Page
Table 4-1. Relationship between Probability and Severity of Failure Conditions ...................... 4-2
Table D-1. Example of CSL+1 Identification for § 25.1309(b)(5) Compliance ........................ D-2
Table E-1. Environmental Factors ............................................................................................... E-1
Table E-2. Airplane Configurations ............................................................................................. E-2
Table E-3. Flight Conditions........................................................................................................ E-2
Table E-4. Mission Dependencies ............................................................................................... E-3
Table E-5. Other Events ............................................................................................................... E-3
Table G-1. Acronyms and Definitions ........................................................................................ G-1

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

CHAPTER 1. GENERAL INFORMATION

1.1 Purpose.

1.1.1 This AC describes acceptable means, but not the only means, for showing compliance
with 14 CFR 25.1309, Equipment, systems, and installations. These means are intended
to provide guidance to supplement the engineering and operational judgment that form
the basis of any showing of compliance. The contents of this document do not have the
force and effect of law and are not meant to bind the public in any way. This document
is intended only to provide clarity to the public regarding existing requirements under
the law or agency policies.

1.1.2 Revision B of this AC contains new guidance based on proposed rule changes to
§ 25.1309, which the Federal Aviation Administration (FAA) published in the Federal
Register as NPRM Notice No. **, System Safety Assessment (** FR **). This revision
also improves upon the materials published in AC 25.1309-1A by providing more
substantive guidance on safety analysis methods.

1.2 Applicability.

1.2.1 Applicability of this AC.

1.2.1.1 The guidance in this AC is for airplane manufacturers, modifiers, foreign


regulatory authorities, and FAA Aircraft Certification Service engineers
and the Administrator’s designees.

1.2.1.2 Conformity with the guidance is voluntary only and nonconformity will
not affect rights and obligations under existing statutes and regulations.
The FAA will consider other methods of demonstrating compliance that
an applicant may elect to present. Terms such as “should,” “may,” and
“must” are used only in the sense of ensuring applicability of this
particular method of compliance when the acceptable method of
compliance in this document is used. If the FAA becomes aware of
circumstances in which following this AC would not result in compliance
with the applicable regulations, the agency may require additional
substantiation as the basis for finding compliance.

1.2.2 Applicability of § 25.1309.

1.2.2.1 Section 25.1309 is intended as a general requirement to be applied to any


equipment or system as installed on the airplane, be it for type
certification, operating rules, or optional, in addition to specific systems
requirements, except as indicated below.

1.2.2.2 Although the applicant does not need to account for § 25.1309 when
showing compliance with the performance and flight characteristics

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requirements of part 25, subpart B, and the structural requirements of


part 25, subparts C and D, § 25.1309 does apply to any system on which
compliance with any of those requirements is based. For example,
§ 25.1309 does not apply to an airplane’s inherent stall characteristics or
their evaluation, but it does apply to a stall warning system used for
compliance with § 25.207.

1.2.2.3 Jams of flight control surfaces or pilot controls covered by § 25.671(c) are
excepted from the requirements of § 25.1309(b)(1)(ii).

1.2.2.4 Single failures covered by § 25.735(b)(1) are excepted from the


requirements of § 25.1309(b) because § 25.735(b)(1) limits the effect of a
single failure in the brake system to doubling the brake roll stopping
distance. The diverse circumstances under which such a failure could
occur make any structured determination of its outcome or frequency
indeterminate. However, § 25.1309(b) does apply to single failures in the
brake systems if the failures affect functions other than braking. For
example, if a hydraulic brake line failure in the brake system also affects
ground spoiler deployment, then § 25.1309(b) applies to that failure.

1.2.2.5 The failure effects covered by §§ 25.810(a)(1)(v) and 25.812 are excepted
from the requirements of § 25.1309(b). The failure conditions associated
with these cabin safety equipment installations are associated with varied
evacuation scenarios for which the probability cannot be determined due
to the multitude of factors that can lead to an evacuation. For these types
of equipment, the FAA has not been able to define appropriate scenarios
under which an applicant could demonstrate compliance with
§ 25.1309(b). Therefore, the FAA considers it acceptable in terms of
safety to require particular design features or specific reliability
demonstrations for these types of equipment, and to exclude these
equipment items from the requirements of § 25.1309(b). Traditionally, the
FAA has found this approach acceptable.

1.2.2.6 The requirements of § 25.1309 are applicable to powerplant installations


as defined in § 25.901(a). The specific applicability and exceptions are
stated in § 25.901(c). That regulation states that § 25.1309(b) does not
apply to propeller debris release failures addressed by § 25.905(d) and part
35. Section 25.1309(b) does not apply to uncontained engine rotor failure,
engine case rupture, or engine case burn-through failures addressed by
§§ 25.903(d)(1) and 25.1193 and part 33.

1.2.2.7 In accordance with § 25.901(d), the requirements of § 25.901(c) and hence


§ 25.1309 are applicable to auxiliary power unit installations.

1.2.2.8 Some systems and functions already receive an evaluation to show


compliance with specific requirements for specific failure conditions.
Such evaluations may also be used to show compliance with § 25.1309

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

without additional or duplicative analysis for those specific failure


conditions. The applicant provides substantiation that the evaluation is an
acceptable means of compliance to § 25.1309 and documents it in the
certification plans for approval by the certification office.

1.2.2.9 Section 25.1309 applies to structural elements in systems, even though


those structural elements may also be required to meet the fatigue and
damage tolerance criteria of § 25.571. With the exception of the main
structural elements in landing gear, the horizontal stabilizer surface, and
other control surfaces, meeting the damage tolerance requirement of
§ 25.571 by itself is not sufficient to justify the assumption that a single
failure will not occur. This is because single failure of structural elements
can occur due to causes other than those addressed by § 25.571. For
further information, see Policy Statement No. PS-ANM-25-12.

1.2.2.10 Section 25.954, Fuel system lightning protection, regulates that subject.
Refer to AC 25.954-1, Transport Airplane Fuel System Lightning
Protection, dated September 24, 2018, for guidance on the safety
assessment of fuel tank lightning protection.

1.2.2.11 Although § 25.1309 is always applicable to all operating conditions (on


ground and in flight) of the airplane or system proposed for certification, it
is only applicable to ground operating conditions when the airplane is in
service (that is, from the time the airplane arrives at a gate or other
location for pre-flight preparations, until it is removed from service for
shop maintenance, storage, etc.). While ground operating conditions
include conditions associated with line maintenance, dispatch
determinations, embarkation and disembarkation, taxi, and the like, they
do not include periods of shop maintenance, storage, or other
out-of-service activities.

1.2.2.12 Applicants should also account for risks to persons other than airplane
occupants, such as ground crew, when assessing systems failure
conditions for compliance with § 25.1309. Such risks include threats to
people on the ground or adjacent to the airplane during ground operations,
electric shock threats to mechanics, and other similar situations. Because
such risks to individuals are usually less significant in comparison with the
risk to the airplane and its larger number of occupants, the FAA has not
typically required applicants to address these risks in demonstrating
compliance with § 25.1309. However, the FAA would find proposed
designs non-compliant if the design included an unacceptable potential
threat to persons outside the airplane or to line mechanics.

1.3 Cancellation.
This AC cancels AC 25.1309-1A, dated June 21, 1988.

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

1.4 Related Documents.


The following regulatory and advisory materials are related to this AC:

1.4.1 Related Regulations.


The following 14 CFR part 25 regulations are related to this AC. You can download the
full text of these regulations from the Federal Register website at www.eCFR.gov,
jointly administered by the Office of the Federal Register (OFR) of the National
Archives and Records Administration (NARA) and the U.S. Government Publishing
Office (GPO). You can order a paper copy from the U.S. Superintendent of Documents,
U.S. Government Publishing Office, Washington, D.C. 20401; at www.gpo.gov, by
calling telephone number (202) 512-1800; or by sending a fax to (202) 512-2250.
• Section 25.4, Definitions.
• Section 25.302, Interaction of systems and structures.
• Section 25.305, Strength and deformation.
• Section 25.365, Pressurized compartment loads.
• Section 25.629, Aeroelastic stability requirements.
• Section 25.671, Control Systems—General.
• Section 25.735, Brakes and braking systems.
• Section 25.773, Pilot compartment view.
• Section 25.783, Fuselage doors.
• Section 25.841, Pressurized cabins.
• Section 25.901, Installation.
• Section 25.933, Reversing systems.
• Section 25.981, Fuel tank explosion prevention.
• Section 25.1329, Flight guidance system.
• Section 25.1333, Instrument systems.
• Section 25.1351, Electrical Systems and Equipment—General.
• Section 25.1365, Electrical appliances, motors, and transformers.
• Section 25.1431, Electronic equipment.
• Section 25.1447, Equipment standards for oxygen dispensing units.
• Section 25.1709, System safety: EWIS.
• Section I25.3, Performance and System Reliability Requirements, of Appendix I,
Installation of an Automatic Takeoff Thrust Control System (ATTCS).
• Section K25.1, Design Requirements, of Appendix K, Extended Operations
(ETOPS).

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1.4.2 Advisory Circulars.


The following ACs are related to the guidance in this AC. If any AC is revised after
publication of this AC, you should refer to the latest version at the FAA website,
https://drs.faa.gov.
• AC 20-115D, Airborne Software Development Assurance Using EUROCAE
ED-12( ) and RTCA DO-178( ), dated July 21, 2017.
• AC 20-152, RTCA, Inc., Document RTCA/DO-254, Design Assurance Guidance for
Airborne Electronic Hardware, dated June 30, 2005.
• AC 20-174, Development of Civil Aircraft and Systems, dated September 30, 2011.
• AC 25-19A, Certification Maintenance Requirements, dated October 3, 2011.
• AC 25.671-X, Control Systems—General (to be released for public comment
concurrently with this proposed AC).
• AC 25.901-X, Safety Assessment of Powerplant Installations (to be released for
public comment concurrently with this proposed AC).
• AC 25.933-X, Unwanted In-flight Thrust Reversal of Turbojet Thrust Reversers (to
be released for public comment concurrently with this proposed AC).
• AC 25.1302-1, Installed Systems and Equipment for Use by the Flightcrew, dated
May 3, 2013.
• AC 25.1322-1, Flightcrew Alerting, dated December 13, 2010.
• AC 120-28D, Criteria for Approval of Category III Weather Minima for Takeoff,
Landing, and Rollout, dated July 13, 1999.

1.4.3 Policy Statements.


Policy Statement No. PS-ANM-25-12, Certification of Structural Elements in Flight
Control Systems, dated March 13, 2015, is referenced in this AC. A copy of that policy
is available at the FAA website at https://drs.faa.gov.

1.4.4 Industry Documents.


You can purchase a copy of the following RTCA (formerly known as Radio Technical
Commission for Aeronautics) documents by mail from RTCA Inc., 1150 18th Street
NW, Suite 910, Washington, DC 20036; by completing the Document Order Form and
faxing it to (202) 833-9434; or on the Internet at http://www.rtca.org. You can purchase
a copy of the following SAE International Aerospace Recommended Practice (ARP)
documents by mail from SAE Customer Service, 400 Commonwealth Drive,
Warrendale, PA, 15096; or on the Internet at http://www.sae.org/.
• RTCA, Inc., Document DO-160G, Environmental Conditions and Test Procedures
for Airborne Equipment.
• RTCA, Inc., Document DO-178C, Software Considerations in Airborne Systems
and Equipment Certification.

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• RTCA, Inc., Document DO-254, Design Assurance Guidance for Airborne


Electronic Hardware.
• SAE ARP 4754A, Guidelines for Development of Civil Aircraft and Systems.
• SAE ARP 4761, Guidelines and Methods for Conducting the Safety Assessment
Process on Civil Airborne Systems and Equipment.

1.5 Definitions.
The following definitions apply to the system design and analysis requirements of
§ 25.1309 and the guidance material in this AC; several are restatements of the
definitions in the rule. You should not assume that these definitions apply to the same or
similar terms used in other regulations or ACs. The FAA has not defined terms for
which standard dictionary definitions apply.

1.5.1 Analysis.
The terms “analysis” and “assessment” are used throughout this AC. The two terms are
to some extent interchangeable. However, “analysis” generally implies a more specific,
more detailed evaluation, while “assessment” may be a more general or broader
evaluation but may include one or more types of analysis. In practice, the meaning
comes from the specific application, for example, fault tree analysis, Markov analysis,
preliminary system safety assessment (PSSA), and so forth.

1.5.2 Assessment.
See the definition of analysis above.

1.5.3 Average Probability per Flight Hour.


For the purpose of this AC, this term is the quotient of the number of times the subject
failure condition is predicted to occur during the entire operating life of all airplanes of
the type divided by the anticipated total operating hours of all airplanes of that type.
Please note that the average probability per flight hour is normally calculated as the
probability of a failure condition occurring during a typical flight of mean duration
divided by that mean duration. Evaluate the probability per flight, rather than per flight
hour, for failure conditions that are only relevant during a specific flight phase. (See
paragraph 7.6.1.4 of this AC.)

1.5.4 Catastrophic Single Latent Failure Plus One (CSL+1).


A catastrophic failure condition that results from a combination of two failures, either of
which could be latent for more than one flight.

1.5.5 Certification Maintenance Requirement (CMR).


A required scheduled maintenance task established during the design certification of the
airplane systems as an airworthiness limitation of the type certificate or supplemental
type certificate (as defined in § 25.4 and applicable to all of part 25).

1.5.6 Complex.

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A system is complex when its operation, failure modes, or failure effects are difficult to
comprehend without the aid of analytical methods.

1.5.7 Conventional.
A system is conventional if its functionality, the technological means used to implement
its functionality, and its intended usage are all the same as, or closely similar to, that of
previously approved systems that are commonly used.

1.5.8 Design Appraisal.


A qualitative appraisal of the integrity and safety of the system design.

1.5.9 Development Assurance.


All planned and systematic actions used to substantiate, to an adequate level of
confidence, that errors in requirements, design, and implementation have been
identified and corrected so that the system satisfies the applicable certification basis.

1.5.10 Error.
An omission or incorrect action by a crewmember or maintenance personnel, or a
mistake in requirements, design, or implementation.

1.5.11 Event.
An occurrence that has its origin distinct from the airplane, such as atmospheric
conditions (e.g., gusts, temperature variations, icing, and lightning strikes); runway
conditions; conditions of communication, navigation, and surveillance services;
bird-strike; and cabin and baggage fires (not initiated by features installed on the
airplane); etc. The term does not cover sabotage or other similar intentional acts.

1.5.12 Failure.
An occurrence that affects the operation of a component, part, or element such that it no
longer functions as intended. This includes both loss of function and malfunction.
Note: Errors and events may cause failures or influence their effects, but are not
considered to be failures.

1.5.13 Failure Condition.


A condition, caused or contributed to by one more failures or errors, that has either a
direct or consequential effect on the airplane, its occupants, or other persons, accounting
for—
• Flight phase,
• Relevant adverse operational or environmental conditions, and
• External events.

1.5.14 Installation Appraisal.


This is a qualitative appraisal of the integrity and safety of the installation. Any
deviations from normal, industry-accepted installation practices, such as clearances or

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tolerances, should be evaluated, especially when appraising modifications made after


entry into service.

1.5.15 Latent Failure.


A failure whose presence is not apparent to the flightcrew or maintenance personnel.

1.5.16 Qualitative.
Those analytical processes that assess system and airplane safety in a non-numerical
manner.

1.5.17 Quantitative.
Those analytical processes that apply numerical methods and statistical analyses to
assess system and airplane safety.

1.5.18 Redundancy.
The presence of more than one independent means for accomplishing a given function
or flight operation.

1.5.19 Significant Latent Failure (SLF).


A latent failure that, in combination with one or more specific failures or events, would
result in a hazardous or catastrophic failure condition.

1.5.20 Single Failure.


Any occurrence, or set of occurrences, that cannot be shown to be independent from
each other (e.g., failures due to a common cause), that affect the operation of
components, parts, or elements such that they no longer function as intended. (See
definition of “Failure.”)

1.5.21 System.
A combination of components, parts, and elements that is interconnected to perform one
or more functions.

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CHAPTER 2. BACKGROUND

2.1 General.

2.1.1 The FAA is issuing this AC concurrently with a number of rule changes that address
system safety, such as §§ 25.302, 25.629, 25.671, 25.901, 25.933, 25.1309, and others.
The agency developed these rule changes, and corresponding advisory material, based
on recommendations from several working groups under the Aviation Rulemaking
Advisory Committee (ARAC).

2.1.2 In 2010, the ARAC Airplane-Level Safety Analysis Working Group (ASAWG)
provided recommendations for changes to §§ 25.1301 and 25.1309. The ASAWG also
recommended changes to the corresponding advisory material, and the FAA used these
recommendations to develop this AC.

2.1.3 In the early years of aviation, airplane systems were evaluated to specific requirements:
to the “single fault” criterion, or to the fail-safe design concept, which are explained
below. As later-generation airplanes developed, their designers added more
safety-critical functions, which generally resulted in an increase in the complexity of the
systems designed to perform these functions. A safety-critical function was a function
whose failure would result in a catastrophic accident. The potential hazards to the
airplane and its occupants, in the event of failure of one or more functions provided by a
system, had to be considered, as did the interaction between systems performing
different functions. To assess the safety of a complex system—and the adequacy of
system redundancy to meet the fail-safe criterion—the FAA began assigning statistical
probabilities to system failures in AC 25.1309-1, dated September 7, 1982. The
agency’s primary objective was to ensure that the proliferation of safety-critical systems
would not increase the probability of a catastrophic accident. The FAA assigned
numerical values to the qualitative probabilistic terms in the requirements, for use in
those cases where the impact of system failures is examined by quantitative methods of
analysis. However, numerical values were intended to supplement, not replace,
qualitative methods based on engineering and operational judgment. See appendix A for
a historical perspective of the use of statistical probabilities in system safety assessment.

2.2 Fail-Safe Design Concept.


The part 25 airworthiness standards for installations of systems and equipment are
based on, and incorporate, the objectives, principles, and techniques of the fail-safe
design concept, which instructs the engineer to assume that single failures will happen,
and to consider the effects of those failures and combinations of failures in defining a
safe design.

2.2.1 In fail-safe design, the following basic objectives pertaining to failures apply:

2.2.1.1 In any system or subsystem, the failure of any single element, component,
or connection during any one flight must be assumed, regardless of its

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probability. Such single failures must not be catastrophic. See definition of


“catastrophic” in paragraph 3.1.5 of this AC.

2.2.1.2 Subsequent failures during the same flight, whether detected or latent, and
combinations thereof, must also be assumed. If the effect of a subsequent
failure or failures when combined with the first failure is catastrophic, then
their joint probability with the first failure must be shown to be extremely
improbable.

2.2.2 The fail-safe design concept uses the following design principles or techniques in order
to ensure a safe design. The use of only one of these principles or techniques is seldom
adequate. A combination of two or more is usually needed to provide a fail-safe design,
in other words, to ensure that major failure conditions are remote, hazardous failure
conditions are extremely remote, and catastrophic failure conditions are extremely
improbable.

2.2.2.1 Designed Integrity and Quality, including Life Limits, to ensure intended
function and prevent failures.

2.2.2.2 Redundancy or Backup Systems to enable continued function after any


single (or other defined number of) failure(s), for example, two or more
engines, hydraulic systems, flight control systems, and so forth.

2.2.2.3 Isolation and/or Segregation of Systems, Components, and Elements so


that the failure of one does not cause the failure of another.

2.2.2.4 Proven Reliability so that multiple, independent failures are unlikely to


occur during the same flight.

2.2.2.5 Failure Warning or Indication to provide detection.

2.2.2.6 Flightcrew Procedures specifying corrective action for use after failure
detection.

2.2.2.7 Checkability, which is the capability to check a component’s condition.

2.2.2.8 Designed Failure Effect Limits, including the capability to sustain damage
to limit the safety impact or effects of a failure.

2.2.2.9 Designed Failure Path to control and direct the effects of a failure in a way
that limits its safety impact.

2.2.2.10 Margins or Factors of Safety to allow for any undefined or unforeseeable


adverse conditions.

2.2.2.11 Error Tolerance that considers adverse effects of foreseeable errors during
the airplane’s design, test, manufacture, operation, and maintenance.

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2.3 Highly Integrated Systems.


In 1998, the ARAC System Design and Analysis Working Group raised a concern
regarding the efficiency and coverage of the techniques used for assessing safety
aspects of highly integrated systems that perform complex and interrelated functions,
particularly through the use of electronic technology and software-based techniques.
The concern was that design and analysis techniques applied to deterministic risks or to
conventional, non-complex systems might not provide adequate safety coverage for
more complex systems. Thus, other assurance techniques have also been applied by the
FAA and applicants to these more complex systems. These techniques included
development assurance using a combination of process assurance; validation and
verification techniques; and structured analysis or assessment techniques conducted at
the airplane level if necessary or across integrated or interacting systems. The
systematic use of these techniques increases confidence that errors in requirements,
designs, and integration or interaction effects have been adequately identified and
corrected. Applicants should emphasize the fail-safe design concept discussed in
paragraph 2.2 of this AC in the development and assurance of highly integrated
systems.

2.4 Use of Both Qualitative and Quantitative Methods.


Considering the above developments, as well as revisions made to § 25.1309, this AC
includes additional approaches, both qualitative and quantitative, which may be used to
assist establishing compliance with system safety requirements, considering the whole
airplane and its systems. This AC also provides guidance to assist applicants in
determining when, or if, particular analyses or development assurance activities should
be conducted in the frame of the development and safety assessment processes. See
AC 20-174 and the industry documents listed in paragraph 1.4.4 of this AC for
additional guidance. In summary, both qualitative and quantitative methods are used in
practice, and both are often necessary to some degree to support a compliance finding.
See appendix B for guidance on qualitative and quantitative methods for assessment of
failure conditions.

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CHAPTER 3. FAILURE CONDITION CLASSIFICATIONS AND PROBABILITY TERMS

3.1 Classifications.
The FAA classifies failure conditions according to the severity of their effects as
defined in paragraphs 3.1.1 through 3.1.5 below.
Note: The definitions provided for major, hazardous, and catastrophic failure conditions
are the same as those found in § 25.4.

3.1.1 No Safety Effect.


Failure conditions that would have no effect on safety, for example, failure conditions
that would not affect the operational capability of the airplane, not affect passengers or
cabin crew, or not increase flightcrew workload.

3.1.2 Minor.
A failure condition that would not significantly reduce airplane safety and would only
involve flightcrew actions that are well within their capabilities. Minor failure
conditions may result in, for example—
• A slight reduction in safety margins or functional capabilities,
• A slight increase in flightcrew workload, such as routine flight plan changes,
• Some physical discomfort to passengers or flight attendants, or
• An effect of similar severity.

3.1.3 Major.
A failure condition that would reduce the capability of the airplane or the ability of the
flightcrew to cope with adverse operating conditions, to the extent that there would
be—
• A significant reduction in safety margins or functional capabilities,
• A significant increase in flightcrew workload or in conditions impairing the
efficiency of the flightcrew,
• Physical distress to passengers or flight attendants, possibly including injuries, or
• An effect of similar severity.

3.1.4 Hazardous.
A failure condition that would reduce the capability of the airplane or the ability of the
flightcrew to cope with adverse operating conditions to the extent that there would be—
• A large reduction in safety margins or functional capabilities,
• Physical distress or excessive workload such that the flightcrew cannot be relied
upon to perform their tasks accurately or completely, or

3-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

• Serious or fatal injuries to a relatively small number of persons other than the
flightcrew.
Note: For the purpose of performing a safety assessment, a “small number” of fatal
injuries means one such injury.

3.1.5 Catastrophic.
A failure condition that would result in multiple fatalities, usually with the loss of the
airplane.
Note: A catastrophic failure condition was defined in previous versions of the rule and
advisory material as a failure condition that would prevent continued safe flight and
landing. Continued safe flight and landing was defined in AC 25.1309-1A as: “The
capability for continued controlled flight and landing at a suitable airport, possibly
using emergency procedures, but without requiring exceptional pilot skill or strength.
Some airplane damage may be associated with a failure condition, during flight or upon
landing.” For the purpose of performing a safety assessment, “multiple fatalities” means
two or more fatalities.

3.2 Qualitative Probability Terms.


The probability terms used in § 25.1309 and in this AC are defined in paragraphs 3.2.1
through 3.2.4 below. These terms and definitions have become commonly accepted as
aids to engineering judgment when using qualitative analyses to determine compliance
with § 25.1309(b).
Note: The definitions provided for remote, extremely remote, and extremely
improbable failure conditions are the same as those found in § 25.4.

3.2.1 Probable Failure Condition.


A failure condition that is anticipated to occur one or more times during the entire
operational life of each airplane of a given type.

3.2.2 Remote Failure Condition.


A failure condition that is not anticipated to occur to each airplane of a given type
during its entire operational life, but which may occur several times during the total
operational life of a number of airplanes of a given type.

3.2.3 Extremely Remote Failure Condition.


A failure condition that is not anticipated to occur to each airplane during its entire
operational life, but which may occur a few times during the total operational life of all
airplanes of a given type.

3.2.4 Extremely Improbable Failure Condition.


A failure condition that is not anticipated to occur during the total operational life of all
airplanes of a given type.

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

3.2.4.1 Intent of the Term “Extremely Improbable.”

3.2.4.1.1 The FAA’s objective of using this term in the system safety regulations
has been to describe a condition (usually a failure condition) that has a
probability of occurrence so remote that it is not anticipated to occur in
service on any transport category airplane to which the standard applies.
However, while a rule sets a minimum standard for all the airplanes to
which it applies, the FAA’s compliance determinations are limited to
applications for individual type certificates. Consequently, in practice, the
applicant should provide a sufficiently conservative demonstration that a
condition is not anticipated to occur in service during the entire
operational life of all airplanes under a type certificate application being
assessed. Experience indicates that the level of conservatism provided in
properly performed safety assessments more than compensates for the
cumulative risk across airplane types and the foreseeable growth in size
and utilization of the overall transport fleet.

3.2.4.1.2 The means of showing that the occurrence of an event is extremely


improbable varies widely, depending on the type of system, component, or
element that must be assessed. The FAA does not consider failure
conditions arising from a single system failure to be extremely
improbable, unless the conditions under which the failure must occur to
produce a catastrophe are in and of themselves extremely remote, or the
physics of a theoretically possible failure is so implausible that the FAA
can agree it is not anticipated to ever actually occur. Thus, probability
assessments for catastrophic outcomes normally involve conditions arising
from multiple failures. Both qualitative and quantitative assessments are
used in practice, and both are often necessary, to some degree, to support a
conclusion that an event is extremely improbable. Generally, performing
only a quantitative analysis to show that a failure condition is extremely
improbable is insufficient, due to the variability and uncertainty in the
analytical process. Any analysis used as evidence that a failure condition
is extremely improbable should include justification of any assumptions
made, data sources, and analytical techniques to account for the variability
and uncertainty in the analytical process.

3.2.4.1.3 Wherever part 25 requires that a condition be extremely improbable, the


compliance method—whether qualitative, quantitative, or a combination
of the two—along with engineering judgment, should provide convincing
evidence that the condition should never occur in service when the
airplane is produced in accordance with the approved type design and
maintained in accordance with approved maintenance procedures.

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

3.3 Quantitative Probability Terms.

3.3.1 When using quantitative analyses to help determine compliance with § 25.1309(b), the
following descriptions of the probability terms used in this requirement and AC have
become commonly accepted as aids to engineering judgment. They are expressed in
terms of acceptable ranges for the average probability per flight hour. Those probability
terms and ranges are as follows:

3.3.1.1 Probable Failure Condition.


A failure condition having an average probability per flight hour greater
than the order of 1 x 10-5.

3.3.1.2 Remote Failure Condition.


A failure condition having an average probability per flight hour on the
order of 1 x 10-5 or less, but greater than the order of 1 x 10-7.

3.3.1.3 Extremely Remote Failure Condition.


A failure condition having an average probability per flight hour on the
order of 1 x 10-7 or less, but greater than the order of 1 x 10-9.

3.3.1.4 Extremely Improbable Failure Condition.


A failure condition having an average probability per flight hour on the
order of 1 x 10-9 or less.

3.3.2 The use of numerical probability methods supplements, but does not replace, qualitative
assessments based on engineering and operational judgments. The above numerical
values associated with the probabilistic terms in § 25.1309(b) are guidelines for
acceptable risk when applicants use quantitative probability methods of analysis to
examine the effect of system failures. A design that meets these guidelines provides
some, but not necessarily sufficient, evidence to support a finding by the FAA as to
whether the design complies with the rule.

3-4
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

CHAPTER 4. SAFETY OBJECTIVE

4.1 Objective of § 25.1309.


The objective of § 25.1309(b)(1), (b)(2), and (b)(3) is graphically presented in
figure 4-1 as an inverse relationship between the probability and the severity of failure
condition effects, such that:

4.1.1 Failure conditions with no safety effect have no probability requirement.

4.1.2 Minor failure conditions may be probable.

4.1.3 Major failure conditions must be remote.

4.1.4 Hazardous failure conditions must be extremely remote.

4.1.5 Catastrophic failure conditions must be extremely improbable.

Figure 4-1. Relationship between Probability and Severity of Failure Condition Effects

Probable
Probability of Failure Condition

Unacceptable
Remote

Extremely
Remote Acceptable

Extremely
Improbable

Minor Major Hazardous Catastrophic

Severity of Failure Condition Effects

4.2 Safety Objectives for Failure Conditions.


The safety objectives associated with failure conditions are described in table 4-1.

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

Table 4-1. Relationship between Probability and Severity of Failure Conditions

Classification
No Safety
of Failure Minor Major Hazardous Catastrophic
Effect
Conditions

Effect on No effect on Slight Significant Large reduction Normally with


Airplane operational reduction in reduction in in functional hull loss
capabilities or functional safety margins capabilities or
safety capabilities or or functional safety margins
safety margins capabilities

Effect on Inconvenience Physical Physical Serious or fatal Multiple


Occupants discomfort distress, injury to a small fatalities
Excluding possibly number of
Flightcrew including persons other
injuries than the
flightcrew

Effect on No effect on Slight increase A significant Physical distress Fatalities or


Flightcrew flightcrew in workload increase in or excessive incapacitation
workload or workload such
impairing the that flightcrew
efficiency of cannot be relied
the flightcrew upon to perform
their tasks
accurately or
completely

Allowable No Probability Probable* Remote Extremely Extremely


Qualitative Requirement remote improbable
Probability

Allowable No Probability On the order On the order On the order of On the order
Quantitative Requirement of 10-3 or less, of 10-5 or less, 10-7 or less, but of 10-9 or less
Probability but greater but greater greater than the
range: than the order than the order order of 10-9
Values shown of 10-5* of 10-7
are Average
Probability
per Flight
Hour:
*
The applicant is not required to perform a quantitative analysis, nor substantiate by such analysis that
this numerical criterion (less than 10-3 but greater than 10-5) has been met for minor failure conditions.
A numerical probability range is provided here as a reference. Current transport category airplane
products are regarded as meeting this standard simply by using current commonly-accepted industry
practice.

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

4.3 Safety Requirements for Catastrophic Failure Conditions.


The safety requirements associated with catastrophic failure conditions are satisfied by
showing that—

4.3.1 No single failure will result in a catastrophic failure condition;

4.3.2 Each catastrophic failure condition is extremely improbable; and

4.3.3 Each catastrophic failure condition is remote following any single latent failure in a
catastrophic single latent plus one (CSL+1) failure condition. The probability of the
latent failure must not exceed 1/1000.

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

CHAPTER 5. COMPLIANCE WITH § 25.1309

5.1 Overview.
This chapter describes specific means of compliance with § 25.1309. The applicant
would benefit from obtaining early agreement from the FAA on its chosen means of
compliance.

5.2 Compliance with § 25.1309(a).

5.2.1 Equipment, systems, and installations regulated by § 25.1309(a)(1) must be shown to


function properly when installed. The “airplane operating and environmental
conditions” that must be considered under that regulation include the full normal
operating envelope of the airplane as defined by the airplane flight manual (AFM)
together with any modification to that envelope associated with abnormal or emergency
procedures. External environmental conditions that the airplane is reasonably expected
to encounter should be considered, such as atmospheric turbulence, high-intensity
radiated fields, lightning, and precipitation. The severity of the external environmental
conditions that should be considered is limited to those established by certification
standards and precedence.

5.2.2 In addition to the external operating and environmental conditions, the effect of the
operating and environmental conditions within the airplane should be considered.
Examples of these effects include the following: vibration and acceleration loads,
variations in fluid pressure and electrical power, fluid or vapor contamination due to
either the normal environment or accidental leaks or spillage and handling by personnel,
heat radiated from nearby equipment, and electromagnetic emission from installed
equipment. RTCA Document DO-160G defines a series of standard environmental test
conditions and procedures that may be used to support compliance. Environmental test
procedures contained in technical standard orders (TSOs) or other environmental test
standards approved for equipment qualifications can be used to support compliance.
The conditions under which the installed equipment will be operated should be equal to
or less severe than the environment for which the equipment is qualified.

5.2.3 The applicant may substantiate the proper functioning of equipment, systems, and
installations under the operating and environmental conditions approved for the airplane
by test and/or analysis, or reference to comparable service experience on other airplanes
if shown to be valid for the proposed installation. For the equipment, systems, and
installations covered by § 25.1309(a)(1), the compliance demonstration should also
confirm that their normal functioning does not interfere with the proper functioning of
other equipment, systems, or installations covered by § 25.1309(a)(1).

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

5.2.4 The equipment, systems, and installations addressed by § 25.1309(a)(2) are typically
those associated with miscellaneous systems intended for convenience, such as
passenger amenities, passenger entertainment systems, in-flight telephones, and so
forth, whose failure or improper functioning should not affect the safety of the airplane.
In other words, these types of systems should be designed so that the severity of their
functional failures should be “no safety effect.” (See paragraph 3.1.1 of this AC.)
Therefore, the qualification requirements for such equipment, systems, and installations
can be reduced to the necessary tests for showing that their normal or abnormal
functioning does not adversely affect the proper functioning of the equipment, systems,
or installations covered by § 25.1309(a)(1), or the safety of the airplane or its
occupants. Examples of adverse effects include fire, explosion, exposing passengers to
high voltages, and so forth. The FAA expects normal installation practices to result in
sufficiently obvious isolation of the impacts of such equipment on safety that
substantiation can be based on a relatively simple qualitative installation evaluation. If
the possible effects, including failure modes, are questionable, or isolation between
systems is provided by complex means, then more formal structured evaluation methods
or a design change may be necessary.

5.3 Compliance with § 25.1309(b).


Section 25.1309(b)(1) requires that the airplane’s systems and associated components,
as installed, and considered both separately and in relation to other systems, must be
designed so that any catastrophic failure condition is extremely improbable and does not
result from a single failure. Section 25.1309(b)(2) requires that any hazardous failure
condition is extremely remote, and § 25.1309(b)(3) requires that any major failure
condition is remote. An analysis should consider the application of the fail-safe design
concept described in paragraph 2.2 of this AC. The analysis should give special
attention to ensuring the effective use of design techniques that would prevent single
failures or other events from damaging or otherwise adversely affecting more than one
redundant system channel or more than one system performing operationally similar
functions. Additionally, § 25.1309(b)(4) requires the applicant to eliminate SLFs (see
definition in paragraph 1.5.19 of this AC) the extent practical, and provides criteria for
accepting those SLFs that cannot be practically eliminated. Section 25.1309(b)(5)
applies to the catastrophic failure conditions that result from two failures, either of
which could be latent for more than one flight. The failure conditions addressed by
§ 25.1309(b)(5) are a subset of the failure conditions addressed in § 25.1309(b)(4).

5.3.1 General.
Appendix C of this AC provides an overview of the typical safety assessment process.
Compliance with the requirements of § 25.1309(b) should be shown by analysis and,
where necessary, by appropriate ground, flight, or simulator tests. Failure conditions
should be identified and their effects assessed. The maximum allowable probability of
the occurrence of each failure condition is determined from the failure condition’s
effects. When assessing the probabilities of failure conditions, appropriate analysis
considerations should be accounted for. Any analysis should consider the following:

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

5.3.1.1 Possible failure conditions and their causes, modes of failure, and damage
from sources external to the system.

5.3.1.2 The possibility of multiple failures due to a common cause, multiple


independent failures, and undetected failures.

5.3.1.3 The possibility of requirement, design, and implementation errors.

5.3.1.4 The effect of reasonably anticipated crew errors after the occurrence of a
failure or failure condition.

5.3.1.5 The effect of reasonably anticipated errors when performing maintenance


actions.

5.3.1.6 The crew alerting cues, corrective action required, and the capability of
detecting faults.

5.3.1.7 The resulting effects on the airplane and occupants, considering the stage
of flight, the operational sequences (sequence of system responses or
expected crew actions following a failure(s)), and operating and
environmental conditions.

5.3.2 Planning.
This AC provides guidance on methods of accomplishing the safety objective. The
detailed methodology needed to achieve this safety objective depends on many factors,
particularly, the degree of system complexity and integration. For proposed airplane
designs that will contain many complex or integrated systems, it is likely that the
applicant will need to develop a plan to describe the intended process. In general, the
extent and structure of the analyses to show compliance with § 25.1309 will be greater
when the system is more complex and the effects of the failure conditions are more
severe. Industry standards such as those listed in paragraph 1.4.4 of this AC provide
further information on the planning activity. This plan should include consideration of
all of the following aspects:

5.3.2.1 Functional and physical interrelationships of systems.

5.3.2.2 Determination of detailed means of compliance, which may include the


use of development assurance techniques.

5.3.2.3 Means for validating the accomplishment of the plan (for example, flight
test, ground test, analysis, qualification test, and so forth), including how
the plan is followed throughout the project to ensure completion.

5.3.2.4 Validation of any derived safety requirements needed to manage the many
interactions between systems, and verification that the system design
meets those requirements.

5-3
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

5.3.3 Availability of Industry Standards and Guidance Materials.


There are a variety of acceptable techniques used currently in industry, some of which
are reflected in SAE ARP 4754A and ARP 4761. This AC is not intended to constrain
the applicant to the use of these documents in defining their particular methods for
satisfying the objectives of this AC. However, these documents contain material and
methods that an applicant may choose to use for performing the safety assessment. The
FAA recognizes these methods, when correctly applied, as valid for showing
compliance with § 25.1309(b). In addition, SAE ARP 4761 contains tutorial
information on applying specific engineering methods (for example, Markov analysis
and fault tree analysis) that an applicant may wish to use in whole or in part.

5.3.4 Acceptable Application of Development Assurance Methods.

5.3.4.1 Paragraph 5.3.1.3 of this AC states that any analysis necessary to show
compliance with § 25.1309(b) should consider the possibility of
requirement, design, and implementation errors. Errors made during the
design and development of systems have traditionally been detected and
corrected by exhaustive tests conducted on the system and its components,
by direct inspection, and by other direct verification methods capable of
completely characterizing the performance of the system. These direct
techniques may still be appropriate for simple systems, which perform a
limited number of functions and are not highly integrated with other
airplane systems.

5.3.4.2 For integrated systems that perform complex functions, exhaustive testing
might be either impossible because all of the system states (within a
particular system and within the interfacing systems) cannot be
determined, or impractical because of the number of tests that must be
accomplished. For these types of systems, the applicant may use
development assurance techniques to minimize errors. The rigor of
development assurance should be determined by the severity of potential
effects on the airplane in case of system malfunctions or loss of functions.
Acceptable guidelines for development assurance are described in—
• AC 20-174 and SAE ARP 4754A for aircraft and systems,
• AC 20-115D and RTCA Document DO-178C for software, and
• AC 20-152 and RTCA Document DO-254 for airborne electronic
hardware.

5.3.4.3 Development assurance activities should validate all necessary safety


requirements, show these requirements are complete and correct, and
verify that the system design meets those requirements. The development
assurance activities should verify that the design provides for fault
containment, so that the integrated systems are shown to be fail-safe.

5-4
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

5.3.5 Crew and Maintenance Actions.

5.3.5.1 Where the applicant’s analysis identifies some indication to, and/or action
by, the flightcrew, cabin crew, or maintenance personnel is necessary to
show that the design complies with § 25.1309(b), the applicant should
accomplish all of the activities in paragraphs 5.3.5.1.1 through 5.3.5.1.3.
For these activities, it is acceptable to assume a fully functional indication,
except for the control system failures being indicated.

5.3.5.1.1 Verify that any identified indications are actually provided by the system.
This includes verification that the sensor coverage and logic that detects
the situations and triggers the indicator is sufficient to always detect the
situations considering various causes, flight phases, operating conditions,
operational sequences, and environments.

5.3.5.1.2 Verify that any identified indications will, in fact, be recognized.

5.3.5.1.3 Verify that any actions required have an acceptable expectation of being
accomplished successfully and in a timely manner.

5.3.5.2 The applicant should accomplish these verification activities by consulting


with engineers, pilots, flight attendants, maintenance personnel, and
human factors specialists, as appropriate, taking due consideration of any
relevant service experience and the consequences if the assumed action is
performed improperly or not performed.

5.3.5.3 In complex situations, the results of the review by specialists may need to
be confirmed by simulator, ground tests, or flight tests. However,
quantitative assessments of the probabilities of crew or maintenance errors
are not currently considered feasible. If the failure indications are
considered to be recognizable and the required actions do not cause an
excessive workload, then for the purposes of the analysis, such corrective
actions can be considered to be satisfactorily accomplished. If the
necessary actions cannot be satisfactorily accomplished, the tasks and/or
the systems need to be modified.

5.3.6 Latent Failure Conditions.

5.3.6.1 Eliminating all latent failures may be impractical in some designs, as it is


not always possible to detect any and all failures that may occur during
flight. Paragraphs (b)(4) and (b)(5) of § 25.1309 are intended to ensure the
minimization of SLFs where it is not possible to completely eliminate
them. Section 25.1309(b)(4) establishes a hierarchy of safety requirements
for managing exposure to SLFs.
1. First, the applicant must eliminate SLFs except if the FAA finds it
would be impractical.

5-5
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

2. Second, for any SLF for which elimination is not practical, the
applicant must limit its latency by minimizing the time to the failure is
allowed to be present such that the product of this exposure time and
the average failure rate of the SLF does not exceed 1/1000, as required
by § 25.1309(b)(4)(i).
3. Finally, if the FAA finds it would be impractical for the applicant to
comply with paragraph (b)(4)(i), the applicant must minimize the time
the failure is expected to be present, as required by § 25.1309(b)(4)(ii).
There can be situations where it is not practical to meet the 1/1000
criterion. For example, if meeting it would result in performing
complex or invasive maintenance tasks on the flight line, thereby
increasing the risk of incorrect maintenance and associated cost, the
agency may find it is not practical for the applicant to meet the 1/1000
criterion . In such situations, safety is better served when the latent
failure is serviced at a suitable maintenance facility, even though a
longer inspection interval means the probability of the latent failure
existing would exceed 1/1000, but is below the limit established by the
extremely improbable criterion in § 25.1309(b)(1). In cases where the
applicant can demonstrate that meeting the 1/1000 criterion is not
practical, the applicant must minimize the time the failure is expected
to be present.

5.3.6.2 To meet § 25.1309(b)(4), limiting exposure to SLFs should be an integral


part of the applicant’s normal design practices. During review of SSAs
that show compliance with other provisions of § 25.1309(b), if the FAA
finds that it is practical to eliminate or further reduce the exposure to a
SLF, then the applicant would be required to either redesign the system or
provide sufficient evidence of impracticality for the FAA to find
compliance with these provisions. Justifications should be based on past
experience, sound engineering judgment, or other reasonable arguments,
which lead to the decision not to implement other potential means of
eliminating the SLFs.

5.3.6.3 For a catastrophic failure condition that involves two failures, either of
which could be latent for more than one flight, compliance with
§ 25.1309(b)(5) is required. These failure conditions are denoted as
CSL+1. The applicant must first show that it is impractical to design the
system with additional fault tolerance, such as adding failure monitors.
Once an applicant has shown that CSL+1 conditions are eliminated to the
extent practical, the applicant could then apply the criteria in
§ 25.1309(b)(5)(ii) and (iii) to limit the residual risk in the presence of a
latent failure and limit the probability of occurrence of the latent failure
itself. These requirements are applied in addition to the requirement of
§ 25.1309(b)(1) where catastrophic failure conditions must be shown to be
extremely improbable and do not result from a single failure.

5-6
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

5.3.6.4 Compliance with § 25.1309(b)(1), (b)(4), and (b)(5) together achieves a


balance between the residual risk and latency exposure. For example, in a
simple CSL+1 condition, the residual risk would need to be on the order
of 1 x 10-6 per flight hour (or better) when the latency is 1/1000 to satisfy
the requirement is extremely improbable (1 x 10-9 per flight hour).
Conversely, if the reliability of the residual component is 1 x 10-5 per
flight hour, then latency is limited to a probability of 1 x 10-4. Appendix D
gives a more comprehensive example of how an applicant may conduct
limit latency and residual risk analysis to show compliance with
§ 25.1309(b)(5)(ii) and (iii).

5.3.6.5 Although exposure to latency time is normally expressed in terms of flight


hours, if the relevant failures depend on flight cycles, then their exposure
times should be evaluated in terms of flight cycles when showing
compliance.

5.4 Compliance with § 25.1309(c).

5.4.1 Section 25.1309(c) requires that information concerning unsafe system operating
conditions be provided to the flightcrew to enable them to take appropriate corrective
action, thereby mitigating the effects of the condition. Any system operating condition
that, if not detected and properly accommodated by flightcrew action, would contribute
to or cause one or more serious injuries should be considered an unsafe system
operating condition. Compliance with this requirement usually relies on the analysis
identified in paragraph 5.3.1 of this AC, which also includes consideration of crew
alerting cues, required corrective action, and the capability of detecting faults.
Section 25.1309(c) further requires that the applicant design the systems and controls,
including indication and annunciation, to minimize crew errors that could create
additional hazards. The required information may be provided by dedicated indication
and/or annunciation whose forms and functions meet the requirements of § 25.1322 or
made apparent by the inherent airplane responses. The required information depends on
the degree of urgency for recognition and corrective action by the crew.

5.4.2 Acceptable flightcrew awareness means may be, but are not limited to—

5.4.2.1 A warning, if immediate flightcrew awareness and immediate flightcrew


response is required;

5.4.2.2 A caution, if immediate flightcrew awareness is required and subsequent


crew action will be required;

5.4.2.3 An advisory, if flightcrew awareness is required and subsequent crew


action might be required; or

5.4.2.4 Other appropriate forms, such as a message, for other cases.

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

5.4.3 When a system provides failure monitoring and indication, system reliability should be
compatible with the safety objectives associated with the system function and failure
conditions for which it provides that indication. For example, if the effects of having a
failure and not annunciating that failure are catastrophic, not only must the combination
of the failure with the failure of its annunciation be extremely improbable, but the loss
of annunciation should be considered a major failure condition in and of itself due to the
impact on the ability of the crew to cope with the subject failure. In addition, the
applicant should assess unwanted operation (for example, nuisance warnings). The
failure monitoring and indication should be reliable, technologically feasible, and
economically practicable. Reliable failure monitoring and indication should use current
state-of-the-art technology to maximize the probability of detecting and indicating
genuine failures, while minimizing the probability of falsely detecting and indicating
non-existent failures. Any indication to the flightcrew should be timely, obvious, clear,
and unambiguous.

5.4.4 In the case of airplane conditions requiring immediate crew action, a suitable warning
indication must be provided to the crew in accordance with § 25.1322, if not provided
by inherent airplane characteristics (for example, buffeting). In either case, any warning
should be rousing and should occur at a point in a potentially catastrophic sequence
where the airplane’s capability and the crew’s ability still remain sufficient for effective
crew action to prevent the catastrophic outcome.

5.4.5 Unless they are accepted as normal airmanship, procedures for the crew to follow after
the occurrence of failure warning must be described in the FAA -approved AFM in
accordance with §§ 25.1581 and 25.1585, or AFM revision or supplement. Consult
FAA Flight Standards Service flight training documents such as FAA-S-8081-5F,
Airline Transport Pilot and Aircraft Type Rating Practice Test Standards for Airplane,
for understanding of “normal airmanship.”

5.4.6 To meet § 25.1309(c), even if operation or performance is unaffected or insignificantly


affected at the time of failure, the applicant should ensure that the design provides any
information necessary for the crew to take any action or observe any precautions.
Examples include reconfiguring a system, flightcrew awareness of a reduction in safety
margins, changing the flight plan or regime, making an unscheduled landing to reduce
exposure to a more severe failure condition that would result from subsequent failures,
or operational or environmental conditions. The applicant should also ensure that the
design provides any information concerning unsafe system operating conditions if a
failure must be corrected before a subsequent flight. If operation or performance is
unaffected or insignificantly affected, information and alerting indications may be
inhibited during specific phases of flight where awareness or corrective action by the
crew is considered more hazardous than no awareness or corrective action.

5.4.7 The use of periodic maintenance or flightcrew checks to detect SLFs after they occur is
undesirable and should not be used in place of practical and reliable failure monitoring
and indications. Where such monitoring and indications cannot be accomplished, see
paragraph 5.3.6 of this AC for guidance. Chapter 8 of this AC provides further guidance
on the use of periodic maintenance or flightcrew checks. Comparison with similar,

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previously approved systems is sometimes helpful. However, what is feasible and


practical can change with time and circumstances.

5.4.8 Applicants should give particular attention to the placement of switches or other control
devices, relative to one another, to minimize the potential for inadvertent incorrect
flightcrew action, especially during emergencies or periods of high workload. Extra
protection, such as the use of guarded switches, may sometimes be needed. See AC
25.1302-1 for additional guidance on design attributes related to the avoidance and
management of flightcrew error.

5.5 Compliance with § 25.1309(d).


Section 25.1309(d) requires that certification maintenance requirements be established,
as necessary, to prevent development of failure conditions described in § 25.1309(b),
and that these requirements be included in the Airworthiness Limitations section (ALS)
of the ICA required by § 25.1529. See chapter 8 of this AC for detailed guidance on
establishing the required scheduled maintenance tasks. Once these tasks are established,
they must be included in the ALS in accordance with paragraph (a)(5) of section H25.4
to appendix H, part 25.

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CHAPTER 6. IDENTIFICATION OF FAILURE CONDITIONS AND CONSIDERATIONS


WHEN ASSESSING THEIR EFFECTS

6.1 Identification of Failure Conditions.


In order to identify the failure conditions regulated by § 25.1309, applicants should
consider the potential effects of failures on the airplane and occupants. The applicant
may also need to consider failure conditions that could present threats to people on the
ground or adjacent to the airplane during ground operations, such as electric shock
threats to mechanics, and other similar situations. These should be considered from the
following perspectives:

6.1.1 By Considering Failures of Functions at the Airplane Level.


Failure conditions identified at this level are not dependent on the way the functions are
implemented and the systems’ architectures.

6.1.2 By Considering Failures of Functions at the System Level.


These failure conditions are identified through examination of the way the functions are
implemented and the systems’ architectures. Part of this examination is a systematic
method, such as failure mode and effects analysis (FMEA), to look for failures within
the systems’ architectures that could result in malfunctions that are not associated with
the failures of the intended functions (for example, to discover system behaviors that
have unintended safety consequences).
Note: The analysis of complex, highly integrated systems, in particular, should be
conducted in a methodical and structured manner to ensure all significant failure
conditions that arise from multiple failures and combinations of failure conditions are
properly identified and accounted for. The relevant combinations of failures and failure
conditions should be determined by the whole safety assessment process that
encompasses the airplane and system-level functional hazard assessments (FHAs) and
common cause analyses (CCAs). The overall effect on the airplane due to a
combination of individual system failure conditions occurring as a result of a common
or cascade failure may be more severe than the effect of each individual system failures.
For example, failure conditions classified individually as minor or major may have
hazardous or catastrophic effects at the airplane level when considered in combination.

6.1.3 By Considering Failures at the Equipment Level.


These failures may not affect a system’s functionality, but they could compromise safe
operations or injure persons. These include equipment with intrinsic hazards such as
energy supply devices, chemical storage containers, or pressure storage bottles. The
analysis should address the equipment’s normal operating conditions and failure
conditions that could endanger the airplane or its occupants. Examples of intrinsic
hazards to be evaluated include, but are not limited to, fires; explosions; release of toxic
gases or fluids corrosive to surrounding structures; and thermal runaway or excessive
temperatures that could damage adjacent structures or systems.
Note: Identify any necessary mitigation means including, but not limited to,
containment of resultant effects; pressure and temperature relief including venting

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provisions, if present; and indication or warning of fault, if applicable. The testing


necessary to verify the mitigation effectiveness is equally significant and should also be
determined.

6.2 Identification of Failure Conditions Using a Functional Hazard Assessment.

6.2.1 Before an applicant proceeds with a detailed safety assessment, an FHA of the airplane
and system functions to determine the need for, and scope of, subsequent analysis
should be prepared. This assessment may be conducted using service experience,
engineering and operational judgment, and/or a top-down deductive qualitative
examination of each function. An FHA is a systematic, comprehensive examination of
airplane and system functions to identify potential minor, major, hazardous, and
catastrophic failure conditions that may arise as a result of malfunctions or failure to
function as intended. The assessment should take into consideration normal responses to
unusual and abnormal external factors. The assessment involves the operational
vulnerabilities of systems rather than a detailed analysis of the actual implementation.

6.2.2 Each system function should be examined with respect to the other functions performed
by the system, because the loss or malfunction of multiple functions performed by the
system could result in a more severe failure condition than the failure of a single
function. In addition, each system function should be examined with respect to
functions performed by other airplane systems because the loss or malfunction of
different but related functions, provided by separate systems, may affect the severity of
failure conditions postulated for a particular system.

6.2.3 The FHA should be performed early in the design of the project and updated as
necessary as the design develops. It is used to define the airplane-level or system-level
safety objectives that must be considered in the proposed airplane or system
architectures. It should also be used to determine the development assurance levels for
the systems. An FHA requires experienced engineering judgment to ensure
completeness of failure condition identification, and early coordination between the
applicant and certification authority.

6.2.4 Depending on the relationship between functions and the systems that perform them,
different approaches to an FHA may be taken. Where there is a clear correlation
between functions and systems, and where interactions are relatively simple, it may be
feasible to conduct separate FHAs for each system, provided that any interface aspects
are properly considered and are easily understood. However, where systems and
functional relationships are complex, a top-down approach, from an airplane-level
perspective, should be considered when planning and conducting FHAs.

6.3 Considerations when Assessing Failure Condition Effects.

6.3.1 The requirements of § 25.1309(b) are intended to ensure an orderly and thorough
evaluation of the effects on safety of foreseeable failures or other events, such as errors
or external circumstances, separately or in combination, involving one or more system

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functions. The interactions of these factors within a system and among relevant systems
should be considered. In assessing the effects of a failure condition, factors that might
alleviate or intensify the direct effects of the initial failure condition should be
considered. Some of these factors include consequent or related conditions existing
within the airplane that might affect the flightcrew’s ability to deal with direct effects,
such as the presence of smoke, acceleration effects, interruption of communication,
interference with cabin pressurization, and so forth. When assessing the consequences
of a given failure condition, the applicant should consider the failure information
provided, the complexity of the crew action, and the relevant crew training. The number
of overall failure conditions involving other than instinctive crew actions may influence
the expected flightcrew performance. Training recommendations may need to be
identified in some cases.

6.3.2 The applicant should evaluate the severity of failure conditions according to the
following:

6.3.2.1 Effects on the airplane, such as reductions in safety margins, degradation


in performance, loss of capability to conduct certain flight operations,
reduction in environmental protection, or potential or consequential effects
on structural integrity. When the effects of a failure condition are
complex, the hazard classification may need to be validated by tests,
simulation, or other appropriate analytical techniques.

6.3.2.2 Effects on the crewmembers, such as increases above their normal


workload that would affect their ability to cope with adverse operational
or environmental conditions or subsequent failures.

6.3.2.3 Effects on the occupants (passengers and crewmembers).

6.3.2.4 Risks to persons other than airplane occupants should be taken into
account when assessing systems failure conditions in compliance with
§ 25.1309. See also the discussion in paragraph 1.2.2.1 of this AC.

6.3.3 The applicant should classify the severity of each effect as no safety effect, minor,
major, hazardous, or catastrophic. These terms are defined in chapter 3 of this AC (and
in § 25.4).

6.3.3.1 The classification of failure conditions does not depend on whether a


system or function is the subject of a specific requirement or regulation.
Some required systems, such as transponders, position lights, and public
address systems, may have the potential for only minor failure conditions.
Conversely, other systems that are not required, such as autoflight
systems, may have the potential for major, hazardous, or catastrophic
failure conditions.

6.3.3.2 Regardless of the types of assessment used, the classification of failure


conditions should always be accomplished with consideration of all

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relevant factors, for example, system, crew, performance, operational, and


internal or external. It is particularly important to consider factors that
would alleviate or intensify the severity of a failure condition. Where
flight duration, flight phase, or maximum length diversion time can
adversely affect the FHA outcome, they must be considered as
intensifying factors. Other intensifying factors include conditions (not
related to the failure, such as weather or adverse operational or
environmental conditions), which reduce the capability of the airplane, or
the ability of the crew to cope with a failure condition. An example of an
alleviating factor is the continued performance of identical or
operationally similar functions by other systems not affected by the failure
condition. Another example of an alleviating factor is the flightcrew’s
ability to recognize the failure condition and take action to temper its
effects. (Note that such flightcrew action does not necessarily alleviate the
system integrity and reliability requirements). Whenever this is taken into
account, attention to the detection means should be given to ensure the
crew’s ability (including physical and timeliness) to detect and take
corrective action is sufficient. To correlate with the crew’s annunciation
requirements in § 25.1309(c), consider the case of the crew taking action
and also the effects if they do not. If their inability to take action results in
a severe effect, it may be considered an unsafe system operating condition
that carries certain considerations for crew annunciations and evaluation
of crew responses. See § 25.1309(c) and paragraph 5.4 of this AC for
more detailed guidance on those considerations. Combinations of
intensifying or alleviating factors only need to be considered if they are
anticipated to occur together.

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CHAPTER 7. ASSESSMENT OF FAILURE CONDITION PROBABILITIES AND


ANALYSIS CONSIDERATIONS

7.1 General.
After the applicant has identified the failure conditions and assessed the severity of the
effects of failure conditions, it is the applicant’s responsibility to determine how to
show compliance with § 25.1309(b) and obtain concurrence from the FAA. An
applicant may use appropriate combinations of one or more of the following methods to
show compliance: design and installation reviews, analyses, flight tests, ground tests,
simulator tests, or other approved means.

7.2 Assessment of Failure Condition Probabilities.

7.2.1 The probability that a failure condition would occur may be assessed as probable,
remote, extremely remote, or extremely improbable. These terms are defined in
chapter 3 of this AC (and in § 25.4). Each failure condition should have a probability
that is inversely related to the severity of its effects as described in chapter 4 of this AC.

7.2.2 When a system provides protection from events (for example, cargo compartment fire,
gusts), its reliability should be compatible with the safety objectives necessary for the
failure condition and be associated with the failure of the protection system and the
probability of the events. (See additional guidance in paragraph 7.8 and appendix E of
this AC.)

7.2.3 An assessment to identify and classify failure conditions is necessarily qualitative. On


the other hand, an assessment of the probability of a failure condition may be either
qualitative or quantitative. An analysis may range from a report that interprets
applicable service data or compares two similar systems to a detailed analysis that may
or may not include estimated numerical probabilities. The depth and scope of an
analysis depends on the types of functions performed by the system, the severity of
failure conditions, and whether the system is complex. Section 7.5, Depth of Analysis,
provides more guidance on using a combination of qualitative and quantitative
probability assessments of failure conditions.

7.2.4 Experienced engineering and operational judgment should be applied when determining
whether a system is complex. Comparison with similar, previously approved systems is
sometimes helpful. All relevant systems attributes should be considered; however, the
complexity of software and hardware do not need to be a dominant factor in
determining complexity at the system level. The design of a system may be very
complex, but predicting its potential malfunctions may be fairly straightforward. For
example, the software and interfaces of a predictive windshear system might be
considered complex, but the potential failures of the system could be summarized as
false alerts, misleading information, and the loss of ability to predict windshears.

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7.3 Single Failure Considerations.

7.3.1 According to the requirements of § 25.1309(b)(1)(ii), a catastrophic failure condition


must not result from the failure of a single component, part, or element of a system. To
preclude catastrophic failure conditions, the system design should provide failure
containment that limits the propagation of the effects of any single failure. In addition,
there must be no common cause failure that could affect both the single component,
part, or element, and its failure containment provisions. A single failure includes any set
of failures that cannot be shown to be independent from each other. Because errors may
cause failures, the implications of errors in requirement specification, design,
implementation, installation, maintenance, and manufacturing that could result in
common mode failures should be assessed. Appendix B of this AC and SAE ARP 4761
describe types of CCAs which may be conducted to assure protection against common
mode failures and that assure independence exists between multiple failures. Failure
containment techniques available to establish independence may include partitioning,
separation, and isolation. It should be noted that only the dominant modes of failure are
typically identified and evaluated in a bottom-up component FMEA. For example, the
dominant mode “loss of command signal” may be caused by one or more failures of
components that produce, process, or transmit the command signal. However,
identifying only the dominant failure modes may not be sufficient. To demonstrate that
no failure mode is anticipated to cause a catastrophe, consideration of less-obvious
failure modes may be required. The information available from top-down analyses, such
as the fault tree analysis, can help focus the single failure analysis onto areas of the
design where an obscure failure mode might be able to violate an otherwise fail-safe
design. (One example of an obscure failure mode is intermittent shorting in the
monitored signal’s path that allows it to defeat the monitor coverage.)

7.3.2 While single failures must normally be assumed to occur, there are cases where it is
obvious that, from a realistic and practical viewpoint, any knowledgeable, experienced
person would unequivocally conclude that a failure mode simply would not occur,
unless it is associated with a wholly unrelated failure condition that would itself be
catastrophic. Once identified and accepted, such cases need not be considered failures in
the context of § 25.1309.

7.4 Common Cause Failure Considerations.


An analysis should consider the application of the fail-safe design concept described in
paragraph 2.2 of this AC. The analysis should also give special attention to ensuring the
effective use of design and installation techniques that would prevent single failures or
other events from damaging or otherwise adversely affecting more than one redundant
system channel, more than one system performing operationally similar functions, or
any system and an associated safeguard. When considering such common cause failures
or other events, consequential or cascading effects should be taken into account. Some
examples of potential sources of common cause failures or other events would include
the following:

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• Rapid release of energy from concentrated sources, such as uncontained failures of


rotating parts (other than engines and propellers) or pressure vessels,
• Pressure differentials,
• Non-catastrophic structural failures,
• Loss of environmental conditioning,
• Disconnection of more than one subsystem or component by overtemperature
protection devices,
• Contamination by fluids,
• Damage from localized fires,
• Loss of power supply or return (for example, mechanical damage or deterioration of
connections),
• Failure of sensors that provide data to multiple systems,
• Excessive voltage,
• Physical or environmental interactions among parts,
• Specification, design, implementation, installation, maintenance, and manufacturing
errors, or
• Events external to the system or to the airplane.

7.5 Depth of Analysis.


The following identifies the depth of analysis expected based on the classification of a
failure condition. In all cases discussed below, the applicant should consider the
combinations of failure condition effects, as noted in chapter 6 of this AC.

7.5.1 No Safety Effect Failure Conditions.


An FHA with a design and installation appraisal to establish independence from other
functions is necessary for the safety assessment of these failure conditions. If it is
apparent that an FHA is not necessary for a simple function (for example, the loss of an
in-flight entertainment function) and the applicant chooses not to do an FHA, then the
safety effects may be derived from the design and installation appraisal performed by
the applicant.

7.5.2 Minor Failure Conditions.


An FHA with a design and installation appraisal to establish independence from other
functions is necessary for the safety assessment of these failure conditions. If the
applicant chooses not to do an FHA, then the safety effects may be derived from the
design and installation appraisal performed by the applicant. The applicant should
document the result of the appraisal.

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7.5.3 Major Failure Conditions.


Major failure conditions must be remote, per § 25.1309(b)(3).

7.5.3.1 If the system is similar in its relevant attributes to those used in other
airplanes and the effects of failure would be the same, then design and
installation appraisals (as described in appendix B of this AC) and
satisfactory service history of the equipment being analyzed, or of similar
design, is usually acceptable for showing compliance. The applicant
should substantiate similarity claims by identifying the differences
between the system/equipment being certified and other system/equipment
to which similarity is claimed. The applicant should also provide the
rationale for why the service history of the other system/equipment is
applicable.

7.5.3.2 For systems that are not complex, where similarity cannot be used as the
basis for compliance, then compliance may be shown with a qualitative
assessment showing that the system-level major failure conditions of the
system, as installed, are consistent with the FHA and are remote (for
example, redundant systems).

7.5.3.3 For complex systems without redundancy, compliance may be shown as in


paragraph 7.5.3.2 above. To show that malfunctions are remote in systems
of high complexity without redundancy (for example, a system with a
self-monitoring microprocessor), it is sometimes necessary to conduct a
qualitative functional FMEA supported by failure rate data and fault
detection coverage analysis.

7.5.3.4 An analysis of a redundant system is usually complete if it shows isolation


between redundant system channels and satisfactory reliability for each
channel. For complex systems where functional redundancy is required, a
qualitative FMEA and qualitative fault tree analysis may be necessary to
determine whether redundancy actually exists (for example, no single
failure affects all functional channels).

7.5.4 Hazardous and Catastrophic Failure Conditions.


Hazardous failure conditions must be extremely remote, per § 25.1309(b)(2), and
catastrophic failure conditions must be extremely improbable, per § 25.1309(b)(1).

7.5.4.1 Except as specified in paragraph 7.5.4.2 below, a detailed safety analysis


is necessary for each hazardous and catastrophic failure condition
identified by the FHA. The analysis is usually a combination of qualitative
and quantitative assessment of the design.

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7.5.4.2 For very simple and conventional installations—that is, low complexity
and similarity in relevant attributes—it may be possible to assess a
hazardous or catastrophic failure condition as extremely remote or
extremely improbable, respectively, based on experienced engineering
judgment using only qualitative analysis. The basis for the assessment is
the degree of redundancy, the established independence, isolation of the
channels, and the reliability record of the technology involved.
Satisfactory service experience on similar systems commonly used in
many airplanes may be sufficient when a close similarity is established in
respect to both the system design and operating conditions.

7.5.4.3 For complex systems where true similarity in all relevant attributes,
including installation attributes, can be rigorously established, it may also
be possible to assess a hazardous or catastrophic failure condition as
extremely remote or extremely improbable, respectively, based on
experienced engineering judgment using only qualitative analysis. A high
degree of similarity in both design and application is required to be
substantiated. Further, the applicant must be able to demonstrate that the
baseline design complies. This typically requires that the applicant has
access to all the type design data for the baseline against which the
comparison is being made.

7.6 Calculation of Average Probability per Flight Hour (Quantitative Analysis).

7.6.1 The average probability per flight hour is the probability of occurrence, normalized by
the flight time, of a failure condition during a flight representing the average “at risk”
time of the overall possible flights of the airplane fleet to be certified. The calculation of
the average probability per flight hour for a failure condition should consider all of the
following:

7.6.1.1 The average flight duration and average flight profile for the airplane type
to be certified.

7.6.1.2 All combinations of failures and events that contribute to the failure
condition.

7.6.1.3 The conditional probability if a sequence of events is necessary to produce


the failure condition.

7.6.1.4 The relevant “at risk” time if an event is only relevant during certain flight
phases. Evaluate the probability per flight, rather than per flight hour, for
failure conditions that are only relevant during a specific flight phase.

7.6.1.5 The total exposure time if the failure can persist for multiple flights.

7.6.2 The details of how to calculate the average probability per flight hour for a failure
condition are given in appendix F of this AC.

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MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

7.6.3 If the probability of a subject failure condition occurring during a typical flight of mean
duration for the airplane type divided by the flight’s mean duration in hours is likely to
be significantly different from the predicted average rate of occurrence of that failure
condition during the entire operational life of all airplanes of that type, then a better
model of the flight of average risk must be used. The loss of consumable material (for
example, fluid leakage) may become a critical failure condition for a flight that is longer
than the flight of mean duration.

7.6.4 For various reasons, component failure rate data are not precise enough to enable
accurate estimates of the probabilities of failure conditions. This results in some degree
of uncertainty, as indicated by the wide line in figure 4-1 of this AC, and the expression
“on the order of” in the descriptions of the quantitative probability terms that are
provided above. (See paragraph 3.3 of this AC.) When calculating the estimated
probability of each failure condition, this uncertainty should be accounted for in a way
that does not compromise safety.

7.7 Integrated Systems.

7.7.1 Both physical and functional interconnections between systems have been a feature of
airplane design for many years. Section 25.1309(b) accounts for this in requiring
systems to be considered in relation to other systems. Provided the interfaces between
systems are relatively few and simple, and hence readily understandable. Compliance
may often be shown through a series of SSAs. Each SSA deals with a particular failure
condition (or more likely a group of failure conditions) associated with a system and,
where necessary, accounts for failures arising at the interface with other systems.
However, where the systems and their interfaces become more complex and extensive,
the task of showing compliance may become more complex. It is, therefore, essential
that the means of compliance are considered early in the design phase to ensure that the
design can be supported by a viable safety assessment strategy. Aspects of the guidance
material that should be given particular consideration are as follows:

7.7.1.1 Planning the proposed means of compliance. This should include


development assurance activities to mitigate the occurrence and effects of
errors in the design.

7.7.1.2 Considering the importance of architectural design in limiting the impact


and propagation of failures.

7.7.1.3 The potential for common cause failures and cascading failure effects and
the possible need to assess combinations of multiple lower level failure
conditions. (For example, multiple minor and/or major failure conditions
can lead up to a hazardous or catastrophic failure condition).

7.7.1.4 The importance of multi-disciplinary teams in identifying and classifying


significant failure conditions.

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7.7.1.5 Effect of crew and maintenance procedures in limiting the impact and
propagation of failures. However, the effects of overreliance on flight
crew and maintenance actions are also a part of this consideration.

7.7.2 In addition, rigorous and well-structured design and development procedures play an
essential role in facilitating a methodical safety assessment process and providing
visibility to the means of compliance. SAE ARP 4754A may be helpful in the
certification of highly integrated or complex airplane systems.

7.8 Operational or Environmental Conditions.

7.8.1 A probability of 1 should usually be used for encountering a discrete condition for
which the airplane is designed, such as instrument meteorological conditions or
Category III weather operations, or landing distance required by § 25.125. However,
appendix E of this AC contains allowable probabilities that may be assigned to various
operational and environmental conditions for use in computing the average probability
per flight hour of failure conditions without further justification. The FAA has provided
appendix E for guidance and does not intend it to be exhaustive or prescriptive. At this
time, a number of items do not have accepted standard statistical data from which to
derive a probability figure. However, these items are included either for future
consideration, or as items for which the applicant may propose a probability figure
supported by statistically valid data or supporting service experience. The applicant may
propose additional conditions or different probabilities from those in appendix E
provided they are based on statistically valid data or supporting service experience. The
applicant should provide justification for the data and obtain early agreement from the
certification authority when such conditions will be included in an analysis. When
combining the probability of such a random condition with that of a system failure(s),
care should be taken to ensure that the condition and the system failure(s) are
independent of one another, or that any dependencies are properly accounted for.

7.8.2 Single failures in combination with operational or environmental conditions leading to


catastrophic failure conditions are in general not acceptable. Limited cases that are
properly justified may be considered on a case-by-case basis (for example, operational
events or environmental conditions that are extremely remote). In limited cases where a
non-redundant system provides protection against an operational or environmental
condition (for example, a fire protection system in the cargo compartment) any single
failure that results in the loss of the protection function should meet the criteria
associated with the major failure condition classification, to ensure adequate system
reliability and development assurance.

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7.9 Justification of Assumptions, Data Sources, and Analytical Techniques.

7.9.1 Any analysis is only as accurate as the assumptions, data, and analytical techniques it
uses. Therefore, to show compliance with the requirements, the underlying assumptions,
data, and analytic techniques should be identified and justified to assure that the
conclusions of the analysis are valid. Variability may be inherent in elements such as
failure modes, failure effects, failure rates, failure probability distribution functions,
failure exposure times, failure detection methods, fault independence, limitation of
analytical methods, processes, and assumptions. The justification of the assumptions
made with respect to the above items should be an integral part of the analysis and
summarized in the safety analysis. Assumptions can be validated by using experience
with identical or similar systems or components with due allowance made for
differences of design, duty cycle, and environment. Where it is not possible to validate a
safety analysis in which data or assumptions are critical to the acceptability of the
failure condition, extra conservatism should be built into either the analysis or the
design. Alternatively, any uncertainty in the data and assumptions should be evaluated
to the degree necessary to demonstrate that the analysis conclusions are insensitive to
that uncertainty.

7.9.2 Where adequate validation data is not available (for example, new or novel systems)
and extra conservatism is built into the analysis, then the normal post-certification
in-service follow-up may be performed to obtain the data necessary to alleviate any
consequence of the extra conservatism. This data may be used, for example, to extend
system check intervals.

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CHAPTER 8. OPERATIONAL AND MAINTENANCE CONSIDERATIONS

8.1 Overview.
This AC addresses operational and maintenance considerations that are directly related
to compliance with § 25.1309. Flightcrew and maintenance tasks related to compliance
with § 25.1309 should be appropriate and reasonable. However, the FAA does not
consider quantitative assessments of crew errors to be feasible. Reasonable tasks are
those that can be realistically anticipated to be performed correctly when they are
required or scheduled. Therefore, the safety assessment does not need to consider the
hazards associated with omitting or incorrectly performing the reasonable tasks. In
addition, based on experienced engineering and operational judgment, the discovery of
obvious failures during normal operation or maintenance of the airplane may be
assumed, even though identification of such failures is not the primary purpose of the
operational or maintenance actions. During the safety assessment process associated
with § 25.1309 compliance, useful information or instructions associated with the
continued airworthiness of the airplane might be identified. This information should be
made available to those compiling the ICA covered by § 25.1529.

8.2 Flightcrew Action.


When assessing the ability of the flightcrew to cope with a failure condition, the
information provided to the crew and the complexity of the required action should be
considered. When considering the information provided to the crew, refer also to the
guidance on § 25.1309(c) (paragraph 5.4 of this AC). Credit for crew actions and
consideration of flightcrew errors should be consistent with relevant service experience
and acceptable human factors evaluations. If the evaluation indicates that a potential
failure condition can be alleviated or overcome without jeopardizing other safety related
flightcrew tasks and without requiring exceptional pilot skill or strength, credit may be
taken for both qualitative and quantitative assessments. Similarly, credit may be taken
for correct flightcrew performance of the periodic checks required to show compliance
with § 25.1309(b), provided that performing such checks does not require exceptional
pilot skill or strength and the overall flightcrew work load is not excessive. Unless
flightcrew actions are accepted as normal airmanship, they should be described in the
FAA-approved AFM. The applicant should provide a means to ensure the AFM
contains all the expected crew actions.

8.3 Maintenance Action.


The applicant’s safety assessment may take credit for the correct accomplishment of
reasonable maintenance tasks, for both qualitative and quantitative assessments. The
maintenance tasks required to show compliance with § 25.1309(b) and (d) should be
established. In doing this, the following maintenance scenarios can be used:

8-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

8.3.1 Certification Maintenance Requirements.

8.3.1.1 Periodic maintenance or flightcrew checks may be used to help show


compliance with § 25.1309(b) by detecting (1) the presence of, and
thereby limiting the exposure time to, SLFs, or (2) an impending wear-out
of an item whose failure is associated with a hazardous or catastrophic
failure condition. Where such checks cannot be accepted as basic
servicing or airmanship, they should be identified as candidate
certification maintenance requirements (CCMRs) or required flightcrew
actions in the SSA. AC 25-19A details the handling of CCMRs and the
selection of CMRs. In compliance with § 25.1309(d), CMRs are included
in the ALS of the ICA. As specified in § 25.1585, required flightcrew
actions must be included in the approved section of the AFM.

8.3.1.2 Quantitative probability analysis of failure conditions or relevant service


experience should be used to determine check intervals. Because
quantitative probability analysis contains inherent uncertainties as
discussed in paragraph 7.6.4 of this AC, these uncertainties justify the
controlled escalation (in other words, minor adjustments of the task
intervals) or exceptional short-term extensions to individual CMRs.
Note: Some latent failures can only be verified by return-to-service tests
on the equipment following its removal and repair. The mean time
between failures of the equipment can be used to establish the time
interval to detect the presence of latent failures if it can be ascertained that
the equipment is removed and inspected at a rate much more frequent than
the safety analysis requires. This credit should be substantiated in the
SSA. The means of detecting the latent failures should be clearly
documented. For example, these means can be the acceptance tests
performed before the equipment leaves the shop, or the system integrity
and functional tests when the equipment is installed on the airplane.

8.3.2 Flight with Equipment or Functions Known to be Inoperative.


An applicant may elect to develop a list of equipment and functions that can be
inoperative for flight, based on stated compensating precautions that should be taken
(for example, operational or time limitations, flightcrew procedures, or ground crew
checks). The documents used to show compliance with § 25.1309, together with any
other relevant information, should be considered when developing this list. Also,
experienced engineering and operational judgment should be applied when developing
this list. If more than one flight is made with equipment known to be inoperative and
that equipment affects the probabilities associated with hazardous and/or catastrophic
failure conditions, then time limits might be needed for the number of flights or allowed
operation time in that airplane configuration. When proposing these time limits to the
FAA Flight Standards Service for approval, the applicant should ensure that these limits
would maintain the fleet average-risk objectives.

8-2
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

CHAPTER 9. ASSESSMENT OF MODIFICATIONS TO PREVIOUSLY


CERTIFICATED AIRPLANES

The means to ensure continuing compliance with § 25.1309 for modifications to previously
certificated airplanes should be determined on a case-by-case basis and depend on the applicable
airplane certification basis and the extent of the change, in accordance with § 21.101. The change
could be a simple modification affecting only one system or a major redesign of many systems,
possibly incorporating new technologies. For any modification, the minimal effort for showing
compliance with § 25.1309 is an assessment of the impact on the original SSA. The result of this
assessment may range from a simple statement that the existing SSA still applies to the modified
system in accordance with the original means of compliance, to the need for new means of
compliance encompassing the plan referred to in paragraph 5.3.2 of this AC. (If the type
certificate holder is unwilling to release or transfer proprietary data in this regard, then an
supplemental type certificate applicant might need to create the SSA covering the relevant
changed parts, and parts affected by those changes, of the type design. Further guidance may be
found in SAE ARP 4754A.) The FAA recommends that the applicant contact the appropriate
certification office early to obtain agreement on the means of compliance.

9-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix A

APPENDIX A. HISTORICAL PERSPECTIVE ON THE USE OF STATISTICAL


PROBABILITIES IN SYSTEM SAFETY ASSESSMENT

A.1 Concorde Transport Supersonique Standard.


The British Civil Aviation Authority (BCAA) applied the concept of proportionally
assigning statistical rate goals to categories of accident causes during the design and
certification of the Concorde in the Concorde Transport Supersonique Standard in the
1960s. At that time, the BCAA considered the probability of a severe accident to be on
the order of one per one million hours of flight (1 x 10-6 per flight hour). The BCAA
roughly estimated that 10 percent of those accidents were the result of design systems-
related hazards. Based on those assumptions for the Concorde, the BCAA reasoned that
probability of a severe accident from design systems-related hazards should be less than
1 in 10 million flight hours, or 1 x 10-7 per flight hour. The BCAA standard defined
hazard categories as minor, major, hazardous, and catastrophic, and it assigned
qualitatively allowable probability for each category, for example, probable, remote,
and extremely remote. The BCAA also apportioned statistical probabilities to the
categories (except the catastrophic category) for use in controlling “statistically
controllable” hazards. The standard did not establish a numerical probability for
catastrophic failure conditions because, per the overriding fail-safe philosophy, no
single failure regardless of probability could foreseeably result in a catastrophic failure
condition. However, the cumulative probability of all catastrophic failure conditions
should be no greater than 1 x 10-7.

A.2 British Civil Airworthiness Requirements.


The British Civil Aviation Authority replicated the Concorde airworthiness
requirements in the British Civil Airworthiness Requirements (BCAR). During
certification of the Concorde, the BCAA recognized that analyzing every hazard for the
purpose of assuring that the probabilities collectively were less than 1 x 10-7 was an
onerous and somewhat impractical task. To address this problem, the BCAA assumed
that there were no more than one hundred systems-related, catastrophic failure
conditions and that a direct allotment would be sufficient for certification. Therefore,
the BCCA apportioned the allowable average probability per flight hour of 1 x 10-7
equally among the theoretical, one hundred catastrophic failure conditions, resulting in
1 x 10-9 per flight hour as the upper limit average probability per flight hour of a
statistically controllable catastrophic failure condition. The 1 x 10-9 per flight hour
probability was not applicable for single failure conditions that could lead to a
catastrophic outcome.

A.3 FAA AC 25.1309-1.


The intent of the BCAR systems guidance was first adopted by the FAA in
AC 25.1309-1, System Design Analysis, dated September 7, 1982. The BCAR and
previous Concorde standards defined four hazard categories in terms of specific
airplane level hazards and the effect of those hazards on the airworthiness of the
airplane. AC 25.1309-1 defined three functional hazard categories. The AC defined the

A-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix A

functional categories as non-essential, essential, and critical. However, for all practical
purposes, the non-essential category was synonymous with the minor category in the
BCAR; the essential category spanned the BCAR major and hazardous categories; and
critical was the same as catastrophic in the BCAR. The qualitative and quantitative
probabilities that were defined in AC 25.1309-1, and the described application of those
probabilities, were, for the most part, the same as the BCAR.

A.4 FAA AC 25.1309-1A.


In the 1980s, the FAA and the Joint Aviation Authorities (JAA) of Europe harmonized
SSA requirements in § 25.1309 and Joint Airworthiness Requirement 25.1309, and the
guidance in AC 25.1309-1A and its counterpart JAA Advisory Material Joint (AMJ)
25.1309. The only substantive difference between the AC and AMJ was that the JAA
retained the “hazardous” category and its associated probability definitions from the
BCAR; whereas, the FAA did not, but implied an intermediate “severe major” hazard
category similar to “hazardous.” Otherwise, the definitions and probability values in the
AC and AMJ were the same as those in the BCAR and Concorde standard. Both the AC
and AMJ also contained a continuing strong emphasis on fail-safe design as the basic
intent of the requirements.

A.5 This AC.


In revising § 25.1309 at amendment 25-** (** FR **, **), the FAA added the
“hazardous” category. In this AC, the FAA addresses five failure condition
classifications (no safety effect, minor, major, hazardous, and catastrophic) and their
associated qualitative and quantitative probabilities. These terms are harmonized with
European Union Aviation Safety Agency (EASA) Acceptable Means of Compliance
(AMC) 25.1309.

A.6 Quantitative Probability Terms.


The quantitative probability values contained in this AC should not be applied
independently of the qualitative guidance. For example, meeting the 1 x 10-9 per flight
hour quantitative probability guidance alone is not sufficient to show compliance with
the intent of the “extremely improbable” requirement of § 25.1309(b) if relevant
experience indicates the failure condition can occur. The FAA’s guidance for using
quantitative probability values to meet airworthiness standards has been unchanged
since the 1970s. The probability numbers contained in this AC are provided solely for
use in evaluating “statistically controllable” hazard contributors within the context of
the analysis methodology described. The quantitative values in this AC do not represent
FAA accident-rate goals or expectations. The values are unchanged from those derived
for the Concorde program because it has been shown in service that the actual system
safety achieved using fail-safe design techniques and the combination of qualitative and
quantitative guidance in this AC continues to be acceptable.

A-2
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix B

APPENDIX B. ASSESSMENT METHODS FOR FAILURE CONDITIONS

B.1 Assessment Methods.


Various methods for assessing the causes, severity, and probability of failure conditions
are available to support experienced engineering and operational judgment. Some of
these methods are structured. The various types of analysis are based on either inductive
or deductive approaches. Probability assessments may be qualitative or quantitative.
Descriptions of some types of analysis are provided below and in SAE ARP 4761.

B.1.1 Design Appraisal.


This is a qualitative appraisal of the integrity and safety of the system design.

B.1.2 Installation Appraisal.


This is a qualitative appraisal of the integrity and safety of the installation. Any
deviations from normal, industry-accepted installation practices, such as clearances or
tolerances, should be evaluated, especially when appraising modifications made after
entry into service.

B.1.3 Failure Modes and Effects Analysis.


This is a structured, inductive, bottom-up analysis that is used to evaluate the effects on
the system and airplane of each foreseeable element or component failure. When
properly formatted, the FMEA should aid in identifying latent failures and possible
causes of each failure mode. SAE ARP 4761 provides methodology and detailed
guidelines, which may be used to perform this type of analysis. In SAE ARP4761, an
FMEA could be a “piece-part” FMEA or a “functional” FMEA. For modern
microcircuit-based line replaceable units and systems, an exhaustive piece-part FMEA
is not practically feasible with the present state of the art. In that context, an FMEA may
be more functional than piece part oriented. A functional FMEA can lead to
uncertainties in the qualitative and quantitative aspects, which can be compensated for
by a more conservative assessment such as—
• Assuming all failure modes result in the failure conditions of interest,
• Careful choice of system architecture, or
• Taking into account the experience lessons learned on the use of similar technology.

B.1.4 Fault Tree or Dependence Diagram Analysis.


These are structured, deductive, top-down analyses used to identify the conditions,
failures, and events that would cause each defined failure condition. They are graphical
methods of identifying the logical relationship between each particular failure condition
and the primary element or component failures, other events, or combinations thereof
that can cause it. An FMEA may be used as the source document for those primary
failures or other events.

B-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix B

B.1.5 Markov Analysis.


A Markov model represents various system states and the relationships among them.
The states can be either operational or non-operational. The transitions from one state to
another are a function of the failure and repair rates. Markov analysis can be used as a
replacement for fault tree or dependence diagram analysis, but it often leads to more
complex representation, especially when the system has many states. The FAA
recommends using Markov analysis when fault tree or dependence diagrams are not
easily usable, namely to account for complex transition states of systems that are
difficult to represent and handle with classic fault tree or dependence diagram analysis.

B.1.6 Common Cause Analysis.


The acceptance of adequate probability of failure conditions is often derived from the
assessment of multiple systems based on the assumption that failures are independent.
Therefore, it is necessary to recognize that such independence may not exist in the
practical sense, and specific studies are necessary to ensure that independence can either
be assured or deemed acceptable. These analyses might also identify failure modes and
effects that otherwise would not be foreseen. The CCA is sub-divided into three areas of
study:

B.1.6.1 Zonal Safety Analysis.


The objective of zonal safety analysis is to ensure that equipment
installations within each zone of the airplane meet an adequate safety
standard with respect to design and installation standards, interference
between systems, and maintenance errors. In those areas of the airplane
where multiple systems and components are installed in close proximity, it
should be ensured that the zonal safety analysis identifies any failure or
malfunction, which by itself is considered sustainable, but could have
more serious effects when adversely affecting other adjacent systems or
components.

B.1.6.2 Particular Risk Analysis.


Particular risks are defined as those events or influences that are outside
the systems concerned. Examples are fire, leaking fluids, bird strike, tire
burst, high intensity radiated fields exposure, lightning, uncontained
failure of high energy rotating machines, etc. Each risk should be studied
to examine and document the simultaneous or cascading effects or
influences that may violate independence.

B.1.6.3 Common Mode Analysis.


Common mode analysis is performed to confirm the assumed
independence of the events that were considered in combination for a
given failure condition. This analysis should consider the effects of
specification, design, implementation, installation, maintenance, and
manufacturing errors; environmental factors other than those already
considered in the particular risk analysis; and failures of system
components.

B-2
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix C

APPENDIX C. OVERVIEW OF THE SAFETY ASSESSMENT PROCESS

C.1 Purpose.
In showing compliance with § 25.1309(b), the applicant should address the
considerations covered in this AC in a methodical and systematic manner, which
ensures that the process and its findings are visible and readily assimilated into
compliance-showing documents. The FAA has provided this appendix primarily for
applicants who are unfamiliar with the various methods and procedures typically used
in the industry to conduct safety assessments. This guide and figures C-1 and C-2 are
not certification checklists, and they do not include all the information provided in this
AC. There is no necessity for an applicant to use them or for the FAA to accept them, in
whole or in part, to show compliance with any regulation. The sole purpose of this
guidance is to assist applicants by illustrating a systematic approach to safety
assessments, to enhance understanding and communication by summarizing some of the
information provided in this AC, and to provide some suggestions on documentation.
You can find more detailed guidance in SAE ARP 4761. SAE ARP 4754A includes
additional guidance on how the safety assessment process relates to the system
development process.

C.2 Safety Assessment Process.

C.2.1 Define the system and its interfaces, and identify the functions that the system is to
perform. The safety assessment process may identify additional safety requirements for
the functions during the system development life cycle.

C.2.2 Determine whether the system is complex, similar to systems used on other airplanes, or
conventional. Where multiple systems and functions should be evaluated, consider the
relationships between multiple safety assessments.

C.2.3 Identify and classify failure conditions. All relevant applicant engineering
organizations, such as systems, structures, propulsion, and flight test, should be
involved in this process. This identification and classification may be done by
conducting an FHA, which is usually based on one of the following methods, as
appropriate:

C.2.3.1 If the system is not complex and its relevant attributes are similar to those
of systems used on other airplanes, the identification and classification
may be derived from design and installation appraisals and the service
experience of the comparable, previously approved systems.

C.2.3.2 If the system is complex, it is necessary to postulate systematically the


effects on the safety of the airplane and its occupants resulting from any
possible failures, considered both individually and in combination with
other failures or events.

C-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix C

C.2.3.3 It may be necessary to aid the analytical process with testing to identify
the failures that could result in intermittent behaviors, erroneous
behaviors, or otherwise unintended behaviors.

C.2.4 Choose the means to be used to determine compliance with § 25.1309. The depth and
scope of the analysis depends on the types of functions performed by the system, the
severity of system failure conditions, and whether the system is simple or conventional
(see figure C-1). For major failure conditions, experienced engineering and operational
judgment, design and installation appraisals, and comparative service experience data
on similar systems may be acceptable, either on their own or in conjunction with
qualitative analyses or selectively used quantitative analyses. For hazardous or
catastrophic failure conditions, the safety assessment should be very thorough. The
applicant should obtain early concurrence from the FAA on the choice of an acceptable
means of compliance.

C-2
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix C

Figure C-1. Depth of Analysis Flowchart

Conduct Functional
Hazard Assessment.
(See paragraph 6.2 of this AC.) Note: A functional hazard
assessment may be based
on a design and installation
appraisal for these systems.

Is NO
there a safety
affect?

YES

YES Verify by Design and


Is the
Installation Appraisal.
failure condition
(See paragraphs 7.5.1
minor?
and 7.5.2 of this AC.)

NO

Is the
system & YES Verify Similarity.
installation similar (See paragraphs 7.5.3.1
to a previous and 7.5.4.3 of this AC.)
design?

NO

Is the YES YES


Is the system
failure condition
simple?
major?

NO NO

YES Conduct Qualitative


Is the system Assessment.
redundant? (See paragraphs 7.5.3.2
and 7.5.3.4 of this AC.)

NO

Conduct Qualitative and


Quantitative Assessments.
(See paragraph 7.5.3.3
of this AC.)

YES Conduct Qualitative


Is the
Assessment.
system simple &
(See paragraph 7.5.4.2
conventional?
of this AC.)

NO

Conduct Qualitative and


Quantitative Assessment.
(See paragraph 7.5.4.1
of this AC.)

C-3
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix C

C.2.5 Conduct the analysis and produce the data, which have been agreed with by the FAA as
being acceptable to show compliance. Consult SAE ARP 4761 for analysis techniques
such as FHA, PSSA, FMEA, and CCA. A typical analysis should include the following
information to the extent necessary to show compliance:

C.2.5.1 A statement of the functions, boundaries, and interfaces of the system.

C.2.5.2 A list of the parts and equipment that compose the system, including their
performance specifications or design standards and development
assurance levels if applicable. This list may reference other documents, for
example, TSOs, manufacturer’s or military specifications, and so forth.

C.2.5.3 The conclusions, including a statement of the failure conditions and their
classifications and probabilities (expressed qualitatively or quantitatively,
as appropriate) that show compliance with the requirements of § 25.1309.

C.2.5.4 A description that establishes correctness and completeness and traces the
work leading to the conclusions. This description should include the basis
for the classification of each failure condition (for example, analysis or
ground, flight, or simulator tests). It should also include a description of
precautions taken against common cause failures, provide any data such as
component failure rates and their sources and applicability, support any
assumptions made, and identify any required flightcrew or ground crew
actions including any CCMRs.

C.2.6 Assess the analyses and conclusions of multiple safety assessments to ensure
compliance with the requirements for all airplane level failure conditions.

C.2.7 Prepare compliance statements, maintenance requirements, flight manual requirements,


and any other relevant ICA.

C.2.8 Figure C-2 depicts an overview of a typical safety assessment process starting from the
requirements of § 25.1309(b) and (c). For the purpose of this appendix, this figure only
shows the principal activities of a safety assessment process. Applicants may consult
SAE ARP4761 for details of a complete process. Consistent with the system
engineering practice in SAE ARP4754A and ARP4761, the process is presented in a
“V” shape. On the left side of the “V” are the activities to evaluate the preliminary
systems designs. On the right side are the activities to evaluate the final designs.

C.2.8.1 Airplane-Level Functional Hazard Assessment (Airplane FHA).


A systematic, comprehensive evaluation of aircraft functions to identify
and classify failure conditions of those functions according to their
severity.

C.2.8.2 System Functional Hazard Assessment (FHA).


A systematic, comprehensive evaluation of system functions to identify
and classify failure conditions of those functions according to their

C-4
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix C

severity. Because there are many systems on an airplane, the figure depicts
multiple system FHAs.

C.2.8.3 Analyses.
Analyses of the preliminary or proposed system designs. These analyses
include the Preliminary System Safety Assessment (PSSA), Mode and
Effects Analysis (FMEA), and Common Mode Analysis (CCA).

C.2.8.4 System Safety Assessment (SSA).


A systematic, comprehensive evaluation of the final systems designs to
verify they meet all applicable requirements. There are multiple SSAs, and
typically one SSA for each system.

C.2.8.5 Assessment of Multiple SSAs.


Also known as the Aircraft Safety Assessment (ASA), this is a systematic,
integrated evaluation of the SSAs taken together, to verify that the airplane
as a whole meets all applicable requirements. This assessment corresponds
to the requirement in § 25.1309(b), which says “Each of the airplane’s
systems and associated components, as installed, and evaluated both
separately and in relation to other systems [emphasis added], must meet
all of the following requirements …”

C.2.9 The applicant documents the results, together with any maintenance requirements
(e.g. CMRs) and required flight crew procedures (e.g., crew actions in response to flight
deck alerts).

C-5
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix C

Figure C-2. Overview of Safety Assessment Process

Compliance
statements,
Section 25.1309(b)
maintenance
and (c)
requirements, flight
manual requirements

Assessment of
Airplane FHA
Multiple SSAs

System FHAs SSA

Analyses
(FMEA, CCA, PSSA)

C-6
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix D

APPENDIX D. EXAMPLE OF LIMIT LATENCY AND RESIDUAL RISK ANALYSIS FOR


COMPLIANCE WITH § 25.1309(B)(5)(II) AND (III)

D.1 Implementing Quantitative Criteria.


The following example illustrates how the criteria of § 25.1309(b)(5)(ii) and (iii) may
be applied quantitatively. This example uses the fault tree analysis technique described
in SAE ARP 4761. Assume a fault tree as shown in figure D-1.

D.1.1 CSL+1 Conditions.

D.1.1.1 Identify the CSL+1 conditions. The list of CSL+1 conditions based on the
example fault tree is shown in table D-1.

D.1.1.2 The probability of each of the latent failures in the CSL+1 conditions must
not exceed 1 x 10-3. This value is the total probability over the latency
period, and is not a probability per flight hour.

D.1.1.3 Group those CSL+1 conditions that contain the same latent failure. For
each group, assume that latent failure has occurred, and sum the remaining
active failures probabilities. For each group, the sum of the active failures
probabilities should be less than 1 x 10-5 per flight hour.

D.1.2 Alternative Method.


An alternative but more conservative method is to assume a latent failure has occurred
and recalculate the failure condition probability. Run the calculations for each and every
latent failure.

D.1.3 Results.
The results of the limit latency and residual risk analysis are provided in table D-1.

D-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix D

Figure D-1. Example of Fault Tree for § 25.1309(b)(5) Compliance

TOP Duration: 01 hh 00min 00 sec


Limit Latency and
Residual Risk
Analysis - Example
8.598 x 10-10

G001 G002 G003 G004


GATE 1 GATE 2 GATE 3 GATE 4

4.391 x 10-10 2.200 x 10-10 6.500 x 10-13 2.000 x 10-10

G005 G007 G008


L001 A002 A003 L004 A004
GATE 5 GATE 7 GATE 8
1000 3.992 x 10-3 2.000 x 10-5 6.500 x 10-7 10 1.000 x 10-6 1.000 x 10-5
1.100 x 10-7 ACT 2 1.100 x 10-5 2.000 x 10-5
LAT 1 ACT 3 LAT 4 ACT 4

G006
A001 L003 A005 L005 L003
GATE 6
-5 -6
10 1.000 x 10 1.000 x 10 10 1.000 x 10-5 10 1.000 x 10-5
1.000 x 10-7 9.997 x 10-9
ACT 1 LAT 3 ACT 5 LAT 5 LAT 3

L002 A002
100 4.999 x 10-4 2.000 x 10-5
LAT 2 ACT 2

D-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix D

Table D-1. Example of CSL+1 Identification for § 25.1309(b)(5) Compliance

MCS Event Event Section 25.1309(b)(5)(ii) and (iii)


Probability CSL+1? Failure Rate Exposure
No. Name Probability Applicability and Compliance
1 3.992 x 10-10 A001 1 x 10-7 1h 1 x 10-7 Not compliant with limit latency criterion since L001
Yes
L001 4 x 10-6 1000 h 4 x 10-3 probability is more frequent than 1 x 10-3.
2 2.000 x 10-10 A002 2 x 10-5 1h 2 x 10-5 Not compliant with residual risk criterion since A002
Yes
L003 1 x 10-6 10 h 1 x 10-5 probability is more frequent than 1 x 10-5.
3 1.000 x 10-10 A004 1 x 10-5 1h 1 x 10-5 Note: MCS no. #2 and #3 are grouped due to common
L003 1 x 10-6 10 h 1 x 10-5 L003.
Although A004 probability is equal to 1 x 10-5, the
Yes
residual risk criterion is not met because the combined
probability of A004 and A002 (1 x 10-5 + 2 x 10-5) is
more frequent than 1 x 10-5.
4 1.000 x 10-10 A004 1 x 10-5 1h 1 x 10-5 Compliant with both limit latency and residual risk
Yes
L005 1 x 10 -6
10 h 1 x 10-5 criteria.
5 2.000 x 10 -11
A002 2 x 10 -5
1h 2 x 10-5 Section 25.1309(b)(5) does not apply since this dual
No
A005 1 x 10 -6
1h 1 x 10-6 failure combination does not contain any latent failure.
6.500 x 10 -13
A003 6.5 x 10 -7
1.0 h 6.5 x 10-7 Compliant with both limit latency and residual risk
6 L004 Yes 1 x 10 -7
10.0 h 1 x 10-6 criteria.
7 3.991 x 10-11 A002 2 x 10-5 1.0 h 2 x 10-5 Section 25.1309(b)(5) does not apply since this is a
L001 No 4 x 10 -6
1000 h 4 x 10-3 triple-failure combination.
L002 5 x 10 -6
100 h 5 x 10-4
MCS: Minimal Cut Set: the smallest set of events whose occurrence is sufficient to cause the TOP failure condition.
A: Active failure; L: Latent failure
Flight time = 1 hour of flight
P[LAT i] ~ FR * T

D-2
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix E

APPENDIX E. ACCEPTED PROBABILITIES

The probabilities in tables E-1 through E-5 may be used for environmental conditions and
operational factors in quantitative safety analyses. If “No accepted standard data” appears in the
tables below, the applicant must provide a justified value if a probability of less than 1 is used in
the analysis.
Note: The probabilities quoted in this appendix have been found to be appropriate for
use in the context of a quantitative safety analysis performed to demonstrate compliance
with § 25.1309. They may not always be appropriate for use in the context of other
regulations.

Table E-1. Environmental Factors

Condition Model or Other Probability


Justification

Flight into icing conditions for AC 25-28 1


which the airplane is certified to Note: This includes the
operate in. probability of encountering
“appendix C” icing conditions
of 10-2 per flight hour.

Flight into icing conditions that No accepted standard data


exceed those the airplane has
been certified to operate in.

Probability of specific icing No accepted standard data


conditions (largest water droplet,
temperature, and so forth) within
a given flight.

Head wind greater than 25 knots AC 120-28D 10-2 per flight


during takeoff and landing. CS-AWO

Tail wind greater than 10 knots AC 120-28D 10-2 per flight


during takeoff and landing. CS-AWO

Cross wind greater than 20 knots AC 120-28D 10-2 per flight


during takeoff and landing. CS-AWO

Limit design gust and § 25.341 10-5 per flight hour


turbulence.

Air temperature less than -70 °C. No accepted standard

E-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix E

Table E-2. Airplane Configurations

Condition Model or Other Probability


Justification

Center of gravity Standard industry practice 1 (uniform over approved


range)

Landing and takeoff Standard industry practice 1 (uniform over approved


weights/masses range)

Table E-3. Flight Conditions

Condition Model or Other Probability


Justification

Flight condition requiring In-service observation 10-2 per flight


stall warning

Flight condition resulting in a In-service observation 10-5 per flight hour


stall

Exceedance of VMO/MMO In-service observation 10-2 per flight


Note: Section 25.629
specifies the speed envelope
that must be considered when
evaluating failure conditions
for aeroelastic stability. This
speed envelope exceeds
VMO/MMO. Therefore, for
compliance with § 25.629,
the probability of exceeding
VMO/MMO is assumed to be 1.

Flight condition greater than No accepted standard data


or equal to 1.5g

Flight condition less than or No accepted standard data


equal to 0g

E-2
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix E

Table E-4. Mission Dependencies

Condition Model or Other Probability


Justification

Any rejected takeoff Rejected takeoff prior to V1 is No accepted standard data


at pilot discretion and should
be considered within the
normal operating envelope.

High energy rejected takeoff No accepted standard data

Need to jettison fuel No accepted standard data

Go-around Should be considered as No accepted standard data


within the normal operating
envelope.

Table E-5. Other Events

Condition Model or Other Probability


Justification

Fire in a lavatory No accepted standard data

Fire in a cargo compartment No accepted standard data

E-3
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix F

APPENDIX F. CALCULATING THE AVERAGE PROBABILITY PER FLIGHT HOUR

F.1 Purpose.
This appendix provides applicants with guidance for calculating the average probability
per flight hour for a failure condition, so it can be compared with the quantitative
criteria in this AC. (As discussed in paragraph 7.6.1.4, for failure conditions and
associated classifications that are only relevant during a specific flight phase, evaluate
the probability per flight (paragraph F.5 below), instead of normalizing the probability
on the per flight hour basis.) The process of calculating the “average probability per
flight hour” for a failure condition is described here as a four step process and is based
on the assumption that the life of an airplane is a sequence of average flights:
• Step 1: Determine the average flight.
• Step 2: Calculate the probability of a failure condition for a certain average flight.
• Step 3: Calculate the average probability per flight of a failure condition.
• Step 4: Calculate the average probability per flight hour of a failure condition.

F.2 Determining the “Average Flight.”


The average probability per flight hour is based on an average flight. The applicant
should estimate the average flight duration and average flight profile for the airplane
fleet to be certified. The average flight duration should be estimated based on the
applicant’s expectations and historical experience for similar types. The average flight
duration should reflect the applicant’s best estimate of the cumulative flight hours
divided by the cumulative airplane flights for the service life of the airplane. The
average flight profile should be based on the operating weight and performance
expectations for the average airplane when flying a flight of average duration in an
International Civil Aviation Organization standard atmosphere. The duration of each
flight phase (for example, takeoff, climb, cruise, descent, approach, and landing) in the
average flight should be based on the average flight profile. Average taxi times for
departure and arrival at an airport should be considered where appropriate and added to
the average flight time. The average flight duration and profile should be used as the
basis for determining the average probability per flight hour for a quantitative safety
assessment.

F.3 Calculating the Probability of a Failure Condition for a Certain Average Flight.
The probability of a failure condition occurring on an average flight
Pflight(failure condition) should be determined by structured methods (see SAE
ARP 4761 for example methods) and should consider all significant elements (for
example, combinations of failures and events) that contribute to the failure condition.
The following should be considered:

F-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix F

F.3.1 The component failure rates used to calculate the “average probability per flight hour”
should be estimates of the mature constant failure rates after infant mortality and prior
to wear out. For components whose probability of failure may be associated with
non-constant failure rates within the operational life of the airplane, reliability analysis
may be used to determine component replacement times. In either case, the failure rate
should be based on all causes of failure (operational, environmental, and so forth).
Where available, service history of same or similar components in the same or similar
environment should be used.

F.3.1.1 Aging and wear of similarly constructed and similarly loaded redundant
components that could directly, or when in combination with one other
failure, lead to a catastrophic or hazardous failure condition should be
assessed when determining scheduled maintenance tasks for such
components.

F.3.1.2 Replacement times--necessary to mitigate the risk due to aging and wear
of those components whose failures could directly, or in combination with
one other failure, lead to a catastrophic or hazardous failure condition
within the operational life of the airplane--should be assessed through the
same methodology as other scheduled maintenance tasks required to
satisfy § 25.1309 (for example, AC 25-19A) and documented in the ALS
as appropriate.

F.3.2 If one or more failed elements in the system can persist for multiple flights (latent,
dormant, or hidden failures), the calculation should consider the relevant exposure times
(for example, time intervals between maintenance and operational checks/inspections).
In such cases, the probability of the failure condition increases with the number of
flights during the latency period.

F.3.3 If the failure rate of one element varies during different flight phases, the calculation
should consider the failure rate and related time increments in such a manner as to
establish the probability of the failure condition occurring on an average flight. It is
assumed that the average flight can be divided into n phases (phase 1, ... , phase n). Let
TF be the average flight duration, Tj be the duration of phase j, and tj be the transition
point between Tj and Tj+1, j = 1, ... , n:
𝑛𝑛

𝑇𝑇𝐹𝐹 = � 𝑇𝑇𝑗𝑗 and 𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗 − 𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗−1 = 𝑇𝑇𝑗𝑗


𝑗𝑗=1

Let λj(t) be the failure rate function during phase j, i.e., for t ∈ [tj-1,tj]. λj(t) may be equal
to 0 for all t ∈ [tj-1,tj] for a specific phase j.
Let Pflight(failure) be the probability that the element fails during one certain flight
(including non-flying time).
Let Pphase j(failure) be the probability that the element fails in phase j.
Two cases are possible:

F-2
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix F

F.3.3.1 The element is checked operative at the beginning of the certain flight,
then:
𝑛𝑛 𝑛𝑛 𝑛𝑛 𝑡𝑡𝑖𝑖

𝑃𝑃𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓ℎ𝑡𝑡 (𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓) = � 𝑃𝑃𝑝𝑝ℎ𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑗𝑗 (𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓) = � 𝑃𝑃 �𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓�𝑡𝑡 ∈ �𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗−1 , 𝑡𝑡𝑗𝑗 �� = 1 − � 𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒 �− � 𝜆𝜆𝑖𝑖 (𝑥𝑥)𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 �
𝑗𝑗=1 𝑗𝑗=1 𝑖𝑖=1 𝑡𝑡𝑖𝑖−1

F.3.3.2 The state of the item is unknown at the beginning of the certain flight.
Then:
𝑛𝑛
𝑡𝑡𝑖𝑖
𝑃𝑃𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓ℎ𝑡𝑡 (𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓) = 𝑃𝑃𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 (𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓) + �1 − 𝑃𝑃𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 (𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓)� ∗ �1 − � 𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒𝑒 �− � 𝜆𝜆𝑖𝑖 (𝑥𝑥)𝑑𝑑𝑑𝑑 ��
𝑖𝑖=1 𝑡𝑡𝑖𝑖−1

Where Pprior(failure) is the probability that the failure of the element has occurred prior to the
certain flight.

F.3.4 If there is only an effect when failures occur in a certain order, the calculation should
account for the conditional probability that the failures occur in the sequence necessary
to produce the failure condition.

F.4 Calculation of the Average Probability per Flight of a Failure Condition.


The next step is to calculate the average probability per flight for the failure condition.
In other words, the probability of the failure condition for each flight (which might be
different although all flights are average flights) during the relevant time (for example,
the least common multiple of the exposure times or the airplane life) should be
calculated, summed up, and divided by the number of flights during that period. The
principles of calculating are described below and in more detail in SAE ARP 4761.
∑𝑁𝑁
𝑘𝑘=1 𝑃𝑃𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓ℎ𝑡𝑡 𝑘𝑘 (𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐)
𝑃𝑃𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓ℎ𝑡𝑡 (𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐) =
𝑁𝑁
Where N is the quantity of all flights during the relevant time, and Pflight k is the
probability that the failure condition occurs in flight k.

F.5 Calculation of the Average Probability per Flight Hour of a Failure Condition.
Once the average probability per flight has been calculated, it should be normalized by
dividing it by the average flight duration TF in flight hours to obtain the average
probability per flight hour. This quantitative value should be used in conjunction with
the hazard category/effect established by the FHA to determine if it is compliant for the
failure condition being analyzed.
𝑃𝑃𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓ℎ𝑡𝑡 (𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐)
𝑃𝑃𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎𝑎 𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝𝑝 𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓ℎ𝑡𝑡 ℎ𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜𝑜 (𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓𝑓 𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐𝑐) =
𝑇𝑇𝐹𝐹

F-3
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix G

APPENDIX G. ACRONYMS

Table G-1. Acronyms and Definitions

Acronym Definition

14 CFR Title 14, Code of Federal Regulations

AFM Airplane Flight Manual

ALS Airworthiness Limitations Section

AMC Acceptable Means of Compliance

AMJ Advisory Material Joint

ARAC Aviation Rulemaking Advisory Committee

ARP Aerospace Recommended Practice

ASAWG Airplane-Level Safety Analysis Working Group

BCAR British Civil Airworthiness Requirements

CCA Common Cause Analysis

CCMR Candidate Certification Maintenance Requirement

CMR Certification Maintenance Requirement

CSL+1 Catastrophic with Single Latent Plus One

EASA European Union Aviation Safety Agency

FAA Federal Aviation Administration

FHA Functional Hazard Assessment

FMEA Failure Modes and Effects Analysis

ICA Instructions for Continued Airworthiness

JAA Joint Aviation Authorities

PSSA Preliminary System Safety Assessment

G-1
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B
Appendix G

Acronym Definition

RTCA RTCA, Inc. (formerly “Radio Technical Commission for


Aeronautics”)

SAE SAE International (formerly “Society of Automotive Engineers”)

SLF Significant Latent Failure

SSA System Safety Assessment

STC Supplemental Type Certificate

TC Type Certificate

TSO Technical Standard Order

G-2
MM/DD/YY DRAFT AC 25.1309-1B

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